import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from scipy.stats import norm
a= 10
b= 15
np.random.seed(10)
x_normal = np.random.normal(12, 0.5, 1000)
def normal_pdf(x, mean, std):
return (1 / (std * np.sqrt(2*np.pi))) * np.exp(-(x - mean)**2 / (2*std**2))
y_normal = normal_pdf(x_normal, 12, 0.5)
x_values = np.linspace(a, b, 1000)
pdf_values = norm.pdf(x_values, loc= np.mean(x_normal), scale= np.std(x_normal))
np.random.seed(15)
uniform_dist = np.random.uniform(a, b, 1000)
uniform_values = np.linspace(a, b, 1000)
y_axis = np.ones_like(uniform_values) / (b-a)
pdf_combined = np.zeros_like(pdf_values)
for i in range (len(pdf_values)):
pdf_combined[i] = (pdf_values[i] * uniform_values[i]) / 10
plt.hist(x_normal, bins= 30, density= True, alpha= 0.5)
plt.plot(x_values, pdf_values, label= 'Normal PDF')
plt.hist(uniform_dist, bins= 30, density=True, alpha= 0.5, label= 'Uniform data')
plt.plot(uniform_values, y_axis, color= 'blue')
plt.hlines(0,0,10)
plt.hlines(0,15,16)
plt.vlines(10,0,0.2)
plt.vlines(15,0,0.2)
plt.plot(x_values, pdf_combined, label='Multiplied Data PDF', color='red')
plt.legend()
plt.show()
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
np.random.seed(10)
x = np.linspace(0,10,1000)
def target_function(x, a, b, c):
return a * x**2 + b * x + c
a,b,c = 2.5, -0.5, 4.5
n_interactions = 1000
tolerance = 0.1
data_x = []
data_y = []
for _ in range(n_interactions):
a_new = a + np.random.normal(scale= 0.1)
b_new = b + np.random.normal(scale= 0.1)
c_new = c + np.random.normal(scale= 0.1)
y_new = target_function(x, a_new, b_new, c_new)
y_current = target_function(x, a, b, c)
acceptance_ratio = np.exp((y_new - y_current) / tolerance)
mask = acceptance_ratio > np.random.rand(len(x))
initial_coefficients = np.array([a, b, c]).reshape(-1, 1)
if np.any(acceptance_ratio > np.random.rand()):
a, b, c = initial_coefficients[:, 0]
data_x.append(x)
data_y.append(target_function(x, a, b, c))
plt.plot(x, target_function(x, 3, -1, 5), label="Target Function") # True values for a, b, c
plt.scatter(data_x, data_y, alpha=0.5, label="MCMC Walk")
plt.xlabel("x")
plt.ylabel("y")
plt.title("MCMC Random Walk for y = 3x^2 - x + 5")
plt.legend()
plt.show()
plt.hist(x, bins = 30, density= True)
plt.plot(x,target_function(x, 3, -1, 5))
plt.show()
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
x = np.linspace(0, 10, 1000)
y = 3 * x**2 - x + 5 + np.random.normal(scale= 5, size= 1000)
plt.plot(x, y)
[<matplotlib.lines.Line2D at 0x1d961467f90>]
import numpy as np
np.random.seed(10)
a_new, b_new, c_new = 0,0,0
a, b, c = 0,0,0
x = np.linspace(0, 10, 1000)
y = 3 * x**2 - x + 5 + np.random.normal(scale= 5, size= 1000)
def sum_square(y1, y2):
return np.sum(np.power(y1 - y2, 2))
def normal_pdf(y, mean, std):
return (1 / (std * np.sqrt(2*np.pi))) * np.exp(-(x - mean)**2 / (2*std**2))
for i in range(1000):
a_new = a + np.random.normal(scale= 1)
b_new = b + np.random.normal(scale= 1)
c_new = c + np.random.normal(scale= 1)
y_current= target_function(x, a, b, c)
y_new = target_function(x, a_new, b_new, c_new)
new_error= sum_square(y_new,y)
curr_error = sum_square(y_current,y)
if new_error > curr_error:
a = a_new
b = b_new
c = c_new
# for _ in range(1000):
# a_new = a + np.random.normal(scale= 1)
# b_new = b + np.random.normal(scale= 1)
# c_new = c + np.random.normal(scale= 1)
# y_new = target_function(x, a_new, b_new, c_new)
# y_current= target_function(x, a, b, c)
# new_error = sum_square(y_new, y)
# curr_error = sum_square(y_current, y)
# if new_error < curr_error:
# a = a_new
# b = b_new
# c = c_new
# plt.plot(x, y)
# plt.plot(x, y_new)
import numpy as np
np.random.seed(20)
x = np.linspace(0,10, 1000)
y = 3 * x**2 - x + 5 + np.random.normal(scale= 5, size= 1000)
def normal_pdf(x, mean, std):
return (1 / (std * np.sqrt(2*np.pi))) * np.exp(-(x - mean)**2 / (2*std**2))
def model(x,a,b,c):
return a * x**2 + b * x + c
def monte_carlo_with_pdf(x, y, std_dev=5, iterations=10000,epsilon=1e-10):
best_a, best_b, best_c = 0, 0, 0
a,b,c = 0,0,0
max_likelihood = -float('inf')
for i in range(iterations):
a_new = a + np.random.normal(0,0.5)
b_new = b + np.random.normal(0,0.5)
c_new = c + np.random.normal(0,0.5)
y_pred = model(x,a_new,b_new,c_new)
pdf_values = normal_pdf(y,y_pred, std_dev)
likelihood = np.sum(np.log(pdf_values + epsilon))
print(f"Iteration {i}:")
print(f" Current coefficients: a = {best_a}, b = {best_b}, c = {best_c}")
print(f" Proposed coefficients: a_new = {a_new}, b_new = {b_new}, c_new = {c_new}")
print(f" Current likelihood: {max_likelihood}")
print(f" Proposed likelihood: {likelihood}")
print(f" Best coefficients so far: a = {best_a}, b = {best_b}, c = {best_c}")
if likelihood > max_likelihood:
max_likelihood = likelihood
best_a,best_b,best_c = a_new,b_new,c_new
a,b,c = best_a, best_b, best_c
elif (likelihood - max_likelihood) > np.random.uniform(0,1):
max_likelihood = likelihood
best_a,best_b,best_c = a_new,b_new,c_new
a,b,c = best_a, best_b, best_c
return best_a,best_b,best_c, max_likelihood
best_a, best_b, best_c, max_likelihood = monte_carlo_with_pdf(x, y)
print(f"Best coefficients: a = {best_a}, b = {best_b}, c = {best_c}")
print(f"Maximum likelihood: {max_likelihood}")
Iteration 0:
Current coefficients: a = 0, b = 0, c = 0
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.07080107615676455, b_new = -0.27497372013161986, c_new = 0.5671466363861165
Current likelihood: -inf
Proposed likelihood: -18145.64595565461
Best coefficients so far: a = 0, b = 0, c = 0
Iteration 1:
Current coefficients: a = 0.07080107615676455, b = -0.27497372013161986, c = 0.5671466363861165
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.4665723134545383, b_new = -0.29266913359112146, c_new = 0.46963593998800135
Current likelihood: -18145.64595565461
Proposed likelihood: -17788.859296615665
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.07080107615676455, b = -0.27497372013161986, c = 0.5671466363861165
Iteration 2:
Current coefficients: a = 0.4665723134545383, b = -0.29266913359112146, c = 0.46963593998800135
Proposed coefficients: a_new = -0.05252182673423644, b_new = -0.07072865302397452, c_new = 0.9499659553042274
Current likelihood: -17788.859296615665
Proposed likelihood: -18118.386254264795
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.4665723134545383, b = -0.29266913359112146, c = 0.46963593998800135
Iteration 3:
Current coefficients: a = 0.4665723134545383, b = -0.29266913359112146, c = 0.46963593998800135
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.2513905868882368, b_new = -0.7977148983636096, c_new = 0.9776763706828073
Current likelihood: -17788.859296615665
Proposed likelihood: -18105.787329600942
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.4665723134545383, b = -0.29266913359112146, c = 0.46963593998800135
Iteration 4:
Current coefficients: a = 0.4665723134545383, b = -0.29266913359112146, c = 0.46963593998800135
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.2760303776997346, b_new = -0.5785318672157149, c_new = 0.07833251326379714
Current likelihood: -17788.859296615665
Proposed likelihood: -18155.064780516564
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.4665723134545383, b = -0.29266913359112146, c = 0.46963593998800135
Iteration 5:
Current coefficients: a = 0.4665723134545383, b = -0.29266913359112146, c = 0.46963593998800135
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.6859162443476602, b_new = -0.18788813611179472, c_new = 0.5167363214119889
Current likelihood: -17788.859296615665
Proposed likelihood: -17468.702369453888
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.4665723134545383, b = -0.29266913359112146, c = 0.46963593998800135
Iteration 6:
Current coefficients: a = 0.6859162443476602, b = -0.18788813611179472, c = 0.5167363214119889
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.093399330893134, b_new = 0.013063149308505606, c_new = 0.3133200196905411
Current likelihood: -17468.702369453888
Proposed likelihood: -16781.92580842541
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.6859162443476602, b = -0.18788813611179472, c = 0.5167363214119889
Iteration 7:
Current coefficients: a = 1.093399330893134, b = 0.013063149308505606, c = 0.3133200196905411
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.764309297978893, b_new = -0.8224401880102976, c_new = 0.20578695627099955
Current likelihood: -16781.92580842541
Proposed likelihood: -15784.843175602226
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.093399330893134, b = 0.013063149308505606, c = 0.3133200196905411
Iteration 8:
Current coefficients: a = 1.764309297978893, b = -0.8224401880102976, c = 0.20578695627099955
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.516409727675444, b_new = -0.5196957978082253, c_new = 0.3985019311322644
Current likelihood: -15784.843175602226
Proposed likelihood: -10484.616566421379
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.764309297978893, b = -0.8224401880102976, c = 0.20578695627099955
Iteration 9:
Current coefficients: a = 2.516409727675444, b = -0.5196957978082253, c = 0.3985019311322644
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2946066395427933, b_new = -0.011941248212514965, c_new = 0.005835974728675863
Current likelihood: -10484.616566421379
Proposed likelihood: -12178.889106327322
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.516409727675444, b = -0.5196957978082253, c = 0.3985019311322644
Iteration 10:
Current coefficients: a = 2.516409727675444, b = -0.5196957978082253, c = 0.3985019311322644
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6448707210528344, b_new = -1.3959070182611, c_new = 0.39701022764005167
Current likelihood: -10484.616566421379
Proposed likelihood: -10640.965595670375
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.516409727675444, b = -0.5196957978082253, c = 0.3985019311322644
Iteration 11:
Current coefficients: a = 2.516409727675444, b = -0.5196957978082253, c = 0.3985019311322644
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.155659659704969, b_new = -0.45267189421848947, c_new = 0.9467023451966772
Current likelihood: -10484.616566421379
Proposed likelihood: -13533.544675732883
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.516409727675444, b = -0.5196957978082253, c = 0.3985019311322644
Iteration 12:
Current coefficients: a = 2.516409727675444, b = -0.5196957978082253, c = 0.3985019311322644
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.910426943767702, b_new = -0.9640788762427953, c_new = 0.30689770657692755
Current likelihood: -10484.616566421379
Proposed likelihood: -15389.94842113931
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.516409727675444, b = -0.5196957978082253, c = 0.3985019311322644
Iteration 13:
Current coefficients: a = 2.516409727675444, b = -0.5196957978082253, c = 0.3985019311322644
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4212907779890216, b_new = -1.2669589839001862, c_new = 0.024544754976163874
Current likelihood: -10484.616566421379
Proposed likelihood: -13137.498273318448
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.516409727675444, b = -0.5196957978082253, c = 0.3985019311322644
Iteration 14:
Current coefficients: a = 2.516409727675444, b = -0.5196957978082253, c = 0.3985019311322644
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5779585936265015, b_new = -0.022125110343644783, c_new = 0.20404724127073023
Current likelihood: -10484.616566421379
Proposed likelihood: -8273.692571702584
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.516409727675444, b = -0.5196957978082253, c = 0.3985019311322644
Iteration 15:
Current coefficients: a = 2.5779585936265015, b = -0.022125110343644783, c = 0.20404724127073023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.794103575550129, b_new = 0.739562983160444, c_new = -0.15229352689140904
Current likelihood: -8273.692571702584
Proposed likelihood: -3301.576257409226
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.5779585936265015, b = -0.022125110343644783, c = 0.20404724127073023
Iteration 16:
Current coefficients: a = 2.794103575550129, b = 0.739562983160444, c = -0.15229352689140904
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.064036705032076, b_new = 0.23820433483676828, c_new = -0.014567810136984743
Current likelihood: -3301.576257409226
Proposed likelihood: -13506.920283707987
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.794103575550129, b = 0.739562983160444, c = -0.15229352689140904
Iteration 17:
Current coefficients: a = 2.794103575550129, b = 0.739562983160444, c = -0.15229352689140904
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7089473689478565, b_new = 1.582427274209021, c_new = 0.6197001719047746
Current likelihood: -3301.576257409226
Proposed likelihood: -3159.890198792356
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.794103575550129, b = 0.739562983160444, c = -0.15229352689140904
Iteration 18:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7089473689478565, b = 1.582427274209021, c = 0.6197001719047746
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.737262182704857, b_new = 2.0033048717471176, c_new = 0.8820141487350377
Current likelihood: -3159.890198792356
Proposed likelihood: -3213.754102230956
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7089473689478565, b = 1.582427274209021, c = 0.6197001719047746
Iteration 19:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7089473689478565, b = 1.582427274209021, c = 0.6197001719047746
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.867857332600645, b_new = 1.8761364591456982, c_new = 0.9001503108195563
Current likelihood: -3159.890198792356
Proposed likelihood: -4135.443394236161
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7089473689478565, b = 1.582427274209021, c = 0.6197001719047746
Iteration 20:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7089473689478565, b = 1.582427274209021, c = 0.6197001719047746
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8915228224274587, b_new = 1.7093458696234207, c_new = 1.494570882081169
Current likelihood: -3159.890198792356
Proposed likelihood: -12321.470652241678
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7089473689478565, b = 1.582427274209021, c = 0.6197001719047746
Iteration 21:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7089473689478565, b = 1.582427274209021, c = 0.6197001719047746
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.828275130521616, b_new = 1.310157299905173, c_new = 0.2253578299721578
Current likelihood: -3159.890198792356
Proposed likelihood: -3133.040343302668
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7089473689478565, b = 1.582427274209021, c = 0.6197001719047746
Iteration 22:
Current coefficients: a = 2.828275130521616, b = 1.310157299905173, c = 0.2253578299721578
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4065286198069913, b_new = 1.9867294718282802, c_new = 0.019774134839514373
Current likelihood: -3133.040343302668
Proposed likelihood: -12704.082465421234
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.828275130521616, b = 1.310157299905173, c = 0.2253578299721578
Iteration 23:
Current coefficients: a = 2.828275130521616, b = 1.310157299905173, c = 0.2253578299721578
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3885873120261825, b_new = 1.6083264882585069, c_new = -0.07286207987477128
Current likelihood: -3133.040343302668
Proposed likelihood: -11986.61159840738
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.828275130521616, b = 1.310157299905173, c = 0.2253578299721578
Iteration 24:
Current coefficients: a = 2.828275130521616, b = 1.310157299905173, c = 0.2253578299721578
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.559760905544917, b_new = 0.3484347295279333, c_new = 0.48672619651891924
Current likelihood: -3133.040343302668
Proposed likelihood: -7506.735062797253
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.828275130521616, b = 1.310157299905173, c = 0.2253578299721578
Iteration 25:
Current coefficients: a = 2.828275130521616, b = 1.310157299905173, c = 0.2253578299721578
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7407504708813806, b_new = 1.7452063680964909, c_new = -0.25946745622903006
Current likelihood: -3133.040343302668
Proposed likelihood: -13586.246687609908
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.828275130521616, b = 1.310157299905173, c = 0.2253578299721578
Iteration 26:
Current coefficients: a = 2.828275130521616, b = 1.310157299905173, c = 0.2253578299721578
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.218791804211742, b_new = 1.8909554561863504, c_new = -0.2892232054098204
Current likelihood: -3133.040343302668
Proposed likelihood: -10594.21509868153
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.828275130521616, b = 1.310157299905173, c = 0.2253578299721578
Iteration 27:
Current coefficients: a = 2.828275130521616, b = 1.310157299905173, c = 0.2253578299721578
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3987314602575642, b_new = 2.1147705010798514, c_new = 0.024214666408558627
Current likelihood: -3133.040343302668
Proposed likelihood: -12825.150458095442
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.828275130521616, b = 1.310157299905173, c = 0.2253578299721578
Iteration 28:
Current coefficients: a = 2.828275130521616, b = 1.310157299905173, c = 0.2253578299721578
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0645598433745462, b_new = 1.3649722336521182, c_new = 0.0361534231948204
Current likelihood: -3133.040343302668
Proposed likelihood: -11969.448993402657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.828275130521616, b = 1.310157299905173, c = 0.2253578299721578
Iteration 29:
Current coefficients: a = 2.828275130521616, b = 1.310157299905173, c = 0.2253578299721578
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9151105259589787, b_new = 1.9024851131507472, c_new = 0.3133546682534897
Current likelihood: -3133.040343302668
Proposed likelihood: -12240.645189045545
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.828275130521616, b = 1.310157299905173, c = 0.2253578299721578
Iteration 30:
Current coefficients: a = 2.828275130521616, b = 1.310157299905173, c = 0.2253578299721578
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.883085650242577, b_new = 1.1883118677504545, c_new = 0.927749616545775
Current likelihood: -3133.040343302668
Proposed likelihood: -3384.5381553412403
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.828275130521616, b = 1.310157299905173, c = 0.2253578299721578
Iteration 31:
Current coefficients: a = 2.828275130521616, b = 1.310157299905173, c = 0.2253578299721578
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8151257061481076, b_new = 1.438118205566788, c_new = -0.44221576636054294
Current likelihood: -3133.040343302668
Proposed likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.828275130521616, b = 1.310157299905173, c = 0.2253578299721578
Iteration 32:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0418857862840447, b_new = 1.1466401288985204, c_new = -0.48607326520693944
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -12601.117194713244
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 33:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.936003048932804, b_new = 0.9543704735576031, c_new = -0.3853928508076164
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -3413.0916032121877
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 34:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.540706720925666, b_new = 2.353557392740541, c_new = 0.6660815889377761
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -3680.068337550146
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 35:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.993846094047003, b_new = 1.2223875393980366, c_new = 0.3263930937803937
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -4577.055369954647
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 36:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2936142074167982, b_new = 1.1211753514491494, c_new = -0.24573967333645907
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -10218.255905057214
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 37:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226056321616365, b_new = 1.2222370876511428, c_new = -1.4870038457991632
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -8720.87480778357
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 38:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5942778964610937, b_new = 0.5301125892102143, c_new = -0.3955969597580762
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -6668.30923550094
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 39:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.87811389833662, b_new = 1.964593635263593, c_new = -0.4170477894206438
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -4118.578557476421
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 40:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9370770964417403, b_new = 0.8872948025551466, c_new = -0.31636566737177696
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -3368.7589771901526
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 41:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8433379879688445, b_new = 2.297208933979634, c_new = -0.5712656970140513
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -4198.783013963832
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 42:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.046603456167203, b_new = 1.8989850568457056, c_new = -1.09409059436928
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -6861.077916943765
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 43:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9870100162419044, b_new = 0.9147150601560522, c_new = 0.7580170570609898
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -14668.161539882592
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 44:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9311710479644257, b_new = 1.4591827724908972, c_new = -0.9248969811023433
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -3881.8557375451946
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 45:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6246314147494147, b_new = 0.8387126312791784, c_new = 0.26627911899959045
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -5068.416824746942
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 46:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5436801660279866, b_new = 0.9610101982649686, c_new = 0.15591425114262214
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -12347.503272475431
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 47:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8588313937042487, b_new = 1.2179518649382688, c_new = -0.051431720193131636
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -3185.3906970941953
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 48:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.672514366633222, b_new = 1.4437209068086616, c_new = -0.9183519075625732
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -3680.8772444160986
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 49:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7862335105521665, b_new = 1.651531119814272, c_new = -0.19488839952180004
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -13442.335557705634
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 50:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.808008409104233, b_new = 1.3267962650045282, c_new = -0.33691471902612874
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -14116.360957968589
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 51:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7193942490933405, b_new = 1.4023385826869874, c_new = -0.9794861330796582
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -13660.768573713613
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 52:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7201189660881684, b_new = 2.13770318322792, c_new = 0.477620573676273
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -3195.9776598227913
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 53:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.23671865050805, b_new = 2.284257123833892, c_new = -0.19451024743077636
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -11612.959331896598
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 54:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2751293745800076, b_new = 1.139406361099835, c_new = 0.19919854515944735
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -10249.49829168977
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 55:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7770385682577636, b_new = 1.7975338167156776, c_new = -0.8592932710147883
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -3139.9360016180344
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 56:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4923131924881066, b_new = 1.4501480306794583, c_new = -1.3216573975696093
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -6671.9544083091805
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 57:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4406773491601217, b_new = 1.086556291323151, c_new = -0.30986229521009456
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -8176.38551384791
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 58:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.982550728387407, b_new = 1.810122314189965, c_new = -0.8142923179181794
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -5353.637090800014
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 59:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8476750965769675, b_new = 1.7388236293094024, c_new = -0.49785490622617956
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -3488.1857433495666
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 60:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.4082929134311755, b_new = 1.3573695520130031, c_new = -0.9235442313741169
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -15377.6858477871
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 61:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8098632749226957, b_new = 1.6372335012388448, c_new = -0.22886264391170538
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -3203.65323202035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 62:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2603810744761037, b_new = 1.809353575395713, c_new = 0.136984164235599
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -11102.016829426193
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 63:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6336651199809205, b_new = 1.3025736699106372, c_new = -0.1097188127740163
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -4152.442738565625
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 64:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0232868233739265, b_new = 1.3727195410782658, c_new = -0.689352239756929
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -5120.773557040502
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 65:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.011833942821318, b_new = 1.820944340746101, c_new = -0.8435493868063313
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -5954.92597179118
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 66:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5550955736670566, b_new = 2.0979867770010605, c_new = -0.7585747356181154
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -4067.0578517888416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 67:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7602939001945774, b_new = 0.795269262818657, c_new = 0.07210020285101026
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -3452.639925664692
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 68:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3927455810801272, b_new = 0.9812787941903388, c_new = -0.40993972328264755
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -9244.490812240749
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 69:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9891644272278088, b_new = 1.0239209156817466, c_new = -0.3299028881457053
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -13063.93495859389
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 70:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9610728947997376, b_new = 0.2827106678356639, c_new = -0.6695022030698384
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -3156.920737311538
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 71:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6143354971889425, b_new = 2.2130975610921526, c_new = -0.4324424069233907
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -3356.1732863783363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 72:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4064014008926518, b_new = 1.6686764875080347, c_new = -0.9512296234147982
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -11996.790146781705
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 73:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.715452424005187, b_new = 1.3912906826417561, c_new = -0.6853779216393349
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -3350.804038834011
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 74:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.045309302651566, b_new = 2.1731994747777748, c_new = -0.3380903986965193
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -7979.247711392821
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 75:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.942201133254376, b_new = 1.2265471157612293, c_new = -0.4957075130200147
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -14530.02770388369
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 76:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.014633196934144, b_new = 0.8169114506262528, c_new = -0.7687263365687667
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -3951.766591585145
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 77:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7921040880494634, b_new = 1.7573108758388998, c_new = -0.667831070072801
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -3174.147155502931
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 78:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230332993481276, b_new = 1.9035591152661313, c_new = -0.8335305863520448
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -10600.152168983688
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 79:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.470114351488591, b_new = 1.4683766477255171, c_new = 0.12033546884416946
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -6524.580776733539
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 80:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.745478172952313, b_new = 0.4935405203922697, c_new = -0.2579679026283578
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -14801.967928748054
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 81:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.653979658216403, b_new = 2.1270569959860746, c_new = -0.8721112548238372
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -3236.8024395394586
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 82:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5186246684992426, b_new = 1.8792965296799715, c_new = 0.1517198444328619
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -4733.135147654863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 83:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6205722953516974, b_new = 1.3951910258028484, c_new = -0.09670717229891779
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -4171.9254915275105
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 84:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0693634344847736, b_new = 2.4983353873001026, c_new = -0.8317995005174168
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -9314.980797508413
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 85:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.687729708854262, b_new = 1.0121861456160597, c_new = -1.071686380618371
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -4157.172306403434
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 86:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2758287519587057, b_new = 1.563074823423532, c_new = -0.021127014749109663
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -10762.63835324733
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 87:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.589922105555776, b_new = 1.1920592661581726, c_new = -1.036567398394677
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -5320.989156041249
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 88:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.522060318739262, b_new = 0.6759579918574106, c_new = -0.038426224704599
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -11742.995173107665
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 89:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.817554672548225, b_new = 1.1274834944151775, c_new = -0.771721631250457
Current likelihood: -3122.7228211384563
Proposed likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8151257061481076, b = 1.438118205566788, c = -0.44221576636054294
Iteration 90:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2567192389941173, b_new = 0.8063957917330278, c_new = -1.5819696839312165
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11707.043864132138
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 91:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2221403665451396, b_new = 0.506217559343242, c_new = -0.26096790135842196
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12070.132641281085
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 92:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9953062527196814, b_new = 1.1327009434506243, c_new = -1.263595644778704
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4106.300836014786
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 93:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0061100803964185, b_new = 1.0151132352644265, c_new = -1.0419231073350852
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4098.267161772257
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 94:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.220785919885253, b_new = 1.7922742050221003, c_new = -0.6460972191045745
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10287.038732570747
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 95:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.073369574674036, b_new = 1.0558159688595707, c_new = -0.6857807986662237
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -14807.777917890773
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 96:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1955057115874035, b_new = 0.16704429313590274, c_new = -2.673648167394278
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5118.0598434560725
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 97:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9413266006231624, b_new = 0.42459541350222796, c_new = -0.900734409389243
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3148.092778202689
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 98:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2126300990222374, b_new = 0.9675937745595855, c_new = -1.3743605483135684
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7803.873954198432
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 99:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0855077408785707, b_new = 0.7701383122496224, c_new = -0.668046784661472
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12869.382655555626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 100:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.46573093762218, b_new = 1.3392232096729129, c_new = -0.542309021128097
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12106.695085079195
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 101:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.530429649990037, b_new = -0.07011344485159632, c_new = -0.7398416505506461
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9693.642576648828
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 102:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.025330319715075, b_new = 0.8204172930105835, c_new = -0.8578274556892197
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4071.8192333182237
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 103:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.34932268855258, b_new = 0.9443876566041887, c_new = -0.8769763477682335
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10102.034781642193
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 104:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6393749710905845, b_new = 1.4932563567248924, c_new = -0.2867557207397303
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -13494.450788609665
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 105:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.349639933993809, b_new = 0.7960000266641367, c_new = -0.6757652654997826
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10325.93639752235
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 106:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3378530527523362, b_new = 1.6153664620714465, c_new = -0.025148420729449117
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -8540.236022062702
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 107:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5029730618283077, b_new = 1.1026344408120525, c_new = -0.8285441941833098
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7169.2451896495295
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 108:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.696244661006017, b_new = 1.4695153413973296, c_new = -1.0620124318192905
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3471.440707298094
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 109:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.915964397660848, b_new = 1.080966928208568, c_new = -1.0060764224765768
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3334.7462819237817
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 110:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.745379825993086, b_new = 1.072616311430513, c_new = -0.575585876011141
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3401.8735470459737
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 111:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3915711312270247, b_new = 0.8129189714263081, c_new = -0.9315632641660552
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10478.55577639789
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 112:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.276547914101287, b_new = 0.9200356791488664, c_new = -0.7357680644095274
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9142.051404973852
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 113:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.23750123848138, b_new = 1.6161572240099906, c_new = -0.8738124218706425
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10070.321827721744
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 114:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4788291257202046, b_new = 1.3530590329978769, c_new = -1.613484191452993
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11972.106927488681
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 115:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.602299185040101, b_new = 1.193893151991847, c_new = -0.6018621015438963
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4958.147329578661
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 116:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.100032222685284, b_new = 0.5613809875081558, c_new = -0.24715716257876297
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4819.585327057099
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 117:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120355640845393, b_new = 0.6498280615141645, c_new = 0.7543520714209752
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5668.723974146737
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 118:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.029481105621349, b_new = 1.372975595684969, c_new = -1.2354736485286781
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5084.074271298357
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 119:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.715902956693985, b_new = 2.391832492521176, c_new = -0.7017001325201471
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3227.4723738700463
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 120:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.156264003749897, b_new = 0.9127344391412935, c_new = -0.9134233418160571
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6583.99846691982
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 121:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9963370285148514, b_new = 0.6207515182670121, c_new = -0.33568765912124016
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3576.65767096955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 122:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1441690731184107, b_new = 0.8348589932654558, c_new = -0.1041764983744069
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12162.031593808004
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 123:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.17306368368042, b_new = 1.2313747138846645, c_new = -1.0652586327785656
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7794.587372074435
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 124:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5125489035675597, b_new = 1.0410107487559102, c_new = -1.3559703964917693
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7357.6103979606505
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 125:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8685148529905988, b_new = 0.7915017902714203, c_new = -0.04184315855085119
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -13925.5159851223
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 126:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6778513370014356, b_new = 0.7798714634378929, c_new = -0.16212279804649055
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4459.216752683559
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 127:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7784302223898836, b_new = 1.0108361535675616, c_new = -0.7337782308572922
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3267.7787372328307
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 128:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.10092097917099, b_new = 1.586191145941455, c_new = -0.5648540484524667
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11524.29227689594
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 129:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.559049025235877, b_new = 0.06216831332391304, c_new = -0.18170740213596015
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -8582.5302088631
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 130:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.476430634460823, b_new = 0.3585862519518901, c_new = -0.6695789479638611
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9494.01560454048
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 131:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6755490984715955, b_new = 0.9576373577889924, c_new = -1.356425706283972
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4501.3932894189065
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 132:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.826676443980389, b_new = 0.826070102396308, c_new = -0.6847031208601111
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3161.1504644568568
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 133:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.805786421237649, b_new = 0.6059320457501759, c_new = -0.4801605485974953
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -14517.607676614341
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 134:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0212269915985877, b_new = 1.0425592877114618, c_new = 0.23217354495788467
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4626.322679776654
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 135:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3438663669471542, b_new = 0.5062374356084992, c_new = -0.4150226751073097
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10877.982818443586
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 136:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6657701694055724, b_new = 0.7742741012351959, c_new = -0.15700752556512754
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4652.063213260681
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 137:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.453611621876275, b_new = 1.2764352192668054, c_new = -1.013207609765034
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7746.241477174923
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 138:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8047342752396642, b_new = 0.7895497473084647, c_new = -1.8048507736446284
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3445.4900470240145
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 139:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9098604446375775, b_new = 0.704702286411115, c_new = 0.16423136800581528
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3143.4875854223747
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 140:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3965426848144955, b_new = 1.6817792323180352, c_new = -0.6461516220717178
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7645.468725457175
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 141:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.420505364697404, b_new = 1.304835189071023, c_new = -0.15744072624325067
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11778.705751491205
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 142:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1697988919428006, b_new = 1.6096982412406198, c_new = -0.06439467692930645
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9170.406130603915
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 143:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0454536163519554, b_new = 1.353033336492113, c_new = -0.8372330802674227
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5443.591794604386
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 144:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1742394660963553, b_new = 1.7531659812603044, c_new = -1.3858164619351407
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9146.862040497828
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 145:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0385529033347085, b_new = 2.0262261197802, c_new = -1.3260801271432314
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6963.972642732329
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 146:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924511831183386, b_new = 1.313766579469421, c_new = -0.1802735567223478
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3731.952497871755
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 147:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1977087182175126, b_new = 1.4032496688330782, c_new = -0.2668148565208033
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9083.211985953207
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 148:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9353461091324715, b_new = 1.8977318636752272, c_new = -0.9458658163916673
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4689.325055205315
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 149:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.446284837495996, b_new = 1.7839572667781187, c_new = -1.2093931402699314
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12407.721112504856
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 150:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0169713847486577, b_new = 0.8656708036508394, c_new = -1.0631605091905887
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4004.384756443069
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 151:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1466044253671845, b_new = 1.5636833264414705, c_new = -1.3316475361480646
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -8064.960943174778
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 152:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8427201120994927, b_new = 1.8610831357250366, c_new = -0.24365155146506168
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3617.9241129412717
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 153:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8039688176852846, b_new = 1.55520546438229, c_new = -0.09621925258099673
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3148.3296060136977
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 154:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3362360594606773, b_new = 0.8558857759474079, c_new = -0.47468461129067346
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9998.346062056022
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 155:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0109671743251383, b_new = 1.1482914366032018, c_new = -0.4146569264983701
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4519.578445945015
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 156:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9651990340187107, b_new = 0.5032585464730513, c_new = -1.004519355493954
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3243.4189706698016
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 157:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.951861611317587, b_new = 1.673673869330862, c_new = -0.27688522929333614
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4668.386784196638
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 158:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3103841234233826, b_new = 1.0086864117110814, c_new = -0.8690539526780868
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9832.746815824139
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 159:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6068234183034074, b_new = 0.7383509909679531, c_new = -0.9802854954036471
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6092.255183941086
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 160:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8509816495831073, b_new = 2.241498649595006, c_new = -1.273117109844315
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -14892.276683396836
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 161:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.989494061547709, b_new = 1.4493149299449195, c_new = -0.587145590515588
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4734.967511470923
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 162:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.34903387970437, b_new = 1.7855428313462558, c_new = -1.0465544049147228
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -8352.390695404589
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 163:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7889256811222047, b_new = 0.8598177011555463, c_new = -1.5761399138323995
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3449.774639618985
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 164:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5428234978349185, b_new = 0.6325117854181241, c_new = -1.1633892897794134
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7775.3146421279525
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 165:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.409676810461759, b_new = 1.5300493581937027, c_new = -0.621396622992046
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11903.641829432148
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 166:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8015710344898688, b_new = -0.36144370353085287, c_new = -0.7454543988496389
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -15515.02546382176
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 167:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.472144567386579, b_new = 1.079114627538616, c_new = -1.5840430861033603
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11535.70220863743
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 168:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8394596321680075, b_new = 1.5847409335361429, c_new = -1.7982884430157244
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3221.234642245424
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 169:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.617286157618013, b_new = 1.6424837229685705, c_new = -0.03567539951848231
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3837.79353999756
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 170:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0996397196368486, b_new = 1.4568093447372812, c_new = -0.5188205303047727
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6998.785960183824
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 171:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6815383681885674, b_new = 1.4246187573223046, c_new = -1.1168334058536749
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -13466.0377414838
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 172:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9650405573352607, b_new = 1.47843583374352, c_new = -1.3608453984191187
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4252.555703856799
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 173:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5422913775598293, b_new = 1.1704632412590161, c_new = -0.5114147122166846
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6090.80379757779
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 174:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2216916163493474, b_new = 0.9023535154826275, c_new = -0.5042459460083587
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -8120.819010404332
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 175:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.149203907684451, b_new = 2.2143304233775325, c_new = 0.4282333354980147
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -15957.983626429412
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 176:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0921121619283407, b_new = 0.7157754383561475, c_new = -1.1644558329820942
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4790.566166339958
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 177:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9575365459169585, b_new = 1.3296271361892595, c_new = -0.41541921933490455
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4092.377784051906
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 178:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.354683903236597, b_new = 1.006865247010141, c_new = -0.9862817126924046
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10382.39706059136
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 179:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.108521475649142, b_new = 0.9121078026571716, c_new = -0.21432089049003644
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12360.791678203248
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 180:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4177173527877787, b_new = 1.3282631054910743, c_new = -0.5217555130257782
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -8073.523788675624
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 181:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1871134303666504, b_new = 0.9295718584936111, c_new = -1.0687835047575114
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7253.3217089846985
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 182:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6505872196065043, b_new = 0.9480256164915761, c_new = 0.047557713702573
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4491.861016949115
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 183:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8215010904926072, b_new = 1.6866345977714712, c_new = -1.154834376748099
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3227.258982820964
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 184:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1267278162886365, b_new = 1.8567778268012662, c_new = -0.2566473349788876
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -8902.975126029869
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 185:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.173878088112527, b_new = 1.440109963580426, c_new = -0.615126141421009
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -8570.92716788908
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 186:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.309312355267896, b_new = 1.2639595384513556, c_new = -0.32059933172374616
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9767.27853840214
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 187:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.818438541090689, b_new = 0.3475112441845972, c_new = -0.9425138524303932
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3641.736456904707
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 188:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.51849205822543, b_new = 1.627878023500232, c_new = -1.2794365735199846
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12693.694575905456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 189:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9251218826378236, b_new = 1.2972844709442748, c_new = -1.5572646963120942
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -13482.09959182932
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 190:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.374849303905625, b_new = 1.6783391404227306, c_new = -0.308358537243642
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7904.371631089659
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 191:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.784044487454165, b_new = 0.9824103170371881, c_new = -1.3283187509547851
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3336.588828993361
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 192:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.118890735677806, b_new = 0.8180360684011965, c_new = -0.9000099992658996
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12638.347584931085
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 193:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4813534257108762, b_new = 2.0944840258340243, c_new = -1.6251035935107847
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12952.794054500562
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 194:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3648026682572145, b_new = 0.9181007419712681, c_new = -1.071673635011667
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10316.984068257405
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 195:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9327865230292627, b_new = 2.549060400380421, c_new = -1.5537860329087954
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6009.5748239223085
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 196:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.535734523711862, b_new = 1.1421371096498212, c_new = -0.7854445930674541
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6395.374857486814
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 197:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.398104720825764, b_new = 1.294505649653677, c_new = -0.6305521511889716
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -8528.946908751728
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 198:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.358301612856987, b_new = 1.4180838143785177, c_new = -0.32247272482846095
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -8765.588328418926
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 199:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6311539515183577, b_new = 0.7802999026475945, c_new = -1.3228029559427081
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5638.12983645098
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 200:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.114793447428363, b_new = 1.3118262599462382, c_new = -1.353161171588337
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12086.657477633704
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 201:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.387911486276116, b_new = 0.8967810213201108, c_new = -0.8532441196230673
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9669.358366890294
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 202:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.378116870102469, b_new = 0.7067788573491514, c_new = -1.614644019347359
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9942.205079973375
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 203:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.508781222450552, b_new = 2.0378228360420296, c_new = -0.6810034272487684
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -13280.41605698754
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 204:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4155341409883295, b_new = 2.3860052848235505, c_new = -1.0199879724979555
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5770.391025492958
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 205:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.457350306854271, b_new = 1.457862805397163, c_new = -0.945504192793232
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7188.333277879996
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 206:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.898267558655245, b_new = 0.4069272002305252, c_new = -0.663419838276774
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -13595.018832599208
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 207:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8158410233056754, b_new = 1.9828301631877885, c_new = -0.9785521494441354
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3433.5432712876636
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 208:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1631445722868916, b_new = 0.3484678878931956, c_new = -0.5149072255686076
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5408.692587817494
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 209:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9166338033758867, b_new = 1.5263428543231194, c_new = -1.3978473564058584
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3745.5485591993743
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 210:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.621873643654325, b_new = 1.18884863563193, c_new = -1.2367420781066716
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12833.597443546067
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 211:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0240115951732776, b_new = 1.0343796112308554, c_new = -0.4180388188378158
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4501.173179361775
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 212:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8416479423393284, b_new = 1.7654406046097924, c_new = -0.9576428640001957
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3416.5994891604837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 213:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.263266575287474, b_new = 0.9296454337896247, c_new = -1.010336448834363
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -15205.78929611578
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 214:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1489468592753274, b_new = 0.8992119706152895, c_new = -1.3745073295764136
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6239.689005057705
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 215:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.234682284286011, b_new = 1.0663014296237978, c_new = -0.5662724517412131
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11105.224498523412
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 216:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.014575976218389, b_new = 1.5355326731259087, c_new = -0.9239405734404601
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5269.254116059172
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 217:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.493972001097173, b_new = 1.7988783233553152, c_new = -0.4964015604027743
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -16241.967433485945
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 218:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.420287246058443, b_new = 1.9930690545447636, c_new = -1.0821601257039775
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6617.754788407909
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 219:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1401492155163933, b_new = 0.8536050571936422, c_new = -1.0153302594685136
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6044.635535500521
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 220:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.621364539854643, b_new = 1.0014253737067391, c_new = -0.484560635798895
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5009.297669196821
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 221:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2981568122279468, b_new = 1.7156675974594648, c_new = -0.12306191192476779
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11274.0922470685
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 222:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9542916643672115, b_new = 0.8053814617995124, c_new = -1.449217860398118
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3346.006258413857
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 223:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4228746803378174, b_new = 2.1784067563872966, c_new = -0.37739506818891944
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12975.549850452237
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 224:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8411219255964957, b_new = 0.6495536820122761, c_new = -1.0517308015840552
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3237.759946545182
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 225:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.21436853380962, b_new = 1.3707768365871322, c_new = -0.6325543635735256
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10798.252774865961
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 226:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3710573069089915, b_new = 0.6886133482381904, c_new = -0.40642148010556833
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10168.834520815892
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 227:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.399085635155114, b_new = 1.180548535649883, c_new = -0.6431125766051319
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11255.392818335931
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 228:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.045821631585023, b_new = 0.4430257680971641, c_new = -1.098618428258951
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -13694.874171051613
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 229:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.415863036895602, b_new = 0.4714487353741619, c_new = -0.8729919244274877
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10211.623143924124
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 230:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.103988213604379, b_new = 1.2276297286019018, c_new = -1.670442867307018
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6055.333447397165
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 231:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.46611358931604, b_new = 1.3918023160131978, c_new = -1.6360273648334753
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7462.3740237411175
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 232:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8841591709259755, b_new = 1.5669171831607753, c_new = -0.0492641287579868
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3674.8246386164856
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 233:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3116881568166217, b_new = 0.5703690092599613, c_new = 0.10979787167953436
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9188.25780964596
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 234:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.303426659524999, b_new = 1.5403305805709757, c_new = -0.44556613995829575
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9331.776045320443
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 235:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.609129520343036, b_new = 1.0039767208110604, c_new = -0.41529480133923996
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5194.887702594074
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 236:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.133825097036813, b_new = 0.9792122903682439, c_new = -1.1411292453965325
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6201.560818644377
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 237:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.110133293967589, b_new = 1.466255464581695, c_new = -1.034797118250334
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7073.225921331417
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 238:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.883680029487425, b_new = 0.8898046988624722, c_new = -0.6926613636499795
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -13968.286120993533
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 239:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.955545602421857, b_new = 1.8711501774768355, c_new = 0.264250811879262
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5332.289862302121
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 240:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.173352588654173, b_new = 1.0507643973488145, c_new = -1.0462819688558904
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7297.5998665496245
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 241:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.141448980150098, b_new = 1.2106729107211158, c_new = -0.8916386225915207
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11864.889323300697
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 242:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5050847401007905, b_new = 0.9785215787295372, c_new = -0.5595556741145726
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7345.169798488796
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 243:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.696084440067625, b_new = 1.0121282683605233, c_new = -0.4753857921444687
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -13233.040914935702
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 244:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6033778193868935, b_new = 0.5809775362823587, c_new = 0.24996805164215818
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12298.333109128227
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 245:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8496127013788275, b_new = 1.7618177342125696, c_new = -0.951301872836905
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3472.4478337779883
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 246:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5174294999243014, b_new = 2.8140996487651524, c_new = -1.115693726374439
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3651.266462922252
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 247:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6741259168602176, b_new = 0.4040899361273014, c_new = -1.3669526593119572
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5769.284296379063
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 248:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9552272364725054, b_new = 1.2649960364097488, c_new = -0.927013442803466
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3878.667052357359
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 249:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.984883494034273, b_new = 1.3623745069948074, c_new = -1.025270545553825
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12863.266465216779
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 250:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7094470169903055, b_new = 1.72478721999676, c_new = -1.1118783320018741
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3214.68604089906
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 251:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.899770940139767, b_new = 0.7242544531170434, c_new = -1.5446114923021297
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3147.4477335031484
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 252:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.054274364534025, b_new = 1.1037991592092153, c_new = -0.17305938282833166
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12476.59442913015
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 253:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.325174513288685, b_new = 1.7181673900422454, c_new = -1.072561659577322
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11289.51746125192
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 254:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.314060486827777, b_new = 0.8557354510977577, c_new = -1.2945083881755806
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9432.682368651616
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 255:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.032893308436787, b_new = 0.9722489624868409, c_new = -0.9892154968463167
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4398.593570027491
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 256:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.627397566867076, b_new = 0.39525353529455964, c_new = -0.045294001925707095
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6206.355957394345
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 257:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.307096648554519, b_new = 1.0594460850613912, c_new = -0.6619975460122668
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10324.193735620831
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 258:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.969549810080208, b_new = 1.568844841562215, c_new = -1.1307081504951708
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4527.9800064613055
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 259:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8292987715918514, b_new = 0.9031391103945341, c_new = -0.820460366113318
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3136.2592134338583
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 260:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1944559671478174, b_new = 1.9854941137970419, c_new = 0.4479217163056469
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9556.733561277942
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 261:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8341833498356894, b_new = 0.4595074962617731, c_new = -1.0681043317088654
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -14706.6744967634
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 262:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9486288063620547, b_new = 1.8324786369977129, c_new = -1.279360415534489
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4684.49572295667
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 263:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.129500081797458, b_new = 1.2365243447331977, c_new = -1.1535907370112335
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6810.032204973906
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 264:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4685134270533258, b_new = 0.8120861488511617, c_new = -0.7914557966093277
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -8558.250824951414
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 265:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.200334236751896, b_new = 1.0556360154689401, c_new = -0.6472512177737113
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -8041.977286009373
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 266:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.547319921191427, b_new = 1.3266660803401837, c_new = -0.8071919836506736
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12616.624960240479
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 267:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0015999194869805, b_new = -0.012134644569128827, c_new = -1.0607943984945463
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -14459.244714131488
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 268:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9030164542581716, b_new = 1.1878935969290143, c_new = -0.6211789695407499
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -13462.47324231868
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 269:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9498994459308183, b_new = 1.4647370480284447, c_new = -0.3828338491307843
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -14771.300629663167
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 270:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.514550208054679, b_new = 0.9650503784582428, c_new = -0.41906732979064965
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11997.25238810127
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 271:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.507967084823184, b_new = 0.19391114225860673, c_new = 0.09418564733383195
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9052.89322733661
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 272:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.984911039944342, b_new = 1.6304970701739572, c_new = -0.9400783685100584
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12481.117880587684
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 273:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.144891829806699, b_new = 0.7236489471126795, c_new = -0.5449327902013534
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5952.753741788041
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 274:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.051813914901409, b_new = 1.1868655014172849, c_new = -0.34799984890515473
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5312.4534688382655
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 275:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7675631072203035, b_new = 0.6446180426870859, c_new = -0.9516121971860265
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -14760.91588912021
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 276:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2172046013358653, b_new = 1.2527110778868031, c_new = 0.11903840094364204
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9201.529330908215
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 277:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.15962852637465, b_new = 1.6993556132913072, c_new = -0.9308420804388284
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10898.542951839758
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 278:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2344466565077927, b_new = 1.2898029006830647, c_new = -0.8231410909508718
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10791.716547291133
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 279:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.709890594894997, b_new = 0.06501525029138211, c_new = -0.942268944590122
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12131.87572924811
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 280:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.180192018934962, b_new = 1.2470593700788009, c_new = -0.5175610857507206
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11325.89158059883
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 281:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.191153279188065, b_new = 1.01531612495176, c_new = -0.01289230501888805
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7964.867020407654
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 282:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9420673194245617, b_new = 1.5064066504348006, c_new = 0.040123804049499445
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4281.195188325345
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 283:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.154476919307704, b_new = 2.0649430718878894, c_new = -0.689972525706297
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9845.757888474267
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 284:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0956622704691927, b_new = 1.3123909350693337, c_new = -0.8070051761828596
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6389.171972678898
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 285:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.843758427244549, b_new = 1.7373962263129, c_new = -1.173314206184696
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3385.0591049013974
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 286:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.390768194816335, b_new = 1.7127448497001212, c_new = -0.46083579075111125
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12058.886806030541
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 287:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031826962648994, b_new = 1.1249176604319442, c_new = -1.525121661063972
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4550.44980617394
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 288:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.447947796431007, b_new = 0.4683809080593343, c_new = -1.2728019967662911
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10425.412062638858
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 289:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120155408445028, b_new = 0.8633294692649275, c_new = -0.6055244889037823
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5781.048671182553
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 290:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1445399525400033, b_new = 1.110249597376819, c_new = -1.060923685939322
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6822.323993209879
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 291:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.770691009774365, b_new = 0.9256996040375055, c_new = -0.6945203474093168
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -14407.248275810214
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 292:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.744118394976244, b_new = 0.8506202460442037, c_new = -0.6251393510442084
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3654.8241518991244
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 293:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.305604662721069, b_new = 1.7007821554815281, c_new = -0.8154211574260772
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9103.585065657688
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 294:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.452145955023883, b_new = 0.7723544410363737, c_new = -0.5973186233873924
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -8861.78197822702
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 295:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6246554258775032, b_new = 1.5355505836944698, c_new = -1.3594736022115064
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4191.818549035101
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 296:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0825648560185517, b_new = 1.0263846493897948, c_new = -0.32135530318861627
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5522.968543188813
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 297:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9944125121548133, b_new = 1.556441011450262, c_new = -0.8543660034457048
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4974.500628645367
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 298:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5786139557728722, b_new = 1.0741012440155904, c_new = -1.0182329071730076
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5809.902277623731
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 299:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1614025308474236, b_new = 1.2392219847946142, c_new = -0.9004110684013338
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7620.110595840804
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 300:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094257735424893, b_new = 1.3918381581874564, c_new = -0.6354804890706999
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6643.934346495564
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 301:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9765729452043725, b_new = 1.432574267287591, c_new = -0.23770364331586635
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4583.519931265591
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 302:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9899725515037563, b_new = 2.0588201682196874, c_new = -0.9682154336040106
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6092.637628956934
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 303:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0983545154783885, b_new = 0.26885589809663824, c_new = -1.3388009757044474
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -13676.871141150552
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 304:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.202027358374406, b_new = 0.35097847201919175, c_new = -0.8695122294199196
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6090.768726115515
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 305:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9074287846185274, b_new = 0.6538488249431622, c_new = -0.2767387815368214
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3115.3469587873524
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 306:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4662661430352952, b_new = 1.244085631222861, c_new = -1.0244007347824255
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11857.66371623375
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 307:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9454826197755333, b_new = 1.798038515840997, c_new = -1.9089303466818288
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4426.986787766815
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 308:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9994031755765405, b_new = 0.655464576889615, c_new = -0.6821389393188471
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3604.695043288647
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 309:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.867488295050346, b_new = 1.3376655514440747, c_new = -1.5993612649424098
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3219.342893673048
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 310:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8406270334765447, b_new = 1.4507013546008514, c_new = -9.632838303241797e-06
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3246.2178981697593
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 311:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.234256475940299, b_new = 1.4288296579942164, c_new = -0.9042345360484131
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9579.320039352235
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 312:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.97397429113939, b_new = 1.5257897882035605, c_new = -0.777654361919787
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12646.341853610355
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 313:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9459438581517947, b_new = 0.8088256107089721, c_new = 0.01785358915427382
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -13486.071808555638
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 314:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4702938525925386, b_new = 1.709146438510237, c_new = -1.305000693075396
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6441.099231937511
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 315:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0696775788856976, b_new = 2.0565154619910473, c_new = -0.18309616827400133
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10951.264487261895
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 316:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3619400180139745, b_new = 1.5044575927924386, c_new = -1.142184960831898
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11285.378160004127
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 317:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2434712341620835, b_new = 0.5339953195487412, c_new = -1.099736721526778
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12127.188285687564
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 318:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4249424941224986, b_new = 0.8084500211692246, c_new = -0.7637139342695126
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9284.68752297337
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 319:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.074859133951352, b_new = 1.0402175511720504, c_new = -0.6425754495863168
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5316.304086258099
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 320:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.288983416964916, b_new = 1.355781623902563, c_new = -1.536795063345712
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10283.456268931539
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 321:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.734775474293039, b_new = 1.835181114899258, c_new = -0.7570637093780158
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3108.5971447774714
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 322:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.772515162417148, b_new = 0.42587481445680087, c_new = -1.3413740386560407
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4117.478020410919
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 323:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.034139673800381, b_new = 1.5966212907699315, c_new = -1.3223752191678206
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5674.255203207502
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 324:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8346296608679262, b_new = 0.7491496152553206, c_new = -0.7624292192139324
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3177.1219793876476
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 325:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6562042602890337, b_new = 1.1809887285217708, c_new = -0.6050000902533236
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4173.2152862853945
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 326:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2750335253838383, b_new = 0.17093554837236946, c_new = -1.3433370891043563
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7009.099360030499
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 327:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2583008913267983, b_new = 1.606326780443468, c_new = -1.954598901158778
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10320.5498661059
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 328:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.028558159357838, b_new = 1.2974742434111637, c_new = 0.5444107685553311
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12182.566024074928
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 329:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.850948782357044, b_new = 1.565559853155849, c_new = -1.3940329661095405
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3281.0592479932284
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 330:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7005125952417277, b_new = 1.8472401860343317, c_new = -0.10477372147114805
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -14191.431147269665
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 331:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6142516799952573, b_new = 1.4647247065148286, c_new = -0.790045978153025
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4308.593628118728
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 332:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5912960888682055, b_new = 1.6673053925440435, c_new = -0.13919317580189972
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4131.5919520711295
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 333:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.560236702384035, b_new = 0.29018546889393626, c_new = -1.0163286240802352
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -8306.853508124419
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 334:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5024228973924925, b_new = 0.5896819338605248, c_new = -1.3353151849981466
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -8748.359239733489
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 335:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7834156449133545, b_new = 1.7420627816383272, c_new = -1.0551634007784658
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -14254.762918000317
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 336:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6269868510374126, b_new = 1.7463448535860684, c_new = -0.16756826536771574
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -13729.505024827653
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 337:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.068809699957822, b_new = 1.294549145787196, c_new = -0.3475114944122128
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12154.979957226144
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 338:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6518198906294455, b_new = 1.2321137897781755, c_new = -1.769865508036407
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4455.4496308747875
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 339:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.991494075730492, b_new = 1.16613568961397, c_new = -0.39529687210332753
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12885.700712390713
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 340:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8070868558194344, b_new = 0.7662426441573396, c_new = -0.8325724406041463
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -13480.891874421395
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 341:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.007115763316528, b_new = 0.5911532787633336, c_new = -1.2698036299340654
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3552.870472786243
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 342:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0286143947605413, b_new = 0.18671931555788657, c_new = -1.694044254155401
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3379.6471722913307
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 343:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.870724015038825, b_new = 1.4735171444664288, c_new = -0.9815082229103169
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3357.82853959026
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 344:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.878880585966627, b_new = 1.122518655670352, c_new = -1.6179256708953433
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3173.8119796327464
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 345:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5556582333853184, b_new = 1.6633162922912383, c_new = -0.5935903448106175
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4762.721908750329
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 346:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1425161552291137, b_new = 0.37638219849171406, c_new = -0.7617216660124978
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -13049.541639339215
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 347:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9650482377021268, b_new = 1.679987785493915, c_new = -0.3227524276702215
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4885.601397509645
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 348:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.175585227818273, b_new = 1.52585732333321, c_new = -0.9302057801518401
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11035.20117681167
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 349:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.474188809634619, b_new = 0.8093721215377244, c_new = -1.1638303084317179
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11253.43633633746
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 350:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.106352999948542, b_new = 1.2880646599571035, c_new = -0.4306063287466723
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6694.54924419244
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 351:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1258299545991575, b_new = 1.0233978343911234, c_new = -0.45827329049111254
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12140.918333386484
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 352:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0763944081605707, b_new = 1.163711993417483, c_new = -0.39034966313775826
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5720.661943232109
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 353:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.332582499780078, b_new = 0.7764697850110391, c_new = -1.0925088270863361
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9600.95678584394
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 354:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.088281851041147, b_new = 0.6358341626053938, c_new = -0.35837288005079176
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -14592.094245085736
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 355:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1212538451253597, b_new = 0.9830988724092079, c_new = -0.727398828347717
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6075.771108212055
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 356:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.483549770518206, b_new = 1.0912180805465173, c_new = -0.5514011976830975
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7468.488743577909
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 357:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9580161413118997, b_new = 0.972779226055289, c_new = -0.4549468422222925
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3604.551494874434
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 358:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.702080480530134, b_new = 0.6324679222970053, c_new = -0.46033877246939325
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4463.090685392367
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 359:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9770841938719894, b_new = 1.7109662691004663, c_new = 0.16345996029864573
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12103.450348536142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 360:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4235754341861746, b_new = 1.5583950177686998, c_new = -0.4663795011991355
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7391.141593321214
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 361:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.851305927211576, b_new = 1.7503918135008933, c_new = -1.0511162010926127
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3462.9284327734968
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 362:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3475246726911077, b_new = 1.2450517158484091, c_new = -0.0671928038114824
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9202.101467990418
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 363:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0199004182898497, b_new = 2.195783438984713, c_new = -0.8314149695367751
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11376.395780053204
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 364:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6366919552446224, b_new = 0.7463763167983409, c_new = 0.1564035232088531
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12705.226820047
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 365:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.654794157581938, b_new = 1.2623840136203748, c_new = -0.5990486036479494
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4059.754986709423
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 366:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.722284884179528, b_new = 2.3259229344543506, c_new = -0.9347073756596029
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3200.3221718252125
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 367:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.007336901418161, b_new = 0.9184642761655231, c_new = -0.8681737537196346
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -14446.481974221788
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 368:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.907368635687206, b_new = 1.4351872036142224, c_new = -0.1950753802815851
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -14633.338431121583
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 369:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1882858098082556, b_new = 0.6210143013836129, c_new = -0.46371557388239504
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6635.970958770729
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 370:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1816039467450867, b_new = 2.2803956818934177, c_new = -0.7391341775421103
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9544.874680190347
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 371:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.506243650710705, b_new = 1.1355726156280594, c_new = -0.9534873304983001
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7068.019556473108
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 372:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1320832555231917, b_new = 0.8498707351693121, c_new = -0.2008270444040554
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6124.025853128889
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 373:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.937332522471171, b_new = 1.9581228330132525, c_new = -0.5047207337210782
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4970.61326748479
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 374:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7876959945804995, b_new = 1.6138318294967824, c_new = -1.2099587368966294
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3111.737846480408
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 375:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.841871551248962, b_new = 0.8177847133555484, c_new = -1.044449979664591
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3153.818242735534
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 376:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7245484264186235, b_new = 1.0070296577041018, c_new = -1.1735027684753254
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3762.16212942483
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 377:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.349263514773697, b_new = 1.377707775601929, c_new = -0.4019605446689351
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11144.635223076875
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 378:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2128163658471354, b_new = 1.1808035111032018, c_new = -0.8588540283302217
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -8569.23692422414
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 379:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.90289784112422, b_new = 1.0334074748518391, c_new = -0.32819760904641954
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3268.9118773835344
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 380:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3531125203651126, b_new = 0.9830501429630323, c_new = 0.07836219359854757
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10622.201610026674
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 381:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.575467234183647, b_new = 1.5546331475136634, c_new = -0.5919270320125274
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4661.795346102786
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 382:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.608823874707839, b_new = 1.1231713973496924, c_new = -0.6577340530850958
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5016.07560073402
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 383:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.296911857529463, b_new = 1.0680334189386822, c_new = -0.41282511076283634
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10341.106915800683
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 384:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7593433589162077, b_new = 2.193530770368829, c_new = -1.1856748546057352
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3252.2798594673536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 385:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.48526747493496, b_new = 0.8538724873737252, c_new = -1.2785806756322808
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11391.684444754277
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 386:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.758768732526299, b_new = 1.4951996711147229, c_new = -0.8083945678207254
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3123.5993428947677
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 387:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.850206258134099, b_new = 0.6586353859105555, c_new = -1.6865422932075
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -14615.583301168357
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 388:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4175824879128536, b_new = 1.3578895035328278, c_new = -1.547836011766421
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11478.216356916439
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 389:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7976645793856734, b_new = 0.5646142238922784, c_new = -1.1728853920439493
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3616.318522872985
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 390:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6485987715190116, b_new = 0.8769458051008925, c_new = -0.49293946384876103
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4819.996135791576
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 391:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0771791400428863, b_new = 1.4438837368062825, c_new = -0.058391245131488634
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11783.317964228483
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 392:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9026311677640884, b_new = 1.080798973864432, c_new = -0.4736635062792738
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3290.781660075969
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 393:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.286489701808497, b_new = 1.7348887858232018, c_new = -1.016528257490137
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9364.845369300383
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 394:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6171697913173486, b_new = 1.334456113570603, c_new = -0.5796843321337549
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4442.31039771292
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 395:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3811530152031386, b_new = 0.80957786852232, c_new = -0.11792494302576717
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10575.000295126029
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 396:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.780104792869118, b_new = 0.9843047584514305, c_new = -0.6823385848885279
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3270.6708261344666
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 397:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7929379183231946, b_new = 1.2081804853207747, c_new = -0.8488035720666571
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3128.2841629149643
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 398:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.83160029056644, b_new = 1.168190519309772, c_new = -1.1254704704699905
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3105.652491460384
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 399:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3792863354246814, b_new = 2.2389029385265835, c_new = -0.7406672148453941
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12652.59624903139
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 400:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8791419440016024, b_new = 0.7079885466049232, c_new = -0.7423531375854848
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3105.388569147293
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 401:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1804748463039845, b_new = 1.9889626021383706, c_new = -0.49780093005197346
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10167.42079381739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 402:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.680840760744097, b_new = 1.079805695009813, c_new = -0.9388867017192702
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4101.96329534843
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 403:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.430651253346785, b_new = 1.244353547037594, c_new = -1.6482167460181163
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11399.510209068012
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 404:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.435164034675971, b_new = 0.22175749824746094, c_new = -0.7665220549570898
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9977.539195296662
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 405:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.622307625634025, b_new = 1.8356726983653058, c_new = -0.3495840930296115
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3611.087136070096
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 406:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.940883499704073, b_new = 1.9126532529253089, c_new = -0.5467231308497664
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4919.236996783541
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 407:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.452053103810238, b_new = 1.5247321547091581, c_new = -2.1392338389146817
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7594.1556958984065
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 408:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.575907981707818, b_new = 2.0994086547729975, c_new = -1.0161921885293193
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -13657.140374075447
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 409:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2249234354152896, b_new = 0.7412331454469826, c_new = -0.28021339384851457
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11665.663760463898
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 410:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.755424111082054, b_new = 1.409294239526277, c_new = -0.41478131815266667
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -13909.92552502941
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 411:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7258715945600627, b_new = 0.9677863588218985, c_new = -1.5939719105523529
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3896.239059602099
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 412:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.571962206865221, b_new = 1.1509375092563323, c_new = -1.334254703647751
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5865.666075252002
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 413:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.559342906023857, b_new = 0.6915404919321686, c_new = -0.5415256044191454
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7011.870126770356
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 414:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.993961145069017, b_new = 0.7901967438973766, c_new = -0.34254235843081643
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3750.170306478924
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 415:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.086576934242362, b_new = 0.95938019092481, c_new = -0.6284482510814873
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5351.351067787045
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 416:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6874262360553676, b_new = 0.8835563098281184, c_new = 0.09309570879558726
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4082.4747550986363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 417:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.963770125252322, b_new = 1.0345222742915792, c_new = -0.5282433798381319
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -13267.232896697484
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 418:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0260267350579584, b_new = 1.1003515872238145, c_new = -2.3195531281181956
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4279.006278210802
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 419:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.510793239583728, b_new = 0.4794463781942808, c_new = 0.020817741582812244
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -8303.190571398212
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 420:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8521922384023934, b_new = 1.6446702146341208, c_new = -0.6657079533466894
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3410.724092197042
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 421:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0672560833497644, b_new = 0.7700037870042424, c_new = -0.9144359101883611
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4556.265027128718
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 422:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.897223275893041, b_new = 1.3271029880070389, c_new = -0.5210646634228779
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3457.9918297864306
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 423:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.761186070204492, b_new = 1.7097712214687384, c_new = -0.8185853994850079
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3102.5292747281956
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 424:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2395547559201896, b_new = 0.2976105093387592, c_new = -0.670461604058964
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6802.597346589963
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 425:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4758464154120103, b_new = 1.7355905939439333, c_new = -0.3013565868115102
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12776.329233841961
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 426:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.04845304974359, b_new = 1.3684721957202302, c_new = -0.8454158284562678
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5536.459971134248
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 427:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8338911291056657, b_new = 0.7110248093655305, c_new = -0.780139043509292
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3200.794901080323
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 428:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9802495690105824, b_new = 0.925788344929963, c_new = -0.27717745292282275
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3790.8033818951835
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 429:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2297257856107464, b_new = 1.4074326939353043, c_new = -0.8226670973935017
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10626.900390977702
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 430:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.942047279080366, b_new = 1.5142977484600564, c_new = -0.635393009202899
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4150.557973583751
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 431:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.355338473401152, b_new = 1.3290640457725797, c_new = -0.5684952065848253
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11078.139580907604
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 432:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.484047447760513, b_new = 1.9627765618792545, c_new = -0.737246104568635
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5393.340089450775
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 433:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.804805506855618, b_new = 0.6550399699169137, c_new = -0.7208217683628488
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3386.4020983379887
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 434:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0829026736731735, b_new = 1.1948933410047076, c_new = 0.700313394025707
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6316.923448478248
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 435:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.684614759775926, b_new = 0.7770182827344483, c_new = -1.019885838906579
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4613.0170879534235
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 436:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8635893881057473, b_new = 1.6391451696447996, c_new = -1.1300515280357635
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3439.811231203031
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 437:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5528616259511923, b_new = 0.8681554415745873, c_new = -0.8700501571773733
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12052.526702292702
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 438:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8308893512016766, b_new = 1.2902785033430086, c_new = -0.3691093924801244
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -14173.350720065659
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 439:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5440728834090143, b_new = 1.3037631717753988, c_new = -0.9503169055184562
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5885.746670394413
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 440:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4296892076604246, b_new = 0.64208008802072, c_new = -0.2880978266831327
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10769.021633493525
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 441:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5676702935326574, b_new = 0.9966492112816245, c_new = -1.672145329951472
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6484.161894709632
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 442:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2438623699262603, b_new = 0.5444450439679722, c_new = -1.3140676305158567
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12183.228709715027
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 443:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3451287381320824, b_new = 1.5334644163322544, c_new = -1.0449434656707757
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -8975.28586947282
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 444:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6335979159493115, b_new = 0.0553519073878872, c_new = -0.6787270124527691
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7288.442400662594
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 445:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5213959064068785, b_new = 1.159123189790804, c_new = -0.12819219461274267
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6388.570056141218
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 446:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.233600367076888, b_new = -0.28816828998779465, c_new = -1.0259549753809143
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5183.453523431063
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 447:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3654091045770635, b_new = 0.9332076427662164, c_new = -0.9407912430865162
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10387.906230757279
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 448:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5363592777664707, b_new = 0.24984851497523075, c_new = -1.3446094775917488
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9026.735492031983
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 449:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2700258191088207, b_new = 0.6681055010428677, c_new = -0.7796454666533357
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -8379.991709947779
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 450:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0663729960867907, b_new = 0.9350441687464074, c_new = -0.7589306970181259
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4902.945188800673
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 451:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6332537401153346, b_new = 0.5378734166721363, c_new = -1.072072853462282
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6121.054722640142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 452:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1436291058069155, b_new = 1.4981532080399578, c_new = -1.3401999821473254
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11532.769698809927
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 453:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.380464945809222, b_new = 0.8305279611507277, c_new = -0.4791328391723399
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9772.500036923602
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 454:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4624451153374602, b_new = 1.5035182267568024, c_new = -1.1460023499603276
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7051.590376624703
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 455:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.268817900952122, b_new = 1.1166863744974014, c_new = -1.151635266787728
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9340.231182060063
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 456:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.500515027220705, b_new = 0.7896891714756882, c_new = -0.21275687673548271
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7788.1011540865275
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 457:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2876696492610007, b_new = 1.8351255705841623, c_new = -0.49783102669484935
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -8966.22508850077
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 458:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.004181563343767, b_new = 1.260631561236666, c_new = -0.6936565484463895
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -4566.64365474043
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 459:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.070082531510462, b_new = -0.060234414085639676, c_new = -0.16008380327749816
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3540.4958212630017
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 460:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.615674260620532, b_new = 0.9024282121589251, c_new = -0.3856118898300464
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5298.51535271402
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 461:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.384634893389798, b_new = 0.8572560180954807, c_new = -0.4678785460090653
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9653.120602805642
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 462:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8081696808886125, b_new = 0.2938290923863832, c_new = -0.3765924268811582
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3683.817182685697
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 463:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9194394088513214, b_new = 0.5432974666040667, c_new = -0.5727515747014487
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3120.6470390665136
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 464:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.48712582843289, b_new = 1.8052520204483011, c_new = -0.28845944943341795
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5547.885632935313
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 465:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0881803016673484, b_new = -0.026668934992386095, c_new = -0.6187033332860743
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3694.5755564364326
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 466:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8902679512466616, b_new = 1.2449130783683198, c_new = -0.5323290918254419
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3335.4770503735936
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 467:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0829084982554575, b_new = 1.498109368430895, c_new = -1.1432304812941176
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -6508.851951081258
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 468:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2437546540918936, b_new = 1.2586902316779351, c_new = -1.004092996454018
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10809.745123002947
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 469:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.371072729889922, b_new = 1.5465824219587394, c_new = -0.7114312489252751
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -11558.821557165316
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 470:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1744910717845025, b_new = 2.153301783435742, c_new = -1.474318577775837
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -10115.150826808887
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 471:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6616178281261402, b_new = 1.876999376416588, c_new = -0.05373583769000545
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3267.635187816474
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 472:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.672755298929273, b_new = 0.4857879160170877, c_new = -1.0078996357240433
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -5452.479327726721
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 473:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3897545079417837, b_new = 1.2173060612024271, c_new = 0.011599491303109777
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -8602.308391325503
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 474:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.587691539816935, b_new = 1.3277661807650327, c_new = -0.6249667776011109
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -12921.609159491194
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 475:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.188264809530439, b_new = 1.6890034772014402, c_new = 0.6369809481071577
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -9986.755143940078
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 476:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.283781947713841, b_new = 0.3560796519463387, c_new = -0.5056384619340435
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -7933.39777386467
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 477:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9683954160203396, b_new = 1.0019942098569552, c_new = -1.4378170182344274
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3621.4708569258473
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 478:
Current coefficients: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.83500078072261, b_new = 1.0902731493228959, c_new = -0.8739435332857497
Current likelihood: -3100.594404922811
Proposed likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.817554672548225, b = 1.1274834944151775, c = -0.771721631250457
Iteration 479:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.182049171272771, b_new = 0.8876767026007779, c_new = -1.3715138591123566
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -12189.3984728515
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 480:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.895914959964531, b_new = 1.7451428485825455, c_new = -0.2963581933518834
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -4010.535692325172
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 481:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1421377313021726, b_new = 0.5939991123002288, c_new = -0.7057236073532255
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -12725.57011166249
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 482:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.477651983538554, b_new = 1.3150283090788433, c_new = -0.2727865953444458
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -6903.146198321472
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 483:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.606802914759308, b_new = 0.16780304584524686, c_new = -1.6742877485971404
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -7997.720417306579
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 484:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.891204090103953, b_new = 1.3403570087841925, c_new = -1.2567679587522664
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3360.9454969160906
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 485:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1093023199749865, b_new = 1.0712499325572322, c_new = -0.4463487667485757
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -12197.031182193481
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 486:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9251637276758373, b_new = 1.061158694899625, c_new = -0.35127676542987785
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3433.919523450303
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 487:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.857529122041891, b_new = 0.983321273299942, c_new = -1.2802690152723695
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3117.6250553217806
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 488:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031304571942397, b_new = 1.5281188930544967, c_new = -0.39518587624102774
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -5738.135051806476
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 489:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1075916027340638, b_new = 1.7301081679120225, c_new = -0.5945315726369853
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -7964.765344167126
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 490:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3674134190653384, b_new = 1.4551786168759093, c_new = -1.3751756943740827
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -8936.123283511795
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 491:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.827447061555435, b_new = 1.5432201347932648, c_new = -1.3683040924190248
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3172.117460835939
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 492:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0256772948883617, b_new = 1.8195206218366486, c_new = -1.6119915922664614
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -12125.667247749534
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 493:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9690446365756697, b_new = 1.5755863766419065, c_new = -0.25443070643174903
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -4748.935747205333
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 494:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4871920258129183, b_new = 0.9631085931492931, c_new = -1.2920405886369937
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -8035.198833718636
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 495:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833642495461994, b_new = 1.458467507425148, c_new = -1.1214676842881308
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3164.0682297882395
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 496:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.311967481412893, b_new = 1.7067482791349529, c_new = -1.1888034391600095
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -9135.58026887784
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 497:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.047625392111947, b_new = 1.0614343345964725, c_new = -0.7645934823579851
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -4849.1547047171825
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 498:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.070775507663121, b_new = 0.6473896399573447, c_new = -0.44387655354662864
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -4481.164043955702
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 499:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0185112367180835, b_new = 0.47257956637890275, c_new = -1.6046568764563953
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3514.020281632674
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 500:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.264949382928344, b_new = 1.054052997305636, c_new = -1.5570136241319605
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -8996.348889666044
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 501:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7418193883505753, b_new = 1.5259369223281405, c_new = 0.008264949758982731
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -14087.151134681233
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 502:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1960174426356027, b_new = 1.1337612560574049, c_new = -0.3868754146319374
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -11318.92545476948
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 503:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.003436626909367, b_new = 1.7874704924786342, c_new = -0.5201207139257142
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -12004.877034388723
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 504:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.595013340996671, b_new = 0.6910239519308263, c_new = -0.966021127205374
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -12107.826826389037
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 505:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.015389834143157, b_new = 1.1518147164792236, c_new = -0.5060878894223515
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -4573.007453010579
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 506:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3972001208120988, b_new = 0.6389207348499164, c_new = -0.3766502538792925
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -9912.23424265562
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 507:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.08701042506152, b_new = 1.2437430868573702, c_new = -0.7831947943204375
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -6021.998736703603
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 508:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2850795978700864, b_new = 0.7767747688452785, c_new = -0.5851762003342128
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -8995.969223108128
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 509:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.159940526802879, b_new = 0.4520325400945633, c_new = -0.36652956204585296
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -5631.590094665104
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 510:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.480211589865552, b_new = 1.5087676730058917, c_new = -0.6460154290847786
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -6505.848650565765
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 511:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0622529354784014, b_new = 0.8459519615273425, c_new = -0.6949124126680106
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -4670.3592575848725
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 512:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.288747010535458, b_new = 0.9481548897739659, c_new = -1.1244481576952292
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -9288.620597906094
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 513:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.942861047105424, b_new = 0.6214195989659084, c_new = -0.33680356292679803
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3219.895177796353
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 514:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.937036582309578, b_new = 1.4095239288739314, c_new = -1.2527864143513145
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3826.963926712925
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 515:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.416016729159355, b_new = 1.814737842457208, c_new = -1.0315238982951773
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -7112.834991941214
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 516:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.017239155910522, b_new = 1.406404308489808, c_new = -1.6671966402091671
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -14727.46395836766
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 517:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.119132334664311, b_new = 1.2776358706027164, c_new = -0.7030482354150233
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -11889.662795749024
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 518:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4479093464081156, b_new = 1.252186852104701, c_new = -0.7494483987445081
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -11783.928102992057
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 519:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1021929159142014, b_new = 0.42026383961165314, c_new = -1.232173923587577
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -13415.13330737994
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 520:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2843010537804305, b_new = 1.0866144054832552, c_new = -0.4226998006034916
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -9752.285658426272
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 521:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.67010378561719, b_new = 1.5470095509937178, c_new = -1.1971559559441851
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -13519.058793180608
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 522:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8562180841925575, b_new = 0.40112853758632494, c_new = -0.45514426088244897
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -14503.143769747798
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 523:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.356867075695028, b_new = 0.9533849265444154, c_new = -1.0468108746479186
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -10048.721807870324
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 524:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5270474349186163, b_new = 0.6132289703300307, c_new = -1.5017870851965975
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -8292.06082714054
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 525:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4988792166187968, b_new = 1.280516249467305, c_new = -1.8169457670479732
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -11982.461403523459
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 526:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.068919389130197, b_new = 1.3633214444911244, c_new = -1.0407906974046677
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -14959.376980303241
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 527:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9936931571931034, b_new = 1.6097899983546458, c_new = -1.3249997590552727
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -4953.168707773252
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 528:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.515244630138414, b_new = 1.1431356044642484, c_new = -0.569783212063447
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -12208.854702947287
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 529:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.062854767669534, b_new = 2.1808678754666095, c_new = -1.0617738228273559
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -8110.641264498878
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 530:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1229848779776344, b_new = 1.3062454530496992, c_new = -0.08107997359062935
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -11613.330931386077
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 531:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2836294034624016, b_new = 1.67409661268121, c_new = -0.2892294579839334
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -10985.783211010887
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 532:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1573633377721544, b_new = 1.3837141262128314, c_new = -0.16574223717165926
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -11202.510757898235
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 533:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.702157769208177, b_new = 0.8212857127660642, c_new = -1.022206274261
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -4276.7340258578115
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 534:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3467409085915376, b_new = 1.3064163474878907, c_new = -1.2738767186573354
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -9526.880412842369
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 535:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7374072084209096, b_new = 0.6822229612640837, c_new = -0.02074501311188992
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3817.7748798865236
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 536:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.269641353148083, b_new = 1.5676960856121511, c_new = -1.8674604266803025
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -10121.647840914195
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 537:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9322356975124793, b_new = 0.9584294714017008, c_new = -0.6532508090842346
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -13580.599921586789
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 538:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3934943004857736, b_new = 1.7797840330885117, c_new = -0.8287429709893777
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -7532.960891214019
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 539:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.494010572654969, b_new = 0.22293454336497398, c_new = 0.11905444603749804
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -9207.720306739386
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 540:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5430100768305897, b_new = 0.9978143277555589, c_new = -0.77290059772369
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -12172.885716196639
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 541:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5906400405582013, b_new = 0.5311106273358642, c_new = -0.8904637948639884
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -6948.903933707136
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 542:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.520582795325984, b_new = 1.6103315137198333, c_new = -1.103895313112159
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -5648.434153303883
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 543:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.013855246920698, b_new = 0.9409750516597257, c_new = -1.1912857530411682
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -13279.245345135092
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 544:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8315472844082514, b_new = 1.2780620578176527, c_new = -0.8335986765349034
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -13797.969468990133
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 545:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7558504111401665, b_new = 0.48126457926030697, c_new = -0.3695794799769746
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3981.271345557526
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 546:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8183929093976303, b_new = 0.6077384104372389, c_new = -0.6194940088506615
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3324.8391005165713
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 547:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1699511772431066, b_new = 1.512554856688878, c_new = -1.1648372312558002
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -11195.078990907372
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 548:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7887355667577043, b_new = 1.678329239185249, c_new = -0.6764664010132573
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3132.808867346033
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 549:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2835370086110647, b_new = 1.6563220424335614, c_new = -0.5260123189079237
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -9390.596868936513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 550:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6347467520702867, b_new = 0.9212826640870864, c_new = -0.7680050087097635
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -5045.720782144359
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 551:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.149470674285805, b_new = 1.1779687774556014, c_new = -0.6814028801370735
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -7258.817191243055
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 552:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.715723694517725, b_new = 1.524918860236418, c_new = -0.4921647855555192
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3236.7561436091796
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 553:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8671327670848648, b_new = 0.7110258204756312, c_new = -0.8506764206602394
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3120.684146985139
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 554:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1587558804770053, b_new = 1.4524891812021186, c_new = -0.5140475808970044
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -8321.659639474607
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 555:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.880030918141593, b_new = 0.7499753377868735, c_new = -1.5389056474809006
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3147.8204881987795
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 556:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.822173261694804, b_new = 1.3286827203880252, c_new = -0.47474002354238487
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -14151.15262727841
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 557:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9202820590659484, b_new = 0.5918656987483819, c_new = -1.3135637865645797
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -14257.79776886265
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 558:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3014568386960064, b_new = 1.8251650398277013, c_new = -0.09188103997794306
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -8656.5375467692
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 559:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4524640876237656, b_new = 1.8423624212343204, c_new = -0.9340655587383023
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -6322.159670346344
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 560:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.628645853389501, b_new = 0.4048467375167105, c_new = -1.0815745150832592
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -11960.85453808854
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 561:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5630068750642905, b_new = 1.2070204927565604, c_new = -0.9487870084805391
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -5758.132663150973
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 562:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.812878711617913, b_new = 1.5064439512308054, c_new = -0.8047251251417225
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3131.213099548582
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 563:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1884262141433264, b_new = 2.2674641513974843, c_new = -0.732298628231706
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -9484.305913895132
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 564:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7371656164622413, b_new = 0.4577722318897157, c_new = -0.6226428630294958
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -4328.702230571985
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 565:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.700369636567731, b_new = 0.6094757785909257, c_new = -1.1656736364743663
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -4750.124982744994
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 566:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6908864798238294, b_new = 0.5151817496261251, c_new = -1.326538312846076
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -5169.557507338786
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 567:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1763509328947386, b_new = 0.6545534997433293, c_new = -0.43242614595107165
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -12282.015208558529
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 568:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.560195538651191, b_new = 0.815597978679613, c_new = -0.35425733438251983
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -6586.756403339767
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 569:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.360371184633258, b_new = 0.5691834871422099, c_new = -0.45595363769642605
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -9754.86379155579
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 570:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6643526074521624, b_new = 1.0672460361426113, c_new = -1.3209627034340405
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -12932.5603417346
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 571:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3404672001851674, b_new = 0.4425276379281363, c_new = -2.021896199884135
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -8734.347032382399
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 572:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.329346221310194, b_new = 1.1216953483140208, c_new = -0.7523397876531808
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -10352.752907110284
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 573:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.818844088578655, b_new = 0.3400951524111572, c_new = -0.7904808888155214
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3615.3898956264366
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 574:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5932584193861055, b_new = 1.6728253232112682, c_new = -2.316151399731962
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -4653.71513260603
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 575:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4642987758192025, b_new = 0.33126417702177147, c_new = -1.9404192158760716
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -10283.748710934924
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 576:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8368855711404315, b_new = 1.42608467330589, c_new = -1.6607959627062758
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3154.9551442883803
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 577:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3564780655704296, b_new = 0.8605360090903917, c_new = -1.1468334988576037
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -10083.487521116373
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 578:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.081923140647322, b_new = 1.0706266220019125, c_new = -0.4981456180579619
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -5565.511607834348
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 579:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.211649739252353, b_new = 0.7147626964832763, c_new = 0.5489825447588244
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -7767.423629522109
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 580:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0743273136531593, b_new = 0.9635440717267065, c_new = -2.0869214540838947
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -4791.405751636497
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 581:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8887241012350313, b_new = 0.9005419302365809, c_new = -1.8910139580680905
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3159.4049730411534
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 582:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.651157636861905, b_new = 1.4287432776184983, c_new = -0.41731527289240067
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3823.5107125797904
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 583:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.118774158575988, b_new = 1.1178353151204017, c_new = -0.1650256917183638
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -6584.6548028662255
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 584:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7474799170648514, b_new = 1.136142491455132, c_new = -1.78116582824744
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3523.1948444930995
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 585:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.935565781753587, b_new = 0.8354407198933795, c_new = -0.9602049245653659
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -13797.700853872653
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 586:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.53977301507578, b_new = 0.808581969075479, c_new = -0.135724859654766
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -12044.763439617354
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 587:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2129916883131386, b_new = 0.7309808164404481, c_new = -1.1604429876925484
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -7237.539631174291
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 588:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2270668911955296, b_new = 1.3949907462615896, c_new = -1.3254235322129677
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -9231.93139365653
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 589:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0648820370157566, b_new = 1.0614095185073018, c_new = -1.2255107824766336
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -5029.970761502123
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 590:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7390415569706965, b_new = 1.3296514696138624, c_new = -0.4779117438696077
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -13783.24586699696
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 591:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.507299753616015, b_new = 1.7364810149060097, c_new = -0.8044297193570882
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -5501.752261796754
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 592:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.4381818785665865, b_new = 1.7496907592936688, c_new = -0.6052790113045596
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -14879.178256370062
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 593:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4865843226165647, b_new = 0.9353416913569572, c_new = -0.8418929328169932
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -11625.8606595233
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 594:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.019393601564081, b_new = 1.0400469009712017, c_new = -1.2370421773819773
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -4278.300243660644
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 595:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2446766801407536, b_new = 1.9759040601125444, c_new = -0.5744557000398376
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -9283.502094817133
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 596:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7161160170652217, b_new = 1.59471609972058, c_new = -1.6784692042250775
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3320.7345788241246
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 597:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.032095466828624, b_new = 1.4955421756139744, c_new = 0.2546350025765729
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -5888.694919739344
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 598:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7081555957095143, b_new = 0.9513231071955174, c_new = -1.3658022563627494
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -4072.4383913764636
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 599:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.002957800936058, b_new = 1.1666852177665747, c_new = -1.0668255672035436
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -4298.816686916871
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 600:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7453656357707543, b_new = 1.136660081710806, c_new = -0.49701782198611294
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3336.9021455779275
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 601:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3771536412302887, b_new = 1.653703475221138, c_new = -1.416803327926595
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -8333.625426102624
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 602:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8599312915734907, b_new = 0.6373944549949451, c_new = -1.1529726047889697
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3186.8847208571583
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 603:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.911476434604664, b_new = 1.249743476318954, c_new = -0.39404383466312926
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -13274.255138388182
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 604:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.436020968616809, b_new = 2.1383954339778506, c_new = -0.49238709890134197
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -5789.576359093409
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 605:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.48944799174756, b_new = 1.4720262566700084, c_new = -0.027746377564856317
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -6197.678568762935
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 606:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.412983697388528, b_new = 0.6082449434164935, c_new = -1.3361815050169665
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -10259.127022865074
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 607:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322635800516814, b_new = 1.8085130286209754, c_new = -1.0909316297134344
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -11411.679256008752
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 608:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.945044602671376, b_new = 0.8779287146134129, c_new = -1.2005955409099083
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3353.023343137875
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 609:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.62693766074402, b_new = 1.2001607033603165, c_new = -0.5259170088683871
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -13033.942933744474
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 610:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7457541234618, b_new = 1.0377300184584164, c_new = -0.8071687662728795
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3467.9724057313274
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 611:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3685180261769574, b_new = 0.6612148766575139, c_new = -1.0817536172832998
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -9872.599859263179
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 612:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7230011030814394, b_new = 0.34511963593441464, c_new = -0.9866218799755095
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -4880.865635283914
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 613:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7391498179824905, b_new = 1.0453772198581666, c_new = -0.8104484506903321
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -13429.188513201723
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 614:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9382379903316935, b_new = 1.2509617629885954, c_new = -1.3591917259789292
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3630.3485705050107
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 615:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9512646644833906, b_new = 1.4017750257971442, c_new = -1.345449634565113
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3961.3095627292005
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 616:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4168505251412187, b_new = 1.1770540286897977, c_new = -1.3154929830298396
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -8765.272957728035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 617:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.223786807920172, b_new = 1.12387774187232, c_new = -1.7455719336565685
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -11536.09036216687
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 618:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.305331793492147, b_new = 1.60240393638272, c_new = -0.08488075366132553
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -9055.558939176743
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 619:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.73322541332364, b_new = 0.8966882550773501, c_new = -0.4549090213691847
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3669.5606981239616
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 620:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.744989714476933, b_new = 1.0039330224917948, c_new = -1.6952853401212065
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3676.2856484693657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 621:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0349625809778273, b_new = 1.679070703695095, c_new = -1.041058030106428
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -5995.486621466283
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 622:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2269207615893865, b_new = 1.4504621799375348, c_new = -0.9273718603934256
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -9499.529951751052
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 623:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1500223224511483, b_new = 1.4897228409190788, c_new = -0.8573053505455237
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -8106.160586660284
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 624:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1678344830936775, b_new = 1.3714816869856867, c_new = -1.189383238524581
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -8032.741987600061
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 625:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.114061508888348, b_new = 1.6348149870180515, c_new = -0.4691905385173253
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -11298.934972446737
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 626:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.375968862072876, b_new = 1.0643234202236311, c_new = -1.1635603421178145
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -9594.420775441433
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 627:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0784628185025746, b_new = 1.1661655478586506, c_new = -1.4506928024165766
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -5453.745208090824
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 628:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5511077840417404, b_new = 0.959963181117043, c_new = -0.3429899720698357
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -12281.114963097116
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 629:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.868800625297149, b_new = 1.5199320921589736, c_new = -1.1108026185115958
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3372.6362089096183
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 630:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4253601802043354, b_new = 1.972626064538408, c_new = -0.900019459930985
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -12585.520193878592
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 631:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5119229208261307, b_new = 1.3051905315102554, c_new = -0.28081153550232507
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -6263.584812555293
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 632:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0753207061044963, b_new = 1.3161276762385044, c_new = -1.2157735848240097
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -5828.988425619007
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 633:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.280828007529779, b_new = 1.4878290311116331, c_new = -0.9764949217005341
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -9918.834875157181
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 634:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5616103651096624, b_new = 0.7829338421475374, c_new = 0.29706118267646797
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -6391.7630586720825
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 635:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8297206166300226, b_new = 0.7668525231457683, c_new = -0.8322092513834698
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3193.2591172032053
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 636:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.786022005349007, b_new = 1.6896842612223064, c_new = -0.9846856123095782
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3124.3242505525973
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 637:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.395366311771114, b_new = 0.9227438665450804, c_new = -1.3639057771148038
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -10598.848963389439
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 638:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9922299039178633, b_new = 0.47356748178449093, c_new = -0.5341104971280459
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3391.897307865186
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 639:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.411869929442969, b_new = 0.8106682399326468, c_new = -0.8424652014270588
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -9508.696395952105
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 640:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.03650639615684, b_new = 1.5860814291478327, c_new = -1.3691056986567058
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -12302.067396843002
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 641:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5944803964456087, b_new = 1.0746609627347314, c_new = -0.0036860649998666783
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -5163.5273175749335
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 642:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5170289386272273, b_new = 1.135017806903055, c_new = -0.9206139718429158
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -6841.177369056108
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 643:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2751870990063927, b_new = 0.773430282480206, c_new = -0.5957745527496846
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -8806.471946283824
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 644:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1110804074226666, b_new = 1.3814175446778625, c_new = -0.756634110136085
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -6951.461923915533
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 645:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.983540634385457, b_new = 1.8103292957291943, c_new = -0.9759310644630761
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -5323.832339564353
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 646:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8908439155465864, b_new = 1.0244118211658462, c_new = -1.1936765642376148
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3178.7062456615004
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 647:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7687863898189833, b_new = 2.0268753104000075, c_new = -1.0319574613697924
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -14458.10523323562
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 648:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950915800915364, b_new = 0.5798497310528665, c_new = -0.6416019225737377
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3225.449240892609
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 649:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2238183027914395, b_new = 0.7430449001070351, c_new = 0.5007061635159271
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -8091.44915520553
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 650:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4060020673243043, b_new = 2.406106209011154, c_new = 0.09263511244419675
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -5567.408249120015
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 651:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.392207028920967, b_new = 1.07103007163473, c_new = -0.5860694278235493
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -11019.675899064283
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 652:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.284300897411849, b_new = 1.192565461968558, c_new = -0.6332149615631403
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -9917.232851050836
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 653:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9354185454757604, b_new = 1.5707337797419296, c_new = -0.6797726191118896
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -4148.6602297710415
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 654:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.839977264025016, b_new = 1.3376262686786078, c_new = -0.9017799992333743
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3142.884643038411
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 655:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0486324110698932, b_new = 1.0598759848114834, c_new = -0.7513811946196801
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -12754.288597573886
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 656:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.018825062320152, b_new = 1.0603967285047755, c_new = -0.6180049149954217
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -4428.681343933529
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 657:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0956744621621346, b_new = 1.7628835967887566, c_new = -1.27359621096258
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -7523.14836423907
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 658:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.782022826688309, b_new = 0.8434541391233352, c_new = -0.8587224261423836
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3394.7271380211723
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 659:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9622629100247435, b_new = 0.2686883363146987, c_new = -1.246077485332132
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3176.8776698448664
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 660:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8007856985353947, b_new = 0.7089320920566183, c_new = -1.297076235588479
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3460.605532488626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 661:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9917445078955813, b_new = 1.8104296818613705, c_new = -1.714456104692673
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -5261.707229914278
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 662:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.630121451104844, b_new = 0.8035972983877532, c_new = -1.1796634364071616
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -5546.811803754302
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 663:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8180471801266775, b_new = 0.2528234524925085, c_new = -0.9771616071585885
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3773.595758708282
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 664:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.852042719207898, b_new = 0.6618322828783791, c_new = -0.5455528435271149
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3140.8829578688965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 665:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7668049764488885, b_new = 1.4555752427260638, c_new = -0.7587392377286786
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -13974.543465143732
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 666:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7856687718139415, b_new = 1.780394543156015, c_new = -0.5188796199747225
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3170.5960350202813
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 667:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1505786344461275, b_new = 1.2305921576108856, c_new = -1.3971897354124594
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -11923.511322809707
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 668:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4904742846798213, b_new = 2.171457647356976, c_new = -1.8509498347927917
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -13054.420861901266
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 669:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1095588843834547, b_new = 0.5510364763519144, c_new = -2.3351625710856228
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -4532.679440867314
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 670:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9535043385808186, b_new = 1.335872305445101, c_new = -0.04653479921939585
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -4123.928998611125
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 671:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.802287869672941, b_new = 0.5686093460337711, c_new = -1.4585048175857547
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3629.9665163731893
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 672:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.402947860874738, b_new = 1.121159591972046, c_new = 0.2699893529898283
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -8514.34542361298
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 673:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6922452372124783, b_new = 0.8061076182119221, c_new = -1.542157309392847
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -12757.277197953541
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 674:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7428815038042362, b_new = 1.6490535176695431, c_new = -1.082953851782953
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -13988.247405723414
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 675:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9425618345346192, b_new = 1.2724438765342148, c_new = -1.6159487010032105
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -13427.543932154258
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 676:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5394118291026686, b_new = 0.5816026480921268, c_new = 0.1618151048744465
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -7422.520890480648
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 677:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.11636972347261, b_new = 1.6591219145053753, c_new = -1.7083628653749883
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -11644.89987403035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 678:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1612702595050672, b_new = 1.5983032571853233, c_new = -1.0806403295609646
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -8574.36666523425
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 679:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1374440320464347, b_new = 1.7564979951004744, c_new = -1.798113506622475
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -8243.591839555109
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 680:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.114365115146266, b_new = 1.5383976287986734, c_new = -0.5160796176719453
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -7578.336619408252
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 681:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2593798576325907, b_new = 0.8518733973383261, c_new = -0.3231383485765901
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -11143.451745726861
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 682:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2200673335455807, b_new = 0.5937387601914967, c_new = -1.267594790605151
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -6984.872725067831
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 683:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8146740559100978, b_new = 0.879151227917862, c_new = -0.9561578765732097
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -14337.179755737201
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 684:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3583252962466403, b_new = 1.6274393392758084, c_new = -1.2732619462090318
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -8648.130119454829
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 685:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9115305738131907, b_new = 1.852358609364183, c_new = -1.029655467314444
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -4235.423551187829
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 686:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.137474108585616, b_new = 1.3095873822589563, c_new = -1.910316484105943
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -6931.814268911909
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 687:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4762143569656074, b_new = 0.5607035660532874, c_new = -0.9554950893838702
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -9123.562073050538
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 688:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7079649037376337, b_new = 0.2411030116083711, c_new = -1.1047118513387126
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -5425.972118457787
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 689:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.254767617346444, b_new = 1.0736213276043176, c_new = -1.1650874773302748
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -11089.752094518602
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 690:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1348110056715925, b_new = 1.344416903536498, c_new = -0.8401410809325455
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -7350.513730368069
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 691:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7123243289739913, b_new = 0.10988288600621066, c_new = -1.8418639690219498
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -5974.7538523650655
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 692:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.678486592809894, b_new = 0.9319572046686357, c_new = -2.0536683726186107
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -4722.248351387119
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 693:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8639929234652217, b_new = 1.5393941473690878, c_new = -1.4625758060794958
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3331.0387748237063
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 694:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0223218495025663, b_new = 0.23715456364446563, c_new = -0.9091405124106636
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3393.555097611805
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 695:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.267306769493926, b_new = 0.1072362221038613, c_new = -1.9032823737840083
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -6533.127421002596
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 696:
Current coefficients: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8224497366354417, b_new = 1.1716485934713372, c_new = -0.8300637893720457
Current likelihood: -3098.22961349242
Proposed likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.83500078072261, b = 1.0902731493228959, c = -0.8739435332857497
Iteration 697:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7817104709246996, b_new = 0.8736272595182434, c_new = -0.3897916633415912
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -13551.23681060311
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 698:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.459787917266796, b_new = 1.5835919988139244, c_new = -0.7263746912945271
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -6742.9819755205945
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 699:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0866233086817942, b_new = 1.5020619172559881, c_new = -1.4023052760325925
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -6512.378050868767
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 700:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1177042802050763, b_new = 1.773577073644841, c_new = 0.14026131554815247
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -8624.57086021673
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 701:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4695215501624874, b_new = 0.4869259956067915, c_new = -1.2281498653252465
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -9531.320342524894
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 702:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1940695480934416, b_new = 1.1833820590463298, c_new = -0.9474778657484865
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -8155.863534459439
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 703:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1200232308500455, b_new = 0.5269441644209333, c_new = -0.8755095703670985
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -4938.129712398161
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 704:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.464884164013719, b_new = 0.276411579955546, c_new = -1.1811918762174725
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -15277.99208325307
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 705:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.787990342795624, b_new = 1.6708629712816891, c_new = -1.4731153880361791
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3121.9822962656453
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 706:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.395690945802218, b_new = 1.5160160470770752, c_new = -0.5451147637279337
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -8015.168968845406
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 707:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.909793253558351, b_new = 0.787740137304108, c_new = 0.12500738917025322
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3180.070246747856
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 708:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6926664194994014, b_new = 1.1149311612607475, c_new = -0.33603215583939
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3778.4803284093823
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 709:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.123545989447031, b_new = 0.528055433492988, c_new = -0.6461413405166558
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -5054.931996111365
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 710:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8424216222827208, b_new = 0.8712463953170729, c_new = -1.4562199279692178
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -13632.263921957907
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 711:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8030458373783813, b_new = 0.5133662919613795, c_new = -2.1213053343536794
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3843.278712737722
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 712:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7669468407367006, b_new = 0.6948170374186567, c_new = -0.9087618349076806
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3686.4933869373563
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 713:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.31621207694854, b_new = 1.0732651311350458, c_new = -0.8929264859397683
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -10041.665141486801
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 714:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8206271998856909, b_new = 2.0509221137991704, c_new = -1.1410967446342926
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -13054.660332560845
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 715:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4849611496229738, b_new = 1.393012324625814, c_new = -1.6239148402676382
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -7084.886224900629
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 716:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7558769533880163, b_new = 1.7162406358389235, c_new = -1.30961113558071
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3114.7041237762783
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 717:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6523920333709348, b_new = 1.4436209508735312, c_new = -0.564974135647783
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -13449.062516723661
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 718:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0856066605929424, b_new = 0.3407786524756552, c_new = -0.6736567769719812
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -4132.9522331191165
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 719:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.2582159570816935, b_new = 0.9581791138118658, c_new = -0.5960568135822918
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -16025.539707714883
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 720:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.095481733000203, b_new = 1.441080044303376, c_new = -1.9094987637243257
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -12232.813601724427
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 721:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4573404283116944, b_new = 0.5070447403437736, c_new = -0.8139445555604133
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -9503.238360033074
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 722:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8701733881772924, b_new = 1.38638897884107, c_new = -0.596746250462851
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -14375.799012215517
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 723:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7282307193348907, b_new = 1.532977655250614, c_new = -0.5451822421589595
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3183.2290493655287
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 724:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5753323044181737, b_new = 1.8943879089660696, c_new = -0.5674114576880895
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -13528.15239103741
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 725:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2446874812809607, b_new = 0.7974740015741698, c_new = -0.8251332985201936
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -8199.16517068243
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 726:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3649356847919547, b_new = -0.1565054524858258, c_new = -1.290607665744449
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -12242.391833570113
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 727:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9438917532112, b_new = 0.9368935136183588, c_new = -0.9341786404574302
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3408.701941407471
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 728:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3214554206237197, b_new = 1.7003018932764067, c_new = -0.6904131199418118
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -8835.54679224801
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 729:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8712344136248347, b_new = 1.4413041904364712, c_new = -0.7044181397995862
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3358.411223722086
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 730:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.05809318028944, b_new = -0.2587038927919121, c_new = -0.9261051377079703
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -13647.419522412243
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 731:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.937399507675491, b_new = 1.5859333412688859, c_new = -0.17576173886209823
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -4309.324058639408
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 732:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.890183475184906, b_new = 0.3055825437741355, c_new = -1.178287232317326
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3255.431310848012
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 733:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9483197467704505, b_new = 1.5290989756716515, c_new = -1.1685290343105381
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -4152.15432806862
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 734:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9670197120597166, b_new = 1.7743812231459581, c_new = -1.3359004772818523
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -4849.801979038057
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 735:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.108515489541865, b_new = 0.6933744078002091, c_new = -1.092389492079792
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -12952.156005920773
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 736:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7165522007660403, b_new = 1.2892799346497867, c_new = -1.931464712726977
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3645.1881217705313
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 737:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.395869512330894, b_new = 1.2674423902095842, c_new = -2.0688529187650317
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -9198.544488238977
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 738:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.049805250689101, b_new = 1.4577483564215754, c_new = -1.329220357374444
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -14922.878116224107
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 739:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.145964126505584, b_new = 1.0639636479304722, c_new = -1.1292947636651944
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -12135.151455046245
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 740:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.212584521808163, b_new = 0.8254081246700665, c_new = -0.3686459564673117
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -11671.427249907269
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 741:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9871065000170907, b_new = 0.714232681617833, c_new = -0.8203828831590516
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3545.4267773313127
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 742:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6384754932365726, b_new = 1.56590142640071, c_new = -0.7569443080907348
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3845.561662291293
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 743:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5329968333742525, b_new = 0.7996884194567899, c_new = -0.17549340593964968
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -11970.993062605374
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 744:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8999621134727227, b_new = 0.8288115732745178, c_new = -0.055133534348845714
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3154.910799652971
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 745:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2000916199842706, b_new = 1.3081345435384284, c_new = -0.8975732129594919
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -8642.33811052723
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 746:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9513230194119005, b_new = 2.1843513793445775, c_new = -0.44069803286527276
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -5808.062081566726
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 747:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.548417772783571, b_new = 1.5909994732835546, c_new = -0.4622982506323242
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -13032.708406030088
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 748:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5004464860508566, b_new = 1.4708233853809742, c_new = -0.809249156932209
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -12478.449533542504
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 749:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6180743785638594, b_new = 0.2215442939951846, c_new = -0.9741126511102911
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -11669.209648670756
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 750:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.899773215788703, b_new = 1.505019622622582, c_new = -0.2670687616682774
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3715.6634013936164
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 751:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.024465980236275, b_new = 1.0978520102623228, c_new = -0.05231947299612594
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -4718.794412633208
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 752:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.987818639567534, b_new = 1.0553596158128529, c_new = -0.5065511484738892
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -4024.752444733237
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 753:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5514941041381407, b_new = 1.636743860198722, c_new = -1.1190487195841194
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -12955.5076235092
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 754:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.115720153620739, b_new = -0.014414513507653215, c_new = -1.28640040134143
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3922.312194252375
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 755:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4386818415818547, b_new = 0.616225843764643, c_new = -0.35413320376289664
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -10802.406100476812
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 756:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8019107497982465, b_new = 1.272469283352695, c_new = -1.3155494946433015
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -14084.541081000909
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 757:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.556916409779423, b_new = 0.9406108692704369, c_new = -0.9557737718444462
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -6562.126458997844
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 758:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8504607939740243, b_new = 1.2418741870216208, c_new = -0.2618918856516559
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3155.66613883681
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 759:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1542695542329624, b_new = 0.8086113915898994, c_new = -1.7365849166877911
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -6007.819726660967
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 760:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5325160585885294, b_new = 1.5385999007912827, c_new = -1.2739216727331786
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -5653.511590252993
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 761:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9057971754406986, b_new = 2.037170877999159, c_new = -0.48357009320449573
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -4626.82875009624
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 762:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.852873948323328, b_new = 1.214492331428677, c_new = -0.32214614285278687
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3149.7387817726667
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 763:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9247004003883412, b_new = 0.9281268326718252, c_new = -2.1962960881324647
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3255.1436270926374
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 764:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1170637234620155, b_new = 1.1319197604784819, c_new = -0.9868174360468311
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -6300.7653458276545
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 765:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.320661662113567, b_new = 1.4283995895250423, c_new = -1.3094830707437444
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -10664.631750592805
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 766:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7094899419184895, b_new = 1.2138702448375325, c_new = -1.2807927696891968
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3672.079586233714
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 767:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.700158902165593, b_new = 1.48360796219069, c_new = -0.7131613630367933
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3380.8025725005336
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 768:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8776393494487467, b_new = 1.064153350084757, c_new = -0.43739624434078384
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3166.1896046913935
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 769:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.075076641088927, b_new = 0.8275974053554203, c_new = -0.12386720922888594
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -4984.144141488961
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 770:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9048279849880085, b_new = 0.8976267339918476, c_new = -0.640389019806909
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3186.66117724837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 771:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.236500682178252, b_new = 1.1282166078450904, c_new = -1.480703110957887
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -8681.465461566237
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 772:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2646263600091423, b_new = 1.4960992470050973, c_new = -1.3293037214017402
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -10063.703816648247
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 773:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5986715995443137, b_new = 1.3541074618938185, c_new = -0.5835031336823653
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -4685.642678632357
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 774:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4281942268037247, b_new = 0.5702435167278934, c_new = -1.1275732717802704
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -10417.380658434802
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 775:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.022276961363218, b_new = 2.1379621644881963, c_new = -1.346311336909546
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -6910.357116734325
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 776:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9830048295257217, b_new = 1.091874456617574, c_new = -0.5249127427784177
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -4018.1883461977495
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 777:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.559751121051165, b_new = 1.4444963495975705, c_new = -0.04646331836475115
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -13023.140521534304
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 778:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2096052251450016, b_new = 1.1392115314550395, c_new = -1.525081412658824
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -8156.325013428093
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 779:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.803138142509365, b_new = 1.182945981598055, c_new = -0.8043648937866078
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3111.791408547953
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 780:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6421515704122203, b_new = 1.2773433768297278, c_new = -0.8900339539280606
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -4271.541430159502
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 781:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.751336508028886, b_new = -0.34120920157526147, c_new = -1.40922982029689
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -15849.873346656055
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 782:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.351367442140802, b_new = 2.363322002630749, c_new = -0.8693504928742684
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -6930.40273551231
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 783:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0566700357517504, b_new = 0.9927445115224187, c_new = -1.0777334747805558
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -12892.985931976149
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 784:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5409098190753237, b_new = 1.3343841097811826, c_new = -0.36603116163503513
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -5666.566225845963
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 785:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4049299588650705, b_new = 1.611340692103184, c_new = -0.617217379128475
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -7654.723482287156
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 786:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9297085241207053, b_new = 2.1313296689227625, c_new = -0.2758634766373699
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -5305.469041918461
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 787:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.783361152929083, b_new = 0.611666996350021, c_new = -0.74068080916021
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3601.3025247070454
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 788:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.89088535726461, b_new = 1.2452185009579164, c_new = -0.4576827361360228
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -13415.604155403284
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 789:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4018668700455312, b_new = 2.221226098958017, c_new = -0.7979138856122455
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -12778.062671754979
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 790:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5918520205074542, b_new = 2.09464000306692, c_new = -0.9108217069631367
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3697.3828464154476
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 791:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.73098640885278, b_new = 1.1483783211072058, c_new = -0.8751363187280297
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3484.615651891014
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 792:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.36350119776091, b_new = 0.7029859295626326, c_new = -0.7621119515512181
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -10372.289244743068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 793:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9276734251763896, b_new = 0.9945124953893649, c_new = -0.23349982490765464
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3402.7116537658785
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 794:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.447505290530026, b_new = 1.2329110081930406, c_new = -1.5332455726667291
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -8178.716897067569
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 795:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.624825144250793, b_new = 2.0911223304857924, c_new = -0.5440078727546382
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3386.4121084312355
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 796:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4885960520704526, b_new = 1.8479060166696188, c_new = -1.0464560754062509
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -5668.619340129964
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 797:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.638775559802705, b_new = 0.46367817916271936, c_new = 0.10490685969966429
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -5744.854816075669
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 798:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6926017619328255, b_new = 1.1981430568816183, c_new = -1.2683892108896009
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3862.7563601384063
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 799:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5178457131525565, b_new = 1.0459030891139847, c_new = -1.132652478425399
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -7145.856317073255
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 800:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1328294307189726, b_new = 0.34556515666616294, c_new = -0.5167027696142251
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -4865.725184256675
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 801:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.438255302500298, b_new = 0.11244588522289467, c_new = -1.4386682285780625
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -10918.696157085269
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 802:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.719945759155489, b_new = 0.8686572879344159, c_new = 0.07319405427188863
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3734.0107496554747
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 803:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8843987582863497, b_new = 1.0197374619655324, c_new = -0.7310395654524202
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3163.1716635625253
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 804:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5326145034964234, b_new = 1.0655011250391542, c_new = -1.6336681049058952
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -7001.654769029054
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 805:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9877135409821585, b_new = 1.5498516704307694, c_new = -1.0170200067752169
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -12593.479988408699
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 806:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6053131416013917, b_new = 1.0489167526512697, c_new = -0.4632659752370367
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -5177.649062974094
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 807:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3597107905364494, b_new = 1.0282406165977929, c_new = -1.1467829742831355
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -10437.757230009833
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 808:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2619657986736765, b_new = 1.6627108608483403, c_new = -1.1697880580089266
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -10423.85762836542
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 809:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.504131790578082, b_new = 1.560904569585869, c_new = -1.1023838863770279
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -6079.325484234783
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 810:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3231239303017266, b_new = 1.5209512143489408, c_new = -0.8574004665271345
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -10985.531756352648
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 811:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.619295293569124, b_new = 2.512045369194575, c_new = -0.7430665176638179
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3214.700488807265
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 812:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5381967617839787, b_new = 0.6732950946205806, c_new = -0.5144990980701627
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -11756.616172094298
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 813:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.271000212844302, b_new = 0.7887308936670852, c_new = -0.8501493190970826
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -8682.612609190197
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 814:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2173680788439043, b_new = 1.7931663444601917, c_new = -1.757599834438207
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -9869.43778648134
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 815:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.676279409722461, b_new = 0.9607124926036436, c_new = 0.17452786109522078
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -4082.6474082314144
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 816:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0602626255597443, b_new = 1.195267723507341, c_new = -0.4154830300490991
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -5472.90443364439
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 817:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2787667568024403, b_new = 2.426253349701983, c_new = -0.37474453861448415
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -7831.165490442945
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 818:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.887642725528929, b_new = 1.2366855454293244, c_new = -0.48689369032974433
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3316.431475735849
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 819:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.418685813380963, b_new = 0.95873932425787, c_new = -1.1771540204654476
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -9198.978453846094
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 820:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4886612727658215, b_new = 1.3679019236170313, c_new = -1.0755241646701426
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -6860.012366513909
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 821:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3495104933216355, b_new = 1.765518061345823, c_new = -0.3839697782698265
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -11797.559749676942
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 822:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5374572913749933, b_new = 0.5861572857393418, c_new = -1.4889399051848398
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -8155.02248118133
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 823:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.182478346057156, b_new = 1.4864696515111198, c_new = -1.072052254627785
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -11081.526176867374
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 824:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7178707145267653, b_new = 0.6891999463788008, c_new = -0.8525541972628126
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -12917.015249239783
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 825:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.490933156726843, b_new = 1.5338035845980573, c_new = -0.629379400380096
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -12536.741968877446
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 826:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.447436787162655, b_new = 1.1724104530112338, c_new = -0.7608420251252149
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -8020.71538566987
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 827:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7917061583981115, b_new = 1.2922614929906662, c_new = -0.6198119391639723
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3099.109145408319
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 828:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7014778602065146, b_new = 0.7015502623152277, c_new = -0.6605821508784986
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -14881.265961267618
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 829:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5728509793667897, b_new = 1.4423812767405937, c_new = -0.9897825223882706
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -12883.983455309117
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 830:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.825785648171871, b_new = 0.8465739501208914, c_new = -0.4690818818414252
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3136.718415568166
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 831:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.177531686005638, b_new = 1.2605716337122819, c_new = -0.7175891930108226
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -11396.141654151881
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 832:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.109135818518201, b_new = 1.8230462702120638, c_new = -0.841942125538831
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -11160.577357097955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 833:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.70456022063744, b_new = 2.155926278021312, c_new = -1.7185548409671774
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3138.6362274668545
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 834:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9341231315149794, b_new = 1.262711297039462, c_new = -0.8220265819766102
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3671.3752748810994
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 835:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0915244663919825, b_new = -0.1560194302186142, c_new = -1.1932602988214531
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3564.2078456610416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 836:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9912787674563868, b_new = 0.9648546162560576, c_new = -0.30355770803161664
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3965.6961006542488
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 837:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3456221799258383, b_new = 1.3672871172055325, c_new = -1.4435541899151616
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -9476.659500386279
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 838:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.92776872014478, b_new = 1.4630053437468815, c_new = -0.4113282871838458
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3936.600635015934
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 839:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7755306390899714, b_new = 1.1069667783904826, c_new = -1.5579742782754118
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3323.581986522175
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 840:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.639568149081584, b_new = 1.2334883253026845, c_new = -0.5775955508674868
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -4302.424502727331
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 841:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6051077085446543, b_new = 1.1734405308977265, c_new = -0.7314428940544245
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -4994.738391574347
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 842:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.829197991681727, b_new = 1.0789335201772192, c_new = -0.34812238487778774
Current likelihood: -3095.9605815066607
Proposed likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8224497366354417, b = 1.1716485934713372, c = -0.8300637893720457
Iteration 843:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1291185702555744, b_new = 1.001280873810463, c_new = 0.01120498506042239
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6549.535634307895
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 844:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.47744629542447, b_new = 1.9908878108453791, c_new = -0.29012065535713966
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5313.959123658506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 845:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.359291419802374, b_new = 1.6928265707371937, c_new = -0.5961913774081488
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11713.55574897376
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 846:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.540811999477405, b_new = 1.7944434755976697, c_new = -0.44242201185442087
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4702.057162983683
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 847:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.034957423218054, b_new = 0.7158077203761859, c_new = 0.3400830067001072
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4249.211930887434
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 848:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.490377847875727, b_new = 1.520322907550422, c_new = -0.8334271528068282
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6348.35335814905
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 849:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.286411512133945, b_new = 1.3417364833109267, c_new = -0.4463501790525628
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10320.771529857111
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 850:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.219267665905228, b_new = 0.35974159706370046, c_new = 0.024996882212228344
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6760.213507797466
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 851:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.2600284894023044, b_new = 1.4870473141532423, c_new = -0.7539589432670675
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -15671.38686914706
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 852:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.077080760869851, b_new = 1.6144400261317924, c_new = -0.053708281069785424
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11528.096917772564
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 853:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0992537542632865, b_new = 1.451331995718064, c_new = -0.5063401903656087
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6978.599287962005
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 854:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4584717070336146, b_new = 1.7950395242082653, c_new = -0.2353677588602962
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6082.523444625352
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 855:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1571957413210776, b_new = 1.2498118147637203, c_new = -0.16350292272466482
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11422.216267648508
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 856:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6355670826188735, b_new = 1.0053098684209296, c_new = -0.9706165130786948
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4916.169560006385
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 857:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.032741501885937, b_new = 0.724710515582936, c_new = -0.21034533377336634
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4128.669093942231
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 858:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6694730205596384, b_new = 1.7327802885186667, c_new = -0.12127077776582165
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3319.7367596532113
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 859:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2627968055359418, b_new = 1.2329134279691194, c_new = -0.4126817244999004
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9750.432544210833
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 860:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.789310759338001, b_new = 0.49242430581900587, c_new = -0.6821484871661035
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3678.56044145498
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 861:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.26043046723057, b_new = 1.655589214108855, c_new = -0.9934047146072875
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10443.35942436392
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 862:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8798650820741845, b_new = 1.5108401931524478, c_new = -1.6593179020087683
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13513.512538096391
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 863:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.837005053059375, b_new = -0.18000697302487167, c_new = -0.38450897482025537
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4055.404436010762
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 864:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0411315966876136, b_new = 1.1940231827191665, c_new = -0.3373955655528907
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5135.862886829734
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 865:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1525586661013336, b_new = 1.6095452283922582, c_new = -1.1409704320901246
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -8397.896082302157
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 866:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0321290733079733, b_new = 1.1790218042956353, c_new = -0.1830000822757961
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12533.16066271444
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 867:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0001218414781325, b_new = 1.676649138638455, c_new = -0.4787480356946807
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5468.3618364748945
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 868:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.533085228505587, b_new = 0.10675549707672283, c_new = -0.5966150253577651
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10868.587595141396
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 869:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.695526034401594, b_new = 0.649431771370466, c_new = -0.15366977839978654
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12886.75065700151
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 870:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5329513673670965, b_new = 0.7250948096805193, c_new = -0.9412169272352353
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7625.440208463245
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 871:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.139155348580867, b_new = 1.5903297459591221, c_new = -0.1646927923767112
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -8431.337599511065
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 872:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.742952142461529, b_new = 1.1745501294237488, c_new = -0.5495371725648756
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3329.1696783585944
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 873:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9976098832861386, b_new = 1.5814241082074618, c_new = -1.1253141758936205
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12515.228251978313
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 874:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5696393594299236, b_new = 0.7822877596146158, c_new = -0.2336807205133519
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6435.610269150364
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 875:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3828506266258174, b_new = 1.4242363362682435, c_new = 0.34584256628022875
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11763.987488615921
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 876:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4629407012772657, b_new = 1.3777230957096769, c_new = -0.18124518027433173
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6994.358998305124
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 877:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.386016279662573, b_new = 1.324786708302025, c_new = -1.3114090172700732
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -15685.388109245538
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 878:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2498898948979873, b_new = 1.4055758027313092, c_new = -0.6632612846105974
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9857.383100464247
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 879:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.552598561170899, b_new = 2.0725750340140374, c_new = -0.5848625569024024
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4099.794761937076
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 880:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.518233065648457, b_new = 1.9212872415517461, c_new = -0.17004246941564283
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4742.445883057148
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 881:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9692069111069275, b_new = 1.0474175274721564, c_new = -0.9469400554591028
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3738.4608947997067
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 882:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.229324738899164, b_new = 1.548129372616886, c_new = -0.08288825402601024
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10058.22658500202
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 883:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.538143480608012, b_new = 0.9163049997289139, c_new = 0.01657670479085166
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6623.372920537286
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 884:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7426003950661637, b_new = 1.53226678884401, c_new = -0.5687852270505771
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3138.3729577750983
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 885:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9010336211592969, b_new = 1.609918685654795, c_new = 0.7333659958006022
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12582.122757511148
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 886:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.651061158440168, b_new = 0.009278058179671422, c_new = -0.44273573434439284
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -15610.185338464116
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 887:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5191335874256158, b_new = 0.7026322997327815, c_new = -1.033811834529868
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -8000.4634987641375
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 888:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0482620024177662, b_new = 0.9858849128370766, c_new = -0.5107596797094621
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4766.262282456488
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 889:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7273125221308843, b_new = 0.5522079956093516, c_new = -0.9717559970140082
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12794.240458411983
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 890:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.96721855925954, b_new = 0.8681410869716271, c_new = -0.6433312122792809
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -14296.143827919374
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 891:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4545520509249044, b_new = 1.615302592575926, c_new = -0.6875495716186426
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6750.274138435954
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 892:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5650675341091844, b_new = 0.5970404276380166, c_new = -0.9945430814818383
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7344.090319367156
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 893:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5493029190910024, b_new = 0.8242390692167608, c_new = -0.37038307452925673
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6791.454509721963
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 894:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8820572337907224, b_new = 1.2674981555234281, c_new = 0.05511748235583114
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -14444.007909536354
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 895:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9906148017854584, b_new = 1.5128161531686741, c_new = -0.4022160482637562
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12438.510206904388
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 896:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3633592076684815, b_new = 1.678138028548704, c_new = -0.9137689215862119
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -8315.965160249567
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 897:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.110206926639634, b_new = 0.842354117197557, c_new = -0.17646077563190324
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5658.5207311992945
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 898:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6249223415989578, b_new = 0.2582356912260574, c_new = 0.21580859125377977
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6519.511977107355
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 899:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9757047179630836, b_new = 1.371081086792521, c_new = -0.6363936739159187
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4362.697183625173
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 900:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7452277336188793, b_new = 1.0278784174714346, c_new = 0.37804642603674593
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3312.681682137238
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 901:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.582916998400664, b_new = 1.8683292348473737, c_new = -0.4090514278020705
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3992.4701603835038
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 902:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4486646398681726, b_new = 0.48959920615633734, c_new = 0.47053593847455216
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10912.331806279242
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 903:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8885695496073844, b_new = 0.9764633462169604, c_new = 0.9326660001753564
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3244.585394516391
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 904:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.704950712488334, b_new = 1.5572318280785733, c_new = -0.20250501309138486
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3244.3114140336656
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 905:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9312024060430817, b_new = 0.9046370336605976, c_new = -0.7349323390903708
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13673.725970031106
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 906:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.849908748346014, b_new = 0.2328519550619652, c_new = -0.06830400037711726
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3357.6870820013096
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 907:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4965494209130745, b_new = 1.4773724193445332, c_new = -0.8438152713868867
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6339.233472671795
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 908:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.076951525641837, b_new = 2.3498867664505125, c_new = -0.016616034900251764
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9385.657724384424
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 909:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2452262250734254, b_new = 2.1023822651173885, c_new = -1.3008460384890197
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9274.07928454405
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 910:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8746945685527896, b_new = 0.33588478565582536, c_new = -0.1715345712284382
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3176.819714251277
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 911:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.074414024490763, b_new = 1.7601706453771995, c_new = -0.1155486792362812
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7480.909082996017
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 912:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.137254760842712, b_new = 1.4765850591529635, c_new = -1.1968773952187832
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7655.7442164733075
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 913:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4708390600127297, b_new = 0.43774098829248154, c_new = -1.2880188921729072
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9654.077102352883
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 914:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6372504925540565, b_new = 1.655667491914216, c_new = -0.06583863594112527
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3625.92713114038
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 915:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.717326057626059, b_new = 1.0777760086120416, c_new = -0.03906690669969792
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3532.900791765691
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 916:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6811251575488138, b_new = 1.0851083651033087, c_new = -0.6763054335595803
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4026.7688169782887
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 917:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2109738425899623, b_new = -0.09882840666243231, c_new = -0.7652791101200933
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13242.70155377539
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 918:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.570726165997289, b_new = 1.0718791861892816, c_new = -0.646430065997798
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5831.561212381874
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 919:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8979011310996845, b_new = 0.8957002355619871, c_new = 0.34069845249261627
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3197.5388122939435
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 920:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7533062638267913, b_new = 0.3864310639924432, c_new = -0.048903188518468366
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4082.5956950449718
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 921:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.926828018503771, b_new = 1.334106269337349, c_new = 0.06923697559706332
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3824.6876493968257
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 922:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1890943348321885, b_new = 1.6971159683851003, c_new = -0.2622424129408367
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9686.45093909115
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 923:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0366302679310397, b_new = 0.7677566678002785, c_new = -0.3421241619170632
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4225.760199859644
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 924:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9572818196068145, b_new = 1.1259576474379274, c_new = -0.3188999690063002
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3805.4942843002286
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 925:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.746662298935597, b_new = 0.6201402883962024, c_new = -0.38603246320332935
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3884.237109576371
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 926:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5581703985954256, b_new = 0.7651159153787795, c_new = -1.049962436606297
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7047.9887490802685
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 927:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.609987722241523, b_new = 1.0541822849811724, c_new = -0.8978413774140521
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5227.329914945072
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 928:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3773152346527464, b_new = 0.4747358131747452, c_new = -1.071192206034199
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10786.952638591378
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 929:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7036918949782374, b_new = 1.0690663927570618, c_new = 0.26317395957284756
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3614.147355861374
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 930:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0326950305739975, b_new = 0.7033605398143837, c_new = -0.5278235351380778
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4040.555459158367
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 931:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.864176189109361, b_new = 1.388555627474584, c_new = -0.4325486010764649
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3296.2347046108857
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 932:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.288696213316495, b_new = 0.7782622363009755, c_new = -0.40491510632048744
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9121.174572554984
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 933:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.797670917476417, b_new = 0.7311379884190443, c_new = 0.2440270579937996
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3238.832896641378
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 934:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6754766558462033, b_new = 1.6437025885067564, c_new = -0.0403746427966466
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13888.884382739832
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 935:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.227739983684109, b_new = 0.9507408503182573, c_new = -0.12831942766740384
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11229.17639735893
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 936:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.272010871420535, b_new = 0.35047654759861, c_new = -0.8983223309698023
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12100.814711044924
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 937:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.942500329306078, b_new = 1.0628951276958511, c_new = -0.8381813540484947
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3523.3516632459964
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 938:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.673693605803336, b_new = 1.2574746946333588, c_new = -1.6376147525273916
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4082.317275965395
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 939:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.690435636172275, b_new = 1.3894176619743166, c_new = -0.2369005430411657
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13658.989880544637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 940:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3624066364227216, b_new = 1.0728601174432113, c_new = 0.305277003294861
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10954.948989370989
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 941:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.664176818507802, b_new = 0.7968548664482544, c_new = -0.011904852454099446
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12900.116787680681
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 942:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0879986039468608, b_new = 1.0224462120209181, c_new = -0.15501581514557994
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5671.241691361052
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 943:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.187299853604581, b_new = 0.7531932413718658, c_new = -0.06888664518137316
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7115.0942609347185
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 944:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2186339681090033, b_new = 1.3190028088395818, c_new = 0.007680703553404611
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9357.546752769327
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 945:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.645977994280154, b_new = 1.524471812137066, c_new = -0.2619034102580374
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3726.4598060346916
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 946:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6112072136277584, b_new = 1.522070807277686, c_new = -0.6519931162633668
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13287.675401395802
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 947:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8375999592355434, b_new = 2.575548039783063, c_new = -0.922138706843121
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4545.5861128720735
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 948:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.59707359727528, b_new = 1.7751275307411405, c_new = -0.15880205303795478
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13606.656046400412
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 949:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0917939876265192, b_new = 1.2532941046778532, c_new = -1.023058541270078
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6070.638477736864
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 950:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3653400093918604, b_new = 0.5304633916919392, c_new = 0.4721659607382493
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10238.076582667893
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 951:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5535066756065907, b_new = 1.877319760331687, c_new = -0.8852147281459923
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13310.215335550096
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 952:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8815166021673786, b_new = 1.3964149518961273, c_new = 0.3467194746297992
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3509.1312814429093
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 953:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.956361302230523, b_new = 0.5722694027850694, c_new = -0.45844762444916065
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3252.585949138227
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 954:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.499430168882523, b_new = 1.4570873080476243, c_new = -0.7292121122945323
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6291.731733973591
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 955:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4738917626961445, b_new = 1.7398449190847476, c_new = 0.6825205704107071
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5634.691885323318
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 956:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7679946221829463, b_new = 0.7924331112836684, c_new = -1.0014181305464067
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3579.435725118966
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 957:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.302748141759404, b_new = 1.2494494701727967, c_new = -0.4773870663687485
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10342.455621664656
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 958:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.297036906710013, b_new = 0.8059668784129846, c_new = -0.0015180225534673908
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10695.602329530775
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 959:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0684580235112726, b_new = 2.1892380715797555, c_new = 0.9429396222126027
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9136.415437185056
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 960:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3520643183103234, b_new = 1.6153780370622455, c_new = -1.396296568430936
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11302.031006919213
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 961:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3722522671274238, b_new = 1.0129358058557096, c_new = -0.2623679180170009
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10796.023344731144
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 962:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.041542276576767, b_new = 1.1920016315207578, c_new = -0.9253047658836853
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12677.488568999881
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 963:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4798103041990744, b_new = 1.0982511996247226, c_new = -1.25272400817408
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11706.04964700241
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 964:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7260837544184047, b_new = 1.0372852774249681, c_new = -1.2109122530254999
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3715.706726264916
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 965:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6473926098637195, b_new = 0.06720449403318329, c_new = -1.1281929576222507
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11659.116408206071
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 966:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.869869209830737, b_new = 1.262316116359237, c_new = -0.20684212843326621
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -14340.156017869831
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 967:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1433279238465404, b_new = 1.1714792864275019, c_new = -0.25129575308053576
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11700.413916192665
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 968:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.273261374879961, b_new = 1.713130137830023, c_new = -0.3278310390080027
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10925.887772142247
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 969:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2532885500788002, b_new = 1.135360502449124, c_new = 0.03724479291716587
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10565.375273893089
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 970:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3827271562110015, b_new = 1.7643912706916196, c_new = 0.6716663076538496
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7236.826784735181
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 971:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3879665897321076, b_new = 1.3711136813639737, c_new = -0.7038967060300833
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -8544.699337342796
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 972:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8603218495874443, b_new = 1.8941447758253531, c_new = -0.7816978579928641
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3743.1813734018397
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 973:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.291057798865866, b_new = 0.49075632371361677, c_new = -1.1604385564995876
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11767.728141155709
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 974:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6262491824450116, b_new = 1.7658705543400521, c_new = -1.3174702336518893
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3823.800293505755
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 975:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0826960733964928, b_new = 1.4536026933370538, c_new = -0.06370007651934795
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6773.036705385771
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 976:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.061755358736851, b_new = 1.3408254894324836, c_new = -0.2038702945041646
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12098.529745276059
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 977:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4873481613988484, b_new = 0.8136374780236508, c_new = -0.207997130677343
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7973.15409125019
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 978:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1603817034855948, b_new = 1.612523731189238, c_new = 0.21661322187082493
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9099.361353205964
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 979:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6446857718886876, b_new = 0.9165159352440051, c_new = -0.1266288968874054
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4692.323440647343
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 980:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7711168466640186, b_new = 1.5748728606602385, c_new = 0.5997192326541654
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3106.462349032796
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 981:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.641521500256354, b_new = 1.3142072928035138, c_new = -0.5244119185746908
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4128.875643400177
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 982:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4196421777116877, b_new = 1.3604330916036576, c_new = -0.32150254240665793
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11812.441889912929
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 983:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1167787825984736, b_new = 1.1655577095116465, c_new = -0.4604527235888594
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12001.546081181754
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 984:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.14221134600784, b_new = 1.3349252892433545, c_new = 0.43174549234845977
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7983.566327142488
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 985:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5130593083561172, b_new = 0.9231120063738221, c_new = -0.9687137682065776
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7501.48454266485
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 986:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.490624201473717, b_new = 2.5502407397454028, c_new = -0.4629738063106318
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13828.722488138803
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 987:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.417978941550978, b_new = 1.8570036523632627, c_new = -0.608935853502844
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6821.350785977415
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 988:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.868798705776239, b_new = 1.08889769477011, c_new = 0.33173769839074935
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3177.998710044558
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 989:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.462922219523702, b_new = 1.7333707340395472, c_new = -0.6316591527588822
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12601.333242443454
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 990:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.844859641219356, b_new = 0.8246532011024076, c_new = -0.6492344125965952
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3114.4231840776847
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 991:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.230965836253448, b_new = 0.6423676505109516, c_new = -0.7927062311247821
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11952.118287103727
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 992:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.703359825793156, b_new = 0.8244594366649789, c_new = -0.042954934473269646
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4008.234315769349
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 993:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2701759999130418, b_new = 0.6782306933440669, c_new = -0.5255698721160057
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -8494.2337534958
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 994:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.128551980706516, b_new = 0.872015126322959, c_new = -0.8929129194570999
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5887.744779102604
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 995:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.339163904160322, b_new = 1.455311061293296, c_new = -0.8212132022753218
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9148.239815351311
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 996:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6447807102529666, b_new = 1.4505935701460122, c_new = 0.006678186483622284
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3782.8855075357524
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 997:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8578393667520343, b_new = 1.3523445999340513, c_new = -0.08137243257098031
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3262.203750232754
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 998:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.320370393917749, b_new = 0.19939708986802618, c_new = 0.08405965233698653
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11534.65233838901
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 999:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.146057691428018, b_new = 1.4208089763665042, c_new = -0.2898010450923147
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -8036.849517110812
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1000:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0835373746948376, b_new = 0.9032163064219143, c_new = 0.2268797131616635
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5408.1641485500495
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1001:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7749939397085472, b_new = 1.1175748426788166, c_new = -0.45756554033996955
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3190.205271158398
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1002:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9492858853223245, b_new = 1.5047325658656043, c_new = -0.5151307813937156
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4255.742274921513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1003:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3943471564821444, b_new = 0.5883592383838028, c_new = -0.5938143535969668
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10142.552930262931
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1004:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.795587578643515, b_new = 1.481653117716426, c_new = -0.6658460669555744
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3098.5039221096295
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1005:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8350106129706307, b_new = 0.7683466061114155, c_new = -1.273480471053176
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3221.80367726467
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1006:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9352645728807185, b_new = 0.8932741114161085, c_new = -0.7393747238905257
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3331.3291653189526
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1007:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0185640839912073, b_new = 0.8591562764222608, c_new = -1.139095142366449
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13339.704763573398
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1008:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0918811368731767, b_new = 1.326729886994273, c_new = 0.5283527428606309
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6839.276700262022
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1009:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7234709041630896, b_new = 0.7722326619750292, c_new = 0.16862816973729428
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3805.551572752207
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1010:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.619514298060926, b_new = 1.25852665466525, c_new = -0.3180627481388719
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13104.927740786607
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1011:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.795795970266421, b_new = 1.2069141503862355, c_new = -1.0079103600615338
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3133.249408116794
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1012:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3980589123044136, b_new = 1.156078775992251, c_new = -0.7598534516817299
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11174.209269562874
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1013:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.62608910427667, b_new = 1.5105953356145092, c_new = -0.13381785732617818
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13475.657228120603
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1014:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7110865665708426, b_new = 1.3904973859514325, c_new = 0.25292526355442774
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3271.6642638537323
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1015:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7626991722020326, b_new = 1.7809408007597711, c_new = -0.0663494332563887
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3128.657466042288
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1016:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8157241656588443, b_new = 1.7783009221795032, c_new = 1.3275802848156104e-05
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3356.1825731344866
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1017:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2065423749259754, b_new = 1.4077110664751813, c_new = -0.11915370993536592
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9316.992460300937
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1018:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.269942746395011, b_new = 0.8975722920529257, c_new = 0.13405447357845685
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10784.040332966948
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1019:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8607614970759445, b_new = 1.351210921596711, c_new = 0.0974794676038519
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3292.649199540706
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1020:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7489562984661187, b_new = 1.1243527159924604, c_new = -0.6214359305030213
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3340.537372647594
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1021:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4075857964283083, b_new = 0.8015127385178247, c_new = -0.0758065733872913
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9295.759970158862
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1022:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.077664747395182, b_new = 1.2256024498919804, c_new = -0.2847871841565542
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5941.346987403496
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1023:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3626141928861446, b_new = 0.2200999439597544, c_new = 0.6942546731130617
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9397.53628156992
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1024:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1091570932595833, b_new = 0.6472359026351746, c_new = -0.612546454058065
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5066.388912637733
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1025:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7840617124839397, b_new = 1.303793785442923, c_new = -0.08104882563638066
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -14042.328298232744
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1026:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7756000303936665, b_new = 0.999428212285975, c_new = -0.7934053793739695
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13567.253722414556
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1027:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.132747897700834, b_new = 1.4695836851675539, c_new = -0.8813166782743493
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7652.652998034517
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1028:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.331260463324717, b_new = 1.3604013866249782, c_new = -0.3247790421069299
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10941.85044871319
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1029:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8609630277753086, b_new = 0.9742830469543863, c_new = -0.12925954501014644
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3096.874216148584
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1030:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.256984987959567, b_new = 0.9805972806419796, c_new = 0.01604501658003893
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9200.211681048957
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1031:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1757593319384725, b_new = 0.7816935830195344, c_new = -0.19424521258839741
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6896.196786587877
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1032:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7186147143393544, b_new = 0.7253363359849, c_new = -0.05601981875779627
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3978.178987281136
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1033:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.875437915352846, b_new = 1.235376112907122, c_new = -0.415160755256128
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3251.935154080876
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1034:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4130911555912036, b_new = 0.904441688655297, c_new = -0.1322811852111932
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11077.333678936235
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1035:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7257439653124464, b_new = 0.6160723801518395, c_new = 0.25848218982784404
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13116.520058802971
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1036:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9968388424910204, b_new = 0.6391915385959867, c_new = -1.0977436565129546
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -14136.552932384755
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1037:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1160649213796736, b_new = 0.49732600103422686, c_new = -1.452499584753756
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4693.184633442372
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1038:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.222670757706444, b_new = 1.8600171716274878, c_new = 0.07018122942798122
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10703.76562262957
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1039:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.418455184539662, b_new = 1.3607994700262784, c_new = -0.6902417294160712
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11706.683279488618
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1040:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9048095827306235, b_new = 0.9431944229694784, c_new = -0.20341224911371675
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3228.3296971463938
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1041:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498323594569558, b_new = 2.308894709684056, c_new = -0.8068559256260592
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13513.016799710265
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1042:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.180666328094272, b_new = 0.29365439999155674, c_new = -0.7939344598647378
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12905.483598920617
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1043:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.596618082762249, b_new = 0.8753393148763582, c_new = -0.7485963086297983
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5854.952154449771
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1044:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4088733967864115, b_new = 0.7103908854391148, c_new = 0.42622461918229454
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10857.77507062818
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1045:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2955627859354797, b_new = 0.9184398093371674, c_new = -0.24798712486377716
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9607.634512359533
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1046:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.317083520732213, b_new = 1.1883939235883414, c_new = -0.1665182959088669
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10501.22845578227
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1047:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8013848270878334, b_new = 0.4400268190343952, c_new = -0.12720136432212795
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3523.430191787626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1048:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4117163525664425, b_new = 0.9530764233518628, c_new = -0.4583339742884308
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9037.649810046474
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1049:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5760556977779943, b_new = 0.6890783862249306, c_new = -0.007756402364850812
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6462.068680493041
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1050:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.041323312708109, b_new = 1.4299849097788626, c_new = -0.24907280832473983
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5736.55792316779
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1051:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9017407162357878, b_new = 0.9476944651129358, c_new = -1.2741553551891935
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13938.870478464949
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1052:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0873815338105355, b_new = 0.7611545736858951, c_new = 0.3183818702241847
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5175.002426447915
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1053:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6700772711661425, b_new = 1.641783267238436, c_new = -0.7034317457196044
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3457.8582569515593
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1054:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.621245352411994, b_new = 1.4115902728461625, c_new = -0.7263721477297149
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4287.064404892832
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1055:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.953698858859448, b_new = 0.9941879437007894, c_new = -0.2945032803395556
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3609.020898318555
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1056:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.178878479969686, b_new = 1.081590690505931, c_new = 0.0008622216564853069
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7891.021756884274
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1057:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9299717668832952, b_new = 0.7399635226310435, c_new = -0.3157329871891117
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13749.186614380293
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1058:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.440723427900862, b_new = 1.4160044111365988, c_new = 0.4483708211357344
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7090.346033823262
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1059:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.347559602269515, b_new = 1.1483758501157444, c_new = 0.3367229549341974
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10935.364301519503
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1060:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7301804878586546, b_new = 1.3542198634735294, c_new = 0.22363096654647324
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3200.1907277926334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1061:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6179257632043766, b_new = 1.1908160336218134, c_new = -1.3289752627129177
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4931.733177849694
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1062:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.910631693540049, b_new = 1.4216747200354596, c_new = -0.3338931970512247
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3707.126173234292
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1063:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4138578198740737, b_new = 0.30455769126823695, c_new = -1.6340480346396364
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10905.852752119788
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1064:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.769140544545765, b_new = 0.8228552592862048, c_new = -0.4226520116923477
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3436.8606045271076
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1065:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3506748454440842, b_new = 1.3919615853864216, c_new = -0.40701041614746714
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11182.567227138206
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1066:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.414222217810874, b_new = 0.257585807508249, c_new = -0.7470688933887284
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9786.269228005023
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1067:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1207017940255812, b_new = 1.1131265196154914, c_new = 0.13681315839372732
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6724.984435472365
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1068:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.850229444222414, b_new = 0.14830527657330395, c_new = -0.6646323404346802
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3543.5471455068273
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1069:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6586932390760754, b_new = 1.0942089612831278, c_new = -0.1733418390827339
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4177.777039707269
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1070:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.185359126556333, b_new = 1.2084217640115538, c_new = 0.05729941754049461
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11149.790497385928
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1071:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.863558267288572, b_new = 0.9113872190583434, c_new = 0.33628365412830014
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13715.814683091286
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1072:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2754286967826016, b_new = 1.0506362747120108, c_new = -0.5101729783472225
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9502.99414651492
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1073:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0242901022244526, b_new = 1.3621415666797223, c_new = -0.8920360314574949
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5059.691400263568
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1074:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.688082435304916, b_new = 0.8979880956623005, c_new = -0.9590699874869502
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4318.078719606127
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1075:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8182046176324294, b_new = 0.7699785938360559, c_new = -0.5465617602889893
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3206.4531399634766
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1076:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5213761009385265, b_new = 0.8909517837913713, c_new = 0.24041718674334817
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12108.221292740254
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1077:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.678090539025183, b_new = 1.5927044942211692, c_new = -0.9513475435529861
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13657.441201208718
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1078:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6434100052561433, b_new = 0.4431874282068282, c_new = 0.497448242004557
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5563.080885983376
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1079:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4939263808399623, b_new = 1.5408476476492081, c_new = 0.460761747322796
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5787.367421148687
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1080:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2753270063999382, b_new = 0.7653240029918389, c_new = -1.5172092794455425
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -8488.67120889595
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1081:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9837212643824824, b_new = 1.1902150810707417, c_new = -0.11258044741495651
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12821.136479313118
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1082:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.535038548212265, b_new = 0.15621838612020345, c_new = -0.027547453145202072
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -8716.941638809063
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1083:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5521313707314177, b_new = 1.2982549503346785, c_new = -0.5875621423684207
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5617.4322079045205
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1084:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7858342480792664, b_new = 0.34159892208463893, c_new = -0.4611648951693567
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13001.799234520902
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1085:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5967831995579425, b_new = 1.3829311672457663, c_new = -0.9779964196011721
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4772.892389881024
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1086:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2109606045711296, b_new = 0.8837318272589767, c_new = -0.5058158727634707
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7841.107915766159
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1087:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7811887575169454, b_new = 2.065439915465481, c_new = -1.8676787743072019
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3231.0385348061936
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1088:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7606799350389206, b_new = 1.0205728586931266, c_new = 0.04129982028622292
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3265.729198840518
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1089:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6390459020530357, b_new = 0.6603953880584603, c_new = 0.22533918651577606
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5225.080227004609
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1090:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.655501139711636, b_new = 1.2985965441413396, c_new = -1.2016107078696556
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13168.474838512075
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1091:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.191133638884659, b_new = 1.8458132492623363, c_new = -0.01295351087149016
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10173.867958402596
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1092:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.226725490206893, b_new = 1.3523804280956688, c_new = -0.19611819099448194
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10545.437443277033
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1093:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8128691124366245, b_new = 0.8374204237066405, c_new = -0.4318007673916151
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3179.981071899032
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1094:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.709320464065943, b_new = 1.0819497981219155, c_new = 0.39190099208897594
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3528.5214146821077
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1095:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.439456151694907, b_new = 1.0780368759359311, c_new = -0.4123773354751175
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11533.797511187777
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1096:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9094111324978673, b_new = -0.1682682839079186, c_new = -0.15909202082365093
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3347.0622811914236
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1097:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.453423139383922, b_new = 1.4445749194743507, c_new = -0.02415621162585846
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6951.906888628823
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1098:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4753076099252693, b_new = 1.4052922459400627, c_new = 0.24290697083676666
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12468.442255831786
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1099:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5048008366864813, b_new = 1.8433717497018205, c_new = -0.47059110284304484
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5206.561154963504
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1100:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.310006997572029, b_new = 1.773716999288753, c_new = -0.40484597933287253
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11418.517404280938
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1101:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8698910554292674, b_new = 0.9463380347297883, c_new = -0.23144907732016534
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3107.0093611045204
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1102:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.739901025107385, b_new = 1.262053400857868, c_new = 0.03453848727404829
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3221.743060078134
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1103:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.720849861411393, b_new = 0.48131683568283756, c_new = -0.9984830883342501
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4636.178162361466
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1104:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.291141170412264, b_new = 0.7072269803718612, c_new = -0.8170806928780012
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11244.410834374477
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1105:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9978727264900185, b_new = 1.19796152581536, c_new = -0.2706586648909593
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4449.353992162986
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1106:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6795319224285845, b_new = 0.9225713472449661, c_new = -0.44685013337478957
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4255.924433838523
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1107:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8755258231754097, b_new = 1.0012885511167569, c_new = -0.09317383899419407
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3142.8574401829246
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1108:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4611116326023055, b_new = 0.5962317861996209, c_new = -0.512544383131492
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9105.459338879979
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1109:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2145417355880523, b_new = 0.5167122923822961, c_new = -0.6418886022927717
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12249.619387915576
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1110:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5571884733931407, b_new = 0.982214952418541, c_new = -0.7846851533729292
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6379.51554195666
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1111:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8025060273155376, b_new = 0.7964283090264483, c_new = -0.7636798508698868
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3292.567276599092
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1112:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6610006457862143, b_new = 1.2137697681725514, c_new = -0.8369568914486324
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4114.5462795031635
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1113:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.064358400860495, b_new = 0.08384518476090741, c_new = 0.016756562564650468
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -14123.680993547292
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1114:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0562708782754666, b_new = 1.5771508691721527, c_new = 0.33623267227260006
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6683.6233838908765
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1115:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.616337556466182, b_new = 0.19802857097218785, c_new = 0.4322855507502003
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6774.087076374345
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1116:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7099016908750824, b_new = 1.4575935522539565, c_new = -0.0794342233591489
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3267.538404619976
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1117:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2486581739946145, b_new = 1.1770805024444344, c_new = -1.14842415671321
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9139.746520047169
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1118:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.329775048115255, b_new = 2.0471020637586252, c_new = 0.7387206994312638
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7478.190727269563
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1119:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7790510235130106, b_new = 1.0525977560907283, c_new = 0.6039945193838496
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3121.677631055404
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1120:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.444608516001628, b_new = 1.2052004671578858, c_new = -0.6905430292195223
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7962.630158977826
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1121:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0305919102206142, b_new = 0.644217921936297, c_new = -1.1533984429195312
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3844.6379878567222
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1122:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6681626401442835, b_new = 0.6165549195893736, c_new = 0.4010176084842933
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4765.7594207928505
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1123:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.749698596573649, b_new = 0.7821657251935137, c_new = -0.2674985196282838
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3615.7635631646726
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1124:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.418622037647383, b_new = 1.5142838211140883, c_new = -0.03375726497695786
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7429.978740250602
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1125:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9028865475677494, b_new = 1.9216808325967212, c_new = -0.5845950743515472
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4337.731801131378
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1126:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0826149053447396, b_new = 0.12101670813329857, c_new = 0.2859093882160418
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3922.7620748326062
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1127:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8175316903931598, b_new = 1.5279118599830834, c_new = -0.7057812832456706
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3154.2881850026242
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1128:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1612290083465897, b_new = 1.3464873619854616, c_new = 0.03373904639388037
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -8282.666454548245
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1129:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.968922022127869, b_new = 0.13522294790981093, c_new = -0.3596259320188003
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3140.1972934569635
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1130:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.16364401910309, b_new = 0.8568198381938773, c_new = -1.435841943012322
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -14820.976720051967
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1131:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7490054950638267, b_new = 1.5337712188046795, c_new = 0.12461329205663196
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3096.8512917974203
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1132:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.943803531561863, b_new = -0.023611245806268055, c_new = -0.03338315637396855
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3128.6840971338574
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1133:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2454104723559105, b_new = 1.7853423450296946, c_new = -0.5197460464628205
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10659.104449435265
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1134:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1974610762189606, b_new = 0.5673740545649241, c_new = 0.15924814229815482
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12045.435646487558
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1135:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8680438711485707, b_new = 2.1221077578259235, c_new = -0.8937821123916536
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -14924.00505248387
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1136:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3107126959936277, b_new = 1.4150648249706532, c_new = -1.504070232133072
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9874.193917878922
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1137:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.387061969609701, b_new = 1.5909053080596856, c_new = -0.6026388496497816
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11803.95578605404
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1138:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8112750244587, b_new = 2.495424544874541, c_new = 0.046928391437091266
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4272.331560400746
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1139:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.705221975321965, b_new = 1.8865884462285383, c_new = -0.09647811753635549
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3123.4532858706793
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1140:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.017939573560228, b_new = 1.1530816945103044, c_new = 0.35727503009747225
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4832.317205343193
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1141:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1474571778111677, b_new = 0.3992536182541341, c_new = 1.0437208073580921
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12409.88240253312
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1142:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3347854402852453, b_new = 0.2908915039149451, c_new = -0.24315952955701228
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11332.045285470762
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1143:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.478662461846002, b_new = 1.4850831471685337, c_new = -0.4705978467484427
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6530.737343456934
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1144:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.83198973325884, b_new = 0.661652951151928, c_new = -1.1676791012763614
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3287.7716475639672
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1145:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9001292450834026, b_new = 1.8831439391890141, c_new = 0.5409198968363522
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4504.689595876303
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1146:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.930121977473007, b_new = 1.1940721027063073, c_new = -0.4354990928503624
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13244.218313420253
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1147:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9300151426547512, b_new = 0.9641106492941891, c_new = -0.4127539695337512
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13515.926661755118
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1148:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4013211948860973, b_new = 1.668986321240352, c_new = -0.026511466800402006
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7369.055810685704
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1149:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.635834361095543, b_new = 0.6724229266949098, c_new = -0.7837275220172538
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5612.740649072256
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1150:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.554566665667307, b_new = 1.9402327939384036, c_new = -0.6585499054382805
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4296.827694999794
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1151:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.29437937308694, b_new = 0.6170536182055564, c_new = -0.09235374008115516
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11112.4708610872
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1152:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5384954533329163, b_new = 1.1105871107530711, c_new = -0.3868883228354689
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6270.286857907943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1153:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2257285838714327, b_new = 0.6238164651074589, c_new = 0.09209176100287275
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7649.411549130453
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1154:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.838674564609412, b_new = 0.9489610524554268, c_new = -0.8997568580414783
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3112.7598644029267
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1155:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2099891054004104, b_new = 1.680904426556235, c_new = -0.0446618251047905
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10075.11582601341
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1156:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1465185825990583, b_new = 1.1815660463709148, c_new = 0.4026596749729295
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7614.174186202225
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1157:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6580845556238626, b_new = 1.2364992656055493, c_new = -0.6866486089885151
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4079.4663744355285
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1158:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9602409429482606, b_new = 0.48296342888042, c_new = -0.3821346332588356
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3225.1710612162533
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1159:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7487282471939287, b_new = 0.7647398314428634, c_new = -0.023571047005086665
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3599.807218025422
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1160:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.954739337904914, b_new = 1.5705692058566647, c_new = -0.4721320958343478
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -14854.697499332155
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1161:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.814341068740373, b_new = 0.9358942453473327, c_new = -0.18968409526697913
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3115.0755112554166
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1162:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3404165982176397, b_new = 1.014570582792781, c_new = -0.42020190721842765
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9903.85016221302
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1163:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4933851390696593, b_new = 2.239277553676757, c_new = 0.47752027121480095
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13716.6180302294
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1164:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8948308474189273, b_new = 0.8941691883893372, c_new = -0.3607479598999926
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3156.144260183356
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1165:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6027305180649405, b_new = 1.2885209935688413, c_new = 0.45021127828879476
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4470.569480837063
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1166:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231583374396477, b_new = 0.9075345612252878, c_new = -0.40397871154788795
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -8375.164190222602
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1167:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.381479673517534, b_new = 0.6494889934092609, c_new = -0.7233469984223153
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10116.303594409566
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1168:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0085883043852957, b_new = 0.6304222494198297, c_new = 0.046319044391207986
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3752.6302235084004
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1169:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.006657409817625, b_new = 0.588361704022009, c_new = -0.18070848093976954
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13461.981745338435
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1170:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5341621189547157, b_new = 0.2960014037001346, c_new = -0.4671929401574798
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -8554.07274244311
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1171:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.493742604699027, b_new = 1.368220414467784, c_new = -0.11767799865166126
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6401.356500784316
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1172:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4287481226659926, b_new = 1.3467991538434834, c_new = -0.3533769016343649
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11862.133675197052
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1173:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.462545064796143, b_new = 0.8642257697616195, c_new = 0.11687722248430044
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -8169.324008504618
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1174:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4681246662467426, b_new = 1.176201340571825, c_new = 0.17825072494006128
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12076.083624311896
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1175:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.179529724868347, b_new = 0.5859526138177953, c_new = -0.19037229348928045
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12280.624164040066
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1176:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.71152246217935, b_new = 0.7890325142397139, c_new = 0.10717939762853984
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3929.7695697767426
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1177:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.752651235739407, b_new = 0.8429637527254039, c_new = 0.6102103753416992
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3386.0367754664294
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1178:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.897099291281188, b_new = 0.5579467445341728, c_new = -0.778955580443819
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3115.4245720127074
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1179:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4585108534719975, b_new = 0.8356097546165031, c_new = -0.7060285090005027
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -8640.64134828619
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1180:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.295247246510753, b_new = 0.8986887160207941, c_new = -0.0677990009947263
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10563.600815432826
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1181:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.104196295363078, b_new = 0.0995831739443106, c_new = -0.6070286514142729
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13625.081786945695
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1182:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8205803026071794, b_new = 0.554779751599673, c_new = 0.14717915034733203
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3249.14839501174
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1183:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6468052203526784, b_new = 0.9312365039606282, c_new = -0.5676095554884715
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4760.448831830106
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1184:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.498082208637344, b_new = 1.741683426578354, c_new = -0.560658433178815
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5578.98785670251
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1185:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0389130832249958, b_new = 1.988727968319433, c_new = -0.3850029175743102
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7233.538255481628
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1186:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.51414423238355, b_new = 0.9403270023872348, c_new = -0.6944942278339891
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11894.179033935407
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1187:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.293309694442308, b_new = 0.13037460601269268, c_new = -1.239249881325678
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7310.963005651779
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1188:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.463644308051635, b_new = 0.012849423210472333, c_new = -0.07651199905430439
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10119.820360275271
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1189:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7469381120956164, b_new = 0.2682942678459219, c_new = 0.33693196798032404
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12861.420371590424
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1190:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6425572224891964, b_new = 1.4297550263448593, c_new = -0.30674746507285827
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3895.691624513306
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1191:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1025145280445496, b_new = 1.4942665079365853, c_new = -0.5657301140437233
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7156.976908099244
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1192:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.460249825691153, b_new = 1.272496292721307, c_new = -0.49301713004968106
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -15918.495427046892
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1193:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.381785855720605, b_new = 0.8578900035650768, c_new = -0.8787782244933171
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10460.486078932407
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1194:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6440936945975744, b_new = 0.3813583085260527, c_new = -0.5328091329399541
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6097.2170540109455
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1195:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6716124286029856, b_new = 1.3547272887796122, c_new = -0.0532540060160589
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3641.0171344568844
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1196:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4649671468573247, b_new = 0.6405993118044273, c_new = -0.8998364722916428
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10969.146773407068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1197:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5493857657181467, b_new = 0.06280857842835519, c_new = -0.4113015553989954
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -8865.413219302329
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1198:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4051847079739304, b_new = 0.8317592549374503, c_new = -0.2152165515772757
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9317.305869277483
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1199:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.251600575545066, b_new = 1.5418320814353135, c_new = 0.07198601180518155
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10426.993112527834
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1200:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4083561434464884, b_new = 0.3757256761760692, c_new = -0.11242161516368043
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10218.754680504107
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1201:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5592561959002724, b_new = 1.9724838739377084, c_new = -0.2706003378867843
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4101.352272071569
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1202:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3813222309838964, b_new = 0.33105087921340426, c_new = -0.4748856665790536
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10797.515801953967
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1203:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5724687893568405, b_new = 0.7636127765660882, c_new = -1.3233632487913654
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11960.579908240145
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1204:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0617983038758645, b_new = 1.7530792730743197, c_new = -1.294103631407033
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6707.5425697451055
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1205:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7254797697464865, b_new = 1.6499878559764516, c_new = 0.023597810457024138
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3121.270438957755
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1206:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.150230833456282, b_new = 1.3606190551760748, c_new = -0.44051215288770534
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11397.210877941323
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1207:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.295262339559258, b_new = 1.3674259942166245, c_new = -0.28787998374527224
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10538.851814752667
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1208:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1186175704359007, b_new = 1.2460583343996652, c_new = -0.845143149027948
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6701.966935030446
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1209:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5489649370963834, b_new = 1.1266785189791395, c_new = -0.18947466425491113
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5952.7481696073055
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1210:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4534413063749243, b_new = 0.4817555993236661, c_new = -0.7712699766171589
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10628.140770401067
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1211:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4087546254161607, b_new = 0.5382039497062258, c_new = 0.46866772725894074
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9647.12459295738
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1212:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6567241178030976, b_new = 0.9177947672970062, c_new = -0.7384003957882825
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4681.686548369705
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1213:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8811724917365558, b_new = 1.6476573722292835, c_new = -0.5423519638244043
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -14650.23227197367
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1214:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.541523020339157, b_new = 1.1038267856868915, c_new = 0.0694268843579473
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12498.439347355503
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1215:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9123692149189437, b_new = 0.8605062117856392, c_new = -0.1777720337881543
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13664.681144871483
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1216:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6368605494121296, b_new = 1.793507674227926, c_new = -0.5346011246178295
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13748.419435150867
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1217:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0645765693745055, b_new = 0.4224158830527378, c_new = -0.9203781281553951
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3959.889679412814
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1218:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801840098563687, b_new = 1.8515377502599781, c_new = -0.8103739281752567
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3259.2449216785635
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1219:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.029989335577124, b_new = 1.054295297605376, c_new = -0.2933765432879682
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4660.93674950205
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1220:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9673169103289116, b_new = 0.5973492977221779, c_new = 0.09022141521210658
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3367.0282150317344
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1221:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.458975284559247, b_new = 2.1969230159080357, c_new = -0.4126549900140277
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13230.51053826186
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1222:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2345632032152087, b_new = 0.2932440697226615, c_new = 0.21827562301994458
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6973.828765493965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1223:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.046266345617778, b_new = 0.6670392825523502, c_new = -0.007682863468069623
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4252.416548994555
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1224:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.244585969538407, b_new = 1.2296193447416983, c_new = -0.8092104570253227
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10784.94352013553
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1225:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.028975256301233, b_new = 0.4401941930200989, c_new = 0.26850839574779567
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13378.536523039544
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1226:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5469854135176746, b_new = 1.5167593190832445, c_new = 0.123080894886051
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4997.528356218354
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1227:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.58893967915775, b_new = 1.248293025032586, c_new = 0.4740516588027393
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4751.664122535905
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1228:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2391621066595793, b_new = 0.6571605170155745, c_new = -1.0347954568937192
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11937.013422224003
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1229:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7650737479311416, b_new = 1.0318414929791013, c_new = -0.1592447889081263
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13675.874918241132
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1230:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.174623094854191, b_new = 1.4199099798244066, c_new = 0.6591476165209704
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9026.751978209824
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1231:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2845316057728207, b_new = 1.0279328766443163, c_new = -0.3318599295517921
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10536.63636038316
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1232:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4908122911697927, b_new = 1.2255019931563036, c_new = -0.7527930661503832
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7059.116986970873
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1233:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.922414244144338, b_new = 1.4314174555309793, c_new = -2.090318733645894
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3607.67589842287
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1234:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8748865151735705, b_new = 1.742940835390907, c_new = 0.04198765592833276
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12769.750439512049
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1235:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1361013741810835, b_new = 1.0990676995423023, c_new = -0.7699300051013853
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12043.801867424958
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1236:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0893120525364934, b_new = 0.7103302892631429, c_new = -0.9698412724247927
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -4777.14588999521
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1237:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.176951025509978, b_new = 0.5333961574743189, c_new = -0.08447541167117645
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6279.25746441901
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1238:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.509046033427459, b_new = 0.2535501741820677, c_new = -0.40764585255038116
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9096.128301650893
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1239:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8344442444798226, b_new = 1.0614922757695404, c_new = -0.6263522134104591
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13927.170812346696
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1240:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6894895509469254, b_new = 1.0694362952917638, c_new = 0.7626086606882136
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3664.668144825252
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1241:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.255901039700815, b_new = 0.9085245039987544, c_new = -1.4351007852508593
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -8506.57918254217
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1242:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.00791372636675, b_new = 1.2991208504575082, c_new = 0.6940122137225859
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5076.120810673301
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1243:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.129949309902466, b_new = 1.2658911043183982, c_new = -0.677835181401939
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11807.445849060094
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1244:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.245559205752057, b_new = 0.6421470032637621, c_new = 0.03431700948739558
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -8099.314852708332
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1245:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.307183090999186, b_new = 1.5015318690669819, c_new = -0.8447721670913722
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10774.217768424141
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1246:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9662095583606405, b_new = 0.24049739007147675, c_new = 0.14144371507318082
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3154.015981857628
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1247:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.820521776152659, b_new = 1.488077824043021, c_new = -0.6070266810219591
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3150.6027833336198
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1248:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.110438824819875, b_new = 0.48576839473229594, c_new = -0.39037288849488955
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12999.387456501256
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1249:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5978889253545847, b_new = 0.7886386943508947, c_new = -0.06335703153842015
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5793.356156328598
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1250:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3791508491689934, b_new = 1.5406185588794805, c_new = 0.6299094069718045
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7818.886757977876
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1251:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3012213727711464, b_new = 1.2497996752934388, c_new = -0.5089637842802812
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10313.204636656508
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1252:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.124389377572135, b_new = 0.9613701811385844, c_new = 0.0025686106546616294
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6329.751779959234
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1253:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2233128364027444, b_new = 0.773908831092389, c_new = -0.008033111208939903
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11533.54704160033
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1254:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.475742378148319, b_new = 0.8323194671822114, c_new = 0.19392552755066766
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11638.2609939505
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1255:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.951546543361616, b_new = 1.153361021208954, c_new = -0.03920834785467936
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3825.4120218093476
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1256:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1218446770962482, b_new = 1.092437978482503, c_new = 0.3177706224240909
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -11824.45320467672
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1257:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1563750819317096, b_new = 1.9997706189380688, c_new = -0.1321515319924938
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9923.841688268993
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1258:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.546296506193615, b_new = 1.8347724156022311, c_new = -0.5305422561460338
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -13299.495258015018
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1259:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.62843865419305, b_new = 0.7808155387211715, c_new = -0.2758167189669164
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12596.568146572856
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1260:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4673163259546724, b_new = 0.45608326063594984, c_new = 0.24543488242934636
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -10986.271594913174
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1261:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.408109655006154, b_new = 1.477098226843201, c_new = -0.8373654028842112
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -8003.045664385956
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1262:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.504668816816249, b_new = 1.5113280646941085, c_new = 0.2418233446426356
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -12816.684817925572
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1263:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.553224619445679, b_new = 1.1998550824533003, c_new = 0.11794096999096271
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5589.466707002704
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1264:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.518184613125717, b_new = 0.5298069379692384, c_new = 0.14795607020172796
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7980.875235358393
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1265:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8045771710027383, b_new = 1.3768257445168857, c_new = -0.894261644319599
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -14038.883997379357
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1266:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.360470256487771, b_new = 0.9816508757776493, c_new = -0.8850091082354468
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -9879.421486391704
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1267:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.146297855035384, b_new = 1.626792858801343, c_new = -0.33157116060365727
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -8626.492043513425
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1268:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4557367723638324, b_new = 1.4368006180595194, c_new = -0.25487853738616506
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -7011.634038836845
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1269:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5185424377337764, b_new = 1.210016814339654, c_new = -0.23171724915773168
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -6354.465387276105
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1270:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6986071791188646, b_new = 1.1585162376785993, c_new = -0.7910314572426258
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3751.2583244803836
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1271:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.070342193309756, b_new = 1.2391030119010733, c_new = -0.1977548757408875
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -5853.019937759013
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1272:
Current coefficients: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8304703952289705, b_new = 1.0608558961612269, c_new = 0.3261740813692356
Current likelihood: -3082.307621647761
Proposed likelihood: -3072.7594666886544
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.829197991681727, b = 1.0789335201772192, c = -0.34812238487778774
Iteration 1273:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8304703952289705, b = 1.0608558961612269, c = 0.3261740813692356
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1817012992197924, b_new = 0.5952480772366961, c_new = 0.8805218258693617
Current likelihood: -3072.7594666886544
Proposed likelihood: -11902.765067885832
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8304703952289705, b = 1.0608558961612269, c = 0.3261740813692356
Iteration 1274:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8304703952289705, b = 1.0608558961612269, c = 0.3261740813692356
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0283849069551647, b_new = 1.5655262985926222, c_new = 1.0143191925304322
Current likelihood: -3072.7594666886544
Proposed likelihood: -6281.452484455648
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8304703952289705, b = 1.0608558961612269, c = 0.3261740813692356
Iteration 1275:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8304703952289705, b = 1.0608558961612269, c = 0.3261740813692356
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.298929418582665, b_new = 0.9616013857644883, c_new = -0.49135563804420596
Current likelihood: -3072.7594666886544
Proposed likelihood: -10551.669712648518
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8304703952289705, b = 1.0608558961612269, c = 0.3261740813692356
Iteration 1276:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8304703952289705, b = 1.0608558961612269, c = 0.3261740813692356
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7107945224007146, b_new = 1.1994839780323403, c_new = -0.1961300604246789
Current likelihood: -3072.7594666886544
Proposed likelihood: -3486.9369523951345
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8304703952289705, b = 1.0608558961612269, c = 0.3261740813692356
Iteration 1277:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8304703952289705, b = 1.0608558961612269, c = 0.3261740813692356
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4921620679923056, b_new = 0.7170483196364581, c_new = 1.0262237611790468
Current likelihood: -3072.7594666886544
Proposed likelihood: -11824.297998992173
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8304703952289705, b = 1.0608558961612269, c = 0.3261740813692356
Iteration 1278:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8304703952289705, b = 1.0608558961612269, c = 0.3261740813692356
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9982674981229294, b_new = 1.4275575807004963, c_new = 0.881169389244272
Current likelihood: -3072.7594666886544
Proposed likelihood: -12128.235478043262
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8304703952289705, b = 1.0608558961612269, c = 0.3261740813692356
Iteration 1279:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8304703952289705, b = 1.0608558961612269, c = 0.3261740813692356
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.646922023264795, b_new = 0.7205987263755231, c_new = -0.6188075525957917
Current likelihood: -3072.7594666886544
Proposed likelihood: -5231.920027055728
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8304703952289705, b = 1.0608558961612269, c = 0.3261740813692356
Iteration 1280:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8304703952289705, b = 1.0608558961612269, c = 0.3261740813692356
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5343323104812034, b_new = 1.022263815709976, c_new = 0.008776798609862524
Current likelihood: -3072.7594666886544
Proposed likelihood: -6429.6504534614605
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8304703952289705, b = 1.0608558961612269, c = 0.3261740813692356
Iteration 1281:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8304703952289705, b = 1.0608558961612269, c = 0.3261740813692356
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.851407095665822, b_new = 0.5703246614746713, c_new = 0.8759465838346145
Current likelihood: -3072.7594666886544
Proposed likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8304703952289705, b = 1.0608558961612269, c = 0.3261740813692356
Iteration 1282:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.608070682031829, b_new = 1.1480854252794352, c_new = 0.14386948900656882
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -4736.104214834186
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1283:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5083020609061393, b_new = 0.19320984667550817, c_new = 0.8541870170702563
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -8735.56126885019
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1284:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.770444815171838, b_new = 0.23168266512442282, c_new = 1.098027990432958
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -3845.275103047151
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1285:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.700864662258235, b_new = 1.1340380121129852, c_new = 1.2567274251388802
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -13773.37698741417
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1286:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.167552128616946, b_new = -0.06959876408797727, c_new = 1.1669294101064422
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -4998.62765840919
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1287:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1766720300822615, b_new = 0.684765432996016, c_new = 1.4993982678707236
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -7267.158220725674
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1288:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8011788695974262, b_new = 0.4642135914023079, c_new = 1.122036133209034
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -14254.113135113103
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1289:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.463036913724038, b_new = -0.056240452586231116, c_new = 0.8979057854844634
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -10247.648914881527
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1290:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.090770125807893, b_new = 1.3746176499987297, c_new = 1.4473656092510916
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -11326.30764705541
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1291:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.742431743864854, b_new = 0.1574338493104871, c_new = 0.35700454261278314
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -14960.061995531683
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1292:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4764679071893063, b_new = 0.10875859757645029, c_new = 1.6146283994066937
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -9169.127868814805
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1293:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0869933784551913, b_new = 0.7317182442744501, c_new = 1.15736600374406
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -5344.798349980335
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1294:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7986615993044026, b_new = 0.8618509594451155, c_new = 0.889892825764072
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -3112.3488866062185
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1295:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4906788524272736, b_new = 0.5308376673390626, c_new = 0.502379943004884
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -8343.955202950325
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1296:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8078670516620865, b_new = 1.422991876744744, c_new = -0.05851062979234056
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -3111.35592438788
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1297:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.077409755094849, b_new = 0.716496697745993, c_new = 0.42133344447924453
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -12661.439088470353
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1298:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.190528137682443, b_new = 0.3678013455111271, c_new = -0.009290214034875843
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -6154.7280133039
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1299:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3152844531660506, b_new = -0.37570860355721225, c_new = 0.49829138326327554
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -6993.7593285443145
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1300:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8833579988389824, b_new = 0.49088121582074457, c_new = 0.6357649282597401
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -13854.174817851268
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1301:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.312948585096719, b_new = 0.6314656059813086, c_new = 0.7718197711710444
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -10568.794844691576
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1302:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097195780469756, b_new = 0.578361215484463, c_new = 1.0269506783151543
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -5138.015648608678
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1303:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.282045571589155, b_new = -0.20948336136472656, c_new = 0.4047339930427573
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -6706.1950145809315
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1304:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.303826613331694, b_new = 0.9089464437507855, c_new = 0.4878253145170982
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -9949.803773075444
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1305:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.35527379028692, b_new = 1.2908751136426189, c_new = 0.31428091019556537
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -8859.303892265969
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1306:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4900436640212678, b_new = 1.3594678182833864, c_new = 1.2031475404781125
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -12762.4129519026
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1307:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0534283604608765, b_new = -0.1258567400275179, c_new = 0.6965189597373225
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -13799.710327714176
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1308:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1608204134744393, b_new = 0.11544984086151105, c_new = 1.245294769144269
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -5309.394283516524
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1309:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.337529975683563, b_new = 0.6592764939698353, c_new = 0.5308417494439841
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -9917.218308254269
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1310:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2695245118371314, b_new = 0.484707658576968, c_new = 0.6843089821372434
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -8396.002169447509
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1311:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9080791491076097, b_new = 0.5595576345187279, c_new = 0.8939458009305117
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -3102.5714420969725
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1312:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.690195290147729, b_new = 0.842667728492621, c_new = 0.816183529703843
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -3949.007756005335
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1313:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.156545055213866, b_new = 0.22553314305491745, c_new = 0.4843462340648907
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -12761.46226416864
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1314:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4212185706562366, b_new = 1.4347104671901856, c_new = 1.5503309152983464
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -12448.489121792016
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1315:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4272022762356933, b_new = 0.05197354407180077, c_new = 0.6268896136078725
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -10365.856895979414
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1316:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.19309775340997, b_new = 1.1437292110753472, c_new = 1.1481917557907877
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -8825.430045488096
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1317:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.476367193269737, b_new = 0.42179860910356803, c_new = 2.1954054084051586
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -8217.348049331604
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1318:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6950696881707468, b_new = 1.0190290550225352, c_new = 1.4669963903257335
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -3558.623681697193
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1319:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0476156308852587, b_new = 1.0468305117279257, c_new = 0.10378942993620077
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -5043.956815204529
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1320:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5771314397334333, b_new = 1.3866451098149353, c_new = 1.3364977370546742
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -4457.712574546069
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1321:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.423006055623791, b_new = 0.4165885276994673, c_new = 1.4481833923556333
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -10788.731912854098
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1322:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8966710396431945, b_new = 0.18297633663161583, c_new = 0.38757699469918055
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -3122.588607169497
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1323:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.666257183435205, b_new = 0.4089455774044009, c_new = 0.551807792783104
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -12574.599563668273
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1324:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6267305556716827, b_new = 0.4025723775822472, c_new = 0.037078827577060824
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -6168.18313678545
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1325:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.56952841035903, b_new = 0.2678984871339568, c_new = 0.3254104162241038
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -7595.033249727243
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1326:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.579576336227586, b_new = -0.05866020399944105, c_new = 0.9622293826370015
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -11410.423698981202
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1327:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.361641314419122, b_new = 0.1654201829993221, c_new = 1.2967166893206905
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -10703.802884989645
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1328:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097255423741976, b_new = 0.0621652627610525, c_new = 1.1042735156803982
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -4152.0254508161825
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1329:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9841616199067817, b_new = 1.7774671689094852, c_new = 1.6463427105647521
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -11555.885957634357
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1330:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.620479032567613, b_new = 1.1744460251818145, c_new = 1.137554200543481
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -13355.5590054065
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1331:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7592954693310427, b_new = 0.26114507790802116, c_new = 0.8108200199704122
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -13029.26388057184
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1332:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1805216226537087, b_new = 0.7194040849882569, c_new = 0.45689145508384327
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -7059.301413034596
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1333:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4747674872544927, b_new = 0.2274766175047092, c_new = 1.3235515210660957
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -9031.953198792095
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1334:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3902171896411972, b_new = -0.10107288064483588, c_new = 1.3519691020652733
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -9324.714872622973
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1335:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2927424978734896, b_new = 0.2712421377335263, c_new = 0.23844749102908713
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -11632.24923568016
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1336:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.689353296144026, b_new = 0.06962382519177657, c_new = 0.4057740101583438
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -5634.351752976222
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1337:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6949054444240477, b_new = 0.8748301776763011, c_new = 0.9838813761130499
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -3815.553319526298
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1338:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0078484943512245, b_new = 0.40738172772524495, c_new = 0.5306499966111077
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -3545.696419513182
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1339:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4512772146872184, b_new = 0.5237304835154264, c_new = 1.3090057706759661
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -8725.766663862476
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1340:
Current coefficients: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9252461054697156, b_new = 0.21782890897834173, c_new = 1.1810488819407097
Current likelihood: -3072.4471672186446
Proposed likelihood: -3059.6675406696513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.851407095665822, b = 0.5703246614746713, c = 0.8759465838346145
Iteration 1341:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9252461054697156, b = 0.21782890897834173, c = 1.1810488819407097
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.622117876358771, b_new = 1.2475431725013304, c_new = 1.6801497033634931
Current likelihood: -3059.6675406696513
Proposed likelihood: -4007.199354425495
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9252461054697156, b = 0.21782890897834173, c = 1.1810488819407097
Iteration 1342:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9252461054697156, b = 0.21782890897834173, c = 1.1810488819407097
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.048288250067874, b_new = 0.607550885561145, c_new = 1.0828784518368917
Current likelihood: -3059.6675406696513
Proposed likelihood: -4407.315078912303
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9252461054697156, b = 0.21782890897834173, c = 1.1810488819407097
Iteration 1343:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9252461054697156, b = 0.21782890897834173, c = 1.1810488819407097
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2594850227483363, b_new = -0.9196181387020478, c_new = 0.7855338024203226
Current likelihood: -3059.6675406696513
Proposed likelihood: -4747.93390549945
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9252461054697156, b = 0.21782890897834173, c = 1.1810488819407097
Iteration 1344:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9252461054697156, b = 0.21782890897834173, c = 1.1810488819407097
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.072492433174032, b_new = -0.4371654918040411, c_new = 1.5517252627249332
Current likelihood: -3059.6675406696513
Proposed likelihood: -13813.136345669243
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9252461054697156, b = 0.21782890897834173, c = 1.1810488819407097
Iteration 1345:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9252461054697156, b = 0.21782890897834173, c = 1.1810488819407097
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1281826254059846, b_new = 0.7906307074439419, c_new = 0.34174745601804646
Current likelihood: -3059.6675406696513
Proposed likelihood: -6062.6168625077435
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9252461054697156, b = 0.21782890897834173, c = 1.1810488819407097
Iteration 1346:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9252461054697156, b = 0.21782890897834173, c = 1.1810488819407097
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0258576030090247, b_new = -0.021442447494071704, c_new = 0.9725298330839847
Current likelihood: -3059.6675406696513
Proposed likelihood: -3331.189803504005
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9252461054697156, b = 0.21782890897834173, c = 1.1810488819407097
Iteration 1347:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9252461054697156, b = 0.21782890897834173, c = 1.1810488819407097
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7161243596950673, b_new = 0.13208507782832452, c_new = 0.7769073315940951
Current likelihood: -3059.6675406696513
Proposed likelihood: -12610.070670449128
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9252461054697156, b = 0.21782890897834173, c = 1.1810488819407097
Iteration 1348:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9252461054697156, b = 0.21782890897834173, c = 1.1810488819407097
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6375986993904275, b_new = -0.22494577810675348, c_new = 0.39482523453520824
Current likelihood: -3059.6675406696513
Proposed likelihood: -7528.12495443718
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9252461054697156, b = 0.21782890897834173, c = 1.1810488819407097
Iteration 1349:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9252461054697156, b = 0.21782890897834173, c = 1.1810488819407097
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3293326451949388, b_new = 0.128311402525915, c_new = 1.8116590214017685
Current likelihood: -3059.6675406696513
Proposed likelihood: -9008.855749664366
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9252461054697156, b = 0.21782890897834173, c = 1.1810488819407097
Iteration 1350:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9252461054697156, b = 0.21782890897834173, c = 1.1810488819407097
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8465982910205394, b_new = 0.6551654196353432, c_new = 1.27291073622315
Current likelihood: -3059.6675406696513
Proposed likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9252461054697156, b = 0.21782890897834173, c = 1.1810488819407097
Iteration 1351:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0104442587828073, b_new = 1.1469252884917247, c_new = 0.9416414701956255
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4853.486355591867
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1352:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8370582375442264, b_new = 0.14338581991082988, c_new = 1.5106847517572979
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3289.2996434675474
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1353:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2937993344774203, b_new = 1.416459818226145, c_new = 2.1585967441096945
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -8857.931487854872
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1354:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.997779631201754, b_new = 0.8679119810062237, c_new = 1.6620685000175341
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -12636.273704167237
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1355:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7757313245484676, b_new = 1.6448257727260698, c_new = 1.4508798780737924
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -14656.743757742317
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1356:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4453322540389664, b_new = 0.7253921941208202, c_new = 1.2232596283213963
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -8382.859827653821
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1357:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6413163445710293, b_new = 0.21499930160776026, c_new = 1.5128822530720079
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5804.171733727831
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1358:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.607085666172089, b_new = -0.15266841245698903, c_new = 1.503760798713249
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -7487.4596993465975
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1359:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6026092537910417, b_new = 1.7089816923575771, c_new = 2.1397058363711334
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -14110.088123858
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1360:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1852856966412677, b_new = 1.0004464729804787, c_new = 0.5270198506346468
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -11342.536063983935
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1361:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.586033530421993, b_new = 0.2879438521897849, c_new = 1.1388553448171885
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -6872.695826719432
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1362:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6140995245549323, b_new = 1.5461930946896283, c_new = 2.2799230520476317
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3636.6040632511276
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1363:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4378419934923063, b_new = 1.4372056508302213, c_new = 1.237065528061699
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -6822.047918366603
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1364:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.227835015679909, b_new = -0.13029836776029258, c_new = 1.2423619428087276
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -6039.0200516579
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1365:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1033207908647027, b_new = 0.4466345924630218, c_new = 0.9991012559413308
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4947.377716419507
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1366:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4735316105309213, b_new = 0.937168811737908, c_new = 0.3968579072563321
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -11828.251516643104
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1367:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0789636063957344, b_new = 0.5830449982338466, c_new = 1.529034871003522
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4966.501180465102
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1368:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.598965928158817, b_new = 1.0755810392161456, c_new = 1.2797470802376578
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -13139.696190714723
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1369:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545675360272278, b_new = 1.3164706781186963, c_new = 0.6792450208077827
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5283.744182954746
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1370:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6021681161902066, b_new = -0.1621556056181691, c_new = 0.5287483053722893
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -8031.625961783911
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1371:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8601543897416972, b_new = 0.392857436412779, c_new = 1.7819801343573256
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -13893.38080115998
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1372:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.856667621541302, b_new = 0.1202384698856972, c_new = 1.855321338883234
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3161.959024439746
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1373:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.12307928660873, b_new = 0.910432511755563, c_new = 0.7204469218951878
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -6414.0646450069235
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1374:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.017444860715492, b_new = 0.5571411741670333, c_new = 1.3191401112710952
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3958.0172413350692
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1375:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0900756295690877, b_new = 0.19203510580211125, c_new = 1.0344195245366234
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4256.727404987397
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1376:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5980149819974976, b_new = 0.9592589709405406, c_new = 0.9727898639516968
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -12912.486208781993
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1377:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5069330552833895, b_new = -0.2382349751823124, c_new = 0.5089927612310579
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -10321.726704311171
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1378:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.893263406665163, b_new = 0.6396985463284484, c_new = 0.6344504440523873
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3085.938163362
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1379:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7592673746661807, b_new = 0.6755540790316105, c_new = 0.669033836986347
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -13454.364684381297
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1380:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1865918634401855, b_new = -0.05871278767755517, c_new = 1.303853197287804
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5406.277860072867
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1381:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3868549239187002, b_new = 0.3629398859208463, c_new = 1.8410101106945145
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -9812.162140155904
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1382:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1001912069831894, b_new = 0.764887239242853, c_new = 0.6828709080369957
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -12354.369018954247
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1383:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5587775090306333, b_new = 0.9703114815977568, c_new = 1.0617429512457528
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5711.867466454997
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1384:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1132936797083626, b_new = 0.7160894281274109, c_new = 1.6088169538079264
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5981.8924339335335
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1385:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0848384533804527, b_new = 1.0061910501444755, c_new = 1.3736707307201426
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -11927.171064632563
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1386:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4600550658713165, b_new = 0.2476889711523299, c_new = 1.5545808815923574
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -9129.595235685785
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1387:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5123249496076028, b_new = 1.400058645686486, c_new = 1.2800231863593767
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -12990.163043567929
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1388:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.594735461573398, b_new = 1.7483162976899176, c_new = 2.0550176910855793
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -16736.230786989086
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1389:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.09070226012728, b_new = 0.8284838430339916, c_new = 1.2231937892811895
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5677.402375364842
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1390:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8039669419295254, b_new = 1.5575134374469992, c_new = 0.5591115786669525
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -14497.538251384723
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1391:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.33619026803047, b_new = 1.28563591731925, c_new = 1.0835412958533028
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -11281.770830921592
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1392:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3695287128996463, b_new = 0.6751319045476802, c_new = 1.751940108768734
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -10745.393985425306
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1393:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6895554784361124, b_new = -0.20494888510321796, c_new = 2.3051701083038667
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5624.46584790564
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1394:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.972249616620263, b_new = 0.10341243058801675, c_new = 1.2739675426631838
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -13800.189489597327
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1395:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7955590329083435, b_new = 0.5303520100740001, c_new = 2.4882642332777953
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -13888.304042106362
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1396:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.560197998405099, b_new = 0.2430498359326922, c_new = 1.057456569621024
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -7547.746832482861
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1397:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3977015293221484, b_new = 0.823742612899408, c_new = 1.548967765291156
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -11259.626835566163
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1398:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.876578189954564, b_new = 1.2899506337509048, c_new = 1.2916114208541245
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3485.803132932371
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1399:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3935844354205678, b_new = 0.771506013856888, c_new = 1.8797958887279136
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -8863.059269122396
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1400:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.421231240943952, b_new = 0.9792508015957155, c_new = 1.6238526049409794
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -11769.916595170851
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1401:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7746720242451195, b_new = 0.6801263281207622, c_new = 1.626179094116766
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3251.7926712059675
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1402:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7110111675129507, b_new = -0.021611309605555462, c_new = 0.037344634425580336
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5582.606421604597
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1403:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4626089713614308, b_new = 0.9900738543794243, c_new = 0.9264749042640725
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -7552.717556279313
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1404:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.473012994317549, b_new = 0.2245117646471741, c_new = 1.5608108816643302
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -11017.34774037329
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1405:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.568183578347109, b_new = -0.5720674446282957, c_new = 0.826471530254424
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -9637.930292403644
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1406:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.119838041891673, b_new = -0.08218835632900878, c_new = 1.562930640946592
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4309.655153238437
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1407:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3871980888601714, b_new = 0.7783598455400123, c_new = 1.361425438005626
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -9119.023886667626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1408:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.851391377589724, b_new = -0.049910849848164296, c_new = 0.7261367407918043
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3487.688474773742
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1409:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4711078687680383, b_new = 0.8848828680011421, c_new = 1.0519073413945828
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -7609.008038777567
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1410:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.798478179252948, b_new = 0.49508991396922647, c_new = 2.150008757796288
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3194.2293125494757
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1411:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4663460702826208, b_new = 0.8156261609861901, c_new = 0.9211225576111419
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -11722.289521556595
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1412:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.692239861629302, b_new = 0.1907165019721549, c_new = 1.5707400450555542
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4903.311964997229
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1413:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.878461700301866, b_new = 0.21469683079391216, c_new = 1.0074193234251538
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3109.419309050153
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1414:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.872229695805944, b_new = 0.9601706047666911, c_new = 0.8024383504137109
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3150.3184708927365
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1415:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.21354315657954, b_new = 1.0996912644897168, c_new = 0.9458990620361019
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -10760.391686330277
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1416:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.903827588285798, b_new = 0.1897357463691413, c_new = 1.2867576363536404
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3053.1372820279744
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1417:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3580030183796943, b_new = 0.8242038344063306, c_new = 1.5600541395793743
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -9359.375446834196
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1418:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6273106119348917, b_new = 0.6071369324809953, c_new = 1.5499793910614184
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5130.164838264048
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1419:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7429644011288614, b_new = -0.06053803874044483, c_new = 0.8772338311985763
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -12572.429136688192
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1420:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.227478938720794, b_new = 0.17324723739058884, c_new = 1.5420498258319293
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -15013.84246064763
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1421:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.40779188339562, b_new = 1.6506844825516103, c_new = 1.0177474785498428
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -6941.334263441369
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1422:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.030722006045538, b_new = 0.7838024721186531, c_new = 1.1532933212479395
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -12671.820953729764
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1423:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.478162995107305, b_new = -0.44800927696354964, c_new = 2.2476429960519075
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -10129.559215362313
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1424:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2323670973091576, b_new = 1.4785983163259155, c_new = 1.0368769352431988
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -9847.106774612606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1425:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5391570620698607, b_new = 0.4382539030629305, c_new = 2.0910563851582227
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -12086.27292861051
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1426:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.102427067275863, b_new = 0.35759938767463156, c_new = 0.8131156771426697
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4700.232194934228
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1427:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9070594071225075, b_new = 1.1306979114493916, c_new = 1.0733423253943093
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -14622.95918474114
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1428:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374847139893425, b_new = 0.8657096281389994, c_new = 1.0648262028599722
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -10945.51613740916
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1429:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.75743754442336, b_new = 0.29184952769187383, c_new = 1.0202073473275677
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3924.34057302386
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1430:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.784857638567164, b_new = 0.9835700194923624, c_new = 0.8526289293718594
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3113.577145604788
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1431:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5902510599422155, b_new = 0.5112618953910313, c_new = 1.4218070908626381
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -12396.71060291712
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1432:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545133312602768, b_new = 1.1416602348520724, c_new = 1.7875650441893947
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5346.870155247935
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1433:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2944640917740258, b_new = 1.0411880286370452, c_new = 0.5861725149913336
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -10131.932198723953
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1434:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1342878251605115, b_new = 0.2180034128804934, c_new = 1.1779616459146214
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5039.850334442585
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1435:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7089414121933628, b_new = 0.24790718527555022, c_new = 1.337247360824856
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -14754.034786313236
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1436:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.468737202174446, b_new = 0.16904055790896266, c_new = 1.3311184514606191
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -9258.827078134464
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1437:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3915853099231965, b_new = 0.4476215191264312, c_new = 1.314164077655437
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -9762.95541451067
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1438:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0382613953002786, b_new = 0.9214197903683634, c_new = 1.1568243549884523
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4898.5037998655025
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1439:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6208191932018283, b_new = 0.8456716997878375, c_new = 1.3036904392763022
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4809.136835032592
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1440:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.786731455466231, b_new = -0.2620015669009378, c_new = 0.9551208288415803
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4502.876088347599
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1441:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8190406462563287, b_new = 0.40461931587326927, c_new = 0.4043352768689308
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3339.660188800217
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1442:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0388211789314257, b_new = 0.5194710156758022, c_new = 1.4030727807271186
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4187.852516570123
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1443:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.12623023513946, b_new = 0.9133715100693207, c_new = 1.5578052729162568
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -11679.471386608348
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1444:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.143341856044037, b_new = 0.6249924566460792, c_new = 0.893431603483809
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -14977.443546998566
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1445:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.791619516700877, b_new = 0.5538249743565277, c_new = 2.439955650369562
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3172.115126094882
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1446:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.374339789300669, b_new = 0.9262508919265215, c_new = 1.341115726646435
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -8998.650655830883
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1447:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.851025536936968, b_new = 0.4042168643922245, c_new = 1.5260783368579314
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3082.205574284135
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1448:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.874942396329161, b_new = 0.198173966751235, c_new = 0.5697998984862467
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3169.12305648255
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1449:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.321717233274083, b_new = 0.862515406017683, c_new = 1.2181692623620786
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -9867.615892387788
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1450:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.616508520857765, b_new = 0.6996212071428621, c_new = 1.5875645582375455
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5106.543046755272
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1451:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4426958480023937, b_new = 0.5512500630221998, c_new = 0.7633771386091643
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -11033.72683260674
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1452:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1798369649809204, b_new = 0.5796468495598828, c_new = 1.870761156442085
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -7176.92923583379
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1453:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4201318249524673, b_new = 0.5879619852941977, c_new = 2.1118668659319972
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -11252.620148710468
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1454:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.427060649839939, b_new = 0.3536366496710593, c_new = 1.3758169011638681
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -10701.40126057937
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1455:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.351508525913708, b_new = -0.03556717099782081, c_new = 0.5902717976636948
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -11451.25743469835
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1456:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.556380641056431, b_new = 1.081843577076088, c_new = 0.3459641281850472
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5732.324861491748
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1457:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.540895477090607, b_new = 0.7897019534134768, c_new = 0.4008521800782714
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -6749.753060681056
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1458:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6097448135582035, b_new = 0.8382351468740028, c_new = 1.30334105242747
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5010.279958101461
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1459:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5473940489057543, b_new = 0.03565128304343412, c_new = 2.089826079754591
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -11560.69077666748
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1460:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.974343199737544, b_new = 0.945813883747219, c_new = 0.42348061299896245
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3865.4534015215922
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1461:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8361299266189812, b_new = 0.0010582166591254216, c_new = 0.5821922139637592
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3587.518524922718
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1462:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.743465956719418, b_new = 0.7810971835913839, c_new = 1.1385070259796066
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3439.3766161406074
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1463:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.366551901263352, b_new = 0.5783549825281609, c_new = 0.4332753171463427
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -10140.389511506508
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1464:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.298656965772633, b_new = 1.1009311025036514, c_new = 1.6679655102779116
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -10676.937236896745
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1465:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2633938367813595, b_new = 0.6214515035311355, c_new = 1.1046856830592096
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -11021.496999636567
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1466:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.274019190710409, b_new = 1.3088562004272288, c_new = 1.983060051102734
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -10892.184403125628
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1467:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5568631012367202, b_new = 0.9577661835197276, c_new = 0.7657082309972703
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -12584.94074426428
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1468:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0136470576251284, b_new = -0.19970372509772838, c_new = 1.4196068148245509
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -13886.98501811371
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1469:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.387876896488074, b_new = 1.1620037191126802, c_new = 0.7570475446852664
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -8487.329852348947
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1470:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7693157599691904, b_new = -0.0466936251279253, c_new = 1.6643160532813306
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4162.9108427168485
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1471:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8839064053705714, b_new = 0.4636325386178649, c_new = 1.5026714276095885
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -14007.799840868396
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1472:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4187372090914274, b_new = 0.646329235479146, c_new = 0.5988783620701972
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -9219.844657542355
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1473:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2631697891775677, b_new = 0.5843985142299978, c_new = 1.8319942616816265
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -8961.301398395242
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1474:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4520871889761446, b_new = 0.7675686664678546, c_new = 1.7760892256268053
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -11757.887428027214
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1475:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3695058942415517, b_new = 0.3799032439587839, c_new = 1.5494305439044473
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -10101.222712583123
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1476:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.089241012447278, b_new = 0.19517632426901071, c_new = 1.1438412302397842
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4272.591112491691
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1477:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.695638548666319, b_new = 1.625542359559871, c_new = 0.6993146063222777
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3187.4729631832433
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1478:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.531850970016582, b_new = -0.11633370840439095, c_new = 1.4701829345023036
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -8847.989625388322
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1479:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.752046272295443, b_new = -0.5231879806820109, c_new = 1.2927894225216654
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5572.866668173513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1480:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9378830156737568, b_new = 0.5436587962572521, c_new = 0.913516884515184
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3212.076109656786
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1481:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7776220946553614, b_new = 0.6066049846247943, c_new = 1.2045283587303395
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3337.0112218038703
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1482:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.792850562651369, b_new = 0.9982432754028654, c_new = 1.3028702133938628
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3074.281032850501
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1483:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6878918366077422, b_new = 0.5408756007864013, c_new = 2.2361723384420658
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4138.584976423623
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1484:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9846468061640605, b_new = 0.4008456620446834, c_new = 1.207307052112842
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3422.553188623081
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1485:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.865899685205321, b_new = 0.3217536733919674, c_new = 1.4202813805774483
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3077.345661666365
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1486:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7822724670654693, b_new = 0.29699906973511125, c_new = 1.612415964910654
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3543.9245679692194
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1487:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7822132566016426, b_new = -0.3234247312858032, c_new = 1.4978672578813725
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -12643.59411855605
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1488:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.575202511421888, b_new = 1.322582669937317, c_new = 1.0508294292904272
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4672.3188209285145
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1489:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.006717463354217, b_new = 0.1588458887489358, c_new = 1.7331406372118439
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3418.3825600720393
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1490:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4441500604266078, b_new = 0.7638209927036679, c_new = 1.6911349167181997
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -8142.410771248131
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1491:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.570710809949789, b_new = 0.8199777805932981, c_new = 0.6240260770858083
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5997.531059538869
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1492:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1716482399536874, b_new = 0.4840010718310579, c_new = 0.35023135814281114
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -12320.4036009292
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1493:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1443953486795926, b_new = 0.4892425613389417, c_new = 1.7988198043458632
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -6099.549982948689
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1494:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.398704100121862, b_new = 0.4470099615165828, c_new = 0.86673791684339
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -9830.472318559669
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1495:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1533405508872865, b_new = 0.43450653809109296, c_new = 1.4565380452881418
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -6023.661400498419
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1496:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.598901264137102, b_new = 1.2579998319657388, c_new = 1.999548381008934
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -13545.0201073135
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1497:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5207999699949375, b_new = 0.8646677816807579, c_new = 1.3138023186363363
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -6617.177965611431
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1498:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7387558709164614, b_new = 0.23534116385336945, c_new = 1.122594595069444
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4229.451914635285
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1499:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.558589632602268, b_new = 0.7995444753811546, c_new = 1.8439040329145695
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -12663.025796708644
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1500:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1511760011133183, b_new = 0.594390531303315, c_new = 0.931472200790439
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -12135.836288397999
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1501:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.071350382191214, b_new = 0.363565980976919, c_new = 1.3819823635780188
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4365.92091389143
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1502:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2863431814667163, b_new = 0.6947886836946311, c_new = 1.7576729608836665
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -9624.577151439562
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1503:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0254863157282967, b_new = 0.6359856805555046, c_new = 1.4788552453855015
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4222.801169371163
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1504:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8686214670959393, b_new = -0.2332128601390996, c_new = 1.1267021715543144
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3473.2340148310595
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1505:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2174757968751955, b_new = 0.8570972198665127, c_new = 1.4603910536141138
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -8647.994753926647
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1506:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.904266238141251, b_new = 1.0767669465295802, c_new = 1.7944399451664848
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3556.358313591087
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1507:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2804663693979537, b_new = 1.2591960439008822, c_new = 2.572622264500824
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -11078.684947754624
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1508:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9860222061617634, b_new = 0.5328587785218046, c_new = -0.18177884766642038
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -13648.390989502584
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1509:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.189974953582529, b_new = 1.065816305533973, c_new = 1.8106764236954787
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -10788.506707478347
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1510:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.243842013458273, b_new = 1.0886241719070915, c_new = 0.8883655799881585
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -9547.373688022679
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1511:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.119754753798903, b_new = 0.4534319609333768, c_new = 1.1001359288464947
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -14813.447642898758
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1512:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0005634370606886, b_new = 0.04667448424148557, c_new = 0.22981672367025952
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3204.7399159492506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1513:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.309097766322219, b_new = 1.2123278567059552, c_new = 1.5156480694308487
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -9250.727208089038
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1514:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7871353069296307, b_new = 0.35686213124201943, c_new = 1.0532056927842586
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -13343.36243507377
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1515:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4423437781027104, b_new = 1.089443157053242, c_new = 1.7587746025458384
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -12164.964789888436
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1516:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5806996308832484, b_new = -0.08232523729134378, c_new = 1.7652615683561816
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -7723.255054610784
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1517:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5523064529794628, b_new = 0.8769713883149152, c_new = 0.7479091708138802
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -14902.598211949058
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1518:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.129303544672512, b_new = 0.7288618004402991, c_new = 1.0097787648925858
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -15031.620495018788
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1519:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7109662099175775, b_new = 0.34479498741128795, c_new = 2.22572039392236
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4153.850134304245
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1520:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9291900778684705, b_new = 0.5396722477656956, c_new = 1.4035529804518405
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3198.6174779690755
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1521:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2222786095140243, b_new = -0.09647255016847989, c_new = 1.1601140225897497
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -12523.51077706813
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1522:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.058599414361381, b_new = 0.3389864922105856, c_new = 1.6532930718947085
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4202.032661089254
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1523:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9159756954858596, b_new = 0.9508284907566966, c_new = 1.5689368968203683
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3480.459382566245
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1524:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.917719750295546, b_new = 1.776456010799821, c_new = 1.4275871408322995
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4812.027328973227
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1525:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4961988699637203, b_new = 0.7073225883202504, c_new = 1.5321585577383603
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -11979.168185380851
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1526:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9983490876367074, b_new = 0.5891473086109276, c_new = 1.712319521007303
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3854.489869253216
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1527:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6006334454731403, b_new = 1.0294391628815631, c_new = 1.0448356163044534
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -13034.506055529182
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1528:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.813392668797778, b_new = 0.44984468663111987, c_new = 1.0395188377536713
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3255.713168728153
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1529:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9876186126999422, b_new = -0.062329472280773235, c_new = 1.4424022007395079
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -13859.697270294262
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1530:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.345979507464809, b_new = 0.8860127734603589, c_new = 1.966491373880678
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -9261.251552981492
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1531:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.224123353084771, b_new = 1.113100595791332, c_new = 0.9321974138491411
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -10628.805830581603
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1532:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1710846284416916, b_new = 0.7840830856746285, c_new = 1.0937349890157868
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -7273.229100188382
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1533:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0604593614115427, b_new = 1.0118797031440943, c_new = 1.057281704841622
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5485.882284442472
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1534:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6069665010063248, b_new = 0.3086997386852364, c_new = 0.5169204032860385
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -6633.7600744001775
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1535:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9591545116456413, b_new = 0.7743638006258904, c_new = 1.8100165936428168
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3704.8704119838308
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1536:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4615454247599127, b_new = 1.3000551505153288, c_new = 1.540023784048087
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -12563.603511779176
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1537:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0452219877384215, b_new = -0.06746755611625455, c_new = 1.4564546941984955
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3475.720932001397
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1538:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.629062961305355, b_new = 0.7838311299954243, c_new = 0.976350132899501
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4893.453680721099
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1539:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.963270840516658, b_new = 0.16722716758286416, c_new = 0.8841436771551718
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3128.7897468612555
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1540:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.402942065287419, b_new = -0.2028246890994576, c_new = 1.3103516272915796
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -9285.35572789535
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1541:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1294128513448163, b_new = 1.1100994779002997, c_new = 1.2210722618636158
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -7336.724557578553
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1542:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9679754717181153, b_new = 1.0415900328737093, c_new = 2.011727124299333
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -12516.891434066576
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1543:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.832701297708956, b_new = 0.6028147278082042, c_new = 1.7722903194836177
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3061.2235239535394
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1544:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4814733777498383, b_new = 0.0491470727942418, c_new = 1.5102350971728349
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -9267.876287954947
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1545:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1068417375165605, b_new = 1.3914025293782561, c_new = 2.1430884430490504
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -10963.668368077917
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1546:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.383110689349542, b_new = 1.023852794438527, c_new = 1.451410802828882
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -8623.938358475265
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1547:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.475679122611073, b_new = 1.486482733622112, c_new = 0.9752236276844817
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -12771.85396692216
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1548:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3767198913633205, b_new = 0.02904436125511367, c_new = 1.0607314296585646
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -10875.008768809837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1549:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.560494629655571, b_new = 1.1791593383798074, c_new = 2.126903930737521
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4910.854412507752
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1550:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.943865934763095, b_new = 0.5325847805874475, c_new = 1.1711122426008758
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3255.03747145605
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1551:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.092042957149035, b_new = -0.2891752180926068, c_new = 0.8101301978370214
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3586.7529175060695
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1552:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4218576869816917, b_new = -0.23470078853253118, c_new = 1.7238066433538997
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -9619.510512677123
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1553:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4402528814391182, b_new = 0.6210923093218954, c_new = 1.7613065040263451
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -11407.186800291343
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1554:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.270712150434413, b_new = 0.7006372296479637, c_new = 1.7809843801199046
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -9380.416440790628
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1555:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.148446944220542, b_new = 0.6969544996230042, c_new = 1.9051410983889778
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -15225.261085151393
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1556:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.636306572225094, b_new = 0.6835817967002173, c_new = 1.2886431588734921
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4889.644669761794
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1557:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.250116464079314, b_new = 0.4925320910970137, c_new = 1.294435278915474
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -11314.292356828013
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1558:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.250418632212087, b_new = 1.3411272753738084, c_new = 1.261122295414812
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -10380.040417161814
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1559:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3232257511993564, b_new = 1.6345890537631507, c_new = 0.8097986076982668
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -8436.722290975304
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1560:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5081308980466774, b_new = -0.16788873997293874, c_new = 0.6788610434836502
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -10493.806540957705
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1561:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3789965274568083, b_new = 1.2957136948013315, c_new = 1.094148267605075
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -8212.511240570788
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1562:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7029952927835263, b_new = 0.4470064920985183, c_new = 1.244727561528513
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4325.601973464254
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1563:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.437735390740351, b_new = 0.8298590764864229, c_new = 1.0987823865478956
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -8310.680141591887
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1564:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.137431756550707, b_new = 0.7958333495587636, c_new = 1.1203651179697145
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -6557.209343881022
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1565:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0594810896891036, b_new = 1.0684461208592995, c_new = 1.5642544085516223
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5781.736572528369
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1566:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4138632036961085, b_new = 1.1270205192348823, c_new = 0.7437149095143147
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -8146.7238109381615
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1567:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0744129854781215, b_new = 0.7880188303735933, c_new = 1.6636264113150587
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -12221.90588153979
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1568:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.865968278470698, b_new = -0.2569705915592272, c_new = 1.2873196417114299
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3491.823808747058
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1569:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8074199173710541, b_new = 1.5567624169247802, c_new = 1.8930769390964142
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -12897.330386258402
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1570:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.877615513690757, b_new = 0.27747705982286053, c_new = 1.3239522780798707
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -14055.953974965005
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1571:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.523094967506756, b_new = 1.070537658800213, c_new = 1.2567827817384032
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -6086.1406957436575
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1572:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5284688775156026, b_new = -0.21930552340845033, c_new = 2.065781743668826
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -8923.500796893002
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1573:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2357416432810466, b_new = 1.1038157374888606, c_new = 1.2294165036245799
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -9569.803048228812
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1574:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.64767475926796, b_new = 0.8992611765126499, c_new = 2.038283738976416
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -4138.66223468701
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1575:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6174101188398953, b_new = 1.661753389370471, c_new = 0.8022872299712354
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3675.3273123206063
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1576:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3395495509934756, b_new = -0.024733742132012182, c_new = 0.5408969121886815
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -8388.639187901168
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1577:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.135712301147053, b_new = 1.1425452978455013, c_new = 1.7785799307791221
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -11188.492138125439
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1578:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4895170142529457, b_new = 1.4532326472748966, c_new = 0.7534669734551868
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5978.749302729773
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1579:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7187238601024384, b_new = -0.04927405054834444, c_new = 1.353807852319742
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5040.243287787148
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1580:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.622897854722503, b_new = 0.657109908006939, c_new = 1.4372074247352813
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5132.723973892666
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1581:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9450303798434327, b_new = 0.3939090973401883, c_new = 2.0311724291899935
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3232.879274233797
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1582:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.73150804939024, b_new = 0.5146596813761447, c_new = 1.3803722187380574
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3824.660349831871
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1583:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7677008102489298, b_new = 1.0792546040418456, c_new = 1.894435967178664
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3092.5093301899315
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1584:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0891125476342416, b_new = 0.6704174217315219, c_new = 0.7452003998909604
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5120.617713182621
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1585:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.367708520017997, b_new = 0.954984835166979, c_new = 1.1963689579891565
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -9082.186271783308
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1586:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.152858748274225, b_new = 0.41044270534759275, c_new = 1.1862894369637673
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -5859.268785259993
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1587:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8370102061510765, b_new = 0.4379079978138957, c_new = 0.45559788772583865
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3207.267497532893
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1588:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2405716292928126, b_new = -0.0908667018490239, c_new = 0.35986613855625604
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -6132.969836002389
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1589:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6407321591852786, b_new = -0.8745492599985257, c_new = 0.5665039193583962
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -10671.177718392366
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1590:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.114982316000135, b_new = 0.7339743259011257, c_new = 1.6208006834219413
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -6070.888593912981
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1591:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.746749367270458, b_new = 1.0945552971048982, c_new = 1.4891281573755935
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3165.7064193815877
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1592:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8839613315822525, b_new = 0.48517762570496137, c_new = 2.000519439343646
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3055.31753921974
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1593:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2186665502252882, b_new = 0.6076359542537593, c_new = 0.5460509298930549
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -11666.492301581911
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1594:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7263263106645703, b_new = 0.6896131325490542, c_new = 1.295865246252731
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3667.0401029802715
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1595:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9672564922451294, b_new = -0.2537146187634953, c_new = 1.2191517583570632
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3070.312285895956
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1596:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1140619331884336, b_new = 0.7237051950398441, c_new = 1.842919194980005
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -6103.246764478311
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1597:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9012556037383233, b_new = 0.2604044004602875, c_new = 1.224839019426766
Current likelihood: -3051.992957588778
Proposed likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8465982910205394, b = 0.6551654196353432, c = 1.27291073622315
Iteration 1598:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3221895771908794, b_new = 0.4194584174925402, c_new = 2.0495882386447977
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -9662.240951272248
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1599:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2782747670828396, b_new = -0.1981575854651576, c_new = 1.1334528364653764
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -6891.306822962859
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1600:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.999608673027998, b_new = 0.49618387357021243, c_new = 1.2597017948124116
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3667.0376929183294
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1601:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.352322455893383, b_new = 0.2838918312855909, c_new = 0.5709367700841793
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -9340.199608096778
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1602:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.068683012300912, b_new = -0.4433154652425029, c_new = 1.723469782063321
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3341.8495328336403
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1603:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6373651123119988, b_new = 1.2539139112061155, c_new = 0.9147490565235353
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -13491.355055298838
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1604:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.00108047353665, b_new = 0.8054947356159885, c_new = 1.2643311602119693
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -14725.808637965125
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1605:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6628653180210256, b_new = 0.068161910562071, c_new = 1.1678938100912957
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -5875.209493909072
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1606:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7931656333665194, b_new = -0.34726291458136443, c_new = 0.8517525438494666
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -4605.292736265936
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1607:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.669810047420423, b_new = -0.2036808036349082, c_new = 1.166146858246019
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -6453.240183524883
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1608:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5825668337462586, b_new = -0.22058616976117562, c_new = 0.6929123438325039
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -8511.530817677136
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1609:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2930387063534, b_new = 0.7404376119126368, c_new = 1.1213259308667631
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -10474.34421196047
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1610:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4840416428751073, b_new = 0.20400104745437736, c_new = 1.1319254035024082
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -9010.999354070223
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1611:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2509063938432097, b_new = 0.7567264311869255, c_new = 1.6345876200523033
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -9107.109557606194
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1612:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5033566027764182, b_new = -0.4778531567128877, c_new = 2.403524847677024
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -9785.403761229885
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1613:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.158336888797918, b_new = 0.6599543111832498, c_new = 1.5910238884897903
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -6815.79139760289
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1614:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5945993388014146, b_new = -0.35104317418822345, c_new = 1.359857182898981
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -8343.325204508572
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1615:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2348625925708947, b_new = 0.9431005847838749, c_new = 1.3938711729801572
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -9202.420085706637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1616:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.161499042509777, b_new = -0.0769476618556979, c_new = 1.5373047027826492
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -12817.795407009286
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1617:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1517367975809845, b_new = 0.18785036801561467, c_new = 2.003051444893556
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -5535.586870990995
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1618:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9942638620454876, b_new = 0.24692800209288598, c_new = 0.8710566886312565
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3325.7310685479497
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1619:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.198790994472668, b_new = 0.6434201827412698, c_new = 0.8846613659737708
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -7406.915600651693
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1620:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.974478775350872, b_new = -0.35645947630269953, c_new = 2.1671481941298434
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -14044.897127968026
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1621:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.345358235716396, b_new = -0.6634555288352457, c_new = 1.1887598100292749
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -12385.03541332365
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1622:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6575902645689213, b_new = -0.36970317027287386, c_new = 1.7116842960133254
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -6946.387562174676
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1623:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5257107864042387, b_new = 0.29516957031752794, c_new = 1.169057191792082
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -11519.612389649656
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1624:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.540088409570681, b_new = 0.7722081130943037, c_new = 1.3579344545997205
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -6455.9276400525905
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1625:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5009415774778827, b_new = 0.3604635470713192, c_new = 1.6414523308447606
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -15278.48785335058
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1626:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1112287712172604, b_new = 0.17155130804349, c_new = 1.6125848944954277
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -4665.08018704606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1627:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.943262415899496, b_new = 1.2957769247026325, c_new = 0.7975892300266156
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -4102.549986284831
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1628:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.933394342987099, b_new = 0.33871549479173363, c_new = 1.070662051904966
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3102.4792427946327
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1629:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2062846885224188, b_new = 0.39745555103161123, c_new = 2.58357259958278
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -7523.201380649757
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1630:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.253172620485285, b_new = 0.08121933648644292, c_new = 1.5789503248929664
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -7268.986754526539
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1631:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.747164501259595, b_new = -0.08149230542849789, c_new = 1.0708057609357127
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -14974.697155482154
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1632:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1648745854271545, b_new = 0.11409180794628335, c_new = 1.50768228671264
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -5459.650358134826
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1633:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6182562213883984, b_new = -0.394085056029933, c_new = 0.9581724654506127
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -11255.753597568124
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1634:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.382867583575375, b_new = 0.7494856490799405, c_new = 1.229089610734887
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -10874.712139728608
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1635:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2442463730733575, b_new = 0.9885402478282515, c_new = 0.6818085989006636
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -9228.077488701381
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1636:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6376332245016787, b_new = 0.1631119143176036, c_new = 2.3498228929518685
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -5712.114587545966
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1637:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2299885583261703, b_new = 0.9936416983302732, c_new = 1.386034972324906
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -9240.630003558063
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1638:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.183676263391266, b_new = 0.3467901522891299, c_new = 1.68268126757461
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -15035.588406701643
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1639:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.537135066196795, b_new = 0.09977347276328785, c_new = 1.8518834381130738
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -15325.637587142151
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1640:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.796978660805474, b_new = 1.7834081868794922, c_new = 1.659538212477423
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3451.8598010274145
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1641:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.350126997519638, b_new = -0.4177714289495931, c_new = 1.1600679133286076
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -7804.221104767186
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1642:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5981572054038224, b_new = -0.0055065424508567995, c_new = 1.7142065033967877
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -11826.368163675648
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1643:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8799898905582335, b_new = 0.08173944492498209, c_new = 1.2936231010706252
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3138.8150673798114
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1644:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.662931030628555, b_new = -0.31977938515900867, c_new = 0.8148231739567496
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -7071.899431166701
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1645:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.186398901068099, b_new = 0.2496006392676356, c_new = 1.522251677992651
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -6258.064705840617
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1646:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0156555428222465, b_new = 0.009842528193599764, c_new = 1.5515913465582458
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3332.907469760624
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1647:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5659367111811466, b_new = 0.36689964360872773, c_new = 1.7302075998839102
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -6843.229466381471
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1648:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.215924361290621, b_new = 0.4731576424268141, c_new = 0.7704759752684844
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -7259.486301837345
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1649:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7945488861960515, b_new = 1.6863844597557232, c_new = 1.2674839813629801
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3296.904216378687
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1650:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.730473626566001, b_new = -0.14161462187913404, c_new = 1.4706126424566655
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -5003.055270922498
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1651:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1141666507064745, b_new = -0.44538069348629145, c_new = 0.9460365842103691
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3636.67566887649
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1652:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2203751195554284, b_new = 0.7227162134303475, c_new = 1.3014196457619076
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -11216.692358854814
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1653:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2844429916855313, b_new = 0.9138148396010612, c_new = 2.0168965776697187
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -9960.441990424586
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1654:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8392022114123336, b_new = 0.5797997913805905, c_new = 1.3409265421476952
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3070.67027794197
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1655:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.728149944445199, b_new = 0.05146602673249362, c_new = 0.4813882355190757
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -4941.645401278813
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1656:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6104647102729963, b_new = -0.2455623798446251, c_new = 1.6295849827610116
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -7621.151433464258
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1657:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0095636703975575, b_new = 0.09006119717243574, c_new = 1.3901419132807997
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -13586.987613447007
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1658:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.902651804803228, b_new = 0.49586751661860506, c_new = 1.1509649278080343
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3075.6355576202595
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1659:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9471403983580124, b_new = 0.18608014819443414, c_new = 1.3963702572791927
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3097.221224935487
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1660:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3946691491898826, b_new = -0.001113585881208079, c_new = 1.5721021192119284
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -10534.108788730537
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1661:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0888719053714597, b_new = 0.7693143779314078, c_new = 1.3810177543619
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -12224.05856333326
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1662:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0044179011825225, b_new = 0.5036160748324063, c_new = 0.3683430255148501
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3601.3690897807724
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1663:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.438656043740739, b_new = 0.4125669627374744, c_new = 1.4876690679780857
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -9111.013600133992
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1664:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2999670049719785, b_new = 1.2696303691204749, c_new = 1.5489111240189928
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -10990.057019741393
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1665:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.021530956592829, b_new = 0.0815964122302533, c_new = 1.8851826567666485
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -13392.608289400132
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1666:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322506928536738, b_new = 0.6780266735136995, c_new = 1.3905404379819086
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -10019.488281084505
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1667:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3116969970458765, b_new = 0.6377878292452375, c_new = 0.334046118208255
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -9416.769172576507
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1668:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7015083874602794, b_new = 0.5790586478060007, c_new = 0.9038013593226338
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -4202.3922312695395
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1669:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0595278013518277, b_new = 0.282464477476759, c_new = 1.2178511076143341
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -4035.569900699512
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1670:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.074594172354056, b_new = 0.5466641227588214, c_new = 1.5676230262406294
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -4823.425526479348
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1671:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.346522880512387, b_new = -0.5726953502028524, c_new = 2.317088200897924
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -11839.626041487052
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1672:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2811413238322835, b_new = -0.10139367866554955, c_new = 1.2904558346090984
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -12005.11310023639
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1673:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3262836044005737, b_new = 0.32026462027094027, c_new = 0.9019416972104847
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -10956.14453955043
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1674:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3034245682035883, b_new = -0.012174678622173751, c_new = 1.6295509411434435
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -8091.3799212761405
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1675:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2186038275406963, b_new = 1.1971146629020206, c_new = 1.7657757653236392
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -10277.32620564862
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1676:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.09861248235313, b_new = 0.5460043627943671, c_new = 1.5762767469237962
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -5250.293691292312
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1677:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4030421845439895, b_new = 0.4131527851893434, c_new = 0.989148551639883
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -10422.723446936265
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1678:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5281911296649446, b_new = 0.7610217148357092, c_new = 0.8669781741383787
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -12137.40616873328
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1679:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4977522561601444, b_new = 0.1890875919121896, c_new = 1.1854495800167495
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -11102.498515302272
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1680:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4205061639953094, b_new = -0.8239998451774437, c_new = 1.6009637686282068
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -11799.75147342337
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1681:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8448975487643944, b_new = 0.11256899265286, c_new = 0.8364176898106856
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3358.140371695422
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1682:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8568560814327855, b_new = 0.4796900118678461, c_new = 1.2113374586302335
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -13842.353995661404
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1683:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7221744177557863, b_new = -0.004630841636254601, c_new = 1.0108018794220734
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -4993.337760050703
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1684:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3787659896983193, b_new = -0.5744369163186998, c_new = 0.7583022262382559
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -12079.558044805437
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1685:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4529246506426925, b_new = -0.5786115470089239, c_new = 1.5069772318044692
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -10999.43086157474
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1686:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.680200315407803, b_new = -0.5570208397324716, c_new = 1.404563388618655
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -7122.084883284688
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1687:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8781274801962224, b_new = 0.05387046851779834, c_new = 1.1755265590443136
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3172.8072216870933
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1688:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0743775450731694, b_new = 0.7084313969255855, c_new = 1.1823083955942044
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -5066.183153001297
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1689:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.912679608893649, b_new = -0.12536639535860394, c_new = 0.7520563900899546
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -13419.247037371877
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1690:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3948564468306452, b_new = 0.1397694343908666, c_new = 1.6885923453931402
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -10210.532770475142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1691:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8576628663119203, b_new = 0.12141284741202346, c_new = 2.1298290997015332
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3133.3712244658527
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1692:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0934326988812186, b_new = -0.19925703953613894, c_new = 1.666099056814572
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3814.0911469929642
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1693:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9025085181984633, b_new = -0.44423583414687856, c_new = 0.9210498054503587
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3466.692376019616
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1694:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5093676096468953, b_new = -0.2928748323789209, c_new = 0.6778569160384401
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -10299.127284608856
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1695:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.131934878101719, b_new = 1.259366700340572, c_new = 1.3927660767501073
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -15477.277156972776
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1696:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3335881516198165, b_new = 1.7660673461736565, c_new = 1.225834794892254
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -7865.582776352485
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1697:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.827173660423634, b_new = -0.09013857734153402, c_new = 1.314206728097359
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3638.909674298982
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1698:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8187336565542243, b_new = -0.20214666130081016, c_new = 1.5535020430428146
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -13011.987540887774
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1699:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.81667452224333, b_new = 0.4311877080726413, c_new = 1.8964489349133276
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3165.243624669606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1700:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9271117267105797, b_new = 0.5544572197097848, c_new = 1.074169511631777
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3176.794158101579
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1701:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8043715489448027, b_new = 0.6154515891477025, c_new = 1.7978211071282764
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3132.941757325698
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1702:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.033174356489416, b_new = 0.6496990040131931, c_new = 0.658096020647043
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -14594.977486846674
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1703:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9474316720698157, b_new = 0.47545669880395575, c_new = 1.1255237095483754
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3231.7276630460697
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1704:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0949409961428866, b_new = -0.013588574244359053, c_new = 1.484248116030531
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -4071.621102376519
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1705:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7275622191708857, b_new = 0.03406607330738762, c_new = 1.1153526648720915
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -4786.131330819101
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1706:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.954792414219919, b_new = -0.20473673210378063, c_new = 0.9491957497472816
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3085.8614119232107
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1707:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5488609966348426, b_new = -0.3260001396583944, c_new = 1.200632689476354
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -9189.732125430784
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1708:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9771587851076307, b_new = 1.1213761880359856, c_new = 0.32362816879201817
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -4152.992771990943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1709:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6562522300491804, b_new = 0.06379227485168304, c_new = 1.471178163641543
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -12290.382939238092
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1710:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4837527129620285, b_new = 0.766402785964462, c_new = 1.279789520668124
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -11894.597644192296
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1711:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.937977010609263, b_new = 0.7230249323865371, c_new = 2.0849413337017557
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3489.0749477026575
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1712:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2007478006409857, b_new = -0.27401728744921233, c_new = 1.8558517907654384
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -5329.139189461153
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1713:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7585694243804797, b_new = 0.41906536842876774, c_new = 0.9250608774651141
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -13228.120026427023
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1714:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.86998365694048, b_new = -0.1252365001603143, c_new = 1.661304165471247
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3280.689551424014
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1715:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0725391815152174, b_new = 0.19015119661616586, c_new = 1.8781002102471196
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -4186.007303454706
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1716:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.698028099628062, b_new = 0.3671716407173211, c_new = 1.5594490967415169
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -4461.597790831565
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1717:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4088776731264057, b_new = 0.7906911048594523, c_new = 1.2137505811923786
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -11219.479359243
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1718:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7662636107272003, b_new = 1.4548593218159902, c_new = 1.681642304533264
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3110.014659176947
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1719:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.165954703027235, b_new = 0.053296648497750676, c_new = 1.406145210310127
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -5307.2064339569615
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1720:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.638441689476484, b_new = 0.8937569018221221, c_new = 1.181273312795562
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -13137.263804602704
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1721:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8272208982799825, b_new = 0.6662549613849125, c_new = 1.5536466518640113
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3066.131836366206
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1722:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2426319823198027, b_new = 0.983628126561708, c_new = 1.7272566365349658
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -9576.088251146733
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1723:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8622646325612853, b_new = 0.04708368748337677, c_new = 0.22367251421871726
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3395.4231091725187
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1724:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6515560410391577, b_new = -0.47657193272654935, c_new = 1.0595881110745204
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -7657.59080843475
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1725:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.021913602541524, b_new = 0.37795870967143763, c_new = 1.318259586063012
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -13191.698959666142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1726:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.421101809996702, b_new = -0.5602847773591362, c_new = 1.4888596281607458
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -8843.438298761033
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1727:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.687369402772555, b_new = 0.07046716379443824, c_new = 1.7769654431619988
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -5188.8699630826195
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1728:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2759317261500027, b_new = -0.21171707249916416, c_new = 0.6167901318326339
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -12451.014307656054
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1729:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.14584023961755, b_new = 0.3611546953711232, c_new = 1.9850726192670929
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -5851.853624156666
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1730:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.249390084528813, b_new = -0.4586797039167943, c_new = 0.6647861079956165
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -13006.376781373876
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1731:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1300010571284687, b_new = -0.4591818282886952, c_new = 2.1364796571113414
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -13342.10914073687
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1732:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2160333301284565, b_new = -0.9927546196519756, c_new = 1.6409974982756044
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -4150.40846306648
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1733:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0237639879743794, b_new = 0.2819368234878686, c_new = 0.9897042269847952
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3606.477237210155
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1734:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3104816670382755, b_new = 0.8840683234153486, c_new = 0.657339100951915
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -10048.104205899055
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1735:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266073055047877, b_new = 0.4401004753981443, c_new = 1.6696541553960749
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -8570.188903973029
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1736:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1891244647823536, b_new = 0.6314282757614815, c_new = 1.8400429344444822
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -7526.183328017597
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1737:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5665989669933054, b_new = 0.05166143072127902, c_new = 1.7045371780986422
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -7669.913280959059
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1738:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2552450999265248, b_new = 0.021090536130327603, c_new = 0.36752616212951816
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -6735.167581701347
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1739:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.155633220102981, b_new = 0.5876106308011564, c_new = 0.7016976691381996
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -6227.862221751571
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1740:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6554273439390053, b_new = 0.6271214248759649, c_new = 1.842186910755958
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -4543.766687421781
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1741:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7973233764439307, b_new = 0.8976484144158956, c_new = 1.6473402107314248
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3073.998575388983
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1742:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4502147660664884, b_new = -0.2794462608215565, c_new = 1.211645540276429
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -9763.763181510294
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1743:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9717117739278838, b_new = 0.02445657206146351, c_new = 1.0855181259548705
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -13942.185906354429
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1744:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.953436552700854, b_new = 0.6055108958920038, c_new = 0.557140962623166
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3319.271129008551
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1745:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8421754656891225, b_new = 0.31473805883063855, c_new = 1.1437696989497208
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -13597.257810151563
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1746:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.333401070482516, b_new = -0.5808100126274383, c_new = 1.1657120318116008
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -12363.115953313907
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1747:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8039384622202093, b_new = 0.19434851419700955, c_new = 1.2360560920577708
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3530.6111827906407
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1748:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7742735567516323, b_new = -0.38153056333191565, c_new = 1.2791199261872055
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -4845.153364833153
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1749:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6478108459733063, b_new = 0.13574835766490365, c_new = 1.7883767798814665
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -5776.354136918188
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1750:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.904252446003942, b_new = 0.17120016775166141, c_new = 0.3452027341513456
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3112.2505998791103
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1751:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4849776205388547, b_new = 0.4856575195954558, c_new = 1.7660742074645137
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -8070.856893648564
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1752:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.552952953056645, b_new = 0.18489811494714636, c_new = 1.173954275304188
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -7798.507863427193
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1753:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.771526631557373, b_new = 0.4947156427342403, c_new = 1.2539238882461525
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -13453.384163134164
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1754:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889047749696063, b_new = -0.47780246827534995, c_new = 1.2519206119536728
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3551.575392428148
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1755:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.534381409851361, b_new = -0.1485674502014176, c_new = 1.0244377043205388
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -10878.211867626465
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1756:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0422144947299747, b_new = 0.266975243573694, c_new = 0.9606859473475031
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3769.2869401836797
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1757:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4951411594195925, b_new = 0.7144402997831896, c_new = 0.8866336546155449
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -11808.817685167369
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1758:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7022515115696413, b_new = 0.36176146354575034, c_new = 1.1235925445049446
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -12876.060624502883
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1759:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5235366113777014, b_new = 0.9890501060222754, c_new = 1.7137568140752744
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -6121.373270432514
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1760:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7035575752761702, b_new = 0.12032070306252313, c_new = 0.4828778590827707
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -5216.901237541289
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1761:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1907636928347394, b_new = 0.5222000728896644, c_new = 1.4610981649285533
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -11756.023789493782
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1762:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3975574263298505, b_new = 1.000800281944022, c_new = 0.3320487768469692
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -8851.035200454444
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1763:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.26418140366966, b_new = 0.37717247144962995, c_new = 1.9178734101219208
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -15320.600331421454
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1764:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.809914891578348, b_new = -0.11789550707235497, c_new = 1.618627457165191
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3790.874361225222
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1765:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7425785941215213, b_new = 0.4670322954194939, c_new = 1.1552225421857354
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -13244.04432392555
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1766:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.552685179483582, b_new = 0.5390371866498732, c_new = 1.4592876328512494
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -6763.440378708656
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1767:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0055877886385893, b_new = -0.12616055898257156, c_new = 2.2020153863459377
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3220.892265958311
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1768:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4424199117890457, b_new = -0.025462431806081487, c_new = 1.2337886182140534
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -10152.68372645674
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1769:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1223996993705465, b_new = 0.057019731298226906, c_new = 1.597438277867182
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -4613.1567819924985
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1770:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9365747389308283, b_new = -0.06191733908741304, c_new = 1.1346432098031558
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3067.5591407619795
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1771:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.847364223180794, b_new = 0.43583806141123793, c_new = 0.7537397258137869
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -13661.722631379465
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1772:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2080087514979945, b_new = -0.014592708555404565, c_new = 1.3978815818905024
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -5973.63088125473
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1773:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9562537173529755, b_new = 0.014964368177691506, c_new = 1.3813758759898562
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3072.7035572348823
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1774:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5425617492498027, b_new = 0.69454774208861, c_new = 1.2131215759635061
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -6656.512200311202
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1775:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4110185620471625, b_new = -0.7805827639588061, c_new = 2.0127434147918395
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -11670.779822733937
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1776:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.189986006739097, b_new = 0.6375054412861334, c_new = 1.0484873104291315
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -7255.9115555875605
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1777:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9156214343622793, b_new = 0.1415205755586006, c_new = 0.4665745797316393
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -13635.748609334332
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1778:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.815451671107853, b_new = 0.6938170056731894, c_new = 1.2890998084503846
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3097.643902321134
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1779:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6817405041290991, b_new = 0.6915589533690931, c_new = 1.4856747410606168
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -14425.093412065651
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1780:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9134642532602055, b_new = 0.30829682574482736, c_new = 1.374531751856031
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3056.976900764106
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1781:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.37690256905428, b_new = -0.057958777184788535, c_new = 1.004063345732212
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -11061.254451475366
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1782:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3093878435954296, b_new = 0.48829254403185063, c_new = 0.9773285509985614
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -9244.826261599712
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1783:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1682473833781386, b_new = 0.3648868496339402, c_new = 2.0066198304829816
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -6351.978000215841
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1784:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8429188136956594, b_new = 0.3140879489740853, c_new = 1.2723632167600885
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3168.683767578118
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1785:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0763398580252312, b_new = -0.058690875757609784, c_new = 0.6131737456938431
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3671.3491184522018
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1786:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9021742292129167, b_new = 0.13794458897581388, c_new = 1.9115989057696456
Current likelihood: -3050.587815553632
Proposed likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9012556037383233, b = 0.2604044004602875, c = 1.224839019426766
Iteration 1787:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2913739498266845, b_new = 0.3228055605150233, c_new = 2.246395335469489
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10876.89001610921
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1788:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8608363316356993, b_new = 0.4914552969469125, c_new = 2.5043654126217705
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3041.74182901287
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1789:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4348285169156756, b_new = 0.5908170415721546, c_new = 1.6392615770873027
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8714.91472753171
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1790:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.666621938673729, b_new = 0.1516398092927387, c_new = 2.306733363917652
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5209.474980984137
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1791:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0069427686277628, b_new = -0.9184557010638971, c_new = 2.178006528622779
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3110.438696659075
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1792:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.094735744265708, b_new = -0.1797424726462792, c_new = 2.0314521903991376
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13237.662624816374
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1793:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.767320031077428, b_new = 0.06292578522872701, c_new = 0.9245522296186587
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4191.141168950909
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1794:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.858756791386994, b_new = -0.2629323093385857, c_new = 1.0745575970688992
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3601.5175033471755
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1795:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.658878543982732, b_new = -0.2664179759126635, c_new = 2.5148862434851966
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6320.337984124494
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1796:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.837264778577519, b_new = 1.078002827013397, c_new = 2.337551605526965
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3188.064069707843
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1797:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.215851268697582, b_new = 0.22618253231059304, c_new = 2.7536728236539063
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7305.067809308686
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1798:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3277233309333227, b_new = 0.4240050893047088, c_new = 1.9631907330231053
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10380.152984843431
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1799:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7699503468198294, b_new = -0.02265888634609109, c_new = 1.680407717802479
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12961.217439107433
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1800:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.832644861493909, b_new = 0.966541174741808, c_new = 1.8786699351145775
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3089.31471247842
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1801:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.923472604043837, b_new = 0.7638869276994814, c_new = 2.4957596992273494
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3474.3209563485216
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1802:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8037329207855675, b_new = 0.6186664453529194, c_new = 1.2675895541949704
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3174.574743612021
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1803:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5297625173896767, b_new = -0.45249816746966776, c_new = 1.6464867187429062
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10499.145519490445
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1804:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.695140996042662, b_new = 0.49397604579852317, c_new = 1.4412920306704602
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13064.807875959652
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1805:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8480611539775906, b_new = 0.9310087254407539, c_new = 2.0631232020435033
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3126.7388203862347
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1806:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.648522729407502, b_new = -0.10764156209001394, c_new = 2.272788968296698
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12207.577891226918
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1807:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0016827668165273, b_new = -0.18793745699311512, c_new = 2.1905445767265843
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3163.3343240796153
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1808:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9862271908021567, b_new = -0.08859820380139494, c_new = 2.2263362885709594
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3149.9883272691936
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1809:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.408367769127639, b_new = 0.5740711392182262, c_new = 1.679124189421703
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9137.652152630111
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1810:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9613317745329053, b_new = 0.2479446124031698, c_new = 1.244725414526544
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3169.999436863981
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1811:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2396212692562796, b_new = 1.0054195208188224, c_new = 1.605039624157791
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10434.619384997444
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1812:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.116884826023306, b_new = -0.2807347777765963, c_new = 2.359669725950636
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4096.7011013600895
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1813:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.587492416521581, b_new = 0.3378785907996192, c_new = 1.1755264423066416
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6695.840289357119
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1814:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.680628450415453, b_new = 0.15463887591538644, c_new = 2.8987379629610044
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4786.743857074812
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1815:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8429282009433514, b_new = 0.24907444849192734, c_new = 2.1631712089121446
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3126.9541470731933
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1816:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.191156541067392, b_new = -0.44296918326546086, c_new = 2.6192277994172133
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4988.558198814437
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1817:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6713264708589897, b_new = 1.8391368158850803, c_new = 0.9383597383455411
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3188.35448660119
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1818:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4425868150319285, b_new = -0.1489630713721324, c_new = 2.1303953663621042
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10022.612048817402
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1819:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9835524015491384, b_new = -0.02144554568364415, c_new = 1.8927479597131973
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3156.560266165463
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1820:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.824232708617952, b_new = 0.3245907156361194, c_new = 3.0019751887399817
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3111.8888325490843
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1821:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.659285162423101, b_new = 0.2615518149745325, c_new = 1.9309448609503297
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5211.884184672273
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1822:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.634577429489222, b_new = 1.0738803424079264, c_new = 1.6496859537277673
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13445.08764199846
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1823:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.195657023866995, b_new = -0.38280660784192544, c_new = 2.0096505362481936
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5035.513890165732
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1824:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.746874952085728, b_new = -0.6983268110801968, c_new = 2.2597613296279646
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12134.700112087728
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1825:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.30855678382191, b_new = 0.21103413375087576, c_new = 1.747789428796668
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11057.128783589384
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1826:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.85136671305674, b_new = 0.3204139388982855, c_new = 0.7680199774525824
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3178.4421590639304
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1827:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4890409064341186, b_new = 0.08602150634414185, c_new = 1.9173393942707504
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8905.865651205488
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1828:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.311749255989285, b_new = 1.0510490447110887, c_new = 2.368567579930792
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10978.241150609238
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1829:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.067116920550503, b_new = 0.13188467488974284, c_new = 1.1859619497464995
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13261.606655822063
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1830:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.240450501186873, b_new = 0.3991689653185049, c_new = 2.0788481807048123
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8080.834911396964
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1831:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1577577729130843, b_new = 0.13463299303962062, c_new = 2.2675425856536955
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5607.022267168362
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1832:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6139191093268255, b_new = -0.018045918498528546, c_new = 2.4953229791318003
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6593.264568507222
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1833:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1693480541382213, b_new = 0.17624507635241687, c_new = 1.6575290729697532
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5748.945364382611
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1834:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2297557502471452, b_new = 0.44501327225073684, c_new = 2.8303200272034386
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8284.41623765487
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1835:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.433268727238614, b_new = 1.3209781959341496, c_new = 1.9370678431204034
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12487.063364861593
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1836:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.286952815164731, b_new = -0.27591722761384585, c_new = 2.309567178860825
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -15001.975900707534
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1837:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6250875956164186, b_new = -1.002921294404461, c_new = 2.1119213691963448
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9193.215132048746
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1838:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4538096070497386, b_new = -0.34412405422390835, c_new = 2.3315612782769595
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10011.332114467035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1839:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8934052400318686, b_new = -0.3662917114568044, c_new = 1.1648741311138324
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3413.0404697231756
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1840:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1243553488778337, b_new = 1.1646107922145197, c_new = 1.8544256523521425
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7648.294418889056
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1841:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9264949200689783, b_new = 0.6225680467062225, c_new = 1.406783785020385
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3240.4248682401367
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1842:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5023106362670275, b_new = 0.18020890688762473, c_new = 1.4348642239245422
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11198.914465010284
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1843:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.034485715941441, b_new = -0.3232178797158114, c_new = 2.4499822591589338
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -14111.66980033748
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1844:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.033184885353693, b_new = 0.08077451807504292, c_new = 2.5578593293363943
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3681.394432263445
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1845:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8797230841849077, b_new = -0.2635251308501634, c_new = 1.8988337305020369
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3300.941796039392
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1846:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5202147326553734, b_new = -0.0037733251397031597, c_new = 1.2753451951970063
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11035.48922969702
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1847:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.160525813364894, b_new = -0.006490483589170343, c_new = 2.2541287479862886
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5313.620569568515
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1848:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3840092708993006, b_new = 0.5550263235903239, c_new = 2.7653279237972797
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9151.634514378158
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1849:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.28703909112414, b_new = -0.8043500175801015, c_new = 2.0128661779378194
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -16542.359747353174
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1850:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1318945846674238, b_new = 1.079186161416615, c_new = 0.5460601017147129
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7035.35431534085
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1851:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3886753761590143, b_new = 0.7988562811397392, c_new = 2.3387136217729534
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11362.973779183447
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1852:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.467912509817864, b_new = 0.12536182093175754, c_new = 1.4907804687112585
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9309.847553308435
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1853:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.408590131868611, b_new = -0.5684075570066685, c_new = 1.6073260940016083
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8655.539524747275
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1854:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.815560733643317, b_new = -1.0378233856017864, c_new = 1.7136662649206449
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5483.220121136612
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1855:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.43483437011266, b_new = -0.8099965883612934, c_new = 2.153102468990773
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11419.957803476782
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1856:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.100479819511324, b_new = -0.797020636048914, c_new = 1.818123284697949
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3295.3445594625646
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1857:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0818510055567745, b_new = -0.32014948753410644, c_new = 1.8511706451089929
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3574.4079736240756
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1858:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.448483999197618, b_new = 0.7864158570093956, c_new = 2.5205295563964536
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7727.50298942677
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1859:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.574405922696075, b_new = -0.6671252258916087, c_new = 1.0798320925311367
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9662.8012582836
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1860:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3981091414653353, b_new = 0.18288786557865858, c_new = 2.3123220907329287
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10324.04905241265
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1861:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.887927201777479, b_new = -1.0753083547187974, c_new = 1.085951809706756
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4551.519991358612
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1862:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4220510653892022, b_new = -0.10498599456379179, c_new = 1.3807765864406822
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9781.510390126616
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1863:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4579358476095643, b_new = 0.1308421825635426, c_new = 2.092940337493305
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9224.442702655897
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1864:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8785804814848301, b_new = 0.40682870895321277, c_new = 2.4130577729828384
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13637.831765035457
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1865:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.850028427118753, b_new = -0.2760653461471785, c_new = 1.2229605044562148
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3670.7164300763484
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1866:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4099291302863888, b_new = 0.5400499640960965, c_new = 1.8820885861981067
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9116.65014483494
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1867:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0156245766805942, b_new = 0.3341928212287486, c_new = 2.6644011303368225
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3859.809672279565
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1868:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0875435302620344, b_new = -0.2983266647896481, c_new = 1.6770310765608332
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3631.2308906819044
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1869:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.478717951988352, b_new = -0.2180746146793677, c_new = 1.5337682876486447
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9897.005139679753
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1870:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1677120429947117, b_new = 1.298686162534811, c_new = 2.6941385341394746
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9391.651551207822
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1871:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.897388738710635, b_new = 0.34601557636063396, c_new = 1.4106269875156452
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3046.3144614302664
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1872:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9784602543812548, b_new = -0.33519607226296333, c_new = 1.218218557157263
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -14259.668150308202
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1873:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2181588915390003, b_new = -0.21894310694338406, c_new = 0.9797549232270009
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5543.693000610227
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1874:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.37204496923946, b_new = 0.8441861236097133, c_new = 1.2101027272859461
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9246.75540458955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1875:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221332171467956, b_new = 0.4914940644171337, c_new = 2.1802939813765416
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7971.012880186244
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1876:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.78948853739999, b_new = -0.25864861414164886, c_new = 2.1156630682067896
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4140.904266350932
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1877:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.654028566097424, b_new = 0.7228052012629768, c_new = 2.0096658035654666
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13229.92743314516
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1878:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0580668015507073, b_new = 0.6792533597097405, c_new = 1.7084914663858797
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4866.532847519709
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1879:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.022408986397368, b_new = 0.22763204342861282, c_new = 2.3015434802374215
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -14523.930788850048
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1880:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0817027891764974, b_new = 0.5045343187281736, c_new = 2.4693181678340403
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5115.407004281606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1881:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.806557167466683, b_new = 0.2606635826423716, c_new = 2.1711170143246563
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13589.806016246326
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1882:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3774447153979827, b_new = 0.22987551388672933, c_new = 1.0490597269581698
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10477.169490350572
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1883:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3582540370749983, b_new = -0.0547794740039729, c_new = 2.2562338507726483
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9217.030892039054
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1884:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.637983953151833, b_new = -0.7453210398183087, c_new = 2.06671803718721
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11183.658710395506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1885:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.487525625119953, b_new = 0.06517760998665038, c_new = 1.0881714094772195
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10771.659659223407
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1886:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.726597995318941, b_new = 1.6857255458912515, c_new = 2.0502504713959593
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3141.4020942585366
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1887:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.892735351900346, b_new = -0.5203924202115298, c_new = 1.435100892744428
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3533.808776987486
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1888:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6512951323760836, b_new = 0.14108426665603457, c_new = 2.619178414274935
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5416.149037646424
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1889:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6437381128307686, b_new = -0.24545098084253755, c_new = 3.4401092663328874
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6234.895489141737
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1890:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9222710346120264, b_new = -0.10395672641973294, c_new = 1.381493949071242
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3083.1054891392114
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1891:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5362886954061716, b_new = -0.12351658064785229, c_new = 1.5449629763844894
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8757.509093486797
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1892:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.214168870810269, b_new = -0.6422049908553185, c_new = 2.0190518596629228
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4813.641218014825
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1893:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4362590417248904, b_new = 0.4123320718443362, c_new = 2.299367858363194
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8857.05761840074
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1894:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.602607454674795, b_new = -0.39362640574790053, c_new = 1.6207922702354682
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8190.213940381824
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1895:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1457104637620668, b_new = 0.6432852646824323, c_new = 2.0506503570613286
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6658.526953330851
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1896:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7757224503207607, b_new = 0.6646105382927178, c_new = 1.0908148277337109
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13617.907146458652
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1897:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9766616306217664, b_new = 0.08072241586555655, c_new = 1.343855748896221
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3154.5935727275155
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1898:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4917350390293356, b_new = 0.32809920762399114, c_new = 1.6400226001448655
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8383.444901950408
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1899:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.909432495804743, b_new = 0.40262617056610395, c_new = 1.0799347137817672
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3066.678390980862
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1900:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.695691139621694, b_new = 0.04029082002850512, c_new = 2.374790284196897
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12742.107377504315
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1901:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2722360573038505, b_new = -0.17602079320127115, c_new = 2.2766369943444253
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11881.745979941956
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1902:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6390297339054, b_new = 0.6319275583109834, c_new = 1.9109835836524334
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4774.290011184177
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1903:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.035222763069436, b_new = 0.7724324720236176, c_new = 0.8914681837296683
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4476.781998034978
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1904:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130050736869031, b_new = 0.09815604377121717, c_new = 2.046578947078588
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4940.026109091122
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1905:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.810288120828237, b_new = 0.6757791037154739, c_new = 1.2258936788249684
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13824.118993232676
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1906:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1998117643168325, b_new = -0.15482327839694457, c_new = 1.9031572797753409
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5609.715788670592
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1907:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.587254664802409, b_new = 0.31519942576175636, c_new = 2.132464521264899
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12292.971415656677
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1908:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.201396231407221, b_new = -0.053293177203433184, c_new = 1.9537312793459187
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5915.62648854621
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1909:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.265262516760197, b_new = 0.4047783690073642, c_new = 2.038653560913341
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8598.629615811398
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1910:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0690596836421085, b_new = -0.2827230922880718, c_new = 1.9111704560039808
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13548.63310038968
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1911:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5596807182987265, b_new = 0.5233237570500787, c_new = 1.5357005888937936
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6636.263243030514
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1912:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5051587920528897, b_new = -0.5186390003526753, c_new = 2.4834337400958963
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9819.058371862802
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1913:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.449971924533694, b_new = -0.27810792901354486, c_new = 1.9188223519036796
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9967.226398809029
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1914:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6883200003998255, b_new = 1.1300099035099707, c_new = 1.9467411798234124
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3445.4181185104517
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1915:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9624851795710954, b_new = 0.5205681021151845, c_new = 1.9012972967574617
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13207.215991317275
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1916:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4439887280109343, b_new = 0.18125523374981048, c_new = 1.743918144977783
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9445.223145985288
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1917:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5940709240947966, b_new = -0.19214784137358346, c_new = 2.1431444757927953
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11635.414615510505
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1918:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.952242198467428, b_new = 0.3873638140905814, c_new = 1.9902891219149352
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3266.3051935476424
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1919:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.589912851916435, b_new = 0.6307542400124341, c_new = 2.219864250570819
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5549.068817803345
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1920:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.712874221928013, b_new = -1.1495901273572182, c_new = 1.979494802967066
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7884.477197510745
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1921:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1926639826823537, b_new = 0.7717361522733036, c_new = 1.828307354828337
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11235.208892129682
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1922:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.935080757972277, b_new = -0.314038144995326, c_new = 1.9046681006719515
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3085.3142361872897
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1923:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4707410504197447, b_new = 1.5667830845763395, c_new = 1.5143482167002216
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5828.382292605893
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1924:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3764895160033164, b_new = 0.028872368974583562, c_new = 1.6204422905485858
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10676.816122978049
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1925:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1917520313827263, b_new = 0.5183063427250679, c_new = 2.3368180584463145
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11487.019619236544
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1926:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8861630442635255, b_new = 0.49047406598034116, c_new = 1.1309982771218987
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3052.471703807582
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1927:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5894555730214432, b_new = 0.608502708006337, c_new = 2.287309528590875
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12739.941219085886
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1928:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.79337236786373, b_new = 0.8363717979995468, c_new = 2.632209050904417
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3074.0276563488205
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1929:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.125447698175353, b_new = 0.008770137525555832, c_new = 1.9809831411008085
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4659.704907292335
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1930:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.109884332690994, b_new = 0.23237817174841105, c_new = 1.5393778906126925
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12753.88276466047
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1931:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.374299736484155, b_new = 0.8310004087597679, c_new = 1.8757703953501128
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9016.279570698172
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1932:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.700764873002677, b_new = 0.19694008398942836, c_new = 2.5795048566596863
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13018.479690529037
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1933:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6508248493451294, b_new = -0.024893719656055968, c_new = 1.6919464036626535
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6161.373016243547
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1934:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8965742199232216, b_new = 0.3838086129402345, c_new = 2.5441967994501007
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -14211.26037306714
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1935:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3871786387852225, b_new = 0.48835693092548826, c_new = 1.8790004386449901
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9540.648774351914
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1936:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5168056151719433, b_new = 0.3376036479664417, c_new = 1.9730685806419797
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7781.942386294992
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1937:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.350114560432569, b_new = -0.1547873129656195, c_new = 2.885787379727483
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9060.5148874009
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1938:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8839136425641017, b_new = -0.25128880162673717, c_new = 1.817727559733941
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3275.8121063316166
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1939:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2754234368292234, b_new = 1.0949120458228079, c_new = 1.720450687130899
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9827.101567030491
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1940:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.339370068380797, b_new = -0.008560612240759297, c_new = 2.8934670234085753
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9233.356312794906
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1941:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.550487294837828, b_new = 0.14357538508200443, c_new = 2.419740824282628
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7467.026181073572
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1942:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4601077354511194, b_new = 0.5419314704573273, c_new = 1.7367878690967178
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11461.498615681601
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1943:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4244097632869783, b_new = 1.1778038197942018, c_new = 2.442501864388942
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12348.167623909045
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1944:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0919441558093994, b_new = 0.0799133758502158, c_new = 1.7031632616677237
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4227.539229543989
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1945:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6787128460142524, b_new = 0.9261783522717397, c_new = 2.5041395874904975
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3664.9450957179342
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1946:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.803984628733775, b_new = 0.03917989039414521, c_new = 1.4539684006129372
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3676.116299045674
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1947:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4593433329740164, b_new = -0.37292433841248385, c_new = 1.2096886858096219
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9702.405715512616
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1948:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5449296173920626, b_new = 0.16981624624224226, c_new = 2.1820609592393323
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7597.102615126713
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1949:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.361437018286881, b_new = 0.21912555292646196, c_new = 2.7564568902803934
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10049.934973727222
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1950:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8120194730030015, b_new = -1.2208829580114093, c_new = 0.6879025296365293
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6483.048263694407
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1951:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.851587015505436, b_new = 0.33930070423417946, c_new = 1.834262685643642
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13812.932693728988
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1952:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8847328245883155, b_new = 0.44550324992058965, c_new = 2.1636797831175176
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3051.468821896544
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1953:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.244390514242723, b_new = 0.6540928722815946, c_new = 1.837082561136916
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8782.350153401221
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1954:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.726392772382664, b_new = -0.22121735610452445, c_new = 1.7619182801258062
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5158.715973625296
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1955:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9751667150936085, b_new = 0.06505953144012647, c_new = 1.3510161734215154
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13806.725616444666
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1956:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3824099767255884, b_new = 0.7717191822428917, c_new = 2.3595652153588142
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8863.869464774436
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1957:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0756853176843726, b_new = -0.25234500743517096, c_new = 1.4801897519077976
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3549.4133745455524
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1958:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.95471998604921, b_new = -0.12013416635791227, c_new = 2.0822720809124586
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3047.1348169733365
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1959:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0235095064577995, b_new = -0.24627574782025694, c_new = 2.6566679078669333
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3275.92192870469
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1960:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0258177409382117, b_new = -0.908097177000258, c_new = 2.648378259049477
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3054.010704370936
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1961:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5819024562336663, b_new = 0.18891633898232707, c_new = 1.6122451995433544
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11945.09668043645
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1962:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7069911538054825, b_new = -0.11428059982390851, c_new = 2.0490269401048318
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5168.215632118836
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1963:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2888079940690735, b_new = -0.24003737439441905, c_new = 1.8928657392320332
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11961.278803839605
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1964:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.322823861940715, b_new = 0.8356369034970456, c_new = 2.3470828993171495
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9535.92811850254
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1965:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.437326021078989, b_new = 0.44708765771989667, c_new = 1.407571466304721
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10982.696367627452
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1966:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7530832562352825, b_new = -0.1000357949531778, c_new = 1.6145358235178917
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4505.180399100645
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1967:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1560368376716688, b_new = 0.3266680955996728, c_new = 2.0140905052844693
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5984.720166201103
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1968:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7278518968851797, b_new = 0.15319941663960335, c_new = 2.0701658389407642
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13007.023548443889
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1969:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.354068023420434, b_new = 0.25665896333331073, c_new = 1.1180577132387475
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10680.963372064916
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1970:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.904222543300642, b_new = -0.563731067899481, c_new = 1.1198678378810927
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3546.427547113205
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1971:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130600788151105, b_new = 0.6197688224676365, c_new = 1.9175722769402577
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6202.64942757278
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1972:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5864458166501842, b_new = -0.051979455239798356, c_new = 1.6418964991936498
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7576.573314466654
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1973:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7367834295307127, b_new = 0.8664707911249113, c_new = 2.1406674426416497
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13873.097697115152
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1974:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9487013720761772, b_new = 0.9363738585067709, c_new = 3.1903359923758994
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12463.964234626956
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1975:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.118516058116664, b_new = -0.0164022644476913, c_new = 1.680215358963916
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4433.220545327824
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1976:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0424783884598634, b_new = -0.40823006375941007, c_new = 2.5116789305191127
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3259.6245511389116
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1977:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.743996729122901, b_new = 0.09791438268307084, c_new = 1.2776006542840737
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12854.38155860189
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1978:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.455219070361304, b_new = 0.8502786798456847, c_new = 1.8867931552729476
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7678.28248772099
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1979:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2956916385577255, b_new = 0.19264319285245743, c_new = 1.7347494512963397
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11227.39477162785
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1980:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7774014653072694, b_new = -0.28845815241336503, c_new = 2.2697157836483255
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4320.622663271077
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1981:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1890738108569927, b_new = 0.7677490001460189, c_new = 1.6353789875621048
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7844.0641234052
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1982:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.262391433051489, b_new = -0.4471259936161951, c_new = 1.732522283217794
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6098.046426082134
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1983:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.339932804010449, b_new = 0.5548905528765586, c_new = 2.151430741497992
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10258.117297638917
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1984:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.466977877972774, b_new = 0.13128183467128235, c_new = 2.359943479496058
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8989.061435687378
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1985:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4204408490984695, b_new = 0.4822040860461405, c_new = 1.7005149090596716
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9152.00103912945
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1986:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6513648011755824, b_new = -0.09767203801792793, c_new = 1.1923013184466047
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6539.767034459497
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1987:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.588584246887404, b_new = 0.9895235014663968, c_new = 2.4978520098657366
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13281.933924009447
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1988:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5679190266395464, b_new = -0.11965326033714765, c_new = 2.0311045688272706
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7965.81002470963
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1989:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.733370962049917, b_new = 0.6169509954824974, c_new = 2.5178209093986936
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3495.6657226074135
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1990:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.443331741568342, b_new = -0.3726281279088527, c_new = 1.80890925253878
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10588.645391761334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1991:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4815083415169337, b_new = 1.1193308758318923, c_new = 1.309881984840437
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6744.648080877137
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1992:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.403794895374908, b_new = 0.2584123652193253, c_new = 2.0482182229946395
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10458.45003099893
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1993:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5403905550278987, b_new = 0.2857920396181708, c_new = 0.9342913777171951
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7873.670920648895
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1994:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6723726477328875, b_new = -0.003334672938657718, c_new = 2.4392153449996066
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5419.547373656649
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1995:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4658313156468488, b_new = -0.16154478241257722, c_new = 1.801414631951778
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9854.269378982966
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1996:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3724643784934596, b_new = 1.2444321277288282, c_new = 3.088334957933462
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12199.881037141811
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1997:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1550299882659774, b_new = -0.49928037384320556, c_new = 1.956033676982613
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4172.154120727024
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1998:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2022376562894377, b_new = -0.31098407793774996, c_new = 2.425865653338703
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5436.853469233713
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 1999:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.999531063709197, b_new = -0.28420552563353807, c_new = 1.7241449032634155
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3100.030086554664
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2000:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7165230658678583, b_new = -0.1168291894378666, c_new = 1.8403073568676045
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12554.520131325944
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2001:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8897139219096997, b_new = -0.4712665599271284, c_new = 1.7135418373251274
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3454.341504810176
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2002:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.324535864627701, b_new = 0.21197558987614584, c_new = 1.4601203750716216
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9006.692200144264
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2003:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1356230130017124, b_new = -0.695777138128657, c_new = 2.3857007459148254
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3729.437160806702
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2004:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9306108435927136, b_new = 0.1726787747583081, c_new = 2.2306408864821936
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3071.3122875810077
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2005:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.149101811205378, b_new = -0.126696628384565, c_new = 2.415592337782533
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4885.175107788423
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2006:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5814815132942166, b_new = 0.5227833532290127, c_new = 2.152400285642623
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12535.954856912213
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2007:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.946592035516403, b_new = 0.1074132504434982, c_new = 1.5566676657804757
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13847.121834308487
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2008:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0907245423219223, b_new = 0.46618399955988876, c_new = 1.46263619686929
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4897.107608365109
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2009:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4172243243043385, b_new = -0.6230743839554171, c_new = 1.221298981738922
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8557.885381605056
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2010:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.159227010889228, b_new = 0.20363957478331063, c_new = 1.0810742194797731
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5438.861689109293
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2011:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.479770798812623, b_new = 0.7515657206530104, c_new = 1.724107118116322
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7532.042216318518
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2012:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.664715118022567, b_new = -0.2986129990727152, c_new = 1.3382048220555145
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6752.006651948172
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2013:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863314547274382, b_new = -0.27269959438235447, c_new = 2.1315964753298955
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3389.5534317824595
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2014:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5296455615849265, b_new = 0.5083677704751024, c_new = 2.022429701856943
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7086.740740923737
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2015:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.247641005628086, b_new = -0.05320430960040004, c_new = 1.0998199218162197
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12278.225230480119
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2016:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6137475972823854, b_new = 0.11510492971205089, c_new = 1.0971812012972335
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6783.6928589290055
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2017:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4501595659056994, b_new = -0.16395589896185483, c_new = 1.6122916272384926
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10143.302978299136
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2018:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3758497551188382, b_new = 0.03407877697178094, c_new = 1.4934618289218329
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9444.823620435336
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2019:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.007197483746062, b_new = 0.09223906623993397, c_new = 2.222642194312345
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3413.0782627884255
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2020:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3423506288195566, b_new = 0.6089974689858099, c_new = 1.8167440628546425
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9900.721500310894
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2021:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.783096056050933, b_new = 0.9085110432854175, c_new = 1.372531671320525
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3116.114128622212
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2022:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0678202224931894, b_new = -0.6467363954379454, c_new = 2.0625326549126375
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13932.277954485955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2023:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.233762141219156, b_new = 0.50061996771744, c_new = 2.21556502362804
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8281.173328988643
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2024:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.360384835635269, b_new = -1.0647994668388003, c_new = 2.5270111048385924
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6789.880056076468
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2025:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8168019154079613, b_new = 0.10381725220084762, c_new = 2.103481313462009
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3383.5491097552676
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2026:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6526169426324415, b_new = -0.194399113641629, c_new = 2.123591768712427
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6407.332657521618
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2027:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9653274823356623, b_new = -0.5304789841251717, c_new = 1.681798223452916
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3106.9465612343984
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2028:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.295632805967042, b_new = -0.5564326102116374, c_new = 1.3723015563474736
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12568.614042251233
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2029:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4456947418238637, b_new = 0.30939232228137425, c_new = 1.501964682355391
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9228.776401931045
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2030:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.886317683487234, b_new = 0.7363905882542738, c_new = 2.5571779025912247
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -14505.149044403184
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2031:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.008947294247399, b_new = 0.3271407537389476, c_new = 1.5756639013193525
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -14412.55090943077
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2032:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0315427625097944, b_new = 0.3803198827323827, c_new = 3.0529718986073675
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4220.121485034118
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2033:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.267119180063508, b_new = 0.759538887059424, c_new = 2.6809579084894666
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9803.027447142664
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2034:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1854726046820137, b_new = -0.8873307831681793, c_new = 1.4950398293320666
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13738.239373948438
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2035:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2633182852160796, b_new = 0.09744518245775058, c_new = 1.5583416043113012
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7525.405400123822
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2036:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.234087955730678, b_new = -0.14532498224040072, c_new = 1.6694119723754683
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6270.605757239908
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2037:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5404864010291326, b_new = -0.24906398007772448, c_new = 1.6460090328954373
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10938.552051168386
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2038:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.11331823185828, b_new = -0.19242640763346994, c_new = 1.3654092005813487
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13334.518703031614
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2039:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.92794071822938, b_new = 0.14472732189590728, c_new = 1.510998608107305
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13909.989399249585
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2040:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5680056675217267, b_new = -0.4103579144818498, c_new = 1.9723102358693358
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11032.86823046411
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2041:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8483922500271188, b_new = 1.282009226136808, c_new = 2.544024344209073
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12815.784101606852
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2042:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9566569547767592, b_new = -0.12398534815688947, c_new = 1.9693403846629804
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13936.153202608872
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2043:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6489566967348677, b_new = -0.4058187337686191, c_new = 1.4763342657142116
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -15477.19528827069
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2044:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5873645622310635, b_new = -0.25640388828599014, c_new = 2.150601327506899
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7900.935787507803
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2045:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5537009135936457, b_new = -0.13356219686093432, c_new = 1.3554814808265732
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8545.421161903614
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2046:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0704702412331053, b_new = -0.27800720755845953, c_new = 2.048100691341861
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3540.960706763589
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2047:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3115923228804767, b_new = 0.5185773521441979, c_new = 2.2067118736953923
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9778.5987683394
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2048:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.118717095108296, b_new = 0.17364046533029842, c_new = 2.1940125866903593
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4948.150301893655
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2049:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6501288792844186, b_new = -1.0883195203691536, c_new = 1.5256154382852543
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9215.700576162693
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2050:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8469115059104526, b_new = 0.6439734318604352, c_new = 2.2432567565292434
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3047.7830441296674
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2051:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.785081230044782, b_new = 0.2543516416549983, c_new = 2.3030221647594376
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3458.2302885915797
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2052:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5500062721365326, b_new = -0.20476302603291266, c_new = 1.76957955804386
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11131.427337460693
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2053:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.855636555855571, b_new = -0.7428458971763399, c_new = 2.4249827031852647
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4014.4649592091996
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2054:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4629936361575, b_new = 0.5652767651369818, c_new = 1.2986797988747
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8435.717938293361
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2055:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.722314271459335, b_new = 0.2029818710835249, c_new = 1.7270114823865825
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4362.822338074779
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2056:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5094097251659138, b_new = 0.07110582478547955, c_new = 1.2633837267231978
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8854.83168336567
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2057:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2123796997858554, b_new = 1.119791849069233, c_new = 1.5876661099109588
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9320.227895370928
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2058:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.007869021827038, b_new = -0.4707091399470954, c_new = 1.7567367104707794
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3077.219440124055
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2059:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9887795690932664, b_new = 0.3827714667543425, c_new = 2.1390103456488885
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3557.194571467396
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2060:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.046607925368923, b_new = -0.35321682657207853, c_new = 1.8398056167618069
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3276.24269865503
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2061:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.246663671088887, b_new = 1.3027780389056414, c_new = 1.7770347466645033
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10423.827085374483
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2062:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.329504298422779, b_new = -0.5907506811560391, c_new = 2.7155636826619642
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7461.652414123377
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2063:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7036621624451973, b_new = 0.8170179403982543, c_new = 1.6660072703443936
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3675.4447584219433
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2064:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6557138234981545, b_new = -0.07977405021979689, c_new = 1.421185268207482
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -15200.562177449996
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2065:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4301386086024523, b_new = -0.2542362811508291, c_new = 1.6954713350440913
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10556.20736364718
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2066:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.95652616819118, b_new = 0.523105100469948, c_new = 1.1367612216225988
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3322.9978667117357
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2067:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.919337947828317, b_new = -0.25768174848419867, c_new = 2.2911410972558097
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3078.4446029451888
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2068:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.671324082045495, b_new = 0.2596559993722273, c_new = 1.7865780547517043
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12713.311581960776
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2069:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7245826846251093, b_new = 0.7028718393778138, c_new = 2.727410140493352
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13777.660038095086
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2070:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.758981818497102, b_new = 0.5075748718665332, c_new = 2.2684417855864254
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3425.4577792247637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2071:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.38284013732747, b_new = -0.20967336922800547, c_new = 1.679205959682959
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9071.345173373395
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2072:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7663804054351364, b_new = -0.09622303432803903, c_new = 1.716372815001413
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4276.025630581911
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2073:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9369880942316793, b_new = 0.416680887064771, c_new = 1.8298863958209928
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3189.9466137026075
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2074:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.212643085727088, b_new = -0.21394776465450197, c_new = 1.448823487979979
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5582.641904762421
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2075:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.882192476626374, b_new = -0.6259503385174954, c_new = 2.3596530916353715
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3576.7483067170824
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2076:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.647901114968327, b_new = -0.1483356072932798, c_new = 2.1082403342220215
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12108.35019131513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2077:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.998078716163431, b_new = -0.06811812282353494, c_new = 1.2101763126929836
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3166.8723303446304
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2078:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.045305394864592, b_new = -0.06256874311115432, c_new = 1.7167255840937183
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3510.316733701259
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2079:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8408941920204909, b_new = 0.5125794949908195, c_new = 2.3354322252220934
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13726.773141777434
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2080:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8065691974699565, b_new = 0.0886531675856824, c_new = 1.0014576104053696
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3676.47887429172
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2081:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.551485018565886, b_new = -0.6233085593856152, c_new = 1.7750572783692475
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -15860.611325943875
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2082:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3915297286418977, b_new = -0.3437225264669349, c_new = 3.956937430109232
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9673.003352356298
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2083:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0249956171610908, b_new = -0.16654784845059298, c_new = 2.9723548026613402
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3388.3147012937116
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2084:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2219725080811, b_new = 0.5683964366968194, c_new = 1.2059371939531947
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7824.6032151568525
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2085:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9719852641556805, b_new = 0.9827540873476992, c_new = 1.8630259226457793
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4186.937488157684
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2086:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7975243158381984, b_new = 0.6604593036709816, c_new = 2.0980387313544187
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3121.1122194200543
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2087:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.404076318163093, b_new = 1.069809458997498, c_new = 2.7001723977215684
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12080.507593827386
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2088:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4257630895127424, b_new = 0.5015312367838768, c_new = 1.696684382402575
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11038.720249828551
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2089:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6664068135792305, b_new = -0.2434382421065631, c_new = 1.7653555999293682
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6392.5777836815705
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2090:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9523200092062196, b_new = 0.19606384362445003, c_new = 1.4921564210618206
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13739.280278631257
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2091:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.161562180295663, b_new = 0.1425474058877654, c_new = 2.448512706681159
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12246.564721367837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2092:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9649774225702528, b_new = 0.3948342821551165, c_new = 2.614020363872612
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3434.3101721622074
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2093:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.683028815128052, b_new = -0.005738690140069752, c_new = 2.0175786555672874
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5366.023015819329
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2094:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.597304752321584, b_new = 0.5947747316195782, c_new = 0.7399036654699713
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5996.83480388283
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2095:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.85993591467332, b_new = -0.3974196188956691, c_new = 1.7547770715251272
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3621.5739454983323
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2096:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8067230456588157, b_new = -0.18479403797666885, c_new = 2.548300855653385
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3728.277039449828
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2097:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.942078888183389, b_new = -1.4246895439085507, c_new = 2.2173808198531826
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4115.776911559681
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2098:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.671999738419238, b_new = -0.38046441908759976, c_new = 1.716354583599542
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6668.926875195724
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2099:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8262402843268313, b_new = -1.04910658434466, c_new = 2.1470329173138776
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12208.993751602018
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2100:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7871182415245754, b_new = 0.5110934232867568, c_new = 2.3557024202206853
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3226.023540637613
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2101:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.873293653181637, b_new = -0.048509788314567454, c_new = 2.5337505519166212
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3123.5502473108872
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2102:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.098495063951563, b_new = -0.4157269683194105, c_new = 2.4451558547874654
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3702.86324744549
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2103:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6739209012866394, b_new = 0.29554844362686095, c_new = 2.080509321704948
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4838.750036501251
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2104:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6335936033077223, b_new = -0.9919797161765928, c_new = 0.9990455690385504
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9503.914782214759
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2105:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1874283160124723, b_new = 0.6183009982291217, c_new = 1.9903584360316722
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7509.408519044529
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2106:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.021976047515703, b_new = -0.05034071415924046, c_new = 1.0365558801430579
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3289.9993748283778
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2107:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3384306068217193, b_new = 0.3495005403670578, c_new = 2.2994974970930193
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9841.220715045318
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2108:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0121504465079756, b_new = 0.6586554188816397, c_new = 2.0652480589494777
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4211.9566403323215
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2109:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.430047585891182, b_new = -0.3292242121039458, c_new = 2.0347914929356774
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9635.014723779914
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2110:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2877618434030675, b_new = -0.13527400477031945, c_new = 1.4691311840574848
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11941.338360453681
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2111:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.365013055207647, b_new = -0.13214895003641416, c_new = 1.816345220860383
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11045.108469486127
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2112:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.283245136782934, b_new = 0.11634075806687934, c_new = 2.0947812340107492
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8197.765409970209
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2113:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6448463891143206, b_new = 1.0635209438714512, c_new = 2.2843878373789464
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13649.19974014759
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2114:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2454414147065163, b_new = -0.4659917235125127, c_new = 1.7508139858236167
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12696.73145858999
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2115:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.905428741884358, b_new = 0.9538612166175433, c_new = 2.107530703051295
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12974.619511585275
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2116:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9575327653195624, b_new = -0.3095131844028337, c_new = 1.2981839125607095
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3082.761743182523
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2117:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.953019784076297, b_new = 0.3983681641994906, c_new = 1.8653240113801601
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3267.953703450399
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2118:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.842969939325989, b_new = 0.3718564701783146, c_new = 2.004403135815502
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13842.25644641467
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2119:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7923324445718096, b_new = 0.03169422468524678, c_new = 1.5025813683255405
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3798.5954346931853
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2120:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9685054249153042, b_new = 0.8715062438216303, c_new = 1.9991439577177563
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3987.6358925883687
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2121:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.596080262986112, b_new = 0.5546876471192603, c_new = 1.4979842782412887
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5851.336158302208
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2122:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7959554776348585, b_new = -0.29791599030496585, c_new = 2.2099173104120173
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4098.456122777178
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2123:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.985202413464484, b_new = 0.3728082395473914, c_new = 1.5509174770300156
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13347.267754766212
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2124:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.016681564728397, b_new = 0.34841617742040165, c_new = 1.845414977991338
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13110.929348073747
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2125:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1299747555502524, b_new = 0.11355996141218452, c_new = 1.8320346184297673
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4913.785088117605
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2126:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6842393369619173, b_new = -0.04844137253617525, c_new = 2.028638286693067
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5441.1303151979
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2127:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1579748332908393, b_new = -0.03794319756213932, c_new = 2.2200598630931476
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12586.600571953917
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2128:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.955885929873894, b_new = -0.6325485331199923, c_new = 1.168293185936427
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3255.321854183875
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2129:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7256872452763847, b_new = 0.9263052389611782, c_new = 0.7633350645333452
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3494.236636003038
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2130:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4655901272745306, b_new = 0.6538287577000411, c_new = 1.7143302956237545
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8025.190025782095
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2131:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.36691214771444, b_new = 0.06038824635448069, c_new = 2.1127851551018995
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10557.198320486186
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2132:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9617302165398613, b_new = 0.0071251846812002695, c_new = 1.5154643232285523
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3083.155332127989
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2133:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8938271915327585, b_new = -0.6710746446794847, c_new = 1.6594330056499158
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3662.2249636884985
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2134:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5366702082335006, b_new = 0.516355903045298, c_new = 1.9273748302855047
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6964.4552012883905
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2135:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0708907700280528, b_new = -0.6078299750776587, c_new = 1.2998284914295974
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -14088.662917357036
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2136:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.820432163883396, b_new = -0.11860079344464117, c_new = 1.841399601601968
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13178.839770224207
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2137:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3371837613492827, b_new = -0.33739654894093885, c_new = 2.512495032719675
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8221.788801267823
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2138:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7963577471717143, b_new = 0.37841926135955717, c_new = 1.7397034664690394
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3333.6005333758976
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2139:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4240580140897103, b_new = -0.29280807128754105, c_new = 1.4264551087366888
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9441.818241523511
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2140:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8044505323854607, b_new = 0.5221100645962528, c_new = 1.8423472780707788
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3175.6712149083814
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2141:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.44999421992607, b_new = 0.253572846068328, c_new = 2.416372957366357
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8956.889478342482
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2142:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.37256127501645, b_new = 0.5060567812502403, c_new = 1.4122603172044053
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10352.47359042643
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2143:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.957434972834791, b_new = -0.2912821402995557, c_new = 1.4601446399561229
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -14243.775859501564
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2144:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5860350273138615, b_new = -0.5645034285996671, c_new = 1.914948547379512
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -15686.795917582393
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2145:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.499108409694838, b_new = 0.2012728089095091, c_new = 1.9203645072697388
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8457.466148715968
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2146:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.210133659685663, b_new = 0.15786375619611864, c_new = 1.9839703405270892
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11985.620664372014
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2147:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.26622692716081, b_new = -0.6647029173656928, c_new = 2.006529866111692
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5713.492271100826
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2148:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9740998384758703, b_new = 1.1515365996778155, c_new = 2.4021202195612803
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4683.597512857943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2149:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1268843992207818, b_new = 0.992851594948992, c_new = 2.4911420636985273
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7452.12564495426
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2150:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2208451416626995, b_new = 0.2439753298649423, c_new = 1.6342415204320284
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7038.804773754981
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2151:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0461547948968084, b_new = 0.6735073218917798, c_new = 1.7415456782818022
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12546.153598257351
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2152:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.675914245717791, b_new = 0.2782870811282821, c_new = 1.474137399608122
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12691.0494119484
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2153:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.082838020960341, b_new = -0.7925324879038956, c_new = 0.9379446162754944
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -14339.877545104559
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2154:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4956051433518525, b_new = 0.1340251973831737, c_new = 2.2292123504249632
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8563.756383546415
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2155:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3873527876062037, b_new = 0.765293787426013, c_new = 1.7544126904341217
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9009.005006577621
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2156:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.132801348388187, b_new = -0.3726363859548236, c_new = 1.6695661894998781
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4031.4372954731452
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2157:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.196824394512417, b_new = 0.07591124447988103, c_new = 1.6287904926857846
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -14867.120417968825
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2158:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9150461333345303, b_new = -0.19096833071255706, c_new = 2.4230029343437938
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3059.4229636677696
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2159:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.088774764686207, b_new = 1.1224000920570751, c_new = 1.8355068490914568
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6679.8141097937105
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2160:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.897912511318457, b_new = -0.03910439994781739, c_new = 1.7074372318884645
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3098.141364480586
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2161:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2880635302894965, b_new = -0.25820680751119396, c_new = 2.371276439709225
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7368.235861958605
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2162:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9014900395545156, b_new = 1.0734043270834446, c_new = 1.5273067252935202
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3488.220725047171
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2163:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.191023340700415, b_new = -0.17463475718793534, c_new = 2.0850801006034034
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5444.720064424393
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2164:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305179621877025, b_new = 1.2164389940418683, c_new = 1.8047256897912256
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11033.469656786227
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2165:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.063098513074239, b_new = 0.7925894239111235, c_new = 1.6260586143727591
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -14991.107374313167
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2166:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.081661797501704, b_new = 0.6803574291719755, c_new = 2.0149527663500257
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12215.825852045615
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2167:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.588808954735919, b_new = -0.4445267391236315, c_new = 2.8385121507980458
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8094.581194916783
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2168:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9955353653712518, b_new = 0.27326939811407125, c_new = 2.8865293870896225
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13045.31572805969
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2169:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.281788403451473, b_new = -0.3463292695290925, c_new = 2.3445729049669852
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12044.381993916046
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2170:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.434642434424111, b_new = 0.5606727201842553, c_new = 1.6662210252853327
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11222.822106550204
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2171:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0999058908318062, b_new = 0.5240242129974576, c_new = 1.671466435532015
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5251.511582447996
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2172:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9517853227175113, b_new = -0.43534096317180915, c_new = 2.2042279940149037
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -14219.248860545868
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2173:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4160634406085304, b_new = -0.29025445056695065, c_new = 1.7781634875319123
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9437.692413132938
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2174:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7542297992507483, b_new = 0.6897252831284716, c_new = 0.9359853741309284
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3472.7791869159464
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2175:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0564124588460126, b_new = -0.05610581077145957, c_new = 1.5039142806545391
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3591.4119203000214
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2176:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9359365915761946, b_new = 0.24180262635697392, c_new = 1.5619827534469382
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3088.7221519821446
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2177:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.849871244647147, b_new = 0.4367926052011265, c_new = 2.319674855230524
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3046.978549630728
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2178:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.380598642731552, b_new = 0.4361069363508673, c_new = 1.8363557312152938
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10449.17457139454
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2179:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7637206833566412, b_new = 0.26588490023176137, c_new = 2.141571745569616
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3666.680820525453
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2180:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.906004847713177, b_new = 1.1529263777259344, c_new = 1.8523926262048491
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3676.903576972347
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2181:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.017059272258018, b_new = 0.05701177633441329, c_new = 1.5206135041442712
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3380.2784357282994
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2182:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.452133603359318, b_new = 1.1180745394284868, c_new = 1.896143760500416
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -16177.540065031322
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2183:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.577975618822566, b_new = -0.4296489822564843, c_new = 2.0626681766275143
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11119.115558868592
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2184:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3107884470644837, b_new = -0.08322291368879209, c_new = 2.102527596631815
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8221.10228330953
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2185:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.224642375882707, b_new = -0.40994972213110037, c_new = 2.698255226910388
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5721.363521613719
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2186:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2396900551327628, b_new = 0.6569311058904505, c_new = 1.9466164022754076
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8738.249808265919
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2187:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9561232915272004, b_new = 0.2969234243760096, c_new = 1.99157613658491
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3222.348811928967
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2188:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3125357449389905, b_new = -0.4933588274081363, c_new = 2.2067379532763347
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12054.821561771176
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2189:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.277099901584626, b_new = 0.5258700696177427, c_new = 2.389807023362828
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9281.00444704015
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2190:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5479653226965477, b_new = 0.2042267692016783, c_new = 1.713452804925535
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7630.23161289848
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2191:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2492938520124337, b_new = 0.19805987816458265, c_new = 1.77724266590564
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7585.254264170982
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2192:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0159988986821666, b_new = 0.5487380834812281, c_new = 2.613941664599827
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4199.793812239119
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2193:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.169740798807744, b_new = 0.06953908341770809, c_new = 1.5106089614811078
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5447.593312345221
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2194:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.565284135153184, b_new = 0.36627352981507744, c_new = 1.6011348911707433
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12060.75753444287
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2195:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6028724154999923, b_new = 0.4139706298787912, c_new = 2.3343416660991934
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5778.960092106099
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2196:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9779517703291694, b_new = -0.2305581439957561, c_new = 2.043944931308362
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13927.497707294115
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2197:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1543582799316696, b_new = 0.14298656223706688, c_new = 1.8895110114493643
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5441.832162667783
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2198:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.521340750106436, b_new = -0.06991394357173, c_new = 1.7735482159596834
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8794.060381719602
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2199:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8132514559087127, b_new = 0.8877677077469365, c_new = 2.690546513518132
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3073.0476348622105
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2200:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.583812901465939, b_new = 0.4650070528677236, c_new = 2.1253072268134843
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6094.795239570976
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2201:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.378422479225355, b_new = -0.3442360001370559, c_new = 2.5780902236559005
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11025.325896619655
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2202:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2139145150850865, b_new = 0.10376466207027132, c_new = 1.8249964851395672
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12084.801153907822
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2203:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6417528318596015, b_new = 0.1733534546299505, c_new = 1.5753349974163902
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5877.560285886601
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2204:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.233811291312696, b_new = 0.21902324077294505, c_new = 1.9807251837140893
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7383.129251161771
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2205:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831883434120362, b_new = 0.21133564018512346, c_new = 1.6100754558568393
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3256.1286794797275
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2206:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.378709451807518, b_new = -0.33414343855975714, c_new = 2.274680828595067
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11108.15500609788
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2207:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4036641806436165, b_new = 0.04161687582345122, c_new = 1.575715240987131
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9885.868132218215
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2208:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.704999063289296, b_new = -0.25526237681308994, c_new = 2.749658640000946
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5301.293356193639
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2209:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4961788880384868, b_new = -0.403835883025528, c_new = 2.219121987763967
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9795.238014827912
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2210:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0454237807233806, b_new = 1.0103331418549646, c_new = 1.5323476728202294
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5346.455880146599
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2211:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1707614448580053, b_new = 0.3385919994585622, c_new = 2.026861023632036
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12022.163062174328
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2212:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.956392113432498, b_new = 0.46546136498649937, c_new = 2.128706353572691
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3376.216340518685
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2213:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.326554610033281, b_new = 0.172391745378632, c_new = 2.9101012069516368
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9459.167829385004
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2214:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8745506972048847, b_new = 0.8750258744412279, c_new = 2.2848321931476865
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3222.6462133570903
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2215:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.264255331906896, b_new = 0.5779128062976002, c_new = 1.8110642225658393
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8957.008400442532
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2216:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6824877269090415, b_new = 0.20416399159762974, c_new = 1.7997005240111927
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4970.707501332661
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2217:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3456862926720587, b_new = -0.24524289511379962, c_new = 1.7424453164522182
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11481.439297159337
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2218:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6187271986451397, b_new = 0.2969303368631653, c_new = 1.6607641886114801
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5990.830520840565
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2219:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.326321159974814, b_new = 0.5305935828391564, c_new = 2.5417653353970073
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10007.484396730102
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2220:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.358563840116956, b_new = 0.9500810240656602, c_new = 1.6996509033635105
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11111.26383639858
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2221:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.581520837686335, b_new = 0.046415409180912026, c_new = 1.5609599252278383
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11727.240814086397
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2222:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.522853207616577, b_new = 0.052927957438318504, c_new = 2.0371139838916124
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11353.225856945888
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2223:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6885090095904083, b_new = -0.37726727300279794, c_new = 2.5136749226634976
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12198.612618955785
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2224:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1961072166491853, b_new = 0.6067159298380066, c_new = 2.8686991891368114
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8033.507552553093
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2225:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1172162675752024, b_new = -0.15273392702052277, c_new = 2.2463705672074568
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4293.197368395558
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2226:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6856362064893124, b_new = 0.3784043758058018, c_new = 2.3427821840491383
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4423.774731322226
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2227:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4723236195225398, b_new = 0.727502061089342, c_new = 1.9802462795887406
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7633.98920951589
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2228:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6592887521637967, b_new = 0.23760799295969354, c_new = 2.5898789502465176
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5062.554986081042
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2229:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7355846018825924, b_new = -0.41898543902438623, c_new = 2.165172984041125
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5316.086910513215
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2230:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7803068298277975, b_new = 0.12562836840040337, c_new = 1.3205144763659296
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -14603.662161145818
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2231:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4909114358562396, b_new = 0.2370819236669374, c_new = 2.0929968187699775
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11362.524927697179
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2232:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0377615149396218, b_new = 0.5698957687816159, c_new = 2.0296713920039116
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4406.552831585106
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2233:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5033244824112404, b_new = 0.1044199273511569, c_new = 1.832439805829606
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8654.30664214189
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2234:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3002841162934264, b_new = -0.01891681171778184, c_new = 1.7684084262616753
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11532.66086174843
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2235:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.016301560791041, b_new = -0.1178247432181174, c_new = 2.1093301936764495
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3282.747758577386
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2236:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.89493718856012, b_new = -0.06764819974246608, c_new = 1.757021977672461
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3115.729541878138
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2237:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.580789252529092, b_new = -0.04687456596754236, c_new = 2.5761237964631345
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7307.317554661402
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2238:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3460656999292513, b_new = 0.4814260789053836, c_new = 2.389998507295859
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10268.373003996934
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2239:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8443094503648947, b_new = 0.7911014684785184, c_new = 2.774723430583331
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3101.1455334556595
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2240:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.361917673351773, b_new = 1.4539788287945237, c_new = 2.040292122167716
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7829.130402233741
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2241:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1713157545828485, b_new = 0.49965318407335035, c_new = 2.0208500760937578
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11783.263883408386
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2242:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9681266569178075, b_new = 0.28407511358740484, c_new = 1.614680854578966
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3250.6984497960984
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2243:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.157315113898841, b_new = -0.3304154282911793, c_new = 1.9279233297448861
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4492.169704568813
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2244:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9470782987257937, b_new = -0.05149464516566635, c_new = 1.527495489611789
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3051.9214074114734
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2245:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.298672048638317, b_new = -0.24703256040919871, c_new = 1.4178457654328211
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7286.538648682328
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2246:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7174893642140208, b_new = 0.4715994975645089, c_new = 1.4352995392942127
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4043.618663283433
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2247:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4730210104452706, b_new = 0.16527337112120477, c_new = 2.308892026642229
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8834.740316046578
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2248:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.413453790986198, b_new = 0.057244716595288195, c_new = 1.9873526988602204
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10033.048611325628
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2249:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5270077927629644, b_new = 1.4478498442310437, c_new = 2.674930497986691
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4801.856526049901
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2250:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.05743195537025, b_new = -0.14505009610114197, c_new = 1.6580693393691186
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3522.008976237137
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2251:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8456825057191124, b_new = 0.43817222721858173, c_new = 1.8764287072071542
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3067.6921435529375
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2252:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6739065395184833, b_new = 0.4069312044194422, c_new = 2.1271533499670197
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4603.388886112668
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2253:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.089668456812705, b_new = 0.6345588081014997, c_new = 1.7576466488919766
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5348.627083522062
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2254:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.244866918719673, b_new = 0.14097585519101857, c_new = 0.4783166781479704
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12205.297109484372
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2255:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.939001714207708, b_new = -1.0008706853366354, c_new = 1.9250235636180897
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3599.863657690041
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2256:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0282906526362807, b_new = 0.7893883392509917, c_new = 1.8999327116196234
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12472.196356003244
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2257:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3792613399460594, b_new = -1.0372274099499375, c_new = 1.960322686299299
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7063.142226424008
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2258:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.811179667660154, b_new = 0.0003918312618041986, c_new = 2.5212560341964236
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13414.439306590448
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2259:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8285463590707405, b_new = -0.31977654116832177, c_new = 1.596377771306188
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3878.4660418350377
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2260:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.227229825803666, b_new = 0.12309575854981052, c_new = 1.3554405932803792
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6741.8964793821015
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2261:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.660085744003499, b_new = 0.19456034966842933, c_new = 1.7603696823867794
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5407.895037556032
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2262:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.695704238216768, b_new = -0.02322184709802025, c_new = 1.4361034831318595
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5368.81308423281
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2263:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6414363553226208, b_new = 0.12014116955709273, c_new = 1.9760101968215176
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5873.92912711194
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2264:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.617403730099473, b_new = -0.19199696513037542, c_new = 2.568089267966325
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6955.546412443318
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2265:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2404481044947673, b_new = 0.5773820832636615, c_new = 2.712335252455643
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8839.363893285012
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2266:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.727753385943214, b_new = 0.3455325208372433, c_new = 1.309065035214688
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4144.0979436935795
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2267:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9682022001137263, b_new = 0.4045106937262193, c_new = 1.678929006103724
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3354.4715599251676
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2268:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.520496805027207, b_new = -0.713639211700063, c_new = 1.5022354616267535
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9911.462020091869
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2269:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1249958045625754, b_new = -0.2696647614664981, c_new = 2.209383351954441
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4193.220069136253
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2270:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.384705883543291, b_new = 0.5683687046288274, c_new = 2.553438955797116
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10972.617217507204
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2271:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5425414972742892, b_new = -0.1794603385646236, c_new = 1.8453185173596027
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8666.246195994745
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2272:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.31147174697027, b_new = -0.09429913296682318, c_new = 1.8079272757656633
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8098.906115049675
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2273:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5110914886596993, b_new = -0.17589338038945654, c_new = 1.6590356032473148
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9267.039709209454
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2274:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2521552711686916, b_new = 0.3799038812391823, c_new = 2.531842564575217
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8453.979232093816
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2275:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.939637246202579, b_new = 0.2969899838160023, c_new = 1.5529815292763183
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3121.358661852423
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2276:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.589832765803715, b_new = 1.4466573811544627, c_new = 1.3345344848956167
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4184.026040712874
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2277:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.197142869298704, b_new = -0.49075022634370746, c_new = 1.7119398920157858
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4763.917711627657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2278:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4388322040099037, b_new = 0.10902238441869007, c_new = 1.7029097521974934
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10491.394687397169
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2279:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322383137019242, b_new = 1.0271907649305998, c_new = 1.8396044363269177
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10884.586356812119
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2280:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.815606316450411, b_new = 0.38285837122928446, c_new = 2.527566472504297
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13841.723223913174
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2281:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.02001532563742, b_new = 0.31782606751967957, c_new = 1.8331766218646715
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13131.677936621289
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2282:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4719645316172514, b_new = 0.07277920669450152, c_new = 2.1243286105707377
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10909.827373357144
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2283:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7502502185787585, b_new = -0.7991534828870057, c_new = 1.371180362748996
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -15509.68930125417
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2284:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.442620445573822, b_new = -0.12856786040242832, c_new = 1.287802529418021
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9976.793675942168
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2285:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.036338736998973, b_new = 0.07854507622562376, c_new = 1.5115463858082232
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3558.642468721114
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2286:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2083266618400046, b_new = 0.9309012739205174, c_new = 2.5393916762134974
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9106.995682460018
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2287:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7144730801764605, b_new = -0.03693389063157118, c_new = 2.7207192771002484
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12852.25085732821
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2288:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.132766546313681, b_new = 0.621528212802962, c_new = 1.5021231248059814
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6104.449466876211
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2289:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0277958650507584, b_new = 0.48004069235996893, c_new = 1.7764996842061733
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4055.3960497138432
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2290:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9929951501819745, b_new = -0.5923329070640089, c_new = 1.8881570386283695
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3065.8301003729493
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2291:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.261295799527402, b_new = 0.8237486935116524, c_new = 2.0326113555332563
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10382.917338032988
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2292:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.540165059063563, b_new = 0.17493285755402713, c_new = 2.246826551629801
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7650.677567538369
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2293:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1107803824466584, b_new = 0.18986995442837357, c_new = 1.8261596247982186
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4748.949175514581
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2294:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0742338999809196, b_new = -0.1121757430102078, c_new = 1.4137921282077461
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3686.698373644492
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2295:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.90100529302509, b_new = -0.23981053814654188, c_new = 1.4428505348218734
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3220.1173948801743
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2296:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6089135823925917, b_new = 0.2224893689207191, c_new = 1.644161783611227
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6384.6616247748725
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2297:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.11249019951536, b_new = 0.8240356706755096, c_new = 1.9107305489350397
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6376.301958087395
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2298:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.891520630492539, b_new = -0.5745618491507549, c_new = 2.8733839116258024
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3359.476075534537
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2299:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5995751980560904, b_new = -0.5792966037015046, c_new = 2.398771225702484
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8422.728141927633
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2300:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7941681116977652, b_new = -0.0032618634973798355, c_new = 2.303221403300697
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3668.315427217919
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2301:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.746574288223915, b_new = -0.1428202660124581, c_new = 1.2896380876695437
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4791.447064829528
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2302:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7714884709248993, b_new = 0.28528501135025797, c_new = 1.6458512371703906
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3653.7531629094824
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2303:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4311643743218525, b_new = -0.17853373898609778, c_new = 2.6490471142883614
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10141.29762378603
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2304:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6482627350437027, b_new = 1.211490194602716, c_new = 2.3756695583232426
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3658.2477608483223
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2305:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1448379612208783, b_new = -0.19924525710049854, c_new = 0.6695303981675846
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4288.976343423054
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2306:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2255177569028604, b_new = 0.5274597425836632, c_new = 1.170654111054527
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11530.24681679765
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2307:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.776095349847542, b_new = -0.10077879928239683, c_new = 1.8596851325333448
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4115.794938275285
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2308:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1029807794655118, b_new = -0.4889627372691189, c_new = 1.364632464732877
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3532.8986846085863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2309:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5400527106552815, b_new = 0.14147994426320193, c_new = 1.7693061038082498
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -7922.772482060564
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2310:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2722845434690813, b_new = 1.0053645178093553, c_new = 1.5100539920830227
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10037.980469533293
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2311:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9264371134967124, b_new = -0.3210850339200416, c_new = 1.8337955859517918
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3118.846680092777
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2312:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9695932299710064, b_new = 0.430253024771984, c_new = 1.5357055634958163
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3372.5173841221417
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2313:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.361767540357699, b_new = 0.18842423820307286, c_new = 2.105153814362744
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -9769.269262661895
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2314:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.534382969200636, b_new = 0.8785149456343606, c_new = 1.9692197646498855
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6095.17965664457
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2315:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.415896221725269, b_new = -0.8112875719006938, c_new = 1.5260679732093323
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8190.645790299281
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2316:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.632624067008954, b_new = 0.18809899829350063, c_new = 1.571305533898846
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12309.726956841432
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2317:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7996357247730894, b_new = -0.26571415258569453, c_new = 2.1869872656667226
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4004.8139297275966
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2318:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.375663940490593, b_new = 0.14982801307799304, c_new = 2.057106848856385
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -10299.471738774042
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2319:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.898839594838374, b_new = 0.7432782729714504, c_new = 2.1012509014398466
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3238.002387420056
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2320:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.22763484881665, b_new = -0.23139691425968953, c_new = 1.7713269598826216
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -5942.031740459871
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2321:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.74095018300258, b_new = -0.37461487011941785, c_new = 2.904710353717829
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12649.985805803679
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2322:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5395552034989475, b_new = -0.2058112819617298, c_new = 1.502536972280137
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8924.48321343675
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2323:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0823173046560104, b_new = -0.3751671576358807, c_new = 1.0719150167152847
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3447.1235530982012
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2324:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.897988957495434, b_new = -0.15304330874082292, c_new = 1.591161153473223
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13490.459283960588
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2325:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7795327590681445, b_new = 0.558085613012858, c_new = 1.350528490908422
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3346.299972328914
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2326:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7314255983137765, b_new = 0.2622631967966404, c_new = 1.6685857368643815
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -4147.565224106051
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2327:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.11257235732764, b_new = 1.03968943507503, c_new = 1.3598787089237807
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -6793.162093553734
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2328:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.173188432912651, b_new = 0.819624877624343, c_new = 1.60197455187086
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11405.855241826475
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2329:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.901457286312743, b_new = 0.7279072610069922, c_new = 1.680128857587286
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3203.1988307869615
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2330:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.270960107389647, b_new = 0.4105039639772048, c_new = 1.4550385502765222
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8507.696304704321
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2331:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.961747582201067, b_new = 0.6405201218957848, c_new = 2.048817139561658
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3599.7638720316986
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2332:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7929717822331988, b_new = 0.09975455074660557, c_new = 2.783579739014511
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -13488.09215132503
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2333:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.85496579656143, b_new = -0.016590713943619523, c_new = 2.2028501278259247
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3221.646384038456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2334:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.473089319009154, b_new = 0.7787140516206303, c_new = 2.1728543746203037
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12070.580432266137
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2335:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2790604760321984, b_new = 0.2826469702542869, c_new = 1.7593479127768623
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -8439.018403061185
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2336:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8637157605560533, b_new = 0.6349281656534059, c_new = 1.311675493026398
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3050.0473023448967
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2337:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9469909322841112, b_new = -0.13715344795715315, c_new = 1.6896383119505587
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3047.4886159527273
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2338:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1270431040860274, b_new = -0.2352548965252594, c_new = 2.659251808903635
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -12925.791671437039
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2339:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.920928687158532, b_new = 0.43473312077077475, c_new = 1.692384846636849
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3122.936871490755
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2340:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.746996816278492, b_new = -1.1031294175387474, c_new = 1.929355591704803
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -11542.455656951064
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2341:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.890219303859362, b_new = 0.14555014014176015, c_new = 1.5984110255385389
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3064.470546173412
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2342:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9258735468439445, b_new = 0.03502034540124603, c_new = 1.9497841237251017
Current likelihood: -3038.7725245187703
Proposed likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9021742292129167, b = 0.13794458897581388, c = 1.9115989057696456
Iteration 2343:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.936342670143361, b_new = 0.42427128201728714, c_new = 2.297504612500571
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3230.1967520601884
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2344:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2395838611949586, b_new = -0.05004913733640583, c_new = 2.268225403678177
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -11968.431194431483
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2345:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4366778586135034, b_new = -0.3354589132649031, c_new = 2.769334775163952
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -9939.505113836298
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2346:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5510843286264695, b_new = 1.1620737174083045, c_new = 1.400328384871238
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -5309.976715243648
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2347:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0835027654707847, b_new = 0.6323131565150686, c_new = 1.2522882291780428
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -12486.028628741471
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2348:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2811062339844104, b_new = -0.2974396197756805, c_new = 2.6100500420292723
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -11889.832954523583
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2349:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1731992004323537, b_new = 0.47877274975650874, c_new = 1.0891969463902496
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -6448.164973120025
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2350:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.125016830284143, b_new = -0.754328587859347, c_new = 1.3450752333523224
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3464.577472964422
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2351:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.725997492538503, b_new = -0.15918899919000123, c_new = 3.1437859275751343
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -4616.9983712111225
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2352:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7892486108106365, b_new = 0.4488650494807932, c_new = 1.0690926637619493
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3413.5656838207033
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2353:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5505832854774835, b_new = -0.18450830267816565, c_new = 2.6952818260535665
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -11416.300206822272
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2354:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.760673222011844, b_new = 0.9054488439179365, c_new = 2.508384914150443
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3139.0353697499377
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2355:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.708370829324856, b_new = -0.1460551944740719, c_new = 1.9055456769663395
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -14961.66095172616
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2356:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9415794038246235, b_new = 0.021993836133825842, c_new = 1.6057322618406005
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3051.726556273017
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2357:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.416003659572314, b_new = 0.25565694941799755, c_new = 0.817968044150797
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -10016.160041403993
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2358:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.479995205541902, b_new = 1.0738234238812059, c_new = 2.5135688459835435
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -6482.994238341402
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2359:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2971883151433348, b_new = 0.024028153167107637, c_new = 0.7011173360244665
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -7735.549696014023
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2360:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6795505049878283, b_new = -0.2350525456435052, c_new = 2.121173062535104
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -5965.182284421635
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2361:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.713095175503664, b_new = 0.0991996914659452, c_new = 1.6472095406212193
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -4726.5711572662485
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2362:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.597065052586107, b_new = 0.06247953407581308, c_new = 2.006739801335908
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -6909.606726881287
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2363:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.942049022746377, b_new = 0.3968386042708687, c_new = 2.2414308552841664
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3237.009659258677
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2364:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.701910797255235, b_new = -0.2671469309728684, c_new = 2.011738302240858
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -12311.553646752214
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2365:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7108877154622126, b_new = 0.19003412125217806, c_new = 2.857417287333659
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -4270.4225278844315
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2366:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208645969447732, b_new = 0.27616090941770066, c_new = 1.2235847865158977
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -6712.400750662747
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2367:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2407406488375665, b_new = 0.21450781718071682, c_new = 1.7122673067212637
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -7421.040341925334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2368:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.436714947641213, b_new = -0.03107285478894352, c_new = 1.931980680548083
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -10275.681285392557
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2369:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.81256714366577, b_new = 0.4332974356897364, c_new = 1.656262848747108
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3205.294690164857
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2370:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.349515575238501, b_new = 1.08358427388144, c_new = 2.462441309302048
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -8660.34452481395
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2371:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9494079171268295, b_new = -0.6658134380600457, c_new = 1.5306194426241218
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3262.6708742952906
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2372:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2198668043286816, b_new = -0.5684632892213131, c_new = 0.9881223111007236
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -4820.0650155606345
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2373:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.810130428598029, b_new = 0.2779530272232481, c_new = 1.4280872054367144
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3366.5514561589707
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2374:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.731289614047561, b_new = -0.537366148558913, c_new = 1.5409661746190835
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -12065.7603399295
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2375:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4124444660494144, b_new = -0.25780208272163, c_new = 1.48606518980031
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -9363.75684158706
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2376:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.849718199509904, b_new = -0.473767636659629, c_new = 2.1332481891880244
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3747.2846127431503
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2377:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833473287696534, b_new = -0.16547004917435082, c_new = 2.439860663035825
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3470.203521870446
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2378:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1313306904159397, b_new = 0.3496766112228232, c_new = 1.7105237795023838
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -12396.713889577135
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2379:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2481398516783253, b_new = 0.06172261561121856, c_new = 2.642407949088167
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -7503.401877551917
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2380:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.517364009773052, b_new = -0.4775672560146605, c_new = 2.4909395381452377
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -10553.813493477495
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2381:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5101192537964665, b_new = -0.03610563568156282, c_new = 1.7219175317262858
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -8923.268606643374
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2382:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.782564441247219, b_new = -0.0027943955478397994, c_new = 2.033227907418298
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3845.314344293112
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2383:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6387755952000886, b_new = -0.48102886541191986, c_new = 2.235438857142471
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -7435.004565409494
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2384:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8113286596352745, b_new = -0.21512785298039094, c_new = 0.9255577314617549
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -4085.2782521475615
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2385:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1789708639436487, b_new = -0.05231640394077278, c_new = 2.4434922415776894
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -12390.856029378534
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2386:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.454744780817782, b_new = 0.8934467135858193, c_new = 1.7727317773351208
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -7624.231269007556
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2387:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9338651150610993, b_new = 0.9285120527157691, c_new = 1.2724492898407482
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3566.890766405073
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2388:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7070943809124928, b_new = -0.057394308535691024, c_new = 1.6741946203881597
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -5159.40172104443
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2389:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7051965993757032, b_new = 0.18430773637119235, c_new = 2.0142898432721568
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -4578.052636065171
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2390:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.995447955689003, b_new = 0.03059874836135777, c_new = 2.340997327202478
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3287.1466446725353
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2391:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.336342251086235, b_new = -0.4138436928361171, c_new = 1.7274553386089708
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -7728.439036303779
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2392:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.289910689110134, b_new = -0.3872196124716586, c_new = 1.6873994579617904
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -6818.958621365127
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2393:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.246244596247016, b_new = -0.11492607007683019, c_new = 1.4099847471220817
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -12283.141956574025
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2394:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8822860260538166, b_new = 0.8986443595450909, c_new = 1.5500779208000326
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -14419.476006776971
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2395:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5898053816121003, b_new = 0.024293880104629444, c_new = 2.3342203371020003
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -7031.895003934729
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2396:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6277369458815416, b_new = -0.1100098791867143, c_new = 1.4054425326311022
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -6982.08147044983
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2397:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.160775737948535, b_new = 0.3896339869940179, c_new = 1.8108130518533885
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -6185.971067448276
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2398:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.963575893953253, b_new = -0.47503130373530084, c_new = 1.961003582769344
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3071.738642264224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2399:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1687366756120277, b_new = 0.666971884292179, c_new = 1.7340572447440066
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -7127.385968471879
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2400:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7306835423246625, b_new = 0.3560601055290658, c_new = 1.2690223774841085
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -4097.968769525505
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2401:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.325801568754974, b_new = 0.4534116752522427, c_new = 1.7405005390674535
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -15496.707500102759
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2402:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0270099780551494, b_new = 0.4664821286840441, c_new = 1.808603250647161
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -4030.229283432709
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2403:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.127514357909226, b_new = -0.2789395996504329, c_new = 1.3686839449789683
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -13356.007695275988
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2404:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.347869604366289, b_new = -0.31758971901283894, c_new = 2.214040264312435
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -8374.052284452491
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2405:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.314196451941375, b_new = -0.8649753318311053, c_new = 2.321895052881216
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -12577.01264137889
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2406:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6330355752314354, b_new = 0.042080161655199386, c_new = 2.4577807868377923
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -6065.764466072406
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2407:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.661195390086119, b_new = 0.15077347908064898, c_new = 2.7017287253439095
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -5186.635113470284
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2408:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.222401227801581, b_new = 0.09408256603439426, c_new = 1.688065514009613
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -6674.181273327949
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2409:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3969839911492445, b_new = -0.27438553892739637, c_new = 1.8067979568866765
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -9192.275367439659
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2410:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9575432973162386, b_new = 0.10288636062487501, c_new = 1.7565414165320732
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -13743.949820826883
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2411:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7543423309308954, b_new = 0.2668631840640127, c_new = 2.5074246881542965
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3696.9909049620787
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2412:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.84902191267613, b_new = -0.6301698986823165, c_new = 2.7861626547537615
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3837.102663323525
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2413:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8027626052024734, b_new = 0.6857218600074421, c_new = 1.5872360505346275
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3122.6391435666023
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2414:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2327876884796307, b_new = 0.9608643074413977, c_new = 1.5756579363379979
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -9280.077810432467
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2415:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.690672610724829, b_new = -0.03473561949124551, c_new = 2.4918534918081603
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -5139.237619758097
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2416:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0904435922253413, b_new = 0.07085751244667837, c_new = 1.8513568244427503
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -4222.222098044914
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2417:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5919448941965806, b_new = 0.6132537948689014, c_new = 1.4653354184999114
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -5799.6135522205905
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2418:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.967689887342347, b_new = 0.06789759431802084, c_new = 2.395089428041101
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -14182.67006058274
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2419:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.036144760275651, b_new = 0.6375757455397495, c_new = 1.6851379849448098
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -4425.928623900505
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2420:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6879395238819184, b_new = 0.4029126666332187, c_new = 1.9360836842787166
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -4447.375658450501
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2421:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2033681795626685, b_new = -0.4635711382496119, c_new = 1.8579877697520069
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -4958.891672268015
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2422:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1033117023864842, b_new = 0.15272625890349845, c_new = 1.3742456356018173
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -4449.736344441664
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2423:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4440056907517005, b_new = -0.12956393423796303, c_new = 1.7850174789454782
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -10089.405956061706
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2424:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.292393929994032, b_new = 0.8263050281721838, c_new = 1.3653740442594398
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -9889.03843732319
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2425:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4960883646038705, b_new = -0.10807427843285634, c_new = 2.050587266553045
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -10833.215757270811
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2426:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.776291210072753, b_new = -0.11140506576690455, c_new = 1.8674085275351486
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -4129.072556817326
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2427:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7613110273026042, b_new = 0.025738506593206964, c_new = 1.4759636232487408
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -12919.343743871996
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2428:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8155261430101137, b_new = 0.5060088330259186, c_new = 2.2134454936560166
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3112.9324274480014
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2429:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.171903790289544, b_new = -0.20592095421150808, c_new = 1.3782574926238698
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -12969.376750460491
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2430:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.759215409625073, b_new = -0.28795517868176285, c_new = 1.8497511579564583
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -4715.983000618623
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2431:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0945538173146643, b_new = 0.7817488428366197, c_new = 2.7418759731941167
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -11781.593412993307
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2432:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6918402266478276, b_new = 0.2180479199542869, c_new = 2.058792854861719
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -4710.073817122311
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2433:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4709178940863765, b_new = 0.31258299490778585, c_new = 1.7685261479729233
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -11200.754280394633
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2434:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8859905109858275, b_new = -0.35738528573946127, c_new = 1.0479508864064586
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3480.988203994508
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2435:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6792649312970527, b_new = 0.5292175963321829, c_new = 1.5645670136475767
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -4439.148300114229
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2436:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2509845668770034, b_new = -0.28345991196203224, c_new = 0.2630103054476125
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -5837.339245017922
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2437:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7164309100739863, b_new = 0.43954943463107593, c_new = 1.913058217582523
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -4001.849091442101
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2438:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1780780774722364, b_new = 0.540651685479557, c_new = 1.9362495350556599
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -7049.065303090586
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2439:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.874418447744094, b_new = 0.19027993401484178, c_new = 2.5025644131101954
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3044.2983655152493
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2440:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6796648793012476, b_new = -0.2024302550879799, c_new = 1.9975014132668087
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -5924.683843277672
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2441:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1139226133135165, b_new = 0.033937604313408094, c_new = 2.116120284772097
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -4559.777599051904
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2442:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8004801598873788, b_new = 0.18769043753693454, c_new = 1.765886543459466
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -13389.17070953939
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2443:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.298353053409057, b_new = 0.2126325947194086, c_new = 2.1471158627255575
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -11029.227458450034
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2444:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6333028904219415, b_new = 0.28188883480755733, c_new = 1.1498319489967745
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -5925.427193892854
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2445:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2720671304185505, b_new = 0.43937653946235683, c_new = 1.7315382601279707
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -8710.436186578221
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2446:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.38305975822791, b_new = -0.8080942079434846, c_new = 2.3394695389312723
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -11883.357696062089
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2447:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.613604300666684, b_new = 0.3928466539627902, c_new = 1.0977909370233627
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -6054.114625924665
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2448:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.715339242975537, b_new = 0.18221819408906326, c_new = 1.4181732958941244
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -4590.84534482798
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2449:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7496297720353704, b_new = 0.1615177054638018, c_new = 2.101546550503838
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3976.8915632903963
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2450:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.635851844020204, b_new = 0.124861971852914, c_new = 1.2863460617076075
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -6228.087989168335
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2451:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7056011718423396, b_new = -1.0110868722780912, c_new = 1.5322587537171772
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -11251.513706700227
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2452:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.18668632439286, b_new = -0.01947586942961113, c_new = 1.705986201822205
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -5622.102303741034
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2453:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.581153979614462, b_new = -0.21798460271822429, c_new = 1.7863628827384723
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -8068.813691331219
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2454:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.002259600685452, b_new = 0.510996484376904, c_new = 1.002505937699893
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3674.0270448849437
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2455:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.97803539068813, b_new = 0.8864626583060107, c_new = 2.1480092027644724
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -4167.364847199409
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2456:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.349966444437159, b_new = 0.30543423799760666, c_new = 2.6176296822561333
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -10024.104733906788
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2457:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9683291539240315, b_new = 0.498318815998172, c_new = 1.0968813434223381
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -14309.583536205606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2458:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7492624330475604, b_new = -0.46754375742730087, c_new = 1.7281951720200834
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -5329.993386516311
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2459:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.460549748404233, b_new = 0.3634190422102186, c_new = 1.7834488759692873
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -11186.208410176503
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2460:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3247815107734704, b_new = 0.6059291743402392, c_new = 1.7408584314251618
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -10146.374141410968
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2461:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.639493654997229, b_new = 0.20774327908646667, c_new = 2.7132847717481203
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -5450.860534956373
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2462:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.479628277368244, b_new = -0.43113843605576474, c_new = 2.2424527541038177
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -10075.988174740827
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2463:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4935287730071107, b_new = -0.03485335289149276, c_new = 2.9041951357869644
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -8748.419194731678
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2464:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.663507420463908, b_new = 0.6921987935368257, c_new = 2.461238568199086
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -4170.254225468726
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2465:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5320868059145427, b_new = -0.027080694163563818, c_new = 2.3514052102861718
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -11398.699347667676
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2466:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7655170549941186, b_new = 0.30422876164852586, c_new = 0.8969102288095296
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -13132.636062442538
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2467:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.91604696885075, b_new = 0.00037419727837841726, c_new = 2.3724522818431817
Current likelihood: -3037.7746295399033
Proposed likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9258735468439445, b = 0.03502034540124603, c = 1.9497841237251017
Iteration 2468:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6131664242351844, b_new = -0.6949697446928124, c_new = 2.1474487841029144
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -8577.19577008007
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2469:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9404963021366544, b_new = -0.036923062135729975, c_new = 3.6501130240099817
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3085.2926952095713
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2470:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545043955821256, b_new = -0.14453212120465142, c_new = 2.6201954328461534
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -8227.797969598138
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2471:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5510175589888957, b_new = -0.5209605916337645, c_new = 2.4746436936936673
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -15624.074760535586
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2472:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.617927801137772, b_new = -0.08631097699627718, c_new = 3.5689237035812464
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -6301.662106445112
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2473:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2477479505960156, b_new = -0.19381623732412484, c_new = 2.0607764089705003
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -6566.4222700775945
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2474:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3465625081564734, b_new = -0.24296328542872092, c_new = 2.766099051214308
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -8735.303118104337
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2475:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.539219353336649, b_new = 0.40593652696216825, c_new = 2.0364412985577807
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -12025.536466701866
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2476:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.881589753971146, b_new = -0.4991975303597791, c_new = 2.090986366410772
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3484.9646355485033
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2477:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9050251845930086, b_new = -0.42960727663529014, c_new = 2.3150516289419003
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3226.851163068677
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2478:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.005788220198867, b_new = 0.4573218014159343, c_new = 2.0624724891741084
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3813.301717443581
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2479:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.165682003105656, b_new = 0.9658782402210663, c_new = 2.439273271778192
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -8244.860742733
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2480:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5657927660344986, b_new = 0.18841792615319514, c_new = 2.7388641407018066
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -6933.4590808211915
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2481:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1567854932253936, b_new = -0.7118280115836756, c_new = 2.28983949089131
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -13451.731093397204
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2482:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0777204480255813, b_new = 0.11104694243049382, c_new = 1.252788962563012
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -4005.5117031900795
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2483:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.626951522335, b_new = -0.3714928618107622, c_new = 3.070502433418645
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -11887.381999480984
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2484:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.96199807740557, b_new = -0.7239507703755231, c_new = 1.3324645904983135
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3267.8260738526315
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2485:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3532795754865514, b_new = -0.2900350995433661, c_new = 2.459581513008378
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -8631.40288065134
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2486:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9986912935624104, b_new = -0.6715493521920503, c_new = 2.316368381832565
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -14221.54762113681
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2487:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8027745967444972, b_new = 0.6724091979007973, c_new = 2.743023751625125
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -14124.350210520097
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2488:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.303093129605972, b_new = 1.2910371129479987, c_new = 3.896099585166067
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -8477.642658972081
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2489:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7322289732745952, b_new = -1.0290728398596822, c_new = 1.5340473282938092
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -7301.904285113111
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2490:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.361336725161472, b_new = -0.2815467226298218, c_new = 2.2943498574148173
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -11193.77765787281
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2491:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9965113147636933, b_new = 0.17007410941960832, c_new = 2.3694035039113204
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3423.814462137724
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2492:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.1338761403333686, b_new = -0.4147030332915615, c_new = 3.1758911848619245
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -16379.475482167654
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2493:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.411805868794993, b_new = -0.47125955098617556, c_new = 2.061395144519251
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -11069.325573901966
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2494:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1149800970635684, b_new = 0.06321001373505772, c_new = 1.806882123732785
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -4558.578391843285
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2495:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.221223705153261, b_new = -0.17667812622634554, c_new = 2.2882215224784788
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -12297.018978924443
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2496:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8504670588240237, b_new = -0.05815724810944959, c_new = 1.8271531557916552
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -14373.570387858668
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2497:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.101226770191659, b_new = -0.07717979448273785, c_new = 2.3506344927455727
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -4222.852552873106
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2498:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1854721815697578, b_new = -0.2475210453585314, c_new = 0.9969895436308378
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -4892.51477364799
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2499:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1848141124688407, b_new = 0.010889044532570369, c_new = 2.655922171330084
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -5973.960221654443
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2500:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7086649637286073, b_new = 0.35102681618012455, c_new = 1.3609835654715252
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -4386.964131139809
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2501:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1788074292755644, b_new = 0.45251064871488017, c_new = 2.0227330852171956
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -6843.51875765288
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2502:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.556340680414122, b_new = -0.5088972014239672, c_new = 1.991028578319255
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -9192.35656875069
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2503:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7879393252696034, b_new = 0.033459824697916134, c_new = 2.6748806680346053
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3619.340927416285
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2504:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6408415353863055, b_new = -0.18295636945380891, c_new = 3.3606994139993396
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -12330.458963918949
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2505:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2600154545231277, b_new = 0.5205289758940774, c_new = 2.576704030846099
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -10758.118045507517
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2506:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2120040428239807, b_new = 0.22153307377846376, c_new = 1.6817075178051204
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -6798.468537467745
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2507:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7229096805693858, b_new = 0.4630863864924955, c_new = 3.16410072552698
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3669.6499066914776
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2508:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.917645844266545, b_new = 0.0033096026835896437, c_new = 3.326530512202672
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3034.8993493303337
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2509:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7767540240201276, b_new = 0.266339860716947, c_new = 2.975875059816739
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3423.282924258717
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2510:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8309661156372554, b_new = -0.4816375754298309, c_new = 1.7611144305095237
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -4062.980354922224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2511:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.565838895119514, b_new = 0.3548112332773585, c_new = 2.1070471945320906
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -12180.306540295773
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2512:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.189343849556338, b_new = 0.44985493768751333, c_new = 2.3796928458917215
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -7213.077205715332
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2513:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.522944776801764, b_new = -1.1883339253379106, c_new = 1.298973171415067
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -11470.213406293347
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2514:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9542251514135027, b_new = 0.8031126700086516, c_new = 2.173882292533978
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3757.843604963343
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2515:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.452322277920121, b_new = 0.033051681817781974, c_new = 2.1041461491873235
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -9514.688994204604
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2516:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2101320535365563, b_new = 0.10982129783856609, c_new = 3.0948174547299048
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -6973.658031456629
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2517:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6730009327880033, b_new = 0.24600079550331538, c_new = 2.254945334115825
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -4907.145282974521
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2518:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.624211298520893, b_new = -0.5338886039851716, c_new = 2.46443722015626
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -7785.883219412681
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2519:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.138049125576529, b_new = -0.6808819518031594, c_new = 2.30090614093066
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3762.004004613921
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2520:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5388799133352196, b_new = -0.3506585355647946, c_new = 2.064633893688242
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -10870.262089293888
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2521:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.731242272581171, b_new = 0.9545858953098196, c_new = 2.0541200634541905
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3278.998315520642
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2522:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.580219444676489, b_new = 0.14629444018433976, c_new = 2.451816758109625
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -12089.578488161882
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2523:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.229518427648139, b_new = 0.5829244437900377, c_new = 3.506856481189814
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -8961.544702234583
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2524:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.020466711280914, b_new = -0.22883980848397825, c_new = 2.578100416945306
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -14166.677219718791
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2525:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.351769187686151, b_new = 0.26277576332116154, c_new = 2.307775221741029
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -9851.719320425265
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2526:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.659097772262994, b_new = 0.17672288204897763, c_new = 1.9958340176180787
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -14834.152109762777
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2527:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6255380232432155, b_new = -0.21167606727455943, c_new = 1.829355250037886
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -7134.2579343177285
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2528:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.875269029046045, b_new = 0.23867945886836164, c_new = 1.5983512047136
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -13772.90431444667
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2529:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1435315714986793, b_new = -0.5921241987973461, c_new = 1.7362949573637678
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -13544.90991532695
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2530:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2031067052575795, b_new = 0.15873399923003148, c_new = 1.8774664334176563
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -6498.462986507483
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2531:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3308444838985527, b_new = -0.14667680936379487, c_new = 2.8950522319638328
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -8735.655520559598
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2532:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0445191047941105, b_new = -0.1863118591432202, c_new = 2.6855122766920845
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3491.457957773422
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2533:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.175497566540664, b_new = 0.028237591004611196, c_new = 2.5223273820543697
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -5779.308814832536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2534:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.846840579101762, b_new = 0.026121217251901644, c_new = 2.6355904459120945
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3192.823130372165
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2535:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.079368612161505, b_new = -0.38150223870810396, c_new = 1.9073956979519615
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3494.285702492361
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2536:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.624084197137109, b_new = 0.7665374206610516, c_new = 2.4962365093882806
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -4598.807158937456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2537:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9532322824130883, b_new = -0.25491018567618745, c_new = 1.3148198824649315
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3075.1356481575485
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2538:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.279315009784773, b_new = -0.09089957739306842, c_new = 2.386140123441317
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -7650.766573466092
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2539:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6162122552073566, b_new = 0.49046888826555607, c_new = 2.146254846434255
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -5408.309101882536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2540:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.868130129339039, b_new = -0.5292957872254055, c_new = 2.118174253922452
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3636.8150477426652
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2541:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.089325098997282, b_new = 0.14444770861539505, c_new = 2.474651957333548
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -14729.436288220866
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2542:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.561258491428712, b_new = -0.30991806530170934, c_new = 1.6871296159089875
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -8726.2951802469
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2543:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0580337222698697, b_new = -0.1906330469057352, c_new = 2.7697482144011114
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3622.7312772191954
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2544:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8175811382303317, b_new = -0.6470212378525753, c_new = 2.9012851189338402
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -4233.399032810231
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2545:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1814708693220544, b_new = -0.5071324073710948, c_new = 2.913291360855235
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -4765.954343603098
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2546:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.868855741948791, b_new = 0.2303191163852277, c_new = 1.7151004713182991
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3080.935979979401
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2547:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.964423871391791, b_new = 1.1512874727290463, c_new = 2.4772224427971317
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -4553.077994300577
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2548:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1597739818217727, b_new = 0.6037670523229403, c_new = 3.0641434206486986
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -11423.3712787479
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2549:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2770418131317998, b_new = 0.20402178916615682, c_new = 2.0808742593346876
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -8305.194895255458
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2550:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6635961591113535, b_new = 0.3921705839785105, c_new = 2.8396826380286986
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -4607.397896518123
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2551:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0908041548515994, b_new = -1.0690196120660735, c_new = 2.532739599149528
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3138.977762945297
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2552:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.271567804013934, b_new = -0.47708138536485917, c_new = 1.8915955361408376
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -6263.007382238278
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2553:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.555213174244572, b_new = 0.039435870209234884, c_new = 3.0791360720141614
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -11903.639242218947
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2554:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.888172367486735, b_new = 0.28101004668668367, c_new = 1.9580306872154825
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3036.680924339824
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2555:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9765397203872246, b_new = -0.7268891802241112, c_new = 3.616429480445856
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -14044.546011691398
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2556:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3653613501425275, b_new = -0.10317209448721867, c_new = 1.8385326395978834
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -9081.380456302064
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2557:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.96814846889133, b_new = -0.2782549505509232, c_new = 2.8569242169420273
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3045.430051260216
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2558:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6122149023260848, b_new = 0.056582568486772136, c_new = 2.266689921903184
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -6517.847937310436
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2559:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4501602995644207, b_new = -0.6497728749615347, c_new = 2.875065817192697
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -9516.93350878494
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2560:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9819911404553214, b_new = -0.5838204043117603, c_new = 2.4333142713957527
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3045.8779277167687
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2561:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.080295205231701, b_new = 0.2810462349853398, c_new = 2.770875668218086
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -14869.521698839322
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2562:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.713733377751481, b_new = 0.30276596147230833, c_new = 2.341864725422922
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -4159.751550010786
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2563:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.606333779217761, b_new = 0.16128985915392424, c_new = 2.809736532225398
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -14839.623556745584
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2564:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.709386208011648, b_new = -0.3063640364610256, c_new = 2.5754982686482464
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -5398.061180010309
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2565:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3976133744136714, b_new = 0.2984881593651434, c_new = 1.450408780298682
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -10276.452750390108
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2566:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2741968267341477, b_new = -0.2793382909190529, c_new = 1.7831011223362467
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -6806.523052970104
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2567:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4040243625149555, b_new = -0.5444637981183766, c_new = 1.709925568305567
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -11420.9771912029
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2568:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4711928824643725, b_new = 0.27590868761618825, c_new = 2.144002400626365
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -11249.71582690475
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2569:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6472122289885607, b_new = -1.0004672068922176, c_new = 2.2213086855777786
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -8717.107463340844
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2570:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9487599310254056, b_new = -0.026749238391535722, c_new = 1.8838546981369138
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3053.139258388181
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2571:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9214830642404306, b_new = -0.23665880983543577, c_new = 1.4528836432992418
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3130.850765197491
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2572:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.595465341424076, b_new = -0.31042045567803894, c_new = 3.0980982279625446
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -7508.992577017814
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2573:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9517861064355966, b_new = -0.4608179081675847, c_new = 2.3125214322074594
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3067.2098892768363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2574:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0403786015621104, b_new = 0.9760032127817123, c_new = 2.3487784348140397
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -5436.232750934305
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2575:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.540572857091375, b_new = 0.5801528454281402, c_new = 1.8499189770844855
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -12234.43932359298
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2576:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7964317692534424, b_new = -0.04140779564476334, c_new = 2.125773494275674
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -13195.78228147212
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2577:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.858077915963806, b_new = -0.5772809149818191, c_new = 2.081904744100362
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3813.302571909622
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2578:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8842928390255738, b_new = -0.18030577097864167, c_new = 2.5831246766334752
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3142.4313703185253
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2579:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.396299595415482, b_new = 0.20506877871711476, c_new = 2.322314091250297
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -10347.870869010485
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2580:
Current coefficients: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.919582908506724, b_new = -0.15078342155850127, c_new = 3.0170227032743036
Current likelihood: -3030.4654938809635
Proposed likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.91604696885075, b = 0.00037419727837841726, c = 2.3724522818431817
Iteration 2581:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7901669771273627, b_new = 0.040537390971077336, c_new = 2.916981074974795
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3550.8119606674927
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2582:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.78230719389966, b_new = -0.35000613317883505, c_new = 2.7887484372981337
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4228.39430150921
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2583:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8448036536369283, b_new = -0.5124410742465414, c_new = 3.395696532171413
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -14435.195882414704
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2584:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.447348982954588, b_new = 0.4956701835740726, c_new = 2.9080499249889735
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -8282.467892543616
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2585:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.411394762913179, b_new = -0.7050111775501591, c_new = 3.336783172323364
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -8948.991779927435
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2586:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.834701196774074, b_new = -0.3335985937783911, c_new = 3.1910191922257667
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3524.1300040929955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2587:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.643560580114872, b_new = -1.0868972669553267, c_new = 2.7223321448797484
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -8806.832023389576
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2588:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8054180093829815, b_new = -0.3942591079593061, c_new = 2.038234649802008
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4179.13193313501
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2589:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2029713496736876, b_new = -0.13457996663895136, c_new = 2.5238009072155694
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -12304.68201525955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2590:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.384917980378534, b_new = 0.546685037509872, c_new = 2.6596594397693343
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -10968.753458609843
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2591:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.646521088430947, b_new = 0.6493047762968001, c_new = 3.5398504189680082
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4246.870741085997
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2592:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.016528416965385, b_new = 0.2743569035893299, c_new = 2.5875000986659877
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -12998.828444155177
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2593:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2326752435785027, b_new = -0.23356565522984934, c_new = 3.141290667207899
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -6516.326989316065
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2594:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.084362599642644, b_new = -0.43997818696220176, c_new = 3.6745815625224614
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3718.8686511329515
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2595:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6079237157416397, b_new = -0.6003729047784446, c_new = 3.2716176622240445
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -11447.096027786325
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2596:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.010518047698803, b_new = -0.7404524396871306, c_new = 2.1815626745169903
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3061.80437391317
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2597:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.39629374003133, b_new = -0.36458092023832717, c_new = 3.4897603830256707
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -10551.857457322658
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2598:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0437279338521903, b_new = 0.0650978048441638, c_new = 2.793603698710543
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3814.0415107094286
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2599:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.036536038151391, b_new = -0.02013870317756411, c_new = 4.1797999741943395
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3880.6670861363423
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2600:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.251055629732111, b_new = 0.5905482499091299, c_new = 2.68076978500301
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -9074.662459101892
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2601:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5945278489512953, b_new = -0.5655752635612415, c_new = 3.034397365791862
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -8224.483018572384
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2602:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2187110244877872, b_new = -0.3974256421708301, c_new = 3.2417747235679517
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -5810.2115486716975
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2603:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9724800692627404, b_new = 0.4584984727112265, c_new = 2.788761020981409
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3598.4771544302303
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2604:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.99247240163412, b_new = 0.5550038798064008, c_new = 3.2632214775517454
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4053.2964521933723
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2605:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8906060494299703, b_new = -1.1488930447208088, c_new = 3.18111909929739
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4052.5886663351935
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2606:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5341215592799364, b_new = -0.18354408486152815, c_new = 2.9074273180514747
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -8411.802850157432
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2607:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1478251671763178, b_new = 0.2092821323340176, c_new = 3.2345897150862726
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -5929.59260675494
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2608:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.918393640227737, b_new = -0.8896083392150858, c_new = 2.4405326778606584
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3548.6986025599526
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2609:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.410834712598382, b_new = 0.49563778458398383, c_new = 3.81212799749294
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -11528.152232335575
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2610:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4868456703347266, b_new = -1.1304866334598331, c_new = 3.4174591675943127
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -10982.65652411846
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2611:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.887881246385142, b_new = -1.0789936620204585, c_new = 3.1808487965990615
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3973.2903523662935
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2612:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0595999084219088, b_new = -0.5156773173489803, c_new = 3.333070841889602
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3362.854225046996
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2613:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.916731826929371, b_new = -0.6315477482988647, c_new = 2.7602509652278386
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3257.248429015871
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2614:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5575952647982727, b_new = 0.9602027655517456, c_new = 2.8642543748492746
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -13142.708995862078
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2615:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.978950636311763, b_new = -0.3802618247737166, c_new = 3.4884285017313372
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3057.745176182279
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2616:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7671837475770436, b_new = 0.2756291771652322, c_new = 2.484034308250431
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3564.8349788541755
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2617:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.722200133139193, b_new = -0.1107358044306698, c_new = 3.2652993598873397
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4550.215820744477
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2618:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6330108782369614, b_new = -1.1163038091328432, c_new = 2.8486749482352702
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -9030.84972843812
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2619:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.05759248447687, b_new = -0.7118458817668214, c_new = 3.5625081241662615
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3215.1663036867985
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2620:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.147644081330916, b_new = -0.32710350637580154, c_new = 3.39123469021593
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4702.756954909992
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2621:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.863193498552361, b_new = -0.5015887339471561, c_new = 3.071778413780257
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -13270.112089011607
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2622:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5290590184230886, b_new = 0.9553205112328205, c_new = 2.9133382490859168
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -14428.606525082556
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2623:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6109094772665022, b_new = 0.03214877737402272, c_new = 3.0694196424394247
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -6315.915759208201
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2624:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6420005610284156, b_new = 0.5239845506033511, c_new = 2.849749292075901
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4691.184459279276
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2625:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5335448146384394, b_new = -0.07589781399635337, c_new = 3.1680745447207155
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -8059.232759199412
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2626:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7773139500371804, b_new = 0.6166283090389097, c_new = 3.3501438567994124
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3153.7257781960875
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2627:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0797945626842633, b_new = 0.16462326121657916, c_new = 2.56829925259185
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4399.5491977992415
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2628:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.118985970603628, b_new = 0.44817916467094093, c_new = 3.3221494978238346
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -5999.440795156775
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2629:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.015989342129227, b_new = -0.8041473929533085, c_new = 3.3733649460956494
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3033.7005115206157
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2630:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2205789145832524, b_new = -0.7223642407525497, c_new = 3.9327576181731843
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -12579.19655715807
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2631:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.47191605075175, b_new = -0.3017956817220698, c_new = 2.4623799431132447
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -10349.483112968177
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2632:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.878981619645551, b_new = -0.1655963046260261, c_new = 3.730895113636927
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3079.4626526158104
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2633:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3564900321170823, b_new = -0.6020030783368496, c_new = 3.1453312697512295
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -8136.547940360612
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2634:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4396958543709077, b_new = -0.8536319818724671, c_new = 3.9488535130599427
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -10816.61176204497
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2635:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230862254307428, b_new = -0.1498894596578288, c_new = 3.1753024600897666
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -6723.684065555995
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2636:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.858939108816232, b_new = 0.7660250810618143, c_new = 2.9433243412911523
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -13227.424553616624
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2637:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9744979360870856, b_new = -0.12041806815314773, c_new = 3.01619074230316
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3129.4088749092184
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2638:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4747958040843843, b_new = -0.4058319117491427, c_new = 3.4540534215629366
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -9651.666932790102
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2639:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.051615783623795, b_new = 0.14482918323617294, c_new = 3.370083231254231
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4156.524331103209
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2640:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9047590740271527, b_new = 0.05678237482049053, c_new = 3.624403840838297
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3037.656330835228
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2641:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.085473718980303, b_new = -0.466890892091828, c_new = 3.8501789121589516
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -13142.574969240804
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2642:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.437143771166477, b_new = -1.491350886901861, c_new = 3.831759560048472
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -12023.168882250124
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2643:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.941900815843466, b_new = 0.757107797492155, c_new = 2.754342001818981
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3676.571027648938
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2644:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4013414515666023, b_new = -0.922526791966978, c_new = 2.9345261148076878
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -11699.025886291205
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2645:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6921612001833246, b_new = 0.3212737036152005, c_new = 3.262256005671149
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -13292.441910707881
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2646:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.254554016764991, b_new = -0.018977967489887254, c_new = 3.5111879136629236
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -7756.979967758571
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2647:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8966326269623206, b_new = 0.34424241201230177, c_new = 2.7759080890071592
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3066.141827995294
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2648:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.411093321741107, b_new = 0.09648972979938605, c_new = 3.116667269365929
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -10573.50056617379
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2649:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.453215116164966, b_new = 0.3603793751589209, c_new = 3.672024989620997
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -11673.192961332132
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2650:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9286774951385897, b_new = 0.09800818659614172, c_new = 2.924421995604694
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3067.112700750432
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2651:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.118785346750187, b_new = 0.5304214292375342, c_new = 2.3898510486451268
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -5876.481107707295
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2652:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3856972569060266, b_new = -0.2866355574675499, c_new = 2.6585606372720303
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -9264.25476999439
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2653:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8226682776822383, b_new = 0.19267879407133714, c_new = 2.5003252211949425
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3226.3111290631796
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2654:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0565634759343254, b_new = 0.01020923934227802, c_new = 2.6624299837116543
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3857.1992168950082
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2655:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.613664802941972, b_new = 0.15790583900674726, c_new = 2.1834589985743706
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -14960.554029083269
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2656:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.791344931818404, b_new = -1.0723345917112537, c_new = 2.314985346434261
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -5816.816859390487
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2657:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7158029608150835, b_new = -0.32242340707860995, c_new = 3.9371983603469243
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4897.299149145526
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2658:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.036513951841812, b_new = -0.320285641290618, c_new = 2.7034839003549718
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -14175.272314853017
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2659:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1869604341601123, b_new = -0.5108796309322337, c_new = 3.2710805591714918
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4946.370445921877
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2660:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.58514053721227, b_new = 0.05692418807285435, c_new = 3.4491214702013675
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -6632.593711551639
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2661:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.014946535775216, b_new = 0.3652772564165692, c_new = 3.1469356334064327
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3999.289506116815
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2662:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.423425118810837, b_new = -0.7180554040011153, c_new = 3.3834864852524484
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -9130.556507131543
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2663:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.046486206577099, b_new = 0.20541542774187233, c_new = 3.694930975878222
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4271.814925430386
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2664:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801564422136142, b_new = 0.25036468823434116, c_new = 3.4034668580963636
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3226.0037039924073
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2665:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.715692462686208, b_new = -0.8036255223814299, c_new = 3.4782319420559182
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -6209.642353959678
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2666:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9823201636742014, b_new = -0.8089096912661728, c_new = 2.187913941712472
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3131.6602235505047
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2667:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2475732903277317, b_new = -0.1685954263533534, c_new = 3.956378176184335
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -11575.581956113538
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2668:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5271040947706354, b_new = -0.40722926962951284, c_new = 3.8665417347552564
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -11170.135669788118
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2669:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.641437670253036, b_new = -1.0016630090465306, c_new = 3.0339798039446464
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -8483.247238790094
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2670:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5005405106312404, b_new = -0.2815363457231258, c_new = 3.4064671806061413
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -9021.548599331782
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2671:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9911921326617863, b_new = -0.037081545488401924, c_new = 2.6408088204432816
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3236.426128863628
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2672:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.586907212626188, b_new = -0.1827661469099377, c_new = 3.2043453085212907
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -11872.228061212045
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2673:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.586118840152243, b_new = 0.3707202921060789, c_new = 2.4309554945921112
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -6178.195579640589
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2674:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.389959503756038, b_new = 0.0071405739543038416, c_new = 2.291710103965965
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -9850.210481398844
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2675:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1084459009005654, b_new = -0.2505552485753781, c_new = 3.2941245723500394
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -12886.821088519891
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2676:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.811578160933651, b_new = 0.006882845546328564, c_new = 3.498819994825195
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3333.5713206691007
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2677:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1890017668678805, b_new = 0.31896508096983367, c_new = 3.0475675072972406
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -7088.438878797519
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2678:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.90299526512394, b_new = 0.07397956018628299, c_new = 3.2417558024858764
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3030.1462787992987
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2679:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1418367225845243, b_new = -0.5453443975526944, c_new = 2.597536208998532
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4045.635952645707
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2680:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7342862476702576, b_new = -0.08367520419864763, c_new = 3.3350753602264693
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4303.898278011267
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2681:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.851198374142435, b_new = -0.5714010819499943, c_new = 2.8380390206288455
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3720.2239168649844
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2682:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3248001696472738, b_new = -0.2888891780495722, c_new = 3.187919314301703
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -8354.082656557875
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2683:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.873661488571046, b_new = 0.41525539229417757, c_new = 2.504859596608147
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3040.5415811735716
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2684:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.884086241909677, b_new = 0.010768592752325584, c_new = 2.2766207533671374
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3080.270843690946
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2685:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2802888434727904, b_new = -0.15586615202582438, c_new = 2.629004340822286
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -7581.507343560495
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2686:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8947101586665918, b_new = -0.7147049540552013, c_new = 2.9585426237177894
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3462.7960979713735
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2687:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8163219311370318, b_new = -0.843116366659419, c_new = 3.193897854923741
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4540.332421697327
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2688:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7666606528205215, b_new = 0.11661263360730567, c_new = 2.2831938618627756
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -13243.801846854749
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2689:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9560371425496403, b_new = -0.2904399085596416, c_new = 3.502753125579727
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3034.995913447853
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2690:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7184864605764374, b_new = -0.15106554407762474, c_new = 2.4314542960406973
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4927.660703011329
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2691:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.851854668993534, b_new = 0.44855399579073146, c_new = 3.2657291432654274
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3047.3877374999647
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2692:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0651660927338917, b_new = -0.4259193990368173, c_new = 3.1687696255251505
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3476.0279539157495
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2693:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.107810582970591, b_new = 0.3323622353964485, c_new = 3.1224647589868333
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -12188.690536743488
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2694:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1819910035426515, b_new = 0.2778426120528247, c_new = 3.422277572810326
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -15307.04096494302
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2695:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1857327193136853, b_new = 0.07189817168713389, c_new = 3.2503918526827618
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -6378.810802037161
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2696:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.217472186978387, b_new = 0.22831354478513138, c_new = 3.2269870364913578
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -11444.014502858647
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2697:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7811569966801364, b_new = 1.3347401192254271, c_new = 2.9072446152795983
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3180.7687908147045
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2698:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.701657614514371, b_new = -0.44210468447740514, c_new = 2.7777410420517623
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -5812.5654396590035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2699:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.465499145746621, b_new = 0.5627874673526965, c_new = 2.530467481862948
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -11772.702558375764
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2700:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.361381987538267, b_new = 0.984714490674649, c_new = 3.052904234474068
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -11636.22636981678
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2701:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.061259993655012, b_new = -0.17103453636796231, c_new = 2.527354635596297
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3642.259396869267
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2702:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.378606903184628, b_new = -0.4519685890367314, c_new = 2.4306219521878445
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -11270.838867028871
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2703:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1392394908276238, b_new = 0.418054533628288, c_new = 2.7418251843016277
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -6135.316135776501
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2704:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.480563341624868, b_new = 0.0608138764498124, c_new = 2.6794207502765026
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -11138.878798912847
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2705:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.559360979063666, b_new = 0.06285029034526379, c_new = 2.5745119300832195
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -7444.277741180364
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2706:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4531882421647264, b_new = -0.3469882603125076, c_new = 3.0086918396057754
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -10203.817605835076
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2707:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0974934236110454, b_new = -0.1956271036478226, c_new = 3.0884369564477603
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4129.4707493444785
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2708:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.973897766307914, b_new = -1.2097997356121737, c_new = 3.914368406772253
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3228.4315106204403
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2709:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.146698297787263, b_new = 0.4708164773970784, c_new = 2.8727630974793392
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -6501.280021675894
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2710:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.398254892659585, b_new = -0.37563580457766915, c_new = 2.9968832486182704
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -9374.912673760504
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2711:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2282094712937686, b_new = -0.6156119902214886, c_new = 2.3425720444491196
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -5195.74089461246
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2712:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.639252382030918, b_new = -0.2805077719125069, c_new = 2.3764538335479
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -6817.639710101812
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2713:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.216013948701803, b_new = -0.10781841812583459, c_new = 2.9044017409963683
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -6413.760335466153
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2714:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6748681594225636, b_new = 0.5432797507615583, c_new = 3.0122677080450133
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -13393.559399599817
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2715:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6044843330169765, b_new = -0.4141152616524221, c_new = 2.6977172801831557
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -11542.422296775314
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2716:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6361400987493377, b_new = 0.11220949795030888, c_new = 3.411255409520969
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -5516.312114218943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2717:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.683316305220124, b_new = -0.7733854416017412, c_new = 2.8609311876421506
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -11715.074357768564
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2718:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.443517544039253, b_new = 0.27701268740224894, c_new = 2.9522025768754467
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -11211.018584030777
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2719:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9832274348811394, b_new = 0.548911387881504, c_new = 3.0683246693098885
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3888.503099857333
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2720:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.028638493913837, b_new = 0.22961132861690592, c_new = 3.6672842584229404
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4067.319515821789
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2721:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8460462998411, b_new = -0.1597017800346315, c_new = 2.2154135149849123
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3397.927877662989
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2722:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.644941121221606, b_new = 0.05189120451912055, c_new = 2.535158532527119
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -12457.68069048613
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2723:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3930552878019697, b_new = 0.11718638522774044, c_new = 3.113367543179507
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -10387.565058798784
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2724:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1845237648649523, b_new = 0.05530442544530162, c_new = 2.9769077371223625
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -6203.448256569777
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2725:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4300632135752096, b_new = 0.8270840136996114, c_new = 3.240520528772016
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -7711.884074511434
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2726:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.787985695180632, b_new = -0.5504657737502862, c_new = 3.473015976712497
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -12871.508161790593
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2727:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5798722595744756, b_new = -0.7430302775634623, c_new = 3.0918307397863662
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -10918.148543879348
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2728:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.495256707638699, b_new = -0.8354307529043754, c_new = 3.1398981609692522
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -9834.836285172607
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2729:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0457114524005404, b_new = 0.3502785565433714, c_new = 2.112674031971009
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4145.658779507695
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2730:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4403430845487657, b_new = -0.6347937887940648, c_new = 3.0431391343729692
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -9459.846065512778
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2731:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1073452449205163, b_new = -0.19115908420491884, c_new = 3.762950096683043
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4435.79834071316
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2732:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9216758257106585, b_new = -0.8879252050884019, c_new = 3.173132790275896
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3393.8995286753034
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2733:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.371291118572698, b_new = 0.248600390013625, c_new = 3.582125745157979
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -15799.404314513618
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2734:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.021784161668586, b_new = -0.3362606620590378, c_new = 2.7924167053133946
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3211.8677337262975
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2735:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.726847693612336, b_new = 0.3619515650004888, c_new = 2.50501571846034
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -13353.337009336134
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2736:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0488686557115696, b_new = -0.4789675072457865, c_new = 2.7036642490571103
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3261.6620993182896
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2737:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9899511967537427, b_new = -0.19967562198166083, c_new = 2.9378874934870347
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -14142.541131820199
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2738:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0421460807818277, b_new = 0.4064579131148937, c_new = 3.0156128419335095
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4410.326510405511
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2739:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9172688126836532, b_new = -0.647554848761885, c_new = 3.65862384971164
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3166.6772799861237
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2740:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.512674917275072, b_new = 0.547733363115344, c_new = 2.830714534217245
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -12237.983146277404
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2741:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7797422097933113, b_new = -0.2367150582032823, c_new = 3.199910042993528
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -13129.819620162694
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2742:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.321532753237719, b_new = -0.1728763092564471, c_new = 2.893556136289514
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -11216.943771662005
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2743:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.43146627204397, b_new = 0.21799299767145508, c_new = 3.0834773563863265
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -9077.186229205943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2744:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.114063025977006, b_new = -0.29020970915879285, c_new = 3.02098756154138
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4178.807329260374
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2745:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8095848420649157, b_new = -0.6684794879810265, c_new = 2.7523125636047694
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4427.567543799707
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2746:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.895469994067153, b_new = -0.5283940453255992, c_new = 3.9658336348475336
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3173.0980952645345
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2747:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2737177034763594, b_new = 0.31877509523820663, c_new = 2.655918127172674
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -8773.117703662516
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2748:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.759924302532117, b_new = -0.19915604124612737, c_new = 3.1581292769079665
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4187.393043486233
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2749:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9782200263459968, b_new = 0.03933527508481183, c_new = 2.9425584242207163
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -13395.824121185595
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2750:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.445071359363398, b_new = -0.6526166740437382, c_new = 3.212015622845864
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -9544.514734812725
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2751:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7966588028221016, b_new = 0.1250792173848379, c_new = 2.9364733267225653
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3405.6549900350005
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2752:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3389296971095526, b_new = -0.17515003804902157, c_new = 2.902341004650158
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -11038.473893623543
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2753:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8627250726487725, b_new = -0.26057093205237475, c_new = 2.4628313031442817
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3334.84029874877
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2754:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1420503521609717, b_new = -0.26971956184027024, c_new = 2.8926616857809373
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4599.084108309726
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2755:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.765951667861855, b_new = -0.26163181979143857, c_new = 3.488354268783633
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -13089.369914991508
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2756:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.811281698850211, b_new = 0.07005789683753127, c_new = 2.960392644852949
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3343.5097183974826
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2757:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.053497446579003, b_new = -0.6054720929424301, c_new = 2.534535771482935
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3193.859331599113
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2758:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0847178292668977, b_new = -0.49578080729031204, c_new = 3.152001962711719
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -13368.446123381558
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2759:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5602019515473673, b_new = -1.4112568937677383, c_new = 3.3764023855606267
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -10650.608204267093
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2760:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.799731652073143, b_new = -0.8960336751814026, c_new = 4.211636790242338
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -12707.407488194985
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2761:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.023360177674657, b_new = -0.008279457880053326, c_new = 3.1929335386308755
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3575.840326848301
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2762:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.147138733846186, b_new = -1.1036794326237078, c_new = 2.343946538700981
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -13961.680463450582
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2763:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2080713818856283, b_new = 0.25414481476984524, c_new = 2.785603986438091
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -11615.881880832261
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2764:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4015974921137433, b_new = -0.07138649301105549, c_new = 3.5266778919348942
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -10254.047439781429
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2765:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.920051968802996, b_new = 0.20728563976180375, c_new = 2.413273095100715
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3062.772531583091
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2766:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2153978357826376, b_new = 0.07041472851331781, c_new = 2.95325582247284
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -11781.222057051362
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2767:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3601887452529673, b_new = -0.17921104871575838, c_new = 2.470069972795173
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -10960.1322361278
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2768:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.612174719865069, b_new = -0.7190952245220681, c_new = 2.5373361048544063
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -11112.026058117865
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2769:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8994052737582874, b_new = -0.3730791117112313, c_new = 3.4408466630974606
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -13677.450485255386
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2770:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.502203617811555, b_new = 0.18038241602541494, c_new = 2.901624412355158
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -8090.21220299507
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2771:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.79760302001492, b_new = 0.960792196832748, c_new = 2.5582057690815807
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3071.8747085336163
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2772:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2282182698713755, b_new = 0.5120118042654409, c_new = 3.4782965354840476
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -10823.79330952602
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2773:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9974361124815645, b_new = -0.1907320948287794, c_new = 3.254174208128228
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3215.2176687402703
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2774:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.306743450062513, b_new = -0.06348979972886894, c_new = 2.9295661374187683
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -8501.686656239459
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2775:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.435772146107227, b_new = 0.7093726731515808, c_new = 3.129187149859094
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -11916.73195592704
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2776:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.517428705535552, b_new = -0.9290071922192868, c_new = 3.78246449493326
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -10124.9110077033
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2777:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.160330234558024, b_new = -0.14936618988292422, c_new = 3.4605445822418623
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -5343.474008890053
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2778:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.599929866967344, b_new = 0.1092364513490045, c_new = 2.7567702147360085
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -6449.976760161375
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2779:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.181648191086224, b_new = 0.4036830453007784, c_new = 3.702494948929384
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -7445.9993633621525
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2780:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.347673561460126, b_new = -0.29787819416341466, c_new = 3.5395830391972893
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -10956.395355600867
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2781:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7001078468583146, b_new = 0.002148615128989284, c_new = 2.807179016123576
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4803.3113003003255
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2782:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.832623586858035, b_new = -0.5657026378008284, c_new = 3.0246905186435042
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3879.647637693748
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2783:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8388235551666243, b_new = 0.08656704420514044, c_new = 2.5070550552011075
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3208.166430075501
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2784:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0723305277041093, b_new = -0.49584632038168297, c_new = 2.2146637866518355
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3363.29485898284
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2785:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5014671816044247, b_new = -0.2475158372630601, c_new = 2.5685539167172657
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -10799.329105022589
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2786:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.72851660346668, b_new = -0.33304236101021467, c_new = 3.1176133416925516
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -12673.70700645724
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2787:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6463030484778924, b_new = 0.045998674490515284, c_new = 3.357694905794815
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -12672.706118713586
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2788:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.15221600326771, b_new = -0.5201539664628474, c_new = 3.816425354517217
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -4501.14313969409
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2789:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2480016470085347, b_new = 0.5724921257966034, c_new = 3.302509181163728
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -10574.506620988852
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2790:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.648479986164644, b_new = -0.6943959218584188, c_new = 3.28890711983793
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -7392.3262104664145
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2791:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2509810761443294, b_new = -0.19416630342841684, c_new = 2.568964361178366
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -6816.269252879282
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2792:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1742173275322, b_new = -0.33003616910558486, c_new = 3.820474970385052
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -5288.569841771314
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2793:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2467744909662875, b_new = 0.1016451446641094, c_new = 2.1668690953365513
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -7404.801101951536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2794:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9834325138021804, b_new = 0.26505483974412897, c_new = 2.9132722998014606
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3490.2497950574098
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2795:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.805569987009356, b_new = -0.06132322731574252, c_new = 2.7010295536265843
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3559.2411694126486
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2796:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2280512866400155, b_new = -1.499754346564333, c_new = 2.4656792167408996
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3730.3207258840425
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2797:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.962561191084159, b_new = -0.6073271831408178, c_new = 2.942380009363712
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3050.117677896443
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2798:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3419374955389793, b_new = -0.03590403411764083, c_new = 3.587508142925594
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -10535.32067248415
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2799:
Current coefficients: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9459878077640034, b_new = -0.30304979465516274, c_new = 2.9368632431864534
Current likelihood: -3025.1812812880858
Proposed likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.919582908506724, b = -0.15078342155850127, c = 3.0170227032743036
Iteration 2800:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5350427124416246, b_new = -0.22856263940601326, c_new = 2.4548885431048837
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -8680.420193138812
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2801:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.765363767365147, b_new = -0.909607581834279, c_new = 2.7270718283205952
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -5756.871504332021
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2802:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9443834399361104, b_new = -0.48741312721114877, c_new = 3.1862785549716643
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3041.073835942053
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2803:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5300814562895173, b_new = -0.5021641841396352, c_new = 2.6712464367865945
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -9337.71563074222
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2804:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.493203044360711, b_new = 0.05328150812306659, c_new = 2.770488496528933
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -11278.757926129556
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2805:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2904768619401756, b_new = -0.19451355469783127, c_new = 2.1901846970996446
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -7529.219652195847
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2806:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8906926345216433, b_new = -0.20075011841671725, c_new = 3.1829276482529245
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3084.4633763130623
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2807:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.318750202291673, b_new = -1.3199654839984059, c_new = 3.136884298870881
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -5503.8679878079065
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2808:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8417404178855996, b_new = -0.6208159110372419, c_new = 3.1731864371812577
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3823.975820728471
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2809:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0583567054634697, b_new = -0.49357227273254767, c_new = 2.4857366940361163
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3292.9081033109806
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2810:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.134383936129074, b_new = 0.3393184231807635, c_new = 1.931131894181124
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -5546.132712477209
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2811:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.128806693722759, b_new = -0.5710561788895725, c_new = 3.1635931551409806
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3948.5892903530585
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2812:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3137385215903636, b_new = -0.2504640646874803, c_new = 2.213774790591148
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -7872.705867845925
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2813:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.699248929999962, b_new = -1.125938289975801, c_new = 2.5629943552562118
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -7847.007268870193
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2814:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.278098101783106, b_new = -1.0450629322023666, c_new = 2.450422270799726
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -5181.739791832162
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2815:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.522487439168314, b_new = -0.43027855079137833, c_new = 2.763655163462601
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -9255.155376388073
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2816:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8462551661258653, b_new = 0.29418669490342547, c_new = 2.7723972440411084
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -13950.934803943059
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2817:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3374374810792125, b_new = -0.12943771895737766, c_new = 2.736565584532687
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -8843.695505787677
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2818:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9807824229467483, b_new = 0.394266537230159, c_new = 2.3236478423723423
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3525.602035239798
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2819:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4060286434289253, b_new = -1.429142830767836, c_new = 2.2938248416645393
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -6724.201747843117
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2820:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.253734234313215, b_new = -0.6411129898321919, c_new = 3.5817217306835203
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -12328.309449817745
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2821:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9103487177740885, b_new = -0.9508781789147103, c_new = 2.765460585701095
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3635.199012209708
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2822:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5328015571299276, b_new = 0.22911035850624845, c_new = 1.588152089647368
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -11591.792703058443
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2823:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.346368909984706, b_new = 0.6797763418931935, c_new = 2.414898779430215
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10686.9354165558
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2824:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.828624108975144, b_new = -0.5097775038490594, c_new = 2.924930977102253
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3864.8365134110545
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2825:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4955855582369035, b_new = -0.6703738718508554, c_new = 2.5987345356397986
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10234.445328217296
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2826:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.79140083568027, b_new = -0.02762450250607862, c_new = 2.964213389587255
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -13380.938912174093
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2827:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5180792032653745, b_new = -0.3365840682480697, c_new = 2.4722386766755746
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -9217.80825391497
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2828:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.402025767572291, b_new = -0.04088157365131012, c_new = 3.01203308186871
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10020.328661115203
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2829:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.570440387265127, b_new = -1.797600017303038, c_new = 3.8527979986992267
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -11145.159003991199
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2830:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.600852962491034, b_new = 0.03330322190823726, c_new = 3.0335345325245178
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -6526.920090483035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2831:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.306555896742562, b_new = 0.2363637167579163, c_new = 2.8046525573264987
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -9232.6558205519
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2832:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1491056400389104, b_new = -0.07332884190992078, c_new = 2.8244679675890865
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -5118.0107369189645
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2833:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8297889332651147, b_new = -0.9057070535611391, c_new = 2.889301470064563
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -12566.411704119646
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2834:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7324069998782567, b_new = -0.10768554385490112, c_new = 3.42384684291171
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -13054.969379732078
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2835:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.541942618284578, b_new = -0.09339520493156458, c_new = 3.615575153016824
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -11740.283887611398
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2836:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2480518865918837, b_new = -0.7358295579298239, c_new = 2.6855531251214706
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -12768.967772811406
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2837:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.228155978268961, b_new = 0.5235132145077117, c_new = 3.080430531535939
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -8581.669933101946
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2838:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.82681945155507, b_new = 0.2667554923038929, c_new = 2.9595580077010646
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3128.779617824248
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2839:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.483784289781711, b_new = -0.12766760103526065, c_new = 2.8240538523521233
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10892.879976972432
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2840:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9514738534291, b_new = -1.0993672734378017, c_new = 2.7069399744045657
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -13016.74155773982
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2841:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0029858508471032, b_new = -0.4593077119390946, c_new = 2.929375225277136
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3078.4644677444676
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2842:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4916915773676225, b_new = -0.8497142161796298, c_new = 3.4920910476695406
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10332.234844728027
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2843:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9253280247901268, b_new = -0.043663245935003425, c_new = 2.745908536405421
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3028.174288423508
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2844:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3554037965046835, b_new = 0.07125170329940955, c_new = 2.062857753443664
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -9396.129504912646
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2845:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4921742238205042, b_new = -0.37067165397280644, c_new = 2.2635342010702613
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -9763.180284740585
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2846:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7470362975006437, b_new = 0.8980153619246516, c_new = 1.6686123717051558
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3259.0199873760153
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2847:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4181526977647043, b_new = 0.6721013705612657, c_new = 3.478877653867972
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -11798.911530934336
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2848:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9546678354970397, b_new = 0.06883530597755716, c_new = 2.23266885432696
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3103.461047517457
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2849:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4656018441363976, b_new = 0.7394762776034336, c_new = 3.0833244253775165
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -12212.358954416584
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2850:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5222986491210633, b_new = 0.05008755658841135, c_new = 2.161266543774423
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -8328.328087912661
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2851:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.47605981486178, b_new = -0.04367404279988096, c_new = 2.765230002428096
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10939.198390170664
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2852:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.799783352223751, b_new = 0.2885681264732857, c_new = 2.4409732046380146
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3300.9166458176915
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2853:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0657788055529744, b_new = -0.41810768754074856, c_new = 3.190127817492556
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3492.4176380862327
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2854:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.258527049719272, b_new = -1.01940220943436, c_new = 3.5337696412498336
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -5173.429113375486
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2855:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.608417695369657, b_new = -0.7352956621854707, c_new = 3.6089306799567815
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -8176.126204265316
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2856:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.33525158527092, b_new = 0.8280786672592813, c_new = 2.9033195732952652
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -9218.03169385461
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2857:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8867953910308994, b_new = -0.874209090778731, c_new = 3.607819197629336
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3606.19831893464
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2858:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7998397359599023, b_new = -0.47610617023228685, c_new = 2.9374929983911597
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -12902.777630511635
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2859:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8118681810190678, b_new = -1.0105022567882869, c_new = 2.7508609695930435
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -5112.195664468078
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2860:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9244598961792025, b_new = -0.5716774392661941, c_new = 3.9438154504934007
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3077.80621323995
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2861:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.565073795892142, b_new = -0.1335458227779739, c_new = 3.7510181304339403
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -7402.152759836878
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2862:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.994973442677762, b_new = -0.4951210512285622, c_new = 3.242590376564592
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3054.920856147256
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2863:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9219232117496814, b_new = -0.7808494050957018, c_new = 2.688404639070043
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -13195.425968493015
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2864:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.902979823071487, b_new = 0.24967365861068574, c_new = 2.7088165923213356
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -14146.484151310568
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2865:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.914120362811083, b_new = -0.8961791797333343, c_new = 3.2390376331252018
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3451.4675647690046
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2866:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2976232185652714, b_new = 0.44933466324914534, c_new = 2.0937873308234534
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -9342.59033738992
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2867:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0300417870519945, b_new = -0.9903715650910152, c_new = 3.4441345799399397
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3033.499094510912
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2868:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7022345525876195, b_new = -0.8804427979192033, c_new = 3.1033015221383122
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -6850.456303339715
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2869:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.309916724543779, b_new = -0.5942053006730372, c_new = 2.3065686139683286
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -6898.760850306027
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2870:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.131207295335244, b_new = -0.252838764285886, c_new = 2.821331389002143
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -12875.696879847905
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2871:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208831345823803, b_new = 0.24757949484046898, c_new = 3.2305636444283925
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -7402.023484450176
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2872:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3536578472890657, b_new = -0.7043545201380071, c_new = 2.3513291935961638
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -7530.697428878575
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2873:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3170038624638356, b_new = -1.01215724463262, c_new = 3.7618165267078574
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -6435.886885331314
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2874:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.856254593538565, b_new = -1.1383788655092855, c_new = 3.733737273457141
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -4358.91236056842
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2875:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1015630073018317, b_new = -0.6868390726821244, c_new = 1.897061310091781
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3387.7593413249683
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2876:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.738945264839893, b_new = -0.9958142241161776, c_new = 3.1462346021145238
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -6371.2991535876245
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2877:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9542916824308576, b_new = 0.2531851421653439, c_new = 3.363272938793785
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3317.140446878627
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2878:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.132308267536385, b_new = -0.6477881142636307, c_new = 3.0806723910957023
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3863.685123437259
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2879:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0250062694376925, b_new = -0.04677341688282266, c_new = 2.4214325420147382
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3440.330012093308
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2880:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.966655439130584, b_new = -0.6403608611424526, c_new = 2.3789592958034245
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3088.4714595304786
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2881:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3275726422787306, b_new = -0.6742417645948593, c_new = 2.6780003079905446
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -12058.144118806527
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2882:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.218398804026634, b_new = -0.9825285642773525, c_new = 2.757109836593525
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -4400.780574844553
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2883:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5309513234951266, b_new = -0.07351307514207395, c_new = 3.5577235170188786
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -11656.78933222196
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2884:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8618129867302975, b_new = 0.4460454493264267, c_new = 2.0792539875539133
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -14016.788243915638
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2885:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8182597507539007, b_new = -0.5771577460806101, c_new = 2.5962259550840097
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -4179.662303186053
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2886:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.603287279359284, b_new = -1.6739695384327788, c_new = 2.850303412661757
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10846.999112187284
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2887:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.064077045466261, b_new = -0.27892694500344184, c_new = 2.5323923895518092
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3543.3043913831716
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2888:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.546332758230058, b_new = -0.17989765359213877, c_new = 2.358347897614326
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -11292.823209058477
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2889:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2560851660391545, b_new = 0.3643918209521057, c_new = 2.6236879824845962
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -8528.793142475055
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2890:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9651844637892717, b_new = -0.4785813558059677, c_new = 3.070425155027806
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3024.071895468704
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2891:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3992934910031214, b_new = -0.1545594319328807, c_new = 2.6367057838861214
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -9753.538592017827
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2892:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.096748159549314, b_new = -0.10947878748075121, c_new = 3.1192073056794967
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -14675.859070876519
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2893:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6738524580783363, b_new = 0.05867564484276677, c_new = 3.3704575407343054
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -4968.048391735695
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2894:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.2742296644190456, b_new = -0.3465701696309718, c_new = 2.755303672179295
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -16131.640339901056
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2895:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.098574173009282, b_new = -0.8830891454541823, c_new = 3.1860193762046265
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3310.8345484244237
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2896:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.986690852950392, b_new = 0.3854026632709128, c_new = 3.1914656663519345
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3716.0931416450585
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2897:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.503551555003039, b_new = -0.23932956310054465, c_new = 2.724030861956047
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -9127.452269866004
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2898:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.549781481630682, b_new = 0.2384317835427306, c_new = 2.981670028503791
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -7032.364533841877
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2899:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5006386057905363, b_new = 0.07496149189772255, c_new = 4.146193600772272
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -7934.1125675578005
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2900:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7895759975032446, b_new = -0.0013585585254193289, c_new = 2.5899094714452082
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3660.6090174223373
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2901:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.337196283931072, b_new = 0.3550314484922629, c_new = 2.786681872177469
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10004.410356324512
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2902:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.104625445241695, b_new = -0.5640057254447914, c_new = 2.995793902732647
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3661.4106996206615
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2903:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.542505782222737, b_new = -0.3500353589154437, c_new = 3.3923597079654306
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -11275.464239857885
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2904:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1053254567801405, b_new = -0.5359820067962487, c_new = 2.4216654453389905
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3622.3344096816527
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2905:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8934155463798286, b_new = -0.4315858689046346, c_new = 3.9762819579957016
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3127.134415950925
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2906:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4529944274794864, b_new = -0.8566310544383353, c_new = 2.054806064336397
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -8870.507235737325
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2907:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.186585070005062, b_new = 0.9662000457180913, c_new = 3.16898404751343
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -9025.667839931746
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2908:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.230469352526139, b_new = -0.014961330726072641, c_new = 3.7025986215640843
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -11563.469293206097
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2909:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7418540686383666, b_new = -0.8436439601294721, c_new = 3.5554387903220324
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -5753.18094782548
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2910:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6476418005463698, b_new = -0.817046218319142, c_new = 3.0212833577762988
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -11401.908718877265
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2911:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9539738318784177, b_new = 0.21509058400932252, c_new = 2.972052884623269
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3239.7182403807356
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2912:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5173822675025583, b_new = -0.567694628093257, c_new = 2.3826610147177814
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10369.243171866596
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2913:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.96460938359382, b_new = 0.2402484039394252, c_new = 3.458917417198427
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3390.9850977277597
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2914:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.268788276717611, b_new = -0.34233459633539726, c_new = 3.062978045256897
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -6973.428894130276
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2915:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2133067573478744, b_new = -1.1021683236566715, c_new = 2.581883220784084
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -13514.677832934232
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2916:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0809882950630647, b_new = 0.016073457255735113, c_new = 3.1726956685121133
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -4289.129026213061
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2917:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7214484579921794, b_new = -0.47076148481311997, c_new = 2.9483794766647913
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -5438.065065069832
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2918:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9629193365243234, b_new = -0.1709464265113641, c_new = 3.865956605037021
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3114.045241108623
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2919:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7897821577360817, b_new = -0.27637623679906836, c_new = 3.1777996510444737
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3923.2105977556985
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2920:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0767378856261294, b_new = -0.3471294621072524, c_new = 2.6190953827237027
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3594.796333353429
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2921:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4075568365413393, b_new = -0.808855260634511, c_new = 2.6957860579579203
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -8420.921793125948
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2922:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7961156443705772, b_new = -0.6897541360163749, c_new = 3.006830638932244
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -4603.774137217897
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2923:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.882036200395842, b_new = -0.21160829545967275, c_new = 2.919695029249566
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3140.562217706594
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2924:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4563396415679293, b_new = -0.3168562581176538, c_new = 2.4313443455294754
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10125.164844893005
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2925:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8795711208080226, b_new = -1.1543903915086764, c_new = 2.527777536784071
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -4388.114352730987
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2926:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3618047273949347, b_new = -0.969644539658334, c_new = 3.1532494423314597
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -12075.269438512536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2927:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3491100264818927, b_new = -0.8026739774479059, c_new = 3.2635811360116467
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -7495.433048477744
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2928:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8129959081532205, b_new = 0.31988849879312226, c_new = 2.5340812433448736
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -13766.021653478976
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2929:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6952788141616253, b_new = -1.330537190864409, c_new = 2.5192047676348324
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10942.583740778286
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2930:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.307522085397238, b_new = 0.6997953945651805, c_new = 4.335829375735168
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10903.757995021457
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2931:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5806882516915337, b_new = -0.23260119593854817, c_new = 2.8300254666450515
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -7699.34249552716
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2932:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.695611466113668, b_new = -0.7868026622546429, c_new = 3.4913961959998914
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -6578.317835639971
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2933:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0784571193269237, b_new = -0.13514686997038855, c_new = 2.913417741710648
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -13034.124310444719
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2934:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0918012556287637, b_new = 0.36902211821870173, c_new = 2.575808538537086
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -5019.329388545828
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2935:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.534675671503798, b_new = -0.5907302338100202, c_new = 2.3983863745991987
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -9576.8549861086
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2936:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.533344092603564, b_new = 0.27500715785776403, c_new = 3.6577084981876538
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -7022.228728023751
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2937:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3718595083359837, b_new = -0.14407448005473703, c_new = 3.3347767784287887
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10474.205244210674
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2938:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.517921229044333, b_new = 0.09768214153878968, c_new = 2.2953951218035855
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -8237.418296155762
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2939:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7352643071533493, b_new = 0.1640550778568552, c_new = 3.227076260984197
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3917.029814179811
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2940:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5150967327092366, b_new = 0.5671824638546963, c_new = 2.9357745341807298
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -6897.971708672304
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2941:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.047326686090491, b_new = -0.15083986140007152, c_new = 2.685506122819757
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3555.88782122504
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2942:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5605952080143743, b_new = -0.007474421839811951, c_new = 3.455035828366279
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -7275.439570074037
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2943:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.414858289459364, b_new = -0.4435428123302586, c_new = 4.025812168371992
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -9823.740749645578
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2944:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.811872715357868, b_new = -0.6322442699821141, c_new = 3.3169137796734844
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -4181.931196371844
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2945:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2023961435055033, b_new = -0.5838379412689129, c_new = 2.407444868693367
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -12960.196916040315
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2946:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9007768391734405, b_new = -0.012203381633950516, c_new = 2.776444049913956
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3032.589376168218
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2947:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.015245463669349, b_new = -0.36445439656166606, c_new = 3.278635628118665
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3195.07650754522
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2948:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.475362455509014, b_new = -0.5915137322801965, c_new = 3.534702227973794
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10001.397440685689
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2949:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4381841799731707, b_new = -0.09696626966331431, c_new = 2.908280800630345
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -9698.80894850251
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2950:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.406299043133796, b_new = 0.7225502021731114, c_new = 2.9685815794491597
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -11607.564686654367
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2951:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5172671701337004, b_new = -0.9648344361554202, c_new = 3.2296342244258605
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10331.391057842038
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2952:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.050911015543985, b_new = -0.34536960417170603, c_new = 2.476501559826379
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -13564.810195318307
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2953:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.535768150018076, b_new = -1.3266022108654971, c_new = 2.8217221099824124
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -11000.403790490584
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2954:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.003642178876062, b_new = -0.9479255906411854, c_new = 3.0634452034387447
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3060.930062452977
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2955:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1122047722900987, b_new = -0.7269019355615562, c_new = 3.78786736776717
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3655.679058864756
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2956:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4047642957125985, b_new = 0.2628200693691635, c_new = 2.8739899212294633
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10736.403998852864
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2957:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8212430706011897, b_new = -0.4184728464377274, c_new = 2.363670009502757
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -12962.97186168233
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2958:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5813365999693687, b_new = -0.12653520704580978, c_new = 2.5732621232056765
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -11737.939586517528
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2959:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.027398076167039, b_new = -0.3085521363738798, c_new = 3.034946230980083
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3286.4644497433655
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2960:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.480291553948236, b_new = 0.07137565850956645, c_new = 3.3035835453156133
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -8575.939926001785
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2961:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8847869384033284, b_new = -0.46758220612067525, c_new = 2.7863508978712925
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3321.781680965728
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2962:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3838989601091463, b_new = 0.08459000302896913, c_new = 2.979426706914363
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10154.352293680395
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2963:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7513754049385057, b_new = -0.051078634341095386, c_new = 2.9975012880307186
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -4092.786100009025
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2964:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2890847712823508, b_new = -1.2951194059997608, c_new = 2.6313233569433203
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -13268.626296601069
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2965:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8602067153597823, b_new = -0.3541098348702743, c_new = 3.3130042945769866
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3323.751052126643
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2966:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.065645034413783, b_new = -1.3783439444056111, c_new = 3.118851143043174
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -13395.387486118945
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2967:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9568094841057833, b_new = -0.712706918056443, c_new = 2.945748463415641
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3102.2321226274034
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2968:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1348089380914397, b_new = -0.22599723979274955, c_new = 2.468123174423501
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -4468.174477781176
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2969:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6073255615486697, b_new = -0.07571722399460384, c_new = 2.893967610968882
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -6729.784882706923
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2970:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8687118499209312, b_new = -0.16314682305289477, c_new = 3.2966999431600996
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -14038.77566563529
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2971:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1891064143845917, b_new = -0.5927591721049221, c_new = 3.4206467660656266
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -4849.219866247935
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2972:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7299206333269717, b_new = -0.18350219317665198, c_new = 2.71729234402621
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -4721.039919147963
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2973:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.39452993963641, b_new = -0.07796557855833733, c_new = 3.4896015918255108
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10132.09162622505
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2974:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6342815580317382, b_new = -0.048436628814774674, c_new = 2.1753560806345207
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -12158.672935270733
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2975:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.059555111301786, b_new = 0.020067286824217045, c_new = 2.749105766100069
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -13003.844996690244
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2976:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.955097190989654, b_new = -0.3716263075136167, c_new = 2.6096673485212514
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3032.1078006161156
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2977:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3622223910882454, b_new = -0.497594345788581, c_new = 3.3815146568870578
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -11205.673777357804
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2978:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.220002982965394, b_new = 0.11374394424487233, c_new = 3.506158870002042
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -7372.340049769809
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2979:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7165946085418198, b_new = -0.46818378265795235, c_new = 1.796583429422475
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -5945.354023238771
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2980:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1073975129518887, b_new = -0.43905506119382676, c_new = 3.047577500763203
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3866.671512123797
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2981:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5453746702542945, b_new = 0.2059288272027074, c_new = 3.029306281077991
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -7182.706780937973
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2982:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6258502137768653, b_new = -0.1555117049043589, c_new = 3.2069165100878174
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -12216.85088840493
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2983:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7285740760928614, b_new = 0.2681948440000211, c_new = 3.675104208053713
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3771.829824670879
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2984:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.851995653123531, b_new = -0.9797100198495021, c_new = 3.0396016483937514
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -4313.670771366607
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2985:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5584265829820545, b_new = -0.047267090460368255, c_new = 2.409448184689732
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -7810.634156948363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2986:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.497999610578944, b_new = -0.6485620478695551, c_new = 3.192035405859781
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10235.707025088353
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2987:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.298102552279608, b_new = -0.25765455644277396, c_new = 2.975410920220724
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -11558.687291498016
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2988:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.011918985515541, b_new = -0.7134015348468479, c_new = 2.8468275105082763
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3042.051397727865
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2989:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.638490093374856, b_new = -0.9709651521040144, c_new = 2.8551309201301853
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -8533.03382805943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2990:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1303162240017466, b_new = -0.12508879460795372, c_new = 3.368656098218527
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -12565.791151852862
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2991:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5220814842968204, b_new = -1.3445734981316162, c_new = 2.918489915910228
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -9132.253422536878
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2992:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1660372550766493, b_new = -0.3214129555168573, c_new = 3.260312890043723
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -4991.197652527995
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2993:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.093391714878153, b_new = 0.05062283752007951, c_new = 3.2974876651141987
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -4572.1502571944275
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2994:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.387117255509253, b_new = -0.36133471731464206, c_new = 3.128348402796712
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -9275.616254314
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2995:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.843222780546906, b_new = -1.1454542412951543, c_new = 3.8780754784765152
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -12596.423611960025
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2996:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5796898978588874, b_new = 0.08903661561551357, c_new = 3.2436090374114963
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -12218.098133383093
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2997:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4744687355269557, b_new = -0.31469044262331586, c_new = 3.3357583389234855
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10615.257542420988
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2998:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.114007833728456, b_new = -0.5153221774365899, c_new = 3.5311380743445913
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3921.867221389253
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 2999:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5714389193372753, b_new = -1.1579125216550392, c_new = 3.3411298117061845
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -9953.769289229795
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3000:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4363461162718094, b_new = -0.8204811728799781, c_new = 2.574582085064533
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -8845.289953517316
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3001:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.021022234193718, b_new = -0.05104124626616846, c_new = 2.814437373254665
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -13298.438895245552
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3002:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2035853394454676, b_new = -0.6526460416433849, c_new = 2.0744717589858683
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -4634.837027482832
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3003:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2323366202197295, b_new = -0.6709830340588446, c_new = 3.010898044313719
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -12693.442116039954
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3004:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6074869172408777, b_new = -0.5789336598155127, c_new = 2.887323492304641
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -11372.884349735556
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3005:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9121261408570382, b_new = -0.3616212406856596, c_new = 2.7205442691679425
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -13589.546113255976
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3006:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1081857572471696, b_new = -0.23365997356366938, c_new = 2.7364107450296644
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -4134.400607865891
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3007:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.976728821697077, b_new = 0.2134515964423604, c_new = 3.2164202216083306
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -13137.353840825688
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3008:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.705479090526688, b_new = -1.0152396513450028, c_new = 2.7598804043995897
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -11531.09182754419
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3009:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2760329644501525, b_new = -1.0821153919339814, c_new = 3.578552474162221
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -5368.169658590098
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3010:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4305894214245525, b_new = 0.30173197184351047, c_new = 2.729353460960908
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -11049.658453958742
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3011:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.284786568070868, b_new = 0.18409891218416635, c_new = 2.5331187671638555
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -8580.570994944399
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3012:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5081343467350843, b_new = -0.8474572094028907, c_new = 2.9936404887690165
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10293.379281604284
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3013:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0436791942826904, b_new = 0.3162048417114562, c_new = 2.712760852269428
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -4193.667741973251
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3014:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374567922890111, b_new = 0.11064300057973508, c_new = 3.1249690171299647
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10129.240022285789
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3015:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.766357824163228, b_new = 0.1620071417921793, c_new = 3.456842814920707
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3554.2038924863973
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3016:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6511741161737374, b_new = -0.526042074865086, c_new = 2.707996773331847
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -7107.576675700486
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3017:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.694193686700266, b_new = 0.3314252292532081, c_new = 2.6029518385175576
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -4320.58156548292
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3018:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6050615048613848, b_new = -0.3446486125758827, c_new = 2.63639733987448
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -7589.488167800973
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3019:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4198496758799846, b_new = 0.03620826982879233, c_new = 2.652158682633443
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10417.165835595944
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3020:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7357977846364436, b_new = -0.6466085546713256, c_new = 2.921693580198021
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -5602.296909629997
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3021:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.110242707461413, b_new = -0.621972503602423, c_new = 1.9716985500478423
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -14057.278120111449
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3022:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.379256172488997, b_new = 0.09682271913216267, c_new = 2.6807425842006993
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10016.026322254887
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3023:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4761787270954234, b_new = -0.14585704808579347, c_new = 1.5042141822745063
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -9786.186145858228
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3024:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4911011506911507, b_new = -1.22481197386533, c_new = 3.179350805044619
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -11203.277660107406
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3025:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.302022713835529, b_new = -0.20439637094648577, c_new = 3.1305842823091887
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -11386.076467408202
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3026:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4042603978178834, b_new = 0.03598919437832898, c_new = 2.8921923019102804
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10297.175411646635
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3027:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.20299233790562, b_new = -1.1453410578437224, c_new = 3.014136709298714
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3980.124044340353
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3028:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8782302994930484, b_new = -0.5050571963726244, c_new = 2.675608738946989
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3421.888974524305
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3029:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.046963788230591, b_new = -0.9822721195742814, c_new = 3.3146842470865923
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3053.6049450013143
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3030:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2577725142723795, b_new = -0.39051379990141977, c_new = 2.9795449328704593
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -12113.127421893223
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3031:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.727627224639936, b_new = -1.61173936652755, c_new = 2.2610537878935344
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -10764.12221636568
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3032:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5533544732065554, b_new = 0.6165913925318172, c_new = 2.7620395420116357
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -6101.700057413871
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3033:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.882628109534808, b_new = -0.0742984757571391, c_new = 3.600778996187368
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -13938.674326985863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3034:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1120127371892687, b_new = -0.6397500190730754, c_new = 2.7353130175484988
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3607.453812324293
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3035:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9638691633689747, b_new = -0.5482403931369022, c_new = 3.682973351373001
Current likelihood: -3023.881198857648
Proposed likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9459878077640034, b = -0.30304979465516274, c = 2.9368632431864534
Iteration 3036:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.168692813849716, b_new = 0.17116574202914514, c_new = 4.039196745572579
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6592.892734525615
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3037:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.942467368050731, b_new = -0.9197947186038465, c_new = 3.9802312955305594
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3184.484478757752
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3038:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8074262810257187, b_new = -0.11406716578667336, c_new = 4.357575152676097
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13712.581317270568
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3039:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0272591534761286, b_new = -0.7676364820435619, c_new = 3.7453186356985664
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3069.0460219979886
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3040:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1021081755176234, b_new = -0.40016150161646113, c_new = 4.111115618669507
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4073.332580027143
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3041:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4730573228871617, b_new = 0.4133832741842318, c_new = 4.079098252122307
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7649.779160196037
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3042:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.672587513942732, b_new = -0.7671739779351806, c_new = 3.476582880708751
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7014.848710219583
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3043:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.989241440366244, b_new = -0.7425941691695677, c_new = 2.977581077470937
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3039.8640307300575
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3044:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4017332718193627, b_new = -0.14013895234321683, c_new = 4.504732243793473
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10449.691458248955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3045:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9859903362876716, b_new = -0.7673169050132089, c_new = 2.2782126539364977
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3095.5244295748817
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3046:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.523797498942921, b_new = 0.06323577342409004, c_new = 2.9357782825933514
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7977.956090575311
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3047:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1759478175174225, b_new = -0.540740205538847, c_new = 2.8861985116926547
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4602.519624571058
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3048:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2103782813895765, b_new = -0.6278339932742115, c_new = 2.581107187833159
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4917.485589166035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3049:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3752455352942783, b_new = -0.4148415771609341, c_new = 3.728283746530208
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10805.804164196183
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3050:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.033713479218693, b_new = -0.5822957489926224, c_new = 4.11982643294031
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3218.4646256344536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3051:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1843735273904104, b_new = -0.8561093274087175, c_new = 2.614730865823347
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4112.497621640661
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3052:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.256308824195763, b_new = -0.43367703375966427, c_new = 4.159983671374036
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -15146.174619637299
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3053:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.327668844599903, b_new = -1.184940979867799, c_new = 2.1567559395756404
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12996.638031496683
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3054:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8842621888295903, b_new = -0.507554395174765, c_new = 3.112648576395505
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3316.9349390347456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3055:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9656751760238764, b_new = 0.23830011807671836, c_new = 3.9741057193753533
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3474.7211952704342
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3056:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.785780678015722, b_new = -0.3893412855580274, c_new = 4.468839823888031
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3882.487129127263
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3057:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.045798438946298, b_new = -0.7275565276911282, c_new = 3.874727832397684
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -14086.819980578612
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3058:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4372296016023416, b_new = -0.5890814409496073, c_new = 4.067225498094658
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9846.312037190884
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3059:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9920411261994353, b_new = -0.5774200122193148, c_new = 3.46345161781701
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3034.496959640397
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3060:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8256051770390562, b_new = -0.8423167782762297, c_new = 3.8690469886036745
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4223.159964945826
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3061:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.952476538821371, b_new = -0.6655514124994035, c_new = 3.8489444776989963
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13725.973970497134
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3062:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.584962936605279, b_new = -0.8638659740223664, c_new = 3.426735632188861
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9006.44850937308
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3063:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.600270692117925, b_new = -1.1505905011571853, c_new = 3.431524742105799
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9452.212848896452
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3064:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8567825603741905, b_new = -0.2786437183782633, c_new = 3.5635353989001377
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3256.277964092574
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3065:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5577191489883386, b_new = -0.34973739054593467, c_new = 4.14157266584531
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11633.452552213505
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3066:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3465544902607567, b_new = -0.6362650581689127, c_new = 4.340768967082938
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11296.046092849796
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3067:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.060249474109209, b_new = -1.8801743655514598, c_new = 4.332262154258374
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13117.752462475493
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3068:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7124646539534747, b_new = -0.6916932478371819, c_new = 3.594566692286645
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5939.800880440669
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3069:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.740450226515641, b_new = -0.8405842240177331, c_new = 4.482351146433502
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5455.340267044749
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3070:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.450473069742901, b_new = -0.38445020565345167, c_new = 3.851436056253963
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9799.234546572656
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3071:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.275545219612528, b_new = -0.4225616604578744, c_new = 3.933072446113918
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7226.159454323777
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3072:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9563081291493103, b_new = -0.3861673970649181, c_new = 2.9977134817597415
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3023.759488201787
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3073:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.070688494715412, b_new = -0.5932022812144068, c_new = 3.1393658203377757
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13562.562355323844
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3074:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.907339685092595, b_new = -0.8709654673093832, c_new = 3.124446786640175
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3500.083062357865
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3075:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9992683077510556, b_new = -0.4159726248030215, c_new = 3.2985286929364275
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -14056.392381458703
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3076:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9637222999378205, b_new = -0.11979178237262106, c_new = 3.8113426052133423
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3141.062041806782
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3077:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.404440287162118, b_new = -1.2012957676889398, c_new = 4.0339374389178815
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7838.24475270499
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3078:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8922654648973287, b_new = -0.31474151022246455, c_new = 3.9448234586658373
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3081.8222172213855
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3079:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5977542347690976, b_new = -0.6776246060457584, c_new = 3.323500327717651
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -8340.77528848982
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3080:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7818683024751634, b_new = -1.5373361186517092, c_new = 3.42312556934513
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6860.202503116961
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3081:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0936230375599028, b_new = -0.16378423020153704, c_new = 3.423983717971727
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12836.777792249632
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3082:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.623334000687115, b_new = -0.9083987768238422, c_new = 3.683937003371723
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11227.112567647317
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3083:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.44818188455503, b_new = -0.27163678393596324, c_new = 3.988524262123684
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9555.290844792222
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3084:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4413420788137707, b_new = -0.8495589698701975, c_new = 4.4372983101334595
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9470.7018138633
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3085:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.427183909711159, b_new = -0.5656270875473098, c_new = 3.3678849869390888
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9519.526102437734
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3086:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.010192017115301, b_new = -0.5892707429480503, c_new = 3.779179179440462
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -14044.119434830587
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3087:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.155253515829508, b_new = 0.30109361466252915, c_new = 4.4123690212773505
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11531.420559538448
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3088:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5187451506070158, b_new = -0.396003895816425, c_new = 3.13326002799058
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9096.342891809689
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3089:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3091624742881023, b_new = -1.1377009814678458, c_new = 3.6317453418718975
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12604.22056573716
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3090:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.235544613874063, b_new = -0.33772236236945874, c_new = 4.230709003289112
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -15170.402529748968
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3091:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1003312227614184, b_new = -0.5140849338469238, c_new = 3.274505101814654
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3723.5393998004884
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3092:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7356044344644856, b_new = -0.07673214923110305, c_new = 3.5558561536049713
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4222.4635280386465
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3093:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.949579610328484, b_new = -0.9839560930937857, c_new = 4.377786883491796
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3152.4191530388916
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3094:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.279010872081942, b_new = -0.7319649059845692, c_new = 3.7002840931445338
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6356.249789287926
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3095:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1752275520104685, b_new = 0.26970193852046653, c_new = 3.6124643516911363
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6858.570259563425
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3096:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4585872030063243, b_new = -0.2338408413637066, c_new = 3.1878276441942597
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10536.497762002333
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3097:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8421810799565836, b_new = -0.5581764852788816, c_new = 3.8084505068571524
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3615.865228490913
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3098:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8043636507235474, b_new = -0.24732302131924538, c_new = 3.0370284092955977
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13220.957903685605
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3099:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7993061826668098, b_new = -0.5334028772040256, c_new = 3.8046841054455576
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4070.073531830135
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3100:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.548075485533025, b_new = 0.04019824839104724, c_new = 4.563458661173
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7014.31301046666
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3101:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.861579069408732, b_new = -0.6447959714731677, c_new = 3.837411581554619
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3530.3450833971106
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3102:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1070139285377856, b_new = -0.8108872567585601, c_new = 3.9631705683697804
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13394.674934423774
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3103:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2898880038960456, b_new = -2.641036780003441, c_new = 4.560687927087225
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3385.0725660649828
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3104:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.248394389575033, b_new = -0.20785774924394562, c_new = 3.512100265548116
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11757.630237030162
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3105:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2167354419319, b_new = -0.5320738240912622, c_new = 4.350855556147634
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5800.381057590778
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3106:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6357369127609847, b_new = -1.1797951955461987, c_new = 3.6161741770899374
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10903.721783190325
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3107:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0344557364586664, b_new = -0.7850085653778915, c_new = 2.881617505314022
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3066.000658300994
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3108:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0518815926734115, b_new = -0.8595202731930114, c_new = 4.095790997623171
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3134.4518196121026
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3109:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625944775734897, b_new = -0.6115650782798251, c_new = 2.8856310468921107
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7790.0931774237915
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3110:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.111909063429172, b_new = -0.5393694927812055, c_new = 3.2530324867612412
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3812.3581583062182
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3111:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0419310700667386, b_new = 0.08237617993623025, c_new = 3.175301129281145
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3891.7043604812056
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3112:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.60243906754019, b_new = 0.5100786206874599, c_new = 3.4133034424926194
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13000.777451651478
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3113:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.203739133402866, b_new = -1.0795489278034371, c_new = 3.7928466464475723
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4237.274561463999
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3114:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.152119665948626, b_new = -0.6880908130691583, c_new = 4.196378681039516
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12913.87926031552
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3115:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.453062816491207, b_new = -0.3955617377531171, c_new = 4.324701004473803
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10527.408770754771
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3116:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.375305736229051, b_new = -0.2141797078683072, c_new = 4.0608363123828894
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9754.151635556802
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3117:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0345139106952397, b_new = -0.7387489620900272, c_new = 3.424502039804392
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3090.7307859154976
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3118:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0476626415952044, b_new = -1.1408184984040197, c_new = 3.35019059249408
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -14212.313340672114
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3119:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.50260281298866, b_new = 0.00019706161004384715, c_new = 2.9876650083997998
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -8483.740380423747
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3120:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5285903169070716, b_new = -0.15793429593635833, c_new = 3.9928127402556286
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -8050.521074230882
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3121:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6785574077241234, b_new = -0.7704926125699076, c_new = 4.170609160122779
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12020.890363487399
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3122:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8368469883878888, b_new = -0.236986267048724, c_new = 3.8720637644063487
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -14106.152778698985
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3123:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.087058985792876, b_new = -0.9628364214141771, c_new = 3.8506333698263675
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3233.2320251659185
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3124:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0197675692745247, b_new = -0.4632530761675271, c_new = 2.8228264803036565
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3131.1443340853466
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3125:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8993155947119202, b_new = -0.70822528901783, c_new = 4.084128844413171
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13473.56631446505
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3126:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0265243112686124, b_new = 0.2062354627887324, c_new = 3.7441582674556337
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12717.60594594877
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3127:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4601213024481794, b_new = 0.4860182461326432, c_new = 3.051917738045254
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11755.03393078013
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3128:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.643350583711622, b_new = -0.471229333817863, c_new = 3.207575093426312
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11911.828220289282
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3129:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.663375431991052, b_new = -0.6569938540242738, c_new = 3.0135557031502764
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11758.505540864548
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3130:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5958545052058266, b_new = -0.570784400209671, c_new = 3.5016959023094008
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11448.599255015388
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3131:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0893560066133285, b_new = -0.680686118467818, c_new = 3.974430726403392
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13339.473364796464
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3132:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.438353050840475, b_new = -0.9657501660454848, c_new = 3.50593172435303
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11193.511896504173
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3133:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.470300133629057, b_new = -0.8538895346255024, c_new = 4.035472752034891
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9745.011285664998
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3134:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2662351133886327, b_new = -1.3192187862489932, c_new = 4.200650000995031
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12984.722835508517
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3135:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4416710778205917, b_new = -0.12223505970184534, c_new = 3.381269420699862
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9541.52656949723
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3136:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.077592454757717, b_new = -0.43806805303365054, c_new = 3.9414997688374047
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3696.266687161238
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3137:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7630187015687535, b_new = -0.4230269845910183, c_new = 4.319047244721067
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4260.519539166609
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3138:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2925234378955626, b_new = -0.909867862446199, c_new = 3.2477361300938012
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6019.188009947942
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3139:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7152708177416778, b_new = -0.6233820784116619, c_new = 4.370619897053623
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12537.023245654791
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3140:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8888995055089293, b_new = -0.3836524619700732, c_new = 3.445291104948646
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3162.4716790238226
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3141:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8375263763798637, b_new = -0.8680284005173874, c_new = 4.633586637638922
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3937.5356210835566
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3142:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.041201436318898, b_new = -0.7432747942187674, c_new = 3.5642444143385927
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3118.931677249762
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3143:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1363366463195708, b_new = 0.21377523817010413, c_new = 4.37974053152883
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6129.744708765496
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3144:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3004137350004625, b_new = -1.8449513642965598, c_new = 3.3027737184386443
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4224.115374603426
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3145:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9688434864070963, b_new = -0.3765178634654087, c_new = 4.0014360827572695
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13626.178757523754
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3146:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1379383089032533, b_new = -1.0606485942348747, c_new = 4.279029449226453
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3579.3108734954153
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3147:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6962671378584773, b_new = -0.11017111365452453, c_new = 3.3452655667042306
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4949.549046757622
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3148:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.637210389592937, b_new = -0.8444193863528149, c_new = 3.842810913789821
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11489.408854321764
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3149:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.757503141089401, b_new = -1.5456052122559867, c_new = 3.8668671724124835
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7231.975577275145
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3150:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.762447276580815, b_new = -0.12762330192254512, c_new = 3.7196024135017915
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3922.1229558518726
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3151:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.073936183732925, b_new = -0.7787429913975722, c_new = 3.9749813044970055
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3302.5796174340885
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3152:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8054681633753664, b_new = -0.5053602272278717, c_new = 3.4742700898085466
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4019.3259231887587
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3153:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.849525116218064, b_new = -0.6276903495602566, c_new = 3.8213033908275538
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3627.014639113809
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3154:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.903451062127334, b_new = -0.6668769087561044, c_new = 3.849475901459007
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3235.3818101922684
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3155:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9955048625226546, b_new = -0.6135902471278318, c_new = 3.7517095155885998
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3037.9478844714745
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3156:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1723298632193027, b_new = -0.810381195306285, c_new = 3.684003171869953
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4236.073301409283
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3157:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.47976485887389, b_new = -0.9549937462884532, c_new = 2.8561760967456977
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9303.170725680693
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3158:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.674756070850764, b_new = -0.6881138591645256, c_new = 3.6133835851641303
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6700.415400763748
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3159:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3092548219616145, b_new = -0.9785194587685548, c_new = 3.5481220815068015
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6289.102805802958
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3160:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.19200256108337, b_new = 0.4348022649524843, c_new = 4.318859501528743
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11050.049619634041
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3161:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2621051448286407, b_new = 0.5210547513550186, c_new = 3.7257993948152874
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9520.954771361428
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3162:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5334704348018193, b_new = -0.4149042596017196, c_new = 3.7648818359524983
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -8665.298002486295
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3163:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.997513215346007, b_new = -0.25908326093298695, c_new = 4.250442573073753
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3264.9880124977453
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3164:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4524104731614713, b_new = -0.7483692527076438, c_new = 3.7606606312147486
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9624.997631125247
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3165:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5525737383471725, b_new = -1.2202318814691862, c_new = 3.815754576739158
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10179.87476080696
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3166:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7419081447800466, b_new = -0.7980799694706253, c_new = 3.150389346270971
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12184.936021794712
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3167:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.557593268102344, b_new = -1.0443473141870883, c_new = 3.99901630285814
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10440.213921470648
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3168:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2441601622702807, b_new = -0.4365979132795599, c_new = 4.581265103787327
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6746.552878689054
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3169:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7355669798379108, b_new = -0.2910480576050978, c_new = 3.230614572698872
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12799.61716310956
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3170:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6250373789804624, b_new = -0.30132118528630425, c_new = 4.395999287249217
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6419.121666296767
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3171:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9853061360127535, b_new = -1.416388133915051, c_new = 4.128019056193819
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13171.25521632024
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3172:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5445881298852973, b_new = -0.41839468968936844, c_new = 3.7952843392368685
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11301.224251209464
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3173:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.757212981990476, b_new = -1.1044765076695315, c_new = 3.90731351128915
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5989.632811125998
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3174:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.869642356083795, b_new = -0.6241359675799667, c_new = 3.369470814701074
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3510.4208132933272
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3175:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981884599044502, b_new = -0.12546891572047286, c_new = 3.704703590286158
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3217.7604968387463
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3176:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9644781039192196, b_new = -0.5947791148595651, c_new = 3.6949625007892624
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13946.470524950593
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3177:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2000989936137576, b_new = 0.48401134425836445, c_new = 3.6231068252234127
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11092.893255488303
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3178:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.625939556255678, b_new = -0.8873357033698607, c_new = 3.5818430233499026
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -15675.057885246497
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3179:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7120654197028173, b_new = -0.4684425236210843, c_new = 3.691373798613442
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5363.741815188196
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3180:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.320828595759247, b_new = -1.4650528540332677, c_new = 3.5546443814847324
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5325.792398274866
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3181:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.623218174670922, b_new = -0.7140995718878804, c_new = 3.792367516998658
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7758.916218984449
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3182:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2912777264091755, b_new = -0.4388515170592932, c_new = 4.019783733416558
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11589.858244753159
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3183:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.72803903806642, b_new = -0.9877445998973133, c_new = 4.052100344691198
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12063.353171423623
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3184:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4239214166667575, b_new = -0.8215843685945282, c_new = 3.5056090101259416
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11086.235796925524
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3185:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8628441026915437, b_new = -0.7779269849741458, c_new = 3.682713334006598
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3709.904014300854
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3186:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.46939401732756, b_new = -0.8825425416496255, c_new = 3.9770884393954313
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10508.558798339152
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3187:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.620587706344134, b_new = -0.8228242802533872, c_new = 4.102659186047869
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11448.601093215411
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3188:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.705374060470649, b_new = -1.0422707405786031, c_new = 3.6027243680960552
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11702.244101411306
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3189:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5594631172091495, b_new = -0.5601450152589519, c_new = 2.578304317487357
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9029.255673026166
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3190:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7573127604404664, b_new = -1.0521714969691198, c_new = 5.128343235994109
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5432.022459999714
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3191:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3475989053707833, b_new = -0.8205738232752775, c_new = 2.887234019241806
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12047.959525931574
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3192:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.648214943169961, b_new = -0.8882752054337707, c_new = 3.75571231238859
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11494.969339357613
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3193:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2065482909174627, b_new = -0.5626714926590529, c_new = 3.8340818596845248
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5350.15871213358
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3194:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0243762163973775, b_new = -0.5250913896030626, c_new = 4.217629098626168
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3216.017766937175
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3195:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.017936140753242, b_new = -0.42942458989337357, c_new = 2.4383260275412377
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3123.630664079319
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3196:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.473925163133533, b_new = -0.40949781829007137, c_new = 3.331322131242029
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9714.397315691138
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3197:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6333627995936169, b_new = -1.7875992340885989, c_new = 4.308041396056208
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -15923.61485325322
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3198:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7986329912006265, b_new = -0.6747929232814296, c_new = 4.456934149248831
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4166.876306295876
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3199:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.531905356795205, b_new = -1.024499193862845, c_new = 2.955984081877705
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10364.112848623065
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3200:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.026202598412114, b_new = -0.5584303070635083, c_new = 3.6049685246430654
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3153.5282759810016
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3201:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.50616754064219, b_new = -0.30110393193059004, c_new = 3.3991466774745125
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -8980.177521085374
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3202:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6034516964308922, b_new = -0.6658680259993655, c_new = 4.116128308164964
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7893.995038901523
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3203:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.575394421845887, b_new = -0.6310063211896195, c_new = 3.1834410945484066
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -8687.092011048873
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3204:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6253930844450215, b_new = -0.09406073076093069, c_new = 3.5734056646086976
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12395.785949320332
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3205:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.53539110370764, b_new = -0.9865512256238533, c_new = 3.895101061007278
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10264.062012071161
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3206:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.909352176155931, b_new = -0.03142725306264349, c_new = 4.403531109423764
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -14291.27761478634
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3207:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2778510951608264, b_new = -0.3123744861237523, c_new = 3.634474578894365
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7473.4850736973185
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3208:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3098192734824248, b_new = -0.7512374610024388, c_new = 3.5480394891588385
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12055.70465478777
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3209:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8376664008632226, b_new = -0.8295462399534761, c_new = 4.202583490699028
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13020.027128398928
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3210:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7384279450162423, b_new = -0.6032121821998457, c_new = 4.303311109059134
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12700.873691525143
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3211:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9052726458940086, b_new = -0.0704772998978031, c_new = 4.234741315212143
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3035.060169334524
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3212:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0437634808932095, b_new = -1.2743476015993216, c_new = 3.412972272514144
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3061.7263940790162
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3213:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3708300739762422, b_new = -0.8676918951543776, c_new = 2.9958180464436133
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7672.807660692026
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3214:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5562257517826414, b_new = -0.7646716554088431, c_new = 3.362831854420781
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9271.7906241138
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3215:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.123852124883668, b_new = -0.2251906037161316, c_new = 3.6442720001313234
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4593.3849984215285
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3216:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3386850332894853, b_new = -0.43524113827663957, c_new = 3.3403815914406216
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -8296.625703960828
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3217:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1770139297434126, b_new = -0.014334683621454292, c_new = 2.9750281733067636
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5854.085422345224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3218:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.739589571052687, b_new = -0.48710408111475495, c_new = 3.5820910415285967
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4944.821015104715
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3219:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.803158481627719, b_new = 0.4314424119974066, c_new = 3.3666193575942738
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3128.911389810438
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3220:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2131899096561494, b_new = -0.6259049867323824, c_new = 3.226476879683059
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12702.670653426787
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3221:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.927608721447185, b_new = -0.39523770542671943, c_new = 3.710550020349121
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13849.688152827915
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3222:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.655561232393502, b_new = -0.18523672403495411, c_new = 4.460397621125878
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5521.165040971688
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3223:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7026661309637747, b_new = -1.1671676256288541, c_new = 3.759088645543988
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7379.280054032435
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3224:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1946935541726846, b_new = -0.5902536698663244, c_new = 4.20521527108151
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12507.188753576658
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3225:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9175102509515467, b_new = -0.27804848046182534, c_new = 3.566484429384458
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3029.598150626118
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3226:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7458903990932813, b_new = 0.47352262327749095, c_new = 4.26892250010785
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -14019.888340815776
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3227:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.39411289618139, b_new = 0.1329588969545037, c_new = 2.9437055189681196
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9801.79965797401
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3228:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3569248304453136, b_new = 0.2226923244804785, c_new = 3.622789451266125
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9873.278434720982
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3229:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.315486356873533, b_new = -0.6729379047588333, c_new = 4.5814222810907586
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7639.6668952573855
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3230:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498391202552253, b_new = -0.6753101612287747, c_new = 4.520449523658703
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10596.572876021077
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3231:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0008349443988664, b_new = -0.7614352279097323, c_new = 2.9098499702889624
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3037.334939996539
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3232:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5891642246448514, b_new = -0.22097797595534635, c_new = 4.068166838121904
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12075.99970378485
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3233:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7411495397942893, b_new = -0.9558707038632455, c_new = 4.112581349578219
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5854.678129904704
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3234:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3558921891496247, b_new = 0.07080534913366665, c_new = 4.053096344146494
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10101.06686310835
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3235:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1891209758004253, b_new = -0.43959794765636134, c_new = 3.493650911087085
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5208.476186029073
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3236:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.94365294237673, b_new = -0.3208566796615348, c_new = 4.1936402735646015
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3029.581202541338
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3237:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.306850150467047, b_new = 0.33446562801069446, c_new = 3.7851277137285595
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10204.353939443634
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3238:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2220066102883718, b_new = -0.2889457886955215, c_new = 4.2884483167722625
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11870.098652044782
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3239:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8044440792368386, b_new = -0.07820476185799469, c_new = 3.5751927727977093
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3457.616682200731
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3240:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9714863212249285, b_new = -0.26030486431722266, c_new = 4.186754658058243
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13445.858521128182
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3241:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2499772187220386, b_new = -0.5476748716692627, c_new = 3.5478644858550714
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6177.555612035482
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3242:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8194003888899215, b_new = -0.4960677307567718, c_new = 2.638126848663658
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4019.361456864425
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3243:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.220345882024514, b_new = -1.4509564675911786, c_new = 3.419188238240002
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3824.5498680747937
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3244:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.96158214451101, b_new = -0.8182458295490793, c_new = 3.580913477260713
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3084.2828521963365
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3245:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7154274872413446, b_new = -1.0131964147091999, c_new = 4.466119561126567
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12043.574848954293
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3246:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.139224913890779, b_new = -0.40743296954458025, c_new = 3.410956894663049
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12856.718779082863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3247:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.731757264714101, b_new = -1.1112539839160123, c_new = 3.4891582337024762
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6707.159776294457
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3248:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.792773482326881, b_new = -0.6688683890845377, c_new = 3.7369851556306846
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4414.338793095467
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3249:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.991709231075926, b_new = -0.5637589922141268, c_new = 4.04803827911774
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3052.065272473579
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3250:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.962560293538532, b_new = -0.33925114915728105, c_new = 4.449598862075164
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3074.34967844943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3251:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1613261987431662, b_new = -0.5413603898283494, c_new = 3.1330069228379682
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4434.255213476316
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3252:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.317453824153477, b_new = -0.3162066270792108, c_new = 4.133854764623477
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -8499.513867788213
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3253:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0237805259109893, b_new = -0.8654963264030634, c_new = 2.9915351556885375
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -14130.662223464544
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3254:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.364163712422402, b_new = -1.0121093188668921, c_new = 3.2587688975386326
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7247.469029451814
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3255:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6951330596275, b_new = -0.6143781163825625, c_new = 3.127081127754695
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6264.130893624886
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3256:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.630536508478349, b_new = -1.0046888602858761, c_new = 4.302547705102933
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -8186.293408789925
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3257:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.189347951440063, b_new = -1.4646575198558829, c_new = 2.9332760222120404
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13820.72625696214
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3258:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.66617546294247, b_new = -0.8080870832583922, c_new = 3.550515623398708
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7232.302077305285
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3259:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.482174241123898, b_new = 0.3230962426078511, c_new = 4.136080828529756
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7681.212281441376
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3260:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2482814365732744, b_new = -0.47636348546117124, c_new = 4.06682824534634
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6526.238632535014
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3261:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4853509938251346, b_new = -0.2731331495843479, c_new = 3.296663903407697
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9272.545515448666
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3262:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.978895992783433, b_new = -0.5006360697937835, c_new = 3.78915467493374
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3034.2894399154866
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3263:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0383257478378134, b_new = 0.1501352558563358, c_new = 4.350034202956508
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4224.562894711784
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3264:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0002252812559034, b_new = -1.2587531813258135, c_new = 3.7870311081269774
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3145.901371865431
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3265:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.490991771541098, b_new = -0.38734135599589914, c_new = 2.65668274033423
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9670.474380137357
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3266:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3346324856038096, b_new = -0.7700664148808949, c_new = 3.8650823844912408
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7501.206814818855
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3267:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.848645629444663, b_new = -0.5524383367084407, c_new = 3.0682965163488567
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3676.846812434083
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3268:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8738991100727747, b_new = -1.2961577669792725, c_new = 3.7680244197931514
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4388.733568263853
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3269:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9625112546163037, b_new = -0.9194507240738272, c_new = 3.3900936998322897
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3147.9540000630886
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3270:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.457661605506214, b_new = -0.27033734095857365, c_new = 3.225442962242532
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9683.46344838649
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3271:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2918159489616303, b_new = -0.28245262994656045, c_new = 3.7508292405236117
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7907.160427896197
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3272:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5641967502120537, b_new = -0.3431181922889832, c_new = 3.5237203978705
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11523.730730337009
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3273:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0078759870971425, b_new = -0.57189767308476, c_new = 3.053178709089256
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3060.064199333613
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3274:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.932774929165333, b_new = 0.1217171625937522, c_new = 3.7340090008102567
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3142.5299141000496
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3275:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1913245537668837, b_new = -0.0735206913976752, c_new = 3.3692709902277858
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12060.9534423232
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3276:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.788527283835576, b_new = -0.30899270647856436, c_new = 3.4917677193148036
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3922.3208012628306
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3277:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.139242395656282, b_new = 0.3812862435217337, c_new = 3.0360363124923313
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -15184.396096608449
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3278:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.579457246932153, b_new = -0.09293145447961598, c_new = 3.8161081109983206
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6995.763075455407
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3279:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.923242963168635, b_new = 0.025227817923550333, c_new = 4.323412868690883
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3104.1717715492605
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3280:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2824940636979463, b_new = -0.9761678979837695, c_new = 4.0951453648804375
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5919.942661818539
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3281:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.019362964430122, b_new = -0.7122288043935918, c_new = 3.753852825627719
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3065.6767857834225
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3282:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.760777970017556, b_new = -0.6023412368305989, c_new = 3.5824275261172516
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4831.035654222847
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3283:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6696197125541508, b_new = 1.0252989497094878, c_new = 3.6966682425066026
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3508.6388901713067
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3284:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.005995643297635, b_new = -0.7641010291569172, c_new = 3.381321687853062
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3027.9261508295767
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3285:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3332640425578868, b_new = -1.0550065505665829, c_new = 4.052767842349872
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12168.436652996605
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3286:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8805253967941993, b_new = -0.3172371958337093, c_new = 4.095128853532038
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3116.5131033769203
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3287:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9174009609023934, b_new = -0.5303548227144921, c_new = 4.013258867837568
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3080.2327453067883
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3288:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6484204704038703, b_new = -0.5518509164925897, c_new = 3.0341013770045238
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7105.392217566262
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3289:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0247416213651457, b_new = -0.4384161906670958, c_new = 4.205434391736207
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3284.9081147093502
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3290:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0074009342318315, b_new = 0.2533358439159821, c_new = 3.5972107832788067
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3833.258452879665
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3291:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.65166281957082, b_new = 0.21196640517894905, c_new = 3.3114478253533077
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12911.989768886267
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3292:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7437844044327284, b_new = -0.4951327418111932, c_new = 2.861298188337695
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -14910.93095844696
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3293:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6415272320696985, b_new = -0.5348698710248248, c_new = 4.91964378521751
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12276.230224767267
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3294:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9834744811913954, b_new = -0.8046007343123508, c_new = 3.7173291810487847
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3026.9730612396556
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3295:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6909630427624345, b_new = -0.3452980318091645, c_new = 3.288353734935394
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5603.199574845861
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3296:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8960562109297707, b_new = -1.1563825931375984, c_new = 3.7569170113037194
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3863.6851284806653
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3297:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7977861872859573, b_new = -0.40348410269310575, c_new = 3.8896295066517643
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3871.940995692676
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3298:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7189131702205134, b_new = -0.7595710445488579, c_new = 3.4110553342915315
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12137.266456457499
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3299:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9568326237183733, b_new = -1.3216818253310323, c_new = 3.4189026508540277
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3534.7954498365216
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3300:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3086268408999615, b_new = -0.41016520773962506, c_new = 3.7568428001639464
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7907.820437981587
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3301:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.228647268909262, b_new = -0.3365113971873769, c_new = 4.065277371156938
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -15117.963986974362
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3302:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8829508400070636, b_new = 0.3111585410401324, c_new = 4.26421541956886
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3108.0803990713266
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3303:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.171205116482363, b_new = -0.7726162858876797, c_new = 3.690256483113487
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4287.245296598354
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3304:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1731730998914682, b_new = 0.0540377689670547, c_new = 3.5326868835067002
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6158.926254008406
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3305:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5823255802640004, b_new = -0.6927347505168066, c_new = 3.0836032160708386
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11020.044397617186
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3306:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.732767868841798, b_new = -1.2332615597182497, c_new = 4.671976347905293
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6556.759649035632
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3307:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0420789712760703, b_new = -0.40199682165511885, c_new = 3.742602614502891
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3385.998887803568
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3308:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.922852189061505, b_new = -0.9368354250343262, c_new = 3.8009088099986466
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3340.1645161393444
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3309:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8784993457061088, b_new = 0.48302071447308026, c_new = 4.549649838944193
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -14698.96235668474
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3310:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4741396382064846, b_new = -0.6224573839727724, c_new = 3.0733937981542376
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9956.06386165867
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3311:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.227818448175907, b_new = -0.05677179092185136, c_new = 3.5861391746471543
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -15226.837235681789
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3312:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7837110822667808, b_new = -1.0033777347951407, c_new = 3.005416709916013
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5530.567547621542
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3313:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4298838542154826, b_new = -0.8269067788751716, c_new = 4.438651946921052
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10716.016599119717
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3314:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.540936305487091, b_new = -0.08823899576153138, c_new = 4.32603332018925
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11948.765747654073
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3315:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.751003447265258, b_new = -1.092357475078562, c_new = 4.406714630329734
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5901.819597960073
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3316:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9127652841146348, b_new = -0.9178499964264473, c_new = 4.246396225889866
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3335.206612564796
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3317:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3001413509065456, b_new = 0.20305771312395504, c_new = 2.66924714642989
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10858.169801056723
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3318:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136261803312035, b_new = -1.6345981671516556, c_new = 3.6340814710548144
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3118.5335086417995
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3319:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6940088777072067, b_new = -0.8691079976812355, c_new = 3.2596166835623106
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6930.866726542485
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3320:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.664364916325038, b_new = -0.3749121865557711, c_new = 3.686125351609855
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6064.304563237381
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3321:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.649889782141349, b_new = -0.7846289765794421, c_new = 3.653679421581865
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7464.223892112372
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3322:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6821263511146225, b_new = 0.1404262263858469, c_new = 3.8814039855858997
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4539.038538450722
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3323:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5827488487092727, b_new = -0.7871299987783287, c_new = 3.6382740241408236
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11026.198766400124
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3324:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.531700057603778, b_new = -0.2631779169413918, c_new = 3.597165674330028
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11372.601225578404
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3325:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.059254331456795, b_new = -1.1891795396171534, c_new = 3.1965301019172507
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13565.000317567481
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3326:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6912533475785723, b_new = -0.5406876547811896, c_new = 3.321444052645135
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6077.911794825944
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3327:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.285413232718584, b_new = -0.6613784134486194, c_new = 3.8125436487038167
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6726.779220543978
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3328:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.617391941150102, b_new = -0.33382440133690505, c_new = 3.2060278214983757
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11900.941641313726
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3329:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322991661406193, b_new = -0.7264308200938513, c_new = 3.903914326885852
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7388.978146049506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3330:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8596794305612763, b_new = -0.1041628972027493, c_new = 4.555196455417033
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3087.3942894965194
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3331:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.465895152767577, b_new = -0.5441058379304008, c_new = 3.465290667674538
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10124.100941755083
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3332:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7221361393510466, b_new = -0.2260726766824686, c_new = 2.9475145341023086
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12723.337076901758
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3333:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4776165277855036, b_new = -1.3734516018469818, c_new = 4.15363621259208
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11293.879866225252
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3334:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.53582781694359, b_new = 0.038636665178740315, c_new = 4.087439166303093
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7409.017285497168
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3335:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.081141266123393, b_new = -0.7592437963571943, c_new = 4.424903142593599
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3427.4607131294106
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3336:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.804062010707644, b_new = -0.36284990428537967, c_new = 3.680168776618038
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3783.1746438627306
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3337:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9481058298748457, b_new = -0.4706333763869869, c_new = 3.7105112043423323
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3018.8414186636865
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3338:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3242366831467405, b_new = -1.0385043756114918, c_new = 3.8241396824700504
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12286.333780643545
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3339:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1710336982079914, b_new = -0.2403775896750724, c_new = 3.9708945399943567
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5494.252812255218
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3340:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.409885645801364, b_new = -0.19258390902683914, c_new = 4.571367324394128
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10471.922856103307
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3341:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3351506845301535, b_new = -0.37411341832883227, c_new = 4.196353983421981
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -8717.250135244278
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3342:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.764846339386443, b_new = -0.8870007313446271, c_new = 3.765468921071034
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5341.5750403154825
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3343:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.658824104326879, b_new = 0.16204240714809215, c_new = 2.7991243568713395
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5174.358871820463
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3344:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0430470628185193, b_new = -1.0494221066623037, c_new = 4.089320649448482
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3039.106992907384
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3345:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2829926550660957, b_new = -0.0169116516047485, c_new = 3.8334331427122628
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11046.62465053556
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3346:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.005005147864701, b_new = -0.8776529413445207, c_new = 3.639773115706628
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13712.76641925396
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3347:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6320497790472857, b_new = -0.5312344798929216, c_new = 3.8889120281080456
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7056.4963925145785
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3348:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7678587478514958, b_new = -0.39477088864415205, c_new = 3.5890554213821253
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4314.190929320128
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3349:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4844023611082147, b_new = -1.1481675299491996, c_new = 3.946808945739476
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10858.181478130631
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3350:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6727374240554633, b_new = -1.2228391567042125, c_new = 3.569305684318618
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -8241.26804561518
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3351:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.037040617057507, b_new = 0.4006063846982548, c_new = 4.160739896900152
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -15115.012923045604
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3352:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8160975929147125, b_new = -1.0137393188764248, c_new = 2.6545535872228405
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5077.0841958187
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3353:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3525479085041607, b_new = -0.5168780191273616, c_new = 4.609947301156958
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -8834.323027306913
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3354:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6406588800640645, b_new = -0.7276256304631157, c_new = 2.8026295308398192
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7843.391646477711
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3355:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.773591371265067, b_new = -0.04902899232651242, c_new = 4.034988166071353
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13523.601789419889
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3356:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.758519506661618, b_new = -0.704905804012184, c_new = 4.243024193116953
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4894.498308227265
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3357:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.718021360615216, b_new = -0.08964433400834054, c_new = 4.049099552083937
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4382.058969245543
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3358:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.782579455855786, b_new = 0.0780334592809877, c_new = 3.9017625898632993
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3442.7810403766543
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3359:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.00043186448766, b_new = -1.3146646802226034, c_new = 3.746970339616374
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3183.9709873976294
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3360:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1150613626716885, b_new = -0.9286569482286011, c_new = 2.6852888279669322
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3346.8548797152876
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3361:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.932671854643772, b_new = -0.588357126897717, c_new = 3.133641967913989
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3113.159234285994
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3362:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8705375192785003, b_new = -0.3223524148928773, c_new = 3.3058149083112127
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3232.9916368190316
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3363:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.046823837398173, b_new = -1.1861045809622701, c_new = 3.5630478241769343
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3039.3362964286134
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3364:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3321643107547834, b_new = -0.33283156822350224, c_new = 3.7282950303432982
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11118.030592153016
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3365:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9510065539278747, b_new = -1.1524118196061601, c_new = 2.9293808433128605
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3480.578740565019
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3366:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1530220349416864, b_new = -1.0563911903967749, c_new = 4.023376223121806
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13406.354754848693
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3367:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9229237258604925, b_new = -0.4125955168819968, c_new = 4.902400533197619
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3026.9590150453714
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3368:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.986019758237715, b_new = -1.3459830995405233, c_new = 3.312628521860802
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3350.709445326761
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3369:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9102519011813426, b_new = -0.3572463897712187, c_new = 4.206028952867034
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3039.7185259105345
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3370:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0398627083058316, b_new = -0.6384096443521803, c_new = 4.43105205176148
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3243.2809244159253
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3371:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.923181464618729, b_new = -1.045414484143349, c_new = 3.8166025162010673
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3443.095639060858
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3372:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.56154490738353, b_new = -0.23352756622057042, c_new = 3.989666896138489
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11803.478328175119
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3373:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8867308328951706, b_new = -1.212101648643193, c_new = 2.694238619468064
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4346.201665291433
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3374:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.724725225364515, b_new = -1.2339918178200735, c_new = 3.5076483528473
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7200.046878369001
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3375:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.561421293030872, b_new = -0.7889843324552561, c_new = 3.5642966122624165
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10789.891674449249
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3376:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7877613952582347, b_new = -0.28888442423579247, c_new = 4.511084794023386
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3717.4877081909435
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3377:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6781905547898, b_new = -0.33841603205861065, c_new = 4.16437082955605
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5544.965805626812
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3378:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.067223526557672, b_new = -1.000754443126916, c_new = 4.042645258183875
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3124.7721981861914
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3379:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2843801951611904, b_new = -1.0594678986828447, c_new = 3.020316456102212
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12858.802892939944
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3380:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7643772852027995, b_new = -0.2580703664021082, c_new = 2.8723779428502403
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -14630.746274219731
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3381:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.178042485520623, b_new = -0.6974271869412628, c_new = 3.8358197323757723
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4563.715947849008
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3382:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5863295160969195, b_new = -0.07177905611180568, c_new = 4.500464935634186
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6573.542514771652
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3383:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3222399615168587, b_new = -0.05705762414703708, c_new = 4.1043984575874966
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10629.027344814425
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3384:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.769549597751141, b_new = -0.007448628336387597, c_new = 4.092831220104497
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3624.037624978375
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3385:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.526413370354051, b_new = -0.870551599046322, c_new = 3.7525047956756428
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10327.787090365207
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3386:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9212819827093666, b_new = -0.5545112467060707, c_new = 3.1964673209809114
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -14217.373809923136
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3387:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.398556097576651, b_new = -1.5777202645317736, c_new = 4.48941953698334
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6895.989548631802
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3388:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1066927177980723, b_new = -1.0060492553682818, c_new = 3.3810124067338663
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3285.3252803938694
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3389:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.853177402441588, b_new = -1.0145271407815692, c_new = 3.6264011010567705
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4205.752427273495
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3390:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.520958303539478, b_new = -0.6274594623890687, c_new = 4.193289956115263
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9203.365191362282
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3391:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.672475003808641, b_new = -0.27661853245907037, c_new = 3.032563667263091
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5883.254636623451
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3392:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.450486696764511, b_new = -1.1646412241699302, c_new = 3.435834131626996
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -8570.93963218243
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3393:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.038468350160727, b_new = 0.047660209469628234, c_new = 2.3138268311910917
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3654.152294436327
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3394:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.043183097285485, b_new = -0.3292817756915954, c_new = 3.2427672477523646
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3403.7540616193683
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3395:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8646376468903028, b_new = -0.8678576622552989, c_new = 3.143412990291191
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12880.25033133374
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3396:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.556725990255645, b_new = -0.33536768712383347, c_new = 2.8521134092872837
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -8406.731162585156
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3397:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6636974176896904, b_new = -0.8841355290163961, c_new = 3.2650555662846505
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7610.32408000487
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3398:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4888251616282346, b_new = -0.1410971815617077, c_new = 3.0811661023843766
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10998.303523988994
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3399:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.460740805943197, b_new = -0.7395249153800292, c_new = 2.9529809617975458
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9505.475775875348
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3400:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.481422071081243, b_new = -0.41810218875612626, c_new = 3.471161140397424
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -10547.942269050098
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3401:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1827697004274627, b_new = -0.29104889691327435, c_new = 3.72589369925264
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5516.891937409382
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3402:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4760933201551945, b_new = -1.654913490510454, c_new = 3.396961221439077
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12080.106144334257
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3403:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9777767951017995, b_new = -1.0636784150497185, c_new = 3.7805323895675897
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3128.7574444023694
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3404:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4151040290240036, b_new = -0.11585834845915294, c_new = 3.8345634441248015
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -9729.54996279388
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3405:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9923259326993383, b_new = -0.7251200662541455, c_new = 3.99276462259082
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13877.600492590609
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3406:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.702701084383259, b_new = -0.8689934538524531, c_new = 3.7397171842760795
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11955.399142780167
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3407:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.97736085973159, b_new = 0.07593788148246994, c_new = 4.5899940573988225
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -14719.70135723074
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3408:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.638125548588757, b_new = -0.471797582038331, c_new = 3.5562825916210157
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6899.770815086782
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3409:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.587946421387659, b_new = -0.3248370977535249, c_new = 3.4759365568897684
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -7550.950323272498
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3410:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.061566815584827, b_new = 0.2683319979495633, c_new = 2.875181996194206
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4400.187346310697
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3411:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0291021682069976, b_new = 0.05952525830222877, c_new = 3.2632235051640324
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13002.173229151933
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3412:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7765190450184818, b_new = -0.7308837134245698, c_new = 3.252011532240075
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -14907.567148664652
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3413:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2795900067691743, b_new = -0.573080690427329, c_new = 4.210137726840027
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6995.908150094128
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3414:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.66147592997523, b_new = 0.11363486548530821, c_new = 3.774895160756166
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4951.962295453838
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3415:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.367657338596247, b_new = -0.5211782945441427, c_new = 3.5060259254351704
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -8688.81373713063
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3416:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6889206799415435, b_new = -1.4990815561396644, c_new = 4.759139046072045
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -11206.13427963362
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3417:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3070361517793483, b_new = -0.6746728855563578, c_new = 3.013107990119814
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6866.541107905097
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3418:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7475716974687, b_new = -0.76789842769179, c_new = 3.2243965832083425
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5567.578235459156
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3419:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6856678688988826, b_new = -0.4758468347798359, c_new = 3.5559694500105836
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5940.046566046663
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3420:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.056066680315765, b_new = -0.20114215296872484, c_new = 3.322108867474462
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3677.5801678905027
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3421:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.000469142756817, b_new = -0.10523340586143592, c_new = 3.57538277223866
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3337.94735221014
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3422:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2955140187669527, b_new = -0.9332834292357762, c_new = 3.6027346230120485
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -6137.893680446563
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3423:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0074516360382466, b_new = -0.14330342578700472, c_new = 3.4666102049082483
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3339.5516313312964
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3424:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.943579392156091, b_new = -1.9100962696354813, c_new = 3.593662836342032
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4602.0316911318505
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3425:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.585602408861461, b_new = 0.008924675984744446, c_new = 3.4578709522459623
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -12208.992351399665
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3426:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8203007696815705, b_new = -1.271228040906149, c_new = 3.662746439386098
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5259.519621497614
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3427:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9026128490322005, b_new = -0.6023210451183179, c_new = 3.0662399449791966
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13368.536682273641
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3428:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.940021883037328, b_new = -0.5674030673877932, c_new = 4.321319409433073
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -13875.022276800779
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3429:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.699311344063729, b_new = -0.5261507232354862, c_new = 4.419148356922608
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -5508.198116105255
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3430:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.08559965715156, b_new = -0.8225454272925371, c_new = 3.734502959830988
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -14135.016265664657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3431:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.186234245190395, b_new = -0.7299901102127242, c_new = 3.3217719597678546
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -4503.403653186611
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3432:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.986532589341371, b_new = -0.743785427520758, c_new = 4.236537548098095
Current likelihood: -3017.011094013532
Proposed likelihood: -3014.955911901271
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9638691633689747, b = -0.5482403931369022, c = 3.682973351373001
Iteration 3433:
Current coefficients: a = 2.986532589341371, b = -0.743785427520758, c = 4.236537548098095
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.461440256219628, b_new = -1.0202801065473546, c_new = 4.33449076020037
Current likelihood: -3014.955911901271
Proposed likelihood: -10749.307981945096
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.986532589341371, b = -0.743785427520758, c = 4.236537548098095
Iteration 3434:
Current coefficients: a = 2.986532589341371, b = -0.743785427520758, c = 4.236537548098095
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1598859311067486, b_new = -1.0816569705131882, c_new = 4.756187116454609
Current likelihood: -3014.955911901271
Proposed likelihood: -3863.034441643795
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.986532589341371, b = -0.743785427520758, c = 4.236537548098095
Iteration 3435:
Current coefficients: a = 2.986532589341371, b = -0.743785427520758, c = 4.236537548098095
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.508190565211826, b_new = -0.37031917855545576, c_new = 5.145970322445654
Current likelihood: -3014.955911901271
Proposed likelihood: -15066.48393471285
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.986532589341371, b = -0.743785427520758, c = 4.236537548098095
Iteration 3436:
Current coefficients: a = 2.986532589341371, b = -0.743785427520758, c = 4.236537548098095
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.884040233208124, b_new = -1.1932748877964667, c_new = 3.7368602810215967
Current likelihood: -3014.955911901271
Proposed likelihood: -4073.497552378928
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.986532589341371, b = -0.743785427520758, c = 4.236537548098095
Iteration 3437:
Current coefficients: a = 2.986532589341371, b = -0.743785427520758, c = 4.236537548098095
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4210801240165543, b_new = -0.12871026419785425, c_new = 3.8805778392320383
Current likelihood: -3014.955911901271
Proposed likelihood: -10507.819691959987
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.986532589341371, b = -0.743785427520758, c = 4.236537548098095
Iteration 3438:
Current coefficients: a = 2.986532589341371, b = -0.743785427520758, c = 4.236537548098095
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2521301060966916, b_new = -0.3606671183726725, c_new = 3.6169685089834624
Current likelihood: -3014.955911901271
Proposed likelihood: -11924.368618217555
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.986532589341371, b = -0.743785427520758, c = 4.236537548098095
Iteration 3439:
Current coefficients: a = 2.986532589341371, b = -0.743785427520758, c = 4.236537548098095
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.921510146660743, b_new = -1.4756561170848075, c_new = 3.5559808668833304
Current likelihood: -3014.955911901271
Proposed likelihood: -12612.951198222207
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.986532589341371, b = -0.743785427520758, c = 4.236537548098095
Iteration 3440:
Current coefficients: a = 2.986532589341371, b = -0.743785427520758, c = 4.236537548098095
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9806390331007333, b_new = 0.12620415330063373, c_new = 4.826428616349819
Current likelihood: -3014.955911901271
Proposed likelihood: -3624.735108288477
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.986532589341371, b = -0.743785427520758, c = 4.236537548098095
Iteration 3441:
Current coefficients: a = 2.986532589341371, b = -0.743785427520758, c = 4.236537548098095
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3762315534988723, b_new = -0.9104780147742084, c_new = 3.819111226022452
Current likelihood: -3014.955911901271
Proposed likelihood: -7961.539353336156
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.986532589341371, b = -0.743785427520758, c = 4.236537548098095
Iteration 3442:
Current coefficients: a = 2.986532589341371, b = -0.743785427520758, c = 4.236537548098095
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.203649400515022, b_new = 0.18775772402679947, c_new = 3.3726038665168248
Current likelihood: -3014.955911901271
Proposed likelihood: -7166.133758546472
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.986532589341371, b = -0.743785427520758, c = 4.236537548098095
Iteration 3443:
Current coefficients: a = 2.986532589341371, b = -0.743785427520758, c = 4.236537548098095
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.005628320889181, b_new = -1.0376682688991254, c_new = 5.3901456963904035
Current likelihood: -3014.955911901271
Proposed likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.986532589341371, b = -0.743785427520758, c = 4.236537548098095
Iteration 3444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.987382276918705, b_new = -1.6449992478234252, c_new = 5.094432965261858
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3360.1446580823967
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.210723891271848, b_new = -0.8993063246929118, c_new = 4.924064592045257
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -12606.95666304842
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4731310065324967, b_new = -1.4227342468564044, c_new = 4.736743931905966
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -8784.903865555243
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6520201874793576, b_new = -0.5181806491618064, c_new = 5.254867585938295
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -12474.187216950415
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5599407847856774, b_new = -1.2921020718342675, c_new = 5.323309753317835
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -9687.880017670568
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1249153299702295, b_new = -0.7225914319439013, c_new = 5.38305701629774
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -14742.495452769344
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3446511218669537, b_new = -1.7429855974062543, c_new = 5.5762013664775605
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -12623.027421356946
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.515459127372622, b_new = -0.7158905886786673, c_new = 5.767928051425397
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -8946.468545189793
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9059304361391596, b_new = -1.8797668253750048, c_new = 5.21822849046181
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -4640.740062834802
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.482874084052898, b_new = -1.3457730940307835, c_new = 5.789251593651164
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -10634.393052059979
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7484426261182913, b_new = -1.5154359617604676, c_new = 6.2204121320442365
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -6414.237315252045
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.968326920350868, b_new = -1.513366581804472, c_new = 5.1646630794837
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3364.2641229091723
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.907845372787042, b_new = -0.21326232858872984, c_new = 4.640286481656067
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3031.5132908685464
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4295514724707745, b_new = -0.5152621614091778, c_new = 5.569170384612133
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -9773.867227901748
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5427070577243027, b_new = -0.9740363033968339, c_new = 5.089516005682427
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -10728.25227628541
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6321441853870615, b_new = -1.0296494968842402, c_new = 6.021943065203678
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -11789.522811868032
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4633065810282817, b_new = -0.994437869867651, c_new = 5.337831021049047
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -10345.619160212302
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9654624795709545, b_new = -1.2461571045892055, c_new = 5.964490691450538
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3110.090268631183
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3191772653325504, b_new = -1.1550118048152886, c_new = 6.020268895491352
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -6926.7450577290365
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5034629934225014, b_new = -1.3320867489699655, c_new = 5.816568094735266
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -9803.485809813254
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.204615849912772, b_new = -0.18846091052516156, c_new = 4.9534424252040035
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -6728.464471769995
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.285203397943591, b_new = -1.6866960307973629, c_new = 4.867705242373944
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -13149.711537529933
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5856418839559807, b_new = -0.7932786318120696, c_new = 5.325752061063901
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -8104.5641646886215
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.820384653182494, b_new = -0.4223391927983443, c_new = 5.3251709983033555
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3450.697070080115
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.082345406282977, b_new = -0.869592090500709, c_new = 5.838253672679001
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3531.02394145368
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8321105305557692, b_new = -1.7943709904312124, c_new = 4.94130660117979
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -11975.982256757485
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.768010911528167, b_new = -0.6736319820428391, c_new = 4.938627235998712
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -4493.039131189902
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.306318600698278, b_new = -1.108612275704096, c_new = 5.149018049844614
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -6443.52787435815
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.851167080826988, b_new = -1.3701340258036843, c_new = 4.967303227428009
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -4547.015094599659
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2773568394521138, b_new = -1.1031143649400534, c_new = 4.598590073936658
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -5658.411992045503
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.945860542291338, b_new = -1.424862371963333, c_new = 5.251718298406015
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3438.8530009672354
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.88298325518515, b_new = -0.8856588013766464, c_new = 5.15996369035049
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3413.494823255498
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0940448093923605, b_new = -1.3281990918273399, c_new = 5.516327635742229
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3164.007547027904
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.754843149014394, b_new = -1.087501219008264, c_new = 5.413906864837308
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -5472.332283315214
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.719057704244966, b_new = -0.7166347299016909, c_new = 5.167772827590399
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -12655.905627673543
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6664924673744563, b_new = -1.4766242657397388, c_new = 6.349622220376452
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -7947.112556700558
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.482974173827597, b_new = -1.7249882168418371, c_new = 6.035833264018095
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -11251.032018032463
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.356488593633994, b_new = -1.7999339362265525, c_new = 4.827997683468403
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -5593.490434225774
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.940225629384334, b_new = -1.3009982361090686, c_new = 5.943310539730808
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3279.136942667112
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1577253491183894, b_new = -1.2549218459309952, c_new = 4.6601275125010595
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3596.8313577187846
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545060084724891, b_new = -1.0230076309734193, c_new = 4.82469716514978
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -9493.68462842569
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7493689586517718, b_new = -1.4861649194784627, c_new = 5.43330459844681
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -11907.101921530177
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8664693015920624, b_new = -0.5874928431135378, c_new = 5.635771760706738
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3235.9098370910365
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.022757741184386, b_new = -1.781431122218244, c_new = 3.984047782497292
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3406.5169641293896
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.117844921674993, b_new = -0.21730052371544317, c_new = 5.875602279550018
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -5193.014526934253
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.610422126316868, b_new = -0.9313488483195941, c_new = 6.307395831422982
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -7645.693618050289
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0749197642871495, b_new = -1.3626625749964651, c_new = 4.515131157658505
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3042.1906110072773
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.643966268453418, b_new = -2.1384564723552706, c_new = 5.858809167800604
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -10141.986932054884
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.317993115310551, b_new = -1.7286834741093084, c_new = 5.873058112888445
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -12708.143570671944
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.32163027930133, b_new = -1.2291388641749257, c_new = 5.1263657220167715
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -12200.92582797221
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7443450276221126, b_new = -1.8849123803627128, c_new = 5.497828855613865
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -7808.827378079491
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.079360457455246, b_new = -0.6923406145560183, c_new = 5.7564413442050935
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -14685.562900090988
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0234699507359175, b_new = -0.8572443539561079, c_new = 4.937535701457478
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3077.5980003712284
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0310756065086886, b_new = -0.19023655278491747, c_new = 5.170042903251892
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3778.1499815107627
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2531418410804345, b_new = -1.3449610912044148, c_new = 4.977916402567822
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -12886.35665483089
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.936099048210327, b_new = -0.5359445836510691, c_new = 5.195389658658677
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3025.4947205031253
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.20764291256741, b_new = -1.4508724467497243, c_new = 5.786865065340364
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -4095.946912817487
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5853369895736664, b_new = -0.7146135628652137, c_new = 4.968655167361112
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -11551.258952497807
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1946263347425954, b_new = -0.7414046733570518, c_new = 6.188149008309619
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -12187.377591763776
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4795723739757496, b_new = -1.670141569347309, c_new = 4.9523658792982745
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -8389.232987396806
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.029364104028693, b_new = -0.57135481387555, c_new = 5.710530266806976
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3395.383434845755
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9019882811123763, b_new = -1.6026754123358042, c_new = 5.262540765276359
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -4161.762108321393
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4824354344419315, b_new = -1.1165137793209559, c_new = 5.314732684417629
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -10355.253607982453
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4709612380109243, b_new = -1.4579974242846607, c_new = 6.546888487307769
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -10740.411076704466
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7950644246517875, b_new = -1.0475102371938885, c_new = 4.960782103737282
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -12680.631387059406
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3509:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7747875791826293, b_new = -0.7695109301698093, c_new = 6.143733226239011
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -13225.500903298984
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3510:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7836357937620293, b_new = -0.9554314720063364, c_new = 5.961844856788607
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -14479.10276498979
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3511:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0129674430050146, b_new = -1.365265227103284, c_new = 4.940385356299542
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3061.4897106299027
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3512:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3761866468468216, b_new = -1.0328382358928825, c_new = 5.787873379187292
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -8385.045752508086
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3513:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5786400186123, b_new = -1.2571424697556353, c_new = 6.360552412052466
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -8969.737147721824
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3514:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.429657518718224, b_new = -0.9466933270637539, c_new = 4.940133764818388
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -9244.444646610786
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3515:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.656952696612019, b_new = -0.42237247886979723, c_new = 5.699948092639311
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -5675.8914093811745
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3516:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924995068876579, b_new = -1.5907212816053096, c_new = 5.68600243190495
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3769.635897339511
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3517:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3199682079109953, b_new = -1.2083043416797083, c_new = 5.216884458968096
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -12158.00703935034
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3518:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7689928090871088, b_new = -0.8479162493982183, c_new = 6.250959356947895
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -13118.920440628492
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3519:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.702276570353037, b_new = -0.9505159626815389, c_new = 5.455166493164023
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -6156.536405844881
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3520:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.596149786347832, b_new = -1.2139934387204798, c_new = 5.62956414581805
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -11037.780946222381
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3521:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.273888643078223, b_new = -1.4564334177992182, c_new = 5.418290252230609
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -5015.7317249330645
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3522:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4046542285434294, b_new = -1.5213565890530836, c_new = 6.227300496175353
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -7808.923531044946
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3523:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9973857173821585, b_new = -0.4770268734417237, c_new = 5.8962937263012964
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3289.3620970279153
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3524:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.09390945550402, b_new = -1.6660097499053483, c_new = 6.068086298062531
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3046.637033611029
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3525:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6658011441631406, b_new = -1.2173424865169704, c_new = 5.254529312566982
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -11567.610956726927
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3526:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9546119511829245, b_new = -1.0196939731187715, c_new = 5.564252692330754
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -13966.90964788423
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3527:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6318597838052535, b_new = -0.7887020819154444, c_new = 4.795002776722803
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -7401.921393464262
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3528:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6582184930581834, b_new = -1.0955317795037307, c_new = 6.118306533687554
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -11939.324093224504
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3529:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3944628716602776, b_new = -0.9294397357335292, c_new = 5.404130077163083
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -8854.779065274875
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3530:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0540559594815093, b_new = -1.4281226284815594, c_new = 5.245913566884638
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3015.383680917119
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3531:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7685089693687117, b_new = -0.0844569495881401, c_new = 6.252062138429225
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -14044.139119633912
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3532:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.058033320675931, b_new = -1.0592910872830474, c_new = 5.153101867172703
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3124.7850263617984
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3533:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.948243946086591, b_new = -0.6392145303024319, c_new = 5.832688951701632
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3036.272035650974
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3534:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3662690094312637, b_new = -0.5402685977523385, c_new = 5.607664833292698
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -10546.416968833846
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3535:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4824122444352366, b_new = -0.13475296173901163, c_new = 5.209358767444817
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -8367.832376095808
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3536:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.074208249502238, b_new = -0.3461829756107324, c_new = 5.299952412247839
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -4076.8108900717034
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3537:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.158142642771467, b_new = -0.45507515054082615, c_new = 6.1816629140652735
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -5478.8229229532
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3538:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5038869883327965, b_new = -0.771973982831925, c_new = 5.279581763959759
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -9393.269661931425
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3539:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6055161925950454, b_new = -0.9444927454862216, c_new = 5.047236774839024
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -11393.985539855667
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3540:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.069963554023818, b_new = -2.6323736166896516, c_new = 5.371607377250519
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -15027.47572054001
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3541:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.74888563411705, b_new = -0.6618491807067075, c_new = 5.858122631387629
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -4544.77822551058
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3542:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.775924688712329, b_new = 0.11470694842992524, c_new = 4.603255770314178
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3387.67966630732
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3543:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7221348917963555, b_new = -1.4064038582223914, c_new = 4.535830290916531
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -7320.288283017671
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3544:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.444744229357481, b_new = -1.8667150988661763, c_new = 5.859478705751569
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -7562.190626132369
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3545:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8853095711505725, b_new = -1.7326907161697407, c_new = 5.686258784425318
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -12595.647313990277
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3546:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.949408057224663, b_new = -1.3815423563195441, c_new = 6.03554923558735
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3274.8046784868257
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3547:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.170865866033454, b_new = -1.1856420640398864, c_new = 5.930899110217686
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -4081.800213737266
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3548:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7013828062497867, b_new = -1.3069429011370386, c_new = 5.704035901662315
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -7026.846776027808
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3549:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.474596105076621, b_new = -0.6047568004510249, c_new = 6.0585595902813765
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -9210.466896403737
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3550:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.306402083384971, b_new = -0.8067382625706571, c_new = 5.826999601187728
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -7565.4873300449635
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3551:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5775611030868824, b_new = -0.827630361932961, c_new = 5.293865870083822
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -11395.24283290518
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3552:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.552896678954223, b_new = -0.8743113791786284, c_new = 5.042317849015761
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -8962.881186415554
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3553:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6654088379265857, b_new = -1.3190916291304586, c_new = 6.290419231686603
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -15082.292132615155
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3554:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1431681366792694, b_new = -1.2763414426446054, c_new = 5.395015902118751
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3543.9118139759066
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6703654753654056, b_new = -1.2633945042740302, c_new = 6.331866922971978
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -11851.259472613117
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5520174816226042, b_new = -2.2008601830628165, c_new = 5.293182515442677
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -8500.0970447062
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.581906466947644, b_new = -1.0462941607919385, c_new = 5.407875863607089
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -11109.635878877196
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2135789697394634, b_new = -2.4906045166099298, c_new = 5.618051026610908
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3128.4803041288405
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.261224874864557, b_new = -0.3967123422719344, c_new = 5.355574045992789
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -7564.819829464797
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7202934318287295, b_new = -0.5549876519831917, c_new = 5.430655400418999
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -4900.70013170667
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9990757431664976, b_new = -0.9322733938008777, c_new = 5.548641962080407
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -13685.956660289201
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.866441765184843, b_new = -1.3393398275126058, c_new = 6.153535954529233
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3996.8561091443626
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1572362931454165, b_new = -1.9128026030228624, c_new = 5.228814803627069
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3125.2130682589877
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.872791022004993, b_new = -1.4561951472082137, c_new = 5.323444851654841
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -4293.984092376799
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7745695138515374, b_new = -1.1100415689448289, c_new = 5.4473221332166375
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -5147.7121636119655
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8132686776744267, b_new = -0.4682263622749441, c_new = 5.023837553865842
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3600.3439778097672
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.102377100818722, b_new = -1.0481131726730715, c_new = 4.709715245483137
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3348.707198138978
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.62082667497733, b_new = -1.0840603788302978, c_new = 5.398065086475211
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -8158.579550949587
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6385382702004363, b_new = -1.1305155673190086, c_new = 5.235501690246625
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -8002.361614404594
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.713093167129787, b_new = -1.6732247344015705, c_new = 6.372122650551748
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -11605.97093256295
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3002085722644905, b_new = -0.3735723704611681, c_new = 4.777409304464084
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -8243.839783692947
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.022275877966743, b_new = -1.149473154785202, c_new = 4.919279799628905
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -13810.179751990932
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8512069083440483, b_new = -1.5334318460242056, c_new = 5.524884487635351
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -4722.5398541405575
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.49911410412067, b_new = -1.1145670203629718, c_new = 6.288629618111922
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -9828.37819238356
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6934162043132526, b_new = -1.064024484562706, c_new = 5.680441319179075
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -6553.05302151584
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2677719595715313, b_new = -0.29245832717312503, c_new = 5.705210018621621
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -11098.607618555823
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230022578039156, b_new = -0.7958812348488344, c_new = 4.810155349599518
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -5552.727529389946
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9461457704844456, b_new = -1.0102831794018559, c_new = 4.867531203013482
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3142.775774190458
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.157791416720158, b_new = -0.9588442971079175, c_new = 6.065811610490538
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -4332.105399421165
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7616524789105137, b_new = -1.1889450268146862, c_new = 5.096809747355459
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -12309.14162543296
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.866460618456713, b_new = -0.8492975740464607, c_new = 5.627125401661881
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3454.205508754191
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.892062529963768, b_new = -1.0005924832519668, c_new = 5.48690636846539
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3412.514422333747
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0969532866342493, b_new = -0.8874957332409701, c_new = 4.333698625907844
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3414.2695949878917
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9258052838008926, b_new = -0.2316263312461545, c_new = 5.920641830915745
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3125.1862429264966
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1622543198095765, b_new = -0.7776628541117618, c_new = 4.574667885114578
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -12860.584480245467
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9489749182033425, b_new = -0.8061392942894765, c_new = 5.169955644885729
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3037.733133301919
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.743180566486704, b_new = -1.3568181710031066, c_new = 5.87804527957873
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -12161.432253045936
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.116174929290806, b_new = -0.7448095274328608, c_new = 5.147524912976247
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -12956.112134146917
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2675772166187045, b_new = -1.280373704733501, c_new = 5.0477047656765395
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -5186.813204736449
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.632901697550669, b_new = -0.6199444999672166, c_new = 5.5361747350585855
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -6682.295390912413
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6072677489508993, b_new = -1.4190482550505283, c_new = 6.081512984753482
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -8976.661669222514
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3575592800178664, b_new = -1.597817430504038, c_new = 5.257760950885427
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -6260.514145141926
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3434483762757203, b_new = -0.15764768657711803, c_new = 5.209605203543437
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -9813.250977306987
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1983029455242065, b_new = -0.5329197924775804, c_new = 4.797571230548134
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -15023.711177338479
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.073292024652586, b_new = -2.062300885800168, c_new = 5.311005574023442
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3162.0310749120554
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8542840931224895, b_new = -1.062589431992808, c_new = 4.423993093827436
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -4080.181452386973
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3436908835024712, b_new = -1.2059866235637722, c_new = 5.583635241319431
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -11856.277842198888
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8335339523793315, b_new = -1.3151589152149081, c_new = 4.746899746351856
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -4781.044116279521
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.390179105584929, b_new = -1.440823939535068, c_new = 5.63865998773051
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -11798.836068841982
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.109622539032053, b_new = 0.14478129127744466, c_new = 4.909250043538917
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -5590.346449295663
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2313072686131084, b_new = 0.36252197312467205, c_new = 4.823819371138209
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -8934.755266911934
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.118303309774126, b_new = -1.8098378332054845, c_new = 5.458901195445836
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3050.068110657383
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6839692439873155, b_new = -1.5922451486985323, c_new = 5.466754301784549
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -8249.981128521666
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.677092267001287, b_new = -0.5061388879330518, c_new = 4.446059568346939
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -5881.362178378438
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6082805505098003, b_new = -1.321675083553133, c_new = 5.815945558553487
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -15344.343939187074
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.2927525680563865, b_new = -1.4044867544685185, c_new = 5.562238019155806
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -16198.707764062088
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.182019022875762, b_new = -0.8047915606714551, c_new = 6.380224044161028
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -12307.246989846688
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2006112054076024, b_new = -0.7591798435546306, c_new = 6.240834193062499
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -5562.258579645708
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8126190980334447, b_new = -0.3087768068716057, c_new = 5.75680485443256
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3368.7005622862935
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7754376460932093, b_new = -0.4891119538138369, c_new = 4.4666176695145445
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -13122.171381449985
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1100699457160133, b_new = -0.21276825666144383, c_new = 5.001946211888638
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -4782.000581611778
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2495166689314767, b_new = -0.7743901180749693, c_new = 5.987140628313939
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -6459.773295322934
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7877235205006503, b_new = -0.3075360573949657, c_new = 5.517775273123165
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3596.8746665867666
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.051879868337377, b_new = -1.5292598175123686, c_new = 5.749941526981942
Current likelihood: -3014.34166152934
Proposed likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.005628320889181, b = -1.0376682688991254, c = 5.3901456963904035
Iteration 3615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8558415965233688, b_new = -1.8421861026215671, c_new = 5.290519456897205
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5413.252688009425
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.640838980227716, b_new = -1.3641297130555508, c_new = 6.5213621278143945
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -11492.644183350447
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.054811327205419, b_new = -1.7744730062738499, c_new = 6.5099851646413365
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3026.142390799352
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.612735627579275, b_new = -0.6789092903996338, c_new = 5.316453936696483
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -11949.911325622792
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5099033993819098, b_new = -1.559651587715716, c_new = 5.408708808049862
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10849.092710900779
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3378978006575855, b_new = -1.5701774342836774, c_new = 5.9294798366559345
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -6157.665556202861
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.742289424864075, b_new = -1.6398249581267346, c_new = 6.972059738024944
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -6605.909318996775
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6442952086554907, b_new = -1.902016625656556, c_new = 4.818683430428208
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10143.273610349475
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.811343023967396, b_new = -1.9251016735276845, c_new = 6.502261159720212
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12059.707514043603
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8275172780883664, b_new = -1.7762778804467727, c_new = 5.775667878983295
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5632.936429554524
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.634208348672864, b_new = -2.0202967533758147, c_new = 5.223340576306874
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10256.96719555875
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4482506781060915, b_new = -1.1195187252617718, c_new = 5.476342432571863
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10713.100566989831
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.615558085724528, b_new = -1.325294801018105, c_new = 5.381181156810836
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8865.44055739285
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3605749625408747, b_new = -1.564257240869648, c_new = 6.418365223087148
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -6836.088088350321
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9737146744594116, b_new = -2.2242538950043427, c_new = 5.778152463597158
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4149.673421995507
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4459036544373722, b_new = -2.2942788273369263, c_new = 6.310701585338418
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12434.571168681654
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.186346271491562, b_new = -2.372723205070539, c_new = 6.457818181072378
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13704.857658418678
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.239578910794866, b_new = -1.4265352784136267, c_new = 5.8713269108544965
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4627.602271929791
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.283863645780914, b_new = -1.1299851594876378, c_new = 6.172470868818121
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12062.538500875275
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.364912805180155, b_new = -1.8458950305123176, c_new = 4.874190714516878
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12822.976623611923
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.280279114778858, b_new = -1.8829559693120042, c_new = 5.447544287283802
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4291.3049594891845
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.225180503688499, b_new = -2.022158700559019, c_new = 5.109488104922747
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3443.388052033455
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.20325966559921, b_new = -0.8548410921407115, c_new = 6.256483218904955
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12256.58906895359
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.20397101386034, b_new = -0.5641302997513001, c_new = 5.018978565333162
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5691.67223645255
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.815277040643379, b_new = -1.3644042817670545, c_new = 4.8855956601479775
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5165.23776851709
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5788744562426937, b_new = -1.2782769989626694, c_new = 6.026761307826498
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10872.850064245078
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.925454191208126, b_new = -1.5186225208768902, c_new = 6.556797591480934
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3529.915259236216
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7868141538598827, b_new = -0.8167149815966998, c_new = 6.572913016934196
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4122.259303183672
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.076152488313327, b_new = -1.8620176973410332, c_new = 5.889044001583512
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13569.994394507237
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1864348662874664, b_new = -1.0714288203066717, c_new = 5.713582342805
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4452.266016021547
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5123926097845715, b_new = -1.5964687425922517, c_new = 6.29076513932899
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9534.964320728337
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5270345215466468, b_new = -1.0035598793447886, c_new = 5.794494543477391
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9382.049045205029
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7892923041402162, b_new = -1.5847489158140515, c_new = 6.039804865530543
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5819.486902138788
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6316164560956468, b_new = -0.913286524238909, c_new = 4.625603316164247
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -11554.255066022386
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221877291067763, b_new = -1.415067811137618, c_new = 6.032345007731648
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4417.409830435345
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0068164842527563, b_new = -1.4542695515061372, c_new = 6.629696592091037
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3037.967947619468
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.241763141015588, b_new = -2.34687656706816, c_new = 4.957485665271557
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3296.8951409438187
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6640125936287404, b_new = -2.085353523807905, c_new = 5.581855556357744
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10257.800149940362
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.298441803751414, b_new = -1.6793946481937438, c_new = 5.375400721528802
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4951.200012301741
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0105656703608035, b_new = -2.1767355864305253, c_new = 6.492370509723767
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3524.4277451412545
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9010135059019606, b_new = -1.3649715080100704, c_new = 5.559443962396395
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3743.622383418695
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8042985630348167, b_new = -1.152164562536491, c_new = 5.377862849546454
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4745.845569633768
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4126899699012805, b_new = -1.6957112200234217, c_new = 5.857077287154233
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -11935.065630139004
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2292050957257006, b_new = -2.0283956307186393, c_new = 5.438384690407732
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3506.707064234018
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1141758601406218, b_new = -2.8169057226129657, c_new = 5.79677586898645
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3496.389992164963
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.430534787087176, b_new = -1.2757550067406536, c_new = 5.141567746858577
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8541.390154296892
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1015603582802918, b_new = -0.7726692160390309, c_new = 5.820867369036698
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12909.50466380376
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.004627988129915, b_new = -2.3349782366131673, c_new = 5.451262445908723
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -14980.66945896572
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.016048429963993, b_new = -0.6441579387235392, c_new = 5.30634817301233
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -14368.711640293706
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.986581546379073, b_new = -1.8346283721512664, c_new = 5.524707738934522
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3500.118559790686
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7690425078357115, b_new = -1.526546271637337, c_new = 5.870831296747765
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -6141.161540976953
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.207647923918778, b_new = -1.2472604514670822, c_new = 6.162381347616052
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4557.254127644026
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0670233968062894, b_new = -1.6929029958408057, c_new = 6.00602414277021
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3014.9866311618416
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.835892952694862, b_new = -1.432076933563542, c_new = 5.374469148561365
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4806.6815625979125
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0492903689968323, b_new = -1.5970846415732118, c_new = 4.9321261053312355
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3053.286888832964
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4415126353096825, b_new = -1.8486422425123532, c_new = 5.485230588427996
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -7410.08277361691
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.050423804614152, b_new = -0.5352114244934939, c_new = 5.414616982297431
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3564.1322936106835
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.618718250528102, b_new = -1.24533288784766, c_new = 6.060015763149849
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8361.42742620258
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3673:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3590582083506564, b_new = -1.2264060626226483, c_new = 5.163474331260689
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -11878.751547156173
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3674:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2671404869908027, b_new = -1.8810728605945384, c_new = 5.832949916174744
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13242.69580014466
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3675:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.659475648294685, b_new = -2.140186789987209, c_new = 5.892715557819249
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10204.884695310717
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3676:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.558711806324418, b_new = -1.4681442095395227, c_new = 5.3398791261096274
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10091.517658471614
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3677:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.274890988119822, b_new = -1.3896935513786846, c_new = 5.5159159948845975
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5212.420562904134
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3678:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2225933217263956, b_new = -0.4830528194777457, c_new = 5.624107600725798
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -6549.927318834343
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3679:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.805433370014997, b_new = -2.579939275894641, c_new = 6.616910773669582
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -11115.833212448739
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3680:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9553331182855183, b_new = -1.9129324642095962, c_new = 6.1564099256815785
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3797.877109124712
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3681:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7528059623369945, b_new = -1.635297203176999, c_new = 6.016940363964845
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -11884.354163350665
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3682:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.518203622098278, b_new = -1.893537918555681, c_new = 6.770694178470112
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9139.37068216822
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3683:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7991410999664548, b_new = -1.53994629837929, c_new = 5.2120969991933865
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -15062.96130134213
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3684:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.959216421420465, b_new = -1.653973028669466, c_new = 6.325034631271436
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3416.9319277744507
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3685:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5296721489956844, b_new = -1.720927801777847, c_new = 6.120092899373496
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9461.125674381678
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3686:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.013410100889236, b_new = -2.3649230787613797, c_new = 5.831943881476253
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3873.800383279465
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3687:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.642504655855187, b_new = -1.800163629632994, c_new = 5.462852754716462
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10476.486159747998
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3688:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7970912062383877, b_new = -1.428619628590892, c_new = 4.916983514176838
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12196.986714556391
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3689:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7467414527658778, b_new = -1.1118586699222068, c_new = 5.008620179228688
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12282.506682793435
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3690:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1749858334852874, b_new = -1.9907421205272389, c_new = 5.562288114105991
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3180.4237110475865
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3691:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8422370965840438, b_new = -1.7677139634667625, c_new = 5.239578035568702
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5508.778717049473
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3692:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.367431914559752, b_new = -2.143816087232714, c_new = 5.082156611904347
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13149.895606479058
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3693:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0124148490568503, b_new = -2.295463715332379, c_new = 5.004288711999736
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3969.267937005609
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3694:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.342731857465845, b_new = -1.6565290211813406, c_new = 5.499388055499752
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12539.385004689222
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3695:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1539306406966587, b_new = -2.145947046970634, c_new = 5.868371728237792
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3061.2807183483174
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3696:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.144761490739656, b_new = -2.0044663586939238, c_new = 5.945498908576131
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13759.581130973442
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3697:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4078466495236297, b_new = -2.826484370519889, c_new = 5.63692872852182
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4555.015299059194
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3698:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.435237684888021, b_new = -1.200418477394633, c_new = 6.064454078176071
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10821.631192721656
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3699:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2810707844104603, b_new = -1.4173227800386232, c_new = 5.306857722723992
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5199.549465064302
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3700:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.339646223074741, b_new = -1.9116080948850243, c_new = 5.3850375037652976
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5179.533072960983
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3701:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.760280059104893, b_new = -2.040942612167771, c_new = 5.003715375113645
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -15618.156358000926
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3702:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3228980743258822, b_new = -1.3507148186559337, c_new = 5.8515980636144285
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -6399.901300565323
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3703:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.880776091454625, b_new = -1.8786455116010985, c_new = 5.677175678656877
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12383.626957155608
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3704:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3012327022050307, b_new = -1.4066467088520216, c_new = 5.745774878625807
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12428.451078539238
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3705:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.842890153051345, b_new = -1.7803874499823082, c_new = 5.823472579904225
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5330.028824144305
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3706:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.763273360218378, b_new = -1.975064783512795, c_new = 5.755736893597004
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -11410.02239747408
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3707:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0406229272983922, b_new = -1.1110406511551056, c_new = 5.6890291173337495
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3071.8979718090864
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3708:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5610116156803127, b_new = -1.200224595461542, c_new = 5.546824366243363
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9394.444887441987
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3709:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.748653456662073, b_new = -0.45548950591017734, c_new = 4.759368153030123
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13075.442344984087
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3710:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1809692041238566, b_new = -0.4839569736837557, c_new = 5.248202312871996
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5517.93525964463
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3711:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0493673451672216, b_new = -1.390926694729929, c_new = 5.6435916427629165
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3016.758452647275
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3712:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.749623814014861, b_new = -2.074182633701816, c_new = 4.9608861523917005
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8468.795199660688
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3713:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.77129016424176, b_new = -1.2885415796342743, c_new = 5.76943838227834
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12425.6004011394
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3714:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.309871084309112, b_new = -1.036975910727646, c_new = 5.768251831264792
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -6957.05686251839
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3715:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7234136331385357, b_new = -1.2572528861621244, c_new = 5.211911109537022
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -6614.7894834172885
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3716:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7876850784573244, b_new = -1.196407804682905, c_new = 6.240799212591079
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4880.94011627107
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3717:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0754451470026587, b_new = -2.3847196242794406, c_new = 4.991871281617058
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3468.4516639944636
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3718:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.644232709481283, b_new = -1.724189587216074, c_new = 5.8590802110206734
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9171.82096056935
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3719:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.59383786814786, b_new = -1.9216738553430697, c_new = 6.017044371784373
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9877.551593771672
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3720:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.093866983480968, b_new = -1.108049918231708, c_new = 6.193003425592953
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3422.951864558886
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3721:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9362181979862996, b_new = -2.1607873922052296, c_new = 5.611109715613272
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4622.059013508992
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3722:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5634942201417985, b_new = -0.9829168217703274, c_new = 4.556474843718533
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10771.852040886162
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3723:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.417175825819525, b_new = -2.2309097009509724, c_new = 5.703449775028757
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12739.922594141019
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3724:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2561685243962906, b_new = -1.5792526508517666, c_new = 5.895641179818556
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4595.447261735688
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3725:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.714858507841901, b_new = -1.8006533819938677, c_new = 5.582263496623206
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8152.50474563695
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3726:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2566971713254826, b_new = -2.173878479842671, c_new = 5.119420794813563
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3563.6594292922146
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3727:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2456218677739406, b_new = -1.3646109915199207, c_new = 5.820057282062
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12734.67945630763
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3728:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9139288190205446, b_new = -2.0506482906353245, c_new = 6.358266680611202
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4539.767694477338
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3729:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.048217311657025, b_new = -1.4804303019952527, c_new = 6.213185120922026
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3015.816809206172
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3730:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2763833719323237, b_new = -0.8187335123093743, c_new = 5.778522910158628
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -6845.570823734621
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3731:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9691744303006125, b_new = -2.0058151284800476, c_new = 5.919263043604238
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -14715.960706052592
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3732:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.983127459494702, b_new = -1.972030054425164, c_new = 5.613215089695795
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3687.318627424521
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3733:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.040008640057148, b_new = -1.388462261599261, c_new = 5.973233058447539
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13900.178038992444
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3734:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8208959104068567, b_new = -1.3721272149985433, c_new = 5.232591279511188
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4975.117469167802
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3735:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.342239105173051, b_new = -1.4435683798906873, c_new = 5.608333862023987
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -6471.21758676039
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3736:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8154710626096593, b_new = -0.5775501761722056, c_new = 5.5885670473888025
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3626.4509800458336
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3737:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.300131736346807, b_new = -1.0550306057890517, c_new = 5.242702138911257
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -15028.959706478243
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3738:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5246993000102846, b_new = -0.9170324497346605, c_new = 6.367374159554062
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9047.23413551779
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3739:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9595696688028315, b_new = -1.6821397724116414, c_new = 5.4491421173875
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3578.5460350684116
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3740:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.253586622253823, b_new = -1.5894875552794847, c_new = 5.515433201127206
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4440.634342179676
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3741:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0732668593240025, b_new = -0.7926562708820779, c_new = 5.17207613533389
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3433.0609153876067
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3742:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.702208490226755, b_new = -1.7090028456364155, c_new = 5.3110939492650635
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8266.641726497377
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3743:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5832656082465832, b_new = -1.1805827432720344, c_new = 5.879463640871744
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8884.195521545762
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3744:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4777137194139263, b_new = -1.484461378230784, c_new = 5.850623220419715
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10932.394608052567
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3745:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5799028463842566, b_new = -1.168490473644698, c_new = 5.076434534300686
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9198.250739048413
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3746:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3628825497955446, b_new = -2.0517751020341826, c_new = 6.035800524198784
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5485.276446308138
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3747:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.376785768794925, b_new = -0.8495748929275588, c_new = 5.492890631206217
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8767.48184558503
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3748:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3252556109486995, b_new = -1.6805649734054413, c_new = 6.232623757709021
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5715.964322259531
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3749:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5429580044627516, b_new = -2.321992857045245, c_new = 6.14211645715395
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -11650.973820092353
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3750:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0213135774560653, b_new = -1.3381280530015571, c_new = 6.115107394075872
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3013.604428258172
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3751:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.875262076115806, b_new = -2.077407046887653, c_new = 5.711632572216599
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5475.705342893936
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3752:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1910513207485267, b_new = -0.7408983987782098, c_new = 6.7707528686636085
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12069.614155203439
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3753:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8824661904398323, b_new = -1.8051996044365124, c_new = 5.333809504514052
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4834.554041538928
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3754:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1847793390898804, b_new = -1.4186535430354648, c_new = 5.825908196686762
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13178.45141305494
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3755:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.377796098308369, b_new = -0.9803868276875455, c_new = 5.814538030519358
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8568.427166147969
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3756:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3091648993463783, b_new = -1.3108387124873078, c_new = 5.797032665308348
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12224.095882137157
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3757:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3424292168381724, b_new = -1.8883086098928172, c_new = 5.710027879984776
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5379.271431199082
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3758:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9001451803006155, b_new = -1.3570329943930892, c_new = 6.217488855904682
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3631.056333815162
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3759:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0067718160968764, b_new = -2.1819903138045307, c_new = 5.860471231618586
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3679.0687005530117
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3760:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.613835864124462, b_new = -1.6919832688063121, c_new = 5.640521017126887
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10408.635397772196
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3761:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6110970190681835, b_new = -1.7628366472324275, c_new = 5.94871692228723
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9754.140330276643
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3762:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8359208027519407, b_new = -1.587673779444857, c_new = 5.639614214247568
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5067.683380335626
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3763:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3909348191753974, b_new = -1.130323963986851, c_new = 5.382212037262646
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8256.429154206653
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3764:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1411727524363258, b_new = -2.195784368012928, c_new = 6.026465531064886
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -14193.018437028972
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3765:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5880621789380225, b_new = -2.127650813475403, c_new = 5.337510934875733
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9198.340897198272
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3766:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6765787766507234, b_new = -0.8050645749876302, c_new = 5.989865243247391
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -6127.2185800041625
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3767:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3929873252469633, b_new = -1.55428675919667, c_new = 4.9758982794808935
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -7011.735874559803
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3768:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.704908154754175, b_new = -1.2737670781443582, c_new = 5.161470625455451
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -7068.401770783254
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3769:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.153173887045984, b_new = -1.3713077430549747, c_new = 5.131608193861633
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13480.25780793302
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3770:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.05444463181981, b_new = -1.5382317001461359, c_new = 6.121357139186843
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3014.0135364392786
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3771:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.267194821302206, b_new = -1.191884381835509, c_new = 6.477500884885416
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5877.314594989541
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3772:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1400076181814853, b_new = -2.096636878923367, c_new = 5.846840747841773
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3044.9031007585386
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3773:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6578550769369693, b_new = -0.6254286353635766, c_new = 5.419330011861689
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12414.608648883903
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3774:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.973210861818995, b_new = -2.2141519061519483, c_new = 4.762916478414552
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4410.53901056673
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3775:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.37055150748719, b_new = -1.9849205169969115, c_new = 5.634272996968008
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12753.860803258282
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3776:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7955550300655074, b_new = -1.3084208635022725, c_new = 6.083463423007277
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -14702.030893142019
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3777:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.727147618167666, b_new = -1.4289477286607901, c_new = 5.943111667956157
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -6728.891931947623
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3778:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7504328435568115, b_new = -1.2385268168841876, c_new = 5.965250851636033
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12399.54445263692
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3779:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9665007184565986, b_new = -1.5714422633877834, c_new = 5.844049530459986
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3343.1282389704797
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3780:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5165503079016363, b_new = -0.936939745656248, c_new = 5.779140656402825
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9395.820885653548
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3781:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2227391807350276, b_new = -2.1529086544855476, c_new = 5.912527988264238
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3388.8923809850376
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3782:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6704252309500998, b_new = -1.618958237679532, c_new = 5.321934071222598
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8640.979453056338
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3783:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.856662793991666, b_new = -2.159313552601188, c_new = 6.51284794501856
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5771.025872490133
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3784:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7201978212740423, b_new = -2.124833526225172, c_new = 6.1762049470945675
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8694.17377513818
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3785:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7151464718351126, b_new = -1.1591261675635776, c_new = 4.934612337651476
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -6626.90504203891
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3786:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.589331906160244, b_new = -1.804729707315567, c_new = 5.490005503009171
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10314.403173188488
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3787:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.113840216117396, b_new = -0.4186337945402909, c_new = 5.5163458473547395
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4565.521468573916
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3788:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.116618100845941, b_new = -1.6377974269257263, c_new = 5.776728992857066
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3114.8773095294496
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3789:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5903372125367525, b_new = -1.410535481326127, c_new = 4.829962738066925
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10402.814878638044
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3790:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9421857319010063, b_new = -1.6547719904539888, c_new = 5.927876507013792
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3631.0968832856424
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3791:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6375166649683006, b_new = -1.0059979395606446, c_new = 5.243490741105002
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -7693.505874737639
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3792:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.396697079251108, b_new = -1.4900884074913463, c_new = 6.152789793248056
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -7701.0497827451545
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3793:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5921012979067113, b_new = -1.5092048098572872, c_new = 4.975674565353955
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9822.51740982326
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3794:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8598919416586894, b_new = -0.9477083243564047, c_new = 6.653542986349421
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3488.541205581768
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3795:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.385415773695554, b_new = -1.6276887635743618, c_new = 5.833577264213958
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -6968.931386419656
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3796:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6916103740873933, b_new = -1.9242128072812237, c_new = 5.791728435571949
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8859.342619603121
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3797:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226087806730062, b_new = -1.0198185770585306, c_new = 6.334139019415444
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5440.086559893244
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3798:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7508108917286553, b_new = -0.9840914069300548, c_new = 5.120979855921538
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12509.168412938066
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3799:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.543804063421073, b_new = -1.2675643720579255, c_new = 5.349296856547026
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10290.903225112046
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3800:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4676925189850705, b_new = -1.105447303773576, c_new = 5.73798735621414
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9752.374507561071
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3801:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.723431062749493, b_new = -2.2010526401218717, c_new = 5.640020051132186
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10683.855352263985
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3802:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.776182092870247, b_new = -1.3225766182675778, c_new = 5.876577091370614
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5480.827763311405
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3803:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5005000624805973, b_new = -0.9392816323415352, c_new = 5.896688940579338
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10575.149587049713
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3804:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.689987132885126, b_new = -1.5863351592448571, c_new = 6.1898896742568015
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -7832.193461709026
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3805:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4290928473818028, b_new = -2.1699735737685777, c_new = 6.1466044041143055
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12432.323353986565
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3806:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.710686416215892, b_new = -1.9349619989317162, c_new = 6.082695951602752
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8403.493501072533
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3807:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4878500771453638, b_new = -1.706615543120018, c_new = 5.522276961851004
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8640.46541137133
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3808:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.317971348297472, b_new = -1.7981449863254337, c_new = 5.312357580767487
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5020.181389466911
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3809:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.347998889567288, b_new = -0.9814149636458549, c_new = 4.751254649628827
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -7537.235988814507
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3810:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.49242542289414, b_new = -1.7074243597070495, c_new = 5.529251151441099
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -11282.264530099537
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3811:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2449173675353924, b_new = -1.916607039752785, c_new = 5.246844533908347
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3761.894413902189
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3812:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.404290456423754, b_new = -1.9793940188675203, c_new = 6.110531031598958
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -6529.745162987832
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3813:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7843768708212466, b_new = -1.3052965153645748, c_new = 5.266716952802018
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12359.630580720986
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3814:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.309857752375648, b_new = -1.1651299121368426, c_new = 5.67330050193436
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12046.884664151688
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3815:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8261228175338076, b_new = -1.8727641908578763, c_new = 5.717321784455483
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5931.56444480913
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3816:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2053028760669076, b_new = -2.355187678722508, c_new = 5.148059359444287
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3136.1876631678742
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3817:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.658869653308659, b_new = -1.7775306499743546, c_new = 5.085088237559504
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10574.658869883937
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3818:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.730653723186995, b_new = -1.6300423623449725, c_new = 6.168194423654839
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -7118.987528178122
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3819:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.002225470128104, b_new = -1.08715078949363, c_new = 5.124985306628457
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13827.920272948835
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3820:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.173789250951315, b_new = -1.4444525115050517, c_new = 5.663914668994102
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13313.799905726086
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3821:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7870825233699077, b_new = -1.691343102406958, c_new = 5.644776830964452
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -6287.4226252835815
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3822:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.354675706031391, b_new = -1.549823518054887, c_new = 6.241764202382248
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12088.784448135746
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3823:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7967686667291423, b_new = -0.7049354132971769, c_new = 6.082205328106683
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3917.518085195322
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3824:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.92350838562739, b_new = -1.2642554630787906, c_new = 5.509137967307067
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3419.2884434187868
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3825:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5073039675542446, b_new = -1.777128716180375, c_new = 5.670214317104469
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8849.196454870009
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3826:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.29210988959514, b_new = -0.30554826382153677, c_new = 5.604887349987515
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -15630.031863929558
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3827:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.126117555190975, b_new = -1.8404873878643355, c_new = 5.8303577112548375
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13950.20211162233
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3828:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.859339512594046, b_new = -1.5880031300210333, c_new = 6.260871051296865
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -14676.423319232532
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3829:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0143298837943617, b_new = -1.3302973873996553, c_new = 5.981663061554669
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3016.8937267959673
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3830:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7758216952014774, b_new = -1.3742971341835464, c_new = 6.223055036641805
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5502.241336477775
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3831:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.47017670389019, b_new = -1.2347052476681553, c_new = 6.104010961779911
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9636.493335275205
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3832:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6467710553665507, b_new = -1.3774080460918632, c_new = 5.457152549013554
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8403.083044249746
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3833:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.210904067674444, b_new = -1.5626527184391605, c_new = 5.639269212593373
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3931.7228139601866
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3834:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9112223453636648, b_new = -0.963018889613201, c_new = 5.712620477496957
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3225.7234167544316
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3835:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4761698736352225, b_new = -1.7424507653374839, c_new = 6.269825359519898
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -11279.55996600169
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3836:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.708917776631665, b_new = -1.3430607653342175, c_new = 6.630705820307873
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12134.91849733104
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3837:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.809176948870007, b_new = -1.5605929286791689, c_new = 6.226939650728253
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5311.74165105261
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3838:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.421951072628846, b_new = -0.9313805505315925, c_new = 5.9738264079818295
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9534.927389466795
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3839:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3078804934734665, b_new = -0.9410160160638396, c_new = 5.777017880226477
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -7190.097031318212
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3840:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.410050851869564, b_new = -2.1093391417973715, c_new = 5.7814499593251005
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -6202.632539773498
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3841:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0899919131718767, b_new = -1.2876896493952035, c_new = 6.183354552185566
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3233.2961593885684
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3842:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8052282322999553, b_new = -2.2727872346291673, c_new = 4.489434234838411
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8062.649039534961
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3843:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2068849180918115, b_new = -0.7621527584574926, c_new = 5.760054839344153
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5507.145938275209
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3844:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.551593076136732, b_new = -0.8636145645147032, c_new = 4.270582411512436
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9236.40340947634
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3845:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.757127886984086, b_new = -0.8982103400394311, c_new = 5.698284443624169
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4920.208853213597
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3846:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3989863124476627, b_new = -2.3207555766975654, c_new = 5.70269667561154
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12993.790486914224
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3847:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.726583238521507, b_new = -1.7154739223345672, c_new = 5.725013619330452
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -7614.124750899282
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3848:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5974360346271683, b_new = -0.3310160616105864, c_new = 5.088827579587135
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12277.012077300535
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9961417948211126, b_new = -1.8232560877041841, c_new = 4.917230995625176
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3506.31154696267
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.50134902963497, b_new = -0.8976457662534792, c_new = 6.363991458229775
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10821.975031541277
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8681849460878484, b_new = -2.791732170476279, c_new = 6.258506127547927
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -7417.957386284344
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2900201091499675, b_new = -1.040284937416126, c_new = 4.799285262804374
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12267.600855199944
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6216357416367067, b_new = -0.8641888196868993, c_new = 5.847635305062364
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -7419.833901278154
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8019452483436167, b_new = -1.6053117042436942, c_new = 5.858428929716929
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5680.48980017133
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5426072447112307, b_new = -1.0393697791716496, c_new = 4.81914149328419
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9567.01553346831
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2432426991728853, b_new = -1.8147173087154616, c_new = 5.111166425043719
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13498.29001486543
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6323153055243464, b_new = -1.2629274050616552, c_new = 5.533043898063696
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8350.135412264342
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.40180066178636, b_new = -1.0401587376502384, c_new = 5.021766998526027
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8562.680912464228
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0353422479496004, b_new = -1.109398853024141, c_new = 5.184703185316288
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3035.752830615801
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0055837529183242, b_new = -0.6324346987128316, c_new = 5.35494055487205
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3156.132617805577
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0636683457096394, b_new = -2.301216136531588, c_new = 5.807706345712186
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3340.0873591198692
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0415824755962926, b_new = -1.0572551131511074, c_new = 5.526609540143812
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3087.7545209657724
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.124649725408914, b_new = -1.6379543527599305, c_new = 5.529945058684384
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3133.4873927877516
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.914524321564398, b_new = -1.2644862880722498, c_new = 5.612884541099756
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3480.4589218506917
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.365772533947389, b_new = -2.683007654359827, c_new = 5.847141237250922
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -14039.161411501875
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.850485377159282, b_new = -1.3854340487521328, c_new = 6.304295375772813
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4253.329187368161
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1072174478029098, b_new = -2.068522615183765, c_new = 4.787061022030311
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -14511.448265641136
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4276983424049434, b_new = -1.6406614118850242, c_new = 5.901898411408041
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -7831.053152824242
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8221976717483286, b_new = -2.313279667491594, c_new = 5.37391451908965
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -7406.885288517997
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5328021044436424, b_new = -2.054840524940764, c_new = 6.09752568954574
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8777.392266052464
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7357995601291036, b_new = -1.3330386800639797, c_new = 7.001019484900279
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12461.05461655451
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.961772724091045, b_new = -1.6466076549750217, c_new = 6.286074095604819
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3394.404515884696
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2565258434458184, b_new = -0.33387220044809207, c_new = 5.503493138197516
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -7710.153252101416
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226144569661215, b_new = -1.3231529556058192, c_new = 5.89137685067223
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4625.063308264029
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8806838206921777, b_new = -1.1932057241039222, c_new = 6.6392354198441215
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3565.27245498447
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3879324246866394, b_new = -1.856817219190335, c_new = 5.676282726811446
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12433.815712941398
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2206292166390016, b_new = -1.2280676139924653, c_new = 6.489979857447216
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4906.381071927223
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1230584652928868, b_new = -1.3514442692943038, c_new = 5.207177867271285
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13598.759482923388
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6023266883251432, b_new = -1.6816569913916042, c_new = 6.1919784765096315
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9617.540634947967
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7642255752229343, b_new = -1.1185933529435823, c_new = 5.619713421148445
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5304.490928646787
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9433092837728343, b_new = -1.0853027479793795, c_new = 5.358680681764244
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3161.8944772672767
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1878581478878534, b_new = -1.037821486413797, c_new = 6.240071351708037
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4688.027110704873
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6569103710967448, b_new = -1.5309028428033977, c_new = 4.419463000316298
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9025.78102238225
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9463422115297264, b_new = -1.13864522926802, c_new = 6.155541535494364
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13983.13096621927
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.166842714595392, b_new = -1.5495309286630516, c_new = 6.089905998201146
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3555.5719510007657
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2993515486128313, b_new = -1.1175807805032725, c_new = 5.807582232011476
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -6516.556271819116
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8155518221775995, b_new = -1.2366718077353616, c_new = 5.323531257028924
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4749.943413662185
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7511747391701546, b_new = -1.4755963098817557, c_new = 6.528768675290669
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12239.5062312828
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.608149374923178, b_new = -1.60736043941198, c_new = 5.613729243880504
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9570.030073494341
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0664064157655546, b_new = -2.063854827924292, c_new = 5.963263890564734
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3130.591284360927
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.812467325306437, b_new = -1.8422884551174945, c_new = 6.2166997626508005
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12102.168423259485
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7505682073622726, b_new = -2.7710130044574175, c_new = 5.528911702049104
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10024.660124790851
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5609493642154213, b_new = -2.0022448620707274, c_new = 5.08051206858447
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8992.374681584006
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6164206005824293, b_new = -1.2997278777736043, c_new = 5.939239445310082
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8581.15432539794
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.187924709210164, b_new = -2.1546760655332626, c_new = 5.698945734732142
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3163.2368191610735
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.809584231823569, b_new = -2.2787514630027235, c_new = 5.6164734716796865
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -11320.893714830769
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6026574851429567, b_new = -2.1594494056947626, c_new = 5.860014749708888
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9487.78106182849
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.02383957200338, b_new = -2.265033403466787, c_new = 5.456059311037872
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12752.039025876484
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9254947701468077, b_new = -1.2124603740741133, c_new = 6.131271608584187
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13563.765371737301
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6768552514145445, b_new = -1.8616428685208275, c_new = 6.044267220692252
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8869.808506179166
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9306798136653485, b_new = -1.1508627844774881, c_new = 5.439938954068759
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3272.473846851008
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4378045553559002, b_new = -1.3377854749493059, c_new = 6.350833599820599
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10949.778207219446
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.933600685749569, b_new = -1.5886237568606651, c_new = 5.890822021351734
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3639.425538858134
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6956262091842373, b_new = -0.7880493833912309, c_new = 5.161869123109169
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5977.897626416212
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0070560434386877, b_new = -2.2392591855819886, c_new = 5.552665471668358
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3819.1802517061806
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.123342919066777, b_new = -0.8576387456740117, c_new = 5.096802845974724
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3830.4030677830006
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.871643536957594, b_new = -1.8731666734865255, c_new = 5.0476720518526665
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12173.832503612588
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2759271297143027, b_new = -2.0480467697305893, c_new = 6.718838761382263
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4228.213170414666
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9713243998124628, b_new = -1.5210934697997558, c_new = 5.5638220175621695
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3298.5576390516967
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.235038044880521, b_new = -1.9546132205578135, c_new = 4.8953403931624235
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3571.095039697579
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.929826334082582, b_new = -0.8944390180695403, c_new = 6.20776650800797
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3083.5735557032885
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.324339476221081, b_new = -2.221306422191592, c_new = 5.568412483142621
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13388.119350855419
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.717363982027677, b_new = -1.2704214507125702, c_new = 6.191101700082363
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12176.141631791303
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.871342721490624, b_new = -1.4984272135480647, c_new = 5.6068377521329
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4321.551842889573
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0013543337200783, b_new = -1.5314016984743883, c_new = 5.838247707418383
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3116.8030613256697
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.451545496611317, b_new = -1.8145799143617733, c_new = 6.1260504835902445
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -7929.600111771322
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3068685570150924, b_new = -2.142529638988098, c_new = 5.448242001885141
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4226.8833122433
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.015522619875626, b_new = -1.5333627810679418, c_new = 5.9265589921696735
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13624.323670100854
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.598783934189561, b_new = -1.355583111011324, c_new = 5.658967116268929
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9119.045082370212
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.43833643078744, b_new = -2.1598864947564596, c_new = 5.917485313133169
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12412.197637408273
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.133126467062751, b_new = -1.3500714914850407, c_new = 5.300278400660574
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3370.0670284893185
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.894379116200052, b_new = -1.4821157384911807, c_new = 6.576848404167703
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13192.6768954323
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.478479805826102, b_new = -1.2259414954684764, c_new = 5.867232779592904
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9693.480856604578
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.468879137260051, b_new = -1.7457548758824135, c_new = 6.2430379059564425
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -11368.810369166242
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6869076647708567, b_new = -2.1226259991607477, c_new = 5.202526214866788
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9691.03535088224
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1360287779939604, b_new = -1.5613115251948673, c_new = 6.618450494905
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13417.431990512961
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0881294403506643, b_new = -1.3383489990695163, c_new = 5.055949340984868
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3102.316963078495
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2806023510827242, b_new = -1.5754173727169747, c_new = 5.373605532928135
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4864.741783805526
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0533655789298164, b_new = -1.8473391283764697, c_new = 4.785159891591169
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3170.3331964676563
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3588382379729174, b_new = -2.2511375416750994, c_new = 5.203333969870815
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4757.125034356492
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.292482736720129, b_new = -1.3971045194777074, c_new = 5.753911582305156
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12475.862474233814
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3198243336730835, b_new = -1.956641061977412, c_new = 5.89042366654486
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12989.609370968177
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.817548666211093, b_new = -1.6942115294986686, c_new = 6.070768683145804
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12294.952305711606
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2480810433608154, b_new = -0.9478493869043076, c_new = 6.177433243302162
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -6017.925237746031
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.446353666052555, b_new = -1.3100965707039236, c_new = 6.513825628318115
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9240.855058287203
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2559973789055343, b_new = -2.1973925710380975, c_new = 6.774389639085079
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3765.4210846064057
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.740155671498828, b_new = -1.126402584151066, c_new = 5.372650539757867
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12314.085232445323
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0499306269971616, b_new = -2.2876587642858928, c_new = 5.1619693221412595
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3537.894254392865
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7870297836231783, b_new = -1.1943059734820538, c_new = 4.966164052828308
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5262.190230897594
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5813954221142463, b_new = -1.7769130088192941, c_new = 4.553757465313735
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -9555.669153760025
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.253520045949751, b_new = -0.8414748522530722, c_new = 5.856000497518278
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -6305.925800046865
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0378042080382253, b_new = -2.842824375702865, c_new = 5.740668387531633
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -15235.924119982912
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3526847072985326, b_new = -1.9975284849863861, c_new = 5.696149543359295
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12877.775212772063
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.378180321761883, b_new = -2.310314123016237, c_new = 5.190888808737566
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4957.663606900791
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4221726162977557, b_new = -1.60486166451199, c_new = 6.478151426273178
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8035.950245661447
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2768821473555096, b_new = -1.1908396817991005, c_new = 5.675748108997483
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5791.018113773367
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.411880682879758, b_new = -1.045599550376835, c_new = 4.748028016031855
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -11209.248964422746
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.492053023542491, b_new = -0.3358586149962113, c_new = 5.537604643779545
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -11464.37203483787
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8020052243800275, b_new = -1.0263701736863204, c_new = 5.723260961182863
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -14522.393785941527
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.982258674112585, b_new = -1.9618609401958005, c_new = 6.003585855616533
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3610.970236634592
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.844695443720479, b_new = -1.8479646917664059, c_new = 5.2249405058194025
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12065.875152541508
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4793280524352, b_new = -0.7250846513330654, c_new = 5.381431696219748
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10560.038488302725
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.654778312053161, b_new = -1.6967023348299861, c_new = 6.000076475762734
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10929.270233404703
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6396869435864283, b_new = -1.298892701397489, c_new = 5.587872958596156
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8283.946216356928
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.92893655745429, b_new = -1.7291583750351474, c_new = 4.993772759264114
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4084.7133887089094
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9756977948723, b_new = -1.1069847088634672, c_new = 4.939177342229067
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3071.303511195446
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.201539935555057, b_new = -1.4607771718439297, c_new = 6.05032846893629
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4057.7186071675856
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6829801728541933, b_new = -1.9409947885401793, c_new = 5.6949102004144345
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10720.572797281171
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4848328585341974, b_new = -1.1970079823090305, c_new = 5.534777073172098
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10409.664816925397
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.90464175846304, b_new = -1.8124342586235864, c_new = 5.130115295650327
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4549.511109929948
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7067123926742735, b_new = -1.7357913449007378, c_new = 5.948241007804967
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -7993.026801566002
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.570912972867498, b_new = -1.689936852654408, c_new = 5.999545257103718
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10142.910126489945
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.786761400203991, b_new = -1.6783486464046287, c_new = 6.010552916660444
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12080.128466273754
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.962335953781098, b_new = -2.129384440867459, c_new = 5.474750362471598
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4212.976298421205
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4206976718819333, b_new = -2.445202219780494, c_new = 5.567734857440129
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13052.995811970812
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.085246764651659, b_new = -0.8492464226416448, c_new = 5.919169193457317
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3596.728243732211
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2907153290958844, b_new = -1.4345775282805355, c_new = 6.2951735851559425
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12393.732958058446
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1238016142995155, b_new = -2.109574611171224, c_new = 4.580145915470592
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3094.776025575464
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1895412372914373, b_new = -1.1261157693543835, c_new = 6.374572980984931
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12657.57751554082
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.452487613097353, b_new = -1.316754386775169, c_new = 6.4797538935678425
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10712.374162747768
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9045538359208516, b_new = -1.6000069610926764, c_new = 5.035339071407561
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -14794.510522923636
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2666884576168083, b_new = -1.584726395943284, c_new = 5.690981978359539
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12911.89085903762
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.355880749551085, b_new = -1.14549572191539, c_new = 5.3999126259853725
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -7500.5670690950465
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.682670005358805, b_new = -1.0904541072213831, c_new = 5.832611239724604
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12061.159981616987
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.121307919131399, b_new = -1.3840312699618658, c_new = 5.81944893355045
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3315.2435439833553
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6152626600727684, b_new = -0.5758202067342808, c_new = 5.2242220741058505
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12098.318099796536
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5818181224797128, b_new = -1.5023383342271772, c_new = 6.156276068986519
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10550.176897558247
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5711276298568646, b_new = -1.222588046019953, c_new = 6.534812119521389
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -11051.550673460182
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.686243687163204, b_new = -1.0720615200878536, c_new = 5.112436721206714
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -6929.17675181057
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1692408864789616, b_new = -1.8864719974136557, c_new = 5.794163212902197
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3229.6555298453504
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.940241679718916, b_new = -1.3035692019392497, c_new = 5.8933871223350485
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3286.2804278242074
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.497931577201877, b_new = -1.1255730448010068, c_new = 5.73917317569725
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10040.710770445883
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0322943853923703, b_new = -1.862193763269914, c_new = 6.157061550380421
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3143.9262750058447
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7498463381418357, b_new = -1.4629508738979895, c_new = 6.254011497761268
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12169.394926528857
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.648398065932146, b_new = -1.1213817731242819, c_new = 5.5189783870509395
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -11639.510217167975
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0629022944920012, b_new = -1.287128516544275, c_new = 5.88079096290406
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3082.155804075616
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.641889380489367, b_new = -0.9000873059957192, c_new = 4.897370266583796
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -11739.638414530717
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.417489007676489, b_new = -1.018591543459014, c_new = 6.437643660156952
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -10581.07777136597
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.020238723735524, b_new = -1.3882231124101363, c_new = 5.2499529608788835
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3036.6541740149237
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.750966821743326, b_new = -1.0149024732170195, c_new = 5.10338542401103
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5471.775591965494
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9742689625600103, b_new = -1.6404757825468061, c_new = 5.563917047875448
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3388.265123226931
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.677113892226448, b_new = -1.7243714262853582, c_new = 5.34927545760868
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -8781.880702533736
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.054581943566725, b_new = -1.2314514389146862, c_new = 5.731417919509707
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3069.4877052840707
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9975318483795146, b_new = -2.549030773725507, c_new = 4.32602046555626
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12017.023640955493
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.880682134920836, b_new = -2.0435489418264643, c_new = 5.6249528186933455
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12163.910263080801
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.245971082797821, b_new = -1.70364081627199, c_new = 5.582072951534743
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13220.184601464336
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.234620391459943, b_new = -1.88653504396886, c_new = 5.5907377861959
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13504.877454466714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.065609089214458, b_new = -1.3574733111288693, c_new = 5.533488615574267
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3047.4208094569212
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 3999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3836755763763953, b_new = -1.6509508808882478, c_new = 4.723135033880034
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -12449.834333339368
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 4000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.957645769967436, b_new = -2.6717407546455854, c_new = 5.306302284905733
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -5525.787247417036
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 4001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0418293358776216, b_new = -0.35261062929155784, c_new = 4.735816876129095
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -13036.046121791242
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 4002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.855439658958608, b_new = -1.6365147114562701, c_new = 5.971404653100111
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -4741.720963332897
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 4003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.01055612800156, b_new = -1.1390554704853764, c_new = 5.4288657948967876
Current likelihood: -3013.032539153163
Proposed likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.051879868337377, b = -1.5292598175123686, c = 5.749941526981942
Iteration 4004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.399225982499885, b_new = -1.55109350221632, c_new = 4.6570820029984965
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12192.015995091897
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8413591463961159, b_new = -1.1979868260835138, c_new = 5.959248469634122
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14477.362656928442
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3294683796459417, b_new = -1.683387885332032, c_new = 5.362401903387817
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5509.139486968632
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6524883829436523, b_new = -1.837040372694072, c_new = 4.71918990539144
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9751.69737755982
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.151818943658004, b_new = -1.259027847496592, c_new = 5.063578241223448
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3595.361788091195
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7518705246830364, b_new = -0.9101612320621668, c_new = 5.170623025505577
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5189.537099625838
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.285949127309938, b_new = -1.290909096166354, c_new = 5.970663408997305
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5822.039976422035
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5190297545199174, b_new = -1.2942585155474102, c_new = 6.589523935987981
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10347.23322269316
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9686682989049413, b_new = -1.548082277196574, c_new = 6.241453631973747
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3263.29004821234
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1379942220259247, b_new = -1.312938496938923, c_new = 4.971201699185603
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13537.163517185947
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8558832434136274, b_new = -1.085398209901679, c_new = 5.302610529558552
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3908.494230689438
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.428277109519899, b_new = -0.9842052489715168, c_new = 5.2174264354020075
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9234.350822245095
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5928939421930535, b_new = -0.2792407252831628, c_new = 5.784332919548982
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6541.469387819594
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2240010069926015, b_new = -2.107271829893673, c_new = 4.951712520614389
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3349.4409385945464
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.992106936138066, b_new = -0.7521430546054861, c_new = 4.659127825953793
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3025.1594072204034
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9218547741351335, b_new = -1.154331457358938, c_new = 5.292094599132241
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3353.581957043004
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5272457496460308, b_new = -1.2180839853061367, c_new = 5.424609022857667
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9948.663895852947
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.256093910734057, b_new = -0.14644740125918654, c_new = 5.0938851752534795
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8082.50077448962
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.241106246154418, b_new = -0.5646791980281232, c_new = 5.506125223729746
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6680.707699972944
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.470858881374384, b_new = -1.663624068969706, c_new = 5.152670095419171
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11553.506154628683
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4323436983388245, b_new = -1.4507295348894749, c_new = 5.546190738108164
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11447.84126825271
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0403768255936736, b_new = -0.942782935650946, c_new = 4.968297378026932
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3100.383019920083
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2668033835509065, b_new = -1.3012656116555796, c_new = 6.18071487735777
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5483.721384643637
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8022318503823134, b_new = -1.5102727282519326, c_new = 5.9829153266512725
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12406.019971325495
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9121714112594836, b_new = -1.0582882499553299, c_new = 5.878406533953025
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3275.3306663469248
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.439344602201898, b_new = -0.722932127576646, c_new = 4.493244792297676
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10390.233281693723
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.84514074791098, b_new = -0.5101526631562526, c_new = 5.6570814922298425
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3311.0757568337935
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.524118590656409, b_new = -1.5944511270096262, c_new = 5.850851504844162
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9557.089003878811
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.523465607023021, b_new = -1.3527147833064144, c_new = 5.504185046677583
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9924.93812249144
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6450721202250493, b_new = -2.045289547214437, c_new = 5.811234792886888
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10187.588258783675
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0499152722135143, b_new = -0.3444954621860008, c_new = 4.985382585685693
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3725.5333082401035
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6978849478934617, b_new = -0.9308476902258391, c_new = 5.6910387093530375
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12362.695177333091
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.731368107893834, b_new = -1.377087644237421, c_new = 4.734954975231803
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6959.663861555241
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4161113471753604, b_new = -1.3268207911710994, c_new = 4.550389811039371
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7926.342930819599
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3342251623191888, b_new = -1.5621785391625804, c_new = 5.284036218378395
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5879.5543372875745
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.623103222021077, b_new = -1.5488398471800584, c_new = 5.406932734863551
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15583.350518990177
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7196323772702975, b_new = -1.337861209653612, c_new = 5.593559084154647
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11929.059738377644
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4636773192576524, b_new = -1.3970214531754193, c_new = 6.116765800057275
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9172.93940791073
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4043549620015185, b_new = -1.1154762331970298, c_new = 5.372839779471372
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8549.819347549961
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.946488250321211, b_new = -1.4082997399250385, c_new = 5.528847213925851
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3378.473410198943
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3750844054248166, b_new = -1.0888213465095657, c_new = 6.1428019102241755
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8353.746099900574
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4886850085454477, b_new = -0.9361829960170703, c_new = 4.849081950310468
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10075.964232372115
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.755674335635779, b_new = -1.5015316482243368, c_new = 4.541852067296315
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15315.243845382309
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.032361386639331, b_new = -1.781200222471583, c_new = 4.701159871380421
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13159.054644743655
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.157897877568826, b_new = -0.43742635081049175, c_new = 4.426003360753324
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4933.727904541802
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.297495351080897, b_new = -0.6932455396442823, c_new = 4.890129212556961
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7313.804927538781
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.199130111727418, b_new = -1.3862414365971316, c_new = 4.919715208119274
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3914.1176230182546
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0905339936161247, b_new = -0.539137175798256, c_new = 5.333876455206497
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3974.9722265520904
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0126507525597215, b_new = -0.9448647883496265, c_new = 4.607488835728557
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3019.1076035647593
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7218897806683784, b_new = -1.7968492559256113, c_new = 6.447739071547773
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11516.790161799841
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2680295948281035, b_new = -0.5498684476312883, c_new = 5.5936214619978815
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7365.76460743148
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.179532811184833, b_new = -1.6745125161987333, c_new = 5.567247495679124
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13569.898113208248
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.291202627382064, b_new = -0.60462477795276, c_new = 4.430131364047615
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7246.253990430754
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4075542159618757, b_new = -2.033095620977444, c_new = 6.777179297041046
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6694.607948971762
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0641044247375757, b_new = -0.6470689792166459, c_new = 6.423526207888088
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3750.3885190227984
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.880002407375467, b_new = -0.8594324775324033, c_new = 5.112992010984856
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3417.573448898833
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1398847568876467, b_new = -0.4722679123216734, c_new = 5.648661155517268
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4920.712904836916
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.688811764151329, b_new = -0.7753176924991199, c_new = 6.186690231611499
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12654.842465477746
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.627374076781792, b_new = -0.42605646218673665, c_new = 4.960585184894948
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6496.075895647866
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9464072205412104, b_new = -1.1614015698688844, c_new = 5.890855830849068
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3152.772388599245
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.480904619684997, b_new = -1.183878515001953, c_new = 6.098595780291541
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10251.441309092026
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.628330239004609, b_new = -0.9764047668572864, c_new = 5.673021186886589
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11733.81759299821
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.445005854469331, b_new = -1.8788723699477194, c_new = 6.257993981107424
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11816.112955276318
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.691445196342781, b_new = -1.4426893595136487, c_new = 5.713103459545912
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7596.863756024164
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6226322182770576, b_new = -1.4138272566807242, c_new = 4.641851602830666
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10680.996444903049
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5612037521677364, b_new = -0.09534393736645663, c_new = 5.1087082353250866
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6916.954235594655
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1100408871959666, b_new = -2.069992876274971, c_new = 5.371968146484655
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14359.602892736262
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.373034144291465, b_new = -0.7706715506813973, c_new = 5.731157247752643
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8997.463211784961
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.550704737016522, b_new = -1.0435189586963733, c_new = 4.666222030773199
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9511.835645328858
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.252535982235677, b_new = -1.5620090635828303, c_new = 6.334764153846914
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4689.6925781872205
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.873183622858255, b_new = -0.016454400127329682, c_new = 6.322574291940738
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3127.1842116267608
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3024634810161926, b_new = -1.439874681000924, c_new = 5.515953930431927
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12527.802140061696
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5101885813431037, b_new = -1.2182189101762728, c_new = 4.958947790366761
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9842.17574041479
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.520263830771747, b_new = -0.822235793590059, c_new = 5.35333640859723
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10837.908340050828
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8510375331281708, b_new = -1.3151149817564063, c_new = 5.230964979147061
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4374.228531524695
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.505434018717195, b_new = -1.68163916524257, c_new = 5.971198789356725
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9135.810112532099
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.530749071013918, b_new = -0.9218962053357956, c_new = 5.7690483498893075
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10906.91698769856
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.845543376316585, b_new = -0.4392319659369186, c_new = 5.164526275934431
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3296.1761381030883
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.369664841893622, b_new = -0.5200884252017416, c_new = 5.671132145637792
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9546.455249093045
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4949114445914518, b_new = -0.04945263461206095, c_new = 5.5387050103981315
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7867.5200641854435
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0850680130220596, b_new = -0.9479132222545635, c_new = 5.263722504873347
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3382.278200908341
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.943828605252848, b_new = -1.761539153635931, c_new = 5.74047424798114
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3791.794287536105
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9373916997206866, b_new = -0.8374578526741094, c_new = 5.606144509123766
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3060.838386541027
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.156630005615838, b_new = -1.0439873704208893, c_new = 4.4777203427075785
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3828.1721567632903
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.651055853499156, b_new = -0.7417771982524106, c_new = 5.008408409921113
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12079.304873573466
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5522382272745636, b_new = -0.7837133716145765, c_new = 5.776532957368752
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8508.859577183892
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3353484116561507, b_new = -1.7844946754979616, c_new = 5.468978120386062
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5414.806488362234
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831372455605907, b_new = -1.0923480558832477, c_new = 5.655023547140875
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4159.462995270112
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0264594184534195, b_new = -0.32826281906862664, c_new = 5.108306701906894
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3539.944209410396
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.046257688956465, b_new = -1.4249138678621112, c_new = 5.652513860489469
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13816.20556602383
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.900778206800482, b_new = -1.7091264012506902, c_new = 6.720867116388712
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4029.215694975124
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8247540488160343, b_new = -1.0237029762156946, c_new = 5.170291978813979
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4241.943200552956
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1971627103045064, b_new = -0.9995020818213683, c_new = 4.784546609376843
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4514.879308155919
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136742752747908, b_new = -1.2824246702590814, c_new = 5.4824297443504975
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3492.192324806043
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.075686171491711, b_new = -1.3733501550496041, c_new = 5.99385612539612
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3095.8249431576887
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8228066625264456, b_new = -0.4191538011876508, c_new = 6.280790553607084
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3344.138411825603
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.768393582695683, b_new = -1.5029378194217164, c_new = 5.073079992574129
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6385.893911802423
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7086350779845163, b_new = -1.2047476581787433, c_new = 5.630372241971385
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6628.459240037189
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.25344799304428, b_new = -1.2194186209737554, c_new = 4.783143681416864
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4992.4983372378865
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1400299509451295, b_new = -0.9108537287102834, c_new = 6.120774748530707
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4183.054070339107
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.21455167380859, b_new = -1.5922720081230701, c_new = 5.010045084729693
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3817.959902720773
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.942963575625362, b_new = -0.7388166564836397, c_new = 5.889097392174229
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3033.4432799047836
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7276906287942957, b_new = -1.2870026709011528, c_new = 5.744675882054546
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12104.9778710669
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.535951761660591, b_new = -0.4271775132054285, c_new = 5.442158584564444
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11706.528957896826
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4897810927370254, b_new = -1.1860627431275805, c_new = 5.238628954763828
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10425.466351289499
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9466070331803347, b_new = -1.7023386430768004, c_new = 6.274471448057062
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3589.31472393123
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.444623719540286, b_new = -1.2445180577107606, c_new = 4.942239173378973
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8794.292353351448
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0948323127654143, b_new = -0.5835401133882033, c_new = 4.56941364782628
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3798.362425787414
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.866489813434693, b_new = -1.2718609913108427, c_new = 4.993171040096788
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4137.385598401213
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8110165560279645, b_new = -1.974140352295132, c_new = 5.477283175998048
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6622.621340758308
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2691599296470755, b_new = -1.0015037984320974, c_new = 4.866903449922184
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5840.964883697848
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4474359536706625, b_new = -1.4652506624918828, c_new = 6.09259567413328
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11149.998386155112
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6396647804891806, b_new = -1.1501382176900095, c_new = 5.332980137461182
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7995.003231587266
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6919343819847095, b_new = -1.4666166741645357, c_new = 4.320875444077332
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8212.875814251634
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5977730772200707, b_new = -0.32355747204591034, c_new = 4.390939711727086
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14913.976413587636
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5530602785265657, b_new = -0.47701279423739407, c_new = 5.148348878749607
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11691.585021078054
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.554434301127371, b_new = -1.261561413657833, c_new = 5.705426060626594
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9568.998093615905
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.210110327179161, b_new = -1.5806901236061268, c_new = 5.417394437696651
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13328.846198700447
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3791648277453055, b_new = -1.481246297862533, c_new = 5.729887123117378
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7195.409532261144
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.996548325138575, b_new = -0.33219707644819163, c_new = 4.980673920321601
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3286.5301971959
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.553259882256697, b_new = -0.957337491443074, c_new = 5.764087090036408
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8896.30901260433
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8495345831963106, b_new = -1.1488614222791962, c_new = 5.832601818921603
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13128.177555646475
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.717424178349405, b_new = -1.23932121763865, c_new = 5.175003980017846
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6705.924015217515
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.213713416511598, b_new = -1.1030137997899374, c_new = 5.104051875486574
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12799.610071636569
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.574695440896426, b_new = -1.3640086187787552, c_new = 6.676062234640293
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9165.052522361535
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.192513276639562, b_new = -0.35525123856129803, c_new = 5.159160764819377
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6062.991690694899
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.416106165965807, b_new = -0.8223339429093478, c_new = 5.329320447099988
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10579.84038729576
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3360565840307803, b_new = -1.114919144681173, c_new = 5.814305812789751
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7324.751372420524
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9242281875605323, b_new = -1.1767564911103194, c_new = 5.707052345643174
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3308.5134815535757
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.971101182218588, b_new = -0.20219596291155262, c_new = 5.391547524674312
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3292.2519828143522
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.899394728245379, b_new = -1.620248608015175, c_new = 5.047085782183854
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4282.398979253503
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4290884598184967, b_new = -0.38147908761968874, c_new = 5.2925448309391285
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10586.734414276365
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1628912455954805, b_new = -1.461933130429856, c_new = 4.768613569046878
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3434.633915805226
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1554194679218344, b_new = -0.35737550094873616, c_new = 5.283493412275061
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5350.85665155026
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7605355406046423, b_new = -1.1812078560471935, c_new = 4.570103695121554
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5879.71924119811
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3058242455540037, b_new = -1.3745188653998546, c_new = 6.335836630250894
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6150.853223949364
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8644729766187473, b_new = -0.08689064568108806, c_new = 5.795609715092493
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3081.689645398009
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2828054415771, b_new = -0.3750642727169752, c_new = 5.326138341540504
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8096.243776379018
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1261817805802483, b_new = -1.466365609167231, c_new = 4.454471525363955
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13899.504649640345
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3299821056108874, b_new = -1.8086466740837652, c_new = 5.735977733364714
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5337.352357960587
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5772089483274048, b_new = -1.5085821372266397, c_new = 5.376442946057934
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10245.953120996435
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.281958178196078, b_new = -1.3586280297260296, c_new = 5.507972610868743
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12565.180457382841
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3579374400256787, b_new = -0.9642002719917149, c_new = 4.521680079118393
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7705.5530990707375
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.157702333953694, b_new = -0.7093970188782929, c_new = 5.91731687075758
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12462.26042970378
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.263267936974525, b_new = -1.1451452235990218, c_new = 5.385199633779589
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5533.0570197900115
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.419485925192041, b_new = -0.9658721733215823, c_new = 4.843730568505624
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8996.3030365898
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.489483721598325, b_new = -1.3049306731630606, c_new = 5.652805304288447
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9608.500409897522
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1061429712893154, b_new = -1.271304446990997, c_new = 4.241323591098609
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3168.175247515464
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.172767317572397, b_new = -0.6591002030432964, c_new = 4.889916709546836
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4843.255414970412
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.085322086415415, b_new = -1.2279613944304382, c_new = 5.21864901274954
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13654.077201051763
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5285356577935167, b_new = -1.8425372460885083, c_new = 4.793974265261833
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8753.994759917343
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.267070565052657, b_new = -0.5326356173493715, c_new = 5.667601488355381
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7426.535211177849
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.214924089673458, b_new = -1.8701449988392593, c_new = 5.735836237177438
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3586.3483071915994
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5456033848693376, b_new = -0.7536041831140187, c_new = 6.050694506890071
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8458.150435526792
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.257821996785113, b_new = -0.4189244600118357, c_new = 4.754581905407064
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7172.116339812431
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5211811132964037, b_new = -1.3057072654428166, c_new = 4.43965022364903
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9649.672685892174
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.452461773462022, b_new = -1.6212852369418997, c_new = 5.00794962916555
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11710.329953514745
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.691192436357106, b_new = -1.4121207409768057, c_new = 6.775823783007016
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7127.1799480337195
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.247927561117021, b_new = -0.05140611405807838, c_new = 4.66517090789526
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7997.746791986848
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5450129732757425, b_new = -1.6054318400807641, c_new = 5.827668865548697
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9809.608449536485
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.63754878993754, b_new = -1.1758347323132603, c_new = 4.845579721876901
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8289.021246789285
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.306442636486258, b_new = -1.3697904476486373, c_new = 4.8440249003953
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12592.451941898498
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.700600283703099, b_new = -0.6200538572694261, c_new = 5.191670733012955
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5464.865375277221
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.031254909766449, b_new = -1.0341915722947037, c_new = 4.933672982277799
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13967.272083363594
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.420882668585122, b_new = 0.20050861792690133, c_new = 6.2945011844184275
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8286.396463046924
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.708826191984617, b_new = -1.2297706016228314, c_new = 5.444573602532596
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6759.673546657669
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.526965297656397, b_new = -0.9812856046334688, c_new = 5.07501623537184
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9577.299932089958
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3936096680394425, b_new = -0.9709131224307768, c_new = 5.148729762787124
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8635.307143411568
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3369372874971783, b_new = -1.3317366506151675, c_new = 5.6191737935231565
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12088.377233690415
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.894047240156696, b_new = -0.7605868560806957, c_new = 6.021995804324189
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3171.1125357203664
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7308625620012545, b_new = -1.7975007335397581, c_new = 5.051601963908803
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11206.074978923392
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.664086313020362, b_new = -1.4491486429054343, c_new = 5.442509095262959
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11250.320733039614
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.256060585789296, b_new = -2.104065338284477, c_new = 5.30387432076014
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13715.837178267822
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8955883439443046, b_new = -0.6604277650064023, c_new = 5.41732741833762
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3144.5001989136067
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5821164273162545, b_new = -0.7319496570971119, c_new = 5.82914687418932
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11756.841112088143
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.465072000794053, b_new = -0.6754405113458003, c_new = 5.869118758785544
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10650.209920143014
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.870717644974015, b_new = -1.9070300182391478, c_new = 5.198715334076268
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5321.0147291379835
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.355441707209913, b_new = -1.2035622743870655, c_new = 4.795307448243691
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11984.618201917849
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3513344175363975, b_new = -1.576487791822269, c_new = 5.957211870324795
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6433.971324618664
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0322437531903996, b_new = -1.7942711943854937, c_new = 5.604482273505343
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3151.510771573572
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.703282638493838, b_new = -1.2116825345865576, c_new = 5.370220517214594
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6854.403121342242
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2384988539047574, b_new = -0.433106712221621, c_new = 4.838372591958601
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11793.523867784532
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7804338841691054, b_new = -0.7724409192760201, c_new = 4.604237909934329
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4574.937153837907
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4715034861874274, b_new = -1.1391090617348465, c_new = 5.541871839760689
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10457.221771229175
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.826964414777773, b_new = -0.8344704962897638, c_new = 4.934622873593293
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3954.7597386440716
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.22146971427133, b_new = -1.317846858948038, c_new = 5.0428483421447305
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14505.561627595096
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.295037335051526, b_new = -0.7937671012697294, c_new = 5.404054569903928
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11699.674199823265
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.280992236490219, b_new = -1.7691426270163946, c_new = 5.871494691133403
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4610.553224027417
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4130460097054707, b_new = -0.8598371509229856, c_new = 5.424325973591379
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9353.980100885707
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.526975036818687, b_new = -0.6105589339276606, c_new = 6.138951613059573
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11537.152231813716
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.314649311983012, b_new = -0.11575648091289836, c_new = 5.447304396477325
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9518.665298693857
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.071370907311566, b_new = -1.084090139732186, c_new = 4.785228494451987
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3144.1814975083817
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.819975193250446, b_new = -0.9816180300819294, c_new = 5.889988713537879
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4080.8874521894763
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.650387674155385, b_new = -0.15976305421033, c_new = 4.361306080473625
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12700.24918943025
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.750064518406064, b_new = -1.4763620953543524, c_new = 4.970605939921171
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6742.840389908718
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6804731498653576, b_new = -2.140710667560129, c_new = 5.828568181043579
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9594.367967474143
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8951999432968196, b_new = -1.5602299292352875, c_new = 4.927772049403914
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4263.369152367637
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6211327642777733, b_new = -1.6584418483602108, c_new = 4.521440272107895
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9898.43715801202
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.960693323024256, b_new = -2.007257451756668, c_new = 4.615746772615996
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12477.455391401363
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1166641615271775, b_new = -1.2791080460034128, c_new = 5.234759969190972
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13545.616715896831
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.369375539945964, b_new = -1.5209035391950319, c_new = 5.789124234695742
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6903.5005789003435
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.189075324856044, b_new = -0.43587669624554926, c_new = 4.874254801968289
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15087.048406986665
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8243170016111008, b_new = -0.2698470602842963, c_new = 5.26763055185812
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3299.0209055263313
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2989283359968353, b_new = -1.0843744107505902, c_new = 5.264363583347267
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12130.763118766945
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5149474071572344, b_new = -1.3062435550522378, c_new = 6.196047115883243
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10032.721934356003
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7371835658537513, b_new = -1.0112747207210044, c_new = 4.725936195286036
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5859.648754127919
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5273898677252995, b_new = -1.1511201591595093, c_new = 5.246569160648194
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9869.016150150703
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.151904347837, b_new = -0.6085451114545853, c_new = 5.885619034974702
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4899.99310431421
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.988317518998682, b_new = -0.9964446232157156, c_new = 5.117813636350507
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3014.81712101232
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.812392903453355, b_new = -2.1442439144566814, c_new = 5.313817122902814
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7151.03048741054
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7993101464152432, b_new = -1.2344125617709412, c_new = 5.860689216340166
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4867.640802818767
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0055595858871795, b_new = -1.802833718431422, c_new = 6.071675545165422
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3253.298120084597
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1290515369960126, b_new = -1.2369267998772326, c_new = 6.382207537854323
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3620.58409825129
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.956930289847999, b_new = -1.5556511694398236, c_new = 5.529424426080735
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3444.7938090565067
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6925624408770346, b_new = -1.7168189012199058, c_new = 5.8200723670327195
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8276.112301937814
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0781855282183472, b_new = -1.3633266752260549, c_new = 4.6018426972505235
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3049.363373736353
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.269425209224992, b_new = -0.6995478923724232, c_new = 6.078593868202857
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7161.261274835046
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9939209062880563, b_new = -0.803428673057019, c_new = 4.7712769723618145
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3021.2620933948765
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0914386975635044, b_new = -1.5291028271071103, c_new = 5.755152273516668
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13810.813023728857
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.40237792163348, b_new = -1.9770671228360797, c_new = 5.028289514683831
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6135.723907629478
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.37834219274692, b_new = -1.6336637499749407, c_new = 5.924876427709736
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6838.212079344994
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8349187289375073, b_new = -0.6782059689390053, c_new = 4.9056576706385195
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3655.3961551190323
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.70524058737736, b_new = -2.8158285864016426, c_new = 5.615160631994977
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9481.306958573294
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.735127396359842, b_new = -0.7182896956671068, c_new = 4.638134843433073
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5219.328341119727
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.734779240619792, b_new = -1.3923442897428144, c_new = 5.105212714627307
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11836.828229877645
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5605769993283203, b_new = -0.4541583258695152, c_new = 5.194815440660675
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7775.952947353617
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0489724979759836, b_new = -1.0748437344055342, c_new = 5.125243860814749
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3081.0685350603226
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1951914929659435, b_new = -1.0853139674351278, c_new = 4.942422712863421
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4362.69508568178
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.027884838795364, b_new = -1.4064032835931461, c_new = 4.914118758154839
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3041.5136990240185
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.374608168799288, b_new = -0.8012700639419386, c_new = 5.183740866241514
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11036.463967520125
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.84548941588119, b_new = -1.4721878004531181, c_new = 4.553705301455779
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4977.600966434321
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0541899978953357, b_new = -1.0096190160721965, c_new = 5.61969126944693
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3175.481806349255
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.815260576961263, b_new = -0.990989785928785, c_new = 4.973064571033063
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4366.663783689195
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.295958587488156, b_new = -1.1672818815409851, c_new = 5.901516355513666
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12095.067921483527
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5721733915123868, b_new = -0.7373535308359905, c_new = 4.5315519127824375
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8495.401793291367
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4511436130259847, b_new = -1.890309613213295, c_new = 5.44317974171797
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12029.876172695826
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4916401715266865, b_new = -1.291422957056318, c_new = 5.755123681308974
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10437.147041341866
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.15467949281274, b_new = -1.590533491488008, c_new = 4.818077554575209
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3271.1266881783067
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.599159790200643, b_new = -0.9368156415282161, c_new = 5.143423831257575
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8280.851895552332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5339868256615894, b_new = -1.997966543979821, c_new = 5.310610920406503
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8664.229792006237
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.739867143241406, b_new = -1.3942537721034143, c_new = 6.071415837339096
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6324.658753228693
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4099145389099426, b_new = -1.024530200644967, c_new = 5.78574005406971
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10869.929142036633
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.469632970354141, b_new = -1.195598851260352, c_new = 6.023783312671936
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9685.725550109495
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9216528283536083, b_new = -1.7384717825177485, c_new = 5.4166908108612075
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12747.115917434538
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.19798117724304, b_new = -1.6443427970183153, c_new = 5.678847653993624
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3681.198334908875
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7837707417931763, b_new = -0.33370858217662414, c_new = 5.456354229236891
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3672.9993986141517
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7322163566669087, b_new = -1.3126018310893561, c_new = 5.564221039919055
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6449.192541790156
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2345711530858843, b_new = -1.559415766998078, c_new = 5.537491610095618
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4223.805120344204
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.051737648728358, b_new = -1.5245248324960454, c_new = 4.410208948714203
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3056.507758756926
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8030629913316205, b_new = -1.4126241093028513, c_new = 4.107518556240726
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5787.950535900051
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9687662732595697, b_new = -1.4239811084323102, c_new = 6.167992189443164
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3180.4984327030093
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.398786147404217, b_new = -1.530264135348168, c_new = 6.494943216387221
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7768.797539140083
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9511979917794737, b_new = -0.6084546470413733, c_new = 5.977032112935386
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3051.159095004442
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7834820620379905, b_new = -0.7925016218666097, c_new = 5.398869096656628
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4371.163484221343
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.511582308629147, b_new = -1.1733312208694484, c_new = 6.360827026731813
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9759.369159912387
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8101413651531826, b_new = -2.432026120609271, c_new = 5.562924243859269
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7949.534001890886
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6054140545369915, b_new = -0.8011285490727331, c_new = 6.391235649970272
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7388.309305815009
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9264976869239114, b_new = -1.8464435774060122, c_new = 5.367292068353325
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4228.705008600677
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8903344021355135, b_new = -0.39788550296211767, c_new = 5.045154404575428
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3074.6211907053057
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.31139005115183, b_new = -1.0043642517402567, c_new = 4.867927516420735
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6734.005198294904
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1402120376405662, b_new = -0.9007728805439983, c_new = 6.143145953747271
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4208.896407562642
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.140030506878848, b_new = -1.3908266299839682, c_new = 6.283835164755158
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3522.774120974601
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7877525015380464, b_new = -1.4819044209633812, c_new = 6.008692876263617
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14883.996286557422
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6587540990282306, b_new = -1.0139815264074417, c_new = 5.85724280172054
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11988.264565586811
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5970845652541925, b_new = -0.7330926199574559, c_new = 5.566787299972659
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11807.332780803243
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2436809906580732, b_new = -1.2164089499093595, c_new = 5.102746541750593
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4919.688289463505
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.370854014501456, b_new = -1.2965399985055535, c_new = 6.141171545341633
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7690.282650957381
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1589601770938645, b_new = -1.4971639303684656, c_new = 5.340723290519283
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3437.0299022516942
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1634896318860015, b_new = -1.3513576231185684, c_new = 6.5801650531188045
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3872.7602708018367
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9527392316987804, b_new = -0.3191608565678996, c_new = 5.813291215094921
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3163.282385983346
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.162349104654088, b_new = -0.8767367124027883, c_new = 5.202675078374319
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4329.002831641277
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.632533451713431, b_new = -1.7639078790643699, c_new = 5.989356773185556
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10587.77553105085
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5004498647817015, b_new = -1.2199915857600756, c_new = 5.373223448860838
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9844.218945655948
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8761832723021796, b_new = -1.1972534999503666, c_new = 5.900945584200512
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3726.12189723623
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1821586286221013, b_new = -1.2999903634792753, c_new = 4.879455872471617
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3831.7744797039695
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7871215171169785, b_new = -0.895229673006339, c_new = 5.021789355116074
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4601.268561823121
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.116019251962908, b_new = -1.7791369303218265, c_new = 5.67881653290481
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3056.5984371425143
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.307854959910086, b_new = -0.8563980659982791, c_new = 5.427602624817724
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15860.701173508263
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.835115812816368, b_new = -0.7710672420919472, c_new = 5.3709901163596
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3695.4988747110337
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.87631813977539, b_new = -1.2534520470549637, c_new = 5.201586799235395
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12998.208607438984
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9965653646578394, b_new = -0.8493651438410277, c_new = 5.327595961798379
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3032.9016933943176
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5053292586472002, b_new = -1.260987584239785, c_new = 5.053304026199525
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10442.625149013978
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5066699990045023, b_new = -1.5672367990901357, c_new = 5.070773143004848
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11015.768250595494
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.651165838897169, b_new = -1.0317068779461316, c_new = 5.102123505090973
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11678.953712032227
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4877807745240488, b_new = -0.2958900329999127, c_new = 4.5608143819362
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11173.200294074391
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.159286523075999, b_new = -0.5861779295358722, c_new = 4.41918303413058
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4639.574899786631
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.915183911414233, b_new = -1.8771557218943875, c_new = 5.530428559103555
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4405.486096151502
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.557216806327019, b_new = -1.2685276949521536, c_new = 5.650372049640413
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10537.525301096352
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5410622761726436, b_new = -1.195291218948965, c_new = 5.43963075227216
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10421.089617891183
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0941967960194154, b_new = -1.9403873976299018, c_new = 6.249129943985781
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14095.11696925215
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0007239217800334, b_new = -1.2292668461116558, c_new = 5.777683354552249
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3021.008246139666
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.080755811527566, b_new = -1.6501190489679494, c_new = 5.942353336596419
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3023.545898773338
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.847351645153912, b_new = -1.3585674945332324, c_new = 5.701829040156841
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4392.029167544397
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.846206682032951, b_new = -1.411786877165226, c_new = 5.328861867571033
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12650.746858685774
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8161894102839953, b_new = -2.29153525624271, c_new = 5.130070916979314
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7584.101656634294
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9421140028694373, b_new = -2.280182680676379, c_new = 4.503946693073584
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5143.179970581219
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.255448277067467, b_new = -0.9961882191328667, c_new = 5.324135275281249
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12316.588448179627
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4389907934035135, b_new = -0.836904801948132, c_new = 5.195992138781438
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9727.264422014241
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7955169711766894, b_new = -1.3808126852706342, c_new = 6.5880061268345145
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12696.04062327436
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6768806767081403, b_new = -1.5392058709331073, c_new = 5.67595925011975
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8165.077959969104
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6464396035700983, b_new = -1.2562427585173503, c_new = 5.707766803858027
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11469.036701805206
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3305604226078525, b_new = -1.0765937086501387, c_new = 5.53196513618859
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7201.920144467918
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.771252650669842, b_new = -2.022204760586175, c_new = 5.582114199538322
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7589.528653512935
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.524606781701867, b_new = -1.1273681547436576, c_new = 5.3542851804817495
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9821.069522193318
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9738072891562783, b_new = -1.8408572193458883, c_new = 5.533280125513797
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3624.435652026751
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6945818256313934, b_new = -0.8994042102648728, c_new = 5.004829368991059
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6337.818426202288
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.115170278113514, b_new = -0.44049606812765674, c_new = 4.257551362582887
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4213.488137414413
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.826125836047021, b_new = -0.08943607182444024, c_new = 6.257066050870866
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3162.4437777622306
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7906557115329154, b_new = 0.04668231969189596, c_new = 5.655086948831509
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3270.1996410027405
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3969946670322027, b_new = -1.8034277199722104, c_new = 4.580151517783752
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12614.021187810213
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.100439072033046, b_new = -0.6686129672611483, c_new = 4.686943900287583
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3763.209341643683
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.877501470724801, b_new = -1.2509495746191823, c_new = 6.151056538259157
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3740.966855178482
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7793296560178673, b_new = -1.1441608692035523, c_new = 5.564327125229338
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5104.063685537876
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545176701047459, b_new = -0.4949307937031753, c_new = 6.015197136975206
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7875.684706687367
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.28934339908354, b_new = -0.9898908878177853, c_new = 6.569744468356099
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15327.244412552402
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0084398163857764, b_new = -1.1033485417003015, c_new = 5.001293177233524
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3012.1290318284928
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5424923870732776, b_new = -0.2935945184133094, c_new = 6.262533692433946
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12244.090733648565
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3564689697781818, b_new = -0.549332847366157, c_new = 5.089656937442979
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9011.019476487305
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9926297812384903, b_new = -1.5896596038855795, c_new = 6.502884419643699
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3139.633153890103
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.797726610375068, b_new = -2.5171254248276504, c_new = 5.823381138571634
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8359.163519090502
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5149551799671466, b_new = -1.1524055163538005, c_new = 5.115198130253863
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10081.466330927762
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7415601600956085, b_new = -1.2394441157018377, c_new = 4.827318243178084
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15089.433884906613
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.317761125558803, b_new = -0.5497106455903998, c_new = 5.7965045112409
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8539.577675715444
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1713736614481136, b_new = -1.9528498968223125, c_new = 5.877556332444157
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3204.8139939277853
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3556821018638257, b_new = -1.963960554289685, c_new = 5.085789130743347
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12986.804791495855
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1499718485095656, b_new = -1.1987649238622093, c_new = 5.619809683318252
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13174.682693331233
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.16287946167658, b_new = -1.5835651008170128, c_new = 4.724213251659084
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3322.1258016086417
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.069137667137821, b_new = -1.036874223468496, c_new = 6.034235721451748
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3287.787949698813
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.085998565631745, b_new = -0.7823795630677175, c_new = 5.307819382879737
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13136.743798080419
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2601505075477406, b_new = -1.4518280159933723, c_new = 5.315412574408775
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4762.4325105126245
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7516744166976688, b_new = -1.1668940997134942, c_new = 5.819460844383814
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5595.376853697138
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.085492890387487, b_new = -0.9374252990323417, c_new = 5.599487580317402
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3444.270393884168
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.029056957550415, b_new = -0.594254859914823, c_new = 5.423520549755162
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13211.829192425708
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7274290307646862, b_new = -0.3606708790055386, c_new = 4.81792351021519
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13076.643305090824
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.447237391436555, b_new = -0.2493025913893393, c_new = 5.523378563608028
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9036.247380528866
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7733353752996326, b_new = -0.11071467996444562, c_new = 5.084504231926749
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3571.0892534905543
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.788319341451141, b_new = -0.8505114995835142, c_new = 5.338583248125075
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4419.201808789874
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8026766418425453, b_new = -0.8518153563099191, c_new = 5.959705660913079
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4086.5001974461493
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9983598366042132, b_new = -1.3705881271311053, c_new = 5.891772980768198
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3055.4398474036766
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0375877762429946, b_new = -1.300000680231268, c_new = 5.703841456272543
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3017.0683454868267
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.023455564507356, b_new = -0.9175248435494889, c_new = 4.051422843513658
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13847.240600604488
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0467755735483832, b_new = -1.6799710069087346, c_new = 5.705351024502471
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3044.4678059947273
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.914273246070533, b_new = -1.2670284515256127, c_new = 4.9920713481275
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3581.9513184549414
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0232367401275853, b_new = -0.5655477071006174, c_new = 5.105477222509192
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3274.5859959485615
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.01829484241378, b_new = -1.5906314513473252, c_new = 6.415350987440952
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14047.342229458896
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5638122281779094, b_new = -0.38950677764707853, c_new = 6.1280583688458545
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12232.2166431142
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0191247347805334, b_new = -1.7519490387372254, c_new = 5.291425702664532
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14446.37133689574
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0305396616216633, b_new = -0.20313014534980012, c_new = 6.274543153476022
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4007.195220548333
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0109952020683397, b_new = -0.9257598024662791, c_new = 5.2859222176934875
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3038.48817627224
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.359472843899854, b_new = -1.9979282117072021, c_new = 5.031602847846569
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5251.220227942704
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2390497521225505, b_new = -1.031947447317305, c_new = 5.688917145138853
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12383.543294586721
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7073977166613816, b_new = -1.6430699861816715, c_new = 5.7167281907109695
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7815.798884589421
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5161448628513785, b_new = -1.169390827598215, c_new = 5.173759632543115
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10080.553245832947
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4241861995038074, b_new = -1.387546090027459, c_new = 6.159509481648981
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11234.621782504268
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.169354140256134, b_new = -1.0960856735551276, c_new = 6.300941780212971
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12765.693664963419
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3945877609997446, b_new = -2.528093232724997, c_new = 5.183443353964359
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4798.186129600222
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.993020919306506, b_new = -1.6877266551813013, c_new = 5.1018960144267815
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3358.9713817045094
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0826543024917803, b_new = -1.0196115894620879, c_new = 5.3490903660837645
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3309.104698931289
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.467227435691351, b_new = -1.2134505572069798, c_new = 4.42739665401616
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15231.40456304537
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1955166508338495, b_new = -1.599477425897725, c_new = 5.759942337479536
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3726.639596735449
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5258597133169607, b_new = -1.9006023979850064, c_new = 4.55554695165411
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8509.855273601883
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8880678604356884, b_new = -1.4437066343723843, c_new = 6.617262046889271
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3806.4555547721775
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3171923136991825, b_new = -0.11530477361415126, c_new = 4.65780177898374
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9243.68527239399
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.734874906577726, b_new = -0.9730691658968224, c_new = 5.680765782754175
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5496.557186681024
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.19999174025071, b_new = -1.6266044750279032, c_new = 5.483032395198687
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3692.7989935238325
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6667910023404415, b_new = -0.48643925669959964, c_new = 6.209944880230464
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5492.887390642306
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.100173471745512, b_new = -1.3495152291499217, c_new = 6.369865873983843
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3268.5016436859987
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.254808297535065, b_new = -0.6880626106521303, c_new = 4.746509956274071
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12053.861581551668
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0569814280999825, b_new = -2.1436896830846655, c_new = 4.570395706852388
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3426.146885989725
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9151739628367865, b_new = -1.7468644970849918, c_new = 5.493900128699303
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4177.171182384482
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3493921519772902, b_new = -1.9231498747052256, c_new = 5.270354936750522
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12921.601543810273
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.660814829447266, b_new = -1.1737391564443482, c_new = 5.225042030108571
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7680.849298606479
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0522902859198515, b_new = -0.48333892007544943, c_new = 5.224720118284497
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3611.8536505444094
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5953171968218074, b_new = -1.945487090199571, c_new = 5.456650241666957
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10542.075980882093
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0302020315467924, b_new = -1.6594974437326369, c_new = 4.942569731659588
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3141.217322109501
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9942075231448584, b_new = -1.794125317902299, c_new = 5.0509066208511255
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3467.3976912156213
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.354989612620866, b_new = -1.0271884697215041, c_new = 6.080358739957473
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11336.883826376254
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.207682893326365, b_new = -0.13373327505282862, c_new = 5.795721818135436
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7326.642758757851
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.809336779611418, b_new = -0.9550904647345362, c_new = 6.911849392390856
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3986.2342493385827
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.212159138258612, b_new = -0.6005982434851913, c_new = 4.915954973067094
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5727.311627233245
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.125712424114875, b_new = -1.1427753263111857, c_new = 5.5420159778352
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3559.9534173451784
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.46819874040626, b_new = -1.8338809556508981, c_new = 5.283970202792584
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11829.16030560744
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.634498620142157, b_new = -0.771107660853835, c_new = 6.1566467495689166
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12242.308189596868
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.112174703686996, b_new = -1.6195790484556816, c_new = 5.217041300237146
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3080.3706295583665
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6394060470915393, b_new = -1.0726483792523809, c_new = 5.064330448666905
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7898.751274989901
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.915899666791897, b_new = -1.2658975718842387, c_new = 3.906364539425817
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3768.492422243513
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.609638277420706, b_new = -0.3609954885667015, c_new = 5.892724065719389
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6381.926851255461
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9105451795893877, b_new = -1.0152104517030864, c_new = 5.76100057358605
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3263.4828377272142
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7567820641282634, b_new = -1.4635705429592396, c_new = 5.104992384177955
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6512.138783224909
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1947972937839895, b_new = -1.9079303080091343, c_new = 5.637292906008194
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3366.381794842776
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0108903262479996, b_new = -1.5715052004055114, c_new = 4.736448068998234
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3196.83161260737
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2861618863088697, b_new = -1.7148011868452593, c_new = 4.431046432920434
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13303.970950417448
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.19940720558656, b_new = -1.633057482817032, c_new = 5.673994387418384
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3709.687022075032
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.949631129685999, b_new = -1.0150775674123689, c_new = 5.7561709524260145
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3078.6983095543246
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.547004885972776, b_new = -1.058297562388325, c_new = 4.604051468125985
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9620.636298566276
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9607229577769174, b_new = -1.0830697929862567, c_new = 5.5792077273317595
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13997.576308496911
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.470682785827096, b_new = -1.903700552324394, c_new = 5.5288944117103265
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7855.5180353823525
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0762695091098973, b_new = -1.101078483207239, c_new = 5.5850988852011
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3228.6942713881485
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.212763424935592, b_new = -0.3968848145059385, c_new = 6.236096693450961
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6839.6353158744005
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.286261750598399, b_new = -0.6863812507100016, c_new = 4.939248245055721
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7106.325612248271
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8008356298379864, b_new = -0.4658880281599769, c_new = 5.402391889370132
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3666.0415807692957
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.730602837670093, b_new = -0.5567836723180527, c_new = 5.225777546037807
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4785.748210107045
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.973792442586375, b_new = -1.163464593376914, c_new = 5.785137848721664
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3057.9279545579075
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3000506581583564, b_new = -1.3018048968998306, c_new = 6.492210764870661
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6284.856031241373
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8539453909559684, b_new = -1.1232189144596785, c_new = 5.2578669437607415
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13034.459965543409
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5144794815650284, b_new = -0.758300427648424, c_new = 5.343242143734091
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10886.45422720402
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.827799875650618, b_new = -0.449612683733305, c_new = 5.930134752734028
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3359.8316488091828
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7674655285755296, b_new = -1.1776094068045548, c_new = 4.919497496253514
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5610.441214081602
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3133840253577542, b_new = -0.9522664541038713, c_new = 4.864642752065814
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6919.921350969421
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8393170744684697, b_new = -1.4410141067743514, c_new = 5.753228729087564
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14730.685502054483
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0108893712574694, b_new = -1.3353815797772064, c_new = 4.559973158938093
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3080.0563520041896
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7532915307162136, b_new = -0.6812426164392811, c_new = 5.135413683420313
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4688.754438207632
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1743335934893384, b_new = -1.5618529191980473, c_new = 5.406828205675564
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13511.399983495572
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8801803844706417, b_new = -1.8327475277776486, c_new = 4.795765767064788
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5106.8309367013935
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.920648661175015, b_new = -0.23228785202348778, c_new = 5.071273695480516
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14303.273379220667
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7002963421851343, b_new = -0.8570641511747952, c_new = 5.155068500623209
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6060.791002242365
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9706894642146455, b_new = -1.186162641988441, c_new = 5.389554491689338
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3095.7714011494127
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.452052670781816, b_new = -1.136660199481695, c_new = 5.674851124894495
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9426.638228754284
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.68863399082673, b_new = -1.556053426778376, c_new = 4.600014256057531
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8410.930327934251
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7437813450604094, b_new = -1.4192358613973513, c_new = 5.244578196744063
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6613.290922289235
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6664835682770804, b_new = -0.8089046211652634, c_new = 5.427014015921976
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12222.680456275551
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.778425993347387, b_new = -2.373568202439815, c_new = 4.929362753386609
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8748.27928548423
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2795306172214214, b_new = -1.5399121197383365, c_new = 5.687847850049905
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12771.01301884919
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8331877871395337, b_new = -0.8221493506717868, c_new = 5.684023490398018
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3731.2796156512195
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8404770453673787, b_new = -0.873253147817854, c_new = 6.265302175216676
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3633.4586399641075
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.710541791951536, b_new = -1.7407397948918044, c_new = 5.279242658529592
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8198.316685452904
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.517496230814758, b_new = -1.7666079531745769, c_new = 5.924307556430673
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9117.832494583081
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.392065382330561, b_new = -1.0783266264024796, c_new = 5.463868522338693
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11244.4263550927
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7978249925953342, b_new = -1.1860580299671555, c_new = 5.241041870394768
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4965.863132276353
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.370285771323406, b_new = -0.8443044933344763, c_new = 5.572266672249566
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8688.91405568095
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.373763795053494, b_new = -1.0959899924212413, c_new = 4.491009958065124
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7664.026690221447
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5275790749707903, b_new = -0.7838779633974742, c_new = 5.685164112416294
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8937.345755456423
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7052584158712523, b_new = -0.7004141928931656, c_new = 5.552337684305401
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5455.624799763555
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4699996819855192, b_new = -1.0122119825260398, c_new = 5.667850736081597
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10192.417666393849
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.794318280279796, b_new = -2.0195594313965866, c_new = 4.828052880970348
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11359.953442298394
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0884419191961374, b_new = -0.9256921758647494, c_new = 5.933543055095015
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3536.627656982765
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3640667100711017, b_new = -1.5026215075837137, c_new = 4.801554747932363
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12361.806988371973
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.878108221717335, b_new = -1.530207300271301, c_new = 5.632036789691229
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4275.916444923125
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.107596036706417, b_new = -0.8287070720678104, c_new = 5.43239545024137
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3761.30013304694
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.249247147317948, b_new = -1.6618933602365855, c_new = 4.763791429284165
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4093.4612959809756
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.295378834590794, b_new = -2.777217492436744, c_new = 5.703136536516701
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3389.9223916950214
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8611081755007666, b_new = -0.8226504556187675, c_new = 6.090618350356727
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3418.8219311123094
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5809924552789596, b_new = -1.1984406074597278, c_new = 5.589298576088736
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9065.762896476499
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5648938921189295, b_new = -1.0247198636577373, c_new = 5.564601000652334
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11022.002875727698
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9273511450998373, b_new = -0.9593510095889428, c_new = 5.1211499970066
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3183.4691295828707
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5686730269320743, b_new = -0.8977530250311452, c_new = 6.054123986497863
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8403.120866154524
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3995981807081797, b_new = -0.7879471796699105, c_new = 4.495667866299083
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8958.280105415728
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9541194537493562, b_new = -1.241572988225827, c_new = 4.47244644451242
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3307.3750650653024
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.514111397215867, b_new = -0.5703294965514856, c_new = 6.149051030359719
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8526.0087393866
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.977460737531501, b_new = -0.8947134806463314, c_new = 5.333548506742953
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3014.8365666307864
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0939751344791584, b_new = -0.7185292205863745, c_new = 5.059758969858468
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3695.5142030308957
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836025787223674, b_new = -1.5031851546375425, c_new = 6.401932011334621
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4669.1205068879935
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.810596944725839, b_new = -1.5418808121398708, c_new = 4.333703671079618
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5889.411091990407
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.936684930532067, b_new = -0.8546406406991709, c_new = 5.4934107656934055
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3071.6303901378965
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.925317378262398, b_new = -1.527311760046477, c_new = 4.970756440235079
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3817.574283448349
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5639354657267956, b_new = -1.6682085566293074, c_new = 5.737378099082966
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9900.685030707626
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0097072833842917, b_new = -1.075960722362285, c_new = 5.780990092058025
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3021.8213824358563
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7989398950129345, b_new = -0.8282070566847051, c_new = 5.58102173950448
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14397.359914787874
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9417356492694022, b_new = -2.2120308079714537, c_new = 4.9827648583250035
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4833.3893210405495
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5778094195914, b_new = -1.390234693005404, c_new = 5.882082192539208
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9446.395161499853
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1328474589954936, b_new = -0.027851759355316474, c_new = 5.266688442045286
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5739.532888859629
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.70161770586375, b_new = -1.1756045978110166, c_new = 5.042184802732461
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6915.00553909703
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625883508353888, b_new = -0.9440757660327732, c_new = 4.618340212429842
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7994.577091701141
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.077147265045128, b_new = -0.9485885668116893, c_new = 4.454061313648516
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3236.032727020883
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8032703332936233, b_new = -1.1443054894709752, c_new = 5.043616780264618
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4840.138049776448
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4268297303565904, b_new = -1.8136037841658519, c_new = 5.178589469647536
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7096.761181905442
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.890139361073677, b_new = -1.3834482604219391, c_new = 6.228573040317477
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13193.070697028339
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.64169669843225, b_new = -0.9482638232751075, c_new = 5.4935172612838565
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7367.532180535312
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1699903183724247, b_new = -1.5509407291701525, c_new = 5.431052251830587
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3486.7089155184412
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.427680796132254, b_new = -0.6493881737247266, c_new = 5.7282005883975105
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10001.68860477332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9518951327515772, b_new = -0.6430251231606661, c_new = 5.583988440385695
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3029.4153796570736
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0113555581149436, b_new = -1.36407468845066, c_new = 5.065435306591713
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14168.600755486736
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3880441635393366, b_new = -0.7492170354854795, c_new = 5.077488864086968
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9067.97631231946
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.781508649770338, b_new = -1.4487347708963432, c_new = 5.265233734927562
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5898.112477228809
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.005459770994654, b_new = -2.2172982935839043, c_new = 5.4477123890817944
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3827.405828730379
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.134538698250018, b_new = -0.8286199056938013, c_new = 4.890037034872126
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3965.2124804776768
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.46335874711584, b_new = -1.6122423821332932, c_new = 5.825878269916543
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8549.045321220727
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9300190645705557, b_new = -0.7391020922718845, c_new = 5.628036996236087
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3052.8612480346346
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7424668127773346, b_new = -1.9039470224986057, c_new = 5.055808418845201
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8088.717009565975
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305377465488397, b_new = -1.0780856680613744, c_new = 5.64884307836525
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6696.504721342482
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.275833855439631, b_new = -1.3726114308968769, c_new = 5.650167196943338
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5311.4269832877535
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.441197723169525, b_new = -1.9515923377182256, c_new = 5.669045525139786
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7201.030108595254
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6198086106618637, b_new = -0.18417533908678307, c_new = 5.601567967401541
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5853.237802583812
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305623245132793, b_new = -1.0634205166053936, c_new = 5.957846360461533
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6864.480030089848
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.634411949471155, b_new = -0.5605799613858722, c_new = 6.384885681052792
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6232.4646813188365
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0661559030855816, b_new = -1.749152353285514, c_new = 5.225053210501637
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3049.2502297690453
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.577403787635455, b_new = -0.22027181052199574, c_new = 5.049777732812364
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6932.1371406433445
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4710675502806896, b_new = -0.8503713544179148, c_new = 5.23477594663027
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10003.947226139933
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1475838225451196, b_new = -1.0091884550294319, c_new = 5.306969370074897
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3933.120574503367
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8025257772663945, b_new = -1.4130872642626309, c_new = 5.145753706398692
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5433.589987054245
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3629969179730628, b_new = -1.4704838610047768, c_new = 5.172367337709143
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12212.869323020335
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.905742418907858, b_new = -0.9310834201939678, c_new = 5.758983162013733
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3231.622077028407
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8241539786092786, b_new = -1.4058361287310412, c_new = 5.529454103396587
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14801.348758233396
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.183974199565109, b_new = -2.532025227266237, c_new = 5.733989202391326
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14409.59036064665
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7601963528280087, b_new = -1.1166150658056229, c_new = 5.990068744543713
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12636.849626986743
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6468650376465, b_new = -1.4550948999056499, c_new = 5.495818006206902
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11096.677264099753
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8725288370901487, b_new = -0.80307928812351, c_new = 5.4109672489778715
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13555.728549831516
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.218292572620868, b_new = -1.3535069491454432, c_new = 5.2992727678252285
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4298.864711713068
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.073918561723587, b_new = -1.1483812835672407, c_new = 5.513797437916075
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3175.7141653163853
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.608366182834482, b_new = 0.3285556366054534, c_new = 5.410757025260853
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4999.57808070797
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0212326539195353, b_new = -0.794335578639608, c_new = 5.667579920246725
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3157.6865406534084
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.96663852758694, b_new = -0.6747651494106117, c_new = 5.506350347817318
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3034.5862433736766
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0470674411610874, b_new = -1.525569295400396, c_new = 5.735404694165457
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3014.497059864718
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3194869960946836, b_new = -0.2655839733133031, c_new = 6.878729571595869
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9821.36284180293
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831806761129902, b_new = -0.4959118712304508, c_new = 5.812243093063479
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3379.2821027074233
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4509:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2499490517396707, b_new = -1.1946922609184518, c_new = 5.0793228532881605
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5070.4473599999565
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4510:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.247822098171501, b_new = -1.2606081658991763, c_new = 5.302558294826845
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4953.000643922742
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4511:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8196048416738395, b_new = -1.8859054532644381, c_new = 5.2275827983359635
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11837.707338375218
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4512:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.018110758738278, b_new = -0.990134617629854, c_new = 5.11040761946674
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13992.965217035802
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4513:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.578387404630203, b_new = -0.7274571092633706, c_new = 5.70461556126152
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11691.586672834917
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4514:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.243190507235436, b_new = -1.2206009265490612, c_new = 5.574159955594131
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5039.497636442759
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4515:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5776414849956115, b_new = -1.4448920881797904, c_new = 5.134279418942336
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9832.883983306489
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4516:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.348176173858419, b_new = -1.6263414100923823, c_new = 5.689777617456678
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6140.4479972338395
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4517:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1891377983038067, b_new = -1.5313409772702078, c_new = 4.815499146443242
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3599.443338632239
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4518:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.328895448961344, b_new = -1.241870265948603, c_new = 5.594137300219218
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12028.759683898334
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4519:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.897706524135876, b_new = -0.7198904454038557, c_new = 5.265788900481738
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3176.540965007168
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4520:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3801171879655376, b_new = -0.11850825481533867, c_new = 5.015936194115797
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10385.261767114425
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4521:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5241165229523927, b_new = -0.5246608646326165, c_new = 5.719057371475646
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8399.576917350376
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4522:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.365991386338052, b_new = -1.4985451223544493, c_new = 5.1692760671343345
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6666.825480537542
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4523:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6182753014129716, b_new = -1.823448201328888, c_new = 4.750458236128433
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10226.203273461131
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4524:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.953357372539934, b_new = -1.6611713948452764, c_new = 5.4755447124382775
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3607.62294986822
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4525:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7086600064991226, b_new = -0.06324774214966156, c_new = 6.239928848271129
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4047.840012792861
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4526:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6194091059090523, b_new = -0.29496638550968546, c_new = 4.7329203465150265
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6401.187394238701
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4527:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7216722215735283, b_new = -0.900465577879405, c_new = 7.078109228558334
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5176.561620963853
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4528:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.547424789612734, b_new = -0.7763164792049901, c_new = 5.3203390919873925
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8728.099514788468
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4529:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1200704315786036, b_new = -0.9892479391965501, c_new = 5.558233972123506
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3699.6526827652797
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4530:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2098242567105872, b_new = -0.37438603411202853, c_new = 4.939777507879411
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11907.462589061051
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4531:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9661821512154902, b_new = -0.936124467030977, c_new = 5.15035741339566
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3033.8434256337823
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4532:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3744720820980274, b_new = -0.5564209768466133, c_new = 5.917071992549712
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9634.85331771347
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4533:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6413003258684413, b_new = -1.8532483720752553, c_new = 5.482237816289709
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10380.079422725747
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4534:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.007218962750781, b_new = -1.1917822242005842, c_new = 5.857583851095014
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13836.659946851934
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4535:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.98595964912395, b_new = -1.0462125405228653, c_new = 5.235111114618623
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3021.360624159212
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4536:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.897866327286096, b_new = -0.9309432905643603, c_new = 5.724627051074214
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3283.1965829472347
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4537:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.252554259678995, b_new = -1.1353158669609902, c_new = 5.70217314396699
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12421.991418683956
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4538:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.587528033836433, b_new = -0.17215911188612654, c_new = 4.464309282845488
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6812.495833864104
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4539:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5675838258298165, b_new = -2.0873861767586597, c_new = 5.045440762106578
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11320.013981480955
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4540:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3255999939442975, b_new = -1.8372530337457573, c_new = 4.979865276309313
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13050.700591285851
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4541:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1567356072417945, b_new = -1.2995887492067437, c_new = 5.5698385323895305
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3676.62471874376
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4542:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.915782069012175, b_new = -1.090373684513854, c_new = 5.2136721572972355
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3349.1333453124444
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4543:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4081659237620494, b_new = -1.4466188149100887, c_new = 5.4011973014994945
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11716.714762570147
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4544:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.794975808297929, b_new = -0.5586303908111927, c_new = 5.081405092462656
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3904.8071821044296
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4545:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.436295551817206, b_new = -1.7654858335098185, c_new = 4.999580890915519
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7350.235327207583
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4546:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4232004782990058, b_new = -0.8889836031023621, c_new = 5.605198754079505
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10535.149436221956
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4547:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6106926285384433, b_new = -1.4243457395736918, c_new = 5.9233587798559375
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10919.20826045356
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4548:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.441078497920201, b_new = 0.04214265129206396, c_new = 5.195156234368967
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11493.558480881653
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4549:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1619790034571937, b_new = -1.8195454022388695, c_new = 6.33565221686518
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3284.6644115302956
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4550:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.920699132290999, b_new = -1.078136217145855, c_new = 5.193343554643328
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3305.6985674737234
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4551:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.407445593707605, b_new = -1.0309658634294416, c_new = 5.176081079889157
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8747.600580833288
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4552:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.214836419378721, b_new = -0.23924499309204106, c_new = 4.703261357530373
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6708.52445147799
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4553:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.130569008311785, b_new = -0.6155068991161358, c_new = 5.478573306567203
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12628.813291617735
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4554:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8573165233718685, b_new = -1.616168470202926, c_new = 4.666367752107175
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15055.264910373307
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.6859737079176025, b_new = -1.3154851811326946, c_new = 5.259646210402198
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15839.653803269583
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7588554273244483, b_new = -0.6907255432730113, c_new = 5.5003673970285085
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4529.5353837704915
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1150276820555707, b_new = -1.069610580665294, c_new = 4.39857784527757
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3388.166895546862
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3345923601136493, b_new = -1.0187410289551952, c_new = 5.260635508036138
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11742.3474417287
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.345010481567984, b_new = -0.6385539552532905, c_new = 5.1387751695104225
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8573.750801809583
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6448299001896736, b_new = -0.5094203362309504, c_new = 4.647387782464005
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6465.690670872092
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.462447915246524, b_new = -1.401483854937375, c_new = 4.9947800582001864
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8744.257967631394
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.678797769951801, b_new = -1.7206928879742796, c_new = 4.653018174249971
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10743.56302494643
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.460822058235583, b_new = -0.6056900885205938, c_new = 4.999459164448357
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10437.829566953013
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6959681149637846, b_new = -1.1134156572348664, c_new = 5.67526033423756
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14955.836573990504
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.137992114290153, b_new = -1.5506954737738228, c_new = 5.751391344940842
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3281.2494668958298
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8425804829706314, b_new = -0.8106580192978832, c_new = 5.616079059567039
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3630.890815718465
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.573336657022404, b_new = -1.1235483144884482, c_new = 5.7055440140002185
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8974.907130469277
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.776171185738418, b_new = -1.0306483275483502, c_new = 5.82991699369924
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4839.518610654529
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0060320064392974, b_new = -1.3018700611969194, c_new = 5.525601469208185
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3032.1219549770053
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9006401648199054, b_new = -1.5858398743712838, c_new = 5.800313893306341
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4028.1692805552048
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.930629742837216, b_new = -0.918786235822286, c_new = 5.520994936951168
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3117.6756250234666
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.71786304665236, b_new = -1.0549267242532334, c_new = 4.643173968944172
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6398.752445777165
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5300675044512992, b_new = -0.39203164113998124, c_new = 5.609701099639805
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11762.863647728891
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.367473731744607, b_new = -0.6251941724043404, c_new = 5.013508145115876
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8987.828004779236
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0487030767940535, b_new = -1.160081219392333, c_new = 5.233533786483254
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13757.922305988299
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5869759189304955, b_new = -1.3506990987557534, c_new = 4.699556896829691
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10431.822569971891
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.206277056048096, b_new = -1.2202768208957957, c_new = 4.869909992052723
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14496.452840426102
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1893336844651645, b_new = -1.3618919619032366, c_new = 5.280243949593589
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3900.692556990389
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7580131827313914, b_new = -1.2068309000050084, c_new = 5.029827806393137
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5833.833704747762
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0091815783158498, b_new = -0.671160052281162, c_new = 5.544890186378642
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3167.0272771135656
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.769717616737226, b_new = -1.952849734012059, c_new = 5.070405244071124
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7637.667481639797
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4128191073964906, b_new = -2.233968761091922, c_new = 4.7668610664317175
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5645.091903063113
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.941587961474353, b_new = -0.40160202573589165, c_new = 5.51696457684193
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3066.106469208921
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3612494411286398, b_new = -0.6291944743736084, c_new = 4.897050741452477
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8816.861870482584
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7178237718173657, b_new = -1.828313757708175, c_new = 5.0737616470969735
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8379.40102105378
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9587961102774984, b_new = -1.045246353556926, c_new = 5.488602329014787
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13990.270370728973
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9155594003796907, b_new = -1.661244981487026, c_new = 5.854993204588301
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14626.516217060338
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.572793104316101, b_new = -0.7446403038238085, c_new = 5.306861998876216
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8222.96175527296
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6853373609216034, b_new = -1.1286477620167006, c_new = 6.344460140077461
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6655.401113238962
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4496237561972833, b_new = -0.7630674241486233, c_new = 4.745682739207388
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9882.735005058836
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.469446687317581, b_new = -1.0160463219076843, c_new = 5.496093223214552
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15566.81225237815
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6075124344851828, b_new = 0.02210700869455029, c_new = 5.1333899156700245
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5743.976377591132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5133114369590825, b_new = -0.2567948110118591, c_new = 6.338359155664433
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7778.145406103851
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.95250023192685, b_new = -1.8113086826266191, c_new = 5.9038639333155905
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3735.125752795183
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9913953682069567, b_new = -0.685502751254919, c_new = 4.681259809749422
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3040.0343249143043
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.173677204398553, b_new = -0.5457900409361692, c_new = 5.2964674546321255
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12304.791974605698
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.448448178155441, b_new = -1.0792703108871353, c_new = 5.613616322943665
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9478.712357386688
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322886793844088, b_new = -0.679995738172249, c_new = 6.086408322411442
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8399.269591313765
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6508158559064503, b_new = -1.0841147140743557, c_new = 5.683394136651805
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11765.3644736187
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7691488888254967, b_new = -0.29773561286441985, c_new = 4.7566626411643655
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3895.5824105893125
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6759916343475507, b_new = -1.5207487696658446, c_new = 6.426907075783929
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7847.668905641802
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6558027557173163, b_new = -2.0761822015357776, c_new = 4.512061677244898
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10344.705608924696
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.176960839256345, b_new = -1.2857163973856527, c_new = 5.152116419909251
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13240.115968206066
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4094263319786036, b_new = -1.1114576648938888, c_new = 6.8299743803546225
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9220.60042202019
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6674912533937416, b_new = -1.4653506180385287, c_new = 5.415413522726557
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11248.28401392299
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2330579657930087, b_new = -1.2867550624028128, c_new = 5.336054782214023
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4659.996176879524
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.737688058622157, b_new = -0.5977155546866905, c_new = 4.728194638985357
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4884.341093235262
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.856927118331234, b_new = -1.4754402092469066, c_new = 6.6552259007721
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4241.433586764387
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.200548750982858, b_new = -0.5384302741500256, c_new = 6.202844846063388
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6137.604255053433
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6361768763803353, b_new = -0.7206710843784597, c_new = 4.268300301968991
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7332.760265858644
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.850838243822788, b_new = -1.475279190817741, c_new = 5.514270851756731
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4612.705373375913
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2997467826767712, b_new = -1.8969595730527256, c_new = 5.293447123916032
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13207.267707498639
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6995776349488736, b_new = -0.9027402773013784, c_new = 5.279138846722092
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12298.147458659474
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.032339382733387, b_new = -1.4243181337900346, c_new = 5.07433002325516
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3031.318469576784
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1421378833200255, b_new = -0.6364609306158882, c_new = 5.4310705274971545
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4545.389958624053
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9616034760018213, b_new = -0.20568904636828877, c_new = 5.805965821053383
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3288.915171836489
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7794602893946454, b_new = -0.8764399104117176, c_new = 5.3838651042531716
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4592.521147397794
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8383030010635673, b_new = -1.783325503112326, c_new = 5.139279250225605
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5661.110545058575
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1967838128702226, b_new = -2.5614672511939363, c_new = 5.771798845207901
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3081.2607472305244
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9761575350662075, b_new = -0.4752696397305952, c_new = 5.505103307970825
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14411.313917589574
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.672653942591585, b_new = -1.123023474345029, c_new = 5.125143054491127
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7342.1617600242125
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.969762203727242, b_new = -1.0080261083227586, c_new = 4.679504358565962
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3065.5849722140592
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2800546345082617, b_new = -0.226496148375822, c_new = 5.82034713057306
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10849.72408006041
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4870167594141583, b_new = -1.4357617649121712, c_new = 4.834039791242793
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9010.88170895842
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9282632328304303, b_new = -1.444180362712296, c_new = 6.181200109393671
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3475.6545736426838
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.19266208045856, b_new = -0.7675830453560557, c_new = 4.493215498472125
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14750.428589423715
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2458176864909634, b_new = -0.7228917902134437, c_new = 5.870783346523181
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11868.561465066998
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9956266641973026, b_new = -0.5030416620494929, c_new = 5.509159910390295
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3210.0395885253192
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.997061206080711, b_new = -1.1604916288907745, c_new = 5.40968363535802
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13796.902822758198
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5443053414910417, b_new = -0.5330103420527299, c_new = 5.119885600234173
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11509.879661035535
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.667545972383136, b_new = -1.1274890396359507, c_new = 5.350213696744931
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11744.66773904929
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.766721675140296, b_new = -2.2716403164349503, c_new = 5.092069180459623
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8624.091153213847
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4719657560775783, b_new = -1.2607701695904419, c_new = 5.44720000928106
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10712.61674887246
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7294383015380745, b_new = -1.1437214762656387, c_new = 6.108151782868618
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5881.787450962958
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.041927147958971, b_new = -0.6281717463115345, c_new = 5.904629701189381
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3466.250639728846
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.727377073581728, b_new = -1.151360614477285, c_new = 5.963996667013202
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12351.817472834406
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.006449259054272, b_new = -0.8420139600595906, c_new = 5.538086474569328
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3068.025593200068
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4619672493887528, b_new = -0.37076781850189977, c_new = 5.220995356701295
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9170.650361795344
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.572745521587578, b_new = -0.9913300726537242, c_new = 4.6286870117505154
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9062.902899522507
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.209609598357515, b_new = -1.1953154472438752, c_new = 4.72728405559994
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13043.59439296045
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.560952890279102, b_new = -1.415626237514205, c_new = 6.321538453885189
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10526.125964537407
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7870666818519125, b_new = -0.34604782778363785, c_new = 5.917349134872769
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3596.681886935831
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9749637649998504, b_new = -1.060818186152505, c_new = 5.232927290456878
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3044.1648053700465
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2551258225864625, b_new = -1.8248382862306707, c_new = 6.05810586772565
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4172.350013243281
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.839477260171283, b_new = -1.5066175111029976, c_new = 4.450463826375369
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5197.482082345385
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0970876510913348, b_new = -1.2624309210815787, c_new = 5.151735052792193
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3191.504805348668
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4546680754108774, b_new = -1.1122596409586367, c_new = 5.229357398809069
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10705.401849717322
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1277583845721986, b_new = -1.6068224731121772, c_new = 6.135223277649634
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3214.629622987205
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0682398606752948, b_new = -0.2559146824606112, c_new = 5.803348944323261
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4284.810160323989
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4021815066853685, b_new = -1.0086830476886839, c_new = 5.1398239936392365
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8694.243558541955
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.964521934547721, b_new = -1.1207981130771763, c_new = 5.805649141310342
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3069.0621298161577
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.314925432721681, b_new = -0.9426732829188627, c_new = 6.114175878202908
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7478.7815366760005
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.127624574806322, b_new = -1.4513312467303674, c_new = 5.363390671333253
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3253.771637294629
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.360417848060063, b_new = -1.0497636955810248, c_new = 5.789206212737646
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8017.781853558972
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.054681316819473, b_new = -1.1537220456081092, c_new = 5.650199743382056
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3098.3915527465065
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4802299709690008, b_new = -1.077759692775675, c_new = 6.198170030468047
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10147.19173133228
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.009203618562943, b_new = 0.23351233967479934, c_new = 5.804579639017897
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15256.913900724157
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5468643065390646, b_new = -1.3291026725053965, c_new = 5.971624245554159
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10410.673130826111
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.042933321998299, b_new = -1.0500617857267422, c_new = 5.382392938032634
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3086.4200564702064
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.064207636619331, b_new = -2.0589473288836597, c_new = 5.225899994950541
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3212.2013536553113
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4948619077907654, b_new = -0.5387526525870598, c_new = 5.148925139634622
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9074.388330817443
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120405978760456, b_new = -0.04615770243179451, c_new = 4.847562643773888
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5298.189135650029
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.691954862719838, b_new = -0.766488110184157, c_new = 6.642203590244641
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5540.132032761434
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.40402614692866, b_new = -1.4322474623713992, c_new = 5.342514526678069
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7698.340528737948
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9755452861046656, b_new = -0.7264841615325653, c_new = 5.727384609145466
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3045.9425013967393
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2151158324210947, b_new = -0.6618876534150218, c_new = 5.582285225320089
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12090.510135201057
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6696309590942957, b_new = -0.7763388196981797, c_new = 5.788484239774271
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6259.406914080318
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9492765922240136, b_new = -1.9533400103726501, c_new = 5.040200499773958
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4189.751882304266
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3582979921441383, b_new = -1.407698928671861, c_new = 5.9419793334921405
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7035.546076560911
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.829369975400103, b_new = -1.3433440179438318, c_new = 6.058546841454557
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4547.400096577799
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.086251706305038, b_new = -0.5925793048712429, c_new = 5.318743929161633
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3838.8862905837823
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.910643024303533, b_new = -1.2488377494032301, c_new = 6.107369299633974
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3430.877694085447
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4673:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6055040976436152, b_new = -1.358801616640141, c_new = 6.001022248426583
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8891.540565778434
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4674:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.025458224605042, b_new = -0.6638447291933616, c_new = 5.55554961503491
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14449.200394475363
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4675:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.431669617847699, b_new = -1.1013356787327744, c_new = 5.196746839153892
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9006.483806244645
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4676:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.042386882523784, b_new = -1.205738291578546, c_new = 5.990411553023503
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3058.6106932338157
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4677:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2810148045157237, b_new = -0.9358613981196606, c_new = 6.806422684851037
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7035.772410031711
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4678:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.022345526771319, b_new = -0.17193357831730127, c_new = 5.47889431580779
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3775.859680977593
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4679:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.866161941166574, b_new = -1.0398313119895692, c_new = 5.137383712956944
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13176.133036598978
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4680:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4171667848566813, b_new = -1.2277129791773504, c_new = 6.402179556965863
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8895.955913116237
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4681:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.826255963624411, b_new = -1.5671680183770849, c_new = 5.486233074804228
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12364.93390221774
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4682:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5095686422121446, b_new = -1.616795019821787, c_new = 5.862065963601073
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9303.396438302805
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4683:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7305433496710294, b_new = -0.9398636830001791, c_new = 5.310178175957738
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5617.296311462234
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4684:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5946565806637807, b_new = -0.40053037786315315, c_new = 5.150610516809411
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12170.137239167003
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4685:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.990820794148313, b_new = -1.3328368220748301, c_new = 6.461799586021173
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3045.354256807892
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4686:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9061539699398424, b_new = -1.3516145881622248, c_new = 5.0781925526420775
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3759.5136332942134
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4687:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5888988447642234, b_new = -1.1111961611962968, c_new = 5.308638110658836
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8829.543828221582
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4688:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9335288428718704, b_new = -2.143619814587626, c_new = 5.465063438231207
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4672.612345763491
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4689:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6113935396380152, b_new = -1.259956459182783, c_new = 5.115866967060895
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10959.256228791788
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4690:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2423628970262306, b_new = -0.9494835924378013, c_new = 5.705105661482664
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5719.834952559037
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4691:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1548719016190656, b_new = -1.2401708369284359, c_new = 5.495688674043972
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3721.9226642363146
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4692:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.686908602283516, b_new = -0.520885932387618, c_new = 5.7712784478024854
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5322.932082371467
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4693:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0307292997169593, b_new = -1.5008551918636264, c_new = 5.25984726497123
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3046.422775404497
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4694:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.253118462381159, b_new = -1.361930845544392, c_new = 6.332946311785456
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5131.8890019479795
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4695:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.62497873675728, b_new = -1.2687499426401778, c_new = 5.951677864560825
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11325.35315682802
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4696:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4338963980416524, b_new = -1.299814656358305, c_new = 5.379824416822141
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8629.4028877328
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4697:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0576023745427534, b_new = -1.5336247999126131, c_new = 5.27266603591442
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3017.917765656124
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4698:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.226702795389027, b_new = -1.3318084531253231, c_new = 6.001615964833023
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12768.743593469098
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4699:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.936424332809713, b_new = -0.9514756148960541, c_new = 5.5446339454426425
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3108.752023121174
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4700:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.152615195378369, b_new = -2.6974135117909865, c_new = 4.337786782742166
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3365.3900006932868
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4701:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.818969597524071, b_new = -1.4083551927850326, c_new = 5.435569909077861
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5028.070809772082
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4702:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5637869406298566, b_new = -1.6867082993143199, c_new = 5.028858212729411
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9643.579106434294
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4703:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.342282338018475, b_new = -1.2659528267373295, c_new = 6.018027397863315
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7115.261615273654
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4704:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.550104687619242, b_new = -1.189110872019036, c_new = 5.044764410099667
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10412.666340287762
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4705:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2631966448842817, b_new = -1.3187764434182658, c_new = 5.434411912903748
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5135.780552161756
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4706:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7025283345495827, b_new = -0.7024288096929319, c_new = 5.5562618777676365
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12669.236728162668
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4707:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.715798208333181, b_new = -1.548011155309073, c_new = 5.373469688097086
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7514.063825565157
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4708:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.843806755032235, b_new = -0.90829547742599, c_new = 6.235462532631983
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3646.0503319019294
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4709:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.976293898665275, b_new = -1.4581166393054037, c_new = 6.5929430634260475
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3134.9783307932676
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4710:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2503220145273612, b_new = -1.3789115611993312, c_new = 5.613224519838482
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4831.223104726818
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4711:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.533409096519911, b_new = -1.6992468440637847, c_new = 5.789735934472217
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10710.026924666407
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4712:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6166671306397387, b_new = -1.0100330262535908, c_new = 5.242341338631588
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11449.674477537395
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4713:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0682127451119787, b_new = -1.1718819771273443, c_new = 5.071440652061134
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3103.9210123675603
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4714:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.437663074726203, b_new = -0.7691503991494233, c_new = 5.822137353502855
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10076.79496919007
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4715:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9995731188492076, b_new = -1.5195152698966363, c_new = 4.838145526344842
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3208.683136179904
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4716:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9156942832066846, b_new = -0.7635613268394885, c_new = 5.922414899854232
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3091.217164885204
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4717:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3092896487170522, b_new = -1.9841502226744974, c_new = 6.144715229630985
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13024.106934526439
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4718:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.025888426701361, b_new = -1.2026865072073363, c_new = 5.3888772398924845
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3013.0576145613704
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4719:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2376335294512724, b_new = -1.9941166372952326, c_new = 6.424314144830466
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3774.390539196541
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4720:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7342486858369446, b_new = -1.9874898847672267, c_new = 6.051252585101147
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11223.858030121994
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4721:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4571598367660163, b_new = -0.4755815500608356, c_new = 5.418305846392317
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10787.703271712104
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4722:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8967190804928187, b_new = -1.319775640290607, c_new = 5.404087673034603
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3757.0831589911677
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4723:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.88209165552439, b_new = -1.0626045942029287, c_new = 6.124078591512141
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3478.152769345673
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4724:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.695588756365739, b_new = -1.7770354169098361, c_new = 6.117487958221342
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8261.457106994769
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4725:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5528672484236257, b_new = -0.6030853756985544, c_new = 6.000938065472024
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7999.51604784604
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4726:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.865775085453366, b_new = -1.0601486926081527, c_new = 5.753106674167776
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3682.567776771766
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4727:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.757018870325954, b_new = -1.1827684411717492, c_new = 6.127071453358241
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5434.4909474113865
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4728:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0540285215943515, b_new = -1.8680722954225137, c_new = 5.157354534974593
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14447.313580496617
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4729:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.522151233879835, b_new = -0.34872710588579214, c_new = 4.730747670512429
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11482.424740769562
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4730:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.330160227199439, b_new = -2.201924253208984, c_new = 5.3154925024068245
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4430.224985418854
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4731:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3584313251500126, b_new = -1.863947219016796, c_new = 5.783433701293119
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12631.791810180264
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4732:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5711457566523914, b_new = -0.1928595165038285, c_new = 6.122343606655324
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6646.195250178801
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4733:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.679533011808579, b_new = -0.861382591294581, c_new = 5.826232744557754
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6263.038346196514
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4734:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5329673288316235, b_new = -0.8206078977503142, c_new = 5.227950795321144
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9089.629965244856
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4735:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.949367113764642, b_new = -0.8780505240076057, c_new = 6.123943270272712
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14038.491654782661
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4736:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6385404863141626, b_new = -1.3005338079052715, c_new = 4.822327624470178
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11071.234099376306
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4737:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.98062583716247, b_new = -0.8453933563148996, c_new = 5.490475250378675
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3020.182482544941
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4738:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1510972964303923, b_new = -1.3389073263382285, c_new = 5.096689148858154
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3502.6287347010957
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4739:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.701401447655799, b_new = -0.39990950548183624, c_new = 5.325078552049184
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4927.493032237509
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4740:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.552205363541107, b_new = 0.008797940666281256, c_new = 4.92836584613824
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6893.416357995341
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4741:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0698248083883817, b_new = -1.9028298438277376, c_new = 6.176333062616475
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14179.641393793234
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4742:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0917610499347195, b_new = -1.31780705607446, c_new = 5.013702085714193
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3124.131182992709
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4743:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6833478118464207, b_new = -0.7678124257497716, c_new = 4.848448098837437
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6280.69213369094
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4744:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9634989053142236, b_new = -0.011291633135813495, c_new = 5.238316562920927
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3396.1507098157317
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4745:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2758252087139947, b_new = -1.5423829616496485, c_new = 6.1009913136628295
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5060.902323912078
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4746:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0123068632358, b_new = -0.7861413841870146, c_new = 5.336585117795565
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13521.964374481113
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4747:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7862364838539966, b_new = -1.1602327988569598, c_new = 5.841701302429748
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12714.211411047097
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4748:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2676084499434306, b_new = -0.6825495245007627, c_new = 5.5340811029820935
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6943.69771709102
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4749:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.751252447673716, b_new = -0.2874196829353173, c_new = 5.541172837249766
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13514.81580349243
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4750:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6847775884477416, b_new = -0.6219564042860004, c_new = 5.5766474747233294
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5652.37181580305
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4751:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3608458341042162, b_new = -0.35695364148526665, c_new = 4.867163727243424
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10503.753427401023
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4752:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.937180834345731, b_new = -0.7332952054674338, c_new = 5.214013901910348
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3044.2428299814273
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4753:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6528506349485843, b_new = -1.3153461976592336, c_new = 6.510398579910523
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7735.101545084348
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4754:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1400589895823416, b_new = -0.9876711540577625, c_new = 5.464862774462023
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3907.9457083587713
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4755:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3147066814790715, b_new = -1.7365873379684704, c_new = 6.617410703697307
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12541.182724444803
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4756:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.051626207360827, b_new = -0.7759988334964456, c_new = 5.671740059140044
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3354.0958527482267
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4757:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.51869872554885, b_new = -0.45286553360425763, c_new = 5.591900545075995
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8367.256010332529
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4758:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4154754618759315, b_new = -0.5692513033219704, c_new = 5.602769696087677
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10118.96905085722
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4759:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3799442625931526, b_new = -2.1726243970689043, c_new = 5.55277302651593
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5384.488311397189
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4760:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.947694034462772, b_new = -1.1342560437014537, c_new = 5.6669565142553875
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3146.7886604895925
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4761:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8036400236417376, b_new = -0.848741879854563, c_new = 4.746236420967149
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4332.646352051226
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4762:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4493690637205363, b_new = -0.9583807122345659, c_new = 5.275966545142671
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10463.68133520565
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4763:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8434209595050772, b_new = -0.39801980869371845, c_new = 5.8789542176770695
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13789.405756301392
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4764:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.217018473448671, b_new = -0.6181622498558085, c_new = 5.996359439710593
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6189.747041671648
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4765:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.456885061414768, b_new = -1.0019543921936915, c_new = 5.997276800241977
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10228.818785820898
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4766:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231594263140713, b_new = -1.6968778006108962, c_new = 4.643799681080514
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3809.0236531103537
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4767:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7890416517438843, b_new = -1.3483178381732872, c_new = 4.657772473496024
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12178.886654256548
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4768:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7614441306981554, b_new = -1.414697763366898, c_new = 5.347693010455833
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6191.688417941524
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4769:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.437160802061949, b_new = -1.3331473169754495, c_new = 5.62100824645793
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11173.177444316712
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4770:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9814016858249004, b_new = -1.3686389110490391, c_new = 5.402335797181739
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3146.326094521182
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4771:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.984370879304559, b_new = -1.009331943803549, c_new = 6.7358968068465845
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3043.511949477236
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4772:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.235735251100186, b_new = -1.1181219078715163, c_new = 4.334947615919335
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4782.160123034768
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4773:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7212294961148027, b_new = -1.975528045780218, c_new = 4.797743515987532
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8839.729313444885
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4774:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.573026108703333, b_new = -0.9377529159249196, c_new = 5.654125462535799
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11280.149632913788
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4775:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.599936461215321, b_new = -1.1793954641122264, c_new = 4.872590778768893
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8968.206051304314
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4776:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.159054150656865, b_new = -0.892562975669984, c_new = 5.076291738207125
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4223.01932253588
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4777:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.714048562573567, b_new = -1.6808145186247767, c_new = 4.780902092207073
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8165.528952325885
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4778:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8833390943574386, b_new = -1.8219179579025742, c_new = 5.6133345708645805
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4772.38001704525
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4779:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.887142753737331, b_new = -0.5465414178396335, c_new = 5.724244050488957
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13774.320823994152
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4780:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7055329884875583, b_new = -1.1797367278607915, c_new = 5.677537426511601
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6609.27924986769
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4781:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.36893011516632, b_new = -0.7835442627835962, c_new = 5.458910152449833
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8778.63121132804
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4782:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.675352214483833, b_new = -0.09610911115216436, c_new = 5.9615367800432315
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4609.792004401965
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4783:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4713566719772873, b_new = -0.3452603499543574, c_new = 5.2086851394158815
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8989.3686605816
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4784:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.629313810100788, b_new = -1.5160176267344743, c_new = 6.323790701381636
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8746.268124345723
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4785:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.348870119170266, b_new = -1.260516716553004, c_new = 5.26247048335739
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15025.354262789899
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4786:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.360431249008154, b_new = -1.015225893027847, c_new = 5.708843485913615
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8081.5846332933625
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4787:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.021571561545929, b_new = -0.9355928696590083, c_new = 6.146169006918764
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14311.453685307391
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4788:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6227770687146754, b_new = -1.4118174202064167, c_new = 5.496354285224154
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8909.917994534038
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4789:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0028334997585566, b_new = -2.1932881566189355, c_new = 4.837925583922269
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3960.9339906783666
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4790:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.479452428945313, b_new = -0.759072465400779, c_new = 5.100568557846597
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10402.203381483727
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4791:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.985213614863125, b_new = -1.0908096839520631, c_new = 5.737592916797298
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3021.5220797861484
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4792:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5391785374954265, b_new = -0.5835720227250777, c_new = 5.264319096309575
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11421.393326409761
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4793:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.89310973376744, b_new = -1.5929829828493303, c_new = 4.937788891506489
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4350.88829467114
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4794:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8897607563899834, b_new = -0.3121737664321349, c_new = 5.363448591513245
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3056.1115057693623
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4795:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.171122015237047, b_new = -1.3793727071439, c_new = 5.373474350390913
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13327.381763132638
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4796:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.774041457269854, b_new = -1.5095008317499001, c_new = 5.284337981940316
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6205.54607075913
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4797:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6582887125040244, b_new = -0.3828250652505397, c_new = 5.112973486078219
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5734.02883311828
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4798:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4662594555524664, b_new = -1.6049105786017694, c_new = 5.662487398761774
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8559.477925391264
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4799:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.287071885329261, b_new = -0.7872335768812119, c_new = 6.07507024677921
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7297.775047301566
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4800:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.715152993936508, b_new = -0.9003837426879834, c_new = 4.904416872692662
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5958.130548671524
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4801:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.549775059554901, b_new = -1.0625982576629311, c_new = 4.409613758065247
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10442.838733451963
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4802:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3821497234279856, b_new = -1.7176324668175118, c_new = 5.1176769246074985
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12441.041701609742
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4803:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3478790711731343, b_new = -1.6502818555332301, c_new = 4.942205147814161
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5823.365047497531
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4804:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1996120955600476, b_new = -1.2461956343711451, c_new = 6.086784652380614
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4415.887541174063
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4805:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.963499069703621, b_new = -1.3359768372707839, c_new = 6.044003281759801
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3161.943430819267
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4806:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.329123736442023, b_new = -1.2300752008326155, c_new = 5.993559141646901
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6921.569561712005
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4807:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7209799589818253, b_new = -0.9962870226472296, c_new = 5.624785665795845
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5840.950533518415
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4808:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7404460938472606, b_new = -0.6976428750699749, c_new = 5.360350249659244
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4874.654686202413
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4809:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.865114665320804, b_new = -0.908651975573849, c_new = 5.571967723892671
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3535.9547136770616
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4810:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.520593562913653, b_new = -1.3211349718628296, c_new = 5.9593417758341305
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10066.611419058865
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4811:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.162473680051324, b_new = -1.2480170165240552, c_new = 6.259948313912362
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3949.0267550463905
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4812:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4382815583506954, b_new = -1.614827959166248, c_new = 5.282458236752355
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11747.964608213912
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4813:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.075041676627271, b_new = -0.517482284079789, c_new = 5.42395850380304
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3844.2538639640165
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4814:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0213267534305563, b_new = -0.4755952899308631, c_new = 5.020659106046452
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3330.0739670653193
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4815:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6938427041113493, b_new = -1.3735359096790216, c_new = 4.99530820094519
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11500.984012584397
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4816:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.728458175508587, b_new = -2.0338646585587394, c_new = 5.468244902498434
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8572.482131157532
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4817:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4001416323764033, b_new = -0.985500733491087, c_new = 4.919988051338404
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8633.049309538212
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4818:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.659390460567943, b_new = -1.0583356901854437, c_new = 4.754636563937674
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7580.510531121023
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4819:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9726661323207395, b_new = -1.03956942377439, c_new = 4.910723304878045
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13686.324643381042
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4820:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.561408916989665, b_new = -0.9136455444454228, c_new = 6.11845302244215
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15120.752482570117
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4821:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5664399533740143, b_new = -1.6684379627659807, c_new = 6.371227979049126
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10134.069161819627
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4822:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6165468753176766, b_new = -0.7692990328989083, c_new = 5.035735972525055
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11761.790837856292
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4823:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3229020318440625, b_new = -0.7270247289404383, c_new = 5.146845744937364
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11425.866711968667
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4824:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6736679792737164, b_new = -1.081599748318896, c_new = 5.615216358965931
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7028.472472734376
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4825:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.309107216756087, b_new = -0.6569954440038295, c_new = 5.699264175485642
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8005.993654137826
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4826:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8367552086292807, b_new = -1.4661854252291793, c_new = 4.691696926182185
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5074.2248332606405
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4827:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3706165911556183, b_new = -0.9733128108436114, c_new = 5.229593941939501
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8213.787279194281
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4828:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8331576955979356, b_new = -1.5286828984749428, c_new = 5.814761339894497
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4932.852219525191
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4829:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1391292851181722, b_new = -1.5979592746710756, c_new = 4.900780491961937
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3184.4731417315625
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4830:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2253794999454177, b_new = -1.565071243081521, c_new = 6.0037282218347805
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13065.031805412726
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4831:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7261428766653024, b_new = -1.3870009564420158, c_new = 5.580443538383005
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6771.28078595116
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4832:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.873858256015593, b_new = -1.620004919475037, c_new = 5.342214061078144
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12573.87625192332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4833:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1578519230722573, b_new = -1.5526413216228625, c_new = 5.870099267334805
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13473.265189108737
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4834:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6387027629304205, b_new = -1.4015344788495574, c_new = 5.793304522573244
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11192.863514788145
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4835:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.425078693309925, b_new = -1.1200451768197097, c_new = 5.656662170989268
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10914.881056215765
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4836:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.278860211738567, b_new = -0.6198309315115849, c_new = 5.0624365892071985
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7183.337852227407
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4837:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4411580539761193, b_new = -1.2445044055536156, c_new = 5.591455382473035
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8968.37470961829
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4838:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9283164991067263, b_new = -0.47492806828688583, c_new = 5.968943258572087
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3054.03674644113
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4839:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3611497188431367, b_new = -0.6229939171186407, c_new = 5.019137964674268
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8878.92924393993
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4840:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6189148358567884, b_new = -1.078575099503713, c_new = 4.552142873841954
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11162.239131226077
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4841:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4740969259604326, b_new = -0.9812913334779634, c_new = 5.187401637010792
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9915.05353922321
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4842:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0176401492120744, b_new = -1.2583534684562014, c_new = 5.693090657187777
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3011.8547341467174
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4843:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3975691342687817, b_new = -1.4114415325867333, c_new = 5.930416920259671
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7846.686236183641
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4844:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4652999975235987, b_new = -1.1023197411447982, c_new = 6.1690447542235844
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10263.50762056401
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4845:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.395784450335701, b_new = -1.2149892079507023, c_new = 4.619904047389752
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11695.832663966517
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4846:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.594895292715443, b_new = -1.5382514812909265, c_new = 5.711748065946663
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10492.50092950038
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4847:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3729969717604398, b_new = -1.8793185754966375, c_new = 5.684675875200931
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12575.39595785979
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4848:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9835100166639745, b_new = -1.1491970750276466, c_new = 5.9473020551626155
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3029.860018912168
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.943900398013082, b_new = 0.01704391384956505, c_new = 4.961390281943934
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3255.2370436936485
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.374772748911146, b_new = -1.013304173221312, c_new = 5.478621588675765
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11301.558079872473
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.536795581022234, b_new = -1.3687284759576495, c_new = 5.458383493033478
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10048.764403702913
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.567300019184482, b_new = -1.9504150528026276, c_new = 5.712547032796746
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10818.062966676198
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8274783212995307, b_new = -0.9032826828003471, c_new = 4.7586150128129
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4093.972691784171
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.114762975040951, b_new = -1.1440974262028392, c_new = 5.492991694320381
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13341.690055666062
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.426524021590465, b_new = -1.4770326428885556, c_new = 5.836612424030539
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11459.715641536151
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6328611997470035, b_new = -1.8746650834647474, c_new = 5.367598965106964
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9895.082795973098
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8309645773202234, b_new = -1.231674698539501, c_new = 6.164850656633773
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4291.809539698017
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7158258527619683, b_new = -1.1276177546460355, c_new = 5.147064157279718
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6449.526135090342
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1215942363428377, b_new = -0.3324308690679596, c_new = 4.967450050563185
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4707.379664503525
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.558255465818089, b_new = -1.779728249765887, c_new = 5.881071767673578
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10530.92478213756
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2274503805587416, b_new = -0.14707376902713043, c_new = 4.891302950535756
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7345.872849442016
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5091669349448478, b_new = -1.1346731788282163, c_new = 5.44415086645796
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10010.819690377364
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6313068502810677, b_new = 0.2329755106684519, c_new = 5.832363181736077
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13522.433775186346
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2624007649937177, b_new = -1.4586429553757279, c_new = 5.277459660689378
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12890.247770285663
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4363260548075356, b_new = -1.3123754216818637, c_new = 5.808361771565506
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8799.922232741037
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3519998621990936, b_new = -1.4658759712244218, c_new = 5.568009890250452
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6603.27242077095
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4242285269300208, b_new = -2.09474036921085, c_new = 6.206890278498395
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6673.020010292632
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.081091307137472, b_new = -1.111194444538811, c_new = 5.446668166161347
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13494.711141610303
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.597333658551905, b_new = -0.5615450469954945, c_new = 6.39536638647662
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6950.834068936613
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.803477204949952, b_new = -1.5094235341877202, c_new = 5.07410198510535
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5679.124391297458
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3127610697503336, b_new = -0.9383779669579275, c_new = 5.700353265969861
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7273.612002789001
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2962283993863193, b_new = -0.5271273342082601, c_new = 5.409722540533923
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11281.911440753469
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.420291189216078, b_new = -1.022210848836844, c_new = 4.91591814026906
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8900.573644538134
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.540239922683, b_new = -1.4834624463304182, c_new = 5.581262639239284
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10265.77097629644
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.270550306133443, b_new = -1.6568205401882783, c_new = 4.926032797224174
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4434.0893525626925
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.507315840636188, b_new = -0.25598300288170084, c_new = 5.407834429050306
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11709.685847808749
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5917766337589803, b_new = -2.241572680646974, c_new = 5.633004365453657
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11127.369250303833
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.460522252602395, b_new = -1.9063222530717998, c_new = 5.573702554103523
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7669.272871280891
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.153841905881733, b_new = -1.2213527611427437, c_new = 5.884792471691608
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3809.5309756016095
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9637454232434894, b_new = -1.4455528831894415, c_new = 6.140603049041937
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3225.226572125811
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.135240183672222, b_new = -1.3002730951731718, c_new = 5.606549647672901
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3477.725159955881
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8923037667426517, b_new = -1.0852869594625172, c_new = 4.935814077757167
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3581.96499808862
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.276087965137442, b_new = -0.7414657946992, c_new = 5.589116128303831
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15266.157791639278
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.652351843001247, b_new = -0.8823555408471029, c_new = 4.737230235903867
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7258.355663685952
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.284119162434649, b_new = -1.1465058212859969, c_new = 5.005094391402217
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5821.876548449912
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.27416389548191, b_new = -1.0139369178586057, c_new = 5.95087938307731
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12034.21657635935
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.243242563345336, b_new = -1.7662251175463872, c_new = 5.095295782008156
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3922.3680535508383
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5699104511369106, b_new = -1.6823300600578477, c_new = 5.440815964203673
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9855.938845687775
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3100539639244904, b_new = -2.055176404931172, c_new = 4.912378373910271
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4309.601516238774
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.412825061178514, b_new = -0.7713046922119975, c_new = 5.346563820561375
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10518.721397446825
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.813830464487513, b_new = -1.1889185513869531, c_new = 5.517996314861402
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4628.318898096571
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5810190626545264, b_new = -0.8464901245536469, c_new = 5.445227536429516
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11443.369021789968
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4070449018084132, b_new = -1.5956613390471386, c_new = 5.398469710628057
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7344.191994134628
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5072755557827424, b_new = -0.3609074498056216, c_new = 5.9857999936493425
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11720.99515520661
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.550767613823065, b_new = -1.3262033281758883, c_new = 6.026164235653553
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9649.753632968444
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1466035496630687, b_new = -1.2960299160070057, c_new = 5.162207699802389
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3518.731979857682
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.553898164546925, b_new = -2.4014967143951798, c_new = 5.0812419536219355
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12039.61130780009
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0461468725597647, b_new = -0.8294298810373197, c_new = 4.727821167371416
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3171.262161702347
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.152050900393381, b_new = -1.0647732975788524, c_new = 4.714285358688901
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3789.8039744677203
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7720013254507405, b_new = -1.2948533034930434, c_new = 5.759016353941153
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12419.37348205599
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2027061585974965, b_new = -1.567140805468997, c_new = 5.418811686905135
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3789.3943281987026
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4158463552285294, b_new = -1.5536584684963497, c_new = 5.420278394579329
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7643.862454991859
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0230285508821044, b_new = -0.9338277051301964, c_new = 5.186770645096567
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3060.0864148426595
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.082787219180156, b_new = -1.355197242063247, c_new = 5.791619925915767
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3118.523806311134
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3207116959247136, b_new = -1.0273789461816745, c_new = 5.54982108689583
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7134.045014016368
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.727033191046149, b_new = -1.2100281005162197, c_new = 6.116247589994724
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6094.326067611335
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9419480934091142, b_new = -1.2180045548258858, c_new = 4.727952224564574
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13295.902300269223
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7732371061212633, b_new = -0.6953819958969452, c_new = 6.237305895810885
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4172.805728414885
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4528822849518814, b_new = -2.2642578945154153, c_new = 4.84318905743678
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6377.227379364099
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2141918501258266, b_new = -0.6940777451149047, c_new = 5.815212234127328
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5851.032484549542
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.563749545694793, b_new = -0.6143691760198817, c_new = 4.551808708504646
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8335.708069314114
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0690173682242468, b_new = -0.5708257093392259, c_new = 5.760622065737913
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3770.811285367993
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.792427142446635, b_new = -1.2854587323870543, c_new = 4.562675686676581
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5512.804715176162
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0978625132125375, b_new = -1.0685126802550837, c_new = 5.808795757733725
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3439.056996298382
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2383525956829704, b_new = -1.4295323579854118, c_new = 6.1044266451437705
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4665.210596695386
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.773258687617446, b_new = -1.1309309268382541, c_new = 5.323495421592737
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5257.031628019235
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.043147677911546, b_new = -1.2510666683326672, c_new = 5.51292197473482
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13810.994051105328
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.182008981000765, b_new = -1.5437202253055415, c_new = 5.046234630023473
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3550.1226885030665
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.658042974510039, b_new = -0.31946284752372245, c_new = 4.603671589623761
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5746.2817894016425
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4862488736782713, b_new = -1.427606274783257, c_new = 4.867705243188127
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11054.456572299026
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0491901507501087, b_new = -1.5547810689094415, c_new = 4.947838315031658
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14220.042882835205
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8158591076932087, b_new = -1.8262433028928993, c_new = 5.010535233690414
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6289.306069717647
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8368423689524085, b_new = -1.3359552395979999, c_new = 5.5194024461926094
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4555.383536746107
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4878323904155932, b_new = -0.9371464104262328, c_new = 6.0672048063986255
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10483.780799031241
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9242807597076284, b_new = -1.0315204956414699, c_new = 4.984557283253918
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3266.5008110733074
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.905081908538671, b_new = -0.7418470904690135, c_new = 4.652165148431045
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3200.2738120505246
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.565966094217776, b_new = -1.0082179492533005, c_new = 4.811300001848655
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9145.477429008413
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0855940426412687, b_new = -1.6329049756256153, c_new = 6.004612983887673
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3035.4164230757888
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4068610015610234, b_new = -1.3132753758113962, c_new = 4.893157308772911
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11667.941128850012
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8300288738511856, b_new = -0.5661068415336379, c_new = 4.435353328576463
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13344.08884231401
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4232076534009432, b_new = -1.0827507342355227, c_new = 6.044750495487139
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10749.845537562931
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.976130139355295, b_new = -0.681314254249479, c_new = 5.505319044527885
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14206.68330846112
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2751152718825507, b_new = -1.3298047831875888, c_new = 5.430154961430436
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5329.623141433247
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.058079025052897, b_new = -0.9730897414228081, c_new = 6.586939891399849
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3345.1533479663603
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4966075223883424, b_new = -0.7598456998885339, c_new = 5.767162542869575
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10824.250327492704
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.198281653325708, b_new = -1.635438100320933, c_new = 5.237939473104896
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3626.889459715193
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4500082515223562, b_new = -1.4776722712600128, c_new = 5.490595876085388
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8519.642818716122
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.805856702798129, b_new = -1.758692704879724, c_new = 5.997334257227839
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5947.2323998953
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.908391304623914, b_new = -1.5197989647799268, c_new = 5.47760560753215
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3898.0449989193703
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2587365801123065, b_new = -1.2469254814937716, c_new = 5.494936719770585
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5237.409700816033
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.232172289842983, b_new = -0.8232346695562366, c_new = 5.973860474067244
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5941.074554769777
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4008060124704453, b_new = -0.6944805255608122, c_new = 5.275610160828397
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10537.367666789018
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8177080097714424, b_new = -1.157767349484655, c_new = 4.6509265298642335
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4740.543981075918
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.606055233836638, b_new = -1.4847811545708547, c_new = 4.768390566400265
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9634.270214488675
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.749985019525854, b_new = -1.6835770971064394, c_new = 5.161473468115073
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7252.291740789049
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9620194188567694, b_new = -1.3354922224271357, c_new = 5.865901145655513
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3183.111404697372
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.470192502777758, b_new = -2.1315221850618378, c_new = 5.308384154527811
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7195.386103493338
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5242383042178873, b_new = -1.0023050318111204, c_new = 5.804907912750169
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10701.122901317454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.211384473498438, b_new = -1.0196930507981268, c_new = 5.46131596908043
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4892.0117136304125
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.954735257240897, b_new = -1.6189339469833652, c_new = 5.989973962655808
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3463.721282498446
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.615169146850876, b_new = -0.9060805739209753, c_new = 5.937886395919468
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7619.70544526937
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2091176174234874, b_new = -1.2819978934861298, c_new = 5.714647741670155
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12892.549643422193
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9187422880973444, b_new = -1.1656640523247592, c_new = 6.146080706929896
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14121.251517959361
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.916822953532593, b_new = -0.8707471035111891, c_new = 4.941684608410165
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14124.240562277053
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3033057413821503, b_new = -1.4694853519082332, c_new = 5.740549549794831
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5639.458134621232
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.722292344058741, b_new = -1.0470104073806004, c_new = 3.90359483237705
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6565.859244431011
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5855531698250447, b_new = -1.1444667432124747, c_new = 5.549721002333473
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8878.229435864821
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.644333781023457, b_new = -0.9714708244456204, c_new = 5.652674689349743
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11872.112617339873
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.172120492585107, b_new = -0.4818353599790445, c_new = 6.274714112406488
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5721.98107642904
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4155446193935934, b_new = -0.6636329583404861, c_new = 5.601227920161558
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9910.314918849203
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2628177200312636, b_new = -1.2506960230461357, c_new = 5.643930949110139
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5352.369542020574
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7720535205703114, b_new = -1.1010312000320792, c_new = 5.766676479004465
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5078.821420523335
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6326815527420027, b_new = -1.1767291813891196, c_new = 5.035659557382297
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8310.262860003073
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4397389082948315, b_new = -1.9173940605256803, c_new = 6.023873908109053
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11995.720129016841
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4918511704262047, b_new = -1.6410737832815796, c_new = 4.72614147361652
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11436.100301447495
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0851576087803734, b_new = -1.4585011182500576, c_new = 5.2340526547459385
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13893.406877797472
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.393576338348354, b_new = -0.8715213126848158, c_new = 5.440906693792029
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10881.421504342108
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.778699141091091, b_new = -1.1429285342394073, c_new = 5.391474530185995
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12564.444748960044
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7596950441385335, b_new = -1.2732996555340508, c_new = 6.441498569944894
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5501.587675916404
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.937037445565394, b_new = -0.9466870558539957, c_new = 5.168418685246203
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3126.411235195343
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.765217966711811, b_new = -1.10270512001611, c_new = 5.225366742241663
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5371.614760680786
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.630966065406439, b_new = -1.0050886099413965, c_new = 4.834748894421178
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7973.184497117343
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.493065469383473, b_new = -0.8453583859566002, c_new = 4.973558462280574
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9793.994946919596
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2097596506118964, b_new = -1.7477257458379227, c_new = 5.257702112921636
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3609.992616195137
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2822219536473187, b_new = -1.4252301089282335, c_new = 5.263048614810999
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5189.554775954282
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.444430292888911, b_new = -0.4370121997285219, c_new = 6.438932299170267
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11069.422179579731
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.677320911058714, b_new = -1.2341944483712246, c_new = 5.898331428633984
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7255.473914095638
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.752908384730686, b_new = -1.2442632510213332, c_new = 5.129855487590724
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12182.261395038135
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.028326667141848, b_new = -1.5997074983145476, c_new = 6.014616877009429
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3048.24031415797
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7016515349616688, b_new = -0.4112016782811989, c_new = 6.146926759672745
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13221.746000588182
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2058746668907347, b_new = -1.2796978737737863, c_new = 5.809285253457047
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4375.338432277496
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.11503322606978, b_new = -1.6310775146213876, c_new = 5.663703257233383
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3105.407683721206
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3912923946001587, b_new = -1.0322801914931885, c_new = 5.712251574482821
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11099.815544312894
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0601309573552813, b_new = -0.7623446480256617, c_new = 4.954856301293331
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3332.5769173203175
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9947038822508016, b_new = -1.6922999066966715, c_new = 5.250524613631081
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3330.576931429514
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5401638842284173, b_new = -0.7242073289959294, c_new = 5.29339702805327
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11201.126092167884
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7088296784006225, b_new = -1.6570172294024474, c_new = 5.393469430305332
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7954.219867498054
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.688480662551246, b_new = -0.5997478515842981, c_new = 5.853039484299263
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12795.091821182774
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.698157197495369, b_new = -0.2335002289384982, c_new = 5.038184061810418
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13112.575798819085
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8047184724040877, b_new = -1.456973571100886, c_new = 6.4543821381084765
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5088.035435728177
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.212039362711663, b_new = -0.6448705129105003, c_new = 5.17657248077504
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15059.202583110762
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3039354628838797, b_new = -1.4145039943381323, c_new = 5.701389020167071
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12431.802251407196
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6458764159377304, b_new = -0.5918169960591482, c_new = 5.315434332465855
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6426.321002919909
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.695007225154402, b_new = -1.7910150159955873, c_new = 5.1513552697280005
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10921.854035508542
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.01310694708261, b_new = -1.3949804320145702, c_new = 4.815284329259893
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14249.520825403128
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.754858318963482, b_new = -1.0766315448227526, c_new = 5.586866765429998
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5391.799526677345
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.72375771327018, b_new = -0.9564969491010233, c_new = 5.372352061324783
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5770.444565388983
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.433865986186408, b_new = -1.903579811958422, c_new = 5.113766565175199
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6984.774743078132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 4999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.489942784106384, b_new = -0.8046579633994437, c_new = 5.443925245893992
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10555.354630803029
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8413682085700502, b_new = -1.6393890144988919, c_new = 5.367541118150831
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5173.34344536394
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.959818997850834, b_new = -1.753323704824068, c_new = 5.1119245903358195
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3731.323281378575
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3475902605030843, b_new = -0.11707691259662734, c_new = 4.836436292648886
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9832.875240789106
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1817577064261213, b_new = -0.7598857868830646, c_new = 5.752414419520337
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5040.486441807391
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.768441244849462, b_new = -1.3883184474609933, c_new = 4.841172044968976
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6162.82368519876
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7674774847937864, b_new = -1.4069484374356662, c_new = 5.42751166342952
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6018.058185927823
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6193366804432947, b_new = -1.3737998293943687, c_new = 5.84458870448772
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11066.730039942693
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.984499371733869, b_new = -0.9730769132159167, c_new = 5.875416804986545
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14041.5757494813
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8199172155402126, b_new = -1.3452972992934387, c_new = 5.250099397842469
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12542.95668012744
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3217290514816757, b_new = -1.448595495685539, c_new = 5.051987586369749
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5835.757225877871
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2538889136825233, b_new = -0.8854816292953736, c_new = 5.875707500974289
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6198.747331561473
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.383132211609063, b_new = -1.0504191395924518, c_new = 4.794755150853265
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8090.133634600824
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.35254381276481, b_new = -0.6901439917608077, c_new = 4.967324217900939
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8514.852971455235
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.155316142811129, b_new = -1.090784968093035, c_new = 6.518611923801849
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4176.119960328727
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5663492649165214, b_new = -1.510951240955177, c_new = 5.3732291179488545
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10113.625705951052
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.93060693364625, b_new = -0.8768051399496585, c_new = 4.520066186309422
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3165.9198105078285
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2536474202042203, b_new = -1.3807394482109707, c_new = 5.695502796828355
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4907.35906540674
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3168704340186013, b_new = -1.4000246053900127, c_new = 5.267081786911055
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5932.874807774944
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2258072275921723, b_new = -0.8641609229915332, c_new = 4.51925786429535
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12568.413206071948
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3929554739013152, b_new = -0.7481018448213428, c_new = 4.902602349940151
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10836.473213676845
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5184999487712845, b_new = -1.5991008771023054, c_new = 5.642866019621375
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9398.574989600082
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9644822764880687, b_new = -1.2580899435548167, c_new = 5.595566332885158
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13580.678272908095
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1560543725, b_new = -1.2272776067248312, c_new = 5.12174501134119
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14353.44057896034
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3481580463271707, b_new = -0.298211315155152, c_new = 5.643014981121219
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9719.505707482738
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2582539074534718, b_new = -1.080700426960832, c_new = 4.703079735305034
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5372.274680426599
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4887799837000077, b_new = -1.5789298221224057, c_new = 4.918600958898516
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8745.716369144855
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.645431197070472, b_new = -1.59503232727806, c_new = 5.616487475055807
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8922.671500282184
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.026605165957124, b_new = -0.7141977559888588, c_new = 6.708353508713644
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14689.66779212376
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.032589692783571, b_new = -2.0251887664816595, c_new = 5.696905403750751
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3313.4132261968343
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0660966973124597, b_new = -0.9100832427371031, c_new = 4.995487384440504
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3251.5625733442166
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.504681702871067, b_new = -1.6896437648333826, c_new = 4.573603578057169
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8641.854461183093
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4151566289173014, b_new = -1.2733893545281019, c_new = 5.8426694250700075
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8525.153899508754
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5571245802206635, b_new = -1.836015677037513, c_new = 5.399720756803621
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10824.502109135465
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2944312468285233, b_new = -2.081855603580797, c_new = 5.715386805478474
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13356.472709476922
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.010158191060824, b_new = -1.3641337481619, c_new = 6.310084279504451
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13868.297313500057
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1117805490091284, b_new = -1.5517579147169576, c_new = 5.317165194428726
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3110.264660444356
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.067999222105861, b_new = -1.4749186512047316, c_new = 5.90948976782639
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3034.899651486133
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6759499020166837, b_new = -1.858705151888898, c_new = 5.0193679662669375
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9286.695250066728
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0666486828295176, b_new = -0.8563958930735076, c_new = 4.97401737272494
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13407.602282618755
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.763838551778833, b_new = -0.6314596504499889, c_new = 5.190262829789542
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4417.896417220638
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4356070624107504, b_new = -2.3399150657919616, c_new = 6.280665159395033
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6303.177055665776
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5868408478226406, b_new = -2.168088066580604, c_new = 5.195124263168824
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9058.883618785143
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5787500035436848, b_new = -0.686366670741547, c_new = 5.141160335386941
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11588.094608068235
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7750794683318745, b_new = -0.9793975435955029, c_new = 5.7083113997734465
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4784.490744711198
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1448476156643634, b_new = -1.3585628197712087, c_new = 6.013664813234147
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3560.9829860690343
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.836252012245729, b_new = -1.3036308850750253, c_new = 5.500157601724042
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12766.140904169846
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2654478915567733, b_new = -1.083305228031292, c_new = 4.093186870807266
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5316.664438893174
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.416759855228952, b_new = -0.6653311193787961, c_new = 5.229119383815404
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10314.774829341815
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9086832392136373, b_new = -1.1599363619529917, c_new = 4.865573934621512
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3528.26322150105
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8222112229461835, b_new = -1.5262261325534514, c_new = 5.9666218943219915
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5074.476628607645
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.502956377961011, b_new = -0.6307066915629759, c_new = 6.072615299124373
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8854.104425237698
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.527096083946682, b_new = -2.0107877661723514, c_new = 4.870178321927643
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11685.812521435895
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2726305524198898, b_new = -0.2971291447158001, c_new = 5.14700377229789
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8024.99495709501
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.745973050011687, b_new = -1.2064262249812656, c_new = 5.9087731995654895
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5775.328080353485
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5289220092490656, b_new = -0.5677048775490152, c_new = 5.716623967884407
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11491.860809365882
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.730616754215476, b_new = -0.36954192242833317, c_new = 5.448464881677713
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14286.771910745232
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.137748743232971, b_new = -1.332551311182964, c_new = 5.327778982473659
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3426.794390843098
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.701839791733205, b_new = -0.5854873248000151, c_new = 5.963364313173752
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5143.446364366422
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094962173434134, b_new = -1.0254679990688405, c_new = 4.772704623736952
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3322.6921944240885
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4094020873983935, b_new = -1.292839109658352, c_new = 6.527571819944533
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8633.275217087601
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.480784654136909, b_new = -2.0088865453919644, c_new = 4.823671329464017
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7546.525972501511
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.207576073957084, b_new = -0.48667801377337006, c_new = 6.047186893146223
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6376.665725931628
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.211258844828473, b_new = -1.3777811939719706, c_new = 6.0473106511427375
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12911.576467859071
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.598777677343216, b_new = -1.0978385619472146, c_new = 4.816310467411116
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8809.485596740904
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1818122659901964, b_new = -1.7756779487656411, c_new = 5.6102006483197835
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3383.9178094322124
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9072583818177944, b_new = -1.7055881664999375, c_new = 5.595064046830453
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4188.751065806804
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4156753104072877, b_new = -0.5078573123527177, c_new = 6.050158959198273
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10420.204356285338
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.751168538009329, b_new = -0.876453605270938, c_new = 5.521601862346018
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5025.455217838755
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.367935999906078, b_new = -1.6125523864181788, c_new = 4.752561992031555
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12506.614700953407
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2166122504361905, b_new = -0.8549547246954897, c_new = 5.807602979510484
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12277.385461967002
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9743449266558173, b_new = -1.5302868861484584, c_new = 5.098320487819402
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13214.753490367233
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.316246112210129, b_new = -1.5086424037433483, c_new = 5.721254051384563
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5795.788866728866
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.861388315691274, b_new = -2.5643958423365314, c_new = 6.729088848746632
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6700.02718374522
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1189069845239024, b_new = -1.200028096733585, c_new = 5.781786809041379
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3471.3334765457944
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2579038815733354, b_new = -2.1382550062317827, c_new = 5.8190908065644615
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3707.256316032786
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.623991957145239, b_new = -1.217361740289185, c_new = 5.290619020644542
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11201.808235429135
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4681805113672084, b_new = -1.3441354156743521, c_new = 6.266213705865707
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9419.93436001942
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5753810525822574, b_new = -1.565163430646448, c_new = 5.871359365441236
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10274.51666726554
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.771222875298167, b_new = -1.2927544223447034, c_new = 5.161132314263852
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5742.105816790481
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.706647197061329, b_new = -0.8469953990094228, c_new = 5.444090699400683
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12471.546439098056
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6358319631292058, b_new = -0.8866919961915507, c_new = 6.242158965800815
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12106.26067875709
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.56533681368402, b_new = -0.39133205106035773, c_new = 5.700518487741939
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12107.572007955721
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4626774237715785, b_new = -1.0736159113394375, c_new = 5.316944977689315
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10510.658553922733
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4750207457858364, b_new = -1.633351593506994, c_new = 4.776286105989621
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8337.317142406637
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3692474488292588, b_new = -1.4684395269233292, c_new = 4.885340865291846
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6714.21590696446
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.028745875813733, b_new = -1.024319092223076, c_new = 6.040870036703613
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3094.5469101189065
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.282012083367, b_new = -0.16378988778178116, c_new = 4.986972624092154
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8548.38858020467
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7747167934789974, b_new = -0.8953769904576514, c_new = 5.986451356659274
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4555.224524144368
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.37987882321905, b_new = -1.9242022304594717, c_new = 5.060439339861082
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12769.732358083762
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.155824295944248, b_new = -1.3563825688607896, c_new = 5.658416897545391
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13314.774857058772
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.200702658406198, b_new = -1.564174594055108, c_new = 4.998881444662119
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3702.6252522062814
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.463262530096065, b_new = -0.8874312895533742, c_new = 6.059823690185526
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10266.25640009641
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.362371753643075, b_new = -1.3911756569215523, c_new = 4.441522521857539
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12318.764695318383
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.785515849468797, b_new = -1.3246915521029323, c_new = 5.6367474820412315
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5384.547684295306
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.558296404737322, b_new = -0.3848610825534403, c_new = 4.20635746546788
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11602.361872766276
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1211897133399464, b_new = -0.7841006529674504, c_new = 4.63090390701326
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3821.508064747608
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2810991748022116, b_new = -0.8134506397530026, c_new = 5.203302363421654
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6735.777493711228
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.01844231276075, b_new = -1.9443425168090702, c_new = 5.368188096698966
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3383.707767415299
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.957255078346297, b_new = -1.3949299978991527, c_new = 5.573651689005381
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3284.112695174403
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3538483641673418, b_new = -1.4250115581617864, c_new = 5.73233670845339
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6813.901302314901
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.794186686951977, b_new = -1.5267835610896383, c_new = 5.128978644641419
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12102.987241107257
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.924668409843144, b_new = -1.3017190252732185, c_new = 5.99642353838428
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13424.222111921881
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5014575634803897, b_new = -1.170821038812307, c_new = 5.051049572030522
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10313.14349073113
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.607605037716582, b_new = -0.5911889013288403, c_new = 4.891010136858855
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11914.075066459813
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5645806796708044, b_new = -0.4769044137523194, c_new = 5.539676464815301
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11916.397753249992
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.445713611952705, b_new = 0.6155675127152751, c_new = 5.804476450873685
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12713.327085878696
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0273318381680663, b_new = 0.16477797066008115, c_new = 5.85473348374804
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4515.065178463786
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.268315031387278, b_new = -2.1903511183613507, c_new = 5.575117369130295
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3715.704834919831
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1292327195852194, b_new = -0.9257862347182244, c_new = 5.03289868057044
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3787.436455490633
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7031399762015123, b_new = -0.8410493815885345, c_new = 4.184346074066058
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6305.093068919023
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.390000716806162, b_new = -0.8408883599945638, c_new = 5.118167668843208
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8888.82044868406
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.299031206140394, b_new = -0.566327346023444, c_new = 6.036356336853759
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11144.753709098393
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.418803608880989, b_new = -1.0522419950263464, c_new = 5.265321378917393
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8929.688109841789
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.799231759989212, b_new = -0.7314675778338833, c_new = 5.954814332468482
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3948.0531193600305
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0608581310328327, b_new = -1.3675898205430939, c_new = 5.44896200155167
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3032.222113950884
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2743168525715016, b_new = -0.7330867758870357, c_new = 4.9412514425316205
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6711.526922903502
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1302458070130617, b_new = -0.40651107146564935, c_new = 6.174170343969811
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5073.569075488009
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4099568112164604, b_new = -0.7026364795199205, c_new = 4.477164990325076
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9327.302919009646
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.080195978643367, b_new = -1.7642476407889531, c_new = 5.07108827490713
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14261.994361135727
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.061971886037392, b_new = -1.165635560534629, c_new = 6.4316512018680765
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3192.527068174678
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7455665839921006, b_new = -1.2219906540253906, c_new = 5.073894595834939
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6110.465656189875
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1315280296263515, b_new = -1.456253765276685, c_new = 5.572082989556343
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3296.207898931476
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8590536132793918, b_new = -1.0157256125399672, c_new = 6.365246519543533
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14174.42041783941
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3300663411122713, b_new = -1.4477103095716755, c_new = 6.079400807554738
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6374.380684120206
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2236323437877963, b_new = -1.0018737884733673, c_new = 5.727907041911832
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5233.502685547644
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.922025426852686, b_new = -0.8308919965314596, c_new = 5.560524513408559
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3109.124894087113
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6313205138215547, b_new = -1.6927415659496274, c_new = 5.894581378235803
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10667.676058088215
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3136431424314687, b_new = -1.622162564588454, c_new = 6.0133068371142375
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5556.355810673822
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6390644057743216, b_new = -0.4329870597671156, c_new = 4.818446964700788
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6328.528765580544
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6408678522070488, b_new = -1.166527505314345, c_new = 5.949030882094084
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15108.452580698944
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.025092566763127, b_new = -1.155418769311214, c_new = 4.856171224715813
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3013.1340370435073
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1167226968174733, b_new = -1.557673897734526, c_new = 5.21453788406292
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3121.760136760353
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9665445714431518, b_new = -1.2215790180034862, c_new = 5.561192287668064
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3118.334553359192
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.167502981691977, b_new = -1.3750079973960274, c_new = 5.916829388849911
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3752.8857655256506
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9709821488762125, b_new = -1.1203643824990621, c_new = 4.997350379806336
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13614.596420769525
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4436310414893896, b_new = -1.3578326016890645, c_new = 5.295279523481152
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8629.516520275733
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9783502112654874, b_new = -1.12738723096884, c_new = 6.1686344907774915
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13832.92862661825
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.816580602681019, b_new = -1.655148451074723, c_new = 5.857381498957468
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5517.464438543899
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.315029751579017, b_new = -1.4137601495052263, c_new = 5.1087381499327
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12515.757565414795
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.140295881442717, b_new = -1.56804094231492, c_new = 5.724852312695377
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13618.089653177718
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4316259355334062, b_new = -0.8514915570628385, c_new = 6.837771389452786
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10190.795594379928
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8651527994012493, b_new = -0.16417527215271477, c_new = 4.999304939359173
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3080.157027157329
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4590441046034677, b_new = -1.1405948830158092, c_new = 5.380083051636303
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10659.020822535647
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.778131033506446, b_new = -0.9389806687565871, c_new = 5.6111913128387005
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14556.667348813944
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.546671668813467, b_new = -1.3624802489939758, c_new = 5.066522066715984
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10059.170041861966
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8005179640371844, b_new = -1.0198930223388285, c_new = 6.197767650134259
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4348.360601838217
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9073420770511897, b_new = -1.1006160231544988, c_new = 5.245265984304128
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3420.1813993431647
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.86113264228084, b_new = -0.9806473719221213, c_new = 5.651964146381502
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13350.937203752332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.170393947448668, b_new = -1.0338897067636654, c_new = 5.497640646668598
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14663.30831294628
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8617176951254018, b_new = -1.0561718900791788, c_new = 4.919808525990349
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3871.7438238574005
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.942317057575744, b_new = -1.6647724431157744, c_new = 5.640658837908431
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3693.7063080592216
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0216062248747084, b_new = -0.46490084551338573, c_new = 4.588173032733442
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3286.565664354744
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.156890681661517, b_new = -0.43570411562278155, c_new = 5.953587955534173
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5420.859342409036
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.556474969137157, b_new = -1.6077053238291463, c_new = 5.2531598292745425
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10422.357478285709
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9828596095654056, b_new = -1.2372798181777214, c_new = 5.298443217653375
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3081.0009461090312
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.281795283847357, b_new = -1.0006891391270114, c_new = 5.213117936691713
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15007.906299735783
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.088295011090114, b_new = -0.6794649953659802, c_new = 5.391647585968404
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3751.801475940802
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.632497022130737, b_new = -0.2465479654239371, c_new = 5.38656555435321
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12748.260396777134
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2915797515563687, b_new = -0.7173857257122748, c_new = 4.566925390984979
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6989.03360322354
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2468004326240876, b_new = -2.1390805632321115, c_new = 5.574274436532499
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3564.454488703537
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.630700298081184, b_new = -1.8464606103769299, c_new = 4.335047924279974
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10258.212885684457
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.048958496556019, b_new = -0.9902996051540808, c_new = 4.89481234819298
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3105.6446043361193
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1613733102321824, b_new = -1.8417812680703236, c_new = 5.121280641494559
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13959.36625366016
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8061270133983482, b_new = -0.2974892411451764, c_new = 4.724447287986167
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13593.97695607801
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0628933991135248, b_new = -2.0725790300949436, c_new = 5.41359303968053
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3207.0698628641603
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.720453114675013, b_new = -1.3385022678275902, c_new = 3.6941427285403368
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7513.861677617864
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2507428113917034, b_new = -2.047294319683565, c_new = 5.721945722394897
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3730.9048868647405
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.740714172281906, b_new = -1.3353945586123266, c_new = 5.398373049385514
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6393.436061740897
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.760634279640483, b_new = -0.877370231519542, c_new = 5.79053286425647
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4793.743069118424
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.241293373371837, b_new = -1.0584724794356146, c_new = 6.352522934590875
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12231.093409201625
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.889032432886367, b_new = -0.6656878799534041, c_new = 6.304987156643514
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14021.30207433153
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9441852554848902, b_new = -0.6360412322707995, c_new = 5.039733627120181
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13760.238941424099
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.578791781356089, b_new = -0.5059842964542108, c_new = 5.291008198596168
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11918.431800560786
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.27841119177137, b_new = -0.6282684412309077, c_new = 4.990042055385796
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7119.884326153987
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.259122048575661, b_new = -1.095800505418605, c_new = 5.216608991134211
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5517.529123909419
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120600736334098, b_new = -0.9762006607568344, c_new = 5.936358492938529
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3796.774689410263
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1066879832375056, b_new = -1.119170084882347, c_new = 5.6139241008615794
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3430.073670710324
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4499507186189513, b_new = -1.067553845324396, c_new = 6.079226906263602
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10408.280139168462
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6078207258502926, b_new = -1.3139872396039218, c_new = 5.385810794437106
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10913.620193173747
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2954784414880955, b_new = -1.5592034232247127, c_new = 5.828455944322078
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12650.572074728603
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7533711185809557, b_new = -1.763304501942902, c_new = 5.913695592754307
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11677.747392476596
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.84404804532404, b_new = -1.4172098075665667, c_new = 5.595030283284004
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4582.568056590517
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.167180705878899, b_new = -0.3804465267696536, c_new = 5.401807451539923
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5562.845202577326
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.965540270524479, b_new = -1.6399022612695062, c_new = 5.69126593944873
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3439.0867156936356
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.25552074061368, b_new = -0.7287780946963188, c_new = 5.37879526026515
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6480.485527983048
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.426403076492301, b_new = -1.964757061572209, c_new = 5.230393314543474
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6717.365183514374
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8838229379136537, b_new = -0.5259804576850106, c_new = 4.400173648548208
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13665.941683869942
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9502905318659143, b_new = 0.1586697024162047, c_new = 5.670203731072382
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3553.805562137447
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7261083777157005, b_new = -0.486321882350354, c_new = 5.206071335491909
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13014.146457417548
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.31017753845198, b_new = -1.5475204573120038, c_new = 4.7300061664237
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5270.37047194251
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.201488944742183, b_new = -1.0966470963232016, c_new = 5.39284474198671
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4550.805103133701
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5825200912367623, b_new = -1.708199051122772, c_new = 6.228320127833137
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10206.509589756852
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.210455908078433, b_new = -1.199502237928961, c_new = 5.610528859056377
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4546.781504935361
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3596126959835684, b_new = -1.457859719403598, c_new = 5.412298352193953
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6728.922515986052
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0931394629265037, b_new = -0.6399355115663117, c_new = 4.398446712142846
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3672.2929469052397
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.118900618966858, b_new = -0.4511158733768714, c_new = 5.402445637332894
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4546.349049255823
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.485206385673246, b_new = -1.0002627839295195, c_new = 5.227624971216601
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10038.984878989855
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.641705077945778, b_new = -0.25430672669838306, c_new = 6.106069419806012
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5463.771665548491
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7755142160479225, b_new = -1.3922623677536012, c_new = 5.680266621603532
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5730.134433369356
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0983395628008945, b_new = -1.0107389034918917, c_new = 4.865163838413807
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3371.796239022092
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.456154453846178, b_new = -0.35526286599831614, c_new = 5.427239752774359
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9155.50895635605
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.544399620322255, b_new = -1.0675583400307214, c_new = 5.220787867584369
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9462.21285392176
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8333485763211197, b_new = -1.5973536121189889, c_new = 4.9271186529886375
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12232.394736279075
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4727077151949155, b_new = -1.4487784877947827, c_new = 5.6495401977173465
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9032.490950367186
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8484343286429534, b_new = -2.0124921670546723, c_new = 5.459807042905047
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5937.381292363072
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6165739522845484, b_new = -0.5203750170975108, c_new = 5.833258255790162
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12372.379654922654
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2673620483460803, b_new = -2.332883835609608, c_new = 5.79189771540705
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3572.768671891263
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.046581526992529, b_new = -1.106556168964802, c_new = 5.130561697732143
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14009.875925912977
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.538166452022191, b_new = -1.206034785206366, c_new = 5.390385843592384
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10351.940352834921
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3844454037983196, b_new = -1.2841008257955129, c_new = 5.192505473228508
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7639.1028057952735
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.197293470604507, b_new = 0.09390180313720164, c_new = 5.6034322424918885
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7700.530368998284
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3768076698788088, b_new = -0.866747143191497, c_new = 4.945806645801389
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11197.862469126456
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8275679541792127, b_new = -0.5559830270422039, c_new = 5.673751071123669
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3482.211191608077
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.901790703820242, b_new = -1.2064479212016028, c_new = 4.83777668649503
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13112.24104239351
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.940331746496771, b_new = -1.064431398203009, c_new = 5.422122116211451
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13623.705579918165
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7949907839749173, b_new = -1.3244410745349888, c_new = 5.450590709182397
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5265.530948432204
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7769782704655515, b_new = -1.2907807143683345, c_new = 4.6053080984752315
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12155.756025313916
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.629804100961019, b_new = -0.8297495865881181, c_new = 5.864491850729445
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7165.740116862162
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3155126677541236, b_new = -0.9802476203284148, c_new = 5.262646550155741
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7041.06795030615
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3072990728075684, b_new = -0.6741764429760669, c_new = 6.119723917654056
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8096.672615588068
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7086428026915277, b_new = -0.8869257300693472, c_new = 5.212900159691417
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5949.566775904303
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3212965554101324, b_new = -1.4495876820494378, c_new = 5.2618798370872675
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5894.688576736191
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9604366878176, b_new = -0.4492265899076252, c_new = 4.955474012910214
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13515.505761686136
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4616884875228524, b_new = -1.395054135318579, c_new = 5.241331999897886
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8832.473485021404
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2549392150674246, b_new = -1.6038081019406665, c_new = 4.873589378340795
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4288.817942603595
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.109608421254483, b_new = -1.0987879662415798, c_new = 5.1192081607257585
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3406.4137057583057
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.064941050987889, b_new = -1.6889805793952144, c_new = 5.708582576446928
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3020.3297039965228
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.329380867677427, b_new = -0.39257031067581016, c_new = 5.175570089599161
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8948.169220383908
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7943562847077192, b_new = -1.2125322176920839, c_new = 4.888144231866578
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5194.632640526187
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8306404945747934, b_new = -1.199646506488015, c_new = 5.301628121170851
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4444.265370530746
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4454828695996236, b_new = -1.811844900200819, c_new = 6.2439167241972475
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7861.886979555942
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1306806465192656, b_new = -0.33218205216209873, c_new = 4.8545101985010986
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4825.561603481459
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6930681983287004, b_new = -1.2328574739431395, c_new = 6.291259172730244
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6788.063016925449
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7543044349829215, b_new = -0.45718360636781474, c_new = 6.189815957697533
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4059.0990347788324
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.212277347844956, b_new = -0.03790874439995462, c_new = 4.3632527648109125
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7102.81511607506
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3890409759230895, b_new = -1.675613030785245, c_new = 4.862709110243721
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12401.750035667992
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9499224720079624, b_new = -1.4717217883466116, c_new = 4.882104732673421
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3513.484149566502
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.366109472390869, b_new = -1.236156362953962, c_new = 5.456614403718797
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7488.10130520808
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4990816430148914, b_new = -1.8407367855230008, c_new = 6.209079108755391
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8754.840209109509
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5453325021420796, b_new = -0.9574484533905856, c_new = 5.79069256151121
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9012.196144566504
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3838564175735213, b_new = -1.3632297798579092, c_new = 4.6554731879279405
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7215.449695709642
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7289956823442356, b_new = -1.0857280000280254, c_new = 4.7997891083481825
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6192.496870922407
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6085350469932997, b_new = -0.5991083301118052, c_new = 4.73488760465368
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11864.419708781308
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1289376844511807, b_new = -0.7740436969082263, c_new = 5.017137613480708
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4008.594897793193
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.012673686716763, b_new = -1.0649574238318176, c_new = 5.053667392065232
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13872.307376307135
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3854848681530365, b_new = -0.414986230509909, c_new = 5.064475000585526
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9819.530539970065
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5251705460672467, b_new = -1.0741678574980158, c_new = 5.179345831136167
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9762.131650685307
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.053971053897226, b_new = -1.5264414200802827, c_new = 6.308455299555467
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3017.378575514103
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9275590088565124, b_new = -1.6787822466611275, c_new = 4.57722126769316
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4119.32610050491
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3242312265521634, b_new = -0.9742184908654608, c_new = 5.399770904183986
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11723.773701044875
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.501855286097517, b_new = -0.8354106620017598, c_new = 4.441116008286118
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9835.743842675169
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5218373043483457, b_new = -0.9909101567511319, c_new = 5.767205007419907
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9438.055789196074
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1311883747572824, b_new = -0.5668914815331582, c_new = 5.73471118429514
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4600.471733658915
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6782233030718747, b_new = -1.2121520341222611, c_new = 5.699225574434714
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11807.894287647874
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8595400951557095, b_new = -0.7945955268475391, c_new = 5.8373033686238
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3432.507269217135
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.510723330202527, b_new = -0.4323704875478356, c_new = 4.549117190676587
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8800.577598399956
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.976209426001588, b_new = -0.20905161267544126, c_new = 5.33389378390003
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3310.6349735169806
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.316814023865727, b_new = -0.533330814641755, c_new = 5.279694676297826
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8348.388802248946
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.613370615840266, b_new = -0.9902382540181218, c_new = 5.819694532618444
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7907.843093382492
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.816367793990907, b_new = -0.5461785213513423, c_new = 4.899581454648577
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3681.6453263382346
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.391258154449801, b_new = -1.1799207161170702, c_new = 6.0402068440394086
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8387.960187869225
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8193133851660104, b_new = -0.7184916353861441, c_new = 4.936189385607725
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3874.6289516231172
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.596726797332753, b_new = -0.1506327097771083, c_new = 6.03330886224878
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6087.0017894641305
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1283566035441477, b_new = -1.5017868567802266, c_new = 6.46888355767647
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3340.7058459486175
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9572747660278886, b_new = -1.6193362256615187, c_new = 5.901291521797863
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3455.503458856078
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.400768211249129, b_new = -1.1690250237205468, c_new = 5.699703668524921
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11238.99123419758
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.425122909408406, b_new = -0.48049487325378404, c_new = 5.25689943030114
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10318.534767006997
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.549965439083287, b_new = -1.1823103804038144, c_new = 5.596766156417443
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9500.187154833317
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.13932409727599, b_new = -1.215042985586551, c_new = 5.296021764860649
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14336.999156234162
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6649766010733797, b_new = -1.4098375176922557, c_new = 6.121244694901167
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11517.218879540676
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8856921142038003, b_new = -0.8384689533899095, c_new = 4.512909560808538
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3430.3984302010676
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8075762039433347, b_new = -2.203886322740319, c_new = 5.7190451345123945
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7262.241623271983
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305778871652442, b_new = -1.1826347500741738, c_new = 5.191047397338484
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6246.928391723535
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.074903301535862, b_new = -1.28207103810784, c_new = 5.628095343088326
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3112.2306630181465
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6964170939205863, b_new = -0.9454697570120932, c_new = 5.087645023146835
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12162.406135401783
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2900381646807912, b_new = -0.6842970130593093, c_new = 6.034786189874676
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7649.505572076356
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.429640612829322, b_new = -1.3243937588403691, c_new = 5.5491235699466115
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15267.424524034464
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0381124987114094, b_new = -1.7447898982634191, c_new = 5.362368940896112
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3119.484253242143
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8794866073048169, b_new = -0.6815173391795337, c_new = 5.267365263968327
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14029.993210835286
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1893117517762386, b_new = -0.984509412545163, c_new = 5.910543401786884
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4726.9323906410755
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2829237963311906, b_new = -1.6568417693364617, c_new = 5.795539578799981
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4849.0267415104045
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4097241414080113, b_new = -1.2665288659927918, c_new = 4.203570793248382
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11782.610778096816
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0952163471725043, b_new = -0.5387422809089358, c_new = 4.848487400083304
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3925.9119468796084
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.207918466548415, b_new = -0.6499784876560252, c_new = 5.6470348113631665
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15143.281186667591
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.380574657802552, b_new = -1.5025504723176561, c_new = 5.318153036642754
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7014.584936794995
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4168476890783586, b_new = -1.1306329940053403, c_new = 5.760649929594956
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8887.321102141834
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.962678585344217, b_new = -1.7458362643990528, c_new = 5.705272841510449
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13054.234387313023
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.342956396947735, b_new = -1.328173048906323, c_new = 5.165902939748818
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6636.208538192406
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.516454863206085, b_new = -1.608344627766734, c_new = 6.121365121759339
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9510.207955694048
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5568792139755043, b_new = -1.2417517414777277, c_new = 5.644935553857615
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10580.189166796548
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6584636733942197, b_new = -0.7306324722246516, c_new = 5.301600135964278
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12236.650770753395
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.36977661771616, b_new = -0.48916632796658566, c_new = 5.14909652552867
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10554.490789309331
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9651799887084076, b_new = -2.0896325513230076, c_new = 5.639209093956569
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4065.8574639970657
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.777889177977744, b_new = -0.9815209304735175, c_new = 5.412142597288398
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4821.595778612112
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6581061391367458, b_new = -0.5409789548610868, c_new = 5.321883602841813
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12506.347228200748
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.620171910778917, b_new = -1.3790319925148717, c_new = 5.96029441156789
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8702.635856961246
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1117940726991873, b_new = -1.6671486352081741, c_new = 5.016587468609611
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3060.4126262316995
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.014683234715, b_new = -0.5716345202801193, c_new = 4.819919156384574
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14317.622264217986
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.439109944452118, b_new = -1.798232094518696, c_new = 5.201444312863512
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7392.48874161208
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0309459112902086, b_new = -0.7345650350239074, c_new = 5.205037421740005
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3200.4555103491994
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5196154552360595, b_new = -1.9322163416488731, c_new = 6.399130349925833
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8945.292867341466
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2627701022368902, b_new = -1.1200052696081997, c_new = 4.510093963375743
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5305.80687376153
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4869328012774683, b_new = -1.2370844910417456, c_new = 5.472743188553829
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9654.847587386475
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.609747191241221, b_new = -1.2972425571262862, c_new = 4.862228863862776
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9092.573669216887
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8443428383597293, b_new = -1.0566934223079403, c_new = 5.232151194338239
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4021.2665934557126
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.366581962597043, b_new = -1.1631467963324265, c_new = 5.570626196054885
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11592.873273850446
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.408226772521009, b_new = -0.8491249007841536, c_new = 6.097521362530689
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9554.904930459987
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.375965794418612, b_new = -0.744003318998532, c_new = 5.420244262786463
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8997.104178411148
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6625470355026613, b_new = -0.2201703572867506, c_new = 5.3006925606427355
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5230.001847363266
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4387095328157247, b_new = -0.6020725298886895, c_new = 5.1539219864005705
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10211.336073662093
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.772802659832382, b_new = -1.207054284030431, c_new = 5.095501231259157
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5519.98632489915
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1450898190990992, b_new = -1.013908636168991, c_new = 5.744997529150829
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3988.8154592618275
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.102856133253236, b_new = -0.596327276145907, c_new = 5.312731767044471
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4032.0419704927094
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.423489618697848, b_new = -1.6072788676346934, c_new = 5.578979103514509
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11781.379552632603
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0161225982044564, b_new = -1.8768391608077468, c_new = 5.2782285791940975
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3348.0932101843687
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7782441759045597, b_new = -1.0168778195200974, c_new = 4.9056315562832475
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5035.882582328453
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3101364244173617, b_new = -1.519846370265478, c_new = 5.178376754117454
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5468.987550104827
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.518750445549959, b_new = -2.0562544470098416, c_new = 5.278914776727327
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11715.126771958729
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7912865555124258, b_new = -0.4277412561906775, c_new = 5.775248912285754
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13640.319917553032
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8228189939010573, b_new = -1.8336695348972398, c_new = 5.893256621982426
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5833.164298156014
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.443199614032159, b_new = -0.9011209550718244, c_new = 5.941599654712817
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9915.285792041526
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3763567621853268, b_new = -0.6951767752500126, c_new = 5.48565454348413
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10744.099515400725
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7733739188576814, b_new = -2.0477128010540104, c_new = 5.5099913190599095
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7647.593601516817
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0897233555833696, b_new = -1.827555194387744, c_new = 5.500015521902904
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14180.16741133085
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.306753591004337, b_new = -2.1829211521272764, c_new = 5.56440234296598
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13448.43310436599
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2821778589049124, b_new = -1.225140889018338, c_new = 6.052341088289953
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12237.479819753313
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7827448297794635, b_new = -0.15310328306827614, c_new = 5.062523398931997
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3533.421478756448
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9934242336358836, b_new = -1.2729864471681678, c_new = 5.602806381862611
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3048.6103351010656
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9784427878792306, b_new = -1.7868973257075993, c_new = 5.054130651710832
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3599.1342466053275
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.461042763465986, b_new = -1.88129141812643, c_new = 5.083527373711067
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7572.378922584558
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.713012233499013, b_new = -1.7371438602275893, c_new = 5.36386841214567
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8102.962832931651
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1809212774995617, b_new = -1.8199415310527218, c_new = 5.0810000973411595
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13849.008025796054
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9028336886898067, b_new = -0.6514701531204811, c_new = 5.141208421327508
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3124.311042780022
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5215897818412167, b_new = -0.9586613487651221, c_new = 5.399301750059642
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9495.732740141048
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0043162035502196, b_new = -0.4402671474393218, c_new = 5.920731843332768
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14664.708006917956
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4686071116083625, b_new = -0.7833402717454119, c_new = 5.326937559186324
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10293.858529304984
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.651811374109834, b_new = -1.8515557457054292, c_new = 5.235676179685439
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9594.719395504579
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7414479157995126, b_new = -1.060910598214368, c_new = 5.122466331182318
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5763.934488461415
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.824672537799382, b_new = -1.2550052573167296, c_new = 5.667588826653079
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12797.24362569903
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6923149776282034, b_new = -0.8017819067068799, c_new = 5.433356368671435
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12427.077366637393
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.945097521427414, b_new = -1.9845249090293273, c_new = 5.496326684885979
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4185.857084037654
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.65927659673648, b_new = -1.8785196543423954, c_new = 5.353655057845017
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9490.90976648852
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9645434904677477, b_new = -1.2327684420681249, c_new = 5.417769762059253
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3143.4751479843003
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1641436634918794, b_new = -1.1671690829049686, c_new = 5.041646115939352
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3842.8036452046717
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.069832441493576, b_new = -1.9870695949596089, c_new = 5.242146466667271
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13258.463456086964
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.214233967615262, b_new = -1.7067713521844832, c_new = 5.010192517370273
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3667.343559689974
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3343624130766827, b_new = -0.8068507440415023, c_new = 6.170673332926678
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8314.476057693655
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.644982181254818, b_new = -0.8474970719998189, c_new = 6.024945746137988
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6854.845439546179
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9004026638018634, b_new = -1.284588632127513, c_new = 4.77224773279306
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3788.6927501380846
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.796913701050927, b_new = -0.9986267314362007, c_new = 5.929426768214473
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4423.845288428754
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4324571624095395, b_new = -0.8391428169703766, c_new = 5.3506106149051265
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10415.673810994975
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0699214074681604, b_new = -1.5146773736212995, c_new = 5.031971690235387
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3021.570107017453
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8672932604165595, b_new = -1.746537843070359, c_new = 6.108753300209499
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4737.030015812558
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0082013443037896, b_new = -1.188579654439083, c_new = 4.850974124264264
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3025.8693261930193
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7459018471120396, b_new = -0.722701515162645, c_new = 5.633392126294251
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14486.323779088792
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1713707065321857, b_new = -1.4234594047221325, c_new = 5.458780645240007
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3650.6388176055552
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.93442507647734, b_new = -1.6278275422103632, c_new = 4.585262504211272
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3947.106620277298
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.801037893318008, b_new = -1.8062072521471602, c_new = 4.859950915045592
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11712.817892528736
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9474491122009523, b_new = -0.5631590710734978, c_new = 5.132547882138282
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3023.583518991878
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.543629725727909, b_new = -0.734595325835723, c_new = 5.399228724300824
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8666.808822966266
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9328061158615597, b_new = -1.259710438173579, c_new = 4.9222522516497165
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3421.3391906596016
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6078652460911615, b_new = -1.0982563313220381, c_new = 6.280385023814442
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11542.716366813544
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.805273843672982, b_new = -0.5622515629669838, c_new = 5.5643630335739065
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3714.604147408514
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.005762503149599, b_new = -0.9860555225804861, c_new = 6.32694046159342
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14236.294169395755
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.409090644217348, b_new = -2.897700259646751, c_new = 5.970688153562858
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13608.452166769914
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.753135819555059, b_new = -1.3843385243477853, c_new = 5.014985881754608
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6407.5222843506035
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.837083662194057, b_new = -0.46779556504649766, c_new = 5.227493681813883
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3372.5430921524016
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3427047896134074, b_new = -1.2380002694010583, c_new = 5.359751916647926
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6948.049774506575
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3688705731794224, b_new = -1.4902950708099392, c_new = 4.088171436228195
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6379.883891416739
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7934960416026984, b_new = -0.9628451104233573, c_new = 6.221829730410333
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4343.972876694065
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1908564380279083, b_new = -1.0668554511944943, c_new = 5.391912598156478
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4444.388810272068
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1807968427151954, b_new = -1.0285910107196687, c_new = 5.122511227978806
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4299.830661064914
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5604927383300184, b_new = -0.6063648087935275, c_new = 4.143399841966227
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8523.124345161757
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3062400979673567, b_new = -1.095031142879285, c_new = 5.720631158330435
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11961.63840844121
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8044401479828025, b_new = -1.1967729716545232, c_new = 5.936821781603293
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4684.934592814861
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7935137263822085, b_new = -0.9289216670681445, c_new = 5.874140086186154
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4360.676177123691
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4550309770374454, b_new = -1.1216040369806821, c_new = 5.649462173144487
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10583.943384183782
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0105080374981714, b_new = -1.1981892145125437, c_new = 5.886916519173337
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3013.4066797058886
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1152727671087033, b_new = -1.1773717470306897, c_new = 5.298681451204889
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3397.122823792116
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.49883221420278, b_new = -0.8113591364060473, c_new = 4.899323694245468
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10470.027402231408
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1385123584999746, b_new = -1.1994759429682, c_new = 5.557792619836574
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3617.061582885046
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.617734301414051, b_new = -1.2422168773211248, c_new = 4.879431429779103
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8810.973869664136
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.401660298427999, b_new = -0.16193241838326966, c_new = 5.064558531065704
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10601.767043197047
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.914630434369001, b_new = -1.4536977022704138, c_new = 5.805426340762387
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3673.9426051938362
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5348659572785235, b_new = -1.2101244785708158, c_new = 5.2499872754676105
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10260.799343457338
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.683169035897983, b_new = -0.9675669204768296, c_new = 5.393367535067216
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6612.2407913228835
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1174352688131983, b_new = -1.0419220574210173, c_new = 5.869273236685463
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3660.4241933650665
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.813718014398965, b_new = -0.7472890026461683, c_new = 6.048833539723727
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3787.0568585270794
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.947460782955223, b_new = -2.111904102905293, c_new = 5.836980446840071
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14901.856879547755
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.761233235055154, b_new = -0.11199332991131117, c_new = 4.714848156043104
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13558.287619830393
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0806059613884758, b_new = -0.7225856794474814, c_new = 5.538872004999683
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3642.237653368218
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2675094015109636, b_new = -1.5688651652341619, c_new = 6.0384094966865085
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4841.026314226592
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.324664711060647, b_new = -1.5162785526393683, c_new = 5.0467980125774226
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5723.214918137832
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.062173248974146, b_new = -1.9314146224274462, c_new = 5.074309927672136
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3153.950611980551
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.36687912544342, b_new = -1.4633347881410583, c_new = 5.084363660701974
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6748.745460108763
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9822089790597452, b_new = -1.4465943586319319, c_new = 6.066482905758356
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3136.789868133677
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.333158267255678, b_new = -1.3271538372525147, c_new = 6.178167678994963
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6809.949557028146
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8985623829730693, b_new = -1.6605361542333186, c_new = 5.9232437461412095
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4151.856067861432
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3616675489488976, b_new = -0.4793625624631618, c_new = 5.83302882752867
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9575.594073019538
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1694052076862635, b_new = -1.4883962132541373, c_new = 4.686009389546774
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3452.5619652223504
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8767495229533653, b_new = -0.9207775879081945, c_new = 4.948304894265648
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3533.4613676288595
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.275599954746749, b_new = -2.133649165322429, c_new = 5.271457839379897
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3820.5960239852066
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2977413415183046, b_new = -1.2719857186880101, c_new = 4.929174358830878
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5754.136220988832
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.032171795340239, b_new = -1.5597536965514422, c_new = 4.545616246994856
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13356.001572034435
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.363986544285048, b_new = -2.1057964014706347, c_new = 5.581090784203102
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12978.27993618613
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.161416656021833, b_new = -1.1950728315470098, c_new = 6.032610911267223
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3969.083208932338
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2329962831042587, b_new = -1.3688966183114049, c_new = 4.813444226018134
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13091.408669784518
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1324721059241205, b_new = -1.319130250719342, c_new = 5.02519392785004
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3361.458286776438
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7881062852536824, b_new = -1.3788504666737589, c_new = 5.020374564891808
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5672.627071864614
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1882928891180615, b_new = -2.0306904183076155, c_new = 5.92874034454377
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13826.033723161188
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.763090085595108, b_new = -0.6932144515427094, c_new = 6.792259883691045
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4201.935285602527
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3180761128338956, b_new = -1.0523259329609504, c_new = 5.138762073143197
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6847.840608578022
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3059858873687795, b_new = -1.002227500599627, c_new = 5.161852021616123
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11985.433898597525
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9927458002416705, b_new = -1.1256297108619475, c_new = 5.421328762321772
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13814.927727632567
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.178745981797645, b_new = -0.5440974694840953, c_new = 4.793465729835842
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12398.413053367101
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5945245694819135, b_new = -1.3300026947648222, c_new = 5.736626477930364
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10856.716875912973
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8246309954644486, b_new = -1.0987080629395658, c_new = 5.372948121310567
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4329.216364090262
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.464683881540824, b_new = -1.7395825464926438, c_new = 5.537707528776462
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15067.192144896391
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.433404831201783, b_new = -0.856221507835367, c_new = 5.962349136170642
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10247.098781131714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5607976703006146, b_new = -0.9880488588897504, c_new = 5.413711980842598
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8966.967365436249
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2055094177023147, b_new = -0.6474498131434263, c_new = 5.259580885541613
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5593.987915644453
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8472525673408438, b_new = -2.005647547013271, c_new = 4.950935316743367
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6139.690540444293
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8960335173350886, b_new = -0.7217605382513198, c_new = 5.534374919318801
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3168.242313497466
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9150976137337605, b_new = -1.014595131662391, c_new = 5.991385688075151
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3216.5479179406975
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9659406616874986, b_new = -1.2736261374809212, c_new = 5.061556757617823
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14270.589105026043
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1629903347181867, b_new = -1.0188295459553922, c_new = 6.146430311959816
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4317.480259017164
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8792199300778494, b_new = -1.2171383134824518, c_new = 6.38674264187644
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3642.837292303867
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2243524256023766, b_new = -1.2218985307077845, c_new = 4.12621448523438
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4355.0202289666895
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.913797708651253, b_new = -1.4480189870905313, c_new = 5.846021270182804
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3668.212032859309
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.454132291496469, b_new = -1.7663470938903514, c_new = 5.492007066475582
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7873.219870744468
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0499026815693453, b_new = -0.8052548773920489, c_new = 5.546015048053293
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13301.995962577095
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8033416312481187, b_new = -1.5238764485632883, c_new = 5.441825142742458
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5590.766381967631
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.775317808729376, b_new = -1.1988097778976896, c_new = 5.491602493555441
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5324.660624646125
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7958967958793335, b_new = -1.3463521040043158, c_new = 5.498014972685145
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5285.028988213458
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0416454260983348, b_new = -1.2632616877863505, c_new = 6.011632446272059
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3039.9417405240465
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0689607653493747, b_new = -0.4736679481412941, c_new = 4.780070719158387
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13008.270290638664
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3461122530328815, b_new = -0.2224554951606852, c_new = 5.89465022388829
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10131.53278821118
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.512822234688864, b_new = -1.3706427874009217, c_new = 5.711523693622817
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10344.98679394134
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4943663448551483, b_new = -1.5084164570737055, c_new = 6.144670805074593
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10691.828098040256
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.021451995660106, b_new = -0.6470877789049476, c_new = 5.55710180341918
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3251.807930466801
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2498838347894408, b_new = -0.5891639963864916, c_new = 5.653144562924838
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6867.093828666664
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.026411079892011, b_new = -1.38972390378045, c_new = 5.725281756772987
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3015.6401568716146
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1876061465004546, b_new = -0.8971512847890073, c_new = 5.55838912690359
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12591.180992913616
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2388658271909763, b_new = -0.4787273331040113, c_new = 4.86216181099106
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11849.321925458202
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.750279228475028, b_new = -1.3506559552292794, c_new = 5.367297304672016
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6246.2996658275915
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.685690670311519, b_new = -1.2033442062251158, c_new = 4.667607895826966
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7469.355049029833
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.597549930285075, b_new = -1.1150977927740677, c_new = 5.252020078900587
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8710.90259279327
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0167026527440473, b_new = -0.4073280560640734, c_new = 5.293598737762798
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3401.6410552593675
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.41437209171996, b_new = -0.9020690509056529, c_new = 4.457761692704225
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11021.26895660233
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8906678914952932, b_new = -1.514905705359603, c_new = 5.705541790452267
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12899.792954872359
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6254536395446038, b_new = -0.7964640865056818, c_new = 5.349838941615165
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7347.235397667364
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.967043077172383, b_new = -0.5911242998851568, c_new = 4.900777846889217
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3029.3874252181395
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4913554230223687, b_new = -1.727577863920362, c_new = 5.0798341320826985
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11478.927851381144
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1571186571506566, b_new = -1.2452184025585873, c_new = 5.159306705911947
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3680.8163771054797
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1069935430514217, b_new = -1.5383519336555311, c_new = 5.896401353154147
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3132.6566628673277
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9346937095636645, b_new = -0.61339550222331, c_new = 5.5898026870447595
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3031.572133839695
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.484259002957961, b_new = -0.2660677662214138, c_new = 5.385468164555462
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11456.913881047862
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1075243963184835, b_new = -1.1778699840503393, c_new = 5.246885466055982
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3331.9718199760364
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9541688502803645, b_new = -0.9659445562519018, c_new = 4.753118571196575
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13635.364092993977
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2182466505350407, b_new = -0.9641640471156551, c_new = 6.062548503819824
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5333.075747878878
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4521370327438214, b_new = -0.3230404165733012, c_new = 4.883191536537035
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9315.597580685175
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2105928332219733, b_new = -1.3743188823712411, c_new = 5.461900637637046
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4191.651151554475
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.224126604588243, b_new = -1.996913498069549, c_new = 5.44715355783241
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3495.7810287089696
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221130337514391, b_new = -1.0859448066863462, c_new = 5.296068597740777
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4867.982617693087
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.390102736780725, b_new = -1.956061670444671, c_new = 5.467672707544102
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12620.005175500855
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7616251137272285, b_new = -1.1168864708342003, c_new = 6.011444540751709
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5230.911098032351
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1983915559630183, b_new = -1.0344896342632257, c_new = 4.781521486401357
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12897.722366338323
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8398911820854136, b_new = -0.8873959178027432, c_new = 6.526929650834666
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3620.6516970043635
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6271904548371703, b_new = -1.3111293876537775, c_new = 5.334673349182802
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11093.951925027726
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3731426089716985, b_new = -0.9129123209394466, c_new = 5.853428411571056
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8673.954283594217
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2777445884315126, b_new = -1.1590973652828809, c_new = 5.021666607864193
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12460.147329186122
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.418305289699897, b_new = -1.429989446934955, c_new = 5.212344370450568
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11652.897368864342
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2716276675770106, b_new = -1.7367508782511212, c_new = 5.2595171658506965
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4381.294125398956
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.001165894350587, b_new = -1.524075037075696, c_new = 5.536377985597013
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3136.5916311158144
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5555488374396966, b_new = -1.0404384383010847, c_new = 5.101624468586663
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9277.852628951765
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3820717833169756, b_new = -0.9547417251639714, c_new = 4.487317933116183
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11436.146651196814
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.570854228678877, b_new = -1.7311252069464864, c_new = 5.008773754194614
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10577.044510932576
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8312409175465227, b_new = -1.442570204090341, c_new = 5.362822643509786
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14843.665293455553
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.367850939350656, b_new = -1.6680341566982138, c_new = 6.165272994762259
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6613.362565325563
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.98528897700698, b_new = -1.010674591708689, c_new = 5.171982239821187
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13837.519132403213
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0814627159483194, b_new = -0.9827894065782146, c_new = 4.428678004626845
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3234.4109501082557
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.21906616818258, b_new = -1.7670381907984105, c_new = 5.563792899806955
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3727.124160868404
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4338858776270063, b_new = -0.9317711743982361, c_new = 5.2090654735846265
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10615.719204191446
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.793073723480287, b_new = -1.7349358606372485, c_new = 5.764496793772673
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6234.529923231807
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.278551968079589, b_new = -1.1629688178545576, c_new = 5.3400944233583045
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5780.270846711571
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.898038352673218, b_new = -1.3571730603107786, c_new = 4.679404150895248
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3943.625585168761
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8095588331478516, b_new = -0.9689362372873054, c_new = 5.74421404590726
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4230.793526219158
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.484824094528493, b_new = -0.31908438210550116, c_new = 5.711071184773184
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8574.727586053346
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2475372510790477, b_new = -1.6915684166451626, c_new = 4.829976546651211
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4038.009405524602
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.862104303738884, b_new = -1.2926256369843048, c_new = 4.664065227481668
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12728.7037835614
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.810951330961522, b_new = -0.48573005846098116, c_new = 6.763199567821141
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3446.2143588583804
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.443688667262945, b_new = -1.4162433128717196, c_new = 5.361685393625955
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8510.84964281556
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2920638459162115, b_new = -1.0903056237411757, c_new = 5.170221848875808
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6195.730184000211
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9384941691636253, b_new = -1.5805055033778461, c_new = 5.343406352120938
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3676.4028095675
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.003419480918778, b_new = -1.9101623320804433, c_new = 5.494037502648193
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13046.37711916587
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9021457306939844, b_new = -0.8316486031125279, c_new = 5.058429964302624
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3243.3271983235772
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0569638940820774, b_new = -1.2386358182531259, c_new = 5.179242775766115
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3048.287932208666
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.060005513013617, b_new = -0.9851509776849503, c_new = 5.5749390938578065
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3219.505182425096
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.965780635074838, b_new = -0.7523389330742475, c_new = 6.578914307684721
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3071.3135487542922
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.794789797448656, b_new = -0.9634318044361052, c_new = 4.022423165817628
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12544.91942910972
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.752863878121471, b_new = -1.371867738889542, c_new = 5.470675363204672
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6211.427260594286
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.546879844888898, b_new = -0.18260626676239067, c_new = 5.363004645577157
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7315.2255953342055
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1982215567762333, b_new = -1.0955442302856566, c_new = 5.727365942025573
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12727.09529046486
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.979387447573418, b_new = -1.607754078981709, c_new = 5.190716966100053
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13178.516555183
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1545701206046464, b_new = -1.0675179087446875, c_new = 4.9366968232418795
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3855.6481717755823
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7274910310401075, b_new = -0.8170949529255057, c_new = 5.565770337962907
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5306.459499079693
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2339143625225355, b_new = 0.10060330923632232, c_new = 4.842871600867518
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8217.66358734637
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.839386528614936, b_new = -0.5456002197018364, c_new = 4.94702650303296
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3459.276751068087
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.537980947865048, b_new = -2.088475049081818, c_new = 5.361728823277913
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11543.076898528125
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5509:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9107401347822006, b_new = -0.8480808579745478, c_new = 5.0520056828297495
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14103.328695140519
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5510:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.664816989599302, b_new = -1.15791508237396, c_new = 5.806179395789545
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11808.243001780591
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5511:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1579411855389403, b_new = -1.03344669953506, c_new = 5.001399504642374
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13089.16294893844
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5512:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6463263760660243, b_new = -1.035868094666376, c_new = 5.806248796927998
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7390.891468837914
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5513:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1719951117786, b_new = -1.3157985600065925, c_new = 6.3611942018636345
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14617.5086683913
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5514:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6268522630874616, b_new = -1.4119596524037965, c_new = 5.893258610870563
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11092.029143126454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5515:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1837164845764505, b_new = -0.7702359478276425, c_new = 5.433543115002557
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12488.733712210462
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5516:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3631922083758914, b_new = -0.19640160827738906, c_new = 5.7117515782537795
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10228.40059603662
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5517:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.165753349585743, b_new = -1.63822363315043, c_new = 4.999304539065494
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3322.997755096367
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5518:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.706784329197419, b_new = -1.8450730785519978, c_new = 4.9401362369533555
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15509.661522866165
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5519:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3247233220976113, b_new = -0.7375275928564329, c_new = 5.828913953671303
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11231.444652188364
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5520:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1710084276523105, b_new = -0.6091109646764935, c_new = 5.338526768734397
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5060.8577311957715
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5521:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.416435246584821, b_new = -1.9040802796382845, c_new = 5.2926586229000705
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12393.577384144755
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5522:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.987366672608104, b_new = -0.9303751202146737, c_new = 5.480224800321941
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14001.62554191843
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5523:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9542065917740503, b_new = -1.322612583347332, c_new = 6.0640259108759755
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3200.0057560726755
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5524:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7519100853650875, b_new = -1.5091698671551361, c_new = 4.584282451850285
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6949.567487724187
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5525:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3914021457239345, b_new = -1.3609864851493314, c_new = 5.05719063226261
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11836.986282101512
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5526:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.201333541956621, b_new = -0.3258327312013939, c_new = 6.1684766705636775
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6760.660446060452
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5527:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.56325303117884, b_new = -0.9165994302098046, c_new = 5.2446779283032505
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8820.497917807468
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5528:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5602829218505865, b_new = -0.4174391598093331, c_new = 5.2936654519409165
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7658.649182737059
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5529:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9661936949547005, b_new = -1.4766078436316021, c_new = 5.515067023096382
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13331.476957741972
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5530:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.707570603670156, b_new = -1.393427438173961, c_new = 5.4447038722498045
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11710.683833255753
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5531:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.096093527334991, b_new = -0.8424877552205274, c_new = 4.1168961796032235
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14242.457011893246
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5532:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1761734389828424, b_new = -0.5370482161025404, c_new = 4.893934094864932
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5179.112300569501
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5533:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5500265461244407, b_new = -0.5542739912139408, c_new = 5.089237696995253
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8241.156503246455
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5534:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3254211749501272, b_new = -1.5018332886156682, c_new = 5.817376661986257
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12362.873405982336
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5535:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.016116036924719, b_new = -1.6328040454550248, c_new = 4.625756185179483
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3226.1320051868047
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5536:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5315956514846905, b_new = -1.1713602834560521, c_new = 5.3483569591213485
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9819.297612929115
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5537:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.2703847352963935, b_new = -1.637658677117925, c_new = 5.653580472904156
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14541.932879869357
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5538:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.520643263609365, b_new = -1.1396021598364017, c_new = 5.942278325046345
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9704.780898452762
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5539:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.277251323410249, b_new = -1.2800512488912852, c_new = 5.484661333289993
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5508.095665994506
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5540:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3482381158943992, b_new = -2.1458747054482625, c_new = 4.8627013900223295
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4710.501696354721
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5541:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7548865127602444, b_new = -0.7002170252801772, c_new = 5.027647086194223
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4728.797354868631
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5542:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.458651073892922, b_new = -1.2546970705978093, c_new = 4.871041201265188
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8979.491840532155
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5543:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.632629669111666, b_new = -0.907335988976791, c_new = 4.375381083872852
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11501.668521409105
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5544:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5385877162589274, b_new = -0.8774343179127425, c_new = 4.900472581299481
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10795.524534323957
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5545:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.985364790676241, b_new = -0.7270440820970345, c_new = 6.120495262786868
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3095.2115290842676
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5546:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5562258910210383, b_new = -1.3064341731412081, c_new = 5.445315926386581
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10393.604664996714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5547:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.438393944757558, b_new = -0.9000719100362018, c_new = 4.850712800002879
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10619.88457051568
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5548:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9599670599939962, b_new = -1.5450895599913248, c_new = 5.409603829378532
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3426.3317293974883
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5549:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.159591219880543, b_new = -1.6173614115175197, c_new = 5.204131886425522
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3317.135928252405
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5550:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.183273534468462, b_new = -0.5333940430153308, c_new = 5.824859028005757
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5644.4745568988965
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5551:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9773347275212885, b_new = -0.8299316311791232, c_new = 5.273898652640544
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3015.7197144792826
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5552:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.501098188593104, b_new = -1.3934883230018462, c_new = 4.87292932521905
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10815.005011815449
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5553:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1027756521669625, b_new = -1.6626180822726924, c_new = 5.958005239291571
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13846.341606197393
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5554:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3998943767204715, b_new = -1.4828088402863215, c_new = 4.73497754922496
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12054.82053950673
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.189865330904401, b_new = -0.7909966009062506, c_new = 4.981706941464752
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12591.596666362435
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8467679157273365, b_new = 0.11568872043954692, c_new = 5.238402288101195
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13425.34376744079
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.568621823962339, b_new = -1.3680136983648905, c_new = 5.213584825480778
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10351.798000127175
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4538854576109714, b_new = -1.689115174360275, c_new = 5.604701818897331
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8104.523635000441
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.203085675944961, b_new = -1.4962959426851654, c_new = 5.520322760292558
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3912.977431577739
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.53662110281688, b_new = -2.032167440206986, c_new = 4.5320713692053625
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8386.634268927404
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4321091567993687, b_new = -1.3668041230798194, c_new = 5.596690272604043
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11291.243811136632
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.321783990886434, b_new = -1.3114553455825178, c_new = 5.782723104058496
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12132.454127615129
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.864904686263869, b_new = -1.1871161366645795, c_new = 5.993802718121929
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13217.242738824465
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.961797772946325, b_new = -0.975843135273049, c_new = 5.246685757645094
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3050.603230119227
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.481699539198825, b_new = -1.0523702508787052, c_new = 4.249468918746412
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9563.198178176941
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4692835795255097, b_new = -1.658006154741958, c_new = 6.025018203245745
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8614.208886622615
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5796289997077664, b_new = -0.7489725585956668, c_new = 5.5217876884284225
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11611.841356090381
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9044207894263505, b_new = -0.8972898261967355, c_new = 5.831756415015372
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3210.768204002198
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3605788737405344, b_new = -0.9502091076419424, c_new = 5.979808167800951
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11189.093525769502
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4050889507231976, b_new = -1.5643535628972285, c_new = 4.942748792913274
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7222.494211953224
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.791842237619901, b_new = -0.8443787886697909, c_new = 5.524527361865594
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4313.707936963452
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7493933161417945, b_new = -1.131330849822477, c_new = 4.740238435598045
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12204.699282713194
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6380722228625197, b_new = -1.0049845008808103, c_new = 5.469521209768996
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7596.343810981718
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6897165265321687, b_new = -1.3269748618920925, c_new = 6.302607216128271
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7101.573995710114
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.313416518363872, b_new = -1.3169368108584905, c_new = 6.553238289312628
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6556.519915336349
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.594389643226776, b_new = -1.270866338679089, c_new = 6.15201492946953
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11085.389475007556
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3858240411592395, b_new = -1.5477329161899924, c_new = 5.239879899125925
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6974.949208256388
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1209611210217836, b_new = -1.929062785538962, c_new = 5.337931531361163
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3039.1189712777114
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3159912650340537, b_new = -1.504055586023914, c_new = 4.881151030248668
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5528.544870224712
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2474822410380493, b_new = -1.9395028458842178, c_new = 6.150384563603092
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3914.103668579905
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4285216826416964, b_new = -0.7108311447700357, c_new = 5.8293866485647925
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10075.635868062003
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.856232209133866, b_new = -0.8403372699476359, c_new = 5.383176968592244
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3567.927495323283
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6718087072357, b_new = -2.1635041647792663, c_new = 4.311671726812592
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9868.627089473832
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8729589793107664, b_new = -0.8877995903428495, c_new = 5.863252969320866
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13579.489014999162
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2940627090939025, b_new = -1.1474720942067695, c_new = 4.73346297219537
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5932.221795286172
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1485204064000807, b_new = -0.6562452013594778, c_new = 4.891400670788171
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4458.538379049824
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.663317998967686, b_new = -1.524016376559189, c_new = 5.804295611143679
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11230.427476633437
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3144562837132825, b_new = -1.2262957864224144, c_new = 6.040694656319614
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6632.156272891798
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.692652282261558, b_new = -0.7562039195835842, c_new = 5.882082613980009
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12619.919339745797
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.729240598345136, b_new = -1.4871640191310647, c_new = 5.609597099327326
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6969.041467288938
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1535430883060886, b_new = -1.072906625447212, c_new = 5.415913167244187
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3930.626734181629
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.244512576711396, b_new = -1.1433523792906828, c_new = 6.039574534435531
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5391.586829418193
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9200055270112877, b_new = -0.7630037149928668, c_new = 4.9433247948446875
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3119.1989751055994
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.903195176532831, b_new = -0.7196034484691123, c_new = 5.506944337998307
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3136.1268065618633
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.073607301555818, b_new = -0.6228367707469457, c_new = 5.643451698770399
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3723.3610671796077
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3647042953213395, b_new = -1.3375595742613604, c_new = 5.823844513839241
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7320.211260542463
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2358014616883475, b_new = -0.6132061218381597, c_new = 6.319101955967915
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11678.96937416931
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3612428981720166, b_new = -1.1399388811712328, c_new = 4.988779524735797
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7470.804811437844
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1760656595295704, b_new = -1.205536806728072, c_new = 5.849063604369976
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4098.453216452246
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5786625178615274, b_new = -0.21241752957190885, c_new = 5.79740853523873
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6649.269436913854
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4427335480523213, b_new = -1.183766620450295, c_new = 5.2843861536352765
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9028.000275898128
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4809558448322946, b_new = -1.1478645169595756, c_new = 5.034043959751734
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10526.837743102655
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8837291873969666, b_new = -1.469585502699902, c_new = 5.731444179091755
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4072.2311166302406
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0016443223512117, b_new = -1.3169006085300217, c_new = 5.178996321340884
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3061.5089123042026
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7961142078562915, b_new = -1.3522059049146709, c_new = 5.579542027827877
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12461.738837386203
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9100224151172607, b_new = -0.9294442341894564, c_new = 5.6083270439978055
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3218.098660310204
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9960390762013056, b_new = -1.662717474572959, c_new = 4.560054671031206
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14624.539865017727
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.689391841307284, b_new = -0.9666902572677306, c_new = 5.776122757250912
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6349.393030923452
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.790098302634129, b_new = -0.9519174354426834, c_new = 5.776120235009807
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4475.996840993149
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7650982573463456, b_new = -1.0188313978291563, c_new = 5.6277011437032245
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5060.943462947542
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8182837721165646, b_new = -1.3445788326488621, c_new = 5.118933082833113
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4994.140205155809
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9281654684363096, b_new = -0.913995226591376, c_new = 5.558024626711149
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13980.452350867154
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1117573761885784, b_new = -1.2391872530827415, c_new = 5.08168775789428
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3290.3773027466723
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.318883505754616, b_new = -1.4560807524781005, c_new = 5.511311740096875
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5913.300402390652
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8625789606605307, b_new = -0.7685953552415957, c_new = 5.587785598219972
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13586.995570533772
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.858749723556294, b_new = -1.6400593194647375, c_new = 5.766179149870298
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12560.293573464096
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.900768077149819, b_new = -1.120071173469185, c_new = 5.358402850776394
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3479.978106021288
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1593069263611713, b_new = -2.197603186920108, c_new = 5.35933909130523
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3063.6921244401606
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1230850705838256, b_new = -1.0623523905492835, c_new = 5.350619058602052
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3600.2715968620023
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5973092969651597, b_new = -1.1318663034250114, c_new = 4.835783352770127
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8911.046544165949
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1229133343468334, b_new = -0.6557126987226665, c_new = 5.112024777766479
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4147.872105761495
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498187413954655, b_new = -1.5422170506845463, c_new = 5.210574706249617
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9074.579112128973
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.625781289025107, b_new = -1.796886366282501, c_new = 6.045790029327407
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10476.730118116437
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6590513792701485, b_new = -0.5425316530169062, c_new = 5.7779298063444635
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12643.350337032316
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.473818939510708, b_new = -1.1365332631326703, c_new = 5.717516409520754
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9766.308553495903
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.035311470154232, b_new = -0.7923841740641778, c_new = 5.143485079866747
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3177.67177827587
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.21193266605664, b_new = -1.3286255978365606, c_new = 5.161229893402734
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4221.0296919605435
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.922897746040647, b_new = -0.35104724355869, c_new = 5.533106082771599
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3051.8593236831507
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6031694691966525, b_new = -1.0357403238203262, c_new = 5.156328012902907
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8450.46814003611
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3500935592614254, b_new = -1.6592453176836708, c_new = 4.614452429937902
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5742.540221863271
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.913707096961034, b_new = -1.7011855462045598, c_new = 5.736205013041437
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4062.4843550536098
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9411593939372476, b_new = -0.49621902481827596, c_new = 4.989827679275801
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3024.079025038423
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7137611120917065, b_new = -0.0327647916170688, c_new = 5.550172702555665
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13608.788759510757
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.101186303519593, b_new = -1.1849648202845389, c_new = 4.82663871436546
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3240.424752567941
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.200631449032809, b_new = -0.8296801764664812, c_new = 5.304229565209057
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5077.744674704702
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1546675328939857, b_new = -0.8787329941257195, c_new = 5.054794563372254
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4181.476138828855
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.39907398693632, b_new = -0.6213708834040316, c_new = 6.003342254915901
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10206.099305066722
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5248872170750745, b_new = -0.3207595474928626, c_new = 6.123572161589596
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11998.82239399861
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.406046578208508, b_new = -1.5860519615745527, c_new = 5.106581313351127
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12048.85896852191
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2973098038949944, b_new = -1.569088484255499, c_new = 5.6867877553776305
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5266.089289611235
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1303376454609064, b_new = -1.9329228154043605, c_new = 6.202144688845841
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3065.8379583568685
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.182697227231734, b_new = -0.9729802440035553, c_new = 5.585269514044947
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12710.44630494673
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6876115911193206, b_new = -1.535959195601827, c_new = 5.611410416754583
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7967.768119348799
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5231795567982127, b_new = -0.6200746761632985, c_new = 5.3743223004209835
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11233.305328960414
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8908831434335704, b_new = -1.0803176005758144, c_new = 5.734882007385499
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3471.2900685755885
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9190489161833058, b_new = -1.1298967018037007, c_new = 5.586854335405944
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3317.521736674902
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.3037372278884884, b_new = -1.8295277838009087, c_new = 5.128779305244237
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14389.270195394492
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9585760872425366, b_new = -1.4825926890585317, c_new = 5.982892218755686
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3303.3611439052065
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.547420743788025, b_new = -1.274232728257121, c_new = 6.179231089915281
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10585.795104877243
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.022874470222109, b_new = -1.6909794164722416, c_new = 4.800955577583165
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3211.8499106251875
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2300757980985333, b_new = -0.48945503847480365, c_new = 4.683342084646882
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6324.221415311435
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4050236250946986, b_new = -0.6939693505958406, c_new = 6.421273872956736
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9992.323413505363
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9924572574966737, b_new = -0.5632314824434953, c_new = 5.361220027347221
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14359.940437921887
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3752293566801166, b_new = -0.27134844889311704, c_new = 5.8173685817942635
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10277.72448986196
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1589494350062286, b_new = -1.0915869329061234, c_new = 4.941591273554016
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3872.7474770360536
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.514751636233936, b_new = -0.3063985897364724, c_new = 5.2363649312380005
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11641.222883987626
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1612471623197846, b_new = -1.2304412897135468, c_new = 5.673944188813683
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3839.5705736115797
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.473398395249884, b_new = -1.526908156874624, c_new = 4.946088073995973
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15128.768696515566
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.387983206919823, b_new = -1.8839179823925183, c_new = 5.709565618437003
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6302.7385034814415
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0804372758235585, b_new = -1.491080808648631, c_new = 5.119783152393893
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13976.80341759308
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130598859085192, b_new = -1.0623401770877874, c_new = 5.777399482476542
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3754.245046495397
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.287310935412047, b_new = -1.0775596269832703, c_new = 4.733318721662282
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5973.937373413704
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1889577420107917, b_new = -0.7009603384870612, c_new = 5.615899828828002
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5264.6988194779
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.694407474461811, b_new = -1.475510054331329, c_new = 4.881748691111933
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11322.96017591169
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.414764910024532, b_new = -1.2486883142939125, c_new = 5.667767571303141
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8514.630383420734
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5760069596061173, b_new = -1.1874167268771052, c_new = 6.649952661191421
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8754.448405216412
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9169619677264573, b_new = -0.6605597880431895, c_new = 5.416531543655425
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3068.762299082703
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4250784431715866, b_new = -1.4045496960080632, c_new = 6.339506636046672
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11200.44942564003
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7789753524784544, b_new = -1.468673644656034, c_new = 4.669646927573358
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6223.48794931965
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2332012544977866, b_new = -1.3266840359816943, c_new = 5.65018377358674
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4666.101906894064
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6324545969841826, b_new = -0.5862514273979786, c_new = 5.818970861451304
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12395.393948612058
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2402721450669616, b_new = -1.0881798857029645, c_new = 6.226923558991906
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5509.207820473887
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5673:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.793870536676595, b_new = -1.367328995618154, c_new = 6.037580064284425
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5204.558019669595
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5674:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.15118455555528, b_new = -0.6152762282552341, c_new = 5.752181182118257
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4831.248099535534
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5675:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0060638533221424, b_new = -1.1610599027944843, c_new = 6.19860772778361
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3019.612860753489
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5676:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0105380180302608, b_new = -2.0300914862852384, c_new = 5.897931654184017
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3454.30446707766
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5677:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.906854002963419, b_new = -1.5042954818967338, c_new = 6.231283476651292
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3749.1364731639687
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5678:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8454780268645163, b_new = -1.5593538991307754, c_new = 5.7172899849207015
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4817.232931021496
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5679:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.848104053728605, b_new = -1.7052527270893956, c_new = 4.844844464431921
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12175.875104645767
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5680:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3512002102100387, b_new = -1.206014972815522, c_new = 5.702575212318356
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7350.541093216639
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5681:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.068870392154176, b_new = -0.7060913783009013, c_new = 5.2383675079004135
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3500.3763663762516
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5682:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9646458344416984, b_new = -1.0191317383605778, c_new = 5.630480713208112
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3043.925410033267
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5683:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.187099642012595, b_new = -1.6211994062126496, c_new = 6.306097598654855
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3704.2556152051443
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5684:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8120862891146587, b_new = -0.7725901667570994, c_new = 5.7419422954685215
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3891.0900181859715
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5685:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.48596627625909, b_new = -1.9278713270138201, c_new = 5.913964140694236
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11613.9759473806
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5686:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.300337234602292, b_new = -0.6942116459211491, c_new = 5.343844322162301
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7557.612176275322
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5687:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5041417098216496, b_new = -0.837928420136358, c_new = 5.214279420326121
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10583.842544634126
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5688:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.481163333067172, b_new = -1.3901604299206218, c_new = 5.66180517120921
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9302.492651381333
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5689:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.635858442178433, b_new = -1.4244948539871367, c_new = 5.452043280083492
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8726.676436290925
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5690:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.702675447150171, b_new = -0.8755414827047319, c_new = 5.544536948577151
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5929.637996521932
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5691:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.197182991078079, b_new = -1.329657313611047, c_new = 5.86241885581636
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4175.609287724486
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5692:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.99561054575119, b_new = -1.08126059101876, c_new = 6.625727211630885
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14169.449911005135
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5693:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8739868578893346, b_new = -1.1374991339670217, c_new = 5.3908106050822076
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3758.628331580522
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5694:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.371378066553468, b_new = -1.2826482324631527, c_new = 4.940736613006625
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11925.977162868383
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5695:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.529922859892601, b_new = -1.4367798201007371, c_new = 5.900396026829021
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10197.248284053027
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5696:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.325289364738728, b_new = -1.4730925356562201, c_new = 6.150042798510317
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6230.264090342231
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5697:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8500394205209294, b_new = -1.1315730245240045, c_new = 5.599556641165605
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3991.1008353134393
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5698:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.949263177375783, b_new = -1.7664726193529376, c_new = 5.0039567148203705
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3890.9648872117336
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5699:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1298549384224406, b_new = -1.5890453197888517, c_new = 4.834544694453747
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3142.2728733981903
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5700:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3036652808329277, b_new = -1.1763120837506644, c_new = 5.311469154021105
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6262.628285149205
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5701:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.27641411852367, b_new = -0.9663800151731906, c_new = 5.417373893234034
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6288.660284347139
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5702:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.913891633858238, b_new = -0.6521553379602316, c_new = 5.7031560515899455
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3068.2264942511224
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5703:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0237511012416602, b_new = -0.671834055410752, c_new = 5.640754302509807
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3255.9849857618856
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5704:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5013268314296093, b_new = -1.0788566420612353, c_new = 4.791382783240225
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9949.453621609338
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5705:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9910583959271833, b_new = -1.6844377343036487, c_new = 4.678494456947874
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13036.425323042306
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5706:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5118489090879934, b_new = -2.023937719332391, c_new = 5.5787492735171
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8326.517638593099
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5707:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5608071853266, b_new = -0.748260469093956, c_new = 5.2580361014146
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8458.545044853625
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5708:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8322385754993484, b_new = -1.6256252569885699, c_new = 5.235844668101554
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5353.239834052012
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5709:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9404755233910165, b_new = -0.7549200518853041, c_new = 5.996229243558856
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3037.610224188239
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5710:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.755796047205935, b_new = -0.9124188113261155, c_new = 4.889918910820214
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12574.463672859783
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5711:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.882966965057161, b_new = -1.2868591684896689, c_new = 5.554599566970667
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3836.6584262372226
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5712:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3435089112471506, b_new = -1.0514951227289795, c_new = 6.017582327975061
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11497.644392421731
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5713:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.24899466299387, b_new = -1.0412527887090888, c_new = 5.286697788681744
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5476.76060528393
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5714:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.333006334821599, b_new = -0.6995813098432941, c_new = 5.563654477414507
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11167.88934248868
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5715:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9748381799162207, b_new = -1.1647169959880577, c_new = 5.434026915451442
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3070.2969137712125
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5716:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6304925724801818, b_new = -2.00654675147789, c_new = 5.904472962599617
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10027.228491030626
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5717:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8462447580804358, b_new = -1.0489654135729172, c_new = 5.379051021626391
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3955.4287863492095
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5718:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9317207303381, b_new = -1.9036855315009649, c_new = 5.892796265602152
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4129.356260586985
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5719:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5570537318705906, b_new = -0.1583142889093796, c_new = 5.963945047554306
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6877.668030474888
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5720:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.331520714830653, b_new = -1.6229505729027316, c_new = 5.587288919994003
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5771.396543191604
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5721:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.67289841800749, b_new = -1.406053752119799, c_new = 4.988861969050273
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8156.821525984521
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5722:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2840586413960873, b_new = -1.1757310808354737, c_new = 5.276769096725232
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5838.708921911415
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5723:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.293101144587472, b_new = -1.2670792372517372, c_new = 4.714840744376916
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5603.11183852985
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5724:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.163750597460518, b_new = -1.0377264156437715, c_new = 4.824198691693345
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3989.089364067418
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5725:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2057912779984328, b_new = -1.5950004550547034, c_new = 6.208663766251125
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3934.521539001857
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5726:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4508971865253573, b_new = -1.8925573082965603, c_new = 5.068447266464618
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12154.163687725666
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5727:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3341736684152457, b_new = -1.159555674378256, c_new = 5.178468478525405
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11983.179633469916
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5728:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4614717150030025, b_new = -1.3436516031278505, c_new = 5.1503699287853015
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8917.062994875208
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5729:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9133711172880163, b_new = -0.9891818571725266, c_new = 5.418989065814814
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3258.0997351940778
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5730:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2312500940446247, b_new = -1.0242329350810455, c_new = 5.495098018561247
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5247.489063652281
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5731:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.286508959301522, b_new = -0.8733227070936391, c_new = 5.88221861944707
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6955.409258653897
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5732:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1591364969990976, b_new = -0.9912931969444103, c_new = 4.581409762963764
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3954.7240111459687
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5733:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6937874668792046, b_new = -1.0052592176957238, c_new = 5.127298960095199
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6588.6290727952855
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5734:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6545875858407557, b_new = -1.1325031973395596, c_new = 5.89936957192869
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7445.129161054765
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5735:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0442147413946086, b_new = -0.966230392936293, c_new = 6.208298990475738
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3214.564296400313
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5736:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.895765694523394, b_new = -0.9982067875820967, c_new = 6.131088998265156
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3312.7981761113047
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5737:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8663815240106136, b_new = -0.7688098895645263, c_new = 5.283047018366853
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13528.583663043257
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5738:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2371157077760175, b_new = -1.3098535641450644, c_new = 5.320454528150536
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12852.82339832361
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5739:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.111671172181167, b_new = -1.3235105422291817, c_new = 6.305024790494387
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14357.19057075191
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5740:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9549664834407325, b_new = -0.6159622342015525, c_new = 5.6258676400208225
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3037.520044546709
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5741:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9108454322263517, b_new = -1.7159208636441923, c_new = 5.124494648909268
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4274.3905148516205
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5742:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.502962380610441, b_new = -0.9112404647909201, c_new = 6.173885876883294
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10750.425390001581
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5743:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7761373042715913, b_new = -1.8117859834029346, c_new = 5.309460316536231
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11628.287489129478
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5744:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9791519124986126, b_new = -1.0681226218980067, c_new = 5.0160488493500175
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3044.9048153738404
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5745:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.890497186712115, b_new = -1.4361824372670653, c_new = 5.59285212429239
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3962.755534576781
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5746:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.883853380602718, b_new = -1.7371633724391327, c_new = 5.529515736495134
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4612.088169156942
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5747:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9912787885647494, b_new = -1.1619702922190918, c_new = 6.032722472652603
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3021.208623307887
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5748:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2008101772360256, b_new = -1.3390610256506723, c_new = 5.231195755612209
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4069.1235286102656
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5749:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9322351616771622, b_new = -2.19796159265906, c_new = 4.961965879779398
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15224.884433529678
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5750:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.998164755557307, b_new = -0.7045021589434919, c_new = 5.664838976136041
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3112.098241963774
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5751:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.356583189631527, b_new = -0.2610503039990293, c_new = 5.262981383230924
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9799.031016549696
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5752:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.232589404946907, b_new = -1.469522301903247, c_new = 5.2193044566576114
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4280.286752137559
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5753:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2843248653635233, b_new = -1.2669409825265256, c_new = 5.73147358258815
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5766.53696873315
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5754:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1405653041733914, b_new = -0.1253998673152199, c_new = 5.2129030853915985
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5619.927768790168
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5755:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.001972233096693, b_new = -1.279632083084154, c_new = 5.247600604264889
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3044.938550367889
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5756:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.921743525396342, b_new = -0.6888138490825888, c_new = 5.773978750566568
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3057.691075398489
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5757:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.025241751299176, b_new = -0.1311628290157365, c_new = 5.410600487003118
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3852.396342629224
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5758:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.292541664499098, b_new = -1.2598057794843929, c_new = 5.624382995702747
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12324.27862519581
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5759:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0790238359338753, b_new = -1.5205540367101773, c_new = 5.290673527316437
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3030.829889181884
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5760:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.254508979281317, b_new = -1.8791293395537203, c_new = 5.650808224644916
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13364.96351927615
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5761:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8253700516239317, b_new = -1.1331451998995115, c_new = 4.449850879480029
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4623.063388010931
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5762:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8423535089486758, b_new = 0.0009202467691244998, c_new = 5.714539196545655
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3101.9111075465307
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5763:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.934775891628365, b_new = -0.9748591937967523, c_new = 5.254471078999318
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3145.8267048325088
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5764:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1410804399671597, b_new = -0.7305440882944447, c_new = 5.572735425797623
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4385.027637056144
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5765:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.150117278306678, b_new = -0.8776323055015536, c_new = 5.266755952984672
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4170.909677853855
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5766:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4376219947745357, b_new = -1.4639802032237288, c_new = 5.502295631563632
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11431.61472142786
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5767:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8982808497775014, b_new = -0.7823079221457536, c_new = 5.868650946683158
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3171.1112958113426
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5768:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.085463751854376, b_new = -1.319079736200572, c_new = 4.596336382766906
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3080.986925080497
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5769:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.197930429093241, b_new = -1.540842138978172, c_new = 5.038436073259318
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3709.322732081237
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5770:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.344327273133636, b_new = -2.074284206099755, c_new = 4.689449649409245
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13324.284361576041
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5771:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.132919054695444, b_new = -0.4122123301311814, c_new = 5.324062036137096
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4832.454759751534
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5772:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.775854940703832, b_new = -1.7067238003263419, c_new = 5.207772474962478
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11745.335053584335
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5773:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8937037718260497, b_new = -1.5924351991259595, c_new = 5.890213157872459
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4109.291304548327
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5774:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3151139528741282, b_new = -1.2286935812280169, c_new = 5.358367422389502
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6382.552472044385
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5775:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.212895767558917, b_new = -0.9009276529536477, c_new = 5.49062557389971
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5195.284671124624
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5776:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0829431174030084, b_new = -0.5705902976239788, c_new = 5.115454353397256
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3791.8186634111044
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5777:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.417870638554658, b_new = -0.8606501692028314, c_new = 5.188878652125366
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9343.954450867452
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5778:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.811554848910623, b_new = -1.0954503617074098, c_new = 6.036387536828954
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4358.816902523498
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5779:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.466508984500212, b_new = -1.5470991948574278, c_new = 5.479889978482751
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8638.19317682742
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5780:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.157357573219237, b_new = -1.2683567216380291, c_new = 5.781188671538942
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3762.8837299866777
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5781:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4623538745594367, b_new = -0.6709619167260663, c_new = 4.700365051669692
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9935.582749638674
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5782:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9626367599286458, b_new = -0.8907995586354729, c_new = 4.926190993571363
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13953.87469346599
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5783:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.646964671224951, b_new = -1.4631793778004312, c_new = 4.7656723348873085
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10876.556699608125
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5784:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.592648168235288, b_new = -1.534501317046363, c_new = 5.60513102209181
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9642.7472332964
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5785:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4324179952751788, b_new = -0.9820484513991934, c_new = 5.440938161628288
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10651.674132405959
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5786:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3860096050251527, b_new = -0.5625931072015693, c_new = 5.335194237674432
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9584.512853067763
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5787:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9056431493957344, b_new = -1.2614446785612876, c_new = 5.657888998374083
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3550.206442176587
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5788:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1081242297891687, b_new = -1.7806085643859968, c_new = 5.800575724880754
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3041.9812011474874
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5789:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.762151568489566, b_new = -0.4834611431379915, c_new = 4.970219302320711
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4232.043092277625
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5790:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.541610393121763, b_new = -1.0702716894054491, c_new = 5.2115612348653855
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9511.684595994722
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5791:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0794477328175383, b_new = -0.7519394259057037, c_new = 5.5679365630845945
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13075.539396072487
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5792:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7394406609981417, b_new = -1.2938479371495806, c_new = 5.851899388832908
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6148.123596970235
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5793:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.665022132719842, b_new = -0.9724100204684648, c_new = 5.311186448049557
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7026.772294477671
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5794:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.851577458269146, b_new = -0.7054310316717098, c_new = 5.672351184487811
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3429.8525849909583
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5795:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5385296664100023, b_new = -1.282989913769062, c_new = 5.595176702519915
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10277.436612923819
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5796:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0579264892101143, b_new = -1.759149687815221, c_new = 5.813150015195171
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3039.7418946697326
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5797:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3541460427589387, b_new = -1.0256213269497674, c_new = 6.010867908689535
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8044.448994420423
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5798:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7976707978745803, b_new = -0.906742602024799, c_new = 5.112861573596805
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4437.901445656051
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5799:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8855739166023415, b_new = -0.8236100745047918, c_new = 5.4854085600969675
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3302.277416087895
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5800:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2278510468776385, b_new = -1.102784734571526, c_new = 5.472635563946131
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4999.702597783733
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5801:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.444329341699102, b_new = -0.9337932788395009, c_new = 4.7004867680121585
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9420.081384410754
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5802:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.006127122102354, b_new = -1.1931057932159543, c_new = 5.870714348220593
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3013.7942577522554
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5803:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7021044609730906, b_new = -1.2870710283444118, c_new = 4.91813061328871
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7258.474073045443
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5804:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.278047099414465, b_new = -0.4806706917193433, c_new = 6.012732138527093
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11210.576381454124
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5805:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.175130492837745, b_new = -0.9837399808988547, c_new = 4.996626090447026
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12923.986656140838
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5806:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.074020549429736, b_new = -1.4530428851781405, c_new = 6.071223666921314
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3062.36835205826
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5807:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2516541939196943, b_new = -1.1546268329777747, c_new = 5.600169070809855
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5355.747720146039
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5808:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.015120379488738, b_new = -1.1766396465384985, c_new = 4.199096230646761
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3038.7153654878703
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5809:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.148519846129206, b_new = -0.7631005800824433, c_new = 4.937312951197507
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4271.306739973064
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5810:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.848661755412487, b_new = -0.8431072184169512, c_new = 5.458241276232927
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3633.2630622945126
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5811:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.917453238449023, b_new = -0.7892471587490572, c_new = 4.921048653703352
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3145.5399833483134
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5812:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.066313813457764, b_new = -1.9904838068512676, c_new = 5.118088714806155
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3167.8499841554853
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5813:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0429456774056063, b_new = -1.5332122397013914, c_new = 5.877825887016135
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3015.7864901031644
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5814:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3852349338860688, b_new = -0.8371539693293197, c_new = 4.798161116882332
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15788.941216934421
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5815:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6885422027192294, b_new = 0.004462282644633664, c_new = 4.856955652749336
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13306.168763409234
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5816:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4012249424876972, b_new = -0.5509271363350886, c_new = 4.6232701368393005
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10473.996154415578
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5817:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.647260944054369, b_new = -1.1514659248136228, c_new = 5.986692491263907
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7608.369845390023
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5818:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.448733374193647, b_new = -1.4858223607151566, c_new = 5.831539768406341
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11253.39237538679
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5819:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0509963283684285, b_new = -0.9265091395889686, c_new = 5.350554067454322
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3188.7713196834566
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5820:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.671939268344428, b_new = -1.3538575095703884, c_new = 5.619486096996039
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7788.872579235118
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5821:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.309034984525693, b_new = -1.1679170967235541, c_new = 5.761988343861543
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6569.467544499845
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5822:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.890907265120491, b_new = -1.2090733080178726, c_new = 5.477159254261741
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3659.0558064471234
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5823:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.087442131855972, b_new = -1.3598837099206587, c_new = 6.642129549788765
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3215.5471462210803
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5824:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8885632401123487, b_new = -0.7285767216134851, c_new = 4.764037909155824
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3278.858681929226
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5825:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8518441876183895, b_new = -0.04557908582725534, c_new = 5.5772296722041785
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3088.6785978001044
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5826:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8262263142896344, b_new = -0.8176248340361125, c_new = 5.363582222891695
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13265.583662097324
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5827:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9944999836752726, b_new = -2.1395500660993045, c_new = 5.130946250507919
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12646.911833108463
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5828:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.318775633092348, b_new = -0.8266242428438274, c_new = 6.209488090721853
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11319.60220760397
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5829:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3370763959257976, b_new = -1.7143255188511612, c_new = 6.136556010137954
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5837.798151922514
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5830:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831573048043076, b_new = -1.2524166531874663, c_new = 5.5783480864400765
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4460.278283796095
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5831:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.624873321131309, b_new = -1.7122599912882779, c_new = 5.1695060270554345
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10354.939281647776
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5832:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3901074166600935, b_new = -1.3804979487715963, c_new = 5.502328051586928
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7612.360967803146
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5833:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.043305700209715, b_new = -1.3965311140976047, c_new = 5.192846165634594
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3014.6000569269163
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5834:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0680780051962024, b_new = -1.3909034530248015, c_new = 5.533081267941881
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3043.763154363446
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5835:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2876353042169075, b_new = -1.4146626402302025, c_new = 5.084803390126952
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12717.066518138381
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5836:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2825390688979654, b_new = -1.8510551030614009, c_new = 6.060559665993669
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4524.572781072104
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5837:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.126466086463108, b_new = -1.3040249303706972, c_new = 5.7789287011312505
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3424.6402313371773
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5838:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1329293127674696, b_new = -0.9501637405693185, c_new = 6.125969430366204
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4024.6854585025576
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5839:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.737370425936251, b_new = -0.989059076102468, c_new = 5.499532345557555
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12512.693842160334
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5840:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7594495783584665, b_new = -1.652688343276267, c_new = 5.779649455685241
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6717.409481492378
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5841:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3278303310507313, b_new = -0.4982004950196126, c_new = 4.346347380719395
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8294.915761136082
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5842:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6711841988814755, b_new = -1.8136463388626949, c_new = 5.6397274952467376
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10795.017482410203
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5843:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.914954475074514, b_new = -0.7804292032370637, c_new = 5.423238130238962
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13940.749131456258
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5844:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8635015617099406, b_new = -1.421062959417718, c_new = 5.798491309925931
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4248.541107015926
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5845:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.575306299869959, b_new = -0.45083856793199417, c_new = 5.479279069658891
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7398.390835728747
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5846:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.808664242541335, b_new = -2.135039203514438, c_new = 5.306715305114447
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11435.29817850378
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5847:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.122905580522098, b_new = -1.1966052682935187, c_new = 5.854285188065074
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3521.5340735893783
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5848:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9928450433926805, b_new = -1.0720465711505973, c_new = 5.548287734377013
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3014.5476462689144
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5412925090700256, b_new = -1.0096731290098915, c_new = 5.584487849951927
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9257.925522486848
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5374898664951027, b_new = -0.7474435252751719, c_new = 5.3596527018600835
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11154.559614924918
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6607810902866094, b_new = -1.1850868567264958, c_new = 5.858412187533136
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11748.39070981277
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8142460172079167, b_new = -0.8561319708919422, c_new = 4.7607376215450925
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12987.753256641017
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.103968141863006, b_new = -1.5106096380746887, c_new = 6.280231963026755
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3165.10897184721
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3772572688413334, b_new = -1.7103468259440788, c_new = 5.012811041073903
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6293.616909814597
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.403029238593196, b_new = -1.4289589388657966, c_new = 5.51274904617352
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11701.551850340547
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4769377114119635, b_new = -1.1574402987630843, c_new = 4.881675951132892
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10644.420445616635
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2879911200482375, b_new = -0.9245757695991774, c_new = 5.700707943536265
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11867.401787134548
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1999769231565693, b_new = -1.0698617711568523, c_new = 5.745598325812474
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4677.066739464348
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.098142407508571, b_new = -0.8171360778961307, c_new = 6.30315326805074
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3852.9998819280545
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.913254945531886, b_new = -0.7010098491203609, c_new = 4.652755318098603
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3135.1921625015552
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.923539743466003, b_new = -1.81101860289714, c_new = 4.715511373373234
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4377.552708671181
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.291355466462601, b_new = -1.1517152507683064, c_new = 5.396275857651332
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12246.42208946777
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1566873632391594, b_new = -1.4805174646564316, c_new = 5.590443141184888
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3467.895677227678
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2165981798215615, b_new = -1.274923706078735, c_new = 5.367317117936515
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4433.867487849967
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4302862956230884, b_new = -1.1595575764644492, c_new = 6.032663739755542
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10812.727097177398
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1964458750546303, b_new = -1.3733640105149092, c_new = 5.137670985543543
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3941.9966001572166
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4803120773409857, b_new = -1.5433465657513061, c_new = 5.380528755322847
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8845.075412215489
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7425547223198548, b_new = -0.8961081176651136, c_new = 5.208712476286672
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5316.918320551375
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1559615786980553, b_new = -1.275546681316626, c_new = 5.77336867471581
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13191.259920184733
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130263325543279, b_new = -1.1168319588743993, c_new = 5.694670556049835
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3662.457207552894
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4555724134735404, b_new = -1.3844346978047561, c_new = 6.25072256994398
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10870.464453637824
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.01004904048231, b_new = -1.6160228054305312, c_new = 5.429708404041282
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3160.446528196492
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6272921791962105, b_new = -1.5232741028005221, c_new = 5.470375237386129
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9115.63974878191
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.855420394463499, b_new = -1.692928231231066, c_new = 5.727491746708705
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4933.200607773675
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.10180800527641, b_new = -1.5816368573841668, c_new = 5.201876212162529
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3062.3786653407064
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0336608214969267, b_new = -0.3631144904063901, c_new = 5.833900957650626
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3702.513610251957
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8478780430870754, b_new = -0.752935605461857, c_new = 5.273820354013935
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3562.3050040007274
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7135118204619095, b_new = -2.2301602740183535, c_new = 5.801632850811225
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10585.98086346797
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3092366348417754, b_new = -0.9145872331799633, c_new = 5.805542684368756
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7307.314240630594
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3727992563546447, b_new = -0.5595064886839246, c_new = 5.328758099803286
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9369.16448707952
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.41413309900821, b_new = -1.1393791131047906, c_new = 6.063014508524603
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10941.773452345988
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.908561249512773, b_new = -2.1209024221388058, c_new = 6.9408472821472795
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4607.8362503707485
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.71403302209895, b_new = -2.0408856053274516, c_new = 5.44174681148935
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10790.87989964974
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7032010754159286, b_new = -0.6752140686582758, c_new = 4.844482774761835
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12512.553009059184
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.308904952461094, b_new = -0.9217191717217034, c_new = 4.952972357709916
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11902.435940870166
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4737089487829755, b_new = -0.601898787274489, c_new = 4.736966440877401
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9636.13640510057
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8396434087351574, b_new = -0.7729829163511215, c_new = 5.369486312995991
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3651.730737061927
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.918710132915604, b_new = -1.576334609494414, c_new = 5.6568479939957825
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3825.219076855975
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.465372895630586, b_new = -0.6947757470283996, c_new = 6.080030441021422
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9506.68976642504
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5855529916656046, b_new = -1.9630618820507384, c_new = 5.328292930978774
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9483.186631363084
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.634296498649073, b_new = -1.6334878784497389, c_new = 5.44749690041342
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9274.56692460979
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5405949745709946, b_new = -0.8121579020492296, c_new = 5.439943740277804
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11099.661312802757
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.915087885837338, b_new = -1.7209164334539868, c_new = 4.950182646663599
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4268.627907257222
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.028731628668611, b_new = -1.5365440987798782, c_new = 5.743692262772702
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14103.01388408081
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.154451097719858, b_new = -0.7086947406352702, c_new = 4.515341753743482
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14669.786217875384
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6617076125547054, b_new = -0.8368141795215551, c_new = 5.8239079485047744
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6560.11497489584
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.855909327602627, b_new = -1.4332999966831705, c_new = 5.971206537814584
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4338.174240648343
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.021467646432579, b_new = -0.5008967627973567, c_new = 6.053632487250307
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3463.1685163915813
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0943952254037232, b_new = -1.216589219454176, c_new = 5.2758131932480765
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3218.947373518565
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.145063056718346, b_new = -0.5511299806955366, c_new = 4.110065442461798
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4406.995278687289
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4953357340203897, b_new = -0.966314406030341, c_new = 5.1378803353162725
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9954.055988102984
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7987844881590385, b_new = -0.9370805480824475, c_new = 5.44694589955186
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4396.7094620547505
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.006819657803689, b_new = -0.35942962821745306, c_new = 5.0329908890563715
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3337.9479459290023
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5061171290163244, b_new = -0.5415751962428708, c_new = 5.318855493897285
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11175.688465198687
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0464172148135864, b_new = -0.751059698226983, c_new = 5.529072302506842
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3320.782149146942
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.110818195996094, b_new = -1.6863461576361558, c_new = 4.018148451530768
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3062.6767319688115
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.617719460617, b_new = -0.9660791568910927, c_new = 5.281697223924534
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11539.879880410339
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5238831342613897, b_new = 0.3637729248183059, c_new = 5.330267466946912
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12799.855620829894
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0698781638601256, b_new = -0.5912067040940271, c_new = 5.233003744399395
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3648.462589704549
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.988984739986505, b_new = -1.0970138204615265, c_new = 5.948388503932154
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3018.4027122515918
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.445504884259093, b_new = -1.304745888488164, c_new = 5.3957548588006645
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8827.13508577345
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5801830641226378, b_new = -1.2350401322282343, c_new = 5.378402981210448
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10760.885653127509
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.58472111083898, b_new = -0.9240286219121329, c_new = 5.931782311722225
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11501.941052574522
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0211173371823614, b_new = -2.076999711191313, c_new = 5.351124385327584
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3507.407198132879
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3103137502123765, b_new = -0.28527730060018464, c_new = 5.350480546270989
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8940.22609066724
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.070169988529924, b_new = -1.0389797035452748, c_new = 4.535606993510898
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3146.894906014075
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4623308194820015, b_new = -1.0425375968846244, c_new = 5.834248590328754
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9845.0592563696
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2615897335760446, b_new = -0.828746588315999, c_new = 5.395366329139561
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6339.334956690424
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.800560933829843, b_new = -1.6859062119486878, c_new = 5.567173557120095
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12052.325198496592
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2936400699156905, b_new = -1.5090361508221921, c_new = 5.173973169162615
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5182.186325531492
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1946421835418795, b_new = -1.7401772579517578, c_new = 6.229483355962838
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3618.0754830227525
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3149636056466694, b_new = -0.8189391959985692, c_new = 5.4026799373540255
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7542.797124046698
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0825918499027507, b_new = -0.5508564423152981, c_new = 5.51879378810989
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3902.185875247996
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.757338867351364, b_new = -0.43911360071250183, c_new = 5.449418554249868
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4126.992669714561
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9828558051366696, b_new = -1.5316301985088472, c_new = 5.65712786206148
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3224.206625309612
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.521534112914731, b_new = -1.6420855707579287, c_new = 5.648789172599918
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9353.599188491977
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.606960425983867, b_new = -0.7671952052986604, c_new = 6.26408620378869
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7316.701235056649
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.594890428125762, b_new = -1.58415567460931, c_new = 5.599581255060496
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10377.7484252968
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6809120582115384, b_new = -0.9781515507827327, c_new = 5.510329711638922
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6644.725515312762
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.694648075763962, b_new = -0.9003314528320489, c_new = 5.673247171854098
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6109.142754482278
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7995465511644615, b_new = -1.0350125224615572, c_new = 5.136638866593877
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4650.500452000504
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.907718047690864, b_new = -1.3367239776899957, c_new = 4.690915871015843
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3797.717019677504
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1490046637422067, b_new = -1.3538040791595316, c_new = 4.606025636338604
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13618.795272303802
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7781639141489833, b_new = -0.04739962410103504, c_new = 5.35601640958511
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3440.242180014675
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7098931346222432, b_new = -0.7163868451640085, c_new = 5.133091415899528
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5533.715151413869
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6597674126963047, b_new = -1.1232030462810696, c_new = 5.592151546367687
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7429.347457851005
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2591852413725992, b_new = -1.4601483310097036, c_new = 5.249698727249982
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4712.261384932501
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.070597880034697, b_new = -0.05477430643010184, c_new = 5.5142161849379105
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15152.88092826468
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7505970322526663, b_new = -1.355160248166624, c_new = 5.263148611034271
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6289.753612259352
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3674714452770376, b_new = -1.4386428881710058, c_new = 4.647373329084911
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12286.273594060356
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7762777157605782, b_new = -2.095495127950186, c_new = 5.556763839495367
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7703.503190754516
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.321800672882543, b_new = -0.7588288325501131, c_new = 5.968402250434871
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8099.5147408584035
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.765356143420785, b_new = -0.9755109219421996, c_new = 5.659780321110218
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12764.70113731613
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2671627567576627, b_new = -1.4856719713478779, c_new = 5.521455178376004
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4865.788064108165
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.393820669975047, b_new = -1.3084907356834226, c_new = 4.891677204914721
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7653.470860699848
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4935801989937745, b_new = -0.7288910455167237, c_new = 5.371575535920666
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9417.648731392075
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.843904601847714, b_new = -1.8238315873184108, c_new = 5.464095394475105
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5538.301282820492
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3184030639395896, b_new = -0.8879082075100309, c_new = 5.502287499942083
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7460.887917678797
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4675096702228667, b_new = -1.524372989181231, c_new = 5.9056903840002555
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11099.6401119955
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9495551574548253, b_new = -1.0208761873409729, c_new = 5.062760806165119
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3119.207516323272
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.037899943217706, b_new = -1.5309496964921245, c_new = 4.90357242999357
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3058.928600600844
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0277921880108676, b_new = -1.4143834032768285, c_new = 4.392414174129801
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3075.00297059294
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.678034747014107, b_new = -0.6465658948469784, c_new = 5.464082383438885
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12545.719482795841
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9813317793673435, b_new = -1.2176941448852945, c_new = 5.74501055091294
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3056.6705868765157
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.265705895955524, b_new = -0.9852643174180129, c_new = 4.724766643004032
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5763.01692910583
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9968989442966936, b_new = -0.9303499361185117, c_new = 4.721576967131964
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3011.807100421406
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7957854417367622, b_new = -0.661761638246982, c_new = 5.172181381606528
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4032.0982511808734
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.314405795485383, b_new = -1.2003287930090027, c_new = 5.803695534401658
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6611.921620451833
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0746928935946842, b_new = -0.6915018435275262, c_new = 5.089003124914475
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3545.317367381479
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8142733271454676, b_new = -0.8166006188774453, c_new = 5.282454970753239
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4016.0311194676106
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.55676098905121, b_new = -1.2612617008386133, c_new = 4.513159637173967
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10197.761831362077
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.203260740943613, b_new = -1.691946291408459, c_new = 5.814127879418898
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3697.7484601439164
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3766734402519085, b_new = -2.2227607707887094, c_new = 5.4774956059597155
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5190.553967628258
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.377775203462997, b_new = -1.1536399851321122, c_new = 5.799852830995477
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8093.258823088428
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.254766558519263, b_new = -2.3481501192863323, c_new = 5.847885184401536
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3455.6307804415865
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8410748285556195, b_new = -1.7673279006899958, c_new = 5.509621417585223
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5437.457111871903
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6636333274250177, b_new = -1.278958060607577, c_new = 5.203666433778171
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11440.66418903626
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.363477651072865, b_new = -1.6828028738400946, c_new = 5.598086511163008
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6279.432213681868
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4900813701072972, b_new = -1.1363395364831783, c_new = 5.5708849579768
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9942.036795651713
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.564223778541426, b_new = -0.6318280933421159, c_new = 5.533758752423831
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11663.21685230032
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.5494173405751885, b_new = -0.7933261747096542, c_new = 5.317488443969429
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15871.011631491248
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2313424381530274, b_new = -0.49323458581314095, c_new = 5.813592616460745
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11676.062262120224
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5226605768029313, b_new = -0.3592919875704629, c_new = 5.8712566114516855
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11832.356195468283
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.891002772488729, b_new = -1.7086597552335165, c_new = 5.6569365222994765
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4411.419862042502
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4517795062812446, b_new = -1.7426504993684466, c_new = 6.046196366752932
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8089.51874273645
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.646416238564424, b_new = -1.3002761541940449, c_new = 5.417909917408567
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8224.457768128335
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5450771886928876, b_new = -1.436123643425437, c_new = 5.558167865519354
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10054.08892437422
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7796093878567616, b_new = -1.1688535887922267, c_new = 5.186018079573727
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5270.591361223493
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8878985519164115, b_new = -1.007542996779625, c_new = 5.841872069787264
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3409.5041614625343
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4028010139369025, b_new = -0.9860163535005928, c_new = 5.452751036966427
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8881.208368445758
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2373618742934402, b_new = -1.1399370207440809, c_new = 5.379079397575198
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5057.359757670913
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.407686721072093, b_new = -1.1696644760956465, c_new = 5.35714790687446
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8467.003240626555
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8601883811267825, b_new = -1.8747193073916715, c_new = 5.085019920044372
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5481.753342078195
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.250503253998284, b_new = -0.311141963744063, c_new = 5.686197348716151
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15531.320378578563
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.224840317157238, b_new = -2.4927954734726576, c_new = 5.470871751013688
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3163.319043831576
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.726853259983209, b_new = -1.331964169155174, c_new = 6.212310868546895
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6380.209411777996
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.449857738209842, b_new = -0.432915242771826, c_new = 6.479576037395432
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11154.403162678482
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.333623922920539, b_new = -1.6909759421578567, c_new = 5.464200212774854
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5604.378695890616
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.437625183814126, b_new = -0.7416716039722226, c_new = 5.875403489135594
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10157.985729292843
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4442043025105615, b_new = -0.7860995061185656, c_new = 6.4514710821906505
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9839.725243805404
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9702952361706396, b_new = -1.1258823170591228, c_new = 4.564363006258845
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3125.8379935161174
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0408399677957996, b_new = -0.5619683927082256, c_new = 5.7281584632656095
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3501.5093463553103
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0037998276323554, b_new = -1.6712017960876846, c_new = 6.30936892725438
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3149.2747599331624
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.582429584492181, b_new = -1.1347962353027417, c_new = 4.493807615136515
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9294.030740153035
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.10181835065137, b_new = -1.5479856384219217, c_new = 5.54113608438594
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3086.8402741185673
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1680947422385453, b_new = -0.4560978266769735, c_new = 5.240170049372446
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12241.830049360413
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.435287773907521, b_new = -1.7730172077852704, c_new = 5.354205309338965
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7435.299035856965
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3654422158644177, b_new = -1.9633604942256293, c_new = 6.397015485893908
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5870.871498227241
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 5999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.133857285068811, b_new = -0.6915731099395013, c_new = 5.914312201873793
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4444.560785708007
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.427712009041355, b_new = -0.4326744408924511, c_new = 5.759225694099317
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9582.427207946688
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5266984975498734, b_new = -0.9352871020933813, c_new = 5.541480720024783
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9325.930455401449
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1248959090182145, b_new = -0.756427279360693, c_new = 5.523777310696167
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4100.55422997648
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7785082476372374, b_new = -1.3073501912418832, c_new = 5.420117586938848
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5547.363938323862
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4944924116122458, b_new = -1.4867683443837145, c_new = 5.8912222473697495
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10731.466647497287
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3413847944513266, b_new = -0.3650435183754086, c_new = 4.756403723160081
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10762.521609544754
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3852171297714775, b_new = 0.5297127720818906, c_new = 4.977459229129306
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8512.848575419945
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5876734406591533, b_new = -0.9088029579747823, c_new = 4.94215277034094
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11253.06906568141
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2878368629182253, b_new = -0.9915219321351209, c_new = 5.495784411744827
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12020.577332368264
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.24352039766747, b_new = -1.7005635344246204, c_new = 4.790682477274617
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3967.419160633809
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.009483519892421, b_new = -0.9507946923699582, c_new = 5.57940298535417
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3041.2801971037197
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.103986323106792, b_new = -0.6728792871965966, c_new = 5.772611192498901
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4028.2628142759636
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6642898925363543, b_new = -1.6791384577354642, c_new = 5.1143795180731235
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8995.03771763491
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7998417181671607, b_new = -1.4451490400758251, c_new = 5.356092553990468
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12308.03368613956
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7123984381661783, b_new = -0.19282882891151076, c_new = 5.376072574536189
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13350.747422166576
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.473594916188345, b_new = -1.3171221267702522, c_new = 5.475273447882379
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10790.295705098624
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8278860924879836, b_new = -0.9984042605973755, c_new = 4.473694502610935
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14676.76705414556
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.742633487722422, b_new = -0.9578291122963173, c_new = 4.7785198537748865
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5600.357269086171
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5696130233177756, b_new = -1.2203190129691988, c_new = 4.406879612809856
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10383.845405476188
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2909762785133303, b_new = -1.462938055377798, c_new = 5.338453114919116
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5287.69389219009
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.985173015155678, b_new = -1.482489470122784, c_new = 4.964703776130916
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3248.898839071777
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6378763216700376, b_new = -0.6114439537308266, c_new = 5.220426295065397
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6668.7859193621425
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2148159289061047, b_new = -1.2819223358652565, c_new = 5.4707916443773446
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4419.685848048324
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.201730785623156, b_new = -0.42287850034011654, c_new = 5.05329192062911
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6034.15346422334
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.591937244348691, b_new = -2.086376198788826, c_new = 5.935794739923178
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10705.767408689713
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6773952577363835, b_new = -1.6127611198079412, c_new = 5.648436011076212
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8361.933001394036
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7739827398676167, b_new = -0.9708348842107651, c_new = 5.409690934802521
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12759.553824671115
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1972663808581947, b_new = -0.4231273622273901, c_new = 5.86904011058515
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6257.242598907064
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.082136944518386, b_new = -1.4049269990606446, c_new = 5.817070776570119
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3093.634613187503
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.30126851549257, b_new = -2.0472570398115635, c_new = 5.703911403472933
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4363.059611936296
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.33421926418181, b_new = -0.09833775958943058, c_new = 5.880446945938499
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10052.903239372245
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0499106521126653, b_new = -2.1335248937992244, c_new = 4.802860811695366
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3429.524720754906
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7186307854069502, b_new = -1.1281940217710764, c_new = 6.28761703308317
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12412.200133776456
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.042741203010887, b_new = -1.7941376354558352, c_new = 5.758077233277186
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3096.6239687595153
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7842574972708074, b_new = -1.2222374736480033, c_new = 5.868702355578608
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5100.7878565339415
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.766359820029647, b_new = -1.1069303692726185, c_new = 5.297646434625219
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5337.326847641885
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9362806272813216, b_new = -1.2197491258446242, c_new = 6.059640139574059
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3230.8600167442974
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.871818424319934, b_new = -1.0009542848228714, c_new = 6.427310646035312
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3466.4073759216417
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3324626452262556, b_new = -0.9992107928281118, c_new = 4.5591792739346895
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11937.418092820993
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9386764029518666, b_new = -0.8641092622047648, c_new = 6.36490230239779
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14064.113855966185
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.185921322399671, b_new = -0.7408430018454968, c_new = 5.121714404625679
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4960.602391404463
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7396635381571808, b_new = -2.045134514136731, c_new = 5.727498367700923
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8266.286547508162
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5218108650132085, b_new = -1.5124628041874009, c_new = 5.55815802957952
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10563.812101893507
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8415164577110046, b_new = -1.5789744020067307, c_new = 6.110422873202107
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4813.75030201142
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2556652644018524, b_new = -1.6744003559701608, c_new = 4.9586079950858934
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4197.510738678148
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2198116178263265, b_new = -1.0381441372603804, c_new = 5.832184794026423
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5112.723361741098
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5979298374200006, b_new = 0.18079258407815724, c_new = 5.730921379042894
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5405.773715245157
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.104698460794954, b_new = -0.7360339079870873, c_new = 6.1136636263236985
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4014.7206281419913
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4418361761237066, b_new = -0.6723808174408983, c_new = 5.040955197346649
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10085.97524082163
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4486954834942587, b_new = -0.6320519303925156, c_new = 4.604844422460168
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10094.93035484299
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4361174622898827, b_new = -0.70445061595662, c_new = 5.214514769171437
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9980.100656698061
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.442119804183147, b_new = -2.008689917056704, c_new = 5.385617240004834
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6974.138884250873
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4044618257884043, b_new = -0.4349995119814839, c_new = 5.21321459467234
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10037.805324357727
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.304047921373038, b_new = -1.0773929466252654, c_new = 4.690401131108665
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -16141.684731686022
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7061734694873834, b_new = -1.0404886520737289, c_new = 4.370971875471697
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11910.541376271462
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.947936603157176, b_new = -1.1351312882013909, c_new = 5.996235558896833
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3125.38950108621
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2463713620471975, b_new = -0.9284742484411332, c_new = 5.016368005402698
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5614.998628377298
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3884289041361275, b_new = -1.4498125394194494, c_new = 5.648163635704113
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7444.431739546927
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.934518361170354, b_new = -0.3147153504169472, c_new = 6.071127597112286
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3125.947506735756
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9606159799161893, b_new = -1.8806277911642892, c_new = 4.698698400156793
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4004.420212148393
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8790289489109306, b_new = -1.8117888244183753, c_new = 6.525188871906615
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4567.8853342310085
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0349618616727088, b_new = -1.3018106068087174, c_new = 4.711137696999201
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3019.9135425126537
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.861266100102547, b_new = -1.8514032105114806, c_new = 4.909441275529543
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5464.872281195178
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.618054326565162, b_new = -1.1320913033059576, c_new = 5.214056770429697
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11260.23527061705
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3563099852997156, b_new = -1.4496404744650875, c_new = 5.677391731354276
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12088.947524907457
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.899131561008464, b_new = -1.4707566144602635, c_new = 5.309676463675341
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3970.3710913447685
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.561266290240867, b_new = -1.4034829652146439, c_new = 4.573089502883251
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10009.09430372059
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.647938527333842, b_new = -2.0813604047673433, c_new = 5.34327493693011
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10023.206414758472
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3046563478974447, b_new = -0.7816385332351746, c_new = 5.135229815300953
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7316.28329445977
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6600644061867698, b_new = -0.7316851715018051, c_new = 4.6781644170903665
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12071.412978506662
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4290838896890747, b_new = -0.47397680487668115, c_new = 5.571745084234347
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10496.848539499779
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1925478570136527, b_new = -1.3871223018053311, c_new = 4.66309680281611
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13400.286286296752
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0088624737175085, b_new = -0.8964079365188644, c_new = 5.564097840081868
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3056.089426037523
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8507499350775287, b_new = -1.074160936938294, c_new = 5.343435509320403
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3945.639805800939
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.907152196471769, b_new = -1.2136027966525011, c_new = 4.122205591271826
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3745.506765922126
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2335399487831293, b_new = -1.6240291626650953, c_new = 4.867549895587772
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3971.6560083081677
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1577016462951497, b_new = -1.0344108200287911, c_new = 5.881404710057449
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12866.93584793454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.98955685557641, b_new = -0.9588630272773963, c_new = 5.386489775401046
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13960.488762815014
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3416408610237833, b_new = -0.6862301715958674, c_new = 6.163825808312433
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8798.985625106274
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.98125998030395, b_new = -0.9691682584627311, c_new = 5.463947610205479
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3015.8347507340904
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.422383212825239, b_new = -1.4164160779519155, c_new = 5.994383918471928
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8349.904446954864
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.111826824324727, b_new = -0.563228748462115, c_new = 5.50890503345894
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4256.711571106681
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.274276712471069, b_new = -0.8967887845370417, c_new = 5.717612822359024
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11931.785996589497
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4287104475035592, b_new = -1.4040604711669178, c_new = 6.378262387527843
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11151.176821149877
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.164522322720058, b_new = -1.2751929407494778, c_new = 4.324904911521422
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3590.9071817902127
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.41768947029735, b_new = -2.2818686069578047, c_new = 5.707824867530096
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5904.754402094801
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9413036227491671, b_new = -1.231749522734677, c_new = 4.7815629287795005
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14392.95123805734
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.237160901315512, b_new = -1.2123317834614742, c_new = 6.296435833400581
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5174.589345457081
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.154519441345882, b_new = -1.7395130822648857, c_new = 5.507722832064776
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3221.380512204292
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.310774054978644, b_new = -1.6188776344328777, c_new = 5.710137294320486
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5410.95246774394
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.654634780057661, b_new = -1.0090858804876768, c_new = 5.561340957292187
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11874.80961323442
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7131373766097178, b_new = -1.7336116421787153, c_new = 6.6814559592598926
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7572.299435920906
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.700145226424307, b_new = -1.365139001363823, c_new = 5.879096526966716
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11814.076586882955
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4444162149167723, b_new = -0.5650969012270705, c_new = 5.506585987521224
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10485.836972846408
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.52836415605179, b_new = 0.23445386624591524, c_new = 4.937123028518595
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12521.298115657006
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.564083742017028, b_new = -1.8804578014652535, c_new = 4.4915351830608845
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11153.359696050211
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.111979747856283, b_new = -1.020117933523912, c_new = 5.649311108669513
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13177.965650781593
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5499058620054846, b_new = -1.8731782082393873, c_new = 5.7379021191561534
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9306.149394017928
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.309082677968648, b_new = -1.6843977795597245, c_new = 5.571878950676337
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5185.140909053432
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7419423486573304, b_new = -1.1614262715091077, c_new = 5.075873606856418
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6026.1317396716695
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5018419532871974, b_new = -0.6935555458964809, c_new = 5.331292045062425
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9240.994664176089
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1539136283072855, b_new = -1.123612385978293, c_new = 5.491287803060286
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3874.207044015298
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5095527801277013, b_new = -1.013230310837078, c_new = 5.650677629479706
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10460.099881155538
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.354539269876021, b_new = -1.9780591437136947, c_new = 5.262301508162691
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5269.2871759318405
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.197012002833234, b_new = -0.2248531160398326, c_new = 5.9823099462689235
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6884.098898802422
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.182605093713266, b_new = -0.7409572208236606, c_new = 5.957424830849825
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5166.225868620822
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.617684011515807, b_new = -1.0183862786622753, c_new = 6.928873161966776
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11963.072242497681
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7738251415862964, b_new = -1.2950535984126634, c_new = 6.118561371414013
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5384.188785753231
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9417289452842565, b_new = -0.5124350359778582, c_new = 5.10938841700854
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14125.399042585606
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9327904451074724, b_new = -0.39299334197463454, c_new = 5.468244442869131
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14293.953018994429
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2583347916917003, b_new = -1.4771404356270135, c_new = 5.3183224313685225
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4682.215385949409
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.336149561311654, b_new = -0.9702502447051092, c_new = 4.828815164746384
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15116.57136814017
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.872537891654629, b_new = -1.5510305757317189, c_new = 4.909103838136939
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4589.456916619447
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5121726394510406, b_new = -1.3320130853641037, c_new = 4.7231352356142065
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10611.812522865072
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.648539530488179, b_new = -1.2321764459031304, c_new = 6.46627495944091
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7620.294685050929
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.41518570778195, b_new = -1.2619144049031692, c_new = 5.447324886228091
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8405.112409385256
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.565346897380579, b_new = -1.6385438428911911, c_new = 5.396948042783906
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9868.746570686608
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4528530509750563, b_new = -1.0082560583675817, c_new = 6.222363842232168
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9922.627349842474
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0680773262864847, b_new = -1.4477111184048006, c_new = 5.730481813556632
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3035.7896509481234
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.154600448742983, b_new = -0.8937969144303768, c_new = 4.802519271527622
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4098.032373572309
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4115027757390064, b_new = -0.679642425062194, c_new = 5.3137147572708825
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10376.248473745283
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1414861059300585, b_new = -1.1564620080126256, c_new = 4.933452043693635
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3597.882650803176
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3971832897913616, b_new = -1.5243147182345005, c_new = 4.574261682302214
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12193.499592268861
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.640306640231587, b_new = -1.7509375127867344, c_new = 5.849101384620254
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10648.790411037655
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.664166177857895, b_new = -1.052544483802678, c_new = 4.772159727405272
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7460.852018334651
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.623645973875204, b_new = -0.92053362821303, c_new = 4.331584993810997
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8086.589693799342
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.436142510365648, b_new = -0.48512721592257324, c_new = 5.34004858095746
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9703.246251229522
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.876329337994041, b_new = -0.7307669519858887, c_new = 4.790247457164858
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3363.4802486983644
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.997126142128604, b_new = 0.16253368860555906, c_new = 4.888410815498133
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3859.3543461700588
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.533683841492864, b_new = -1.2363873206703144, c_new = 6.2940352575913385
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10535.673379793181
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7974083529183105, b_new = -0.5495755577507907, c_new = 5.414454018740555
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3806.6859328933074
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.201562059908307, b_new = -1.5657031762731441, c_new = 4.677095073211771
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13556.96655887218
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.753268530320083, b_new = -0.6227569329477306, c_new = 5.259489580426003
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4545.162196701873
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.666055034820439, b_new = -1.032450975280589, c_new = 4.4818735459014585
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7480.460200001788
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7442078156613827, b_new = -0.7693998521926468, c_new = 5.8832680047515264
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12955.166834463027
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4676121596856766, b_new = -1.1731906981954119, c_new = 5.419139899223283
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9492.20345651827
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2144512010349127, b_new = -0.05037889466694412, c_new = 5.328077690317915
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7530.039863259374
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7970001994891893, b_new = -1.5458951618889367, c_new = 6.547613834574465
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5406.499011313202
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.995267050264473, b_new = -0.8843847816141314, c_new = 6.474509851535296
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3084.5619462430664
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7561956311256592, b_new = -2.276989885732452, c_new = 5.735344965387545
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8578.46814513863
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9466692526555711, b_new = -0.9536411442437033, c_new = 4.955925642084632
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14075.40011135293
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6084179043301683, b_new = -1.29626429071677, c_new = 5.248888252727808
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8966.920657073199
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.615700996866483, b_new = -1.4619265080910555, c_new = 5.9770287839456575
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10922.930114944847
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2974887591779134, b_new = -0.8873922444128943, c_new = 4.924393224222952
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6778.69639991153
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4353413085307327, b_new = -1.7317494991688216, c_new = 6.336650754038864
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11643.878084098196
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.989963328991908, b_new = -0.9567003728969564, c_new = 4.8451629327996795
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13836.807720739327
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6856019143365293, b_new = -0.4959523529954586, c_new = 5.627951599318913
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5331.365034550344
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9485531254004314, b_new = -1.207989128370682, c_new = 5.90508749899068
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3168.753004494231
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8401688079678538, b_new = -1.6112993747803177, c_new = 5.92238145057294
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12515.572295190135
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.931940226550498, b_new = -2.576041578833464, c_new = 4.702874008439785
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6027.857241461225
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.849751949232813, b_new = -1.4993245977707579, c_new = 4.9694066224477496
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14914.54400666471
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.949368508894691, b_new = -0.4791489919321016, c_new = 4.946837321965541
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3030.950621319862
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6161421813083106, b_new = -1.5702057729482788, c_new = 5.117276110446997
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9543.917518880662
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9197191117071652, b_new = -0.684465795127708, c_new = 5.110601582069877
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13899.38389631133
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.742172815214814, b_new = -0.7425395161308205, c_new = 5.171857484082324
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4991.4655592688305
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1104260115901368, b_new = 0.25707312208455435, c_new = 5.9388388798132485
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6328.205836671708
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.717506230752737, b_new = -0.9453080242351732, c_new = 5.456125289420659
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5838.499806230396
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4422262906204644, b_new = -1.7222771346841723, c_new = 5.895394202702829
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11697.610018228499
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.925565840315069, b_new = -1.6634743426751655, c_new = 5.079379891833134
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3999.4969753613914
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9991565849650392, b_new = -1.3566908627261647, c_new = 4.338956463850026
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3154.178272771147
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2762642615520057, b_new = -1.024123783185081, c_new = 5.334643015215166
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6097.174430063073
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.371502016970038, b_new = -1.0984804668178005, c_new = 5.553329075238393
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8018.214053081775
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.455588997454424, b_new = -1.3138743295094313, c_new = 5.694281486791313
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9082.229700182805
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5362847657082885, b_new = -1.3916583091149684, c_new = 3.3968474003006066
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10910.255013090871
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6206277613490876, b_new = -1.415081495515254, c_new = 5.546887389683201
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10921.519740512995
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.687990086309121, b_new = -1.9132248022875986, c_new = 5.5787214638239035
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10781.350564580964
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0398662576257753, b_new = -1.5314590826745191, c_new = 4.890802271056583
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3055.2590373571193
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.808822721316546, b_new = -0.9830547515899885, c_new = 3.9505268098679345
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12593.393885626698
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.999653518816972, b_new = -1.124865820050216, c_new = 6.449252898682638
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3026.9227162553602
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0915521430714104, b_new = -1.2210582161543875, c_new = 5.2093518138101205
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3193.9770091221108
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4887528922285274, b_new = -0.815540016307528, c_new = 5.0612716749085855
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9761.792816787292
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3381867816483752, b_new = -1.2342866473881626, c_new = 5.337014391603896
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12015.642406634293
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.894126041057493, b_new = -1.6084629625466325, c_new = 5.231468271806732
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4288.893915554803
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.51189435158095, b_new = -1.3027100221125134, c_new = 5.9708132806811225
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10028.661868588064
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.244133444215973, b_new = -0.9376091846354605, c_new = 5.081149747758854
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5569.342635800313
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5203470678830993, b_new = -1.172392208602933, c_new = 5.50656025380601
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10238.929969277602
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7601715641994304, b_new = -2.1130264102023624, c_new = 5.2823457205639786
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11056.160173985856
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.136657249372799, b_new = -1.2787345050812144, c_new = 5.711456901703636
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14362.314664866497
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.026529869290533, b_new = -0.7051461031402746, c_new = 4.974646007608776
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14275.775563770096
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5396542660577666, b_new = -0.8795854962363853, c_new = 5.948019723656341
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11134.91622658445
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.835066859068701, b_new = -0.4241693401156069, c_new = 5.602788344868303
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13831.78273491649
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3228423876626643, b_new = -1.9010533930870936, c_new = 5.277758968216656
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13068.050873378903
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0386724440987063, b_new = -0.14075072084005258, c_new = 5.680058379992122
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4061.574729164918
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.434446836006312, b_new = -1.8089822534395443, c_new = 6.369231803270525
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7696.34289153419
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4881342972242004, b_new = -0.49703878164818605, c_new = 5.216381106178424
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11029.681464403477
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.089348587238835, b_new = 0.04947550293533509, c_new = 5.551571910963431
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5196.6572929163785
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1776406946575317, b_new = -1.1816972518864033, c_new = 5.3722134452903685
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4052.3257106597953
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.175002927655318, b_new = -1.0673117689201135, c_new = 5.240569092078863
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4178.3205896747495
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7365012566823164, b_new = -2.0230884700368765, c_new = 5.663148414713997
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8296.365805335852
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1425513804796528, b_new = -2.1627785090225995, c_new = 5.424697902259209
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3049.573755099579
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.853271633489181, b_new = -1.1277193711501774, c_new = 4.312097181415468
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4232.1170114832275
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.783819828060023, b_new = -0.625698791229188, c_new = 4.838100963696867
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4201.7458777788015
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.270755537326115, b_new = -0.8416872358600085, c_new = 4.148216751965517
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6044.427883886983
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9726584584963094, b_new = -1.6511327907909132, c_new = 5.334448160353287
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13127.588919529037
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.972024933461422, b_new = -1.5899214124088727, c_new = 5.591284916710686
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3352.437356955606
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.557584711957269, b_new = -0.6762850595259557, c_new = 5.0177112985219585
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8426.730533124552
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.564396995477199, b_new = -1.3065270242137457, c_new = 4.345287101372078
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10006.305453577612
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7308564955459866, b_new = -1.1727984222183654, c_new = 5.10219908674502
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6274.020528019927
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2964085471822746, b_new = -1.253034334881484, c_new = 5.151213024211891
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5850.281143050632
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9025063391159085, b_new = -0.4335988059757141, c_new = 6.238468365001288
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3065.1138605239857
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0971319965947313, b_new = -0.7696989671431682, c_new = 5.655950072863765
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12972.30027062273
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9071735163099643, b_new = -1.7551393182672261, c_new = 5.216517018210838
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4375.913371516959
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.577760965043731, b_new = -0.9354176399738343, c_new = 5.459421499537229
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11270.115763749178
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.110589508841299, b_new = -1.1584366949017548, c_new = 4.967251683542744
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14197.642231424494
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.960564909446662, b_new = -1.272466931114348, c_new = 5.651803960510827
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3167.969633743456
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6127065321750944, b_new = -0.784555889665393, c_new = 5.9398392744792154
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11976.206408366825
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9834676436832748, b_new = -1.7033501135976628, c_new = 5.254228730318996
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13109.593010141509
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.109800643953847, b_new = -1.008254898378394, c_new = 6.271981707808614
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14636.882398191983
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3564452445876456, b_new = -1.2290810257784175, c_new = 5.035678192693393
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7142.826226020747
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.111984830865528, b_new = -2.1760274200776912, c_new = 5.448461193674443
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14434.406013370952
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.61051783194635, b_new = -1.7269541482563042, c_new = 5.169722604016187
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9966.560203488069
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.196134951908322, b_new = -0.3689259957425568, c_new = 5.304274945267479
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6159.96179232512
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3177606804755406, b_new = -1.3851648941895998, c_new = 4.8137461135566
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12540.544535917119
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.132894653611895, b_new = -1.5479613347582715, c_new = 5.574526356244708
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14061.570527264037
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7623982287157913, b_new = -0.746056652464125, c_new = 5.361666570489945
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12958.737935216293
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.547539307863176, b_new = -1.5995357909700327, c_new = 4.689785879819128
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9497.244118571653
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1765684222422363, b_new = -0.9389097340278544, c_new = 5.445535876343061
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4486.503426124113
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4376119454802048, b_new = -0.9221713675834011, c_new = 5.549527245620942
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9643.552522675207
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.75513782264674, b_new = -1.0704752641470552, c_new = 5.6129488951337265
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12558.882061458777
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1436428022116467, b_new = -1.8943112487421718, c_new = 4.656862339769789
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3080.484721210203
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.851360097784369, b_new = -1.1866328131613257, c_new = 5.9051839225883604
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13112.498120587079
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.433351930770917, b_new = -1.0257090126479993, c_new = 6.109351664633705
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10513.919092031647
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.485649533634201, b_new = -0.5173408104354499, c_new = 5.8545974515681305
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11178.00959693337
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.408932747641096, b_new = -0.9060469379954399, c_new = 5.2662223952356095
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10830.562629159509
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.062953024329424, b_new = -0.6005428308840977, c_new = 5.591229992877306
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3634.338799128494
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.872064162128528, b_new = -1.1096761923890373, c_new = 5.585063235269296
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3708.3017764074934
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4980531032102045, b_new = -2.003292147267671, c_new = 4.6915648337243265
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12025.836986030463
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9766640642043503, b_new = -1.4930765452215344, c_new = 5.398527307603923
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3259.6597309730473
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8316922180589152, b_new = -0.9698186896752388, c_new = 3.995245529298635
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12764.331037440317
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097782494513265, b_new = -0.6648561446723253, c_new = 5.246514930603217
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3849.352899862395
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7966599643729753, b_new = -2.049587758154908, c_new = 5.831430958010608
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7009.069378303752
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0352120401783242, b_new = -0.837478776947397, c_new = 5.156341850863308
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3149.7476876797546
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5233492144288676, b_new = -1.0668445080140398, c_new = 6.221116887094159
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10708.957274136672
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.610180204996167, b_new = -0.7479276702324689, c_new = 4.717624186966824
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11646.729358071838
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7582728731286603, b_new = -0.9540858692329923, c_new = 5.382041380346364
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12669.27827681571
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.628374994367295, b_new = -1.0347957372819503, c_new = 4.873121499948523
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11409.212160748992
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.272512132753641, b_new = -1.5129525216491366, c_new = 5.780527100066867
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4972.855939017129
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.50212702196492, b_new = -1.8537254527967058, c_new = 5.746324033183132
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11371.344254759628
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3025941916928354, b_new = -1.6216537834550766, c_new = 5.780093616656973
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12697.388930015535
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.920803299155233, b_new = -1.1172604012706084, c_new = 4.866966408940918
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3381.1118351803934
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.762387465844261, b_new = -1.3962348865223704, c_new = 5.802313361223968
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12227.626716888137
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.040717597042404, b_new = -1.538898839939213, c_new = 5.207602354131889
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3039.500479300962
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0222292106783257, b_new = -1.8924451799443482, c_new = 4.712969673555541
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3404.345631459867
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5783942158911006, b_new = -0.9004720128924524, c_new = 5.4246510348535795
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15197.995275131667
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3826848727225998, b_new = -1.3027069249745138, c_new = 5.861739976708228
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7810.0703766991455
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.56720345669826, b_new = -0.4699016664945438, c_new = 6.154424148223352
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7374.656479969042
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6596600999446722, b_new = -0.5889244739393937, c_new = 5.840885230563726
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12601.63391337217
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1700525927181546, b_new = -0.5449033069446423, c_new = 4.307337751090159
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4873.879890711261
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.707313233130935, b_new = -0.8751638957571797, c_new = 5.337954566772616
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5904.840782914987
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.599845786702744, b_new = -1.1800191808163483, c_new = 5.0072150649677205
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8920.73355782166
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.154638705785249, b_new = -1.084403112639435, c_new = 5.043918704390404
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14458.917234021901
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.347527202773115, b_new = -0.42531963882398216, c_new = 6.192597506035551
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9613.429840470764
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1687973909471734, b_new = -0.9216457097890143, c_new = 4.791916777192878
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4241.419594213501
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2022845823428523, b_new = -0.8040256590493368, c_new = 5.280190852111748
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5159.032416936259
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8110356754816415, b_new = -0.8422780574597594, c_new = 5.492129707906892
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14384.119907366163
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.717030650163772, b_new = -1.7774389277866178, c_new = 5.302995835137268
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11182.776458302189
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1793374646305197, b_new = -1.7619324934159568, c_new = 5.262788463191314
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3341.325246949108
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4184946911521807, b_new = -0.34083560878709573, c_new = 4.1914761898246145
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10149.300030897457
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.836243610174887, b_new = -1.4025856471021394, c_new = 4.795241618605743
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14918.379244815167
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8330814117053027, b_new = -1.5142494218677296, c_new = 4.79466125781763
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5218.646772988353
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.405085879022444, b_new = -1.6319693719064348, c_new = 5.597195594826784
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7279.7577042278945
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9031256160543712, b_new = -0.5847616448575333, c_new = 4.856572854839524
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3107.704495333285
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8810396196524475, b_new = -1.4521590111890426, c_new = 5.063366048408887
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4234.4195586287915
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3158545674240205, b_new = -1.4762865050338203, c_new = 5.73279174927047
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12421.240019908266
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2330234681017407, b_new = -1.6796868487906718, c_new = 5.3155124140601595
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13340.148199633732
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1244632630866542, b_new = -0.7573745877014247, c_new = 6.100680747470542
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4235.882197672484
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0695036205479673, b_new = -1.2088564154400765, c_new = 5.41934026226209
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3113.118275982789
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.068875916926973, b_new = -1.8117038078139038, c_new = 5.41103291911445
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3052.5988718678786
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4578923815406357, b_new = -1.146495736314589, c_new = 6.177633514798968
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10431.386914449082
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0596596339634083, b_new = 0.14612154616711748, c_new = 4.729793282986941
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4637.847281784076
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.642515025431836, b_new = -1.1721642392761253, c_new = 5.181114065936471
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8055.021094249865
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.185983169855106, b_new = -0.6650248680014689, c_new = 5.23887776615708
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5170.933849881194
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9989194183517274, b_new = -1.0279326212246942, c_new = 6.016546396723008
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3025.688448969747
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.46220004955491, b_new = -0.7784171153191022, c_new = 5.587451807811399
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9863.49187603754
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.393490287182396, b_new = -1.000067357396759, c_new = 5.090483160249397
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11211.77151718552
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.254260122092684, b_new = -0.20427384926414938, c_new = 5.815711503346739
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8187.899195621381
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.759445740882628, b_new = -1.6692069930626594, c_new = 5.186254973740677
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11663.618581164974
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3415042632771046, b_new = -0.5155312678987185, c_new = 4.499649752240692
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11095.515488848538
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.43542100829033, b_new = -0.6662146278512968, c_new = 5.385960716247758
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10112.910031234795
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1039122125048926, b_new = -1.6742255003005555, c_new = 5.522816196496457
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13957.470479657844
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.528805153537154, b_new = -1.2704763455562866, c_new = 5.789402300205806
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10246.321415715738
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2306225467716194, b_new = 0.11425643751813497, c_new = 4.303333711753271
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11194.936519106348
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.76652091704107, b_new = -0.49695174375892326, c_new = 5.895827277095819
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4015.8139781658506
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1727052816742543, b_new = -1.9259261072202993, c_new = 5.78212521200102
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3222.1895337360193
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7512673624995903, b_new = -2.152891537041444, c_new = 5.474883888642247
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8438.13271446434
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2811420731235423, b_new = -1.4406417275561727, c_new = 4.623986986612624
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4955.472300289712
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.297054339287705, b_new = -1.0257126825660052, c_new = 5.266855691824212
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6515.256325360791
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.366042323607607, b_new = -0.7200670950367252, c_new = 5.621173039854285
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10855.781829363172
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.604307215907686, b_new = -1.055478569575946, c_new = 5.240234826722392
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8448.172161517294
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1837229192203864, b_new = -1.3546312392934137, c_new = 5.81320164845472
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3949.9000429951684
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9926187423989539, b_new = -0.8027011457329142, c_new = 5.89923616476882
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13505.708265284562
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.907480904695101, b_new = -1.1277497716838811, c_new = 5.022552662002153
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3478.8249689597533
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7737682547211127, b_new = -1.0736379601334012, c_new = 6.487999371626782
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12924.696931303915
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9298362061798437, b_new = -1.3547741498570398, c_new = 4.683071872368961
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3593.696811217665
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4399636827066886, b_new = -0.7260474625793064, c_new = 6.346148633298677
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10395.288157677614
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8396421945375394, b_new = -1.283980782465374, c_new = 5.424862132716245
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4436.7408985553275
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.913088946700182, b_new = -1.8949110821536803, c_new = 5.442662723173787
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4495.358601867023
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5913213166886484, b_new = -1.70518785160951, c_new = 5.331580745096365
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10132.439695572873
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6621259450286745, b_new = -1.174401487161018, c_new = 5.458754517826421
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7567.599194677539
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7665003736875033, b_new = -0.695637287535825, c_new = 5.7942754635870655
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4357.747227702073
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.029807297445379, b_new = -0.5457222095981858, c_new = 5.268778146586848
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3358.8410689306606
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3234376522077014, b_new = -1.4718939380602623, c_new = 5.480865492411935
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5956.128157389391
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.396396878044087, b_new = -0.7784270901183098, c_new = 6.466103966573424
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10382.271610392654
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2151878510600858, b_new = -1.6395325037173947, c_new = 5.231654344971637
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3798.2552806612457
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.951528611898243, b_new = -1.3477021463757228, c_new = 5.197231621235859
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3327.2280483526574
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6583649275490098, b_new = -1.4265836293177485, c_new = 5.407289578773125
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11223.279902830847
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2731893758894683, b_new = -1.3310798299419355, c_new = 4.9813387585959745
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5154.612246097229
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6812399534528377, b_new = -1.7015804577684746, c_new = 5.603615389163333
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15460.944393176549
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.23124174607736, b_new = -0.5208983584305088, c_new = 5.492920706099247
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6580.829538127064
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4204545017813817, b_new = -0.9702416878663074, c_new = 4.7638761197475645
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10979.026140523998
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5016376951321053, b_new = -2.4600424987564407, c_new = 4.994233535970584
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12642.7343169126
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.655413370938345, b_new = -1.8483309368632668, c_new = 6.517511000023686
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15677.308595422108
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.900767578952064, b_new = -0.8018238608859558, c_new = 5.721943996923461
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3178.8259939386007
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1154678361701396, b_new = -1.1429693356271189, c_new = 5.409963598456347
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3448.8279397327087
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0097347666265017, b_new = -1.3403145494415578, c_new = 6.274053832838277
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13876.764823607919
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.805179648865132, b_new = -0.8006462264029917, c_new = 5.226571660847431
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13122.773476013706
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4089668761339187, b_new = -1.1301488527116414, c_new = 5.225930123465326
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8542.977413235227
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.866349469997038, b_new = -0.6101678925988532, c_new = 5.098080422226111
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3297.790519803507
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6104769213010863, b_new = -0.18410897977381524, c_new = 5.527677921966524
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6052.81692904669
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3893290925430346, b_new = -1.3999371582194797, c_new = 5.9907171047412255
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11637.9179208
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.694225419844647, b_new = -1.3308959744331925, c_new = 5.253337863364588
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7412.494384474409
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1055691975033866, b_new = -1.1509800462766115, c_new = 5.873259733565563
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3425.484782193519
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.495235372736651, b_new = -2.0117354045295395, c_new = 5.4114489159955355
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14934.42452246397
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6390260094294944, b_new = -0.542786882407805, c_new = 4.721626891510436
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6642.640117030307
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1214400423646214, b_new = -1.7962143414435006, c_new = 5.969213214640413
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3076.0393960807473
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.076399761488504, b_new = -1.3276786408491337, c_new = 5.82523400847965
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13657.384011383878
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5093525653331294, b_new = -0.26024298101790955, c_new = 5.884539861073989
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11877.09312947463
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0305918821268083, b_new = -1.7550881254676884, c_new = 5.656294163977537
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3131.1593260360464
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.853965434648008, b_new = -0.6946695910602102, c_new = 5.761171709334948
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3391.63267238527
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.147546098889626, b_new = -1.2750167936740582, c_new = 5.74804755607267
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13245.210335044807
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0408390007171477, b_new = -1.201764093014468, c_new = 5.022327370167762
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3022.511436442874
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.754524098848735, b_new = -2.2190696474510627, c_new = 5.092535679850916
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8726.123052755464
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0046603884660366, b_new = -1.4455804464846693, c_new = 6.452511298868377
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3043.8795060345446
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.876763744832278, b_new = -0.6339350842190935, c_new = 5.928353886806156
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3190.913117154091
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1290423391239766, b_new = -1.1770308039269084, c_new = 6.362488414520293
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3694.3606362641026
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.918929715097517, b_new = -0.373459267756871, c_new = 5.436478595597618
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3041.463970412385
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4958101411113756, b_new = -0.13877158409445678, c_new = 5.6598417096153915
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8015.494426802503
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.878127293564893, b_new = -1.439895526156214, c_new = 5.056026706442426
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4255.189841506521
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5596102234689577, b_new = -1.1344177898312542, c_new = 5.284297520408283
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9361.554601932205
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1823122379039006, b_new = -1.453790029928694, c_new = 5.256280116798249
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3691.7451716433197
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.085975181249021, b_new = -1.7912791959298904, c_new = 5.222817270394586
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13535.497554001766
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1808385174760003, b_new = -0.7734336749873403, c_new = 5.557578640821504
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4932.815458937942
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.526519150278484, b_new = -1.5234999131313067, c_new = 4.771240629608606
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10798.637238430518
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2643815713825832, b_new = -1.121684182068763, c_new = 5.657649635660413
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12331.882607819993
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.934194975123392, b_new = -0.5433497009681687, c_new = 5.230357844922721
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3026.4690466179304
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4814827599653926, b_new = -2.036862844285419, c_new = 4.784355730176533
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7477.887715497447
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7401682886756342, b_new = -2.018061683251546, c_new = 4.9099795859979505
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8526.842905186953
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6266444718529547, b_new = -0.3608358929046408, c_new = 5.194604264670403
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14686.071917343135
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7983318270586615, b_new = -1.1006459850509502, c_new = 5.869986384440329
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14566.295241841362
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7463693986138313, b_new = -0.9894649031170175, c_new = 4.777921268977919
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5605.518263484519
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4252415667893374, b_new = -0.9078634531822105, c_new = 5.20627756549493
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10671.18195905834
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863310290856137, b_new = -1.1935311151944643, c_new = 4.840628232127412
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4083.4212194258657
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.763012847766073, b_new = -1.060200830321828, c_new = 5.6872819041067855
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5172.901378796823
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4531838216729085, b_new = -1.341270686138012, c_new = 6.030000658465399
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9100.111556418062
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4787977385347117, b_new = -1.6752893754981288, c_new = 5.898259287482366
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11250.787556358468
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2400910215873218, b_new = -2.0191156454515413, c_new = 5.61185921775299
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3640.096986880502
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.633608402434704, b_new = -1.2420708457412855, c_new = 5.882892389983416
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11427.272303610709
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4620919044285903, b_new = -0.4079098808778481, c_new = 5.0394692732100905
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10845.361108845467
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.12196799822339, b_new = -0.30139145546084944, c_new = 5.747299140500331
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5026.366658695852
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3028857538059637, b_new = -0.807875233473695, c_new = 5.320427661619703
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11677.652578871937
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.825814910279036, b_new = -1.4722495319738749, c_new = 4.8662589857924505
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12324.261745906106
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9749116802042246, b_new = -0.671829534958021, c_new = 4.764049973284089
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3020.6530726296605
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.724952213298355, b_new = -1.251587151260291, c_new = 4.279768133126257
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11738.627467999975
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.327662186255529, b_new = -0.6536354520072074, c_new = 5.964079359189643
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8521.71257495461
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.746196685380199, b_new = -1.2054233101455476, c_new = 5.334999517821393
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5962.325422524057
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2213858423764776, b_new = -0.4659884425350722, c_new = 5.213551620617568
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11873.099045539515
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.694115608565511, b_new = -1.270221398917915, c_new = 5.654864168165664
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11840.072424789496
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5013376225041752, b_new = -1.1756205658894983, c_new = 5.958226164220831
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10025.289959482045
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8686082377156743, b_new = -1.1709277873355173, c_new = 4.898267901005144
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3966.9792091881004
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4320581649833715, b_new = -0.5335941288372975, c_new = 4.991974871200894
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10207.743103438988
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3040066256017653, b_new = -0.8859923537750962, c_new = 4.957547037917934
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6937.1134594814475
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2525771865256132, b_new = -0.86567862652369, c_new = 5.598729498839609
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12086.125553342477
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.43965284384572, b_new = -1.6645432021906272, c_new = 4.684400969142126
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7567.402563730264
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.526845204574532, b_new = -1.7111467660899007, c_new = 5.828155561528823
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10799.033227752245
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8522462975734943, b_new = -1.5585837198619845, c_new = 5.608950268197246
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4733.99586035462
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1924330008009916, b_new = -1.3811601425394526, c_new = 5.580267863387455
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3968.665944191971
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.124582448702986, b_new = -1.1510072134902765, c_new = 4.264229801025099
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3370.8372974479325
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6366318824363733, b_new = -0.323578406494619, c_new = 5.688341537834283
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5834.085217069325
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.95563619239148, b_new = -1.0979080521148297, c_new = 5.230598893232246
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14111.156722183536
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.510780166128046, b_new = -0.6818114260911099, c_new = 5.0076134607849925
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10876.003152871705
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1209489953341, b_new = -1.442242295200745, c_new = 5.584091325877812
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3240.7610295349446
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.871561225676396, b_new = -2.0493476571465714, c_new = 4.67064125265545
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5859.613176665096
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2191654747126384, b_new = -0.7752287776504095, c_new = 5.246638247845746
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12300.634840214405
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.360728568351319, b_new = -2.0824664457747293, c_new = 5.129992300543523
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13098.859925930039
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9174300992940563, b_new = -0.3044692167632278, c_new = 5.748826823358921
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13397.708670206282
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2582484990691465, b_new = -1.728663847620528, c_new = 4.991741177075832
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4150.434378172282
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2397063845812313, b_new = -1.418994969781707, c_new = 5.903685922456193
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4653.5236794908515
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7660380750438627, b_new = -0.9748882827500618, c_new = 5.673242962477533
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4936.843310149448
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.442282178086263, b_new = -0.5451937429682497, c_new = 6.386322274338807
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10812.181251028753
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1798236332907703, b_new = -1.6032944834523681, c_new = 6.0698146679671865
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3612.74972931081
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.155773409954248, b_new = -1.5259170318953967, c_new = 6.138093349803209
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3489.4602762601503
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.187711918337148, b_new = -1.0811080187148652, c_new = 4.519808683601443
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4167.864029218304
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2936586386960807, b_new = -2.0193877198650405, c_new = 5.381527152281204
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4234.547180924763
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6371737573299883, b_new = -1.5888365195330674, c_new = 5.504570915172021
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10786.405634888572
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.478990537884978, b_new = -1.5346287649510948, c_new = 5.497645319835924
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11124.467391119504
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2645083897425473, b_new = -1.1732927184582196, c_new = 5.613719390892344
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5564.249312249256
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7927297701286022, b_new = -1.9252154447161667, c_new = 5.533470205630165
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6859.86441804093
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.767495885664438, b_new = -1.636171457047621, c_new = 4.518845085266992
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6999.564011443105
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.968956329670809, b_new = -1.3492510344818094, c_new = 5.137553080361043
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3223.1320627641135
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4009449940322836, b_new = -1.2482077929940245, c_new = 4.569018379790529
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7838.610328911153
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9856935407743115, b_new = -1.4660215542838255, c_new = 5.986506267305491
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3137.779323422351
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.465362972030225, b_new = -1.2225797054050775, c_new = 4.66894059436069
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10974.023676496105
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4479611861967316, b_new = -1.565619104028504, c_new = 5.83616765575373
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8389.549411346125
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.166756684386781, b_new = 0.051634493575806184, c_new = 5.4433148024969285
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6784.442621340244
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.789760110244313, b_new = -1.1608329008234355, c_new = 5.41120252855728
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5001.483788341496
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9581707483963466, b_new = -0.8953910712010541, c_new = 6.044796691663825
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14041.695116122686
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.886661425975214, b_new = -0.7824670132645031, c_new = 6.150304793803387
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3213.5359983292774
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9964935280452625, b_new = -1.330986873421447, c_new = 5.621076414048891
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14071.683124768006
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.479488546091106, b_new = -1.2495113115107976, c_new = 5.385752163586519
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9490.696898657457
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6495207630416022, b_new = -1.4200295884310463, c_new = 4.969406212338839
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8652.041794319428
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4651420966656663, b_new = -1.412869640711203, c_new = 5.140877406645815
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8813.51913325558
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.654910975265264, b_new = -0.5664586483572213, c_new = 5.479785809120955
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6129.2784396238285
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.3010881002513575, b_new = -1.269420909000199, c_new = 5.069455221597608
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14828.72569873417
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9988561240013643, b_new = -0.8347733965552384, c_new = 5.82221513793545
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3067.913143759357
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.693822922695124, b_new = -0.2600015046669306, c_new = 5.651656921989357
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13224.8499488201
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3743197499090902, b_new = -1.6518368393808607, c_new = 4.984461526801346
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6374.243106854595
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8469614415610693, b_new = -0.7883584426895982, c_new = 4.709149785138695
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13251.28672991596
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.366143278144303, b_new = -1.1000004197107556, c_new = 5.608111004351381
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7925.007779365863
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.605355128103672, b_new = -1.1735610484312256, c_new = 5.21346606143777
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11071.142008312028
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.739584202882167, b_new = -0.609291937457295, c_new = 5.8166689621893735
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13114.135929979806
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.34244536042751, b_new = -0.16721639629878027, c_new = 5.677426218792283
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15866.823195328981
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3500134984359637, b_new = -1.4348552318630663, c_new = 4.309279676266222
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6206.593381372632
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9139900795680456, b_new = -1.2605482512811226, c_new = 4.526729504499655
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3658.8697307663056
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1153425124622385, b_new = -0.6096095855710111, c_new = 5.234290058931009
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4154.613582868324
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4094087118456327, b_new = -1.1959608111912714, c_new = 4.9383125513181945
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11432.978339245048
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.462467127749935, b_new = -1.4867627473629395, c_new = 5.388311437236585
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8680.295024250701
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5700562720577595, b_new = -1.517730077168217, c_new = 5.029255215999055
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10040.329795677704
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3654095473447816, b_new = -2.2408818444316427, c_new = 5.1630778896862255
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4875.690682284285
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.112315732995507, b_new = -1.1691706083112323, c_new = 6.231079322591321
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3518.874873050274
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7892462420008397, b_new = -0.8741273404680376, c_new = 5.327784410236546
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4451.529801045738
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0915672584117613, b_new = -2.6382231190426104, c_new = 5.344772703323253
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3560.786880537128
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.518644249903515, b_new = -1.3665333736149337, c_new = 5.3437740892835786
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10386.9868603826
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8904221179471565, b_new = -1.9020482815305935, c_new = 5.987906703457571
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12496.403064700227
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1615953128447463, b_new = -1.7717202500417852, c_new = 5.7809648190592196
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3264.2164981871447
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.243518527046077, b_new = -1.0418004428057632, c_new = 5.682395120082729
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12366.944579379135
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2808697208760584, b_new = -1.4179859057418709, c_new = 5.70474893093958
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12598.054681630247
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.473551278854814, b_new = -1.08770134713704, c_new = 4.663247749419556
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10623.96590343748
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2160221223406342, b_new = -1.8443353969037162, c_new = 5.435657287906636
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3584.143471566292
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.728776030939754, b_new = -1.0028093129113167, c_new = 5.716821425189311
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12494.301128405366
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9321821459269635, b_new = -1.063461638295156, c_new = 4.847123282080197
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14260.943655473575
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1065202688362037, b_new = -1.928226886819444, c_new = 5.632662272794599
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3028.0503393038844
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.424068542044522, b_new = -0.6078149116762614, c_new = 4.717943137699179
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10281.754981657221
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8380323936873912, b_new = -1.1472907166860666, c_new = 5.3182429059326015
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4237.438891078803
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8326830370637266, b_new = -1.9873327018928548, c_new = 5.7760971796070395
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6079.527817596604
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6962740229401754, b_new = -1.173050917708616, c_new = 5.91744956117012
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6697.001400464658
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5140653828732438, b_new = -0.938966247242289, c_new = 5.201214517708197
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10506.719330328115
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8067868206888695, b_new = 0.23452547424897618, c_new = 5.196596703976368
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14296.05225666167
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.974721438292632, b_new = -1.4772882218681624, c_new = 5.3437720974465375
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3265.350474446267
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.078963245379044, b_new = -1.0359129093297352, c_new = 4.232695724419439
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14016.05276626757
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9808277528701055, b_new = -1.50631200593967, c_new = 4.542405813342613
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3353.9929582658197
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1181601646979673, b_new = -1.3714419025192537, c_new = 5.3617343904108035
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3255.326971547127
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498506598161318, b_new = -0.566265534317571, c_new = 5.308958709244259
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11047.379115412303
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.429304144692673, b_new = -1.1207255633139925, c_new = 5.737504487735176
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10845.023542254752
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3191522424725153, b_new = -2.2247775165299846, c_new = 5.012656926069177
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13580.034144830139
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4132918946963904, b_new = -1.2785690736630406, c_new = 5.551670830082924
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8365.516411391716
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2399719624547587, b_new = -0.9871313164839461, c_new = 5.769637004803649
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12296.670092873821
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6225049949806247, b_new = 0.3203146671462309, c_new = 6.04115393745197
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13644.394511459383
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0450836735586932, b_new = -0.9223174194058995, c_new = 5.440601829220667
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13477.33020433604
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5160965610744723, b_new = -1.700087060605151, c_new = 5.291294177675846
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9031.011136322537
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7940754787099853, b_new = -0.7015493060020082, c_new = 4.919639111351961
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4171.237327630886
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3137341684823216, b_new = -0.47641650636233857, c_new = 5.487283339631766
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11015.387041449021
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.209575930755736, b_new = -0.30028120504120004, c_new = 5.745598560033962
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6844.039220343975
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4536910809327517, b_new = -1.0663701666560284, c_new = 5.721628171066969
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10473.748963869133
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.996180641927515, b_new = -1.1572250866408762, c_new = 5.606652353481973
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3018.934859115974
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.197130359199288, b_new = 0.07904936375159966, c_new = 6.1502237064338185
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7904.489153111678
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4339857072377455, b_new = -0.8293934756995142, c_new = 5.358878729186499
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9727.521882695923
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.920833212966397, b_new = -0.854353461846036, c_new = 4.872861656291159
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3171.1820132705625
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2115508976807168, b_new = -1.7033816531997177, c_new = 5.466555939674478
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3713.5218036192546
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.182455724815436, b_new = -1.1368685648130898, c_new = 5.819744387213711
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4298.713176935515
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.654085875077228, b_new = -0.36649197189151705, c_new = 4.87171824122547
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5851.110416390524
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5775300728506414, b_new = -2.011079734623464, c_new = 5.370448974398183
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9295.410638228015
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0163983326672343, b_new = -1.3465645837033846, c_new = 4.754111884848631
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3056.730464481264
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2792188830111244, b_new = -0.18026106871648362, c_new = 5.935048423093798
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8856.45113864626
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.198046165212259, b_new = -1.283758720057444, c_new = 5.577077949233771
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4200.301125798505
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2097942762050224, b_new = -1.7628630994581884, c_new = 5.694216882164703
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3656.8810434450916
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1183390947909033, b_new = -0.3189120297282483, c_new = 5.182516461159542
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4746.520490131755
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4743981956736243, b_new = -2.1388757322857836, c_new = 5.009341460170446
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12361.834570366753
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0090080536041217, b_new = -0.8994244361261501, c_new = 5.757840636050363
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3066.7936938506846
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.984879432684581, b_new = -1.196997383414999, c_new = 6.592162193964613
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3031.2573288027497
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.598106682383476, b_new = -0.8283787271213477, c_new = 6.841703239605366
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7445.701899406098
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8902332472160648, b_new = -1.0545517482776618, c_new = 5.187044833424505
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14339.476290050308
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4735466259631145, b_new = -1.2494971622249793, c_new = 5.783022164874917
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9540.369034180565
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0620223506014304, b_new = -1.9017835760418988, c_new = 5.703867510401682
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3085.7542370562064
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7325030000194417, b_new = -1.3570534219247377, c_new = 5.5525776279048875
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6566.724601247254
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.223040861692229, b_new = -1.282419995060858, c_new = 4.588508775816011
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4331.166869610572
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3932759463355784, b_new = -0.6768229159511479, c_new = 5.402617064533091
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9456.543407538422
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.949836359109418, b_new = -1.0705527837033597, c_new = 5.404598773130169
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3120.719920026486
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8634325695718355, b_new = -1.0749943538117475, c_new = 6.359989454550025
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3632.4201378307757
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4056856436524994, b_new = -1.1089798824105255, c_new = 5.719147278254541
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11081.286457910162
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6533714674180158, b_new = -0.869250289232441, c_new = 6.391604994633425
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12318.082643983429
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4817497614904926, b_new = -1.9677032986547038, c_new = 5.259932966139239
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7812.34392873541
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.506878013391342, b_new = -1.0434579728338318, c_new = 6.069226553668298
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15760.116541405117
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8531216517695785, b_new = -1.7981570336618593, c_new = 4.932752343646207
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12114.702969592037
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.32218009788228, b_new = -0.9781937956776156, c_new = 5.998728007718146
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11578.876113173454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.013543274726295, b_new = -0.8836907156598484, c_new = 5.411457503276222
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3064.4716600922534
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.334567846274414, b_new = -2.12220633890874, c_new = 4.895987049452684
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14207.886849569497
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6284051050071677, b_new = -1.148533791068015, c_new = 5.415287524585295
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8174.69684356219
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.127435282499225, b_new = -1.0518666815273003, c_new = 5.575399625081684
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13144.611294914444
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9591462134184248, b_new = -1.1702078857857738, c_new = 5.408392870510928
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13601.963805788293
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.016326553776695, b_new = -1.1510786881856605, c_new = 4.810220401292161
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3014.2499948169248
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.521685772256677, b_new = -0.6605192010233238, c_new = 5.005079798286195
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11029.424257097866
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3075334781130734, b_new = -1.2433668145979897, c_new = 4.5363013928426925
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5896.920015016045
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3155181466468697, b_new = -1.318708213828558, c_new = 4.629026479130441
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12517.598611012369
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.457290516542586, b_new = -0.7923144482725386, c_new = 4.608633473189008
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10267.487432045518
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.848597644110577, b_new = -1.2966795380598028, c_new = 5.327590397406387
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4351.841671661082
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6187122384909323, b_new = -0.9867799757301329, c_new = 5.602727816400707
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7876.03517159323
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.000588088451027, b_new = -0.9002734130994535, c_new = 5.366313190858464
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14064.013597566624
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.718454537744416, b_new = -1.353931873250743, c_new = 5.940190207163424
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6710.022616365831
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4094782678786792, b_new = -2.2551986774779715, c_new = 5.533352737699589
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12879.620011958366
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6509:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374046507062554, b_new = -1.9938467768456491, c_new = 5.727332278592847
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5748.14481988751
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6510:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.999166485658065, b_new = -1.3892482820945602, c_new = 4.495610354820394
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3158.7677875411073
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6511:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.591325277059082, b_new = -1.0480860362892446, c_new = 4.507146941690106
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10932.022775132522
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6512:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7430091652505393, b_new = -1.1945228911251906, c_new = 5.004623307269216
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6115.942474152858
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6513:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0684575556417584, b_new = -0.8740042839331557, c_new = 5.391968562709505
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3345.7855469743818
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6514:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6479887940908555, b_new = -1.2531492527687231, c_new = 5.879048454004014
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11538.373877460304
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6515:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.613568157389449, b_new = -1.53179897214365, c_new = 5.367199982705726
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10599.60873928601
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6516:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4535522960769516, b_new = -0.9717941205301925, c_new = 5.4473714806810545
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10384.590030936663
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6517:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.279704803264758, b_new = -1.3416788610195467, c_new = 5.062038115239246
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14696.829833787639
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6518:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.774115023538552, b_new = -1.6535346519256466, c_new = 4.559850875689771
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6887.568901691602
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6519:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2003224526223786, b_new = -2.2207256111201987, c_new = 4.080780907775307
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3156.6436223925793
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6520:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889470672704088, b_new = -1.5058638964934543, c_new = 5.542499577101617
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4099.133292432033
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6521:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.874752554744159, b_new = -1.7005100667808812, c_new = 5.277857370676528
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4756.140726219441
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6522:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.086700402746904, b_new = -0.7254444036681338, c_new = 5.271500534015241
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3650.602460890117
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6523:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.561866688302496, b_new = 0.09958757942208973, c_new = 5.599439501057201
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12785.236868863714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6524:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3967721280383727, b_new = -1.0325418303765037, c_new = 5.807223124649068
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8789.391538310101
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6525:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.609151946616164, b_new = -1.063633261848283, c_new = 5.394770984271675
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8323.823467210137
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6526:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.596427219781233, b_new = -1.6495929256799906, c_new = 4.644224390584505
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10192.665110163956
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6527:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1612805574339977, b_new = -1.2334788837420354, c_new = 5.445482428748276
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3791.937130924038
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6528:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.532373125205718, b_new = -1.1965478858738283, c_new = 5.870035614499027
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9685.940488403026
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6529:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.739726986565209, b_new = -1.176632308379397, c_new = 5.2847221259617765
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6037.010231951972
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6530:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.522947970215174, b_new = -0.9937238724720848, c_new = 5.880734259117897
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10727.114526645992
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6531:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.319159507271846, b_new = -1.261110577166221, c_new = 5.574052763541343
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6460.617176025759
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6532:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5203853631896382, b_new = -0.8571173651831056, c_new = 5.037901146676445
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15409.089749882887
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6533:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1641132892415067, b_new = -0.9148754368553018, c_new = 4.48845091442452
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4120.888079240049
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6534:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9568237514665108, b_new = -1.0530607178866263, c_new = 5.780036653080345
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3069.307464932935
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6535:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.069440993113531, b_new = -1.172152749513671, c_new = 5.306022874537227
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14086.829102234844
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6536:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.164656323720859, b_new = -1.949095637176215, c_new = 5.126477162090702
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3135.0546783806353
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6537:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0806537175512347, b_new = -0.9064582668359453, c_new = 4.996028802627479
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3353.7102119054543
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6538:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1183408892430293, b_new = -0.9835111715358728, c_new = 5.316413938597451
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3645.9764731928
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6539:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4615972042099954, b_new = -0.9538421858895623, c_new = 5.436998846236074
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9885.020045044173
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6540:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.770704131012495, b_new = -2.21827068083074, c_new = 5.459127463939381
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8223.158931123224
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6541:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.237345687378609, b_new = -1.7429824880523976, c_new = 5.156883888376071
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3896.313897269184
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6542:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.629417406168884, b_new = -1.484539286808408, c_new = 5.372801562336358
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9020.993028865618
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6543:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6522481092087697, b_new = -1.784825260279631, c_new = 4.532241685884241
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10343.61242814789
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6544:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1171058282311117, b_new = -1.365956553293824, c_new = 5.899368787598376
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3311.220821006017
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6545:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3664340780432576, b_new = -0.005008532374062735, c_new = 5.6941334506772385
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9564.29797323629
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6546:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9243887952467946, b_new = -0.5791937028823042, c_new = 5.761979324759833
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3040.2033659161752
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6547:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2576337721112614, b_new = -1.1766912260468534, c_new = 4.979476322800115
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5220.962323221687
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6548:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3235549620542866, b_new = -0.926892027396588, c_new = 6.283561172315652
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7784.958124286157
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6549:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.090112328189384, b_new = -0.027358574229783272, c_new = 6.40465336711191
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5330.865713124889
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6550:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2635025774570194, b_new = -1.8345986491744135, c_new = 5.361018614024227
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13334.765444731132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6551:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.826397951500331, b_new = -0.5604554908031312, c_new = 5.981456220026591
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3462.7034594872484
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6552:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7591695495444677, b_new = -1.4062653355217956, c_new = 4.498312682619492
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11845.326895039836
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6553:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.483152665509601, b_new = -1.6080512519073318, c_new = 5.212288847142205
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11306.537272593254
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6554:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2022636268870497, b_new = -1.722821057312731, c_new = 5.135065488484492
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3550.787341652853
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6571491794126, b_new = -0.9379547377159162, c_new = 5.2846824834606085
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11920.98442961198
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8999610237167524, b_new = -1.2161738023640003, c_new = 5.395560153740726
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3591.482834963922
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.68625224115446, b_new = -1.452116132620215, c_new = 5.886786301507515
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7661.835286852576
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.152323240653301, b_new = -1.37576168285437, c_new = 5.519180719802887
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3533.401055522375
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6593793761310334, b_new = -0.4770639072964302, c_new = 5.429528012591495
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12634.920852368363
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3235855477672454, b_new = -0.5844779475794716, c_new = 6.619701814836462
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8916.52162421798
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.229769838084663, b_new = 0.3103611219522251, c_new = 4.859909943400206
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10745.182890262604
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.292078102635407, b_new = -1.3042664797341006, c_new = 5.772837585972738
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5843.937379679074
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8710847578252627, b_new = -1.6223581361174575, c_new = 5.342117415867015
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4634.983697367361
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1602846080657145, b_new = -0.22680056674986537, c_new = 4.46640099442666
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12197.592121845193
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1540606342369815, b_new = -1.623646052273433, c_new = 5.415822625961756
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3295.259821365667
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4961282619424026, b_new = -1.049344398248247, c_new = 4.8456535309115285
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10208.041942735237
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.462014907960154, b_new = -1.4226154150713601, c_new = 4.779370201644633
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8612.788435588018
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.792575643189516, b_new = -0.8349398470356044, c_new = 5.294240798321138
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4338.874309836809
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.524202233203944, b_new = -0.9059050368175392, c_new = 5.048158895338435
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10633.915162256664
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7550770308011825, b_new = -1.0788536922618843, c_new = 5.096929875046947
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12408.036263463873
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.401313702344013, b_new = -1.0009495951968046, c_new = 4.863944258780813
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11204.070311396028
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8011651279151155, b_new = -0.14648404988530095, c_new = 4.818741969508614
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3402.2439864361345
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6326818615910725, b_new = -0.4460141539309158, c_new = 4.421519783554532
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12193.861531292561
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.974153260494885, b_new = -0.9651560954460227, c_new = 5.040550761800063
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13800.460723549631
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.258632832124252, b_new = -0.8289622109580761, c_new = 4.690032412647473
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6013.086421279977
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7962964035526627, b_new = -1.0590666608910613, c_new = 5.152990308959617
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4747.599214756301
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.737221694670919, b_new = -1.4484190449773169, c_new = 6.489926820908885
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6374.653466789723
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.290826841290137, b_new = -1.175679423309751, c_new = 5.581700972206532
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12232.644746502794
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.161898906906396, b_new = -1.7277176560201832, c_new = 6.0146700410314295
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3325.3763088552887
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.994889205527399, b_new = -0.7662953350180857, c_new = 4.810931853756698
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3030.9220481083744
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.523974519526559, b_new = -0.6220179825582525, c_new = 5.035425582151743
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8851.726120806423
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7947930122977824, b_new = -0.4224814880213721, c_new = 6.103581645868691
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13961.125111545525
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6298607114087456, b_new = -0.5187570592411876, c_new = 6.080329520413979
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6313.595885413339
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1260636343133297, b_new = -1.659162749669971, c_new = 4.81020763842407
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3097.7652367813043
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.176398693490585, b_new = -1.4407092236378423, c_new = 6.060994519956638
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3787.331881673515
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1921285508389228, b_new = -1.802622202252104, c_new = 5.727027538024526
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3454.2966141959373
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2329830657584377, b_new = -0.46930464634216296, c_new = 5.7046779631967
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6858.6210642598235
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0934211843198733, b_new = -1.6620057321590864, c_new = 5.513917249908322
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13995.54493950109
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.824082182626865, b_new = -0.9623176507415059, c_new = 5.096284848530908
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4162.7257856686065
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.468706012182937, b_new = -1.4459795656944778, c_new = 4.943751978604523
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8727.922343230239
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4949925961858117, b_new = 0.11254844131273534, c_new = 6.125759992822293
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7327.679256048227
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7848607598556154, b_new = -0.9927465933291533, c_new = 5.418760551600756
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4727.703667452701
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6354695518777844, b_new = -1.2866785192525525, c_new = 5.464766353758103
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11249.533755651164
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1433723323459697, b_new = -0.4699739334399843, c_new = 6.21335823294931
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5175.13958738001
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.787098526325759, b_new = -1.2572239474954394, c_new = 4.927051800056898
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12351.894444005968
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.667642344912065, b_new = -0.775421043221548, c_new = 5.290368403467359
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6465.340233295339
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.036631082101343, b_new = -0.8181523121926305, c_new = 5.8610478965184605
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13311.40589689407
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.673864343175725, b_new = -1.3589385074395441, c_new = 5.104245531984424
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11380.675301588437
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6075335592529765, b_new = 0.1680099512971629, c_new = 4.994692717531118
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5454.711566996337
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3314227134687666, b_new = -0.6973104241934517, c_new = 6.1345278927811275
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8548.504564057563
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.644343055927086, b_new = -1.53148238431609, c_new = 6.526739394135779
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11256.942752234047
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0941065371220433, b_new = -2.0556846966480276, c_new = 4.852067492156449
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3124.112583443787
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1413085704264123, b_new = -1.2300333959264713, c_new = 5.33150788338248
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3570.6107571554135
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.639576017767981, b_new = -1.3600485338672592, c_new = 5.531035883675564
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11190.291069278635
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3782588856411095, b_new = -1.3023434821960247, c_new = 5.225894090947092
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7473.547660878201
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6682691985168745, b_new = -0.6804675375010005, c_new = 4.954346981423755
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12283.201232718284
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2536489367396357, b_new = -0.9162817772352068, c_new = 4.847619321590871
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5735.601915230367
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5590035147324612, b_new = -1.7524138769826174, c_new = 5.085714110414694
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9470.038198767272
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9430180853226275, b_new = -1.694374485773953, c_new = 4.89693389652992
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3877.9411084678122
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9943432729580732, b_new = -0.9958683836797755, c_new = 4.850943831189204
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13819.12916907187
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2605647179999435, b_new = -0.8887455476669848, c_new = 6.135509874484258
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11915.920683316093
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2324598958707638, b_new = -1.1973117889792046, c_new = 4.732435265897823
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4671.415000111691
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0611533279342282, b_new = -0.41013285898724894, c_new = 5.622995134862482
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3889.4253446392186
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.959474188612662, b_new = -0.6177129153089044, c_new = 6.4588992886913905
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13356.245110811851
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0340188459387565, b_new = -1.4158093778788572, c_new = 5.748224318602249
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13962.210998924049
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9774616179217106, b_new = -0.5666290957429291, c_new = 6.139522384397855
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3151.4861862594607
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.425583765042189, b_new = -0.6633320494549835, c_new = 5.856811457992106
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10014.209586970765
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9239948483270655, b_new = -0.19925387160983932, c_new = 6.118060217255051
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3154.9485644944666
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.288719733646718, b_new = -1.0903956149189624, c_new = 5.1386665112664
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6112.884513090308
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.798988804927817, b_new = -0.6469453200659423, c_new = 5.088914975016421
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13236.791069473154
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6064794678479912, b_new = -0.9391639094284283, c_new = 5.975180128401699
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7854.046444865267
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8301532600274935, b_new = -0.806023066651064, c_new = 6.081340511627194
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3682.3470998636158
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1601662341187975, b_new = -2.0943385421452456, c_new = 5.0574772372204695
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3079.386204436376
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.118801338405276, b_new = -0.8986398384304375, c_new = 5.687658518558821
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12987.776075796668
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5967935037971466, b_new = -2.426679986000583, c_new = 5.390280117744479
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8737.11201044068
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6734350334477606, b_new = -1.0017816230414454, c_new = 5.814426372548637
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14911.840212689112
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.55893533924529, b_new = -1.7446357872235108, c_new = 5.286645907092775
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10658.142568668987
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4365127072058512, b_new = -0.9877405526740503, c_new = 6.150154319441375
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9698.542816725616
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5122017934932135, b_new = -1.0409025224818182, c_new = 4.421489270167048
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10128.454795157137
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3051856031469775, b_new = -0.959590388198791, c_new = 5.384265923618468
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6921.857474061769
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5813389081563156, b_new = -0.6835305440005336, c_new = 6.296672341169291
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11974.150575292811
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1550011292762807, b_new = -1.4380896930070959, c_new = 5.408657961941234
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3473.321118999267
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.257985989052813, b_new = -1.8558753295686174, c_new = 4.7959413933618364
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13548.612505785863
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.719889722390681, b_new = -1.0145430126783201, c_new = 4.777931223379971
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12157.77115935526
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1801349032756097, b_new = -1.7275305351639747, c_new = 5.372216004808631
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3388.6020555129726
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2365217479742396, b_new = -1.6423005965209572, c_new = 5.591970217939544
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4123.498686645306
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1832503167947532, b_new = -0.5157735060451987, c_new = 5.431498235737476
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5547.187975447658
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.886050007694505, b_new = -2.034898043739253, c_new = 4.89795281684516
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5449.368576203497
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.105478792258132, b_new = -0.507032334895412, c_new = 5.606845617964001
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4295.12537737524
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4537766917666772, b_new = -1.4426444688444515, c_new = 5.0830087245331415
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11363.68162359743
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.11524999821002, b_new = -0.12269298193341216, c_new = 4.708633336676923
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4978.688320582279
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.099378264414681, b_new = -0.3683260938953514, c_new = 5.631499500449449
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12489.136457770193
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0198934652898806, b_new = -0.5651623579851036, c_new = 5.262194474634065
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3273.0483114294557
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.936403286556183, b_new = -0.944822404345951, c_new = 5.079208185944815
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3134.2894543341813
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.262593073944759, b_new = -1.8565794280628953, c_new = 5.92194029802291
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4191.66210299012
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3355040316751823, b_new = -0.23878248246745315, c_new = 5.096766391970073
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9432.018252182197
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0917493479557527, b_new = -0.9502856055423001, c_new = 5.745166934770307
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3506.504983400494
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.840608613194516, b_new = -0.7197816446454071, c_new = 4.6185351899500136
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3696.9839197909423
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7879959262706695, b_new = -2.1774424048606735, c_new = 4.863849312981014
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11094.368715581648
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8807373409126014, b_new = -1.5970490481852746, c_new = 5.393167591558022
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14795.905393360128
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0623966848767874, b_new = -1.6498725402978311, c_new = 4.7361703106798085
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3054.3519532328023
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.61014917292714, b_new = -0.8269140773952912, c_new = 5.775194369064881
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11838.422397878454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.454366701334407, b_new = -1.8764366409922015, c_new = 5.527625264429929
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11951.572125349261
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8557676767592626, b_new = -1.689322233688054, c_new = 4.796223627559101
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12235.16188306742
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1207117665165915, b_new = -1.4970292682917217, c_new = 4.658575962241726
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3139.1584563725987
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6004010880631836, b_new = -1.1777045376993032, c_new = 6.375667585014236
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8410.615925667567
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5893044647561236, b_new = -1.03466140068313, c_new = 5.700835822580743
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8496.358117088306
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3221685047670033, b_new = -0.6982594619943925, c_new = 6.71931115724508
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8606.638964068465
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.567791329767985, b_new = -0.8950793430824157, c_new = 6.211787890323687
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11477.053299653273
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.738443072987004, b_new = -2.7578317440769817, c_new = 5.881915492147528
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10012.48092948356
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.742481265395815, b_new = -1.453386844974466, c_new = 5.382983916826147
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6681.714969299312
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.473560356747796, b_new = -1.4221538622048384, c_new = 5.610052862348473
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9093.352267359354
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3399505710471598, b_new = -1.6905802586282155, c_new = 5.279691438017633
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5672.19789890423
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1769206034645023, b_new = -0.6219189218156935, c_new = 5.139364066382798
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5074.467854267832
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.109971336913895, b_new = -1.1623786515120227, c_new = 5.523163831017972
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3399.9796478052317
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8275039023776434, b_new = -0.6100077789051269, c_new = 5.374890194535979
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3577.6194481647512
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0372154947902263, b_new = -0.9075066810796619, c_new = 5.486352639573081
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3145.5359611168083
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.482495543299164, b_new = -0.9753855838611227, c_new = 5.687670931139977
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10209.530594377233
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7705362413178016, b_new = -1.232278231786323, c_new = 6.107938276349098
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5302.462105083117
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9484029237035125, b_new = -0.479298627056311, c_new = 5.803796866217244
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3073.150544725872
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.897219964485369, b_new = -1.3451076378047513, c_new = 4.774667875991407
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3914.1591721815957
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3528911888226074, b_new = -1.535032380295351, c_new = 5.322029808365638
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12342.735339684448
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6673:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.723496843855878, b_new = -0.4640819211563477, c_new = 5.0348332102481645
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4765.070972520562
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6674:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4117277335160248, b_new = -0.7149830408471882, c_new = 5.136546410776936
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9564.864443010223
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6675:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.028318884133662, b_new = -0.6778927506731631, c_new = 5.44459897438444
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3254.974619116181
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6676:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.088291718468289, b_new = -1.419052527508569, c_new = 5.882683383172429
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3114.8388041764847
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6677:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1562981809738804, b_new = -1.7576762125886476, c_new = 5.381055158601099
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3209.8912717189214
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6678:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.349871850058343, b_new = -0.39883461438366696, c_new = 5.665095872410217
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10462.060463422096
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6679:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.663820468326668, b_new = -1.8109700392483212, c_new = 5.85095286355213
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9050.427906220073
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6680:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7551340985540083, b_new = -1.9632283634623664, c_new = 4.4504893043473155
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15695.791548559315
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6681:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1761743667752147, b_new = -1.908361517356449, c_new = 5.041642443687215
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3202.670383775619
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6682:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7823096195393187, b_new = -0.6387621468123797, c_new = 6.162718965677345
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3983.0363624870142
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6683:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.665531614892829, b_new = -1.3241318204144497, c_new = 5.263742931364808
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7974.428023949978
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6684:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0518152981537745, b_new = -1.6369454862562156, c_new = 5.839158299170341
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3021.982526670847
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6685:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2448354802094603, b_new = -0.33110723882841764, c_new = 4.588756860288299
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7069.515978283227
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6686:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0406428103740266, b_new = -1.5552170846429532, c_new = 5.943540850083336
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3019.38621831189
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6687:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0111828219453773, b_new = -0.6169682888115048, c_new = 5.345077278459866
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3192.7826049775913
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6688:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6941184356153696, b_new = -0.4976930086821407, c_new = 5.698148663696449
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12926.107167761587
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6689:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.556036947044877, b_new = -0.9435168487919281, c_new = 5.241920713147389
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9001.276004404373
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6690:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7744107109716967, b_new = -1.253703780567927, c_new = 5.5830180387102
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12442.563092217559
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6691:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.102574412578722, b_new = -1.6416778503754217, c_new = 4.626617445872691
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3046.0645577546193
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6692:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3274683180234246, b_new = -1.65963948310198, c_new = 4.530465073705048
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5279.881223156078
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6693:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6861817068486893, b_new = -1.3444572564361683, c_new = 5.119995986145854
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11513.529626970318
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6694:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5434852601488203, b_new = -1.1537988702299897, c_new = 5.243012947316227
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10462.93116080492
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6695:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.934863765353329, b_new = -1.163466709925884, c_new = 5.756811260566183
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3225.536764575938
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6696:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.37607875082838, b_new = -0.8238577539348413, c_new = 4.878923297818285
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8582.37829357151
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6697:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.506982200396642, b_new = -1.8050815377064127, c_new = 4.2682633434780515
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8322.326438881822
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6698:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.4044283109138898, b_new = -0.9041542205558147, c_new = 4.2831946104582865
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15887.862747765834
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6699:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8354906373236304, b_new = -2.0502943211245666, c_new = 6.3833223701272495
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5965.518646106109
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6700:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1978765002751546, b_new = -0.49483227359994586, c_new = 5.167034014014916
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5801.541990325026
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6701:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4044704569252624, b_new = -0.7396485285749028, c_new = 5.523862412317252
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9535.521625944099
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6702:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6055862007599666, b_new = -1.3154283847031614, c_new = 6.806406848630507
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11328.768470361267
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6703:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.769520886539378, b_new = -0.5040082617372666, c_new = 5.260043730851233
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4106.579719648713
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6704:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7344220975576956, b_new = -1.4363389356809066, c_new = 5.957007981791473
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6591.151275258573
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6705:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.396349505352019, b_new = -1.5160603034674336, c_new = 6.3287621338122095
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11659.209739164082
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6706:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7494487666073417, b_new = -1.2543170959580507, c_new = 4.456690465762583
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6344.556376123162
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6707:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.262627861412657, b_new = -1.59345361040913, c_new = 5.344500054243752
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4529.811382808846
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6708:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4754067274502534, b_new = -1.327095255101046, c_new = 5.2953289254214635
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9227.554882751618
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6709:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.798822162339195, b_new = -1.0369178825270315, c_new = 5.8305224117802465
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12951.035313297085
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6710:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8062715761439017, b_new = -0.7406560162191702, c_new = 5.292321904132515
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3997.753226361976
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6711:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.555022281635977, b_new = -0.8708370430663587, c_new = 4.753418663563206
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9023.595587256728
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6712:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3531718422022134, b_new = -0.7053532253962397, c_new = 5.115117342007907
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8544.987543161551
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6713:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5162397638004346, b_new = -1.1978794414885532, c_new = 5.621148456043769
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9987.196330736842
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6714:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3682726473275797, b_new = 0.3364937869508591, c_new = 5.7606344770250635
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8894.88272982612
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6715:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9144080963031596, b_new = -2.0873841161137396, c_new = 5.02089471158916
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5011.029077394978
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6716:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1803153159628796, b_new = -1.029750190517123, c_new = 5.340268022633666
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4343.960416380606
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6717:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.590157582105044, b_new = -1.0124203602925959, c_new = 4.720034849176501
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11041.600453754954
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6718:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7147781228479104, b_new = -1.9613935184266804, c_new = 6.202732680944215
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8346.076216843581
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6719:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0446620570003113, b_new = -1.5896533217317126, c_new = 5.688897931250642
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3026.633674804711
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6720:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.427603660632423, b_new = -1.4798370362028763, c_new = 4.651544333082243
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7792.94262010962
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6721:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2416887095121067, b_new = -1.41791500004023, c_new = 6.143174906099902
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4754.574099031497
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6722:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6590050186982555, b_new = -1.301462502928887, c_new = 5.125449385697206
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8096.667097524804
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6723:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.913172527262498, b_new = -1.3657844383034758, c_new = 5.4198979961637965
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3642.482344437537
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6724:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5960860220135773, b_new = -1.3929553601795368, c_new = 4.710309376949103
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10460.085436339823
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6725:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4566592476926665, b_new = -0.8201226960501368, c_new = 5.220365368343266
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10023.236435659024
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6726:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4638753154022224, b_new = -0.9329362019120924, c_new = 6.380649570235907
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10294.411608540371
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6727:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.97253448301328, b_new = -1.465231806030081, c_new = 5.449458510475094
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3257.3740514615038
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6728:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6108492726057557, b_new = -1.2748072710178011, c_new = 5.061807251266739
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10913.386022785486
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6729:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.791399366302668, b_new = -1.2121720696570013, c_new = 5.296319622206086
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12535.228387506035
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6730:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.284363818481934, b_new = -1.490616033316775, c_new = 5.904370212379223
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5274.4691150511935
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6731:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3245375040243133, b_new = -1.3108039507861236, c_new = 5.522903700566382
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12182.87018909816
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6732:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.080964870396908, b_new = -1.3985932503006595, c_new = 5.521753096334368
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3075.939627310965
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6733:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8323833864484054, b_new = -0.9925125175258933, c_new = 5.999013020931294
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3921.2866415982053
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6734:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9046014498892574, b_new = -1.6714606399931187, c_new = 4.874879481816952
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12589.219928384007
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6735:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.046481277108289, b_new = -2.051812902916774, c_new = 5.357905605538157
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3291.635880279957
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6736:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.576932893561295, b_new = -1.2455208643362392, c_new = 5.044297534077745
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10607.485479550722
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6737:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3154316048031864, b_new = -1.0116466628290004, c_new = 5.18182865551259
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11916.573115814455
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6738:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.834235205148179, b_new = -1.2701702569891307, c_new = 5.187433180701362
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4554.722753495324
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6739:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.313798425513433, b_new = -1.7656001866866506, c_new = 6.437642930278455
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12633.294349633332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6740:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2195649110134483, b_new = -1.3609666252137107, c_new = 5.610916967127624
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4378.329537810032
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6741:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.940975375067424, b_new = -1.5000902203152011, c_new = 4.868628522527384
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3634.349019334463
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6742:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9744018409509994, b_new = -0.6606644847941066, c_new = 5.515165833655373
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3051.428380490832
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6743:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8223591589734642, b_new = -0.5903321302419536, c_new = 5.66313654509299
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3565.4915190735387
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6744:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3914241716460904, b_new = -1.5318259065185804, c_new = 5.017810965418766
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7053.738908001865
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6745:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.404276549926088, b_new = -1.1663187437095262, c_new = 5.107768309802006
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8316.820564957916
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6746:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.834390602669004, b_new = -0.5047933539555323, c_new = 6.006761510689496
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13845.231271458666
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6747:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7868073025161912, b_new = -0.9616269509214503, c_new = 5.344799288869088
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12837.464279505257
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6748:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8329306154431029, b_new = -1.1286278793755486, c_new = 5.179821502859979
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14614.288874448643
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6749:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1616328460188465, b_new = -1.7040484047171347, c_new = 5.860359851459334
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3326.749815736851
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6750:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1051968224179283, b_new = -0.7866918292075475, c_new = 6.181861132620552
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3955.6189109395973
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6751:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5334773009873195, b_new = -1.0073542706855734, c_new = 5.330546790444703
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9453.04696954076
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6752:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2527947150824748, b_new = -1.5512842569307927, c_new = 6.286480769045188
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4702.423008657609
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6753:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7280873040916918, b_new = -0.6715428521870956, c_new = 5.735933665478769
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12934.784460515331
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6754:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9433529979798307, b_new = -0.5782416720239987, c_new = 5.582253453491278
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14182.363002206988
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6755:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.095119498036087, b_new = -1.766372843875319, c_new = 5.407059798898299
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3025.7638365733856
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6756:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.317177210137022, b_new = -1.0698053170737472, c_new = 6.323627187165551
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7248.238142413159
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6757:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3360590197492703, b_new = -1.1809668234164068, c_new = 5.534114174800763
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7029.706434496122
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6758:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8775182526017575, b_new = -1.1260798426051375, c_new = 5.246411798970034
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3730.7889936070023
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6759:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3829743889450254, b_new = -1.2905089676333208, c_new = 5.152962825225203
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7576.330115049866
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6760:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.810127288848828, b_new = -1.1405195470478413, c_new = 5.05632585295887
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4714.944678352274
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6761:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0593106052414294, b_new = -0.9727318335465138, c_new = 5.501453088347236
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3216.939266652043
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6762:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.115968424931394, b_new = -0.5700142458871162, c_new = 5.6967005738383945
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4352.685624486534
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6763:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8824971189202486, b_new = -0.6411916653023889, c_new = 5.028645892186309
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13689.658645312036
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6764:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.607700739939143, b_new = -0.7168653313580766, c_new = 5.118392121210772
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11790.310444510806
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6765:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8967264270351354, b_new = -1.5162065497546922, c_new = 5.669581439766104
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3994.6109040000997
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6766:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.372669038804598, b_new = -1.4009906451710514, c_new = 4.994153271641453
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12081.781231488254
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6767:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.994837180658266, b_new = -0.9369195299396837, c_new = 5.726625215466596
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14088.515025980156
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6768:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5128914909215196, b_new = -1.2776060252661776, c_new = 5.808341943995188
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10037.565269257266
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6769:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8417281562873145, b_new = -0.49634589339021895, c_new = 5.946119158543202
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3300.6814096173193
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6770:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2118916035145095, b_new = -0.569553285899562, c_new = 4.532386723806038
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12268.954473429456
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6771:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9618518484130067, b_new = -0.6067581613367746, c_new = 5.828457967321322
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13470.91354078748
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6772:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.838647917607815, b_new = -0.7400050263936726, c_new = 5.686258058910841
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3576.851731317363
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6773:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5639763511979314, b_new = -1.2197843436853835, c_new = 5.6581984248955415
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10701.074606688328
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6774:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3475923067140227, b_new = -1.6085909322629823, c_new = 6.090785243352442
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12270.030709898612
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6775:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1990651067533573, b_new = -0.7886269624953047, c_new = 4.646053087993629
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4943.175083716394
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6776:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2005386829618003, b_new = -1.8021361780806036, c_new = 5.159521623658419
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3456.8490597552454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6777:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.845640447526727, b_new = -2.0617258362107376, c_new = 4.92244907719998
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6342.13388813496
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6778:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3877725154128053, b_new = -1.0297939969115675, c_new = 5.505045998939812
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8508.431606906659
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6779:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5252455510642333, b_new = -1.4235541524740047, c_new = 5.332523274792552
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9751.374478341819
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6780:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3627822492581294, b_new = -1.746061539093101, c_new = 5.264687019715207
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5989.6657673262725
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6781:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.930154168193477, b_new = -1.0246991533951584, c_new = 5.900220677793849
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3151.793676000363
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6782:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4343986913880924, b_new = -0.5638769179077038, c_new = 5.391002277088364
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9860.666657354715
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6783:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0770503783941674, b_new = -1.3488426692373867, c_new = 6.532813320279771
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3158.0717516368413
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6784:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.102781539930108, b_new = -1.3816051354877923, c_new = 5.650174734545007
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3186.141983119238
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6785:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.143334550848103, b_new = -0.8896558747932182, c_new = 5.346279103224337
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4078.544760625208
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6786:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.949763396365596, b_new = -0.9991165720035817, c_new = 5.12724696672382
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13668.371260118827
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6787:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5003836973191045, b_new = -1.0201777449707854, c_new = 5.677186253792493
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10344.012321611646
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6788:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8140769325284753, b_new = -0.6989658738877453, c_new = 5.307655031966236
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13321.919876286962
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6789:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6303731948926945, b_new = -1.2881019405745084, c_new = 5.235547377324873
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11132.486243978472
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6790:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4856714772561848, b_new = -0.9683703326484613, c_new = 5.125760428362522
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10075.444465157994
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6791:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0457259417523126, b_new = -0.8761914506183501, c_new = 5.208949317843851
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3181.621735949791
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6792:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.52253125363238, b_new = -0.9158762371383719, c_new = 4.938649624865934
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9547.765990560883
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6793:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7220095199216807, b_new = -1.5302176959644547, c_new = 5.596581493090675
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7246.101017514561
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6794:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.627400189174862, b_new = -1.2908374096947932, c_new = 5.851666981705543
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8393.147073187964
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6795:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.01445831892016, b_new = -1.6061465058922644, c_new = 5.757598795702276
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3108.8211867351843
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6796:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5287632264808257, b_new = -2.1375681934324176, c_new = 5.734406871068617
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11604.226954367252
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6797:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.367496600196488, b_new = -0.9278348671650921, c_new = 5.558441381417187
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8404.533339226104
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6798:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8422787627802633, b_new = -0.8752649878870192, c_new = 5.53577307824271
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3727.1326041207294
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6799:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.121085967091617, b_new = -0.47067240384243514, c_new = 4.915001058379753
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14841.024020595687
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6800:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.366459655759822, b_new = -0.7822996387300003, c_new = 5.627687344087297
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15495.237788602968
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6801:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4722019731184606, b_new = -1.3741728962393187, c_new = 6.074711435116464
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9345.4691874678
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6802:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3858901304589852, b_new = -1.4255385316255653, c_new = 5.158940670340393
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11956.732536044501
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6803:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.524037378069501, b_new = -0.8726561922002857, c_new = 5.341217249972538
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10784.74739385232
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6804:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5445085218677477, b_new = -0.6572613189593325, c_new = 5.61077146099033
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11458.939320815998
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6805:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.055441240200727, b_new = -1.0927418166720249, c_new = 5.688258909291888
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3136.3842025309837
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6806:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.694573485211489, b_new = -0.4494975208458283, c_new = 5.370777135846832
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5138.787355616602
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6807:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9727300673415025, b_new = -0.9617819713962354, c_new = 5.947626082790084
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13746.223346618593
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6808:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1575891442791795, b_new = -1.1341132235764784, c_new = 5.270725261966371
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3858.2794877771894
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6809:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.617914416977678, b_new = -1.4643320734636467, c_new = 4.989339517211619
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10648.231810395131
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6810:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9253664060204967, b_new = -1.9537149860791252, c_new = 5.5695115934711374
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4390.098263237125
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6811:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9844214019138344, b_new = -1.4597840399795428, c_new = 6.6296346705485325
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14020.058413241226
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6812:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3324710789347467, b_new = -1.41229555984944, c_new = 5.1541532520879985
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6186.846126642908
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6813:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.323461477517871, b_new = -1.5199709067866718, c_new = 4.8214156834053625
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5618.296173716859
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6814:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.098600275438478, b_new = -0.7985893054245015, c_new = 5.481049821560541
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3715.5191590651166
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6815:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7258327826872635, b_new = -1.1038160168387445, c_new = 4.432769033179388
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6442.377248533644
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6816:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4983130430310254, b_new = -0.5618134059600313, c_new = 5.342906491288014
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9009.55197442455
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6817:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8138388248265214, b_new = -0.1939519484359835, c_new = 5.258171405266775
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13887.48830632689
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6818:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9146935878231306, b_new = -0.6912707864407139, c_new = 5.464988294854709
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13848.624987321702
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6819:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.385030810809977, b_new = -0.45359991721167925, c_new = 5.323590239669898
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10266.39409620032
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6820:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5604904028450095, b_new = -0.7845862204513661, c_new = 4.777826369725518
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8721.612945888071
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6821:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5618313041792558, b_new = -1.7976262827755058, c_new = 5.875338178787269
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10523.653664108586
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6822:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4788109631185917, b_new = -0.8537628425912165, c_new = 4.71205951226549
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10083.906561491822
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6823:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.186273277952946, b_new = -1.2693161475318517, c_new = 5.858946846022431
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4129.681560263798
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6824:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8839080631928464, b_new = -1.566790503375152, c_new = 6.142512518617372
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4140.596768227269
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6825:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4396657784330236, b_new = -1.5783429776895104, c_new = 4.573671364515394
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7749.05920960714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6826:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.269017069695324, b_new = -1.2809854478828855, c_new = 5.23134649133914
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5267.739822143867
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6827:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1571673717991193, b_new = -1.5656839541574632, c_new = 5.22796252875321
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3346.047225135044
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6828:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9809726049520417, b_new = -1.9152502091505954, c_new = 5.781680193816414
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3604.136440255595
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6829:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.656747810665648, b_new = -1.2596411952259905, c_new = 6.009282201524863
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7695.521919869523
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6830:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.487314006811616, b_new = -1.5806595282897289, c_new = 5.423986753194054
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8888.687380414985
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6831:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.13243260036385, b_new = -0.3520092410064697, c_new = 5.115137498317636
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12382.55235677111
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6832:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.626394338329256, b_new = -0.3386144617042479, c_new = 5.429935077186066
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12587.987804632958
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6833:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.244894986268623, b_new = -1.8552341782346553, c_new = 5.313524185359131
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3853.998831406775
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6834:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.799164085561411, b_new = -1.9104479545889599, c_new = 4.801798353552973
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6977.341373255477
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6835:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.749478946116748, b_new = -1.0173159329639536, c_new = 5.3789221236117895
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5418.249305076738
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6836:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8852023412430654, b_new = -0.5970969286803143, c_new = 5.2269744474274855
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3170.027633710408
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6837:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.621757796815913, b_new = -1.1069273117137124, c_new = 5.868066576984704
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8027.575995198698
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6838:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.327719114252474, b_new = -1.7632278840516142, c_new = 5.587357777159609
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12766.242574144431
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6839:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2472062676417908, b_new = -0.9928447318896516, c_new = 5.799173157963671
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5739.913846082183
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6840:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.229594195106203, b_new = -0.5363108965975705, c_new = 6.30388912165027
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6837.680938537813
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6841:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4735706183230675, b_new = -0.7526194119818947, c_new = 5.900180731061989
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9568.142875611258
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6842:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8580968499719033, b_new = -1.2377926821832865, c_new = 6.215725907743456
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3933.15476610965
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6843:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7916401303718463, b_new = -1.2303117254796678, c_new = 6.109017204839995
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4921.037207229114
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6844:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8725016912823684, b_new = -0.7470286135959487, c_new = 5.847233020651509
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3295.7493369552158
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6845:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0386781914834415, b_new = -1.3243710606979828, c_new = 4.765037438643986
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13676.867321373005
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6846:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5652115266030657, b_new = -1.536264406793428, c_new = 5.38263796227488
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10113.24341804085
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6847:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.586651080989311, b_new = -0.5071601554155034, c_new = 5.800378709239525
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12139.857787659452
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6848:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4040557387146073, b_new = -1.399385261892562, c_new = 4.832609851312533
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7598.320617916241
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4031474020906103, b_new = -1.6732751100975798, c_new = 6.004101111356324
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7279.8420110393745
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9318106507768538, b_new = -1.2480686756025579, c_new = 4.566949658863456
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3470.93027531825
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.161954634384938, b_new = -0.7655845653057501, c_new = 5.839054328374579
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4715.441835426179
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6037300373653345, b_new = -0.6877804340371958, c_new = 5.636006864424127
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11956.18131032072
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.867484919511918, b_new = -1.1775255312357467, c_new = 5.381641364683149
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3891.4790533126993
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1389979478147416, b_new = -0.6829663136085437, c_new = 4.937332764352789
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4280.23714323189
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.89613893215131, b_new = -1.2837920382299028, c_new = 5.403417042726111
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3714.7257868179695
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.345041435416841, b_new = -1.1739361746818233, c_new = 4.734809096616026
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6940.145294378012
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3632218186093152, b_new = -1.2159270878610644, c_new = 5.599273937427474
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7538.57377714155
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.180841244469679, b_new = 0.044302302726780374, c_new = 5.781185749274337
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7241.931528185383
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.364072444194787, b_new = -0.09783507818083859, c_new = 5.223897307370953
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10278.551401855195
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7022180719694218, b_new = -0.714065628327281, c_new = 5.767304555288279
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5480.373422797042
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9583167071949332, b_new = -1.1122411150669413, c_new = 5.063951838314837
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13576.039375682325
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.388294542290988, b_new = -0.9430545253556412, c_new = 6.46603337851006
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15612.71547329354
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.613173121902214, b_new = -1.2343890814762757, c_new = 4.752640125602503
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10913.20345430111
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.442597137805032, b_new = -0.12956920035034858, c_new = 5.6027349003830125
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8836.523518012635
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1390174196136686, b_new = -1.3395743366086907, c_new = 5.549483786107721
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3460.0644687885806
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.594988465483917, b_new = -0.5275031188144362, c_new = 5.017462182131409
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7372.521519306329
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1839118016619175, b_new = -0.75590428802824, c_new = 4.9613664643369315
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12591.60575588408
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8767704365089655, b_new = -1.7439326623389109, c_new = 5.196457074266367
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4839.704041567805
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.555764106629215, b_new = -1.5649434107400304, c_new = 4.723709751205416
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10531.69540877445
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.437467241797735, b_new = -0.03491326576727327, c_new = 5.9059090581299
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8629.433181423075
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6256736473664626, b_new = -1.2110400837275508, c_new = 5.903694993497301
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11410.114740154218
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.601043896755155, b_new = -2.385527139526657, c_new = 6.368910449611383
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11041.881228046803
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.39912328735878, b_new = -0.7707469320345854, c_new = 4.675618158367664
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9057.650262469277
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.985654889638693, b_new = -1.0131259170064548, c_new = 5.5734132484859
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3015.5450496786757
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.65704936974815, b_new = -0.647889303566678, c_new = 5.716339609016141
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12463.207712130046
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.920307401959715, b_new = -0.8496229941996722, c_new = 5.7530932683522735
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3114.9463365514503
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4637959132410527, b_new = -1.4486803827268948, c_new = 5.979983332496757
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9004.576969115573
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.293715093843697, b_new = -2.2727768181076966, c_new = 5.729097020079268
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13589.552632402207
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9148028396634116, b_new = -1.0843294709885511, c_new = 5.260215313368402
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3345.1773506841464
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3618210522599896, b_new = -1.2329298476894086, c_new = 5.221173017031889
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7315.973744235561
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0883202054474257, b_new = -1.9661739197205055, c_new = 5.694456069219235
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3046.0323970273616
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5857815253423997, b_new = -1.5656498078127001, c_new = 6.1668996975564685
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9614.695054713593
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.636224404738978, b_new = -1.9015341824040508, c_new = 5.520724398352291
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9848.255726223304
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.461911099244946, b_new = 0.24033028917597954, c_new = 5.258934494257386
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7858.212042873318
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9671354447401272, b_new = -1.3770556674838677, c_new = 5.123070552462009
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13350.512137227666
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1612964742657104, b_new = -1.1016362161565203, c_new = 5.106181389639386
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3917.9321498116947
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7753104400014394, b_new = -1.26275216553639, c_new = 5.596955606363175
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5443.137740435222
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.241833857410958, b_new = -0.8661441252196866, c_new = 5.928467958510546
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15140.165510676234
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1862618162170713, b_new = -1.8343436465032914, c_new = 4.3427592053001005
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3262.422704668068
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8009502154542965, b_new = -2.108982205628018, c_new = 5.2195873280762415
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7342.535139958837
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.071681659554624, b_new = -1.1890454393049412, c_new = 6.124607886402603
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3195.473146137539
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3381475544754267, b_new = -0.9572156443204285, c_new = 5.294182842612418
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7607.364613032695
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.072561906795263, b_new = -1.7437399607824604, c_new = 5.598921998002593
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3024.378486216306
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4169450172522624, b_new = -1.0160750730797954, c_new = 5.585013321694853
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10840.463889651555
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.416246676213914, b_new = -0.7902810420286412, c_new = 5.316045408239159
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9528.13289460124
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.260556721261854, b_new = -0.6333707850444856, c_new = 5.461660310749243
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6899.08712948534
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5762473105495634, b_new = -0.8509938107705072, c_new = 5.52135161287637
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11414.2475801222
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8976702908384557, b_new = -1.2350493003754166, c_new = 4.934126517626466
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3718.7990820870477
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.109670060206839, b_new = -0.5115397281798274, c_new = 5.203152624107931
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14829.91369802343
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5963580808098765, b_new = -0.9893758510344466, c_new = 5.3516901385513655
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11327.19036365874
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.454562644750857, b_new = -0.8711494539280604, c_new = 5.8689661170509675
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10114.59224280154
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6141856821260023, b_new = -1.1928955091508917, c_new = 4.791311258533137
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8784.131395650751
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2289339830764305, b_new = -2.029184608477597, c_new = 5.310793927023321
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3488.9312525964015
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.980107789267927, b_new = -1.6802655946946379, c_new = 5.614026487229785
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3375.9490236310935
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.391501121813825, b_new = -0.29122629949056833, c_new = 5.6465174177326745
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10402.967034086672
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031443131208929, b_new = -0.434875383871544, c_new = 6.226256465786939
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3664.733126765764
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.824865952231112, b_new = -0.9825485863184588, c_new = 4.631028018584766
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4295.772156754357
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.459021166542337, b_new = -0.8554245427285619, c_new = 5.315114299494245
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10138.499432958199
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6034136872530325, b_new = -0.6303547813086725, c_new = 6.281206097123329
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12239.94018858091
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6859447339512696, b_new = -1.8622165432515743, c_new = 5.992593380266316
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8722.861076875672
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6724640714069774, b_new = -1.557682319657905, c_new = 5.321373244919989
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8439.864916249957
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3839753054633763, b_new = -1.5749996266155724, c_new = 4.835593415499613
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12300.294514861147
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.019945936145785, b_new = -1.03103736786971, c_new = 4.496797171244051
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3016.4019544338216
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6008050791406094, b_new = -0.9615288869087655, c_new = 5.6037462475044295
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8145.725456029435
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.782145465838304, b_new = -0.47818359270094013, c_new = 5.064152900953742
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3945.0360036191787
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.053734699855279, b_new = -1.578029211185668, c_new = 4.328117843875191
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3075.216060839377
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.628995091285937, b_new = -0.8452664773129863, c_new = 5.237685859339283
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11811.588958413675
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3386381789353248, b_new = -1.8537402801411513, c_new = 5.756493922312862
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5402.304252699352
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.858140229893631, b_new = -0.34983270496776675, c_new = 5.410883866139429
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3157.0820358982505
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0828138262011398, b_new = -1.365851532562442, c_new = 6.1532950701693725
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3140.8037138996096
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8338080503543255, b_new = -0.7903918362888472, c_new = 6.495086444678614
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13647.665806647145
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.596659294713464, b_new = -0.4802694602673918, c_new = 5.776745472442778
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6963.65319890334
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.482115158559157, b_new = -0.6149847463422973, c_new = 5.495525661246599
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9302.814038890549
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.906567193797214, b_new = -1.6106728269700723, c_new = 4.353249207886951
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12548.880386747074
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.583861445626012, b_new = -1.037532901911347, c_new = 4.776031471438391
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8933.51042625392
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.113361710714589, b_new = -1.143418048345519, c_new = 5.695326862838581
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3472.2230850327137
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8042068791214567, b_new = -0.4461686539519105, c_new = 4.459272335167512
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13343.048715523548
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8987900918198442, b_new = -0.595624045280638, c_new = 5.80887891381424
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13752.01426803543
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6792037344024355, b_new = -2.1251904738405534, c_new = 6.30813980883383
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9391.506750287444
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7352729019750073, b_new = -1.3030672189457284, c_new = 5.293408216492196
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6459.232281308598
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.492293330076617, b_new = -1.1232301576217683, c_new = 5.798260745515813
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10075.770065667146
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.288092586616628, b_new = -1.3339807415475535, c_new = 4.763338582589336
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12696.18787019539
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4099040851349423, b_new = -1.0473890739440086, c_new = 5.869512722614584
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9013.326963585301
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8863498564716075, b_new = -0.18045200348393098, c_new = 5.699739004581969
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3065.606053058072
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2425367640649543, b_new = -1.5156147292748847, c_new = 5.178871430190171
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13116.352571422038
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.404383977685526, b_new = -1.9951364016286517, c_new = 6.6673692841478704
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6689.285321593077
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.161945446984083, b_new = -0.9411680613582363, c_new = 4.464741539652071
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4044.714896506859
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.139471612979934, b_new = -1.468762085343755, c_new = 5.159189094645521
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3296.8464260929095
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.394782396545723, b_new = -0.79727854185939, c_new = 5.4343859842491575
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9202.037074005268
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.030257772606932, b_new = -1.5822563778994714, c_new = 4.729462333774197
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3117.4313914195363
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3504034189507945, b_new = -1.3479389699382882, c_new = 5.4918925948496975
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12039.781280516614
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2758283066849625, b_new = -0.5107959087282077, c_new = 5.3539587700170514
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7554.115251548863
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.589795664287676, b_new = -1.537315767083015, c_new = 4.934918408731255
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10205.742509466234
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.102814667918016, b_new = -0.8354499167709701, c_new = 5.075997947012476
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3636.6607789368877
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.293757728717191, b_new = -1.5701570577701407, c_new = 5.588741787492545
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5168.599285547336
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.727515253951255, b_new = -1.2917515031717322, c_new = 6.222462434485023
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12231.80493979749
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8312038449908807, b_new = -1.279999579622298, c_new = 5.334605381331582
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4582.459530739587
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6116202830563156, b_new = -1.0214059272889244, c_new = 5.851084333735098
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8007.587395527002
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0315111066517866, b_new = -0.6446863473176707, c_new = 6.254816875058519
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3422.695068200022
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.658486132376284, b_new = -0.9402968129384925, c_new = 5.968043357023
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6841.862863502142
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3484930578221106, b_new = -1.5063971083534313, c_new = 5.268705807928139
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6314.640673911079
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.611748424134829, b_new = -1.4307627845892226, c_new = 5.522862963083737
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9133.657863571163
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.532208549037728, b_new = -1.1802859874836193, c_new = 5.18442495811607
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9885.45520770537
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1247484258042784, b_new = -0.08878058560936153, c_new = 4.8787586122647975
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5286.96137863115
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1012697591448215, b_new = -1.1823254306842241, c_new = 5.3725171196393005
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13485.642418889327
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1842323195024917, b_new = -2.361220573820824, c_new = 5.2388259385103435
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14361.986721919628
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5131639180741687, b_new = 0.014673604145303276, c_new = 5.574379983876729
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12257.774196027773
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5736698380523593, b_new = -0.895427880162817, c_new = 5.382314570476889
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8545.237986255033
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.112570736487812, b_new = -1.7459947381855194, c_new = 5.318179022280126
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14040.766025050845
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.653935039166572, b_new = -0.6471335992634328, c_new = 5.065447490324212
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6490.481309396297
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.394900202590116, b_new = -0.4296737426296897, c_new = 5.088883667311068
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9938.432017341807
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.088012247237799, b_new = -0.9567271316413659, c_new = 5.574853739503558
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3440.939111075136
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8971761257040254, b_new = -1.075373955762613, c_new = 5.832571815083372
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13489.38768649823
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.718349828460714, b_new = -1.3550082156302172, c_new = 5.746538365712274
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6786.333675175583
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4894724838802165, b_new = -0.9796846549234752, c_new = 4.360303964589769
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9853.049213294249
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.39929758001555, b_new = -0.8233372053091741, c_new = 5.351789362084928
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9184.38299236771
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.192891493826973, b_new = -1.6231086648401494, c_new = 4.4778452952672625
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13724.585760850747
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9376157952260957, b_new = -0.9693377465728539, c_new = 5.998640985140089
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13855.478983463194
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2972780279357243, b_new = -1.014089971836475, c_new = 5.950065599942873
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6818.063559885481
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7394542013461773, b_new = -1.3822648371283748, c_new = 5.514265976879424
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6502.956348547872
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6530438932758424, b_new = -0.5844451503768435, c_new = 5.377930138156339
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12424.407705144924
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8990061796588997, b_new = -1.049786532715508, c_new = 5.757286307114736
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3372.9439471049845
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.678548933189257, b_new = -1.5731027385091414, c_new = 5.766361699571305
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8187.634107708071
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.824986004010378, b_new = -0.48932959936528575, c_new = 5.728961587703264
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3433.584335155725
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0592245402405176, b_new = -1.2149856347625432, c_new = 5.864566006303282
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3100.8622840091944
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.58161914180221, b_new = -1.3660783002561385, c_new = 5.205093422930982
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10496.50502892381
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6606888831131195, b_new = -1.1908076441909088, c_new = 5.117765016495406
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7770.284598457879
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.753130620827621, b_new = -1.5470795396308394, c_new = 5.733030502365833
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6579.760851177762
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7469132598287724, b_new = -1.4557261665712717, c_new = 5.812032899329448
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6434.544558514147
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3810157628938162, b_new = -0.9942220955982929, c_new = 5.7077399623295735
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11140.51396151845
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2257588916450888, b_new = -0.847132935137924, c_new = 5.713834186515964
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5650.29958748156
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5381097012086062, b_new = -1.0161265485865383, c_new = 5.320845185172536
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9408.21832870682
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.712323746573447, b_new = -1.4111407075417395, c_new = 5.217167203912483
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11660.894687110922
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4000659305808805, b_new = -1.0096919506025412, c_new = 5.449176283295618
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8770.284610887753
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2503840094175507, b_new = -1.4077582363118235, c_new = 5.374877927750037
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4707.504949918461
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3170731865511773, b_new = -1.4936428088850413, c_new = 4.919175695875336
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12664.894460666515
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.144673101293698, b_new = -1.7075739067642866, c_new = 5.073293239242155
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3160.8489052730274
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4366096355265725, b_new = -0.5306312205121723, c_new = 5.5633908965393575
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10475.414547300614
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3120325881263497, b_new = -0.8479372908673868, c_new = 5.976935881341674
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7632.487003744117
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4532237933419383, b_new = -1.3712100518066819, c_new = 5.865374922488495
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10992.63493060608
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.300423851847279, b_new = 0.15578117321415963, c_new = 5.693869211710967
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10042.31322632108
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1204291409107814, b_new = -1.170371554645536, c_new = 5.5814619292572525
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3486.821337772268
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9659845041964576, b_new = -1.6733324373525709, c_new = 5.215173061302971
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3548.3534245003066
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6190839933704075, b_new = -0.5680375357057839, c_new = 6.299185701496233
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6576.222577584207
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.700515948627148, b_new = -0.21670959799939793, c_new = 5.751729037511881
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13353.021961963896
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6703438408440414, b_new = -1.064920206102088, c_new = 4.826415637036214
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7346.873989688278
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.603183725854305, b_new = -1.158759235656855, c_new = 6.047261443183606
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11327.44557380444
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.595900526887104, b_new = -2.247833948959204, c_new = 5.2005245537361935
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11245.724377475144
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 6999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2353136034378775, b_new = -1.0749297344311854, c_new = 4.839159479474562
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5005.893441878353
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6524502804305468, b_new = -0.2059213427746387, c_new = 6.090903533204102
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5171.414068187981
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.335164073373288, b_new = -1.2667179673436568, c_new = 4.426363643198335
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6374.121448271915
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2190698056073215, b_new = -1.518895677780538, c_new = 5.726899572770625
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4122.4818485832875
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7068045948403476, b_new = -1.760246253577046, c_new = 5.096412008735926
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8403.853360428919
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.829846934002911, b_new = -1.1661788989712585, c_new = 5.667394659923163
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4305.614569149257
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4246193424394598, b_new = -0.5518227467735235, c_new = 5.178887919460938
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10023.90835647606
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6135514508008364, b_new = -1.9151578862117469, c_new = 4.918030627540016
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10430.295175811778
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5739592942558356, b_new = -0.7867551220312807, c_new = 5.456199616191233
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11477.773076133026
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3602805030673808, b_new = -1.4895298506539756, c_new = 5.111302126295958
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -16194.170034041286
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.273351424202178, b_new = -1.5100629496460742, c_new = 4.93646520648045
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4762.376753460927
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0288585739453, b_new = -0.5273505676256866, c_new = 5.312413432340587
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3376.0012361593153
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9027128417865153, b_new = -1.3619510735037603, c_new = 5.653489747842964
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3704.5598038997796
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.333605743398025, b_new = -0.7423199711414665, c_new = 5.069143584438781
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8025.182702092185
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9649705044728125, b_new = -0.7874380806678352, c_new = 5.674160291822554
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3023.0567201686836
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.529814302939677, b_new = -0.6265395089561683, c_new = 5.864484729098098
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11447.935311872203
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7075217019558977, b_new = -1.7671805881752978, c_new = 4.978020000018175
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8457.95905885247
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2011181490620877, b_new = -0.8458081551083496, c_new = 6.134472582481203
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5319.832204396445
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.520590183290175, b_new = -1.5481299671896556, c_new = 4.988717290071466
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10843.093392837494
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5194949316312125, b_new = -1.7268275737267098, c_new = 5.7819006638697985
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9186.758321043566
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.692379064064731, b_new = -1.0634473047568134, c_new = 5.20943818693052
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6742.727799622699
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4189586726368915, b_new = -0.5940692083907234, c_new = 5.4085701944588696
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10100.783303963892
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2596220767643653, b_new = -1.657900057422477, c_new = 5.4926740457739855
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13102.855473364933
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1840482365656286, b_new = -1.7810813113272361, c_new = 4.7697831173867735
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3314.579702604313
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0224063118203466, b_new = -1.2178110920416763, c_new = 5.071304265710669
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3012.536954473664
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8712109635124596, b_new = -0.9185729220520775, c_new = 5.291451388663329
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13386.416922257076
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2648819703759293, b_new = -1.6850670014998257, c_new = 5.644696830636368
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4464.825021608824
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5102704566104417, b_new = -0.6241487908857738, c_new = 5.07000367943236
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10993.132112646736
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4511366908000443, b_new = -1.7809240555028576, c_new = 5.406166831163833
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7747.533966439303
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.255715825485944, b_new = -1.1986377649039577, c_new = 4.962732879068603
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5130.845042113053
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.605451783742504, b_new = -1.132752465625282, c_new = 6.089411828087405
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11404.745484542007
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6859313005598926, b_new = -1.5061804428087917, c_new = 5.746345895201886
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7868.37786372204
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.216357731163011, b_new = -1.6607901948106223, c_new = 5.259990558103758
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3787.3980780416177
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9712086998462808, b_new = -2.0180068925747863, c_new = 5.787119759248637
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3846.5039232232107
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7977158382501217, b_new = -0.8144501997202109, c_new = 4.867417234535342
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14541.131479827875
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.489510781677245, b_new = -1.1070152567576468, c_new = 4.889966450251337
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10390.642732341425
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8061612897204284, b_new = -0.4903175972559909, c_new = 5.107855362088348
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13471.389473569645
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5164153951306005, b_new = -2.7911848425460173, c_new = 5.451051742615071
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6529.194953960903
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4255426492157386, b_new = -1.8466331499608402, c_new = 4.848806581653909
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12368.662175666133
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.219816256184747, b_new = -0.6488045429344802, c_new = 4.796744070636564
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5716.68097651883
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.359943516978923, b_new = -0.27644813331503293, c_new = 5.56505461187828
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9933.914427960888
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9593911771117027, b_new = -0.7487991069653266, c_new = 4.815755457458801
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3019.501312645203
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7432680120114283, b_new = -0.7175485181224293, c_new = 5.224583734122884
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4905.02101321772
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.379792843953194, b_new = -0.9141906983670485, c_new = 5.085484044787172
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11205.429224369282
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.499196045906434, b_new = -2.4638379209711747, c_new = 5.730948270637121
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7073.660702772655
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8986198312815317, b_new = -0.9017985070583479, c_new = 6.100643047365988
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13760.085335524003
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.407421166105854, b_new = -0.8834799022319437, c_new = 6.459385618445691
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9599.70136581118
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3723527348610944, b_new = -1.360238979558045, c_new = 5.340683389615025
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7235.114478961192
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2550868664716948, b_new = -1.2723830801679272, c_new = 4.726836252309593
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4891.762853926333
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.137328425171485, b_new = -1.0505500901790625, c_new = 6.058712917535852
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14653.662580541553
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.223487222017663, b_new = 0.06857612568645588, c_new = 5.240472467658111
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8062.413421403462
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.846709255666426, b_new = -0.9075385803210723, c_new = 4.7902554063029505
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13129.608648438365
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.900888291139603, b_new = -1.090278222153157, c_new = 5.548102160434192
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13419.564358311276
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.027730938763949, b_new = -1.3072745269543002, c_new = 5.9961210877123765
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3014.2514581513715
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.788049078795232, b_new = -0.934456935618803, c_new = 5.132410735322263
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4635.038991795096
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.702784740055691, b_new = -0.9114856711981953, c_new = 5.373268487177809
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12335.875663215147
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4481749997097473, b_new = -0.8831775055855005, c_new = 6.117726984432321
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10073.57574203947
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7478540045017033, b_new = -1.9493605152385598, c_new = 6.0232757569757265
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7702.082732011328
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.766162341517857, b_new = -0.18207762880591194, c_new = 5.733849179979436
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3637.347947380725
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8968781658814056, b_new = -1.0337613029680233, c_new = 4.553109756836674
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13212.623552957371
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6564940811875637, b_new = -0.9607900531894638, c_new = 5.603047344688237
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7063.835221760302
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.059454146550297, b_new = -1.9401435443527213, c_new = 4.545116462413703
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3232.784905119357
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.92713622259741, b_new = -1.065972090886752, c_new = 5.030535355489522
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3270.8345105076683
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.269968790716833, b_new = -0.8496632463519745, c_new = 5.523819102218192
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6514.188634507285
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8337814875934475, b_new = -1.1558310146241555, c_new = 5.069101501356228
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4373.930306277192
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2647267359296537, b_new = -0.24222964716304662, c_new = 5.7168855387922415
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8262.762014081987
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3303048330203797, b_new = -1.4565554958750209, c_new = 4.91596145984369
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5946.020273540755
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7422615377618245, b_new = -1.382342982554948, c_new = 6.007355836089571
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12155.32020929497
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3870344923142097, b_new = 0.15878899755657994, c_new = 6.01659397919982
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8912.941850636627
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.58335894075032, b_new = -0.8492193703033837, c_new = 6.631029610325534
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7836.107968683492
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.392590576649593, b_new = -0.44580781430728444, c_new = 5.844316309894702
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10150.191445321228
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.808546109806273, b_new = -0.8477088499475656, c_new = 5.344830583733114
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4127.288142832564
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.221082571749873, b_new = -1.227102767625941, c_new = 5.13974181296266
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12899.552816055922
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5339327755066576, b_new = -1.312403492913561, c_new = 4.2523943467211
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9745.762544013998
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.736605834065851, b_new = -1.1628969348826677, c_new = 4.91815104753974
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12116.811698327238
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9670394524271075, b_new = -1.688035038342368, c_new = 4.8678995300443475
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3618.6587558180763
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6045421428301747, b_new = -1.2342739227482473, c_new = 6.351930513767895
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8483.155994179298
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2863380540576608, b_new = -1.090777616851895, c_new = 5.949989434082181
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6362.9167317127285
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.988197877045971, b_new = -0.8282470503209409, c_new = 5.5725149928251865
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3034.1977420797966
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.873177204229857, b_new = -1.4243289127724614, c_new = 5.642760954556773
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12886.137056925487
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2574518265812498, b_new = -1.6730157431794674, c_new = 5.6811042904908415
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4384.4438166215
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8680720522049783, b_new = -0.015095430116490727, c_new = 6.177815084926305
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14572.971203384514
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.407037942074392, b_new = -0.753351470464406, c_new = 5.492214789558051
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9532.739670109615
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.247270610523351, b_new = -1.453665266444586, c_new = 5.649133258467027
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4637.536469938774
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.11774701670754, b_new = -0.4933570213237999, c_new = 5.754750364784225
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4544.584318515264
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5389247571351836, b_new = -1.4926390610826739, c_new = 5.878301961114033
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9969.988603111955
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.068717513491466, b_new = -0.6462682363811052, c_new = 5.754603651291143
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3663.30727899825
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7558657681207521, b_new = -1.3040324512701633, c_new = 5.722205015283603
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14905.240701873336
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6410198619942675, b_new = -0.6746335289317487, c_new = 5.0203422083332105
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6838.165577071593
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0268721945694295, b_new = -0.9043172479342776, c_new = 5.072084651257982
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3076.7396807240866
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1241676492789594, b_new = -1.100412623481097, c_new = 5.4547512003809375
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3581.6739250690425
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3526892374699426, b_new = -1.7247775564028125, c_new = 6.106784804802426
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6123.0743691070575
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9657148655382275, b_new = -0.9697478856804088, c_new = 5.7060115735471
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3030.536596318044
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4984947147531344, b_new = -1.6079003391209745, c_new = 5.492580690376915
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11044.03419505095
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5050994635033867, b_new = -1.734570390605322, c_new = 4.942512017101876
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11390.791769005757
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.887777170251469, b_new = -1.3625805356527272, c_new = 5.13303649752588
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3979.214844935913
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2218477416303704, b_new = -1.573631574017517, c_new = 5.230131036734329
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3970.3863611754605
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0800543536339786, b_new = -1.7651760512337369, c_new = 5.54147957191216
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3023.519328985685
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.203967128607548, b_new = -1.416101643975102, c_new = 4.837425360052769
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13321.206191965131
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5089179546280076, b_new = -0.8788266685651968, c_new = 5.750221858398086
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9391.42856302405
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.441337324974131, b_new = -0.8575022644645485, c_new = 5.790931217612615
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9929.206034020332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6773476781090166, b_new = -0.4830436227467151, c_new = 5.295942749631854
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5551.998145775296
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.870718786132729, b_new = -1.6445356992190803, c_new = 5.688640496318939
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4589.550285632291
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.190925531471355, b_new = -1.5839518037178517, c_new = 5.501494842553956
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3656.0752298699113
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.328995433436938, b_new = -0.2102385556684525, c_new = 5.076132495340558
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10532.536062093572
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8500504007121923, b_new = -0.4375616336547612, c_new = 5.083462842096832
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3273.025410454522
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4288218438909497, b_new = -1.0345800147333921, c_new = 4.880527612504264
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9003.489296642067
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5433167030360035, b_new = -1.3863324912054995, c_new = 5.17193461492974
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10005.47503923254
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.401342046387148, b_new = -0.8465854509818138, c_new = 4.9198636484248945
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10915.424218498076
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0232963050853012, b_new = -1.8564926936655135, c_new = 5.324613870078714
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14517.606106105512
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.693453239128935, b_new = -1.3808171844117763, c_new = 5.280158160561039
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11565.801253768277
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5984750282804105, b_new = -1.4644152556134165, c_new = 5.844904680212243
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10699.851755992873
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3974021498927205, b_new = -0.7156824615326332, c_new = 4.1420050116439
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8967.685549423002
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3132393579888055, b_new = -1.3313439481284046, c_new = 5.529624565599307
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6129.158443609602
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.401400066967482, b_new = -1.932559150917831, c_new = 6.108579543209434
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12313.714776372377
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2883032678810027, b_new = -0.6303445713794629, c_new = 5.680133094185551
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11436.0083296362
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8932156908132276, b_new = -0.6799915727961451, c_new = 5.034289370638916
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14023.760832112679
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2900881435034375, b_new = -0.8507849903687553, c_new = 5.580144637027097
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6977.05971938696
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4809036444619927, b_new = -2.085292892793041, c_new = 5.461008885223949
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12071.765626058868
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1819713169396513, b_new = -2.1059167098446174, c_new = 5.090914826180382
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3137.7581884994524
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.346197962103336, b_new = -0.9453145721815388, c_new = 5.238464708637978
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11531.178977725924
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0560055107532165, b_new = -1.0267410877962238, c_new = 5.813785437463899
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3192.5098469481745
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.410618940808197, b_new = -1.2921014299260194, c_new = 5.895585136844292
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8410.679904106992
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094333664959878, b_new = -1.7070636928942555, c_new = 5.015592919155908
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3030.930315786211
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.229787792071652, b_new = -0.5896629910733197, c_new = 4.754444009069461
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6067.4621852629925
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1083958365753936, b_new = -0.26883513883520394, c_new = 5.602087147456253
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12317.70389370379
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.731016395805937, b_new = -1.5869648951990647, c_new = 5.686737265812446
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11688.177673330676
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.03248749429914, b_new = -0.8200269211724007, c_new = 5.097644711207286
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14219.176802662343
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.183941683609515, b_new = -1.5648208575322091, c_new = 4.6701529869469685
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3496.815627617349
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.579302863540977, b_new = -0.4279453944328454, c_new = 5.925898044505791
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7119.163863208598
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.885559528345178, b_new = -0.8134789074292634, c_new = 4.815199129514681
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3367.4405718511407
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.143462434372337, b_new = -1.8071814683505785, c_new = 5.46878605979042
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13921.890328944097
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.757862114658254, b_new = -0.7901456122144938, c_new = 5.452833948471457
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12897.829156618694
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.246921009878238, b_new = -1.8786337588994573, c_new = 5.967040577770057
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3962.3349270960216
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7804454292891885, b_new = -2.041215175334951, c_new = 6.200163498748834
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7190.767395726927
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.393209105752348, b_new = -1.1189141173854062, c_new = 5.992125449635317
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8569.238191260436
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.521321346289924, b_new = -1.4975071210028335, c_new = 5.426156411878578
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10585.048300516524
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0402504774403707, b_new = -1.0728320516884502, c_new = 5.359776782151319
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3067.064734753555
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.00175892984342, b_new = -1.1232932071810018, c_new = 4.779887652617587
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3024.702063415738
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.123051057854962, b_new = -2.136915804372643, c_new = 5.373192165756311
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3054.797357624522
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.005773825698892, b_new = -2.0873373211395783, c_new = 5.103819281321528
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3712.143289869705
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3095809312409923, b_new = -1.9346753474314111, c_new = 5.380679112454634
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4621.350715437574
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.775755766415944, b_new = -1.0249640876689337, c_new = 5.692349153017559
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12778.564547362566
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7079336829903164, b_new = -1.441843333433064, c_new = 4.829675743712839
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7601.430116214466
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8633183772664124, b_new = -1.0310757489666205, c_new = 5.4579104644162
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13253.00661856508
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.569263585689398, b_new = -1.4522706274355999, c_new = 4.540434963390185
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10181.495588438178
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.008533449998946, b_new = -1.3602876839988507, c_new = 5.555729968111295
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13681.311565076645
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.986704760871019, b_new = -1.3911169258693505, c_new = 5.673522616928749
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13569.716912242082
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.71656666171662, b_new = -1.167315227547223, c_new = 4.607158328318728
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6743.937337487045
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.77395588912902, b_new = -1.0277231530193836, c_new = 4.9922085784892785
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5110.244873574309
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.777704340352051, b_new = -0.7207780839902227, c_new = 5.830735469381358
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4234.554731833809
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.844154309030761, b_new = -1.6754397798099254, c_new = 5.4710474600381245
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5173.166114996412
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3518081096633674, b_new = -1.354650145452903, c_new = 5.788451623124501
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6984.406921106844
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7732846943831904, b_new = -1.083108661374983, c_new = 5.311356839301492
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5150.881264426183
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.252119412781546, b_new = -0.9515082206491923, c_new = 5.435088167130439
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12250.326136152322
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.554919173329847, b_new = -1.74813803759791, c_new = 6.143230050198666
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9758.500563630989
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8556692677838393, b_new = 0.35720562631446984, c_new = 5.275375847472708
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14661.735026961265
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.473747201125945, b_new = -1.3011688003797, c_new = 5.416666099323792
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9301.52127657084
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.714195001862783, b_new = -1.157359238794475, c_new = 4.710829809629618
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6726.970075423598
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.060032923313927, b_new = -1.5814468214844792, c_new = 4.886348263310647
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3034.0088598229827
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2892357911456283, b_new = -1.157594226113313, c_new = 5.23277522504566
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5978.636031254751
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.280083295238854, b_new = -1.514584482367065, c_new = 5.6795826003375
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5073.3911944744
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6049980125886334, b_new = -0.33502678729318847, c_new = 5.366202332700656
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6576.012787057693
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9946001794936774, b_new = -1.2468951714172112, c_new = 5.424874822807902
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3044.9737455572686
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.603456796963483, b_new = -0.8163827142311963, c_new = 5.1696713395353555
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7888.789589360789
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3125423382043575, b_new = -0.7856395695225408, c_new = 5.970098229131159
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11378.307390965361
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9900315435963343, b_new = -1.3105710898995244, c_new = 4.774447649669067
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3127.165020298633
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3011545736116785, b_new = -0.5304825007507394, c_new = 5.194503595122536
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7987.340345609849
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2163688329579885, b_new = -0.5087262054784508, c_new = 4.671721643919069
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5970.056231783685
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9411333165869453, b_new = -0.6432752447254693, c_new = 5.628158928949655
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3029.3745884751006
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.759395978598369, b_new = -0.5739976325389387, c_new = 4.740557991705908
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12989.381609904814
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.418708572075552, b_new = -1.5962264542059494, c_new = 4.373751362249656
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12184.565490214074
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.246952488056631, b_new = -1.5182026984366517, c_new = 5.540846583511997
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12994.219242252282
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.067847366677257, b_new = -1.1404376172288198, c_new = 6.140350855794717
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3210.6892382815986
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3496873554530078, b_new = -1.5243128273309534, c_new = 5.095958270238201
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6232.85142596618
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4684048432895853, b_new = -1.6995460724668487, c_new = 5.726166514853266
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11456.199634013157
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1388925273573696, b_new = -1.1266757759928663, c_new = 4.474329095464016
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3540.483685503861
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.853808428217292, b_new = -1.4618871681966414, c_new = 5.243162298285828
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4612.889249693471
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.842663251877431, b_new = -0.9379974729896361, c_new = 5.695570305661637
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3779.4267899661163
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.888569721943225, b_new = -0.5864605167209244, c_new = 5.8137574402009164
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3122.19479233367
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6515775899059912, b_new = -1.7895755075903919, c_new = 5.6213109659677745
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9298.193025371907
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0361460729733376, b_new = -1.6453549486947716, c_new = 4.545264163153292
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3146.2074754665086
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.770238002407859, b_new = -1.3093947581899663, c_new = 6.19046096967098
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5463.919089711331
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.320790132289082, b_new = -1.1293182508773425, c_new = 6.601824370962652
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11652.18413398716
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1406212843162686, b_new = -1.76579224866564, c_new = 5.8502196149175045
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3158.1805514483704
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8966227036720367, b_new = -0.5531952159910598, c_new = 4.372778713710193
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14040.53292059117
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.280032872270975, b_new = -1.1356268604483861, c_new = 6.872062291891634
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6462.990153094606
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4163171246821276, b_new = -1.3371895600882135, c_new = 5.4288606481666575
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11450.449512999749
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.429557234371257, b_new = -1.6154768248437539, c_new = 5.919415461771276
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11634.339071455632
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4897001631133233, b_new = -1.287049756221594, c_new = 5.653125862860969
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9649.782697499297
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.260318250562078, b_new = -1.3765966337356874, c_new = 4.669932914746297
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12965.666238264936
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1730197403441793, b_new = -1.9774328676880422, c_new = 5.1524225048467205
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3157.7637903645473
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4639608666725747, b_new = -1.1545774944451088, c_new = 5.3112816436180825
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10650.324599106032
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.325571992674008, b_new = -1.1403876508100208, c_new = 5.850898164866555
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7040.134140404187
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.787717064638462, b_new = 0.32714893702270786, c_new = 5.367642020276704
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3171.7014187548293
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4377234833407027, b_new = -1.006985295336932, c_new = 5.798374807362324
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10525.162942396311
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3073017710733597, b_new = -0.899479950714401, c_new = 5.5497068959932205
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7204.321881447065
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3935719921653216, b_new = -1.103333801682184, c_new = 5.14238617579626
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8287.547286509978
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.348151091973859, b_new = -0.8208328413512629, c_new = 6.054368626908295
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8511.247484589978
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4405817337570603, b_new = -1.2881775606806614, c_new = 6.045684729028642
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10925.527173721282
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7266836277849396, b_new = -1.4014834214297611, c_new = 4.815085443496385
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7096.342904519159
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.551279746549358, b_new = -1.5537448434080803, c_new = 4.942906134010276
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9713.069035787505
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7426661038557842, b_new = -1.696754738313499, c_new = 5.659959376727578
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7246.5365655789465
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5361209541749723, b_new = -1.278313342033389, c_new = 4.868922729676609
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10145.493708165917
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.506292517297096, b_new = -1.136400062300993, c_new = 6.047383434847117
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9854.981095759387
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4389646337859103, b_new = -1.196661611937198, c_new = 5.032293318461164
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8843.712452788308
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2201197473718493, b_new = -0.675352772308909, c_new = 4.999538037220565
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12226.019161152712
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.590731682094958, b_new = -0.5835720542250525, c_new = 6.199848929660931
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7193.982063718696
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.15053589406839, b_new = 0.03740144972007231, c_new = 4.870822984711021
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6136.895383536452
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8078991307530843, b_new = 0.05721178626634904, c_new = 6.231626829332578
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3180.6974749192577
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0192249482989237, b_new = -0.6473472210625356, c_new = 5.311761239605829
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3210.5448601929734
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5328967195506187, b_new = -1.432220576943764, c_new = 5.729371015898796
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10206.985403606777
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.034670835723154, b_new = -0.9914266567518271, c_new = 4.815764553145983
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3054.562737330215
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6030689216694687, b_new = -1.6094586899418362, c_new = 5.567901760226382
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9668.240371217673
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.684617845449001, b_new = -1.4836468996399002, c_new = 5.523917454892406
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7920.543439232997
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.668507867077822, b_new = -1.019978459630884, c_new = 6.0019589285745125
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12100.80532206434
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.033265154695521, b_new = -1.228212948308863, c_new = 4.5284469251971435
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14069.3365995575
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5767864051968554, b_new = -0.5191440089688342, c_new = 5.6703138371987745
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11997.058972097264
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2594553628234055, b_new = -1.5393457556667425, c_new = 5.507884310796553
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4625.747943716855
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7420154833105106, b_new = -0.5003691440170565, c_new = 5.994152444279864
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4329.453228412493
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1752587182067713, b_new = -1.577247991017972, c_new = 5.546409211826714
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3520.772115899873
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.955992442681622, b_new = -1.2700492039063762, c_new = 5.246408566717784
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13438.594752529056
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.53297365341573, b_new = -1.5558701568375874, c_new = 4.986705800849146
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9479.28964880001
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3448768314091275, b_new = -0.644988589261491, c_new = 6.163441310703667
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8975.217642474847
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4532631313285673, b_new = -1.8462551341543407, c_new = 5.303949918618194
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7585.831607733644
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.180718547474318, b_new = -1.2952611028271104, c_new = 5.410511774183886
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13161.882079117764
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1228198760882044, b_new = -1.0152170391597621, c_new = 6.119291283467658
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3803.02544368873
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8950256348883627, b_new = -0.7568194717309658, c_new = 5.025488290405595
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3234.636104239111
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7583764669484205, b_new = -0.9131439166189173, c_new = 5.714403473477946
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4926.002854337096
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.19717048898374, b_new = -1.6454307250253375, c_new = 5.950281524317138
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3716.727964724897
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9213083134953464, b_new = -0.9178964368583634, c_new = 5.108744833364441
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3189.5909773856647
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7461166530815304, b_new = -1.627920644038853, c_new = 5.074132521617123
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7213.149730283013
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2255818306760027, b_new = -0.322389987927707, c_new = 4.882805199644343
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6781.6616261191175
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.153026774605254, b_new = -1.2718096762558369, c_new = 5.578028838592743
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3675.5452257274883
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7220208947148783, b_new = -1.2356684369739344, c_new = 5.670897632709646
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6418.19655785491
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.055582365368076, b_new = -0.6035053451302355, c_new = 4.43187370107237
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3381.8208426485744
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5106797702735673, b_new = -1.2814472170133402, c_new = 5.127867824409186
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10391.008609800137
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0745069306811095, b_new = -1.1737134403538938, c_new = 5.0768050934332685
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3129.1080040519223
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.725397901835098, b_new = -0.4933199061462338, c_new = 4.789293994108299
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4857.482957732504
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5790570320725976, b_new = -1.4750501776186162, c_new = 5.2111233983314715
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9850.780534252459
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.065258999263949, b_new = -0.9810138104271826, c_new = 5.025662306437907
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3197.426924000736
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1258239291478715, b_new = -1.5061232280359746, c_new = 6.133250574363163
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3278.942780391112
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3747602412323943, b_new = -0.35582010276331566, c_new = 5.5131048968608525
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9959.878351069381
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.610216412184154, b_new = -0.8724851656752153, c_new = 5.02002218735217
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7958.412689836519
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5084741545950004, b_new = -0.7254512180239994, c_new = 5.010888104633215
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9319.333165827116
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.977007675402606, b_new = -0.7945025368656726, c_new = 5.67678885127908
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3030.3728435204503
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.313425305713295, b_new = -1.499572943359396, c_new = 5.918160670266867
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5828.941382821042
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0941901908062195, b_new = -1.498195007269775, c_new = 5.720568450328899
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3090.2509475128263
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.455027431215269, b_new = -0.5993307911684241, c_new = 5.718181867833696
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10624.561174882016
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.86405405251592, b_new = -1.7535576348490705, c_new = 4.986972376597965
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12257.065159679421
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6011926936308507, b_new = 0.07078350666714872, c_new = 4.923198269700859
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5811.621849581618
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1125528824706357, b_new = -1.4499705394840101, c_new = 4.451814296973661
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3118.665647195702
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8506260243551815, b_new = -1.2982806448688695, c_new = 4.384280131180073
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4574.358973128885
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.08682144100623, b_new = -1.3664324022210526, c_new = 5.678143449837449
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13682.005017948857
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.875889410927343, b_new = -0.9391824173390213, c_new = 6.397836292859656
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3379.482087344978
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.562540890896925, b_new = -2.014745047201395, c_new = 4.649484485004522
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8859.751434677566
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.53629737361114, b_new = -1.481799746181884, c_new = 5.98636051714836
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10176.957496993327
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.842091393709038, b_new = -1.2852276969247594, c_new = 4.942328279637145
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4527.663799795621
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8261483890834045, b_new = -1.8667245328961233, c_new = 4.245182193094561
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6490.190750902761
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5776845445396077, b_new = -0.18979878495198088, c_new = 5.572059207215418
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12474.835222596352
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7658935708231565, b_new = -1.6602914387597008, c_new = 6.01331653456586
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6513.052454541671
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.953492564705014, b_new = -1.1673128311191088, c_new = 4.957777816328208
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3197.497567832581
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.347759495493904, b_new = -1.6723370648158051, c_new = 5.150533017869232
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12624.612501287367
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6233638582402103, b_new = -0.9083529010149005, c_new = 6.414688605535417
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7303.051669205679
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.569629221766964, b_new = -1.2695760239754788, c_new = 4.916452612274434
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9642.506702911965
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231857757175841, b_new = -1.1695710287378656, c_new = 4.957706705848033
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4777.866108859758
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.888914228544298, b_new = -0.37615903748098667, c_new = 6.2733438763107365
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3076.216644265955
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9304779820874047, b_new = -1.2951722990818195, c_new = 5.151364963055776
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14407.67043645749
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.11791991756092, b_new = -0.4045048005670655, c_new = 4.49370174008323
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14793.488622531602
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1681529082770363, b_new = -0.8353977163672509, c_new = 5.495579297884056
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12655.81667347196
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.726000592819482, b_new = -1.4873033082436744, c_new = 6.419904446586779
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15000.787796678222
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.203142952009375, b_new = -0.7816141689521379, c_new = 4.774898503822853
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12545.557364607073
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7604676542931488, b_new = 0.44985269649595216, c_new = 5.2674585003355325
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3233.6489001963196
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.667741742755634, b_new = -0.22378338862861524, c_new = 5.974887140959435
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4973.856993897714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8962549020379065, b_new = -0.8926448920221326, c_new = 5.567098941832078
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3278.5817242330795
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4019297810547164, b_new = -1.669763515777643, c_new = 5.071963012106236
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6926.199815552957
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6464076178444675, b_new = -1.162632920261571, c_new = 4.497133485656449
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8220.405147227142
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.009600143425564, b_new = -1.3801128764715207, c_new = 6.054469586610771
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13786.431207046013
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.428160875136368, b_new = -0.6689852564713592, c_new = 5.521986930666328
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10095.555224445476
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3903118844065077, b_new = -1.0353984734321566, c_new = 5.316893146417577
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11234.252570363638
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3139124553989143, b_new = -1.3271256745380602, c_new = 5.897812530074302
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6288.987898442434
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.525979228509514, b_new = -1.3310807159345548, c_new = 5.130451622560631
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10295.283662886439
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8400530575643756, b_new = -1.7017768141959246, c_new = 4.634322027186322
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5600.349677155292
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.211061336705143, b_new = -2.0866295128561534, c_new = 6.19897788525295
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3390.3680827843355
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6002220194244425, b_new = -1.4729593486326547, c_new = 5.82292908580352
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9310.040308565876
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3511928230853893, b_new = -1.5875042623737488, c_new = 5.276322586856709
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12443.767673463244
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.238659923577721, b_new = -1.7721776698557419, c_new = 5.733122201271068
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3975.3997126659783
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.418158553704017, b_new = -0.44503772874351333, c_new = 6.153132063735504
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10624.971076024116
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6856396911831735, b_new = -1.6514082205266691, c_new = 5.9423807408888
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8189.001933024339
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.37771963333065, b_new = -1.9686663606383572, c_new = 5.255033443613156
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5734.629626854689
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.569270598586505, b_new = -0.8958988874608353, c_new = 5.283994371979882
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11198.726584589745
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7503126358730867, b_new = -1.5761773130983006, c_new = 5.739747607839685
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6716.630115409307
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.858374810352792, b_new = -1.1263276888659648, c_new = 5.5126802496586516
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3898.476849650915
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.172917976559161, b_new = -2.2482057396706416, c_new = 5.412148502656385
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3079.219277719236
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1804364585171276, b_new = -1.2533876362580643, c_new = 5.035675965263081
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3907.6862090561553
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1766822091600626, b_new = -1.1505069314443324, c_new = 5.657261958957288
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12947.562081102333
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.703455114582454, b_new = -0.85609843661714, c_new = 5.915845259818677
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5747.911552620153
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1094833756129776, b_new = -1.9598376965490303, c_new = 5.77266974347503
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3027.2349709477203
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0684556948264996, b_new = -0.9163456967315097, c_new = 6.271570630983688
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3431.763507731851
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0370792036297765, b_new = -2.4812433818444575, c_new = 5.664517359825366
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3818.795001105813
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1536865511932204, b_new = -1.0765420888541022, c_new = 6.43712607138956
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4158.53890565447
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7112518224340993, b_new = -0.3736253401504145, c_new = 5.785904828836339
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13228.168117401117
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.194343705147371, b_new = -0.5163226877348431, c_new = 5.073967670613826
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5639.916468568661
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.422422683217527, b_new = -0.9376746813759618, c_new = 5.078342242767775
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10797.799184054558
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.619354455413494, b_new = -0.8594266072658998, c_new = 6.147203029178853
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7348.4359989257455
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9221084817514416, b_new = -1.0843130414696305, c_new = 5.3092986216588525
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3288.4925732090323
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.800880366418092, b_new = -0.41188360747501374, c_new = 5.548188636858884
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3584.1711071030395
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4623333279161868, b_new = -1.001885808190457, c_new = 6.002278373372703
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9992.099880976606
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7292667316574564, b_new = -0.9368924778673771, c_new = 5.7836991304007785
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5485.887661279876
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2863418907864115, b_new = -0.8380246899053068, c_new = 5.1688842009478995
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6768.067545222797
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.641694399702636, b_new = -2.1582090059841725, c_new = 5.2273734469156015
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10454.2664518579
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1167815347911247, b_new = -1.5705845824689615, c_new = 6.7450888715973125
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3239.990471450166
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.081356238069548, b_new = -1.2671539884634493, c_new = 5.16322372291757
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3115.443431133048
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7893491760781153, b_new = -0.10454955446720171, c_new = 5.236083732466541
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3415.0323728972417
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.893680355921546, b_new = -2.021590355389848, c_new = 5.951644004742953
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14984.67458955175
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.881341123130035, b_new = -0.7009304361819535, c_new = 5.427436508337028
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13719.107154681005
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6580109364994833, b_new = -2.1843801860522882, c_new = 5.629587401803832
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10125.94779226771
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9951009612961719, b_new = -1.307513932239038, c_new = 4.915382502910264
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14217.606849116595
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.605565633681107, b_new = -0.698307312764859, c_new = 4.754755865312003
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7698.581111524741
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.639488773859193, b_new = -1.0860655620615076, c_new = 5.167881391830349
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7893.14247839843
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4287164154190974, b_new = -1.3068084636565764, c_new = 4.565280132373482
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8223.101895246886
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9361895003483975, b_new = -1.6337822450234598, c_new = 5.958849542102289
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3659.298083552373
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.379083165997983, b_new = -1.5746304768938035, c_new = 5.525017885595286
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6865.741323308383
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.569379134468758, b_new = -1.1940587114331809, c_new = 4.844426039295514
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9504.071874972982
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.211149399466291, b_new = -1.5016792185474002, c_new = 5.701931060140931
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4041.3945831677675
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.528705126424509, b_new = -1.4981574425768276, c_new = 5.457308496895991
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10484.159267722085
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1054306629498276, b_new = -0.5499613827250538, c_new = 5.397673028690954
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4164.263808832031
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8573736848363658, b_new = -1.1553661693404234, c_new = 5.636771208246475
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14451.504706936963
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.826529279807272, b_new = -1.1000585158660425, c_new = 4.709648783986034
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4469.475461828268
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.92852099563572, b_new = -2.3323134731295, c_new = 5.106840641291941
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5304.660898189117
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.06050611596188, b_new = -0.8091653748518557, c_new = 5.351606285525287
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3343.396390109792
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8027356935096597, b_new = -1.4035816351962334, c_new = 5.155228131029181
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5403.4110349321745
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.608927616592599, b_new = -1.5143196892501756, c_new = 5.140866716999195
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10514.249685705718
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8487350713746915, b_new = -1.049128672496538, c_new = 5.137781536893041
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3973.8285394658624
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.911633839459487, b_new = -1.273230638145099, c_new = 5.632605410091033
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3512.7100725869545
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.850836738217468, b_new = -0.6191727037325133, c_new = 5.798372654999949
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3346.113687885112
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3667072262722257, b_new = -0.35774475444967957, c_new = 5.229588308463246
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10330.753909171217
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6295155258017218, b_new = -0.4055418911297949, c_new = 4.885237585627151
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12358.488793297012
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879048761743916, b_new = -1.2746867282014906, c_new = 4.773180425145514
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4028.2117030080412
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0003186488018487, b_new = -1.012289097165902, c_new = 5.946229644116236
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3027.4133333426626
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2989243835943096, b_new = -0.7288365339143643, c_new = 4.611840181062274
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7134.321850768174
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.115099357891725, b_new = -1.9459686940997818, c_new = 5.092921337826052
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3042.554991687369
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8972141644508476, b_new = -1.7929287751599077, c_new = 6.062094937566099
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4374.029058126124
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6024738711691944, b_new = -1.2871925130365842, c_new = 5.133768622440691
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10829.40199739574
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.931979302890092, b_new = -1.3069108635491424, c_new = 5.1119030160934065
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3449.8591022587307
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.807617343876668, b_new = -1.2010830107736656, c_new = 4.8634558714919836
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12544.123195266713
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.809832619339669, b_new = -0.49096882890284066, c_new = 5.948975651532979
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3538.718499126532
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4614313687129497, b_new = -2.049778144650346, c_new = 4.808825067780705
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7062.702369329257
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7428709871728754, b_new = -1.156455020590799, c_new = 5.727285511996852
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5772.204690421618
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2868883937742837, b_new = -1.6291869637459642, c_new = 5.957083162124291
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5022.468992081527
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7557590747134437, b_new = -1.2359844863090523, c_new = 5.540845927952474
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5777.470328508221
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.886751801145964, b_new = -1.649052517365837, c_new = 5.354829283495768
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4440.876982229597
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7754784909137293, b_new = -0.8311285068906945, c_new = 5.186384595567167
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4617.0748264936865
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.733720530346917, b_new = -0.21095201743613345, c_new = 5.775079204922894
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4024.214323084367
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3456105177914397, b_new = -1.1464406043160515, c_new = 5.243282519327084
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11848.076996724247
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2227952317981035, b_new = -1.4080032638773985, c_new = 5.7535569561402475
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4374.499229908572
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.78748367969374, b_new = -1.3727467678244993, c_new = 5.9439472382319005
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12474.124806671352
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7380540430314793, b_new = -1.6034857162987337, c_new = 5.611545966184109
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7103.192186824643
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3086863322910016, b_new = -1.4361756455556445, c_new = 3.9164612421870837
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12937.41306733497
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5509964977327715, b_new = -1.7233832241912328, c_new = 5.204885544961559
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9456.733397281694
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.783758319780033, b_new = -1.6481292178085294, c_new = 4.906459482790196
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6523.225084078707
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3513148047813246, b_new = -1.1267282155851244, c_new = 5.45614096476053
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7477.643666481859
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6827571564154202, b_new = -1.0830584418757536, c_new = 5.58980755664304
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12002.710097392523
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.172581042321276, b_new = -0.8857705431154715, c_new = 5.6087173374373105
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14823.710636321375
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.121914848508208, b_new = -1.0156001030723576, c_new = 6.141058026193127
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14645.82130392533
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0593885295955388, b_new = -1.8290788773099842, c_new = 5.321385620426489
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3089.286267339421
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3347203815453277, b_new = -1.9962654341532697, c_new = 5.643636849861994
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4979.781258412429
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5770397164455154, b_new = -0.8972979722467258, c_new = 5.950436613760444
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11479.107516914686
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5155608547730757, b_new = -1.3569196642292838, c_new = 5.794263676596791
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9908.350555277688
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.26141731695603, b_new = -0.7190700981236351, c_new = 4.888134061083328
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12007.222616449246
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.376658109703517, b_new = -1.360702423527898, c_new = 5.480479531122101
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7377.250793362135
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.297316806487476, b_new = -1.3464307889993468, c_new = 5.77842566950525
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5844.543997584133
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0505828583884442, b_new = -0.9952918338823322, c_new = 5.193706233327063
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3130.5919522529534
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.628287517677676, b_new = -1.3905112681392655, c_new = 4.879669972670807
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8996.3230464759
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8656869306684682, b_new = -0.6659134013670346, c_new = 6.270856008717298
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3249.425951733324
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9849421447517273, b_new = 0.024674100382686692, c_new = 5.137933187016169
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3596.4774521020217
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.521323145700274, b_new = -1.6672194588913287, c_new = 6.205158503861956
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15403.393241991856
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.405645515342241, b_new = -0.761577177250873, c_new = 5.650054010561542
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9550.269040611485
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1771499258441893, b_new = -1.8810447388966915, c_new = 5.044106765426745
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3224.0046839224096
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.52259867631233, b_new = -1.0621178385787438, c_new = 6.106212076680783
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9465.217061783798
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7307431241822355, b_new = -1.472811840011098, c_new = 5.807803500998374
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11883.863094738012
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9133248953017215, b_new = -0.7621064489513019, c_new = 5.034773117383325
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13716.251451748616
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.673608388559749, b_new = -1.5637003340300184, c_new = 5.891061723182341
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11287.40275451483
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.332045983465753, b_new = -2.0195893056794394, c_new = 5.49492708330949
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13101.31910530513
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.01864308329499, b_new = -0.830366248532427, c_new = 5.640050954879225
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14278.620504981634
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.837957363903656, b_new = -1.5895288379415795, c_new = 4.804942472755428
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12242.937440059248
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.80892013226171, b_new = -0.76900528193218, c_new = 5.341607633722732
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3998.371100636919
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.710423404646315, b_new = -1.750428173920079, c_new = 5.924350278490259
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7966.942429854258
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4370121281058346, b_new = -0.5561426706816548, c_new = 4.974838520853174
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10221.617876443279
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0005000004023294, b_new = -1.3887789457157886, c_new = 5.39483869706981
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14161.093377143472
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1387618074987005, b_new = -0.7295564241608697, c_new = 4.506353908821547
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4095.9473114958305
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.09741939997121, b_new = -0.24379714626788473, c_new = 5.652306481118045
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4706.2675663672035
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.850671041819238, b_new = -0.6096025140407263, c_new = 4.876527771875334
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13519.966330771753
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3952326000593693, b_new = -1.5336115864029611, c_new = 5.612956737025767
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7345.674997361548
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.968057511198348, b_new = -1.0830136293592696, c_new = 5.635429159839883
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3053.246781104109
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5208806650415996, b_new = -1.2212922027347641, c_new = 5.202346631156503
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10114.352223670163
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5204603821924096, b_new = -1.4835465654863262, c_new = 5.329517281920879
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9563.83590589244
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.115138406349948, b_new = -1.6475989184995095, c_new = 5.136831504443488
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13790.889635437208
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7957089111346454, b_new = -1.7419402687154317, c_new = 5.520475872104026
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6289.502498851665
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.870666086662626, b_new = -0.8460013224706702, c_new = 5.4221058507049555
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3441.368342808223
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6748577899476045, b_new = -1.5941128805463582, c_new = 5.416436458547164
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11115.41139860292
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9505122777402715, b_new = -0.869692406716986, c_new = 5.348351119119148
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13860.516237360589
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.394859042445094, b_new = -0.7662698605588043, c_new = 5.334245523995062
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10714.442780757588
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.576099907076802, b_new = -1.1634017125167175, c_new = 5.812552842429678
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8984.836000124877
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2081578241490147, b_new = -0.5246335912958227, c_new = 6.70786282123683
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6557.204978565858
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3581981957364246, b_new = -0.7662668328396789, c_new = 5.807958666336734
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8758.832787100877
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.510334085347558, b_new = -1.2472131256833865, c_new = 5.815687122612034
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10098.21398467362
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863901725744488, b_new = -1.6580661230911153, c_new = 5.025898891877692
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4923.77017890951
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8635124192966734, b_new = -1.9250084265553542, c_new = 5.2854600157648886
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5472.330919128395
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7333677175542554, b_new = -0.7814521603994526, c_new = 5.161695513283295
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5237.334377233569
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0407572448861795, b_new = -2.3054001528115506, c_new = 4.391217167574691
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3809.657398126782
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8948601012177106, b_new = -2.0462672334006005, c_new = 5.661832371005743
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5054.206090756788
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7045653658354643, b_new = -0.31513692598805143, c_new = 5.311398120633802
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4709.245087539294
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5963928939070575, b_new = -1.0732932591113193, c_new = 4.636622463050331
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8858.394150029751
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.352288243611122, b_new = -1.1917298221221266, c_new = 5.8372391102975465
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7467.1060688014095
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2170765403710835, b_new = -1.1387500942989741, c_new = 4.88384783999738
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4580.582016876846
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4715680957028257, b_new = -1.576878421621731, c_new = 5.668462886166464
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11225.784475806147
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.035271019734243, b_new = -1.6475836136434454, c_new = 5.662066699106125
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3063.8992235422825
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1413611044036873, b_new = -1.6485397473895225, c_new = 6.005640144143369
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3252.4018846456365
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.725922436531572, b_new = -1.5661484909719672, c_new = 6.7466748848953895
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6830.845640250293
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.220579088249271, b_new = -1.5698720368523773, c_new = 4.808704071568685
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3884.0546286400026
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6740197916906383, b_new = -1.3409801227785119, c_new = 5.364921547505133
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15260.176757597943
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3415437238016508, b_new = -0.03479057641458572, c_new = 5.751541151666184
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10290.005091226318
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2731731397220027, b_new = -0.9172581763053487, c_new = 6.050894686811518
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6602.0809972536845
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3283151431224467, b_new = -1.5555878579015086, c_new = 4.623962572208468
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5566.475999579195
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.878685178977715, b_new = -0.3986165701095695, c_new = 5.3666474034664935
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3101.0394440643304
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0978946597550823, b_new = -0.9986328249102661, c_new = 5.044083601285179
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13381.416173177677
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8575877603525863, b_new = -0.6178162431413818, c_new = 5.525367059496005
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13713.383427792096
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0753863266156176, b_new = -1.8625848668298675, c_new = 5.655242814283221
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3042.634338833652
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.855063438566273, b_new = -0.9562534693087293, c_new = 5.857563534960482
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3646.297996285455
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1659969253465654, b_new = -1.5134198974438609, c_new = 5.043846234478831
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3442.0491308725414
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.371532741298605, b_new = -1.3890622958776258, c_new = 5.430853898587893
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11942.778221794422
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5511160509842967, b_new = -1.0308782210524243, c_new = 5.75866590357188
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9097.087256471032
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2107825707516455, b_new = -0.1720062091129535, c_new = 5.913383349117264
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7333.957100073002
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9875915791200818, b_new = -1.2773883198153275, c_new = 6.08038154340356
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3047.609149732286
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7949649521489888, b_new = -2.006549901787328, c_new = 5.441846619891822
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15394.53453738943
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3092511645566436, b_new = -1.422926009054289, c_new = 4.782691047355898
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12662.755289089058
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0672557989779334, b_new = -0.7670432388200705, c_new = 5.5321313209862994
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3465.2828266711895
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3854785713067397, b_new = -1.3542682876748744, c_new = 6.363554801880427
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7925.357871733135
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5305159038856018, b_new = -1.2443104974667387, c_new = 5.152077749122302
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10112.244815976828
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4655855679105194, b_new = -0.6822994260872602, c_new = 5.829794769272497
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10629.397535707541
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.566674822404185, b_new = -1.1615337522373692, c_new = 5.4170144789065615
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9268.064238674022
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1188615941222366, b_new = -1.4411399016709672, c_new = 4.9685503178847235
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13777.486711960648
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1066641324968267, b_new = -1.5527734297735858, c_new = 5.457800300205617
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3097.8062137148613
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3486440865057516, b_new = -1.2153160854225977, c_new = 5.186380155752873
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7071.540352249474
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7765047169848565, b_new = -1.2123152318868047, c_new = 5.948894207565184
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12610.646804901333
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2682404502914264, b_new = -0.9018510897330971, c_new = 5.091162632335194
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12156.181768563443
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8672977710854233, b_new = -1.0793295970611176, c_new = 5.856579108258985
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3674.5872844272544
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2820511591328843, b_new = -0.44704668889612087, c_new = 5.690722758207174
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8025.088345924032
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1820937685013555, b_new = -0.8266102230433161, c_new = 5.3788576178204375
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4785.166921190388
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5883647470462634, b_new = -1.3888470142341116, c_new = 4.72722763899327
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10389.01538679795
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.692921409737772, b_new = -1.8953041468483574, c_new = 5.577135522092927
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8844.543242876742
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3465487603101653, b_new = -1.1993343723229444, c_new = 5.47008410782638
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11854.688067784693
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4457630302810083, b_new = -1.4368468757609512, c_new = 6.007281004349983
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8734.02480770508
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6671811089218735, b_new = -1.2433832418403743, c_new = 5.23573823030312
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7735.378146202268
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6405209171832382, b_new = -1.3896267190213103, c_new = 5.936568403125064
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8370.211602003696
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3068893380315703, b_new = -1.350943721032697, c_new = 5.639002182271155
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12340.225623261033
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.515990832658327, b_new = -1.6967321794176173, c_new = 5.5042945581285485
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11007.484409864144
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2523851345341006, b_new = -0.9611486034322627, c_new = 5.455806066847426
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5806.278905759685
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5007436346997958, b_new = -2.1638496766299244, c_new = 5.738781896655494
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11927.879133751867
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6639847174035554, b_new = -1.1712193377195972, c_new = 6.031029354692109
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7310.682982711096
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6169188006226607, b_new = -1.4871490569662336, c_new = 6.293851286211364
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8900.702558461155
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.980379344189782, b_new = -1.166122874180319, c_new = 4.920595286777386
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13594.907845449565
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.015281188990863, b_new = 0.30040105691714913, c_new = 5.342417882541927
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4451.66057834701
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.752589490869532, b_new = -0.9233671177554255, c_new = 5.815152003776827
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5020.137035178752
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1772534770621084, b_new = -1.1746262231688696, c_new = 4.910176084063435
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3962.966693787252
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9775080706029815, b_new = -1.3217734814120605, c_new = 5.963395295659574
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3099.2893976252594
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.413140903559411, b_new = -1.5715581070875344, c_new = 5.778283798573214
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11757.933843296856
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.674907589533999, b_new = -1.7848687847962519, c_new = 5.866360632174852
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8776.464788310495
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2325490957108522, b_new = -1.1883847697638477, c_new = 6.432700964162018
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5190.091412478615
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1155034392057663, b_new = -1.1373994650342734, c_new = 5.278847447914602
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3436.581104242653
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6656510590555067, b_new = -2.1056423674225915, c_new = 6.066518599164265
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9660.04773939426
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.137705247343916, b_new = -0.28574416947013814, c_new = 6.1262519397041055
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5489.524975690923
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.818866622836855, b_new = -0.9651414623631422, c_new = 6.310315692479933
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3989.077351113457
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.556875626116907, b_new = -0.5184832576384697, c_new = 5.165705392478854
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8008.160057255785
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1614761996384178, b_new = -1.9435269348083763, c_new = 5.0445380157979285
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3122.8166794610797
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7364604189129396, b_new = -2.166751073472871, c_new = 6.110778493824475
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8513.413377768678
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3513575565278315, b_new = -1.2046962580513882, c_new = 5.1324842678974445
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7138.0450088423895
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.771903464333246, b_new = -1.2971789167661056, c_new = 5.410526112681004
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12321.75575032138
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2778222991541455, b_new = -1.3321787398354732, c_new = 5.172129675440053
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12650.686554651551
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.88497389990302, b_new = -0.4501225632162421, c_new = 6.0979714935791725
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14176.528708210411
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5078464446661672, b_new = -1.345196019376508, c_new = 5.214229734364434
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9636.109107692308
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7150073278168723, b_new = -1.541339093477425, c_new = 5.05332997505706
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11448.404211354939
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.457695046559442, b_new = -1.47418991928809, c_new = 4.882908981065976
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8449.834164694405
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6646652850654884, b_new = -0.9866895789369707, c_new = 5.43517833033316
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7026.656233704204
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.857354679743267, b_new = -0.6827531300709477, c_new = 6.119629086466814
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3324.1282831389626
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6066305217363808, b_new = -1.750370231592397, c_new = 6.11515802447818
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9732.925736094687
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6298417575286153, b_new = -0.7930153015263977, c_new = 5.429006177841782
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7223.287068870863
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5645642824493464, b_new = -2.3007968462782493, c_new = 5.49970883658982
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8545.850993301085
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6147458336751814, b_new = -1.0790100228737918, c_new = 6.476802526205563
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11697.881535913079
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5163133506348765, b_new = -1.4217302794174047, c_new = 4.9909023455777115
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9523.75995877307
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0571094915661368, b_new = -0.6207896522031602, c_new = 6.00694393066712
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12949.151893570182
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.240392271338306, b_new = -1.0925635328127141, c_new = 5.723579236057711
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5330.9118772412485
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.284683910480732, b_new = -1.3015700097904315, c_new = 5.1269301238026515
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12574.499461629568
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.94442986178349, b_new = -1.1431609332760182, c_new = 5.48052670259652
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3182.582292754315
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.616778031889877, b_new = -0.8770816334063097, c_new = 4.379023309536231
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8086.645487773328
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5581722300353507, b_new = -1.0375767885275082, c_new = 5.51075424870707
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10912.791467032224
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5775867895756615, b_new = -0.8162370494314586, c_new = 6.402629027777246
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11760.652003364752
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7351190159248513, b_new = -0.4803705372038517, c_new = 5.51562522067782
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4497.742870139991
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3085609880811164, b_new = -1.3899262686286793, c_new = 6.123924878094481
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6089.11809237137
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0231396285657794, b_new = -1.0628796021159235, c_new = 5.295610896823959
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3027.8937234197706
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1812739786945787, b_new = -1.5099519721971408, c_new = 5.297017595175652
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3618.2000568981384
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.878470363669746, b_new = -1.7042884317536267, c_new = 4.504185298147208
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4939.583938834427
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.165444569990402, b_new = -0.5052515461526887, c_new = 4.928071371285834
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12403.66509838622
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3445751477076513, b_new = -0.8954365570588749, c_new = 5.107712538474336
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7843.118003663551
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9064997680773716, b_new = -0.6427946852235862, c_new = 6.005877501726301
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14052.021376467472
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1932137518837846, b_new = -1.292410554327255, c_new = 5.362455599482034
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4073.2727629730084
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2396606718494825, b_new = -0.9057495384279122, c_new = 4.776331644040815
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5459.325088926646
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8967365999677113, b_new = -1.4870606820673773, c_new = 5.79587188449587
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12993.74614391538
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.157737756161648, b_new = -0.9270424878503452, c_new = 5.260837585476524
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12893.738371521104
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7509:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.870454126480325, b_new = -1.5826467002261073, c_new = 4.880899376316973
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4695.825240118608
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7510:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1765323768040044, b_new = -0.45411407800392634, c_new = 5.621961191548322
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5639.87506055654
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7511:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4818480489909733, b_new = -1.3832359161399865, c_new = 4.80843861353767
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11041.100101695865
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7512:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.198381530304095, b_new = -1.143813638237348, c_new = 5.283399314486877
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4385.2438839429415
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7513:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0630849297578835, b_new = -1.4460695294762727, c_new = 4.561804511952606
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3026.25292786345
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7514:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8755332976961214, b_new = -0.7569337014760484, c_new = 5.6554525745368505
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14030.669540196131
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7515:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9265788428365513, b_new = -1.2048309207234886, c_new = 5.7498819409035145
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3311.5304627464593
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7516:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.156936478346004, b_new = -0.5927807145761755, c_new = 5.388049907005002
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12453.833288831294
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7517:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8911655281966517, b_new = -1.2789391877392073, c_new = 5.657064950350327
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13173.49988321272
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7518:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0383086157371935, b_new = -0.9342606624616121, c_new = 5.556322094738803
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3140.7352856063135
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7519:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3223876749055443, b_new = -0.9464178236137657, c_new = 5.350040456509737
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7320.030799014119
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7520:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.55896528001724, b_new = -1.06639646087013, c_new = 6.543081822250737
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11201.95062208053
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7521:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2100812097147333, b_new = -0.8758557313669237, c_new = 5.235543336280687
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12498.389113811501
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7522:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.291896403418714, b_new = -1.6220813789087156, c_new = 5.300769531918004
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14557.074247546974
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7523:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.420544899063705, b_new = -0.7985306777293191, c_new = 6.087530937253766
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10253.985076558685
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7524:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.117720351721017, b_new = -0.9023558692240048, c_new = 5.688249287728956
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3820.2147735301537
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7525:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2512413613553535, b_new = -1.3415347083060265, c_new = 5.0404014042828225
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4767.573975345501
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7526:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4512004169025214, b_new = -1.1019986507801258, c_new = 5.342226288126159
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9373.337539143566
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7527:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8814061689632813, b_new = -1.0952289867056837, c_new = 6.067359343107713
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3526.2911648942454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7528:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.691891096779235, b_new = -0.8507999602460599, c_new = 5.971672416971824
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5943.430873683119
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7529:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9561381749628626, b_new = -0.43290703702875777, c_new = 5.561575463590021
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3093.240137898785
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7530:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4080751283025963, b_new = -1.5798264803222788, c_new = 5.0344044799142695
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7275.5807307542955
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7531:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0658462981090713, b_new = -1.8624437168408918, c_new = 5.50243885497912
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3071.9504890244375
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7532:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8372896082876187, b_new = -0.4962642523373998, c_new = 4.523638651949406
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3481.5647505101983
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7533:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.132762276525319, b_new = -1.986462576879723, c_new = 4.8456485471344255
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3055.7108719819016
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7534:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3234868363574783, b_new = -0.2662209076727545, c_new = 5.255121467016772
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9206.358438236444
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7535:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2605883363238846, b_new = -0.8919012228282512, c_new = 5.766234348881121
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6284.4366034989835
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7536:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.728326137089664, b_new = -1.1955402525409502, c_new = 6.7664001279922665
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12528.537596051774
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7537:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.298468204054783, b_new = 0.05649665800222481, c_new = 4.61213930478245
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9330.018276206973
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7538:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5660730339132893, b_new = -1.0246061651123797, c_new = 6.190430593480127
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8697.365039261429
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7539:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.26950525462002, b_new = -1.2633024942032547, c_new = 5.441936311347148
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5384.8630036416835
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7540:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0325293178593653, b_new = -1.7763027911372808, c_new = 4.763322921453881
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3227.2839171984742
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7541:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4892491361267206, b_new = -1.6476080864817628, c_new = 4.9898142366885185
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11386.936371184336
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7542:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5941397763646183, b_new = -1.2870423809182545, c_new = 5.582348331332676
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15405.971609701812
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7543:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.343684627924957, b_new = -0.8326950372532972, c_new = 5.670084336732603
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8227.193624382107
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7544:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4999634622086653, b_new = -1.3093996049100283, c_new = 5.724249315414326
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9771.122294896319
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7545:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9311101451395638, b_new = -1.4761060953968723, c_new = 5.6624912898333735
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14451.777673160019
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7546:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.543655775899125, b_new = -0.4306179224974167, c_new = 5.4620838339017785
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7932.27890055407
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7547:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.254100179387542, b_new = -0.4510641280148687, c_new = 6.16839032874524
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11335.532491580907
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7548:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.023601866089141, b_new = -1.5974531162890573, c_new = 5.805738013251012
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3070.29457821
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7549:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.368096189696229, b_new = -1.2257795034482413, c_new = 4.92676022296944
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7356.704233864553
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7550:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.281957755718585, b_new = -0.7705796820987811, c_new = 5.8810225663778475
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7151.145094087339
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7551:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.378970289068369, b_new = -1.3881646574698538, c_new = 4.911050927467445
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12033.61638153625
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7552:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.402825977698968, b_new = -0.8808913984870705, c_new = 6.261448849491819
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10551.481076726137
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7553:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.098827566542301, b_new = -1.8006696659005568, c_new = 5.178986393959926
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14191.340532747432
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7554:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1214571383136787, b_new = -1.019142537841085, c_new = 4.726286197794036
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3538.155617383364
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.164666228977514, b_new = -1.7485599641356933, c_new = 4.524281567102215
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3206.504225236972
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0317298816524003, b_new = -1.8074111999957592, c_new = 5.356185085334296
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3186.860497610576
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.084750316067035, b_new = -0.9055739450820133, c_new = 5.653908951480314
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3481.0078955148356
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7876786909958278, b_new = -0.5818383149302437, c_new = 4.73474583865596
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13153.88447162278
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.167069427152496, b_new = -0.841002951315011, c_new = 5.306551260263078
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4493.98086741871
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.995187663111232, b_new = -0.8851416383589397, c_new = 5.709766501576255
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3037.8642398654492
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.454575710292972, b_new = -1.202389854777002, c_new = 5.439732809293361
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10805.80848418705
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3288395102155084, b_new = -0.7252671408743775, c_new = 4.504264802502458
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11558.139368063083
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8417080675372692, b_new = -1.0507893866307252, c_new = 5.806718152740795
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3930.4532956245625
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8376918572631695, b_new = -0.669434163690291, c_new = 6.198679316230144
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13989.799546256232
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5675244243956588, b_new = -1.3460215637157718, c_new = 6.380808021484924
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9332.247288118628
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9230816338270964, b_new = -1.7674260615160637, c_new = 6.099090148367647
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3970.95882525536
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.825717612577848, b_new = -1.0323176247131454, c_new = 5.253763154247764
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4224.263751113362
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3348946521199085, b_new = -0.8916612697440658, c_new = 4.740871119068662
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11695.505572952068
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0035879372259267, b_new = -1.0560681722283702, c_new = 5.396327442085479
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3012.313545933549
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.047430531762376, b_new = -1.3690263213905687, c_new = 4.465695438366801
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3027.0288664717355
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.051025835651272, b_new = -1.171472102113885, c_new = 6.2859437821641855
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14241.069811110576
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.123274576447937, b_new = -1.3215525356800595, c_new = 4.996589186335225
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3291.3768306140573
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.204568032717692, b_new = -0.9068362201406315, c_new = 4.975427017208577
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4877.160851209408
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4095940513634813, b_new = -1.3973458292181513, c_new = 4.937520337876623
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7753.6684861262875
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6161534856718403, b_new = -1.6910540010261217, c_new = 5.090842602744551
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9831.961607405732
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4021918507840985, b_new = -0.2546518849534739, c_new = 6.332493150473294
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10880.925472807507
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.626754768499602, b_new = -1.0761016359376754, c_new = 5.3844152032367285
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8031.541891272209
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2873463014849587, b_new = -0.010177404810315593, c_new = 4.856586797541668
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9037.02576660662
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8516680241542285, b_new = -1.413653899542001, c_new = 5.7591308942044686
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4416.3284091117
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7170941619811364, b_new = -1.6691573562140465, c_new = 4.713513083944748
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8097.6361299848595
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.917716127315507, b_new = -1.5643098643870217, c_new = 4.955665689542714
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3966.58107919516
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.255754154327982, b_new = -1.561921912950837, c_new = 5.060396389876466
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14426.271851269792
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.051666378486887, b_new = -0.6233017645810848, c_new = 6.194096481842278
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3610.6406779429158
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.337818289071262, b_new = -1.2706456245177642, c_new = 5.155178346708137
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14962.227905187403
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.049228644166565, b_new = -2.282982007532419, c_new = 5.245304502852674
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3523.234474173604
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9019609799283907, b_new = -1.787887652794681, c_new = 4.856853518885799
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4620.784824724906
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4342537492855785, b_new = -2.05524942388845, c_new = 5.952457623162311
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6890.666657256991
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5403767766252123, b_new = -1.9448454379364986, c_new = 5.978709612420482
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9095.36977848987
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.427878142837213, b_new = -2.006683770167138, c_new = 5.537139004270442
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6743.447005961224
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.213520397219821, b_new = -1.4787377759593157, c_new = 5.3027668271983925
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13215.699673937837
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.011047075089503, b_new = -1.4187644758877405, c_new = 5.761271035663652
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14061.713451682801
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5966925136176067, b_new = -1.5904315359701988, c_new = 5.299958977616529
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9817.246424992287
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.853615878634284, b_new = -1.3361026184706748, c_new = 5.718101119503538
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4256.790844338058
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.779124657018407, b_new = -1.0622641216146391, c_new = 6.00250372595725
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4809.653946853709
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8748976685024306, b_new = -0.27296766274897477, c_new = 6.139801662304757
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3084.286903425327
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.486946966111992, b_new = -0.26851255066451263, c_new = 5.487604931569091
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8501.871318424523
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8748759167322504, b_new = -1.6133072703599334, c_new = 5.166392046921619
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4605.698809051924
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.52521710394876, b_new = -0.4967479540760461, c_new = 5.501421309479006
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8389.24874406151
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498246253857733, b_new = -1.4739182609425514, c_new = 5.773668509663719
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9414.508786118478
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.585724651321444, b_new = -1.3112314691285984, c_new = 4.614920321157345
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10461.707465291136
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3833990699539025, b_new = -0.8352234011541981, c_new = 5.736725616951494
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10837.242660585436
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8340083083586434, b_new = -1.306252631334057, c_new = 5.377873058970686
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12716.557902199924
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5783667083424584, b_new = -2.5997680693174097, c_new = 5.369007505284802
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12046.885690172381
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.956917812229869, b_new = -2.2177211194486084, c_new = 5.070384792026488
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4573.084138464805
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7391572178905443, b_new = -0.2937780230798068, c_new = 5.17687542929339
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4190.218423649769
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2195669843149286, b_new = -2.215370387009721, c_new = 5.538521122724744
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3285.5811967174213
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.029454719611466, b_new = -0.13886249399207817, c_new = 5.875892825925066
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3999.2406095300485
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8757155439979236, b_new = -1.4382622018023932, c_new = 5.590658571208722
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4157.943182202973
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4362614364653354, b_new = -2.4431389689732446, c_new = 5.569183754162784
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5839.7892804932
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2433815288061782, b_new = -0.18962896387269412, c_new = 5.504241332382214
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7847.247835521244
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5047281640205696, b_new = -2.481195791915935, c_new = 5.27533227935519
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12559.436347376377
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.331703237462182, b_new = -1.4926179900683316, c_new = 5.762643735669889
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6173.286427631676
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2108713773273427, b_new = -0.8514968128192145, c_new = 5.4123144039494715
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5248.650071385498
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3693234756720543, b_new = -1.3399551596225299, c_new = 6.18316375708541
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7553.346784273318
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1194147926068947, b_new = -1.281763846696673, c_new = 5.119007551199972
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13563.129557275288
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.98399216617138, b_new = -0.0025327903935576934, c_new = 5.086831982682192
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3545.1893498861386
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8263119740829183, b_new = -0.7078264299240251, c_new = 5.256579360166503
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14262.499054667554
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.469395967511348, b_new = -0.7110814930857967, c_new = 5.067528459226088
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10360.151397707627
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4443040286028968, b_new = -0.18389067330553643, c_new = 5.678114341154599
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11279.798337465883
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.595260565474886, b_new = -1.6396075200604439, c_new = 6.3814491707680325
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10524.252286636345
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.231676056162589, b_new = -1.6398066965998825, c_new = 5.728373177662059
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13189.950113076573
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.080669093743767, b_new = -0.19971509898752038, c_new = 5.330531212667385
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4440.129631214095
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.593056596432893, b_new = -0.763071319712109, c_new = 5.372087198762532
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11665.390298901724
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.998801281655201, b_new = -0.32413676783789935, c_new = 4.543670961490397
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3253.98396265149
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8823193299446306, b_new = -0.5428285048205814, c_new = 5.470971721154001
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3141.7060567503227
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.617976611218807, b_new = -1.0320218422071923, c_new = 4.705861014413152
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8339.148510370374
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0625377208070668, b_new = -0.9031491650304508, c_new = 6.053606492236952
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3366.3630153431695
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1062574103078866, b_new = -0.5074151549093406, c_new = 4.9755575620717005
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12774.874820908517
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.243770437643782, b_new = -0.5387320900210877, c_new = 5.146262712963373
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6669.657763778026
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5392820258112065, b_new = -1.100085587416819, c_new = 5.051149453410569
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10453.009316906287
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2129520890897973, b_new = -0.5368386585366283, c_new = 4.579037872343327
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5790.318294713
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0309928611838997, b_new = -0.8320832281062591, c_new = 5.295352954349215
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3145.5300348478536
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8719014320223306, b_new = -1.482028858612961, c_new = 5.326195710725876
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12726.343189631418
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3395210813428857, b_new = -1.8600126167728044, c_new = 5.23102103170002
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12915.519727731422
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9741455461432205, b_new = -1.537756274518649, c_new = 5.7388340910018245
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3273.6757600904443
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4905449939486153, b_new = -1.8863183795752079, c_new = 5.472850696880354
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11638.467783120983
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.424363769782217, b_new = -0.5878923987372193, c_new = 5.783363455845316
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9910.204651672595
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4054111840941603, b_new = -0.8796248842557332, c_new = 5.761940576239692
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10669.83265158374
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.028725425964891, b_new = -1.5443977786140408, c_new = 5.980874883621374
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3033.489692971561
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7613763494752666, b_new = -1.1381674282712768, c_new = 6.102328272099124
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14675.621908679877
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.923376507013145, b_new = -0.07336424206170022, c_new = 5.357774573431653
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14544.74829635775
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.855637293552107, b_new = -1.340113510890265, c_new = 4.848680214929607
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4451.796899382489
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9164553182242616, b_new = -1.3169310261398794, c_new = 5.215146208214494
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3584.3011526610535
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6874623363180947, b_new = -0.4201695281286699, c_new = 5.2733175293844825
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12862.86280154666
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9753872911568404, b_new = -0.8371606896847887, c_new = 5.260639029990017
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3014.975721793752
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.323085430717043, b_new = -1.0786568228764934, c_new = 6.023227359796024
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11715.38203223345
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3420426025955896, b_new = -1.846271568755256, c_new = 5.161253497862705
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5306.949349563165
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8120282555945386, b_new = -2.263156784636989, c_new = 4.566617645641658
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7845.224700910292
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1779649432822428, b_new = -0.10337294735986724, c_new = 5.32484762342959
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6527.676652875188
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8267778407345494, b_new = -0.7206784893162597, c_new = 5.271752519233718
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3734.903768178616
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.148357964159673, b_new = -0.944446131440485, c_new = 4.90508951199866
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3959.191823836234
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6522868336991117, b_new = -1.6335318447499652, c_new = 5.118777424895572
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9092.00553053613
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.343250551427589, b_new = -1.7073810617914518, c_new = 4.787190455761404
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5543.9549029558075
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8123411641049985, b_new = -0.7120570579477525, c_new = 5.068667310029648
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3923.1945582177896
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1285454677950506, b_new = -1.65050489715519, c_new = 4.830978750166312
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3110.0923488303915
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.459570629286376, b_new = -1.7631776367392105, c_new = 5.140872909452598
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11838.644718801548
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.207851856256168, b_new = -1.1153151274887265, c_new = 5.073301202075246
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4530.326299645352
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2533332429167015, b_new = -1.8104530316866947, c_new = 5.676884773648375
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4091.6921604464287
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2125341799695013, b_new = -0.29541121763062983, c_new = 5.180832820636415
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6688.00084139753
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094843174689985, b_new = -0.7524418788582177, c_new = 5.132333795329461
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3672.950650835535
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1517854983452556, b_new = -0.6345541704623912, c_new = 4.918150523232541
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4558.6597422986415
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.236102934121193, b_new = -1.4524317740722077, c_new = 6.332813348077426
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4645.597575363502
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.757323450669183, b_new = -1.3294696840208347, c_new = 5.213682812010175
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12122.154287848763
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.463978710162241, b_new = -0.9142154871724636, c_new = 5.289849863442162
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9950.879880620794
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.902455749049637, b_new = -0.7681111878344179, c_new = 5.670757245700771
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3155.125903513042
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5835136419879445, b_new = -1.2107428148763373, c_new = 4.576303550823571
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9423.212224135534
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.317935804819664, b_new = -1.0012582199364735, c_new = 5.579542739954541
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7159.25025791698
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.212806478967613, b_new = -1.7013043741878562, c_new = 5.807434959852851
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3787.1884814350033
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3834891873961097, b_new = -0.3223762782797298, c_new = 6.228079876082056
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10441.76643801836
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8964148933098643, b_new = -1.144257241993297, c_new = 4.616822898666718
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13098.68864775452
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.732124571542267, b_new = -1.680701979041578, c_new = 4.808277717149966
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11323.808385739443
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8167504522299995, b_new = -1.9331198290568292, c_new = 5.702203992986411
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6296.735805909854
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7673:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.740220813470927, b_new = -0.7628952866713667, c_new = 5.585094122125452
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12853.50575365237
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7674:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6103441938887304, b_new = -1.3731764710725758, c_new = 4.61424809899024
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10615.156299092216
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7675:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.725121535251777, b_new = -0.6451326966533704, c_new = 5.637438961353161
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12921.849049081731
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7676:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.061356886268413, b_new = -1.2129836855658205, c_new = 5.837158896870119
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3108.048759290661
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7677:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.650002612327693, b_new = -1.959073804838816, c_new = 5.710104507411123
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9697.578067555201
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7678:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9404812318027846, b_new = -1.1317735526286183, c_new = 5.3725280928147034
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3205.7212643572834
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7679:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.804386182177669, b_new = -0.6863225111955056, c_new = 5.402356768093938
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3919.0639089611623
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7680:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0887129494083103, b_new = -0.8405865063063201, c_new = 4.954782967228169
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3479.633328903811
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7681:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.883699382318384, b_new = -1.251142691392036, c_new = 4.7146243567324175
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3945.841778812008
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7682:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8418316364584495, b_new = -0.5892599615832333, c_new = 5.654906360151648
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13696.477989541536
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7683:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.296956018285626, b_new = -1.9577611011679328, c_new = 4.697741756277395
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4246.356616760393
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7684:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.131805801788088, b_new = -0.7896795104469663, c_new = 5.362645429874877
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4097.78040292423
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7685:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7298865037642566, b_new = -1.15522000314764, c_new = 4.844930118352546
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6341.581841766028
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7686:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.272635500776088, b_new = -1.4497259095111967, c_new = 5.75250316326252
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5106.508322266172
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7687:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3894593569369293, b_new = -1.3541996903607432, c_new = 5.5764559344939455
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7698.751573224117
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7688:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.016223678160437, b_new = -0.8207647372919102, c_new = 5.343183091386611
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3095.389002553989
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7689:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.393615328332673, b_new = -0.7828058859711619, c_new = 6.16134963344009
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9498.428120584855
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7690:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8304669628737593, b_new = -1.6208840478477586, c_new = 5.807798744692769
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5189.846467184103
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7691:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.787139748473572, b_new = -0.9665020144785962, c_new = 5.553633430153975
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4604.025272560023
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7692:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6608878894890684, b_new = -1.8984670767804648, c_new = 4.892007553249561
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9695.346478874884
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7693:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7729853798358253, b_new = -0.45073716115181106, c_new = 5.191433019322647
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3993.358655734821
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7694:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4723424867892727, b_new = -0.5445161494453509, c_new = 5.000610987567499
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9451.84500639512
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7695:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1296321301785963, b_new = -0.4007174810935431, c_new = 5.270746348020235
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4785.736227634607
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7696:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0347603081318515, b_new = -1.4813787241156877, c_new = 5.309401074268637
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14124.93893223345
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7697:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.875189269981689, b_new = -1.6927577221819692, c_new = 5.3528246331417435
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4710.770874707767
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7698:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6016942202231963, b_new = -0.8051454221660151, c_new = 5.6089386328193065
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11747.78686351491
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7699:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2517730000383227, b_new = -0.6772216548872865, c_new = 4.7430861298754765
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6298.231743390609
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7700:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.383036906497778, b_new = -1.6477183075868413, c_new = 5.036443110238604
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6582.548634875194
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7701:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7096301624434176, b_new = -1.215921465673002, c_new = 6.54698575234113
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12297.769203804131
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7702:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.76188679442928, b_new = -1.8275629748697118, c_new = 5.8195291320820814
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7138.508873958038
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7703:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.67215273309143, b_new = -1.9069147450284047, c_new = 5.697768548840691
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9205.587221037704
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7704:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9370882776680354, b_new = -1.8460025307049124, c_new = 5.466671681876682
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12725.577845243735
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7705:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.714610897791058, b_new = -1.3627958606243975, c_new = 5.395821974020878
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7018.350688607679
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7706:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.487044948923688, b_new = -1.1473108485246293, c_new = 5.09503549223489
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9717.769303675677
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7707:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.97372233021874, b_new = -0.6130205825915485, c_new = 5.509353362492591
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3065.359249520172
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7708:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8162146587514245, b_new = -1.1330352448063936, c_new = 5.529175950113213
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4479.758696546469
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7709:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0672595891340193, b_new = -1.0328107998883016, c_new = 5.6190088849642486
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13440.02594672583
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7710:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.109791427902218, b_new = -0.5886541539957628, c_new = 5.497467505369233
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4180.476773870231
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7711:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.190910660895876, b_new = -0.49827414255266345, c_new = 4.897382720957074
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5555.434537965798
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7712:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.236489473242354, b_new = -1.62897220819981, c_new = 5.058144978653102
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4036.695587028292
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7713:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4606020463222413, b_new = -0.8313474069858156, c_new = 5.1899200594919
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10043.148142270426
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7714:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9372147380727087, b_new = -0.6352575886570102, c_new = 5.927087252549828
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3037.137995448159
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7715:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4142673431299735, b_new = -1.0908886485380984, c_new = 5.361247805977611
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8789.83273682914
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7716:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.805441116147474, b_new = -1.9082461128550068, c_new = 5.8053402312774365
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11851.730061796368
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7717:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.169550454962566, b_new = -0.44288857408220494, c_new = 5.289012540856676
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15108.633364898102
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7718:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.006082128142878, b_new = -1.2408243757538986, c_new = 5.681404383712646
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3017.8746992344613
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7719:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5820209385458637, b_new = -0.22377685072037268, c_new = 5.929880537126874
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6571.598938247802
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7720:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.193812914405619, b_new = -1.344694263895987, c_new = 5.559608876277261
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4038.9175550755917
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7721:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9529739040513823, b_new = -0.3976138482540811, c_new = 5.581546503414377
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3101.0521871201067
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7722:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2340089803453287, b_new = -1.5171301919711047, c_new = 4.702006991818078
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4110.9204355995425
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7723:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6456151911663897, b_new = -0.8983235802246317, c_new = 4.877612033623567
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7384.530182041296
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7724:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5602932922645194, b_new = -1.3429479336266938, c_new = 5.648454972215696
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10437.01346618322
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7725:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3133541574878267, b_new = -1.1514478956565533, c_new = 5.196548514496762
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6495.2431089578
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7726:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.21157359694558, b_new = -1.3453568206311701, c_new = 5.607917420222388
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4289.650893294756
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7727:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7943146380826347, b_new = -1.000976237098591, c_new = 4.366528804067015
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4883.14154888024
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7728:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4341439873045427, b_new = -1.3349841804914346, c_new = 5.806335760164773
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11150.222263972715
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7729:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.923180908710062, b_new = -0.5552916766900375, c_new = 5.488041301761648
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3037.2410005021725
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7730:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8863351311775487, b_new = -1.5217282825639353, c_new = 5.880924116961617
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4091.0637860201164
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7731:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8548173416577196, b_new = -0.6982604150172274, c_new = 5.198015037376681
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14157.950959098325
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7732:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5449084978010985, b_new = -0.7276313036169466, c_new = 5.529927649874971
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11317.94680001146
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7733:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9132844022903406, b_new = -1.1996343361993445, c_new = 5.247392718570927
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3473.6667695118817
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7734:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5235570200774475, b_new = -0.014892655659077825, c_new = 4.516487841420504
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7617.912036576799
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7735:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.514021475014513, b_new = -1.1536983458086074, c_new = 5.577355947943383
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9941.586205469055
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7736:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.531277406183198, b_new = -0.45614961000158116, c_new = 6.2063289821288325
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11861.388168103773
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7737:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5385959615188955, b_new = -1.470285940012377, c_new = 5.698561012279604
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9951.254186512253
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7738:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9169636654612814, b_new = -0.5924744010743885, c_new = 5.405834990889089
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13757.250278536729
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7739:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.122984985344864, b_new = -0.9513502215923275, c_new = 5.323447859829988
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14518.888954523809
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7740:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2769110010812947, b_new = -0.9166016810546993, c_new = 5.550464719343992
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6488.742831929404
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7741:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.09373704367716, b_new = -0.8324663383444704, c_new = 4.692989192041628
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3493.7556154215595
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7742:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6351956884271295, b_new = -0.8177668132738893, c_new = 5.484255385130955
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11977.409355018117
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7743:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2003887257404187, b_new = -0.8876446956653914, c_new = 5.44686298287338
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4986.875384922922
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7744:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.05398902858261, b_new = -0.8658257413325788, c_new = 4.656703473403706
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3181.9096752546884
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7745:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.758314888422875, b_new = -1.4052704857001166, c_new = 4.465665930144153
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11831.877287552972
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7746:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.485135701569659, b_new = -1.0884693744880238, c_new = 5.273125999387757
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9873.00936278438
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7747:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9975579946355007, b_new = -1.479228613533659, c_new = 4.126755844461479
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13168.411992817064
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7748:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9968389552008294, b_new = -1.4444661735014237, c_new = 5.206588018226217
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3137.207971957777
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7749:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7994717942935017, b_new = -1.128259308071202, c_new = 5.537048090448693
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4732.884464984951
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7750:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8589768368780026, b_new = -0.4797362564474543, c_new = 4.766881181336523
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3275.999361782825
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7751:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5195555369954032, b_new = -0.34878074786471835, c_new = 4.868250141104509
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8354.918407421603
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7752:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.47025211932009, b_new = -0.9823889873363717, c_new = 6.616582909266948
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10361.317051267886
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7753:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6749461967121837, b_new = -0.9567672669391855, c_new = 4.484531803250038
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7090.122213908327
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7754:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7700693132250986, b_new = -0.7415359920256731, c_new = 6.15381012047202
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4309.76147852469
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7755:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8925578819508018, b_new = -1.8258655346789803, c_new = 5.799261300351682
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4578.3334651063005
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7756:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9556679370032706, b_new = -1.0744157392364406, c_new = 4.756309797581068
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3145.2843215958383
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7757:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.507469313132406, b_new = -1.1687869423170834, c_new = 4.923442996499528
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9893.51975795944
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7758:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1661633925682846, b_new = -1.8668106031863285, c_new = 6.247329727202798
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3265.703617969458
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7759:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.685951357971864, b_new = -1.6828164943104857, c_new = 5.685630707269871
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11155.13860924891
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7760:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0954883460100273, b_new = -1.4671751290311255, c_new = 5.94721308228387
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3124.464936641485
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7761:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3967178171167887, b_new = -1.327501887309675, c_new = 5.421901969114285
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11623.457186055197
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7762:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.021908670560295, b_new = -0.6147221912769713, c_new = 5.085882708391405
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3225.130173708246
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7763:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5531778767877444, b_new = -1.4162053475383458, c_new = 5.382861124704234
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10135.55546207886
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7764:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.738522191161437, b_new = -1.1612180758479806, c_new = 5.328863022979722
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6006.352012004431
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7765:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.086025965976208, b_new = -0.4480472837265391, c_new = 4.939708331095499
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3975.744868848148
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7766:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.163581990488259, b_new = -1.1820308772883523, c_new = 4.817242903673585
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3775.07527591071
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7767:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4539746441993957, b_new = -0.45583725048209434, c_new = 6.399627788506543
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11129.225099239453
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7768:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2071560548201377, b_new = -0.7704780055356579, c_new = 5.2006227098504505
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12390.593445959319
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7769:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.621100255801721, b_new = -0.8302547036743917, c_new = 5.073245092567069
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7620.576729062956
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7770:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7373255654235136, b_new = -1.6489021238588712, c_new = 4.695286217130631
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7618.961299014366
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7771:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7569125286597838, b_new = -0.884023004127169, c_new = 5.7294497869431344
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12846.715089945594
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7772:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1832806904013267, b_new = -1.1295677047805133, c_new = 5.604978414884791
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4270.812191629546
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7773:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.404749413144736, b_new = -0.031589297232098135, c_new = 5.716131127895181
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11133.880590959372
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7774:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.342821420273972, b_new = -1.0221132291277715, c_new = 5.937481609591433
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7784.003393313267
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7775:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.914059710069208, b_new = -0.9773491339399546, c_new = 4.743591058475847
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3317.0120139061755
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7776:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7294018171157512, b_new = -1.1326606426862587, c_new = 5.993691306503121
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5892.383056570752
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7777:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7078548275325107, b_new = -1.5820503149005778, c_new = 6.3158806802953045
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11682.165950205255
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7778:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.322797345210438, b_new = -0.7457977333949811, c_new = 6.563155389288777
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11060.881513967197
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7779:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.933501785711927, b_new = -0.734120899173885, c_new = 4.967278200781667
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3060.4589334182638
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7780:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.299710409328523, b_new = -0.5350788886188981, c_new = 5.067077531894695
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7889.612861040841
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7781:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2289971005102256, b_new = -1.4361109878510276, c_new = 4.422543030007028
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4119.444518293523
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7782:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2367369795768135, b_new = -1.6520154292591704, c_new = 4.9016502673743
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13396.394219823964
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7783:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5042377276675407, b_new = -0.5012830144869972, c_new = 5.683957309211658
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11346.893110824021
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7784:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8793939989152584, b_new = -1.024396769814664, c_new = 5.366209817425505
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3564.9013255612786
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7785:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3622367977871948, b_new = -1.4905960849434228, c_new = 5.623431990447204
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6773.401161357646
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7786:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.559206469393179, b_new = -2.294956587484479, c_new = 5.1431521012212285
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11771.212713693818
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7787:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4805160570500346, b_new = -1.0705114752522376, c_new = 5.025950884809954
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10384.745711456992
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7788:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.912188162863527, b_new = -1.2650169957738848, c_new = 5.920174485472762
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13377.863345236914
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7789:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.809841033852014, b_new = -1.3847850231912047, c_new = 5.317468320157637
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12443.488258619005
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7790:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.022887466995006, b_new = -1.3355724294452398, c_new = 4.843097392997583
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3035.413638867867
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7791:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0413479301730577, b_new = -0.6782708283821445, c_new = 5.8993721452571615
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13126.309955703582
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7792:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.242564467960093, b_new = -0.25326991880223637, c_new = 5.401137569984073
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7591.218665471519
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7793:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6996136130171706, b_new = -1.888790418086943, c_new = 5.055651736151924
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8913.987246419852
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7794:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.930390337283943, b_new = -1.036307872109903, c_new = 5.3541838022288095
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3198.0163747822744
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7795:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1604824915466154, b_new = -0.7883867069056227, c_new = 4.982601620047145
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4410.368936644507
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7796:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0103804194200343, b_new = -0.9370891169829583, c_new = 4.5989540841734335
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3017.6847484022383
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7797:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3715488106463223, b_new = -1.070204891118454, c_new = 4.680848460054905
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11666.089807862176
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7798:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4827222179347173, b_new = -1.811787812538726, c_new = 6.229112164703239
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11345.692616624667
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7799:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.754354170410206, b_new = -0.6713420712519649, c_new = 5.67898269300041
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13090.438252044849
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7800:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.997193286386698, b_new = -1.0850921131716966, c_new = 5.848607256170718
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3015.331370882237
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7801:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1877839619786026, b_new = -1.0292015327957738, c_new = 5.745922743505751
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4564.334624574592
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7802:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4518690762830087, b_new = -1.4372154086741487, c_new = 4.717942964312839
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11492.882031810144
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7803:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7435403361977, b_new = -0.8441915595374807, c_new = 6.15451698724681
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4917.390220625454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7804:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4607920300582906, b_new = -1.5835870702015769, c_new = 5.570283480574173
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11381.859758182083
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7805:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3710473127224363, b_new = -0.5005877271003021, c_new = 4.8260633059065885
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10659.155337696397
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7806:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1498136465819147, b_new = -0.33738490338238714, c_new = 5.296645327095882
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12200.908394132766
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7807:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9984240795241455, b_new = -1.5924806216357972, c_new = 5.10681465700135
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3239.6460660168386
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7808:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5898059084422327, b_new = -0.8569864497358046, c_new = 5.782058028506192
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11611.467957834528
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7809:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2041831442599182, b_new = -0.6419554059825092, c_new = 4.929144638546213
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5467.957980851885
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7810:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9300946556515575, b_new = -1.5057731339393154, c_new = 5.3707002744448555
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3659.624669851421
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7811:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.15976867680327, b_new = -1.2693292352207184, c_new = 5.470825967724161
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3730.9598837854196
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7812:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.851504116183805, b_new = -1.478634917497317, c_new = 5.328777347273607
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4659.975060820963
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7813:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2947362182170057, b_new = -0.7273871286469508, c_new = 4.905538927624247
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11743.736455137006
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7814:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.914655780793937, b_new = -1.0999783777827605, c_new = 5.55619042935653
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3325.923608947737
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7815:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.657889895724169, b_new = -1.095433011752013, c_new = 5.624184830859023
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7381.930117311113
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7816:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5812805224543625, b_new = -1.1591853042216853, c_new = 5.290066369435007
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10875.715884795381
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7817:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.965078085448603, b_new = -1.482738478662385, c_new = 6.481058825242889
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3214.0672911007314
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7818:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3228220165409783, b_new = -1.076140112321271, c_new = 5.583317665479067
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7055.78007568738
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7819:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.4828547323226644, b_new = -0.4525449032665326, c_new = 5.166084212057189
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15195.167546327744
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7820:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.256148100557602, b_new = -1.3424439484088955, c_new = 4.762151211436767
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4773.545001171826
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7821:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.433086324661259, b_new = -1.4965852965894257, c_new = 6.222214046306065
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8432.698826825721
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7822:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.122011083591366, b_new = -2.1332044064962536, c_new = 4.864101568638166
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14494.140113651967
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7823:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0589161386258783, b_new = -1.8965641555001844, c_new = 4.391164152451213
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3222.916120076691
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7824:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.875775707194558, b_new = -0.5458855541861195, c_new = 4.776661138925316
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3221.1200897347394
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7825:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.311809734073907, b_new = -1.8923199478053605, c_new = 5.755374689784627
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4835.92981994531
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7826:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.191433141071499, b_new = -1.0651521069768812, c_new = 5.493913800780451
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4482.908623554055
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7827:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.130124033966826, b_new = -1.2215615938244353, c_new = 5.320865518484872
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14299.359758371367
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7828:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5870910455752325, b_new = -1.0847281659713293, c_new = 5.418308509619647
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11099.986342865383
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7829:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.048359456791536, b_new = -1.4202278052216757, c_new = 5.194701354877482
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3014.8342928168295
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7830:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5277792414241818, b_new = -0.5223010826534704, c_new = 5.595098766387057
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11518.637275614072
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7831:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1695838935542193, b_new = -1.7415944702537454, c_new = 5.391733843494272
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13741.077673980752
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7832:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1518315312988054, b_new = -0.6581676201042617, c_new = 6.790177665424769
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5083.341828998097
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7833:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6502675854873945, b_new = -1.0948275867992017, c_new = 5.381804613817768
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7622.932062765329
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7834:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0944009050593984, b_new = -1.011282554038552, c_new = 5.246245016841312
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3390.027763931085
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7835:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3409828376278465, b_new = -2.127003366611988, c_new = 5.62366101784327
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4811.320484414194
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7836:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2957837850082723, b_new = -0.32985173043000937, c_new = 5.058625189305646
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8392.877803558771
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7837:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7864409455036068, b_new = -0.5340378182370674, c_new = 4.880278436263671
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4010.678084681682
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7838:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9045171487347963, b_new = -1.6553551485725726, c_new = 5.605408923463548
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4136.756204414804
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7839:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2619840790186303, b_new = -1.0317376957116833, c_new = 6.571622684289893
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6239.515280872598
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7840:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1045405136285926, b_new = -1.0641968567242348, c_new = 5.527435058396451
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3457.544227025293
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7841:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5292447756809757, b_new = -0.8735005633702498, c_new = 5.539594818866034
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10903.25541197617
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7842:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6458267631918586, b_new = -0.20389375899028805, c_new = 6.661134311789695
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5143.157361330462
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7843:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6764858274821535, b_new = -1.1081932240517876, c_new = 5.5640316767240225
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7060.065106813467
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7844:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4221260173705907, b_new = -1.1885847896948951, c_new = 5.338267676207101
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8678.785136553495
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7845:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3813592114882702, b_new = -1.0954843123903975, c_new = 4.9718974554229005
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11526.378898649327
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7846:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4690443073689687, b_new = -1.1851155367936368, c_new = 4.7565925633025685
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9260.87931472437
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7847:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6092091983011776, b_new = -1.1006922047299652, c_new = 5.214673332918056
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11227.599909947448
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7848:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6259113952668294, b_new = -1.2724102947679812, c_new = 6.335557451050034
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8198.826158129907
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.087046700192656, b_new = -0.9902122119052855, c_new = 5.1903983473721755
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14308.730818736523
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.766362563453029, b_new = -1.7195795170980421, c_new = 5.839562867984574
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6731.623674726468
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.455973912665424, b_new = -0.8467069024344861, c_new = 5.68794763302017
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10121.333804912878
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.413232605491596, b_new = -1.163480130228417, c_new = 6.126168948732167
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10974.028220941964
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0709528000040454, b_new = -1.3251684976128535, c_new = 5.4883042415627195
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3070.9282994740497
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7656891808445523, b_new = -1.191643611305157, c_new = 5.736124775532402
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12505.567907554021
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7963174932558363, b_new = -1.157702626412439, c_new = 6.35548922835054
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12925.977975261383
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9348010175900754, b_new = -1.839888034266694, c_new = 5.534689641829516
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4065.5832756372815
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2390266639735885, b_new = -2.0094046070690714, c_new = 5.34102365487049
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13689.30871957265
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3517124613324007, b_new = -1.4676675718234875, c_new = 5.626348431314519
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12166.891570906133
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.883295746456153, b_new = -0.8599819225791627, c_new = 5.914983147785139
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3306.2256659128184
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9643007244510144, b_new = -1.1801997585973922, c_new = 4.6434857806067065
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3179.6728898322426
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5125182451142356, b_new = -1.3964486945539052, c_new = 5.485685365963894
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10474.739947361584
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.459126466651094, b_new = -1.611759729893399, c_new = 4.993057338078361
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11633.352177777244
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.478175283958308, b_new = -1.216985128943459, c_new = 6.169797332176641
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9814.873882885273
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.830684375133689, b_new = -1.1472535668833945, c_new = 6.207969195796528
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4142.70365441933
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.82132780669528, b_new = -1.8470043662111832, c_new = 5.640566854061002
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5990.612727289321
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.39115408562683, b_new = -1.9436716077105525, c_new = 5.344824714021148
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12630.674399330557
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8788021801350734, b_new = -1.3479156875821594, c_new = 5.2205996910705545
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4050.139732508592
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6432710237808688, b_new = -1.2389353881033138, c_new = 5.225026326362467
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11326.788887577233
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.764154875795422, b_new = -1.0917504500824182, c_new = 6.305327569469813
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5046.176425860402
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4265823751623365, b_new = -1.0455452674740844, c_new = 5.146499111369403
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10925.384376610458
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.123930653286517, b_new = -1.3672146699016123, c_new = 5.093022269717973
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3268.974999571834
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.69230856855216, b_new = -1.641640442404079, c_new = 5.177066999440144
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11134.021528490623
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.359015556540852, b_new = -1.5760953806055416, c_new = 5.614801132070474
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6473.297192847964
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3492543610552707, b_new = -0.593974844519266, c_new = 5.152338326445805
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8782.343634735591
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8507336571949686, b_new = -1.155074888929214, c_new = 5.163658604568042
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4112.687270415924
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.084177876411766, b_new = -1.3409562679955374, c_new = 5.207319080799465
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3094.538906741734
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.748362014550606, b_new = -1.0826693868538628, c_new = 4.773032824491549
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12270.355551149607
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.143122744861407, b_new = -1.4319034120151226, c_new = 5.93412625254292
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14297.302318688595
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6689303469633163, b_new = -0.9185523729506884, c_new = 5.244078549582486
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12032.351258950635
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3451732514831227, b_new = 0.4039847426561056, c_new = 4.950685167077869
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11002.1292733974
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3085080713610577, b_new = -1.2809283389596244, c_new = 5.093309168759729
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12383.497201427796
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.204323949930633, b_new = -1.152474232422392, c_new = 6.931787631321129
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12459.289726883784
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2414679645827884, b_new = -1.6541076004122477, c_new = 5.692724105171276
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4192.422949788435
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.743599232087374, b_new = -0.7325166911453298, c_new = 5.648801162801232
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12933.219644001074
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7097179675585013, b_new = -0.9824342431012655, c_new = 4.530445325666163
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6416.462546156656
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5811400941962326, b_new = -1.2517703736192793, c_new = 5.635056022090394
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10820.665473086796
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0968753876142494, b_new = -0.6018440435500438, c_new = 5.7746771666956125
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4055.4093489260426
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.114984248989785, b_new = -1.2712755011278445, c_new = 4.944309816840536
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3271.9555396134656
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.584226952626517, b_new = -0.6161523102961113, c_new = 6.207167818689121
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12077.258452379989
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2350030980480113, b_new = -1.287638814604569, c_new = 5.572195330058926
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12771.423844978131
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6771545669802705, b_new = -1.1774069667540277, c_new = 5.756879646779114
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7159.768104742216
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.03479775802148, b_new = -1.4251007333089043, c_new = 4.958186504664766
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3032.2969491242447
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9137751993984815, b_new = -1.0320643291722296, c_new = 5.622296075252487
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3268.987997848631
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.4270615575121655, b_new = -0.6742640460884288, c_new = 5.805247866308349
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15759.405636524572
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0503014916760693, b_new = -2.7537902852389404, c_new = 5.394640458165011
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4165.0957181820995
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8307517586536237, b_new = -1.9195223002069879, c_new = 5.293233335076036
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6119.6036969489005
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.467514335727692, b_new = -1.090963404464535, c_new = 4.883552267509215
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9486.293661235763
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9528634266533307, b_new = -1.9757807182659461, c_new = 5.760811573834353
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12740.203217827486
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9550331851489404, b_new = -1.134801663615989, c_new = 4.90784144652365
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3172.346394904797
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8833722854422534, b_new = -1.2712738464680515, c_new = 5.432251564185121
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13078.381160672812
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.683879711644981, b_new = -1.2383969300886282, c_new = 5.711683093672224
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7201.476716447192
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5473861467274865, b_new = -1.1547399524817843, c_new = 5.4483773351810365
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9528.838515613104
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3793633482956906, b_new = -2.1906154697305675, c_new = 5.0682563171742165
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13136.697140128796
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.318522244003562, b_new = -2.140728933152216, c_new = 6.213034166475391
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4570.030569434879
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.228154775995671, b_new = -1.0999716943819953, c_new = 5.32537158157611
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12642.189313907897
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.707241866175571, b_new = -1.6370060078779916, c_new = 5.6051049198250045
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7846.60779317334
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6973586694494815, b_new = -0.7707070348185974, c_new = 5.438061160895535
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12507.168168451559
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.002197229552206, b_new = -1.0348136914486128, c_new = 4.580869854312098
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3016.5282849992227
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.463722753905263, b_new = -1.086309782149781, c_new = 4.80482047222704
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9413.307470617916
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8606623238253137, b_new = -0.06929862516740415, c_new = 5.498921486495085
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14306.312752460331
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.053473486765339, b_new = -1.4386206449486976, c_new = 5.229432301020489
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3015.174630096488
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889604330312089, b_new = -1.8748010349610924, c_new = 5.503453184095687
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4813.483698916454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.493035880060015, b_new = -1.4593295647914155, c_new = 5.84239021272948
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9392.363678525318
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.356624443153992, b_new = -0.8275825022697342, c_new = 4.723770851866198
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11397.904266105845
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5824149790477953, b_new = -0.5505445548532687, c_new = 5.142666337622082
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7626.884690485165
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.305888372812372, b_new = -1.0757781764771752, c_new = 5.571501861135538
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11977.99684918271
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9662069504074475, b_new = -0.9876813468904946, c_new = 5.663223778285423
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3033.4033016887643
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.424393979323658, b_new = -0.3868668166700533, c_new = 6.399277334025888
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10914.223642320281
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.278281343930503, b_new = -0.8461253142496252, c_new = 5.3738351730529
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11921.730039577473
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2148516727471814, b_new = -1.5313293366172263, c_new = 5.8543182046782185
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4074.0912049667872
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.222876411567391, b_new = -1.7454008010876603, c_new = 5.284315637011529
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3750.989060505992
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.948344986861189, b_new = -0.9811562709703691, c_new = 5.583207269339749
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13952.878780683044
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.243321300816956, b_new = -2.757718560194604, c_new = 4.905817017020734
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3159.416497102546
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5642936935405065, b_new = -1.4430765818661637, c_new = 5.795854805728875
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10346.396780257495
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.395115323198734, b_new = -1.381047020734272, c_new = 5.807980165320299
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7831.43760480563
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.636778849948552, b_new = -0.525020211647379, c_new = 5.597383987803874
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6346.729900770919
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.987035005642322, b_new = -0.9583116190091613, c_new = 6.712568736629473
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3057.41084540019
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.221655393910925, b_new = -1.551728858697758, c_new = 5.775269849950568
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13130.942525135579
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4532172724299435, b_new = -1.1345126688627427, c_new = 5.292969493357799
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9313.895510387669
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8981168581806602, b_new = -0.9877617719387803, c_new = 5.1299539006490384
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13414.503431335623
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.146651020094629, b_new = -0.8263704312195335, c_new = 5.293588290224316
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12831.295644063928
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.005880785819422, b_new = -1.256592443603664, c_new = 5.872115811754987
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13851.384282819294
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0572972729095587, b_new = -2.0266287939433276, c_new = 5.990709185241204
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3145.0020479638165
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1378487719772665, b_new = -0.7831827425395997, c_new = 5.583346945607045
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4244.417611773648
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.650085515491973, b_new = -0.7316954640110473, c_new = 5.868942592066913
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6510.941708235608
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.465821298968166, b_new = -0.8546602421524918, c_new = 4.979133202255492
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9993.849347565774
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9652700072737, b_new = -0.708902332153359, c_new = 5.013423813448975
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3016.1047258887534
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.421732138011119, b_new = -0.6075424206201855, c_new = 4.995080198087418
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10221.247926787099
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8930785472466467, b_new = -0.6826983330757517, c_new = 5.329438115257462
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3173.558296699019
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.057784742340509, b_new = -0.03594554626691737, c_new = 5.590772062367288
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12363.504161197217
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2559791804645504, b_new = -0.7394853000251418, c_new = 5.619564128570715
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11879.248515337618
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8805042815368553, b_new = -0.43102171453836435, c_new = 5.09800839886773
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3116.011350890771
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6263066481296558, b_new = -0.6819812843044718, c_new = 4.937638827860646
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11947.07843450312
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4970726073087888, b_new = -0.448319854946859, c_new = 5.246110046783509
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11222.182985956184
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.955476704474733, b_new = -1.311239868114874, c_new = 5.576147550640496
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3228.9876787426674
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5612114264701087, b_new = -0.6451754723697931, c_new = 5.385848956721006
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8160.188098815192
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4372639755453487, b_new = -0.45805692836884904, c_new = 5.455207770512225
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9601.166917783317
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7844963923657016, b_new = -0.19592750980679485, c_new = 5.813486026347538
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3480.7040099903434
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4590600003867404, b_new = -2.2678548299282317, c_new = 6.113461083805001
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6900.732064521018
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6464998270874602, b_new = -2.3906954740135538, c_new = 5.352084289199024
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10845.642534130706
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9895926622149886, b_new = -0.9500469271517507, c_new = 5.728924981283406
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3020.116118530029
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9428146646479005, b_new = -1.4731870641023144, c_new = 5.666272356296752
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3455.1243274500584
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7771607383673835, b_new = -0.8381943634592564, c_new = 5.557445752127408
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4512.408662872183
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0069740494485933, b_new = -1.9144672377931142, c_new = 6.180340948403165
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14439.090682244121
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5890768608347132, b_new = -1.241561280257721, c_new = 5.1994270311394075
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9176.325522690984
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3684540027292287, b_new = -0.8532886023297956, c_new = 5.867963283971735
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8748.47189939261
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1397297753613485, b_new = -0.33713743562816756, c_new = 4.940211957743476
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4997.59648390365
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1358870648763735, b_new = -1.1634377867935328, c_new = 4.876340971101968
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3528.6805388417897
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097708015237407, b_new = -1.4325522379466187, c_new = 5.97855572134773
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3156.464506053202
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6124054903926495, b_new = -0.988908871463015, c_new = 5.851861770376613
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7911.165259650751
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5979323816395676, b_new = -0.7583068270686175, c_new = 4.928701261230691
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11584.061185481081
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130578959428304, b_new = -0.7493336220698925, c_new = 4.294938695290387
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3917.5939236694167
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9315457072518263, b_new = -1.5921442828877117, c_new = 5.429636699383002
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3749.208764988423
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.922541951855452, b_new = -0.9272679438521343, c_new = 5.188018180492226
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3182.573116974072
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5207054520666867, b_new = -0.7641928558583084, c_new = 5.873916616634511
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11115.439037718173
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5967242502847117, b_new = -0.7439941222200772, c_new = 5.077535901542671
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11639.82085735014
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0833367250892607, b_new = -0.6493119624588606, c_new = 5.75958472256303
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3815.5550438288446
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.433430232280126, b_new = -1.3235585771538867, c_new = 4.964898292020315
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8411.150935243179
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4770933061464784, b_new = -0.9731233593505346, c_new = 5.8883471972133075
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10212.65476619097
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9929165502632555, b_new = -1.42282123438379, c_new = 5.4338085585185505
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3123.67252895987
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.471215797975385, b_new = -1.8030567420136947, c_new = 5.3857547106548695
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8065.798360356379
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.775008318624861, b_new = -0.7022937940929515, c_new = 6.615487412681591
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4090.9684956425585
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5607974246730887, b_new = -1.6246272724182527, c_new = 5.430921139228073
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9848.789411914799
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3158988310214665, b_new = -0.691942955297685, c_new = 4.884762136836159
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7715.887148409813
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.57867623781775, b_new = -0.911915779178037, c_new = 4.918456749689611
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8665.801559041165
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.755484318246444, b_new = -1.8175508041127855, c_new = 5.362866571206284
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7433.409126836339
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.462480385215686, b_new = -1.3326853552832327, c_new = 4.597893410360568
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8769.227340120256
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.110900877122348, b_new = -0.7934543797199509, c_new = 6.257734659941802
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4033.2536171467264
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2030313612203387, b_new = -1.1028702686932181, c_new = 4.726801901193079
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4394.552972245132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.331708196228579, b_new = -1.043052040845317, c_new = 4.958605676995773
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7098.298847028013
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5558185083763063, b_new = -1.486320660446228, c_new = 6.360360837473858
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10347.852867373103
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.047786439470761, b_new = -1.1733226648034816, c_new = 5.420902092084657
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14017.528154537818
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0767023250161394, b_new = -0.27469083337817035, c_new = 6.005616466457999
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12431.502630095862
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.276781622207815, b_new = -1.1312279454875918, c_new = 4.878542698150303
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5668.593659503746
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8922040687070187, b_new = -0.7447271540399178, c_new = 4.896000645202317
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3254.982559744086
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.250575829992094, b_new = -1.5964777788820717, c_new = 5.341745433324488
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13123.295277088871
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.206388076192442, b_new = -0.7349343214459423, c_new = 5.348663044689045
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5423.363121216759
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7861836586959825, b_new = -1.4885137932732273, c_new = 4.612599096655546
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6147.656507944934
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.428291552745883, b_new = -1.456003370864205, c_new = 5.404201765246599
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11540.646494846522
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.873259796743354, b_new = -1.1342137393765714, c_new = 5.909897261765632
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3673.9950065048483
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.777306277709392, b_new = -0.808727018841018, c_new = 5.435602232690957
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4484.25736518284
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.875670821209473, b_new = -0.9443487680059053, c_new = 5.478092283601361
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13429.603259112555
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4732240847624256, b_new = -1.0259429260848092, c_new = 5.701097620992545
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10168.563262354657
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3743612544988033, b_new = -0.5269120510523413, c_new = 5.405813681939199
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9505.274852767303
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1089922794362215, b_new = 0.27959343837172845, c_new = 6.392907320444005
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6563.290278571403
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.378800558199066, b_new = -0.5485368736995636, c_new = 5.311427856192212
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10511.042705322172
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8677925530818933, b_new = -1.4042799546796743, c_new = 5.326928495251383
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4270.8003042414075
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2389122544209004, b_new = -1.025293064033598, c_new = 5.623772052457794
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5432.326878988892
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 7999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.984130538443709, b_new = -0.7868885750258344, c_new = 4.26916408383873
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13846.604276571567
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.096896614661508, b_new = -0.5337781075316954, c_new = 5.347064274046365
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14797.162143060363
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.29631200958513, b_new = -0.5735651508731527, c_new = 6.36388903803379
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8259.721573995157
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.069320902636399, b_new = -0.9835753465874519, c_new = 5.669495774447022
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3289.097665725514
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.838651863626948, b_new = -0.3642060371451772, c_new = 5.125799331103015
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3287.795949773155
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4916304570094012, b_new = -0.9150782165088608, c_new = 5.235357751318026
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9867.335478854606
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0321709087056363, b_new = -1.1598841172976027, c_new = 5.601955605943115
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13748.82292669158
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0393464377944373, b_new = -0.6155604060935588, c_new = 4.700292119485449
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3288.2239328907244
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0799332598539073, b_new = -0.7471357293901144, c_new = 5.793836705165925
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13012.760406072732
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.757792156937302, b_new = -1.166942946129509, c_new = 5.07014854103625
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5723.356831819086
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4389036995541575, b_new = -0.43260426738992996, c_new = 4.496930129089689
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10335.293397751435
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1012203884004474, b_new = -1.0103889020797943, c_new = 4.256276176561532
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13576.975244581541
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.283889964842271, b_new = -0.46004367605341, c_new = 6.026575114423068
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8174.288252165807
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.140133567663146, b_new = -1.5604411365314304, c_new = 4.303359954019384
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3177.3381986039185
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0304667981173656, b_new = -0.9699465932320221, c_new = 5.523280885512949
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13580.309973502324
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.642400533669671, b_new = -1.6865517102886871, c_new = 6.350907842766608
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10928.406489907407
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.742774322052475, b_new = -1.8186365959064872, c_new = 5.611103987481705
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7607.603823087898
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.477791341382093, b_new = -0.605357085149985, c_new = 6.376504564612477
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11107.730023521326
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.36004076379234, b_new = -1.179577817711601, c_new = 5.2708136281995595
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7444.274554870934
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.202350474254943, b_new = -1.3093908983197646, c_new = 5.641342007608982
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4230.549505903244
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5059911079739736, b_new = -0.8785055694855102, c_new = 5.34794629640965
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10573.002043163659
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.233891055560978, b_new = 0.02359322079717141, c_new = 5.498169122914072
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8277.83816862059
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.857586008298653, b_new = -0.9330957716258023, c_new = 4.958990534501677
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3737.923267357158
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.586124575856564, b_new = -2.6080087492581363, c_new = 5.650641067902419
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11883.936094039047
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.296180843052687, b_new = -0.639750960256306, c_new = 5.153729174447508
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7545.475024762766
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1138757933689396, b_new = -1.4056808512530594, c_new = 5.416141737775989
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13652.801612307658
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8492417835343913, b_new = -1.5493752052415302, c_new = 5.5657537573915885
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12560.026431812257
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6726662900049805, b_new = -0.24826509615331827, c_new = 6.5584014226066225
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13371.146015601504
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1814501747058768, b_new = -1.5833139879620894, c_new = 5.78329139986899
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3607.052268836505
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120635337601818, b_new = -0.8928382103584658, c_new = 5.559783516863077
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3841.0879475352253
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0847632395867794, b_new = -1.9902278531676134, c_new = 5.62014400399284
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13417.238207222976
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2338042841996866, b_new = -0.2078868787174939, c_new = 6.114151202060991
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7847.001786038019
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8637640635657355, b_new = -1.3000444497541586, c_new = 5.117926021043814
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4193.473145809229
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7564094572051663, b_new = -1.1074811256928576, c_new = 5.310494049435174
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5523.665903016925
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.503225215660294, b_new = -0.8549920048423796, c_new = 5.565336598588649
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10655.984356621428
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.07428752675218, b_new = -1.8389690517771544, c_new = 5.43498441664665
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3048.8184065993955
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.656315663708991, b_new = -0.40786941029141843, c_new = 5.610197267015956
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5680.62004123268
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2230892886731257, b_new = -1.8043046212805178, c_new = 5.320254142331679
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3684.382105144872
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.533523871283824, b_new = -1.3391938823132672, c_new = 5.724350975883907
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10012.138724822487
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0684643918108767, b_new = -0.796761970437144, c_new = 4.839790817863762
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3346.6121766880824
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0054879214663863, b_new = -1.6881255888128606, c_new = 6.082760178996419
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3170.085731769183
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0945490622539267, b_new = -0.508811083549193, c_new = 5.484949317430136
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4111.5867105911
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.234926171902175, b_new = -1.8477262541361408, c_new = 5.0856308707232625
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13591.773774295045
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.925616152462209, b_new = -1.293072865534214, c_new = 5.332222860494279
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3456.4530309692045
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5113363140860163, b_new = -0.5936331892924411, c_new = 5.375416119375669
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8871.514606575478
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7007642403560346, b_new = -0.500933667326553, c_new = 5.316423898280752
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5155.828788900453
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9057820724379018, b_new = -1.4505323237154446, c_new = 5.294452249569278
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3862.794807126004
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9013601291693942, b_new = -0.7336821830990337, c_new = 5.708156089244476
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3140.527047629068
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.562892137806612, b_new = -1.721727652574941, c_new = 5.424949040976267
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10512.570757840133
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.443423147958545, b_new = -1.9297811809530496, c_new = 5.520297171113219
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7250.211963359486
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.038619746692058, b_new = -0.7329570106155348, c_new = 6.525986813700266
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3430.1698838337966
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9974232365402766, b_new = -0.316504089605537, c_new = 5.215345332259486
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3338.123682858196
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.212588031473204, b_new = -1.3498843444084958, c_new = 5.142260734196241
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4189.6079829219325
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226741921520868, b_new = -0.8528408027973782, c_new = 5.57845663166133
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5607.627131847563
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6294892029614507, b_new = -1.7010791396751244, c_new = 5.551682715016727
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9475.905415910549
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.505162478194217, b_new = -1.3748721601094769, c_new = 5.664882150362306
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10463.412417064523
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.683331529481811, b_new = -0.9423849345799626, c_new = 6.084910979792538
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12351.626040586458
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.50744617369181, b_new = -0.8236619487471875, c_new = 5.580980331706173
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9352.33820803177
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.631134316303653, b_new = -1.168698719111463, c_new = 5.563837163631511
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8119.688321107604
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.854533214625038, b_new = -0.650058527918832, c_new = 5.631564820791948
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3361.2934861678195
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.172130164948341, b_new = -1.1787532983247535, c_new = 5.682777133298747
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4053.763828289938
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3577091148750826, b_new = -1.1498024190269867, c_new = 5.922073332516431
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7734.6100877149165
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5617689337096725, b_new = -1.5827938154689853, c_new = 6.422784837945829
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9901.097660805915
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5364077292366276, b_new = -0.9986712237147526, c_new = 5.981254894802041
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9174.051962671227
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.496576666017371, b_new = -1.502253533297388, c_new = 5.181182934952962
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10971.439662655644
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.063461403538244, b_new = -1.1950736914473983, c_new = 6.101968958199167
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3148.4231295482177
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2489323262092817, b_new = -1.0738298569249696, c_new = 5.276206155291467
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12479.704474375381
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.532322313373225, b_new = -1.240420322124304, c_new = 6.3751687754543
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9611.952492499859
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.175090292839858, b_new = -1.2970932183047703, c_new = 5.352773546559146
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3841.4890965452605
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1953068840097085, b_new = -1.6456253947802493, c_new = 5.87016843792402
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3683.3850955925354
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8767822206385856, b_new = -0.7498343201642389, c_new = 5.978700743609108
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13783.94337084175
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8188082868270787, b_new = -1.294113035211694, c_new = 5.680616441361836
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4716.672152323286
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8375258380809814, b_new = -0.5909005062256979, c_new = 5.89240380831524
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3411.334353583504
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3185818863554952, b_new = -1.9804328863335467, c_new = 5.8472750585140485
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4793.089619856806
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.424952403012731, b_new = -2.466571941202216, c_new = 5.532933382650154
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13063.092159654827
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.509292695688419, b_new = -1.0102876672279928, c_new = 4.880903180154116
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10212.662292521001
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.95391262575007, b_new = -0.39577402809034823, c_new = 6.286088550548152
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3173.039697610766
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9637682514278751, b_new = -1.5547829878942971, c_new = 5.040455183608479
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14537.9130295998
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9838404279211375, b_new = -0.8082483876943226, c_new = 5.544146647377556
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3031.104918883303
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.645160709345932, b_new = -0.6260571781032191, c_new = 5.3697789408613525
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6509.10386331372
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.773192006355214, b_new = -1.227145071618302, c_new = 5.371237602109982
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5470.754766038806
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2727315554410135, b_new = -1.3458666700590327, c_new = 5.924684685302013
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5404.427550951921
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.236485092539148, b_new = -1.4002416932345207, c_new = 6.12387375761365
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4699.998626280796
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.501091573521328, b_new = -1.7993531502779647, c_new = 4.751073105064215
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11616.716264099901
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.771483350571386, b_new = -1.524885508300307, c_new = 5.583060047769621
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6190.0633188180345
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.92395822783252, b_new = -1.3025336301905088, c_new = 5.583196236135215
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3444.83683443574
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8824837815616076, b_new = 0.6118473114356069, c_new = 5.180832448700637
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3438.1249873940137
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4759387061924913, b_new = -0.7199387382132906, c_new = 5.055337649684468
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10420.063094828349
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.302549658105491, b_new = -0.5460400627408933, c_new = 4.775418469252175
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7799.621080914441
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.132336302546051, b_new = -1.077054811188047, c_new = 5.91995859073304
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14578.468052263868
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083427785317191, b_new = -0.3674352100910714, c_new = 4.9721713850105695
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4081.9969720976437
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.467648528505671, b_new = -0.6437751980451498, c_new = 4.794057746947384
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10379.464141533927
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3504151393664445, b_new = -1.6424595045108665, c_new = 5.2595886163806265
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5998.441772625971
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5754371328217367, b_new = -1.2535256051799983, c_new = 5.036219267426504
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10575.171235614334
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6590940312142304, b_new = -0.8892863136755267, c_new = 5.564768186073846
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6838.152917469475
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.465633485493812, b_new = -1.2372201072093347, c_new = 4.8979845527006045
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9140.084207273208
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.914642262048708, b_new = -0.6672554868182548, c_new = 5.7362563929420665
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13766.578536718238
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.176091534702299, b_new = -1.3227612473909378, c_new = 5.434305418366436
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3831.705256234068
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.264866900753354, b_new = -1.2350116119691226, c_new = 5.364988754555083
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5339.495675113512
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.752592552430682, b_new = -1.3144374725255852, c_new = 5.497892784483464
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6056.748912889195
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7229236585373413, b_new = -1.2259647678602945, c_new = 5.900646273603599
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12197.933146740075
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.295233343624043, b_new = -0.8346300857703236, c_new = 5.461961196248369
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7089.211444120133
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.757209993050056, b_new = -0.34542636593532194, c_new = 5.58752310339304
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13491.885693128348
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6437844909404817, b_new = -0.46746924052362493, c_new = 4.3525372763615495
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12229.124522164384
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7720149347761893, b_new = -1.420913238863477, c_new = 4.6452499579589475
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6249.683847279742
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.849001630783988, b_new = -1.1284421663992517, c_new = 4.819471894897827
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4169.736351620839
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.249574086577139, b_new = -2.174570814396813, c_new = 4.533827400161703
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13751.556999165794
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.073475126603829, b_new = -2.5555686808868696, c_new = 6.051110475987561
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3489.477964066139
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8792002348426684, b_new = -1.4439361981573384, c_new = 5.010288061459098
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4258.693870270024
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9540579457487561, b_new = -0.9353884786065559, c_new = 6.506148834144939
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13682.711483070616
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.341629503069537, b_new = -1.2725885843806382, c_new = 5.096910643941572
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6733.058545995344
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.214265644169089, b_new = -0.8636951034025053, c_new = 5.211093667864251
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5218.302254991445
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6891406317459494, b_new = -1.038125831890613, c_new = 5.540849769086881
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6622.458158544613
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0521688633322936, b_new = -0.7488609379146688, c_new = 5.63934113829204
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13206.232603643082
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4218549429627343, b_new = -0.9792676605374792, c_new = 5.739226688337474
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9332.758440901935
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.640311902920044, b_new = -1.133245852556791, c_new = 5.811056401530834
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15112.658254704991
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.715482657108753, b_new = -1.724242134944615, c_new = 5.778738154286944
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11380.597955090776
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.01219386440795, b_new = -1.0354346354660735, c_new = 5.578898039076067
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3025.7823753462108
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.636325797284064, b_new = -1.4449623946708043, c_new = 4.172795224936572
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15700.121792781416
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2138028520261344, b_new = -1.2175887642333816, c_new = 5.269114645143601
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12899.519343557793
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5114369673680326, b_new = -0.4824598191068452, c_new = 5.118979843588957
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11270.347467140147
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.773876399824082, b_new = -0.7166420729925917, c_new = 5.525058059933709
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4347.252643660523
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9377545816968995, b_new = -1.4953723655260949, c_new = 5.033242687690697
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14583.951482982522
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9920961632399368, b_new = -1.4431513605273478, c_new = 4.334481666233881
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3252.621360960805
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3672733454202453, b_new = -0.7202171033322702, c_new = 4.833044981196806
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8668.024969403506
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.049474177421727, b_new = -0.9479838668227658, c_new = 5.6825847905948494
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13425.289947950358
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.225957402689638, b_new = -1.4934617883468495, c_new = 5.802030492189183
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13025.98089483575
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.058621920448373, b_new = -1.1596748954909055, c_new = 5.712770974113753
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3115.220674839625
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6986644952412306, b_new = -1.02906560058158, c_new = 5.495656830200597
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6419.029326272121
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5159249982549277, b_new = -1.1081553775696837, c_new = 5.027222298666446
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10008.502127968475
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6963061044136074, b_new = -0.6812274470871444, c_new = 5.250123589179767
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5673.613505890945
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1254527155685428, b_new = -1.0440933120931484, c_new = 4.961836809532493
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3582.3645667510737
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4431217421145672, b_new = -1.3122488333560498, c_new = 4.74794749681209
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8536.673909883144
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.858101169701718, b_new = -0.5189099806942278, c_new = 5.018350737029427
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13695.636095129168
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.130018431174033, b_new = -0.6572412810924535, c_new = 6.3988279833865205
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15051.301107784579
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.917536186957732, b_new = -0.45574953804358675, c_new = 5.3395687784303485
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3035.75136207999
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5934307239465957, b_new = -1.1608875155916651, c_new = 5.9896537433805825
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11211.163853943995
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9261025819264064, b_new = -1.0398308656770043, c_new = 6.304018806890135
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3155.1208028464744
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6310091463472878, b_new = -0.7299405655244539, c_new = 5.745619008243691
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12151.690878833742
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.190749938271999, b_new = -0.28132528435359605, c_new = 5.82323723181137
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11697.390002147402
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8114753504756638, b_new = -1.2085752280588924, c_new = 5.735492101029654
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4647.969663879673
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.350821882138672, b_new = -1.06205198372599, c_new = 5.658969248353862
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11550.635612603577
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.337060039857118, b_new = -1.1159728609600579, c_new = 4.973317733863666
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7017.226642818614
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.422901891616532, b_new = -0.727402559076616, c_new = 5.808492728326294
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9953.395946849714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.567364342422408, b_new = -0.8943388616686303, c_new = 5.3269932828748585
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11195.666019143231
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5802542586631523, b_new = -1.2262152351531375, c_new = 4.552483032639989
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9518.290264732452
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.568185018175302, b_new = -0.5767138574372084, c_new = 5.8767271673022154
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11895.097886256232
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.531714989443071, b_new = -1.467945171963871, c_new = 5.485478771823352
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9797.702646389007
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1171585515208453, b_new = -1.1730746353304624, c_new = 5.141896974756031
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3395.928640225067
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.530110860805446, b_new = -1.2320250905811008, c_new = 5.1014217882984605
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10049.220345082815
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6948607837628464, b_new = -1.062493043043824, c_new = 5.299139249823304
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6655.920590153532
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9089623038954353, b_new = -0.009845008891490092, c_new = 5.469735483100291
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3139.0150586316404
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5447989579591876, b_new = -1.1387325180851695, c_new = 5.314304826500454
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9577.636700887535
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1383216959309195, b_new = -1.1819233546676917, c_new = 5.259196233375205
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13312.958448719559
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5150594680886167, b_new = -1.1125765193122559, c_new = 4.797968140723962
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10060.99081497913
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.023420799381171, b_new = -1.1620754674514053, c_new = 4.6958358170995975
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3014.408438717358
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8631369978205523, b_new = -1.0852371360044037, c_new = 5.1271156495213
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3856.9015867173825
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6090603710826072, b_new = -1.6674872315268658, c_new = 6.422371623862578
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9403.218876474544
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.177708836631634, b_new = -0.5888859292422725, c_new = 4.84892298058108
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14922.467865860317
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.158198238676528, b_new = -0.7816781496727145, c_new = 6.391737431031136
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12432.8379401273
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9138041842064473, b_new = -0.0008216436670964722, c_new = 5.605985223752741
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14637.9577384816
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.912108225017538, b_new = -1.0985453391704931, c_new = 4.505184543058453
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3485.464873743663
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9837979852160665, b_new = -1.0873191589024127, c_new = 6.061137409807859
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3021.75384746308
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7316775539730704, b_new = -1.0501189051455377, c_new = 5.448187275706032
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12376.775542328767
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.35363850616787, b_new = -1.189271218129194, c_new = 5.992535075065205
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7565.0882373567765
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.905503507158378, b_new = -0.4445573735036116, c_new = 5.529332003598079
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14132.740184299526
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9950820636767657, b_new = -1.4907177192762695, c_new = 5.738252023009227
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3128.565445767345
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4771965632665385, b_new = -1.1456258382077573, c_new = 6.4002861849539014
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10035.342994230861
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.180283380174869, b_new = -0.9796903850192327, c_new = 4.912607954096692
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4330.327456884534
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.470057777259855, b_new = -1.0308542866921588, c_new = 5.635971697813654
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9909.56448676659
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.134059651036192, b_new = -1.3293939309308556, c_new = 4.080612108533056
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13807.575897414546
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6939509084115385, b_new = -1.5230722463163382, c_new = 5.570722595821002
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7819.959392822826
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.905192561786397, b_new = -1.510217039254496, c_new = 4.973979777771746
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4032.2583819032243
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1266002227123537, b_new = -1.3161255063144157, c_new = 5.310147425957104
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3353.657643808112
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1377825179643115, b_new = -0.94528576233601, c_new = 5.597205954003609
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3973.979300456396
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0762942884968294, b_new = -1.330872026901871, c_new = 5.690011556746064
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3098.088604648693
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9219926966007743, b_new = -0.9158604855817765, c_new = 5.739880801254988
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3140.394257715242
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2152230611939023, b_new = -1.4802939130559856, c_new = 6.282223475548877
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12952.572419388736
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.099086705503632, b_new = -1.0935891364951402, c_new = 5.234014552058711
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3345.5944325444916
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6596299070515337, b_new = -0.0762251051108509, c_new = 5.525056675448627
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4921.815586538445
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0010557505007847, b_new = -1.4479016382394596, c_new = 5.215301676003153
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3120.4415800464385
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4161826542252647, b_new = -1.6628577784228837, c_new = 5.830309794730906
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7512.107663472407
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9285862666186007, b_new = -1.3079179202340578, c_new = 5.551679741942494
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13325.418622948371
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.610236566587326, b_new = -1.1238036135711023, c_new = 5.89428008638509
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8272.877502231015
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9517856000893326, b_new = -0.16555949807642978, c_new = 5.870707678000988
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3273.98316054753
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.158957151954623, b_new = -0.6492892722856528, c_new = 5.018097340610221
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4671.085448061764
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4155262020191213, b_new = -2.1424377348874426, c_new = 5.46538117589392
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12696.860923422655
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4657553888779913, b_new = -0.2043681776973466, c_new = 5.029684999027979
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11255.371597961806
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0615768884213823, b_new = -0.5515183210619847, c_new = 5.393647123592689
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3646.9586730221176
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.904141909246643, b_new = -1.1046516318065853, c_new = 5.573806070726489
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13427.569293305816
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9475958488475205, b_new = -0.9862806218940671, c_new = 5.900912155377542
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13861.422003338828
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2252329890315115, b_new = -1.5227954042594711, c_new = 5.976173492403197
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4256.841128233025
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.172026965798441, b_new = -0.03252430168947429, c_new = 5.104767337417628
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11683.404937941194
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.989709304434968, b_new = -0.7394647838919062, c_new = 4.924670895786752
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3032.232428805911
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.306145584775619, b_new = -2.5983664305183956, c_new = 5.646176389117906
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13832.669078814437
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7382869760198805, b_new = -0.5428188629267557, c_new = 4.772973376547142
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4749.495836156444
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0073859383191137, b_new = -1.1833395938770057, c_new = 5.741693377043252
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3012.807511871437
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0369310394610207, b_new = -1.2550513166306385, c_new = 5.370448644758203
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3016.328782844178
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.873058730962577, b_new = -1.123547338488018, c_new = 5.641909387639159
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3706.3105735263944
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5646524198625285, b_new = -1.094979754488084, c_new = 4.369351612403821
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10536.516864051551
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2845373711009285, b_new = -0.12024133555007555, c_new = 6.63924952459039
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9453.866303452238
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8527364492608838, b_new = -1.1723978969450877, c_new = 4.582244669219946
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4252.004658818411
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.660914966775863, b_new = -0.25800272814729974, c_new = 5.348689101514504
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5329.300980634785
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.703027858519601, b_new = -1.4405053506469656, c_new = 5.887004639987162
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11728.93424569415
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.311209092489299, b_new = -1.3686189441284433, c_new = 5.386348381399946
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12403.038191749403
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6407984029817273, b_new = -1.2189452371274032, c_new = 4.217392461292005
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11052.23413161333
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2107743592344735, b_new = -1.2507459469933833, c_new = 5.115654536786314
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13000.964125799623
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0601249823150463, b_new = -1.0938639868161657, c_new = 5.413660520111144
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3134.3987744927867
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2852996612702006, b_new = -1.2126286539214732, c_new = 6.09269483235652
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6060.627118662482
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.721114134207084, b_new = -2.264488480677476, c_new = 5.433383960618526
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9358.66445497542
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6935365405272966, b_new = -1.4909487474478214, c_new = 6.242619246376218
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7483.573366434999
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6286819543217756, b_new = -0.7525224356106134, c_new = 5.845025173157541
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12128.995080624623
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1771736610750545, b_new = -1.1683037285921745, c_new = 4.806961302634424
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13188.296328492881
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.271963077946116, b_new = -1.3839591179103097, c_new = 6.043401812773689
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12524.310233636064
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7327494455374506, b_new = -1.846165587421556, c_new = 5.070906546506922
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8121.919026364849
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.885393368433164, b_new = -1.084227223613683, c_new = 5.771235223250861
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3518.7366113494672
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.130373485464374, b_new = -1.5236359055607636, c_new = 5.60354448795009
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13650.439126387597
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0600208441318677, b_new = -1.574923271585286, c_new = 5.44074544717539
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3017.137124570943
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4136589981309777, b_new = -1.322635663145839, c_new = 5.54199188764811
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8254.388024813139
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.415512279402483, b_new = -1.0638622276483871, c_new = 5.383105033738156
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11003.120502721153
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5454380480895484, b_new = -2.200427319995664, c_new = 5.044191987294527
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -16251.977932168847
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.191357289350029, b_new = -0.7895809242846872, c_new = 5.4445311121611
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5046.756165739608
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8737987291586577, b_new = -0.8239851124308066, c_new = 5.887942820476574
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3345.148046759621
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5323052094772187, b_new = -0.7088802193835746, c_new = 4.739166504100106
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10973.417446875448
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6679597986703314, b_new = -1.0819846389527359, c_new = 5.809654463127805
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7075.48197309348
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8699588238237106, b_new = -1.7161426041247543, c_new = 5.663075002833535
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4756.130267143451
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9229129178574103, b_new = -1.6623683669726526, c_new = 5.782959295590527
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3877.7874627667697
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.068705008539277, b_new = -1.4367265466603696, c_new = 5.529014863691821
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3033.7882855508897
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2661536285753408, b_new = -1.2467332616618902, c_new = 5.751192997693228
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12461.303195818487
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7512678157134665, b_new = -0.7585565984967013, c_new = 5.62970229238953
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4749.178081210032
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.93800968966944, b_new = -0.43619974566389774, c_new = 5.931677178514433
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3074.9020100695466
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9415735450861913, b_new = -0.43456224480097294, c_new = 6.231268890135895
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3106.3976226373015
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.412056345237302, b_new = -1.7125445117585323, c_new = 5.825736655807205
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7292.552872944714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6590009113942825, b_new = -0.8294473506098247, c_new = 5.134794840702083
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6836.6989196563545
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9528064725857632, b_new = -0.5026791147907628, c_new = 5.626606656959472
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3063.1751292896934
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.409704877191495, b_new = -1.2455453983635434, c_new = 4.258125644193426
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11730.110722754202
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.014483757633453, b_new = -1.6212492332412363, c_new = 5.154872428880203
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13341.480730307954
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7739665111394194, b_new = -1.221334716718896, c_new = 6.294606736142217
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12677.601709242377
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.124290956318406, b_new = -0.9749679648268875, c_new = 5.9415643412371235
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3841.3873090003167
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.683295504965497, b_new = -1.4485141094107448, c_new = 5.681233624245578
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11490.411906882715
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.282281759501406, b_new = -0.7308908735990535, c_new = 6.094826475219179
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7364.4688742540275
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.019836164777216, b_new = -0.6704348255898334, c_new = 5.316408887590389
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3197.775975010535
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.063702438177145, b_new = -1.3953746204268325, c_new = 4.670701218320607
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3024.913360680059
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4111502796389037, b_new = -0.2746282916706656, c_new = 5.3761137430758605
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10604.300770826667
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1019896629924255, b_new = -1.3259152492408586, c_new = 5.507424555153622
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3206.59396550801
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7611208057897225, b_new = -1.050788212263807, c_new = 5.554648857358735
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5225.41207724257
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.522781458918417, b_new = -1.995780179112288, c_new = 5.390968676607186
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8513.729867938962
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4484643524646517, b_new = -0.5341675248814439, c_new = 6.410174639426425
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10917.521790531291
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0755925872319256, b_new = -1.2328075274814598, c_new = 5.157678150714937
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13722.223567715075
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1645078995223153, b_new = -1.7940645795847878, c_new = 5.1380866282160165
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3214.88404064818
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.527164684076735, b_new = -0.5500786429936596, c_new = 5.334790886513985
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8535.03689182229
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0164427717568625, b_new = -1.0765721985259074, c_new = 5.412847674472766
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3019.405877240915
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.077356355020602, b_new = -1.9926173918975163, c_new = 5.176030716180365
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3119.674462941357
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7722582766656076, b_new = -1.0310573673563554, c_new = 4.957061597065397
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5159.02073822696
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1857559415787757, b_new = -0.37911767096784965, c_new = 6.081471856487493
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6215.822350598938
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1265065673851273, b_new = -2.3012339971878966, c_new = 4.810861414295561
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3147.222501006122
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.23788897368334, b_new = -1.0930168854636637, c_new = 4.982748408593345
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5053.440125914551
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.318323364488509, b_new = -0.4534223198687748, c_new = 5.683015317183927
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10877.967536161801
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5478978791325195, b_new = -0.21991648978832468, c_new = 5.634624847577616
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12205.518645350807
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.806126953532935, b_new = -1.7196441513399066, c_new = 5.380273968122935
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6063.183062676664
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6777677347291244, b_new = -1.3043317311998046, c_new = 5.130551351653317
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7726.464242957192
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.784193174576308, b_new = -1.3703357128811031, c_new = 5.629370238123989
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5522.304451439943
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0777875770970824, b_new = -2.513329709761316, c_new = 6.123944714607806
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3398.720161870696
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2677115035536013, b_new = -1.015327671426738, c_new = 5.506514360136655
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12203.733030962403
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2830369933613737, b_new = -1.5398078625892986, c_new = 6.2110189234168836
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5231.485238845202
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7202831385158337, b_new = -1.5832520479636512, c_new = 5.905033198682802
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7309.269980993521
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6616974211068856, b_new = -1.5095209438392239, c_new = 5.049179691176067
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8626.237155431321
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3431195797746556, b_new = -1.8094341026330194, c_new = 5.660309403008871
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12700.848006728567
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9951701777969646, b_new = -1.4298005296380074, c_new = 5.430202849689406
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13512.311664754388
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3943413415349877, b_new = -1.0729485570935273, c_new = 5.8045146864668045
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11110.132888293603
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.385065848458838, b_new = -1.0846337768713872, c_new = 6.485456786098836
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11024.014657109012
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5612098253834, b_new = -1.2450288914666596, c_new = 4.672817584988103
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10325.236837781988
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5955963799768056, b_new = 0.06732339154574496, c_new = 5.403462546843672
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5786.004460400779
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.74721496251022, b_new = -1.1406264279681715, c_new = 5.909422593913476
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5589.424448426149
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.974216673990992, b_new = -1.8410539593172586, c_new = 5.360399140102611
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3652.5937547593767
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.720879343810718, b_new = 0.13584213138628165, c_new = 6.009296786907633
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3696.187159360881
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4698044241393333, b_new = -2.54196222428968, c_new = 5.125660973565568
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12971.466974113271
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3029275499662862, b_new = -0.7746031002154357, c_new = 5.218751888396816
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11655.820506632404
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.389397986408656, b_new = -1.5831768231508638, c_new = 6.032931956197697
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11910.842840165165
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0354629128212727, b_new = -0.35163652890820984, c_new = 5.732394770842606
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3715.7297434596217
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5116087554501254, b_new = -1.4852885524278188, c_new = 5.121120821967915
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9367.533689063026
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.210268120395823, b_new = -2.371848160942685, c_new = 5.501929040030597
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3153.998511184098
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3673721521114346, b_new = -2.1270468151621698, c_new = 5.526292337222999
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5246.100783327709
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.316013400249427, b_new = -2.479828330666731, c_new = 6.091935770288639
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3948.3150494569127
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.201746012458684, b_new = -1.693214421332949, c_new = 5.721185679011657
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3665.4126371064212
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1647644698305277, b_new = -1.3303970484946397, c_new = 4.759623544785164
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13465.854736706871
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1403745232344225, b_new = -1.7896103275398183, c_new = 5.4694406518138745
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13839.90541155787
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3522627102168183, b_new = -0.7935296827514464, c_new = 5.315596666266049
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8367.345601770514
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.456672265303034, b_new = -1.473998372296977, c_new = 5.786519845582066
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8753.437430850357
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.751284407396673, b_new = -1.7014939484060325, c_new = 4.598735536016322
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11399.039163755158
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3334071527545337, b_new = -0.10711505257456655, c_new = 6.08717789130516
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10124.464553034137
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2955183706584097, b_new = -0.7979600640371385, c_new = 5.845187421955198
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11579.99011514188
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.967675793555192, b_new = -2.0118773434789206, c_new = 4.922603754183646
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4077.969704760816
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0297761160741428, b_new = -2.1235340320896405, c_new = 5.106025962932981
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3529.8553968822803
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7832806210128362, b_new = -1.2888401007177308, c_new = 5.305232982720579
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12383.634517639945
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0726375425240326, b_new = -1.6509626623542337, c_new = 6.242734719827544
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13907.374402773497
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3844513230773283, b_new = -0.6889044407042018, c_new = 4.996058669952659
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10794.66201843375
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.295095779115826, b_new = -1.3876434273638203, c_new = 5.257648472429128
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5520.770369796885
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.285355604533031, b_new = -1.0101385202799071, c_new = 6.051107779806069
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11915.748459877801
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.987658682232901, b_new = -0.6391845314614538, c_new = 5.928846398888806
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3130.245920008964
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9534702052023323, b_new = -1.314384082390618, c_new = 5.064949394182621
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3300.6489557287287
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.103238290191339, b_new = -1.740779082861938, c_new = 5.420170708695564
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3035.458608783104
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.342206207621583, b_new = -1.4735877742253076, c_new = 5.283014236971421
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6274.42939441741
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.516005120690407, b_new = -1.8203944967143815, c_new = 5.078556147538118
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11383.839458455946
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2872917624598323, b_new = -2.0646261515420465, c_new = 5.027584506979183
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4014.1507568971074
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9811038046021787, b_new = -2.635010442073734, c_new = 5.560818390608989
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4919.157672902505
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0736584480247924, b_new = -1.4320359086093932, c_new = 4.876174293024694
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3032.0516554549963
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.170623944993532, b_new = -1.8332754040984693, c_new = 5.375946363044217
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3240.8662209307577
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9477339879734026, b_new = -0.7552179024393473, c_new = 5.39558911342023
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3028.27673144223
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.098391842740361, b_new = -1.5773004524750835, c_new = 4.851679535400931
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3049.0836943831846
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4876748456306004, b_new = -1.2525766958647184, c_new = 6.008791523757192
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10328.976486405727
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1995137947833547, b_new = -1.5168347053639482, c_new = 4.956105526518888
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13436.265386912668
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8866941835852304, b_new = -0.6951060045475599, c_new = 5.878977735295946
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3178.6116143989407
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4733058671657115, b_new = -0.918262972265778, c_new = 4.670222591994534
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9861.206133415326
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.266251189900732, b_new = -1.7584493436986524, c_new = 5.621559766101343
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13152.633259736449
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.509161721917518, b_new = -0.8307078828685441, c_new = 5.626921899318566
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10788.455315105322
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9683104951186046, b_new = -1.534834218783461, c_new = 6.131484771417307
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3266.3140570335427
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.635702738123385, b_new = -1.2019388216137097, c_new = 4.7381671183941805
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11176.474351343742
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.654736747568037, b_new = -0.8641603068499185, c_new = 5.50144003075044
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12072.510449251922
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1948201629504913, b_new = -0.8094898062998788, c_new = 5.653652051711686
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5129.822203447686
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.520122632563555, b_new = -0.9764986507773264, c_new = 5.547767785846785
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9504.344614499945
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5786507394699334, b_new = -0.32344491259674313, c_new = 5.303084743945375
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12201.009805085278
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8103023099306386, b_new = -1.036802628110576, c_new = 4.984124378593405
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12798.226200861034
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0910971702291095, b_new = -1.1761594440898206, c_new = 5.468574952961084
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3248.565827878607
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1749801673257285, b_new = -0.9642247186030455, c_new = 5.612964535008525
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4457.741970867613
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1399719396823644, b_new = -1.5837806231515472, c_new = 5.7942867266778135
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13619.778605827694
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5793387508296086, b_new = -1.511026534238092, c_new = 5.754476006342793
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10381.728732038931
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6509056626467373, b_new = -1.1020920276284383, c_new = 5.6749972138797995
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7520.704527906723
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5690400720093183, b_new = -1.3124386505512784, c_new = 6.169087545491336
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10752.854927041639
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1583678120021577, b_new = -0.9259536866986475, c_new = 5.063844920990313
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4153.0057317527235
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5166410073619683, b_new = -0.42440690577494833, c_new = 5.393344253247104
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8401.673421183954
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.462863568665999, b_new = -1.8653976676064066, c_new = 5.629257719513946
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7838.263166520406
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.586820498151804, b_new = -1.1697565454057803, c_new = 5.415577112751501
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10952.80238483806
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4442254164845485, b_new = -1.0791676690267455, c_new = 5.741098256583713
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9459.329908289292
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.457355117801053, b_new = -1.3338690272871296, c_new = 5.386993561709094
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11032.41796630247
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7656169017242958, b_new = -1.5254703528696376, c_new = 5.48442837703307
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6350.62972687907
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7419622874014435, b_new = -1.7359255329105983, c_new = 4.356993029866561
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7914.64173671499
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8375325361509485, b_new = -1.195604043477106, c_new = 5.630889274706519
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4256.734496268977
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5178412458786714, b_new = -1.0494275488991254, c_new = 5.174033894562784
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10335.613581169755
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3762448665670854, b_new = 0.24710134070823386, c_new = 5.840201012736672
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11390.509617594187
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1408225340975893, b_new = -1.0705979667182821, c_new = 5.298942301933406
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3763.9833369222556
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.973398148452372, b_new = -1.3665441928730253, c_new = 5.424667140563517
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3182.5349205119346
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9968373583344659, b_new = -0.6195210758586837, c_new = 5.306641719540246
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13431.868721204737
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8286511136414254, b_new = -1.7904958808551323, c_new = 5.728612842026705
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5662.808076558111
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.843095373523891, b_new = -1.2562040578984446, c_new = 4.454609768286761
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12601.848411264931
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1627901986561016, b_new = -1.641588164061341, c_new = 5.45626762581097
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3345.1118786251363
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.287825034011082, b_new = -0.5433871680800292, c_new = 5.435819942622893
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15413.247194989308
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.970389751008626, b_new = -0.7601468898695569, c_new = 5.611013583646359
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3027.244568828876
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.333960655932593, b_new = -0.27193554336332815, c_new = 5.255694915486683
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9383.66420622473
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.108634913926036, b_new = -1.380059520571944, c_new = 5.109004450545132
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3173.995914635816
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.57229797026037, b_new = -1.2208049750302088, c_new = 5.4379241512557535
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9307.653930228396
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.454929445645008, b_new = -1.2106392939018567, c_new = 5.889803182052679
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10674.021234641568
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9153299465075793, b_new = -0.8431109679579354, c_new = 5.093585933874152
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3174.553308780054
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.135809486967922, b_new = -0.7591283445965518, c_new = 4.918026395148018
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4099.642608271572
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.076571004569637, b_new = -1.298780952933288, c_new = 4.632193646083719
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3063.005877732012
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4144650472833398, b_new = -1.660004190659139, c_new = 4.920059119108595
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12149.908110375414
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.323317557399145, b_new = -0.8125680355327676, c_new = 5.282710859862653
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7693.505763211053
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3702683841034022, b_new = -1.0312358744475092, c_new = 5.219112628106316
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8045.444480728941
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.101808141501689, b_new = -0.9048664411496357, c_new = 4.985256077328218
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3528.346364291054
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.217615139054831, b_new = -0.2613473220061947, c_new = 4.982465106665977
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11676.454661952606
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8276146699265503, b_new = -1.3083450566212562, c_new = 5.819758310079724
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12789.67032838233
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097305951902968, b_new = -1.1666165631860603, c_new = 5.452099045516828
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3294.5568465819197
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.151950327171727, b_new = -0.49441627373668384, c_new = 5.7229110196052915
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5107.7846802859
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5702425422486384, b_new = -0.7350901318583456, c_new = 5.112785480793234
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8313.607232809467
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.182201722911372, b_new = -0.8266782024434688, c_new = 5.647038225166113
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4866.623695169825
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4349356199179755, b_new = -1.1994958332856993, c_new = 5.371225740582573
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11039.336432593733
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2226176309367367, b_new = -1.0983103497349465, c_new = 5.311404247563804
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4871.288572950899
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.401360127011737, b_new = -0.5570368963962578, c_new = 4.573778094484176
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9560.821381486057
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.239988079720678, b_new = -1.427255642993518, c_new = 5.696581941120213
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4586.343106922554
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.404754469695031, b_new = -0.6330946040027519, c_new = 5.672883370401459
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9843.102732213241
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9656117412246554, b_new = -1.1112864905778737, c_new = 5.306406166727063
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3085.5410923042455
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3090165562496696, b_new = -1.044786846034087, c_new = 4.260959527224859
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6353.651014585369
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9642562777067636, b_new = -0.5163414436601548, c_new = 5.343614945175183
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3066.5510469544142
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.689507697717625, b_new = -0.6839607037974046, c_new = 5.430976798964229
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5754.709429392771
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.773138484779787, b_new = -0.588053722820337, c_new = 4.921983445218521
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4267.577238769002
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1622014046756806, b_new = -0.5135901325655943, c_new = 5.399942937343516
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5142.563945279375
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9886270778728714, b_new = -1.650281106944971, c_new = 5.854708613767574
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3260.2442172436718
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.706144743793098, b_new = -0.49183283411101775, c_new = 5.030354338226074
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5120.422376244377
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0297678184350394, b_new = -0.7836062847566989, c_new = 5.050317767582488
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3147.879540711766
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2360878316380384, b_new = -1.1690733895697485, c_new = 5.217911791055708
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4923.503131686112
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0292813499267432, b_new = -1.6388219754097202, c_new = 5.500667395023107
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3088.6936142591376
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.475050980650703, b_new = -1.4011759225326692, c_new = 5.460803145354336
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9112.723209471265
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7086416670744806, b_new = -1.117964874921023, c_new = 5.722543165450251
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6366.708503092529
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3661405764767895, b_new = -0.5344876776025544, c_new = 6.104060485526785
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10393.832877350622
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.452732769393813, b_new = -2.3633081865218086, c_new = 4.27675130888148
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5975.302931738624
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1055602531322286, b_new = -1.0150378056738152, c_new = 5.685550735060806
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3546.5896781698766
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7432346125583393, b_new = -1.1690827188303543, c_new = 5.148976594265157
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12218.431465281068
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3051383582048666, b_new = -0.3856248767646028, c_new = 6.342463033402973
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8983.050275683485
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9856992550630048, b_new = -0.7421895660546796, c_new = 5.788993740107801
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13502.328564595686
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3645364217577467, b_new = -1.7432345501061008, c_new = 5.784117591513861
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6208.404506289176
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.858062527587128, b_new = -1.382583183458396, c_new = 6.241702527341662
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4157.667743602982
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.29824377605255, b_new = -1.544328538389059, c_new = 5.311572355420404
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5227.16673669569
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.760652129206244, b_new = -1.3805884495684249, c_new = 5.24676570056582
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6154.481681412249
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.969695872845172, b_new = -0.950697996783387, c_new = 6.360437248132912
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3030.359421042243
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.883410781822519, b_new = -1.3762434169370643, c_new = 5.910182455202621
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3893.512078407213
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3270246481855406, b_new = 0.14563811577158314, c_new = 5.1299104905081405
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10243.894949507012
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.118782687917081, b_new = -1.995337702066369, c_new = 5.083288146178927
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3047.119227705788
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1120158909024025, b_new = -0.2606007082982357, c_new = 4.631752790591334
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4604.781226769994
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0278701309085125, b_new = -0.5646659282861107, c_new = 5.662426499680969
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3383.5170722489383
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.882442287941637, b_new = -0.855721690583005, c_new = 4.818097162078557
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3432.712797092361
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.31445975975455, b_new = -1.2234720223522668, c_new = 5.131398718436309
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6300.306896248336
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.802124939179864, b_new = -0.8536287054494162, c_new = 4.37431593099152
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4457.080171659157
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5178703749428664, b_new = -1.592829383481957, c_new = 4.95655517122929
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10973.439903564597
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.935836249908372, b_new = -0.48510721058194184, c_new = 4.881114620005776
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14071.047303294361
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.63008564495566, b_new = -0.915584497620552, c_new = 5.832355827430876
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11890.249100761086
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.859344415722105, b_new = -1.367810720689082, c_new = 5.695823870323261
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4237.235990081426
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8290437296413913, b_new = -1.4543375560782414, c_new = 6.10869515846101
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12691.672159348927
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2759366446845934, b_new = -1.8574882059217006, c_new = 5.619701974319497
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4311.0179001496745
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.300099699820417, b_new = -1.5613391989478487, c_new = 5.790632802220086
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5369.061873165338
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0800104194016313, b_new = -0.902564207828471, c_new = 4.877577898811975
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3337.9267729625776
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6525550820781794, b_new = -1.4082609379302127, c_new = 5.240897228454102
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8457.840605884265
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.885376264629078, b_new = -1.127590006931073, c_new = 5.186967381732741
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13197.238692583494
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.704798040966475, b_new = -1.007223577252626, c_new = 6.034869940027413
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6055.375193504946
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7098266214251474, b_new = -0.8281773250802269, c_new = 5.108393138375594
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5814.309226700144
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.890600526939757, b_new = -1.3131769712699364, c_new = 6.36780242404283
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3649.2877519213894
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8270976420410405, b_new = -0.60437324221759, c_new = 5.924548730285183
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3506.1707683285526
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9168058298327058, b_new = -1.5938639600278894, c_new = 5.6916462462642485
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12959.631138553546
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5511593623398965, b_new = -1.2426233044644248, c_new = 5.0123267030488705
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10317.772545848233
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4867605022760104, b_new = -0.9608138207092936, c_new = 5.781390773288117
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10325.569097692329
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.426286061548323, b_new = -1.2419369312134825, c_new = 6.13917069876366
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8921.628065477778
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4944912361921476, b_new = -0.956636038828083, c_new = 5.563519878307914
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10357.084266573675
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7982715537560203, b_new = -0.7030064360079101, c_new = 5.51703204055915
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13279.182881987179
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3141658069159448, b_new = -0.923862951407191, c_new = 5.946801896839527
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7446.972472835886
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4941357452371915, b_new = -1.1132120066792348, c_new = 4.568198257068765
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10454.82079165489
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.688385483374594, b_new = -1.0772765520925938, c_new = 6.069296506798202
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6554.788264093686
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.343696110998162, b_new = -1.734218404550154, c_new = 5.0917256142314145
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12756.125650716058
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.46728294618684, b_new = -0.46189265300828086, c_new = 5.869715725661131
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11083.316226670448
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.773562407708695, b_new = -2.017566743431589, c_new = 4.537479991735177
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7975.997011287443
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.720734115230991, b_new = -1.1551980132173847, c_new = 5.1207771616746385
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6430.531938460646
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.339040816853048, b_new = -2.1070027903283632, c_new = 5.757172216239408
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13095.958584949969
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.212099797927134, b_new = -0.9226334669763435, c_new = 4.73680635125259
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4903.8852534737935
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1866167905913656, b_new = -0.48364068773095636, c_new = 5.288596246545353
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5645.297923761724
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.115114058811277, b_new = -1.7957372206204223, c_new = 5.857520777144972
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3054.95199353347
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7465695062776003, b_new = -0.7970763792491048, c_new = 6.0569204003547235
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12983.867379074087
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097379795031295, b_new = -0.8288094379941733, c_new = 4.794290725521898
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3546.0735126807476
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3033283511900997, b_new = -0.8476432871580788, c_new = 5.214035691966094
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11763.718834143674
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3261468645229963, b_new = -1.998153869769149, c_new = 5.098581100558188
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4695.332029792859
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5275681297135284, b_new = -1.080440751305868, c_new = 5.0614341006109225
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9782.560684924614
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0948163274800717, b_new = -0.8289277173306877, c_new = 4.787088385327304
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3521.3957554159233
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.731394935851235, b_new = -0.6244976565498858, c_new = 5.070150161576936
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4953.871120681311
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0002539606332035, b_new = -0.959045344185558, c_new = 5.9818161829030965
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3040.4791583744673
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8038831652702814, b_new = -1.0655344454716882, c_new = 5.059200290543734
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4662.950315724924
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6531308212075735, b_new = -1.3866998772664711, c_new = 4.948082986457418
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8505.380431828698
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.771808477435071, b_new = -1.7177916854598885, c_new = 4.871153605928618
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15363.497945642157
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1001214143017735, b_new = -1.3544617206419656, c_new = 5.706919805126187
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3194.983902084236
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6328497388028, b_new = -1.2467223163255665, c_new = 5.790710449082758
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11385.337183043042
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6084649552627213, b_new = -1.6621181200405495, c_new = 5.895208249257503
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15574.045230577954
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6306367290700083, b_new = -1.9750340540813807, c_new = 6.163208406553231
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9861.11407863108
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0788010028277166, b_new = -0.8241537849234499, c_new = 5.003778575712477
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3421.227852129322
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3680418988115575, b_new = -0.48295449587853734, c_new = 5.554937969135137
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10441.718547926452
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1456831094322384, b_new = -1.8798140921254136, c_new = 4.710848608718727
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3088.319382060229
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.401661223243721, b_new = -1.1055663920442576, c_new = 5.150185847007335
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8440.211433426026
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.313055901675192, b_new = -0.5324124152615991, c_new = 4.3288540438484455
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11448.114980007775
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2398505879625743, b_new = -1.245931857608908, c_new = 4.916413876430564
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4742.036530999647
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5503285036950576, b_new = -1.19211389344774, c_new = 6.0010325593272995
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10710.086130083078
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.822699230020967, b_new = -1.257366989429272, c_new = 5.28990502953581
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12681.977173754376
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.193866570705113, b_new = -1.1955098498151513, c_new = 5.7981012085173536
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4351.513327785251
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7701916454424786, b_new = -1.2915535633818482, c_new = 6.051174167126845
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5465.787296912504
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.19978105803419, b_new = -1.6200955534245223, c_new = 6.000322741533796
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3787.99654985007
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3821723031518247, b_new = -0.7291722029376351, c_new = 5.554812138828356
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10720.19052278591
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1401050947833937, b_new = -0.5992782571660361, c_new = 5.63075617717807
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4645.84767955182
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7459297166150027, b_new = -0.6695972635261718, c_new = 4.963130056638602
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4831.234671138645
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4732850310682792, b_new = -0.8855115331213892, c_new = 5.350872104754738
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10156.339373144883
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.165342824790609, b_new = -2.2378808662896525, c_new = 4.588129091926807
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14484.486933316799
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2669639464532025, b_new = -1.528479182463909, c_new = 5.835281435505029
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4859.757830709308
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.696315544713017, b_new = -1.4745102177840466, c_new = 5.36105470105309
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7720.974161031369
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3757583751016296, b_new = -1.5164870051948809, c_new = 5.481189276169755
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6935.976000571451
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6616585502539367, b_new = -1.5928212977587797, c_new = 5.721025141080483
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8580.92240559297
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6161336656991754, b_new = -0.2878952157933863, c_new = 4.558992910180966
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12330.539618183993
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.917084360682733, b_new = -1.2498648748753456, c_new = 5.339928064002745
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13274.491755375164
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6232332980766104, b_new = -0.3871553707391122, c_new = 5.482987102678907
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12511.282716791156
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.793741060058482, b_new = -1.5562939067973631, c_new = 5.874042158836843
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5714.781978481414
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.975569004150222, b_new = -1.095408009282041, c_new = 4.9633556355368595
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3065.92478685472
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.156998360847125, b_new = -1.0702086237450024, c_new = 5.165679311537954
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13096.473874510742
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0652380721892145, b_new = -2.0035307721948405, c_new = 5.210486500411022
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3171.253571502939
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8664159988791162, b_new = -0.8764104722861641, c_new = 5.4332492163100765
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3507.971892582068
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.085081783396498, b_new = -0.7691664043107329, c_new = 5.800801104535882
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3675.815033129461
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3783689259798906, b_new = 0.14350429789843155, c_new = 4.207774657415477
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10624.165804633054
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8723487212411625, b_new = -1.3803117530538924, c_new = 5.525604200152066
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12904.251192254607
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2350653457875866, b_new = -1.7415843302743172, c_new = 5.337423970627853
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3903.2266531376117
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.472147646231254, b_new = -1.1930125413604975, c_new = 5.769687300926307
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9638.480141564758
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.609040409581416, b_new = -1.4237009676904797, c_new = 6.013042201646195
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10930.94725133475
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9096041420246177, b_new = -1.5473109158489395, c_new = 5.139156149160871
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3999.0368651638955
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5718381487673128, b_new = -0.9430875940888388, c_new = 5.203837192096888
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11120.312088611405
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1406767200450147, b_new = -0.9448912853900496, c_new = 5.919770260828806
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4084.727305112659
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.386327569353016, b_new = -1.4351777306794062, c_new = 5.29089160653331
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11928.118382140305
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.473281376850718, b_new = -0.9817889310125123, c_new = 5.493885078752595
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10148.818797741327
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5503633670109447, b_new = -1.0982545111603141, c_new = 5.310399604644478
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9410.607982985337
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1917042028871627, b_new = -1.1028875219640248, c_new = 5.164761502772115
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4333.294472085865
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.809384645001788, b_new = -2.031940312378332, c_new = 5.014131388848265
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7015.508771915027
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.343406602921454, b_new = -1.514794455843242, c_new = 5.607284270254384
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6305.245031598317
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.82120814525671, b_new = 0.08454993854867543, c_new = 6.172981951670019
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14462.786817622924
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.076181300515073, b_new = -1.6841448269030863, c_new = 5.694400956031127
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3017.123562659117
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9028918662905348, b_new = -1.181488467621268, c_new = 4.929713648396763
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13170.30249985419
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.246711773289502, b_new = -1.707500513138443, c_new = 6.708152707341651
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12927.138527786825
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0405875740073585, b_new = -0.8583283933885673, c_new = 4.983070493684164
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3147.733206967716
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4130160500162496, b_new = -1.2799163678388092, c_new = 5.161680277637853
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8210.437544786753
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0818410020858007, b_new = -2.411980947791431, c_new = 4.816217196947567
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3479.5966275150954
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6595417733996385, b_new = -0.7806056328920694, c_new = 5.405611988214098
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6602.912053417522
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.632657279953607, b_new = -0.41157805245797185, c_new = 5.402818721410347
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6210.371077711123
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.842891157391795, b_new = -0.9641755518901054, c_new = 6.139578304073942
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13395.769377094068
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5049049038980282, b_new = -0.47246242121833504, c_new = 5.977278902111125
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11501.828802192269
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5582840905737996, b_new = -1.9711638231557154, c_new = 5.33663629988551
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9096.890918020768
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.240147135560319, b_new = -0.5591395202231236, c_new = 6.03089796848821
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11642.41087543265
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1717826002127194, b_new = -1.674783680463611, c_new = 5.054841234655482
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3340.3399191067692
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.028205162403974, b_new = -0.8493192521518692, c_new = 5.832377741660938
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3172.070338475627
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6181116278474823, b_new = -0.0867502535874316, c_new = 5.657133125467095
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12947.664854516226
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.517515254578499, b_new = -0.65611851839229, c_new = 4.658933989090301
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9156.303498747555
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.085356155147302, b_new = -1.3650564125074622, c_new = 5.472668700116576
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14008.128897480987
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8973002567881703, b_new = -1.5796909901253258, c_new = 5.401324984834593
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4152.369782841206
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8509:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.469696946068388, b_new = -1.381413690652005, c_new = 4.740720519319117
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8824.598722596751
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8510:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.218272266455941, b_new = -1.435492871914251, c_new = 4.633180313325366
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4022.2709957640136
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8511:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.624464240090374, b_new = -1.451579726008423, c_new = 5.5799280192710174
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8947.200433355936
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8512:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5338416489124547, b_new = -1.4690785476519561, c_new = 4.558750176719175
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10674.30062195669
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8513:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1765039334480574, b_new = -1.5453325165803258, c_new = 5.550536866359913
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13443.964891063346
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8514:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8168732451489555, b_new = -1.3936022296592339, c_new = 5.7573756938127945
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4937.153372909153
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8515:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4395374204547533, b_new = -1.6139459397790772, c_new = 5.106322940833843
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11790.311495580092
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8516:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.620218748729838, b_new = -1.1214117975330276, c_new = 5.187550815982523
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8343.383965086892
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8517:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0512037188880163, b_new = -1.4527064761358446, c_new = 5.5839975811188465
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3013.292344153328
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8518:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5215841018398986, b_new = -1.6247871312092976, c_new = 4.927069782719326
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9156.568363422048
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8519:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.068812335020485, b_new = -0.9856864546128228, c_new = 5.163582020595495
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3227.5637423788135
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8520:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6097816006459764, b_new = -1.384010490615993, c_new = 5.8113295272487155
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10944.012076500168
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8521:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3967829842181385, b_new = -0.9260537207989712, c_new = 5.37417746653383
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8893.912215462089
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8522:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.996196884666273, b_new = -0.379213733182061, c_new = 5.4133421983173635
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3300.640613743273
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8523:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8221799005575092, b_new = -0.31375864311621027, c_new = 6.125079307613887
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3285.312573538087
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8524:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.979341281829387, b_new = -0.5952528817847131, c_new = 5.406392161662517
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3080.6164255933045
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8525:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0570178769262997, b_new = -0.5437665592632996, c_new = 6.734749138157263
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3893.8049329952883
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8526:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8921226304226026, b_new = 0.41115585193726134, c_new = 4.942801551649196
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14781.538079655757
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8527:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.869236446256307, b_new = -1.744932390494188, c_new = 5.848494566046103
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4775.400415109956
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8528:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.890086859081891, b_new = -0.3755080765228481, c_new = 5.995151918841728
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14251.70217705364
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8529:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.829626595993844, b_new = -2.195022287828972, c_new = 5.405225330715135
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6877.297032339556
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8530:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.155497488537377, b_new = -1.3254383675205283, c_new = 5.74094792565888
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3660.2502367382735
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8531:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4763206508350795, b_new = -1.0353172243055409, c_new = 5.327709174166819
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10268.72256400461
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8532:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6183717018475945, b_new = -0.8688089277018112, c_new = 5.525132003015461
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7609.250250906836
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8533:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2996398760806924, b_new = -1.4417191202310398, c_new = 5.853960873261382
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5673.854348813522
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8534:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.316532267997008, b_new = -0.5952998922603991, c_new = 5.515696662934249
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8265.091434460626
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8535:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.887012055755026, b_new = -1.4719463550597016, c_new = 6.161574079019296
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3944.601918637113
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8536:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6867651835771538, b_new = -1.2793548213633303, c_new = 6.31785117820009
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7030.401674932511
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8537:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6675514195061774, b_new = -0.9068648491803347, c_new = 5.005431540774746
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11970.78489863696
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8538:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.90612721558638, b_new = -1.3375696004629698, c_new = 4.745427795530249
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3805.6968927452403
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8539:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9362332243058895, b_new = -2.009514191768397, c_new = 5.702950169400783
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4301.6881417647655
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8540:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.009846487764854, b_new = -0.3336922136263142, c_new = 5.580300673637793
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3471.6993382409983
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8541:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.422140441349199, b_new = -0.09396586852888622, c_new = 5.391978882004984
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11100.796512460609
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8542:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.768371536240531, b_new = -1.3735754321221105, c_new = 5.134528841574824
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6017.558064294981
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8543:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.176962153138283, b_new = 0.01832992303104941, c_new = 5.933955159004002
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7139.564789137151
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8544:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.715942947960028, b_new = -0.9510821975978729, c_new = 6.907272203912747
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5439.4386941860375
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8545:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0766518670415284, b_new = -1.3651151346587764, c_new = 5.304667039189686
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3065.1912134211925
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8546:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0277251429046523, b_new = -0.2459968681792003, c_new = 5.515318164208697
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3736.16142251347
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8547:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.017385077880909, b_new = -0.6948666541068961, c_new = 4.9156815970626635
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3133.0714791900828
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8548:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4116943620317697, b_new = -1.2498469404587367, c_new = 5.745190149874021
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11252.313086007734
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8549:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2666126225992276, b_new = -1.1628376876463968, c_new = 5.523023287031
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12407.402339151457
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8550:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6540037890907415, b_new = -1.14919794104245, c_new = 5.314109524753495
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7717.95671854261
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8551:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9763078341142655, b_new = -1.1524543116662758, c_new = 5.1014946671842
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3078.515126522306
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8552:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4002262631484363, b_new = -1.4879242820291902, c_new = 5.196392503290317
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11917.480161094132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8553:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8273446388781824, b_new = -1.200411454376999, c_new = 5.471181763882046
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4452.811442283318
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8554:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8736663598195276, b_new = -1.7402399301778932, c_new = 4.121194561612832
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12130.443067031676
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5308715739858827, b_new = -1.0471696345351407, c_new = 5.2708177358598585
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10522.59833877359
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2604089432368615, b_new = -0.6164959366836797, c_new = 5.781598895752855
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7077.453549493432
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0212151170689774, b_new = -0.21541007542821444, c_new = 5.073324731005204
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3623.781021047759
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7949736058675305, b_new = -1.5430199702116711, c_new = 5.396481685754006
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5822.106565677894
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.260571254486858, b_new = -1.4232768432525384, c_new = 4.523227751358773
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4624.216230653873
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.406792522568942, b_new = -1.2086991701816998, c_new = 6.036230506653013
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8610.020615299061
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0692238478392952, b_new = -0.7580427690526499, c_new = 5.3591083793686
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3464.6691465494987
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2202362310088537, b_new = -1.0826311565996525, c_new = 4.589486513891599
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4666.434444583039
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1526898228008453, b_new = -1.6334419194861949, c_new = 6.383678758359262
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3388.0794731898472
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2670514450627364, b_new = -0.020042269305282412, c_new = 5.512940436464113
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8878.673757890014
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6353458571046167, b_new = -1.4949552833998414, c_new = 5.65382973353161
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10967.154425333925
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.313732334535289, b_new = -0.7290486170870905, c_new = 5.256921327002131
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7714.203954039369
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2884977157710202, b_new = -0.6634011623731233, c_new = 5.562282229461766
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7476.37030622016
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.208410849254393, b_new = -1.3320291299522655, c_new = 5.978718148300016
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14651.178060382801
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3325411230801985, b_new = 0.2939441804767753, c_new = 5.131289652960731
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10664.917852069932
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1696319067761562, b_new = -1.3467702675311566, c_new = 5.413610907872657
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13287.361101033599
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9787692971782234, b_new = -2.289648223145602, c_new = 5.521270882957677
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15016.030874890826
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.373968479704602, b_new = -1.3565782751303685, c_new = 5.640346335196895
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7393.048974076586
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0105958806034723, b_new = -1.8132727339665395, c_new = 5.256350888906062
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3330.504895455768
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4974595972173157, b_new = -1.0945067986270265, c_new = 5.880287871592164
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10228.892022060158
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1363257374012905, b_new = -0.25357223665892836, c_new = 5.000600554899865
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12260.810834040469
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3074602519807144, b_new = -0.7177780425746954, c_new = 5.28742968406693
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7622.484071067787
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1682083007296917, b_new = -0.7261216231185463, c_new = 5.944722153939287
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4939.174930447125
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2147343994030497, b_new = -1.5405276339769043, c_new = 5.2472588449331194
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3936.0354308053265
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.927178363460171, b_new = -0.5879770210303437, c_new = 5.231545151072885
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3035.572821664357
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.173957516331455, b_new = -1.1524922947086385, c_new = 5.330446381434203
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4042.927397800479
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.019058140904209, b_new = -0.9999519610863907, c_new = 5.040444698435121
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3027.045519521681
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3746739561482983, b_new = -0.07309813907029938, c_new = 4.752228358388951
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10310.575521331179
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6393805868799247, b_new = -0.7255672034094227, c_new = 5.397186868897371
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6870.347238381382
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.849348814535288, b_new = -1.428660002547727, c_new = 6.183145534481392
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4375.053833290082
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.848276450167536, b_new = -1.1769714543504513, c_new = 4.627299866605098
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12773.58175236432
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.313626299774038, b_new = -0.5081133741302775, c_new = 5.954444690789373
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8639.73396874583
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.666920402297465, b_new = -0.6690463217072198, c_new = 5.863872019257162
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12549.502187335229
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7719597940557885, b_new = -0.4980976439292344, c_new = 5.27066438468914
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13305.21762780737
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.439585124626115, b_new = -1.014696034117167, c_new = 5.03637131807379
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10759.262159048252
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0730108104314975, b_new = -0.862667910566727, c_new = 5.7694019494946955
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3446.906856143216
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3081839254903156, b_new = -2.3335031882019877, c_new = 6.233206870683299
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13443.054094178691
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.371448945475637, b_new = -0.9692104531855904, c_new = 5.746931387779434
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8446.591085078804
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.346991442297462, b_new = -1.6568076221260082, c_new = 5.248277323942046
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5888.269720162343
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.691979962620768, b_new = -1.005910395171508, c_new = 4.302768283321254
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6938.197038650356
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3618229366122208, b_new = -0.9844708463539632, c_new = 5.271058989318002
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11439.679441990123
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8409429666199744, b_new = -0.8316893997779837, c_new = 5.358345230679627
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3713.9257613790983
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.508132793476399, b_new = -0.9454961576755632, c_new = 5.454884824927068
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9636.387084903681
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.885197747336019, b_new = -1.469384218132204, c_new = 5.756193956866523
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4047.480949760045
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3379509945845074, b_new = -1.6987655112344822, c_new = 5.611389904080275
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5718.96701882062
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3730370490729022, b_new = -1.662361507027243, c_new = 5.182071644182885
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6387.617727498869
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0205878112211884, b_new = -2.022434518445831, c_new = 5.518488992710503
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14632.362926792386
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9109161790902043, b_new = -0.6928329150189539, c_new = 6.295756535121148
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3078.2968628516446
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8735257513750025, b_new = -1.2183553413191406, c_new = 5.365917479447661
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3883.470527741615
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.056287232154525, b_new = -1.6256260081092064, c_new = 4.810912221213402
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3054.607523421338
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6214318141252306, b_new = -1.68371877570988, c_new = 6.520749262604535
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10770.717058006776
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4076046648636127, b_new = -1.7396494919955718, c_new = 6.158867932096228
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11958.111601744624
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.356375820774574, b_new = -0.960456544147108, c_new = 6.0430844604143665
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8286.354085733166
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5036893507802565, b_new = -1.7029463454775855, c_new = 5.339716105031241
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8847.050079320608
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.739426912283311, b_new = -0.44830072444310465, c_new = 6.230240961513335
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4233.289179026966
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4309836476830182, b_new = -1.4532861549371974, c_new = 4.257726191493639
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11876.421425504781
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1301803172460643, b_new = -1.178884552395534, c_new = 5.230705204940702
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3511.4736097382865
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2777253536346667, b_new = -0.9505184002011178, c_new = 5.979504138476623
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11910.454993368705
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5254897399147245, b_new = -0.39234745164430385, c_new = 5.326243824408291
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8201.914780535173
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.469652200052572, b_new = -0.7310738262031762, c_new = 5.6845036070264525
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9644.30476069351
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2073275311304643, b_new = -1.494447084367709, c_new = 6.0159346339947195
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4070.7873779518445
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.24493055245331, b_new = -0.6556726285462257, c_new = 5.838716299499892
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11790.133504690682
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.543311284319318, b_new = -1.4137438142494372, c_new = 5.31224390032486
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9997.048901064025
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6972423460925956, b_new = -1.6474952717183886, c_new = 5.68425253010669
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8048.17150090516
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.742651926662332, b_new = -1.2252421944655785, c_new = 5.128526783181132
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6159.274023189188
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1913414771392987, b_new = -1.2384475609971615, c_new = 5.495591108544914
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4167.315181578667
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.079532370992737, b_new = -1.780642603998291, c_new = 5.4240805682565405
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3029.2814319890804
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.026770068301352, b_new = -1.7515247410843762, c_new = 4.866209278185237
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3227.9199121686624
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.417637031130842, b_new = -1.8665377988638734, c_new = 5.818889234496315
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6996.4761838632385
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.009117228267142, b_new = -0.560239879359568, c_new = 5.498284730485425
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14466.778913885813
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.092545389130931, b_new = -0.3046878838001731, c_new = 4.905483083737748
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12632.649461162546
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8732445529757835, b_new = -0.7802037477524402, c_new = 6.45476368193104
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3268.809250725612
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.96691896070495, b_new = -1.0601411455044425, c_new = 5.392785040734794
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3058.036287826736
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.792838217252805, b_new = -0.9014599418719467, c_new = 5.685015206674844
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4364.305513848998
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.345280727607592, b_new = -1.9700372099432553, c_new = 5.560359455198218
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5201.705093426026
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4550093249613885, b_new = -1.0417060894479904, c_new = 5.101223253363417
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10610.741777945812
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.792238957029551, b_new = -1.0429839550893605, c_new = 5.1919385196345536
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12728.770167843228
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0027912759281783, b_new = -0.8602462542037252, c_new = 4.978036449646459
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3028.464797792869
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1685369871920384, b_new = -1.0590399291120383, c_new = 5.024855436403386
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4058.145844870025
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4149910800577796, b_new = -0.5324517093949912, c_new = 5.4275998043151175
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10128.40846872095
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2119783411786824, b_new = -1.3670745233173638, c_new = 5.202276576852693
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4165.428858639247
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5548912916536257, b_new = -1.145055737049342, c_new = 5.316864471159118
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9443.929083295361
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7540548233289184, b_new = -0.4431795610416114, c_new = 5.203242402204173
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4227.203268714478
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1371703582144055, b_new = -1.8172461613138995, c_new = 5.505291781210335
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3100.8609381763044
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5814475346861236, b_new = -1.8240114016705105, c_new = 5.923042905436833
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10307.066631052541
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5284472857052585, b_new = -1.5047496181555071, c_new = 5.629184381863702
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10442.252954359357
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.118771764310122, b_new = -1.7596777474025138, c_new = 5.605969114762325
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3067.0654539583434
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.009778757503072, b_new = -2.1259700132265706, c_new = 5.231878040001725
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3697.622203767885
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.754250646938816, b_new = -0.01792798372580484, c_new = 5.472727571723244
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13894.39793453629
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1403244649771382, b_new = -1.2380286221960464, c_new = 4.627124617470229
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13528.599627929045
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.118181608591624, b_new = -0.5205499911059355, c_new = 4.962892114370174
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12720.057012917048
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3302197260481314, b_new = -0.8354178425234149, c_new = 5.6655036004318795
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7933.584692423783
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8205793521240783, b_new = -1.726206542581814, c_new = 4.861226090816614
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5974.912152150466
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.734976013090794, b_new = -1.6311522553852427, c_new = 5.934064225398049
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7120.252651177954
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.81266078345551, b_new = -0.650362107107441, c_new = 5.604053969430066
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3741.942310262548
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.02719223641779, b_new = -1.1871269653880865, c_new = 4.9113790196791545
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13793.525513683084
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6191799272042813, b_new = -0.8614125212697057, c_new = 5.293641982902217
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11719.01408155361
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.353292912564089, b_new = -1.721192511834837, c_new = 6.025523313179404
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6116.471045135065
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8581339017313994, b_new = -1.6188761388851836, c_new = 5.78577782283961
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4712.818297185313
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3472832396039522, b_new = -1.7220999950423233, c_new = 4.922574383148504
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5628.794073745687
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.92809162383339, b_new = -1.5740161987957626, c_new = 6.064608859039467
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3646.8455531578475
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.612090145830921, b_new = -1.644006505669892, c_new = 4.866179697671115
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9870.29615343415
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.421698106452822, b_new = -0.7279909995144858, c_new = 4.363086699318452
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10650.359089553112
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.423354563652798, b_new = -0.7259677557200599, c_new = 5.11772342766155
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9711.955861442686
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4520682010205026, b_new = -1.2346877124247284, c_new = 5.691176124764639
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9208.08402634789
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.125373120258975, b_new = -1.410257552041401, c_new = 5.856990482768399
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3325.292749069232
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4456574740541814, b_new = -1.162512795201222, c_new = 5.720657708025393
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9282.824314155769
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1952974341923905, b_new = -1.1235651816822918, c_new = 5.823721968964929
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4516.451692208726
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7983086088157645, b_new = -1.1736400996867746, c_new = 5.831749162292384
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4765.8045050357705
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7819095915895002, b_new = -1.419011089968858, c_new = 5.0066987635376945
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12125.742936981635
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.345706055465404, b_new = -1.0381261370271984, c_new = 5.2304098773748064
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7516.829712913877
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6404418574880855, b_new = -0.9198663552400402, c_new = 6.2033847744078665
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7069.035609764033
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.324863572309201, b_new = -1.7074124558912342, c_new = 5.412440708737654
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5378.8197801086
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.370871127687922, b_new = -0.9885432817588763, c_new = 5.284178285555545
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8199.078196735038
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7708090908074614, b_new = -1.2818091709686716, c_new = 5.509386023233208
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5605.042361550946
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.239768352905358, b_new = -0.03375810444035898, c_new = 5.368616361413608
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15635.159520584206
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3823670063925055, b_new = -1.53363480047076, c_new = 6.03242431638315
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11895.421955437738
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9929390789222867, b_new = -1.2790887002074347, c_new = 4.9461296743386285
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3087.262103041204
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8673:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5838553876432284, b_new = -1.905046674403939, c_new = 5.440565429878591
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9606.815929301565
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8674:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6182499419356864, b_new = -0.37487255846135303, c_new = 6.023528430010098
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12653.529576994377
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8675:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5360723215786147, b_new = -0.3589268582149173, c_new = 5.204574755973769
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7981.816509718202
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8676:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.487305457861702, b_new = -0.9741908369680962, c_new = 5.113310845284034
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10080.94007860378
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8677:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.415880515217197, b_new = -1.4839206036554724, c_new = 6.147045775577765
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11480.044538420556
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8678:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.328138854710845, b_new = -1.3824389953015803, c_new = 5.575607852179907
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6324.528432087871
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8679:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3321480267097527, b_new = -1.0398873266809037, c_new = 5.064055113624657
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7156.8282442852815
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8680:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.082180189390513, b_new = -0.8299945648276358, c_new = 4.386114610461132
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13442.847130770611
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8681:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.458799838672761, b_new = -1.232432648757901, c_new = 5.396202345373785
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10827.432761458898
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8682:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.579976073543079, b_new = -1.0620820159083346, c_new = 5.837225206282916
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8674.56194223468
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8683:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.54511308672944, b_new = -1.5236347504862588, c_new = 5.25464873208489
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10396.859142626648
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8684:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.313949514582733, b_new = -0.767031770708699, c_new = 6.38637060530914
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8085.401964333092
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8685:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3427309401503944, b_new = -0.44033872880548053, c_new = 5.591220871734009
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9242.737705726726
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8686:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.337266261793671, b_new = -1.070954054304854, c_new = 5.777256017326672
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7460.468630432038
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8687:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0344015312659716, b_new = -0.27491461626177105, c_new = 5.169330740204104
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3695.3744588791287
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8688:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.636432988346642, b_new = -1.6460920682189875, c_new = 5.135684444689757
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9389.09037219296
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8689:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.089828496256904, b_new = -1.2599323061426104, c_new = 5.400166846964093
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3175.79198629009
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8690:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2410864578705163, b_new = -1.1528176005452686, c_new = 5.356643419056015
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5088.300116376579
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8691:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.069927731273518, b_new = -2.0740803320609786, c_new = 4.851935048053098
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3239.0716801620165
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8692:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5208868659543993, b_new = -0.9657220806986, c_new = 5.632350204696564
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10674.372300515703
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8693:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.08891641301895, b_new = -1.4490827972146318, c_new = 5.244848460161158
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13863.190571301675
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8694:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9784439001406358, b_new = -1.1755780245173486, c_new = 4.699142645593983
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3108.4139023616535
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8695:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0842970531512806, b_new = -0.7262106038149054, c_new = 4.976103475355031
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3574.7772525519713
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8696:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2249602660447017, b_new = -1.1521432897681745, c_new = 4.858851961311582
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4673.643767574281
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8697:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.115039263764272, b_new = -0.8957609741978431, c_new = 4.924173396860432
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14448.087065533162
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8698:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3196821071036027, b_new = -0.8202415753014398, c_new = 4.648206580819679
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7341.27846887778
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8699:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.622348349512198, b_new = -1.1193590564827218, c_new = 4.324306946547449
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8631.007602642152
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8700:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6912501218260765, b_new = -0.1790864421786882, c_new = 5.624528208714386
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13305.88143739333
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8701:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8675838780244907, b_new = -1.0849943954593575, c_new = 5.77776421547423
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3691.459252867843
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8702:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5240492552068354, b_new = -0.8211921114163775, c_new = 5.128919023436493
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9258.254735180904
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8703:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.277682683037128, b_new = -1.0477127857097261, c_new = 5.5219324785965185
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6132.628243058973
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8704:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0019980182019723, b_new = -1.5143934216147557, c_new = 5.4765147838791055
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3132.2793583931652
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8705:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.275901694786012, b_new = -0.7841859052539317, c_new = 5.9275323070458485
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6995.6938296415365
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8706:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1103851676365557, b_new = -1.5163396846002175, c_new = 5.2675087951557025
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3118.4838984094013
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8707:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2118131806543695, b_new = -1.0759917985110694, c_new = 5.131754161791717
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4687.258018036017
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8708:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3781345353481265, b_new = -1.5316404541058621, c_new = 6.146830484997697
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7194.74174022268
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8709:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7243924184779402, b_new = -2.5241947516227334, c_new = 5.705266402222871
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9859.562833048187
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8710:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7124754036692535, b_new = -1.6340392349275967, c_new = 5.996827542440604
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11551.683307548014
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8711:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.072652269225774, b_new = -1.0322526204707307, c_new = 4.954984908111141
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3196.311642288594
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8712:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.853046069483309, b_new = -1.8274589960522314, c_new = 5.677030051130997
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5300.273997509338
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8713:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6837998445173716, b_new = -1.0480629680358722, c_new = 4.526317199735942
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7138.241142552421
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8714:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.564448603887582, b_new = -1.040994718075465, c_new = 4.844241745481764
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9233.102277698112
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8715:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.214510564609327, b_new = -1.6697542446588471, c_new = 6.013754320356053
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3889.3146821322684
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8716:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0012882409098123, b_new = -1.1600601274410334, c_new = 5.96618127651074
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3015.2238845829806
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8717:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4116754740222013, b_new = -1.4326319857526584, c_new = 4.55429392807843
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7564.7225562486765
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8718:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.983806044630452, b_new = -1.4203558584259839, c_new = 5.896056905444412
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3127.340562179057
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8719:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.314799413626849, b_new = -2.26683735405037, c_new = 4.826434460449409
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4027.9765720056184
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8720:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3370164198851247, b_new = -0.4988583614554727, c_new = 5.6534783345161825
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9005.859762438638
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8721:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3483972115882707, b_new = -0.7109966516681951, c_new = 5.607513316883243
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8634.063663841167
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8722:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2688429049594463, b_new = -0.7907298778923832, c_new = 6.126504645429617
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6901.212470728445
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8723:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8649439623357917, b_new = -1.1370926732293276, c_new = 5.473915172471875
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3844.4737041289272
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8724:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4913189275938414, b_new = -1.3320938188109335, c_new = 5.4965379546744275
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10603.81227423757
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8725:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.359259343944223, b_new = -1.3048584416724651, c_new = 5.2971772461766164
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7093.424349253934
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8726:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.824523421503494, b_new = -0.8868069455609913, c_new = 5.057632497492287
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4041.6079818720223
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8727:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.378979662078045, b_new = -0.677673167665952, c_new = 5.833499161234177
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10581.791652861084
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8728:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.712910417596704, b_new = -0.4647937502143754, c_new = 5.6699705440737045
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14383.220090855802
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8729:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1874735752698022, b_new = -1.7921311965471936, c_new = 4.97050378225584
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3346.454326228484
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8730:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.615532984271491, b_new = -1.5989679461034965, c_new = 5.632263956179603
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9429.045806663891
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8731:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7493468795817666, b_new = -0.8931959699585883, c_new = 5.656769625453998
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5055.787528934791
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8732:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.085489631463239, b_new = -1.1975657597870641, c_new = 4.901254866841699
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3153.601278861314
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8733:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6971503961288175, b_new = -1.4743830447162236, c_new = 5.655816190422557
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7588.069919479426
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8734:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6599937709408543, b_new = -0.8921637811010312, c_new = 4.986921249358207
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7035.758968387367
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8735:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9340543176507006, b_new = -1.62541379746812, c_new = 5.851859746789086
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3689.189926404882
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8736:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6937462615106424, b_new = -0.5911010720290177, c_new = 5.291892292962858
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5496.025053704113
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8737:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3936810856456194, b_new = -1.1377650006310196, c_new = 5.3466536460555805
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11363.485958498832
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8738:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.310428810034094, b_new = -1.297438329037068, c_new = 6.2266000664158625
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12078.808889879598
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8739:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.11550486699429, b_new = -1.1049916846091368, c_new = 5.078455101187023
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3442.6421958838014
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8740:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.148747988714647, b_new = -1.163221531849321, c_new = 5.753801491546756
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3809.1777675469143
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8741:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.564311102961592, b_new = -0.5853081647152084, c_new = 5.524164707497525
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7913.641706303278
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8742:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7501662071329265, b_new = -1.3129178999783204, c_new = 5.328867607036436
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6162.823515066586
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8743:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.057954210600766, b_new = -0.31908719226552984, c_new = 5.170012162005445
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3890.3617286122844
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8744:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.036931449988592, b_new = -0.7816798591975193, c_new = 5.871414784142914
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14460.23159674335
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8745:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4324510426109387, b_new = -1.0641833858212044, c_new = 5.60869165557942
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10748.428265203745
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8746:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.984565698085495, b_new = -1.0581328022324987, c_new = 5.331378516147391
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13823.829185766817
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8747:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.233754137315596, b_new = -1.525352365964793, c_new = 4.577136465079797
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4070.4706990681416
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8748:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9410937425701715, b_new = -1.4080971744482955, c_new = 5.588862234949585
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3412.4991512582565
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8749:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4015570574364293, b_new = -1.7316853074905463, c_new = 5.682043420387879
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12138.228981346732
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8750:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031372978493192, b_new = -0.5328914036673548, c_new = 5.57028833887052
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3428.9189346235244
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8751:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.348289710098749, b_new = -0.528231762316245, c_new = 5.771141377509815
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10671.063504480566
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8752:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6755373063054004, b_new = -1.1990073423414154, c_new = 4.656561303112522
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7671.509683618888
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8753:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130373223614403, b_new = -1.1533153943685452, c_new = 5.17301534777587
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3533.4581567707537
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8754:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2932856400283135, b_new = -0.8891004755952556, c_new = 5.368905556979482
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6854.415428648619
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8755:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3902175036427726, b_new = -1.740557525928601, c_new = 5.502285005338841
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12297.339157650851
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8756:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2790838913109335, b_new = -0.23682680862463423, c_new = 5.745909202063983
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8604.426922976847
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8757:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.283743089868184, b_new = -0.9730943977515397, c_new = 6.363298613890395
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6803.24920350855
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8758:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7320932045406647, b_new = -1.8457434426815769, c_new = 5.417183763782418
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7989.6378711998295
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8759:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.55971825776815, b_new = -0.8652253426574416, c_new = 5.719761146571385
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8593.050841595636
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8760:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.569263835618946, b_new = -1.4221973686275287, c_new = 4.7398798355439435
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10118.968280477005
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8761:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.611874703584689, b_new = -1.6598181830426255, c_new = 6.056505985037492
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9472.271336157657
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8762:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5288629835710483, b_new = -0.9341742700217355, c_new = 5.400216484296562
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10745.943279146357
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8763:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8017584603211247, b_new = -1.6578137838676907, c_new = 5.324383329750196
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6009.80617306669
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8764:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.293493389676601, b_new = -1.2510718142506994, c_new = 5.472620362206048
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12346.94857458026
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8765:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5545216143495137, b_new = -1.9492208526855748, c_new = 6.427402467994524
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10727.929086350478
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8766:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.250335835486802, b_new = -1.8695528135286452, c_new = 4.813104279028074
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13604.467901011087
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8767:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5541523448044874, b_new = -0.6141203824920035, c_new = 5.294106706231732
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8241.23041812936
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8768:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8026532377939235, b_new = -1.498812805291264, c_new = 5.255289361799785
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5605.5628151479705
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8769:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4917716418973104, b_new = -1.1113934501871585, c_new = 5.013663458058936
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9829.67134433334
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8770:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2545082699640835, b_new = -1.2289810773293497, c_new = 4.267252046335502
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4850.057733832359
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8771:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7778778401582143, b_new = -0.9962313918613119, c_new = 4.973257815130857
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12636.195312908862
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8772:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2048517708069575, b_new = -1.696507096090656, c_new = 5.253952565216733
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3621.497102323196
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8773:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1069322221216655, b_new = -1.886673386151828, c_new = 4.70630909015897
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3053.433418703614
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8774:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1047405157036567, b_new = -1.4419771035833628, c_new = 5.759600087876996
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3167.1291836947394
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8775:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.930535865648284, b_new = -1.625605134799869, c_new = 5.885341399590587
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13053.132571266618
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8776:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8244707556215407, b_new = -1.8553062238289417, c_new = 5.066600093159352
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6164.338232292239
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8777:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4874334225232935, b_new = -1.4017151249644813, c_new = 5.63367769434266
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9362.49666698424
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8778:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6404723068479936, b_new = -0.35487862425861105, c_new = 4.642686320890522
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6163.67469746566
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8779:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.315166464236851, b_new = -1.48670909180306, c_new = 6.144056150195163
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5978.253429919307
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8780:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.17720029659465, b_new = -0.5636581892695627, c_new = 5.968192804479779
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12134.234909823985
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8781:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.4487643970142623, b_new = -1.3462285236563853, c_new = 5.716222036892375
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15794.577396382412
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8782:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1283436361105137, b_new = -1.0957486401102727, c_new = 5.322210276779922
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3605.8759702525354
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8783:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8212849610873176, b_new = -1.414154467105964, c_new = 5.256985673136011
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5054.439972439056
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8784:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.502521260194874, b_new = -0.9183575903893282, c_new = 5.565363506568286
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15732.858518269517
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8785:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6444423271763617, b_new = -1.1593596785173383, c_new = 5.5342551688500174
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7850.772148187713
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8786:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.372462911037928, b_new = -1.2692489329621108, c_new = 5.41771908754118
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7515.796188034439
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8787:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0427274433361244, b_new = -0.4071587043503079, c_new = 4.235689092814457
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3452.6694308546184
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8788:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8822186988122453, b_new = -0.7211164534876948, c_new = 5.194511722554558
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13642.650850842154
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8789:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.744718386976957, b_new = -1.42161510458539, c_new = 6.067622414250998
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6297.707459890748
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8790:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.764299058835628, b_new = -1.139735068916799, c_new = 5.662932687796603
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12544.277615868936
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8791:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7382906093987796, b_new = -1.3283228592385061, c_new = 5.060044729692611
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6551.428715361411
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8792:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8220146651722295, b_new = -1.6374342159728479, c_new = 5.651457672339849
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5437.852218100306
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8793:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6811163440006918, b_new = -1.763540610395636, c_new = 4.630947923866845
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9104.290570351754
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8794:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3201770088335185, b_new = -1.6546825668598317, c_new = 5.299041159854477
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12753.65768273147
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8795:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8220589908704374, b_new = -0.6717520421361078, c_new = 5.640296119759041
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13489.442890598117
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8796:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5010344282967987, b_new = -0.953897659951843, c_new = 5.749031481791945
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9653.683148913467
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8797:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.766286323204008, b_new = -1.137070672424874, c_new = 4.750725003863119
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12318.599310676296
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8798:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305820077162725, b_new = -0.8762090187178777, c_new = 5.060081427919069
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7043.845728531346
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8799:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.707192555015894, b_new = -0.9070683087782367, c_new = 5.293497283059341
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6002.155190891741
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8800:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5696129719743497, b_new = -0.8270743721301315, c_new = 5.080064560187215
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8558.776930568132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8801:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6219180975995595, b_new = -0.9935459667553072, c_new = 5.604955124032272
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11630.44931573337
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8802:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.290339623495091, b_new = -0.793413126070025, c_new = 5.872569354403545
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7267.771063739528
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8803:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801479387643931, b_new = -0.6890914028812152, c_new = 5.384318795499709
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3961.7185415953045
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8804:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2752362730386464, b_new = -1.3066374520704873, c_new = 5.896981148115846
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5540.033810598717
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8805:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.216403947438363, b_new = -1.7076880925114708, c_new = 5.767435565940714
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3811.650691032767
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8806:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8608905122435155, b_new = -1.0880101605528154, c_new = 4.399411454180118
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14652.463947314527
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8807:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2410229427071244, b_new = -1.2028492929550565, c_new = 5.634017192183679
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5058.6848819237275
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8808:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.259991328306857, b_new = -0.22890558585726384, c_new = 4.9557283101920575
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7864.228675352648
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8809:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.700887745703433, b_new = 0.0713996629509488, c_new = 5.163464143264089
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4125.23806803422
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8810:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.112102093394541, b_new = -0.734371683746327, c_new = 4.928947794817861
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3847.490493870618
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8811:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6494131420173157, b_new = -1.5723334714192259, c_new = 5.63488883377697
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8786.799913266823
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8812:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3192695871821045, b_new = -1.152004736638495, c_new = 4.492389514526218
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12291.88106117322
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8813:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.163961767046506, b_new = -1.0459478648757425, c_new = 5.11844849320202
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4040.3105390628475
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8814:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3405830787501847, b_new = -1.597052873613778, c_new = 4.767185125344886
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5753.114669828446
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8815:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6441043116787695, b_new = -1.3440509762331931, c_new = 5.711301024133115
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11310.756909956275
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8816:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.308012821743689, b_new = -1.2646402138195398, c_new = 5.444242534075374
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6165.8629528446045
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8817:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7578292474287247, b_new = -1.4214875900548947, c_new = 5.10025526038381
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11971.187188525175
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8818:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9944103827477817, b_new = -1.9762194217523321, c_new = 5.329849238052746
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3633.8935318940976
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8819:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.835931660318778, b_new = -1.932383378332002, c_new = 6.50447753922282
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12226.974482250826
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8820:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6978576860149324, b_new = -1.0314826303347036, c_new = 6.160694588692674
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12356.947115444524
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8821:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5549155207544954, b_new = -1.8784901549380209, c_new = 5.170120886260148
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9187.133953152288
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8822:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.101084890722797, b_new = -0.5538164903571837, c_new = 6.363082432782694
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4350.330719490337
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8823:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.467317397332025, b_new = -1.3697004948220834, c_new = 5.49146528483804
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9071.574298728818
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8824:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9903167244094346, b_new = -1.30955942145711, c_new = 4.727028353616927
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14283.146945220524
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8825:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9329656769060057, b_new = -0.8432181755134638, c_new = 6.094318115278909
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3063.2518084047597
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8826:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5068051684935386, b_new = -1.5345065017470816, c_new = 4.874750080899427
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11018.782847752635
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8827:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.366898953470054, b_new = 0.13332248645372768, c_new = 5.848409303976392
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11053.050645762076
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8828:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.822317156971225, b_new = -2.0318167366375315, c_new = 5.207628636270592
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6649.0740471261115
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8829:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.602920137444822, b_new = -1.4853551996354097, c_new = 4.764589264136561
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9685.218160998182
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8830:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.48008405127241, b_new = -1.2289895313587726, c_new = 5.558443182444002
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9602.996901241191
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8831:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.281163887365527, b_new = -1.4757177002921018, c_new = 6.530336065548706
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5452.646656284334
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8832:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.132034538297139, b_new = -0.9165360777383744, c_new = 5.12411835419544
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14539.781944729302
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8833:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1800270222611435, b_new = -1.56029692708421, c_new = 6.121049033035165
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3677.06021944399
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8834:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.220793973871884, b_new = -0.7175141974173385, c_new = 5.333628885869258
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5748.848077410662
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8835:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.793524593892547, b_new = -1.2202795675345588, c_new = 4.9110863311242134
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -16046.601433010786
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8836:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7502193494361142, b_new = -1.507609195401633, c_new = 5.475965011609108
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11895.313477090149
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8837:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7704274367682595, b_new = -0.5360306294921041, c_new = 5.133247860439334
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4171.902254770478
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8838:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.51479189584509, b_new = -1.3621304059019648, c_new = 5.387580478936457
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9753.099641072065
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8839:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7491959329611904, b_new = -0.617180497931804, c_new = 5.018949432227029
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12944.46993343171
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8840:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.573854578102192, b_new = -2.109077149393229, c_new = 5.719760866544626
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9155.349431411047
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8841:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5194555568982944, b_new = -1.8964614284672905, c_new = 4.469761681167123
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11696.88201229319
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8842:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8788408282482734, b_new = -0.9344908075170117, c_new = 5.0548299908599486
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3514.1042921682492
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8843:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.012363288349601, b_new = -0.928003224304483, c_new = 5.944819372841172
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3077.347446396291
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8844:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.718190797147246, b_new = -1.0113296498059268, c_new = 5.6796446047228795
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5915.674238549146
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8845:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.68998809352247, b_new = -1.1789505600140688, c_new = 4.595707781285725
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7341.0940479659475
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8846:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.020127553866455, b_new = -1.2919199972483457, c_new = 4.715172867455688
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3034.9772942024165
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8847:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9642450277462347, b_new = -1.3272089443384405, c_new = 5.5393423215331925
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3194.2171823799963
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8848:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8429949499825695, b_new = -1.0516455030451062, c_new = 5.485198506364517
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3978.5040931807553
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.324983576457265, b_new = -1.3698309495528558, c_new = 5.298992682340356
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12326.675258000607
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2519182351682168, b_new = -1.5657177915168863, c_new = 6.357015572895956
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12808.04452567787
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3751341910625268, b_new = -1.6342937165677882, c_new = 5.332165458336632
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12310.642529055982
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8442063146470935, b_new = -1.0034780252546776, c_new = 5.681957617362709
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3855.094606633142
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.295391993047013, b_new = -0.47887285195247487, c_new = 5.857209563957186
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8295.574262620656
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6195831557681797, b_new = -0.6480376398246712, c_new = 4.500129002561373
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7386.9887167263205
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3561737411199983, b_new = -1.8401151639537188, c_new = 5.358965433469873
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5653.173518339232
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.585545096036869, b_new = -1.3148002663800726, c_new = 5.1750403435615295
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9410.63940328718
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9513283877377168, b_new = -0.6646307700349574, c_new = 5.040776892865391
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3019.0444048121353
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.495589480693119, b_new = -0.4654872678732296, c_new = 5.993178857866757
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8636.46878044484
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7143156668271162, b_new = -1.3773918255626663, c_new = 5.6652950704358185
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6962.085759281658
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.470116340356731, b_new = -0.5473309888963284, c_new = 5.081640728122097
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10689.981340052385
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2522291547217526, b_new = -0.7568054194968681, c_new = 5.630991836270234
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11929.549569229615
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5316062781144377, b_new = -0.9396000827828286, c_new = 5.516754059862787
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9271.989386891537
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9453993772388407, b_new = -1.0473298626855212, c_new = 6.075166251676132
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3092.259426588873
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2091871703710764, b_new = -1.0423954794699348, c_new = 5.653976933008084
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4862.1063856081
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6001421974811936, b_new = -1.712129065063091, c_new = 5.209504762222233
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10093.196226470574
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.17657347504321, b_new = -0.7105077891461355, c_new = 5.929853144716356
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5118.495631422271
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.715353826652753, b_new = -0.7170511849658499, c_new = 5.849707691015636
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12821.320072708539
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.465776039370874, b_new = -2.1193603226148277, c_new = 5.714640377807443
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7277.126066595891
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.317484679553593, b_new = -1.0232076874248632, c_new = 4.437815799114799
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12133.55238987592
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.998549435219553, b_new = -1.5155424540431428, c_new = 5.461236727653503
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3149.7517613052587
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.673490355080043, b_new = -1.1006411825956055, c_new = 5.911474514701171
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11995.798886865876
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0966956544568687, b_new = -1.5503748356846399, c_new = 5.723062377586374
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3077.7029932965006
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2240819776408745, b_new = -0.9927634088613568, c_new = 5.499868237142634
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5190.03447083772
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.841628686082106, b_new = -1.1448162760172078, c_new = 5.055821404173667
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12880.340286103261
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3464346723633422, b_new = -1.1189452739812482, c_new = 6.335949808666871
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7750.1398317462845
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.178241707467855, b_new = -0.7023986089229988, c_new = 5.554248777979709
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5045.694558856488
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1872789292988135, b_new = -1.653956199614923, c_new = 5.605803336045155
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13494.878931389245
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.148237735626584, b_new = -0.6075155792826932, c_new = 6.575576017959728
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5063.855261084636
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7230707116069635, b_new = 0.41596456226423895, c_new = 5.249532871629059
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3479.5792102914543
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5763067967627777, b_new = -1.3919854425763578, c_new = 5.576666236616837
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9579.250891893185
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4862691966558734, b_new = -1.0620793580920918, c_new = 6.398309429918444
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10329.326898367039
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5962014976020726, b_new = -0.9258540160810933, c_new = 5.65321336773161
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11519.847012883794
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.722956351379109, b_new = -0.9500629644667222, c_new = 5.730935301661272
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5654.825109787638
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.691919022137787, b_new = -0.7106651099859869, c_new = 5.783876749779459
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5662.871520462609
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3182209033577905, b_new = -1.5676534450751236, c_new = 6.004379691095379
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5782.152001446746
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.878758100166606, b_new = -0.9039317151351154, c_new = 6.5843676635193615
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3313.884266258079
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3335099420266037, b_new = -1.496796205284598, c_new = 5.05472666573615
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12511.469374859815
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.773286319838632, b_new = -1.3921388805927257, c_new = 5.417587138793339
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12207.687969644061
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8800716258831365, b_new = -0.30001533376779743, c_new = 6.292284436331782
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13451.962690174649
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6056974937574555, b_new = -0.787656444448046, c_new = 5.084324318552852
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11653.224428108831
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9396424049421306, b_new = -0.8509158370544514, c_new = 5.935604367643395
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3052.3943490910515
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2840066785531765, b_new = -1.0102812443189157, c_new = 5.249338710026791
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6269.293338880369
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.947374886196476, b_new = -1.435012888570197, c_new = 5.050791021404687
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13161.494063965478
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7960107260174554, b_new = -1.4735562736545607, c_new = 5.19225302014337
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12201.894900853198
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5543859910113076, b_new = -0.6480287245338636, c_new = 5.1853304296393565
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8355.731129738728
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.629635371046648, b_new = -0.531030612987806, c_new = 4.822938593399408
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6765.75962725328
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.36919219468034, b_new = -0.953448114424318, c_new = 5.127317082103731
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11362.12637762543
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.48185497642257, b_new = -1.0724597078180076, c_new = 5.5139234221017634
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9942.982781985986
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0382813308410723, b_new = -1.9057614328269765, c_new = 5.356327797233595
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3222.6909005650946
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3105774605851024, b_new = -1.505033057997864, c_new = 5.716103201500874
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5688.1216418160475
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5409802965878803, b_new = -1.3990785548328264, c_new = 5.90441695267353
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10186.106625592243
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.877085139053076, b_new = -0.6204999925459578, c_new = 5.542701194168315
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3204.589297901679
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.020029894578063, b_new = -1.8940129853924845, c_new = 5.696469409400783
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13204.107539221399
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.64929103448173, b_new = -1.0596692845066318, c_new = 5.094139141496752
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7657.560564269677
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.199902623622671, b_new = -1.2180756477408732, c_new = 5.687462103085702
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4370.752901218377
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6953189645226336, b_new = -0.11182806996756622, c_new = 5.629521473741339
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13419.899737788039
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.715263265685146, b_new = -0.4268074274557315, c_new = 5.858830130484834
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4625.209853427006
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.71398398980425, b_new = -1.4883727031251506, c_new = 5.428050793281766
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11620.157768590156
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.861068173156863, b_new = -0.9465725712939126, c_new = 5.136340183784558
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3687.9456456063667
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8453013455051206, b_new = -1.7222655715150132, c_new = 4.729730892294226
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12107.344079852737
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.022963006058919, b_new = -1.8463245583406223, c_new = 5.859858008302886
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13311.242604242216
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.356566296492308, b_new = -0.9090537655939728, c_new = 5.4947285850522665
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11301.410996627468
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1975152897802914, b_new = -1.8729382269290784, c_new = 4.935795961729226
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3348.45673564974
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6697183241454767, b_new = -1.1422084473657157, c_new = 5.040469313408464
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7486.294348036488
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5465104810348635, b_new = -1.131241205931771, c_new = 5.195421635726935
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9578.069623115129
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6681999771744187, b_new = -1.1837722821067107, c_new = 5.794428616229723
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7344.970604129674
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.887250388612886, b_new = -0.8745263336787024, c_new = 5.3614701955020125
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3346.5421768331344
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221295422651396, b_new = -1.2539726428526219, c_new = 5.21421424730418
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4506.946126624019
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8298284941469984, b_new = -0.6084033889978067, c_new = 5.118662421105498
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3589.72705484011
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8899089770301534, b_new = -0.32069902947881823, c_new = 4.9446426184468155
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3058.8292418157143
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.796202192401024, b_new = -0.7507226621130747, c_new = 6.068659347515495
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3993.3188627297345
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1239735682733842, b_new = -1.8669522420818578, c_new = 5.512296488870056
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3050.774450699071
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3784906995201753, b_new = -1.6643457816570995, c_new = 5.614426096886781
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12245.4961676774
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.741481431353528, b_new = -1.0066517308456524, c_new = 5.7044682656024275
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12574.46923508816
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3122255645147796, b_new = -1.0241659513244363, c_new = 4.92951875985054
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12033.756543787742
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831842077001984, b_new = -0.6142831426469499, c_new = 5.190871842902314
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3567.1753699425594
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.783515723994137, b_new = -0.009017272100359408, c_new = 6.4125526891544045
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14247.645972812958
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3941427186205932, b_new = -0.3034442181381898, c_new = 4.898867532003573
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10138.05755207915
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.999489023889226, b_new = -0.9919265337970198, c_new = 4.902948911204604
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3011.4113762759916
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4980967897660316, b_new = -0.009389259697718089, c_new = 5.957818577047864
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7596.213497352558
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.885561807406768, b_new = -0.9962017738546695, c_new = 6.330849858963909
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3364.22527475429
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5982599073582655, b_new = -1.8641366099212393, c_new = 5.306804361668882
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9823.484370013462
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5947647052193448, b_new = -0.9188074228937645, c_new = 5.69703905464612
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8116.894951358148
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.043619056316186, b_new = -1.2462209127918946, c_new = 5.2307818708582
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3022.835382560359
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.574490091283415, b_new = -1.196484506719976, c_new = 5.66156518694323
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9139.521839738385
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.213563277186676, b_new = -1.2739106815645371, c_new = 5.3471094698053
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4385.402853839076
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.548287735927292, b_new = -1.0836670061635232, c_new = 6.179450759304627
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9115.3426953769
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3078307891943544, b_new = -0.4706305652146131, c_new = 5.271562736271331
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8334.48846556863
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8571654397594326, b_new = -0.4757100943831587, c_new = 5.453137241598537
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3228.9076030082433
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2185216284354508, b_new = -1.4913094721492137, c_new = 4.7908579123345545
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3970.372760989524
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.525973545108688, b_new = -1.8598533764024832, c_new = 5.81195549236734
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11098.095159125945
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6395734364427252, b_new = -0.7410208922303853, c_new = 5.024912740075453
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14976.243815517764
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.799237569430138, b_new = -1.5251352118563801, c_new = 5.449424109683848
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5672.37610292935
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3442803795233953, b_new = -1.1005004318348328, c_new = 5.34825427509471
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7358.2410342159255
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4885281800608534, b_new = -0.6999752320711699, c_new = 5.478048287868591
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9393.704987807101
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.734974661303941, b_new = -0.46630035369496325, c_new = 6.344927950783285
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4302.294392519652
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.715843270648863, b_new = -0.9753347621708444, c_new = 5.2540341332958675
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6014.901844046104
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1465022090958037, b_new = -1.0182976834097246, c_new = 4.690699758310516
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3787.9955118077564
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.884797231635469, b_new = -0.2385112744350718, c_new = 6.305607975603996
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3086.538057435107
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7100932304260557, b_new = -1.2565415811753682, c_new = 4.720519820545771
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7083.104934839304
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8276201211057654, b_new = -0.8891552705475669, c_new = 4.915482509440719
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13069.487985351432
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0063106019503416, b_new = -1.0415631665462313, c_new = 5.917558718041729
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3028.3330888714645
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4300659428815647, b_new = -1.7524457631565618, c_new = 4.966476027518212
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12145.89400390434
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2856929684127074, b_new = -0.5193305662844182, c_new = 5.784252488374731
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7932.421400444203
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.65317972746985, b_new = -1.4150686090288187, c_new = 4.721372835244182
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8669.272563177625
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.567121863368391, b_new = -2.1600142248156278, c_new = 5.424993023903271
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8861.431986919964
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.49976866763736, b_new = -1.9265270803193353, c_new = 4.2785211949557285
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7919.232304812118
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.415286414926919, b_new = -0.6573098397640258, c_new = 5.386438702817341
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9841.757549679167
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.887222525316283, b_new = -1.0504815137329513, c_new = 5.2875296064346
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3533.996125258027
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4122541979699053, b_new = -1.6512636160842764, c_new = 5.145196706463067
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7212.315829532038
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0793612149575913, b_new = -1.236057196963962, c_new = 4.770485446426465
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3100.330734797263
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7306697295430458, b_new = -0.9144912512620547, c_new = 5.250584197455284
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5572.554395383633
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.996447639078193, b_new = -2.222229832206428, c_new = 5.1408504932251935
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12565.86254086902
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.006382828365011, b_new = -1.3868584017792405, c_new = 5.674244156389552
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3049.146509930929
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6147152839722483, b_new = -1.3516819821612711, c_new = 5.6542508928702855
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11000.262271914462
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094358645694462, b_new = -1.0487448849053775, c_new = 4.7052860866475
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3291.4364600223594
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.771845892205284, b_new = -1.3436945877134567, c_new = 4.936853900876178
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12135.19049214362
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0434430227173603, b_new = -1.2738263398628193, c_new = 5.67812574622508
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3028.3971312020494
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.37430276613429, b_new = -1.09117367455317, c_new = 4.815739109312773
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7810.051217652721
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.693475881951104, b_new = -0.6265621342016169, c_new = 4.954975654939142
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5690.1626058192205
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9518610056235837, b_new = -0.8757481314122513, c_new = 5.786110059286478
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13791.790071385822
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.207061113228856, b_new = -1.319395978031725, c_new = 4.371680132011743
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13311.346957752341
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1948835068856485, b_new = -1.5263852123110893, c_new = 5.688640031715713
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3805.908827805675
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0989873052342456, b_new = -0.38142702227286596, c_new = 5.42995626281804
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4389.052040363655
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.323481239542987, b_new = -2.260908348604199, c_new = 4.845382725061249
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4150.073556464673
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.749484725530303, b_new = -0.15478834122984275, c_new = 5.337423103212033
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3830.8032138981443
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.34027914586253, b_new = -1.1639844442536833, c_new = 4.857850548986598
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6911.422294174196
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8803526783686966, b_new = -0.6833404926781298, c_new = 5.242795463556923
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3250.7502460595088
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3743955738068805, b_new = -0.8418053689826732, c_new = 4.889312932683889
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8507.028805938176
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.134967866722759, b_new = -0.011029315596418732, c_new = 5.976118566525095
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6110.588709194497
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2672666948690052, b_new = -0.305379210892078, c_new = 4.676122066099973
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7682.239205007493
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.540445533035223, b_new = -0.5595720709419831, c_new = 5.789621437858059
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8182.11910858425
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.286040720402676, b_new = -1.7024647365209387, c_new = 5.942538378140642
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4846.754227944121
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6919796717285758, b_new = -0.6526019251696263, c_new = 5.668014827021187
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5559.898750750721
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.546623329036997, b_new = -1.5104941215913366, c_new = 6.133643580658307
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10115.8415786706
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.767511803683697, b_new = -0.42495275972920155, c_new = 5.062834723763936
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13311.864547467107
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4167207571392275, b_new = -1.4590793922142329, c_new = 4.5530495917236
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11923.297787301677
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8045007011504457, b_new = -1.4414147063919236, c_new = 5.525456002864182
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5339.827745053609
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.735571859287971, b_new = -0.5167850687993268, c_new = 6.169514160595059
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4414.406339777033
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3675924936906823, b_new = -1.7354802685706254, c_new = 5.206403506248079
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6095.543287276137
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.132966954685057, b_new = -0.969678497930832, c_new = 5.508517988885456
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3860.1290613364476
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8991867892089136, b_new = -0.8607724980520206, c_new = 6.115228369730902
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3196.8443361681284
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.923956131732331, b_new = -1.3201311436398742, c_new = 5.03278921272463
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3547.6464402234924
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5472291489698438, b_new = -0.8773805628792085, c_new = 5.6286356369141
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11114.875402676314
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.278998195972429, b_new = -0.9135637200302738, c_new = 5.507268654730888
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6526.205331719126
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.754994476601863, b_new = -1.3596177938852687, c_new = 5.1913818845950335
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6236.45831222348
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9489392563117836, b_new = -0.512490474270706, c_new = 5.46073829228503
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13519.526747703592
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.046028610361239, b_new = -1.6385547703961252, c_new = 6.013107152494676
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14065.378194957502
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 8999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.383715263402388, b_new = -0.7339633335587048, c_new = 6.016045871682514
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9393.575614580985
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7674469519565985, b_new = -1.5381402275782858, c_new = 5.688230829634515
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6271.086111458547
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1723416768683053, b_new = -1.0021862537340096, c_new = 6.15142989366269
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4489.39612419434
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7010146731746394, b_new = -1.4096772526723882, c_new = 5.610344536689194
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7349.04014595095
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8269827186216694, b_new = -1.0784176305690338, c_new = 4.698897185633115
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4424.274030014116
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0251733108660086, b_new = -1.8445648135941273, c_new = 4.680500039784122
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3341.3636082693774
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.483693662998673, b_new = -1.1098198515199815, c_new = 5.386581052987675
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9847.339506506314
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5674975704938494, b_new = -0.6021984179439306, c_new = 5.099605762377921
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8043.794796123314
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.218966022886162, b_new = -1.1393499380068328, c_new = 5.175959023096287
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4686.701390766124
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.591868970239466, b_new = -2.128072856981205, c_new = 5.902575420287249
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10803.030008720672
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.436417880627035, b_new = -0.5696423621022992, c_new = 5.217636913541006
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9900.375436080536
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.180226563540318, b_new = -1.3725631070898898, c_new = 5.224178775057814
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13305.68065646425
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1954384050884403, b_new = -1.105903265833695, c_new = 5.193184838339146
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4389.5978402121
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7134351508408106, b_new = -1.7000835810131418, c_new = 5.614431707725813
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11353.265154520079
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0590909611959796, b_new = -1.3738548500795897, c_new = 5.773673948510639
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3037.2674552736253
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2874638382895887, b_new = -0.35567893812159157, c_new = 4.93574732723368
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8088.254257861871
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2421789421783975, b_new = -1.3081489270680124, c_new = 4.89664903811346
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4649.461930225079
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.190681467649453, b_new = -0.7539555463339531, c_new = 5.854570314383582
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5250.176186193565
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.879152512832367, b_new = -1.5152041813306725, c_new = 5.911710899541087
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12882.229514208115
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9327021664897064, b_new = -0.5068160247960763, c_new = 5.567394312021258
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14202.971088674283
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1039092394643184, b_new = -1.1327290409735773, c_new = 5.74837695652225
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13325.336931284404
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4924106475602557, b_new = -1.3072419468006247, c_new = 5.304573478538628
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10606.511822694103
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5347309685655266, b_new = -1.77282618381604, c_new = 5.146938130949571
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11057.508547352641
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2911879588082673, b_new = -0.9801442538633724, c_new = 5.506785445974112
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11974.998275569968
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.402585421629286, b_new = -0.3551617086995169, c_new = 6.182354747983112
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10618.51459169418
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.782056781762436, b_new = -1.1002815719605292, c_new = 5.396623518380759
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12643.207949597761
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.957128188001679, b_new = -0.40646442427258067, c_new = 5.648680723475705
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3115.8550562000455
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.631541264537828, b_new = -1.5373775962951062, c_new = 5.391804229970891
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9107.480075821235
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6831910673315917, b_new = 0.01247994030986499, c_new = 5.194546798913832
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4459.999957784592
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7217121516552942, b_new = -1.3343563124724866, c_new = 5.092107947673648
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6906.862503679484
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9357899792384012, b_new = -0.897413984149867, c_new = 4.402179733483476
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3163.5244576738633
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1247386653920795, b_new = -1.3832475842528797, c_new = 6.054957899763545
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3370.353980369434
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.641293399115731, b_new = -0.8109048569846851, c_new = 5.129296155710633
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11934.253735783086
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8387032481309764, b_new = -0.20762706793442742, c_new = 5.04908020094712
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3192.5033753246666
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.344083639852564, b_new = -1.099153308761907, c_new = 5.334635477550483
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11761.98566049193
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.138331082616878, b_new = -0.6929402237777528, c_new = 5.72922351837458
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14895.039595009412
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8959799105767186, b_new = -1.55735270122043, c_new = 5.317629557765538
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4151.666545582027
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6285841814052784, b_new = -0.6354269869662732, c_new = 6.0870979704639
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6624.438189275068
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.207496177470401, b_new = -1.1631841230780386, c_new = 4.6459729032427735
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4331.552878833254
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.125458759380226, b_new = -1.542325130071633, c_new = 5.7030506503995575
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3206.8553977336687
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6697415595037146, b_new = -0.5626331583839295, c_new = 5.276910314346462
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12547.953389929025
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1118639722512698, b_new = -1.4004608520385993, c_new = 5.2179005218677466
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3186.225560745814
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.688442741182154, b_new = -1.2555901806271994, c_new = 5.963810519979786
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7060.86206081873
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.045886019444491, b_new = -1.1214644768404896, c_new = 5.46791829063216
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3071.1992023899093
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.364171874201189, b_new = -1.6724981245668569, c_new = 5.753544094741259
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6375.461455096736
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8552396660963093, b_new = -0.8430827945689987, c_new = 5.153316627034237
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3615.151099331072
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.667694357589345, b_new = -0.7775920993500369, c_new = 5.495606458656708
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12296.022095281773
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9825921331490353, b_new = -0.9368245926166646, c_new = 5.404765158675868
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3014.2744690982327
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1216512888025014, b_new = -1.3048892824274672, c_new = 5.9082768018535345
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3403.045130330619
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3038083252645327, b_new = -1.5222647163712857, c_new = 4.614014269847537
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5177.160043494689
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7429900499371733, b_new = -2.0582747004298074, c_new = 5.619842022222459
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11076.21991862626
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.135200122697742, b_new = -1.3848492015733131, c_new = 5.39361225925656
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3364.635442283895
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.765410644379944, b_new = -1.3604022236364568, c_new = 6.569181340599856
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5560.787787774185
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.319899072604806, b_new = -1.6732615439788687, c_new = 5.340811571346834
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12768.756327402982
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2552430115963893, b_new = -0.5496755096074758, c_new = 5.483663898760395
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7032.836283558921
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2286951120502305, b_new = -0.646800131311501, c_new = 5.4199066760314984
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6138.248324134453
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.086798591392087, b_new = -1.473743447057616, c_new = 4.544568322407265
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3044.2415448702386
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.079262261484875, b_new = -1.193861928249092, c_new = 5.717079306889203
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3192.3403277475513
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6205402950274985, b_new = -0.6911789100476238, c_new = 5.7686447958498785
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12131.438270903178
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.158475122734997, b_new = -0.947210100350693, c_new = 6.5100281537966875
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4485.26434080455
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7016434030654985, b_new = -1.8956016647863585, c_new = 5.913023314475047
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8542.686065412612
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8758467062747703, b_new = -0.8260369501670412, c_new = 4.845155092375638
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3453.3456225755526
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083520637598067, b_new = -2.469233912278236, c_new = 5.217820376931987
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3457.6654973402383
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4799158485633477, b_new = -1.687338283910462, c_new = 4.484847703244238
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11725.081821552907
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8330211244992365, b_new = -1.4734918195538966, c_new = 5.335809970527293
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14869.187316164429
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4312143931588768, b_new = -0.27794183133656636, c_new = 5.32510032088405
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10829.49598935744
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.546340551432486, b_new = -0.9099136497808104, c_new = 4.894480135644493
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10819.431632972848
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3136948495421397, b_new = -0.9702228992077725, c_new = 6.830593092033558
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7675.6704141370365
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.351980390615748, b_new = -1.1893790740010612, c_new = 5.254063906941297
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11856.00683721647
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1221468810763544, b_new = -0.9593238552149437, c_new = 5.469035075972234
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13093.76027587853
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.76463242803083, b_new = -1.5270454675644733, c_new = 5.540130442637541
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6354.849206094431
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1224411307036952, b_new = -1.7538733891246894, c_new = 5.839045131915546
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3089.290972102767
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.297247835962316, b_new = -0.6985471404549617, c_new = 5.974848604605733
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7741.978073244687
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3224559234832785, b_new = -1.2863452128976844, c_new = 4.865132307910464
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6207.741525768086
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.791391818045684, b_new = -1.4899498802722662, c_new = 5.5763372584953155
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5695.829409772389
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5779436539880995, b_new = -2.080111365016179, c_new = 5.023173652991866
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11191.473395194604
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4012427545905624, b_new = -1.6610391688671458, c_new = 5.099359011593028
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12208.54378404914
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9183461978924736, b_new = -1.5135900364753192, c_new = 5.751237481373094
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13079.433574018436
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.852283699101379, b_new = -1.510021720431152, c_new = 5.268102495365089
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4729.221354949948
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.262910890101118, b_new = -0.971457803309838, c_new = 5.419211873748469
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5986.00321927048
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6635150723703074, b_new = -1.3896153276817866, c_new = 4.527589617926822
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8482.659253074338
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.505873683765738, b_new = -1.7442393837131025, c_new = 5.517351857487678
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11206.54627851415
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8294364557852747, b_new = -1.571270875719625, c_new = 5.474710194055284
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5198.742353859696
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7753304583539733, b_new = -1.0614246382261294, c_new = 5.248638809228716
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5084.307008909548
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2493289424440546, b_new = -0.4442036569769964, c_new = 5.91654980644392
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7395.9616879276455
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9514986886760581, b_new = -0.9126730298744068, c_new = 5.336059023059382
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13929.594557940272
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5778269020646682, b_new = -1.436615151013107, c_new = 5.023787018635228
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10275.88217457255
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.688713856523516, b_new = -1.9681350466462637, c_new = 5.658773339013458
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9081.27389942026
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545653864218061, b_new = -1.6127021985485905, c_new = 5.446986555846929
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10503.649700555909
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5622601962337193, b_new = -1.0067599883147298, c_new = 5.975908282518491
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11155.98368192491
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.468410806703046, b_new = -0.9546791956418135, c_new = 5.485757909617632
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10159.328768328092
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.999475234250024, b_new = -0.911146573669052, c_new = 5.1851382179452665
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3020.347124082542
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.325681244368339, b_new = -1.2365787982584784, c_new = 5.655567802037302
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6698.706477634625
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1257353218381887, b_new = -1.1569670791842155, c_new = 6.1099838481239415
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3639.8237564595884
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.102160873007159, b_new = -1.0891801682671356, c_new = 5.917499492502968
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3469.4695225473315
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1708194269195698, b_new = -1.3388688343979962, c_new = 5.719057779589396
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3802.673059749944
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7966178088634006, b_new = -1.017287272033789, c_new = 4.862753584095325
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4736.52299301494
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1342720877174743, b_new = -0.9572871981070927, c_new = 4.958571355695877
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13150.022340145522
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.686630460831166, b_new = -0.9982175414347709, c_new = 5.614367480616489
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12161.725373673313
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.11406613491301, b_new = -1.1669373254253013, c_new = 5.584979012098594
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3436.9817592289137
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879204577153007, b_new = -0.8514724363688229, c_new = 6.091983106856146
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3311.201000502891
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3346139818666733, b_new = -1.519696544778596, c_new = 5.09349539879545
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5932.310042738021
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0468269463789968, b_new = -0.6625793135448605, c_new = 5.47366700017376
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3401.132611771188
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9531575129764205, b_new = -0.6865284897762735, c_new = 6.480350773222983
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3063.109572768512
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2123059655480954, b_new = -1.0450411810051243, c_new = 4.858334436292946
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4684.544305555153
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1046836395316606, b_new = -0.6961065056177691, c_new = 5.299098626646796
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12929.053660148873
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3423104286139624, b_new = -0.5900666177332857, c_new = 5.3281384992829635
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8728.70536219615
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3770758137363703, b_new = -2.1622420680375383, c_new = 5.833856449135994
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5436.419794075142
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.856323638322263, b_new = -1.1790023672491539, c_new = 5.193400384758196
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4071.996123408653
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.436375095706688, b_new = 0.05443786203638967, c_new = 4.8671552954836965
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11355.063296326885
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2535962814452213, b_new = -1.6320505456671597, c_new = 6.594633361681695
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4636.767792225571
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.233904581358538, b_new = -1.633780550415391, c_new = 5.889656232391059
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13126.656015154378
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.242461951832468, b_new = -0.8066979907720915, c_new = 5.268299090602965
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5940.111685143707
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5750438022013835, b_new = -1.1727932120667581, c_new = 6.105845926863819
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11041.398356764948
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.610306050642475, b_new = -1.7697647142551607, c_new = 6.094682220233034
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10370.637807225052
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.548108367692015, b_new = -0.8429236581796951, c_new = 5.241273654377271
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8897.947885652866
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.939336447700517, b_new = -0.7968197401017434, c_new = 4.9782164017683606
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3064.1963837092935
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.766677685190193, b_new = -1.4684464501446017, c_new = 5.216427801390082
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12003.951852082122
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.168934116901681, b_new = -1.198740388092989, c_new = 4.90533953620187
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3827.750110180115
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6244491859937917, b_new = -1.466301138617959, c_new = 5.599963702502211
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8976.098128044765
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.590458250324276, b_new = -1.5450105543157426, c_new = 5.299280895658203
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10307.474281811434
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7507094353586004, b_new = -1.1681381546019511, c_new = 5.657644409410191
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5669.633791524124
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8231738854719677, b_new = -1.500418973951318, c_new = 6.783202749510276
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14622.001611953818
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.996385660962887, b_new = -0.9158293435411186, c_new = 5.895840209897904
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3040.7634301356948
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2906975826651754, b_new = -0.3224005953848418, c_new = 4.886846540022478
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8233.611806697838
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.560874714766393, b_new = -1.277217023313924, c_new = 5.0479168177911395
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10376.837300778814
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3103099359784567, b_new = -0.8889935888628767, c_new = 4.950277819372184
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7062.826093401916
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8059513234910214, b_new = -0.7312897239253364, c_new = 5.77862206877327
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3898.2259836735366
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.789925926263051, b_new = -0.09219064103946195, c_new = 5.702284559611504
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3362.991817785767
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.655713649822731, b_new = -1.3426323787948038, c_new = 5.512234877656952
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11360.510156073311
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0800059074877852, b_new = -0.6005891607190657, c_new = 5.273084596254754
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3748.777213074484
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.506652599376052, b_new = -0.4983848383470132, c_new = 6.201285241276785
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11549.165953776277
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3333776359775804, b_new = -0.8882144501946097, c_new = 5.888920598441408
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7943.130250692286
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.418848909030311, b_new = -1.7799393903557414, c_new = 5.191013595841969
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7026.3060257453735
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5349441231586116, b_new = -0.9664058678190064, c_new = 5.278679475118886
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9361.430396968786
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266200771417078, b_new = -0.9097367201175892, c_new = 5.249005947953032
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6160.473114163466
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8649123816887854, b_new = -0.9764987705483699, c_new = 5.805965543204944
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13417.910952514882
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7849711563782904, b_new = -0.7620897534166375, c_new = 4.868840876719009
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4419.254459746753
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7654546776494837, b_new = -1.103223360871971, c_new = 5.695812419038344
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5223.435979035654
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.559115167174713, b_new = -1.2238298096424256, c_new = 4.887718321925453
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10403.986735388651
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8151306987933404, b_new = -1.1153387488464017, c_new = 4.989648221386229
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4601.892833518401
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.051598182581099, b_new = -1.3601447398629778, c_new = 6.005682815649984
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3034.393753868365
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.155308435855587, b_new = -2.1340121197823665, c_new = 5.151240545867936
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3066.0261945883562
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2892207841233407, b_new = -1.2876569401083273, c_new = 5.710620895033388
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5806.26152022498
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.953246592492809, b_new = -1.4078169997809777, c_new = 5.0821333068392995
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3386.8617985343667
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.941988198159766, b_new = -1.3436212896750308, c_new = 6.021711438413353
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3294.2279768607286
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.646526965288154, b_new = -1.040080320501097, c_new = 5.845269102550436
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11843.746264195339
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4561642909204924, b_new = -0.8527322346521649, c_new = 5.226170256106546
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10196.9238581582
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.581186529538376, b_new = -1.747229236038015, c_new = 5.749776775770604
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9967.918433487852
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8128552927331665, b_new = -2.3050473485749077, c_new = 5.049092371812481
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11167.341505458193
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.613248076435636, b_new = -0.7691006186369249, c_new = 4.80480290584833
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7714.033566732198
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.79513336442743, b_new = -0.6045278203836236, c_new = 5.3582175276467945
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13337.692142970029
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6761945688986253, b_new = -1.59855421481548, c_new = 5.352516625158975
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8464.332846400925
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.29752149478307, b_new = -1.1377581431569184, c_new = 5.4616891781115875
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6290.886192154163
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1312410551049275, b_new = -0.3097114555005511, c_new = 4.992061044474749
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4926.872919282887
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5832158761241653, b_new = -1.8565559239915344, c_new = 4.080849618864926
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11020.813261810905
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.53452539331445, b_new = -1.3319506530889114, c_new = 6.090791617392851
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9862.384980538587
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8956834764136095, b_new = -0.4823643019581305, c_new = 5.573582542335922
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13708.795804239575
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.200666401712064, b_new = -0.3505997385661275, c_new = 5.678998932423089
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6464.332602017565
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.058847280786008, b_new = -2.021384796089976, c_new = 6.212939444285279
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3117.2065354399474
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.397578379505264, b_new = -0.9047241783812838, c_new = 4.817586521994979
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8752.038514449127
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.80211979111392, b_new = -1.7016605217373537, c_new = 6.109668939807296
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12186.861310084329
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9867398566170578, b_new = -1.0301850440561544, c_new = 5.126387498079583
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3020.0541349782116
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.286057185397694, b_new = -0.8421695718639786, c_new = 4.880173645037369
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11992.011057267153
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.821724364429232, b_new = -1.621682130950429, c_new = 6.594218168459772
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12559.914567562904
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.327700458183222, b_new = -1.364885473256321, c_new = 5.798242529163953
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12158.407011223004
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.311993519147892, b_new = -1.7118053135038018, c_new = 5.189839872101206
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12916.17859935729
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4653099487098182, b_new = -1.0674963916328284, c_new = 6.117657423116826
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9934.672030541347
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.097578579671901, b_new = -1.1194101306534259, c_new = 6.134314758269645
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14452.027578800029
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1659345841600195, b_new = -0.7875565797084576, c_new = 4.973017038275239
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4492.165532265566
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7931350819615024, b_new = -0.8580704416607954, c_new = 5.735308419330951
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4272.572317459595
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.536535089085127, b_new = -1.2635977273234662, c_new = 5.492669139394334
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10257.29626458672
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.265556777248864, b_new = -1.1340167302069428, c_new = 5.640413515747477
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5693.690994724113
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4404365936497023, b_new = -1.3392014452026901, c_new = 5.849816869546684
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11077.992737230523
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7968283473641087, b_new = -1.5658759626489465, c_new = 5.188296099171917
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5918.5494374847085
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.55879917545316, b_new = -1.577483102790245, c_new = 5.628840376399128
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9976.173198571692
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.005952705631869, b_new = -1.5001743250784298, c_new = 4.888700139834877
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13364.239841523471
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.514793734463514, b_new = -1.6324191493627271, c_new = 5.461461156729106
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9213.411863136618
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.346764379666235, b_new = -1.3811788754482808, c_new = 4.63195089652518
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6386.792475255071
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8515499913550015, b_new = -1.9206681206641112, c_new = 5.607739882577188
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5581.6359581830075
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8128232524748498, b_new = -1.0597650692923102, c_new = 4.911904455158095
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4549.318766487595
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9580207332590063, b_new = -1.2084928047097252, c_new = 5.465402470152576
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3156.2080602017054
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.19913489923807, b_new = -0.850279447516132, c_new = 5.2634312969664
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4992.176465259145
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6385388049751217, b_new = -0.532906122766008, c_new = 5.613007177294233
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6326.474984849419
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.617892379703292, b_new = -1.2810299014564277, c_new = 5.7081482914737975
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8593.303449417721
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.984695614601262, b_new = -0.8829874580793369, c_new = 5.77941865760075
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3026.858105389431
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.707810044133701, b_new = -1.501469758549954, c_new = 5.723938511744037
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7415.116093288038
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.742889634327696, b_new = -1.352035852654698, c_new = 5.33320580727235
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6416.580720781492
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.09693393918928, b_new = -1.4941027887247524, c_new = 5.574793575909768
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3093.8605165861745
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.934398734673282, b_new = -0.17904919128414176, c_new = 5.598963070243755
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14547.815678843204
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.612639893893747, b_new = -1.044296732005178, c_new = 4.8455411075183195
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11242.258563112535
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6602246857085374, b_new = -1.0245745145531937, c_new = 5.693965787191993
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7122.953251078752
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2785248867153634, b_new = -1.2862483848866493, c_new = 5.445470770686844
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5504.990702125971
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.752322825460711, b_new = -1.5099988537088496, c_new = 4.828478448404864
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6844.594440185087
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9426836969439356, b_new = -1.1349720133508105, c_new = 5.272496144885142
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3204.814101115308
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.272762382841675, b_new = -0.8637889836213303, c_new = 5.305158766094438
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6451.048936469465
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3274269258618485, b_new = -2.2275727525669753, c_new = 6.270865745602568
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4558.174932561228
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.352720361335537, b_new = -1.9931191727145094, c_new = 4.649610312681016
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5039.485023735891
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7416407787364703, b_new = -1.1766561639108999, c_new = 5.740180002272958
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12357.840962755192
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2362941435131347, b_new = -0.5644021654604868, c_new = 5.256338447964906
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6473.44040134114
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.451017476007812, b_new = -0.5259987440631446, c_new = 4.93992909289458
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9717.677810539275
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.541351194374602, b_new = -1.0546737731572209, c_new = 5.936458703203104
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10838.04260610554
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.935231451314916, b_new = -0.9846650617851468, c_new = 4.7889924404179816
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13529.1807858446
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1422384307490816, b_new = -0.8886279012315004, c_new = 5.625150049756981
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4130.553843672502
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8251886344616843, b_new = -1.0947949643775925, c_new = 5.017095993482098
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12829.099571592766
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9739009186046155, b_new = -0.8906225131172057, c_new = 4.762253128550692
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13942.388225261197
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9026006023729707, b_new = -1.3978350570880833, c_new = 6.085231387392632
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3678.6934282801835
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.108981508508251, b_new = -1.4262795750147852, c_new = 5.053879638480604
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3145.478444624218
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.594104343090917, b_new = -0.7385948581389892, c_new = 6.652240038546752
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7363.054052535081
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.474891729162668, b_new = -1.0605207067757207, c_new = 5.8356398320711245
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9983.609574639482
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0931016629243233, b_new = -2.0892606925205035, c_new = 5.488640627263405
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3089.7882561854485
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5484119933499345, b_new = -0.638927085483467, c_new = 5.380559166377228
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8369.430912405911
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.890655375140546, b_new = -1.6322706939285623, c_new = 6.1530533177167115
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4158.1212237910595
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7033616770721918, b_new = -0.22943765898774393, c_new = 5.541435004497562
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4515.3571999082305
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4028209505440996, b_new = -0.7850192101259448, c_new = 5.610259814458734
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9433.687645151429
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5710951466636334, b_new = -2.3143739983447644, c_new = 4.904316528559892
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11764.106948750818
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.970063534941332, b_new = -1.6408823276087925, c_new = 4.794527999011175
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12994.801380165018
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6326813543531475, b_new = -0.4966153682052338, c_new = 6.04014162394339
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12592.20712117113
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.049057878992742, b_new = -1.3032918418573571, c_new = 4.5870162653095825
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3020.5218090551953
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4261396389757923, b_new = -1.3101295170096998, c_new = 5.47401473115797
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8496.918981466615
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2538907231199277, b_new = -1.332797106604599, c_new = 5.226913785658547
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4881.215121824977
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4070564571094857, b_new = -1.0669754102297158, c_new = 5.164293885960979
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8645.208984994832
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.828669863904593, b_new = -1.3629408058582515, c_new = 5.967910239481716
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4620.069087538682
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8894517695356488, b_new = -1.4902383294271426, c_new = 4.604080506176678
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4300.951543100352
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.446424669929371, b_new = 0.11684546088752246, c_new = 6.21178993847209
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -16371.942466912973
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0533782176529494, b_new = -1.9506542520526962, c_new = 5.730803537164501
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3140.396617615358
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.626932881886433, b_new = -1.693211260672629, c_new = 5.254984252226878
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10433.69018712967
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2019614223010286, b_new = -0.5214685942281819, c_new = 6.097243084137875
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6173.637142121473
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.789296615984286, b_new = -0.5073391203099306, c_new = 5.518644966545624
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3823.976285079809
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9902446665318507, b_new = -1.8647617446897922, c_new = 4.283976114773018
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14893.46327715425
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5508794168124966, b_new = -1.7268048600092465, c_new = 4.789110900641203
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9320.204974702348
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1218836478270777, b_new = -1.3044593580783368, c_new = 5.174533138209945
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3314.7007828288315
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.235386003761712, b_new = -1.8820238807651484, c_new = 5.861690178472028
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3802.9218808024157
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.332243575914234, b_new = -0.8961736596553729, c_new = 4.858989703223063
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7480.614124838456
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2884005410245036, b_new = 0.24687545569837677, c_new = 5.211849802964826
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9892.15489510345
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0134330601161428, b_new = -0.7839818705442574, c_new = 5.710152491222587
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3133.309466742615
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.096756706259377, b_new = -1.4032505415144956, c_new = 6.0949796050399945
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3180.3125478454626
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1387758000019454, b_new = -1.556919726221974, c_new = 5.21247332860543
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3231.193455751384
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.633800474109156, b_new = -1.3384404054999166, c_new = 5.929429046250266
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11288.962027105705
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.85797934329186, b_new = -1.4410188846106782, c_new = 5.771303263718889
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4370.592852045321
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.41612881770674, b_new = -0.7516180049808899, c_new = 5.725636549150981
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9766.311509558802
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3632830349910345, b_new = -1.2498955704308787, c_new = 5.217565139393747
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7298.956022643261
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.23647225341052, b_new = -2.3645605698769483, c_new = 5.860641494331596
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3310.6491845886476
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3567939634521955, b_new = -2.402167839921532, c_new = 5.106524443378153
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4429.97691498149
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9517499904615008, b_new = -1.1828714848715316, c_new = 5.245854414510499
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13511.054242220298
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.063226696382702, b_new = -0.3029901630851234, c_new = 5.896931536931513
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4156.9846575966285
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1307954734530323, b_new = -1.8731683800151817, c_new = 5.016872855345517
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3059.0835244906852
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.310537068649359, b_new = -1.7191069176039813, c_new = 4.951275047861985
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13003.01127588109
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5572399143395277, b_new = -0.8608086346009871, c_new = 5.417462514472886
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11179.148375876945
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.026334040296743, b_new = -1.1094245520091985, c_new = 5.4424886336233955
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3027.75659000625
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.788941133727244, b_new = -0.8138831947244025, c_new = 4.943530035268149
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12929.967569504606
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5408109974583324, b_new = -1.005607051173658, c_new = 4.626322522359502
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10509.617889864567
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1107005090065054, b_new = -0.8392593658604747, c_new = 5.86350460650814
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3869.352711973636
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.859267285718676, b_new = -0.5004674365874096, c_new = 6.552751059987033
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3180.6538334027723
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.043434759403345, b_new = -1.2257202669952347, c_new = 5.940574789243389
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3051.8955812242666
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2936681153694622, b_new = -1.2087032162697418, c_new = 5.507120409961613
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6034.290358235565
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.722889558586437, b_new = -0.2450146634410516, c_new = 4.631208998379911
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13143.481343240386
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.361208824168145, b_new = -0.907398447182869, c_new = 5.595320284238347
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11224.691729887605
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.158860985121668, b_new = -1.124078352519002, c_new = 5.0964616538290635
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3854.0700564683916
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0239992427581353, b_new = -0.7798748431936702, c_new = 4.693919959178603
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3099.240281293449
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9702210767927966, b_new = -0.7950304816782877, c_new = 5.7317021290146934
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14121.459268312949
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8700716006182505, b_new = -1.5210641296914933, c_new = 5.596660860400055
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4384.507437050668
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9598997052255176, b_new = -0.15793795832949353, c_new = 6.009416707949251
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3350.5330572794555
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.823561220383941, b_new = -1.2713817895674058, c_new = 5.366219570307832
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4678.6210704039395
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8370267472158623, b_new = -0.7303819924191204, c_new = 5.624293824670762
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13500.63925452505
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.62028747412487, b_new = -0.34246638663496143, c_new = 4.9203565414106585
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12388.226718463582
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0873195924357004, b_new = -1.4640984152276655, c_new = 5.329713626832873
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13865.681054722423
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.785408238550549, b_new = -1.1598628925875099, c_new = 5.041810357167104
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5188.354163836138
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8133932762380955, b_new = -0.8840972520503141, c_new = 6.661791018993799
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3878.172478994632
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6747461595175452, b_new = -0.8323140363222199, c_new = 5.702353945633156
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12331.489257270958
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2411114629463444, b_new = -1.0178864947355715, c_new = 6.064960895019815
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5646.587306056604
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.30189666935771, b_new = -1.2387619544279809, c_new = 4.609406236698103
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5817.232408654358
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2505596343185807, b_new = -1.3125698443267495, c_new = 4.535550725843267
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12984.03861183239
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7728403724731967, b_new = -1.6252702634020082, c_new = 6.265559266088887
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12119.678625262943
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.092984161175485, b_new = -1.111367864979816, c_new = 5.737387247072217
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3348.4576958036982
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7591078481434788, b_new = -0.8576270187374584, c_new = 5.745339606590645
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14528.180960163087
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3941862431981926, b_new = -1.6025763879472552, c_new = 5.698205665288389
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11998.096322310506
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.77300863572194, b_new = -0.9449950510519409, c_new = 5.160125980607014
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12719.104061018239
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.563937774635192, b_new = -0.48430946114123374, c_new = 5.507784565617856
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7681.849685663641
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8810607765347545, b_new = -0.5159097319686267, c_new = 6.189089111680973
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14112.2878862376
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8510570655613323, b_new = -0.8082380216439569, c_new = 5.44578644070902
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13441.486011488094
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.745355505069579, b_new = -1.673695895415665, c_new = 6.054956997980261
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11781.27539503112
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6313236379076885, b_new = -1.254366145020846, c_new = 4.830131051211138
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8615.147070522824
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8256483572432851, b_new = -1.8656645930492548, c_new = 6.065479328018666
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15056.41939944773
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0427135631618545, b_new = -0.7835468243075545, c_new = 5.586640098151033
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3275.199929508898
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.967471705793645, b_new = -0.9372625079101609, c_new = 5.1674120734805715
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3031.3283825955755
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.89362625015707, b_new = -0.5632046232206924, c_new = 5.118016469202329
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13850.555459090792
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5225708372696523, b_new = -1.394519131674294, c_new = 5.379755397666801
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10381.08295891589
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.736520908964886, b_new = -0.5965564944819053, c_new = 5.213453363212686
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4771.866497104236
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0144489858938406, b_new = -1.074299862832995, c_new = 4.019361414390809
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3027.129234447263
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7061219724090706, b_new = -0.298829044255405, c_new = 5.299991429277436
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4655.950252407829
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.353685904235308, b_new = -1.2051643119161255, c_new = 4.589984961073549
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6985.4169793465435
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.289302789967534, b_new = -0.16734440961812813, c_new = 3.9684331695151265
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15391.641476604635
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.946683503032146, b_new = -0.5875467849339947, c_new = 4.734234314337077
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3018.2682104119644
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.897147155024013, b_new = -1.9021153662787078, c_new = 4.35354188605734
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5112.880098260834
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3466897003422083, b_new = -1.3386664334122573, c_new = 5.001877104644552
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6627.76992344599
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.922929558369114, b_new = -0.8462201222121566, c_new = 5.970167112303667
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3095.54215845105
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0256082174335344, b_new = -1.285731939073291, c_new = 4.968943122260844
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3018.435966735061
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.444226952500958, b_new = -0.6682773303744032, c_new = 4.685743158727985
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9986.509410303113
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.546963952983162, b_new = -1.1720050640685054, c_new = 4.989967865997423
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15565.999115111452
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5967020091306137, b_new = -1.6347208144463328, c_new = 5.21590332861334
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9945.405000964409
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.427297337181974, b_new = -1.4875984709154544, c_new = 5.217919499281694
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7970.185607107652
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.205145799081393, b_new = -1.2675672187357652, c_new = 5.002858204855287
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4196.391969254046
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1681217401180914, b_new = -1.556347755668223, c_new = 5.511443606078647
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3475.6322454814126
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3245180069480234, b_new = -2.067236439479861, c_new = 5.784355902502973
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4701.150918453342
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.814131276309258, b_new = -0.5294504057254501, c_new = 5.629636229174813
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3579.321750484207
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.645233976064958, b_new = -0.5342643700697239, c_new = 5.960636319788063
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12608.087414354137
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2504074851456086, b_new = -0.9642350486613069, c_new = 5.0390591098419755
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5613.342650964727
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2477570963097464, b_new = -0.35788064475956805, c_new = 5.123213613085867
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7277.812606463965
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2767405861514995, b_new = -0.7154669262905884, c_new = 5.663584741232167
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7105.101432904421
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4369773870576728, b_new = -0.6448959764190814, c_new = 5.169071155862658
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10103.073911025325
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.417632765279301, b_new = -0.5403009006070447, c_new = 5.652949487800924
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9942.229810876468
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.719924316572771, b_new = -1.0492524058746833, c_new = 6.000043892899275
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5870.8467404739495
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.408274929810336, b_new = -1.2523728565208856, c_new = 5.680679425963043
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11310.215803255769
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.287768163782793, b_new = -0.6305722913399944, c_new = 5.058185227277131
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7347.595422446997
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.643097568991045, b_new = -0.6845489038130119, c_new = 4.836973624002367
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6887.423474268065
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3029621395221147, b_new = -0.5735448916724613, c_new = 5.176864308855116
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11358.434328410953
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9290365526136393, b_new = -1.6820360475663514, c_new = 4.889102112097396
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4030.1525383247485
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0034177422373833, b_new = -0.8910079299787871, c_new = 4.9930502445266125
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3023.717643130977
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.491198086362608, b_new = -1.2040547686394045, c_new = 4.349031914127226
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10745.459494095592
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2297003840585696, b_new = -0.8997146646243104, c_new = 6.029615778253503
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12186.618702473947
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2977196321768796, b_new = -0.7287592445076407, c_new = 5.534143963687279
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7478.561041166435
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.346318337354245, b_new = -0.8965936320986085, c_new = 5.414015370658596
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7999.080344165526
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7225803411659353, b_new = -1.2417224190073637, c_new = 5.232757748816582
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6582.568717145925
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2439323949520635, b_new = -1.5630009679428067, c_new = 5.2527854839811114
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4285.941631533856
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.429032125697968, b_new = -1.1232881786906772, c_new = 5.5326547117326355
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10916.369177500372
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.419373446754296, b_new = -0.90535763058711, c_new = 6.1153808916661045
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10453.090772928344
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.139503329389303, b_new = -2.454793491371846, c_new = 4.659010651356812
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13001.538356412486
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.023441397049377, b_new = -1.214824757502287, c_new = 6.327084764545323
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3032.793222386794
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.714777913898988, b_new = -0.8318601707736295, c_new = 5.902413042041377
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5477.736065028224
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6526498114435917, b_new = -0.6802808450436393, c_new = 4.815785851845749
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12125.537062633244
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.954346629381027, b_new = -1.4351295937867492, c_new = 4.930922269200346
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3428.005798557367
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.250288329252633, b_new = -1.7974734654236146, c_new = 5.469615435971622
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4031.690020474506
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3934204236778567, b_new = -1.2719319940075722, c_new = 5.433425431634135
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7947.340133787133
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.162178085240449, b_new = -0.8262432856828158, c_new = 5.20178976783567
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14746.94172316542
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5166089909959766, b_new = -0.7046504910882718, c_new = 5.914926645838403
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8857.003127847496
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1643473795602812, b_new = -0.4845385057477455, c_new = 5.117732949040691
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5157.539671263954
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.59664194667217, b_new = -0.5765054758119986, c_new = 4.623448559262317
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7606.308016281896
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2808661300719626, b_new = -1.322339499293876, c_new = 5.658983038169716
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12483.439771664736
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.225152062900813, b_new = -1.2900429683976982, c_new = 5.2772820684688275
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4513.216830682321
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0326717679321886, b_new = -1.4475917565207033, c_new = 5.952392351366283
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3014.104327941298
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6059161095584717, b_new = -0.6124262116874776, c_new = 5.768899880188835
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7116.03078909102
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.668096635429211, b_new = -0.9843196003680438, c_new = 5.63925357046453
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12043.70471017004
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3475550385547566, b_new = -1.115391748995689, c_new = 5.507466059708318
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11706.476876460572
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5052207214684272, b_new = -0.45683131067839056, c_new = 6.424528691250924
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8331.809832201869
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.785217833715406, b_new = -1.6591244621538817, c_new = 5.56365778810188
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6269.873536448606
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9316118642521873, b_new = -0.9509978091503803, c_new = 5.5491280260585425
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3127.8158331157133
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.214427109562339, b_new = -0.5659758775949373, c_new = 5.742961504270098
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6179.236639206101
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.384141375908181, b_new = -1.2034577891829077, c_new = 5.4814188328079805
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11521.918027237632
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9247048134306493, b_new = -0.7151006996407795, c_new = 5.601813564827631
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3059.6778816792257
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2745527738550293, b_new = -1.1812170409870564, c_new = 5.687168978886138
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5772.1015202666385
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1734396064016974, b_new = -0.7379113178462349, c_new = 5.280904551063026
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4800.255601126636
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.114046723123751, b_new = -1.6604151797192415, c_new = 5.326440082182768
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3075.974544412771
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8981550635522666, b_new = -1.7687363196465886, c_new = 5.589685179473897
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4436.681147287185
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.19352084300784, b_new = -2.028539699668249, c_new = 6.092646072339198
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3302.980944707746
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.125794172496127, b_new = -1.1094275042820303, c_new = 5.356145698482915
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3570.373825382364
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.105582045487539, b_new = -0.9620594856505926, c_new = 5.224209899831022
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3534.1479791609127
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0085080414340233, b_new = -0.687302588870135, c_new = 5.0128367454883165
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3108.4048317582233
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5362447725763984, b_new = -0.7365615800555276, c_new = 5.511596014907467
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11209.009694347691
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.667126674244189, b_new = -1.0970929172803472, c_new = 5.1647694214942295
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7370.43590401228
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.671966339003448, b_new = -1.5595606015756907, c_new = 5.1926671329587215
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11079.734413529508
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5811715984845858, b_new = -0.903411449202398, c_new = 5.370442599768181
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11328.775217376795
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5888577978063707, b_new = -0.9456787126637848, c_new = 5.986496469087748
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8187.772474704834
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9897370212736303, b_new = -1.3214034434230617, c_new = 5.567630203243391
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13632.946671295314
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.153786168616025, b_new = -1.0476257858151439, c_new = 6.237502456942513
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14759.238072761575
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9490750619025645, b_new = -0.961218335025843, c_new = 4.600551305344988
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3123.3855234396187
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.898102453732398, b_new = -1.2540378597725619, c_new = 5.315443149051433
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13155.459316903945
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.333627774559115, b_new = -1.2936700585258918, c_new = 5.486685457620318
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12096.967490947638
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.479239750075652, b_new = -0.2632005806620755, c_new = 5.41410949897351
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8633.515581427368
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.882962909212842, b_new = -1.7584685611387783, c_new = 6.211096646116863
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4484.450500710773
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.207534246408196, b_new = -1.2876873285741617, c_new = 5.625549173095743
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12932.654264844052
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.714623484570271, b_new = 0.24351921573847535, c_new = 6.475004584500099
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3605.3052103527234
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2639217842041877, b_new = -1.3889590694019007, c_new = 4.93825695623529
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12883.392519313236
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8225748454952893, b_new = -1.4113769379240448, c_new = 5.511234790873329
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4949.13754948685
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9430613369471823, b_new = -0.43897662543432847, c_new = 5.899938200551059
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3082.310851429508
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4703080608604226, b_new = -1.230668714512583, c_new = 4.932840349066279
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9239.268377927649
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.963636190634271, b_new = -1.3058454472419518, c_new = 5.6639904213623735
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3172.47417236794
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7665293075922572, b_new = -1.7974890556672514, c_new = 5.119415893524243
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7236.097039346325
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9663896561803282, b_new = -1.9363750587282702, c_new = 4.966476791478661
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3959.8878517951352
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.435433056894687, b_new = -1.054866115176965, c_new = 4.83143973222773
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9048.351789459712
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2967044335842433, b_new = -1.3133585267821215, c_new = 5.15921885044268
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5705.023982933085
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.964862678954039, b_new = -1.2369538543513712, c_new = 6.481333063073478
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13926.857334186769
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.111661116374239, b_new = -0.40005686877783697, c_new = 5.898465541442661
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4682.6530291790805
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.563983504143107, b_new = -1.0040004580825133, c_new = 4.839102780848551
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10825.420464219958
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9675186602164363, b_new = -1.1603636838002847, c_new = 5.934413678813324
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3069.049282528007
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.925772731578315, b_new = -1.4710878748598852, c_new = 5.268799088336939
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3677.016377855183
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0084890894038656, b_new = -1.1933664110759337, c_new = 4.727251019653113
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3030.808049863531
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.952376537246146, b_new = -1.546496898862188, c_new = 4.810355767764725
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3592.6225531713426
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.60141752593496, b_new = -0.5444607424547829, c_new = 4.923148829997267
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11942.202901975186
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3571999076797354, b_new = -0.29158462241372063, c_new = 5.734578016811899
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9920.586049192505
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.736163795522952, b_new = -0.8813480493924817, c_new = 5.9919223350143955
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5169.98599988689
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.539012673033766, b_new = -0.8497277050834682, c_new = 4.955544645061055
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10865.595624743893
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9983811085181205, b_new = -1.344354509151998, c_new = 6.112864283638615
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3040.432154802502
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.936330585841545, b_new = 0.010313261827924025, c_new = 6.658718769393291
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3464.076433076089
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2526395352153323, b_new = -0.6364834349568669, c_new = 5.693326351266099
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6807.696783384566
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8217735749880366, b_new = -1.310859079138551, c_new = 5.61214766031517
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4721.115006415748
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3228204061746816, b_new = -1.2864212283065668, c_new = 5.384558692221116
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12200.371661381989
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.980891868572687, b_new = -2.2458643903278004, c_new = 5.1597825665701995
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4250.605458101104
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3591015108143516, b_new = -2.5368525708615777, c_new = 5.395862420458228
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13620.94539841745
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.019257697787688, b_new = -1.456346128349134, c_new = 5.671816250728575
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3040.293100478912
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3964964651218725, b_new = -2.830580637381931, c_new = 4.891071130697686
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13911.256459389999
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.504809824984698, b_new = -0.9334266670604383, c_new = 6.183262002635668
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10733.151633385136
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2206639449880394, b_new = -1.83369566233903, c_new = 4.77712477893448
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13736.752559383935
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1830380181911866, b_new = -1.0636619959100961, c_new = 4.341693386102541
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4096.7005311672165
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.629618908704808, b_new = -2.0758626715941073, c_new = 5.1112607777427055
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10485.555350264916
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7872892892549483, b_new = -2.13113555150726, c_new = 5.105456335425204
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7760.677528316483
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9046900284420114, b_new = -1.6781714833112544, c_new = 5.616019812637583
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4171.10815733353
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.988142375315134, b_new = -0.9738230398960362, c_new = 4.479337545254193
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13726.713704435813
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.716162819606501, b_new = -1.3347408690879283, c_new = 5.464029338716603
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6883.002325816085
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.686308263645019, b_new = -1.0771876633791846, c_new = 6.029167174679779
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12165.865205787915
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7005954191891437, b_new = -1.618307179290564, c_new = 4.689387935369907
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8304.919867994002
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.178563363751958, b_new = -0.3584014984588406, c_new = 5.35330832756569
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5833.297971141864
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.537236473786863, b_new = -0.8059812802131378, c_new = 4.910031623611618
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15760.853041758624
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0120175815950225, b_new = -1.2796722153845308, c_new = 6.474904225056213
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3019.3267836021128
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4141737207842002, b_new = -1.2302473870020878, c_new = 6.033602608021627
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8691.363977846575
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.411110588767549, b_new = -1.1542913086398046, c_new = 4.876362866088397
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8391.501719677202
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0480688729846745, b_new = -2.128974560008714, c_new = 3.4006687435460163
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3715.7055462521917
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9195138632274076, b_new = -1.3715304885703343, c_new = 6.06740386821617
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3489.021357882634
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6084560890597577, b_new = -0.9470465027749229, c_new = 5.513808062324651
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11555.670147039393
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.940100314828734, b_new = -1.5196908181473527, c_new = 5.578498573567178
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3544.501766756789
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.191776116870515, b_new = -1.2782046094502983, c_new = 6.123947203969532
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4252.727900354082
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2509883903265053, b_new = -0.3025810016957171, c_new = 4.788556535807407
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7373.556361840072
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2876619226591552, b_new = -1.3683108577639755, c_new = 5.202638582889717
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12622.273615831007
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.002065213167138, b_new = -1.3460548752436128, c_new = 5.876123327010901
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13742.138832469887
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.358887100862588, b_new = -1.187950903831601, c_new = 6.909621135779783
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11322.70718338977
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.385875057179847, b_new = -1.757502887172113, c_new = 5.930497398871649
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6667.191012370035
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.043826921124546, b_new = -0.19845360636874243, c_new = 5.744797028584307
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4046.3400316033826
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2768181988914735, b_new = -0.4476285145629382, c_new = 5.453398914814896
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7804.781455489997
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.144118146074972, b_new = -0.7701036947356237, c_new = 6.071267173987443
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12585.733953786643
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1545885017676185, b_new = -1.0276189389128052, c_new = 6.02573193869094
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4154.414066175059
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5102675980567466, b_new = -0.83845373350124, c_new = 5.230106446972494
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9459.040128058106
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.002602248021237, b_new = -0.9814150572427063, c_new = 6.450631280139263
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13515.86512820454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.312895241737298, b_new = -0.9325832142838554, c_new = 5.247104065375785
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7112.2035994203525
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.967688555935696, b_new = -1.1227519380438464, c_new = 5.605774428297429
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3068.537731845606
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.77939347026392, b_new = -1.2258912702088993, c_new = 5.853289376411574
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5201.322015012115
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.479607881067103, b_new = -0.9211528417493439, c_new = 5.990481215006162
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10385.932058517945
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.200785442059157, b_new = -0.8871348070836673, c_new = 4.58876484718084
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4746.394674139563
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0637157150539545, b_new = -1.260117699684991, c_new = 5.135994000628063
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3057.340477566141
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4023243097936784, b_new = -1.065855352160466, c_new = 5.561509963109909
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8711.478608245983
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6392132178618977, b_new = -0.6956904897393976, c_new = 4.401579697496391
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7154.899882120668
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9005408314146397, b_new = -1.3507190449114628, c_new = 6.032093872337002
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3648.6617991734915
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.917487165297093, b_new = -1.8205225411888013, c_new = 5.9545695360076945
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4163.2629943996735
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.682480129943299, b_new = -0.7686187947919452, c_new = 5.722524627155701
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6006.263456091514
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0551655834999187, b_new = -1.1577170104851873, c_new = 4.939029314799214
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3059.9046920910296
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3046148462028375, b_new = -1.5642021897413132, c_new = 4.893807375559769
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5177.4013870395565
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8380684371811884, b_new = -1.2358018526497243, c_new = 4.983680485228432
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12727.92611245851
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.395922320876715, b_new = -1.065081656338492, c_new = 5.520240895810024
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8577.673424304434
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.138920798342127, b_new = -1.9182618841891386, c_new = 4.888709907950547
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13582.979658061247
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7466941285387083, b_new = -1.4687471778619199, c_new = 5.437747873209661
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6613.612886541623
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8624273909810034, b_new = -1.618673665396034, c_new = 5.223707783626002
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12472.208095535818
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3942566625739654, b_new = -1.4406479770040634, c_new = 4.9909432189043565
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7345.41959485748
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5060598225241275, b_new = -1.5643467204251325, c_new = 5.121642289416692
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9117.16423564625
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.204965243880655, b_new = 0.048508327304547905, c_new = 6.315299647774973
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8070.001675087
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5166779899285667, b_new = -0.8136668768056614, c_new = 5.312846655399414
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10801.082863836315
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5574348518536123, b_new = -1.5076217513689372, c_new = 4.984938036301737
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10297.773855630361
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9138992281071125, b_new = -1.086951012700696, c_new = 5.209454519132308
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3360.461028045026
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.289149174506348, b_new = -1.73562960134091, c_new = 4.588994152278517
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4495.177087868212
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.283334306468139, b_new = -1.0919965858902145, c_new = 5.802702314075025
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6238.293384868968
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0699844241408782, b_new = -0.15556212650454704, c_new = 5.917997035920944
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12352.868741808272
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3716406023033088, b_new = -1.7879295184325303, c_new = 5.493533660473538
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6140.36867976744
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6556856655780106, b_new = -0.8393453093086891, c_new = 6.466280686042897
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6474.336841768134
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.350807584434421, b_new = -1.0621391780111467, c_new = 5.200799835215611
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7546.913465007573
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3438925675497853, b_new = -0.5389478816468475, c_new = 5.117509830945666
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10925.55280549585
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.989723972103099, b_new = -1.7169463235660958, c_new = 6.256691694236263
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3263.2587711395036
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.375593077056709, b_new = -1.5172997652916365, c_new = 6.060430925590991
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7147.156793268107
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0813578645690223, b_new = -1.7421290764882786, c_new = 5.505394022937913
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3021.788263056178
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.207165107544702, b_new = -1.2143653378404482, c_new = 5.396430076531651
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12903.921678115252
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0517870404392813, b_new = -1.9039548354164033, c_new = 5.690018595728829
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3124.1320703628826
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0764176051672822, b_new = -1.0488554738708997, c_new = 5.929069810552585
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3312.7981593305126
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.076779669120174, b_new = -0.519977339098247, c_new = 5.032664239843858
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3779.200187893967
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2709618339877373, b_new = -0.940911527538515, c_new = 5.164090085089531
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6146.4225897258275
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0690870376029222, b_new = -1.8115496675169411, c_new = 5.336674061184346
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3056.214366585266
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.184220223328886, b_new = -1.376689570311458, c_new = 5.64017803885208
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13179.320697258985
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.894016075612369, b_new = -0.5044294918141045, c_new = 5.788920171218359
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3079.9275949656576
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2766882141384235, b_new = -2.0676701270097224, c_new = 6.231634374996075
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4100.782815500215
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0705043891074073, b_new = -1.6057617341567427, c_new = 4.240246149578086
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3057.553713120055
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0231718662979223, b_new = -1.4880377722693603, c_new = 5.3778907167600805
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3054.2098531217644
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.246797531963201, b_new = -2.0047695594885258, c_new = 4.847988988608333
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3620.7882934039594
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6556720855630793, b_new = -0.3534316229000196, c_new = 4.732463187777584
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5833.008793275038
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7276489596274276, b_new = -0.6234395066918655, c_new = 5.688492369958344
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4850.970559986734
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2587073405002083, b_new = -0.5234482831455686, c_new = 5.705989131438632
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7281.6393592240565
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1004032796247123, b_new = -0.8264524004073054, c_new = 4.758972136622308
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3571.5805045087973
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5742429111582745, b_new = -1.6681445091694027, c_new = 5.286012531018615
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10302.350037606873
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2307949254876194, b_new = -1.3510970714422537, c_new = 5.3558271994321585
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4503.099121279451
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.689354511039042, b_new = -1.646237848450426, c_new = 5.251912720285993
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8375.780334794268
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7517601748368934, b_new = -1.3458426936078014, c_new = 5.5435044055602924
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6139.589051215311
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0747979863652737, b_new = -1.043979184711335, c_new = 5.970005682930537
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3311.32158043505
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6082440286850783, b_new = -0.6543309544870912, c_new = 5.52030840565654
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7261.162926189786
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4408449649499073, b_new = -2.447620806534929, c_new = 5.954805525980188
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6036.361098037774
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.527063323786001, b_new = -1.2125347799217512, c_new = 4.869146339891014
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10041.031780986483
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4364286279096197, b_new = -0.8195224609589977, c_new = 4.804361708098845
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9589.765546431638
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.49813466271886, b_new = -1.1730751757027973, c_new = 5.627513497520707
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9993.859844044047
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0223477773734895, b_new = -0.8640489993955349, c_new = 5.780945168746036
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13450.457728837799
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6475889474584653, b_new = -0.6920736732018601, c_new = 6.514866491922268
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6254.7637778276985
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7617634827997715, b_new = -1.165676664579524, c_new = 5.242245268169979
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5584.2514640349345
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0922730454120027, b_new = -0.8136656350304659, c_new = 5.683785174953863
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3668.198327156476
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3254349592205723, b_new = -1.2641231863155304, c_new = 5.91786023093221
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11998.150835309776
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3913331249703744, b_new = -1.018939259279003, c_new = 5.32855551604796
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8536.753438872878
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.058395327953267, b_new = -1.4178086275971078, c_new = 4.910292917464651
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3019.3561364254256
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.667173303769871, b_new = -1.6262835829667108, c_new = 5.683340784433187
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11069.509712121562
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.891177945818479, b_new = -1.3918689285489219, c_new = 6.401126528071379
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14369.438395890471
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1331640946741044, b_new = -1.8352609686282393, c_new = 6.025918634891786
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3102.993083948625
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.361133242907608, b_new = -0.4378766897660198, c_new = 5.238987301162081
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9434.86333194614
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2467613415210006, b_new = -1.9433727552473437, c_new = 4.241996123634972
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13869.159750922228
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5173256318535695, b_new = -0.9917030391322805, c_new = 5.1898149242503
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10442.89744956013
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4784401305227886, b_new = -1.1132080024248778, c_new = 6.4495642362403105
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10037.326830394526
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5920773218671154, b_new = -1.210755360149045, c_new = 5.231278888438235
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9042.674362985052
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.385468881577757, b_new = -1.874525363866601, c_new = 5.208650515740199
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6108.524637698852
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.219311491020974, b_new = -1.6555259476275346, c_new = 5.172439639696538
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13429.66671848915
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9816013209959507, b_new = -1.5622400014252251, c_new = 5.902578758072622
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14282.954495875076
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9509:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.542470415566614, b_new = -1.396775378035512, c_new = 5.0434474747663
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10245.159448055354
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9510:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.578201268001407, b_new = -0.7534691584492126, c_new = 5.154450100613608
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8201.93302676029
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9511:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4918498392921515, b_new = -1.1308192219892415, c_new = 4.9368483095394
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10392.672924948085
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9512:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.460427386824285, b_new = -0.7801142848147461, c_new = 5.276926210690318
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10176.42553308888
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9513:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4603193359654774, b_new = -1.6365890906210268, c_new = 5.296709441241634
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8245.224566123798
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9514:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.078254512366181, b_new = -1.1151166985360141, c_new = 5.099113009030951
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3183.59904339847
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9515:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2190593474396363, b_new = -1.2355128298051077, c_new = 5.5005380718081485
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12827.402214600996
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9516:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1759465188589076, b_new = -1.8353237826543478, c_new = 5.304426040957764
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13833.587588788243
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9517:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8469708773274194, b_new = -1.167895119888545, c_new = 5.010295774426634
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4221.013858542016
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9518:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.657523027273831, b_new = -1.7504412216040621, c_new = 5.047821543067397
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9323.51378140344
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9519:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.175252053199138, b_new = -2.088915417667881, c_new = 5.539360870421805
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3133.334882648488
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9520:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2082949646711487, b_new = -0.7430448374314045, c_new = 4.9868014261505325
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5320.034315144909
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9521:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5801764257554365, b_new = -1.2838589068931108, c_new = 5.659732487756416
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10762.499551457777
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9522:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7295772329078534, b_new = -0.4906657325999463, c_new = 4.497268755421634
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4861.122241891628
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9523:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1192211557577263, b_new = -0.7637938894228524, c_new = 5.205655837211688
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3944.959008734836
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9524:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5085273829451205, b_new = -1.5121888691994532, c_new = 5.636339720450277
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9436.383120887882
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9525:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.841483194718323, b_new = -0.6291031235246815, c_new = 5.743764537138807
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13672.97705316155
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9526:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.797045045715785, b_new = -1.209407055309065, c_new = 5.562462563380541
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12647.06329853601
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9527:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.180905931665479, b_new = -1.3667051696370975, c_new = 5.0513193677120185
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3756.341118608393
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9528:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.695142353628256, b_new = -1.7602087081737927, c_new = 5.708816267070705
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8386.55841075274
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9529:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.583464326614116, b_new = -1.182286114754108, c_new = 6.132397862986724
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11119.824680914287
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9530:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0719291110651477, b_new = -1.014987968893488, c_new = 4.88443051246733
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3197.8594594654387
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9531:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083326106332976, b_new = -1.6610540956311224, c_new = 4.694143857838731
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3035.5129665244003
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9532:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9538242724993777, b_new = -0.6007976397452394, c_new = 5.166082677878937
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14104.909850261545
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9533:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5773194103551242, b_new = -0.6600199601308223, c_new = 5.309385857256361
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7933.940916818982
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9534:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.735114211853489, b_new = -1.5885172751604704, c_new = 5.292153950447042
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7250.414126449996
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9535:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.862153842386352, b_new = -1.4128564155067085, c_new = 5.1606251702137556
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4410.52795905092
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9536:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5655790105745253, b_new = -1.6478496345655702, c_new = 5.978857462342651
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10036.672293069829
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9537:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8415241150258197, b_new = -0.4633208715096375, c_new = 5.42373921033212
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3318.8823091438317
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9538:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.59222937357906, b_new = -0.9805760409310039, c_new = 5.968312031598469
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8218.787777497044
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9539:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3996246451833874, b_new = -0.958987280411097, c_new = 5.718977555465939
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8994.29467839236
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9540:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9978293140166556, b_new = -0.9593496023202467, c_new = 5.461351420745224
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3018.5880007157193
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9541:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031929590640759, b_new = -0.6594682642411441, c_new = 5.6275437182886705
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3317.449257271206
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9542:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2019816973429527, b_new = -2.023313548382083, c_new = 5.818427304951397
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3338.6111088554208
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9543:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.843945443738407, b_new = -1.2383413297489458, c_new = 5.362530776103455
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4304.6137012258005
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9544:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.85275989715064, b_new = -0.08807412315741425, c_new = 6.077540263212864
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3101.5513691842684
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9545:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.238434674625421, b_new = -0.6572393105744757, c_new = 5.489897105003598
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15197.536808968212
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9546:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8333365782374704, b_new = -1.4602767144617599, c_new = 6.224740204181138
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14668.175026040048
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9547:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7731369754095403, b_new = -1.3565532777727511, c_new = 5.529142899378683
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5738.863952817707
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9548:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8797827585632856, b_new = -1.9723890261223083, c_new = 5.061622988164658
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12108.382926126025
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9549:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7293233873915845, b_new = -0.8677157917078162, c_new = 5.2248504166881435
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5494.37183973712
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9550:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8204420702024766, b_new = -0.4064053039699991, c_new = 4.2139877741858065
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13418.398583769167
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9551:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4059970025357593, b_new = -1.513955744393208, c_new = 5.361978765929441
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11856.735544841831
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9552:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.946447063988209, b_new = -0.49928766814564884, c_new = 5.182127794002077
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3032.6918734963974
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9553:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1436462838135424, b_new = -0.6582206834770856, c_new = 4.9466462954497095
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4395.897530508311
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9554:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0543709875326104, b_new = -0.4938006302723529, c_new = 5.926890559333015
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3757.0840709895683
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4732217708618642, b_new = -1.4234302814792383, c_new = 5.556635154137273
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9066.310462140791
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7977594079954606, b_new = -1.6904444832381784, c_new = 4.853199070119288
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6361.795896234022
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.464269168820411, b_new = -1.041485609729265, c_new = 5.601756827281203
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15564.819013680411
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8405334174495978, b_new = -0.762526762497072, c_new = 5.380875085376627
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3628.4532777899876
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3381659905811003, b_new = -1.3761609477744894, c_new = 4.4548214840233955
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6161.127327875537
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.006192811436087, b_new = -1.4023068868375383, c_new = 4.290062391953361
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13331.328118119436
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.452952163986742, b_new = -0.28200988577739694, c_new = 4.180686968977851
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10694.375538380034
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6097745511414665, b_new = -1.1677687666919616, c_new = 5.143997875541729
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11103.138897512448
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3589617326285914, b_new = -0.920911123239453, c_new = 6.149059189913933
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11108.809357738828
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.369294269395847, b_new = -1.4587101093401282, c_new = 5.585275405244358
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6994.468716694695
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8100266543706938, b_new = -0.8253174153277374, c_new = 5.062691971248877
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4130.876110895558
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950666118928902, b_new = -1.3041473389974645, c_new = 5.293040939490538
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3283.6571434582565
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.858477605428299, b_new = -1.4395755428992776, c_new = 5.39167933519148
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4456.614015291454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.128336079827325, b_new = -0.864104341562381, c_new = 5.751833410390729
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4020.034406988738
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.922933730694749, b_new = -1.4655328660421194, c_new = 5.581137336734406
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3643.301419842368
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.976153945083579, b_new = -1.555135916209952, c_new = 6.254692527183595
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3221.98920969017
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.720269027201641, b_new = -0.7361068553524877, c_new = 4.393360567002921
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12429.911730767706
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.839804505992041, b_new = -1.8013617337339487, c_new = 4.285084488154877
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5999.28993092982
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1529803096872797, b_new = -1.0385254363527618, c_new = 5.733976992551449
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4046.7291647280535
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3804108426086548, b_new = -1.6512249873061324, c_new = 6.470019155895693
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11964.483178204024
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9080217766065206, b_new = -1.8227770473349292, c_new = 5.067392261186193
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4535.560041795575
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.056501935088803, b_new = -0.4822310929720486, c_new = 5.749002611157076
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3758.8205721106115
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.32101050043117, b_new = -1.3111107916069034, c_new = 5.75445979600854
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12145.814217758161
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0609128257442455, b_new = -1.35751018246023, c_new = 4.6828636336693625
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14037.276515836978
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8761057126971896, b_new = -0.3972506521748447, c_new = 5.396268014767258
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3108.210220157027
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4391048309558663, b_new = -0.5996058099650566, c_new = 5.63100480926567
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10389.989282561815
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3753085136848417, b_new = -1.2897656718108421, c_new = 5.928906030771938
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11608.991674249524
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9534709273291164, b_new = -1.2317377895842698, c_new = 5.571962864705861
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3185.038617745852
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4777498783307657, b_new = -0.9056231139687865, c_new = 4.606949431642189
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9926.105152532113
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0502886536702922, b_new = -0.6683120182775351, c_new = 5.344737454270625
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3403.1617545016898
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5434650083357444, b_new = -1.030482471673525, c_new = 5.623929241312837
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9257.602297588817
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2813620117071918, b_new = 0.2938953364374135, c_new = 5.789220979961835
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10134.466937302848
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7723311458902162, b_new = -1.1619129447170078, c_new = 5.630215199661053
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5251.532508055976
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.406337044491008, b_new = -0.7968297178234511, c_new = 5.302563234474672
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9347.960684388032
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.942928935365555, b_new = -1.215597339790828, c_new = 6.046581570297111
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3191.8364683358614
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.795971360812795, b_new = -1.3724904254402446, c_new = 5.199114770101524
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12334.512807814463
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4071482859512443, b_new = -0.5302618547353126, c_new = 6.184269079288682
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10302.247954000622
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7492050999972646, b_new = -1.8905911173342567, c_new = 6.152255528320007
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11524.737678288884
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5727945035861612, b_new = -1.1988047001859095, c_new = 5.62740412048951
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9183.44735835754
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.549364435524688, b_new = -1.4022872456746973, c_new = 5.374646727053028
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10049.940683656652
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3231636583900053, b_new = -1.114001399204835, c_new = 4.720497249245245
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12138.754395211941
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.490203299222243, b_new = -0.8280415308388048, c_new = 4.961382011930343
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10354.819270702163
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2650645114463575, b_new = -1.3423752615375986, c_new = 5.701412487761016
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5197.490865557925
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.955489231987883, b_new = -1.22196902372993, c_new = 5.509647143327219
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3173.511199523954
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.351998774679499, b_new = -1.7214915893525926, c_new = 5.561191809898583
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5930.120704784821
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4555640604500013, b_new = -0.26071100952511417, c_new = 4.898658168978373
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9136.862242022538
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3064332378100976, b_new = -1.9923402488467339, c_new = 4.881963739549537
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4358.482697695083
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.412577936662433, b_new = -1.0195397860248838, c_new = 6.210765421805662
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9259.740566982737
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3356127574478602, b_new = -1.1838203930253628, c_new = 5.539186940686558
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7014.136254543482
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.563281963209204, b_new = -0.9980513129690819, c_new = 5.302363474238636
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8989.223256283067
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.646949884841499, b_new = -2.580694031450733, c_new = 5.179155849823278
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11305.067787265563
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7933862463600154, b_new = -1.2125825211237073, c_new = 5.851460262581873
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4924.818461594179
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.858236746442312, b_new = -0.504412356633761, c_new = 5.422138260100973
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3243.693177751344
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.755549963898274, b_new = -0.5189823155478892, c_new = 5.436302409351439
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4285.29104320889
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.679110306511716, b_new = -1.3797924625867624, c_new = 4.819099470974207
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11316.060009357296
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4166315457740755, b_new = -0.8945894136415872, c_new = 5.413916063769801
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9326.6660845941
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.717878950909912, b_new = -1.1109367736792015, c_new = 5.80666885600047
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12293.532234374292
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3760371913999636, b_new = -1.6852362926079971, c_new = 6.310486534451954
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12095.90346789671
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.65236987571192, b_new = -0.9354692331517861, c_new = 5.139279997570769
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7249.2214039473165
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8787252234931677, b_new = -1.0765688393894415, c_new = 5.1417369302390785
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3671.4544551207914
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3472117041630876, b_new = -1.0263956652523007, c_new = 5.481682878283069
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11578.61427411996
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.83497930655865, b_new = -0.3816120581665787, c_new = 5.573949202087701
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13870.675132434897
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9336404370466598, b_new = -0.4064223186614331, c_new = 5.942520357199504
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3076.8679989340017
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0628714098818977, b_new = -1.8314630294846612, c_new = 5.039664054415688
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3101.0808177891745
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.79172619426342, b_new = -1.1615678012525203, c_new = 5.115419314816878
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5056.150415501896
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.554495306972288, b_new = -1.1884919005306618, c_new = 5.10177664498537
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10480.582733863987
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.712890196628236, b_new = -0.8983190479239241, c_new = 5.1785723512963315
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5905.06879062312
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.479959960505685, b_new = -1.2739271611905014, c_new = 5.522514404975797
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9491.626848806667
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.371714102084166, b_new = -1.8844825200547874, c_new = 5.570341364242964
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5922.39435280326
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2560140444924, b_new = -1.3799564129553252, c_new = 5.453181898680899
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12783.462042114392
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3746674717094, b_new = -1.2289444117610693, c_new = 5.951379726911038
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7882.329558803868
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2227524525307563, b_new = -1.6710266094854243, c_new = 6.720483740596497
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4141.560185438841
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.098342643777599, b_new = -1.199089018744073, c_new = 6.002619832418674
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13366.987370395225
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.037709634014054, b_new = -0.795106745240057, c_new = 5.199382941760369
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13436.639431672105
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.499384506213163, b_new = -1.318914337275151, c_new = 6.0862275421960454
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9866.95530972867
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8760961948835426, b_new = -1.2364417015637947, c_new = 5.306863071857351
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3891.6105097321597
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.530291525428286, b_new = -1.8805712238615602, c_new = 4.868429730450607
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11410.871336393262
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7312491461623, b_new = -0.17839274698486596, c_new = 6.100214360423752
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3956.865920061986
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2378889348470317, b_new = -0.6133337653879574, c_new = 5.352449790144126
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11914.15948392509
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.96290801413903, b_new = -0.9615778368281767, c_new = 5.374783180587108
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13918.329269737013
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.168737669052672, b_new = -1.3532315679619276, c_new = 5.416897067435269
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14355.286461974109
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2457243888284912, b_new = -0.9291720322396195, c_new = 5.616631014560822
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12218.192089590426
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5436364521520747, b_new = -1.495020904515281, c_new = 5.577207804633727
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9928.185482393354
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.469186590442276, b_new = -1.5883950074047894, c_new = 5.560315808459175
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8614.126392768327
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1978155647891517, b_new = -1.9978586494181685, c_new = 5.462583614445987
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3298.296408312668
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7664162095341904, b_new = -0.716579599356711, c_new = 6.123959175360454
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14310.616715468754
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5616207629575496, b_new = -0.9079524054999387, c_new = 5.995224527698732
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8566.760745919248
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7154671827996784, b_new = -0.3695883000438932, c_new = 5.334610339162614
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4635.506063065167
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.010978028554823, b_new = -0.9853644499235912, c_new = 5.644182171649134
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3037.712750789532
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9751759357490872, b_new = -0.7635092839099527, c_new = 6.232257102001636
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3063.376091679733
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2133080932103435, b_new = -2.0136603054057067, c_new = 5.040875992587024
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13908.712594281218
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1183462302177007, b_new = -1.0911839555766245, c_new = 5.454409571382103
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3537.9752869932618
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1927321814341996, b_new = -1.7618124912814763, c_new = 5.924779500343767
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3528.875892939482
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.437092517668387, b_new = -1.2101597356987515, c_new = 5.897002098807673
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10870.335520096016
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6367015636669655, b_new = -1.5626504883306394, c_new = 5.72823760213668
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8952.96220517834
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.80162282676803, b_new = -1.543739142331882, c_new = 6.146556599138078
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5439.792044837315
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.711273530742954, b_new = -0.2551335943361649, c_new = 5.281293831703874
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4499.896656114694
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4024679513004195, b_new = -0.940132890550437, c_new = 4.936599894748893
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11063.357313142667
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0941641017875443, b_new = -1.305732312850805, c_new = 5.209388330714624
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3154.4069852368343
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8679003396147564, b_new = -0.5698628138659091, c_new = 5.919564054250892
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3200.000716616458
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1809307460634537, b_new = -1.4134238004548632, c_new = 5.15202525585282
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3712.02983490327
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.454842743253235, b_new = -0.5901385678803713, c_new = 5.327657154015738
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10505.484586898729
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3620684696226837, b_new = -1.1791519892112774, c_new = 6.056216567067529
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7798.793626172057
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.593719108748995, b_new = -1.5728231812239835, c_new = 5.272914153701402
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9831.461470350094
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.409812722157906, b_new = -1.162226668841879, c_new = 4.726245759410979
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8291.635657298884
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1254130832286338, b_new = -1.2595575857260009, c_new = 4.796456861501061
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3337.5361806298206
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7604510715402357, b_new = -1.925178812845682, c_new = 5.768163114138769
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11462.273886913845
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3175111549045906, b_new = -0.347849947038847, c_new = 4.283006826491483
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8473.328927738788
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3986954106830582, b_new = -1.166924177699225, c_new = 5.562278088967477
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11297.529737397119
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.310199918996375, b_new = -2.1143609609778, c_new = 5.856432113553142
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4408.94187940042
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5067903299649252, b_new = -1.4195349757207818, c_new = 5.743245693330788
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9642.886184037976
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.31473714656453, b_new = -0.9324538816700612, c_new = 4.9426432829728455
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7034.176738362338
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.294200553193775, b_new = -1.9072283518805855, c_new = 4.634998738514733
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4279.255608915845
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4489623804588545, b_new = -0.13629759757704996, c_new = 5.729653390198434
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11435.982374133615
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1648033432823195, b_new = -0.650378800015586, c_new = 5.1875435251179205
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4814.795346371891
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2521629108559145, b_new = -1.3302160940550736, c_new = 5.870929633449135
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12634.137219558212
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9854579934290664, b_new = -1.3673459284921812, c_new = 6.165739714167275
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3080.6177054818672
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.287327302094104, b_new = -1.7444333496760174, c_new = 5.9292945154331855
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12917.966013260757
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9673:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.990999103405993, b_new = -1.2327660687851871, c_new = 5.244616353244901
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3057.4700456510077
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9674:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.472019996673233, b_new = -0.5790271825591856, c_new = 5.835650153486537
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9262.389646424626
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9675:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.209854054831429, b_new = -0.43648719547111803, c_new = 4.717955493838242
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6044.427767461308
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9676:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4561587834542276, b_new = -1.241098414991091, c_new = 5.649894832648752
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9244.074920722604
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9677:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.527647663810158, b_new = -1.8875447285724678, c_new = 5.431062364985665
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11259.772730904562
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9678:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.628703493779888, b_new = -1.092933463680363, c_new = 5.458707492721241
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8010.215962949726
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9679:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1359655772583204, b_new = -1.5377688201410544, c_new = 5.905167715780766
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3294.810179483946
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9680:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.446189503744105, b_new = -2.09340388495495, c_new = 5.883382308187493
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7009.738063829808
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9681:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7659565959113355, b_new = -0.9494628023146374, c_new = 5.974121653965124
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4804.844077204014
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9682:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9094971701770134, b_new = -1.5252996111283408, c_new = 5.190321017668922
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3954.1909917590483
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9683:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.36853191913848, b_new = -1.3213644988906117, c_new = 5.133881645730164
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7183.159207430188
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9684:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.630817630310026, b_new = -1.23295814410836, c_new = 5.843997795929603
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11404.523420454612
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9685:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9876304472709903, b_new = -1.5530351116658738, c_new = 5.2079920454238415
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3261.85711620692
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9686:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.755764582993805, b_new = -1.1578425100141687, c_new = 5.09967417511656
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5730.6682019307955
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9687:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.691372881637934, b_new = -0.6958950917375245, c_new = 5.414408820138007
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12559.565859539176
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9688:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.885155692613781, b_new = -1.326510739024588, c_new = 4.571418265485308
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12806.637038803996
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9689:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.441876956647753, b_new = -1.3158660889787894, c_new = 5.678034916490104
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8840.321594223837
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9690:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0701505918478045, b_new = -1.0251168763284078, c_new = 4.4880641167068065
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3151.431293595354
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9691:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3082579456860333, b_new = -0.11632011820174881, c_new = 5.543982367411718
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9440.55075910594
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9692:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0974205012190765, b_new = -0.752120893021123, c_new = 6.332013248916574
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3950.7768635410903
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9693:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.431198847771039, b_new = -1.1885534349361742, c_new = 6.130258475062353
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9134.182717869115
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9694:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6100413392922635, b_new = -1.2361153157095517, c_new = 5.308150381059026
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8769.23586434619
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9695:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3185834140174286, b_new = -0.22786858031154578, c_new = 5.440825459917597
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9293.189580945502
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9696:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5062132803880726, b_new = -1.2330806049978293, c_new = 5.023726511705673
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9780.38002096231
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9697:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2362286105354667, b_new = -0.7252923199065819, c_new = 4.859937580672563
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5877.980288484474
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9698:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.880216220215423, b_new = -1.0748701889602335, c_new = 4.8960518120863
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3696.770305682828
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9699:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.891649468749334, b_new = -1.4644950091891822, c_new = 5.356465935081342
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4044.424155492401
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9700:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4730410123650097, b_new = -1.859881010276954, c_new = 6.095187810184924
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11568.667936231346
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9701:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7930438252870142, b_new = -0.44136486841528877, c_new = 5.367606446611306
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3721.2351915065806
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9702:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4210146612636887, b_new = -1.2337480510711984, c_new = 5.953413928868823
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11066.287661219856
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9703:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1682309536009963, b_new = -1.5115506674257655, c_new = 5.802961707597837
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3568.1785596416207
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9704:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8491402414830316, b_new = -0.8989459436614193, c_new = 5.820459573248741
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3641.6123567850204
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9705:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6601166090578037, b_new = -0.7592911340941877, c_new = 5.698863758478626
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6436.718230175064
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9706:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4946571236300192, b_new = -0.7452138898144427, c_new = 5.801177454153406
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10840.707182284379
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9707:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5634177603219968, b_new = -1.3167350336927164, c_new = 5.151738863270323
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9751.751065961056
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9708:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8319873615695093, b_new = -1.852931477238093, c_new = 5.312548150504545
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11992.1958341481
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9709:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4907019737142844, b_new = -1.2196041830152133, c_new = 5.413295969639502
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9724.64524411457
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9710:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889094153443109, b_new = -2.670015934067081, c_new = 5.560590151260656
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6879.1893972474045
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9711:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8488022244480407, b_new = -0.29330502154035687, c_new = 5.3116493137893475
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13967.337824506809
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9712:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8186298747197187, b_new = -1.433816736735472, c_new = 5.616618988223874
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14824.566745116292
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9713:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.954481084450765, b_new = -0.6009634953783035, c_new = 4.899926271937897
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3018.358670479235
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9714:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.060726975571777, b_new = -1.3556831351332228, c_new = 5.488915057953894
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13912.130853450917
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9715:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.326366546831215, b_new = -1.8653201545657896, c_new = 6.526337104949824
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12654.65826329734
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9716:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6195195271463216, b_new = -2.693970291081997, c_new = 5.817497725006977
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11622.518674963378
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9717:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7641158362019076, b_new = -1.0930884052506387, c_new = 5.302047513828383
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12506.391162138263
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9718:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.652919214259519, b_new = -1.6720627716837466, c_new = 5.66136533484536
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8966.478117916718
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9719:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.495148096720132, b_new = -0.2822171279889599, c_new = 5.904722216701376
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8269.819054107695
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9720:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5292244499087606, b_new = -1.4066724051953523, c_new = 5.076294923059693
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9755.654793027332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9721:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6080976368181132, b_new = -1.1267935122967976, c_new = 5.596768629409912
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11288.945525377763
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9722:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.120730264007541, b_new = 0.22484032770472906, c_new = 5.236795374405017
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11691.843935599469
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9723:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.451715695847583, b_new = -1.1783224883795176, c_new = 4.829800217275905
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9028.075241199
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9724:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4360421612884857, b_new = -1.167133793237494, c_new = 5.439862034236642
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9011.542678946675
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9725:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9305225184610948, b_new = -1.3021597661815552, c_new = 5.101265161277747
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14424.919341455538
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9726:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4197268669641945, b_new = -1.1319335736729441, c_new = 6.429628727498932
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10759.215978409773
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9727:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1303888256797796, b_new = -0.9127798400740993, c_new = 4.615827058754569
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3741.9483319170595
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9728:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1851697372834926, b_new = -1.2369549952029502, c_new = 5.513000079679955
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4091.119812102893
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9729:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7522774847760854, b_new = -0.49831318703200833, c_new = 5.9312254705463525
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4196.367031644388
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9730:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1469529215480256, b_new = -0.7411845253498516, c_new = 5.641512830968541
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4471.190250571766
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9731:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.40866345521229, b_new = 0.07601680692489565, c_new = 4.369712433315918
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9265.663075517288
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9732:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.413689299401971, b_new = -0.3681480204800881, c_new = 5.3099140469655515
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10419.42104377394
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9733:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.534519017071146, b_new = -1.2058428326839163, c_new = 6.236942166995231
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10583.634493176287
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9734:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8862910177899694, b_new = -1.9063839334746575, c_new = 5.185521616781791
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5039.8009338189095
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9735:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5352702998783627, b_new = -1.2243868503695328, c_new = 5.702001283013018
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10383.22706139248
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9736:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7149131870757777, b_new = -1.0757688800810468, c_new = 6.424029518342111
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12497.155077570093
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9737:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.272321671467648, b_new = -1.986788990361543, c_new = 5.7324733133281605
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4071.6365871277158
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9738:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.401885894679961, b_new = -1.0982322879562683, c_new = 4.907178865980428
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8372.288343222335
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9739:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.417656817663736, b_new = -1.3149823235469487, c_new = 5.223239501833391
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11463.755162489631
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9740:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5540232154138742, b_new = -1.3971988884031405, c_new = 4.974255430997756
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10116.475917013116
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9741:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0060319445367942, b_new = -1.5883349259146788, c_new = 5.659365056716584
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3142.0873248969374
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9742:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9622087727571054, b_new = -0.8715305416880084, c_new = 4.962028643916589
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13821.069406620823
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9743:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.32651032415571, b_new = -0.8243160638797467, c_new = 5.569909267218035
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15344.747173717835
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9744:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8052540396420143, b_new = -1.5068235423752911, c_new = 5.598046863816705
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5459.17265813047
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9745:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.142083251681183, b_new = -1.5725859636078545, c_new = 5.9838222355518
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3316.147688897579
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9746:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.706397140085519, b_new = -1.31011978318506, c_new = 5.417063266029774
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11814.441795358676
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9747:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6204000460081156, b_new = -0.9836686137224803, c_new = 6.2994152274823225
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11843.856751102769
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9748:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.08120755657436, b_new = -1.25063421053489, c_new = 5.488669955257522
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3146.4046306258824
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9749:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5618714937844644, b_new = -2.010644831414399, c_new = 5.949284214848581
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10921.178950918704
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9750:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5664078701024406, b_new = -0.6101867680702147, c_new = 5.584960510318826
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7915.333529017018
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9751:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.296723773812337, b_new = -0.7670469397968581, c_new = 5.108908093336901
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7173.627619238882
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9752:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9071652372507213, b_new = -1.0490367950016817, c_new = 4.806819376328528
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3429.368546613368
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9753:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.298590578543709, b_new = -1.3110696549072465, c_new = 5.007470942341157
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14774.331556419751
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9754:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9532077656358107, b_new = -0.5540081002650864, c_new = 4.540410777109256
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3016.2254715488343
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9755:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.212531149054934, b_new = -0.9816435246406381, c_new = 5.757905490055531
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5087.288729825874
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9756:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0532972530546845, b_new = -1.677013324178659, c_new = 6.148922689670129
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3019.7253206936
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9757:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2403337996975488, b_new = -1.300641716629217, c_new = 4.891031151739503
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4633.310248778443
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9758:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1685988014509046, b_new = -1.1492019155200317, c_new = 5.7286162289435465
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4066.4540059140536
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9759:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.232946313978203, b_new = -1.5545551949131915, c_new = 5.085851592899644
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4113.646374906094
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9760:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4917458972842814, b_new = -1.8081246785043452, c_new = 5.395559644543631
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8424.845203349987
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9761:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6315107059194904, b_new = -1.9156218954966335, c_new = 5.762767957248786
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10249.32962993718
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9762:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.156113533257388, b_new = -1.4417063073261718, c_new = 4.835071256372292
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3407.4234655410473
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9763:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.421317002316264, b_new = -1.088485867712277, c_new = 5.293514439074817
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11012.666556603397
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9764:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1612806661368604, b_new = -1.0077824829958077, c_new = 6.183802824488776
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4322.915855125215
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9765:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.904565183691825, b_new = -1.1971764124425825, c_new = 5.203263833855095
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3555.8627168886633
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9766:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2612409891307057, b_new = -1.5302425194671418, c_new = 4.974611014837893
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4538.6464398789685
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9767:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1311758838551826, b_new = -1.2033371948276717, c_new = 5.9709196879940585
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3610.6385261186924
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9768:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0425476416010038, b_new = -1.5060189809524807, c_new = 5.826205561949987
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3014.231079362344
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9769:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130680638875429, b_new = -1.7688823616895237, c_new = 6.361943370912533
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3146.8079609322467
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9770:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.733927905009274, b_new = -1.0920283943478326, c_new = 6.201128595724928
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5637.526334946374
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9771:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.87875404089254, b_new = -0.6185863299989707, c_new = 5.359104870978997
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3207.04326402037
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9772:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.624914150280672, b_new = -1.1176797891100452, c_new = 4.8213482814409945
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8385.7089313701
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9773:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6370789022178136, b_new = -0.546180096115488, c_new = 5.8216368508640866
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6321.024300579767
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9774:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5053140547350665, b_new = -0.9771973813586771, c_new = 5.471386627436657
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9734.000303112067
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9775:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1443188513002616, b_new = -0.949655271485645, c_new = 5.056191200630004
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3932.7707589009733
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9776:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.369145127865269, b_new = -1.358610327866732, c_new = 5.487613678352205
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7227.352390762799
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9777:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6232212632709606, b_new = -0.580119469367059, c_new = 5.887517322550057
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12353.224367230632
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9778:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1051721711343836, b_new = -1.2358675185914019, c_new = 5.2251597544474215
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3264.9259229024915
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9779:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.437408603873772, b_new = -1.1058415410294193, c_new = 5.625438911979701
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9246.772662954152
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9780:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.110111154232447, b_new = -0.7687933601175105, c_new = 5.485539205230166
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12936.31034102706
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9781:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1538425573786353, b_new = -1.9819518204975113, c_new = 5.4198668725699966
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3094.502129771684
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9782:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4683435456049834, b_new = -1.2951916198374247, c_new = 5.4962216232192
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10802.817644505074
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9783:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.434628727425923, b_new = -0.32214802751169336, c_new = 5.773241338355535
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9275.554768172136
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9784:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5865933939804493, b_new = -2.0226609688589043, c_new = 5.415891725918152
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10828.309280094438
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9785:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9070088384267376, b_new = -1.7873781487179294, c_new = 5.430284539267836
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4382.578727713337
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9786:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1016044775993503, b_new = -0.8782647683169187, c_new = 5.061739787952189
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3569.747283557085
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9787:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2881096559717267, b_new = -0.4882738277524462, c_new = 6.103561963161247
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11106.622949726328
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9788:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.517493008400356, b_new = -1.196670495964384, c_new = 6.841216829105658
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9576.687749287225
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9789:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9458935058516706, b_new = -1.2261735548641854, c_new = 5.1935798589544815
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3261.856876626716
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9790:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8905701118750926, b_new = -1.6222738933161927, c_new = 5.02930884522319
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4419.368614966287
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9791:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6666446101771117, b_new = -1.7359818882279752, c_new = 5.130831513147217
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10732.219768531022
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9792:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.103819498090494, b_new = -0.9330990549010696, c_new = 5.418387486948019
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3583.7131971979024
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9793:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6944330867409576, b_new = -0.3811527281507743, c_new = 6.29273139820041
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13257.283445738938
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9794:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7921336301843667, b_new = -0.9673988143345725, c_new = 4.7348294251661525
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4742.984941187156
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9795:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5852679065912523, b_new = -1.8187763180714807, c_new = 6.444461511994199
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10065.585857497143
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9796:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.370182950454331, b_new = -1.0839620069619742, c_new = 5.526021113964386
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8020.1415471941
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9797:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6962870985161285, b_new = -1.9621466517457027, c_new = 5.614490095449049
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8943.324117248798
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9798:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.570041464956433, b_new = -2.691552100263904, c_new = 5.305901946258424
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7710.02355168045
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9799:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7360987669862205, b_new = -0.9392229172739194, c_new = 5.441529427602951
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5467.394461950414
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9800:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5772820850054883, b_new = -1.8413817047775727, c_new = 5.209388632392885
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9574.477805387658
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9801:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4805597322477997, b_new = -1.5300123777855414, c_new = 5.34985987688086
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11147.210576449637
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9802:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0057648934303454, b_new = -1.0025993574409358, c_new = 5.436279803893532
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3019.4947947474693
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9803:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.959757203888012, b_new = -0.7364791502634894, c_new = 5.601835354702129
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14101.252684387779
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9804:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1555570821950343, b_new = -1.5052226034855294, c_new = 4.8135208882498635
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3343.942086259321
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9805:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.627495084321347, b_new = -1.3014084566656021, c_new = 5.967784597438218
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11301.075489988527
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9806:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.239989362780851, b_new = -1.406334159289433, c_new = 5.130080179751008
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4483.449302371411
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9807:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6187452784820366, b_new = -2.1414933892688124, c_new = 4.647603626014243
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10947.167914415
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9808:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3757832722396417, b_new = -0.6189160874330484, c_new = 4.534679449592533
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8970.755031378882
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9809:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7105764460497634, b_new = -0.1734450502371775, c_new = 5.210738870113863
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4381.050168030113
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9810:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7030949329483525, b_new = -1.431988478962443, c_new = 4.70321840201964
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11413.841814634416
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9811:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.222364693805594, b_new = -0.55242901831274, c_new = 6.242074230676071
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6599.192748462291
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9812:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9640483802586066, b_new = -1.3180893011203934, c_new = 4.787939293789369
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14381.48987448911
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9813:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3685153283009113, b_new = -1.8031270274589235, c_new = 5.668755722334607
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6096.291597063271
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9814:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2498023619429177, b_new = -0.8926967065638227, c_new = 4.131020588876843
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12547.594707254313
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9815:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8294435319165667, b_new = -1.1825433893794441, c_new = 5.106219694406482
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4479.872986526961
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9816:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9661098933242256, b_new = -1.3969715471302013, c_new = 5.284573901806247
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3261.308030322808
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9817:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5990435018305305, b_new = -1.1794157563805392, c_new = 5.530186073378877
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8739.871926440665
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9818:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6086085314763907, b_new = -0.9731813448825031, c_new = 5.749310809848657
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7979.022111158836
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9819:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7955237718696253, b_new = -1.289119999873497, c_new = 5.28777511344276
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12461.952412260634
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9820:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7799130701907657, b_new = -0.6886888044007713, c_new = 5.963266043687459
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4125.882979348626
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9821:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9085039792631857, b_new = -1.0617829536350292, c_new = 5.769292030645423
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3313.3996102251895
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9822:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.277982162683882, b_new = -1.3342863745930174, c_new = 4.765108619104817
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12765.684219184437
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9823:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4917030693444024, b_new = -1.3683883419301, c_new = 5.03055914107482
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10824.176507173512
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9824:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.330237176987879, b_new = -0.6322604510974394, c_new = 5.327442812517884
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8368.704361611966
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9825:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4924385278649046, b_new = -1.4066940121134455, c_new = 5.186371074825257
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10836.299105350017
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9826:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6248883716482183, b_new = -0.5125699414810294, c_new = 6.295111465845364
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6328.949426732113
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9827:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5211788869248033, b_new = -1.1277351046266506, c_new = 5.3095698045690405
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10270.83425481459
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9828:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.644118490926771, b_new = -1.22906232442971, c_new = 5.4716585515949125
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8062.564206383374
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9829:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9275161743561817, b_new = -1.6857274051682682, c_new = 5.925475998094881
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3830.283141339862
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9830:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7557643199039648, b_new = -1.0606921330300274, c_new = 5.775211743354718
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5280.367802096513
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9831:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.668183202510151, b_new = -0.9867499183946511, c_new = 4.916058710585566
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7146.675986205018
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9832:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4099232898704046, b_new = -1.975091028019353, c_new = 5.29957138328752
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6380.704633724354
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9833:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9482410976672653, b_new = -0.7048864162639292, c_new = 5.670805222343078
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3027.075245561291
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9834:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.309975600077641, b_new = -1.0536640087097477, c_new = 5.465284717587595
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6793.784917502584
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9835:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.129290511721158, b_new = -1.5636574737372217, c_new = 5.0644013944910755
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3165.769163384696
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9836:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.215101575940884, b_new = -1.2129853957093175, c_new = 4.502532349267346
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13092.833514083184
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9837:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.19566098104324, b_new = -0.8826943662660149, c_new = 6.3340228066298465
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5197.600505318578
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9838:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.681500043455996, b_new = -0.10079319464886916, c_new = 4.792390006786286
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4789.167275263321
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9839:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1447260110595274, b_new = -0.40285212308772267, c_new = 4.930500499651216
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4934.533697710359
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9840:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2570924031504678, b_new = -0.2969226987960478, c_new = 5.179788162518062
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7693.2597233404695
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9841:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.763421936848192, b_new = -0.41799974033026577, c_new = 5.034521565120771
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13288.002594577025
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9842:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.484216807473969, b_new = -1.1076328657818664, c_new = 5.391155382310625
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9860.62076187711
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9843:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0875070223087118, b_new = -1.5461687078166981, c_new = 4.884602225509992
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3036.2308592011573
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9844:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5697020284950605, b_new = -1.9586065902048646, c_new = 5.321350187765743
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10942.486102017374
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9845:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.737749111343553, b_new = -0.9900507968898038, c_new = 5.067719538120729
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5679.028795261178
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9846:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0921157431619273, b_new = -0.9089341685131759, c_new = 5.722636203567947
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13145.255627354105
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9847:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130211602993488, b_new = -1.2028680276912234, c_new = 5.2346778154387845
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3485.9558181533066
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9848:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.877716723188872, b_new = -1.23260282689157, c_new = 5.860860853898909
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3763.6965423445467
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.487296541833566, b_new = -0.4598672877819747, c_new = 5.069318790149618
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11039.694988761406
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.408812462290144, b_new = -1.237166046543851, c_new = 5.931521021763138
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8533.428069455678
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7834059681443786, b_new = -0.7105429218992427, c_new = 5.827747683379515
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4140.930371173931
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8851205003566847, b_new = -1.2872529557683396, c_new = 4.659257173513559
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12874.600696777932
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5860357675713512, b_new = -2.5396756576835955, c_new = 5.424691522041361
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11838.37710178253
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226710377340593, b_new = -1.6755803188257967, c_new = 5.34320251775352
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3900.0567856358975
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2821132818578738, b_new = -1.324703262706589, c_new = 5.48033736266983
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12526.343024182519
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4035780146994323, b_new = -0.2497355473511511, c_new = 5.635159917941886
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9576.598288616124
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6874533159537823, b_new = -2.0850179141916367, c_new = 5.165276928343859
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10385.787418599011
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6250740843960347, b_new = -0.6461901840355551, c_new = 5.474611938136557
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12147.347382559092
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2322919335362177, b_new = -0.9203453190147588, c_new = 5.687368050262628
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5585.257933014804
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.363006731698666, b_new = -0.8164870591797153, c_new = 5.271368241638543
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11152.728492370818
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.521792625046639, b_new = -0.8753214469785557, c_new = 5.172138117022671
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9392.652210711749
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2847295417731806, b_new = -0.7487070578892724, c_new = 5.410118667721847
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7082.877286369582
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2696340886565434, b_new = -0.4310287683410977, c_new = 6.341652670177224
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8084.684317391282
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.441723903587427, b_new = -1.0100225001323948, c_new = 5.225205159241394
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10665.470595157843
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9957416789763203, b_new = -1.6892298966132828, c_new = 4.775662634390224
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3388.389678254364
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6205561800422594, b_new = -1.0876619010475859, c_new = 4.8926199169092115
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11260.622276426024
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.660831759677442, b_new = -0.4319061607575678, c_new = 5.585389891832727
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12752.406250771997
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.271173768035995, b_new = -1.8883914380714888, c_new = 5.585735119955243
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4184.761545035711
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9226320128921017, b_new = -1.3486857320984655, c_new = 6.428112351344161
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13471.808778475386
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4787836190908425, b_new = -0.8629553936126686, c_new = 4.7779096179276115
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10080.575839656283
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1446971366603096, b_new = -0.2836591018050528, c_new = 4.754184172491629
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12305.155597581728
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3366465959276144, b_new = -1.6071732009802255, c_new = 5.2129505043828726
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12596.79422691915
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.224558856389646, b_new = -1.4062330642593746, c_new = 5.605540610685749
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12978.219885178576
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.068421679694533, b_new = -0.9676135169340143, c_new = 6.010070018471586
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3341.616634610721
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8130398638344327, b_new = -1.1872170895562704, c_new = 5.053459976832997
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14760.477341944177
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4772232639981935, b_new = -1.3315458157962237, c_new = 5.200713694617898
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9213.330169891069
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0472286707618412, b_new = -0.5860407258620443, c_new = 5.027430149852132
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3416.7925467717523
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4716073436670993, b_new = -0.8016819250431017, c_new = 5.502202907905464
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10355.2754084982
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0245362311704196, b_new = -1.212485092780227, c_new = 5.574356154659525
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13843.716943057292
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.867804874536588, b_new = -0.9471986385085301, c_new = 6.15575076770981
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3477.8977465499715
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5647324184877425, b_new = -1.1706151700711267, c_new = 5.088355367914764
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9434.159732042062
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5324790683731027, b_new = -2.182916356120985, c_new = 4.5292259604100495
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -16371.674836651844
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9760877781827872, b_new = -1.447863670161274, c_new = 5.495285688743985
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3217.8760516274915
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.393624655632281, b_new = -1.4174083744635702, c_new = 5.539047601661096
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11760.73291974685
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0926653477814177, b_new = -0.5419120013965057, c_new = 6.396533699556993
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4262.580949320446
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.476310242565988, b_new = -0.5202294042266176, c_new = 5.061854865041272
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9327.858266414787
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.392643802417002, b_new = -1.5431421128279108, c_new = 4.754192125755542
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12205.228007957521
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.80515144457074, b_new = -1.3851616460719771, c_new = 5.771113022905873
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5120.937444281404
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9718050474295765, b_new = -1.2393282810725774, c_new = 4.719270414096814
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3173.1726803297397
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7897279499120335, b_new = -1.469565523415473, c_new = 5.3775648985535085
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5746.055503660811
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.859135730329885, b_new = -1.3655299009475335, c_new = 5.3718585936540455
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4313.698588969743
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4325637146204455, b_new = -0.9083657661662825, c_new = 5.961924885698741
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10353.266237050684
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.310819051058648, b_new = -0.8331361735704682, c_new = 5.7951977141198885
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7572.816210218443
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.47591091073253, b_new = -1.840343638949571, c_new = 5.8351784002509755
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8218.21230841248
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.562871534962021, b_new = -1.323476658288816, c_new = 4.523348578275019
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9999.419268113334
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5551771348290577, b_new = -1.1636609729248664, c_new = 4.456621365343252
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10337.938475276904
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4251551261234754, b_new = -1.3871779965288313, c_new = 5.618439495694666
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8335.899155651541
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.282329516533405, b_new = -1.3448103092314274, c_new = 5.0423501539530395
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5310.377555138075
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2157826258236972, b_new = -1.2694365392163083, c_new = 5.609554107533223
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4493.252664079956
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5673773283938313, b_new = -1.1590674734737783, c_new = 4.353991401447808
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10450.562805949472
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9630770769234664, b_new = -1.0060437086831002, c_new = 6.125231080206359
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3036.5623868449834
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.242251754242026, b_new = -0.4568110599354349, c_new = 5.635731629669274
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7076.774326869571
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.022675011142256, b_new = -0.7569416843505479, c_new = 5.502603850713842
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14334.619443985466
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.764322170288238, b_new = -1.7536211868081149, c_new = 5.215395871023066
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7118.9704752603475
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6581688901895597, b_new = -1.5887099442770785, c_new = 5.346442400345796
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8781.084368735908
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7868194000699784, b_new = -0.8559000094160638, c_new = 5.296003704549772
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4461.868237273979
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.132242395523542, b_new = -1.2845825544444824, c_new = 4.96876995052834
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3385.1482796952973
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1759288910683563, b_new = -0.4637317049645385, c_new = 5.296968552607157
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12182.475669088002
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6536143755842447, b_new = -0.8021336883975876, c_new = 5.92131061037321
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6601.424171889881
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.251593856699657, b_new = -1.0873099365327905, c_new = 3.772797667614081
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4967.338202744361
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2162223532825713, b_new = -1.4449780583615033, c_new = 5.291605987069795
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4112.623216521923
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.349785891816832, b_new = -1.732139173304665, c_new = 5.06097920871997
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5696.883186971101
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.383772520152906, b_new = -1.7505377564468418, c_new = 5.532636329575872
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6501.090331603636
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7506364803926133, b_new = -0.9215524451003431, c_new = 4.657411879331301
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5398.643702541505
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5538200641009317, b_new = -0.856923154080421, c_new = 4.872000232838528
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10982.24786437516
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3092894366189483, b_new = -1.96693966372804, c_new = 5.510921086987874
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4586.4701973507035
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7260936714444837, b_new = 0.2669796625863714, c_new = 5.080584250989385
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13902.634359767375
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0315475652067514, b_new = -0.9347236529428351, c_new = 5.52855273004886
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3109.922190170005
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6822888863899017, b_new = -0.5422553419432766, c_new = 6.079654858670382
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12896.31329782503
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.197243404699561, b_new = -1.3770461102083573, c_new = 5.439820560002483
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4006.448684461648
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3021343913625456, b_new = -1.1810633885677937, c_new = 5.11928407443603
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12283.863328549278
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.760313889756232, b_new = -1.9569544827019596, c_new = 5.55777919357044
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11358.378601149128
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1322451039820294, b_new = -1.2419200980616547, c_new = 5.563107936150958
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3509.0803124139097
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.606966523433438, b_new = -1.1039201066919184, c_new = 5.418827542926463
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8455.1663775208
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.912450172499065, b_new = -1.8325069387101962, c_new = 5.013026389783969
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4502.128142659319
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.937905922398736, b_new = -0.059173114027647244, c_new = 5.824759535980422
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3275.593585793604
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3921032859224356, b_new = -1.291101321302637, c_new = 5.3937491496366965
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11615.911871861852
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6421496823679247, b_new = -1.3890609157186145, c_new = 5.876937441539276
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8360.72741398709
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4306380507494723, b_new = -0.4666755421872385, c_new = 6.265894886293102
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9460.791309785849
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4215293149417647, b_new = -1.474041043071889, c_new = 5.09734884316627
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7848.441763788089
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3266651219332894, b_new = -0.9008466797770885, c_new = 6.448462868640414
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7998.446800986158
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3612608174430068, b_new = -2.013600649324915, c_new = 5.248678821367814
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12968.463053194031
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.100538879679183, b_new = -1.1930930459498394, c_new = 5.334048844551544
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3280.8120427025633
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3896723734056504, b_new = -1.305165954214747, c_new = 5.287029246719896
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11693.295032953709
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.474802500394144, b_new = -1.4695109542483697, c_new = 5.669816223092846
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10995.73579767051
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4993938012648855, b_new = -1.847243548974098, c_new = 5.873037727657923
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11347.438301977956
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6788189865398335, b_new = -0.9306221950354611, c_new = 5.383498811307174
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6608.07170858336
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3823457673975104, b_new = -1.3309281029839444, c_new = 5.77681925226322
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11654.794830003584
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.654901766861574, b_new = -1.2326042050177883, c_new = 5.896254398749141
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11636.207511581608
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1307277501214625, b_new = -2.1105236909965894, c_new = 6.644447167685696
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -14009.477647431599
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6991012785150303, b_new = -1.1169089688501619, c_new = 4.750590777456361
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6919.170269795417
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1667935519507164, b_new = -0.982057368597262, c_new = 5.8965270920642086
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4376.05289884607
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.35347899178952, b_new = -1.4946417546889927, c_new = 5.693337317353957
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6602.930952113957
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9552524506621514, b_new = -1.4400378541891594, c_new = 5.84943366506952
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3304.6118687929816
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.002762904392404, b_new = -0.8954026151631, c_new = 5.745425373542623
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3051.811535623222
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8115734038307068, b_new = -0.5330597148718045, c_new = 5.817215873117799
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13640.858523951452
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8004676544909617, b_new = -0.9323152471466543, c_new = 5.480183000162424
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12998.034993911551
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.18042080700748, b_new = -1.422410114118774, c_new = 5.0454901674157036
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3678.043309661038
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1082749816044055, b_new = -1.364717409198914, c_new = 5.0345631970086036
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3176.0443110517895
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.29826000132711, b_new = -0.9952410334848116, c_new = 4.519306537887676
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12220.68539462736
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8021015095134114, b_new = -1.1338113396312457, c_new = 5.11106054426437
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12656.911326463442
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7763036497175753, b_new = -0.5871912317839937, c_new = 4.9059622228774815
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13123.000698791378
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7720119227876947, b_new = -1.9574327545978636, c_new = 5.215724461222798
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7539.118949594279
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7640145716277447, b_new = -1.2930124510947496, c_new = 5.7985169167236315
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5670.436149581101
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1567806384580748, b_new = -1.547733670269465, c_new = 5.836382381940679
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3432.6233718230483
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.821033113862207, b_new = -1.5840154764286647, c_new = 5.491638213026792
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5380.052462332957
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.660447275721213, b_new = -1.236667288472441, c_new = 4.762156814292351
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -15347.77325827081
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.71766108617388, b_new = -1.0226292592430666, c_new = 5.54644154218063
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5999.121212728172
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.59148332671205, b_new = -0.8793322488184103, c_new = 5.90309073533456
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8007.427025922048
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.812230879640197, b_new = -0.9553987011296756, c_new = 5.7718535777709015
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4165.411192962059
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0656031505251407, b_new = -1.4616858669319028, c_new = 6.182132206756959
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3043.558362771898
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6583169585991433, b_new = -0.6541921703659465, c_new = 6.223606053293631
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6042.779498969616
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4471017547839464, b_new = -0.60891529534133, c_new = 5.548248652660377
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10446.02393153635
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7804076634707333, b_new = -0.9583920523576297, c_new = 4.916167899256836
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4868.726865388221
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.753083135388443, b_new = -0.9441408333616969, c_new = 6.523009379153644
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4867.996595928871
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9564820694442395, b_new = -0.7578118033848947, c_new = 5.901650334318731
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3029.2287108378896
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1547044649002425, b_new = -2.0116762342008165, c_new = 4.966989141894451
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3082.6453475253325
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6796120254807416, b_new = -0.11311895960859397, c_new = 5.129224829273543
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4761.78502054879
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7973529716710868, b_new = -1.1590179173221187, c_new = 4.537570562802345
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -5128.12559078448
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9731693147014087, b_new = -0.643849217105137, c_new = 4.868857451383363
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13673.54558066041
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8478959233339127, b_new = -0.8853479757997653, c_new = 6.618424159762861
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3533.048540338492
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.363617084286526, b_new = -1.2549083546889428, c_new = 5.192411381430644
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7282.75491553006
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5011598405636355, b_new = -1.3511707081992588, c_new = 4.5692402397423955
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9320.06237069873
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.141184092984853, b_new = -0.7471106028429535, c_new = 6.334402654207142
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4566.5120700468
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8523450215120065, b_new = -0.9576093438171634, c_new = 5.790906744029594
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3685.8858506532133
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6962190879527888, b_new = -1.5846969224887082, c_new = 5.497996045261992
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11344.623520194367
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.012334468915719, b_new = -1.8594909521185858, c_new = 6.18454093681472
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3244.4422700647838
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.370415562251847, b_new = 0.23757310578974256, c_new = 6.331224094947359
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -11486.575369556404
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.473029151162861, b_new = -0.07850362962760205, c_new = 5.3350189248870254
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8354.207630803954
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3580965511841763, b_new = -1.4058700772538537, c_new = 5.222711405660463
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6767.757178715683
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8965476192642345, b_new = -1.3491061981345736, c_new = 5.705214676795502
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3744.0604104565214
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6699155880107655, b_new = -1.6444096430688946, c_new = 5.489258463598795
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8651.233195087321
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0811067914732257, b_new = -1.2839547613891475, c_new = 4.343945869263355
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3072.190535641733
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.606974084115397, b_new = -0.8356916493760622, c_new = 4.831661080228892
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -7995.403194629207
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.750074690271222, b_new = -1.0985926484175523, c_new = 4.731175750447174
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12250.467802486772
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4146452207123454, b_new = -1.276511542253141, c_new = 5.1058215631009025
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -8229.798527814623
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.373627314744443, b_new = -1.6819984565717259, c_new = 5.943416891769936
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12214.900199380012
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221016374993121, b_new = -0.41750607314978005, c_new = 5.8279198193119
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -6791.746542503383
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.182185260440225, b_new = -1.381392647870233, c_new = 4.716414210755118
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13438.813802175184
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.101724056528457, b_new = -0.5408665463468347, c_new = 5.803432297701179
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4232.476760911303
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6317550964121152, b_new = -0.7252049831750612, c_new = 5.914423826367792
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -12215.264489558565
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5165845497051382, b_new = -0.6529844530129354, c_new = 4.878206206598952
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9088.393210589307
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5616303985620834, b_new = -1.5230281914001655, c_new = 4.845544594528607
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -10323.956194220642
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5205177955528173, b_new = -1.0745477566610053, c_new = 5.994540642987092
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -9555.894703006625
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1735602557081672, b_new = -1.227531830353012, c_new = 5.5294722962604475
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -13092.498960629633
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0641855608299857, b_new = -1.9812095159379306, c_new = 5.33739133112652
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3149.265271084126
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1968412311699015, b_new = -1.4082933090385092, c_new = 5.800467921204546
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4027.5408013854276
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1268846488743907, b_new = -0.9758062419059825, c_new = 5.08540355075499
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -3703.3933420091225
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Iteration 9999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1818878991114015, b_new = -0.8935666288665449, c_new = 4.433459836103322
Current likelihood: -3011.272759119626
Proposed likelihood: -4396.404670375043
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Best coefficients: a = 3.01055612800156, b = -1.1390554704853764, c = 5.4288657948967876
Maximum likelihood: -3011.272759119626
import numpy as np
np.random.seed(20)
x = np.linspace(0, 10, 1000)
y = 3 * x**2 - x + 5 + np.random.normal(scale=5, size=1000)
def normal_pdf(x, mean, std):
return (1 / (std * np.sqrt(2 * np.pi))) * np.exp(-(x - mean)**2 / (2 * std**2))
def model(x, a, b, c):
return a * x**2 + b * x + c
def monte_carlo_with_pdf(x, y, std_dev=5, iterations=10000, epsilon=1e-10):
# Initial values (can be random or zeros)
a, b, c = np.random.uniform(-1, 1, 3)
max_likelihood = -float('inf')
# Best coefficients initialization
best_a, best_b, best_c = a, b, c
for i in range(iterations):
# Proposal step: generate new candidate coefficients
a_new = a + np.random.normal(0, 0.5)
b_new = b + np.random.normal(0, 0.5)
c_new = c + np.random.normal(0, 0.5)
# Compute the predicted y values and the likelihood
y_pred_new = model(x, a_new, b_new, c_new)
pdf_values_new = normal_pdf(y, y_pred_new, std_dev)
likelihood_new = np.sum(np.log(pdf_values_new + epsilon))
# Compute the acceptance probability
y_pred = model(x, a, b, c)
pdf_values = normal_pdf(y, y_pred, std_dev)
likelihood = np.sum(np.log(pdf_values + epsilon))
acceptance_prob = np.exp(likelihood_new - likelihood)
print(f"Iteration {i}:")
print(f" Current coefficients: a = {a}, b = {b}, c = {c}")
print(f" Proposed coefficients: a_new = {a_new}, b_new = {b_new}, c_new = {c_new}")
print(f" Current likelihood: {likelihood}")
print(f" Proposed likelihood: {likelihood_new}")
print(f" Acceptance probability: {acceptance_prob}")
print(f" Max likelihood: {max_likelihood}")
print(f" Best coefficients so far: a = {best_a}, b = {best_b}, c = {best_c}")
# Accept or reject the new state
if likelihood_new > likelihood or np.random.uniform(0, 1) < acceptance_prob:
a, b, c = a_new, b_new, c_new
if likelihood_new > max_likelihood:
max_likelihood = likelihood_new
best_a, best_b, best_c = a_new, b_new, c_new
return best_a, best_b, best_c, max_likelihood
# Perform the Metropolis-Hastings simulation
best_a, best_b, best_c, max_likelihood = monte_carlo_with_pdf(x, y)
print(f"Best coefficients: a = {best_a}, b = {best_b}, c = {best_c}")
print(f"Maximum likelihood: {max_likelihood}")
Iteration 0:
Current coefficients: a = -0.8934011915936522, b = 0.23003567677045322, c = 0.35471512823859586
Proposed coefficients: a_new = -0.005369846107265541, b_new = -0.31927475572142094, c_new = 0.12231869085214575
Current likelihood: -18692.95269318287
Proposed likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Acceptance probability: 9.447626155560898e+173
Max likelihood: -inf
Best coefficients so far: a = -0.8934011915936522, b = 0.23003567677045322, c = 0.35471512823859586
Iteration 1:
Current coefficients: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Proposed coefficients: a_new = -0.5066901260649739, b_new = -0.19927784137175114, c_new = 0.6992914992780269
Current likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Proposed likelihood: -18523.04642186484
Acceptance probability: 6.516784718546943e-101
Max likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Best coefficients so far: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Iteration 2:
Current coefficients: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Proposed coefficients: a_new = -0.26787154443756, b_new = -1.1852137488143968, c_new = -0.06822324490265796
Current likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Proposed likelihood: -18772.555357372006
Acceptance probability: 2.8423627177470935e-209
Max likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Best coefficients so far: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Iteration 3:
Current coefficients: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Proposed coefficients: a_new = -0.29123257973185906, b_new = -0.2144937582420942, c_new = 0.1694190722761333
Current likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Proposed likelihood: -18461.655573096206
Acceptance probability: 2.9904753980663852e-74
Max likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Best coefficients so far: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Iteration 4:
Current coefficients: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.1563401278927679, b_new = -0.11773092972556307, c_new = 0.5936015749779204
Current likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Proposed likelihood: -18011.881722283444
Acceptance probability: 6.457162951243256e+121
Max likelihood: -18292.35970858542
Best coefficients so far: a = -0.005369846107265541, b = -0.31927475572142094, c = 0.12231869085214575
Iteration 5:
Current coefficients: a = 0.1563401278927679, b = -0.11773092972556307, c = 0.5936015749779204
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.04789163447662052, b_new = -0.12423556918351589, c_new = 0.49128540076076443
Current likelihood: -18011.881722283444
Proposed likelihood: -18125.695464230448
Acceptance probability: 3.726661164766975e-50
Max likelihood: -18011.881722283444
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.1563401278927679, b = -0.11773092972556307, c = 0.5936015749779204
Iteration 6:
Current coefficients: a = 0.1563401278927679, b = -0.11773092972556307, c = 0.5936015749779204
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.9084405575893189, b_new = 0.1850134604765092, c_new = 0.7863165498391853
Current likelihood: -18011.881722283444
Proposed likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Acceptance probability: inf
Max likelihood: -18011.881722283444
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.1563401278927679, b = -0.11773092972556307, c = 0.5936015749779204
Iteration 7:
Current coefficients: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.6866374694566684, b_new = 0.6927680100722196, c_new = 0.3936505934355968
Current likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Proposed likelihood: -17070.593656386285
Acceptance probability: 2.2734451487268207e-70
Max likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Iteration 8:
Current coefficients: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.0369015509667094, b_new = -0.6911977599763656, c_new = 0.7848248463469726
Current likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Proposed likelihood: -17165.742540479645
Acceptance probability: 1.0815563699192438e-111
Max likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Iteration 9:
Current coefficients: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.5476904896188441, b_new = 0.252037364066245, c_new = 1.334516963903598
Current likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Proposed likelihood: -17298.526161232017
Acceptance probability: 2.327316130443042e-169
Max likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Iteration 10:
Current coefficients: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.302457773681577, b_new = -0.2593696179580608, c_new = 0.6947123252838484
Current likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Proposed likelihood: -17908.212338817364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Iteration 11:
Current coefficients: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.8133216079028965, b_new = -0.5622497256154517, c_new = 0.4123593736830848
Current likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Proposed likelihood: -17494.592324370584
Acceptance probability: 1.6458969504340477e-254
Max likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Iteration 12:
Current coefficients: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.9699894235403768, b_new = 0.6825841479410897, c_new = 0.5918618599776512
Current likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Proposed likelihood: -16566.588493299125
Acceptance probability: 1.7512399661190856e+149
Max likelihood: -16910.233996244337
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.9084405575893189, b = 0.1850134604765092, c = 0.7863165498391853
Iteration 13:
Current coefficients: a = 0.9699894235403768, b = 0.6825841479410897, c = 0.5918618599776512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.1861344054640044, b_new = 1.4442722414451785, c_new = 0.2355210918155119
Current likelihood: -16566.588493299125
Proposed likelihood: -15674.903060896035
Acceptance probability: inf
Max likelihood: -16566.588493299125
Best coefficients so far: a = 0.9699894235403768, b = 0.6825841479410897, c = 0.5918618599776512
Iteration 14:
Current coefficients: a = 1.1861344054640044, b = 1.4442722414451785, c = 0.2355210918155119
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 0.4560675349459513, b_new = 0.9429135931215028, c_new = 0.3732468085699362
Current likelihood: -15674.903060896035
Proposed likelihood: -17277.339149862986
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -15674.903060896035
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.1861344054640044, b = 1.4442722414451785, c = 0.2355210918155119
Iteration 15:
Current coefficients: a = 1.1861344054640044, b = 1.4442722414451785, c = 0.2355210918155119
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.1009781988617318, b_new = 2.2871365324937556, c_new = 1.0075147906116955
Current likelihood: -15674.903060896035
Proposed likelihood: -15129.848105084495
Acceptance probability: 5.180356441192951e+236
Max likelihood: -15674.903060896035
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.1861344054640044, b = 1.4442722414451785, c = 0.2355210918155119
Iteration 16:
Current coefficients: a = 1.1009781988617318, b = 2.2871365324937556, c = 1.0075147906116955
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.1292930126187324, b_new = 2.7080141300318523, c_new = 1.2698287674419586
Current likelihood: -15129.848105084495
Proposed likelihood: -14691.6846658093
Acceptance probability: 1.9586816244394945e+190
Max likelihood: -15129.848105084495
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.1009781988617318, b = 2.2871365324937556, c = 1.0075147906116955
Iteration 17:
Current coefficients: a = 1.1292930126187324, b = 2.7080141300318523, c = 1.2698287674419586
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.288202976271521, b_new = 3.423844216039427, c_new = 1.1623256172360625
Current likelihood: -14691.6846658093
Proposed likelihood: -13624.286752101445
Acceptance probability: inf
Max likelihood: -14691.6846658093
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.1292930126187324, b = 2.7080141300318523, c = 1.2698287674419586
Iteration 18:
Current coefficients: a = 1.288202976271521, b = 3.423844216039427, c = 1.1623256172360625
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.339752030703175, b_new = 4.119207113367844, c_new = 0.3449010707156648
Current likelihood: -13624.286752101445
Proposed likelihood: -12981.903019236197
Acceptance probability: 9.631866350539832e+278
Max likelihood: -13624.286752101445
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.288202976271521, b = 3.423844216039427, c = 1.1623256172360625
Iteration 19:
Current coefficients: a = 1.339752030703175, b = 4.119207113367844, c = 0.3449010707156648
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.4666706261175748, b_new = 4.994077823544239, c_new = 0.4642288322894241
Current likelihood: -12981.903019236197
Proposed likelihood: -11474.081764742597
Acceptance probability: inf
Max likelihood: -12981.903019236197
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.339752030703175, b = 4.119207113367844, c = 0.3449010707156648
Iteration 20:
Current coefficients: a = 1.4666706261175748, b = 4.994077823544239, c = 0.4642288322894241
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9227361188823016, b_new = 4.395837256269017, c_new = 0.9870432595603233
Current likelihood: -11474.081764742597
Proposed likelihood: -8546.278650763628
Acceptance probability: inf
Max likelihood: -11474.081764742597
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.4666706261175748, b = 4.994077823544239, c = 0.4642288322894241
Iteration 21:
Current coefficients: a = 1.9227361188823016, b = 4.395837256269017, c = 0.9870432595603233
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.156716609463295, b_new = 3.8870670423590443, c_new = -0.039255255365232555
Current likelihood: -8546.278650763628
Proposed likelihood: -6727.198041042742
Acceptance probability: inf
Max likelihood: -8546.278650763628
Best coefficients so far: a = 1.9227361188823016, b = 4.395837256269017, c = 0.9870432595603233
Iteration 22:
Current coefficients: a = 2.156716609463295, b = 3.8870670423590443, c = -0.039255255365232555
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4548857978166287, b_new = 3.5888471325121154, c_new = -0.2066653302499352
Current likelihood: -6727.198041042742
Proposed likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Acceptance probability: inf
Max likelihood: -6727.198041042742
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.156716609463295, b = 3.8870670423590443, c = -0.039255255365232555
Iteration 23:
Current coefficients: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8193441943612707, b_new = 2.5487806768111962, c_new = -0.5775071224606401
Current likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Proposed likelihood: -4322.300823850408
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Iteration 24:
Current coefficients: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8454024715067545, b_new = 4.169645288793293, c_new = -0.7212463656319134
Current likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Proposed likelihood: -9511.871931629703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Iteration 25:
Current coefficients: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.025342127552577, b_new = 4.393460333686794, c_new = -0.40780849381353435
Current likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Proposed likelihood: -13162.588570414962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Iteration 26:
Current coefficients: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6911705106695591, b_new = 3.643662066259061, c_new = -0.3958697370272726
Current likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Proposed likelihood: -11760.274465345876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Iteration 27:
Current coefficients: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5417211932539916, b_new = 4.181174945757689, c_new = -0.11866849196860334
Current likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Proposed likelihood: -12001.628690032936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Iteration 28:
Current coefficients: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.50969631753759, b_new = 3.467001700357397, c_new = 0.49572645632368206
Current likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Proposed likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Acceptance probability: 2.213035725164594e+50
Max likelihood: -3486.163315494954
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.4548857978166287, b = 3.5888471325121154, c = -0.2066653302499352
Iteration 29:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4965468931640817, b_new = 2.9330964583454606, c_new = 0.7720463328503611
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -3546.1203973286847
Acceptance probability: 4.13030177310155e-77
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 30:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.736456397673527, b_new = 3.1755236236891298, c_new = 0.45186895747728556
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -11817.549518628499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 31:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6305736603222862, b_new = 2.983253968348212, c_new = 0.5525493718766086
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -3389.77252613431
Acceptance probability: 3.288512528786806e-09
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 32:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2352773323151482, b_new = 4.38244088753115, c_new = 1.6040238116220011
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -4591.467141756841
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 33:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6884167054364854, b_new = 3.2512710341886457, c_new = 1.2643353164646187
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -4367.164171911224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 34:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9881848188062805, b_new = 3.1500588462397583, c_new = 0.6922025493477659
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -9783.500728795196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 35:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.920626933005847, b_new = 3.251120582441752, c_new = -0.5490616231149381
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -8342.853525902814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 36:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.288848507850576, b_new = 2.5589960840008237, c_new = 0.5423452629261488
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -7117.976452561931
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 37:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5726845097261024, b_new = 3.993477130054202, c_new = 0.5208944332635812
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -4097.72214663381
Acceptance probability: 1.1438942e-316
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 38:
Current coefficients: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6316477078312226, b_new = 2.9161782973457555, c_new = 0.621576555312448
Current likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Proposed likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Acceptance probability: 1987663.552083062
Max likelihood: -3370.2396956409943
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.50969631753759, b = 3.467001700357397, c = 0.49572645632368206
Iteration 39:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6598599896519595, b_new = 2.888832622791338, c_new = 0.9675949065742955
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -3524.909623724877
Acceptance probability: 3.3834584119840347e-74
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 40:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.425154749999456, b_new = 2.9961892009101843, c_new = 0.8030619771338298
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -4129.917988867131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 41:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3417483321148587, b_new = 3.1481738080774537, c_new = -0.11596105118933264
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -13775.38711222003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 42:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0924882484702176, b_new = 2.043096645893403, c_new = 0.022170981024838388
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -8823.384776656743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 43:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3401425931913558, b_new = 3.6447327572256345, c_new = 0.14446854801062864
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -14419.865821986621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 44:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.411481367202703, b_new = 3.3069623435131668, c_new = 0.6298143749323344
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -3947.3861091917374
Acceptance probability: 1.1224176065975844e-257
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 45:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8368069960629803, b_new = 2.440042156143725, c_new = -0.4073156402834931
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -4406.531649710873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 46:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8450606220787065, b_new = 3.1635056641844983, c_new = 0.4540084568304093
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -6657.458988033798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 47:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7514546752393474, b_new = 3.0214793446801695, c_new = 1.5258450982576808
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -15725.407299261959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 48:
Current coefficients: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.595868084951422, b_new = 2.3789079306266405, c_new = 0.9370911146805467
Current likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Proposed likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Acceptance probability: 1.3880678611194517e+30
Max likelihood: -3355.737225228513
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.6316477078312226, b = 2.9161782973457555, c = 0.621576555312448
Iteration 49:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2976860658027363, b_new = 3.5461139797500514, c_new = 0.2995745141730465
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -5107.641741588437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 50:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4038210988376267, b_new = 2.1846558061491366, c_new = 0.9591523199187367
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -13210.448903100429
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 51:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4311592038976695, b_new = 2.1541671242190157, c_new = 1.404936241784303
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -5307.336096708999
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 52:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2372823964714126, b_new = 2.3408207927362965, c_new = 1.2770238333498034
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -12190.53991790789
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 53:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833234490718314, b_new = 2.3273186420288927, c_new = 0.6414835377728909
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -4417.168329372238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 54:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6661367842816963, b_new = 2.2142243509764117, c_new = 1.002383044783787
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -14644.922114293957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 55:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.501076305179805, b_new = 2.5955999987607905, c_new = 1.930476209041244
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -3684.8006867330955
Acceptance probability: 8.854086770194754e-174
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 56:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4906062130195785, b_new = 2.864104646040294, c_new = -0.46974167803638545
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -3762.4657147097523
Acceptance probability: 1.6506336203318887e-207
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 57:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5151194313976375, b_new = 2.462588458758446, c_new = 0.4807754246320844
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -3833.2293872914033
Acceptance probability: 3.0575823674266624e-238
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 58:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.449722260000047, b_new = 3.028048301621009, c_new = 1.3823464830085426
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -3792.0304751050085
Acceptance probability: 2.3869228840326865e-220
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 59:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9671034547803474, b_new = 2.5711592504361125, c_new = 1.50655407462828
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -8213.027844551742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 60:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.17259806562582, b_new = 1.6541991617144278, c_new = 1.1452522319063656
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -9819.520981367325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 61:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5304694204629, b_new = 2.7617340658059533, c_new = 0.5357574942347585
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -3449.6848613212696
Acceptance probability: 1.13932954139696e-71
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 62:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.335837952470371, b_new = 3.038776502060913, c_new = 0.6207321454229743
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -5350.568631257091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 63:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.541036278997892, b_new = 1.7360589878785095, c_new = 1.4514070838921
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -4356.963985650038
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 64:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.173487959883442, b_new = 1.9220685192501912, c_new = 0.9693671577584421
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -9753.454487090372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 65:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7699068060311234, b_new = 1.964710640741599, c_new = 1.0494039928953844
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -12860.013882058194
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 66:
Current coefficients: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.741815273603052, b_new = 1.2235003928955164, c_new = 0.7098046779712512
Current likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Proposed likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Acceptance probability: 1.235400309063301e+47
Max likelihood: -3286.331759686506
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.595868084951422, b = 2.3789079306266405, c = 0.9370911146805467
Iteration 67:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.541025064643887, b_new = 1.2245091912439265, c_new = 0.8527201392135442
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -5519.75149257499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 68:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8836308675284137, b_new = 1.6702985810806048, c_new = 0.5564665700159994
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -3921.025804795523
Acceptance probability: 2e-323
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 69:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3921788856547543, b_new = 1.7616861385473652, c_new = 0.3200926763982603
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -12353.939991640098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 70:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6949877506780204, b_new = 0.9803382376167245, c_new = 1.4683489257032276
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -3601.2383429850042
Acceptance probability: 1.39959007088399e-184
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 71:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.929170643439233, b_new = 1.32762576055954, c_new = 1.8368801050775194
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -4211.2911128778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 72:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5302441837974934, b_new = 1.1700086462360446, c_new = 0.6584048320390707
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -5912.148895745799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 73:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.677823001948795, b_new = 0.8969898226872927, c_new = 0.686783059872607
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -4046.4818393497635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 74:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.061007943875164, b_new = 0.9978850891832584, c_new = 1.446631555612181
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -5589.696103966988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 75:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.468820059295937, b_new = 0.8321855729040145, c_new = 0.3647933233117343
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -8039.9085170844955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 76:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.772073715761781, b_new = 1.7860516281002288, c_new = 0.47525382858690013
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -3187.06918707356
Acceptance probability: 0.00010408300915590082
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 77:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7135393122644875, b_new = 1.4077482566277015, c_new = 0.5486586300395465
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -13957.744909863924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 78:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4307540640223384, b_new = 0.7936049044322221, c_new = 1.3757800273592173
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -11487.963709355416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 79:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8514426052721515, b_new = 1.8174360036889212, c_new = 0.515251267174841
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -3774.7704166690473
Acceptance probability: 6.053113517987777e-260
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 80:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6988880938391127, b_new = 1.5690089869571415, c_new = 0.9073632777652824
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -3186.773838740043
Acceptance probability: 0.00013984533742370154
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 81:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.268657144049567, b_new = 0.8339166587386425, c_new = 0.5824086806774056
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -10760.39811076887
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 82:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3158832136523237, b_new = 0.5940297786376884, c_new = 0.7565965077952288
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -10610.919410237151
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 83:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.532575736431837, b_new = 1.6445891445069496, c_new = 0.4846010773789197
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -4876.954503878784
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 84:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4957563341944367, b_new = 0.6291487608613823, c_new = -0.43133874087064394
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -8382.206574676948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 85:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9959884221709188, b_new = 1.6272899345514604, c_new = 0.7122336443713688
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -5655.941990286883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 86:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4311805624514418, b_new = 0.8939945280056023, c_new = 0.14896924441714332
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -8626.086591214485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 87:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4207275709209024, b_new = 0.5984474542363419, c_new = 0.3580679954778184
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -9386.492482295169
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 88:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2467046705277016, b_new = 0.8403129420331517, c_new = 0.8875562581427076
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -8965.955364611793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 89:
Current coefficients: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.747032722638499, b_new = 1.4338887886316838, c_new = 0.25893372828494293
Current likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Proposed likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Acceptance probability: 2.2171184535736546e+28
Max likelihood: -3177.8988652613334
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.741815273603052, b = 1.2235003928955164, c = 0.7098046779712512
Iteration 90:
Current coefficients: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6346624634877482, b_new = 1.1636873125470557, c_new = 0.7127103142646265
Current likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Proposed likelihood: -4175.205470149221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Iteration 91:
Current coefficients: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.014610381610918, b_new = 1.8371200359687119, c_new = 0.9237244388918657
Current likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Proposed likelihood: -6733.585272807961
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Iteration 92:
Current coefficients: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8096709452957986, b_new = 1.7122954561911432, c_new = 0.8725089990526269
Current likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Proposed likelihood: -3361.368597690477
Acceptance probability: 9.425810690095417e-109
Max likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Iteration 93:
Current coefficients: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7651427621226903, b_new = 1.7082175899038141, c_new = -0.24341789063336522
Current likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Proposed likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Acceptance probability: 93.13423019348791
Max likelihood: -3112.6302742986254
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.747032722638499, b = 1.4338887886316838, c = 0.25893372828494293
Iteration 94:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1430938011618688, b_new = 0.7477783886245394, c_new = -2.145344426777186
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -5527.237905574088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 95:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8889146901976277, b_new = 1.0053295089908647, c_new = -0.37243066877215114
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3183.860424521975
Acceptance probability: 1.2474682001966383e-33
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 96:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1602181885967022, b_new = 1.5483278700482221, c_new = -0.8460568076964765
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -8499.767344170685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 97:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.033095830453036, b_new = 1.350872407738259, c_new = -0.13974304404438023
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -12278.509800727012
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 98:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4133190271966454, b_new = 1.9199573051615495, c_new = -0.01400528051100522
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -12652.666852588827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 99:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4780177395645024, b_new = 0.5106206506370403, c_new = -0.21153790993355434
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -8906.43873339883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 100:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9729184092895404, b_new = 1.4011513884992202, c_new = -0.32952371507212785
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -4446.04808595388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 101:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2969107781270455, b_new = 1.5251217520928253, c_new = -0.34867260715114173
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -9415.463541842717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 102:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5869630606650498, b_new = 2.073990452213529, c_new = 0.24154801987736146
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -13968.493260151907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 103:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.297228023568275, b_new = 1.3767341221527734, c_new = -0.14746152488269082
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -9637.479813636168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 104:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2854411423268015, b_new = 2.196100557560083, c_new = 0.5031553198876426
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -7932.5822986067105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 105:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.450561151402773, b_new = 1.6833685363006892, c_new = -0.3002404535662181
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -6520.750897880553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 106:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6438327505804824, b_new = 2.0502494368859665, c_new = -0.5337086912021988
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3299.777876392635
Acceptance probability: 5.671785263851184e-84
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 107:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8635524872353133, b_new = 1.6617010236972047, c_new = -0.47777268185948496
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3538.0938295892793
Acceptance probability: 1.7964550587819255e-187
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 108:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6929679155675514, b_new = 1.6533504069191496, c_new = -0.04728213539404921
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3235.721172388389
Acceptance probability: 3.7427675707389744e-56
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 109:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.33915922080149, b_new = 1.3936530669149447, c_new = -0.40325952354896333
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -11064.458832269705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 110:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.224136003675752, b_new = 1.500769774637503, c_new = -0.20746432379243554
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -9821.649669439732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 111:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.185089328055845, b_new = 2.1968913194986275, c_new = -0.3455086812535507
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -10763.288812162737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 112:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.42641721529467, b_new = 1.9337931284865135, c_new = -1.085180450835901
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -12494.604624179514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 113:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.549887274614566, b_new = 1.7746272474804836, c_new = -0.07355836092680448
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -4507.0541116296845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 114:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0476203122597494, b_new = 1.1421150829967925, c_new = 0.2811465780383288
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -5314.360322748584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 115:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0679437304198585, b_new = 1.2305621570028011, c_new = 1.282655812038067
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -6304.861415568919
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 116:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9770691951958144, b_new = 1.9537096911736056, c_new = -0.7071699079115863
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -5637.10503948742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 117:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6634910462684505, b_new = 2.9725665880098124, c_new = -0.17339639190305528
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3453.744946188591
Acceptance probability: 7.703196435205175e-151
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 118:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1038520933243623, b_new = 1.4934685346299301, c_new = -0.3851196011989654
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -7254.717563171849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 119:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9439251180893167, b_new = 1.2014856137556489, c_new = 0.19261608149585163
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3847.814176229956
Acceptance probability: 5.53e-322
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 120:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.091757162692876, b_new = 1.4155930887540924, c_new = 0.4241272422426849
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -11558.024683880249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 121:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120651773254885, b_new = 1.812108809373301, c_new = -0.536954892161474
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -8526.439932842799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 122:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.460136993142025, b_new = 1.6217448442445468, c_new = -0.8276666558746775
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -6678.696667725799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 123:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.816102942565064, b_new = 1.372235885760057, c_new = 0.4864605820662406
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -13413.292517045997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 124:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625439426575901, b_new = 1.3606055589265296, c_new = 0.36618094257060124
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -4061.2196051552655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 125:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.726018311964349, b_new = 1.5915702490561983, c_new = -0.20547449024020048
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3145.626703556287
Acceptance probability: 5.020228925120817e-17
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 126:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0485090687454557, b_new = 2.1669252414300915, c_new = -0.036550307835374884
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -10930.375266439001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 127:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.506637114810342, b_new = 0.6429024088125497, c_new = 0.34659633848113164
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -7826.621319848926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 128:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4240187240352884, b_new = 0.9393203474405267, c_new = -0.1412752073467693
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -8749.28234365428
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 129:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6231371880460608, b_new = 1.538371453277629, c_new = -0.8281219656668801
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -4080.5809913702333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 130:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.774264533554854, b_new = 1.4068041978849446, c_new = -0.15639938024301928
Current likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Proposed likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Acceptance probability: 341789681.0340993
Max likelihood: -3108.0962325106657
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.7651427621226903, b = 1.7082175899038141, c = -0.24341789063336522
Iteration 131:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7624962822442782, b_new = 1.7619106644301308, c_new = 0.4079187593852929
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13286.242610599244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 132:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.725925429893962, b_new = 1.7482484925414268, c_new = -0.7647061532555144
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3131.355447603159
Acceptance probability: 2.3168199548328913e-19
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 133:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.04920612034431, b_new = 1.2886769731043244, c_new = -0.9505973510166386
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5329.364632862265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 134:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0001464034015424, b_new = 1.319321425153857, c_new = -0.4595143525780465
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4674.490071447404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 135:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1995167241832867, b_new = 0.9763109418720677, c_new = 0.2537767559098061
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11335.948651772169
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 136:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.292572624248989, b_new = 1.3862354953365017, c_new = -0.1405603329762183
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9676.004564836574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 137:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.206768037251051, b_new = 1.63925341417207, c_new = -0.6487582265284522
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9709.767118664575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 138:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.618199953177494, b_new = 1.4073719646970249, c_new = 0.29416494044802743
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13412.94124491527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 139:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5236834794160274, b_new = 0.7044517887602015, c_new = -0.08994086744985845
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -7510.946266563498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 140:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9516162282106997, b_new = 2.021085102892151, c_new = -0.5888384785048535
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5349.575890062237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 141:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7414483179723934, b_new = 1.7590484172795202, c_new = 0.32581536658242316
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3105.3374035986562
Acceptance probability: 4.6172695220874175e-08
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 142:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.467529754084326, b_new = 2.0412501473878697, c_new = 0.06915046183391632
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5275.716119332592
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 143:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7087530845378884, b_new = 1.763488991433075, c_new = 0.4692831066021077
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3122.543124648003
Acceptance probability: 1.5560928861650254e-15
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 144:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6730071589198765, b_new = 0.8524457019921702, c_new = -0.4047378091607087
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12932.136592396966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 145:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924352148229864, b_new = 1.9982522724130538, c_new = 0.22375466542626812
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5052.07711622533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 146:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.050030707972755, b_new = 1.9117109726145984, c_new = 0.1082688062232405
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -7464.756455775609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 147:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.092586890300324, b_new = 1.2326600127437342, c_new = 0.47233078470475176
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -6557.7599997345205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 148:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4307383059177954, b_new = 0.9691326888654702, c_new = -1.1531507746783798
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11093.558437921354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 149:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8555334613107055, b_new = 1.6062209100853773, c_new = -0.41821207100735736
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3425.6463405667046
Acceptance probability: 3.597339253571768e-147
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 150:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.210464365581147, b_new = 0.846878292987337, c_new = 0.5283208561574613
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -8108.788193520857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 151:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.587786881159852, b_new = 1.9348742776703398, c_new = -0.1699852351059595
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3805.296334445208
Acceptance probability: 4.7433372136e-312
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 152:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2019865035219666, b_new = 2.082306576554405, c_new = -0.44317921122047244
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -10718.493590482838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 153:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.306334081315961, b_new = 1.7038412178447282, c_new = 0.03701312153389394
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11388.581004185631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 154:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.795072475742878, b_new = 1.7638689026370316, c_new = 0.28346522754908277
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3256.2097016062744
Acceptance probability: 1.3847734535784264e-73
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 155:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.979758532246533, b_new = 1.5544485593554305, c_new = -0.7806243281851454
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4743.664003211599
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 156:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7195716768674623, b_new = 1.3304479761435146, c_new = 0.3897909946726651
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3250.727968694533
Acceptance probability: 3.3270941007130205e-71
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 157:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.269100935511975, b_new = 1.8996336487601022, c_new = -0.27519646294711536
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11241.769063105312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 158:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2367054105842556, b_new = 0.8833509537354921, c_new = -0.5455318836902436
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11400.142711783623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 159:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.565700669401664, b_new = 2.440231174919827, c_new = 0.9576157749368093
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3404.1931854746235
Acceptance probability: 7.46394228525594e-138
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 160:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.096095969084596, b_new = 1.5913802386198137, c_new = 0.5719707382564788
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -7756.333683035544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 161:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1992137737109214, b_new = 1.1319714242206786, c_new = -0.18502837166903968
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -8402.221940442847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 162:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.506598740295223, b_new = 0.6023859153030021, c_new = -0.584395204088607
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -8314.652030175084
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 163:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.485131167006308, b_new = 1.0151365393559881, c_new = 0.43572275767051505
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -7250.62015499164
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 164:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1768303973333794, b_new = 1.5571292061433557, c_new = -0.20005007602630165
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9113.913013508172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 165:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5349754417927515, b_new = 1.4330714302857628, c_new = 0.4981905145953348
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12982.428008040672
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 166:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7258956666782925, b_new = 0.5944827430320413, c_new = 0.3009839348173172
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4007.5771608292134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 167:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7531458438183263, b_new = 0.3802373861196773, c_new = -0.3566678951732315
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4175.1031371125355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 168:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.289264762108247, b_new = 2.142850429616919, c_new = 0.22355418238640898
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12024.979184194672
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 169:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2541701629055435, b_new = 1.0173610952251306, c_new = -0.4618604106923049
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9076.132843482224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 170:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9338062547030312, b_new = 1.5149646468029687, c_new = -0.738039201213777
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4027.8411343633775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 171:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4771375297321017, b_new = 0.45928790993016255, c_new = 0.4229006791359319
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11134.076179064232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 172:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.896706778582096, b_new = 1.9641036581616855, c_new = -1.514061670989606
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4129.93144531259
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 173:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.845503211427915, b_new = 0.16098029209932707, c_new = 0.17530907148556743
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13258.70694094937
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 174:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2161732632272537, b_new = 2.086985446257339, c_new = -0.006405384457358526
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11062.257291064021
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 175:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.514011416721484, b_new = 0.8936278449345632, c_new = 0.3289536152840655
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -7041.164303064514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 176:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2642919457085275, b_new = 1.7672470657394284, c_new = 0.7498693270362123
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9004.477904583677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 177:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.250097428440346, b_new = 1.7889309302701015, c_new = -0.2747992755250431
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9476.033715913662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 178:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.938549983782455, b_new = 1.1987809232364046, c_new = -0.6196161602592719
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3664.0839414820293
Acceptance probability: 1.0088974884428959e-250
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 179:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3007554436129833, b_new = 1.1654948061619474, c_new = -0.9397490954423052
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -10002.38486460789
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 180:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7768218805941096, b_new = 0.740460645208444, c_new = 0.20823699602934295
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3362.022491383639
Acceptance probability: 1.539813115049927e-119
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 181:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0781626584631026, b_new = 1.010631145166695, c_new = 0.34894780516761315
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5603.9717012375495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 182:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.573874883867862, b_new = 1.8404078243772388, c_new = -0.2571702272795272
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13530.333305561824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 183:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5284558123689753, b_new = 0.8985618806046154, c_new = -0.019923336206841114
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12109.051721676205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 184:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.994292283324274, b_new = 1.2360119767050084, c_new = -0.6749549950424848
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12860.688739409445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 185:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.437953463068256, b_new = 0.8154504270553101, c_new = -0.06144793231080946
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11198.107064731399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 186:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0406155904007384, b_new = 1.0355060389173305, c_new = -0.3041494057748445
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4792.64596062249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 187:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.807956140195599, b_new = 1.0959994217937854, c_new = -0.3843188678937818
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13984.159230674095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 188:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5996159976061812, b_new = 0.8714473910123308, c_new = 0.2046836397253425
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5466.081467174119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 189:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4780519167048056, b_new = 1.5094877186492768, c_new = 0.32458452489579037
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -6203.618509383253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 190:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7412650649737014, b_new = 0.5534222356246168, c_new = -0.6247322728116961
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12947.96068198428
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 191:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7713483797568355, b_new = 1.9540521935939341, c_new = -0.3657821326869286
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3217.7623882133134
Acceptance probability: 6.899772636943739e-57
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 192:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.195841439520097, b_new = 0.6247397962266062, c_new = -0.06343399266565047
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -14969.087214987307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 193:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8938197167995074, b_new = 1.3930812360679476, c_new = -0.5758493319654804
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13256.578533559103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 194:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9412866887933538, b_new = 1.54797367794643, c_new = 0.3681557738570914
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4423.65517116091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 195:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3109830533133278, b_new = 1.8560531043069406, c_new = -0.3428001012728867
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11587.847832085528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 196:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4270809417872714, b_new = 0.8557228731926935, c_new = -0.09641574350701165
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -8878.401930377488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 197:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1228028919883584, b_new = 0.8253646575470648, c_new = -0.5860425665151281
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5745.176571704784
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 198:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5435620604597875, b_new = 1.3252817095123344, c_new = -0.8065895680841972
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5791.457525155964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 199:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.786754573414354, b_new = 1.9673663954391887, c_new = -0.5771040173090454
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3281.2863380149347
Acceptance probability: 1.7812870576456554e-84
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 200:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.234627311868824, b_new = 1.2634508008972598, c_new = 0.7539399613838328
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9769.167015784837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 201:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.864982737556543, b_new = 1.004783666325049, c_new = 1.1021224101653535
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3163.0758267855945
Acceptance probability: 3.880669365955252e-33
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 202:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7167067887033762, b_new = 0.5394008891039977, c_new = 0.17397993073896614
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4249.101484668908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 203:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.600481972012079, b_new = 2.4875170839919645, c_new = -0.8769556744276715
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3306.0419693202584
Acceptance probability: 3.1586378884796986e-95
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 204:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.629611202327465, b_new = 1.1999736796912663, c_new = -0.5666797407703125
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13040.772935922667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 205:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3006503892896477, b_new = 1.663618603566794, c_new = -0.05732024941535735
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -8986.255155449056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 206:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.173123893462796, b_new = 0.7806784727295432, c_new = -0.09056042509198435
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -6871.626356467204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 207:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6029223727866615, b_new = 0.9417837510287299, c_new = 0.05005754238203339
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12702.181007513622
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 208:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.681160650370532, b_new = 1.7604870102975858, c_new = 0.46669779903472475
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3201.5673100186104
Acceptance probability: 7.4519146817808805e-50
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 209:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.680395068673301, b_new = 1.220882965135206, c_new = 1.2893125224962305
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3504.1066989676247
Acceptance probability: 3.0274759024011016e-181
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 210:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5764264729293016, b_new = 1.1681893803010388, c_new = -0.3759846184979177
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5398.975387054834
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 211:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221194523414559, b_new = 1.2848999111967179, c_new = 0.21813027811938593
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9393.959575670968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 212:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7130824687634743, b_new = 1.6122533773941885, c_new = 0.008771304044613126
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3167.661894212197
Acceptance probability: 3.955513447382249e-35
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 213:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.772964699720132, b_new = 1.5969582049941764, c_new = 0.4077491220631184
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -14374.418105229448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 214:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.275459940319137, b_new = 1.9822015566508073, c_new = -0.0005161532844979722
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11543.825011973164
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 215:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.746938074854599, b_new = 1.096365703431424, c_new = 0.16619516272514875
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3276.700148958007
Acceptance probability: 1.747795081416269e-82
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 216:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.500386096333319, b_new = 1.163195569666888, c_new = -0.2513236366342718
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -6837.97399389708
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 217:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6218759137419685, b_new = 1.6939651933365065, c_new = 0.32420275943670274
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3667.8407153844773
Acceptance probability: 2.3566813518739535e-252
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 218:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3624486365991415, b_new = 2.0554639172106337, c_new = 0.10980106911441709
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12489.518619772814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 219:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.736883236278141, b_new = 1.543541189703931, c_new = -0.4785014128586843
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3145.369932392562
Acceptance probability: 1.8987984755293144e-25
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 220:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8915319276328533, b_new = 1.7412127659623429, c_new = 0.38193490058640567
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4091.7030849644675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 221:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.483752037862744, b_new = 1.7848255172106064, c_new = -0.03264798080528615
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5574.842124213472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 222:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0427285814337366, b_new = 1.4559685742464914, c_new = -0.6502394406432102
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12215.804093337396
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 223:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.58498359044138, b_new = 1.2623502468108176, c_new = 0.1120044364527624
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -4890.203921452891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 224:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2020820042952947, b_new = 1.0166187352711553, c_new = -0.10333433900831368
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -8170.317646186959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 225:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9028735882001793, b_new = 0.6350711569217428, c_new = -0.8408571065610326
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3117.3533679637326
Acceptance probability: 2.7920179605343854e-13
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 226:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.567907103089798, b_new = 1.1958941478283345, c_new = 0.2015981490677203
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5302.027053063336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 227:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5147347933863426, b_new = 1.6932377389410984, c_new = -0.05625314605629497
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -5231.653051957119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 228:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.273443119198407, b_new = 0.6525443626041698, c_new = 0.10791944135500112
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11201.631614775804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 229:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.909958799971836, b_new = 1.473408696262695, c_new = 0.2830343085025786
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12817.148894078207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 230:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.465278445844381, b_new = 1.5545618474393, c_new = -0.7135138653982355
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -6705.014005269216
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 231:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6557840364848455, b_new = 0.8926761848617188, c_new = 0.2564477059127789
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13023.059578658418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 232:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6009282898099553, b_new = 1.8858296303063444, c_new = -0.27990615384713635
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3747.808979119408
Acceptance probability: 4.390613393199223e-287
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 233:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130691363466071, b_new = 1.7230746223735327, c_new = -0.30467058428995286
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -8578.884036076077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 234:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7633060483055245, b_new = 0.7246931982095106, c_new = 0.18237258992349817
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3482.0142636159403
Acceptance probability: 1.1904288955136567e-171
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 235:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.511189046554977, b_new = 2.4729295548241446, c_new = -0.39407817579572463
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3997.3533207421924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 236:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.517931216616512, b_new = 2.442776641014664, c_new = -1.3268439917269772
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -13656.019451772103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 237:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.263194079426283, b_new = 1.1322438602795113, c_new = -0.8325050726411461
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -9386.23723528563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 238:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8574539498607923, b_new = 1.286887206543881, c_new = -1.0635134448637897
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3173.5546233595974
Acceptance probability: 1.091498424661054e-37
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 239:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0724120581369796, b_new = 1.618970155020829, c_new = 0.7221303872763806
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -7347.286304089351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 240:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6589093075002, b_new = 1.7031400369909329, c_new = -0.45631255007250404
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3453.1863270371578
Acceptance probability: 3.940190693251669e-159
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 241:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.087784180622752, b_new = 2.42849388077756, c_new = -0.12434135141241659
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -10146.660230702731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 242:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4085987733522463, b_new = 1.2272239562984966, c_new = 0.11812156276349486
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -11625.3577943723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 243:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5949039720991052, b_new = 1.0628321027609626, c_new = -0.2998281359310267
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -14851.097961321913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 244:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.050870975266978, b_new = 0.8115731698234444, c_new = -0.3642939927590948
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -12952.461618042984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 245:
Current coefficients: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7703128879480245, b_new = 1.544476761809225, c_new = -0.018886838248447974
Current likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Proposed likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Acceptance probability: 0.5088737123133252
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 246:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6091761592460982, b_new = 1.38619111675684, c_new = 0.21600417433118205
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13317.78388024167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 247:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5167639736446565, b_new = 1.4363691062513055, c_new = 0.5784168873331345
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5568.747073576213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 248:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.673863206742634, b_new = 1.2367392822876322, c_new = -0.42211587954658203
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3835.15991501042
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 249:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9974230268963518, b_new = 0.7811964537950251, c_new = -0.042571173454410034
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13234.982929622282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 250:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.630122704512443, b_new = 2.4696439018877356, c_new = 0.5717970573786201
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3191.3155365555076
Acceptance probability: 4.1490293046531997e-45
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 251:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4694728596211597, b_new = 2.040982576088777, c_new = -0.2906348815658678
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5346.204966765773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 252:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5173320311154823, b_new = 1.1125320176078952, c_new = -0.1741213701767846
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -6604.406567343633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 253:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.552819022352165, b_new = 1.3543196561280764, c_new = -0.7511167973690658
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5528.644042714513
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 254:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.107252167381691, b_new = 1.7037697885717296, c_new = -0.08692424760223423
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8083.71788738352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 255:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8800369731862148, b_new = 1.6964718993412078, c_new = 0.4224745088985896
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3892.7174895508824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 256:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545968503927381, b_new = 1.495738026946364, c_new = 0.5868116285673645
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4926.832953534842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 257:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.494964180843604, b_new = 2.764120109365329, c_new = -1.0022581609609835
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13959.757237717908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 258:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1023368897946204, b_new = 1.2480940613508165, c_new = 0.6828773664216768
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11641.799984908073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 259:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6310315144352434, b_new = 1.0368379775251928, c_new = 0.2930585710007848
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4552.673468518327
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 260:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879353738266045, b_new = 1.1626076560484484, c_new = -0.21974262420816296
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3237.277032461491
Acceptance probability: 4.540696245284263e-65
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 261:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0710858445716087, b_new = 1.195435516314326, c_new = -0.33428418381246383
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5711.709800886333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 262:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8447860583979283, b_new = 1.5411444988448109, c_new = -0.0907343171946854
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3329.6581404493445
Acceptance probability: 3.4396719043554e-105
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 263:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8947833014247704, b_new = 2.274242010452427, c_new = 0.18029574767655823
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5154.606513571547
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 264:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.97933315500516, b_new = 1.5114526913300488, c_new = -1.1585049772327543
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12744.333381404018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 265:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4812401207039354, b_new = 0.6299385435191716, c_new = 0.04152326426538896
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8449.178887880282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 266:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.172092559376712, b_new = 1.5613726833237505, c_new = 0.3183667153648194
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -9233.087435926935
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 267:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.159200670067697, b_new = 2.241472297315679, c_new = -0.18131995420538263
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -10540.332832466182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 268:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.501878818151562, b_new = 1.802158085676576, c_new = -0.9524591904050187
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5499.37987301249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 269:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6362201665323135, b_new = 0.7118331292053419, c_new = 0.48412673751033175
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12735.419974656948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 270:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.876075272295195, b_new = 0.5955883021609183, c_new = -0.42272138555094596
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3104.688798613299
Acceptance probability: 1.735644497680098e-07
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 271:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9971017289971282, b_new = 1.7787360041624092, c_new = 0.040495168753659425
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5841.7175931864895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 272:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.828998659303768, b_new = 2.5832870870008584, c_new = -0.5017522899765395
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12175.241455726882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 273:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.590422322012455, b_new = 1.9441266905968655, c_new = 0.10634074522317777
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3722.81221477531
Acceptance probability: 6.192585356959025e-276
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 274:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.29023096544713, b_new = 1.6977906211139244, c_new = 0.5529852806276817
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8858.296017156938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 275:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.611192438759653, b_new = 0.9613687457687927, c_new = 0.14343256801943932
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5072.964793277366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 276:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8753176394898206, b_new = 1.3482814401759649, c_new = -0.39822852445879886
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3335.271026418331
Acceptance probability: 1.2556587147501221e-107
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 277:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7589707808537622, b_new = 1.1288510308749178, c_new = -0.18938422245639805
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3229.605556787019
Acceptance probability: 9.745452381369972e-62
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 278:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9601070686640463, b_new = 1.3627564573248598, c_new = -0.07316697974597008
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4251.7802202870325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 279:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6504979879887864, b_new = 2.63671727463601, c_new = -0.9644958918787709
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -14549.398495076499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 280:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.361501938826097, b_new = 2.433726748050607, c_new = 0.476691046196129
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13121.664903196615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 281:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.340497642962164, b_new = 1.9720584839489106, c_new = 0.7338821148466579
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12360.607820145518
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 282:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8519467026537932, b_new = 1.406125856747836, c_new = 0.5910258936492745
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3331.6700582518642
Acceptance probability: 4.599940555389296e-106
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 283:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3687203130137857, b_new = 2.117690284077335, c_new = 0.5663745170364957
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -6717.210342469933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 284:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.820634059681875, b_new = 2.1194178939223614, c_new = -0.021452672231681284
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3774.319300463847
Acceptance probability: 2.6462380391813647e-298
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 285:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0169128581345097, b_new = 2.174869885692007, c_new = -0.6779894246042911
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11386.828770339685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 286:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.597260267516759, b_new = 1.4006254569256558, c_new = -0.28304086339869794
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4536.376782009128
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 287:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9365100302946994, b_new = 1.8714620418010033, c_new = -0.03612073528680655
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4900.318114038839
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 288:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.423223068448075, b_new = 1.512255671514124, c_new = -0.22067072862611992
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -7419.442844174351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 289:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.847514171789165, b_new = 1.471040484237244, c_new = -0.2957500866194217
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3273.570554411601
Acceptance probability: 7.853190607891893e-81
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 290:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.577204469393056, b_new = 1.9936057127508733, c_new = 0.5544118228179027
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13906.830739981879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 291:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7266133617724044, b_new = 1.1790680442848827, c_new = -0.3740158916272517
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3411.4679494264883
Acceptance probability: 1.0161747860190966e-140
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 292:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8038338743832276, b_new = 2.2262425875595024, c_new = 0.3891802510308445
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3828.8975330635594
Acceptance probability: 5.24e-322
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 293:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1825609169869753, b_new = 1.8094869452795517, c_new = -0.11998568327383072
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -10188.30835814057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 294:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.951185584297876, b_new = 2.001233390155235, c_new = 0.4100706787866366
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5624.134623562692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 295:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.687668515752777, b_new = 1.3055360450338722, c_new = -0.07226908864803513
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3552.6318770036364
Acceptance probability: 5.014800080570657e-202
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 296:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.639168889477009, b_new = 1.4690755757597043, c_new = 0.0928516521309887
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3803.0690801304136
Acceptance probability: 8.644865543328e-311
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 297:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6416234507971477, b_new = 1.8211798246858928, c_new = 0.2454678255238308
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3395.958257996537
Acceptance probability: 5.53021249044015e-134
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 298:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5758202497922316, b_new = 1.7183958382323994, c_new = 0.28620393462396543
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4161.162462426399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 299:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304330875882615, b_new = 1.716894640764756, c_new = 0.9124498355560619
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11657.957471314547
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 300:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8600403464238975, b_new = 1.136713584531845, c_new = -0.8775144345669872
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13823.498183921503
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 301:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.203233543494034, b_new = 1.9289494476354059, c_new = -0.7953918606444337
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -9955.936514235722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 302:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9203524347014342, b_new = 1.3670767048725954, c_new = -0.4925215077204633
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3711.079123651035
Acceptance probability: 7.717714920880013e-271
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 303:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2652957376616603, b_new = 2.1931882322962952, c_new = 0.09771529855923555
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11839.036667755001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 304:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.660416438500814, b_new = 1.168719570302789, c_new = 0.6516681831773715
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3864.281469285375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 305:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6331041725166526, b_new = 1.7263252648375405, c_new = -0.4909057557740105
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -14149.411165657286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 306:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.671657268736723, b_new = 1.7815110665835328, c_new = 0.19129521878044917
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3251.2394536367397
Acceptance probability: 3.9203061137784355e-71
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 307:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9426732542560718, b_new = 1.5675491227375447, c_new = 0.30433102193722583
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12486.619167519579
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 308:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7079048531992505, b_new = 1.5725024012617563, c_new = 0.2824593253305909
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3186.138407254348
Acceptance probability: 7.350979131787879e-43
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 309:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6377999831500687, b_new = 0.7008963804003902, c_new = 0.37941945553993506
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5105.62304465783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 310:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7279300083014466, b_new = 1.5346378430314465, c_new = -0.33754472195465335
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13887.012019767919
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 311:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.559888108352755, b_new = 1.1972159418535386, c_new = 0.5627761058466116
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12862.598707804702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 312:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.261664176717653, b_new = 1.3641538602603658, c_new = 0.9101451293274221
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -9750.63673292176
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 313:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3589383509244803, b_new = 2.0888621072749745, c_new = 0.3580872601288131
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12579.73973387291
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 314:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.726785317901105, b_new = 1.5287033634600418, c_new = -0.6123750131148842
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3196.291724146923
Acceptance probability: 2.86296270350261e-47
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 315:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4422977976717037, b_new = 1.1518645833834986, c_new = -0.3379203114944008
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -7998.561003522533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 316:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9643573278412383, b_new = 1.6935105985990608, c_new = -0.1061527814915751
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -15045.203276418228
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 317:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8994590696121647, b_new = 1.015905506225916, c_new = 0.20941129123893765
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3275.40508844171
Acceptance probability: 1.254059470808068e-81
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 318:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.413211688589466, b_new = 1.009425109548522, c_new = 0.6888107822356326
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8450.425106583743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 319:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7849708098204657, b_new = 1.4994372516781478, c_new = -0.7204955182068246
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3094.8556799496173
Acceptance probability: 0.0032354146778035505
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 320:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2394506843027786, b_new = 0.9938231738918614, c_new = -0.22280408530548076
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8825.208470458136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 321:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8631814156167734, b_new = 1.5537691738457495, c_new = -0.18023725050763945
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3459.389943556439
Acceptance probability: 1.565708114155621e-161
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 322:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8238181220546177, b_new = 1.7111983028063584, c_new = -0.11933492163728356
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3337.4052944805717
Acceptance probability: 1.4858356450892785e-108
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 323:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0647519552451645, b_new = 0.9728613039553258, c_new = -0.5781406194698744
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5000.790625625499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 324:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2491561739763153, b_new = 0.361599491900904, c_new = 0.015058477966078489
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -7402.76114807847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 325:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0533221701611346, b_new = 2.860609161615013, c_new = 0.014507271560370995
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -10382.033617188223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 326:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208389246688696, b_new = 0.9221654269501414, c_new = 0.09290621724857345
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8112.731881674947
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 327:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2606775124648983, b_new = 2.211424671588534, c_new = -0.2221898308014157
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11726.083241812668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 328:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1075541000476754, b_new = 1.526152414906657, c_new = 0.5784897357968211
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -7826.204234865974
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 329:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9388040802227002, b_new = 2.1770052172577823, c_new = -0.27620480841263806
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5593.9900359767735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 330:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9330148624267833, b_new = 1.299869768979447, c_new = -0.4053614460280076
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13086.86002744802
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 331:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5964678344140864, b_new = 0.9808832080615354, c_new = 0.9469741341166815
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5040.149170055283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 332:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3848921751711742, b_new = 1.2610349922812163, c_new = 0.5276233900028545
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11570.926960172521
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 333:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.959932742477053, b_new = 2.148630127691966, c_new = -0.7676318108388511
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11902.215590595777
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 334:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.937378539320043, b_new = 1.9686868986474693, c_new = 0.11145390296542851
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -5181.259444869224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 335:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.971323902507689, b_new = 0.546332885023275, c_new = -0.844947435066181
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3300.1545897195374
Acceptance probability: 2.2374137234697234e-92
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 336:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.808965083146817, b_new = 1.9209015209563545, c_new = -0.05297525955799076
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3435.466525620163
Acceptance probability: 3.8416624288838996e-151
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 337:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.493448166040543, b_new = 1.4836259524555357, c_new = 0.1706742525198548
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -6025.798177259928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 338:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2339826722961806, b_new = 1.0463947631256167, c_new = -0.4450100607432993
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11105.794648061488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 339:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3112435282973878, b_new = 0.622154138904281, c_new = 0.03428250424215204
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -9276.396818533678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 340:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.116346537999276, b_new = 1.334690170149365, c_new = -0.28796129516942215
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -7110.449669914695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 341:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.804431526135848, b_new = 0.6982727221643388, c_new = -0.28078327741135456
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13508.059626840248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 342:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3061456858240854, b_new = 1.7226080482490647, c_new = -0.17366547663814338
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -11356.83676867142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 343:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2086583979583567, b_new = 1.5544767270471842, c_new = 0.12860672690545374
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -9813.132510976702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 344:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322817179026762, b_new = 1.9934459653894605, c_new = 0.23056072320110776
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -12093.143371836897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 345:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305708928627589, b_new = 1.385992612907842, c_new = 0.6377472988379461
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -10988.039766986984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 346:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4522015150705716, b_new = 1.1523680846279643, c_new = 0.31483397214527
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -7571.021757866247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 347:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3207902931567475, b_new = 1.8855920643130097, c_new = -0.7106115561975156
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8453.961707480088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 348:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6662272279239705, b_new = 1.8579251025685695, c_new = 0.5371504262209031
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3217.4507720338474
Acceptance probability: 1.8516459550781924e-56
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 349:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7654074702700429, b_new = 1.9258487299219238, c_new = 0.4961409889834052
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -13068.536372894541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 350:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4192991785438864, b_new = 1.2236895659733458, c_new = 0.06421751723232316
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -8075.764633184616
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 351:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8196802805690986, b_new = 2.815203940302147, c_new = -0.5105361700582316
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4878.706081451991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 352:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.940288280775522, b_new = 1.690377375378149, c_new = -0.16327146025441755
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -4550.64088558403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 353:
Current coefficients: a = 2.7703128879480245, b = 1.544476761809225, c = -0.018886838248447974
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8146356908507646, b_new = 1.2104718597792061, c_new = -0.05515225211710826
Current likelihood: -3089.1220817751655
Proposed likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Acceptance probability: 21851.415333442503
Max likelihood: -3088.4465263725456
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.774264533554854, b = 1.4068041978849446, c = -0.15639938024301928
Iteration 354:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.034956124418124, b_new = 1.350933328542881, c_new = -0.4162453669175515
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -5363.791676463232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 355:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.629116750655253, b_new = 0.9531218363911583, c_new = -0.10438974352992936
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -4862.98605666462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 356:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1260185496318282, b_new = 0.37000138110297054, c_new = 0.13112277627205204
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -4953.212173046552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 357:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3300251769876654, b_new = 1.4834133814892814, c_new = -0.389554591624627
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -11127.690347654552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 358:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1199778209020863, b_new = 1.244223114442557, c_new = -0.2560341231248702
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -6941.549508937498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 359:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3449950431704063, b_new = 2.206267160449638, c_new = 0.6278444387570156
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -12718.735156783403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 360:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.519164518289739, b_new = 0.412817605520831, c_new = -0.06580589720376258
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -11327.575928575494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 361:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3371489772515335, b_new = 1.0176755705071638, c_new = -0.6912206267339731
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -10040.163651346296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 362:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.742760845310075, b_new = 1.0477113448129192, c_new = 0.2222139778879065
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -13663.192445496694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 363:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.413898875740224, b_new = 1.3572151898353693, c_new = 0.413282699312286
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -11954.614669503475
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 364:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6516499464416188, b_new = 2.4002540886491417, c_new = -0.3793556359246761
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -3159.3414997033296
Acceptance probability: 1.460880524958491e-35
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 365:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3316855024897394, b_new = 1.240172502490843, c_new = -0.40278676572451955
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -9550.260579916678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 366:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3912819418196367, b_new = 1.5812029970392367, c_new = 0.3412094106693197
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -12082.012354073944
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 367:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2604020124718955, b_new = 2.2168194780856716, c_new = 0.7297777192396372
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -8189.895801024792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 368:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8472231445591114, b_new = 0.8991608379416859, c_new = -0.13506878501997482
Current likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Proposed likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Acceptance probability: 4.70293994238889
Max likelihood: -3079.1300608017536
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8146356908507646, b = 1.2104718597792061, c = -0.05515225211710826
Iteration 369:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.86617179259282, b_new = 2.0794504943978516, c_new = 0.08295834932464463
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4273.376325224637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 370:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.99698509258027, b_new = 1.5436033621364693, c_new = 0.047112339356181254
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5250.7988445100145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 371:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.054824310397153, b_new = 0.7164255741403565, c_new = 0.7340657088126745
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4633.409079414833
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 372:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.978317121224947, b_new = -0.297096700378774, c_new = -0.44476756607960394
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13343.280061340516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 373:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5744947961449776, b_new = 0.8061545918120845, c_new = -0.25552262173105056
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6283.888115696676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 374:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.04389164246733, b_new = 0.6194529902536545, c_new = -0.512406021872035
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4055.3950349725546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 375:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6498160507414323, b_new = 0.6434397414358055, c_new = 0.012988373237418138
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5141.76770057115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 376:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.753147124995773, b_new = 1.3426848601457233, c_new = -1.3328098162718913
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3252.104495308277
Acceptance probability: 1.6061575766977637e-76
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 377:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.441715668878743, b_new = 1.7492446627906904, c_new = -0.377156223384553
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6555.378074477578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 378:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2743727976575974, b_new = 1.0789554371796155, c_new = -0.38668593972897625
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9591.37843926653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 379:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9432448388467507, b_new = 0.6904300401012999, c_new = -0.13938088208545993
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3271.98393282908
Acceptance probability: 3.734720728675026e-85
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 380:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5877377047123424, b_new = 0.9446178185021203, c_new = -0.19451886049647013
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5653.746654599233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 381:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.206119665046732, b_new = 0.8409495243096686, c_new = 0.9309784909336767
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8153.0995476125345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 382:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.197210521731634, b_new = -0.1409319827695078, c_new = -0.40867979206142707
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4989.27096754716
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 383:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3403641001772875, b_new = 0.84037489791976, c_new = 0.2326473916795705
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10019.786159050862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 384:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.951041226142668, b_new = 0.843517390673933, c_new = -0.6039168935245969
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14219.407382095507
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 385:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9324024826020683, b_new = 1.4991886533063146, c_new = 0.0953372240976755
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12697.577874204955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 386:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5094731420476837, b_new = 0.3102464130416662, c_new = -0.6979380555428738
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9068.855300996136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 387:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4460593837656193, b_new = 0.7302049369124723, c_new = -0.3856064743342599
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8979.907658556425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 388:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2580230147409988, b_new = 1.0672318415924171, c_new = 0.1813314573711301
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10588.17122673585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 389:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.56055353067808, b_new = 0.9842373331575492, c_new = -0.18175330557072045
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12416.84709575573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 390:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.628206638327896, b_new = 1.9062903561161608, c_new = 0.4723365063880494
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3399.608739048494
Acceptance probability: 1.398006005537145e-140
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 391:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.602416518319431, b_new = 0.6987759567108096, c_new = 0.07190383413545082
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5879.523401126929
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 392:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5435000129040573, b_new = 1.2064836257202796, c_new = -0.4529744109128322
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12520.514274881598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 393:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5010198327838014, b_new = 0.8617109582625788, c_new = -0.2782475209837218
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11777.194693866797
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 394:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9279201354647086, b_new = 0.8220788971254858, c_new = 0.2687388561163665
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3304.390203900979
Acceptance probability: 3.1506011451741685e-99
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 395:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.888931463782868, b_new = 0.9132064559599011, c_new = -0.09436176012538033
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3151.185581393659
Acceptance probability: 1.0822200694338111e-32
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 396:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031407426730197, b_new = 0.6527306577150833, c_new = -0.7142997610148041
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3923.7328331746376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 397:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1679782407297443, b_new = 0.31043527831368656, c_new = 0.15993348185747586
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12661.696343727703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 398:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1991794814165186, b_new = 0.9480872059815366, c_new = -1.0526887249703893
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7572.657819720035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 399:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.003635733959603, b_new = 1.2820668926973224, c_new = 0.09417701994694586
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4796.113167326183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 400:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.332411463810853, b_new = -0.2956182333430425, c_new = -0.0181987323975583
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7387.914264119075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 401:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9707280297914522, b_new = 1.5167702000694319, c_new = -1.0407947811876914
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12758.799781758582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 402:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.431220987022603, b_new = 0.9118428180390115, c_new = 0.5731204189301533
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8422.178474955717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 403:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.269360682779957, b_new = 1.0224896650975341, c_new = 0.6501009734901564
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9729.829857011415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 404:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.309541876508328, b_new = 1.25957533712939, c_new = 0.2621798752740058
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10676.78131553777
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 405:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.4797109368948866, b_new = 1.6575141471012789, c_new = 0.8368563753378453
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14473.952446078572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 406:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.393359927669079, b_new = 0.6912781623088536, c_new = -0.5213191339881698
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10392.244939509774
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 407:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.338731381961054, b_new = -0.16296972352448502, c_new = 0.14674196009112483
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7901.511680974705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 408:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.76760730282933, b_new = 1.0380051703734767, c_new = -0.2947659206132538
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3254.6613076967237
Acceptance probability: 1.2456001136191987e-77
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 409:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0249728652572156, b_new = 0.653568372258682, c_new = -0.11161477017881995
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13247.407939148903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 410:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8425120034933626, b_new = 0.20730173005761676, c_new = -0.5710117875029838
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3523.113061707979
Acceptance probability: 3.2230215908493115e-194
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 411:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.077419171390423, b_new = 1.0755673104624774, c_new = -0.4723555355377757
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5497.554612165899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 412:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0977331507957673, b_new = 1.1929670149055356, c_new = -0.30317208851034233
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6278.325352532091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 413:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9904965247280813, b_new = 0.7690324014488285, c_new = -0.37899596960703386
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3684.57720532913
Acceptance probability: 2.4281561667885873e-264
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 414:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.425065659391276, b_new = 1.0365053879625563, c_new = -0.22803000514357302
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11384.284390646733
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 415:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0907013959714367, b_new = 1.107632900451419, c_new = -0.16220069221133782
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5943.875213856061
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 416:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8742065577617124, b_new = -0.1607495767128847, c_new = -0.7831059012408714
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12893.632196247283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 417:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6397625173923807, b_new = 0.9337984037958544, c_new = 0.38211793519896836
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13003.199510720095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 418:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.396557211578257, b_new = 1.1400574752178048, c_new = -0.49254849243090987
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8860.144626614034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 419:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7045088656212073, b_new = 0.978829441286502, c_new = 0.06455070857188663
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3752.9887004290654
Acceptance probability: 4.726523203565871e-294
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 420:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8947681971475294, b_new = 1.1697304323448305, c_new = 0.4472189420335861
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3395.4687358735478
Acceptance probability: 8.779900030732846e-139
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 421:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8003593763245607, b_new = 1.3211609213136504, c_new = -0.9649417700963931
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3101.87249499261
Acceptance probability: 2.8230390987910408e-11
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 422:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0189611198901276, b_new = 1.0676291055710665, c_new = 0.47303831450878103
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12577.327789400399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 423:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3175881889980583, b_new = 1.130059215137051, c_new = 0.10591991628507788
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10476.365594376706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 424:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4307644595094646, b_new = 0.8907434256828509, c_new = -0.6964039086691598
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8972.204493177112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 425:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879199376913542, b_new = 1.39370501626932, c_new = -0.7228976719574531
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3369.3727029300053
Acceptance probability: 1.8917018037090542e-127
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 426:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1271723440792383, b_new = 0.8482153717986411, c_new = 0.1894047438755655
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6144.6207108507515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 427:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7042781561947686, b_new = 1.035489459989244, c_new = 0.4027150158329524
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3623.545834759755
Acceptance probability: 7.777930823013323e-238
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 428:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0488036959165137, b_new = 1.1023872626073177, c_new = 0.20510445085670365
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5220.50159121281
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 429:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322518137038934, b_new = 0.9336363646235079, c_new = -0.14781795071258202
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10067.407275026528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 430:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3747796200608478, b_new = 0.9500607008292941, c_new = 0.729016407369647
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9155.300110477963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 431:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5408671744095805, b_new = 2.37119586321785, c_new = -0.26800869779227393
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13938.024155940031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 432:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.496757932878382, b_new = 0.6509966302855639, c_new = 0.729718181382069
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7840.675795544446
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 433:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.976490521426336, b_new = 0.1536758399684971, c_new = -0.7067698280663246
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3167.2953730645404
Acceptance probability: 1.0912442196553323e-39
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 434:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8608340405286614, b_new = 1.1317931767916076, c_new = -0.7351635831015406
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3133.4311739825253
Acceptance probability: 5.558489014028332e-25
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 435:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3132878429829793, b_new = 0.718504696804612, c_new = 0.04277709090361925
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9530.169013787436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 436:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.427771144031456, b_new = 1.095582698726579, c_new = -0.622069126193417
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8500.644518270958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 437:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.454494418273051, b_new = 0.6800086403756913, c_new = 0.22738690864815897
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11217.008983964975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 438:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1384016078172143, b_new = 1.3401410268445848, c_new = -0.7209905246801454
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7463.428505226002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 439:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3096478245962713, b_new = 0.6532991236052854, c_new = -0.5178180117327987
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11029.091715885366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 440:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4826129300996342, b_new = 1.5196010452404503, c_new = -0.5106851855000358
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6383.352684286556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 441:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8247700900133643, b_new = 0.4601360733699943, c_new = -0.005399716024276163
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3316.040782682053
Acceptance probability: 2.745436169315012e-104
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 442:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.878862839934738, b_new = 1.5426902745794002, c_new = -0.2288739284416186
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3570.4045830976675
Acceptance probability: 9.328599206874479e-215
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 443:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.253585649016211, b_new = 0.6449274938112286, c_new = 0.41278564700886383
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11313.973981340376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 444:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6529472929101505, b_new = 0.7300912261056267, c_new = -0.1808317781127688
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4959.784997100705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 445:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.746119546395447, b_new = 0.32627299160039414, c_new = 0.317402361540621
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4181.652577018908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 446:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3878451511868017, b_new = 0.8912370025388072, c_new = 0.1588103596639573
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9299.920906352834
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 447:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8687284589884334, b_new = 0.6083400644387154, c_new = -0.3980132622440521
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3110.545613003348
Acceptance probability: 4.830917269478937e-15
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 448:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.422461823757836, b_new = 0.3340164304476402, c_new = 0.20581140880318016
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9994.483804230178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 449:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6157532912904777, b_new = 0.9455187285830398, c_new = -0.8483397403844617
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5356.409540066974
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 450:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6886072347378764, b_new = 0.7961731579999495, c_new = 0.05865475220149072
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4219.306561641403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 451:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1023160888400976, b_new = 0.5607761157338056, c_new = 0.08309361524504424
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4937.082514861499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 452:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8364260246413355, b_new = 0.5192472024044149, c_new = -0.8480747867839167
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3322.853639639733
Acceptance probability: 3.0187362379950575e-107
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 453:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.741348111656641, b_new = 1.45812559245666, c_new = -0.6649538083071991
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3176.7361359456727
Acceptance probability: 8.66663950232738e-44
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 454:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.554865220728096, b_new = 1.1730514424972935, c_new = -0.25716409134108553
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12601.243060212964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 455:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9736023026188168, b_new = 0.49604127017740873, c_new = -0.20733747961720164
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14079.045963297804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 456:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.54468828283503, b_new = 0.553291708112982, c_new = 0.2485906344626314
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7357.220384880817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 457:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.133319276223133, b_new = 1.0754213993103818, c_new = -0.8516805704540877
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6548.541441481287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 458:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.093262472505332, b_new = 0.8660470238779439, c_new = -0.7192548128310856
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14723.653247635599
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 459:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0461932011081196, b_new = 0.5687319938263509, c_new = 0.5426997410131489
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4194.304313864552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 460:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.129288538284902, b_new = 1.2805632953076673, c_new = -1.2892212144275383
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6882.098418768184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 461:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0002414425234942, b_new = 0.9718741166401222, c_new = -0.01763920106683242
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4140.487418456703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 462:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.846104540614893, b_new = 1.626084382851082, c_new = 0.23555708899574263
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3453.831683706483
Acceptance probability: 3.95169465494854e-164
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 463:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4757142945154507, b_new = 0.32536081948535445, c_new = -0.0038620477572170464
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9310.4100299992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 464:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3652712700827396, b_new = 0.6939773035789245, c_new = 0.2840301425235871
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10284.317504096529
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 465:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9075135268842933, b_new = 1.2560972371779633, c_new = 0.8907495040005899
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3659.3826401986453
Acceptance probability: 2.123915454598676e-253
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 466:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.596739026560522, b_new = 1.6171466315021374, c_new = -0.3108672487447831
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13391.504331313892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 467:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6560902491962697, b_new = 0.6629828334680996, c_new = -0.5628689496264162
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5180.516302852082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 468:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.937045711346361, b_new = 1.6824819604952528, c_new = 0.30606334912980987
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4606.2803538100125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 469:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.878891558056135, b_new = 1.045915691591032, c_new = 0.235641351962239
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13515.513064793731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 470:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.408743127345374, b_new = 2.3078634172993007, c_new = -0.8613858799458673
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12925.915572888987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 471:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3492831272982224, b_new = 1.1652440072580994, c_new = 0.015771958452139828
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9314.898163851767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 472:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.721733860000889, b_new = 0.23306545095771547, c_new = 0.293755076910053
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4722.175545466726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 473:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.209495521269167, b_new = 0.9166069461160709, c_new = -0.17227913011225632
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11481.907284231085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 474:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.128200911042122, b_new = 0.7749794395848827, c_new = 0.41316469492237945
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12212.179082325853
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 475:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9502407075539652, b_new = 1.0000260271831787, c_new = -0.43707634834844444
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13363.793727013388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 476:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.908137323801032, b_new = 1.5540305372013354, c_new = 0.44251655491389147
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4007.398278384807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 477:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1543600951386743, b_new = 0.4028868009190189, c_new = 0.033151140912549365
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12670.262922413367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 478:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4898743473750553, b_new = 1.1239159976976332, c_new = 0.46608815292132905
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6873.992820883686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 479:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6190252785958092, b_new = -0.02330926553596313, c_new = -0.9354130003313657
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7947.270853494261
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 480:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.903426453940454, b_new = 1.1492446974029826, c_new = -0.5178932104864915
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3344.0854457935
Acceptance probability: 1.8153857194571838e-116
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 481:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.121524683811488, b_new = 0.8801376211760222, c_new = 0.29252598151719916
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12148.687895113362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 482:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9373860915123386, b_new = 0.8700463835184151, c_new = 0.387597982835897
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3421.499322492242
Acceptance probability: 4.3506028678200475e-150
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 483:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.869751485878392, b_new = 0.792208961918732, c_new = -0.5413942670065945
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3093.419717286054
Acceptance probability: 1.3234624014284502e-07
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 484:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0435269357788983, b_new = 1.3370065816732866, c_new = 0.3436888720247471
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5737.827757933335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 485:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.119813966570565, b_new = 1.5389958565308124, c_new = 0.1443431756287895
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7968.625626529451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 486:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3796357829018397, b_new = 1.2640663054946994, c_new = -0.6363009461083078
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8897.408233566506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 487:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.839669425391936, b_new = 1.3521078234120547, c_new = -0.6294293441532499
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3154.176681751692
Acceptance probability: 5.436222243188889e-34
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 488:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.037899658724863, b_new = 1.6284083104554388, c_new = -0.8731168440006865
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12075.581003004372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 489:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981267000412171, b_new = 1.3844740652606966, c_new = 0.48444404183402584
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4747.337571814689
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 490:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4994143896494196, b_new = 0.7719962817680831, c_new = -0.5531658403712187
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7994.414458097299
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 491:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.845864859298495, b_new = 1.2673551960439382, c_new = -0.382592936022356
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3147.047716201583
Acceptance probability: 6.7821533187792576e-31
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 492:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3241898452493945, b_new = 1.515635967753743, c_new = -0.4499286908942346
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9099.602529731143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 493:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0598477559484483, b_new = 0.8703220232152625, c_new = -0.025718734092210233
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4839.918663415209
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 494:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0829978714996225, b_new = 0.4562773285761346, c_new = 0.29499819471914623
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4469.308338180315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 495:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.030733600554585, b_new = 0.28146725499769276, c_new = -0.8657821281906206
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3487.937881122991
Acceptance probability: 6.0904592651778086e-179
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 496:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.277171746764845, b_new = 0.8629406859244261, c_new = -0.8181388758661856
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8988.845377194553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 497:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7540417521870766, b_new = 1.3348246109469306, c_new = 0.7471396980247575
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14113.116988389198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 498:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.208239806472104, b_new = 0.942648944676195, c_new = 0.35199933363383745
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11275.511016824279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 499:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.015658990745868, b_new = 1.5963581810974243, c_new = 0.2187540343400607
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11961.610164823778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 500:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6072357048331725, b_new = 0.4999116405496163, c_new = -0.22714637893959921
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12113.18339498822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 501:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0276121979796584, b_new = 0.9607024050980135, c_new = 0.23278685884342343
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4565.460059141591
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 502:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4094224846485996, b_new = 0.4478084234687064, c_new = 0.36222449438648235
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9870.755345413085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 503:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0992327888980213, b_new = 1.0526307754761604, c_new = -0.04432004605466257
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6017.251254976478
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 504:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2973019617065873, b_new = 0.5856624574640685, c_new = 0.15369854793156207
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8992.680464524972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 505:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.17216289063938, b_new = 0.2609202287133533, c_new = 0.3723451862199219
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5621.805605648843
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 506:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4924339537020535, b_new = 1.3176553616246816, c_new = 0.09285931918099627
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6476.457729640683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 507:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0744752993149027, b_new = 0.6548396501461324, c_new = 0.0439623355977643
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4659.152505793601
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 508:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3009693743719595, b_new = 0.7570425783927559, c_new = -0.3855734094294543
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9283.701522292373
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 509:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9550834109419255, b_new = 0.43030728758469833, c_new = 0.40207118533897684
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3201.8297474847013
Acceptance probability: 1.0960584374146712e-54
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 510:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.949258946146079, b_new = 1.2184116174927215, c_new = -0.5139116660855397
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3813.5618453334528
Acceptance probability: 2.3335e-320
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 511:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4282390929958564, b_new = 1.6236255310759982, c_new = -0.2926491500294024
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7082.724569790387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 512:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.029461519747023, b_new = 1.215291997108598, c_new = -0.9283218919433924
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14745.704910632696
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 513:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1313546985008123, b_new = 1.0865235592215066, c_new = 0.03582651285075161
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11842.636606859569
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 514:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.460131710244617, b_new = 1.061074540723491, c_new = -0.010573650478733182
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11792.825503569546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 515:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1144152797507028, b_new = 0.22915152823044316, c_new = -0.4932991753218021
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13352.567696441847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 516:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.296523417616932, b_new = 0.8955020941020451, c_new = 0.31617494766228327
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9754.34458601362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 517:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6823261494536914, b_new = 1.355897239612508, c_new = -0.45828120767841035
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13535.526205661827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 518:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8684404480290588, b_new = 0.21001622620511495, c_new = 0.2837304873833259
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14440.589596714657
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 519:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.369089439531529, b_new = 0.7622726151632053, c_new = -0.3079361263821436
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10004.925387797804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 520:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539269798755118, b_new = 0.42211665894882067, c_new = -0.7629123369308226
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8246.395636855468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 521:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.511101580455298, b_new = 1.0894039380860951, c_new = -1.0780710187821982
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11985.80029039053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 522:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0811417529666985, b_new = 1.1722091331099143, c_new = -0.30191594913889286
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14981.53071492301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 523:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0059155210296047, b_new = 1.4186776869734357, c_new = -0.5861250107894979
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4945.182951140509
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 524:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5274669939749153, b_new = 0.9520232930830386, c_new = 0.16909153620232786
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12220.179591591861
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 525:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0750771315060352, b_new = 1.9897555640853994, c_new = -0.32289907456158096
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8115.53128925126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 526:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.135207241814136, b_new = 1.115133141668489, c_new = 0.6577947746751456
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11571.531316612207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 527:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.295851767298903, b_new = 1.4829843013000001, c_new = 0.44964529028184147
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10997.131896506486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 528:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.169585701608656, b_new = 1.1926018148316213, c_new = 0.5731325110941157
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11162.653870854232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 529:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.714380133044678, b_new = 0.6301734013848542, c_new = -0.28333152599522526
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4243.9877864294995
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 530:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.358963272428039, b_new = 1.1153040361066808, c_new = -0.5350019703915607
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9486.02413134167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 531:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.749629572257411, b_new = 0.4911106498828737, c_new = 0.7181297351538849
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3792.3872301756155
Acceptance probability: 3.664187849511e-311
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 532:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.281863716984584, b_new = 1.3765837742309412, c_new = -1.1285856784145276
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10118.977638321021
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 533:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9444580613489806, b_new = 0.7673171600204907, c_new = 0.08562393918154029
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13523.798170683825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 534:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4057166643222754, b_new = 1.5886717217073016, c_new = -0.0898682227236028
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7503.349733587458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 535:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5062329364914704, b_new = 0.03182223198376399, c_new = 0.857929194303273
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9168.004572669473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 536:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.555232440667091, b_new = 0.8067020163743488, c_new = -0.03402584945791509
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12181.812482450376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 537:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6028624043947026, b_new = 0.33999831595465424, c_new = -0.1515890465982135
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6908.377700670668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 538:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.532805159162485, b_new = 1.4192192023386232, c_new = -0.365020564846384
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5618.275834506147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 539:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0260776107571994, b_new = 0.7498627402785157, c_new = -0.4524110047753934
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13220.609510834822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 540:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8437696482447528, b_new = 1.0869497464364426, c_new = -0.09472392826912855
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13740.962695278646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 541:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.768072774976668, b_new = 0.290152267879097, c_new = 0.36929526828880027
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3951.1267138452486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 542:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8306152732341316, b_new = 0.4166260990560289, c_new = 0.11938073941511329
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3297.9495853695644
Acceptance probability: 1.974779066041605e-96
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 543:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.182173541079608, b_new = 1.3214425453076681, c_new = -0.42596248299002526
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11150.084664674525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 544:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8009579305942056, b_new = 1.487216927804039, c_new = 0.062408347252517565
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3120.1939395742234
Acceptance probability: 3.117558494287801e-19
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 545:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2957593724475664, b_new = 1.4652097310523513, c_new = 0.2128624293578512
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9357.674110058564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 546:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.646969115906788, b_new = 0.7301703527058763, c_new = -0.029130260443988684
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5013.124433806798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 547:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1616930381223067, b_new = 0.9868564660743913, c_new = 0.057471868128701364
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7256.157399199528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 548:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7279460583542265, b_new = 1.3338065488552082, c_new = 0.2467099627102557
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3219.4325471236707
Acceptance probability: 2.4833330034798065e-62
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 549:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879355130921366, b_new = 0.5199135090944214, c_new = -0.11180167239446458
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3096.1253003789357
Acceptance probability: 8.844877049475235e-09
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 550:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1709782443135066, b_new = 1.2613768698209087, c_new = 0.2248271673687705
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8324.019103655677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 551:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8922532819780944, b_new = 0.5588630264056635, c_new = -0.8000308992151257
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3119.265819719889
Acceptance probability: 7.886638637914325e-19
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 552:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.834395625531305, b_new = 1.137570409006815, c_new = 0.26413472472339
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14173.53451108472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 553:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9325044229024497, b_new = 0.400753387367172, c_new = -0.5746890382988049
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14192.295110214232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 554:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3136792025325077, b_new = 1.6340527284464912, c_new = 0.6469937082878319
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8630.04759466621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 555:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.464686451460267, b_new = 1.6512501098531103, c_new = -0.1951908104725274
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6294.105679881302
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 556:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6408682172260023, b_new = 0.21373442613550053, c_new = -0.3426997668174844
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11962.800468910405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 557:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.575229238900792, b_new = 1.0159081813753505, c_new = -0.20991226021476425
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5725.19987876298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 558:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8251010754544144, b_new = 1.3153316398495953, c_new = -0.06585037687594757
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3116.2625008859054
Acceptance probability: 1.5893397269715126e-17
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 559:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2006485779798277, b_new = 2.076351840016274, c_new = 0.006576120034068905
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9454.43167734472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 560:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7493879802987427, b_new = 0.26665992050850573, c_new = 0.11623188523627909
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4295.305091797642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 561:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7125920004042325, b_new = 0.4183634672097157, c_new = -0.42679888820859146
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4713.039480518826
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 562:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7031088436603308, b_new = 0.3240694382449151, c_new = -0.587663564580301
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5129.40590405459
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 563:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.18857329673124, b_new = 0.4634411883621194, c_new = 0.3064486023147032
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12230.719943546548
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 564:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5724179024876923, b_new = 0.6244856672984032, c_new = 0.38461741388325504
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6552.9599437751185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 565:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3725935484697596, b_new = 0.3780711757609999, c_new = 0.2829211105693488
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9752.450698718567
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 566:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.676574971288664, b_new = 0.8761337247614014, c_new = -0.5820879551682656
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12942.564373288315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 567:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3526895640216687, b_new = 0.25141532654692633, c_new = -1.2830214516183602
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8717.74043760533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 568:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.341568585146695, b_new = 0.930583036932811, c_new = -0.013465039387405911
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10354.638436369674
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 569:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8310664524151563, b_new = 0.1489828410299472, c_new = -0.05160614054974645
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3583.1559204390087
Acceptance probability: 2.703840010234773e-220
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 570:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.605480783222607, b_new = 1.4817130118300583, c_new = -1.5772766514661867
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4618.46908511624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 571:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.476521139655704, b_new = 0.14015186564056148, c_new = -1.2015444676102967
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10228.93649834863
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 572:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.849107934976933, b_new = 1.23497236192468, c_new = -0.9219212144405009
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3133.4924687711255
Acceptance probability: 5.228014256252652e-25
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 573:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.368700429406931, b_new = 0.6694236977091819, c_new = -0.40795875059182884
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10079.816181842085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 574:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0941455044838233, b_new = 0.8795143106207024, c_new = 0.24072913020781295
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5560.094694936894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 575:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2238721030888544, b_new = 0.5236503851020664, c_new = 1.2878572930245993
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7769.729872073265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 576:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0865496774896606, b_new = 0.7724317603454965, c_new = -1.3480467058181198
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4771.964163229157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 577:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9009464650715326, b_new = 0.7094296188553709, c_new = -1.1521392098023155
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3130.8973487599046
Acceptance probability: 7.004595550680475e-24
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 578:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6633800006984063, b_new = 1.2376309662372882, c_new = 0.3215594753733742
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3801.9505663123173
Acceptance probability: 2.574385717e-315
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 579:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130996522412489, b_new = 0.9267230037391916, c_new = 0.573849056547411
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6584.111372767393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 580:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7597022809013527, b_new = 0.9450301800739218, c_new = -1.0422910799816651
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3491.77401640222
Acceptance probability: 1.3141279708863188e-180
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 581:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9477881455900883, b_new = 0.6443284085121697, c_new = -0.22133017629959104
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13737.477318684349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 582:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5519953789122813, b_new = 0.6174696576942691, c_new = 0.6031498886110089
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12055.75926589403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 583:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.22521405214964, b_new = 0.539868505059238, c_new = -0.4215682394267735
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7227.454012108488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 584:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.239289255032031, b_new = 1.2038784348803797, c_new = -0.5865487839471929
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9229.427709209735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 585:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.077104400852258, b_new = 0.8702972071260918, c_new = -0.48663603421085877
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5018.0718384635875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 586:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.751263920807198, b_new = 1.1385391582326525, c_new = 0.26096300439616715
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13803.767775851036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 587:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5195221174525164, b_new = 1.5453687035247996, c_new = -0.06555497109131328
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5475.062755234756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 588:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.4504042424030879, b_new = 1.558578447912459, c_new = 0.1335957369612153
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14821.12970406427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 589:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498806686453066, b_new = 0.7442293799757472, c_new = -0.10301818455121828
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11631.255062763401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 590:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0316159654005825, b_new = 0.8489345895899917, c_new = -0.49816742911620254
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4263.683259173681
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 591:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.256899043977255, b_new = 1.7847917487313345, c_new = 0.16441904822593723
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9253.114278222556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 592:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.728338380901723, b_new = 1.4036037883393702, c_new = -0.9395944559593026
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3295.4306409587953
Acceptance probability: 2.451783808112782e-95
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 593:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0443178306651255, b_new = 1.3044298642327643, c_new = 0.9935097508423478
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5892.88728484483
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 594:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7203779595460156, b_new = 0.7602107958143074, c_new = -0.6269275080969745
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4039.3460341909085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 595:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.015180164772559, b_new = 0.9755729063853648, c_new = -0.3279508189377688
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4286.569021664001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 596:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7575879996072556, b_new = 0.9455477703295959, c_new = 0.24185692627966193
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3315.186734051256
Acceptance probability: 6.449409582759656e-104
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 597:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.38937600506679, b_new = 1.462591163839928, c_new = -0.6779285796608203
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8297.576058634724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 598:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.872153655409992, b_new = 0.4462821436137351, c_new = -0.4140978565231949
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3158.526067836985
Acceptance probability: 7.020738976020631e-36
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 599:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9236987984411653, b_new = 1.0586311649377442, c_new = 0.3448309136026456
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13222.034888704831
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 600:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4482433324533104, b_new = 1.9472831225966405, c_new = 0.2464876493644329
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5768.1344364904535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 601:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5016703555840607, b_new = 1.2809139452887985, c_new = 0.7111283707009186
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6172.657913406038
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 602:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.425206061225029, b_new = 0.4171326320352835, c_new = -0.5973067567511916
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10252.872750459153
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 603:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3348581643533155, b_new = 1.6174007172397653, c_new = -0.35205688144765956
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11420.602648783346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 604:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9572669665078775, b_new = 0.6868164032322029, c_new = -0.4617207926441334
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3332.3673062625207
Acceptance probability: 2.2289085557039328e-111
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 605:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.639160024580521, b_new = 1.0090483919791067, c_new = 0.2129577393973877
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13050.14207922074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 606:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7579764872983015, b_new = 0.8466177070772065, c_new = -0.06829401800710458
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3442.4070189224967
Acceptance probability: 3.617864130441682e-159
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 607:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3807403900134583, b_new = 0.47010256527630395, c_new = -0.34287886901752485
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9867.094936155641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 608:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7352234669179407, b_new = 0.15400732455320465, c_new = -0.2477471317097346
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4842.319340212466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 609:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.751372181818992, b_new = 0.8542649084769566, c_new = -0.07157370242455725
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13444.540918345745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 610:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950460354168195, b_new = 1.0598494516073855, c_new = -0.6203169777131543
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3613.789691395249
Acceptance probability: 1.342466026989261e-233
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 611:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.963487028319892, b_new = 1.210662714415934, c_new = -0.6065748862993382
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3947.820345562762
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 612:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.42907288897772, b_new = 0.9859417173085877, c_new = -0.5766182347640647
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8724.98310001669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 613:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2360091717566735, b_new = 0.9327654304911102, c_new = -1.0066971853907938
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11483.50228459161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 614:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3175541573286482, b_new = 1.41129162500151, c_new = 0.6539939946044493
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9026.1484760377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 615:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7454477771601415, b_new = 0.70557594369614, c_new = 0.28396572689659016
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3643.8950514853195
Acceptance probability: 1.1306066647856167e-246
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 616:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7572120783134344, b_new = 0.812820711110585, c_new = -0.9564105918554318
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3643.3849890291167
Acceptance probability: 1.8829069193587673e-246
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 617:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0471849448143287, b_new = 1.4879583923138848, c_new = -0.3021832818406531
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5992.701961199442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 618:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.239143125425888, b_new = 1.259349868556325, c_new = -0.1884971121276507
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9500.702988777455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 619:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1622446862876497, b_new = 1.2986105295378687, c_new = -0.11843060227974882
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8106.22008535681
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 620:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.180056846930179, b_new = 1.1803693756044766, c_new = -0.45050849025880624
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8029.340923701779
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 621:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1262838727248488, b_new = 1.4437026756368416, c_new = 0.2696842097484496
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11258.493495991734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 622:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3881912259093774, b_new = 0.873211108842421, c_new = -0.42468559385203963
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9552.185444104376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 623:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.090685182339076, b_new = 0.9750532364774406, c_new = -0.7118180541508017
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5442.332730281558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 624:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5633301478782418, b_new = 0.7688508697358332, c_new = 0.39588477619593915
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12293.00213324607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 625:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8810229891336503, b_new = 1.3288197807777635, c_new = -0.37192787024582097
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3358.454020765662
Acceptance probability: 1.0441817335031183e-122
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 626:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4375825440408367, b_new = 1.7815137531571978, c_new = -0.16114471166521016
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12602.06622213639
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 627:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.524145284662632, b_new = 1.1140782201290453, c_new = 0.4580632127634498
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6235.210638080997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 628:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0875430699409976, b_new = 1.1250153648572945, c_new = -0.47689883655823484
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5821.452716246882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 629:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2930503713662804, b_new = 1.2967167197304232, c_new = -0.23762017343475922
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9879.920987252328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 630:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5738327289461638, b_new = 0.5918215307663275, c_new = 1.035935930942243
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6362.4116325959985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 631:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.841942980466524, b_new = 0.5757402117645584, c_new = -0.0933345031176949
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3167.7476207007953
Acceptance probability: 6.9424586763078784e-40
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 632:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7982443691855083, b_new = 1.4985719498410965, c_new = -0.2458108640438033
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3109.386954140724
Acceptance probability: 1.5389650270414338e-14
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 633:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.407588675607615, b_new = 0.7316315551638706, c_new = -0.625031028849029
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -10596.180110615076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 634:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0044522677543646, b_new = 0.28245517040328094, c_new = 0.20476425113772895
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3372.642351674911
Acceptance probability: 7.192208521311001e-129
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 635:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4240922932794704, b_new = 0.6195559285514368, c_new = -0.10359045316128399
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9466.778531470229
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 636:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.048728759993341, b_new = 1.3949691177666226, c_new = -0.6302309503909309
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12251.058399465372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 637:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.60670276028211, b_new = 0.8835486513535216, c_new = 0.7351886832659082
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5137.095424122411
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 638:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5292513024637286, b_new = 0.9439054955218449, c_new = -0.181739223577141
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6806.0450402070055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 639:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.287409462842894, b_new = 0.582317971098996, c_new = 0.14310019551609027
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8802.778794353846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 640:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.123302771259168, b_new = 1.1903052332966526, c_new = -0.017759361870310075
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6949.71761024065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 641:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9957629982219585, b_new = 1.6192169843479844, c_new = -0.23705631619730128
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5320.995918977783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 642:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9030662793830877, b_new = 0.8332995097846361, c_new = -0.4548018159718399
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3157.514253431989
Acceptance probability: 1.9311154546444443e-35
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 643:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7810087536554846, b_new = 1.8357629990187974, c_new = -0.29308271310401757
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14482.529259353803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 644:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9631381647518653, b_new = 0.38873741967165654, c_new = 0.09727282569203713
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3204.842994919233
Acceptance probability: 5.385139725122277e-56
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 645:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.236040666627941, b_new = 0.5519325887258251, c_new = 1.239580911781702
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8094.093097926405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 646:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4182244311608057, b_new = 2.214993897629944, c_new = 0.8315098607099716
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5552.865091686132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 647:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4044293927574687, b_new = 0.8799177602535201, c_new = 0.15280532044222556
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11024.89512681092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 648:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.29652326124835, b_new = 1.001453150587348, c_new = 0.10565978670263462
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9919.181506861798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 649:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9476409093122617, b_new = 1.3796214683607197, c_new = 0.0591021291538853
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4141.9970614508
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 650:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.852199627861517, b_new = 1.1465139572973977, c_new = -0.16290525096759942
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3126.0365681072053
Acceptance probability: 9.044681519875515e-22
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 651:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.060854774906395, b_new = 0.8687636734302734, c_new = -0.012506446353905257
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12701.439372999452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 652:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031047426156653, b_new = 0.8692844171235656, c_new = 0.12086983327035322
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4419.070940860864
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 653:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.107896825998636, b_new = 1.5717712854075465, c_new = -0.5347214626968051
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7522.0451069852315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 654:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7942451905248102, b_new = 0.6523418277421251, c_new = -0.1198476778766087
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3367.701145204795
Acceptance probability: 1.0064703240802327e-126
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 655:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9744852738612444, b_new = 0.0775760249334887, c_new = -0.5072027370663572
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3147.5211464874956
Acceptance probability: 4.224345612746063e-31
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 656:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.813008062371896, b_new = 0.5178197806754083, c_new = -0.5582014873227041
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3429.1635492529635
Acceptance probability: 2.0418228117478613e-153
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 657:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0039668717320827, b_new = 1.6193173704801607, c_new = -0.975581356426898
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5253.655557870289
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 658:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6423438149413454, b_new = 0.6124849870065432, c_new = -0.44078868814138666
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5509.16927017934
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 659:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.830269543963179, b_new = 0.061711141111298495, c_new = -0.2382868588928136
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3738.570217709226
Acceptance probability: 8.637921977243726e-288
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 660:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8642650830443994, b_new = 0.4707199714971691, c_new = 0.19332190473866007
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3117.1249001912997
Acceptance probability: 6.709365938621998e-18
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 661:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.77902734028539, b_new = 1.2644629313448539, c_new = -0.019864489462903714
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13995.05982332804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 662:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.797891135650443, b_new = 1.5892822317748052, c_new = 0.2199951282910524
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3160.5745600979094
Acceptance probability: 9.051778989385611e-37
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 663:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.162800998282629, b_new = 1.0394798462296757, c_new = -0.6583149871466847
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11871.929601739026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 664:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5026966485163227, b_new = 1.9803453359757666, c_new = -1.1120750865270168
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13068.74547260018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 665:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.121781248219956, b_new = 0.35992416497070445, c_new = -1.5962878228198476
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4506.923787687286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 666:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.96572670241732, b_new = 1.1447599940638908, c_new = 0.6923399490463791
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4119.4757871090205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 667:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8145102335094423, b_new = 0.3774970346525611, c_new = -0.7196300693199797
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3595.2399378330483
Acceptance probability: 1.5274215610468312e-225
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 668:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4151702247112397, b_new = 0.9300472805908361, c_new = 1.0088641012556032
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8484.645446616893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 669:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7044676010489797, b_new = 0.6149953068307121, c_new = -0.8032825611270722
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -12763.31553897847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 670:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7551038676407376, b_new = 1.457941206288333, c_new = -0.34407910351717813
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14008.043007385846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 671:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9547841983711205, b_new = 1.0813315651530049, c_new = -0.8770739527374356
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -13367.776747512089
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 672:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.55163419293917, b_new = 0.3904903367109168, c_new = 0.9006898531402214
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7388.991920271688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 673:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1285920873091113, b_new = 1.4680096031241654, c_new = -0.9694881171092133
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11595.575633960212
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 674:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1734926233415686, b_new = 1.4071909458041132, c_new = -0.34176558129518975
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8574.455441506185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 675:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.149666395882936, b_new = 1.5653856837192643, c_new = -1.0592387583567002
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8239.742990709128
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 676:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1265874789827675, b_new = 1.3472853174174635, c_new = 0.2227951305938295
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7580.503951482715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 677:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.271602221469092, b_new = 0.660761085957116, c_new = 0.4157363996891848
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11099.26725835496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 678:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.232289697382082, b_new = 0.4026264488102867, c_new = -0.5287200423393762
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6972.446571496102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 679:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.826896419746599, b_new = 0.6880389165366521, c_new = -0.21728312830743485
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -14275.025610238423
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 680:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3705476600831417, b_new = 1.4363270278945985, c_new = -0.534387197943257
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -8612.172194948329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 681:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.923752937649692, b_new = 1.6612462979829732, c_new = -0.2907807190486692
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4229.123155870618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 682:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.149696472422118, b_new = 1.1184750708777462, c_new = -1.171441735840168
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6921.3950404418365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 683:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4884367208021088, b_new = 0.36959125467207743, c_new = -0.2166203411180953
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -9079.750308687473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 684:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.720187267574135, b_new = 0.04999070022716112, c_new = -0.36583710307293776
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5384.278565417472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 685:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2669899811829453, b_new = 0.8825090162231077, c_new = -0.4262127290644999
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -11042.201852861137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 686:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.147033369508094, b_new = 1.153304592155288, c_new = -0.10126633266677057
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -7348.388375125232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 687:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7245466928104927, b_new = -0.08122942537499933, c_new = -1.1029892207561751
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -5925.755112048984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 688:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6907089566463953, b_new = 0.7408448932874258, c_new = -1.3147936243528355
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -4682.1330951745895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 689:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.876215287301723, b_new = 1.3482818359878779, c_new = -0.7237010578137211
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3314.2159838746693
Acceptance probability: 1.702595195586075e-103
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 690:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0345442133390677, b_new = 0.046042252263255645, c_new = -0.17026576414488875
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3369.409129543348
Acceptance probability: 1.8240334600908272e-127
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 691:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2795291333304273, b_new = -0.08387608927734869, c_new = -1.1644076255182334
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -6511.145375976665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 692:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.834672100471943, b_new = 0.9805362820901273, c_new = -0.09118904110627082
Current likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Proposed likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Acceptance probability: 3.8575718334807414
Max likelihood: -3077.5818729689363
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8472231445591114, b = 0.8991608379416859, c = -0.13506878501997482
Iteration 693:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.793932834761201, b_new = 0.6825149481370335, c_new = 0.3490830849241837
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13568.582232154036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 694:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.472010281103297, b_new = 1.3924796874327146, c_new = 0.012500056971247744
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6713.388429917943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 695:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0988456725182956, b_new = 1.3109496058747783, c_new = -0.6634305277668177
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6506.644976070886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 696:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1299266440415776, b_new = 1.5824647622636312, c_new = 0.8791360638139274
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8634.704046883786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 697:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4817439139989887, b_new = 0.29581368422558163, c_new = -0.4892751170594716
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -9484.237937276383
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 698:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2062919119299433, b_new = 0.9922697476651199, c_new = -0.20860311748271157
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8152.58151206726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 699:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.132245594686547, b_new = 0.3358318530397234, c_new = -0.1366348221013236
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4923.633585048126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 700:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.47710652785022, b_new = 0.08529926857433612, c_new = -0.44231712795169764
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -15295.047705882755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 701:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8002127066321254, b_new = 1.4797506599004793, c_new = -0.7342406397704041
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3103.131247410857
Acceptance probability: 2.078421574363024e-12
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 702:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4079133096387193, b_new = 1.3249037356958653, c_new = 0.1937599845378413
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -7984.37138726872
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 703:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.922015617394852, b_new = 0.5966278259228981, c_new = 0.8638821374360282
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3166.340409142973
Acceptance probability: 7.350950457960399e-40
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 704:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7048887833359028, b_new = 0.9238188498795378, c_new = 0.40284259242638487
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3754.930930514789
Acceptance probability: 1.7568228178269632e-295
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 705:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1357683532835323, b_new = 0.3369431221117781, c_new = 0.09273340774911903
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5042.359729631844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 706:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.854643986119222, b_new = 0.680134083935863, c_new = -0.7173451797034428
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13643.541248578143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 707:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8152682012148826, b_new = 0.32225398058016963, c_new = -1.3824305860879043
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3802.6911278873386
Acceptance probability: 3.1822756e-316
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 708:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.779169204573202, b_new = 0.5037047260374469, c_new = -0.16988708664190572
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3656.047246725194
Acceptance probability: 1.5465578993318496e-252
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 709:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3284344407850415, b_new = 0.882152819753836, c_new = -0.15405173767399344
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10041.263634384031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 710:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8328495637221922, b_new = 1.8598098024179603, c_new = -0.4022219963685175
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13004.000763910168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 711:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.497183513459475, b_new = 1.201900013244604, c_new = -0.8850400920018634
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -7046.955608275545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 712:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7680993172245176, b_new = 1.5251283244577136, c_new = -0.5707363873149353
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3096.124416139712
Acceptance probability: 2.2948896035288977e-09
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 713:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.664614397207436, b_new = 1.2525086394923213, c_new = 0.17390061261799192
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13468.41635558745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 714:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0978290244294437, b_new = 0.14966634109444532, c_new = 0.06521797129379364
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4115.460278972765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 715:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.2704383209181949, b_new = 0.767066802430656, c_new = 0.1428179346834831
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -15959.68913680794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 716:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.107704096836704, b_new = 1.2499677329221661, c_new = -1.1706240154585508
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12178.083573880349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 717:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4695627921481957, b_new = 0.3159324289625637, c_new = -0.07506980729463844
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -9459.084290153867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 718:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.882395752013794, b_new = 1.19527666745986, c_new = 0.1421284978029239
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -14398.812887738379
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 719:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.740453083171392, b_new = 1.3418653438694041, c_new = 0.1936925061068154
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3166.2717301566454
Acceptance probability: 7.873546570487493e-40
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 720:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5875546682546755, b_new = 1.70327559758486, c_new = 0.1714632905776853
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13550.566126408648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 721:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.256909845117462, b_new = 0.6063616901929599, c_new = -0.0862585502544187
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8193.28240919454
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 722:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.377158048628456, b_new = -0.3476177638670357, c_new = -0.551732917478674
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12181.116945850325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 723:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.956114117047701, b_new = 0.7457812022371489, c_new = -0.1953038921916553
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3390.9156724708782
Acceptance probability: 2.1604581623223864e-137
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 724:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.333677784460221, b_new = 1.5091895818951968, c_new = 0.04846162832396314
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8803.609062462716
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 725:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.883456777461336, b_new = 1.2501918790552615, c_new = 0.0344566084661887
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3346.2655947949124
Acceptance probability: 5.318978217189166e-118
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 726:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0703155441259415, b_new = -0.44981620417312196, c_new = -0.1872303894421954
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13655.195082192593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 727:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9496218715119924, b_new = 1.3948210298876758, c_new = 0.5631130094036767
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4306.843523955109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 728:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9024058390214074, b_new = 0.11447023239292564, c_new = -0.4394124840515511
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3223.412925905671
Acceptance probability: 1.2024427203177224e-64
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 729:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.960542110606952, b_new = 1.3379866642904417, c_new = -0.4296542860447632
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4141.795864777601
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 730:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.979242075896218, b_new = 1.5832689117647485, c_new = -0.5970257290160775
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4842.854539749361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 731:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1207378533783663, b_new = 0.5022620964189992, c_new = -0.35351474381401715
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12894.172761915966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 732:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7287745646025416, b_new = 1.0981676232685769, c_new = -1.1925899644612021
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3613.3390728955833
Acceptance probability: 5.461229279093589e-234
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 733:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4080918761673953, b_new = 1.0763300788283743, c_new = -1.3299781704992568
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -9153.1207611794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 734:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.062027614525602, b_new = 1.2666360450403655, c_new = -0.5903456091086692
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -14943.815676860653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 735:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1581864903420853, b_new = 0.8728513365492624, c_new = -0.3904200153994195
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12083.065729604532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 736:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2248068856446643, b_new = 0.6342958132888566, c_new = 0.37022879179846324
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11624.472762724818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 737:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.999328863853592, b_new = 0.5231203702366232, c_new = -0.0815081348932767
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3527.37227579811
Acceptance probability: 1.1808534866604317e-196
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 738:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.650697857073074, b_new = 1.3747891150195002, c_new = -0.01806955982495982
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3822.8317318183126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 739:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.545219197210754, b_new = 0.60857610807558, c_new = 0.5633813423261252
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11981.320457522605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 740:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.912184477309224, b_new = 0.637699261893308, c_new = 0.6837412139169292
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3139.918489631148
Acceptance probability: 2.194003626500469e-28
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 741:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.212313983820772, b_new = 1.1170222321572185, c_new = -0.158698464693717
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8641.15986071999
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 742:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9635453832484018, b_new = 1.9932390679633678, c_new = 0.29817671540050217
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5813.265917316174
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 743:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5606401366200724, b_new = 1.3998871619023447, c_new = 0.2765764976334507
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13051.719260802522
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 744:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.512668849887358, b_new = 1.2797110739997644, c_new = -0.07037440866643413
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12491.785414375418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 745:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.630296742400361, b_new = 0.03043198261397473, c_new = -0.23523790284451626
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11669.053565157135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 746:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9119955796252044, b_new = 1.3139073112413722, c_new = 0.4718059865974975
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3709.3055031422286
Acceptance probability: 1.1470947863420504e-275
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 747:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0366883440727763, b_new = 0.9067396988811129, c_new = 0.686555275269649
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4714.361724249018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 748:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0000410034040352, b_new = 0.864247304431643, c_new = 0.2323235997918858
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4014.3089206065256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 749:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5637164679746416, b_new = 1.4456315488175124, c_new = -0.38017397131834463
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12970.44071623891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 750:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.12794251745724, b_new = -0.2055268248888631, c_new = -0.5475256530756553
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3896.3124350692133
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 751:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.450904205418356, b_new = 0.4251135323834331, c_new = 0.38474154450287823
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10804.883345694056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 752:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8141331136347478, b_new = 1.081356971971485, c_new = -0.5766747463775266
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -14023.512458585621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 753:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5691387736159244, b_new = 0.749498557889227, c_new = -0.2168990235786713
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6525.393756527241
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 754:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8626831578105256, b_new = 1.050761875640411, c_new = 0.47698286261411904
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3142.79566252
Acceptance probability: 1.2350855252677159e-29
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 755:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1664919180694637, b_new = 0.6174990802086895, c_new = -0.9977101684220163
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5992.603770529173
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 756:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5447384224250307, b_new = 1.3474875894100729, c_new = -0.5350469244674037
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5621.543281365271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 757:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9180195392772, b_new = 1.8460585666179492, c_new = 0.2553046550612792
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4627.206155827629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 758:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8650963121598294, b_new = 1.0233800200474672, c_new = 0.41672860541298806
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3136.1177556401176
Acceptance probability: 9.814657316012654e-27
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 759:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9369227642248426, b_new = 0.7370145212906153, c_new = -1.4574213398666898
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3226.589642044393
Acceptance probability: 5.016884559133823e-66
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 760:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.129286087298517, b_new = 0.940807449097272, c_new = -0.24794268778105627
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6294.210080463205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 761:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3328840259500683, b_new = 1.2372872781438324, c_new = -0.5706083224779694
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10666.353649893048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 762:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.721712305754991, b_new = 1.0227579334563226, c_new = -0.5419180214234217
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3643.688978730165
Acceptance probability: 3.601585918770848e-247
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 763:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7123812660020943, b_new = 1.29249565080948, c_new = 0.02571338522898152
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3360.3567064237022
Acceptance probability: 4.037719892656324e-124
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 764:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889861713285248, b_new = 0.8730410387035472, c_new = 0.3014785039249911
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3150.691547718905
Acceptance probability: 4.597880295576748e-33
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 765:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0872990049254283, b_new = 0.6364850939742104, c_new = 0.615007539036889
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4977.64788127786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 766:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.91705034882451, b_new = 0.7065144226106377, c_new = 0.09848572845886588
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3168.496023397999
Acceptance probability: 8.514754283855787e-41
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 767:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2487230460147534, b_new = 0.9371042964638805, c_new = -0.741828362692112
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8674.685143586146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 768:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2768487238456436, b_new = 1.3049869356238877, c_new = -0.5904289731359653
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10063.8781949558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 769:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.610893963380815, b_new = 1.1629951505126086, c_new = 0.15537161458340956
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4659.111207033429
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 770:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.440416590640226, b_new = 0.37913120534668354, c_new = -0.3886985235144955
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10412.853568273824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 771:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0344993251997194, b_new = 1.9468498531069862, c_new = -0.607436588643771
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6911.338150881336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 772:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.995227193362223, b_new = 0.9007621452363642, c_new = 0.21396200548735714
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4007.9090368419575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 773:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.571973484887666, b_new = 1.2533840382163604, c_new = 0.6924114299010238
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13043.702409439516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 774:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221827588981503, b_new = 0.9480992200738296, c_new = -0.786206664393049
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8148.645394457643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 775:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.815360506345866, b_new = 0.9918336702168452, c_new = -0.06549014552083286
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3091.4284905619766
Acceptance probability: 2.512906700334644e-07
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 776:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6543739342487216, b_new = 1.0862310654485179, c_new = -0.1511592056622857
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4243.632720239306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 777:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7635588718653874, b_new = -0.5323215129564713, c_new = -0.6703550720311151
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -15773.423227110321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 778:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3635898059773037, b_new = 2.1722096912495394, c_new = -0.1304757446084934
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6906.671754440458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 779:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0688923995882518, b_new = 0.8016322001412088, c_new = -0.338858726514781
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12837.17852468129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 780:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.553132182911825, b_new = 1.1432717983999727, c_new = 0.3728435866307398
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5638.913755056777
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 781:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.417152322701572, b_new = 1.4202283807219742, c_new = 0.12165736913729999
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -7624.863965730321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 782:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9419308879572066, b_new = 1.9402173575415524, c_new = 0.46301127162840505
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5310.0915767245315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 783:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7955835167655843, b_new = 0.4205546849688111, c_new = -0.0018060608944350243
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3571.7296491010666
Acceptance probability: 6.427373813814906e-216
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 784:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9031077211011114, b_new = 1.0541061895767065, c_new = 0.2811920121297521
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -13362.347088900173
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 785:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4140892338820326, b_new = 2.0301137875768074, c_new = -0.05903913734647064
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12797.755098117006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 786:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6040743843439556, b_new = 1.9035276916857105, c_new = -0.17194695869736182
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3679.082805241088
Acceptance probability: 1.53161719202275e-262
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 787:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7432087726892815, b_new = 0.957266009725996, c_new = -0.1362615704622547
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3459.444337033334
Acceptance probability: 3.740459776469891e-167
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 788:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3757235615974115, b_new = 0.5118736181814227, c_new = -0.023237203285443236
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10327.307833927016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 789:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.939895789012891, b_new = 0.803400184008155, c_new = 0.5053749233581203
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3390.3096518251173
Acceptance probability: 3.9603838688662086e-137
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 790:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.459727654366527, b_new = 1.0417986968118307, c_new = -0.7943708244009542
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8138.499181725351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 791:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6370475080872944, b_new = 1.9000100191045823, c_new = 0.1948668755111366
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3372.569977259066
Acceptance probability: 2.00437998645887e-129
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 792:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.500818415906954, b_new = 1.656793705288409, c_new = -0.3075813271404759
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5640.955388407746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 793:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6509979236392063, b_new = 0.2725658677815095, c_new = 0.8437816079654392
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5712.461617888208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 794:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.704824125769327, b_new = 1.0070307455004084, c_new = -0.5295144626238258
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3833.3460037092073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 795:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.530068076989058, b_new = 0.8547907777327748, c_new = -0.39377773015962414
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -7108.062240535052
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 796:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.145051794555474, b_new = 0.15445284528495307, c_new = 0.22217197865154978
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4851.889794607244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 797:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4504776663367993, b_new = -0.0786664261583152, c_new = -0.6997934803122875
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10863.381158242959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 798:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7321681229919905, b_new = 0.677544976553206, c_new = 0.8120688025376636
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3711.264064967637
Acceptance probability: 1.6181050474764448e-276
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 799:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.896621122122851, b_new = 0.8286251505843225, c_new = 0.007835182813354727
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3145.1075864631894
Acceptance probability: 1.2236049377512526e-30
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 800:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5448368673329247, b_new = 0.8743888136579444, c_new = -0.8947933566401203
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6960.811393955869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 801:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9999359048186598, b_new = 1.3587393590495596, c_new = -0.27814525850944194
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12542.883743158727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 802:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.617535505437893, b_new = 0.8578044412700598, c_new = 0.2756087730287382
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5147.855565290649
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 803:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3719331543729507, b_new = 0.8371283052165831, c_new = -0.40790822601736054
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10436.64866571871
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 804:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.274188162510178, b_new = 1.4715985494671304, c_new = -0.4309133097431517
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10427.466887358882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 805:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.516354154414583, b_new = 1.369792258204659, c_new = -0.36350913811125307
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6047.951456577264
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 806:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.335346294138228, b_new = 1.3298389029677309, c_new = -0.11852571826135958
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -10992.125988389425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 807:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6315176574056247, b_new = 2.320933057813365, c_new = -0.004191769398043013
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3205.4395445425075
Acceptance probability: 7.687847229955001e-57
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 808:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.55041912562048, b_new = 0.4821827832393707, c_new = 0.2243756501956122
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11762.913333433702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 809:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2832225766808034, b_new = 0.5976185822858753, c_new = -0.11127457083130766
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8677.121471959203
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 810:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.229590442680406, b_new = 1.6020540330789819, c_new = -1.0187250861724322
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -9868.693009438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 811:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6885017735589622, b_new = 0.7696001812224337, c_new = 0.9134026093609957
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4059.813573409813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 812:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0724849893962456, b_new = 1.0041554121261311, c_new = 0.3233917182166758
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -5468.908298376646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 813:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2909891206389417, b_new = 2.235141038320773, c_new = 0.3641302096512907
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -7809.820035663109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 814:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8998650893654303, b_new = 1.0455732340481143, c_new = 0.25198105793603054
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3303.692898486409
Acceptance probability: 1.6402698354048138e-99
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 815:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4309081772174643, b_new = 0.7676270128766601, c_new = -0.43827927219967266
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -9156.852809673983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 816:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.500883636602323, b_new = 1.1767896122358215, c_new = -0.33664941640436774
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -6825.908007000586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 817:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3617328571581364, b_new = 1.5744057499646131, c_new = 0.35490496999594845
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11812.297957430439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 818:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5496796552114946, b_new = 0.3950449743581319, c_new = -0.7500651569190647
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -8109.363029634824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 819:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1947007098936573, b_new = 1.2953573401299099, c_new = -0.33317750636201016
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11037.414213535221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 820:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7300930783632666, b_new = 0.49808763499759096, c_new = -0.11367944899703764
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12927.418182467343
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 821:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.503155520563345, b_new = 1.3426912732168474, c_new = 0.10949534788567891
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12551.88238260707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 822:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4596591509991566, b_new = 0.9812981416300239, c_new = -0.021967276859440013
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -7985.424983300741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 823:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.803928522234613, b_new = 1.1011491816094563, c_new = 0.11906280910180259
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3081.2216700781173
Acceptance probability: 0.00680678727424603
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 824:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.713700224043016, b_new = 0.5104379509340178, c_new = 0.07829259738727637
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -14817.666199466115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 825:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.585073343203291, b_new = 1.2512689653593838, c_new = -0.25090777412249576
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -12898.117275250077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 826:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8380080120083724, b_new = 0.6554616387396816, c_new = 0.26979286642434974
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3114.985966017733
Acceptance probability: 1.4767084714857615e-17
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 827:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.18975404984214, b_new = 1.069459322331072, c_new = 0.021285555254952293
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11351.240628195304
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 828:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1213581823547023, b_new = 1.631933958830854, c_new = -0.1030673772730561
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -11119.803678616267
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 829:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7167825844739415, b_new = 1.964813966640102, c_new = -0.9796800927014024
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3120.944102220801
Acceptance probability: 3.816885138275616e-20
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 830:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9463454953514807, b_new = 1.0715989856582522, c_new = -0.08315183371083527
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3658.8836572916616
Acceptance probability: 9.06835944690574e-254
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 831:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.103746830228484, b_new = -0.3471317415998241, c_new = -0.4543855505556783
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3535.5150882130533
Acceptance probability: 3.434136213562303e-200
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 832:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.003501131292888, b_new = 0.7737423048748477, c_new = 0.4353170402341583
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3955.608802800556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 833:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3578445437623397, b_new = 1.1761748058243227, c_new = -0.7046794416493866
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -9435.344747317848
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 834:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9399910839812815, b_new = 1.2718930323656719, c_new = 0.3275464610819291
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3929.955772770464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 835:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7877530029264728, b_new = 0.9158544670092728, c_new = -0.8190995300096369
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3294.8781957878164
Acceptance probability: 1.1043126317521884e-95
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 836:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6517905129180854, b_new = 1.0423760139214746, c_new = 0.16127919739828814
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4276.113265816888
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 837:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6173300723811557, b_new = 0.9823282195165166, c_new = 0.007431854211350369
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -4964.725890165782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 838:
Current coefficients: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8414203555182285, b_new = 0.8878212087960093, c_new = 0.39075236338798713
Current likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Proposed likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Acceptance probability: 61655.821479145045
Max likelihood: -3076.2318350420837
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.834672100471943, b = 0.9805362820901273, c = -0.09118904110627082
Iteration 839:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1413409340920757, b_new = 0.8101685624292532, c_new = 0.7500797333261973
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6549.101710241416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 840:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.489668659260971, b_new = 1.7997754994641695, c_new = 0.4487540929086352
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5293.484186422694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 841:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3715137836388753, b_new = 1.5017142593559836, c_new = 0.14268337085762609
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11726.10382412045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 842:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5530343633139063, b_new = 1.6033311642164598, c_new = 0.296452736411354
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4680.332063628811
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 843:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0471797870545556, b_new = 0.524695408994976, c_new = 1.0789577549658822
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4242.526244837183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 844:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5026002117122284, b_new = 1.3292105961692124, c_new = -0.09455240454105335
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6318.018852427745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 845:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.298633875970446, b_new = 1.1506241719297168, c_new = 0.292524569213212
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10326.301924721341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 846:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231490029741729, b_new = 0.16862928568249058, c_new = 0.7638716304780032
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6754.317051751463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 847:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.2722508532388057, b_new = 1.2959350027720324, c_new = -0.0150841950012926
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -15607.767081804692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 848:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.089303124706353, b_new = 1.4233277147505823, c_new = 0.6851664671959894
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11488.911884282037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 849:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.111476118099788, b_new = 1.260219684336854, c_new = 0.2325345579001661
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6979.257154328066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 850:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.470694070870116, b_new = 1.6039272128270556, c_new = 0.5035069894054787
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6059.209242750127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 851:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.169418105157579, b_new = 1.0586995033825104, c_new = 0.57537182554111
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11380.45517687701
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 852:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.647789446455375, b_new = 0.8141975570397197, c_new = -0.23174176481291997
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4883.31275016704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 853:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0449638657224383, b_new = 0.5335982042017261, c_new = 0.5285294144924085
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4117.800006021528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 854:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6816953843961397, b_new = 1.5416679771374566, c_new = 0.6176039704999532
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3306.0009412672957
Acceptance probability: 2.6458850111753716e-105
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 855:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.275019169372443, b_new = 1.0418011165879095, c_new = 0.32619302376587445
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9753.770496216199
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 856:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801533123174502, b_new = 0.301311994437796, c_new = 0.05672626109967133
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3647.9335205347643
Acceptance probability: 8.377966264058505e-254
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 857:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2726528310670715, b_new = 1.464476902727645, c_new = -0.2545299663415127
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10448.1343723311
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 858:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8920874459106858, b_new = 1.319727881771238, c_new = -0.9204431537429935
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13454.5244195876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 859:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8492274168958764, b_new = -0.37111928440608155, c_new = 0.3543657734455195
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4019.319670639661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 860:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.053353960524115, b_new = 1.0029108713379566, c_new = 0.4014791827128842
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5131.531479049717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 861:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.164781029937835, b_new = 1.4184329170110486, c_new = -0.4020956838243497
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8397.446474220309
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 862:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.044351437144474, b_new = 0.9879094929144254, c_new = 0.5558746659899788
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12485.416574697256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 863:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.012344205314634, b_new = 1.4855368272572451, c_new = 0.26012671257109415
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5468.117627664094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 864:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5453075923420885, b_new = -0.08435681430448705, c_new = 0.14225972290800976
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10866.07031296462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 865:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7077483982380954, b_new = 0.4583194599892561, c_new = 0.5852049698659884
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12901.004582947775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 866:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545173731203598, b_new = 0.5339824982993094, c_new = -0.2023421789694605
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7585.414402849623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 867:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1513777124173683, b_new = 1.3992174345779123, c_new = 0.5741819558890637
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8437.48591438478
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 868:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7551745062980304, b_new = 0.9834378180425389, c_new = 0.18933757570089935
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3307.5030104467223
Acceptance probability: 5.891564138393428e-106
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 869:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.00983224712264, b_new = 1.390311796826252, c_new = -0.38643942762784567
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12464.580737558743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 870:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5818617232664254, b_new = 0.591175448233406, c_new = 0.505194027752423
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6402.563394183997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 871:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3950729904623187, b_new = 1.2331240248870337, c_new = 1.0847173145460036
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11780.80853997831
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 872:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.475163065113767, b_new = 1.186610784328467, c_new = 0.5576295679914431
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6966.268571886933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 873:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.398238643499075, b_new = 1.133674396920815, c_new = -0.5725342690042983
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -15708.052025071122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 874:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.262112258734489, b_new = 1.2144634913500996, c_new = 0.07561346365517746
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9860.730850740538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 875:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5648209250074, b_new = 1.8814627226328273, c_new = 0.1540121913633725
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4081.6553649973853
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 876:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.530455429484958, b_new = 1.7301749301705363, c_new = 0.5688322788501321
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4723.5858516150765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 877:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981429274943429, b_new = 0.8563052160909466, c_new = -0.20806530719332783
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3723.567950127329
Acceptance probability: 1.1899348753531126e-286
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 878:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.241547102735666, b_new = 1.3570170612356762, c_new = 0.6559864942397646
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10067.110801664823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 879:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.550365844444513, b_new = 0.725192688347704, c_new = 0.7554514530566265
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6592.966763172139
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 880:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.754822758902665, b_new = 1.3411544774628, c_new = 0.17008952121519771
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3121.970098099124
Acceptance probability: 2.2189660314543004e-25
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 881:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9132559849957982, b_new = 1.418806374273585, c_new = 1.4722407440663772
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12542.140290589352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 882:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6632835222766693, b_new = -0.18183425320153845, c_new = 0.2961390139213821
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -15541.346626950537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 883:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.531355951262117, b_new = 0.5115199883515716, c_new = -0.2949370862640931
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7959.137175931364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 884:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0604843662542676, b_new = 0.7947726014558667, c_new = 0.22811506855631272
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4757.857635276734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 885:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7395348859673856, b_new = 0.36109568422814176, c_new = -0.23288124874823324
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12802.37867666368
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 886:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.979440923096041, b_new = 0.6770287755904172, c_new = 0.09554353598649401
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14315.615482727555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 887:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4667744147614057, b_new = 1.424190281194716, c_new = 0.05132517664713221
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6721.224518438887
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 888:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5772898979456857, b_new = 0.40592811625680675, c_new = -0.2556683332160634
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7302.934811498728
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 889:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5615252829275037, b_new = 0.633126757835551, c_new = 0.36849167373651814
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6757.3338478867745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 890:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8942795976272233, b_new = 1.0763858441422183, c_new = 0.7939922306216061
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14470.388878495143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 891:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0028371656219597, b_new = 1.321703841787464, c_new = 0.3366587000020187
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12392.027740920608
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 892:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.375581571504983, b_new = 1.4870257171674939, c_new = -0.174894173320437
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8283.522903063824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 893:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.122429290476135, b_new = 0.6512418058163472, c_new = 0.5624139726338716
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5653.547554699988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 894:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.637144705435459, b_new = 0.06712337984484751, c_new = 0.9546833395195546
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6484.68909197895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 895:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.987927081799585, b_new = 1.179968775411311, c_new = 0.10248107434985615
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4355.425056980497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 896:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7574500974553806, b_new = 0.8367661060902247, c_new = 1.116921174302521
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3295.991152711313
Acceptance probability: 5.885276898335481e-101
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 897:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5951393622371652, b_new = 1.6772169234661638, c_new = 0.3298233204637044
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3974.1184050166394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 898:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.460887003704674, b_new = 0.29848689477512746, c_new = 1.209410686740327
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10919.659373969225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 899:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9007919134438858, b_new = 0.7853510348357505, c_new = 1.671540748441131
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3238.786931008586
Acceptance probability: 4.1043532101850264e-76
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 900:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.717173076324835, b_new = 1.3661195166973634, c_new = 0.53636973517439
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3229.131502345913
Acceptance probability: 6.405368454209394e-72
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 901:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.943424769879583, b_new = 0.7135247222793877, c_new = 0.00394240917540406
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13615.730107337678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 902:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8621311121825155, b_new = 0.041739643680755334, c_new = 0.6705707478886576
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3330.9525159390787
Acceptance probability: 3.8569123663616977e-116
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 903:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.508771784749576, b_new = 1.2862601079633236, c_new = -0.1049405231211118
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6308.452452704965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 904:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0891738894783383, b_new = 2.1587744550693024, c_new = 0.7222587133655232
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9400.810748240263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 905:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2574485889099267, b_new = 1.9112699537361786, c_new = -0.5619712902232448
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9240.045066864124
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 906:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.886916932389291, b_new = 0.14477247427461548, c_new = 0.5673401770373366
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3152.1463910727152
Acceptance probability: 1.7408170485085775e-38
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 907:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0866363883272645, b_new = 1.5690583339959896, c_new = 0.6233260690294937
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7487.70057409098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 908:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.149477124679213, b_new = 1.2854727477717534, c_new = -0.4580026469530084
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7652.753849276052
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 909:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.483061423849231, b_new = 0.24662867691127166, c_new = -0.5491441439071324
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9605.923399965928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 910:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.649472856390558, b_new = 1.4645551805330062, c_new = 0.6730361123246495
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3609.772879619691
Acceptance probability: 3.133966735986927e-237
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 911:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7295484214625603, b_new = 0.8866636972308317, c_new = 0.6998078415660769
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3512.3344647322338
Acceptance probability: 6.502199548058063e-195
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 912:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.693347521385315, b_new = 0.8939960537220988, c_new = 0.06256931470619459
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3999.5717781099597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 913:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.223196206426464, b_new = -0.2899407180436422, c_new = -0.026404361854318437
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13180.488066945763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 914:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.58294852983379, b_new = 0.8807668748080718, c_new = 0.09244468226797692
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5799.333488994564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 915:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.910123494936186, b_new = 0.7045879241807772, c_new = 1.0795732007583911
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3186.4777809832744
Acceptance probability: 2.1420023207471514e-53
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 916:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7655286276632927, b_new = 0.19531875261123333, c_new = 0.6899715597473065
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4053.3296344798223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 917:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9390503823402723, b_new = 1.1429939579561392, c_new = 0.8081117238628381
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3819.7078455290743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 918:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.20131669866869, b_new = 1.5060036570038904, c_new = 0.47663233532493815
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9694.606261627685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 919:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.048852631767541, b_new = 0.5766443564190686, c_new = 0.3967505863487117
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4214.739602352594
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 920:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.969504183443316, b_new = 0.9348453360567176, c_new = 0.4199747792594747
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3795.9711071845163
Acceptance probability: 4.27791e-318
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 921:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.758884662772098, b_new = 0.42902797701499246, c_new = 0.3528422850624455
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3855.597657085378
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 922:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.570392762431927, b_new = 0.5740036039975697, c_new = -0.31108768834052203
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7008.352018591631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 923:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.622210086078024, b_new = 0.8630699735999626, c_new = -0.1589666291482772
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5194.535797207557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 924:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3895375984892477, b_new = 0.28362350179353535, c_new = -0.33231745776842414
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10736.936586423579
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 925:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7159142588147387, b_new = 0.8779540813758521, c_new = 1.0020487078386224
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3595.049829141926
Acceptance probability: 7.766654068047923e-231
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 926:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.044917394410499, b_new = 0.5122482284331739, c_new = 0.21105121312769703
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4026.935359975802
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 927:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8763985529458624, b_new = 1.1974433160933744, c_new = 0.30632614718930995
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3284.998639809788
Acceptance probability: 3.4974748186031075e-96
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 928:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3009185771529967, b_new = 0.5871499249197656, c_new = 0.33395964194528743
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9119.35491942563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 929:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8098932813129185, b_new = 0.5400256770378344, c_new = 0.9829018062595745
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3219.336000067281
Acceptance probability: 1.149944032021842e-67
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 930:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6876990196827046, b_new = 1.4525902771255466, c_new = 0.6985001054691282
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13914.300425679117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 931:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2399623475206103, b_new = 0.7596285389370474, c_new = 0.610555320598371
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11186.481982440808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 932:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2842332352570365, b_new = 0.15936423621740015, c_new = -0.15944758270402748
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12045.700438594798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 933:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.954722693142579, b_new = 0.8717828163146412, c_new = -0.09930660578271983
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3508.1386778488986
Acceptance probability: 4.3178483412181243e-193
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 934:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6859159696398374, b_new = 1.066362383252149, c_new = -0.8987400042616168
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4050.008957223501
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 935:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7026580000087765, b_new = 1.1983053505931067, c_new = 0.5019742052246091
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13680.798462753275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 936:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374629000259223, b_new = 0.8817478060620015, c_new = 1.0441517515606358
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10965.612951667958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 937:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.676399182344303, b_new = 0.6057425550670446, c_new = 0.7269698958116755
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12916.225985831099
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 938:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.100220967783362, b_new = 0.8313339006397082, c_new = 0.5838589331201949
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5668.019792786504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 939:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.199522217441083, b_new = 0.562080929990656, c_new = 0.6699881030844017
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7112.619392591175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 940:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230856331945505, b_new = 1.1278904974583719, c_new = 0.7465554518191795
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9363.689895321842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 941:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6582003581166553, b_new = 1.333359500755856, c_new = 0.4769713380077375
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3707.2701211728954
Acceptance probability: 1.4242308056953496e-279
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 942:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6234295774642593, b_new = 1.3309584958964762, c_new = 0.08688163200240812
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13306.312277314646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 943:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8498223230720447, b_new = 2.3844357284018534, c_new = -0.18326395857734623
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4547.247099830907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 944:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.609295961111781, b_new = 1.5840152193599306, c_new = 0.5800726952278201
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13631.073646597115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 945:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1040163514630206, b_new = 1.0621817932966433, c_new = -0.2841837930043031
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6064.439482056796
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 946:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3775623732283617, b_new = 0.33935108031072936, c_new = 1.211040709004024
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10200.02379746495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 947:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5657290394430925, b_new = 1.6862074489504768, c_new = -0.14633997988021752
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13329.742449006475
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 948:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.89373896600388, b_new = 1.2053026405149174, c_new = 1.085594222895574
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3504.8655317422263
Acceptance probability: 1.1396635983588945e-191
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 949:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9685836660670244, b_new = 0.38115709140385956, c_new = 0.2804271238166142
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3233.545953267607
Acceptance probability: 7.7512624278551e-74
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 950:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5116525327190242, b_new = 1.2659749966664144, c_new = 0.009662635971242506
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6261.624278522525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 951:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.486114126532646, b_new = 1.5487326077035375, c_new = 1.421395318676482
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5617.95950360422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 952:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7802169860194477, b_new = 0.6013207999024586, c_new = -0.2625433822806319
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3549.8178123088137
Acceptance probability: 3.4217578935908305e-211
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 953:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3149705055959053, b_new = 1.0583371587915869, c_new = 0.2614876818970263
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10347.118016590255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 954:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3092592705465145, b_new = 0.6148545670317748, c_new = 0.7373567257123075
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10654.879232645095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 955:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.080680387347774, b_new = 1.9981257601985456, c_new = 1.6818143704783775
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9156.388121214168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 956:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3642866821468242, b_new = 1.4242657256810358, c_new = -0.6574218201651613
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11307.179101511436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 957:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.384474630963925, b_new = 0.8218234944744998, c_new = 0.47650683024877394
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10801.967075831704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 958:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0537646404132683, b_new = 1.000889320139548, c_new = -0.18643001761791045
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12624.813485605886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 959:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4920326680355758, b_new = 0.9071388882435126, c_new = -0.5138492599083051
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11710.35447167358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 960:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.738306118254906, b_new = 0.8461729660437582, c_new = -0.47203750475972506
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3686.030684365045
Acceptance probability: 2.3864403285738626e-270
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 961:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6596149737002213, b_new = -0.12390781734802658, c_new = -0.38931820935647576
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11656.856074870719
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 962:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.882091573667238, b_new = 1.071203804978027, c_new = 0.5320326198325087
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14364.595896054263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 963:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1555502876830417, b_new = 0.980366975046292, c_new = 0.4875789951852392
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11656.294690112936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 964:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2854837387164624, b_new = 1.522017826448813, c_new = 0.41104370925777217
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10937.051445954761
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 965:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2655109139153016, b_new = 0.944248191067914, c_new = 0.7761195411829407
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10527.75843637613
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 966:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.394949520047503, b_new = 1.5732789593104095, c_new = 1.4105410559196243
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7217.780118705692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 967:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.400188953568609, b_new = 1.1800013699827638, c_new = 0.03497804223569162
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8510.569263115112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 968:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8725442134239456, b_new = 1.703032464444143, c_new = -0.04282310972708919
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3736.7521481555864
Acceptance probability: 2.2371687348414503e-292
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 969:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.303280162702367, b_new = 0.2996440123324069, c_new = -0.4215638082338127
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11713.437225622514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 970:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6384715462815134, b_new = 1.5747582429588423, c_new = -0.5785954853861144
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3799.1898002105836
Acceptance probability: 1.7115e-319
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 971:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094918437232994, b_new = 1.262490381955844, c_new = 0.6751746717464269
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6776.499666765723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 972:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0739777225733524, b_new = 1.1497131780512735, c_new = 0.5350044537616103
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12053.805704943607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 973:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4995705252353497, b_new = 0.622525166642441, c_new = 0.5308776175884319
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7938.488704021063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 974:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.172604067322096, b_new = 1.4214114198080279, c_new = 0.9554879701365998
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9109.178470747436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 975:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.656908135725189, b_new = 0.7254036238627952, c_new = 0.6122458513783695
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4665.000358305222
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 976:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.78333921050052, b_new = 1.3837605492790286, c_new = 1.3385939809199403
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3101.109639842204
Acceptance probability: 2.5452624176919177e-16
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 977:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6537438640928555, b_new = 1.123094981422304, c_new = 0.21446282969108404
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4104.272213353968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 978:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4318645415481894, b_new = 1.1693207802224477, c_new = 0.41737220585911694
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11824.885457479004
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 979:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.129001146434975, b_new = 0.9744453981304367, c_new = 0.27842202467691546
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11954.680406362286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 980:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.154433709844341, b_new = 1.1438129778621446, c_new = 1.1706202406142348
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7990.952324990744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 981:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5252816721926186, b_new = 0.7319996949926122, c_new = -0.2298390199408028
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7463.214065888385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 982:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5028465653102185, b_new = 2.359128428364193, c_new = 0.2759009419551431
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13856.80723439073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 983:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.430201305387479, b_new = 1.665891340982053, c_new = 0.12993889476293097
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6794.933496858552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 984:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8810210696127405, b_new = 0.8977853833889001, c_new = 1.0706124466565243
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3168.2915449076463
Acceptance probability: 1.6943452569967097e-45
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 985:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.475144583360203, b_new = 1.5422584226583373, c_new = 0.10721559550689275
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12618.064001417426
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 986:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.857082005055857, b_new = 0.6335408897211977, c_new = 0.08964033566917967
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3091.971760053883
Acceptance probability: 2.3673547015877824e-12
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 987:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.243188200089949, b_new = 0.4512553391297417, c_new = -0.053831482859007185
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11900.17441175118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 988:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7155821896296573, b_new = 0.633347125283769, c_new = 0.6959198137925052
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3983.071343948434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 989:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.282398363749543, b_new = 0.4871183819628571, c_new = 0.2133048761497692
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8489.725488209626
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 990:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.140774344543017, b_new = 0.6809028149417491, c_new = -0.15403817119132512
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5878.665260157726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 991:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.351386267996823, b_new = 1.2641987499120861, c_new = -0.08233845400954687
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9112.600188526249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 992:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.657003074089468, b_new = 1.2594812587648023, c_new = 0.7455529347493972
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3764.564216159538
Acceptance probability: 1.8666851684914697e-304
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 993:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8700617305885356, b_new = 1.1612322885528414, c_new = 0.6575023156947946
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3252.7713444097403
Acceptance probability: 3.466499606325991e-82
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 994:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3325927577542505, b_new = 0.008284778486816302, c_new = 0.8229344006027615
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11486.854668421649
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 995:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.158280055264519, b_new = 1.2296966649852943, c_new = 0.4490737031734602
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8040.111387702158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 996:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.095759738531339, b_new = 0.7121039950407044, c_new = 0.9657544614274384
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5405.848525571344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 997:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7872163035450486, b_new = 0.9264625312976066, c_new = 0.2813092079258053
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3170.0386416266297
Acceptance probability: 2.9528912087543755e-46
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 998:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.961508249158826, b_new = 1.3136202544843945, c_new = 0.2237439668720593
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4250.054211544766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 999:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4065695203186457, b_new = 0.39724692700259284, c_new = 0.1450603946688081
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10098.56842954905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1000:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8078099424800165, b_new = 1.2905408063352162, c_new = 0.07302868131020057
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3083.3406405204173
Acceptance probability: 1.3265111943848552e-08
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1001:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.847232976807132, b_new = 0.5772342947302056, c_new = -0.534605722787401
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3193.2192421821564
Acceptance probability: 2.529534099974062e-56
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1002:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.94748693671722, b_new = 0.7021618000348986, c_new = -0.000499975624750848
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3313.921052013541
Acceptance probability: 9.614142897806505e-109
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1003:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0307864478277087, b_new = 0.6680439650410509, c_new = -0.4002203941006741
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13280.603291404417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1004:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1041035007096784, b_new = 1.135617575613063, c_new = 1.2672274911264059
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6845.7653316088745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1005:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.735693267999591, b_new = 0.5811203505938193, c_new = 0.9075029180030691
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3782.2533378483486
Acceptance probability: 3.8795659385e-312
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1006:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.631736661897427, b_new = 1.0674143432840402, c_new = 0.42081200012690295
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13123.097863304902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1007:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8080183341029223, b_new = 1.0158018390050256, c_new = -0.26903561179575886
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3111.3148266303233
Acceptance probability: 9.411877284793402e-21
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1008:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.410281276140915, b_new = 0.9649664646110412, c_new = -0.02097870341595509
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11179.594345183414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1009:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.638311468113171, b_new = 1.3194830242332993, c_new = 0.6050568909395967
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13498.115681204401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1010:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.723308930407344, b_new = 1.1993850745702224, c_new = 0.9918000118202026
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3257.7503575944797
Acceptance probability: 2.3852461512447787e-84
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1011:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.774921536038534, b_new = 1.5898284893785615, c_new = 0.6725253150093862
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3120.908652785025
Acceptance probability: 6.414022760882121e-25
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1012:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8279465294953456, b_new = 1.587188610798293, c_new = 0.7388880240686231
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3351.6514903052384
Acceptance probability: 3.951749645550214e-125
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1013:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2187647387624763, b_new = 1.2165987550939712, c_new = 0.6197210383304089
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9322.989145347521
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1014:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2821651102315124, b_new = 0.7064599806717158, c_new = 0.8729292218442317
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10744.454003758408
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1015:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.872983860912446, b_new = 1.160098610215501, c_new = 0.8363542158696268
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3284.717112192756
Acceptance probability: 4.6346878234182385e-96
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1016:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.76117866230262, b_new = 0.9332404046112506, c_new = 0.11743881776275361
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3317.8712561525354
Acceptance probability: 1.850796684891973e-110
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1017:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4198081602648096, b_new = 0.6104004271366148, c_new = 0.6630681748784836
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9259.310370891613
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1018:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0898871112316835, b_new = 1.0344901385107705, c_new = 0.4540875641092207
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5939.662679375899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1019:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374836556722646, b_new = 0.02898763257854453, c_new = 1.4331294213788364
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9398.99318323075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1020:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1213794570960847, b_new = 0.45612359125396473, c_new = 0.12632829420770997
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5055.143882380954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1021:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.796284076320441, b_new = 1.112681474061713, c_new = 0.6578259226293942
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14066.289285522756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1022:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.787822394230168, b_new = 0.8083159009047651, c_new = -0.05453063110819467
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13583.008879040917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1023:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.144970261537335, b_new = 1.278471373786344, c_new = -0.14244193000857452
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7651.775468907899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1024:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3434828271612185, b_new = 1.1692890752437683, c_new = 0.41409570615884495
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10950.516852165387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1025:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.87318539161181, b_new = 0.7831707355731764, c_new = 0.6096152032556285
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3081.5003122960184
Acceptance probability: 8.35517040990302e-08
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1026:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2692073517960685, b_new = 0.7894849692607697, c_new = 0.7549197648458138
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9203.179487144364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1027:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.187981695774974, b_new = 0.5905812716383245, c_new = 0.5446295356773775
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6892.815653105389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1028:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7308370781758557, b_new = 0.5342240246036901, c_new = 0.6828549295079787
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3952.202330886499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1029:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8876602791893475, b_new = 1.044263801525912, c_new = 0.32371399300964687
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3239.0913463330835
Acceptance probability: 3.02718409105314e-76
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1030:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.425313519427705, b_new = 0.7133293772740871, c_new = 0.6065935630545817
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11084.504998186268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1031:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7379663291489478, b_new = 0.4249600687706297, c_new = 0.9973569380936189
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13134.237651395846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1032:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.009061206327521, b_new = 0.4480792272147768, c_new = -0.35886890824717965
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14151.302537351763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1033:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.128287285216175, b_new = 0.306213689653017, c_new = -0.7136248364879813
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4673.675621839029
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1034:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.234893121542945, b_new = 1.668904860246278, c_new = 0.809055977693756
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10717.891847080318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1035:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4306775483761633, b_new = 1.1696871586450686, c_new = 0.04863301884970361
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11716.336718721883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1036:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.917031946567125, b_new = 0.7520821115882685, c_new = 0.5354624991520581
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3214.1924340542814
Acceptance probability: 1.9701488541848235e-65
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1037:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5105459584060594, b_new = 2.117782398302846, c_new = -0.0679811773602843
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13536.488097588233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1038:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.192888691930774, b_new = 0.10254208861034686, c_new = -0.055059711598962946
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12847.00652840598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1039:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6088404465987503, b_new = 0.6842270034951483, c_new = -0.00972156036402344
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5820.23349348687
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1040:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.421095760622913, b_new = 0.5192785740579049, c_new = 1.1650993674480694
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10866.187582424065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1041:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.307785149771981, b_new = 0.7273274979559575, c_new = 0.4908876234019977
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9609.11256714907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1042:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3293058845687145, b_new = 0.9972816122071316, c_new = 0.572356452356908
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10507.971865278441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1043:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8136071909243348, b_new = 0.24891450765318535, c_new = 0.6116733839436469
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3496.8726574069447
Acceptance probability: 3.3731674058747314e-188
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1044:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.423938716402944, b_new = 0.761964111970653, c_new = 0.280540773977344
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9000.570294728635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1045:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5882780616144956, b_new = 0.49796607484372074, c_new = 0.7311183459009241
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6429.681919905823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1046:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0535456765446103, b_new = 1.2388725983976527, c_new = 0.48980193994103505
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5736.393320490603
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1047:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.913963080072289, b_new = 0.7565821537317259, c_new = -0.5352806069234187
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13876.887637704811
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1048:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.099603897647037, b_new = 0.5700422623046852, c_new = 1.0572566184899594
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5171.4683751328275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1049:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.682299635002644, b_new = 1.4506709558572264, c_new = 0.03544300254617044
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3438.3266832495874
Acceptance probability: 8.999769973465395e-163
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1050:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.633467716248495, b_new = 1.2204779614649526, c_new = 0.012502600536059949
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4261.374984857326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1051:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9659212226959495, b_new = 0.8030756323195796, c_new = 0.4443714679262193
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3597.4982932483817
Acceptance probability: 6.71242600493306e-232
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1052:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.191100843806187, b_new = 0.890478379124721, c_new = 0.7397369699222602
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7893.031274225663
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1053:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9421941307197965, b_new = 0.5488512112498336, c_new = 0.4231417610766632
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13692.266474572833
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1054:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4529457917373634, b_new = 1.224892099755389, c_new = 1.1872455694015094
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7066.786522318685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1055:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3597819661060164, b_new = 0.9572635387345345, c_new = 1.0755977031999722
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10946.696414743888
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1056:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.742402851695156, b_new = 1.1631075520923195, c_new = 0.9625057148122481
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3186.493116680661
Acceptance probability: 2.1094038206053136e-53
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1057:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.630148127040878, b_new = 0.9997037222406034, c_new = -0.5901005144471428
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4898.050194117353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1058:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9228540573765502, b_new = 1.2305624086542497, c_new = 0.40498155121455015
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3699.5563463907015
Acceptance probability: 3.1888214136369643e-276
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1059:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.426080183710575, b_new = 0.11344537988702708, c_new = -0.8951732863738616
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10850.749252825626
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1060:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7813629083822664, b_new = 0.631742947904995, c_new = 0.31622273657342725
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3412.183987293746
Acceptance probability: 2.0317019857783848e-151
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1061:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3628972092805856, b_new = 1.2008492740052117, c_new = 0.33186433211830774
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11191.918674942102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1062:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.426444581647375, b_new = 0.06647349612703912, c_new = -0.008194145122953467
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9779.456333519123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1063:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1329241578620826, b_new = 0.9220142082342815, c_new = 0.8756879066595022
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6726.680598725326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1064:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8624518080589154, b_new = -0.04280703480790593, c_new = 0.07424240783109465
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3510.991794862337
Acceptance probability: 2.4898570235615304e-194
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1065:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6709156029125767, b_new = 0.903096649901918, c_new = 0.565532909183041
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4153.4093532249835
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1066:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1975814903928343, b_new = 1.017309452630344, c_new = 0.7961741658062695
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11110.331873838682
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1067:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8757806311250733, b_new = 0.7202749076771335, c_new = 1.075158402394075
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13663.701946332822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1068:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.287651060619103, b_new = 0.8595239633308009, c_new = 0.22870176991855232
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9503.579375739655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1069:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.036512466060954, b_new = 1.1710292552985124, c_new = -0.15316128319171995
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5052.821301098282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1070:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7003047991414175, b_new = 0.7068757842810907, c_new = -0.22019523922117523
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4286.255165904879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1071:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8304269814689307, b_new = 0.5788662824548461, c_new = 0.1923129879767856
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3182.573168150629
Acceptance probability: 1.0630941889184052e-51
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1072:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.533598464775028, b_new = 0.6998394724101614, c_new = 0.979291935009123
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12122.403945646807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1073:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6903129028616837, b_new = 1.4015921828399593, c_new = -0.2124727952872112
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13676.205868234625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1074:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6556323690926447, b_new = 0.25207511682561834, c_new = 1.2363229902703319
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5533.5287629331415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1075:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.506148744676463, b_new = 1.3497353362679982, c_new = 1.199636495588571
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5767.013543200426
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1076:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2875493702364396, b_new = 0.574211691610629, c_new = -0.7783345311797677
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8478.08119925278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1077:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9959436282189837, b_new = 0.9991027696895318, c_new = 0.6262943008508184
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12772.432661146813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1078:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5472609120487664, b_new = -0.03489392526100643, c_new = 0.7113272951205728
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8676.615965694724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1079:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.564353734567919, b_new = 1.1071426389534686, c_new = 0.1513126058973541
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5588.043145129754
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1080:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7980566119157677, b_new = 0.15048661070342906, c_new = 0.27770985309641816
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13012.851253475468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1081:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.609005563394444, b_new = 1.1918188558645562, c_new = -0.2391216713353973
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4743.700247225435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1082:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.223182968407631, b_new = 0.6926195158777668, c_new = 0.23305887550230417
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7837.754333863435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1083:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7934111213534467, b_new = 1.874327604084271, c_new = -1.128804026041427
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3214.809755363452
Acceptance probability: 1.0626733816411195e-65
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1084:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.772902298875422, b_new = 0.8294605473119167, c_new = 0.7801745685519978
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3247.1576714208995
Acceptance probability: 9.503385738957176e-80
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1085:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.651268265889537, b_new = 0.46928307667725044, c_new = 0.9642139347815509
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5196.391813677223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1086:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6677235035481375, b_new = 1.1074842327601297, c_new = -0.4627359596038807
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13181.84819743469
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1087:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2033560027211605, b_new = 1.6547009378811264, c_new = 0.7259212373942847
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10185.939531009073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1088:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2389478540433942, b_new = 1.1612681167144592, c_new = 0.5427565572712929
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10508.008345487724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1089:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.825091476273126, b_new = 0.6463081123254306, c_new = 0.3070739808741597
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3157.7243030272793
Acceptance probability: 6.581073615913736e-41
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1090:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7215428279024443, b_new = 0.8908374867407056, c_new = 1.1307757403547507
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3510.894484067958
Acceptance probability: 2.7443275793027247e-194
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1091:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4516785155314085, b_new = 0.8869245645547214, c_new = 0.32649741279065736
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11542.459779141962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1092:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9216334963343686, b_new = -0.35938059528912847, c_new = 0.5797827274421239
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3316.6335803869783
Acceptance probability: 6.380790244307061e-110
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1093:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4656455032204234, b_new = 1.2534626080931408, c_new = 0.7147185366399165
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6925.559307517468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1094:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.48752997376177, b_new = 1.2141799345588529, c_new = 0.9817817191025415
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12487.748850003427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1095:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5170232005229827, b_new = 1.6522594383206106, c_new = 0.26828364542273003
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5183.744842249542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1096:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3222293614085303, b_new = 1.5826046879075428, c_new = 0.33402876893290234
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11431.563327606045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1097:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8821134192657687, b_new = 0.7552257233485784, c_new = 0.5074256709456095
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3090.8940896807535
Acceptance probability: 6.954879817688017e-12
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1098:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7521233889438865, b_new = 1.0709410894766582, c_new = 0.7734132355398231
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3205.7068170649836
Acceptance probability: 9.544554769858726e-62
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1099:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7330722252478945, b_new = 0.2902045243016277, c_new = -0.25960834006847533
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4599.453620552535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1100:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3033635342487653, b_new = 0.5161146689906513, c_new = -0.07820594461222641
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11195.821258666518
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1101:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.01009509032652, b_new = 1.00684921443415, c_new = 0.4682160833748156
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4443.397375089973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1102:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.691754286265086, b_new = 0.7314590358637563, c_new = 0.2920246148909853
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4227.943368610615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1103:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.887748187011911, b_new = 0.810176239735547, c_new = 0.6457009092715809
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3128.924518747809
Acceptance probability: 2.117796086465259e-28
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1104:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.473333996438807, b_new = 0.4051194748184111, c_new = 0.2263303651342829
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9064.90238823978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1105:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2267640994245537, b_new = 0.3255999810010862, c_new = 0.09698614597300326
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12196.3849501659
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1106:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.569410837229642, b_new = 0.7911026410373311, c_new = -0.04581040510715434
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6344.6015833217925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1107:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.814728391152039, b_new = 0.6053159976452385, c_new = -0.024805102604111895
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3266.616110877627
Acceptance probability: 3.3665531470509426e-88
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1108:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6732230096227156, b_new = 1.0226574567913418, c_new = -0.09808214318285752
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4087.035522633793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1109:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.076580764696996, b_new = -0.10726712662030247, c_new = 0.7556313108304253
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14141.736189000523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1110:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.068493242111968, b_new = 1.3860385577909429, c_new = 1.0751074205383748
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6690.785977467425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1111:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6285599203026835, b_new = 0.006916259590977969, c_new = 1.171160299015975
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6739.81938619684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1112:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7221240547115837, b_new = 1.2664812408727464, c_new = 0.659440524906626
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3252.0430575964856
Acceptance probability: 7.180953251566973e-82
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1113:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.260880537831116, b_new = 0.9859681910632245, c_new = -0.40954940844743515
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9136.377920255662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1114:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3419974119517564, b_new = 1.8559897523774151, c_new = 1.4775954476970385
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7461.757997719016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1115:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.791273387349512, b_new = 0.8614854447095183, c_new = 1.3428692676496246
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3108.842643181734
Acceptance probability: 1.1151463982998399e-19
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1116:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4568308798381295, b_new = 1.0140881557766759, c_new = 0.048331719046252664
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7928.193519782188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1117:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0428142740571156, b_new = 0.45310561055508713, c_new = -0.4145236946537564
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3825.2336120577115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1118:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.680385003980785, b_new = 0.42544260820816376, c_new = 1.1398923567500683
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4739.137977153829
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1119:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7619209604101504, b_new = 0.5910534138123038, c_new = 0.47137622863749107
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3590.6457031450077
Acceptance probability: 6.352162211492139e-229
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1120:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.430844401483884, b_new = 1.3231715097328784, c_new = 0.705117483288817
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7403.550473355799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1121:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9151089114042508, b_new = 1.730568521215511, c_new = 0.15427967391422762
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4335.434040074912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1122:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094837269181241, b_new = -0.07009560324791131, c_new = 1.0247841364818167
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3909.1082533657504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1123:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.829754054229661, b_new = 1.3367995486018736, c_new = 0.033093465020104296
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3140.6604549618214
Acceptance probability: 1.6944618826187463e-33
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1124:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1734513721830915, b_new = 1.1553750506042517, c_new = 0.7726137946596552
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8287.795069623297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1125:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9811443859643703, b_new = -0.055889363471398945, c_new = 0.3792488162469746
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3115.930627696985
Acceptance probability: 9.312350705394449e-23
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1126:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.175866382939592, b_new = 0.6657075268126674, c_new = -0.6969671947465471
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14837.801442375488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1127:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.761227858900328, b_new = 1.3426589074234694, c_new = 0.8634880403224068
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3086.0991674052552
Acceptance probability: 8.408100906478885e-10
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1128:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9560258953983642, b_new = -0.21472355718747793, c_new = 0.7054915918918063
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3103.1952144163242
Acceptance probability: 3.1621250148320364e-17
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1129:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.257632836192412, b_new = 1.5942300336484845, c_new = 0.21912870180295435
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10668.666183775127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1130:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.209683440055462, b_new = 0.3762617431837142, c_new = 0.8981228905639297
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11998.188945045837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1131:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.880266234985072, b_new = 1.9309954464447137, c_new = -0.1549073641258788
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14951.069882784159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1132:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3229350598301295, b_new = 1.2239525135894433, c_new = -0.7651954838672971
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9831.569892259397
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1133:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3992843334462024, b_new = 1.3997929966784757, c_new = 0.13623589861599317
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11816.169016882845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1134:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8234973882952015, b_new = 2.3043122334933313, c_new = 0.7858031397028662
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4278.81171975585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1135:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.717444339158466, b_new = 1.6954761348473286, c_new = 0.6423966307294193
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3114.0958313662104
Acceptance probability: 5.833124488927476e-22
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1136:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0301619373967292, b_new = 0.9619693831290945, c_new = 1.0961497783632472
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4831.510273509695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1137:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.159679541647669, b_new = 0.2081413068729242, c_new = 1.782595555623867
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12365.040376364635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1138:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3470078041217466, b_new = 0.09977919253373524, c_new = 0.49571521870876256
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11283.730505687941
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1139:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.490884825682503, b_new = 1.2939708357873239, c_new = 0.2682769015173322
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6502.297770906876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1140:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8442120970953413, b_new = 0.4705406397707182, c_new = -0.4288043530105865
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3258.2192224577648
Acceptance probability: 1.4924774597100812e-84
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1141:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.912351608919904, b_new = 1.692031627807804, c_new = 1.2797946451021271
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4510.25962956846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1142:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9423443413095083, b_new = 1.0029597913250974, c_new = 0.30337565541541245
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13191.568405228918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1143:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9422375064912525, b_new = 0.7729983379129792, c_new = 0.32612077873202366
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13460.817314910231
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1144:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4135435587225986, b_new = 1.4778740098591423, c_new = 0.7123632814653729
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7344.164021830474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1145:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.648056724932044, b_new = 0.4813106153136999, c_new = -0.04485277375147895
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5576.462547207389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1146:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5667890295038083, b_new = 1.7491204825571938, c_new = 0.08032484282749436
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4276.268475141173
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1147:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3066017369234415, b_new = 0.42594130682434655, c_new = 0.6465210081846198
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11068.202996977405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1148:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5507178171694176, b_new = 0.9194747993718613, c_new = 0.35198642543030595
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6239.415015859334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1149:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.237950947707934, b_new = 0.4327041537262491, c_new = 0.8309665092686476
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7647.579157218122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1150:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.850896928445913, b_new = 0.757848741074217, c_new = -0.1608821097757035
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3089.960890287356
Acceptance probability: 1.7683693409353073e-11
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1151:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2222114692369113, b_new = 1.489792115175025, c_new = 0.6942129231609844
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10085.389060715694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1152:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1587409464355596, b_new = 0.9904537349897048, c_new = 1.1415344232387044
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7619.496925787912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1153:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.670306919460364, b_new = 1.0453869542243395, c_new = 0.05222613927725983
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4053.2964688109055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1154:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9724633067847623, b_new = 0.2918511174992101, c_new = 0.35674011500693925
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3205.559763722007
Acceptance probability: 1.105656261725099e-61
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1155:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.76095061103043, b_new = 0.5736275200616535, c_new = 0.7153037012606882
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3576.237459149007
Acceptance probability: 1.1490592978216618e-222
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1156:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.966961701741415, b_new = 1.3794568944754548, c_new = 0.26674265243142703
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14881.024224027835
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1157:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8265634325768745, b_new = 0.7447819339661228, c_new = 0.5491906529987958
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3096.2387298676194
Acceptance probability: 3.320029088083359e-14
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1158:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.352638962054141, b_new = 0.823458271411571, c_new = 0.3186728410473472
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9864.954328456355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1159:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5056075029061606, b_new = 2.048165242295547, c_new = 1.2163950194805757
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13748.04142578871
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1160:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9070532112554286, b_new = 0.7030568770081274, c_new = 0.3781267883657823
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3139.5436389799543
Acceptance probability: 5.176769426696507e-33
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1161:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6149528819014414, b_new = 1.0974086821876314, c_new = 1.1890860265545697
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4451.113849445926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1162:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2438057382329784, b_new = 0.7164222498440779, c_new = 0.3348960367178869
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8373.42118801862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1163:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.393702037354035, b_new = 0.4583766820280511, c_new = 0.015527749843459504
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10113.880231040379
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1164:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.020810668221797, b_new = 0.43930993803861984, c_new = 0.7851937926569829
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3741.0373664430654
Acceptance probability: 3.0807189875141203e-294
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1165:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0188797736541266, b_new = 0.3972493926407991, c_new = 0.5581662673260053
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13406.216421376714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1166:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.546384482791217, b_new = 0.10488909231892474, c_new = 0.2716818081082951
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8512.255346957272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1167:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5059649685355283, b_new = 1.1771081030865742, c_new = 0.6211967496141136
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6374.460079079566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1168:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.440970486502494, b_new = 1.1556868424622735, c_new = 0.38549784663140996
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11874.513341850015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1169:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4747674286326444, b_new = 0.6731134583804096, c_new = 0.8557519707500754
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8137.0235514087035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1170:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4803470300832435, b_new = 0.9850890291906151, c_new = 0.9171254732058362
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12091.615678099313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1171:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1917520887048485, b_new = 0.39484030243658536, c_new = 0.5485024547764944
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12230.319823421749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1172:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.723744826015851, b_new = 0.597920202858504, c_new = 0.8460541458943147
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3905.6379079741505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1173:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.764873599575908, b_new = 0.651851441344194, c_new = 1.3490851236074741
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3368.698014254258
Acceptance probability: 1.5616299741738604e-132
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1174:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9093216551176893, b_new = 0.36683443315296294, c_new = -0.04008083217804409
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3090.6448746773367
Acceptance probability: 8.923234996880463e-12
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1175:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.470733217308499, b_new = 0.6444974432352932, c_new = 0.03284623926527219
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8601.749087231987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1176:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3074696103472543, b_new = 0.7075764046395843, c_new = 0.6710757472710486
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10523.641824763923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1177:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1164186591995793, b_new = -0.09152913743689928, c_new = 0.13184609685150206
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13563.304942078197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1178:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8328026664436807, b_new = 0.3636674402184631, c_new = 0.8860538986131069
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3227.423822981337
Acceptance probability: 3.533294533498021e-71
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1179:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6590275841891797, b_new = 0.7401241925794183, c_new = 0.1712651927773034
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4730.095185059987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1180:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5103045724738453, b_new = 1.550571115197144, c_new = 0.17821631508695981
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5553.854218873371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1181:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.051135447061497, b_new = 1.7976156569382233, c_new = 0.35387183069146466
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7240.230350004907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1182:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5263665962200514, b_new = 0.7492146910060249, c_new = 0.04438052043178581
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11901.833927688214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1183:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305532058278809, b_new = -0.06073770536851719, c_new = -0.5003751330599032
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7294.911912788154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1184:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.475866671888136, b_new = -0.17826288817073754, c_new = 0.6623627492114705
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10116.734053114656
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1185:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7591604759321178, b_new = 0.07718195646471204, c_new = 1.075806716246099
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12876.12933131154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1186:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6547795863256978, b_new = 1.2386427149636496, c_new = 0.4321272831929166
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3874.5465677175807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1187:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.114736891881051, b_new = 1.3031541965553752, c_new = 0.1731446342220516
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7157.84428449554
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1188:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.472472189527655, b_new = 1.0813839813400972, c_new = 0.24585761821609384
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -15945.761760457335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1189:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.394008219557106, b_new = 0.666777692183867, c_new = -0.1399034762275423
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10459.928670916805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1190:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6563160584340757, b_new = 0.1902459971448428, c_new = 0.20606561532582074
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6059.12895791283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1191:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.683834792439487, b_new = 1.1636149773984024, c_new = 0.685620742249716
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3622.1742540237788
Acceptance probability: 1.2889792045850331e-242
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1192:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.477189510693826, b_new = 0.4494870004232174, c_new = -0.16096172402586784
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10969.01452267129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1193:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.561608129554648, b_new = -0.1283037329528547, c_new = 0.32757319286677955
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8821.471547466768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1194:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4174070718104317, b_new = 0.6406469435562404, c_new = 0.5236581966884992
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9280.13534648078
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1195:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2638229393815674, b_new = 1.3507197700541036, c_new = 0.8108607600709564
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10437.82918020027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1196:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4205785072829897, b_new = 0.18461336479485935, c_new = 0.6264531331020944
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10175.958506578181
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1197:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5714785597367738, b_new = 1.7813715625564988, c_new = 0.4682744103789906
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4084.440250510612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1198:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3935445948203977, b_new = 0.13993856783219438, c_new = 0.26398908168672125
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10750.11032440968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1199:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.584691153193342, b_new = 0.5725004651848783, c_new = -0.5844885005255904
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11963.424485986845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1200:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0740206677123663, b_new = 1.5619669616931096, c_new = -0.5552288831412582
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6705.124272788244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1201:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.737702133582988, b_new = 1.4588755445952417, c_new = 0.762472558722799
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3110.2901296351793
Acceptance probability: 2.6223853297006518e-20
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1202:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.162453197292783, b_new = 1.169506743794865, c_new = 0.29836259537806953
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11354.640947507853
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1203:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3074847033957595, b_new = 1.1763136828354146, c_new = 0.4509947645205027
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10546.307711490366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1204:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1308399342724016, b_new = 1.0549460230184553, c_new = -0.10626840076217314
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6698.047715351387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1205:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5611873009328847, b_new = 0.9355662075979297, c_new = 0.5494000840108637
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5923.898768979222
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1206:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4656636702114256, b_new = 0.2906432879424562, c_new = -0.032395228351383976
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10626.175009117771
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1207:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.420976989252662, b_new = 0.3470916383250159, c_new = 1.2075424755247157
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9611.097157166547
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1208:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.668946481639599, b_new = 0.7266824559157963, c_new = 0.00047435247749233467
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4650.310816898627
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1209:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8933948555730566, b_new = 1.4565450608480737, c_new = 0.1965227844413706
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14675.992360295493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1210:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5537453841756586, b_new = 0.9127144743056816, c_new = 0.8083016326237222
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12514.899142138844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1211:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.924591578755445, b_new = 0.6693939004044294, c_new = 0.5611027144776206
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13609.623744684804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1212:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6490829132486304, b_new = 1.6023953628467162, c_new = 0.20427362364794538
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13771.232042513535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1213:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.076798933211007, b_new = 0.23130357167152793, c_new = -0.1815033798896203
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3940.661724287818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1214:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.814062462400188, b_new = 1.6604254388787685, c_new = -0.07149917990948185
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3248.915974085554
Acceptance probability: 1.6377862199027787e-80
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1215:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.042211699413625, b_new = 0.8631829862241661, c_new = 0.4454982049778067
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4654.289210580055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1216:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.979539274165413, b_new = 0.40623698634096805, c_new = 0.8290961634778815
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3353.1275187503547
Acceptance probability: 9.031469386592738e-126
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1217:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4711976483957487, b_new = 2.0058107045268256, c_new = 0.3262197582517472
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13254.498521664365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1218:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.24678556705171, b_new = 0.1021317583414516, c_new = 0.9571503712857194
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6968.957800000018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1219:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0584887094542794, b_new = 0.47592697117114036, c_new = 0.7311918847977052
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4242.921369172573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1220:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2568083333749085, b_new = 1.0385070333604884, c_new = -0.07033570875954775
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10741.892061482404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1221:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0411976201377344, b_new = 0.249081881638889, c_new = 1.0073831440135705
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13324.831470108067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1222:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.559207777354176, b_new = 1.3256470077020346, c_new = 0.8619556431518258
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4976.318296102161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1223:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6011620429942512, b_new = 1.0571807136513762, c_new = 1.2129264070685142
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4731.138071868187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1224:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.251384470496081, b_new = 0.4660482056343646, c_new = -0.2959207086279443
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11883.805315743439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1225:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.777296111767643, b_new = 0.8407291815978915, c_new = 0.5796299593576486
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13696.062533347473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1226:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1868454586906925, b_new = 1.2287976684431965, c_new = 1.3980223647867454
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9037.7846084208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1227:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2967539696093224, b_new = 0.8368205652631063, c_new = 0.40701481871398276
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10496.071753190452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1228:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.503034655006294, b_new = 1.0343896817750937, c_new = -0.013918317884608344
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7025.652839547411
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1229:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9346366079808393, b_new = 1.2403051441497694, c_new = -1.351443985380119
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3587.45110546341
Acceptance probability: 1.5499501301273142e-227
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1230:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8871088790100718, b_new = 1.5518285240096972, c_new = 0.7808624041941077
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12725.553783972246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1231:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.148323738017585, b_new = 0.9079553881610924, c_new = -0.03105525683561039
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11994.48627433347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1232:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1015344163729948, b_new = 0.519217977881933, c_new = -0.23096652415901786
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -4763.168112870237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1233:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1891733893464793, b_new = 0.342283846093109, c_new = 0.6543993365945984
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6273.497368083783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1234:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5212683972639605, b_new = 0.062437862800857835, c_new = 0.3312288957153937
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9053.421055608334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1235:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8466666083163235, b_new = 0.8703799643883304, c_new = 0.11252253485531583
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13945.954135056229
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1236:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7017119147834268, b_new = 0.8783239839105539, c_new = 1.5014834089539884
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3648.6538332716923
Acceptance probability: 4.0767188394795246e-254
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1237:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.268123403537316, b_new = 0.7174121926175445, c_new = -0.6962260369850845
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8497.884673251343
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1238:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0201360902032515, b_new = 1.1080085390762984, c_new = 1.4328869619883609
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5079.572248523298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1239:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.142171673738967, b_new = 1.0747787929371884, c_new = 0.061039566863835826
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11760.893022599876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1240:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.257781569588558, b_new = 0.4510346918825522, c_new = 0.7731917577531704
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8097.8340078445335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1241:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3194054548356875, b_new = 1.310419557685772, c_new = -0.10589741882559722
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10779.916973290301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1242:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.978431922197142, b_new = 0.04938507869026687, c_new = 0.8803184633389557
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3135.0330936104515
Acceptance probability: 4.7093805551580715e-31
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1243:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.83274413998916, b_new = 1.2969655126618111, c_new = 0.1318480672438157
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3137.2798260773684
Acceptance probability: 4.97989600607752e-32
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1244:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1226611886563767, b_new = 0.29465608335108606, c_new = 0.3485018597708853
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12943.952969737818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1245:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.610111289191086, b_new = 0.5975263829696849, c_new = 0.6755177167273547
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5762.626907122607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1246:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3913732130054948, b_new = 1.3495062474982706, c_new = 1.3687841552375795
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7796.60269796146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1247:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3134437366076477, b_new = 1.058687363912229, c_new = 0.2299109639854936
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10317.571270019671
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1248:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1366117414086365, b_new = 0.7702578697573745, c_new = 0.7414433589204366
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6328.541146842329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1249:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2355352002392457, b_new = 0.5827965197111791, c_new = 0.7308416370568349
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11489.035338656235
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1250:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.48796474198482, b_new = 0.6412071558010015, c_new = 0.9328002758164425
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11649.527539370965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1251:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9637689071981175, b_new = 0.9622487098277442, c_new = 0.6996664004110955
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3818.143247392239
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1252:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1340670409327496, b_new = 0.9013256671012929, c_new = 1.0566453706898657
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -11782.599031366699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1253:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.168597445768211, b_new = 1.808658307556859, c_new = 0.6067232162732811
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9935.901279729384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1254:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.558518870030116, b_new = 1.6436601042210213, c_new = 0.20833249211974111
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -13320.847812186137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1255:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6406610180295513, b_new = 0.5897032273399616, c_new = 0.4630580292988585
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12609.35743803332
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1256:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4795386897911738, b_new = 0.26497094925473996, c_new = 0.9843096306951212
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -10992.239857441227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1257:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.420332018842655, b_new = 1.285985915461991, c_new = -0.09849065461843637
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7969.954956854537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1258:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5168911806527503, b_new = 1.3202157533128989, c_new = 0.9806980929084105
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -12838.385650150936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1259:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5654469832821802, b_new = 1.0087427710720904, c_new = 0.8568157182567375
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5564.052489259337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1260:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5304069769622184, b_new = 0.3386946265880285, c_new = 0.8868308184675029
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -7946.077217506846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1261:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.816799534839239, b_new = 1.1857134331356758, c_new = -0.15538689605382416
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -14058.500573979025
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1262:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.372692620324272, b_new = 0.7905385643964394, c_new = -0.14613435996967183
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -9837.423852779035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1263:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1585202188718853, b_new = 1.435680547420133, c_new = 0.4073035876621176
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -8632.061681036294
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1264:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4679591362003337, b_new = 1.2456883066783098, c_new = 0.4839962108796098
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6983.550178732962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1265:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5307648015702777, b_new = 1.0189045029584443, c_new = 0.5071574991080432
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -6325.422435372497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1266:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.710829542955366, b_new = 0.9674039262973895, c_new = -0.052156708976850874
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3725.203543900609
Acceptance probability: 2.3184292263090796e-287
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1267:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.082564557146257, b_new = 1.0479907005198634, c_new = 0.5411198725248874
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -5851.835880441763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1268:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.842692759065472, b_new = 0.869743584780017, c_new = 1.0650488296350105
Current likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Proposed likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Acceptance probability: 100.16206201244783
Max likelihood: -3065.2025121100637
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8414203555182285, b = 0.8878212087960093, c = 0.39075236338798713
Iteration 1269:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.193923663056294, b_new = 0.4041357658554862, c_new = 1.6193965741351366
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -11860.655355829393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1270:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.040607270791666, b_new = 1.3744139872114123, c_new = 1.7531939407962072
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -6292.292687350457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1271:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3111517824191665, b_new = 0.7704890743832784, c_new = 0.24751911022156892
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -10509.582751301612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1272:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.723016886237216, b_new = 1.0083716666511304, c_new = 0.542744687841096
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -3466.6793955019357
Acceptance probability: 4.366180387729846e-177
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1273:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.504384431828807, b_new = 0.5259360082552482, c_new = 1.7650985094448215
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -11840.840933252906
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1274:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0104898619594307, b_new = 1.2364452693192864, c_new = 1.620044137510047
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -12090.330214098904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1275:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6591443871012963, b_new = 0.5294864149943133, c_new = 0.12006719566998325
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -5198.079517410841
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1276:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5465546743177048, b_new = 0.831151504328766, c_new = 0.7476515468756374
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -6400.4360929984205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1277:
Current coefficients: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8636294595023233, b_new = 0.37921235009346144, c_new = 1.6148213321003895
Current likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Proposed likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Acceptance probability: 11.848104094714735
Max likelihood: -3060.595722615739
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.842692759065472, b = 0.869743584780017, c = 1.0650488296350105
Iteration 1278:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6202930458683302, b_new = 0.9569731138982254, c_new = 0.8827442372723437
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -4712.505415866844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1279:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.520524424742641, b_new = 0.0020975352942982917, c_new = 1.5930617653360313
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -8701.419676354159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1280:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7826671790083393, b_new = 0.04057035374321294, c_new = 1.8369027386987329
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3823.3079226035015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1281:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7130870260947364, b_new = 0.9429257007317754, c_new = 1.9956021734046552
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -13802.954366035843
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1282:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1797744924534475, b_new = -0.26071107546918715, c_new = 1.905804158372217
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -4993.106656594982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1283:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.188894393918763, b_new = 0.4936531216148061, c_new = 2.2382730161364988
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -7275.090339766279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1284:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8134012334339276, b_new = 0.273101280021098, c_new = 1.860910881474809
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -14201.637047479051
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1285:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4752592775605393, b_new = -0.247352763967441, c_new = 1.6367805337502384
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -10250.921331519783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1286:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.102992489644395, b_new = 1.18350533861752, c_new = 2.1862403575168665
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -11295.595688814241
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1287:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7546541077013553, b_new = -0.03367846207072278, c_new = 1.0958792908785582
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -14898.79751107066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1288:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4886902710258076, b_new = -0.08235371380475959, c_new = 2.353503147672469
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -9138.417379944794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1289:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0992157422916926, b_new = 0.5406059328932402, c_new = 1.896240752009835
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -5347.181405400801
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1290:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.810883963140904, b_new = 0.6707386480639056, c_new = 1.6287675740298468
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3099.819801515577
Acceptance probability: 7.790227038122268e-19
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1291:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.502901216263775, b_new = 0.33972535595785275, c_new = 1.241254691270659
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -8311.05384803134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1292:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.820089415498588, b_new = 1.2318795653635344, c_new = 0.6803641184734344
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3100.5777329315224
Acceptance probability: 3.6507717672638766e-19
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1293:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.08963211893135, b_new = 0.5253843863647831, c_new = 1.1602081927450194
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -12613.733152948482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1294:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.202750501518944, b_new = 0.17668903412991724, c_new = 0.7295845342308991
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -6147.778343809359
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1295:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3275068170025515, b_new = -0.5668209149384221, c_new = 1.2371661315290505
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -6984.717255345744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1296:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8955803626754837, b_new = 0.2997689044395347, c_new = 1.3746396765255149
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -13876.69034955969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1297:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3251709489332204, b_new = 0.4403532946000988, c_new = 1.5106945194368193
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -10532.111940143743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1298:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1094181443062574, b_new = 0.387248904103253, c_new = 1.7658254265809292
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -5137.634787633646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1299:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2942679354256565, b_new = -0.40059567274593644, c_new = 1.1436087413085323
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -6697.644495544984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1300:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3160489771681947, b_new = 0.7178341323695756, c_new = 1.2267000627828732
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -9956.993047946084
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1301:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.367496154123421, b_new = 1.099762802261409, c_new = 1.0531556584613404
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -8830.542620480326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1302:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.502266027857769, b_new = 1.1683555069021765, c_new = 1.9420222887438872
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -12788.688764162967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1303:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0656507242973774, b_new = -0.3169690514087278, c_new = 1.4353937080030974
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -13743.322525339736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1304:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1730427773109406, b_new = -0.07566247051969882, c_new = 1.984169517410044
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -5306.890546764439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1305:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.349752339520064, b_new = 0.46816418258862547, c_new = 1.269716497709759
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -9922.580305293623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1306:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2817468756736328, b_new = 0.29359534719575814, c_new = 1.4231837304030184
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -8397.967919479333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1307:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.920301512944111, b_new = 0.36844532313751793, c_new = 1.6328205491962866
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3091.162066291712
Acceptance probability: 4.48287623051795e-15
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1308:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7024176539842304, b_new = 0.6515554171114111, c_new = 1.555058277969618
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3930.000192335884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1309:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.168767419050367, b_new = 0.034420831673707575, c_new = 1.2232209823306657
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -12710.625103210436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1310:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4334409344927384, b_new = 1.2435981558089757, c_new = 2.2892056635641214
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -12475.834487660066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1311:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4394246400721946, b_new = -0.1391387673094091, c_new = 1.3657643618736475
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -10324.807618516405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1312:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.205320117246471, b_new = 0.9526168996941373, c_new = 1.8870665040565626
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -8837.080057962572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1313:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.488589557106238, b_new = 0.23068629772235813, c_new = 2.9342801566709333
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -8195.137136730573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1314:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.707292052007248, b_new = 0.8279167436413253, c_new = 2.2058711385915086
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3547.513221871904
Acceptance probability: 2.8891365584817377e-213
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1315:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.05983799472176, b_new = 0.8557182003467158, c_new = 0.8426641782019757
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -5041.111819514421
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1316:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5893538035699346, b_new = 1.1955327984337254, c_new = 2.0753724853204494
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -4445.214408865919
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1317:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4352284194602927, b_new = 0.22547621631825743, c_new = 2.1870581406214082
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -10801.257960103341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1318:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.908893403479696, b_new = -0.008135974749594044, c_new = 1.1264517429649554
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3101.0047788154416
Acceptance probability: 2.3818862228600415e-19
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1319:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6784795472717065, b_new = 0.21783326602319103, c_new = 1.290682541048879
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -12589.958323089253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1320:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.638952919508184, b_new = 0.21146006620103727, c_new = 0.7759535758428358
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -6134.015751717332
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1321:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5817507741955312, b_new = 0.07678617575274693, c_new = 1.0642851644898788
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -7559.570596110183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1322:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5917987000640874, b_new = -0.24977251538065093, c_new = 1.7011041309027766
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -11419.291884066983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1323:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3738636782556233, b_new = -0.02569212838188778, c_new = 2.0355914375864654
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -10666.522361233217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1324:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.109477787578477, b_new = -0.12894704862015738, c_new = 1.8431482639461731
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -4144.487609944052
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1325:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.996383983743283, b_new = 1.5863548575282753, c_new = 2.385217458830527
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -11527.878897591985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1326:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6327013964041144, b_new = 0.9833337138006045, c_new = 1.8764289488092563
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -13383.080354651818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1327:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.771517833167544, b_new = 0.07003276652681129, c_new = 1.5496947682361872
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -13047.67589324742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1328:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.19274398649021, b_new = 0.528291773607047, c_new = 1.1957662033496181
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -7060.079708159303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1329:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.486989851090994, b_new = 0.036364306123499335, c_new = 2.062426269331871
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -9000.614137574661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1330:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4024395534776986, b_new = -0.29218519202604576, c_new = 2.0908438503310482
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -9327.72332824215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1331:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.304964861709991, b_new = 0.08012982635231641, c_new = 0.9773222392948621
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -11585.437392574657
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1332:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.701575659980527, b_new = -0.12148848618943331, c_new = 1.1446487584241187
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -5600.744222775201
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1333:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.707127808260549, b_new = 0.6837178662950912, c_new = 1.722756124378825
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3798.5570731467415
Acceptance probability: 2.7e-322
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1334:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.020070858187726, b_new = 0.21626941634403504, c_new = 1.2695247448768825
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3534.379021160303
Acceptance probability: 1.4617697255074242e-207
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1335:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4634995785237197, b_new = 0.33261817213421657, c_new = 2.0478805189417413
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -8697.481492888197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1336:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.937468469306217, b_new = 0.026716597597131853, c_new = 1.9199236302064846
Current likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Proposed likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Acceptance probability: 157709.9408147259
Max likelihood: -3058.123554752965
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8636294595023233, b = 0.37921235009346144, c = 1.6148213321003895
Iteration 1337:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6343402401952725, b_new = 1.0564308611201203, c_new = 2.419024451629268
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -3997.4195188786025
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1338:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.060510613904375, b_new = 0.41643857417993513, c_new = 1.8217532001026666
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -4405.350252720891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1339:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2717073865848376, b_new = -1.1107304500832575, c_new = 1.5244085506860974
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -4731.364800973009
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1340:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0847147970105335, b_new = -0.628277803185251, c_new = 2.2906000109907083
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -13759.753979290737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1341:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.140404989242486, b_new = 0.599518396062732, c_new = 1.0806222042838214
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -6061.690858283392
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1342:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.038079966845526, b_new = -0.21255475887528158, c_new = 1.7114045813497596
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -3317.6731848154805
Acceptance probability: 1.2055044422039008e-118
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1343:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7283467235315686, b_new = -0.05902723355288535, c_new = 1.51578207985987
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -12625.230776262828
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1344:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.649821063226929, b_new = -0.41605808948796336, c_new = 1.1336999828009833
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -7488.810996154938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1345:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.34155500903144, b_new = -0.06280090885529488, c_new = 2.550533769667543
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -9016.261147497122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1346:
Current coefficients: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8588206548570403, b_new = 0.4640531082541334, c_new = 2.011785484488925
Current likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Proposed likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Acceptance probability: 82.75395355032965
Max likelihood: -3046.1550419457626
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.937468469306217, b = 0.026716597597131853, c = 1.9199236302064846
Iteration 1347:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.022666622619308, b_new = 0.9558129771105149, c_new = 1.6805162184614006
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -4856.661367965611
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1348:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8492806013807273, b_new = -0.047726491470379995, c_new = 2.249559500023073
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3272.5995624832753
Acceptance probability: 5.477791806462964e-101
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1349:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3060216983139212, b_new = 1.225347506844935, c_new = 2.8974714923754696
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -8842.316629947149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1350:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.010001995038255, b_new = 0.6767996696250138, c_new = 2.4009432482833093
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -12596.869241217231
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1351:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7879536883849685, b_new = 1.45371346134486, c_new = 2.1897546263395675
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -14693.979498265271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1352:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4575546178754673, b_new = 0.5342798827396104, c_new = 1.9621343765871715
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -8356.418798919069
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1353:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.65353870840753, b_new = 0.023886990226550386, c_new = 2.251757001337783
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5779.0103453561815
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1354:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.61930803000859, b_new = -0.3437807238381989, c_new = 2.2426355469790242
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -7456.402684358795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1355:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6148316176275426, b_new = 1.517869380976367, c_new = 2.8785805846369086
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -14149.522197554039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1356:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1975080604777686, b_new = 0.8093341615992689, c_new = 1.265894598900422
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11303.637740516913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1357:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.598255894258494, b_new = 0.09683154080857503, c_new = 1.8777300930829637
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -6843.930940616006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1358:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.626321888391433, b_new = 1.3550807833084186, c_new = 3.018797800313407
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3635.5027688413456
Acceptance probability: 1.3543956048231272e-258
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1359:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4500643573288072, b_new = 1.2460933394490112, c_new = 1.975940276327474
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -6804.482775896413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1360:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.24005737951641, b_new = -0.32141067914150245, c_new = 1.9812366910745027
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -6036.015256456679
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1361:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1155431547012036, b_new = 0.2555222810818119, c_new = 1.737976004207106
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -4945.1368405908925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1362:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.485753974367422, b_new = 0.7460565003566981, c_new = 1.1357326555221072
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11842.384447659782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1363:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0911859702322353, b_new = 0.3919326868526367, c_new = 2.267909619269297
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -4969.1319550135395
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1364:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.611188291995318, b_new = 0.8844687278349357, c_new = 2.018621828503433
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -13166.49508581945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1365:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.557897724108779, b_new = 1.1253583667374865, c_new = 1.4181197690735579
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5263.846216521214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1366:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6143904800267075, b_new = -0.353267916999379, c_new = 1.2676230536380646
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -7993.128040028532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1367:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.872376753578198, b_new = 0.2017451250315691, c_new = 2.5208548826231008
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -13922.217003090855
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1368:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8688899853778027, b_new = -0.07087384149551268, c_new = 2.594196087149009
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3148.5570318951604
Acceptance probability: 4.0699781511129285e-47
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1369:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1353016504452307, b_new = 0.7193202003743531, c_new = 1.4593216701609628
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -6417.482264201481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1370:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.029667224551993, b_new = 0.36602886278582347, c_new = 2.0580148595368706
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3955.492412134844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1371:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1022979934055885, b_new = 0.0009227944209013739, c_new = 1.7732942728023986
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -4250.254262586393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1372:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6102373458339985, b_new = 0.7681466595593307, c_new = 1.711664612217472
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -12935.61746748499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1373:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5191554191198904, b_new = -0.4293472865635223, c_new = 1.247867509496833
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -10321.40121960781
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1374:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.905485770501664, b_new = 0.4485862349472385, c_new = 1.3733251923181624
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3072.9946241242615
Acceptance probability: 2.6664215585904042e-14
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1375:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7714897385026815, b_new = 0.48444176765040053, c_new = 1.4079085852521223
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -13476.44068527114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1376:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1988142272766864, b_new = -0.24982509905876504, c_new = 2.042727945553579
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5402.898732012316
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1377:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.399077287755201, b_new = 0.17182757453963643, c_new = 2.5798848589602894
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -9783.021364816846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1378:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1124135708196903, b_new = 0.5737749278616431, c_new = 1.4217456563027708
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -12309.969019319651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1379:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.570999872867134, b_new = 0.7791991702165469, c_new = 1.800617699511528
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5690.591651188461
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1380:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1255160435448635, b_new = 0.5249771167462011, c_new = 2.3476917020737016
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5988.777114443789
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1381:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0970608172169536, b_new = 0.8150787387632655, c_new = 2.112545478985918
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11890.520926228966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1382:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4722774297078174, b_new = 0.05657665977112003, c_new = 2.2934556298581326
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -9099.730171458368
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1383:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5245473134441037, b_new = 1.2089463343052764, c_new = 2.018897934625152
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -13018.25292672424
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1384:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.6069578254099, b_new = 1.5572039863087075, c_new = 2.793892439351354
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -16779.498326480687
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1385:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.102924623963781, b_new = 0.6373715316527817, c_new = 1.9620685375469646
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5681.907777393103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1386:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8161893057660263, b_new = 1.3664011260657891, c_new = 1.2979863269327276
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -14528.669751073263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1387:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.348412631866971, b_new = 1.0945236059380399, c_new = 1.822416044119078
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11300.207103181916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1388:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.381751076736147, b_new = 0.48401959316647036, c_new = 2.4908148570345094
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -10761.565589000944
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1389:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7017778422726133, b_new = -0.39606119648442784, c_new = 3.0440448565696414
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5601.291847472146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1390:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9844719804567639, b_new = -0.08769988079319313, c_new = 2.0128422909289587
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -13748.379028178013
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1391:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8077813967448444, b_new = 0.33923969869279025, c_new = 3.227138981543571
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -13922.01795275685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1392:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5724203622416, b_new = 0.05193752455148232, c_new = 1.7963313178867992
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -7517.113720132109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1393:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4099238931586493, b_new = 0.6326303015181981, c_new = 2.287842513556931
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11277.650794893574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1394:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.888800553791065, b_new = 1.0988383223696947, c_new = 2.0304861691198997
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3486.881667497663
Acceptance probability: 4.754115665501816e-194
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1395:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4058067992570686, b_new = 0.5803937024756781, c_new = 2.6186706369936887
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -8840.334312885338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1396:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.433453604780453, b_new = 0.7881384902145057, c_new = 2.3627273532067545
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11791.681333753175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1397:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7868943880816204, b_new = 0.4890140167395523, c_new = 2.365053842382541
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3240.8841030738495
Acceptance probability: 3.25427713363154e-87
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1398:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7232335313494516, b_new = -0.21272362098676534, c_new = 0.7762193826913555
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -5545.863688003621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1399:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4748313351979316, b_new = 0.7989615429982144, c_new = 1.6653496525298477
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -7527.951380660997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1400:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.48523535815405, b_new = 0.03339945326596422, c_new = 2.2996856299301056
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11030.172085289558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1401:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.58040594218361, b_new = -0.7631797560095056, c_new = 1.5653462785201993
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -9595.38533029431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1402:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.132060405728174, b_new = -0.27330066771021866, c_new = 2.301805389212367
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -4304.599530439315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1403:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3994204526966723, b_new = 0.5872475341588024, c_new = 2.1003001862714012
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -9092.24636114129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1404:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863613741426225, b_new = -0.24102316122937417, c_new = 1.4650114890575794
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3462.8066226251995
Acceptance probability: 1.3574657581573921e-183
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1405:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4833302326045392, b_new = 0.6937705566199323, c_new = 1.790782089660358
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -7584.073590064925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1406:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8107005430894487, b_new = 0.3039776025880166, c_new = 2.8888835060620632
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3185.7481042926265
Acceptance probability: 2.8688943785690874e-63
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1407:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4785684341191216, b_new = 0.6245138496049802, c_new = 1.659997305876917
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -11738.374132994979
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1408:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.704462225465803, b_new = -0.0003958094090549813, c_new = 2.3096147933213294
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -4880.4404969167745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1409:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.890684064138367, b_new = 0.023584519412702287, c_new = 1.746294071690929
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3092.1060298680695
Acceptance probability: 1.3364439708258245e-22
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1410:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8844520596424448, b_new = 0.7690582933854813, c_new = 1.541313098679486
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3142.430439459664
Acceptance probability: 1.8635341913280208e-44
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1411:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.225765520416041, b_new = 0.908578953108507, c_new = 1.684773810301877
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -10727.344048459636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1412:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.916049952122299, b_new = -0.0013765650120685646, c_new = 2.0256323846194153
Current likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Proposed likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Acceptance probability: 17.195502672629132
Max likelihood: -3041.7391701556035
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8588206548570403, b = 0.4640531082541334, c = 2.011785484488925
Iteration 1413:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4274546794814538, b_new = 0.13931821330675453, c_new = 1.918534140457933
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -9702.609259614268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1414:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4407765903780065, b_new = 0.28055164046810815, c_new = 2.807277635387008
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -11144.23840132916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1415:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.054401154686822, b_new = 1.379504082688186, c_new = 1.5437142023746608
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -15380.429520971644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1416:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4309681924514024, b_new = 0.3330508926700115, c_new = 3.021151447535682
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -8861.115101834643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1417:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6608866944489917, b_new = -0.8172528499870699, c_new = 2.154269437102725
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -7952.556968251913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1418:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3773604088271716, b_new = -0.9471293143893842, c_new = 0.9224576880205224
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -12662.78543859666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1419:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8907822119510564, b_new = -0.6156077587234503, c_new = 2.8490652813099873
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -13243.17785396161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1420:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6379132936299388, b_new = 0.18808943396467845, c_new = 1.649710222081524
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -12365.719053148361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1421:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.699583725143491, b_new = -0.6257315973258006, c_new = 1.9064431719661317
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -15394.61049901586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1422:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1952364189823763, b_new = 0.645516941725456, c_new = 2.536945003405507
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -7990.239739273215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1423:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8455937816442, b_new = 0.11766131099350906, c_new = 2.1521895100988266
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -3187.659040222688
Acceptance probability: 2.4682591397272425e-65
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1424:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.502116074580378, b_new = -0.5516344063022096, c_new = 2.1183389754461226
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -10072.140132025203
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1425:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6654133185708258, b_new = -0.06311721746544363, c_new = 2.3540369844764344
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -5726.819908858204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1426:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.49452519781728, b_new = -0.21540009444245997, c_new = 1.8817288603751035
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -10588.366513844889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1427:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.064946306761787, b_new = -0.30284154342984, c_new = 2.5121271998361445
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -3522.1697476380577
Acceptance probability: 1.3068820283751435e-210
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1428:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5584031356016963, b_new = 0.24866030945822643, c_new = 2.4116549936211173
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -7044.443148343749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1429:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2293117308904824, b_new = 0.2863129691279037, c_new = 1.5884703778645655
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -11748.314374038679
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1430:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7555432418692947, b_new = -0.03984900617173953, c_new = 1.6183741502596223
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -12840.34274822297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1431:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9803865767240048, b_new = -0.37923765385816177, c_new = 1.5395075228930346
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -3064.329747411279
Acceptance probability: 8.98715183187223e-12
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1432:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.447771417750623, b_new = 0.0722431150331963, c_new = 1.8180884841105032
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -10560.028191291187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1433:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.957303293554586, b_new = 0.19028653926767075, c_new = 2.2918867553524356
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -3181.30909386041
Acceptance probability: 1.4129845701439256e-62
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1434:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.038411975408537, b_new = -0.9085536770026574, c_new = 2.2161386647719095
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -3072.84525488522
Acceptance probability: 1.800462881417359e-15
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1435:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9468296551754514, b_new = -0.06124340056637686, c_new = 1.1084653980831343
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -3064.1170649519427
Acceptance probability: 1.1117033064563181e-11
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1436:
Current coefficients: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.893199591725476, b_new = 0.26961127686255426, c_new = 2.0474128124670905
Current likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Proposed likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Acceptance probability: 24.70297838835047
Max likelihood: -3038.8945222784955
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.916049952122299, b = -0.0013765650120685646, c = 2.0256323846194153
Iteration 1437:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.572704027606383, b_new = 0.01906517310048028, c_new = 1.1788373531128713
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -7850.1420682387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1438:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.085422479636362, b_new = 0.13391687290301324, c_new = 2.1775748569710593
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4333.531964059033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1439:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1728315358443964, b_new = 0.5278173672965316, c_new = 2.3323073491601973
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -11636.423209700626
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1440:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.189943156748973, b_new = 0.23943831387329015, c_new = 1.6679336797277495
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -14973.657142223099
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1441:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8382208174058134, b_new = 0.16827083158373865, c_new = 3.214457726613502
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3113.782725531363
Acceptance probability: 1.2125991213329077e-34
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1442:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.420941090005605, b_new = 0.5406967491537327, c_new = 2.115617802890376
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -8872.23421283033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1443:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8976268376419045, b_new = 0.018662721619435496, c_new = 2.300580413101872
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3047.113389247429
Acceptance probability: 1.0910436084655593e-05
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1444:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9215436970340973, b_new = -0.187380176021554, c_new = 1.3443019747301872
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3118.343827150382
Acceptance probability: 1.2672315725957376e-36
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1445:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3683185339790196, b_new = 0.47696126324489396, c_new = 1.992671338606019
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9772.044774643855
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1446:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6631098215627014, b_new = 0.31406706437007315, c_new = 2.362066634481486
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4900.224307015547
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1447:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.48929714870733, b_new = 0.16569592024941082, c_new = 1.5378792148531049
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -11077.04331215209
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1448:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226438265685857, b_new = 0.19409270678709378, c_new = 2.6452632326860255
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -7405.497675146344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1449:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4667331256574037, b_new = 0.20240784252140878, c_new = 2.8863689421759378
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -11300.062579934962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1450:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4736619505448756, b_new = -0.0319174931017297, c_new = 2.150318977407809
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10755.643827856315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1451:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3981098266186445, b_new = -0.4211213137706098, c_new = 1.3647738739076352
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -11380.47396689038
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1452:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6029819417613673, b_new = 0.696289434303299, c_new = 1.1204662044289877
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -5507.647908653722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1453:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5874967777955433, b_new = 0.40414781064068783, c_new = 1.175354256322212
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -6521.396044506097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1454:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.65634611426314, b_new = 0.4526810041012138, c_new = 2.0778431286714105
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4807.196778320071
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1455:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5939953496106907, b_new = -0.34990285972935486, c_new = 2.864328155998532
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -11592.378754124118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1456:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0209445004424804, b_new = 0.56025974097443, c_new = 1.1979826892429029
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3982.567380025916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1457:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8827312273239176, b_new = -0.38449592611366357, c_new = 1.3566942902076997
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3480.6150094579702
Acceptance probability: 5.894955837726021e-194
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1458:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7900672574243544, b_new = 0.3955430408185949, c_new = 1.9130091022235471
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3340.8060518104444
Acceptance probability: 3.0813383054582363e-133
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1459:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.413153201968288, b_new = 0.19280083975537182, c_new = 1.2077773933902831
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10040.651455431218
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1460:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.345258266477569, b_new = 0.7153769597308625, c_new = 2.442467586521852
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10752.622558161745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1461:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.309995137486296, b_new = 0.23589736075834652, c_new = 1.87918775930315
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10953.285064165724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1462:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.320620491415345, b_new = 0.9233020576544398, c_new = 2.7575621273466746
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10966.38858323989
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1463:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6034644019416566, b_new = 0.5722120407469387, c_new = 1.5402103072412108
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12597.443046761298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1464:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.060248358330065, b_new = -0.5852578678705174, c_new = 2.1941088910684914
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -13865.550947272664
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1465:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4344781971930103, b_new = 0.7764495763398912, c_new = 1.5315496209292068
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -8332.781338431763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1466:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.815917060674127, b_new = -0.4322477679007143, c_new = 2.4388181295252713
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4007.6897239023665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1467:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.930507706075508, b_new = 0.07807839584507589, c_new = 2.277173503853529
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -14008.02132769315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1468:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.465338509796364, b_new = 0.260775092706357, c_new = 1.3733804383141377
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9085.62605334237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1469:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.309771089882504, b_new = 0.19884437145720876, c_new = 2.606496337925567
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9122.025585647018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1470:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498688489681081, b_new = 0.3820145236950656, c_new = 2.550591301870746
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -11790.92123838349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1471:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.416107194946488, b_new = -0.005650898814005101, c_new = 2.323932620148388
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10007.255515322473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1472:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.135842313152214, b_new = -0.19037781850377827, c_new = 1.9183433064837248
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4425.087850011632
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1473:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.742239849371255, b_new = 1.239988216787082, c_new = 1.4738166825662182
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3128.8548836662276
Acceptance probability: 3.451136531228928e-41
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1474:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5784522707215185, b_new = -0.5018878511771799, c_new = 2.2446850107462444
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -8678.811771753532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1475:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7986475730003795, b_new = -0.9087421234547999, c_new = 2.0672914987656057
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -5352.755759738648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1476:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.984484316378693, b_new = 0.15810465348446306, c_new = 1.6880189607591245
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3260.9106677593204
Acceptance probability: 1.5376723526536913e-98
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1477:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8242233953602978, b_new = 0.2210508418520053, c_new = 1.97903043497428
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3251.81591269252
Acceptance probability: 1.3698270740154927e-94
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1478:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8394518633563055, b_new = 0.6126891326300765, c_new = 2.0773722896378035
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3046.407302457801
Acceptance probability: 2.210506040181325e-05
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1479:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7344931373126786, b_new = 0.1553214580136123, c_new = 3.0106744146860063
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3981.8665782834487
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1480:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031248106868997, b_new = 0.015291519271894427, c_new = 1.9818091283567825
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3503.2481390183284
Acceptance probability: 8.730463070793265e-204
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1481:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9125009859102575, b_new = -0.06380046938082157, c_new = 2.194783456821389
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3045.2273680029703
Acceptance probability: 7.193342328205641e-05
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1482:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8288737677704057, b_new = -0.08855507303767773, c_new = 2.3869180411545945
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3436.3470937134734
Acceptance probability: 9.903577149319479e-175
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1483:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.828814557306579, b_new = -0.7089788740585922, c_new = 2.272369334125313
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12651.248408796537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1484:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6218038121268243, b_new = 0.9370285271645281, c_new = 1.8253315055343677
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4483.6352746001485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1485:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0533187640591533, b_new = -0.2267082540238532, c_new = 2.5076427134557844
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3501.632144158647
Acceptance probability: 4.393948172147053e-203
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1486:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.490751361131544, b_new = 0.37826684993087895, c_new = 2.46563699296214
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -7972.6870057161395
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1487:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6173121106547255, b_new = 0.4344236378205091, c_new = 1.3985281533297487
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -5769.32631712437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1488:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.218249540658624, b_new = 0.09844692905826888, c_new = 1.1247334343867517
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12278.168687733069
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1489:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.190996649384529, b_new = 0.10368841856615268, c_new = 2.5733218805898037
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -6331.565187127237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1490:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4453054008267983, b_new = 0.0614558187437938, c_new = 1.6412399930873305
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9721.704553141593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1491:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.199941851592223, b_new = 0.048952395318304004, c_new = 2.2310401215320823
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -6252.73137842958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1492:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6455025648420385, b_new = 0.8724456891929497, c_new = 2.7740504572528746
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -13554.643054257715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1493:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.567401270699874, b_new = 0.4791136389079689, c_new = 2.088304394880277
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -6395.577827605783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1494:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.785357171621398, b_new = -0.15021297891941954, c_new = 1.8970966713133846
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4068.097638353149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1495:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6051909333072043, b_new = 0.4139903326083656, c_new = 2.61840610915851
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12679.106378451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1496:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1977773018182547, b_new = 0.20883638853052597, c_new = 1.7059742770343795
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12095.126019088953
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1497:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1179516828961504, b_new = -0.021988161795869987, c_new = 2.1564844398219596
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4524.009724424723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1498:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3329444821716527, b_new = 0.3092345409218421, c_new = 2.5321750371276073
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9747.262832659988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1499:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.072087616433233, b_new = 0.25043153778271565, c_new = 2.253357321629442
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4370.068648089289
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1500:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9152227678008757, b_new = -0.6187670029118886, c_new = 1.901204247798255
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3379.4686893475264
Acceptance probability: 4.986194837170854e-150
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1501:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.264077097580132, b_new = 0.4715430770937237, c_new = 2.2348931298580546
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -8832.080585955684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1502:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9508675388461874, b_new = 0.6912128037567913, c_new = 2.5689420214104253
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3645.8814557814426
Acceptance probability: 9.912309955598754e-266
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1503:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.32706767010289, b_new = 0.8736419011280931, c_new = 3.347124340744764
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -11148.848671210908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1504:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0326235068667, b_new = 0.14730463574901564, c_new = 0.5927232285775201
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -13620.406999129638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1505:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.236576254287465, b_new = 0.680262162761184, c_new = 2.585178499939419
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10726.072995864322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1506:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2904433141632095, b_new = 0.7030700291343024, c_new = 1.662867656232099
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9677.505944937104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1507:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.166356054503838, b_new = 0.0678778181605878, c_new = 1.8746380050904352
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -14810.002755764515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1508:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.047164737765625, b_new = -0.3388796585313034, c_new = 1.0043187999142
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3246.290399050391
Acceptance probability: 3.438474675163289e-92
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1509:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3556990670271554, b_new = 0.8267737139331661, c_new = 2.2901501456747893
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9144.14454742312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1510:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.833736607634567, b_new = -0.028692011530769557, c_new = 1.827707769028199
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -13345.395216389727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1511:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.488945078807647, b_new = 0.703889014280453, c_new = 2.533276678789779
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12192.286174668156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1512:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.627300931588185, b_new = -0.46787938006413277, c_new = 2.5397636446001224
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -7510.83450315586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1513:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5989077536843992, b_new = 0.4914172455421262, c_new = 1.5224112470578208
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -14885.604137557191
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1514:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.175904845377448, b_new = 0.3433076576675102, c_new = 1.7842808411365263
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -15028.581628281652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1515:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.757567510622514, b_new = -0.04075915536150104, c_new = 3.0002224701663005
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3996.8071906651003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1516:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.975791378573407, b_new = 0.15411810499290662, c_new = 2.178055056695781
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3246.994473968104
Acceptance probability: 1.700552242695799e-92
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1517:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2688799102189607, b_new = -0.4820266929412689, c_new = 1.9346160988336902
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12485.07255085002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1518:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1052007150663172, b_new = -0.04656765056220341, c_new = 2.427795148138649
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4350.34332528583
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1519:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.962576996190796, b_new = 0.5652743479839077, c_new = 2.3434389730643086
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3563.5109207369687
Acceptance probability: 5.87819129246435e-230
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1520:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9643210510004825, b_new = 1.3909018680270322, c_new = 2.20208921707624
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4982.74183431592
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1521:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5428001706686567, b_new = 0.32176844554746137, c_new = 2.306660633982301
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12005.126511227902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1522:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0449503883416438, b_new = 0.20359316583813855, c_new = 2.4868215972512435
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3975.874599825966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1523:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6472347461780767, b_new = 0.643885020108774, c_new = 1.819337692548394
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -13043.672543490638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1524:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8599939695027143, b_new = 0.06429054385833086, c_new = 1.8140209139976118
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3183.5519174410374
Acceptance probability: 6.072145869948514e-65
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1525:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0342199134048786, b_new = -0.4478836150535622, c_new = 2.2169042769834486
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -13838.87491258324
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1526:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3925808081697455, b_new = 0.5004586306875698, c_new = 2.7409934501246185
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9152.708194987332
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1527:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2707246537897072, b_new = 0.727546453018543, c_new = 1.7066994900930816
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -10555.252619434832
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1528:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.217685929146628, b_new = 0.3985289429018395, c_new = 1.8682370652597273
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -7497.96160530064
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1529:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.107060662116479, b_new = 0.6263255603713052, c_new = 1.8317837810855626
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -5693.062855842803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1530:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.653567801711261, b_new = -0.07685440408755256, c_new = 1.2914224795299791
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -6397.899482290469
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1531:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0057558123505776, b_new = 0.38880965785310145, c_new = 2.5845186698867573
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3812.0812794278017
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1532:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.508146725464849, b_new = 0.9145010077425398, c_new = 2.3145258602920276
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12583.492280589016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1533:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.091823288443358, b_new = -0.45302169888904353, c_new = 2.230956770442436
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3565.249122288304
Acceptance probability: 1.0335996960048365e-230
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1534:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6756642620102915, b_new = 0.39827698722263527, c_new = 1.7508522091434415
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -4695.0844227812295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1535:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0098721412215945, b_new = -0.21832697518992483, c_new = 1.6586457533991124
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3159.8952750874273
Acceptance probability: 1.141015201619142e-54
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1536:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4495433659923553, b_new = -0.5883788318722466, c_new = 2.08485370353552
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -9393.736451696017
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1537:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1760141520497527, b_new = 0.7245453351275107, c_new = 1.9955743381075564
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -7567.3527179708035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1538:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0145767724230517, b_new = 0.6560358901009204, c_new = 2.7862292005432736
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -12491.896280351179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1539:
Current coefficients: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8793025984138922, b_new = 0.21726058503541523, c_new = 2.5467923957275582
Current likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Proposed likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Acceptance probability: 2.656974447720501
Max likelihood: -3035.6875984596068
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.893199591725476, b = 0.26961127686255426, c = 2.0474128124670905
Iteration 1540:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2931340008808943, b_new = 0.3166205053596749, c_new = 1.9415912290296296
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -10968.689404120118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1541:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.515717206064769, b_new = 0.8018141291819334, c_new = 3.371357466752421
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -6184.910831342274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1542:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.08064475770096, b_new = 0.39860565530102265, c_new = 2.8334379526632354
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -4966.190532858589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1543:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6120676750825167, b_new = -0.037273289704397305, c_new = 2.2495763651407334
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -6774.918559972821
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1544:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.710619912400661, b_new = -0.08042652350325308, c_new = 2.5261122139552676
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -12725.765653313647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1545:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8999238380982706, b_new = -0.08362636447853317, c_new = 2.239458655906956
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3072.5031524308733
Acceptance probability: 3.862074830299182e-17
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1546:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4032965171583562, b_new = 1.071253779549786, c_new = 2.033304095918904
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11873.776026590042
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1547:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1186170136538918, b_new = 0.6724367262254429, c_new = 2.360706036795887
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11854.99788823676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1548:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.667302039891872, b_new = 0.5219608257538364, c_new = 2.3672877338810645
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -13156.278188417902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1549:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.948580702215568, b_new = -0.8789550074770383, c_new = 2.3339929759440112
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3324.937397869013
Acceptance probability: 9.036928518993934e-127
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1550:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9451832298979697, b_new = 0.6304983110805422, c_new = 3.07226239513773
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3603.2895229269784
Acceptance probability: 1.1728133702803463e-247
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1551:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.915149982529512, b_new = -0.40662671052993693, c_new = 2.587594920532425
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3135.358094809758
Acceptance probability: 1.9465521742052633e-44
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1552:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.953178931948388, b_new = 0.2804572861210803, c_new = 2.3841590671892288
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -14317.40869568714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1553:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.900827141106216, b_new = 0.621080926226963, c_new = 3.2327542514660235
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3278.1939856906997
Acceptance probability: 1.8047906045770573e-106
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1554:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3425036058759114, b_new = 0.20499616038141574, c_new = 3.5262160298553655
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -10108.368639180439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1555:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4161904698890093, b_new = 0.8787931920615533, c_new = 1.7237382361192761
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -8330.724566395984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1556:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4528549585815584, b_new = -0.4654167288707469, c_new = 3.1873406708935463
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -10159.359256233613
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1557:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7005401297958174, b_new = 0.0736575867984022, c_new = 2.338633468190733
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -4782.651354566553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1558:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.111010428890166, b_new = 0.20301757412858437, c_new = 2.721486052578638
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -5029.702573128088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1559:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7051742487386377, b_new = 0.5080940505655829, c_new = 2.6874603256509784
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3882.711169829434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1560:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1198694480551805, b_new = 0.05317948183665283, c_new = 2.2085519291566515
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -4716.58517036256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1561:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2834982491225593, b_new = -0.022023506564893935, c_new = 2.788397612377146
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11369.80086405847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1562:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.182063059943431, b_new = 0.03891367375674151, c_new = 2.4436676959750274
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -5917.037856203458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1563:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6211710530260683, b_new = 0.5607479374758746, c_new = 2.0335827873290673
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -5194.345944491691
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1564:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.012156009152142, b_new = 0.6079762601273239, c_new = 1.8504024529359633
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -4078.5079641459693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1565:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.448482703895638, b_new = 0.23166949052369507, c_new = 1.507614022078073
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -9356.827480778134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1566:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.780899595703329, b_new = 0.8374267879086794, c_new = 2.4172664023383628
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -14114.971803096709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1567:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.537446067742751, b_new = 0.268302126892136, c_new = 2.223289072213775
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11859.846305256982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1568:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.294674837578762, b_new = 0.20113263055066852, c_new = 2.419367007223488
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -8776.791223930615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1569:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1458034757411437, b_new = 1.0101315924810912, c_new = 2.9359357479880654
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -8142.725227535702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1570:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3279529162674097, b_new = 0.17376635243684516, c_new = 2.919277847910722
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -9489.069158471062
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1571:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6489079666220565, b_new = 0.9826335877886813, c_new = 2.317604223546914
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3945.427781674064
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1572:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.88589056814902, b_new = -0.25336292121649945, c_new = 2.3374583299061578
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -13487.786412943116
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1573:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.259125617376387, b_new = -0.5147532389990532, c_new = 1.8359064058540717
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -5890.566414890371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1574:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3666824766240504, b_new = 0.7229297795913874, c_new = 3.014645840215152
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11204.894731394568
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1575:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.382140032119558, b_new = -0.302183177732548, c_new = 2.418917964809457
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -9090.650917533296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1576:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1748631282302044, b_new = 0.2981577011320073, c_new = 2.6132923576475924
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11875.771997465354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1577:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7891538027028004, b_new = -0.006439851262621005, c_new = 2.548736884099154
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3678.6636564132878
Acceptance probability: 2.1610193569458276e-280
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1578:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6180462761187373, b_new = 0.9755222780022585, c_new = 2.955167210374221
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -4226.118903892461
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1579:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7668120840412844, b_new = 0.10217034340511584, c_new = 2.4062866574683595
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3799.560387913576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1580:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.818805628583251, b_new = 0.6878963476476729, c_new = 2.9708815801340607
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3058.9339165326037
Acceptance probability: 3.0190128291100294e-11
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1581:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.500827829369406, b_new = 0.4597748416491172, c_new = 2.562044397823737
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11932.095301519788
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1582:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5602516655174545, b_new = -0.577538799300487, c_new = 2.846611811259194
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -8952.335692409295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1583:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.802760820179899, b_new = 0.5235210422891007, c_new = 2.3020696814398076
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3148.1590343792077
Acceptance probability: 5.368940989085838e-50
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1584:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6620451765924447, b_new = -0.6000522634618961, c_new = 2.3830316842024772
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -7217.200649559486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1585:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.584915592743383, b_new = -0.6957840126314787, c_new = 3.3409262638922974
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -8617.737345600159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1586:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3495879187800233, b_new = -0.4891462318293386, c_new = 3.348414645469715
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -15931.771850057004
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1587:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5434471789484263, b_new = 0.5651505322342066, c_new = 2.4469434719774767
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -12395.010633013168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1588:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3186924758834473, b_new = 0.4334780061878587, c_new = 1.7287272038404398
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -9527.372357974098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1589:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5360993766848523, b_new = -0.1775756512894862, c_new = 2.215201401035498
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11162.098352009954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1590:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0408578076380812, b_new = -0.2298717295376797, c_new = 1.7439002438938713
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3324.9555608187784
Acceptance probability: 8.874272865055902e-127
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1591:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7347563294784605, b_new = 0.5805517522958795, c_new = 2.3241756928289705
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -13599.949639996696
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1592:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.904067979011579, b_new = 0.5405192187614581, c_new = 2.5991098985392753
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3172.029938704764
Acceptance probability: 2.3061449663429302e-60
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1593:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.449872472469929, b_new = 0.9524311073410119, c_new = 1.9015225422510516
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -12060.897059402008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1594:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.704051817631924, b_new = 0.5942797483799316, c_new = 2.4748067281563912
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -13485.610128137314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1595:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4931611573345216, b_new = 0.530863130896883, c_new = 2.686000749882226
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -7482.804883591119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1596:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.318479439160768, b_new = 0.02726086516367507, c_new = 1.3267089237503367
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -11422.052304294277
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1597:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0086254303493813, b_new = 1.1166146341710061, c_new = 2.8752399979775136
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -5359.966276144617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1598:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3850601028041278, b_new = 0.44131336248419706, c_new = 2.9219994613668128
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -15275.51513201652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1599:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8371883693764928, b_new = 0.27248195858806235, c_new = 2.0943310918429803
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -13735.15233289251
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1600:
Current coefficients: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.918794739199096, b_new = -0.02112970068188233, c_new = 2.586038084292416
Current likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Proposed likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Acceptance probability: 1154.619453202239
Max likelihood: -3034.7104104098416
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.8793025984138922, b = 0.21726058503541523, c = 2.5467923957275582
Iteration 1601:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8179776949859754, b_new = -0.12921967105368604, c_new = 1.978370769250764
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3649.8517699599943
Acceptance probability: 6.096254464117434e-271
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1602:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1225756050238767, b_new = -0.27412567435228474, c_new = 2.1219528801972203
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4136.0973434424195
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1603:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.860102578018349, b_new = -0.33981847067394677, c_new = 2.105047514070953
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3488.620727254435
Acceptance probability: 6.409368552247603e-201
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1604:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3129961538794355, b_new = -0.5109982844399863, c_new = 3.0660712957447656
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11802.483292446817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1605:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.815281650639093, b_new = -0.4383436615450983, c_new = 2.5296347312865057
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4004.104267553106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1606:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.557229625369772, b_new = -0.11816691547940646, c_new = 3.0823601150190543
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7758.9294465182265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1607:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.328543339824633, b_new = -0.41902870164378736, c_new = 1.847780527119241
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7596.857467437115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1608:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1963983563051617, b_new = 0.32629032595259266, c_new = 2.9855879950153783
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11548.149858568284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1609:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.28497960826212, b_new = -0.32778596561879114, c_new = 1.974590509643905
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -6971.386464116093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1610:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.481347297143562, b_new = 0.3068179671191861, c_new = 3.2687342686160035
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11726.16041466464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1611:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.087826892752487, b_new = -0.7608862619104284, c_new = 2.2486860219764306
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3267.3928106600624
Acceptance probability: 7.671471307352518e-105
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1612:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8279906784888693, b_new = 0.6032153081237214, c_new = 2.513484051847743
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3052.81528537122
Acceptance probability: 1.187719367790532e-11
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1613:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6970071646658855, b_new = 0.07187855762528193, c_new = 2.5725616859250144
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12838.808123575891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1614:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.693638481208815, b_new = -0.6257025143514207, c_new = 2.9690538665733985
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -6385.793989184998
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1615:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5786170857461004, b_new = -0.9479065290693336, c_new = 1.969174207529429
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -9905.65173193952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1616:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7282545279449737, b_new = 0.6828161571879575, c_new = 3.1659953083449563
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3400.8160581155084
Acceptance probability: 8.707601340089368e-163
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1617:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8363285350960936, b_new = 0.2686965438251311, c_new = 2.4301686595024425
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13801.88920978651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1618:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.672642298780834, b_new = -0.4300049405404982, c_new = 3.206497595980869
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12188.89285257917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1619:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3819379040189395, b_new = 0.3385058984359991, c_new = 2.9050128226082492
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10617.795276889734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1620:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6054482548726736, b_new = -0.9076970482167606, c_new = 0.9024307344811509
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -9825.169447355347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1621:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7443927586683596, b_new = 0.6207339048821674, c_new = 2.7925219308984186
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13804.93813257842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1622:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9565544037986284, b_new = 0.3357360849693706, c_new = 3.6214106085347613
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3450.9730136995877
Acceptance probability: 1.4355208287683096e-184
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1623:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4915449497989455, b_new = 0.01100903856689351, c_new = 2.664349178623862
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -8761.696882759003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1624:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0558458897704197, b_new = 1.3376038794741318, c_new = 2.9865598452312367
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7055.354314230102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1625:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7138335069872603, b_new = 0.3307873160650794, c_new = 2.4068530203185716
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4098.379140680716
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1626:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.955974900855522, b_new = 0.20223298979827647, c_new = 2.2441413784036306
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -14226.566696704445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1627:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7647614807080423, b_new = 0.24248928100694908, c_new = 2.439725491778412
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3633.726930934624
Acceptance probability: 6.137502710357524e-264
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1628:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6022638496473087, b_new = 0.2293815764270559, c_new = 1.9315486278021954
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12235.734553685264
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1629:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6521281852229426, b_new = 0.4604822791551698, c_new = 3.075119332912069
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4597.3740049293465
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1630:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.997933820089465, b_new = 0.002578102824587255, c_new = 3.3141739316603798
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13234.872462359946
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1631:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3757643186729935, b_new = -0.284752079918527, c_new = 2.488745598149732
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10975.531702182112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1632:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.22197800799097, b_new = 0.0633174608992317, c_new = 3.3192753821624015
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7193.543831727615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1633:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.079990692097236, b_new = 1.261290958971061, c_new = 2.6724238361212582
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7254.840578969417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1634:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.013698272857777, b_new = 0.12932604510070078, c_new = 2.4254071565954165
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -14430.633281564298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1635:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5458391578854034, b_new = -0.12540664361473136, c_new = 4.1090418707116205
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11869.093136519406
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1636:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.233673825457356, b_new = 0.18180727887119863, c_new = 1.9078622548825352
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7247.024778028067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1637:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.854023633100937, b_new = 0.6757719009836168, c_new = 2.320127141381272
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3062.508602816683
Acceptance probability: 7.327562991427444e-16
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1638:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8158177617222475, b_new = 0.4317079411940078, c_new = 2.4073731287571105
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3131.4679252431542
Acceptance probability: 8.247196739835219e-46
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1639:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.987578820842955, b_new = -0.2594542737916503, c_new = 2.00585429867312
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3079.3343010742815
Acceptance probability: 3.6112009259944183e-23
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1640:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.695496325659305, b_new = -0.24422081505690535, c_new = 2.5752343230997643
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -5512.372647474472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1641:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2162073977649808, b_new = 0.0932702384020409, c_new = 2.3354762120257284
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -6771.212125168382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1642:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6627700663982643, b_new = 0.314211143033964, c_new = 2.294209008553599
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4925.234792378131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1643:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1680586486716664, b_new = 0.44798712694428233, c_new = 2.6810900496955363
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -6844.283241224019
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1644:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.782599466910874, b_new = 0.5100290298658607, c_new = 4.012018143587852
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3151.9727035968363
Acceptance probability: 1.026110810922016e-54
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1645:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.96143970113531, b_new = -0.191911677854205, c_new = 2.1840190619529944
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3045.666412050443
Acceptance probability: 1.5115762982052052e-08
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1646:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2130096452525168, b_new = -0.2999321358982793, c_new = 2.8886316718349687
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12355.051510835354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1647:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5206295638705076, b_new = 0.05545092565325922, c_new = 1.969225472239624
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11318.190623297824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1648:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5722051783398694, b_new = 0.7709278575610705, c_new = 2.141960353390541
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12797.253112737384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1649:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.822990716372924, b_new = -0.5694932159323418, c_new = 2.961802211151426
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4016.452339387096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1650:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3325208361756884, b_new = -0.6165429564524251, c_new = 2.112154247994261
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12107.829104475953
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1651:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0156181916125426, b_new = 0.2250282735493641, c_new = 2.8123659987842147
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3732.814872553745
Acceptance probability: 5.6838869129132514e-307
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1652:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.723030718179736, b_new = -0.012514241419948556, c_new = 2.5117138320265626
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12884.496410806172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1653:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.090325977051523, b_new = -0.5277161552303231, c_new = 2.3245200979509204
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3484.307255119111
Acceptance probability: 4.787760213058349e-199
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1654:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7608288374185648, b_new = 0.7707968086098714, c_new = 3.094948061763536
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -14114.292102253068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1655:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.07497347413423, b_new = 0.08203259676231696, c_new = 2.8292497586645347
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4241.723721867253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1656:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5116888558344126, b_new = -0.669186564648898, c_new = 2.7382006465696027
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10226.226506972667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1657:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.181624787750416, b_new = 0.37758170055177276, c_new = 3.5952640529526034
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7320.934949012087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1658:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0047343307055043, b_new = 0.827913046301467, c_new = 2.407230096062382
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12441.515165525143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1659:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5791383765389786, b_new = 0.4001216241165324, c_new = 3.003660357345828
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12580.516364243276
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1660:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.271851097074972, b_new = 0.43388033911902, c_new = 2.963421513077366
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10663.367490964745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1661:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.028001837980585, b_new = -0.22087691695992603, c_new = 2.9046923316381292
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13431.415242525385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1662:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9986740578919737, b_new = -0.12890714233058195, c_new = 2.6080981613088876
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3211.292829591469
Acceptance probability: 1.7733353767318158e-80
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1663:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.911806827386664, b_new = 0.15220886793385052, c_new = 2.8722978065909497
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3045.816317368803
Acceptance probability: 1.3011489659260389e-08
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1664:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.729217256794461, b_new = -0.2660969994157032, c_new = 3.0012768002269796
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4821.355045431137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1665:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.113173339206207, b_new = -0.753494157784023, c_new = 2.4678492907361016
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3466.8022937924816
Acceptance probability: 1.9161985246587056e-191
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1666:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8378710325762473, b_new = 0.21783403784423483, c_new = 2.2944439031761137
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3153.426879805528
Acceptance probability: 2.3969201155881902e-55
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1667:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7071714413042587, b_new = 0.5239598695077392, c_new = 2.7111669523518334
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3833.8172813240453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1668:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6464029081797875, b_new = 0.3674899984637706, c_new = 1.8799336996261329
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -5221.006090469437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1669:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.402527591612802, b_new = 0.5355515515312701, c_new = 3.5071042128941983
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11413.035829411887
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1670:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.687070492057569, b_new = 0.12905626697733785, c_new = 2.8522155152856046
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4746.015565751416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1671:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6171487799160795, b_new = -0.4970211766530236, c_new = 2.492427532062024
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7816.678964418892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1672:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.155048373344015, b_new = -0.022049985644058336, c_new = 2.6549259956488283
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12459.780026733088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1673:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.108427301661985, b_new = -0.3789905459702696, c_new = 3.182534736714237
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3994.1574576271632
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1674:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.847477930650998, b_new = -0.06051914009189892, c_new = 2.2597088486870636
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3293.015723898201
Acceptance probability: 5.714639456503542e-116
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1675:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2037678456656717, b_new = 0.35499504851955854, c_new = 2.529680029318487
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11575.271039081574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1676:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7709593313916683, b_new = -0.4095510302979626, c_new = 2.8807068202885087
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4478.315331023131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1677:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8819215835720362, b_new = -0.034631261478414894, c_new = 2.406956898309879
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -14073.781060471021
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1678:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6537594971025538, b_new = -0.23516684068657479, c_new = 2.233231326080101
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -6450.257276538647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1679:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.506978517475542, b_new = -0.4876664938703923, c_new = 2.1377071311967852
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10325.397438519718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1680:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0797787917298844, b_new = 0.26100851169582084, c_new = 1.7288194518000415
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12859.659813367318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1681:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8165524620011033, b_new = 0.15859466851000661, c_new = 2.562909960750315
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3281.0796067736146
Acceptance probability: 8.725265240178718e-111
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1682:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7122608072566066, b_new = -0.07044216106433462, c_new = 3.2759661698593945
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4624.537584869685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1683:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.469455792255964, b_new = -0.2921899185099497, c_new = 2.2598666337575333
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10279.238292486574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1684:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8899699239135852, b_new = -0.7181261262595642, c_new = 2.5313095107695465
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -14657.739734727393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1685:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3798448643345167, b_new = 0.42555254311305035, c_new = 2.0887245515999004
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -9692.687582440944
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1686:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.927304257808312, b_new = 1.0746519921939437, c_new = 2.454786216766582
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3912.618778902087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1687:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.217450997160974, b_new = -0.06395993831066454, c_new = 2.402827504578956
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -6385.06987602374
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1688:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8974206073264883, b_new = -0.16078155338378353, c_new = 2.9362025125713105
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13999.365862531155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1689:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8031210131394766, b_new = 0.2617232511978991, c_new = 3.7324395166512563
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13940.055858811942
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1690:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.045808924971785, b_new = -0.8729216638110693, c_new = 2.5137801273688782
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3073.427039989032
Acceptance probability: 1.3278302110713025e-20
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1691:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9168702747858335, b_new = 0.10442025959424817, c_new = 3.0349543938452155
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3047.692538483426
Acceptance probability: 1.992941468865854e-09
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1692:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7449463384471984, b_new = 0.6463258360198162, c_new = 2.7751055044081805
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3350.342764587359
Acceptance probability: 7.247219251132565e-141
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1693:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.983399100238148, b_new = 0.30753332293416635, c_new = 2.5014570027974226
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3477.3863747758437
Acceptance probability: 4.851014071066839e-196
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1694:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0895780468114498, b_new = 0.6504802148046792, c_new = 2.877868272261816
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -5765.082974489682
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1695:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889624501945712, b_new = -0.1717992084768713, c_new = 2.4891540294988954
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3124.133866278383
Acceptance probability: 1.2631289625730908e-42
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1696:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2738419278865107, b_new = 0.5518523870196279, c_new = 2.9165880742527115
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -9490.97847498317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1697:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.015900025988266, b_new = -0.5878726994616054, c_new = 2.6322141526239085
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13825.29911490226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1698:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.133847037542764, b_new = -0.12044501056027282, c_new = 2.1865587326135967
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4588.585527555795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1699:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3270351076542055, b_new = -0.5639665613751693, c_new = 2.0640210973821302
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -7254.65391551905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1700:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.527929107620694, b_new = -0.1546632778220625, c_new = 1.9377466108171841
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -8824.380237344536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1701:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0111289680262368, b_new = -0.0309533460678838, c_new = 2.2801250492560166
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3334.889548744243
Acceptance probability: 3.727500999808857e-134
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1702:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.684240045282286, b_new = 0.2901994945084745, c_new = 3.8825214922850435
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4246.65014158785
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1703:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.253410985587264, b_new = 0.4610519773252657, c_new = 2.7806026889576
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -8806.317507345622
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1704:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.435344867843999, b_new = 0.5617758569097538, c_new = 3.070584622406251
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11651.721472566907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1705:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.283394206355453, b_new = 0.393896516128426, c_new = 2.6790526495927787
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -9166.970875646415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1706:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4845985198908753, b_new = 0.7116994032693261, c_new = 1.99554977654667
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -12016.31499904548
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1707:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.090065964708034, b_new = -0.3230921940544861, c_new = 3.4371098854511244
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3904.9903977769977
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1708:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6755447335814893, b_new = -0.12456650275912683, c_new = 3.367743965591944
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -5344.871137279415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1709:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.81666152995881, b_new = 0.4153354453625987, c_new = 2.75732166206931
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3115.2774113727028
Acceptance probability: 8.866601460268586e-39
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1710:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.848541535354974, b_new = 0.6321314901384714, c_new = 3.490301980400301
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3096.1658411639637
Acceptance probability: 1.769321155015447e-30
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1711:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9372358041845406, b_new = 0.31348037663286854, c_new = 3.0936601536804984
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3231.0992605627994
Acceptance probability: 4.4357514272985504e-89
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1712:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4490814435982604, b_new = -0.03221813891626986, c_new = 2.7271836806451883
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10655.503057047916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1713:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4610824457179787, b_new = 0.4356735844246157, c_new = 2.8507371835813275
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -8211.86645030698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1714:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.711686987236559, b_new = 0.16017649020147876, c_new = 2.9404004725727733
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4291.446455137129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1715:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.603926710380199, b_new = -0.06469540731308629, c_new = 2.512003378834075
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11993.049912997189
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1716:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.324645300123721, b_new = 0.30767793175536295, c_new = 2.275183374762529
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -9521.104180030889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1717:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.084960987310493, b_new = -1.0509830656762926, c_new = 2.5058947181720033
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -13670.303675934148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1718:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.82567800618265, b_new = -0.16896125331824471, c_new = 3.1819926473931766
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3427.966539061095
Acceptance probability: 1.4079735031757211e-174
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1719:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7608764662273826, b_new = -0.1863806090341279, c_new = 1.7066960830956166
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4527.8771631743275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1720:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.036349048410246, b_new = 0.07229086595436356, c_new = 1.9340874168983748
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3607.599772279909
Acceptance probability: 1.3641826710521114e-252
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1721:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3083504138255586, b_new = 0.24289090805209748, c_new = 2.372151883326648
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10795.530555573512
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1722:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7288575025332467, b_new = 0.5309967230533504, c_new = 2.336191351833077
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3658.6166655110055
Acceptance probability: 9.517377910340408e-275
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1723:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.417688655037602, b_new = -0.6291785882760145, c_new = 2.8306227201716427
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11029.557234450576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1724:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0195450341099317, b_new = 0.7391038991584445, c_new = 1.5269774872336113
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -4334.05959845006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1725:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.628725169329646, b_new = -0.5811826121130318, c_new = 1.8147835376825614
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -8099.4097591756445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1726:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.199208510450113, b_new = 0.8905109370026929, c_new = 2.4651067528146635
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -10789.17234500969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1727:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.414524933638121, b_new = 0.3950287781669559, c_new = 2.708546468528472
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -11036.06012050698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1728:
Current coefficients: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.940327162226677, b_new = -0.25626449312385313, c_new = 3.335591629389212
Current likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Proposed likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Acceptance probability: 464.31882520969447
Max likelihood: -3027.6588843189224
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.918794739199096, b = -0.02112970068188233, c = 2.586038084292416
Iteration 1729:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.249016689911004, b_new = 0.3883990611214988, c_new = 3.9266244864851836
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -8987.52978887307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1730:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2755652670945676, b_new = 0.2138739869019396, c_new = 3.623460490433242
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -10799.759078983108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1731:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3113510375278707, b_new = -0.3674910691872784, c_new = 3.6557012955632797
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -8044.458125211648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1732:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.457957296981003, b_new = -0.07318636768762798, c_new = 3.7575377673929644
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -10996.609391478629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1733:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.770584507742726, b_new = -0.4383777528640801, c_new = 3.0411506656222658
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -4495.861257878838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1734:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.083014304929429, b_new = -0.0018868767591952995, c_new = 2.683833870046207
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -12903.378030811851
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1735:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.70047174150644, b_new = -0.7550792628610343, c_new = 3.314441892583843
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -6458.824096159492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1736:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.694498902427359, b_new = 0.11045253129182425, c_new = 3.952939520718404
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -4392.452235322753
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1737:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8363949349322843, b_new = 0.3809795208317549, c_new = 3.7580928206938706
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3057.519957122975
Acceptance probability: 2.3157121033815283e-16
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1738:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4892863245548416, b_new = -0.7961151544056971, c_new = 3.322398150238875
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -9889.070689547996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1739:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0107833324162376, b_new = -0.49221232152267713, c_new = 3.1962707359173166
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -13744.984592626746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1740:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9925081111892076, b_new = 0.08884200230786315, c_new = 2.667893572585612
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3351.226326380587
Acceptance probability: 6.451030528564746e-144
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1741:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.881247024177476, b_new = -0.20193083475350207, c_new = 3.2545223089121667
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -13723.014496398027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1742:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3724726289708697, b_new = -1.0974789062115788, c_new = 3.2764646417740466
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -12146.333773820308
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1743:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.843010020708563, b_new = -0.3223203793871311, c_new = 3.346808702020217
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3418.369232759906
Acceptance probability: 4.4651428514586654e-173
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1744:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.813345115239986, b_new = -0.8981994569160563, c_new = 3.3898725361496513
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -4641.260838657747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1745:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.68688240446166, b_new = -0.380920535919237, c_new = 3.899129389843912
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -5565.6504246868835
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1746:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9433240044922955, b_new = -0.34546872583247923, c_new = 2.4559553441137916
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3045.2188109474027
Acceptance probability: 5.0933611421029325e-11
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1747:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5240491790272084, b_new = -0.031011373988684837, c_new = 3.8768268174269593
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -7866.175270478057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1748:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5920245115449987, b_new = -0.3317707786369943, c_new = 3.2847068852666337
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -7561.611410791838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1749:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.810598190045727, b_new = -0.021953250849900352, c_new = 3.364676498208598
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -13585.955479761531
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1750:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.928119308184417, b_new = -0.9944713618594906, c_new = 3.3626732219161184
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3422.4001175682442
Acceptance probability: 7.929473064468344e-175
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1751:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5734529683397147, b_new = -0.6652363437855582, c_new = 3.1351903142829847
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -10992.688495789818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1752:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.081286053218329, b_new = -0.24969365001044666, c_new = 3.071438557309949
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3841.402299563686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1753:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5342127179079466, b_new = 0.19777140619904898, c_new = 2.9973862645779907
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -11941.829613841159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1754:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7413230700579945, b_new = -0.15490743003839028, c_new = 3.2343451544673907
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -13004.161141392466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1755:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5626081698660546, b_new = 0.4723812124381348, c_new = 3.8245094240377204
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -5933.420947983514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1756:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.742629133764524, b_new = -0.3963481905216175, c_new = 2.5936304690452165
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -4996.380072247159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1757:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.229835251323093, b_new = 0.00553117930552377, c_new = 3.571850774890999
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -11575.704223020482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1758:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4366289848182046, b_new = 0.48413138835988145, c_new = 2.442801386809415
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -8641.718868432015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1759:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.303252962158013, b_new = -0.1394964221345107, c_new = 4.028626020084367
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -15459.640258747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1760:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8489864500667017, b_new = -0.6345644006564957, c_new = 3.729380067127637
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3657.244948839657
Acceptance probability: 8.080346853736789e-277
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1761:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.781650152609875, b_new = -0.04963659816464672, c_new = 3.2659751521481812
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -13375.218224806984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1762:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5917567379719357, b_new = 0.02236829306573257, c_new = 3.570040242813695
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -6546.8370509151355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1763:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.044659347126943, b_new = -0.6428294525667122, c_new = 4.312767996308383
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3257.1251472035765
Acceptance probability: 4.756110698815992e-103
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1764:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4814914702773994, b_new = -0.5421313253902221, c_new = 3.344541228176499
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -10282.353149680073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1765:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1614712578589, b_new = -0.45964916228591374, c_new = 3.708190887829628
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -4742.093734509212
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1766:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.975646297419182, b_new = -0.5785862326715536, c_new = 3.2453958197656014
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3022.866721706299
Acceptance probability: 0.25965308511561674
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1767:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8864357816691477, b_new = -0.08083083217290268, c_new = 2.864492335776233
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -13782.489090909261
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1768:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.247080309986348, b_new = -0.5312616021395452, c_new = 3.5086341918529484
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -6145.922122933641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1769:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.995325275841329, b_new = -0.5017045254064492, c_new = 3.492128485952302
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3060.979463014586
Acceptance probability: 7.28182515337089e-18
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1770:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5816333077381564, b_new = 0.1778788485044694, c_new = 3.323874185925952
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -6440.690907620365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1771:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.450090120535516, b_new = -1.2972516575429467, c_new = 4.123496024754285
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -11460.982021663904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1772:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2290575652274507, b_new = 0.1208365477019927, c_new = 3.1592399203915775
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -7455.651478315075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1773:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9546929928506334, b_new = -0.37514831802554005, c_new = 2.5773271896940853
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -13744.624904960401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1774:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.854523229596207, b_new = 0.1771481120890488, c_new = 3.3998524184128303
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3058.0228306706317
Acceptance probability: 1.4005201406170471e-16
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1775:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7208120626174528, b_new = 0.17489005978495242, c_new = 3.5964273510230624
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -14250.416498703222
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1776:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.952535811748559, b_new = -0.20837206783931328, c_new = 3.4852843618184766
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3048.2727031807162
Acceptance probability: 2.402790606461604e-12
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1777:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4159741275426336, b_new = -0.5746276707689292, c_new = 3.1148159556946577
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -10847.345260643538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1778:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3484594020837832, b_new = -0.028376349552290014, c_new = 3.088081160961007
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -9408.38362114035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1779:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2073189418664922, b_new = -0.15178204395020045, c_new = 4.117372440445427
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -6558.062279248578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1780:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.881990372184013, b_new = -0.2025809446100553, c_new = 3.3831158267225345
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3102.6804256688174
Acceptance probability: 5.6460182281263395e-36
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1781:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.115411416513585, b_new = -0.5753597693417505, c_new = 2.723926355656289
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3717.9550495986614
Acceptance probability: 3.4783097017350775e-303
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1782:
Current coefficients: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9412457877012703, b_new = -0.37872430460832673, c_new = 4.022351515732091
Current likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Proposed likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Acceptance probability: 32.4231159561385
Max likelihood: -3021.5183128793606
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.940327162226677, b = -0.25626449312385313, c = 3.335591629389212
Iteration 1783:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.330445508315038, b_new = -0.19386333306911735, c_new = 4.357147945431935
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10702.721441062322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1784:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.899907890124053, b_new = -0.02521359663722811, c_new = 4.615118022584216
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3052.5336875117537
Acceptance probability: 1.045536487316095e-15
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1785:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4739000754040292, b_new = 0.07414814798801406, c_new = 3.7500141870497483
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8518.804213380346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1786:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7056934971620827, b_new = -0.3650290842914019, c_new = 4.417485973880098
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5026.324885522574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1787:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0460143271161164, b_new = -1.4351245946480375, c_new = 4.288759138585225
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3048.662333444095
Acceptance probability: 5.019343324707524e-14
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1788:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.133807302754062, b_new = -0.6964113662304199, c_new = 4.142204800361583
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13052.34392292325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1789:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8063915895657816, b_new = -0.4537431083554136, c_new = 3.035304839581104
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4023.9457312818313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1790:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8978283498753474, b_new = -0.7796012029227263, c_new = 3.185310207031345
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3469.6446191299046
Acceptance probability: 7.419305433379605e-197
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1791:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6979501024710855, b_new = -0.7830868694968041, c_new = 4.625638853447642
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6101.900548079886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1792:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8763363370658728, b_new = 0.5613339334292564, c_new = 4.448304215489411
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3247.807167548674
Acceptance probability: 1.6335948342653075e-100
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1793:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.254922827185936, b_new = -0.29048636127354754, c_new = 4.8644254336163515
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7529.413763167246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1794:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3667948894216764, b_new = -0.09266380427943177, c_new = 4.073943342985551
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10201.24710725117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1795:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8090219053081826, b_new = -0.5393277799302317, c_new = 3.7911603277649246
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13091.47267897295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1796:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8717164199822625, b_new = 0.4498722811576674, c_new = 3.989422545077023
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3116.4140135983353
Acceptance probability: 1.890018572840406e-43
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1797:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9625441625321907, b_new = 0.24721803411534082, c_new = 4.606512309189795
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3567.113526577917
Acceptance probability: 3.4686029442866e-239
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1798:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.842804479273921, b_new = 0.10199755176877873, c_new = 3.378342164157416
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3115.845072876733
Acceptance probability: 3.33851927391545e-43
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1799:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.568834075878031, b_new = -0.9691670610538083, c_new = 3.7572393287053516
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10619.052295987281
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1800:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.734212554531015, b_new = -0.02269284778561742, c_new = 3.552044640632906
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13202.783858772344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1801:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8871327124659443, b_new = 0.41433983185661327, c_new = 4.173875812005949
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3167.4953831633093
Acceptance probability: 1.236258076278465e-65
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1802:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6875942878958563, b_new = -0.6243104556741546, c_new = 4.383541578259144
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12345.17616387688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1803:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.040754325304881, b_new = -0.7046063505772557, c_new = 4.3012971866890295
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3188.5008951269433
Acceptance probability: 9.322474550108771e-75
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1804:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0252987492905103, b_new = -0.6052670973855355, c_new = 4.3370888985334055
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3176.6966311053307
Acceptance probability: 1.247549923615109e-69
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1805:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4474393276159927, b_new = 0.057402245634085525, c_new = 3.7898767993841487
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8949.515852540957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1806:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.000403333021259, b_new = -0.2687242811809708, c_new = 3.3554780244889897
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3186.562409339678
Acceptance probability: 6.477462197040103e-74
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1807:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.278692827744633, b_new = 0.48875062723468177, c_new = 3.7157922341202365
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10266.65837651731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1808:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1559563845116596, b_new = -0.7974036713607369, c_new = 4.4704223359130815
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4205.166991120851
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1809:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6265639750099345, b_new = -0.17879030278452143, c_new = 3.2862790522690872
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6464.948101655746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1810:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7197000089038066, b_new = -0.3620300176687542, c_new = 5.00949057292345
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4632.434772678167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1811:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.881999759431705, b_new = -0.26759444509221325, c_new = 4.27392381887459
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3082.48575326049
Acceptance probability: 1.0264134095295102e-28
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1812:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230228099555746, b_new = -0.9596380768496015, c_new = 4.7299804093796585
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5140.516896470949
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1813:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7103980293473433, b_new = 1.3224679223009397, c_new = 3.049112348307987
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3167.5292312779616
Acceptance probability: 1.1951133353287898e-65
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1814:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.481658373520282, b_new = -0.665631964956273, c_new = 4.24114797632455
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9825.790818404248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1815:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.022623960037492, b_new = -0.5381144392677848, c_new = 4.003500569675643
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3178.4447090918093
Acceptance probability: 2.1720874708434706e-70
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1816:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863304267106306, b_new = -0.19207817794802118, c_new = 5.112727798702427
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3090.1732635669787
Acceptance probability: 4.7062935413861825e-32
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1817:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6983567209114545, b_new = -0.2551170786096081, c_new = 4.0416974709127755
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5024.199874401519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1818:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6736489879775753, b_new = 0.5572114488237857, c_new = 3.760438563690213
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13599.777101324504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1819:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2347285823553484, b_new = -0.899475501426066, c_new = 4.120403146210639
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5177.893790287179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1820:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7859465105740817, b_new = -1.2149957046643374, c_new = 4.37051393959041
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12256.47302775618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1821:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3476283423102635, b_new = -0.3056347598332648, c_new = 3.8585420387591136
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10869.170127498808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1822:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8904382715450936, b_new = -0.19625495468585508, c_new = 2.8787725874150283
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3103.0114256628335
Acceptance probability: 1.2506507720256835e-37
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1823:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.528112464922472, b_new = -0.43064738723999874, c_new = 4.028092004233196
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8696.997744842161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1824:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.350820814477639, b_new = 0.534380151126948, c_new = 4.4793201898932375
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11163.365241385718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1825:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.106188479038857, b_new = -0.3847842186943978, c_new = 3.296714559708945
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13067.014730345372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1826:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2795220596752266, b_new = -0.11749992826563577, c_new = 4.189600790667258
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8292.696624844979
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1827:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.196829331401438, b_new = -0.38203590054451997, c_new = 4.3782951956161416
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5791.8861978818695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1828:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.652990667815179, b_new = -0.5347148120826691, c_new = 4.606075589094246
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6380.335582160147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1829:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208419612626575, b_new = -0.34042381723172377, c_new = 3.768281682932199
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5926.943571351105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1830:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2688273087354984, b_new = -0.07165562133340381, c_new = 4.941072637165884
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8515.134449333635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1831:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.472340285726968, b_new = 0.8043093023500089, c_new = 4.047820453082849
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12656.036627390624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1832:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.326024373653084, b_new = -0.7925861211979865, c_new = 4.420319788823271
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15136.648916484171
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1833:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.664159154104772, b_new = -1.5195901879886016, c_new = 4.222673979158791
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8943.035529340706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1834:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4928811655380922, b_new = -0.8607929478080489, c_new = 4.442313888239405
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10157.33286441467
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1835:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9324767985202222, b_new = -0.882960605040945, c_new = 3.275626741076278
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3298.1773128579525
Acceptance probability: 2.176046597018222e-122
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1836:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1634269073661874, b_new = 0.647941898630379, c_new = 3.965178262314588
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7888.86875925268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1837:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.965566478557332, b_new = 0.10589915312208181, c_new = 3.5175363949828307
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3281.8577904952654
Acceptance probability: 2.6616239780418986e-115
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1838:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.541382194755381, b_new = -0.3364599866965159, c_new = 3.545616833886988
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11330.816809318363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1839:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0735572744297945, b_new = -0.839886773299952, c_new = 4.560734869121379
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14250.520339310242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1840:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0722564438420465, b_new = -0.4358943755090977, c_new = 4.66861193929884
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3776.4802616539805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1841:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9187946426732614, b_new = -0.780194024434304, c_new = 4.009586340464483
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3212.610199390908
Acceptance probability: 3.1549566919501983e-85
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1842:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.559286291143727, b_new = -0.5204422187238438, c_new = 3.386097805159452
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11159.144217183346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1843:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1995973718532476, b_new = -0.523159377173311, c_new = 4.364881357948734
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5483.260165819945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1844:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4230808293876542, b_new = 0.038357430006183246, c_new = 4.876080533759725
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8990.03730671697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1845:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3261106496124937, b_new = -1.321018911164242, c_new = 4.123618787900265
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -16351.274228814094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1846:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1709661431557774, b_new = 0.5625172678324742, c_new = 2.6568127116771585
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7239.728638445776
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1847:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.427746934647368, b_new = 0.2821873875555986, c_new = 4.449466231735399
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11534.181205371353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1848:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5069840683062177, b_new = -0.39130707265238307, c_new = 3.601533078673704
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9099.365896474967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1849:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4476616903569646, b_new = -1.085076450590809, c_new = 3.718078703964054
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8799.599481117079
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1850:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8546322921316705, b_new = -1.554492279185927, c_new = 3.8244188748830905
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5246.123614831771
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1851:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.473905928601013, b_new = -1.326665481945434, c_new = 4.263855078953219
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11209.915318902546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1852:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1395513779996778, b_new = -1.3136895296330546, c_new = 3.9288758946603948
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3309.1001238802155
Acceptance probability: 3.926012130134906e-127
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1853:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120922564045128, b_new = -0.836818381118247, c_new = 3.9619232550714387
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3633.978657429359
Acceptance probability: 3.1695472316624494e-268
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1854:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4875555576859716, b_new = 0.26974696342525506, c_new = 4.6312821663589
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7552.2185241333445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1855:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.613477481184429, b_new = -1.1837941194757493, c_new = 3.1905847024935823
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9409.902701921239
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1856:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.437180699953689, b_new = -0.33378102800548204, c_new = 4.423074700695374
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10485.389928913131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1857:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9269987602658327, b_new = -1.5919772483029382, c_new = 3.1967044196692016
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4341.886124333866
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1858:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.461122623877556, b_new = -0.6216548881479325, c_new = 3.491529196403128
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9917.828163710115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1859:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.497007406097918, b_new = -0.385826711020598, c_new = 4.2036929474557505
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9028.632423028948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1860:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9176520399731838, b_new = -0.10984018463092782, c_new = 4.523810382945284
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13474.727460243768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1861:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8890999856071065, b_new = -0.7927342397313191, c_new = 3.3337131144186607
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3535.3861319152074
Acceptance probability: 2.085388698400785e-225
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1862:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4490006887747424, b_new = 0.023381070511955926, c_new = 3.9928411961605526
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8931.918078709466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1863:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.054696135168948, b_new = -0.18247607235539198, c_new = 4.7751537402992685
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3976.2664800222165
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1864:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.126615088750388, b_new = -0.8149955583737887, c_new = 3.787783686523279
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3692.1311575449135
Acceptance probability: 1.7607079242345046e-293
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1865:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.517789510476706, b_new = -0.7347435082635083, c_new = 3.6445208976110903
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9681.669743599427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1866:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2067836014830653, b_new = 0.7820172689506703, c_new = 4.80489114410192
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9639.458038558652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1867:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.936460297198989, b_new = -0.17065331722350666, c_new = 3.5213795974780906
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3031.0398490640464
Acceptance probability: 2.2594078132930855e-06
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1868:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0175318128696085, b_new = -0.8518649658471039, c_new = 3.3289711671197084
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14058.177682372576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1869:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.257230450027354, b_new = -0.7356120005275246, c_new = 3.0905075331894465
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5687.95432309795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1870:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4111165277278133, b_new = 0.32751723002557276, c_new = 3.3208553372483918
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9059.511604050558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1871:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.26040372995631, b_new = -0.025174829167006918, c_new = 4.291046591338987
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8190.586717761805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1872:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8285600958883435, b_new = -0.7753175077257894, c_new = 4.226415678169235
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3990.550017154159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1873:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6931001245857775, b_new = 0.20613630767883617, c_new = 4.120418413527912
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13384.529696811767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1874:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097138360039061, b_new = 0.16258446612559996, c_new = 3.8192440763483253
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5026.507880930067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1875:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.061480544885721, b_new = -0.2890368501555278, c_new = 4.412296090199868
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14670.619925616726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1876:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120774347664851, b_new = -0.012134574855967029, c_new = 4.580070777796486
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5296.371399974994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1877:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8456287259550366, b_new = -0.25600531094176904, c_new = 4.281869624287102
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13734.233053170443
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1878:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4165162738863364, b_new = -0.28679337969741125, c_new = 3.1598123369206155
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10271.205219221034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1879:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.397325595563352, b_new = -0.5714483675881135, c_new = 4.366986460735094
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9389.09997669176
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1880:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.677055511640187, b_new = -1.2619899334024494, c_new = 4.177470647149655
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11301.157779753525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1881:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5265971836083065, b_new = -0.45149128359749024, c_new = 3.198924019439665
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10894.850593206804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1882:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7656695538072946, b_new = 1.1690566523071109, c_new = 4.1610030813584045
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3181.282162395977
Acceptance probability: 1.2722925900800086e-71
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1883:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9318069103886994, b_new = -1.0370613137956703, c_new = 3.5458535027068736
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3408.291637076258
Acceptance probability: 3.2781196751533876e-170
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1884:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6903666908644372, b_new = -0.375584626928106, c_new = 4.729931024237381
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5232.529236285252
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1885:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6828096713191227, b_new = -0.7621198744266782, c_new = 5.550861876295333
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6039.333511302817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1886:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.96134259310038, b_new = -0.6206256200038736, c_new = 3.4922465590336875
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3030.323760615177
Acceptance probability: 4.623681264476935e-06
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1887:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5753602538945253, b_new = -0.6401854742319929, c_new = 3.655715586346935
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8527.076531619987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1888:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.253240429298623, b_new = -1.158873884439459, c_new = 4.129804469625368
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4939.056679984059
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1889:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.475330600213244, b_new = -0.10433682173980446, c_new = 4.41012046832564
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8672.647982500497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1890:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6416790131631487, b_new = -0.9102952993320411, c_new = 3.731544880197914
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7942.1015847358685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1891:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1847820222504204, b_new = 0.1266163710982917, c_new = 4.161402967023775
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6879.337045614073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1892:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8147940088091143, b_new = 0.14794164470857718, c_new = 3.2015674376961565
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13750.404750585118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1893:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.01573318911012, b_new = -0.4359464777185841, c_new = 3.4546083588586667
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3165.580401478429
Acceptance probability: 8.390254231080518e-65
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1894:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.530806597517689, b_new = -0.18856968596014947, c_new = 3.750775210107311
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8171.522125492249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1895:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9485040542930965, b_new = -0.1140427230180367, c_new = 3.190687323744213
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3056.765301169253
Acceptance probability: 1.5190523206483484e-17
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1896:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7347626981100475, b_new = -0.4763780735556355, c_new = 4.485542894159343
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12886.753149537186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1897:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.311307615792204, b_new = -0.6926896867854118, c_new = 4.387389604306871
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11698.75732697775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1898:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6781012923937535, b_new = 0.11525866472684271, c_new = 4.021736193614879
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4614.423218795346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1899:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.07429432155779, b_new = 0.25576357843947706, c_new = 3.002220793692114
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4603.83674529239
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1900:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1691222953573845, b_new = -0.4185128498129234, c_new = 4.157331557041033
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5093.760996936014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1901:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8493596793165903, b_new = 0.1591102101313333, c_new = 3.336646288787414
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13958.96999695219
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1902:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.238883322805186, b_new = -0.6714921719810851, c_new = 4.0139098897377865
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5778.562153010811
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1903:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6263262232907625, b_new = -0.20146946782238426, c_new = 4.243217131227345
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12438.889584589575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1904:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2404677898955745, b_new = -0.5699620707875738, c_new = 4.064483889308365
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6097.829331554944
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1905:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304334075248551, b_new = -0.11189052457677645, c_new = 4.149406170875787
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8801.879067443493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1906:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.108131242130462, b_new = -0.7993919858722124, c_new = 4.021923065966426
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13359.45766113257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1907:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.59875227678708, b_new = 0.006654863465938132, c_new = 3.646453198856239
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6421.43986082415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1908:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.544230350541244, b_new = -1.0353078939368159, c_new = 4.594186350058342
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9614.211042365925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1909:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.489043483022048, b_new = -0.7947768225976855, c_new = 4.029574961866126
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10106.535006025617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1910:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.727391558888179, b_new = 0.61334100992583, c_new = 4.057493789785858
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3383.301531869578
Acceptance probability: 2.3371662050134167e-159
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1911:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.001556738059449, b_new = 0.0038992085310438074, c_new = 4.012049906719907
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13036.195905343255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1912:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.483060286499288, b_new = -0.33541365983433014, c_new = 3.8546707549402286
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9246.18964474092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1913:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6331424825831498, b_new = -0.7088167349577241, c_new = 4.2538970857552405
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11769.693289907582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1914:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9913137569557815, b_new = -0.1293050794935592, c_new = 4.10104173187738
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3317.8869199008213
Acceptance probability: 5.996455453505706e-131
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1915:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.628984410404789, b_new = 0.11408534642829343, c_new = 4.330616860533264
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5369.8645735714845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1916:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7519457804163667, b_new = -1.666259020941359, c_new = 4.090247412929512
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7610.618175478739
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1917:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.231735541170708, b_new = 0.255067258689163, c_new = 3.9390599647907827
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11068.455751733349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1918:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9741523164606307, b_new = -0.8307070385794666, c_new = 4.015420710634397
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3033.7753996505758
Acceptance probability: 1.465413207934042e-07
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1919:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5098126089080983, b_new = 1.0501141909921987, c_new = 3.6251008266626674
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5661.758356377604
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1920:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.41556107449167, b_new = -0.487796524609557, c_new = 3.7311949005110314
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10477.925202487611
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1921:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.23082358987108, b_new = 0.0016374491409273384, c_new = 4.44757066840876
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11324.683254838112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1922:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.925234602751879, b_new = -0.026194827603799486, c_new = 3.2417508870843443
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3037.132171602577
Acceptance probability: 5.106608523714075e-09
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1923:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.628527131509797, b_new = 0.0918338144221964, c_new = 4.39806213855332
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12896.711120138672
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1924:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8324439263520835, b_new = 0.31970290441540616, c_new = 4.742961660866863
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3079.605385892411
Acceptance probability: 1.829152736169135e-27
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1925:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1645192566637066, b_new = -0.5078987560585848, c_new = 4.091735751063254
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4797.667955345073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1926:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.148955891179348, b_new = -0.28429072183572957, c_new = 3.650130500575138
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12569.96520134111
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1927:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.413371294972509, b_new = 0.3143315151756273, c_new = 3.9865230053125584
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8842.481865761678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1928:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.739836431491031, b_new = -0.3197288095947123, c_new = 4.690257466622132
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13171.777909205266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1929:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6898964078334826, b_new = -0.5415626132401966, c_new = 3.802699013625099
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5935.643349768166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1930:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9356457784115753, b_new = -0.13286028064390615, c_new = 4.654949409412547
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14366.42388551954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1931:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.426250197273576, b_new = -0.028311962658652323, c_new = 3.9897530486074357
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9358.012437996862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1932:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.555877173660297, b_new = -0.1790652456176989, c_new = 4.083821190604425
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7572.660570505275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1933:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3891861189209225, b_new = -0.6714562065497601, c_new = 4.9965399896899285
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9248.00053291523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1934:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9229852010524553, b_new = -0.7679576952108778, c_new = 3.9284801696963867
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3189.5486561514613
Acceptance probability: 3.2695981210872036e-75
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1935:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.314494995317577, b_new = 0.5782431522386672, c_new = 3.8312032970933445
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9663.869598188881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1936:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.378441626869151, b_new = -0.5252295058248999, c_new = 5.004219633371021
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9423.959661978912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1937:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5895588533261815, b_new = -0.3730935085021362, c_new = 4.530493434245074
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7257.674727090812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1938:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.499179293939473, b_new = 0.025262576873186615, c_new = 3.8475404790591634
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11609.636006671752
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1939:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.463481321775332, b_new = 0.6611349262100611, c_new = 4.553254474351387
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12524.773480572565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1940:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.131015714297753, b_new = -0.4367555177339248, c_new = 3.8139158716301695
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4339.605472574485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1941:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.717784404502606, b_new = 0.40950945868759914, c_new = 4.614892197452943
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3588.633259724488
Acceptance probability: 1.5640593571570082e-248
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1942:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8430561872221287, b_new = -0.47748900318999543, c_new = 3.564721010575383
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3551.905085905563
Acceptance probability: 1.396678509478244e-232
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1943:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.49841489146237, b_new = -0.8895932319966244, c_new = 3.3204412957720675
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9824.859395848505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1944:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5840011758804162, b_new = -0.34685264734189836, c_new = 4.292813569201778
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7383.701616879118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1945:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4005085767752345, b_new = -0.2975433406576787, c_new = 4.867209500242839
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10229.682911189708
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1946:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.851091031491355, b_new = -1.73755185159555, c_new = 2.798655139598975
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6191.419605183876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1947:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8906585739937896, b_new = -0.17736818934996115, c_new = 3.9450152956060873
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13952.071700479552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1948:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.923804383076669, b_new = -0.07116564366355094, c_new = 4.274432393079963
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3063.74797870802
Acceptance probability: 1.4094004587093873e-20
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1949:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.283462072731077, b_new = 0.13742397869745404, c_new = 3.9478351710993613
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8988.597407026806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1950:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.765464330871018, b_new = -0.7378862496886651, c_new = 3.872670890088252
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4955.887479550012
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1951:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.014238273581962, b_new = -0.45160936214401415, c_new = 3.461768783383961
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13615.457617805827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1952:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.421481535213942, b_new = 0.2550502886587511, c_new = 4.47031782532126
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8697.557776424243
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1953:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1147568761727262, b_new = -0.7690139010193116, c_new = 3.590942361870243
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3600.2959566189465
Acceptance probability: 1.346506100724901e-253
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1954:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.993791544537564, b_new = -0.6368030599420529, c_new = 4.193024690874904
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3040.7503907998716
Acceptance probability: 1.3701241902965306e-10
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1955:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.062581064946153, b_new = -0.7629446414043975, c_new = 4.767420517829379
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3326.2374566507992
Acceptance probability: 1.4167805310783144e-134
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1956:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0648892994265653, b_new = -1.4247660705843987, c_new = 4.759130869011923
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3023.7586789343677
Acceptance probability: 0.0032822120485361574
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1957:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6209740147220195, b_new = -0.3277525546018136, c_new = 3.7229978095058
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12077.809041400018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1958:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.746062712293836, b_new = -0.6309494934080491, c_new = 4.159779550067277
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4973.675321459137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1959:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.327879552557427, b_new = -0.7567062679785597, c_new = 4.003618349194479
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11768.318694632502
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1960:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3618954204290685, b_new = 0.31896800991290497, c_new = 4.457835509279596
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9377.057564907316
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1961:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4763975795673425, b_new = -0.06958123586424397, c_new = 3.5183240762671666
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11124.248376234611
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1962:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.792154814723636, b_new = -0.6167046885373184, c_new = 3.7252884334803373
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4330.191774700893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1963:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1951083961600224, b_new = -0.1900007979844678, c_new = 4.1248431152469145
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6181.981786979933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1964:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7669234553735333, b_new = -0.36346947694453724, c_new = 4.18091844890321
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13149.213327382658
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1965:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3931395819087875, b_new = -0.2600099302508299, c_new = 3.228810323201193
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10478.298754702962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1966:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9432941017889958, b_new = -1.0803999614836215, c_new = 3.2306204478435383
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3413.958728548424
Acceptance probability: 1.1335436531731512e-172
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1967:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1696723466394587, b_new = 0.1030999288834959, c_new = 4.028324886902703
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6412.424466447803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1968:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625517375138538, b_new = -0.568648348823939, c_new = 3.7526491091560956
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7339.992950100502
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1969:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7758549880190664, b_new = 0.34980189754077073, c_new = 4.251420052604096
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14029.496024572138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1970:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9877729305645309, b_new = 0.4197049649226303, c_new = 5.301088602338345
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12330.958035374115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1971:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1575876166050176, b_new = -0.5330711580318319, c_new = 3.7909679689263616
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4553.051754542394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1972:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0815499469482175, b_new = -0.9248989573435507, c_new = 4.622431540481558
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3299.7258606197433
Acceptance probability: 4.62532701327816e-123
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1973:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7830682876112545, b_new = -0.4187545109010698, c_new = 3.3883532642465193
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12979.163984786293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1974:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4942906288496576, b_new = 0.33360978626154414, c_new = 3.997545765235393
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7489.140205655454
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1975:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.334763197046079, b_new = -0.3240257007316832, c_new = 3.8455020612587854
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11039.91280431293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1976:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.816473023795623, b_new = -0.8051270459975057, c_new = 4.380468393610771
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4162.462657728536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1977:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2281453693453463, b_new = 0.2510801065618783, c_new = 3.7461315975245504
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8062.784246258369
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1978:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.301462991539842, b_new = -0.9637948872003357, c_new = 3.8432748931802396
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6264.237117132661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1979:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3790043624988026, b_new = 0.038221659292418, c_new = 4.262183351460437
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10432.803390428098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1980:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5060494364611277, b_new = -0.38538705891285824, c_new = 4.470696089458503
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8795.660092387432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1981:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.459512407586823, b_new = -0.034464807538000075, c_new = 3.8112675190221172
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8960.577471199711
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1982:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.690436359663936, b_new = -0.6143409316020685, c_new = 3.3030539284090503
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6294.6737324738315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1983:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.627655805375757, b_new = 0.4728546078822562, c_new = 4.608604619828182
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13452.678877941456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1984:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6069905851279, b_new = -0.6363221539212882, c_new = 4.141857178789716
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7738.823931187036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1985:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7724425205382706, b_new = 0.10028210189835685, c_new = 4.628573519361139
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3423.7724965562074
Acceptance probability: 6.199732582418716e-177
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1986:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4824033000566956, b_new = -0.8892970214929933, c_new = 3.9196618625012256
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10379.872211858563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1987:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5205799000052873, b_new = 0.6026619822477517, c_new = 3.4206345948028827
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6548.144440502162
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1988:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4428664538632616, b_new = -0.2582565283648153, c_new = 4.158970832957086
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10613.73014429635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1989:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5794621135162523, b_new = -0.23087685396596982, c_new = 3.045043987679641
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7635.898422878058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1990:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.711444206221241, b_new = -0.5200035665227983, c_new = 4.549967954962052
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5227.458861064136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1991:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5049028741352024, b_new = -0.6782136759967179, c_new = 3.9121672419142235
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9647.351293413969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1992:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4115359369818132, b_new = 0.7277632341446875, c_new = 5.199087567895908
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12393.827624736576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1993:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.194101546754331, b_new = -1.015949267427346, c_new = 4.066786286945058
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4269.614286991817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1994:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2413092147777913, b_new = -0.8276529715218905, c_new = 4.536618263301149
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5606.175529294651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1995:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.038602622197551, b_new = -0.8008744192176787, c_new = 3.834897513225861
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3096.0985919183727
Acceptance probability: 1.2570183137824946e-34
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1996:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7555946243562115, b_new = -0.6334980830220072, c_new = 3.95105996683005
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12683.887900166344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1997:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9287854803980533, b_new = -0.987935453511269, c_new = 3.8242944472875733
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3341.826662960617
Acceptance probability: 2.404342330856893e-141
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1998:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3636074231160547, b_new = -0.30469330370799474, c_new = 3.5708729850340672
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9175.474115427893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 1999:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.174694571490066, b_new = -1.2124460317127976, c_new = 4.496453355877271
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3801.813191229434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2000:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9696824020810673, b_new = -0.3439901188258325, c_new = 4.341393496444639
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3087.5033912180106
Acceptance probability: 6.795005930107381e-31
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2001:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1881733696937316, b_new = -0.6433655219687056, c_new = 4.526344947744978
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5038.038490125159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2002:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6205530717825702, b_new = 0.006114459644872117, c_new = 4.263152895605068
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12687.603222814509
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2003:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9856635940047567, b_new = -0.40925564314064244, c_new = 3.6674202757429213
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13660.778110764393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2004:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1297961008102755, b_new = -0.050484894024251825, c_new = 3.5733888068317357
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5047.305574604519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2005:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.456295882792692, b_new = -1.1397432775395577, c_new = 3.3320515917013678
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8691.757690681377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2006:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.198298569377582, b_new = -0.31302931880083, c_new = 3.1918268294422187
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5594.233282715246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2007:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5188423573009766, b_new = 0.23489682706886983, c_new = 3.8348597280787677
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7332.610792790681
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2008:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7037866765109206, b_new = -0.8152818926568559, c_new = 3.44895743201796
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6500.464130152593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2009:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.902386105762736, b_new = -0.7893684879664951, c_new = 4.242349085292341
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3295.110723022367
Acceptance probability: 4.671660077183408e-121
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2010:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.56871712007328, b_new = -0.008301123109038244, c_new = 4.133182311819389
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6882.179621841077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2011:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.28671256411644, b_new = -0.5698732031845406, c_new = 3.2105725317786655
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12075.619494169798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2012:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.652819155770739, b_new = -0.40156396387208976, c_new = 3.207933811259679
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6541.789103312778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2013:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.489231124394053, b_new = -0.6806247925459954, c_new = 3.7230442372009382
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9934.531983872084
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2014:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.414921313607192, b_new = -0.4825901166123597, c_new = 3.6042144388842785
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9596.490443600924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2015:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0462690422344156, b_new = -0.42442982734420664, c_new = 4.333394804274791
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3478.32874735911
Acceptance probability: 1.2557242467974016e-200
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2016:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.38142218730791, b_new = 0.09232857540166922, c_new = 3.927496672817088
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9723.16348559592
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2017:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8221676145392864, b_new = 0.39184214970127695, c_new = 3.4832842812829705
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3080.8379053890485
Acceptance probability: 5.33302420483836e-28
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2018:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1068917809815426, b_new = -1.1634052890220858, c_new = 4.173285264875083
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13738.833110443651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2019:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.27283369970751, b_new = -0.016048925866700647, c_new = 4.326317633590485
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8498.698440201095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2020:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3994563941236224, b_new = -1.581468360422941, c_new = 4.6377637148010376
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6955.389200771075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2021:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.855873473896315, b_new = -0.412851641383293, c_new = 4.214233923424454
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3298.853465587743
Acceptance probability: 1.1066716674662903e-122
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2022:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.691688501120795, b_new = -0.7110680072257696, c_new = 4.234344378674873
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6181.433541775996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2023:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.004399040824016, b_new = -1.0471478777093122, c_new = 3.792550833415362
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3044.5814919233308
Acceptance probability: 2.9712134788666948e-12
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2024:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3347043644553955, b_new = -1.0731015037957778, c_new = 3.4830541663099193
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12359.317080489574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2025:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4847663003122173, b_new = -0.20727657130276636, c_new = 3.6127172923178366
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9025.62764230567
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2026:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.925389241975587, b_new = 0.21972169467013325, c_new = 4.667930512553671
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14667.204531057992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2027:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.048018852735752, b_new = -0.189528139845193, c_new = 3.686416511281798
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14548.19243329244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2028:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.070614320998148, b_new = -0.13634901085175788, c_new = 5.163724508569813
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4367.528673751587
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2029:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.306190738551862, b_new = 0.24286999347528337, c_new = 4.791710518451913
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10011.137381128076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2030:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2245441631703673, b_new = -1.4039996767523197, c_new = 3.605792439294512
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13526.53239113794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2031:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3023898437044332, b_new = -0.41922371112639006, c_new = 3.6690942142737466
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7715.559145181376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2032:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2731595142190315, b_new = -0.6619938758245414, c_new = 3.780164582337914
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6448.764287114494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2033:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5795579595174862, b_new = -0.7657328736618652, c_new = 3.756761642857883
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11063.223545887258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2034:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.152389790346634, b_new = -0.7090953012176106, c_new = 3.476161810543794
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13135.73922586526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2035:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9670122767177336, b_new = -0.37194157168823333, c_new = 3.6217512180697504
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13723.583611259579
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2036:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6070772260100803, b_new = -0.9270268080659904, c_new = 4.0830628458317815
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11158.916064111554
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2037:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8874638085154725, b_new = 0.7653403325526672, c_new = 4.654776954171519
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12676.056156778603
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2038:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9957285132651128, b_new = -0.6406542417410301, c_new = 4.080092994625426
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13752.63299887182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2039:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6880282552232213, b_new = -0.9224876273527597, c_new = 3.587086875676657
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15277.966660579505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2040:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.626436120719417, b_new = -0.7730727818701307, c_new = 4.2613539374693445
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7670.048827634571
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2041:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5927724720819993, b_new = -0.650231090445075, c_new = 3.466234090789019
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8306.919234433886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2042:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.109541799721459, b_new = -0.7946761011426002, c_new = 4.1588533013043065
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3603.487371742317
Acceptance probability: 5.535977902344549e-255
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2043:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3506638813688303, b_new = 0.00190845856005728, c_new = 4.317464483657838
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9963.291420903233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2044:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1577886535966497, b_new = -0.3430284282538422, c_new = 4.304765196652805
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5107.55964497772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2045:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6892004377727723, b_new = -1.6049884139532944, c_new = 3.6363680482476997
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8945.606230364447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2046:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8859830643988063, b_new = 0.12730453827629462, c_new = 4.354009366491689
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3058.0347945751946
Acceptance probability: 4.268140934985844e-18
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2047:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8241527885331354, b_new = -0.26231725192914235, c_new = 4.413774774721883
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3374.27105261845
Acceptance probability: 1.9524364440540562e-155
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2048:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.589077830624886, b_new = -0.7214319196170533, c_new = 3.8803321680063054
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11258.908220054722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2049:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8947081143439246, b_new = -1.2595147907604805, c_new = 4.53573531314771
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3865.5195630243215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2050:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5020651946458536, b_new = 0.04860787155284113, c_new = 3.4094324088371457
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8226.093222488515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2051:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7613858299476886, b_new = -0.31368702250061575, c_new = 3.837764092349028
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4205.257335777719
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2052:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.548481283654268, b_new = -0.44556306879866103, c_new = 3.3741363366856434
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8627.268154756857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2053:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2514512582742094, b_new = 0.6031229554850923, c_new = 3.6984187198734046
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9529.840813973991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2054:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0469405803153915, b_new = -0.987378033531236, c_new = 3.8674893204332252
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3057.696397296352
Acceptance probability: 5.986911279972918e-18
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2055:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.02785112758162, b_new = -0.13389742682979813, c_new = 4.2497629556113345
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3641.4379159023874
Acceptance probability: 1.8259228939216244e-271
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2056:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0856794838572768, b_new = -0.8698857201562191, c_new = 3.9505582267242523
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3304.04613266812
Acceptance probability: 6.149957748607779e-125
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2057:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2857352295772406, b_new = 0.7861091453215007, c_new = 3.8877873566269487
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10618.688940858056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2058:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.368575856911133, b_new = -1.1074195747401796, c_new = 4.82631629262441
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7651.603299755501
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2059:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.742733720933551, b_new = 0.3003490468141137, c_new = 3.776759880306839
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3577.06890101877
Acceptance probability: 1.6466086914616828e-243
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2060:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6947853819865082, b_new = -0.5964429438039375, c_new = 3.5319378781699275
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15006.73755022405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2061:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.469210167090806, b_new = -0.7709051747349698, c_new = 3.806223945006537
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10348.768580823375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2062:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9955977266795335, b_new = 0.006436206885807372, c_new = 3.2475138315850445
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3366.379065245977
Acceptance probability: 5.224244241595054e-152
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2063:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.95840950631667, b_new = -0.7743506420683393, c_new = 4.401893707218256
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3034.5431991156606
Acceptance probability: 6.800001847042942e-08
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2064:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7103956405338487, b_new = -0.2570128942119133, c_new = 3.8973306647141497
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12851.482625867211
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2065:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7636542431134634, b_new = 0.18620294579367325, c_new = 4.838162750455798
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13942.070992251032
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2066:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7980533769854556, b_new = -0.009094021717607481, c_new = 4.379194395548871
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3351.545902854573
Acceptance probability: 1.4453866810056945e-145
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2067:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4219116958158238, b_new = -0.7263422628121461, c_new = 3.7899585696454046
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9224.600845011066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2068:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.80545196392349, b_new = -0.6128919279121796, c_new = 3.8271254249638584
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4114.74646597008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2069:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.976059652720033, b_new = -0.09998800651936957, c_new = 3.9406390057834386
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3228.0247341387135
Acceptance probability: 6.375966403446494e-92
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2070:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2517146442154417, b_new = -0.7306166582386426, c_new = 3.5595760979424247
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5738.820845631242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2071:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9212640351147274, b_new = -1.142619232101636, c_new = 4.470405701597818
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3460.6881066389915
Acceptance probability: 5.75608504753403e-193
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2072:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6869726734566806, b_new = -0.6650045008774204, c_new = 4.218992944184467
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12241.583901941685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2073:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0371502746517844, b_new = -0.5847870164076756, c_new = 3.3209289226554293
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3171.542648283376
Acceptance probability: 2.159753733093395e-67
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2074:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0843769533529457, b_new = -0.5792376366952949, c_new = 3.8274781940561637
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3569.0694617192885
Acceptance probability: 4.905719919355e-240
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2075:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8799657505088445, b_new = -0.004089398593321192, c_new = 4.446184835184539
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13564.189760786338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2076:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.84564075595831, b_new = -0.4280157259984582, c_new = 3.1122102203678152
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3545.3730106688145
Acceptance probability: 9.592695997797622e-230
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2077:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5905565770542396, b_new = -1.139977452969756, c_new = 3.885809888331693
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15663.285095750638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2078:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4306012871302514, b_new = -0.8603914200510755, c_new = 6.067690040071678
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9866.292166268284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2079:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0640671756494444, b_new = -0.6832167420347336, c_new = 5.083107412623786
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3460.155248391554
Acceptance probability: 9.807190212542354e-193
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2080:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.261044066569453, b_new = 0.05172754311267874, c_new = 3.31668980391564
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8024.349445743931
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2081:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.011056822644034, b_new = 0.4660851937635586, c_new = 3.973778532608225
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4323.41827834909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2082:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836595874326552, b_new = 0.14379041008684101, c_new = 4.208791341316864
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3090.3440820534333
Acceptance probability: 3.967285778525987e-32
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2083:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4431478766514467, b_new = 0.5531405654133573, c_new = 4.810925007684014
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12261.532097206558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2084:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.464834648001096, b_new = -0.015137656800263799, c_new = 3.8074369923650204
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11188.16112927444
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2085:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.705478372067584, b_new = -0.7601071356907037, c_new = 3.8761082098918136
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6157.174773015056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2086:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9913915676945733, b_new = -0.3206050499596906, c_new = 3.602909031024266
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13553.69335214457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2087:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.200633738784016, b_new = -0.3741214876963752, c_new = 4.559265316643605
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12078.288138430611
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2088:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0040489810586064, b_new = -0.12183461142902413, c_new = 4.724772973835058
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3517.3982929447825
Acceptance probability: 1.3527147381886523e-217
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2089:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7221003736164056, b_new = -0.5224075837242104, c_new = 4.1283312655297335
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5166.87846325171
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2090:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6363763108099376, b_new = 0.07810583803543758, c_new = 2.850656275432417
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5774.490697649704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2091:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8990074731616735, b_new = -0.9140885124798097, c_new = 3.8655296814875726
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3496.5303415900553
Acceptance probability: 1.5633000572469877e-208
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2092:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8457946041471693, b_new = -0.7014629315608094, c_new = 4.6590534656158304
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3614.761139301584
Acceptance probability: 7.031683370226818e-260
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2093:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9811504466717427, b_new = -1.9413584374926915, c_new = 4.328133429815629
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3942.301878938277
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2094:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.711071296907592, b_new = -0.8971333126717403, c_new = 3.8271071935619876
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6423.885943479165
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2095:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.865311842815185, b_new = -1.565775477928801, c_new = 4.257785527276323
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12319.827747940584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2096:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.826189800012929, b_new = -0.005575470297383867, c_new = 4.4664550301831305
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3177.2325453984827
Acceptance probability: 7.29983953652476e-70
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2097:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9123652116699907, b_new = -0.5651786818987081, c_new = 4.644503161879067
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3077.9971854240557
Acceptance probability: 9.134453309152533e-27
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2098:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1375666224399166, b_new = -0.9323958619035511, c_new = 4.555908464749911
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3783.19847314628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2099:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.712992459774993, b_new = -0.22112044995727964, c_new = 4.191261931667394
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4669.6170064562175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2100:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.672665161796076, b_new = -1.5086486097607335, c_new = 3.109798179000996
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9229.368339719178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2101:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226499874500826, b_new = 0.10163210464498107, c_new = 4.101111045994118
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7731.341264237082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2102:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0610476060040566, b_new = -0.567009607743381, c_new = 3.1473084901055035
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3309.6109396271486
Acceptance probability: 2.3556305441353386e-127
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2103:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.377502165310073, b_new = -0.16716835321708284, c_new = 4.4102501070554645
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10019.300022764108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2104:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.051222004996329, b_new = 0.1419865252974991, c_new = 4.176000668911923
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4346.05804626979
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2105:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4691191443795355, b_new = -0.8458931056880865, c_new = 4.145544102898123
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9780.766989579044
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2106:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.326833401891421, b_new = -0.6519428983544601, c_new = 3.5798837940199304
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11742.127736679258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2107:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.404084613696001, b_new = -0.6488178436205547, c_new = 3.9270978308228286
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10847.15944731049
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2108:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3223166952712875, b_new = -0.40032813551726126, c_new = 4.205533843973195
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8395.760191592046
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2109:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.683917947602674, b_new = 0.5468520502873105, c_new = 4.395140447341392
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13814.369996861233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2110:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.28451297319487, b_new = -0.9826606170966533, c_new = 3.861566595786062
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12498.77686698463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2111:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9445003003727117, b_new = 0.4371923230334027, c_new = 4.218283313013741
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12818.06956909108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2112:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.996604323807916, b_new = -0.8261820779869744, c_new = 3.408936522523155
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3029.022676046876
Acceptance probability: 1.6984068652892577e-05
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2113:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9920913425646507, b_new = -0.11830072938464997, c_new = 3.9760766213426058
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3317.3512150246725
Acceptance probability: 1.024585683922383e-130
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2114:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8820414978143427, b_new = -0.14481242340582604, c_new = 4.1151557457779475
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13985.340997338673
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2115:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8314040030601633, b_new = -0.48497466889889385, c_new = 3.613333978287986
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3666.049990885036
Acceptance probability: 3.737610841250888e-282
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2116:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.007576983403658, b_new = 0.35483735023748975, c_new = 4.109896567680202
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4112.1476825967475
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2117:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.635151821474466, b_new = 0.03801875353511974, c_new = 3.608736888203734
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5647.085721152165
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2118:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.835027036123212, b_new = -0.8145848838891064, c_new = 4.3206699203744625
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3951.35796218169
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2119:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0242739719528373, b_new = -0.14386065403674922, c_new = 3.661670086992461
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13166.048471760394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2120:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0557531232167507, b_new = -0.168252716163739, c_new = 3.9561675879537836
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12934.615244858694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2121:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.169046314038606, b_new = -0.4031089321719561, c_new = 3.942787228392213
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5062.313042377069
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2122:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.723310895450271, b_new = -0.5651102661203159, c_new = 4.139390896655513
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5238.493036630812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2123:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1970463917791925, b_new = -0.55461209114628, c_new = 4.330812473055593
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12409.42326183792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2124:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.994957488362248, b_new = -1.1492174267041328, c_new = 3.2790457958988726
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3155.9299268871964
Acceptance probability: 1.3029356982993415e-60
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2125:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7647588037647384, b_new = 0.40963634537703764, c_new = 2.874087674495791
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3396.479685329519
Acceptance probability: 4.420692110923114e-165
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2126:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5046616857628843, b_new = 0.13715986411590053, c_new = 3.8250829055862
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7826.266785264088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2127:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.405983706202794, b_new = -0.45628064722965994, c_new = 4.223537765064345
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10370.086773466484
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2128:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.000801775028215, b_new = -0.5095437089029403, c_new = 3.626216933190998
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3079.1536126370206
Acceptance probability: 2.873773944867596e-27
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2129:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.932898750021112, b_new = -1.1877435382636254, c_new = 3.7701856156123617
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3526.3174448529485
Acceptance probability: 1.809954947800249e-221
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2130:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5757417667218543, b_new = -0.00031299053884265016, c_new = 4.03812744024795
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6757.952418097261
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2131:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1099623285164064, b_new = -1.1244988686617994, c_new = 3.410581101392043
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13881.703668898823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2132:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8595037223717497, b_new = -0.6352696870287817, c_new = 3.9521522115644134
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13309.72740706896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2133:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.376255319837637, b_new = -0.8540654425250794, c_new = 4.62324764268212
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8409.025972889998
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2134:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.835429305660068, b_new = -0.13824963222458342, c_new = 3.850456076431485
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3255.0472813730476
Acceptance probability: 1.1716634144278362e-103
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2135:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.463129572578064, b_new = -0.8094769648716817, c_new = 3.5372077186991344
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9577.580684315615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2136:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8435220908738144, b_new = 0.005441171012112167, c_new = 3.953099888033224
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3124.614410685656
Acceptance probability: 5.188942610978214e-47
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2137:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4890657784144237, b_new = -0.26309604751581267, c_new = 4.5271255673288024
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8770.118065884313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2138:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.411632833504804, b_new = -0.010612112333900303, c_new = 3.523012927166851
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10504.250299654164
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2139:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9965065313231447, b_new = -0.8079510338836963, c_new = 3.5708972499185685
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14047.89846233411
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2140:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6251065858022151, b_new = -1.0811723221838077, c_new = 4.025701157341958
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15491.595925830818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2141:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.538179968183192, b_new = -0.31539608467463154, c_new = 4.031117117232185
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8247.854829208922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2142:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2492052181740165, b_new = -0.358805137388022, c_new = 4.094722950489535
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11806.914079135655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2143:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305298485649164, b_new = -1.1813718109498335, c_new = 4.117282476074138
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5871.354828718221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2144:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.013171396964224, b_new = 0.6348677060936748, c_new = 4.512872829523726
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4860.539875600978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2145:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1659559577091354, b_new = 0.4761827013648514, c_new = 4.601894673660973
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7700.8121294550065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2146:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.259916700151053, b_new = -0.2726935637191983, c_new = 3.744994130394474
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7236.306272661066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2147:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.085226353385162, b_new = 0.15683842830763917, c_new = 3.852298288244248
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12377.553098076414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2148:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7149858042061448, b_new = -0.23838181245585852, c_new = 3.5848900095705676
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12823.375859089636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2149:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.121909579448695, b_new = -1.309201381488036, c_new = 3.04869722623794
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14123.045638318425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2150:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.534676701840206, b_new = -0.38264369620096694, c_new = 4.339964960387409
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8360.283024780292
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2151:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4264243460945574, b_new = 0.24862489384187236, c_new = 3.8651653003965674
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8829.1921529001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2152:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1718729068765406, b_new = -0.8893052795389642, c_new = 3.7803187994623237
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4117.906683894203
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2153:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.235895953000771, b_new = -0.4407576491042596, c_new = 3.73954310264823
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14997.072000086015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2154:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.954117691822884, b_new = -0.7076372242966977, c_new = 4.533755544306239
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3024.852391799673
Acceptance probability: 0.001099444151008216
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2155:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.127846323174561, b_new = 0.6057311984729346, c_new = 3.9462594590539024
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6913.31899321317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2156:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.936984069806811, b_new = -0.555773293531958, c_new = 3.81818984185091
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3045.368901203481
Acceptance probability: 1.351967809724187e-12
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2157:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.32713508877785, b_new = -0.7748757010953347, c_new = 4.48202904967167
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7563.867818741421
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2158:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.940561598042869, b_new = 0.5567354334993039, c_new = 3.638059335255966
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3570.208763034311
Acceptance probability: 1.5700391255378324e-240
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2159:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230094899188768, b_new = -0.691303650772076, c_new = 4.195832710565849
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5610.986676447992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2160:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3442511803653785, b_new = 0.6997701004577276, c_new = 3.915478299753671
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11210.245802649055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2161:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.102170071562593, b_new = 0.27592053032698294, c_new = 3.7368112243352045
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15133.492176124248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2162:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1207333559900574, b_new = 0.16368853558783492, c_new = 4.125705376312471
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12052.822751293686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2163:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.627880513224273, b_new = -0.9611956327077721, c_new = 4.949264760760491
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7875.027780214476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2164:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0346069238596054, b_new = -0.24339949547006937, c_new = 4.9972819970520685
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12887.790651956837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2165:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.320859961939826, b_new = -0.8629981631132331, c_new = 4.455325514929431
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11858.647177804867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2166:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4737139929124647, b_new = 0.044003826600114704, c_new = 3.7769736352477783
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11372.230521040106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2167:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.13897744932016, b_new = 0.0073553194133170186, c_new = 3.7822190454944606
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5421.4097839448295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2168:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.990856881205865, b_new = -0.9520098567559497, c_new = 4.314980603977349
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14034.498119633718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2169:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.455134999096884, b_new = -0.8069233441510912, c_new = 3.888916097494358
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9582.457871064822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2170:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.793301357739102, b_new = 0.173056389544331, c_new = 3.046737984093374
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3373.5169216133986
Acceptance probability: 4.15041801714437e-155
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2171:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0954840173343667, b_new = -0.5727747043556002, c_new = 3.6146668906169848
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3652.497230848742
Acceptance probability: 2.8739749545550944e-276
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2172:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.975008150064548, b_new = -0.27486626722716667, c_new = 3.672735363409384
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3095.3984185193094
Acceptance probability: 2.5317629999927104e-34
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2173:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8889428031355004, b_new = -0.07987628838301408, c_new = 4.43042746519297
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3036.3657940909998
Acceptance probability: 1.0989200320263974e-08
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2174:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4196702012199056, b_new = -0.0805619572332733, c_new = 3.9471083411777395
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10606.613393133692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2175:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.802792241844995, b_new = -0.2507839933523792, c_new = 4.252324355532062
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3562.251067748051
Acceptance probability: 4.4863549057786364e-237
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2176:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9450764062015304, b_new = 0.6362574841417937, c_new = 3.9631452361672945
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3783.0484398309745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2177:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0561308307463717, b_new = -0.45965711724972735, c_new = 3.631366114106717
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3425.476170592129
Acceptance probability: 1.1284354584795848e-177
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2178:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.491205161847671, b_new = 0.6014056458443462, c_new = 4.0068963704628615
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -16321.506057681865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2179:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6170471773109196, b_new = -0.9463178758406249, c_new = 4.1734207865899595
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11246.072509488095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2180:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3498600055528374, b_new = -0.5998918072729327, c_new = 4.213280206594261
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8409.657641093196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2181:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2637139343710606, b_new = -0.926618615715241, c_new = 4.8090078368728335
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5903.3075181718195
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2182:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.278761613621116, b_new = 0.14026221230630986, c_new = 4.057369012237853
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8948.474274522041
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2183:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.995194850015554, b_new = -0.21974546920813104, c_new = 4.1023287465473555
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3265.7619649351964
Acceptance probability: 2.603004523139103e-108
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2184:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.351607303427344, b_new = -1.010027720992277, c_new = 4.31749056323878
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11861.59003703544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2185:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3161714600729795, b_new = 0.009201176033602154, c_new = 4.500559633325274
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9483.151430362544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2186:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5870368811849014, b_new = -0.3124421243824623, c_new = 3.8242054148879805
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7406.6947664343525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2187:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2883654105007873, b_new = -0.318609015419558, c_new = 3.887995275868086
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7784.742439313037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2188:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0550704571705203, b_new = 0.03206918989708746, c_new = 4.724694274562273
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4341.469968014472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2189:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2088123572960976, b_new = -0.4471298101664325, c_new = 3.6213615714435536
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5608.685249544435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2190:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6043556936415375, b_new = -0.15039536376906318, c_new = 3.711887501133189
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12197.710360060508
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2191:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6419439739883464, b_new = -0.1026982637053494, c_new = 4.4450942760616385
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5589.813955890504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2192:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.017023328817523, b_new = -0.7472270375798967, c_new = 4.154697541270807
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13743.05372605797
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2193:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1934298384200233, b_new = -0.37368233134707374, c_new = 4.00026362141181
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5612.875783347337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2194:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.560412308594789, b_new = -0.5865828371558706, c_new = 3.884300825922129
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8572.55875590458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2195:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8523230143970664, b_new = 0.3710988141627959, c_new = 4.801299123480577
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3102.3297951332243
Acceptance probability: 2.472660170164869e-37
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2196:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6228844599542924, b_new = -0.051661840716416996, c_new = 4.2360598367759295
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5897.18792474138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2197:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.417494037713708, b_new = -0.8609048937211965, c_new = 4.688842833618346
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10837.55938295692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2198:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.25298607357344, b_new = -0.4129042315138693, c_new = 3.935749095102013
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11901.566439785847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2199:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.680824390347955, b_new = -0.34331543895419014, c_new = 3.686087607378836
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5661.36557843097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2200:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2728828498010496, b_new = -0.2976456528111956, c_new = 4.091477793676535
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7588.690582378678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2201:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8709549926087155, b_new = -0.3053332533990172, c_new = 3.720828065819285
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3180.0552791998025
Acceptance probability: 4.339259269386176e-71
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2202:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4177810102958714, b_new = -0.8508123321438977, c_new = 4.385433438557513
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10914.383604681176
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2203:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.44273573913197, b_new = -0.4750520177606894, c_new = 3.6864678509495765
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10031.296827792845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2204:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7440706217776496, b_new = -0.7719312703972305, c_new = 4.860411249963391
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5111.993380537802
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2205:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5352504465268404, b_new = -0.9205047766096686, c_new = 4.329874597726413
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9588.197137932451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2206:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0844953392117342, b_new = 0.4936642482708239, c_new = 3.643100282782675
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5530.40291716351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2207:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.209833003346359, b_new = -0.17807689412557842, c_new = 4.137613633594482
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11849.908478029623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2208:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.995463671920852, b_new = -0.051207528597641216, c_new = 4.239458963535136
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3445.294975096803
Acceptance probability: 2.7879134693663226e-186
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2209:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3656261685216347, b_new = -0.3442771482055086, c_new = 5.020853816914082
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9653.532858281542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2210:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9136222556932383, b_new = 0.35835698085708734, c_new = 4.3955848031101326
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3284.3353725752195
Acceptance probability: 2.2343256671172432e-116
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2211:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3033268903952497, b_new = 0.06124391271345958, c_new = 3.9218168325282847
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9154.675514854798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2212:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7215592853973947, b_new = -0.3125049019865109, c_new = 3.9104531339736384
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4787.875430791912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2213:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3847578511604124, b_new = -0.7619117886979403, c_new = 3.853197926414664
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11281.672320444297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2214:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6577987571334933, b_new = -0.21973855672097536, c_new = 3.7715167985739257
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5778.580114776909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2215:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.365392718463168, b_new = 0.013924689255015776, c_new = 4.6525179453594525
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9844.263698717172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2216:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.39763539860531, b_new = 0.4334121304815196, c_new = 3.8104035133259564
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11275.033540841963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2217:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.620592396174688, b_new = -0.47025348440322856, c_new = 3.671712535190284
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11855.693131212964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2218:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5619247661049305, b_new = -0.4637409361458221, c_new = 4.147866593854058
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11493.369362910335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2219:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.727580568078762, b_new = -0.8939361665869385, c_new = 4.624427532625943
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12334.029551328738
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2220:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.235178775137539, b_new = 0.09004703625386595, c_new = 4.979451799099257
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8274.826781704973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2221:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.156287826063556, b_new = -0.6694028206046634, c_new = 4.357123177169902
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4413.9993636395975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2222:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.724707764977666, b_new = -0.13826451777833887, c_new = 4.453534794011584
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4280.819371781845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2223:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5113951780108934, b_new = 0.21083316750520142, c_new = 4.090998889551186
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7441.164249189142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2224:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6983603106521503, b_new = -0.27906090062444705, c_new = 4.700631560208963
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4893.250427383731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2225:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.774656160370946, b_new = -0.9356543326085268, c_new = 4.275925594003571
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5109.93028259348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2226:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8193783883161512, b_new = -0.3910405251837372, c_new = 3.431267086328375
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14414.805600863468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2227:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5299829943445933, b_new = -0.2795869699172032, c_new = 4.203749428732423
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11509.638347070526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2228:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0768330734279754, b_new = 0.05322687519747521, c_new = 4.140424001966357
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4548.280735382434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2229:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.542396040899594, b_new = -0.4122489662329837, c_new = 3.9431924157920517
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8440.38645157162
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2230:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.33935567478178, b_new = -0.5355857053019224, c_new = 3.879161036224121
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11341.31151798408
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2231:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0553731192793947, b_new = -0.634493636802258, c_new = 4.2200828036388955
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3325.2313575939706
Acceptance probability: 3.874769289137453e-134
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2232:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9340087470484737, b_new = -0.5843170933266066, c_new = 3.867774587634907
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3058.760355841129
Acceptance probability: 2.0660056145296416e-18
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2233:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6198608110174457, b_new = -0.563543459551683, c_new = 4.68687640642558
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7093.425673924631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2234:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.385137258417605, b_new = -0.035242814678757006, c_new = 4.500751117258305
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10445.717652056754
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2235:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8833810088532483, b_new = 0.2744325748943778, c_new = 4.885476040545777
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3145.2835653162347
Acceptance probability: 5.477458121707347e-56
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2236:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4009892318401267, b_new = 0.937309935210383, c_new = 4.151044732130162
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7671.322071571481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2237:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2103873130712026, b_new = -0.01701570951079029, c_new = 4.131602686056203
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11614.59746190464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2238:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.007198215406161, b_new = -0.23259377999673578, c_new = 3.7254334645414113
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3289.2927540316928
Acceptance probability: 1.5710248814521392e-118
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2239:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1963866723871948, b_new = -0.8470843218753199, c_new = 4.038675939707332
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4611.110208018961
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2240:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9861498572141474, b_new = -0.568163538749807, c_new = 3.6382480995742346
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3029.7042477980503
Acceptance probability: 8.590904397927397e-06
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2241:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.337743607126671, b_new = -0.7637014539933393, c_new = 3.528598375395267
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7459.543256812172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2242:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7565609227023744, b_new = -0.045069396019631724, c_new = 3.546052149256658
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3905.505221554655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2243:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.512092568933624, b_new = -0.3513955224629358, c_new = 4.419644636604675
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8638.656102577745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2244:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4525253494745516, b_new = -0.4594241769888524, c_new = 4.098105308822666
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9840.520253015715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2245:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.566079351251318, b_new = 0.931180950646903, c_new = 4.785683107949136
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4683.861831290842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2246:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0965035138586035, b_new = -0.6617189896852826, c_new = 3.768821949331564
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3577.9735072057674
Acceptance probability: 6.663845633089681e-244
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2247:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.884754064207466, b_new = -0.07849666636555885, c_new = 3.9871813171696
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3039.2834698361266
Acceptance probability: 5.940672540834304e-10
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2248:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.712978098006837, b_new = -0.10973768916469845, c_new = 4.237905959929465
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4448.6213988033105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2249:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1287400153010587, b_new = 0.11788991451735908, c_new = 3.8683992588544225
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5527.011556529741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2250:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2839384772080265, b_new = -0.375693038393122, c_new = 2.589069288110416
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11994.260864491129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2251:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9780732726960615, b_new = -1.517539578920776, c_new = 4.035776173580535
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3466.855672375181
Acceptance probability: 1.2066670009167392e-195
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2252:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0673622111246344, b_new = 0.27271944566685113, c_new = 4.010685321582069
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12309.772183759025
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2253:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.418332898434413, b_new = -1.5538963035340783, c_new = 4.0710752962617445
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7216.937147322182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2254:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8502512261485076, b_new = -0.5162770623223364, c_new = 4.632008644158869
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13560.560013182276
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2255:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.867617917559094, b_new = -0.8364454347524624, c_new = 3.707130381268634
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3733.4869854320496
Acceptance probability: 1.927877669244e-311
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2256:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2663013842920194, b_new = -0.3935731350343301, c_new = 3.466193203242825
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6926.657743031837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2257:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6991573024918525, b_new = -0.3221085439157113, c_new = 3.871122292349225
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5208.1064433753045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2258:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.734775796705122, b_new = -0.5398907406821609, c_new = 3.546856093094305
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5157.385634263366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2259:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6805079138109744, b_new = -0.3965277240270479, c_new = 4.086762806783963
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5664.765421546278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2260:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6564752885878264, b_new = -0.708665858714516, c_new = 4.678841877928771
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6735.498077946879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2261:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.279519662983121, b_new = 0.06071318967952083, c_new = 4.823087862418088
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9064.036521915597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2262:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.766824944431568, b_new = -0.17113637274689736, c_new = 3.4198176451771336
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3994.138488585469
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2263:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0072737586020795, b_new = -0.11215819985792136, c_new = 3.78968161606617
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3410.19502570432
Acceptance probability: 4.886451879838613e-171
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2264:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.559568363515561, b_new = -1.2303081052842035, c_new = 3.612988071589199
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10024.70297601429
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2265:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.164067363050929, b_new = -0.7863336550506388, c_new = 4.320135961916887
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4304.332245986193
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2266:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4237774420316445, b_new = 0.051699811044686794, c_new = 4.664191565759562
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11144.102608839528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2267:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.581613055762643, b_new = -0.6961292321487642, c_new = 3.956071127322048
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8439.926923612458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2268:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3505433054586238, b_new = -0.6109680265509638, c_new = 3.918679885728109
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8281.304481604238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2269:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.550163047148053, b_new = -0.6925622739735972, c_new = 3.76978821320976
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9045.698443780904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2270:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2912268296570453, b_new = -0.13676501234495836, c_new = 4.642595174537663
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8671.584931618105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2271:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9787088046909327, b_new = -0.21967890976813834, c_new = 3.663734139238764
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3137.445722676719
Acceptance probability: 1.3883880729734206e-52
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2272:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.628904324292069, b_new = 0.929988487570322, c_new = 3.4452870948580623
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4065.670962406577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2273:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2362144277870577, b_new = -1.0074191199278482, c_new = 3.8226925019782314
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4885.136672723157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2274:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4779037624982574, b_new = -0.40764650916545053, c_new = 3.8136623621599393
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10632.081368181725
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2275:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3614546955075957, b_new = 0.5105218713464591, c_new = 3.9503570462893633
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11057.425836908336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2276:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8546778749387647, b_new = -0.1338105223548562, c_new = 4.638319082466742
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13994.970486339664
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2277:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0590868841257732, b_new = -0.19884282606446105, c_new = 3.9439292318271173
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12954.362161665784
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2278:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5110360901056046, b_new = -0.4438896868896391, c_new = 4.235081220533183
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11055.66109094478
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2279:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7893217770671122, b_new = -1.3158223764711463, c_new = 3.4819329727114416
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15301.888794772014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2280:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4816920040621757, b_new = -0.6452367539865689, c_new = 3.3985551393804667
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10106.601029941334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2281:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.075410295487327, b_new = -0.43812381735851685, c_new = 3.622298995770669
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3621.13768152394
Acceptance probability: 1.1960854458730459e-262
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2282:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2473982203283582, b_new = 0.41423238033637677, c_new = 4.6501442861759426
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9338.655218060114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2283:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.753544638664814, b_new = -0.5536027842157119, c_new = 4.831471887062694
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13002.285578583842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2284:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1718381048020348, b_new = 0.10485931921882136, c_new = 3.6128757347684273
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6302.840762050652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2285:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.066867423539112, b_new = -0.03662820122417171, c_new = 3.887252294168619
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4169.869655477545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2286:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.032066708670328, b_new = -1.1090018006481495, c_new = 3.998909648590815
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3024.0718206144975
Acceptance probability: 0.002399777248685759
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2287:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3003673580157553, b_new = 0.3070797999275118, c_new = 4.143363965495702
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10218.621343839692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2288:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5792366175519166, b_new = -0.3417360360301135, c_new = 4.357579161592247
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7439.6091186691665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2289:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1498519409350116, b_new = -0.3267989391557671, c_new = 3.936912234760664
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4892.761718909856
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2290:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1133054584692728, b_new = -0.6288446365943484, c_new = 3.5245447381701918
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3751.6351986411423
Acceptance probability: 2.5317e-319
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2291:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9400768515134437, b_new = -0.7564794317306824, c_new = 3.553603144784319
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3136.05900460956
Acceptance probability: 5.555905864115042e-52
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2292:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6479851408809454, b_new = -0.2941795246634215, c_new = 3.7549143935736726
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6163.291486729008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2293:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1515617580037136, b_new = 0.30736677709136906, c_new = 4.021483158897485
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6596.230461196808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2294:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9305921889808926, b_new = -1.0912307427348955, c_new = 4.984136521588248
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3274.0768405831122
Acceptance probability: 6.373387307919593e-112
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2295:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.638646756544444, b_new = -1.0959654972856452, c_new = 4.50952383566493
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8189.270471913858
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2296:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833239670186119, b_new = -0.5199307570815205, c_new = 4.413974013263142
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3559.4504175377897
Acceptance probability: 7.382450756551927e-236
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2297:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7856458467122684, b_new = -0.6594891595965987, c_new = 3.4003906976319893
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4596.311834137111
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2298:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.810560029413253, b_new = -0.23138388223388268, c_new = 3.7566038471328365
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3541.27658836867
Acceptance probability: 5.767588695723236e-228
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2299:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.470235932810206, b_new = -0.6952026325702384, c_new = 4.759799724250807
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10299.563997343108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2300:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6873342935320563, b_new = 0.6948213010185752, c_new = 4.486422168285689
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3589.4779492311945
Acceptance probability: 6.720618438485145e-249
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2301:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.183909519709232, b_new = -0.7159141506846392, c_new = 2.7802830081300303
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4372.971739650917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2302:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.264589315391214, b_new = 0.01079084899952265, c_new = 3.281406721016973
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11342.788386649618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2303:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.815166908335896, b_new = -0.6174476928665374, c_new = 3.97043774249579
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3966.1460240895667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2304:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1420523379538654, b_new = -1.0056316308532596, c_new = 3.4753850746953225
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3571.7321840737213
Acceptance probability: 3.422134890671026e-241
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2305:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.579124269143635, b_new = -0.37518894932093866, c_new = 3.8800587137706954
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7700.664123534691
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2306:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.311356101957435, b_new = 0.4886956242252146, c_new = 3.620806602045468
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10221.024166912759
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2307:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.965508671985066, b_new = -0.8377539275041822, c_new = 3.9445481959142374
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3057.386854481151
Acceptance probability: 8.158974183408134e-18
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2308:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.00866478845936, b_new = -0.08641586881215663, c_new = 3.646458173458262
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3427.7529368351525
Acceptance probability: 1.1579497371178427e-178
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2309:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4008390988460526, b_new = -0.3282446553810678, c_new = 4.21590642432519
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9936.697156043092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2310:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5734545276889897, b_new = 0.36184605205022, c_new = 4.079972374612331
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5909.309504466301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2311:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4549677802136225, b_new = -1.3279564654848344, c_new = 3.6368205831717777
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8331.139873033979
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2312:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6716956254973074, b_new = -0.32856989529063996, c_new = 3.682058143861292
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12440.67170840131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2313:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.838707283261443, b_new = -0.7823830461698351, c_new = 4.297739875629168
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3863.7835525722935
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2314:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4147354989789465, b_new = -0.36684088050614755, c_new = 4.16785945881883
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10113.174743369345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2315:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9379111533267275, b_new = 0.22660937938730985, c_new = 4.212003511402292
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3296.0609340282526
Acceptance probability: 1.8063414105971837e-121
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2316:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266706407305003, b_new = -0.7480658078438301, c_new = 3.882079569845067
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6114.6610881896295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2317:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.780021741490934, b_new = -0.8912837637035584, c_new = 5.0154629636802746
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12794.690123105978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2318:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.578626761987301, b_new = -0.7224801755458704, c_new = 3.6132895822425826
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8691.480243369528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2319:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.121388863144364, b_new = -0.8918360512200213, c_new = 3.1826676266777305
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3474.346897195721
Acceptance probability: 6.732708844748472e-199
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2320:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9370605159837875, b_new = -0.6697122023249635, c_new = 3.7019137634356687
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13614.733574284437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2321:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.818604317556498, b_new = 0.04141671942871733, c_new = 3.4612811008708677
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3264.0738726240006
Acceptance probability: 1.408004680397844e-107
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2322:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.77049715680213, b_new = -0.25440569678750025, c_new = 3.7793383468268273
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4002.0769463956485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2323:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1516439158159937, b_new = 0.5230205414908895, c_new = 3.4706313188862263
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7013.939535335413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2324:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.212259991401005, b_new = 0.3029559840402024, c_new = 3.7127271618333055
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11236.318990935726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2325:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9405288448010967, b_new = 0.21123836742285163, c_new = 3.7908814675497315
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3247.3891904807056
Acceptance probability: 2.4812440667425654e-100
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2326:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.310031665878001, b_new = -0.10616492960693585, c_new = 3.565791160238968
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8697.660667052938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2327:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0008191406894205, b_new = 0.12385122831164419, c_new = 4.1595697495241035
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3692.046380507557
Acceptance probability: 1.9164854142912116e-293
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2328:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8320433407215524, b_new = -0.41691434283753503, c_new = 4.894332348976956
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13641.320048538175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2329:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8940373550497838, b_new = -0.5332596075277601, c_new = 4.31360273778837
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3154.868845630705
Acceptance probability: 3.764824341246435e-60
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2330:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5121608774975077, b_new = 0.26204515803648976, c_new = 4.283606984582749
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12231.574239711592
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2331:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.318132034520552, b_new = -0.2340219233298537, c_new = 3.8701005227393077
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8632.123561932163
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2332:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.902787319044407, b_new = 0.11825927206926529, c_new = 3.4224281029888437
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3041.2437498844856
Acceptance probability: 8.365594434040952e-11
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2333:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.986062490772465, b_new = -0.6538223415412938, c_new = 3.8003909219130043
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3019.9663847872953
Acceptance probability: 0.14559251801769382
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2334:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.166114662574381, b_new = -0.7519237901094, c_new = 4.770004418866081
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12752.345681633213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2335:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9600002456468855, b_new = -0.08193577281336584, c_new = 3.8031374565992944
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3146.251492112783
Acceptance probability: 2.0807207547516054e-56
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2336:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7860683747668458, b_new = -1.6197983111228882, c_new = 4.040108201667249
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11646.61511256178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2337:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.929290862347716, b_new = -0.37111875344238043, c_new = 3.7091636355009845
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3025.0205567904222
Acceptance probability: 0.0009292659961346704
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2338:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.964945105332298, b_new = -0.4816485481828946, c_new = 4.060536733687547
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3023.8957071975065
Acceptance probability: 0.002861910294464813
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2339:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.951714911000687, b_new = -0.15833454703044184, c_new = 4.706308836804308
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3144.8526503985345
Acceptance probability: 8.42797108109017e-56
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2340:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7627508262860907, b_new = -1.3115581716274876, c_new = 4.298685164209584
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6280.606261630765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2341:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6534521809816796, b_new = 0.09190304226377954, c_new = 4.547613350079382
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4928.854322439907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2342:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0988817016897467, b_new = 0.11652959228475557, c_new = 4.663016206847258
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5226.5252755909005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2343:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8659573131677902, b_new = -0.9281800434621903, c_new = 3.1799807343589315
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4002.7784077069605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2344:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.538538598815093, b_new = -1.0762201991553857, c_new = 3.9309428460364733
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10148.868701929849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2345:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6479672941387635, b_new = 0.28154161369584396, c_new = 4.2696771693205005
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4713.005878875713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2346:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.384998192056533, b_new = -1.239311481943179, c_new = 3.005530830513515
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6998.041368781565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2347:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.55413576896753, b_new = 0.1635502954446063, c_new = 3.922453785288988
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12317.613377350137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2348:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.747036443110023, b_new = 0.8152774992417057, c_new = 4.635343464719634
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3175.435227949583
Acceptance probability: 4.40431491337755e-69
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2349:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0598314505398676, b_new = 0.14469536514491865, c_new = 3.63313233255628
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12613.628464166259
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2350:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.726502043860836, b_new = -0.3871143262128175, c_new = 4.330851545680785
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4744.986000698989
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2351:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.518402815886163, b_new = 0.17987648581701465, c_new = 2.804848798213003
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7836.682812779092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2352:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.760170247825952, b_new = -0.42296275136708894, c_new = 3.3911204576326464
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4531.738232102085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2353:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7900448018753803, b_new = -0.722776166492828, c_new = 3.5124816284604607
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4621.858519617979
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2354:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.161882391718022, b_new = -1.5105403841826313, c_new = 4.276595225814023
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3334.592915370351
Acceptance probability: 3.330987206086748e-138
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2355:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5399528327658216, b_new = 0.18506041765011494, c_new = 4.3936662840314815
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12375.380467496063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2356:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.930253595467132, b_new = -1.627391092308962, c_new = 3.7655852515105477
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4203.539285715319
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2357:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.701740695505339, b_new = -0.20733536579832437, c_new = 3.809573144391811
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4929.753986505764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2358:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0054251337659696, b_new = -0.681298887712209, c_new = 4.714159155430319
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3080.2451532117593
Acceptance probability: 9.647228264224333e-28
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2359:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.825267649206145, b_new = -0.707532798866164, c_new = 4.049810704406658
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3963.709679816774
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2360:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.405452042110786, b_new = -1.0798051759945508, c_new = 4.012626251797944
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8161.937371847869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2361:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1438404424075315, b_new = -0.6685397784759701, c_new = 4.493076377949783
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4267.295643523671
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2362:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6571620757583996, b_new = -0.20567102807474805, c_new = 3.3294154011411785
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5905.229865631879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2363:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3406054797256273, b_new = 0.7550223420912688, c_new = 4.371941882862902
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11435.234216035558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2364:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1251313498003266, b_new = 0.19449092127750878, c_new = 3.7128216267397596
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5595.899936959337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2365:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.729637301059232, b_new = -0.711974987899004, c_new = 4.608459214819367
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5315.001764516035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2366:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1422801993164526, b_new = -0.41124280198890145, c_new = 4.420628606020582
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4723.68789732993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2367:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6477245127232765, b_new = -0.9550822762137703, c_new = 5.070915444212285
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7420.211860231496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2368:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2404120042399787, b_new = -0.7978889857093068, c_new = 3.836672992378802
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12569.24732070929
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2369:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.049370862558121, b_new = -0.8872861688802636, c_new = 3.7723868754854726
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13929.02455732943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2370:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.630402314136514, b_new = 0.33431079855967927, c_new = 4.638699616191246
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4806.027184500175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2371:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3114361858046077, b_new = -0.5426947554895376, c_new = 4.206444302444002
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7772.10782530713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2372:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6471489374260186, b_new = -0.5575320981064336, c_new = 3.153356472316588
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7100.128227833979
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2373:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.712306729194687, b_new = -0.7730581177864029, c_new = 3.550390286872253
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6171.395774288163
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2374:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7407553931256734, b_new = 0.11135223470239647, c_new = 5.010907758314411
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3645.0668172761675
Acceptance probability: 4.846972904657307e-273
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2375:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6721101731986807, b_new = -0.6179846488310448, c_new = 4.344617820566472
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12230.233091251359
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2376:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9679480579112427, b_new = 0.3138995207547387, c_new = 3.783953556043996
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3549.673970702513
Acceptance probability: 1.300341646090921e-231
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2377:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.397905958293096, b_new = 0.1624311098118092, c_new = 3.6065972226846132
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10701.233393873568
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2378:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8701198066184617, b_new = -0.6065908966071426, c_new = 3.518165761489289
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3463.4529410705436
Acceptance probability: 3.6255580664222313e-194
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2379:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.19635969415962, b_new = -0.29528052091513024, c_new = 3.7352535640882354
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12228.449675470813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2380:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4251965768881045, b_new = -0.09306957119095716, c_new = 4.255590035115291
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9416.65314134329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2381:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.370787684897448, b_new = -0.493269191816997, c_new = 3.772203317350454
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8912.229664120508
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2382:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.093298818395454, b_new = -1.2573534306328167, c_new = 3.9350147663900725
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13970.140456656576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2383:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.434953905553858, b_new = -0.8498530706344894, c_new = 4.8807778839166645
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9526.812617531532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2384:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8347374950157933, b_new = -1.05605913849268, c_new = 3.46510820362991
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12552.277229816074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2385:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.514595720804849, b_new = -0.6543138079452687, c_new = 3.80167456826385
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10594.934137212695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2386:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0905331786712167, b_new = -0.31421858506127187, c_new = 3.8501555034229455
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4008.1204774471257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2387:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9275431758171084, b_new = 0.012488898869049858, c_new = 4.432820219974381
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14420.579370433128
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2388:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4923817494639073, b_new = -0.6010530897244575, c_new = 3.788044355303139
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9702.239027278318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2389:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.225700633475893, b_new = -0.6411089703716379, c_new = 3.342722565135163
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5377.149936459521
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2390:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.791299372223194, b_new = -0.9185236812113468, c_new = 4.854609363396057
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4625.029592024599
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2391:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.971946483325702, b_new = -0.7784305075333957, c_new = 3.686283350500247
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14098.995800383025
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2392:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9305193224046535, b_new = 0.005711908768571916, c_new = 3.455217645525437
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3063.6857256238463
Acceptance probability: 1.4999285768614648e-20
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2393:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4008248340435325, b_new = -0.9230658957023263, c_new = 4.257253706836682
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11266.860959567828
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2394:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.295859429294042, b_new = -0.51769537648004, c_new = 4.263494836862384
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7529.3077306092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2395:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.955779594061024, b_new = -1.386090100396994, c_new = 3.3928942731318483
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3628.2871738088543
Acceptance probability: 9.392412505608225e-266
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2396:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1429623254213395, b_new = -0.22308762689194217, c_new = 4.176089515156247
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5075.35241155634
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2397:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.071171268739106, b_new = -0.48696721321364717, c_new = 3.7655820815941614
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13271.466352005333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2398:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.194776124123976, b_new = -0.32683404310123687, c_new = 3.849975096119048
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5708.372750051585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2399:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1956865683502738, b_new = -0.8002757887920009, c_new = 4.373386869519095
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4783.339585272445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2400:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.617963698466841, b_new = -0.06738821859547534, c_new = 4.300206597972084
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6009.958087942828
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2401:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0646047561893655, b_new = -0.2529094121654796, c_new = 3.4398115551658432
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14502.25543743701
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2402:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9850462133167706, b_new = -1.2702714306988647, c_new = 3.9692096833189234
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3205.5273441068784
Acceptance probability: 3.758706093647228e-82
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2403:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7947450504324296, b_new = -0.19889302798458572, c_new = 4.258912043643813
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3578.176226638687
Acceptance probability: 5.4410785679043946e-244
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2404:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0728845969186347, b_new = 0.15248982838776515, c_new = 3.4420163712537817
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4494.081653388488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2405:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4364298400921345, b_new = -1.3470545541360328, c_new = 4.09021753095572
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11698.394125800973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2406:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.056345924782988, b_new = -0.9479394421953357, c_new = 4.254194354394858
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3117.4628953358124
Acceptance probability: 6.621288652078604e-44
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2407:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498886352130465, b_new = -0.45557593877614166, c_new = 3.3571612716485286
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10641.085989057643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2408:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.512580852654174, b_new = 0.17558714172513123, c_new = 4.673053030338288
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7313.166495208172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2409:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.578697714510796, b_new = -0.07181016297264037, c_new = 4.948195477772243
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6575.8127118493685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2410:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9492714947443304, b_new = -0.9801089162541792, c_new = 3.9525955508396
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3192.769029110231
Acceptance probability: 1.3058827029293145e-76
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2411:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.483315155784329, b_new = -0.21415425922692993, c_new = 4.058188682777524
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11111.425287951794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2412:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2200843985276064, b_new = -1.0968444820841552, c_new = 4.600584965199746
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12886.525241064017
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2413:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.45679708247608, b_new = 0.6630920358900761, c_new = 4.0552287646488665
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7370.737657624082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2414:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0949922583824145, b_new = -0.9278845816133593, c_new = 3.990359099255581
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3323.5403331355055
Acceptance probability: 2.1020761269102763e-133
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2415:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4281090497892466, b_new = -0.6863544676111668, c_new = 4.345898865563998
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9599.656830115206
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2416:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3116560371413044, b_new = -0.6193618447975745, c_new = 4.906928127405225
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7840.214198255751
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2417:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8517763793155453, b_new = -0.558439321224541, c_new = 3.6592947193515313
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3549.6298633964548
Acceptance probability: 1.3589798944436494e-231
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2418:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7896435802485238, b_new = -0.04833808498531206, c_new = 3.7934461016447245
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3524.634558332842
Acceptance probability: 9.739487267771986e-221
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2419:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8204519446544998, b_new = -0.12036659669027217, c_new = 3.618653435262228
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3366.2187084080906
Acceptance probability: 6.132895469270595e-152
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2420:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0532434001833293, b_new = -0.15715675233928783, c_new = 4.851736364864526
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4016.815724140448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2421:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.395712376463001, b_new = 0.2921177824544873, c_new = 3.7674297858802954
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10976.785070956968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2422:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.182975343385837, b_new = -0.7148756745129987, c_new = 4.489457260213098
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4781.972884845958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2423:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.912994990491641, b_new = -1.0597131549595087, c_new = 4.005400359249852
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3514.9988633931125
Acceptance probability: 1.490270950078333e-216
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2424:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.192468601897783, b_new = -0.6497431720349032, c_new = 3.3414608882936427
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12841.167887383766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2425:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9938476497862143, b_new = -0.6266898877742554, c_new = 3.7756043428333976
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13935.903710064322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2426:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4196508943554167, b_new = -0.8042912644152286, c_new = 5.200060102678887
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10546.826641698117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2427:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6202669992170833, b_new = -0.1098115169357809, c_new = 4.084838376594398
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6139.160453001959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2428:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3996294253546093, b_new = -0.2708474833910686, c_new = 4.299914165238631
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10072.042902328923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2429:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.759987811949092, b_new = -0.41860734046644377, c_new = 3.629945884591384
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4463.618215928096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2430:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0328126591358053, b_new = -0.4194660607703279, c_new = 4.516548766663028
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3399.953609858699
Acceptance probability: 1.3702001633827397e-166
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2431:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.556028677623745, b_new = -0.05361328457526787, c_new = 3.703871258368813
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7390.731996764772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2432:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9355612173519936, b_new = -0.9660467416014332, c_new = 3.454572256808258
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3326.0867536029373
Acceptance probability: 1.6472218042091978e-134
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2433:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8977703112979976, b_new = -0.44790684205326137, c_new = 4.1389982524261715
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3107.008379620991
Acceptance probability: 2.2976348351408873e-39
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2434:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.319716019765625, b_new = -0.6517262983760916, c_new = 4.177611104345687
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11622.474860000579
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2435:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4940260770863643, b_new = -0.6249329721510236, c_new = 3.7849009152428654
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10410.855233611805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2436:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.369193633244941, b_new = 0.6047913894124954, c_new = 4.021268774644254
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8863.897510621768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2437:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.107581948748266, b_new = 0.4958823084351075, c_new = 4.17502160786778
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6219.03663557564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2438:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6644985608165093, b_new = -0.11517048376589595, c_new = 3.7301363058568273
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5415.411810112614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2439:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.682452603368835, b_new = -0.6712949610303298, c_new = 4.269220005138402
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14944.942081683017
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2440:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.446050964651878, b_new = -0.9322891180714431, c_new = 4.426707709793202
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10731.010732260575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2441:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.722999924104139, b_new = -0.9215380932243614, c_new = 3.1792369623873604
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6491.580313055337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2442:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2990720962628144, b_new = -1.2307174913100658, c_new = 4.180920100229939
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5642.318296185096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2443:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.717545378576167, b_new = -0.910335132439304, c_new = 3.846107740923517
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6317.063528788432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2444:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.067743147763826, b_new = -0.2269618778295906, c_new = 3.8391558831793815
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3864.167161216701
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2445:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7679493563639856, b_new = -0.668746007432067, c_new = 4.112193142183759
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4699.617768173048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2446:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6786774439060776, b_new = -0.4449259473423647, c_new = 2.976244298052754
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6211.5328557037465
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2447:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5237204176933457, b_new = -0.11791152705941144, c_new = 3.9678553009012343
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8049.095780413536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2448:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2906650855186093, b_new = -0.6280903499137612, c_new = 3.769346567612621
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6916.310951424189
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2449:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.777824546714641, b_new = -0.3023382507668192, c_new = 4.498327654707749
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3846.8626428027997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2450:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1551140362059775, b_new = -1.2892061522904794, c_new = 4.873793828636856
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3563.2175819491154
Acceptance probability: 1.706639694044674e-237
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2451:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.139470866740641, b_new = 0.04536859298488777, c_new = 4.292765408328452
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5705.764796350895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2452:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0483776823349293, b_new = 0.08061347795937795, c_new = 4.3813760731774405
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4246.190772647093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2453:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.351802709428475, b_new = -0.048506119448370966, c_new = 4.09276194932305
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15656.976463445148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2454:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.492733872973854, b_new = -0.587048377962915, c_new = 4.641399728066093
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10731.935347183025
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2455:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6373710487913113, b_new = -0.9798163406788006, c_new = 4.5932603446710845
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7873.992234907534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2456:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.113968721386491, b_new = 0.3847763434146918, c_new = 3.1848797060533367
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5676.058054758347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2457:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.78732775213107, b_new = -0.08605567422961047, c_new = 3.5900067418952575
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3618.975270648856
Acceptance probability: 1.0396455919495256e-261
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2458:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8713720894085317, b_new = 0.5756867074535362, c_new = 4.312263942530158
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3217.867115245032
Acceptance probability: 1.6441591540222094e-87
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2459:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625564773041683, b_new = 0.1327301398656573, c_new = 4.6285647748026895
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5307.103319198928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2460:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8791447481364605, b_new = 0.022896781952743528, c_new = 4.317915489236583
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3040.0480878346243
Acceptance probability: 2.765452711399109e-10
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2461:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8059749975493924, b_new = -1.4315981995238989, c_new = 4.012524937738896
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12030.410560369955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2462:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9065996395784026, b_new = 0.04394385350975316, c_new = 3.719470971116526
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3040.3105355569905
Acceptance probability: 2.1270937862749794e-10
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2463:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2459018457300797, b_new = -0.4160215640224351, c_new = 5.300012257898891
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11582.930594058585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2464:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5702427746717764, b_new = -0.5236306230913566, c_new = 4.270094666735063
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8097.620698427449
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2465:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.576216377839416, b_new = -0.9000590935204696, c_new = 4.124542927582577
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -15473.848236263984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2466:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6431266199882923, b_new = -0.46540947888298234, c_new = 5.218822937470156
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6196.4104702994355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2467:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.272946769446536, b_new = -0.57291473921083, c_new = 3.71067564285941
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6663.3268630897255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2468:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3717613270069937, b_new = -0.622061787315426, c_new = 4.415998285103218
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8845.526322921027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2469:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5644181721871693, b_new = 0.026838025075463123, c_new = 3.6863405324466902
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12131.724632724523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2470:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9067885728216662, b_new = -0.8782960322464842, c_new = 3.7408856002996815
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3412.975126559018
Acceptance probability: 3.0311760861992566e-172
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2471:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.930224003443529, b_new = -0.8087057785219953, c_new = 3.96495086283081
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3175.4791779642724
Acceptance probability: 4.2149372659968156e-69
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2472:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0309870390493874, b_new = 0.07822329952922918, c_new = 3.712371723063018
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3866.609149615972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2473:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1908808219561764, b_new = 0.5867797383343611, c_new = 4.0891725056671016
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8388.499234151217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2474:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.590991584885019, b_new = -0.19068057573351002, c_new = 4.388763374590717
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6816.992309504385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2475:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.181984312075914, b_new = -1.0909265134703807, c_new = 3.9397387247802196
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13300.332265184179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2476:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1029192668761016, b_new = -0.26805155945621134, c_new = 2.9026881964519218
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4043.6432779174143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2477:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6521503411855205, b_new = -0.7505913636974673, c_new = 4.720401667307555
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11993.830821126685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2478:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.98719689625609, b_new = -1.1030492722622283, c_new = 2.982363824387223
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3194.7791035598007
Acceptance probability: 1.749604664220565e-77
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2479:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3784783943370718, b_new = -0.6691336014300713, c_new = 4.109480746897288
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8734.887495012725
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2480:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0238901124129307, b_new = -1.0506478540787554, c_new = 3.9662676157214745
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14071.348187676394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2481:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8279734155950176, b_new = 0.2933106960140922, c_new = 4.392922985514034
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14251.080895748983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2482:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.328291948456492, b_new = 0.9119386110612936, c_new = 5.545998819054977
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8414.001803135923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2483:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7574277921251156, b_new = -1.4081713417463875, c_new = 3.1839465621827188
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7126.952268628858
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2484:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.386535544011992, b_new = -0.6606452245165269, c_new = 3.944249091303727
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11055.107097914928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2485:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0217101336142136, b_new = -0.20902439246709684, c_new = 4.0193027378002295
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3458.5053289284765
Acceptance probability: 5.1061729077896816e-192
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2486:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.159074959183889, b_new = -0.7938015351782666, c_new = 4.825790418750834
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -16242.65639951473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2487:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4370046876455134, b_new = -0.8503580528728807, c_new = 3.7112943784081605
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10922.239114653894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2488:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1401789159140887, b_new = -0.31588848815164744, c_new = 3.4567813576216944
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4621.996124598839
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2489:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.246422524003781, b_new = -0.5557766281130507, c_new = 3.9381207563673883
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12159.371404947224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2490:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.875665877674544, b_new = -0.43725574999615474, c_new = 3.4770523896805647
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14226.49495272457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2491:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1264255890421793, b_new = -0.456278296369443, c_new = 4.000533726634482
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4282.691450907087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2492:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.210671000420278, b_new = -0.6266195472452365, c_new = 2.6468887775197474
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4941.986695158132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2493:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.210012931319361, b_new = -0.3682094573541348, c_new = 4.305821405218993
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6080.928955312518
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2494:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7338637825791277, b_new = -0.028071685706580585, c_new = 3.010882799360435
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4289.467865307903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2495:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2040062481260847, b_new = 0.07341214682817504, c_new = 3.672632319106105
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6959.863988650394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2496:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5815394992646423, b_new = -0.8879957033106723, c_new = 3.6409278122081643
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9041.043769714777
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2497:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8131381441201238, b_new = -0.34563867718878905, c_new = 4.324779901923515
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3562.1807382019547
Acceptance probability: 4.8132382630056734e-237
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2498:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.666040354236826, b_new = -0.562054871340514, c_new = 5.01059864788825
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12446.608981257828
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2499:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.285214273373648, b_new = 0.1414304740073723, c_new = 4.226603264735009
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10643.655242870278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2500:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.237202861674501, b_new = -0.1575654281082414, c_new = 3.33160675169403
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6901.787646933734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2501:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.748108499419906, b_new = 0.08398788460579037, c_new = 4.81399995941589
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3629.3535742412478
Acceptance probability: 3.233295030980736e-266
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2502:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9428446631170653, b_new = -0.37578889920311553, c_new = 4.976429746091581
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3046.076537795376
Acceptance probability: 6.662599135863702e-13
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2503:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801952842870648, b_new = -0.11275864116975814, c_new = 4.625774293705649
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3386.3442401790644
Acceptance probability: 1.114957129726533e-160
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2504:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8561649344877758, b_new = -0.860736077316536, c_new = 3.4110136643984332
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3962.9691960463706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2505:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5910377139700342, b_new = -0.024287268609346657, c_new = 3.756946428421
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12286.787584219224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2506:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2145426684068585, b_new = 0.0707564358008082, c_new = 4.029592079780631
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7337.925198311796
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2507:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5481435956522844, b_new = -1.5674324272246158, c_new = 2.9488724053039768
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11292.686193945228
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2508:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.979423970264023, b_new = 0.4240141681219465, c_new = 3.8237815264228874
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3818.335137232361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2509:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.477521096770641, b_new = -0.3460468200689232, c_new = 3.754045383076233
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9383.165418217404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2510:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2353308723870766, b_new = -0.26927720404813904, c_new = 4.744716688618814
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7100.582172034985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2511:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6981997516385237, b_new = -0.13309770638338977, c_new = 3.9048445680047346
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4809.05596568378
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2512:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6494101173714135, b_new = -0.9129871058718767, c_new = 4.11433645404517
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7640.514482331684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2513:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.163247944427049, b_new = -1.0599804536898645, c_new = 3.9508053748195695
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3790.134891107595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2514:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.56407873218574, b_new = -0.7297570374514997, c_new = 3.7145331275771514
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -10957.91374800197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2515:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7564410914316912, b_new = 0.5754873934231145, c_new = 3.7040192973431
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3253.434284012027
Acceptance probability: 5.87920660611586e-103
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2516:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6054182635270093, b_new = -0.2328040617023654, c_new = 4.101715991998534
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12197.167218323913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2517:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.254717246498659, b_new = 0.20382594190333259, c_new = 5.156755715078724
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9111.419173581213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2518:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0456655301314335, b_new = -0.6079383103706835, c_new = 4.2279996508342155
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14277.272673885043
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2519:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3769680065366714, b_new = -0.11632273856554359, c_new = 3.9576744556299386
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9961.74683024962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2520:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6842965911135144, b_new = -0.20237561983772753, c_new = 3.6457332515069885
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14690.62045353125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2521:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.650736842093736, b_new = -0.5907745691612646, c_new = 3.4792544839267956
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6988.641434387634
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2522:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9004678478965653, b_new = -0.14041904301834351, c_new = 3.2482504386025095
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13874.081908463128
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2523:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1687303903491997, b_new = -0.9712227006840513, c_new = 3.3861941912526774
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13387.10046101197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2524:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2283055241081, b_new = -0.22036450265667368, c_new = 3.5273656673065656
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6601.499969597232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2525:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.356043302749073, b_new = -0.5257753112505, c_new = 4.544951465852742
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8851.474649630029
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2526:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.069717923644631, b_new = -0.5654103610299254, c_new = 4.335411510580994
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3526.8141130081876
Acceptance probability: 1.1014569451345967e-221
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2527:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2006963853911845, b_new = -0.350860910882094, c_new = 4.17222661594328
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5881.002489441007
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2528:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8720393979522822, b_new = -0.3529772846348035, c_new = 4.285489679801004
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3159.206256534339
Acceptance probability: 4.920747681811258e-62
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2529:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1045674310120255, b_new = -0.7606007405948091, c_new = 3.557294931840871
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3511.011913401111
Acceptance probability: 8.03111078773983e-215
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2530:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6492830159876295, b_new = 0.38743891877434644, c_new = 4.14613574327719
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4525.222525737851
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2531:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9784311012636087, b_new = -0.6340086875628925, c_new = 2.964719116353841
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3033.8252054449113
Acceptance probability: 1.3942149005797784e-07
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2532:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3045138286352933, b_new = -0.46999807927977355, c_new = 4.0360393573302265
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -7761.70333813131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2533:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.641411074057877, b_new = 0.11137038637885094, c_new = 3.7961540803231646
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -5304.581903155806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2534:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.893328948189559, b_new = -0.9083942891121106, c_new = 3.7680734878113618
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3557.4479218943898
Acceptance probability: 5.4685648509545855e-235
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2535:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1145239178478015, b_new = -0.2346507932713101, c_new = 4.124551191222458
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -14844.7216952628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2536:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5864573102792323, b_new = -0.6890165671884145, c_new = 3.337028849797897
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8573.994991344312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2537:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.08323254112039, b_new = -0.5697315487924404, c_new = 4.4196474482900205
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3665.5062488740896
Acceptance probability: 6.437811194698781e-282
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2538:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.842779957080852, b_new = -1.0261197397392805, c_new = 4.55118435282275
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4142.199130906427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2539:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2066696881725747, b_new = -0.8862309092577999, c_new = 4.563190594744144
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4839.876110819531
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2540:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.894054560799311, b_new = -0.14877938550147746, c_new = 3.3649997052072087
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3050.400008585866
Acceptance probability: 8.830477273894667e-15
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2541:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9896226902423115, b_new = 0.7721889708423412, c_new = 4.127121676686041
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4651.756141341565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2542:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.184972800672293, b_new = 0.22466855043623513, c_new = 4.714042654537608
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -11317.295566177574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2543:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.30224063198232, b_new = -0.17507671272054834, c_new = 3.730773493223597
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -8418.648706620574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2544:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.688794977961874, b_new = 0.013072082091805381, c_new = 4.489581871917608
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -4529.959176811107
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2545:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1160029737021198, b_new = -1.4481181139527788, c_new = 4.182638833038437
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3122.8464645378867
Acceptance probability: 3.040101780707678e-46
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2546:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2967666228644545, b_new = -0.8561798872515642, c_new = 3.541494770029747
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6346.438545589721
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2547:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.580411993095092, b_new = -0.33966263167747024, c_new = 4.7290353059030705
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -12018.965469738581
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2548:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.913371186337255, b_new = -0.09808845520002146, c_new = 3.6079299211043923
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3024.0144945996476
Acceptance probability: 0.0025413665161585935
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2549:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0017385392377447, b_new = -1.1059876821108163, c_new = 5.266328714334765
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -13912.727334110226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2550:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.390560168993048, b_new = -0.48227059637392383, c_new = 3.488431873486793
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9175.842177334136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2551:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9933472877418503, b_new = -0.6573534524376283, c_new = 4.506823450830937
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3045.363826625869
Acceptance probability: 1.3588459122762142e-12
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2552:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.637413721176605, b_new = -0.322515933399933, c_new = 3.9165891557920935
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -6391.4365949130515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2553:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.475359118414941, b_new = -1.0288713768482398, c_new = 4.524965051081606
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -9612.315213733946
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2554:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0071899593058418, b_new = -0.9629189061984654, c_new = 4.083213505284663
Current likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Proposed likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Acceptance probability: 0.816952120925505
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.171438195686793, b_new = -0.682246868491504, c_new = 4.481636891659567
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -14745.143695463057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.804876368206573, b_new = -0.6605271420045356, c_new = 4.052625948864403
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -4150.368670278991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6974767696728528, b_new = -0.8020032443229196, c_new = 4.520497755666879
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -14947.066220207302
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.80052919846674, b_new = -1.2696571399378693, c_new = 4.2862594920897275
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -5413.179203974996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.488756364868763, b_new = -0.6648049441117004, c_new = 3.161170003740163
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -10084.91268169433
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3653398171892395, b_new = -1.2426313943958966, c_new = 3.493862345777728
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -6748.654903321858
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4951673529700473, b_new = -1.5077569015952204, c_new = 3.4206867917470483
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -11610.271982982002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5623358729194643, b_new = -0.6873844158606556, c_new = 3.854763624067846
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -11050.804211495228
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7383552194436525, b_new = -1.9637603103690613, c_new = 3.9320699090192597
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -8841.85870984144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0399029214804973, b_new = -0.9900423418683796, c_new = 3.594615921578395
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -3041.1369653610036
Acceptance probability: 1.1393997786655145e-10
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0126260546955224, b_new = -1.1999519133122796, c_new = 3.163644866740723
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -3127.980978913086
Acceptance probability: 2.1917966497335432e-48
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.686608331879168, b_new = -1.2737135591548827, c_new = 4.808859451404026
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -7587.944156101472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0429290968906884, b_new = -1.4241110116444284, c_new = 4.0232826556489405
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -3067.15495961449
Acceptance probability: 5.71748187175813e-22
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.131521592017202, b_new = 0.012710109304868489, c_new = 4.05953965825552
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -5384.600535054354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6317158475464666, b_new = -0.38314025804870366, c_new = 3.5606802005259666
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -12038.960412643046
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.887574759708534, b_new = -1.004700899121607, c_new = 3.836534717717155
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -13019.640671499996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9492209064188977, b_new = -1.540574018458663, c_new = 3.792665967541843
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -3822.8526858051628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9754358294806655, b_new = -1.1435988744554855, c_new = 4.293885900074956
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -3137.011066210426
Acceptance probability: 2.624721171802723e-52
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.487442585870574, b_new = -0.7582243247597291, c_new = 4.033075314691778
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -10158.087191017925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0071899593058418, b = -0.9629189061984654, c = 4.083213505284663
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.010725898961816, b_new = -1.114076525035345, c_new = 4.727783926715785
Current likelihood: -3018.241616044872
Proposed likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Acceptance probability: 13.157672107551724
Max likelihood: -3018.0394412555142
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9412457877012703, b = -0.37872430460832673, c = 4.022351515732091
Iteration 2575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8813099675824545, b_new = -0.9227557125057664, c_new = 4.627742298416276
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3543.227451120128
Acceptance probability: 7.627280003488682e-230
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.873450184354752, b_new = -1.3132992366556788, c_new = 4.499509660739615
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4233.657055721589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.93594664409202, b_new = -1.4757341777233852, c_new = 5.106457755612894
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -14556.839313863631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5384919734096796, b_new = -0.46762291990277116, c_new = 4.618811148430455
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8398.528554330542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5025377533682707, b_new = -1.6683042810270028, c_new = 5.047544395764845
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8809.252656934537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9258441872291656, b_new = -1.296891697255235, c_new = 4.901780415667248
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3524.662254820182
Acceptance probability: 8.813166977296438e-222
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.734703570569964, b_new = -2.0501903704321705, c_new = 4.433093368321229
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8939.3973978245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8965609998380732, b_new = -1.3575522114361498, c_new = 3.748995873243489
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4186.301353465438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2941143401287794, b_new = -1.097873070115795, c_new = 4.23456213065705
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -12480.483844144215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.476060970833626, b_new = -0.41660806596697186, c_new = 4.370420663210815
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -10769.718114749474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7376640788860387, b_new = -0.31398832718004366, c_new = 5.250611642409489
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4228.8236295725355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1076714074204768, b_new = -0.6889361998875139, c_new = 4.298261322107469
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -13158.890731746451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3238182340335944, b_new = -1.1968587587066932, c_new = 4.8520518906493795
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -6470.180648482577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.175505590097736, b_new = -1.4032712904390454, c_new = 5.3853427859639424
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3706.883227252381
Acceptance probability: 6.420504935331134e-301
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6990667061967315, b_new = -1.5636660082552885, c_new = 4.982378885665526
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11258.882402753854
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1016610381538947, b_new = -1.7037455431639743, c_new = 3.8923238979584713
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3067.2272941360998
Acceptance probability: 4.042139087318897e-23
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4874367304864218, b_new = -1.327874023715171, c_new = 5.200521606467151
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -10739.946787230416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.134870924307282, b_new = -0.89819529863268, c_new = 4.504364922152024
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3791.3181277535823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1276790286064826, b_new = -0.9834318066544079, c_new = 5.8905611976358205
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3857.2999431067783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3421986201872027, b_new = -0.3727448535677139, c_new = 4.391531008444491
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8930.866837035941
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.685670839406387, b_new = -1.5288683670380854, c_new = 4.745158589233343
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8335.457322630713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.309854014942879, b_new = -1.360718745647674, c_new = 4.952535947009433
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -5783.535478744817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.063623059717832, b_new = -0.5047946307656173, c_new = 4.49952224442289
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3567.887344136911
Acceptance probability: 1.4883813807013531e-240
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0836153920892118, b_new = -0.40828922367044296, c_new = 4.9739827009932265
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4017.3444573137695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981749039885062, b_new = -2.1121861481976527, c_new = 4.891880322738872
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4074.8055989124678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625264549735028, b_new = -1.146837188338372, c_new = 4.618188541492956
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8532.858403855353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2389681576314096, b_new = -0.7540109711428262, c_new = 4.945350938527754
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -5889.881088731535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.009536630682829, b_new = -1.8529014426919295, c_new = 4.1512939013021395
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3563.3379493489065
Acceptance probability: 1.4076389676319798e-238
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.501977703053474, b_new = -0.46765531889285994, c_new = 5.522889220934421
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11329.757577245493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5779886607898184, b_new = -2.093779736936677, c_new = 5.128220391035794
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11180.216734057889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.979024236840234, b_new = -2.0422867654973023, c_new = 4.891610020040543
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3993.5298000556963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1507428988770005, b_new = -1.478970420825824, c_new = 5.043832065331083
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3355.520691090111
Acceptance probability: 2.5256885008259466e-148
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.007874817384463, b_new = -1.5948408517757084, c_new = 4.47101218866932
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3263.258081965928
Acceptance probability: 2.9615687278528298e-108
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6487382552533645, b_new = -0.0030903379250981633, c_new = 4.575015598290755
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -12957.40718373991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.070093626766855, b_new = -1.3435549282505603, c_new = 5.199189725172818
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3050.545469098429
Acceptance probability: 7.102901877034426e-16
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8583267380321353, b_new = -0.6876639263116116, c_new = 4.194795531691912
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3552.549361870387
Acceptance probability: 6.82205616144859e-234
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8133431235942847, b_new = -1.0740289079075136, c_new = 4.976060583328821
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4552.183721203936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7241538686920532, b_new = -2.079596912609687, c_new = 4.559436171676751
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -9174.515751565765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1487354749319616, b_new = -1.6751389852436651, c_new = 5.273269347607743
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3213.333606434862
Acceptance probability: 1.4237903681449477e-86
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2387870717860077, b_new = -1.2903966098526454, c_new = 5.101995913657412
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4683.51181034103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.954336489007453, b_new = -1.464881837424, c_new = 4.782539637221738
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -13101.874579681993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6202020088781803, b_new = -0.007972592244023247, c_new = 4.624099472527398
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -14542.427888671484
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.702052467721594, b_new = -0.931144326102821, c_new = 4.780180865880905
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -6347.894897429417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7331435514835074, b_new = -0.4393085528734927, c_new = 4.5605105155173815
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4681.608429120269
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.624687805093531, b_new = -1.039190917473197, c_new = 4.8788357681621966
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8165.465763125585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.868456940492272, b_new = -0.34666479443793397, c_new = 5.060905080240893
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3128.1480976961197
Acceptance probability: 1.4094265037668745e-49
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.170937553139355, b_new = -0.7986698422602646, c_new = 4.279060476033331
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4372.236339216357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.21012896105872, b_new = -0.5151139388059028, c_new = 5.032910721265315
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -5954.198480522092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1071323325843188, b_new = -1.7674404964301522, c_new = 5.0841261695371305
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3037.600766384132
Acceptance probability: 2.973368757927226e-10
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.311721905038344, b_new = -1.6856573442293934, c_new = 5.643518841614665
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -12757.097498989804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.563059041206842, b_new = -1.2650887851989134, c_new = 4.173141166554726
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -10163.431900315063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9701246101006427, b_new = -1.12888940810287, c_new = 5.441656337078408
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3070.867362349998
Acceptance probability: 1.0610838736382898e-24
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.447633022572174, b_new = -1.5652961818136935, c_new = 4.856092493192711
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8032.285695239709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5308388448259995, b_new = -1.8169250853493109, c_new = 5.659614736501424
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11011.969120916861
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.32200524476252, b_new = -1.1131825631346726, c_new = 4.886063683531248
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -6670.448895436005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9500820992713237, b_new = -0.1972680224150294, c_new = 4.654085564732633
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -13375.889136833865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0656409265421773, b_new = -1.0837111716299914, c_new = 4.726951965744641
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3115.780438314883
Acceptance probability: 3.3132076642959964e-44
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.565938794539476, b_new = -1.3691250152259864, c_new = 5.164814645004418
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -9824.460371089095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.142758774078887, b_new = -0.8184639202406708, c_new = 5.080844454695712
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4129.380108108171
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9959020644822445, b_new = -0.9065107286563532, c_new = 5.335165064279778
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3021.0554531642088
Acceptance probability: 0.004558133141558824
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.176616709435395, b_new = -1.4301839955686717, c_new = 5.560940135600433
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -13307.294166266345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.528286761621569, b_new = -2.4546439903787047, c_new = 5.5425207834899535
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -12221.570509854626
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.033043806298558, b_new = -0.20618530598468876, c_new = 4.465103225260462
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3638.7273934800232
Acceptance probability: 2.5542988096784903e-271
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.492484442021694, b_new = -1.8858198954438217, c_new = 4.645287338249169
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11892.812663346955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7833041906384164, b_new = -0.6420193998616432, c_new = 4.97301722911263
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -13116.269557339903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3456970072200827, b_new = -0.982271070966731, c_new = 5.221949137104405
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -7669.476604058384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9877756174174124, b_new = -0.619050691464542, c_new = 4.48666931244864
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3043.4766110180503
Acceptance probability: 8.344529855141797e-13
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5022363121961986, b_new = -0.8668033736774577, c_new = 4.82742849280741
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -10383.000996196519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5443581066200576, b_new = -0.6029137283179229, c_new = 5.382786213062478
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11476.512082499492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0198204855936814, b_new = -0.8652849168807021, c_new = 4.6351832190461755
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3049.7151784572657
Acceptance probability: 1.6293952990183398e-15
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.209928337205279, b_new = -0.4328716742393096, c_new = 4.100612272086607
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -5831.35299639871
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4768402473611184, b_new = -1.2499286609443936, c_new = 4.369321860713511
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -9109.348933809131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.91381126813733, b_new = -0.7706143094055067, c_new = 4.211086444636424
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3213.2950499578023
Acceptance probability: 1.4797587471866132e-86
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.147706466389417, b_new = -0.9530838641345658, c_new = 4.373191207153135
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3835.753585577235
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7048077933970638, b_new = -0.8053872644700966, c_new = 3.8942202220158517
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -15063.144666657641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8824879222734956, b_new = -2.0356276951880976, c_new = 4.025746569875742
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -5851.224420350813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8069459512701753, b_new = -1.2857165105554538, c_new = 5.647959583788405
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4906.53760526959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.127656942296904, b_new = -1.2835787447674618, c_new = 4.414245123796452
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -14030.237956298135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.278103424615204, b_new = -1.4741727344090774, c_new = 4.981841782612973
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4928.746098424022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.676283527667362, b_new = -0.9063689154039895, c_new = 5.159882693642849
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -6676.2603193083605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1060895262303077, b_new = -0.5980158470602746, c_new = 4.857696856847913
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3968.1346868353844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.514568109265929, b_new = -1.681348507477959, c_new = 5.0942477086939295
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8984.045272771764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1376291970321906, b_new = -0.7578776757349714, c_new = 5.405692199319703
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -4242.256514021079
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8927074125912338, b_new = -0.7129284152425026, c_new = 5.114228081537845
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3210.0632485191773
Acceptance probability: 3.74752421067983e-85
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8068354531412996, b_new = -1.7669186258582736, c_new = 5.1889931654974
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -6248.6756817611085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.073463154129293, b_new = -1.7722027947430166, c_new = 3.898675165153953
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3140.793260574201
Acceptance probability: 4.5427409647957045e-55
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3387162807828235, b_new = -1.1318885298301973, c_new = 5.667139399625816
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11762.48106760654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.618247085225727, b_new = -1.3705223731063567, c_new = 5.5773029581967375
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -10980.963448556537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7325806607081278, b_new = -1.9649561125233743, c_new = 4.7447410273861275
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -8603.628251276928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.591683501086332, b_new = -1.2448294491999696, c_new = 5.117228404047622
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -9171.83357199796
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.082335123116878, b_new = -1.0003746489652456, c_new = 4.351570043884763
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3220.2761963036655
Acceptance probability: 1.3750471190754999e-89
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6780502030812796, b_new = -1.1460592503867815, c_new = 4.915106531962772
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -11682.067667304269
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6772618306073346, b_new = -0.5925728113707649, c_new = 4.141716718033592
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -6201.057758264448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4811024942111297, b_new = -0.9561525295225399, c_new = 4.002471327407446
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -9673.707956602126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.199588891355657, b_new = -1.2138483520522219, c_new = 5.0048857957915205
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -13054.448434336635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.902721151388743, b_new = -0.9564102579305152, c_new = 5.209581218266676
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3324.2335098840067
Acceptance probability: 9.777547603706172e-135
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2801447573229723, b_new = -0.64432802250701, c_new = 4.758328730738722
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -7019.900641857542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9941382555790317, b_new = -0.8893135432905608, c_new = 4.952517025927357
Current likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Proposed likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Acceptance probability: 4.620805695521922
Max likelihood: -3015.6646110261454
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.010725898961816, b = -1.114076525035345, c = 4.727783926715785
Iteration 2673:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2163920696568318, b_new = -1.3433761094165877, c_new = 4.555077962134373
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4128.011282520298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2674:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.050029083534907, b_new = -0.91819808193327, c_new = 4.894969676682869
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14152.797459816975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2675:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7188974407196445, b_new = -1.0847085568646613, c_new = 4.507809613078252
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6507.839280575654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2676:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.182962392623441, b_new = -1.5319897044340807, c_new = 5.518555839780037
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13400.819547239003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2677:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.481975148912875, b_new = -0.9248102098876079, c_new = 5.114069040238184
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10051.317468940375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2678:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4053114457485356, b_new = -0.12357586071779125, c_new = 5.378500396535076
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10838.180465216938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2679:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6673893120600907, b_new = 0.3374711484925612, c_new = 4.8899339512132505
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4204.474928305215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2680:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6039242724398863, b_new = -0.9038859705328469, c_new = 5.118023181933702
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8119.938287901746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2681:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.89754006028321, b_new = -1.1843470694528573, c_new = 4.36794881724145
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3759.6362540006535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2682:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8551695441024543, b_new = -0.8204994344955994, c_new = 4.983158213380538
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3615.2357125415824
Acceptance probability: 8.807677340010624e-262
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2683:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.666777951811919, b_new = -0.36221941848718897, c_new = 5.031459602730605
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12729.844820789891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2684:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9915450902747267, b_new = -1.7721387360015401, c_new = 4.936342863804226
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3484.368052885113
Acceptance probability: 6.025094247258689e-205
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2685:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8027745171910436, b_new = -1.556481568579699, c_new = 5.160752359180589
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5783.023771694667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2686:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5934756729282644, b_new = -0.6406071032994368, c_new = 4.6734306405435095
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11653.040522567364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2687:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0284725999271513, b_new = -0.7437303590633931, c_new = 4.677381048449042
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3135.166345430054
Acceptance probability: 2.7311054170640887e-53
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2688:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.440770212948032, b_new = -0.8185621709561863, c_new = 5.435662682882307
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10251.972760984892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2689:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0995803112915614, b_new = 0.3730945517453663, c_new = 5.381143059538683
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6188.446711449231
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2690:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7605260713229782, b_new = -0.37287801814450217, c_new = 5.175198619172993
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4035.152724843294
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2691:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.22750740498749, b_new = -1.5914242648188979, c_new = 5.33161399227099
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4033.899496073709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2692:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9251978091602573, b_new = -0.4111188813791342, c_new = 6.438040566711286
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3095.254399632993
Acceptance probability: 5.886759391645097e-36
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2693:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8843601675843265, b_new = -1.107238837282914, c_new = 4.661195763008454
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3739.2836748108366
Acceptance probability: 1.179005664e-315
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2694:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.411271866503402, b_new = -1.8967093287550696, c_new = 5.666087914838555
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6733.2272576934465
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2695:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.507583034167676, b_new = -0.4475144642590179, c_new = 6.088014938160508
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8377.743835905561
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2696:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2769013402586724, b_new = -0.5153569166374365, c_new = 4.932265911117897
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11569.100825751268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2697:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.504470187901025, b_new = -1.430289548612657, c_new = 4.651331858449128
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10922.575257103485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2698:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.272154879601284, b_new = -1.21389033205772, c_new = 5.521354981114147
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5583.532532871681
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2699:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.718940736606356, b_new = -0.32833311017241695, c_new = 5.164114323935671
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4544.17143058767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2700:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7256251923696984, b_new = -1.0905885397478012, c_new = 5.166150737831122
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6143.307142934631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2701:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5516274823879477, b_new = -0.35570820963255856, c_new = 4.756312187173351
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7849.964593835103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2702:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.827689358308419, b_new = -1.1094254195028141, c_new = 4.907673343838036
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14675.830080294436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2703:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0655525087524884, b_new = -0.8349986854893708, c_new = 3.893500711873685
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3202.097231400085
Acceptance probability: 2.3368133119032222e-82
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2704:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6157381545346112, b_new = -1.0335731490855251, c_new = 4.7862976783154885
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11270.962107906973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2705:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3905678037346094, b_new = -0.909452997946594, c_new = 5.261143588714402
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8779.519167262415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2706:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5293096869160445, b_new = -1.5637642021157447, c_new = 4.871011455563596
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10809.36498687611
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2707:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8063206050900726, b_new = -1.5298824130169641, c_new = 5.248948066122436
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5613.451923313311
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2708:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0371032590116984, b_new = -1.001934505568496, c_new = 4.583094303374374
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3048.9159321195866
Acceptance probability: 7.841822833453661e-16
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2709:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924060611869481, b_new = -0.13402829237472147, c_new = 5.646580198247417
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3142.3712799118234
Acceptance probability: 2.0289678979958007e-56
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2710:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7318497190924258, b_new = -0.9163124326327621, c_new = 4.689185185833437
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14890.577337418385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2711:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.674832832487884, b_new = -1.1727563530479475, c_new = 5.2155099454361675
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7397.174547034152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2712:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0251575771359436, b_new = 0.34227753194236565, c_new = 4.329915005884118
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4388.913688302377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2713:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8380467399468787, b_new = -0.36537890775803183, c_new = 5.380313134888108
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3272.4782513951795
Acceptance probability: 6.346516352335835e-113
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2714:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.087181092126494, b_new = -0.9823875832196715, c_new = 4.942593046035577
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3325.2150258352535
Acceptance probability: 7.929490272622575e-136
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2715:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4063311328196533, b_new = -0.8420077987192279, c_new = 4.281267314002504
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11057.557678286274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2716:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.643094265450709, b_new = 0.2403388908633548, c_new = 4.943598667451227
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4712.152325457146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2717:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1925290672896405, b_new = -0.16395533057567901, c_new = 5.155191652004979
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11692.65192599258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2718:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3028855943084556, b_new = -1.0745548015382838, c_new = 5.220486832713599
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6489.372044349957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2719:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.090483095484235, b_new = -0.6243726869323327, c_new = 5.158604872931161
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3807.452774660046
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2720:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9274960280221414, b_new = -1.1196605153049024, c_new = 5.93038446118547
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14091.150696254228
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2721:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.217636081076744, b_new = -0.02091075661665298, c_new = 4.552834673735573
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7355.448064219205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2722:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4053768021959705, b_new = -0.7292934727850705, c_new = 4.360270169922396
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9148.277515657746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2723:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0689462920910944, b_new = -0.313639744158586, c_new = 4.267869694581483
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3835.873752607789
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2724:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8863376318218243, b_new = -0.7860493095425548, c_new = 5.45357900402923
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3270.8631828680655
Acceptance probability: 3.191175966987545e-112
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2725:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0897895842757372, b_new = -0.36855336724851906, c_new = 4.468506658691794
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12837.160473087877
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2726:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5043237003366707, b_new = -0.7992619904494156, c_new = 4.91214136328094
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10560.574621658065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2727:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7400656489877706, b_new = -0.8872206260866264, c_new = 4.215375242397457
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12323.451389664908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2728:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.204416789707282, b_new = -0.82250344563551, c_new = 5.351900837499484
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14929.363404879843
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2729:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.559241297462707, b_new = -0.7871122901286991, c_new = 4.767039785426821
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11123.921953673758
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2730:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.513934531634901, b_new = -0.9819936142856062, c_new = 5.4652520124863475
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10510.15826072829
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2731:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.482131270765068, b_new = -0.7600277960857152, c_new = 4.624332940240072
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9882.230002155158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2732:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9373577269477136, b_new = -2.0615486325286603, c_new = 4.903624825504198
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12336.384832214975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2733:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.915003045791763, b_new = -0.7667503710154573, c_new = 5.5097583606007525
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3110.18741987304
Acceptance probability: 1.9255198360702205e-42
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2734:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8939712311059207, b_new = -0.951520381398881, c_new = 4.455745598723974
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3488.7629862444783
Acceptance probability: 7.434787129059694e-207
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2735:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6357394020163682, b_new = -0.296221534522213, c_new = 5.651033810601203
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12780.500472085823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2736:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3483843975987155, b_new = -0.9288013640392216, c_new = 4.866585389282577
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7735.704317905134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2737:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.177025595298256, b_new = -1.4873636985595664, c_new = 4.930424138229411
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3551.0770836911615
Acceptance probability: 6.435760479715293e-234
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2738:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5874613995217404, b_new = -1.0615354339300063, c_new = 5.3212934451573135
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11112.992671854667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2739:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0605929086910546, b_new = -0.6948334258202791, c_new = 4.813090738327066
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3381.48689978745
Acceptance probability: 2.8885569000947454e-160
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2740:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.406148478837426, b_new = -0.09772877339877029, c_new = 4.434820959504832
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -15818.642517276237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2741:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7294281159094975, b_new = -0.913426457730132, c_new = 4.574906402160259
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5819.084158328662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2742:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6015756972803623, b_new = -0.4404988938959993, c_new = 5.422075542724065
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12247.67319863035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2743:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.633033679477402, b_new = -1.048972149265168, c_new = 4.904144406239731
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8021.512631882136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2744:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.509959724971064, b_new = -0.8488035167521147, c_new = 5.14263572257067
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10607.424142278047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2745:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9196739765254445, b_new = -0.36382509243388683, c_new = 4.450683773442121
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3025.3011065321484
Acceptance probability: 1.4132059914228702e-05
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2746:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.270000894522371, b_new = -0.9698629198422991, c_new = 4.943597289359053
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5968.519466865587
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2747:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2702963451203777, b_new = -1.0039952419147062, c_new = 4.895659190069406
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5868.029175770904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2748:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8843507450851584, b_new = -1.4435049434205824, c_new = 4.8346662057578325
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4229.590416260049
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2749:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7734095132972616, b_new = -1.013674560783927, c_new = 5.798885785282488
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4858.957793196212
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2750:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8832898573460946, b_new = -0.4179819777812315, c_new = 5.310967862743917
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3094.3963174932287
Acceptance probability: 1.3884703934474704e-35
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2751:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0854423874269186, b_new = -0.9459436017119156, c_new = 5.086431563999636
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3363.71070283128
Acceptance probability: 1.5163001368865292e-152
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2752:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539449584195103, b_new = -1.3718004750819293, c_new = 4.7185206504480215
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10347.476776903404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2753:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.725725236161635, b_new = -0.7543342838531455, c_new = 4.5931360689680005
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12496.617716985951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2754:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7336647833697947, b_new = -0.5299338610042377, c_new = 5.456239963254341
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14406.899652101676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2755:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8114592732454695, b_new = -0.009164799724142081, c_new = 4.207266772304456
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3277.8611513555047
Acceptance probability: 2.9158934744893077e-115
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2756:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.088760032373416, b_new = -0.8660448642860341, c_new = 5.095020989605805
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3473.0807324455754
Acceptance probability: 4.808225497060164e-200
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2757:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1700490909356036, b_new = -1.6617577179510992, c_new = 3.999621014862151
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3259.0269719358885
Acceptance probability: 4.4091192711694143e-107
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2758:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2804502372110185, b_new = -1.3484993188968482, c_new = 5.357445262255704
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12603.28826567257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2759:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.762719538742819, b_new = -0.4072989596835419, c_new = 5.0319139544748035
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4087.6471192343365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2760:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.352207316899337, b_new = -1.4930631514641495, c_new = 6.232509259112699
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6781.745261829576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2761:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.28723483384907, b_new = -0.9530804240920242, c_new = 4.393122862673601
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6182.905623193432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2762:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9657106284217747, b_new = -1.4362662737696912, c_new = 3.852186101722414
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3511.780414063891
Acceptance probability: 7.497675649455918e-217
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2763:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8111842764149926, b_new = -1.369000141710458, c_new = 5.932339391178921
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4931.863084387498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2764:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7718425654263017, b_new = -0.46548958346740393, c_new = 5.077380193584338
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4051.8517637601226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2765:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.776869915522025, b_new = -1.0047118342097066, c_new = 4.830537137435553
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5055.65150067406
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2766:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.105713873970281, b_new = -1.3481304774832836, c_new = 5.690953297650704
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14163.102834008336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2767:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3286636519955346, b_new = -0.4280397110808165, c_new = 5.030370229902197
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10919.720057294922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2768:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9541895823087536, b_new = -0.6521620384366364, c_new = 5.555192008319985
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3028.6697268547355
Acceptance probability: 4.866673964058671e-07
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2769:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.128651703191822, b_new = -0.9767701091460962, c_new = 5.46870626352786
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13076.224619104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2770:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8542943502891136, b_new = -0.7771490967057703, c_new = 4.936218010152048
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13363.949558840479
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2771:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0452924706807205, b_new = -0.12387175163160413, c_new = 5.193264351978657
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4053.1116395877116
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2772:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9955554872546086, b_new = -0.44579166432300193, c_new = 5.298015343588681
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3227.7429694204593
Acceptance probability: 1.7014590901608366e-93
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2773:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8324763767798347, b_new = -1.2089665848299411, c_new = 5.2125368988348635
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4456.839322654141
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2774:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1096797769171283, b_new = -1.5666423030661614, c_new = 5.506983492786637
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3105.495592370404
Acceptance probability: 2.0998234980383577e-40
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2775:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6796105012341123, b_new = -1.4612228903371594, c_new = 4.805422253322444
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11193.328560035625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2776:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.830570178185773, b_new = -0.3082987361232028, c_new = 5.105449062614848
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3300.0589045975066
Acceptance probability: 6.674364341643891e-125
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2777:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.784294568428304, b_new = -0.9762728649392498, c_new = 4.53759780968503
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4950.759882781151
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2778:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.189912691584538, b_new = 0.6335082357233177, c_new = 5.1898674916909995
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9018.957263685732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2779:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4841706075058356, b_new = -0.7365659240931758, c_new = 4.607454127104176
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9813.32737835524
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2780:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3581171914264605, b_new = -1.0264669413705068, c_new = 4.855784610222798
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7666.223041982976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2781:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545669469021994, b_new = -0.08037984833060507, c_new = 4.770258086475644
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7285.142524841067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2782:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8380497897167751, b_new = -0.11050409196789146, c_new = 5.149299121976374
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13699.938233139559
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2783:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3348104580995432, b_new = -0.656680448529575, c_new = 4.583146481023011
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8094.888789517452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2784:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.717413802934136, b_new = -0.6038270654011364, c_new = 4.61788200388292
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12643.126477444823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2785:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.286022924593532, b_new = -0.6174291267269344, c_new = 5.283915193564963
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7439.6724517117655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2786:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950755373709116, b_new = -1.337371885386498, c_new = 4.725373578344887
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3386.8772459977645
Acceptance probability: 1.3172958153444799e-162
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2787:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6930787169534227, b_new = -0.08586127617981265, c_new = 5.279708608386921
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4469.028991451866
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2788:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2465668218016424, b_new = -1.7394671512283129, c_new = 4.40405319461156
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3884.0336030068574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2789:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.090692190108559, b_new = -1.0563940482638192, c_new = 4.996016284211649
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3291.6690124799507
Acceptance probability: 2.9382839357622444e-121
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2790:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.42408258813343, b_new = -0.06868365280915967, c_new = 4.800584982687587
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -15945.482450601783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2791:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.504419583790752, b_new = -0.9850593734562145, c_new = 4.415280602623467
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10118.391016550075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2792:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.295933580943796, b_new = -0.7793038521706713, c_new = 5.105397668478465
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7119.977555622689
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2793:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3219369680769417, b_new = -0.31882810363927006, c_new = 4.978921925184637
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10820.253853535805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2794:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.84187188248237, b_new = -0.9694730033784109, c_new = 4.541571930604979
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4062.2769026842466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2795:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.068625410828181, b_new = -1.1018334657392135, c_new = 4.548126162839748
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3108.810225143846
Acceptance probability: 7.632311170954186e-42
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2796:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2914538210648483, b_new = -1.288244187828876, c_new = 4.9509126580994645
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5594.133775923721
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2797:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8097749230230455, b_new = -1.0884279327750332, c_new = 4.686900219527498
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4716.805641475456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2798:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5413534921757392, b_new = -0.5329822405123315, c_new = 4.786142279269837
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11378.55293325572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2799:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.338627309755204, b_new = -0.7807773033332293, c_new = 4.205838479840549
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7684.789726181616
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2800:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9388430823366716, b_new = -0.7870138670521153, c_new = 5.198581430993829
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3054.549101380632
Acceptance probability: 2.8051927033104734e-18
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2801:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.366900650106701, b_new = -1.906229232633804, c_new = 5.152538081611785
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5640.800071450633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2802:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889890865700628, b_new = -1.2070796596726399, c_new = 5.188840219922161
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3717.311852545884
Acceptance probability: 4.109197909323127e-306
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2803:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.106507153278498, b_new = -1.0798360213679457, c_new = 4.50139047677702
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3327.283794367193
Acceptance probability: 1.001821880895555e-136
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2804:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1825343839441023, b_new = -0.24694532545463455, c_new = 3.946785676922028
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5698.744639750022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2805:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1769571415377875, b_new = -1.1573199275249706, c_new = 5.179246937881885
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4041.4680808023068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2806:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.361888969405392, b_new = -0.8367278133228784, c_new = 4.2294285733320525
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8021.668277503852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2807:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.74739937781499, b_new = -1.7122020386111991, c_new = 4.578648137997115
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7633.340491179974
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2808:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.326248549598134, b_new = -1.6313266808377647, c_new = 4.46607605354063
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5303.207843713185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2809:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5706378869833424, b_new = -1.0165422994267763, c_new = 4.779308946203505
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9101.314047628337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2810:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8944056139408936, b_new = -0.29207705373197257, c_new = 4.788051026782012
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14054.477231064468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2811:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3855879288942408, b_new = -0.7157014675927758, c_new = 4.75221936727359
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8985.308658863716
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2812:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0289328707617766, b_new = -0.19199721140523907, c_new = 4.339301625113246
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3594.376146680407
Acceptance probability: 1.0093824390704941e-252
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2813:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4541790912439536, b_new = -2.0154065794032343, c_new = 4.309478624405443
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6845.7126690004925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2814:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3018846821282435, b_new = -1.2273767384675898, c_new = 5.597375513424424
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12217.331713279502
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2815:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.958499165589117, b_new = -1.5371419275501084, c_new = 4.781114368441999
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3529.7969971646526
Acceptance probability: 1.1231144772039878e-224
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2816:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.580952004944956, b_new = -0.3571533901291496, c_new = 3.603805872388272
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11672.246497577165
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2817:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.394519357799734, b_new = 0.09351259325779537, c_new = 4.430552562171119
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10804.26705226356
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2818:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8767745567901724, b_new = -1.0960412524844574, c_new = 4.940584759843157
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3753.866645378698
Acceptance probability: 5.5e-322
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2819:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.543736006051932, b_new = -1.2566376204862535, c_new = 4.614388318380703
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10087.871603886844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2820:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8395512834952985, b_new = -0.6138882511414767, c_new = 4.979867172328159
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13480.995412063567
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2821:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.566229651080403, b_new = -0.9228478168834677, c_new = 4.487892459416479
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9059.89782739389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2822:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4501762153873194, b_new = -0.6271453222867082, c_new = 5.027686864609614
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9898.714191377192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2823:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6185908350801554, b_new = -2.383863765938436, c_new = 5.868451781440131
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11000.272064756122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2824:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6490034103060625, b_new = -0.5529605267271608, c_new = 5.049188315265422
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6355.128700778186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2825:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.35470634455759, b_new = -0.34990003187748175, c_new = 4.820306340067402
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9379.699883503634
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2826:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1972560878539387, b_new = -0.6595925905453188, c_new = 4.84012175032999
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5263.884317205691
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2827:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.877939381080143, b_new = -1.491970802196537, c_new = 4.9049552528054665
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12646.272904816002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2828:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.780557447693285, b_new = -0.6939492924902991, c_new = 5.439500625652614
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13160.791763884117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2829:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.590093066099606, b_new = -0.6796589535669626, c_new = 5.631228935757727
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11849.437724980016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2830:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.296202334406912, b_new = -1.3220933065652218, c_new = 4.701206907862375
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12640.86239448663
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2831:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2763064260839894, b_new = -0.06275053412768639, c_new = 5.096084314276843
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8766.174638356737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2832:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8749698993700985, b_new = -0.31950825633150515, c_new = 4.975211790441969
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3097.5525620370017
Acceptance probability: 5.912852355567201e-37
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2833:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5319347375967394, b_new = -0.7139313496706587, c_new = 4.839707635093028
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10991.908051665265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2834:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.999624301244128, b_new = -1.6856310220731998, c_new = 4.72259375714547
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13092.338983164185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2835:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0511362986621315, b_new = -1.0455714605744926, c_new = 4.94502900801804
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3091.065572468235
Acceptance probability: 3.8820471747462995e-34
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2836:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539842025182651, b_new = -1.4359779648150277, c_new = 5.507744830410445
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10199.563933512345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2837:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.973478472605155, b_new = -0.6299269945704015, c_new = 4.761562319146325
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3025.871637900605
Acceptance probability: 7.987793793176416e-06
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2838:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4035542443197118, b_new = -0.5150120453359885, c_new = 4.078511536184568
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9514.708811043476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2839:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5403246716355325, b_new = -0.9569354026082045, c_new = 4.279187983811165
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9612.274252527239
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2840:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.795186745315672, b_new = 0.3117516132892535, c_new = 3.6842661544460595
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3203.091830700168
Acceptance probability: 8.643209308800363e-83
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2841:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4663031455797326, b_new = 0.08583762192586775, c_new = 5.4945314366088756
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11923.643901534946
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2842:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.002818283312068, b_new = -0.5174284426578408, c_new = 4.248322637067864
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3118.4799919487637
Acceptance probability: 4.820917546299796e-46
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2843:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.513752291951426, b_new = 0.1532125289680355, c_new = 5.09897820811842
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12328.951088753642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2844:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5704490969360916, b_new = -0.5361761920469867, c_new = 4.176920326515327
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8159.347075017566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2845:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5242102626768084, b_new = -0.6299377914352791, c_new = 4.780883785168999
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11038.99121556791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2846:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8479338000387795, b_new = -0.2976956221621123, c_new = 4.456626987378918
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3239.285279695263
Acceptance probability: 1.652189472700201e-98
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2847:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1139292533680027, b_new = -1.0043714361761467, c_new = 5.20578160023346
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3559.0483954945857
Acceptance probability: 2.2217906909528153e-237
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2848:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3066774975343005, b_new = -1.6056659580697579, c_new = 5.549423423990738
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -5314.458325976124
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2849:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6565681431846855, b_new = -1.3215594108208688, c_new = 5.624584462697686
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8005.602130335148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2850:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3834020330859484, b_new = 0.24181491862388316, c_new = 4.91897335603617
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9111.987621053422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2851:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9349458388459277, b_new = -1.460472839414129, c_new = 5.62347298037024
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3515.9769237379433
Acceptance probability: 1.1282508104448911e-218
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2852:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8479901837749306, b_new = -1.062369918867685, c_new = 4.953146781132064
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12993.17962899245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
C:\Users\ntk00\AppData\Local\Temp\ipykernel_16348\180213239.py:38: RuntimeWarning: overflow encountered in exp
acceptance_prob = np.exp(likelihood_new - likelihood)
Iteration 2853:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.860018628834096, b_new = -1.596766005423685, c_new = 4.766514752333947
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4935.880669486143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2854:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.972610343994231, b_new = -1.1579411879015922, c_new = 5.959469233234305
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3053.5772710096417
Acceptance probability: 7.413499592713705e-18
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2855:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.61322424370717, b_new = -0.7198095714133719, c_new = 5.766671913174845
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7245.01892943404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2856:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.04312389049279, b_new = -1.0813847998639603, c_new = 5.258244159305496
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3067.0443799491786
Acceptance probability: 1.0503454740633639e-23
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2857:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9700736595647097, b_new = -1.3671131537310997, c_new = 4.704058421810947
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -13277.00104042791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2858:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9511302708865155, b_new = -0.3365900900247123, c_new = 4.72447037506224
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14249.807005947514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2859:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9622708106261113, b_new = -1.4824429283687324, c_new = 5.254691415866106
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3367.3332428922163
Acceptance probability: 4.05075535912192e-154
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2860:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3457736663802997, b_new = -0.1369290853862527, c_new = 4.109441113564357
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -9478.724051773923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2861:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0781922348670228, b_new = -1.5766353137264133, c_new = 5.459788362680844
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3023.938645565512
Acceptance probability: 5.51969079181434e-05
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2862:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7503850004026478, b_new = -1.4667065465546014, c_new = 5.118955304879216
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6651.488265022115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2863:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3580671723588074, b_new = -1.1804690493084353, c_new = 4.322222396709233
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7047.230742897061
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2864:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1793577431502724, b_new = -0.839102512921284, c_new = 4.836985171743048
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -12759.050740043382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2865:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2569817936388312, b_new = -0.33868425379492906, c_new = 5.246217427169296
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7594.987553636429
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2866:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.401808295104094, b_new = -1.2906182687734051, c_new = 4.366982976337068
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -7671.608435813048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2867:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.365154310278864, b_new = -1.598420993268018, c_new = 5.777470309448761
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6601.474572341924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2868:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.904405041353593, b_new = -1.7246426141446836, c_new = 5.7493910561980455
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4224.317239605152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2869:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.14971345511686, b_new = -1.2731028213175224, c_new = 3.912715092832685
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3415.271974548705
Acceptance probability: 6.137752719333757e-175
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2870:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.787095712654921, b_new = -1.5820779727515757, c_new = 5.161888384855428
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -6173.113638386034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2871:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.002442130245886, b_new = -0.33307860647005416, c_new = 5.37892672153469
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3382.1114762183543
Acceptance probability: 1.54678812561522e-160
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2872:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1804587153514134, b_new = -1.2340518628990287, c_new = 5.096326173836607
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3948.7450734162376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2873:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0731567172527208, b_new = -0.6330371655182208, c_new = 4.437086324755642
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3496.3509043584127
Acceptance probability: 3.765976211715431e-210
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2874:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0148058869456125, b_new = -1.2266246097778506, c_new = 4.394613078544328
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3042.5826098740013
Acceptance probability: 4.415134412975907e-13
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2875:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.375723090093759, b_new = -1.2605055132302572, c_new = 4.693654090731449
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11928.540718443975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2876:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266549251841662, b_new = -1.5687923129127506, c_new = 4.772763619334429
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4500.241112071439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2877:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.579101771310155, b_new = -0.6597768237774719, c_new = 5.573377299759782
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11765.654503156838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2878:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.909963434545326, b_new = -0.14021829930897134, c_new = 4.094907770294817
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -14112.363371442774
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2879:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.866410198568929, b_new = -1.1634214947160082, c_new = 4.611879737824914
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -4045.6785152142893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2880:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6514377271743124, b_new = -2.2602332870681767, c_new = 4.865957195402661
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -10681.658749853601
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2881:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1122274932812894, b_new = -0.8651906936388399, c_new = 4.548046172292713
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3604.9647762366767
Acceptance probability: 2.543737881274692e-257
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2882:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.594483206045086, b_new = -0.7661614022275368, c_new = 4.374001680355231
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -11378.820698516582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2883:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304235613854183, b_new = -0.22187192768329234, c_new = 4.6393417652255
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -8697.478556248234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2884:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0133349116043, b_new = -1.0648451044413658, c_new = 5.08607893776871
Current likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Proposed likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Acceptance probability: 3.2870532185127432
Max likelihood: -3014.1340419432863
Best coefficients so far: a = 2.9941382555790317, b = -0.8893135432905608, c = 4.952517025927357
Iteration 2885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.466640594843418, b_new = -0.542769208967495, c_new = 5.706877823354303
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10868.533128035888
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.029509445757425, b_new = -0.7260322105167725, c_new = 4.623548276347352
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3145.893937488225
Acceptance probability: 1.822206926676254e-58
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.169947428370168, b_new = -0.7727512844972126, c_new = 5.406498135183573
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4705.190405026982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6652936825381377, b_new = -0.9599888067523499, c_new = 5.08574440924312
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7071.117669310198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.215578506434402, b_new = -1.2464046754485245, c_new = 5.238665303013989
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4440.1101205296545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4332955608052806, b_new = -0.8156889714231929, c_new = 5.7738804180902665
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10230.760027526385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.967601178028733, b_new = -0.8102426812758847, c_new = 4.6436426850077455
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3020.770622890438
Acceptance probability: 0.00039899070690683374
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.077055143158918, b_new = -1.277677485671772, c_new = 5.856906332585848
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3141.0323095721733
Acceptance probability: 2.354918438712096e-56
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.210273271341834, b_new = -1.020038319124028, c_new = 4.640729735795244
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4644.490083739035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3913461981571853, b_new = 0.1444852531444527, c_new = 5.37446148293287
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11197.424731458363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8580868179810497, b_new = -1.411798876182611, c_new = 5.477287413935779
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4388.005118295988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.671416154751726, b_new = -1.2150264754503501, c_new = 5.430467170785098
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11669.288234325792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2478914859025645, b_new = -0.8007505308449885, c_new = 5.227052779360448
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6056.289373521679
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8954791537956477, b_new = -0.2733667597091779, c_new = 5.024546205421927
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3043.423988682787
Acceptance probability: 5.79069939130748e-14
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9395799421306124, b_new = -2.257167707542539, c_new = 4.870545708981795
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5008.430935160677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.285252478888726, b_new = -0.14842627205510328, c_new = 4.57680752423976
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8486.836591539413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.556130069894013, b_new = -0.21998118592900617, c_new = 5.829835827700466
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7083.694091426726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8065455398593304, b_new = -1.834568296305628, c_new = 4.694985591988803
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6640.545083411651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3871789479371035, b_new = -0.9619543845662394, c_new = 5.315954413947639
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8601.533314615517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7391429684547597, b_new = -1.6529726659757746, c_new = 5.318759057830056
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7335.10963809484
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.955439393080074, b_new = -0.46375363421163596, c_new = 3.77315159023678
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13922.752792132453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8765742949178787, b_new = -1.450506700563275, c_new = 5.114457560209295
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4281.711865236844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.714817164942898, b_new = -0.5699444763024509, c_new = 5.628961888878434
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12949.632174384315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.970339994649901, b_new = -0.7175129466501287, c_new = 4.105465407453352
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3017.6296572489055
Acceptance probability: 0.00922713397343582
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2954396324526565, b_new = -1.1579301383310643, c_new = 5.490221063833972
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6202.077212546385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5020353470832135, b_new = -0.7799784085664506, c_new = 4.993075574413127
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9530.869285570183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6533161634072004, b_new = -1.0479135756810458, c_new = 5.218182305912509
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11706.099866702658
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.91679444174612, b_new = -1.8341854943482856, c_new = 4.59886545616284
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4557.788997123395
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6869880430282587, b_new = -1.9847766029774394, c_new = 5.330444836964715
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10587.809107456462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9077628758191794, b_new = -1.3526953555853898, c_new = 4.830623436618255
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3791.8624950648327
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8847742160680143, b_new = -0.82717719073116, c_new = 4.573912126468951
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3418.013678803787
Acceptance probability: 1.2036372586444831e-176
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.507851657679583, b_new = -1.2948713320301566, c_new = 5.066344172309503
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10473.855598598697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5715565603776245, b_new = -1.186241779367386, c_new = 4.589642390860534
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10517.592309108251
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8983903086433438, b_new = -2.523928787622964, c_new = 5.021092359827187
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15583.30177347242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.511693610127103, b_new = -2.33721145624576, c_new = 4.795341791902105
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7323.739632329514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0180260322111563, b_new = -0.8333825502994103, c_new = 5.5511915171332795
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13492.973003724528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8178099997902892, b_new = -0.6134122986159414, c_new = 5.635087704327935
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3638.9423438997464
Acceptance probability: 1.356424037651154e-272
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.096610920643124, b_new = -0.6892142291278971, c_new = 5.797447791328896
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3917.3762631724403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4459769832356515, b_new = -1.453761360350076, c_new = 6.100240977105354
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8730.69416244887
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.110751927015514, b_new = -1.0483608566136506, c_new = 5.708880409618976
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3559.2091184614073
Acceptance probability: 5.755662364568997e-238
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.354468052171859, b_new = 0.33412102810734856, c_new = 4.720779381696241
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9365.168606921607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083783510320915, b_new = -1.171682880982768, c_new = 4.7941955477715155
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3152.899887538867
Acceptance probability: 1.651780161187457e-61
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2599433502029846, b_new = -0.510312151627928, c_new = 4.21854824933163
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6744.912698431993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1812378362890743, b_new = -1.0882906059171713, c_new = 4.359376689335195
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4037.6086913394565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1857186068704606, b_new = -1.620760242806328, c_new = 4.807818187874471
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3471.6001221419874
Acceptance probability: 6.429822384661773e-200
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4657132942228412, b_new = -1.7858133448706277, c_new = 4.5532053504690095
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12010.230614142452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8027559357800875, b_new = -0.5279957745812923, c_new = 5.3504058370813015
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13472.002533198258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.739039587354437, b_new = -1.7825421847099752, c_new = 5.5531838102807285
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7608.491823649352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.303547929402044, b_new = -1.4957361794961326, c_new = 5.95631119627857
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5651.0127426666095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.291803185282223, b_new = -1.1349866799946384, c_new = 5.238288871023801
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14939.963097813456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.761977791237604, b_new = -1.4502377041909948, c_new = 5.381654310584061
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6262.820556985485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9564449925080973, b_new = -0.18047032003167718, c_new = 4.945585920093614
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3175.494031170183
Acceptance probability: 2.5435503751411563e-71
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.102283836789839, b_new = -1.198960196847501, c_new = 4.756884462441759
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14077.44450370374
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6812081533544094, b_new = -0.6236526781197544, c_new = 4.296233686323773
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6146.644507794683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.589767852390687, b_new = -0.43806911018210526, c_new = 4.501409899177834
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11881.667394507767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9006260411594647, b_new = -1.389930842888356, c_new = 5.0616017299078875
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12945.921839842096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6775682137588492, b_new = -0.5658428162697637, c_new = 4.982502586524369
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5843.070861194956
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7342766624151804, b_new = -1.5662111895787154, c_new = 5.01110951285889
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7318.611419028617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9503818203512853, b_new = -1.0797598053025825, c_new = 5.310554069267674
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13630.524896028432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5956159801047898, b_new = -1.0065386464138808, c_new = 4.784022075093009
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8651.472514829744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0336849899311678, b_new = -0.9478959499877828, c_new = 5.480993108589799
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3107.9045629036755
Acceptance probability: 5.743457955455011e-42
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.940875563313575, b_new = -2.1383921966097015, c_new = 4.608270343813014
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4806.848428627614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5432543435551116, b_new = -2.7452788505217827, c_new = 4.48018091693154
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12916.60699139789
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7621564934368834, b_new = -1.295953810855686, c_new = 5.603590567045542
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5779.698481077849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.053125068018172, b_new = -1.372261071887995, c_new = 5.0599693626967595
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3017.440964526516
Acceptance probability: 0.011143331091678324
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5894827706979067, b_new = -0.21384097986064954, c_new = 5.457082549498876
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6551.311747899597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.56748433473431, b_new = -1.127718426398356, c_new = 5.961334200605897
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8989.555202722006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8979118598217353, b_new = -1.638038338125062, c_new = 5.387900369997852
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4249.517579580901
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.806036176218415, b_new = -1.4284462244221425, c_new = 5.167489206171746
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12323.058359301685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.007832569885583, b_new = -0.9667621166477359, c_new = 5.493340414176002
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3030.654548167179
Acceptance probability: 2.0343635841173193e-08
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.536658221961664, b_new = -0.6981248023122059, c_new = 5.024878068408035
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8825.704752328878
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8488025001387873, b_new = -1.2153574497565265, c_new = 5.567976379217404
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4149.369631220819
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.560727095608635, b_new = -1.022281640713456, c_new = 4.891466534943213
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9231.60693117593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2653060719183675, b_new = -1.0042070595971009, c_new = 4.968654272972201
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5789.621973821559
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.464956385677696, b_new = -1.370384990684499, c_new = 5.000297845364489
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8860.587218304749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9622748713891887, b_new = -0.6887040530508328, c_new = 4.775416736501845
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3014.757440107346
Acceptance probability: 0.16310034579538155
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.167846097975586, b_new = -0.8828572045846451, c_new = 5.09690061411049
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14695.623985573442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6036777882030195, b_new = -1.0559598842121785, c_new = 5.351436196741966
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8419.784524366145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5380099793785913, b_new = -1.5335851732043184, c_new = 4.747416691553377
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10685.23652934073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.240667482264859, b_new = -1.1077407366589371, c_new = 5.214705390623348
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5139.780152675915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.064511381425543, b_new = -0.7050084044677196, c_new = 5.329197544389299
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14515.928103482434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.723625534154541, b_new = -0.5810615815621925, c_new = 5.617710444542369
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4849.899363773589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4801808746425857, b_new = -1.2844160036016095, c_new = 5.534621069641116
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9476.250933908506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2384191277011256, b_new = -0.5121067558023085, c_new = 5.342959494213838
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6706.31392133743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3225415086534795, b_new = -1.8263522669932986, c_new = 4.1996462413064926
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13283.47905367638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3364519930836796, b_new = -1.2526025815277504, c_new = 4.35921363635638
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6415.136212078773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.18422138976623, b_new = -0.8968687844357941, c_new = 4.942478398045848
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4554.353295056288
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.12488073179411, b_new = -0.9412054859025525, c_new = 4.657972842619575
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3654.265826631835
Acceptance probability: 3.0025585393041477e-279
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7284592818855353, b_new = -1.6310133914548457, c_new = 4.358321991645013
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11247.844703694393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.605680957659191, b_new = -1.3712805346970527, c_new = 5.542382500126317
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9085.132930137836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.146920075802798, b_new = -1.0147160804291768, c_new = 5.612197591590292
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3981.2468292903413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5723767748785415, b_new = -2.066566852710439, c_new = 4.777199969517998
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8934.47642480211
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3613603051835885, b_new = -0.7947918375400018, c_new = 4.868665206097568
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8369.031777202741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.584579550259484, b_new = -0.32660413957410606, c_new = 4.748663351798612
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12079.088028967908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3041863278637718, b_new = -0.9621066992340677, c_new = 4.698517712986761
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6631.899877450463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2691176157990944, b_new = -1.592260162938087, c_new = 4.860973997980841
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4516.3719819863945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4634868159279395, b_new = -0.809672941768038, c_new = 4.438193682284315
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9873.981423730009
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0587301498166886, b_new = -1.026297427407095, c_new = 4.726928132668124
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3116.2602597214286
Acceptance probability: 1.3500206942886357e-45
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0686833686593347, b_new = -1.620850737702955, c_new = 6.268254849463695
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3019.3766733190846
Acceptance probability: 0.0016082271416559453
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1021414563207377, b_new = -0.48124078703265905, c_new = 4.817889557225894
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4099.027186370153
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.841934953927201, b_new = -0.6330522494092921, c_new = 5.662172614301527
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3439.681810419095
Acceptance probability: 4.678920102290194e-186
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9718112081278465, b_new = -1.0832184317175908, c_new = 5.018073346998532
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14078.314221200528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6089049678198037, b_new = -0.7413954575840961, c_new = 5.23348284488286
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11797.09036949247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3670075437795424, b_new = -0.7042206825136204, c_new = 4.968653795954594
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8757.46657589213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.687405267886145, b_new = -0.8733599448311071, c_new = 5.9833139105516135
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12449.394706474037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.170930464964308, b_new = -0.12363286915130389, c_new = 5.313069216085028
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11762.726111779542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5180560757660997, b_new = -0.7580993102163232, c_new = 5.614559865531662
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11013.230296495894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0016942636361468, b_new = -0.665950008704334, c_new = 4.770578070627732
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3078.1304093941994
Acceptance probability: 4.896931383911667e-29
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.572350597869778, b_new = -0.6978296569731303, c_new = 5.921726410849655
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11752.239452338494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2011873909695834, b_new = -1.3795890266092028, c_new = 4.581699114358171
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13362.59114279879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.614666114347762, b_new = -1.5263566441136307, c_new = 4.559848253688414
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10388.1836122779
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.747508921776113, b_new = -0.8337941256360781, c_new = 4.806618049356891
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5205.434135955265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.767204201351467, b_new = -0.8679360678649033, c_new = 4.412234323908388
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12582.55713618384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.744939361775793, b_new = -0.4107765594741506, c_new = 5.447442190003124
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4248.937249479393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 2999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.522717398510213, b_new = -0.6114382273972927, c_new = 4.937115192917756
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11104.58905466897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9403995482351934, b_new = -0.8880485719158034, c_new = 4.005791214386922
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3171.63183431998
Acceptance probability: 1.209960306761461e-69
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.713804233958543, b_new = -0.8134413561726124, c_new = 5.337208030909517
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5626.655446604756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.194470386759576, b_new = -1.1980226865961576, c_new = 5.246485461789813
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4222.899689706162
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9382760289184966, b_new = -0.3659468885978079, c_new = 4.483968392708903
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3024.9195591603784
Acceptance probability: 6.296549945636625e-06
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.511843450201405, b_new = -1.2180665974835636, c_new = 4.606421179695163
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9751.926971500568
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539842598538567, b_new = -1.4479825618081115, c_new = 5.6621213142358195
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10171.50237892757
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2472529449794534, b_new = -1.1702596751227206, c_new = 4.998293041262565
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5052.951862919994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8425954179901107, b_new = -1.1268860953471374, c_new = 5.341209718490506
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12982.407721978532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.355023231400801, b_new = -0.7891331529538073, c_new = 4.835864127515979
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8244.660758381871
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.436976395071871, b_new = -1.5691247975023304, c_new = 5.48320146589707
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8044.14356850605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.871435762713397, b_new = -1.2146235385091368, c_new = 4.787265286845582
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4024.982164660234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7016464082679756, b_new = -1.4280574364479803, c_new = 5.41742855553736
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7460.864680360624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4956971060300983, b_new = -1.7195490338144308, c_new = 5.4253370022526655
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11303.220008969336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7286303510512893, b_new = -1.2750351275689258, c_new = 4.742520177752548
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6731.826401026006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0056221280629867, b_new = -1.0741888793564727, c_new = 4.76715622882145
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13981.561134266381
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.048170218465689, b_new = -0.6315767397163723, c_new = 5.485951451556036
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13134.563353508398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.549782285614128, b_new = -1.4085266119827948, c_new = 5.2432716843380796
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10065.217893555358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.580685850692353, b_new = -1.5197317615142185, c_new = 4.164316758558543
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15899.812114787497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7088985343257717, b_new = -0.7721062982148945, c_new = 5.184732361477387
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12516.39377640899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2070559507270353, b_new = -0.6065725143874856, c_new = 5.425117926802202
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5790.67858130711
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8560466567765803, b_new = -1.3924381182974463, c_new = 4.243787674580151
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12467.212266820476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0906083777165607, b_new = -1.132602612712321, c_new = 4.884071536051248
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3221.01447213763
Acceptance probability: 4.3267720670751e-91
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3341125866851815, b_new = -0.6870241005412271, c_new = 4.798147730845993
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11360.331302512937
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.075592928603822, b_new = -1.02216341475736, c_new = 5.8677183546446425
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14389.92772472414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7046453397319128, b_new = -1.7406545597342848, c_new = 5.457589475159393
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15453.586435031784
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4367558997654477, b_new = -1.2396688056161835, c_new = 6.022719239539515
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10887.852734499513
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2420862305023235, b_new = -0.4009293514404513, c_new = 5.294369977939303
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7094.371975179765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.956528347551241, b_new = -0.5534738284242148, c_new = 4.681587313726995
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14048.580974208779
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2181585620850415, b_new = -0.3454389692753185, c_new = 5.442302331968289
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6777.3157361486155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9919331162860563, b_new = -1.43639942990831, c_new = 5.383336881926269
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3139.613086289418
Acceptance probability: 9.735016915128322e-56
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.856892029261044, b_new = -0.630671877091137, c_new = 5.760680739071807
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13756.585860744317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.076724901711454, b_new = -1.2842411933480256, c_new = 5.148424222094276
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3089.2194971942145
Acceptance probability: 7.4815981509948925e-34
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1515739237529488, b_new = -0.9167662129209248, c_new = 5.514221205065216
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4181.883451210271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.522523071122487, b_new = -0.1032214371202318, c_new = 5.482203838518016
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7530.976343413666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.722053262178057, b_new = -1.2837786892396443, c_new = 4.87968846710446
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6842.44148732915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0387071886015695, b_new = -1.2591988804740313, c_new = 4.380686663866647
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3022.54706008357
Acceptance probability: 6.752520479334018e-05
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.451199020054688, b_new = -0.6567436636476804, c_new = 5.907837830189183
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10528.1860271918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.035456084522997, b_new = -1.2839216163176725, c_new = 3.6813182403322067
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3060.7664924252495
Acceptance probability: 1.7020697078695822e-21
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.573263247178246, b_new = -0.4533689378803736, c_new = 4.338883868989061
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7841.299699882211
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.225413565752748, b_new = -1.0573449168433107, c_new = 4.2893040980883645
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4723.8071243612685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.259844029624902, b_new = -1.1444387045786752, c_new = 3.9842127742288684
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5045.874122378123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4247112835296036, b_new = -0.9314462884653978, c_new = 5.1313893329259175
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10744.003367591424
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083179227454018, b_new = -1.098900460297086, c_new = 5.52293201933602
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3266.013966798362
Acceptance probability: 1.2391725879530995e-110
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2338392756257357, b_new = -1.372714038713181, c_new = 4.017836452219057
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4207.976628873564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.305774572431089, b_new = -0.9502817450641279, c_new = 5.563089257769746
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15191.384221106095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3771345928352288, b_new = -1.7015456911722628, c_new = 3.5598615259713497
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12931.282609501573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9337279370649156, b_new = -1.0241591064792286, c_new = 4.5157541627912146
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3252.8381282158916
Acceptance probability: 6.5362068615136964e-105
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0151409242592018, b_new = -0.27830459322774526, c_new = 5.377211305771063
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3545.455680344692
Acceptance probability: 5.409256691101087e-232
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8352464262510475, b_new = -0.905945996862491, c_new = 5.87194541028374
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3788.7691192969664
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.095264187181624, b_new = -1.2441612389955918, c_new = 5.277833418793394
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14122.41409653998
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.486695349837667, b_new = -1.1056861522540709, c_new = 5.4703310844903665
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9925.262168196827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0415068744347606, b_new = -1.0940247235237786, c_new = 4.866557204212719
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3042.4758629943635
Acceptance probability: 1.4945029440921448e-13
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8750709252743816, b_new = -1.3589214895806934, c_new = 5.272152574999384
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4105.428375709886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.001942287056696, b_new = -1.1821561238038671, c_new = 5.252050064094706
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13760.449342386994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6344286848406044, b_new = -1.38047068532683, c_new = 4.82984121858457
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8881.325314110733
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.64973644035325, b_new = -1.667195212461649, c_new = 4.834630328501508
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9334.037768179045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.906248308609516, b_new = -0.7952484296827269, c_new = 4.966640985295847
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3202.2434680963424
Acceptance probability: 6.141967191223843e-83
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.607184897223664, b_new = -0.8663421018503983, c_new = 5.544678252241019
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11680.881283454519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3960202384960816, b_new = -1.1528697694733763, c_new = 5.743874553478647
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11245.80049235806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1097152223445335, b_new = -2.3967790768559234, c_new = 5.735367740654084
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13144.939617404209
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7619304021888, b_new = -1.2082979591416456, c_new = 4.997672278682354
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5770.238916647108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7899159747509663, b_new = -1.3571889353221969, c_new = 5.885456732829212
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5300.501394751665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4999388179782263, b_new = -0.9010549169579153, c_new = 5.254541642649673
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9722.359488681881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.325010967847853, b_new = -0.939166371762338, c_new = 5.336178032509627
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7391.913386897376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0057738773846356, b_new = -0.9027721083693817, c_new = 4.40081906815545
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3015.8367208146437
Acceptance probability: 0.05542800228551955
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.120154242950737, b_new = -1.1098069925188705, c_new = 4.542471406733485
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13513.940508709838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9568054333279203, b_new = -1.3875701786138468, c_new = 4.527552373035884
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3420.0455148435285
Acceptance probability: 1.5779035116048753e-177
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.048734055986381, b_new = -0.9325773361074852, c_new = 4.701634279332137
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14089.129469124302
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.013188048173146, b_new = -0.6363964936770847, c_new = 5.214448191609052
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3176.4230433423763
Acceptance probability: 1.004559079456232e-71
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.453906035397443, b_new = -1.7179004789934034, c_new = 5.43704302531359
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7972.1445592008895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.941731213132654, b_new = -0.8313462215269282, c_new = 5.347929045061546
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3055.3764445919674
Acceptance probability: 3.731172894115587e-19
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.647219983004423, b_new = -1.1942293173502219, c_new = 4.72660591411336
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8197.942658133412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831334050710489, b_new = -2.053940829956173, c_new = 4.826231155740839
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6672.132614606942
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.143088785795228, b_new = -0.6803889415060007, c_new = 4.827089304367437
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12794.585544874897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6727997489224404, b_new = -1.4250034881283058, c_new = 5.0870425897674325
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11265.633474110418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4976476327903554, b_new = -0.7882414952404269, c_new = 5.391629848519393
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9477.19494755822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.490807827049096, b_new = -1.3661636811746611, c_new = 5.840403896529169
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9560.864189607972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4766496579464845, b_new = -1.0822317988517736, c_new = 4.770990573334799
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9599.798680989994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.059657765350626, b_new = -1.1058754542525138, c_new = 5.1822847658361715
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14079.752875125916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2047192640648334, b_new = -0.21551109664193446, c_new = 5.81547460767306
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11498.672063251925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5682108988423407, b_new = -0.9126086071208885, c_new = 4.536365614386289
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8985.174789052018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3586282225234276, b_new = -1.6543056927723092, c_new = 5.034850928267607
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12553.03699459824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.285010362109388, b_new = -0.8543270736739224, c_new = 5.633814589684821
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15217.026575111493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1497969709967437, b_new = -1.0306896451513874, c_new = 4.677610688210364
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3805.328529146708
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.785070182699811, b_new = -0.5933368605355667, c_new = 4.958961740000681
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4105.758101913566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9990453585638095, b_new = -1.5005608043982495, c_new = 5.780892469887505
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3114.1808365220068
Acceptance probability: 1.079996745670302e-44
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3284766203172675, b_new = -1.2485696172890328, c_new = 5.103389679540243
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6520.682482332842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.224693300245794, b_new = -0.24690277278399708, c_new = 5.015569938086846
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7038.458994265175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5080529512416496, b_new = -0.7504455526681701, c_new = 4.590933230589969
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10591.086620739987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.891646828191909, b_new = -1.0747811965833451, c_new = 5.211556093252861
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3532.528248870057
Acceptance probability: 2.2256134928356353e-226
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.853829398958873, b_new = -0.763927732623709, c_new = 4.4401339956913075
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13251.200334473873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.848771930902135, b_new = -1.0500075885084892, c_new = 5.207789691841267
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3960.4030543773747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.59754123376835, b_new = -0.4764064629134164, c_new = 5.966564247568709
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6875.360549854109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9110448176440573, b_new = -1.1614006827776313, c_new = 5.240517167950328
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3452.9236036432685
Acceptance probability: 8.30439314804325e-192
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.156479676773111, b_new = -1.3274919680630237, c_new = 5.36627615476549
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13351.776019027508
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.339353752131371, b_new = -3.157641491307905, c_new = 5.963793513482935
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3432.6021727076436
Acceptance probability: 5.556396398663602e-183
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2978601378103582, b_new = -0.7244624605484092, c_new = 4.915205851943825
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11709.965567516558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266201190167225, b_new = -1.048678535395726, c_new = 5.753961142543344
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5971.346076001882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.68520266099631, b_new = -1.6963999068506626, c_new = 5.019279763485646
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10941.431975381676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0839214846939917, b_new = -1.3016132766823552, c_new = 4.284723091709732
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3073.216407084865
Acceptance probability: 6.668806338095139e-27
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.101347340908737, b_new = -1.376124984497475, c_new = 5.498896584018881
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3169.5942608601817
Acceptance probability: 9.282779476801159e-69
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.675410523970222, b_new = -1.1281697895842886, c_new = 4.2887366332878205
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7626.398386960339
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1613748116644973, b_new = -1.055974204085669, c_new = 4.656138073156951
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3899.237064115725
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.091396818302064, b_new = -0.43422853136823336, c_new = 4.578406715676854
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3984.534546747152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6519048157755156, b_new = -0.00652609061700371, c_new = 4.816409028888328
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13042.496891109604
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2532048816381915, b_new = -1.5961536391079005, c_new = 5.195952232843282
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4348.275776513509
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2015854141839513, b_new = -1.204695524373622, c_new = 5.5994842674352245
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12874.085608397781
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5025285647265325, b_new = -0.9121664490575807, c_new = 5.727806590869513
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10594.206305515216
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4247714844643764, b_new = -0.7307844191727708, c_new = 5.463941898778599
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9847.399179425485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083979658930565, b_new = -1.2553536733944908, c_new = 4.827607626200101
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3112.193417144398
Acceptance probability: 7.880390082279829e-44
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0971283898305297, b_new = -1.6574232097084836, c_new = 4.75329617888979
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14160.100077338036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5520685612239853, b_new = -0.5164076496944198, c_new = 4.390770594795509
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8361.349127858515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.578056065142397, b_new = -0.6745390072408219, c_new = 5.395918326651338
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7925.966605779207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7280231559594488, b_new = -1.2870973238743713, c_new = 5.573714746518489
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12059.88095645494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8863127366232142, b_new = -0.7535909783531876, c_new = 5.275169350802058
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14066.37192142747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1365247340282014, b_new = -1.4794411327186408, c_new = 5.253738956222077
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3278.166484176716
Acceptance probability: 6.536730184975938e-116
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.06923331750985, b_new = -0.9798577874719907, c_new = 4.225932066699365
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3155.377753549119
Acceptance probability: 1.3862089883470241e-62
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9487813429472456, b_new = -1.2248300003222936, c_new = 5.487234430808881
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13509.440655114475
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.075990059503938, b_new = -0.3103692485157312, c_new = 5.147263853851343
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12682.130886702145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5095870506835047, b_new = -0.0305864651718204, c_new = 4.455023324440964
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11800.90847394948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.692816331946948, b_new = -0.9878340451223266, c_new = 4.610680679822021
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11945.076442826932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.712841180226378, b_new = -1.1735985653287375, c_new = 4.416661289545986
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11788.529261628015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6453202534411524, b_new = -1.0873891115141345, c_new = 4.90480148870511
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11487.642522728122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.138821754848654, b_new = -1.1972908297722817, c_new = 5.377536312799101
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13297.898873086617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4878187990758005, b_new = -1.4823548773499484, c_new = 4.909037310748739
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11125.326646127274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5197658818643824, b_new = -1.370494245929966, c_new = 5.4385783384306
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9819.436996000586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.315700861623958, b_new = -1.835823497553457, c_new = 5.603755587390741
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12938.728770281878
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.491136826055917, b_new = -0.638839771006309, c_new = 4.784375007095572
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9458.095473504049
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1270582029930423, b_new = -0.9546727643381141, c_new = 5.344605355233114
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3782.081903995596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.812484449804079, b_new = -0.9396316958954819, c_new = 5.722152831116777
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4146.354344495538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.341989186130888, b_new = -1.4264725737506625, c_new = 4.65084171648951
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6175.964077704455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.764736565977003, b_new = -1.1399867897161255, c_new = 5.773725483449333
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12577.263835113452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9383652537442546, b_new = -0.9002571732745368, c_new = 4.848396691344355
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3118.436050395717
Acceptance probability: 1.5325213805365009e-46
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.886992124615189, b_new = -1.384633111821851, c_new = 6.036692224034632
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3839.785476100482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0906671845542233, b_new = -1.259879505523231, c_new = 4.967350000734302
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3147.0668109899334
Acceptance probability: 5.6393000592990165e-59
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.185802394554896, b_new = -0.3028294731343595, c_new = 5.782846117924539
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6312.837101487097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.349879483235788, b_new = -2.3615560756010234, c_new = 4.705879304834354
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4323.184386451867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0183092346424214, b_new = -0.8931225747698723, c_new = 5.404541669152979
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13587.681256736596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1874040571385787, b_new = -1.5772533055393383, c_new = 5.682135035622162
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3657.592073529019
Acceptance probability: 1.0787500043475464e-280
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7457328860938026, b_new = -0.6267758249589881, c_new = 4.7483711530999395
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4804.33397291648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.686676137828263, b_new = -1.3610240976572785, c_new = 5.245916500185531
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11528.155925436866
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.806968889324726, b_new = -2.06220992356045, c_new = 5.269972758808192
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7049.875838621904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8119130248161404, b_new = -0.6442280132270087, c_new = 5.122707999897501
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3821.522433155517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1234019319682504, b_new = -1.295347702702036, c_new = 5.378086890892715
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3357.087351471104
Acceptance probability: 3.471070112323843e-150
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8549339116106918, b_new = -1.0219649385323353, c_new = 4.877375676204256
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3909.943194838823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8989908644533893, b_new = -1.1442950608647202, c_new = 5.224408977223264
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3542.7721099761557
Acceptance probability: 7.91766994439244e-231
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9529168103626593, b_new = -1.183481620060568, c_new = 5.252581487854717
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3184.0656704047888
Acceptance probability: 4.817533272614041e-75
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.04497061075798, b_new = -1.1301949584322954, c_new = 5.154815101984309
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3050.509146928336
Acceptance probability: 4.849376357964243e-17
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221795611454628, b_new = -1.3269859066107488, c_new = 5.0871087582656624
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4347.577754791379
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5292306071092154, b_new = -1.4715984575929169, c_new = 4.259281683141407
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9372.460104041545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.724221819086089, b_new = -1.2047185704689891, c_new = 5.01648917155984
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6528.992563026141
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.35872057019694, b_new = -1.4951241700730185, c_new = 4.9512276679025105
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6447.453385898104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2414683093186953, b_new = -0.08180244635197931, c_new = 5.721965087924453
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11012.839160308597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3115708930639656, b_new = 0.0044500400505549376, c_new = 5.128904981210996
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9643.026500049791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5829361830371447, b_new = -0.9315089709061832, c_new = 5.167987422348208
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8548.469128997755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0469789635813322, b_new = -0.7756879722374506, c_new = 5.653548159469463
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3318.962136237279
Acceptance probability: 1.2532392370094082e-133
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5018762213967967, b_new = -1.2649739640121074, c_new = 5.163766217610458
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9702.267665587677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.602039486582498, b_new = -1.7368365927736495, c_new = 5.218860163134867
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10091.858173443054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.791373893015372, b_new = -1.314684680775089, c_new = 4.5534949326666805
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12212.059561918442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6070590163376695, b_new = -1.5609520254915519, c_new = 5.402121889253849
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10491.338306931933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.293625910505606, b_new = -0.9532026245840235, c_new = 5.984370690183037
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6925.069276950438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.785032728073236, b_new = -0.8076527689095614, c_new = 4.633720159094581
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12831.573926580219
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6745031272157878, b_new = -0.8179258965907679, c_new = 5.799104873644926
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6263.142884625509
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.034771884248078, b_new = -1.9329928452195146, c_new = 5.5311246425895275
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13200.828844645657
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5940538781206226, b_new = -0.934999400993832, c_new = 5.198389925632577
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11347.526836994646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8066787302258014, b_new = -1.6210812189739952, c_new = 5.31041909768486
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5817.537637148304
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9191081043191205, b_new = -1.1407406788844303, c_new = 4.772576401096783
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3431.347789616436
Acceptance probability: 1.947892008585465e-182
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0313503472798273, b_new = -0.6420736270249365, c_new = 5.107809176681868
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3262.6807379323996
Acceptance probability: 3.4732392573817976e-109
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.013943852154545, b_new = -1.1113838261640288, c_new = 5.098068087184972
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13902.569632329676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.249564741849083, b_new = -0.032593367046099164, c_new = 5.026212411619122
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11048.987521490142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.675405304491003, b_new = -1.4039404146743242, c_new = 4.984948609745612
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15715.911736679807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7615311679381427, b_new = -0.9850472349255479, c_new = 5.094479385009151
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5207.082306628412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.370294343994572, b_new = -1.981657565337731, c_new = 4.957749967880441
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5470.305365715089
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6726839229062476, b_new = -1.230704283192344, c_new = 5.1954731033943675
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7605.191259566883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3407434746445004, b_new = -0.9554562283637569, c_new = 5.422889319812268
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11542.796689569546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7775047863017455, b_new = -1.504349311201777, c_new = 5.4552059310869065
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12098.217313993813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.473387164902083, b_new = -1.3381890798989917, c_new = 4.9087145965216505
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11018.901625590775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.912309850926869, b_new = -1.2945316962786093, c_new = 5.085818920402307
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3618.883858284541
Acceptance probability: 6.977263031313822e-264
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5188597655628855, b_new = -1.3991472529540891, c_new = 5.380194025791141
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10436.767480259963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.670053454579459, b_new = -1.3394289915578508, c_new = 5.505764772443578
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11490.833692186932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7548398087059742, b_new = -1.5588754518830668, c_new = 5.005829954491765
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11734.133767250312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.608928865444475, b_new = -1.0767497265634156, c_new = 3.9814099038830664
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8900.529366790308
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8067785086757917, b_new = -1.5687762082735834, c_new = 6.531448822389819
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5281.810672903247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3970646536061087, b_new = -1.3371785345797411, c_new = 4.290339605637516
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11987.244493697493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6976806914052864, b_new = -1.4048799167382344, c_new = 5.158817898784299
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11532.142769770815
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.256014039152788, b_new = -1.0792762039635164, c_new = 5.237187446080234
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5504.085088321721
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.073841964632703, b_new = -1.041696100907526, c_new = 5.620734685021877
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3264.1626778842074
Acceptance probability: 7.891078387459515e-110
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0674018889885675, b_new = -0.9460293011978371, c_new = 3.8414316139369467
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3142.3538265168827
Acceptance probability: 6.281282892798084e-57
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.523390911368858, b_new = -0.926102529594535, c_new = 4.734427717637739
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9627.620981042453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6828285478289422, b_new = -2.3042039453930627, c_new = 5.711146982451917
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15866.310028358355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.848098739435952, b_new = -1.1913976345858932, c_new = 5.8600397356445395
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4056.8418018491575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5813711050305304, b_new = -1.5411039051673086, c_new = 4.359089668273414
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10272.766393427039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0756683466474395, b_new = -1.0750350183679718, c_new = 5.008074111038775
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3188.4852275570884
Acceptance probability: 5.8000994362430456e-77
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5556332888775155, b_new = -0.8177086432350537, c_new = 4.802252263870222
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8872.212204312946
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6529174446662176, b_new = -1.182472737303829, c_new = 5.519233894560673
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7750.342028417983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.624860170081212, b_new = -1.1476110324940831, c_new = 4.5865466809441156
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8554.659671267897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.674858832680347, b_new = -0.6106654420653943, c_new = 4.976511251004407
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12434.35921090884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5848568519429653, b_new = -1.503155936928317, c_new = 5.298206647402988
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10318.728538579004
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.958817924391256, b_new = -0.5480319643671071, c_new = 5.806636695819474
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14338.030334211782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3273168433961517, b_new = -0.8289791974282159, c_new = 5.037580165290074
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7634.443610054008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.35928502171775, b_new = -1.2678421723069024, c_new = 4.951145075554548
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12003.872751882674
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.887132149098548, b_new = -1.3461509512579397, c_new = 5.605689077094737
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13056.05001369589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7878936932515677, b_new = -1.1198168935043094, c_new = 5.706416695454843
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12740.35827417167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.954738394129334, b_new = -0.5870820112022668, c_new = 5.637846901607852
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3043.854190849616
Acceptance probability: 3.766141153070551e-14
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.093229229128535, b_new = -1.7909523129037852, c_new = 4.816077858909853
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3042.716559293447
Acceptance probability: 1.17479935769625e-13
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4202958222115676, b_new = -1.3842966064588413, c_new = 4.398923632839323
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7806.3812433600015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.605691500017967, b_new = -1.2812763667133067, c_new = 4.765937440816491
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9158.862404420337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1733178731189935, b_new = -0.7417953150205951, c_new = 5.047377586527032
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4722.4298050517045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3881507815248106, b_new = -0.9518458495811032, c_new = 4.743487177836331
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8427.947472524069
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226479677978738, b_new = -0.5309393949259179, c_new = 4.378133759702473
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6017.813741762882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7890553192880123, b_new = -1.0037087924192185, c_new = 4.985196627924306
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4799.284175900372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.852624229863044, b_new = -0.08516229930705699, c_new = 4.769724943989983
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3097.094506120084
Acceptance probability: 2.843946723524676e-37
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.262655657891475, b_new = -1.1425096980368459, c_new = 4.6295824660787686
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12653.495865692998
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9770744696825098, b_new = -0.911842416731183, c_new = 5.113655606744831
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13885.497720469642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.705026980628827, b_new = -0.7018414353394178, c_new = 5.863503207521587
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5371.7255195756925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7521318791991, b_new = -1.6837723369333175, c_new = 5.162194231939697
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7206.100921256114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2441593024080104, b_new = -1.106858381170788, c_new = 5.608320857477219
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12467.702832417763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.966975999186872, b_new = -0.7946531917662889, c_new = 4.969590015780168
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3015.977267758929
Acceptance probability: 0.04816044197524289
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7953561473286066, b_new = -0.043082088026972665, c_new = 5.67202808650356
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14068.650660962063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.443578644416715, b_new = -0.3836458143499599, c_new = 4.3468111053638285
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9723.796798691837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.406390578680639, b_new = -0.29391238682398513, c_new = 5.025895037661834
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9807.108126061377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3649521051088582, b_new = -1.189542616063297, c_new = 5.984527867486468
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7801.666004371218
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.547856950787579, b_new = -1.1919148725332382, c_new = 5.923555110054412
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10658.230845284868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.050300692634192, b_new = -1.278039939214196, c_new = 4.312955556684672
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3024.8081268342603
Acceptance probability: 7.038775228680585e-06
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6386299728801768, b_new = -0.7375826872598099, c_new = 5.471272424517613
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12120.42590981085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7906152880296147, b_new = -1.472475415167709, c_new = 5.515686935973929
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5687.985239201929
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.40535793738495, b_new = -0.44579936217079696, c_new = 5.456201930542203
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10190.674116554865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2385867240357507, b_new = -0.9562026589608249, c_new = 4.896756497482794
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -5355.60717515917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9931186906120555, b_new = -0.8374613909659985, c_new = 5.596745859960311
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3041.3884363346483
Acceptance probability: 4.433637407681572e-13
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3563158987023725, b_new = -0.18213908329376916, c_new = 5.188233300124269
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -10147.38195072813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.271472358523697, b_new = -0.8055504999999852, c_new = 5.691553903167971
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11831.314131016845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8539098274721644, b_new = -0.5948094731624582, c_new = 4.978298359193419
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3386.4255854383
Acceptance probability: 6.295500537647815e-163
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.020952069460254, b_new = -0.7769095756216863, c_new = 5.589860244453953
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13410.394962583614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.299442966957364, b_new = -1.0642795829737262, c_new = 4.95097007225078
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6344.032853301441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.868866137125247, b_new = -1.0126724420612354, c_new = 4.041232435059367
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3904.3062612877284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2698116302598392, b_new = -1.9675611788956422, c_new = 4.822293824635711
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3907.549887450638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0110478927463356, b_new = -1.334850540853543, c_new = 4.984019063656422
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3053.391476722405
Acceptance probability: 2.7158511670700465e-18
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.76489323547667, b_new = -1.5298011260136635, c_new = 5.869225147522277
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12082.594432235015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1886906621261044, b_new = -0.9240376808490438, c_new = 4.814062481058758
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12812.004840311924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.781223012949426, b_new = -1.627858695220476, c_new = 4.892263820098186
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6526.798825369824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8422392305622064, b_new = -1.1854731003890013, c_new = 5.140090742026394
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4287.7562641894865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0411749793112515, b_new = -1.0803637035185905, c_new = 5.4511438655134485
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3071.9919895068697
Acceptance probability: 2.2688506214674966e-26
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0120260417738574, b_new = -0.8558558604617447, c_new = 5.852704448470873
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3101.9224888200242
Acceptance probability: 2.2759106655931856e-39
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2107919469784916, b_new = -1.057965101132813, c_new = 4.536112509233678
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4551.1773792242875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3669195723888024, b_new = -0.8328113383836744, c_new = 5.536960351019187
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8640.34252098461
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0732462741463147, b_new = -1.382101037707527, c_new = 4.394640742084247
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14077.62462130054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4136294606577273, b_new = -1.528714030171356, c_new = 4.6618744839343425
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7390.819190489399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7445988078628254, b_new = -1.130982827687026, c_new = 4.530186714150404
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6088.584640163539
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6800022567136743, b_new = -1.5212935715903397, c_new = 5.705653291498642
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8043.777472528192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.238813699675388, b_new = -1.9812622311603465, c_new = 4.336381608607749
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -13840.61774968684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.715641211177796, b_new = -1.3246917945628558, c_new = 4.9536212097944174
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7062.807997182696
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.531639989359223, b_new = -0.19350846869661253, c_new = 5.5391864149254655
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7561.639968695457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2977471848085997, b_new = -0.9929681967656349, c_new = 5.469933831742049
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6699.059673946793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.53481674206046, b_new = -0.7897378608888115, c_new = 4.699769489803407
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9175.488842056588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.028361741018758, b_new = -1.0172407810982471, c_new = 5.19226026132945
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3046.3149499195874
Acceptance probability: 3.2151593900378433e-15
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0877914960731387, b_new = -0.3664694554481278, c_new = 5.753139789352217
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4342.940237318144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0496910294912287, b_new = -1.7753578926302769, c_new = 5.190136694522687
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3106.373653569752
Acceptance probability: 2.6548434829169546e-41
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.540457519776423, b_new = -0.9039460673003628, c_new = 4.059788326729939
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9572.966882017934
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3840982338391354, b_new = -1.2866711261853585, c_new = 5.26818797088695
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -7653.660407820273
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8981113776799883, b_new = -1.0690430480129043, c_new = 4.471402102744566
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3584.389688431171
Acceptance probability: 6.672870869069114e-249
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9233648583081, b_new = -1.812762478283736, c_new = 5.171130006188861
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4261.838119969556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.011977002851629, b_new = -1.4360554353782908, c_new = 4.793199286227999
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3105.327035688978
Acceptance probability: 7.561000947649518e-41
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5071273537415397, b_new = -0.7869420522630373, c_new = 4.628548548638241
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -9597.76226790221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3412816971969557, b_new = -0.799057341251024, c_new = 5.153934826919321
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -8061.398936269896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.613662498447379, b_new = -0.8597229035934468, c_new = 4.926825984266209
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -11565.428791223641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.057341735332468, b_new = -1.0885023843892236, c_new = 4.4562842954849655
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3071.3222168362036
Acceptance probability: 4.432864724683988e-26
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9822406774006582, b_new = -0.3948875487107114, c_new = 5.137114587205966
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3176.817301045001
Acceptance probability: 6.772539373569327e-72
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2407903020022095, b_new = -0.5901254027021388, c_new = 4.772376576623495
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12016.546126812962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8379930320709015, b_new = -0.825597417783028, c_new = 4.8948733057105125
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3819.0244659591963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.188708143891608, b_new = -0.13531846778272993, c_new = 4.439141898888041
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -15225.877214103999
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6289229951674784, b_new = -0.6095361657840797, c_new = 5.2192136973940295
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6843.4090812730055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9727087114039605, b_new = -0.4913768933809133, c_new = 5.726518455086593
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3134.8496235202183
Acceptance probability: 1.1404659039573386e-53
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3319598119332716, b_new = -1.4927726092882332, c_new = 5.498250951276146
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6084.992375711303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0688287126654474, b_new = -1.2288335156980554, c_new = 5.156958412023428
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3085.5692674133234
Acceptance probability: 2.879181408592039e-32
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.810243718252881, b_new = -1.1189459481350625, c_new = 4.985533112512961
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -4688.513766202755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.719085460789476, b_new = 0.5086942384050241, c_new = 5.099773828902312
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3445.8342149887244
Acceptance probability: 9.95841622384521e-189
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0554613915329605, b_new = -1.2807057404613809, c_new = 4.784427274248771
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3027.4529648951757
Acceptance probability: 4.998716672124397e-07
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.382729790793212, b_new = -1.5716112618710465, c_new = 5.455873428745581
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12119.301801773876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9299911450295246, b_new = -0.8338419071381729, c_new = 5.498234439927748
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3084.883271320734
Acceptance probability: 5.717331143522851e-32
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9668667091377188, b_new = -1.0469595340189557, c_new = 5.416364454233277
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3053.079031846046
Acceptance probability: 3.7119237973388186e-18
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6978862186391956, b_new = -1.0684556277970534, c_new = 4.437206963400233
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -6933.104383353437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.074207369600471, b_new = -0.9550209019715594, c_new = 5.608539978131917
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3340.574448046622
Acceptance probability: 5.151411267494111e-143
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.056866682467157, b_new = -0.26326886738848154, c_new = 5.0003163696745165
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3925.907573204182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.701128567806146, b_new = -0.30463830612551457, c_new = 4.7145534117490175
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12949.765176463203
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7932501526680538, b_new = -1.0117374531156569, c_new = 4.264403774733404
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -14856.075526359164
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6909929803050234, b_new = -1.0514745823292884, c_new = 6.322749371613219
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -12324.381358823908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0329402294267207, b_new = -1.3212054456168145, c_new = 5.120434767444494
Current likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Proposed likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Acceptance probability: 0.2432906044006623
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7600341088201805, b_new = -1.1182630842890768, c_new = 4.725815151006888
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5674.804519686539
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9651272769875168, b_new = -1.9293476456175105, c_new = 5.194378427375213
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3911.8194523516427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8668572533437033, b_new = -1.176449155173018, c_new = 5.327090922723258
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3908.1802736101813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7879842362782594, b_new = -1.5325360970287703, c_new = 4.848516750363025
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11978.821387358883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0259036897761193, b_new = -2.094646877810945, c_new = 4.85636406692552
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3575.8670838411194
Acceptance probability: 1.3788198537318819e-244
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3776979069577076, b_new = -1.1831302602195375, c_new = 5.194304216235439
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7774.6933363092885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.297718334967008, b_new = -1.1094764496672893, c_new = 5.502738787228432
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -15033.536688464756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9520219060648096, b_new = -0.4618065114397799, c_new = 5.701676835640353
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3080.780136135848
Acceptance probability: 1.42244989954127e-29
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.240276182540109, b_new = -1.545581338367592, c_new = 5.12771789918498
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4236.971055379009
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2422441659492143, b_new = -0.7189272835128576, c_new = 4.970148299578193
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6062.523103208476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6513966463217464, b_new = -1.4656998029967188, c_new = 4.521064632142332
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10847.470528798067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801838934899544, b_new = -2.0062266121981622, c_new = 6.1094377639767865
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6662.360904881751
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1111500373338163, b_new = -1.1749618741350312, c_new = 5.180064030574385
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3353.055221869045
Acceptance probability: 8.043955979941001e-148
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.991923255119251, b_new = -1.7098004775142384, c_new = 5.238370226070139
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3368.9514653539527
Acceptance probability: 1.0041968547746215e-154
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.947570411763855, b_new = -0.28994433800683206, c_new = 5.9871112550156855
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -14592.283934887797
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5432107042642307, b_new = -1.3954224364526846, c_new = 4.510855214225731
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -9782.928645639413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.296889514233653, b_new = -0.8297368434017637, c_new = 5.023600590718647
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -15144.625536006482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.852782148324527, b_new = -1.7763427872750528, c_new = 4.442878125987506
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5609.269988973705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4989549202732286, b_new = -1.599871831355084, c_new = 5.8761133629925455
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10897.419288413534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.610007371544837, b_new = -0.8612040482414437, c_new = 5.763494736260744
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11780.146552626818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.820074513323004, b_new = -1.8653225275584742, c_new = 5.844176046401227
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5990.473000607072
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981836350172381, b_new = -1.6908150489063596, c_new = 5.6838576419613585
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3363.678067082756
Acceptance probability: 1.9589647751242862e-152
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3692124169642916, b_new = -0.5699073393559573, c_new = 4.1067085625013835
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11026.263330608745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.205332869369781, b_new = -2.4075632196315677, c_new = 5.0715428871263075
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3123.6001171578637
Acceptance probability: 3.602097847891469e-48
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7630799437649527, b_new = -1.6420730501611478, c_new = 4.697078099633804
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7039.3435578006765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.733435982382784, b_new = -1.1478772390356835, c_new = 5.123586767681348
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6147.757832955739
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.718960848199095, b_new = -1.5575940290593544, c_new = 5.091140837653358
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7587.61979856954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7511974171723685, b_new = -0.6325388260940654, c_new = 5.318865401657392
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4581.419594682698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6518199147670187, b_new = -1.560095051258241, c_new = 5.075735440212316
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10855.156745562412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.600771123661524, b_new = -1.036142969421304, c_new = 5.034627090401521
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11198.5805840658
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.128325397514541, b_new = -1.9621445920970657, c_new = 4.633991517988743
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13436.458354655093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7603244136363183, b_new = -1.313652707261102, c_new = 4.758905468716629
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6162.948212266298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.35448429877633, b_new = -1.4343434659285317, c_new = 5.25000506477531
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6625.162266702464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.686463007207848, b_new = -1.1067894538168175, c_new = 4.643489237569868
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11733.73352672499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.392062727463939, b_new = -1.4993958725737635, c_new = 5.341375742957346
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7271.033624121419
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9287504966190223, b_new = -0.8771279496826616, c_new = 5.992657871488527
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3087.0013042466408
Acceptance probability: 2.826298300943855e-32
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.534966218825323, b_new = -1.3170708904103132, c_new = 4.902752083746031
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -9949.709517308047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7912072054087926, b_new = -0.9990377291623809, c_new = 4.384975950173802
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -12568.181713152971
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5466875938432496, b_new = -2.1464166543268943, c_new = 5.591097628663572
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11477.18510924523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.604898883001336, b_new = -0.734328387301172, c_new = 5.524900582374586
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7526.986127041324
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.150212332181139, b_new = -1.5322088488371066, c_new = 5.862364558665092
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3398.635068793611
Acceptance probability: 1.2894178556223508e-167
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.87313307676539, b_new = -1.135814956765292, c_new = 5.117630192689531
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3816.53064477505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0171768959325918, b_new = -1.2435984288668993, c_new = 5.147972620413825
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3016.502788306868
Acceptance probability: 0.11704003754819024
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3933077492044865, b_new = -1.811469428091404, c_new = 5.261601098541544
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -12448.564250073414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2401047642657375, b_new = -1.0133426421549847, c_new = 5.40835595606585
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5412.902839030348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.47895671185911, b_new = -0.9655489615067514, c_new = 6.008828740465621
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10294.352273063561
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4042217505878996, b_new = -1.1470784708087447, c_new = 5.633815399493475
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -8565.495790812245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833917405444189, b_new = -1.6599657838245394, c_new = 5.2029303371425275
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5415.7801675150995
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7278951703846253, b_new = -0.6109226453318202, c_new = 4.236585772942833
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5229.448917329062
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1121181288762654, b_new = -1.822387159142216, c_new = 5.526782065519976
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3037.9915824246164
Acceptance probability: 5.443393675284556e-11
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3520637211238418, b_new = -0.7898767040846608, c_new = 5.2708945587837555
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11216.172007748393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.074076213922446, b_new = -1.650617993824433, c_new = 5.077234531778121
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13587.434209451676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7011208451050317, b_new = -1.304199532372834, c_new = 5.326373444179539
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7167.718187546486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836929813909242, b_new = -1.1677359411240644, c_new = 5.026516837453618
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4360.2511012055365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5534734271659607, b_new = -1.921132582429112, c_new = 5.384270361810969
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11041.99783034541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7418084901132094, b_new = -1.9958042091841248, c_new = 5.006767100390111
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -8387.107900878898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.106111683115253, b_new = -0.3723586677816575, c_new = 5.598201312971645
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -15025.937246379708
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8851686589724586, b_new = -1.786704371356337, c_new = 4.092015003294334
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5147.341946182125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.421618974561907, b_new = -1.289843071607274, c_new = 6.047408717228451
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -8681.75054789572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7097299461218105, b_new = -1.500590682943028, c_new = 4.240090946911312
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7973.739000003301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.842662437322813, b_new = -0.8219940448064247, c_new = 5.472449582142847
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13384.923286597343
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.827590572719364, b_new = -1.4778708564920962, c_new = 5.6804856091884455
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4957.705460967669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.787092426672962, b_new = -0.8626093864882529, c_new = 5.48656096815543
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4424.657343176353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.851650521913532, b_new = -0.6949315931989246, c_new = 5.339224005934793
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3458.1444854804636
Acceptance probability: 1.8440911837493678e-193
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.069502930545406, b_new = -2.0876297327025157, c_new = 5.184431755687867
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3210.588881399635
Acceptance probability: 5.995359199903658e-86
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1841324287294346, b_new = -1.7016220007085134, c_new = 4.122750244038425
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3325.8017844646415
Acceptance probability: 5.514259028216973e-136
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.001742920701518, b_new = -1.3613221793776293, c_new = 4.5711033839854815
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3124.239814883596
Acceptance probability: 1.8999331199580552e-48
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9396085853362464, b_new = -1.0953174673727897, c_new = 4.743276324382705
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3247.0827112069665
Acceptance probability: 8.486845562203423e-102
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.115894903455919, b_new = -1.9590696334421822, c_new = 5.0005092402484275
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3046.888873941865
Acceptance probability: 7.444321734238344e-15
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4012353768125294, b_new = -1.1057966207034147, c_new = 5.165756446414791
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11290.488189749929
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0200776199856207, b_new = -1.9253768720860722, c_new = 4.366842259384354
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3516.8976552110685
Acceptance probability: 5.618300747219044e-219
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2220931009994325, b_new = -1.829356242876687, c_new = 5.4608376391933
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13542.402092004279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9919947919182386, b_new = -1.1855605693619091, c_new = 6.339861949269111
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3022.8819386083906
Acceptance probability: 0.00019856590397748276
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.055090824295461, b_new = -2.118948152020436, c_new = 4.7500899379322945
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3385.2344822859095
Acceptance probability: 8.515192189327433e-162
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9793229672390886, b_new = -1.130211442251131, c_new = 5.643490368938528
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3039.821537909019
Acceptance probability: 8.732330718839633e-12
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1089337743635777, b_new = -1.4113746968320926, c_new = 5.8685134678329725
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3219.910933755937
Acceptance probability: 5.361660484221843e-90
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.992252530676475, b_new = -1.8183795366232611, c_new = 5.25406393227256
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3477.3830792940594
Acceptance probability: 8.138928977812824e-202
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.630615973441276, b_new = -1.0064926187004828, c_new = 5.427128312209982
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11634.23954453735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9558018989529167, b_new = -1.9850667011231056, c_new = 4.131700035539557
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4405.189860414123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.793796291422261, b_new = -2.0069568702999856, c_new = 4.945109768918793
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7318.577627010375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6304923590886182, b_new = -1.5619493849351684, c_new = 5.001758028333909
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10618.054282002315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.856832461315981, b_new = -1.0618494767157047, c_new = 5.94854621009488
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3747.522757655942
Acceptance probability: 3.894e-319
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.747261620847546, b_new = -1.111381084538523, c_new = 5.601832245627544
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5615.984536307125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136294592615418, b_new = -1.7737194956068283, c_new = 5.480106674255369
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3114.4351613266444
Acceptance probability: 3.44227252327915e-44
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3534512612189364, b_new = -1.8324329511627568, c_new = 4.457777872173705
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13008.144769456581
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8334483512605455, b_new = -1.0310354188820205, c_new = 4.309839358921733
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -14721.80108793994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.247113551578369, b_new = -1.470392239421175, c_new = 5.273281148447266
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4506.630648639802
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6554005821546656, b_new = -0.844744108591718, c_new = 5.93792635170568
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6668.667401367526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.391311027574605, b_new = -0.8300226766269494, c_new = 5.54185987365899
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10802.364944839765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.838620663808887, b_new = -0.7804136808162999, c_new = 5.530292636175989
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3646.6459804786355
Acceptance probability: 2.5154939859256573e-275
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.595484436411797, b_new = -1.6435166515262343, c_new = 5.189966211747136
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10156.673618494304
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9903530487671126, b_new = -1.327476299185983, c_new = 4.633928737052404
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -14321.611908043744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.467627163634397, b_new = -2.3506853170116857, c_new = 5.926880953054834
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6799.255699955668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1757637838558184, b_new = -1.7790143078481941, c_new = 4.81847382280536
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3267.260888234707
Acceptance probability: 1.463778490883801e-110
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.922248468499334, b_new = -1.7874921932614813, c_new = 5.063862517128264
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4259.399074216449
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.590029369597224, b_new = -1.4004245148689811, c_new = 5.630751372186756
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -9372.136626374302
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.741546069866387, b_new = -1.0495835849389827, c_new = 4.470025083334584
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5960.2991318429595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.519557762822257, b_new = -1.9376062766498423, c_new = 4.873295547698489
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -8424.398815073402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.107539416218473, b_new = -0.7253048430102841, c_new = 3.751288247262585
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3605.8275566392676
Acceptance probability: 1.342268865851092e-257
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.112254163343231, b_new = -1.1022468281715077, c_new = 4.680228663823858
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3369.172091837072
Acceptance probability: 8.053821364167338e-155
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.933708712948049, b_new = -1.6408227147352112, c_new = 4.5808744063626845
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -12731.897576975496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625797056313391, b_new = -1.108332739603746, c_new = 4.289574825358777
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -8552.329750649635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7327684837474364, b_new = -1.6571005814963085, c_new = 4.702516982356143
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7736.961910131651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5578962276859807, b_new = -0.91406223404162, c_new = 4.51862751845587
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10819.955841827628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.529811872000943, b_new = -1.5124899678599415, c_new = 4.390442377869039
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -9338.197384465624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.550493137138989, b_new = -1.1910672412360386, c_new = 4.9086225564689165
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -10371.869298045196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2518407664852087, b_new = -1.0640139493931866, c_new = 5.1633551153241335
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5435.958852488694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5451643862129405, b_new = -2.427878542990366, c_new = 4.8344226375105706
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -12256.116093096778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0468478611595455, b_new = -1.8366434675296308, c_new = 5.217993805639082
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3148.57267794524
Acceptance probability: 5.141740530828406e-59
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4841750950817496, b_new = -0.8888234009390652, c_new = 5.272024860196295
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -9899.95024301763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0613969987570844, b_new = -1.4980851187340578, c_new = 5.430226038662314
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13995.926874449318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.771772150441005, b_new = -1.6419585063323654, c_new = 5.177178600347572
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11795.150703228106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.046431925789336, b_new = -0.6970271709974424, c_new = 6.027455473470316
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -14617.4369843055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.707196614646503, b_new = -1.2447626345182434, c_new = 4.993744007692508
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7005.3067193677525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.657017487445405, b_new = -1.0978021502334372, c_new = 4.913397972961262
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -7673.389642090417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130637881642573, b_new = -0.504633054530349, c_new = 4.312643412265699
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4330.940458172514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0981732342647437, b_new = -0.7134397941776836, c_new = 4.700684921235526
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13139.238738805318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8455901110762278, b_new = -1.5038487659044821, c_new = 4.689472948311568
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -14995.404977359976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3486610728269204, b_new = -1.3460457429072414, c_new = 5.6475991429115195
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6887.3833797115385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.730546996032976, b_new = -0.6593301869946041, c_new = 5.212356576827659
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5003.46984971855
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.436728404653993, b_new = -1.294143347024055, c_new = 4.943487341506664
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -8536.198021633054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7579917459992895, b_new = -2.2720466086195765, c_new = 6.196600462143538
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -11044.616725964563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3761072178370943, b_new = -1.4476379380362703, c_new = 4.450569406191307
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6760.183932102586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.816642763526446, b_new = -1.5408634801717023, c_new = 4.661857999279835
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5643.89854601677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7547389349566287, b_new = -1.2488118872597482, c_new = 4.993430866082077
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6021.461806409275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.125137746373511, b_new = -0.9741072054486372, c_new = 4.759570283545955
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3632.2283643013684
Acceptance probability: 4.593190218894524e-269
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.069540208814563, b_new = -0.8781984583413482, c_new = 5.0128441883101535
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3302.222020494068
Acceptance probability: 9.595078671017959e-126
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3645850848246988, b_new = -1.7062484817156887, c_new = 5.040196039083542
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -6053.594696259732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0765227020959927, b_new = -0.916268478266917, c_new = 4.9040716209797415
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3304.3581545978627
Acceptance probability: 1.1332801606723744e-126
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.012650458213837, b_new = -2.6830613221153934, c_new = 5.031124252413525
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4676.790226870738
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.654673474919207, b_new = -0.7640403764951679, c_new = 4.895332368317455
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -12043.691847637048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8893718357393166, b_new = -2.0441930933860615, c_new = 5.100207855457591
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5337.611417918812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9716839150899466, b_new = -1.3752860975982302, c_new = 4.503701361050689
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13229.691061565005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0090929490950735, b_new = -1.3403681198677055, c_new = 5.758780825504566
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -13753.28741223264
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.768382410121475, b_new = -1.2991157757153986, c_new = 5.8566097729941005
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -5581.021043352991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.154670723209306, b_new = -1.5955104797724493, c_new = 5.171964375902482
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -14018.913886261147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.255305311248141, b_new = -1.5029551626926365, c_new = 4.759233375839348
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -4448.235076462461
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0329402294267207, b = -1.3212054456168145, c = 5.120434767444494
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.055603655399117, b_new = -1.5167504800006704, c_new = 5.673998964169588
Current likelihood: -3014.3575491054125
Proposed likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Acceptance probability: 2.8854952038696964
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.530511322277374, b_new = -1.7932451590272667, c_new = 5.771952176271863
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10932.509067577606
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2289569971644947, b_new = -1.8546220229931005, c_new = 6.193648532526102
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3826.90211759692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.577261631269572, b_new = -1.1432842310353681, c_new = 6.583431738517147
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -15153.123997412278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.95311129926587, b_new = -1.9662399402763788, c_new = 5.174321697093089
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4127.096919207874
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4901511900743003, b_new = -0.9016753166777666, c_new = 5.318039255303531
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10328.755738878386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3212011721544377, b_new = -1.133632170852585, c_new = 5.054429925054955
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12086.257670435625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.990581212718489, b_new = -2.2486211695647196, c_new = 4.993442282954823
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12466.359830838464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0497100991584793, b_new = -0.6467608991792786, c_new = 6.263890032421312
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3576.3898530028737
Acceptance probability: 2.8330315377348472e-245
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4453026195566183, b_new = -1.6834430672541207, c_new = 5.2565726420939445
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -7830.301944671287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.272720466572768, b_new = -0.5852073284531129, c_new = 4.810065282588317
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -7045.500412351283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0746993869469272, b_new = -1.8106333213790378, c_new = 6.827607112461896
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3016.863721439572
Acceptance probability: 0.028272409840285395
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1715909010596888, b_new = -1.5569493254731517, c_new = 6.257758023375456
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13307.174845513131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9087314477798523, b_new = -1.3123423161322445, c_new = 6.872738957312605
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3418.808881686843
Acceptance probability: 7.741011358178537e-177
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3989618154111936, b_new = -0.9090004754445403, c_new = 5.026071566894371
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8844.220122974311
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4081111989456767, b_new = -1.3922675852523836, c_new = 5.8159096991276655
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11502.97777216147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.27748929967003, b_new = -2.038293281609279, c_new = 5.649735518092721
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4042.4952015485414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.05519199334516, b_new = -1.454669847356459, c_new = 5.935266737026689
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3019.8619871523697
Acceptance probability: 0.0014100437030861034
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.564815430904027, b_new = -1.7023775835922532, c_new = 4.97032502750536
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10609.499439624342
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5137431979841502, b_new = -1.6252435739392206, c_new = 6.485692957623027
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9560.268584557398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3265145382814647, b_new = -1.8402070001513742, c_new = 5.083632262234844
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13018.858355366783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0074143388268304, b_new = -1.7588869101097597, c_new = 5.529226071900122
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3268.6375854806574
Acceptance probability: 1.2804510697236498e-111
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9908014290144034, b_new = -2.5339731578098172, c_new = 6.0587293321270215
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4403.430441358045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.671073052301303, b_new = -1.64414586933439, c_new = 5.350456568152323
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10983.035416886934
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5412228670135963, b_new = -1.0942115449128427, c_new = 4.538348643466353
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10328.65267487899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7860992681421193, b_new = -1.3236781602426222, c_new = 5.128902685499468
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5537.230196056178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3772644430841243, b_new = -0.4672092296922947, c_new = 5.8395807021838015
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9864.061639998481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2762368760558704, b_new = -2.3384968558156136, c_new = 5.687747491152214
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3637.0326156231904
Acceptance probability: 1.3044704207915433e-271
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924166875497477, b_new = -1.6774746602666264, c_new = 5.710747625862117
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3900.567910817945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5741501116541876, b_new = -1.4273154835106419, c_new = 5.776036713991099
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9618.250125480281
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9241413653478086, b_new = -1.5559188922021836, c_new = 5.133009461497456
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3839.246102702906
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.406253783724827, b_new = -0.8866272808997216, c_new = 6.171833636702908
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10550.117553965902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7611851753282766, b_new = -1.0903280816558074, c_new = 6.4240994920281205
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5062.673148045923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7024488269714007, b_new = -1.9534537511870704, c_new = 4.953574041223997
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9076.992468259614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4065758935008796, b_new = -2.03919093401713, c_new = 5.294448303497596
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12666.86896376123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.990519376701722, b_new = -1.9367369169338708, c_new = 5.918388601256644
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3518.247646430862
Acceptance probability: 5.047669240550585e-220
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.425790857570072, b_new = -1.6643394192487229, c_new = 6.289328040270369
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -7876.838148800056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9906289573120683, b_new = -1.4400333946068744, c_new = 5.842075142568004
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3112.9160568151315
Acceptance probability: 5.449587125412215e-44
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.464753699899761, b_new = -1.338932091744541, c_new = 4.917296242637501
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11113.752561341638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6067645601885037, b_new = -1.7543678893616845, c_new = 6.038035251025874
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9767.110118995268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.041646009582355, b_new = -2.207704924130329, c_new = 5.603054957364617
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3440.404212863317
Acceptance probability: 3.236417492847298e-186
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.814476008853327, b_new = -1.6712117200628638, c_new = 5.341533207265029
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5778.299489074053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.055435317699826, b_new = -2.1690366482564096, c_new = 5.60855286812866
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3302.766381788714
Acceptance probability: 1.9293680246565833e-126
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2640480329453716, b_new = -1.5765182585985134, c_new = 5.28680486110538
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13027.821703412854
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981656429984107, b_new = -2.0732453397352857, c_new = 5.826008431692067
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3801.5747776777303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8254216493592033, b_new = -1.4283339914974913, c_new = 5.383468141241374
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4974.878805135444
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.527368691418522, b_new = -1.1796290012843507, c_new = 5.6241660140604495
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10348.48315853062
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.079364823846021, b_new = -0.8033210966448855, c_new = 5.995032503167022
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3611.5110119596393
Acceptance probability: 1.5824349861748828e-260
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.804553077315098, b_new = -1.664155769384998, c_new = 5.235042967328974
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -6001.778922509043
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.015080179385166, b_new = -2.0394046270622543, c_new = 4.986679016226876
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12847.025184775714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7213260767872156, b_new = -0.84906666610217, c_new = 4.9117332968421605
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5704.917000939093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4934556424771155, b_new = -1.5821531715055177, c_new = 5.410668996959645
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11080.040398913963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.838350078367247, b_new = -2.246768663890014, c_new = 5.816624638173138
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -6664.574977353936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.836149405639715, b_new = -2.0821990112412947, c_new = 6.417739601932179
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -15120.662826015057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6071070048197797, b_new = -1.473591577944264, c_new = 6.1911613495590485
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9068.975792783243
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0638967476124908, b_new = -1.2711244156843367, c_new = 5.691128384464792
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3080.8191339180576
Acceptance probability: 4.741110752180299e-30
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3118408020799985, b_new = -2.9228483938937817, c_new = 5.7758213752449095
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -14222.605760446662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2234129788524113, b_new = -1.0312938968410565, c_new = 5.278792769597275
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5022.047128481161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.161923075978648, b_new = -0.5995003449680918, c_new = 6.072244334620446
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5159.453283494597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0949697461087484, b_new = -1.447459036602702, c_new = 5.349004658072248
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3094.966225378426
Acceptance probability: 3.403112798506562e-36
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.618470543286871, b_new = -2.0472073942484266, c_new = 4.573210760713443
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9523.699211874356
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5242671268093164, b_new = -2.2043856855793007, c_new = 4.982983758959405
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -7926.93029704959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9122228446246967, b_new = -1.231246784775084, c_new = 6.350187742908633
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3373.2660815682884
Acceptance probability: 4.653551093509099e-157
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5038753974885872, b_new = -1.7780337732677387, c_new = 4.826754852706
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8510.972458636943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.129370018586124, b_new = -1.730110907608368, c_new = 6.95248894265802
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3217.9367269391805
Acceptance probability: 1.3380307047459781e-89
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.272643521111084, b_new = -1.2918114435569767, c_new = 6.405107429114112
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5701.778438125051
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7043775675632706, b_new = -0.16510763829848774, c_new = 6.521430680283796
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13668.571807741788
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8355008622606057, b_new = -2.269236959809417, c_new = 5.366706141864299
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -6979.970142699978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.557327340647173, b_new = -1.711506517732396, c_new = 5.554110589410916
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9673.959123749448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.94861469867716, b_new = -1.1200311110507097, c_new = 6.253707632854073
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3103.0971573879715
Acceptance probability: 1.0015149575806707e-39
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3786583614330286, b_new = -1.9382410090299622, c_new = 6.988033245367663
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -6419.961076688402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.793116032466565, b_new = -0.7187471680814554, c_new = 6.147943017256156
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3970.1528597701645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4231303549509335, b_new = -1.9545302970927994, c_new = 5.920259909594945
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12226.426388547508
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9513754468579396, b_new = -1.4930146968611584, c_new = 6.1403124191931635
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3345.362433206922
Acceptance probability: 6.112023211856146e-145
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.490596511962438, b_new = -1.6443554111147143, c_new = 5.556020894104542
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11178.480281637485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7144018399928123, b_new = -1.5921634919734455, c_new = 5.139331881291331
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11391.729609049653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6352745000135815, b_new = -0.3600076890833048, c_new = 5.667366925018279
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5952.464515881353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.405465882937249, b_new = -1.9461140726537922, c_new = 6.443158222463036
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12204.973491664143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.323760994128433, b_new = -0.7631629501520629, c_new = 5.695447616664515
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8014.238439303246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8349183494137735, b_new = -0.9450513196024669, c_new = 5.681338086285421
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13247.980497030381
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7280066971949584, b_new = -1.9665108200915316, c_new = 5.68301402534996
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8304.020277219273
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4836218108903916, b_new = -1.1190227972037827, c_new = 5.247010661892706
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10367.840323365119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836129454542607, b_new = -0.5463437643386074, c_new = 5.756867552373672
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3395.7389712782833
Acceptance probability: 8.089701428249717e-167
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.659439907353957, b_new = -1.966762411572686, c_new = 5.325323339892425
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9713.402713635336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.670899445428445, b_new = -1.2069480837517625, c_new = 4.899978887821622
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11527.15346789347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3509:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9001727965883335, b_new = -2.038607704849383, c_new = 5.890069562183327
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4873.373829504672
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3510:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1945511680742764, b_new = -2.178913197371637, c_new = 5.422688560916304
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3168.6369548011594
Acceptance probability: 3.4441739548544417e-68
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3511:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.223702824367821, b_new = -0.6559368194431785, c_new = 5.370647213633443
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5987.218895233476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3512:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1427559616167033, b_new = -1.4517296832270512, c_new = 4.667332050409614
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3286.1946437350966
Acceptance probability: 3.0368928490137517e-119
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3513:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3936788709936265, b_new = -1.2773320305730236, c_new = 5.942259286358629
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11414.86578398882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3514:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.636838506499024, b_new = -1.4886059241604652, c_new = 5.975011954507384
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8673.293322370053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3515:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221822861496202, b_new = -0.6795956802157206, c_new = 5.665756360662566
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5994.457282491962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3516:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6162450508565187, b_new = -1.010602450089778, c_new = 5.034303157315737
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11383.880047211172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3517:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0178156675206638, b_new = -0.838809878328543, c_new = 6.334171787443547
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3181.4066145006545
Acceptance probability: 9.801495276759434e-74
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3518:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.875929437781272, b_new = -1.6523668638240916, c_new = 5.841012963739659
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4483.210857291344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3519:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.7381324594437, b_new = -1.3426434840603196, c_new = 5.30023042708566
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -15937.95950053142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3520:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304569842382798, b_new = -2.111893399668271, c_new = 5.56192042425435
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4268.843695504471
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3521:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.17550951246424, b_new = -0.7885896427035195, c_new = 6.062833514940684
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12408.116798991017
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3522:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.163832188564713, b_new = -1.5027660992279905, c_new = 5.291159257173487
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3465.6944491378285
Acceptance probability: 3.3624395073679323e-197
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3523:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.115860833164402, b_new = -1.6609826095064364, c_new = 6.436879612649118
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3145.443359005739
Acceptance probability: 4.07320011809964e-58
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3524:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.008814974710102, b_new = -0.654834037961849, c_new = 5.316492469298437
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -14329.917927608516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3525:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.535327372830437, b_new = -1.7537943092183705, c_new = 5.616614589366997
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10851.934005753077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3526:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4540573939958104, b_new = -1.0742072246894416, c_new = 6.059090950884025
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9735.674811322948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3527:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6638501660168954, b_new = -1.299231343098376, c_new = 5.150782887715644
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11396.596884649125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3528:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9585189625592307, b_new = -1.6975374089462574, c_new = 6.095592426874445
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13184.693412710414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3529:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.086381538105489, b_new = -0.9398042909597157, c_new = 6.445921707830319
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3591.5869921714507
Acceptance probability: 7.115701601344252e-252
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3530:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.638196773757416, b_new = -0.7252332623258003, c_new = 6.084881435115989
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12317.479098067852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3531:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6478534762535397, b_new = -1.6273144124313146, c_new = 6.273886835875452
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11057.170578162622
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3532:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1487791788120205, b_new = -1.8596594015520505, c_new = 5.280396346168822
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3117.0513826839588
Acceptance probability: 8.717950415164362e-46
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3533:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3117297521292652, b_new = -2.4524152468660336, c_new = 4.079293616379061
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3676.3515149605096
Acceptance probability: 1.0950985882744573e-288
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3534:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2338396010711934, b_new = -1.5291835879524738, c_new = 6.0498180523620055
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4387.673902584945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3535:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5235805903963424, b_new = -1.7464541121775228, c_new = 6.826374181498639
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9561.142385590905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3536:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.700170883714619, b_new = -1.758388566953205, c_new = 5.305263374846322
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8445.371275130305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3537:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2012882499252444, b_new = -1.0776345715323705, c_new = 4.844952134202537
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -12916.533065505473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3538:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.219870099565055, b_new = -1.9047092247820836, c_new = 6.2258102599913885
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3668.2630186930655
Acceptance probability: 3.5665023535175545e-285
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3539:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1924211592270955, b_new = -1.247563520807252, c_new = 5.482410558978922
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4163.521161825793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3540:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6071978524191266, b_new = -1.5968517011996899, c_new = 5.8196383449454
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9486.150017945609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3541:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.451112857299875, b_new = -1.1384794636037072, c_new = 5.445759676129092
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10725.240071926099
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3542:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6343762593660487, b_new = -1.159289356766899, c_new = 5.415771869086644
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8089.141330743768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3543:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7769764328857245, b_new = -1.3977118247019389, c_new = 5.895058873594151
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5642.956923055939
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3544:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.312300768127993, b_new = -1.8377800769159314, c_new = 5.915544711793993
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5003.0034399607885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3545:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4060821479372416, b_new = -1.853498254891921, c_new = 6.166868321921732
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -6918.134841102886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3546:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.258206894602623, b_new = -2.0321447047139554, c_new = 5.5757558277841515
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3808.482121365127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3547:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.540502229479399, b_new = -1.2618225624217785, c_new = 5.640329102507328
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9786.971568350082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3548:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4474165295532204, b_new = -1.2346470388988728, c_new = 4.4287205894268045
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -8686.641021018691
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3549:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083282381586924, b_new = -0.81276956393255, c_new = 5.566067450625942
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3560.5860006783782
Acceptance probability: 2.069079922534321e-238
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3550:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6421878562872667, b_new = -1.4485171080531372, c_new = 5.152949989345003
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10963.605631408765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3551:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9734452416342734, b_new = -1.859128709838316, c_new = 5.469551320811087
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3663.4551155017957
Acceptance probability: 4.368057437264469e-283
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3552:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.934501480509126, b_new = -2.1774606178014357, c_new = 6.3137114136537695
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4484.690259123951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3553:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0714408450398096, b_new = -1.5627638911249047, c_new = 6.415426610578011
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3038.451735402814
Acceptance probability: 1.1907140777762275e-11
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3554:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.69004179452391, b_new = -1.349266882144538, c_new = 5.108667190270297
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11536.054864948244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4755777025568397, b_new = -1.920378259289669, c_new = 5.651665779708583
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11786.346447575874
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1609985304973645, b_new = -1.3582542143106668, c_new = 5.394149651098774
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3617.0710668119436
Acceptance probability: 6.0901043601231396e-263
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1940070563478153, b_new = -0.7533602218618406, c_new = 5.825606936425823
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -5304.070265776354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.18046932127538, b_new = -1.678081372764005, c_new = 5.219850274963858
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13657.882952586227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.954287890683153, b_new = -1.5834513247362323, c_new = 5.442940157131944
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3511.4541249786153
Acceptance probability: 4.502770047419848e-217
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.983230355353413, b_new = -1.4595740431744364, c_new = 5.813368779177854
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3158.8448112731526
Acceptance probability: 6.162529034633933e-64
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9085191462329862, b_new = -1.8830586225252317, c_new = 5.770747744099129
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -4452.441049222404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.045158751625171, b_new = -2.197180930907937, c_new = 5.557182229362284
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3409.344769228305
Acceptance probability: 9.977219377960337e-173
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7431213274475805, b_new = -1.5088310899158626, c_new = 5.306908913480843
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -11792.713667268707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.962756356979234, b_new = -1.671394486144449, c_new = 5.318968756975625
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3558.0369209961746
Acceptance probability: 2.647454509231407e-237
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7150885600410732, b_new = -0.5347735258393259, c_new = 5.968579215544897
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -13095.119774919516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7196995538370743, b_new = -2.12948687192699, c_new = 5.640308683802249
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10760.356476432893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6616069281729207, b_new = -1.987616376762169, c_new = 5.5195775516244545
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10378.288970161491
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5598400782740365, b_new = -1.3820116887557232, c_new = 5.547798737728281
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -9803.801642002976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3829934227311664, b_new = -0.6182665582791518, c_new = 5.36178684759366
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -10573.462039849386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.055603655399117, b = -1.5167504800006704, c = 5.673998964169588
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0292474397355362, b_new = -1.2264548572119982, c_new = 5.16987118037
Current likelihood: -3013.297852572394
Proposed likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Acceptance probability: 2.9458308102489874
Max likelihood: -3012.944050458132
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0133349116043, b = -1.0648451044413658, c = 5.08607893776871
Iteration 3571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.202499129440391, b_new = -1.1208238440506864, c_new = 4.799678397398319
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4371.103704617417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3443117619667535, b_new = -1.0020606000620234, c_new = 4.6815560429971175
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7375.344117841379
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3201717516653977, b_new = -0.6223818946814137, c_new = 4.669721770433652
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7917.9653913736765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5066329463586143, b_new = -1.0742917613810214, c_new = 4.519908310822763
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10234.969162177073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1024364610175224, b_new = -1.597518294295873, c_new = 5.690399726661513
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3076.6940614311907
Acceptance probability: 9.957917386273541e-29
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5979783890769954, b_new = -1.2981981164978038, c_new = 5.357417826056068
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10831.488621128061
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1698432899263644, b_new = -1.4027163917894707, c_new = 5.665422991964585
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3695.9682894194098
Acceptance probability: 1.1240574768526291e-297
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9985839820624767, b_new = 0.1751350204504465, c_new = 5.090048143281711
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15002.98038198685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.835289377388507, b_new = -2.0269841045727306, c_new = 5.964938977642768
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11954.617434226962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5618658358837, b_new = -1.1199321716969672, c_new = 5.113217777684162
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10685.520144011643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.260776414345185, b_new = -0.9088744259258918, c_new = 5.113246689209268
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5997.150093011499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.139794048137161, b_new = -0.9335961157457335, c_new = 4.927250396955844
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13097.050684147029
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2911963354650595, b_new = -1.4691602930463739, c_new = 4.827430249656136
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5127.209682229336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.656520816397024, b_new = -0.8087310882800893, c_new = 5.315900219038182
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6768.465581485978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6308868677972543, b_new = -1.607834843363401, c_new = 5.861238468733079
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9113.83300912882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3811783988642214, b_new = -1.7866040188169108, c_new = 5.0374864348650235
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6187.560566748808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3670674951220754, b_new = -0.3464342748899908, c_new = 4.989330687523034
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9659.823609248397
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.2219220643705615, b_new = -0.7217063807904531, c_new = 4.577296714527731
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14903.982909958817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.096911143498941, b_new = -2.2510874741130404, c_new = 5.090731058003039
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3202.326305567131
Acceptance probability: 2.733871776780919e-83
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8779032119688446, b_new = -1.2513760203056807, c_new = 4.203718577807033
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4138.172618086845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3673100023488263, b_new = -1.394773211876645, c_new = 5.363360725299028
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12007.310656157519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8571530712256865, b_new = -1.503945503527781, c_new = 4.526625230331453
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4855.599046907002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.413798224431284, b_new = -1.6296105278479405, c_new = 5.418385471710107
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11953.860038934474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.133241657878408, b_new = -0.044005297035428104, c_new = 4.688975527518513
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5494.247134890522
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2549263874594634, b_new = 0.1737353848117993, c_new = 4.603544855117806
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8786.39871727625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.141922428620481, b_new = -1.998624421518357, c_new = 5.238626679425433
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3060.013459547584
Acceptance probability: 1.747679820880685e-21
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7075883628336705, b_new = -1.781031737011405, c_new = 5.246479785764146
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8383.442993512039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.700711385847642, b_new = -0.6949254762459246, c_new = 4.225785052326536
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5960.726584360148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6318996693561554, b_new = -1.5104616718660058, c_new = 5.595671042533084
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15460.878538903831
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3163716869027415, b_new = -1.5932733427813912, c_new = 5.3419635031354025
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -16301.469865516894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.205638141722117, b_new = -0.9935781489843278, c_new = 6.159949528140625
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12441.457486717642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2242303242539574, b_new = -0.9479664318675034, c_new = 6.020559677042096
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5473.205606289412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8362382168797997, b_new = -0.49756339518447845, c_new = 5.536530338412157
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3373.919178892243
Acceptance probability: 8.22129292749155e-158
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7990567649395643, b_new = -0.6778985421267096, c_new = 4.246343153494141
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12979.345433003986
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1336890645623683, b_new = -0.4015548449743166, c_new = 4.781671695868235
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4706.209471659033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2731357877778318, b_new = -0.963176706387842, c_new = 5.766866112293536
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6359.76880799265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8113426393470053, b_new = -0.49632264570783846, c_new = 5.297500757102762
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3612.8703644166835
Acceptance probability: 1.3796178507792436e-261
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.075498987183732, b_new = -1.7180464058252414, c_new = 5.529667010961539
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3021.253928040845
Acceptance probability: 0.00011899056490450306
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833209167921528, b_new = -1.7004061420463685, c_new = 4.832676594490942
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5660.7007503148525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.033378937809666, b_new = -0.33537706814253665, c_new = 5.538459816382221
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3677.16020465615
Acceptance probability: 1.6559070173794002e-289
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.473336045535966, b_new = -1.3751010404579944, c_new = 3.8318406021633002
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8599.076482552484
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2799681038810973, b_new = -0.9234959319370395, c_new = 4.865730299822432
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12160.25985850459
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.883415210811766, b_new = -0.37411819568616733, c_new = 3.893617369967246
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3146.4396310725388
Acceptance probability: 5.105667005824884e-59
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.47443168329652, b_new = -0.570493347205488, c_new = 5.059306039755635
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10689.210274611421
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.251365650778538, b_new = -0.6340395168938844, c_new = 4.797114372225813
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15109.861620943833
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.885681199387166, b_new = -1.2537566880362474, c_new = 4.774029324354685
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3913.147695297541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7815670724738055, b_new = -1.4508174474610092, c_new = 4.922853117435596
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12059.647980356156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.457023396231886, b_new = -1.1853116953954794, c_new = 4.678834244506554
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10995.4499690098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.502646489060468, b_new = -1.8300840474432838, c_new = 5.579612272620597
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11377.97964603185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2332124562298, b_new = -1.5952152273831048, c_new = 5.087749350625335
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4052.943818307884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.459025673198945, b_new = -0.5580311611067917, c_new = 5.091705986492035
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9628.109295499413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.334253362243562, b_new = -1.1982439205967819, c_new = 5.637075718535227
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11908.485586246856
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8064512942823505, b_new = -1.8324310711120033, c_new = 4.404852170545443
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6756.863180734435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.11522723631163, b_new = -0.8316337838266094, c_new = 4.107746374347127
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3606.4317850863126
Acceptance probability: 8.629751290280862e-259
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9632109900631938, b_new = -0.4424719923396707, c_new = 4.653837935509428
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14181.663818297697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9979900509714676, b_new = -1.1779145116060274, c_new = 4.294731226663399
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3072.186722383196
Acceptance probability: 9.029859553407607e-27
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.197404467746994, b_new = -1.5209838758969962, c_new = 5.366543190749985
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3784.14252961717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1996827883652172, b_new = -2.0115851311384216, c_new = 5.029666871656717
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3268.1204108302095
Acceptance probability: 7.290566640443713e-112
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9611202435260715, b_new = -1.3462460143607666, c_new = 5.073526604328899
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3275.9908051521516
Acceptance probability: 2.7841489090722236e-115
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2848972361991318, b_new = -0.6680516691356552, c_new = 4.895827686416485
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11740.62435865221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.788989428056649, b_new = -1.047658022589038, c_new = 5.616530336313614
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14607.558411173492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.196253507677276, b_new = -1.5678975019047956, c_new = 3.9360732302504617
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3517.4164264540923
Acceptance probability: 3.934389371036598e-220
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4624848777705295, b_new = -1.8978891251332621, c_new = 4.750004025797925
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7445.532475774118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3965444639759657, b_new = -0.6099616725830612, c_new = 4.894581859986177
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9478.482772147681
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4960675306756026, b_new = -1.074484463102665, c_new = 5.394062740735228
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10087.332046231859
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1171513131361435, b_new = -1.0894262177571352, c_new = 5.86106904968907
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3596.1124300551664
Acceptance probability: 2.6159969080425528e-254
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0544454512345434, b_new = -1.1296551822756418, c_new = 4.921809285521707
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13774.188101953187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.683274083844793, b_new = -0.8388035473646256, c_new = 5.577484672792833
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6213.843001449577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1429011095937227, b_new = -1.7195012285330735, c_new = 5.111661575547715
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3148.8053722472846
Acceptance probability: 4.7931845269239474e-60
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.133062988025377, b_new = -0.8251804308044897, c_new = 5.1143820820683175
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12958.920799880085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.319110778284138, b_new = -0.6467182694537288, c_new = 5.7858444736434596
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8286.72176754675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4775908366106503, b_new = -1.4589015758381128, c_new = 5.284063186744751
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11071.069971709814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.311650920485242, b_new = -1.271518241296619, c_new = 5.244861446376232
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6153.109453334089
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5396445816009905, b_new = -0.6806838300336202, c_new = 4.3522544308142095
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8975.110021828046
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.236791578025151, b_new = -0.614322131920635, c_new = 4.613777474074464
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12124.484361384959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.644876565791161, b_new = -1.8013910452559885, c_new = 5.019736349688625
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9670.51677046254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.654706634282396, b_new = -1.2677690551885719, c_new = 4.522395411451844
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8329.35320148234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6760802257308223, b_new = -0.6867946242061185, c_new = 5.334159489872299
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6056.332635953677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8387498751499898, b_new = -1.4740361625145586, c_new = 5.546966435345878
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4798.123828463775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.487535773731473, b_new = -1.4735387320155187, c_new = 5.003419777858947
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11080.234680999227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136383199907827, b_new = -1.0491296298236747, c_new = 4.670735367163729
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3637.1644256236573
Acceptance probability: 3.881343501819169e-272
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7416015346349392, b_new = -1.1796205152074903, c_new = 5.371643748580511
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14925.506891088886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.357043048930174, b_new = -1.8348286373353635, c_new = 4.2195516703129154
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5348.735469512568
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7858380412088737, b_new = -1.1555290151572422, c_new = 4.942910245550268
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12477.900476798513
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9883466827446066, b_new = -2.2737067374194604, c_new = 4.364152761269201
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4421.627199375169
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.481494816202575, b_new = -2.634621582095622, c_new = 6.054973059158829
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6413.064462127736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.585654085765924, b_new = -1.2917531791703027, c_new = 4.864502625731102
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9469.763023915639
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0319609856105676, b_new = -1.1055650874461755, c_new = 5.578256830331133
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3044.847767759652
Acceptance probability: 6.742766641204392e-15
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7544927840840976, b_new = -0.814015036577888, c_new = 5.185014708838913
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12771.807348477028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.865604261407099, b_new = -0.9703722414237304, c_new = 5.433509043655334
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3623.420414381473
Acceptance probability: 3.6135188247010815e-266
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.582111949265446, b_new = -1.6019272356325753, c_new = 5.167281681029455
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10097.65006315397
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.961422615674693, b_new = -2.0442702788627054, c_new = 4.681017896180713
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4281.7259650500355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5996729716016502, b_new = -1.491165795765945, c_new = 5.168415116646775
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9597.997359455043
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.023295832754411, b_new = -1.5617794018965097, c_new = 4.891048920761129
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13387.98412604722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.681647634508519, b_new = -1.704042387766199, c_new = 5.512960575566966
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8576.439253367827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.90953151223708, b_new = -0.7567478536848793, c_new = 5.559029480179607
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3124.8078156587385
Acceptance probability: 1.26657395796063e-49
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.780077718581832, b_new = -1.1301897978264648, c_new = 5.652524411811643
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5034.135836457182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.119845394909526, b_new = -0.5862845764574937, c_new = 5.346775655553389
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4286.36801297541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3814841626150893, b_new = -1.6708914394684258, c_new = 5.694667221007959
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6720.672661473732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7958002069783716, b_new = -1.153520398523943, c_new = 4.048656074127429
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12321.059585807052
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.317935453474491, b_new = -1.1208304643131308, c_new = 5.835469041587835
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11872.808325770857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7897944419701393, b_new = -1.5801770251680691, c_new = 4.447123915027762
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11827.679119877741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3673:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6771524064937453, b_new = -1.801030075828319, c_new = 4.798666992316126
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10639.751918523309
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3674:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9997495344421043, b_new = -1.655918563050528, c_new = 4.108258493770196
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3430.102840557346
Acceptance probability: 3.271040251034877e-182
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3675:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1867746030975597, b_new = -2.619728074986422, c_new = 5.02144059780067
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3123.094481319333
Acceptance probability: 7.02622743434228e-49
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3676:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.354745229956316, b_new = -1.7450838189954827, c_new = 4.882688917474856
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5708.292373362527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3677:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8550152990948985, b_new = -1.1314626097943221, c_new = 4.201960972590362
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12764.742727340978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3678:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6327150631952647, b_new = -1.2463122507955342, c_new = 5.753429245479771
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11373.627072539399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3679:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1095640081924865, b_new = -1.1251961447005352, c_new = 4.454279425081559
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3305.341994120052
Acceptance probability: 4.98463145315463e-128
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3680:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2671438763589657, b_new = -0.548310096328005, c_new = 4.415350249406844
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6872.053178497533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3681:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.335746265177172, b_new = -1.630428917757421, c_new = 4.67722542016514
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12790.185232875085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3682:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.651201519888334, b_new = -1.3953935178054109, c_new = 4.618644432009051
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8695.936710001246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3683:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.193540489198219, b_new = -1.5443519665668908, c_new = 4.914099259275338
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3641.222837288699
Acceptance probability: 6.705579077307602e-274
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3684:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9042814717547647, b_new = -2.284384924228381, c_new = 5.455488864875643
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5522.983621629955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3685:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.645464700399197, b_new = -1.033895440500846, c_new = 5.122758522873928
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7654.743805900775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3686:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.346609369808335, b_new = -1.7566481498758615, c_new = 5.142986284084571
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5599.903652175301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3687:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9832787043600275, b_new = -1.1083793786234983, c_new = 4.553022176953133
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3071.461840483085
Acceptance probability: 1.8642030096555884e-26
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3688:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5124375607872445, b_new = -1.082363800709211, c_new = 5.280088064789914
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10241.392418972722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3689:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9656168466356627, b_new = -1.4658447613666161, c_new = 3.8952323892556846
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12957.014867493524
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3690:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7813609634874794, b_new = -1.410217867935908, c_new = 5.039755091058829
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5881.780718562448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3691:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1640135879755453, b_new = -0.4621387077966459, c_new = 5.5013705077479145
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5333.055705270282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3692:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7989902814622405, b_new = -1.4570141848491471, c_new = 4.908937895321264
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5693.472708328146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3693:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.81485496267845, b_new = -1.3877746321556441, c_new = 5.517249061258124
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12525.385900947078
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3694:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.867010933161911, b_new = -1.2015285410435965, c_new = 5.348672338934137
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13042.424952354082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3695:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.301185859463844, b_new = -1.357810624479562, c_new = 5.697967854424681
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5866.79971949926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3696:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5532962821650664, b_new = -0.10106001828313604, c_new = 4.982370061865539
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12231.68593735505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3697:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0255409520364376, b_new = -0.5150613653309972, c_new = 4.724066214369574
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3285.86114576452
Acceptance probability: 1.4389907331550326e-119
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3698:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.172117691397464, b_new = -1.1504211524868952, c_new = 5.588090346727263
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4078.87411092445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3699:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9683350300873435, b_new = -1.717323109869063, c_new = 5.498906402420827
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3531.0822487484033
Acceptance probability: 4.5696835369817754e-226
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3700:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.241031030660847, b_new = -0.9680436436512253, c_new = 5.590463328193509
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5605.097365899717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3701:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9439826579527684, b_new = -1.0472298325200589, c_new = 5.18603838587245
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3149.4151399302336
Acceptance probability: 2.6049860907332753e-60
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3702:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8576408148378674, b_new = 0.5552244813786802, c_new = 5.30820430315244
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3265.2301528896683
Acceptance probability: 1.312152641037607e-110
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3703:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.922897555516511, b_new = -1.528710911534514, c_new = 4.624948364180553
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3922.086445154682
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3704:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.790573894088542, b_new = -1.8956652942424592, c_new = 5.410589418248095
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11651.385040142988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3705:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0487442950319337, b_new = -0.9684636412402635, c_new = 5.662155087154723
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3179.0955612960706
Acceptance probability: 3.3555382133586686e-73
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3706:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.336902754003503, b_new = -0.7357161122120873, c_new = 5.441878111720245
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15410.955851257408
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3707:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4912170222906154, b_new = -1.4906496470920507, c_new = 5.502723193199464
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10904.00778362468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3708:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0173932324354853, b_new = -0.734299238742248, c_new = 4.314411373602929
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3074.993207342889
Acceptance probability: 5.455569138881022e-28
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3709:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.271177194370652, b_new = -1.6341020160680921, c_new = 4.974941410666295
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13141.77472312903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3710:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8550050140791896, b_new = -0.9580980987729584, c_new = 4.7774571425392995
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13115.314791021803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3711:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.296350284537967, b_new = -1.1844677420684073, c_new = 5.591081079650661
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6186.823958954374
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3712:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1898223470515306, b_new = -0.8826704854054304, c_new = 4.53834360567714
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4564.867582365641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3713:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8904156283668656, b_new = -0.7148405054075769, c_new = 5.716214176112041
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3180.752072716862
Acceptance probability: 6.4024827897053974e-74
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3714:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0883213981294526, b_new = -1.2349616870703817, c_new = 4.468221296931397
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3120.3977259037065
Acceptance probability: 1.0420971293619166e-47
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3715:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9827556877823502, b_new = -1.0221662011530845, c_new = 5.119878347030602
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3024.14549486246
Acceptance probability: 6.602691585192974e-06
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3716:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.490634133457961, b_new = -0.38024778551093863, c_new = 4.898477615888501
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11162.365416148177
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3717:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8615694093768, b_new = -1.0216375542238925, c_new = 4.525252518039697
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3902.327654722091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3718:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.328314222269353, b_new = -1.2995991061411156, c_new = 5.334520006362448
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6463.570780788682
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3719:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0993631948155937, b_new = -1.3644059065288308, c_new = 4.6484827072470445
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3113.495186600965
Acceptance probability: 1.0366757267396493e-44
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3720:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8722540674438988, b_new = -0.6725510240607776, c_new = 5.218700695887116
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3296.3723881486408
Acceptance probability: 3.918171414019171e-124
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3721:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4924910336756207, b_new = -1.0019513536170517, c_new = 5.880397485572995
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10349.976031187804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3722:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5243943183245101, b_new = -1.106052158468306, c_new = 4.693315869402321
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15646.087093653534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3723:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.198568956357832, b_new = -1.2952072660546734, c_new = 4.727100943457205
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4007.5843410262983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3724:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.020075641792016, b_new = -1.364348387052172, c_new = 5.310668736283108
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13674.506285205869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3725:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2525389712011323, b_new = -1.4574388151425188, c_new = 5.327003782883826
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4630.388754126201
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3726:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.320159129524914, b_new = -1.7424355619352894, c_new = 5.255562617991681
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5165.177479906186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3727:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8876397747775813, b_new = -1.4628636629397158, c_new = 6.121580821710164
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3931.083986535822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3728:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1988107651333184, b_new = -1.2310460133556933, c_new = 5.644100392093318
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4320.286913083832
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3729:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5220080516648506, b_new = -1.7536354255390907, c_new = 5.782098548147708
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10952.698835975125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3730:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7879257728147, b_new = -0.7474106964391306, c_new = 5.016991225470727
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4314.341829517951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3731:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7284480301410934, b_new = -1.024748103295552, c_new = 5.109643442602884
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5936.591671842136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3732:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7658509863658267, b_new = -1.8043202488600505, c_new = 4.724333190832355
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11404.721024573277
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3733:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5670764565068103, b_new = -1.6653024349288772, c_new = 4.7012569202792065
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9628.253412561697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3734:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3779245139758705, b_new = -1.0969327433221967, c_new = 5.559366908318505
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8155.648014139711
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3735:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.266471944220658, b_new = -1.1257731637742254, c_new = 4.69789415841688
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14752.055705366196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3736:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.390016783603207, b_new = -1.8999618498932547, c_new = 5.672683579490582
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6290.70020382629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3737:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.314652960775137, b_new = -2.477372110387013, c_new = 5.126789477887569
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3791.9670337883867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3738:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9047191557263883, b_new = -1.4596795962849793, c_new = 5.019262282568985
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3947.441938039857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3739:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.298658411822057, b_new = -0.8902689771128243, c_new = 4.409932632928436
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6603.3587470533275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3740:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.499719278431916, b_new = -1.3366872843350857, c_new = 4.983740681996191
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10683.507350413649
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3741:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4077612767872902, b_new = -1.258698822926123, c_new = 4.679587331605794
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7986.156812227966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3742:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0726400780973755, b_new = -1.4596814283892765, c_new = 4.806716996828014
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3027.639938112354
Acceptance probability: 2.0049502047956138e-07
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3743:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8074182969084474, b_new = -1.69603961564561, c_new = 4.805239074783408
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15251.281022962783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3744:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.352613120617277, b_new = -1.431165905082236, c_new = 5.952046090476183
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6853.581866241058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3745:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.401615641790656, b_new = -1.969169826202997, c_new = 5.388292285395061
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6256.22926148345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3746:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5545497498468346, b_new = 0.023348292868463183, c_new = 4.8108223879895515
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12376.717025013499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3747:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.98933379273837, b_new = -1.37818954524876, c_new = 5.34209800348928
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3121.54599847805
Acceptance probability: 3.3053675321135115e-48
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3748:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.057107732058023, b_new = -0.7544884717089053, c_new = 4.517140684077838
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3268.054898744662
Acceptance probability: 7.784179128401135e-112
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3749:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.13977714437218, b_new = -0.6644988614249131, c_new = 5.007147729076057
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4342.7045984209735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3750:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3342067480027717, b_new = -1.4762604489842968, c_new = 4.936294350649941
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12511.706849880264
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3751:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2280228350408238, b_new = -1.4424139227974346, c_new = 5.111457218437512
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4238.8497863080565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3752:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4309393855670924, b_new = -2.2601302915653783, c_new = 5.568807033895518
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6177.922774137483
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3753:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.66151795001624, b_new = -2.1371619731130496, c_new = 4.503346629869442
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10404.03424525787
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3754:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4155579728783776, b_new = -0.8289262928475434, c_new = 4.571480184406966
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10838.655306306771
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3755:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6168168476293268, b_new = -1.6017559488986517, c_new = 5.894066422894738
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9319.177886392965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3756:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.605351955003244, b_new = -0.6525125196420634, c_new = 5.144844238685699
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7444.460492091246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3757:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.255204192234488, b_new = -1.5734265707952004, c_new = 5.425363919738011
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13042.552310964398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3758:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.405458744659274, b_new = -1.3033351878687156, c_new = 5.327823254827394
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8064.107286657958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3759:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4109141066152278, b_new = -1.2238900937295654, c_new = 5.160899297736234
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11395.793878479839
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3760:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1557903972596275, b_new = -1.0847136077692527, c_new = 5.50724661604686
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3959.0258071603066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3761:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.75680679763901, b_new = -1.13832710736789, c_new = 4.602494118959002
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12212.255688338744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3762:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.31596775224845, b_new = -1.192451198350438, c_new = 6.073702362518793
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6772.525180889457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3763:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6986359246152833, b_new = -1.3051238637303801, c_new = 4.484979091730421
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7554.411113554449
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3764:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.017673296069717, b_new = -1.1420085687742636, c_new = 5.905068566175937
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3023.7752629073666
Acceptance probability: 9.561162661018215e-06
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3765:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7417575061405195, b_new = -2.4827796954838677, c_new = 5.390710134380097
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9578.687862498362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3766:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.191322522214338, b_new = -1.1045423650976347, c_new = 5.270183269221579
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4350.37191926466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3767:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.222417580709751, b_new = -0.5279018819925639, c_new = 5.460604180998181
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6350.714237297305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3768:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.102715160285356, b_new = -0.9213483172327376, c_new = 5.127688734494586
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3539.848916090972
Acceptance probability: 7.121490076894928e-230
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3769:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1233554432135806, b_new = -1.7617844176477389, c_new = 5.7621912522261205
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3085.88183660557
Acceptance probability: 1.0185174163839427e-32
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3770:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.326986019001606, b_new = -0.15970752103483266, c_new = 4.546222343396821
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10623.375617171218
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3771:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1918339010178323, b_new = -1.6079094945992758, c_new = 5.080172760202837
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3574.287843063402
Acceptance probability: 7.869278700668317e-245
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3772:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.233521478358112, b_new = -1.5437042273214627, c_new = 4.539817445281181
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4032.2225734758254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3773:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.792153857772154, b_new = -1.5581369042753332, c_new = 4.5742974716571965
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11905.96365156908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3774:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.320022281691801, b_new = -0.9530001634522592, c_new = 5.540004830318791
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7325.820493803341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3775:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2139182504050696, b_new = -1.6890028193891313, c_new = 4.894401290566802
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13574.219218974507
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3776:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.139873462707614, b_new = -1.460050536839201, c_new = 4.8175634330593216
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14005.077812897409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3777:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9343434831343176, b_new = -1.1996673913368738, c_new = 5.708328524569376
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3260.263703459174
Acceptance probability: 1.8831544515760416e-108
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3778:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.147971775921778, b_new = -2.146433646127016, c_new = 4.884387209583351
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3066.988003186899
Acceptance probability: 1.634767727049164e-24
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3779:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833978470268981, b_new = -1.048519877180148, c_new = 4.755507977000924
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4253.787584307086
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3780:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.55250931768726, b_new = -1.7329056430889387, c_new = 6.574596318287006
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9899.267849391528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3781:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.544547175302809, b_new = -0.8236065909458845, c_new = 4.710092609939335
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10893.869626575852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3782:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.049302447390618, b_new = -2.0007218188399856, c_new = 5.79667128904646
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3184.5064552161725
Acceptance probability: 1.4991352542649306e-75
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3783:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.043084431783369, b_new = -0.751251282278095, c_new = 4.891180297670548
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13436.120196821896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3784:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.269048946052523, b_new = -1.3019469206837682, c_new = 5.960991859833893
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12458.416079896982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3785:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5958477067991703, b_new = -0.6432539375668428, c_new = 5.727258821352886
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11985.453799162477
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3786:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6004310323482236, b_new = -0.5960559267450284, c_new = 5.033586330485351
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11888.030769162651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3787:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.109025015064026, b_new = -1.5644515530776624, c_new = 5.967167154039135
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13712.069138150853
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3788:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.397828172177693, b_new = -0.9415280514616536, c_new = 4.890970821161912
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8691.137140067674
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3789:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.025829853885617, b_new = -1.310409155320667, c_new = 4.58979721412363
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3035.4960231706127
Acceptance probability: 7.766926596111013e-11
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3790:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2047023999706754, b_new = -1.185784613615598, c_new = 5.759849365540834
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4523.597463212638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3791:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.175994853332932, b_new = -1.5883475926642494, c_new = 5.112795838637512
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3458.675849417339
Acceptance probability: 1.2752220366462866e-194
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3792:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3850522303899675, b_new = -1.0830918273112207, c_new = 4.529157424113791
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7942.231294631599
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3793:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4259103168678995, b_new = -1.5676483093334836, c_new = 4.764168998950653
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7572.456213604232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3794:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.719002952864825, b_new = -1.0417000982688394, c_new = 4.992515454762351
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6213.137303473473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3795:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8015828746045974, b_new = -0.960363377251903, c_new = 4.9009860115569355
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4533.515052240546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3796:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.754148069644509, b_new = -1.7435469154791932, c_new = 5.717716034236514
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7108.788617686256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3797:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.03056056238242, b_new = -1.7859093026552353, c_new = 4.9917066381753195
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14502.623518075305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3798:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.64190021749512, b_new = -1.7295518502855936, c_new = 4.550441831843018
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9730.242949688878
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3799:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3183773106695886, b_new = -0.8658653525949821, c_new = 5.90236818285387
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7688.338136313962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3800:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.25321074188333, b_new = -1.7096794313919221, c_new = 5.237310944760018
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4163.194811722069
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3801:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7572449050337067, b_new = -1.3030958822595806, c_new = 4.944114129566431
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6130.423627236214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3802:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6857430663900286, b_new = -1.2590745997384576, c_new = 4.667055221556463
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7622.004891528992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3803:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4649186527370786, b_new = -1.8283370247496542, c_new = 5.776860965341283
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8023.405141431266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3804:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7809766072735504, b_new = -1.8913081466344361, c_new = 4.064350559603394
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7646.6966234724705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3805:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7654316510358408, b_new = -0.8082019605391014, c_new = 6.1202167821607265
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4503.541310278572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3806:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4713564677542745, b_new = -1.851411077565483, c_new = 5.218363616311259
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7890.809360945579
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3807:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.34489971885235, b_new = -1.3124817151998385, c_new = 4.905073835402531
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12203.1090454839
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3808:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8671641548409466, b_new = -1.3316195532294883, c_new = 5.128479187090102
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4199.062657418377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3809:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0887620913119727, b_new = -0.7346321818116931, c_new = 4.914759978761766
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13163.874975502004
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3810:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.853571843950728, b_new = -0.8941910560872569, c_new = 4.430171382181099
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13094.834881386441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3811:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2684846166299164, b_new = -1.3548263399219853, c_new = 5.434875534803578
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5150.2164573784685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3812:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3246316581658015, b_new = -1.3544575324488346, c_new = 4.922002281701994
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6094.31351601442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3813:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9495202298580634, b_new = 0.013775164045764177, c_new = 6.393582734060832
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3518.393776624456
Acceptance probability: 1.4805379782827169e-220
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3814:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3982607856429814, b_new = -1.2537514919132595, c_new = 4.858643610018033
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7876.697393401637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3815:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.109663624008432, b_new = -2.4189952129553296, c_new = 5.111127867861335
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3258.0092962285753
Acceptance probability: 1.7945789175900518e-107
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3816:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.999627196259675, b_new = -0.7925916173781566, c_new = 5.322141314583079
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3055.4289088904625
Acceptance probability: 1.7120124720287886e-19
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3817:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2513536089745534, b_new = -1.4467993068146066, c_new = 5.816713810880476
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4763.461993335373
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3818:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1839435585804616, b_new = -1.500973533517347, c_new = 5.455487109385742
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3681.1717831857773
Acceptance probability: 2.9979854961362054e-291
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3819:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2258597738987063, b_new = -1.2589269843854038, c_new = 5.980598563405664
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4777.454338217478
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3820:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.868496552740985, b_new = -1.4910900081396243, c_new = 5.010592477814994
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4504.980215407062
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3821:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.688632110358489, b_new = -0.6916424483598581, c_new = 4.93593640692123
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5951.202346624638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3822:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.49045538979869, b_new = -1.3556363244876373, c_new = 4.619902017656842
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10954.033195778178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3823:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9946241495191255, b_new = -1.8875478169589106, c_new = 4.422211239664702
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3695.0360992644855
Acceptance probability: 2.8551804359065597e-297
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3824:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.898279742231833, b_new = -0.5409511819885073, c_new = 5.539262526221122
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3082.420402400061
Acceptance probability: 3.2452655132914647e-31
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3825:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2437636797669014, b_new = -2.500045661212771, c_new = 4.745299142668365
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3222.3711947091106
Acceptance probability: 5.387575841685546e-92
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3826:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5203912966365465, b_new = -0.9913229019185436, c_new = 5.140608903390868
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10463.648506177567
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3827:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.758683401718948, b_new = -0.8682838736798115, c_new = 4.5897918560849975
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12571.56535848586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3828:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.758593906598783, b_new = -0.9170982464616111, c_new = 5.411441348487165
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5014.850353677795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3829:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.46266046493916, b_new = -1.47310649324942, c_new = 4.426343763253202
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8383.783647031238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3830:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4139151620247326, b_new = -1.3179048856587705, c_new = 5.936978239424876
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8422.396256986745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3831:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.039360752097747, b_new = -1.726741649412643, c_new = 5.8355164333676655
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3072.921403013222
Acceptance probability: 4.331249999970839e-27
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3832:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.292500427669171, b_new = -1.3585416092902838, c_new = 5.800920657842938
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12411.011516046838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3833:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.977590356377763, b_new = -1.8793484131017126, c_new = 4.378375421184804
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3875.9887695448533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3834:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.026907555240673, b_new = -1.7269416737374552, c_new = 4.983657075547802
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13253.13247938806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3835:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0043195320840463, b_new = -0.6808986909222071, c_new = 6.368114936271782
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3227.9847226735537
Acceptance probability: 1.965482484208263e-94
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3836:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1845270811461446, b_new = -1.8506201232181434, c_new = 4.875874910178185
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3275.227795382815
Acceptance probability: 5.971224395992857e-115
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3837:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1965369083787705, b_new = -0.7769856959144055, c_new = 5.80148523162889
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12317.015471025432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3838:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7407388710483085, b_new = -0.7989179892603926, c_new = 3.90739882740609
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5540.2266270326245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3839:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5378120403015205, b_new = -1.988314616399408, c_new = 5.658846060466243
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8857.879456002149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3840:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0591067965413585, b_new = -1.2360854012333906, c_new = 5.83494217819547
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3088.5970390916555
Acceptance probability: 6.741724525231904e-34
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3841:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1269412178159586, b_new = -1.4763894772057586, c_new = 5.093819293638675
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3208.821105960543
Acceptance probability: 4.131637110722373e-86
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3842:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9718295666088475, b_new = 0.12834156716098577, c_new = 5.659761218710719
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3711.681227984099
Acceptance probability: 1.6855669438792484e-304
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3843:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0984474060377836, b_new = -2.03509202637649, c_new = 4.884413689166908
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14491.441155124412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3844:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4319507122282302, b_new = -1.529021049786862, c_new = 5.436203592820714
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8033.256898894439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3845:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8123498108172895, b_new = -0.8765340637630152, c_new = 5.65897226023213
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4059.3506771819257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3846:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833081451176646, b_new = -1.319708174293916, c_new = 5.168343246571993
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4677.586026669653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3847:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.916320349674387, b_new = -0.7264451675879946, c_new = 5.11150689139647
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3107.0784193665504
Acceptance probability: 6.344677202309377e-42
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3848:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4491084042237636, b_new = -1.7916931988776519, c_new = 5.210964223985466
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7611.32170800731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9476051429706236, b_new = -1.621455829321891, c_new = 5.181659657742263
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3667.131839472865
Acceptance probability: 3.752317753923705e-285
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.257291120716317, b_new = -1.168690038481755, c_new = 5.402878181516299
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12513.044682435957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.891498106653345, b_new = -1.4497868440501283, c_new = 5.242641037441538
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4047.873285497241
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.920552904487974, b_new = -1.4464513255095566, c_new = 5.5302995622825355
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3651.769575296994
Acceptance probability: 1.7621633699389255e-278
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.159400038000425, b_new = -1.363511843094184, c_new = 6.483763845980013
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3788.693038736519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8754996028880777, b_new = -1.1292551469430185, c_new = 5.94639803578589
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14297.089785270924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0061863904098938, b_new = -0.6721010084211279, c_new = 4.2252087598355335
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3060.9967633761835
Acceptance probability: 6.537601506109779e-22
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.48998464206414, b_new = -2.1893353621636287, c_new = 5.029743102882456
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12299.652764425366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5872186751222395, b_new = -1.0744979727858999, c_new = 4.940188983780952
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8904.960053870578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2452275897563108, b_new = -1.602481865104291, c_new = 4.885766364582326
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13288.453417114428
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4392306659248306, b_new = -0.8788706946482007, c_new = 5.853790872161727
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9874.373367300353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.225468577183925, b_new = 0.024623100706339107, c_new = 5.430023187192936
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8058.749576238401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.42504232798793, b_new = -1.360165679118573, c_new = 5.211217955170803
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11471.189509834041
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.224635056799813, b_new = -1.4729032459964244, c_new = 5.732559928452383
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14533.33619977624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9285505604755437, b_new = -1.085019533521711, c_new = 4.9986751327248005
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3280.6892114601633
Acceptance probability: 2.5362994429366988e-117
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.365301533143983, b_new = -0.33716096434981857, c_new = 4.949580591634853
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9638.061868749519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4705507859031393, b_new = -1.3001136573824938, c_new = 5.338620528671625
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10838.031667208981
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3304396432554393, b_new = -0.48641652674672453, c_new = 5.272694116590815
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8754.026555750126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2806550970280344, b_new = -1.7692185169226557, c_new = 4.720318000357766
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13325.508024016975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8768502658563007, b_new = -0.784417907684309, c_new = 4.7119438729793535
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3420.653333638839
Acceptance probability: 4.1548428281565416e-178
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6546198403106285, b_new = -1.3566829630454953, c_new = 5.0613005958054575
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8353.311286795939
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4732045092685255, b_new = -1.6177157024296966, c_new = 5.717393445240458
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8669.070456313286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.170234658947621, b_new = -1.090476577661522, c_new = 5.661309511468572
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4171.358125437774
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.651131216287202, b_new = -0.8692956989643006, c_new = 5.168228155078971
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7089.184971701431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6987689130698915, b_new = -2.3319925140196487, c_new = 5.560485768614349
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15876.216006199915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8995282584160544, b_new = -1.0090462275676593, c_new = 5.149600069219317
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3404.2167593831155
Acceptance probability: 5.713050991358825e-171
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3692119109547396, b_new = -0.9789831769365441, c_new = 5.581550217379097
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8309.263899842585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.717097743678603, b_new = -0.336707855430312, c_new = 5.462459190147007
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13220.901847514226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6028371697825183, b_new = -0.5271599863792208, c_new = 5.223534688000614
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7147.177344358393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.942305220011135, b_new = -0.889914115063362, c_new = 4.962607552041158
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3091.2807733000514
Acceptance probability: 4.605110389459602e-35
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.122326223858249, b_new = -1.6478742848419254, c_new = 4.5952240509032425
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3085.059019858676
Acceptance probability: 2.319066661058802e-32
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8416800380320506, b_new = -1.1943184162236413, c_new = 4.215237986816361
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12609.35597473386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7421711941447953, b_new = -1.520170808792781, c_new = 5.020757742712611
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11692.567625621326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6507710651423775, b_new = -1.1670830760390962, c_new = 5.391149294786359
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11552.918757624562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9573621372660166, b_new = -1.6889775946418941, c_new = 4.980841610058252
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3695.228434681623
Acceptance probability: 2.3556097801235257e-297
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.05946177451456, b_new = -0.716671536071619, c_new = 4.544454932349106
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3318.899701620208
Acceptance probability: 6.450531479441378e-134
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.978251647485736, b_new = -0.46875049372580657, c_new = 4.420379534879646
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3066.843630745141
Acceptance probability: 1.8886705579055785e-24
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.774238463770186, b_new = -1.4750418735016435, c_new = 4.539681592187606
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11875.910442746628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1393206624624823, b_new = -0.25449515354599517, c_new = 4.434097594415582
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5019.040077671081
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4472711471701087, b_new = -2.4736253959859034, c_new = 5.486670623808256
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12928.269716153634
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.410577521337781, b_new = -1.6014794741348308, c_new = 4.8374881293615415
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7199.951240521448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.860640965061859, b_new = -0.84929390914221, c_new = 5.548268213404881
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3514.5527878164653
Acceptance probability: 6.895087734728129e-219
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.719244866822353, b_new = -1.840530170193475, c_new = 5.361345522933063
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8264.526603440321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8385337549439704, b_new = -0.4692167524707289, c_new = 4.92917981436766
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3394.704756985314
Acceptance probability: 7.724640087039212e-167
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.496781491074096, b_new = -0.6968590769372234, c_new = 4.79471402702908
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10625.565178255749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.740854583225503, b_new = -2.410034853660733, c_new = 4.45987181230038
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9804.883959515226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831971384421952, b_new = -1.1549918064825984, c_new = 5.841492252208357
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4216.540965351209
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.54784088408953, b_new = -1.3765419071570117, c_new = 4.825964324395843
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9972.78732640882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.326977964606261, b_new = -1.0024075958350729, c_new = 4.651084228151779
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11961.239418292818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.495866608015409, b_new = -0.8176810139391596, c_new = 5.178037528082613
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9632.079981658968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.843127930315763, b_new = -1.0432966806688544, c_new = 4.744517777324555
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4121.934626257517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.482193472180968, b_new = -1.7315919656190186, c_new = 5.804691979812828
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8583.27613215265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.487072420761564, b_new = -1.9539952493282944, c_new = 4.477824575690777
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7686.245623434856
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2702725949901437, b_new = -1.4731901205031448, c_new = 5.428709547169799
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12816.168258871603
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4704076128359573, b_new = -1.4069920040587516, c_new = 5.200703784334304
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8934.743652301247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083971223197484, b_new = -1.448441743217063, c_new = 5.167729299407981
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3053.9305996461762
Acceptance probability: 7.659745870619359e-19
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1175536201719773, b_new = -0.8267892289380585, c_new = 4.884551083520596
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3768.433566405799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1156612491975446, b_new = -1.3878455483155494, c_new = 5.370232145826419
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3228.8230082983137
Acceptance probability: 8.499754004690697e-95
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2462102338293017, b_new = -0.9668051584194812, c_new = 4.509403977991682
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5353.255486169351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0284670167896954, b_new = -1.6229048600689955, c_new = 5.468706131766958
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3086.414520645816
Acceptance probability: 5.9789747652103894e-33
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.176264543783402, b_new = -1.0498373920242665, c_new = 4.716775246222184
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4108.456124106913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.202924146236581, b_new = -1.3174292679250115, c_new = 5.094913487624245
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4103.215342012696
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8262183806280414, b_new = -1.058911071060771, c_new = 5.251117779095374
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4264.2685315612825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2084357657628644, b_new = -1.6761179835333666, c_new = 5.337478647351652
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3695.013747057
Acceptance probability: 2.919718619826694e-297
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7829086584635894, b_new = -0.39954798002623726, c_new = 5.596471117858725
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14089.414909555466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.332565761779428, b_new = -1.1091636046010367, c_new = 4.403115354818776
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6730.711221430274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7585570247280238, b_new = -0.7333584782374982, c_new = 4.80489897680348
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12799.624518775747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.435881258087157, b_new = -1.7738701693271524, c_new = 5.156866106381155
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12068.931977463408
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4289222858587936, b_new = -0.35794588928894056, c_new = 5.2061207523832875
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9590.823878359231
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2201582581783885, b_new = -1.9204470432090726, c_new = 5.172577149152034
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3506.7162691894528
Acceptance probability: 1.7454065188231336e-215
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.458855959701384, b_new = -2.2370427503677566, c_new = 4.964713834413159
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12656.305433134661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4606193576743713, b_new = -0.6569180418487306, c_new = 4.3570207433988255
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10043.511164536358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.537594379335632, b_new = -1.1961650401839012, c_new = 5.831330262853339
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10504.654697089321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.779120479262444, b_new = -0.6166350626915337, c_new = 5.656600783154372
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4081.6146253370575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.647392255413087, b_new = -0.8770935391791006, c_new = 4.997934159931743
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7247.7368209795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8642957277492362, b_new = -0.9056277010481362, c_new = 5.358590193494676
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3570.6769395885653
Acceptance probability: 2.9115910819516154e-243
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836353609082482, b_new = -0.7989631408917786, c_new = 5.564344978085178
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3687.379654280782
Acceptance probability: 6.0365022456358794e-294
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2484106865439815, b_new = -0.46257075587582597, c_new = 4.765156593526667
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6839.805695466086
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3619777938312176, b_new = -0.20200674510886096, c_new = 5.8581469835314515
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10254.252492019743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.432104673096839, b_new = -1.603745844436074, c_new = 4.451247345064178
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7493.562022125965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8552570317451718, b_new = -1.814427062052681, c_new = 4.905021095655801
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5490.319460051898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.364201283765851, b_new = -2.010232331365633, c_new = 5.209080906005276
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5361.248338139628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6905613133089408, b_new = -1.1086572960011685, c_new = 5.893365612897652
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12114.41878006604
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0043510151097625, b_new = -1.6412544892482657, c_new = 4.473391371038967
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3325.588930452299
Acceptance probability: 8.026021689273584e-137
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9850453657522777, b_new = -1.3133902679927916, c_new = 4.540510647010028
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3173.3215442743167
Acceptance probability: 1.0799059149979324e-70
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8615038709824003, b_new = -1.5142324855561382, c_new = 6.014751164046249
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4394.277147105933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4808934572458057, b_new = -1.143573018234979, c_new = 5.282289979051745
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9702.252025657916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2605062432693375, b_new = -1.4167319427371332, c_new = 4.7927847599640705
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4702.971295626721
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.299104303101873, b_new = -1.2518604183420046, c_new = 5.262830445584467
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5947.867458243697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8666091033741763, b_new = -1.458343189702478, c_new = 5.206705473901563
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12691.720250727354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2165548557623853, b_new = -1.4387917404143955, c_new = 3.9199965364126506
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3872.778793790763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5321370835615844, b_new = -1.2531354230110778, c_new = 5.979449194333755
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10382.048391805187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8063735910951473, b_new = -1.7183053581698449, c_new = 4.84149142094707
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6259.7165927870265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.722792624136828, b_new = -1.734455739277329, c_new = 4.926907102464981
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11196.239788165096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083485996891951, b_new = -1.5949646879741926, c_new = 5.772769624085784
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3033.568021650399
Acceptance probability: 5.340348782285053e-10
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8618049224179187, b_new = -0.9763199084312066, c_new = 4.674956013246829
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3803.5266880258205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3637448095431752, b_new = -0.9329673641014584, c_new = 5.138576904069143
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8148.748889550316
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8293488822127575, b_new = -1.9826236249298268, c_new = 5.371586857214962
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6292.549181372694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9119308125014363, b_new = -2.0372190419648737, c_new = 5.31953124758768
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4846.028579542909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097730085403975, b_new = -0.9260679152576508, c_new = 4.98523700352791
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3468.7519929416676
Acceptance probability: 5.365031516232506e-199
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4674788925951985, b_new = -1.2814861837795057, c_new = 4.602824170566821
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8969.655875042705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3614992749388746, b_new = -1.441619311021843, c_new = 4.696641269730842
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6557.748559144886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3588665682280237, b_new = -0.899481465581973, c_new = 4.895215736246265
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11442.211772218749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1579778619498358, b_new = -1.207131733360446, c_new = 5.111660663458393
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3731.525434188651
Acceptance probability: 4.0599132436e-313
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2473899350479227, b_new = -0.9768511270902227, c_new = 5.904752712236614
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5823.746006279275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.880158610843276, b_new = -0.9658434675334964, c_new = 4.717935638019373
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3590.4396889947743
Acceptance probability: 7.608120213544776e-252
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.26428119931091, b_new = -1.5016460217223426, c_new = 4.5386889839145566
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4536.465261906459
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.113305037467411, b_new = -1.408661526753811, c_new = 4.377193045242948
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13920.549337097931
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0752302600464643, b_new = -0.6598298348774733, c_new = 5.1662262775213765
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3601.935818404777
Acceptance probability: 7.736985806159128e-257
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.782511042654502, b_new = -1.0280672904956225, c_new = 4.2326192361127495
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5193.167480100114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.169935386809472, b_new = -1.003789181449272, c_new = 5.495242556129037
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14687.246142134045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.008241028101059, b_new = -0.6128700841752508, c_new = 5.0325548279524
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14300.486271421336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3788884745888597, b_new = -0.3681192081989063, c_new = 5.06232311580276
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10260.866179417724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9270743140530198, b_new = -1.8369928605225376, c_new = 5.553635275966979
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12696.726213724512
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.679218538738967, b_new = -0.5956647201905707, c_new = 5.608676890660986
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5686.634987875594
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094149304412317, b_new = -1.3039250266488092, c_new = 5.3150997279205034
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3163.363102580989
Acceptance probability: 2.281824273392574e-66
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0987548463040433, b_new = -0.6630720654766067, c_new = 6.123310791148088
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4061.990744735168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2466957015404585, b_new = -1.6094768932245391, c_new = 5.1967926636551915
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4232.57917149905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.435581981740113, b_new = -0.7072070956925106, c_new = 5.476542951862416
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10059.74961936642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8649702843892393, b_new = -0.6651704779286602, c_new = 5.670247866569097
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3297.627492674627
Acceptance probability: 1.1168592924200112e-124
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5434795779912958, b_new = -0.8525438912960587, c_new = 6.142852401216746
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11285.448050252247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.824962247558539, b_new = -1.166047604543857, c_new = 4.743789535824898
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4614.121828322684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2479127640290324, b_new = -1.2136666793296753, c_new = 5.660443412866059
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5166.593762750839
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6059807545674465, b_new = -1.6011957507510217, c_new = 4.8369372346124555
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9875.363901348795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4363674631340144, b_new = -0.5284883874075396, c_new = 5.236180123984379
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10361.34141097462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6143613301787085, b_new = -1.7334030576964365, c_new = 4.918550631132363
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10132.124391017061
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.131713357383699, b_new = -1.2154324310573743, c_new = 5.412002481338094
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3511.275116390155
Acceptance probability: 1.8281608762944995e-217
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.677750608767677, b_new = -1.0700192243185742, c_new = 5.7990436918866495
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12042.082232290453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1766761793373903, b_new = -1.8608457178728863, c_new = 5.680539454423355
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13762.456409298538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1702841448377685, b_new = -1.7264434233150572, c_new = 5.207671244441817
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3302.5782997202455
Acceptance probability: 7.904788984130476e-127
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.979821961522896, b_new = -1.87301096018291, c_new = 5.0922602745926335
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3689.9360133548853
Acceptance probability: 4.683523750197892e-295
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.918031474701099, b_new = -1.4124793363184924, c_new = 4.802043634671261
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3768.721115374031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5107964774647606, b_new = -1.6271209265852604, c_new = 5.172573255599349
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11047.443882851792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3270558183332186, b_new = -1.2449784646842332, c_new = 4.79241343819449
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6388.754314403486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.05038835610573, b_new = -2.65037591863768, c_new = 5.998673446953459
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12595.775810675772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5149583154214405, b_new = -1.3514435655005947, c_new = 5.131695546958418
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10475.235263689909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3482962348287484, b_new = -1.394323432659198, c_new = 4.352611703492567
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6289.831464092404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.671972213279045, b_new = -1.38565859799804, c_new = 5.35098852948362
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7977.331902589399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031453885663944, b_new = -1.4429077686196732, c_new = 4.5016668884090185
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3068.7403543890478
Acceptance probability: 2.8341288957084067e-25
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.907556376359657, b_new = -2.253261350313907, c_new = 4.6267894404617556
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5687.076090774824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.747958402030139, b_new = -1.6700940992882076, c_new = 4.159820647910244
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11304.778711094857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.2058966279563474, b_new = -2.240579508064845, c_new = 4.339109714930416
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13464.09493091306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266552045704145, b_new = -1.0049917310938303, c_new = 5.128547440034183
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5869.176739540384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4194517867625285, b_new = -1.5475305892971527, c_new = 4.558541034868326
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7423.058162759757
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6172094080045927, b_new = -0.919147419062241, c_new = 5.143619363708838
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7899.343916162266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8726052428991804, b_new = -1.3745127192266529, c_new = 5.488783432014382
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12903.347846045473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4849150248888803, b_new = -1.3563710473338062, c_new = 5.099768226601775
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10857.293823224927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.414853045890831, b_new = -1.9469607772448763, c_new = 4.477773735555901
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12719.13013382809
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.641969957299801, b_new = -1.799357121285216, c_new = 5.412206039298034
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9561.095043398776
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6639598860621962, b_new = -1.4851404605305216, c_new = 4.66226363806844
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8674.575361620922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 3999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.795084598536865, b_new = -1.8302747478760408, c_new = 4.697243159178178
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6878.741782833669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5710450538360545, b_new = -0.7179812306936407, c_new = 5.379392921709646
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11538.857439664334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5795566814419306, b_new = -0.8201799064587293, c_new = 4.741259346585274
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11260.13377821048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9873596106389178, b_new = -1.635481663923196, c_new = 5.98245901744696
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3242.6101749427125
Acceptance probability: 8.744117040482449e-101
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.156685533759901, b_new = -1.400337883665545, c_new = 4.712207084658816
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13602.712468749545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.874574555147604, b_new = -1.1727975966283009, c_new = 5.043615915031765
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3867.94376535058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4469684212538754, b_new = -1.0716046356981388, c_new = 4.958431820875221
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9240.856478547745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.61158525392703, b_new = -0.36664011200978464, c_new = 5.525338305022195
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6473.745095587023
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.242692318726578, b_new = -2.1946712166202946, c_new = 4.692717906087601
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3392.8193830948376
Acceptance probability: 5.0896243613952967e-166
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0107982478720423, b_new = -0.839542441332108, c_new = 4.400133211427006
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3030.4660478153182
Acceptance probability: 1.1877902106282833e-08
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.94054608586911, b_new = -1.24173084408556, c_new = 5.033099984605454
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3330.0517659017637
Acceptance probability: 9.253702213440512e-139
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545937061380007, b_new = -1.3054833720327585, c_new = 5.16561440833088
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9966.71336583581
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2747852224680334, b_new = -0.23384678798580838, c_new = 4.834890560726692
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8124.727245915248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2597975578883944, b_new = -0.652078584754745, c_new = 5.247130609202959
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6741.563763468117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4895501931083603, b_new = -1.7510234556963278, c_new = 4.893675480892384
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11601.91706908885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.451035010072801, b_new = -1.5381289216160967, c_new = 5.287196123581377
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11492.485412017246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.05906813732765, b_new = -1.030182322377568, c_new = 4.709302763500145
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3114.604004546619
Acceptance probability: 3.4204985812673965e-45
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.285494695284883, b_new = -1.3886649983822015, c_new = 5.921720262830982
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5547.287390914926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.82092316211629, b_new = -1.5976721149785544, c_new = 5.723920712124485
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12351.657102619763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.93086272299346, b_new = -1.1456876366819517, c_new = 5.619411919426238
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3249.2099230013837
Acceptance probability: 1.1898214612866336e-103
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4580359139358743, b_new = -0.8103315143032679, c_new = 4.234250177770889
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10418.547883147527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8638320596449565, b_new = -0.5975520498828745, c_new = 5.398086877703054
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3277.274216422004
Acceptance probability: 7.714610910131403e-116
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5428099023903856, b_new = -1.681850513736248, c_new = 5.591856890317374
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9551.360554544344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5421569187569975, b_new = -1.4401141700330362, c_new = 5.245190432150796
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9910.550953060116
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.663763431959026, b_new = -2.1326889339410586, c_new = 5.552240178360101
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10167.166046805083
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0686065839474908, b_new = -0.43189484891262264, c_new = 4.726387971158907
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3753.542686246293
Acceptance probability: 1.14e-322
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.716576259627438, b_new = -1.018247076952461, c_new = 5.43204409482625
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12306.664387644523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7500594196278105, b_new = -1.4644870309640428, c_new = 4.475960360705015
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6907.026823136782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4348026589093372, b_new = -1.4142201778977213, c_new = 4.291395196512584
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7972.373954685957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.352916474053165, b_new = -1.6495779258892023, c_new = 5.025041603851608
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5954.074869586862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.6417945337550535, b_new = -1.6362392339066802, c_new = 5.147938120336764
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15524.800344592304
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.738323689004274, b_new = -1.4252605963802338, c_new = 5.33456446962786
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11880.187977178903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.482368630991629, b_new = -1.484420839902041, c_new = 5.8577711855304875
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9178.45352348097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.423046273735495, b_new = -1.2028756199236517, c_new = 5.1138451649445855
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8576.939966486376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9651795620551873, b_new = -1.4956991266516604, c_new = 5.269852599399064
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3356.331457448597
Acceptance probability: 3.5742958325969595e-150
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.393775717158793, b_new = -1.1762207332361876, c_new = 5.8838072956973875
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8385.447413932417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.507376320279424, b_new = -1.023582382743692, c_new = 4.5900873357836804
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10097.922423393706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7743656473697553, b_new = -1.5889310349509587, c_new = 4.282857452769528
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15385.002191293635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.051052698373308, b_new = -1.868599609198205, c_new = 4.442165256853634
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13106.262905410433
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.176589189302802, b_new = -0.5248257375371136, c_new = 4.167008746226537
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4990.462879122788
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3161866628148733, b_new = -0.7806449263709041, c_new = 4.631134598030174
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7370.407950898796
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.217821423461394, b_new = -1.4736408233237535, c_new = 4.660720593592487
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3964.1802423497898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.109225305350101, b_new = -0.6265365625248779, c_new = 5.074881840679709
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4009.5852314124704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031342064293698, b_new = -1.0322641750762482, c_new = 4.348494221201769
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3026.6527567006706
Acceptance probability: 5.380604005863611e-07
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.740581092402355, b_new = -1.8842486426522331, c_new = 6.188744457020986
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11471.73740869377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2867209065620804, b_new = -0.6372678343579101, c_new = 5.334626847471094
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7418.436512867373
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.198224122918809, b_new = -1.7619119029253552, c_new = 5.308252881152336
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13635.113152459175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3098939391160402, b_new = -0.6920241646793819, c_new = 4.171136749520828
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7305.302227166114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.426245527695852, b_new = -2.120495007704066, c_new = 6.518184682514259
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6757.068411389573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.082795736471552, b_new = -0.7344683659432677, c_new = 6.164531593361301
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3772.491169537818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8986937191094437, b_new = -0.9468318642590251, c_new = 4.853997396458069
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3388.480626156708
Acceptance probability: 3.899275554590979e-164
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.158576068621623, b_new = -0.5596672990482953, c_new = 5.389666540990481
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4968.817708108882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.707503075885306, b_new = -0.8627170792257417, c_new = 5.927695617084712
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12593.10923769781
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6460653885157686, b_new = -0.5134558489133585, c_new = 4.701590570368161
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6432.363315456717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.965098532275187, b_new = -1.2488009565955063, c_new = 5.631861216322281
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3134.175738478578
Acceptance probability: 1.0819155597027192e-53
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4995959314189733, b_new = -1.271277901728575, c_new = 5.839601165764754
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10273.029233916815
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.647021550738586, b_new = -1.0638041535839082, c_new = 5.414026572359802
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11684.92814222967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4636971662033074, b_new = -1.9662717566743413, c_new = 5.9989993665806365
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11865.333781531124
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.710136508076758, b_new = -1.5300887462402706, c_new = 5.454108845019125
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7550.876848149305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.641323530011034, b_new = -1.501226643407346, c_new = 4.382856988303878
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10653.8277019766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.579895063901713, b_new = -0.18274332409307847, c_new = 4.849713620798299
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6857.639510371557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.128732198929943, b_new = -2.1573922630015927, c_new = 5.112973531957868
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14428.775086656922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3917254560254415, b_new = -0.8580709374080191, c_new = 5.472162633225856
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9011.95917164637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.569396048750498, b_new = -1.1309183454229952, c_new = 4.407227416246412
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9521.037065096532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2712272939696536, b_new = -1.6494084503094522, c_new = 6.075769539320127
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4746.085804880923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.891874934592231, b_new = -0.10385378685395152, c_new = 6.0635796774139505
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3108.4593973863502
Acceptance probability: 1.594624373082117e-42
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.321154792750169, b_new = -1.5272740677275458, c_new = 5.2569593159051395
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12585.786015898182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.52887989307708, b_new = -1.3056182969028947, c_new = 4.6999531758399735
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9831.298744273005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5389551425057233, b_new = -0.9096351803166809, c_new = 5.094341794070443
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10802.930249374262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.869728844862147, b_new = -1.4025143684830281, c_new = 4.971970364620274
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4328.399615506665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.524125330451172, b_new = -1.7690385519691918, c_new = 5.712204174829938
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9141.918824594362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5494403827478944, b_new = -1.0092955920624176, c_new = 5.51005373536252
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10869.694823169299
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.864234688050561, b_new = -0.5266313526635404, c_new = 4.905531661407644
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3265.244238870994
Acceptance probability: 1.2937992496677048e-110
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3883561536275986, b_new = -0.6074878119283634, c_new = 5.4121375311110045
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9545.072597747345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5136027563254286, b_new = -0.1368520213386828, c_new = 5.279710395871344
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7829.5009263518
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.103759324756036, b_new = -1.0353126089811853, c_new = 5.00472789034656
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3407.9324668476083
Acceptance probability: 1.3904547246774658e-172
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9625199169868246, b_new = -1.848938540362553, c_new = 5.481479633454353
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3761.6915892821075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.956083011454663, b_new = -0.9248572394007313, c_new = 5.347149894596979
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3046.6311342461945
Acceptance probability: 1.1332661197000939e-15
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1753213173498143, b_new = -1.1313867571475111, c_new = 4.218725728180791
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3874.1466518140337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6697471652331326, b_new = -0.8291765849790325, c_new = 4.749413795394326
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12027.955663060344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.57092953900854, b_new = -0.8711127583411984, c_new = 5.517538342841965
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8486.486693151988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3540397233901276, b_new = -1.8718940622245834, c_new = 5.209983505859275
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5489.57510487616
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.850063767339883, b_new = -1.1797474426098695, c_new = 5.396028932614088
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4111.0285111933135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.045150730187396, b_new = -0.4156622057952485, c_new = 4.849312087380107
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3561.3986769306384
Acceptance probability: 3.1162239028088613e-239
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.064949000690442, b_new = -1.512313254588733, c_new = 5.393519245962682
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13754.78873302537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9194695185344584, b_new = -1.796525787977312, c_new = 6.461872501861926
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3985.322150047516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8434453605500103, b_new = -1.1111023629423165, c_new = 4.911297364287192
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4194.414257295652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.215854022038483, b_new = -1.08690146854799, c_new = 4.525551994850056
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4571.722255120487
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1554340644818843, b_new = -1.3698240569857032, c_new = 5.22343512982371
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3525.2755798608123
Acceptance probability: 1.5194638816367541e-223
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0943774832256876, b_new = -1.460749541776226, c_new = 5.734861510869333
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3108.7972590899444
Acceptance probability: 1.1374358812674191e-42
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.841497974260422, b_new = -0.5065531879142726, c_new = 6.021795939080297
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3304.0367641109888
Acceptance probability: 1.838599950614628e-127
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7870848944296593, b_new = -1.5903372061483383, c_new = 4.814085378047341
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6328.452674520903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7273263897184927, b_new = -1.2921470449053651, c_new = 5.3713776274445975
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6567.491244298117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.272139304778257, b_new = -1.3068180077003773, c_new = 4.524149066890077
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5058.7382031984325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.158721262679106, b_new = -0.9982531154369052, c_new = 5.8617801340039195
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4222.139060683208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2332429855425664, b_new = -1.679671394849692, c_new = 4.751050470202906
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3868.1820156643003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9616548873593382, b_new = -0.8262160432102615, c_new = 5.6301027776474415
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3021.8039737878844
Acceptance probability: 6.864844332384755e-05
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7463819405282726, b_new = -1.3744020576277747, c_new = 5.485681267527759
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12053.306234386138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5546430733945673, b_new = -0.5145768999320504, c_new = 5.183163970037657
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11656.203719243262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.508472404471002, b_new = -1.2734621298542024, c_new = 4.979634340237041
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10453.234712788315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.965298344914311, b_new = -1.7897380298034222, c_new = 6.015476833530275
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3559.5378632122724
Acceptance probability: 2.003409755474025e-238
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4633150312742624, b_new = -1.3319174444373825, c_new = 4.683244558852186
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8813.852019678954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1135236244993907, b_new = -0.6709395001148252, c_new = 4.3104190332994925
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3835.5576534718243
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8851811251686694, b_new = -1.3592603780374646, c_new = 4.734176425570001
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4097.202545499953
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.829707867761941, b_new = -2.061539739021754, c_new = 5.218288561471261
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6567.916279033845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.287851241381052, b_new = -1.0889031851587192, c_new = 4.6079088353953965
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5912.449055685938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.466127265404639, b_new = -1.5526500492185047, c_new = 5.833601059606494
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11187.818657282074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.658356092223157, b_new = -1.2375376044166313, c_new = 5.073985522934395
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7958.922754749633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.710625693718686, b_new = -1.5540160608911575, c_new = 4.061880829550545
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8183.178278251746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.616464388954047, b_new = -0.4109568587725322, c_new = 4.1319450972002985
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14978.079009738605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.571751590260542, b_new = -0.5644121809640159, c_new = 4.88935426422282
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11642.801485268192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5731256128613476, b_new = -1.3489608003844549, c_new = 5.4464314460998065
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9577.321036347883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2288016389131373, b_new = -1.6680895103327487, c_new = 5.158399823169864
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13393.211329366535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.397856139479282, b_new = -1.5686456845891548, c_new = 5.470892508590591
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7253.135724791011
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0152396368725514, b_new = -0.41959646317481347, c_new = 4.721679305794813
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3299.9910598030538
Acceptance probability: 1.0507860546156205e-125
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5719511939906736, b_new = -1.044736878169696, c_new = 5.50509247550962
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8884.826276163969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.868225894930287, b_new = -1.236260809005818, c_new = 5.573607204394816
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13066.414471482878
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7361154900833813, b_new = -1.326720604365272, c_new = 4.916009365491059
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6648.026993654276
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.232404728245574, b_new = -1.1904131865165593, c_new = 4.845057260959787
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12859.451543183055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5933867526304026, b_new = -1.451408005505377, c_new = 6.417067620113506
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9159.006652250424
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2112045883735383, b_new = -0.4426506252879199, c_new = 4.9001661502925895
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6125.509128858847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4347974776997834, b_new = -0.9097333296359696, c_new = 5.070325832573201
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10608.682749470698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3547478957647567, b_new = -1.2023185314077949, c_new = 5.555311198262964
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7379.027443193358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9429194992945087, b_new = -1.2641558778369413, c_new = 5.4480577311163865
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3284.0159347213603
Acceptance probability: 9.107998934927241e-119
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9897924939525646, b_new = -0.28959534963817446, c_new = 5.132552910147525
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3299.8979506096503
Acceptance probability: 1.1533234153276217e-125
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9180860399793556, b_new = -1.7076479947417968, c_new = 4.7880911676570665
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4244.668045598166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.447779771552473, b_new = -0.4688784743463106, c_new = 5.033550216412341
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10556.885802103348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.181582557329457, b_new = -1.5493325171564778, c_new = 4.509618954520091
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3473.6803425673934
Acceptance probability: 3.883445638620907e-201
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.174110779655811, b_new = -0.444774887675358, c_new = 5.024498797748274
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5404.824819730484
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7792268523386188, b_new = -1.2686072427738153, c_new = 4.3111090805947665
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5821.06433548048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.32451555728798, b_new = -1.4619182521264764, c_new = 6.0768420157241065
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6216.998550384389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8831642883527238, b_new = -0.1742900324077099, c_new = 5.536615100565705
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3060.763560741825
Acceptance probability: 8.254619560614364e-22
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3014967533110764, b_new = -0.462463659443597, c_new = 5.0671437270137165
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8137.45735553632
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1448730923142247, b_new = -1.5537649958938529, c_new = 4.195476910837168
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13969.440400517902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.348673417344864, b_new = -1.896046060810387, c_new = 5.476983118837927
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5409.874550538047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5959002600613816, b_new = -1.5959815239532615, c_new = 5.117448331531147
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10224.338436179938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3006494899300542, b_new = -1.4460274164526514, c_new = 5.248977996341956
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12622.998789732887
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.376628751759655, b_new = -1.0515996587183367, c_new = 4.2626854645916055
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7757.381122042902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1763936456876705, b_new = -0.7967964056049147, c_new = 5.658322256230793
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12513.393807572817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2819592487085014, b_new = -1.2325446103256437, c_new = 5.126205019252802
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5600.643651599597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4381772369260175, b_new = -1.053271560048204, c_new = 4.584735953978837
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9010.742360240622
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5081750333323014, b_new = -1.3923300598896824, c_new = 5.39381068976166
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9602.356986385805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.124834283023292, b_new = -1.358703833717619, c_new = 3.9823289765718215
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3196.5908577124237
Acceptance probability: 8.465478208476652e-81
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1914586293063736, b_new = -0.7464995897699183, c_new = 4.630922095020049
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4898.82690591467
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1040133981493914, b_new = -1.31536078115706, c_new = 4.959654398222753
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13718.418692376246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.547226969527493, b_new = -1.9299366328151302, c_new = 4.534979650735046
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8773.98510387575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2857618767866335, b_new = -0.6200350040759933, c_new = 5.408606873828594
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7478.067272482205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2336154014074348, b_new = -1.9575443855658812, c_new = 5.47684162265065
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3629.368917993003
Acceptance probability: 9.430354688605115e-269
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.564294696603314, b_new = -0.8410035698406405, c_new = 5.791699892363283
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8433.715293019673
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2765133085190894, b_new = -0.5063238467384575, c_new = 4.495587290880277
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7230.116938875517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5398724250303797, b_new = -1.3931066521694384, c_new = 4.180655609122243
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9645.154264516725
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4711530851959984, b_new = -1.7086846236685216, c_new = 4.748955014638763
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11761.569449192244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7098837480910825, b_new = -1.4995201277034276, c_new = 6.516829168480228
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -7068.899978875779
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2666188728509975, b_new = -0.13880550078470022, c_new = 4.406176293368473
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8042.806281509422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5637042850097194, b_new = -1.692831226807386, c_new = 5.56867425102191
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9797.288403359531
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6562401016715165, b_new = -1.2632341190398821, c_new = 4.586585107350114
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8261.596382805903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3251339482202344, b_new = -1.4571898343752592, c_new = 4.585030285868513
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12653.484847090625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7192915954370753, b_new = -0.7074532439960479, c_new = 4.932676118486167
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5397.098842691272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.049946221500425, b_new = -1.1215909590213256, c_new = 4.674678367751012
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13906.206805240123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4395739803190986, b_new = 0.11310923120027949, c_new = 6.0355065698916395
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8256.843010555705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7275175037185933, b_new = -1.3171699883494532, c_new = 5.185578988005809
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6701.0220962600515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5456566093903734, b_new = -1.0686849913600907, c_new = 4.816021620845053
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9587.654013234422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.412300979773419, b_new = -1.0583125091573986, c_new = 4.889735148260336
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -8660.796417801104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3556285992311548, b_new = -1.4191360373417894, c_new = 5.360179178996369
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12141.154618443627
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9127385518906723, b_new = -0.8479862428073175, c_new = 5.763001189797402
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3145.1210151987384
Acceptance probability: 1.90862269767835e-58
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.749553873735231, b_new = -1.88490012026638, c_new = 4.792607349382017
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11170.919560306342
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.682777624754338, b_new = -1.5365480296320562, c_new = 5.1835144807361715
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11210.97744650086
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2747518975232723, b_new = -2.191464725011099, c_new = 5.044879706233353
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13785.391052281844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.914279655678281, b_new = -0.7478271517330242, c_new = 5.158332803810833
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3122.566693618367
Acceptance probability: 1.1910705584856229e-48
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6008077390502313, b_new = -0.8193490438237337, c_new = 5.570152259662533
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11705.808375090077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.48376331252803, b_new = -0.7628398980724221, c_new = 5.610124144258757
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10617.322672430184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8894089567079915, b_new = -1.9944294049657696, c_new = 4.939720719549481
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5271.945590729301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3741330189438896, b_new = -1.2909616611136874, c_new = 4.536312833716904
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12038.69195417882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.370025729270374, b_new = -1.663887178548891, c_new = 5.698217255798008
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6501.019417383643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.050935064924376, b_new = -1.8816705811121155, c_new = 5.345487658978556
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3145.69728159568
Acceptance probability: 1.0726320462700507e-58
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.721973950227815, b_new = -1.2990819213131795, c_new = 5.111225902687806
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6797.058822966845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.257190165638734, b_new = -0.5205060989482428, c_new = 4.579377977431814
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11841.245187149321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.799125195903082, b_new = -0.8598403060026419, c_new = 4.345243295407542
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4522.438360339684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.490194797921404, b_new = -1.2265084484614683, c_new = 5.282877225233902
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10484.348569694164
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8456557265117493, b_new = -0.9218698830163856, c_new = 4.675628259066506
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3911.965297952768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.240161026005307, b_new = -1.40524624567466, c_new = 4.783853727617943
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -14444.496293270413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3137286467855023, b_new = -0.8811664879963512, c_new = 5.145059955377141
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11745.609654374899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2996835482241953, b_new = -1.8565420137430164, c_new = 5.612500076606616
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4672.116747577105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4317373214394475, b_new = -0.9472365376496075, c_new = 5.1653313590645915
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9357.06010649823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5456663485526634, b_new = -0.6979583206542824, c_new = 5.879956998532786
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -11487.613008609596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.333340623716989, b_new = -0.2031558676395202, c_new = 5.1883097819505375
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9520.943065694668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0900622190455422, b_new = -1.1714895264588079, c_new = 4.5262338799252
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3164.881477270031
Acceptance probability: 4.998738831421255e-67
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8386665049844226, b_new = -1.0690174168085511, c_new = 5.630994099011092
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4030.6665558401837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6690789858893615, b_new = -0.24716244093695183, c_new = 4.102311465946838
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12642.347083695258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7687558301400403, b_new = -1.5637614820809742, c_new = 4.711611325394384
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6687.687550965464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6991644615993344, b_new = -2.2281100542867507, c_new = 5.569573566516792
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9598.708194129633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.913891255030796, b_new = -1.6476293159619093, c_new = 4.668777434877127
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4225.9428684468785
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6398240760117497, b_new = -1.7458412350868326, c_new = 4.262445657581107
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9916.195771980292
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9793846347582322, b_new = -2.09465683848329, c_new = 4.356752158089209
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12431.465666227214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.135355473261154, b_new = -1.3665074327300346, c_new = 4.975765354664185
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -13609.794395928227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.38806685167994, b_new = -1.6083029259216537, c_new = 5.530129620168955
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -6965.114092333517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.20776663659002, b_new = -0.5232760829721711, c_new = 4.615260187441502
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -15023.163804332537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.843008313345077, b_new = -0.3572464470109181, c_new = 5.0086359373313325
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3265.0751378017667
Acceptance probability: 1.532168594527233e-110
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3176196477308117, b_new = -1.171773797477212, c_new = 5.00536896882048
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -12184.20560912832
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5336387188912113, b_new = -1.3936429417788596, c_new = 5.9370525013564555
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -10050.210829738187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7558748775877278, b_new = -1.0986741074476263, c_new = 4.466941580759249
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -5798.350192015122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.546081179459276, b_new = -1.2385195458861311, c_new = 4.987574546121407
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -9885.764906011425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1705956595709766, b_new = -0.6959444981812072, c_new = 5.626624420447915
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -4948.160901780606
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0070088307326586, b_new = -1.0838440099423374, c_new = 4.85881902182372
Current likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Proposed likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Acceptance probability: 0.3858671963223081
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8088456061844536, b_new = -2.0890324539136422, c_new = 4.743770349829747
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7312.580127669764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.795762849146342, b_new = -1.1792011012279022, c_new = 5.290642443267099
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4972.19956268358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0020122886182783, b_new = -1.747622257888383, c_new = 5.501628772092355
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3297.410305250919
Acceptance probability: 3.5965317789742735e-124
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1255042397271113, b_new = -1.1817153393341937, c_new = 5.812160764781256
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3555.8859622363143
Acceptance probability: 2.0013929563519505e-236
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.953382992579098, b_new = -1.5004397088967847, c_new = 4.959377653007667
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3503.0208207118567
Acceptance probability: 1.8212586024667398e-213
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6890151436081333, b_new = -1.6616074406768666, c_new = 5.250025593959652
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8424.943853123825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.074638230949446, b_new = -1.3081152146830162, c_new = 4.031795924177456
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3048.641149658424
Acceptance probability: 3.935097013262382e-16
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.265877911956091, b_new = -0.6443364318293843, c_new = 5.5085470951297895
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7005.433982560424
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.990373609019155, b_new = -0.7482172125139801, c_new = 4.201230199288747
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3016.725520952885
Acceptance probability: 0.028558597585722663
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.087891400294603, b_new = -1.4738913665640714, c_new = 5.1851055004436
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -13908.392356427781
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.398830624364579, b_new = -1.9218556622930407, c_new = 4.458242741610763
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -6023.992085653972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374794895478019, b_new = -1.5784522894319015, c_new = 5.354829654636669
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -6704.792004122119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831371431668606, b_new = -0.6229945083959664, c_new = 4.335610897565452
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3717.3689248635847
Acceptance probability: 1.479696943082118e-306
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7016932901084587, b_new = -2.7606171258586034, c_new = 5.045113858921909
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -9386.330884084951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.731580099090941, b_new = -0.6630782351240678, c_new = 4.068088070360005
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -5335.249748121667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.731231943350891, b_new = -1.3371328291997755, c_new = 4.53516594155424
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11735.09960676599
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.557029702059419, b_new = -0.3989468653264763, c_new = 4.624768667587608
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7903.29754679489
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0454252007070823, b_new = -1.0196322738624952, c_new = 4.555197087741681
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3064.2009709906715
Acceptance probability: 6.877188046439903e-23
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1916441956970423, b_new = -1.0301025068920888, c_new = 4.372375939790354
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4277.732418934764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.024337541526463, b_new = -1.3511918230501072, c_new = 4.344071985081771
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3063.6567630644486
Acceptance probability: 1.1851065515296934e-22
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.371060871530387, b_new = -0.7460586033988996, c_new = 4.613694093168447
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11153.025757381047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.841942118612289, b_new = -1.4169763399100792, c_new = 3.9836585283827115
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -5099.350578363816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0506427006264345, b_new = -0.9544075555291576, c_new = 5.049644496373863
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3142.944722889818
Acceptance probability: 4.3594727313429216e-57
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.811713279692362, b_new = -0.935778325385746, c_new = 4.403017797959996
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4460.6682499651415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.292411290219255, b_new = -1.1120704209979462, c_new = 5.331469582440598
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12201.045663825085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5686260942434855, b_new = -0.6821420702929516, c_new = 3.9615051397093697
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8634.567321533523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4475963157570835, b_new = -1.8350981526702559, c_new = 4.873132968644903
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12153.222074203492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4880928742577852, b_new = -1.236211496513279, c_new = 5.1850769082359065
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -10561.13144335368
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.151132195543839, b_new = -1.535322030944969, c_new = 4.248030781502141
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3246.441683235672
Acceptance probability: 4.912190416894123e-102
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5956124929317417, b_new = -0.8816041809851771, c_new = 4.573377058184508
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8418.734157233886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.530439528392688, b_new = -1.9427550834367824, c_new = 4.740564147333435
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8548.425806895684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.736319845972505, b_new = -1.3390423115603753, c_new = 5.5013690642660285
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -6457.218365193142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4063672416410413, b_new = -0.9693187401019281, c_new = 5.215693280996643
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -10986.11293592407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4660856730852396, b_new = -1.140387390717313, c_new = 5.453736539598869
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -9553.412905136676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.918105531084707, b_new = -1.6832603219747095, c_new = 4.84664403778814
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12651.434164024135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.194433879974139, b_new = -1.5891313364752762, c_new = 5.1088008809205565
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3625.0965089469805
Acceptance probability: 1.7521603205005637e-266
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.780223444524275, b_new = -0.2784971216335852, c_new = 4.886307456163824
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3724.916659739179
Acceptance probability: 7.80248907525433e-310
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7286690593980074, b_new = -1.2573903705463172, c_new = 4.994174266845987
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -6586.434877883167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231023855816983, b_new = -1.504204306455039, c_new = 4.96744483702255
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4145.613982813051
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0481903514594566, b_new = -1.4693133719530067, c_new = 3.8401621756411357
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3084.1872801264303
Acceptance probability: 1.4370342804969357e-31
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7995156940627193, b_new = -1.3574126487598124, c_new = 3.5374717831676588
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -5930.886925876578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9652189759906684, b_new = -1.3687696478892715, c_new = 5.597945416370097
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3212.3820476220526
Acceptance probability: 3.0421946352704334e-87
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.395238850135316, b_new = -1.4750526748051291, c_new = 5.924896443314154
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7623.428854660929
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9476506945105725, b_new = -0.5532431864983344, c_new = 5.406985339862318
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3032.9648085625113
Acceptance probability: 2.5299030464963676e-09
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7799347647690893, b_new = -0.7372901613235707, c_new = 4.828822323583561
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4458.519501529232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5080350113602456, b_new = -1.1181197603264095, c_new = 5.790780253658745
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -9878.488990361857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8065940678842813, b_new = -2.3768146600662323, c_new = 4.992877470786202
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8117.477106291545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6018667572680902, b_new = -0.7459170885296942, c_new = 5.821188876897205
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7511.342040328902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.92295038965501, b_new = -1.7912321168629732, c_new = 4.797245295280257
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4326.625781182676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8867871048666123, b_new = -0.34267404241907873, c_new = 4.475107631502361
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3085.7641500530544
Acceptance probability: 2.969212092153506e-32
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.307842753882929, b_new = -0.9491527911972177, c_new = 4.297880743347667
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -6599.098428784418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136664740371665, b_new = -0.8455614200009594, c_new = 5.573099180674204
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4117.149873923718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136483209609947, b_new = -1.3356151694409293, c_new = 5.71378839168209
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3465.9725212556327
Acceptance probability: 2.2399773858679955e-197
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7842052042691452, b_new = -1.4266929604203422, c_new = 5.43864610319055
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -14971.260105188789
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6552068017593293, b_new = -0.9587700658644027, c_new = 5.287196028647473
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11874.994029351139
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5935372679852913, b_new = -0.677881159414417, c_new = 4.9967405268995915
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11690.933839570229
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.240133693389172, b_new = -1.1611974893663206, c_new = 4.532699768677525
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4819.056679503159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.367306717232555, b_new = -1.2413285379625145, c_new = 5.571124772268566
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7543.55996404763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.155412879824963, b_new = -1.4419524698254267, c_new = 4.770676517446216
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3394.5360265972868
Acceptance probability: 2.369840245118047e-166
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1599423346171003, b_new = -1.2961461625755295, c_new = 6.010118280045738
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3796.536166986755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.949191934429879, b_new = -0.26394939602486067, c_new = 5.243244442021854
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3125.0827151410595
Acceptance probability: 2.4934769992437585e-49
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1588018073851867, b_new = -0.8215252518597493, c_new = 4.632628305301251
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4240.061394500497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.62898615444453, b_new = -1.7086964185213311, c_new = 5.419310000112489
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -10476.594226591631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4969025675128003, b_new = -1.1647801252170367, c_new = 4.80317667578777
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -9721.52439819376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8726359750332784, b_new = -1.1420420394073276, c_new = 5.330898811127445
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3790.756866650155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1786113313532, b_new = -1.2447789029362364, c_new = 4.309409099398549
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3770.5163622796354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7835742198480773, b_new = -0.8400182124633001, c_new = 4.451742582043007
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4700.453998910799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1124719546940067, b_new = -1.7239254697787874, c_new = 5.108769759831743
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3051.0472093977955
Acceptance probability: 3.5482725844456625e-17
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3043076626411847, b_new = -0.8011866054552401, c_new = 4.857555851744657
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -15939.672795962191
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831568515547467, b_new = -0.7158557815489083, c_new = 4.800943343286533
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3756.744895332552
Acceptance probability: 1e-323
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8727708425064886, b_new = -1.1982405865119248, c_new = 4.631540026162328
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12899.031294242206
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.993018067388938, b_new = -0.7941536832979887, c_new = 4.757549188725312
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3021.374456667696
Acceptance probability: 0.00027335671655288505
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.501781961378299, b_new = -1.205776123696746, c_new = 4.483257253126458
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -10572.94521314146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.503122701735601, b_new = -1.5120253385470968, c_new = 4.5007263699317805
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11147.63686914772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6476185416282676, b_new = -0.9764954174030925, c_new = 4.532076732017906
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11570.64291586643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4842334772551475, b_new = -0.24067857245687374, c_new = 3.9907676088631323
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11053.589495179593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.155739225807098, b_new = -0.5309664689928333, c_new = 3.8491362610575117
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4543.100790999546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9116366141453316, b_new = -1.8219442613513486, c_new = 4.960381786030488
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4508.571037216345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5536695090581176, b_new = -1.2133162344091146, c_new = 5.080325276567345
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -10420.248246542884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5375149789037423, b_new = -1.1400797584059261, c_new = 4.869583979199093
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -10303.322071780964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.090649498750514, b_new = -1.8851759370868628, c_new = 5.679083170912714
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -14189.892399969918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.997176624511132, b_new = -1.1740553855686169, c_new = 5.207636581479181
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3028.8338769136344
Acceptance probability: 1.5745073714988163e-07
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0772085142586647, b_new = -1.5949075884249102, c_new = 5.372306563523352
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3021.2095732204707
Acceptance probability: 0.0003223574566103718
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8438043478850106, b_new = -1.3033560339901935, c_new = 5.131782267083774
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4486.159583294839
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.84265938476405, b_new = -1.3565754166221868, c_new = 4.758815094497965
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12551.639371772282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.812642113015094, b_new = -2.236323795699671, c_new = 4.560024143906245
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7752.749129152262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.938566705600536, b_new = -2.2249712201333405, c_new = 3.933899920000517
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -5279.997738848381
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.251900979798566, b_new = -0.9409767585898278, c_new = 4.754088502208182
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12423.312341846758
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4354434961346123, b_new = -0.7816933414050931, c_new = 4.625945365708371
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -9596.379234782593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.791969673907788, b_new = -1.3256012247275952, c_new = 6.017959353761447
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12586.375201868157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.673333379439239, b_new = -1.4839944103900684, c_new = 5.105912477046683
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8311.635908689761
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.642892306301197, b_new = -1.2010312979743114, c_new = 5.137720030784959
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -11357.339454012526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.327013125338951, b_new = -1.0213822481070998, c_new = 4.961918363115522
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7058.814348396957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.767705353400941, b_new = -1.9669933000431357, c_new = 5.012067426465254
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7747.828741645925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.521059484432966, b_new = -1.0721566942006187, c_new = 4.784238407408682
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -9949.211202266459
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.970259991887377, b_new = -1.7856457588028491, c_new = 4.96323335244073
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3695.9331328299468
Acceptance probability: 3.017303329749518e-297
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.691034528362492, b_new = -0.8441927497218339, c_new = 4.434782595917991
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -6471.45530460864
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1116229808446128, b_new = -0.3852846075846178, c_new = 3.6875045895098193
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4130.239847044205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.82257853877812, b_new = -0.03422461128140131, c_new = 5.687019277797798
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3161.7892251814155
Acceptance probability: 2.8534522277588684e-65
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.787108414264014, b_new = 0.1018937802349349, c_new = 5.085040175758442
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3286.5967712193406
Acceptance probability: 1.787072047575139e-119
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3934473697633014, b_new = -1.7482162594291712, c_new = 4.010104744710684
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12736.552869509564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0968917747641447, b_new = -0.6134015067181093, c_new = 4.116897127214515
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3697.4304006596017
Acceptance probability: 6.750933277437441e-298
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8739541734558998, b_new = -1.1957381140761434, c_new = 5.5810097651860895
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3804.9020010508684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.775782358748966, b_new = -1.0889494086605134, c_new = 4.99428035215627
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -5215.855125748284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5416294037785576, b_new = -0.43971933316013634, c_new = 5.445150363902139
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -7994.951113051915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.28579610181464, b_new = -0.9346794272747464, c_new = 5.9996976952830305
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -15235.93445057945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.004892519116875, b_new = -1.0481370811572626, c_new = 4.431246404160457
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3019.4096482678196
Acceptance probability: 0.0019500026219988764
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5389450898043764, b_new = -0.23838305787027048, c_new = 5.692486919360879
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12117.772318670352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3529216725092805, b_new = -0.494121386823118, c_new = 4.519610164369912
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8865.478393217742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.989082483969589, b_new = -1.5344481433425405, c_new = 5.932837646570632
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3166.822654533645
Acceptance probability: 1.859430769500446e-67
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.794179313106167, b_new = -2.4619139642846113, c_new = 5.253334365498566
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8526.357944556992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5114078826982453, b_new = -1.0971940558107616, c_new = 4.545151357180796
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -10210.934682844285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7380128628267073, b_new = -1.1842326551587987, c_new = 4.2572714701050165
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -15181.342043727353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3142138282899016, b_new = -0.4944991850473609, c_new = 5.2264577381678325
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -8381.765343051935
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1678263641792124, b_new = -1.8976384362792733, c_new = 5.3075095593710895
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3181.9305102777616
Acceptance probability: 5.106479940628874e-74
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3521348045949244, b_new = -1.9087490937466458, c_new = 4.5157423576702795
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -13103.608734962854
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1464245512406643, b_new = -1.1435534633191704, c_new = 5.049762910245184
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -13275.888756462322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1593321644076786, b_new = -1.528353640273974, c_new = 4.154166478586016
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3294.425852676275
Acceptance probability: 7.112383843632298e-123
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0655903698689198, b_new = -0.9816627629254571, c_new = 5.4641889483786805
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3243.128034842187
Acceptance probability: 1.350126326482537e-100
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0824512683628438, b_new = -0.7271681025246786, c_new = 4.73777260980667
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -13235.57842835629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2566032102788394, b_new = -1.3966165554503336, c_new = 4.745365801335708
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4667.826710929159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7481271194287675, b_new = -1.1116826391704553, c_new = 5.249414071310746
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -5715.822297241137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.081945593118586, b_new = -0.8822138384893028, c_new = 5.029440807244335
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3391.188915105811
Acceptance probability: 6.735209693256293e-165
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.025509660281514, b_new = -0.539043399371784, c_new = 4.853473776682095
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -13306.374585070766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.723881733495785, b_new = -0.3054594184624997, c_new = 4.247876737142122
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -12970.067328151763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.443690094167654, b_new = -0.19409113084630036, c_new = 4.9533317905349605
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -9149.020772411612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7697880780307313, b_new = -0.05550321942140668, c_new = 4.514457458853681
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3617.3573286441197
Acceptance probability: 4.023992300260367e-263
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.78477204418224, b_new = -0.7953000390404753, c_new = 4.768536475052008
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4509.514011709412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.799129344573644, b_new = -0.7966038957668802, c_new = 5.389658887840012
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -4160.04815094158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.994812539335312, b_new = -1.3153766665880664, c_new = 5.32172620769513
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3073.268483677098
Acceptance probability: 7.933049703956786e-27
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0070088307326586, b = -1.0838440099423374, c = 4.85881902182372
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0340404789740933, b_new = -1.244789219688229, c_new = 5.133794683199476
Current likelihood: -3013.169723706027
Proposed likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Acceptance probability: 0.8421286124984237
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.046939915479889, b_new = -1.0232585927523417, c_new = 3.7563517318163457
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -13785.846040941125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.070259924520917, b_new = -1.7857047561115875, c_new = 5.410279912805159
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3042.7058755495445
Acceptance probability: 1.7669888715339598e-13
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9377575970430665, b_new = -1.3727622007284657, c_new = 4.697000236430188
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3538.889372680742
Acceptance probability: 5.721092884647052e-229
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.046721091100119, b_new = -0.6712814563034701, c_new = 4.81040611081188
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3302.7077225589774
Acceptance probability: 2.1373043687931596e-126
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0417791933863136, b_new = -1.696365200550178, c_new = 6.12027987574364
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -14114.284824577528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.587296579150443, b_new = -0.49524052684993125, c_new = 5.832987257148543
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12173.59918707516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.042609085753067, b_new = -1.8576827879400781, c_new = 4.99635459096722
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -14520.53563303619
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.054024012594197, b_new = -0.30886389455265284, c_new = 5.97947204177871
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4049.248233063091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0344795530408732, b_new = -1.0314935516691317, c_new = 4.9908511059961755
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3048.445992202519
Acceptance probability: 5.679797163148025e-16
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3829571948723873, b_new = -2.103661960910055, c_new = 4.736531736149257
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5368.444036383576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.262534103095084, b_new = -1.1376811965201576, c_new = 5.393846033441541
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12437.497640257981
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.730882067633915, b_new = -1.7488037353845243, c_new = 5.421657079013658
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7739.52840887898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539629213823912, b_new = -1.2751245768010677, c_new = 4.878688520845803
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -10088.649965953657
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.447670550476341, b_new = -1.4932798392303117, c_new = 5.864438369951669
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -11267.053597757546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1928384912286676, b_new = -1.2018194227579804, c_new = 6.005870668515659
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12821.409372741247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.418072111972278, b_new = -2.63382698192785, c_new = 4.888372242267047
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4913.085671163713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0165052702790396, b_new = -1.7934604043841538, c_new = 4.80682490272947
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3334.8261434363303
Acceptance probability: 2.404437092122067e-140
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.106138653464314, b_new = -1.1253453386649406, c_new = 5.054019254386453
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3346.4548679139607
Acceptance probability: 2.1415220320770976e-145
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.490711786663884, b_new = -1.3191843064098325, c_new = 4.132325542318848
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -15168.223888231001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.219001001806383, b_new = -1.7052111751005776, c_new = 5.4648712257822245
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3791.497528009569
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5493440642894942, b_new = -2.0063361471878594, c_new = 4.260475839956798
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8562.600439335441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.911552211408222, b_new = -1.549440383575237, c_new = 6.322190935191959
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3743.3183457639693
Acceptance probability: 9.44287e-318
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.340676664671716, b_new = -0.22103852281700398, c_new = 4.362730667286428
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -9279.955461351186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7583592575502593, b_new = -1.078802915099675, c_new = 5.385694671056863
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5393.762778205928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2234760912232434, b_new = -1.732338224230756, c_new = 5.187961283501375
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3759.0785039190896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.690275353312975, b_new = -0.5921730059024524, c_new = 5.914873768533152
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5380.79458258351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1236578227180454, b_new = -1.4552489783527744, c_new = 6.0747947622865315
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3300.1702734663936
Acceptance probability: 2.703127386104205e-125
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2782926485075987, b_new = -0.793796359854983, c_new = 4.451438844576759
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12105.733475213237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.080465779072516, b_new = -2.249423432287518, c_new = 4.275324595155076
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3414.371817813433
Acceptance probability: 6.835432165731261e-175
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.93865831380932, b_new = -1.8525982462878445, c_new = 5.198829017001991
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4116.89683507603
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3728765029498238, b_new = -2.028883623908078, c_new = 4.97528382505321
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12989.064392810447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6842991804197998, b_new = -1.279472905647201, c_new = 4.929970918411259
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7603.52627391565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.075774636892385, b_new = -0.5890726692783022, c_new = 4.929649006587185
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3655.1404554106457
Acceptance probability: 1.86326769333762e-279
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.618801547794341, b_new = -2.051220839402424, c_new = 5.161579129969645
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -10561.0181640757
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.053686382519326, b_new = -1.7652311929354896, c_new = 4.647498619962276
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3134.289960587499
Acceptance probability: 2.970099866048886e-53
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.017691874117392, b_new = -1.8998590671051514, c_new = 4.755835509153814
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3440.1192469995785
Acceptance probability: 4.4957231480760685e-186
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3784739635933994, b_new = -1.1329222189243568, c_new = 5.785287628260161
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -11370.878791656352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2311672442988986, b_new = -0.23946702425568134, c_new = 5.500650706438124
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7416.179538723943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8328211305839517, b_new = -1.060824213937389, c_new = 6.616778280693543
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3905.954761215215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2356434892311454, b_new = -0.706331992688044, c_new = 4.620883861369782
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5830.821118921445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1491967750874084, b_new = -1.2485090755140384, c_new = 5.246944866137888
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3611.1735467619674
Acceptance probability: 2.3166534190133855e-260
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4916830913787935, b_new = -1.9396147048537506, c_new = 4.988899091095272
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -11878.753853531021
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6579829711146905, b_new = -0.8768414100566877, c_new = 5.861575637871605
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12185.096656651167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1356590546595293, b_new = -1.7253127976585345, c_new = 4.921970188539834
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3109.6072139269663
Acceptance probability: 1.5572262826833863e-42
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.662890398064073, b_new = -1.1783821284552336, c_new = 4.7692593369695935
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7828.255040186585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9393840177644304, b_new = -1.3716313210870914, c_new = 3.611293427728505
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3727.9294495991358
Acceptance probability: 4.5542486113177e-311
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6331226283932394, b_new = -0.4667292377695542, c_new = 5.597652954022077
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -6274.575564741943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9340295305619213, b_new = -1.1209442009059392, c_new = 5.465929461888738
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3226.3900496854667
Acceptance probability: 2.9799609576620596e-93
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.780266415100797, b_new = -1.569304292162092, c_new = 4.8099212724806435
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -6417.24606493233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.218281644756523, b_new = -2.013664057211987, c_new = 5.342221794310882
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3420.3305384727323
Acceptance probability: 1.7657388650445514e-177
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.034374677220533, b_new = -1.6772389496083642, c_new = 4.441376957300922
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3185.0242471144356
Acceptance probability: 2.748845749500892e-75
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3096462372814033, b_new = -1.820534936048112, c_new = 4.135975321223123
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -13377.534724049641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2228915565590937, b_new = -1.7387912320198846, c_new = 5.378923275721072
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3775.179742185316
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9731154806585325, b_new = -1.1208113166152216, c_new = 5.461099840728703
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3058.407297545877
Acceptance probability: 2.6803584886535298e-20
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5704892369453094, b_new = -1.1640313115911778, c_new = 4.308980356428673
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -9615.738754569862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.984207308749451, b_new = -1.1888035421891094, c_new = 5.284136615634448
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -14065.290355060435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4941671367996294, b_new = -2.0094343015272464, c_new = 5.2338233000130145
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7931.238455317387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.099753860082431, b_new = -1.2068122324100916, c_new = 5.290027773503788
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3260.066589104663
Acceptance probability: 7.057897302875264e-108
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2362477759081254, b_new = -0.5026185637087912, c_new = 5.9410255817536495
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -6934.2238072565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3097461015709326, b_new = -0.7921149999128543, c_new = 4.644177133358409
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7203.895076236255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.82431998081052, b_new = -0.5716217773628296, c_new = 5.10732077767282
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3601.642490724523
Acceptance probability: 3.192611768266107e-256
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7540871886426266, b_new = -0.6625174215209054, c_new = 4.930706434340495
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4691.64278853828
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9972767935589086, b_new = -1.2691983425797668, c_new = 5.490066737024352
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3042.772584556693
Acceptance probability: 1.652960443170127e-13
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.32353500913089, b_new = -1.4075386461026833, c_new = 6.197139653173349
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -6387.998054326472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.877429741928502, b_new = -1.2289526636625312, c_new = 4.96279583206343
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12973.496929710938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.537963832537562, b_new = -0.8640341768512767, c_new = 5.048171032036779
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -10858.143855899314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8512842266231515, b_new = -0.5553464329361577, c_new = 5.635063641036716
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3306.72627378587
Acceptance probability: 3.842658148771205e-128
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.790949879548063, b_new = -1.2833431560074076, c_new = 4.624426384556202
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5515.00053442436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3368683763302878, b_new = -1.0580002033067242, c_new = 4.569571640368502
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7021.406041729462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8628014254410032, b_new = -1.546747855977204, c_new = 5.458157617390252
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -14801.550276126676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.034373722230003, b_new = -1.4411153289800591, c_new = 4.264902047240781
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3076.8027015566277
Acceptance probability: 2.748972713613007e-28
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.776775881688747, b_new = -0.7869763656421338, c_new = 4.840342571723001
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4599.316302874269
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.197817944461872, b_new = -1.6675866684009, c_new = 5.111757093978252
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -13580.750049836734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9036647354431753, b_new = -1.9384812769805015, c_new = 4.500694655367476
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5031.610553982677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9441330121475486, b_new = -0.3380216012263405, c_new = 4.7762025837832045
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -14229.97062952242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.723780693157668, b_new = -0.9627979003776479, c_new = 4.859997388925897
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5958.891125056551
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.994173815187179, b_new = -1.2918963911912937, c_new = 5.094483379992026
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3079.1297896809924
Acceptance probability: 2.68243308938189e-29
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4755370217543495, b_new = -1.2423939486845477, c_new = 5.379780013197183
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -9445.480621829578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7121183417992634, b_new = -1.6617871759812288, c_new = 4.304943144360219
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8354.015390167227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.767265696032943, b_new = -1.524969610600204, c_new = 4.949507085046751
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -6517.827890414649
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.689967919249614, b_new = -0.9146383703681161, c_new = 5.1319429042246645
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12169.031961542016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8019103443199205, b_new = -2.4793019516426673, c_new = 4.634291641689298
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8694.763134156432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.303014968193955, b_new = -1.6456458689411892, c_new = 5.392776738352593
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12832.587451746685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.856672138112067, b_new = -0.9278830998746396, c_new = 5.388952378700706
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3667.8464205087657
Acceptance probability: 5.6512526612130065e-285
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863961396339912, b_new = -0.9789868970207067, c_new = 5.970231063519364
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3570.4226649897537
Acceptance probability: 1.1554313654185644e-242
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7340261429240695, b_new = -1.8464735440946571, c_new = 4.98417154683228
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8132.719385006413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5409805817872915, b_new = -1.8723417023774296, c_new = 5.62923644473336
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -9144.466287462921
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4155497333030946, b_new = -1.1840603756053323, c_new = 5.168797410641381
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -11278.843939571976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8213093435678678, b_new = -1.2917917791700082, c_new = 4.945970758697456
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4878.265969852651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3937701222959396, b_new = -0.950038242537329, c_new = 5.277195560552254
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8740.903284618955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3972481460260275, b_new = -1.201723741624094, c_new = 4.195938846367811
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -7752.03451478646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.551063425943324, b_new = -0.8896117126003269, c_new = 5.3900930007189825
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8905.707801772516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.728742766843786, b_new = -0.8061479420960184, c_new = 5.257266572608089
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -5350.58726891954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4934840329580528, b_new = -1.1179457317288926, c_new = 5.372779624384285
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -10201.69313428086
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8178026312523294, b_new = -2.1252931805994395, c_new = 4.532981769273036
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -11329.421086155455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.111926270168671, b_new = -1.0314259250676021, c_new = 5.638471943397703
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3578.8048133495754
Acceptance probability: 2.6449859753103914e-246
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3875510610436352, b_new = -1.6083552567865664, c_new = 4.506483636235051
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -12422.06556580104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9015925726898684, b_new = -1.6359410494741538, c_new = 5.336965677993917
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4207.137542299761
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1310803876789506, b_new = -0.9344408212706631, c_new = 5.137324338544058
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3815.913068190016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2727314982904816, b_new = -1.767627109439438, c_new = 4.468720317586853
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -4180.739628653384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3188631855633277, b_new = -2.882951241639597, c_new = 5.408065424819389
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3456.530360263694
Acceptance probability: 3.3538499345032917e-193
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8845925264733, b_new = -0.9283842048216202, c_new = 5.795547238659415
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3366.701809433237
Acceptance probability: 3.4481612703200574e-154
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.604476806251493, b_new = -1.3041743566625805, c_new = 5.294227464391424
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -9036.002547748894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.588378243091463, b_new = -1.13045361286059, c_new = 5.269529888955022
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -10990.810589849081
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950835496072371, b_new = -1.0650847587917955, c_new = 4.826078885309288
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3156.588739240461
Acceptance probability: 6.145178890571544e-63
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.592157377904608, b_new = -1.003486774233998, c_new = 5.759052874800551
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8349.554938747555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.423082531680713, b_new = -0.8936809288727632, c_new = 4.200596754601771
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8999.584342387005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.97760380472189, b_new = -1.3473067374286798, c_new = 4.177375332815108
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3283.1626703129905
Acceptance probability: 6.579224599046824e-118
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5375957481884006, b_new = -0.6760632457543383, c_new = 5.853979918662407
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -8478.212973234804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0340404789740933, b = -1.244789219688229, c = 5.133794683199476
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0009450885040345, b_new = -1.000447229849184, c_new = 5.038477395045641
Current likelihood: -3013.3415462359962
Proposed likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Acceptance probability: 6.972408840773899
Max likelihood: -3012.217461686332
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0292474397355362, b = -1.2264548572119982, c = 5.16987118037
Iteration 4444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3518934908431843, b_new = -1.2121253025740177, c_new = 4.8508047982471
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7024.106147203194
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.032905778594001, b_new = -1.369554054887504, c_new = 4.863947054267755
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3027.090381107694
Acceptance probability: 1.5331125463304237e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6368154043518683, b_new = -0.02738101341135113, c_new = 4.982713163212141
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5357.944929676609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9968914104664337, b_new = 0.1709834196707547, c_new = 4.633002776326339
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12718.224189118879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3856879556563326, b_new = -1.0050632136706041, c_new = 5.817686698556727
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8656.47705402456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.690627873488054, b_new = -0.17153421510800404, c_new = 5.517749933152209
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4608.896544403098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.727141427830865, b_new = -1.0877796146960383, c_new = 4.9192209690152024
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14994.737799498604
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.007827259562897, b_new = -1.1295408150262884, c_new = 5.241983603974388
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3011.7361410120175
Acceptance probability: 0.7142262126749528
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.727879920387082, b_new = -0.4619380067043489, c_new = 4.17475361277465
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4919.506200079918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.964171675347951, b_new = -1.1996285847760846, c_new = 4.073018393030848
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3258.133039516023
Acceptance probability: 6.998781041794888e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.508750286910158, b_new = -0.9807638335443447, c_new = 5.466842039327584
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9696.467636046324
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2503205096943457, b_new = 0.060508890051555575, c_new = 4.737273682487566
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10976.087006588761
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0154983269360494, b_new = -1.0363188806534338, c_new = 5.069615311554928
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3017.1437489583695
Acceptance probability: 0.0032014114487182847
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4553017519348592, b_new = -1.3104967054498633, c_new = 4.805107583197424
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11202.179318979373
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1914119921777218, b_new = -1.9752517110974552, c_new = 5.0254357671000545
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3243.4824693893156
Acceptance probability: 1.6131849791409313e-101
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5589292787127533, b_new = -1.3856962444813532, c_new = 5.454750997400672
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9856.595403469648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.326396774823559, b_new = -1.2507235550984357, c_new = 4.759146037556061
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12301.215255374427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.917683149180072, b_new = -0.2007399844284944, c_new = 4.669617965476331
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14223.638996025917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1917367357143034, b_new = -0.9357957634621148, c_new = 4.725948470553816
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4539.203092136045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8258199336947563, b_new = -0.9982607729153846, c_new = 4.455602063176335
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4354.213137114699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.490612385264684, b_new = -0.7011124363484615, c_new = 5.499398303176322
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10776.414887618806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8851853207022007, b_new = -0.8453245843602768, c_new = 4.039276825159025
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3513.1671243898713
Acceptance probability: 1.2165407160368243e-218
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.775925870538751, b_new = -1.3638777181542583, c_new = 5.435992445602098
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5733.598925977644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3800712141874545, b_new = -1.3518241606590036, c_new = 4.80942991681442
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7223.024207645906
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6912657880930677, b_new = -1.1640792898184098, c_new = 4.952677738804475
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7134.47076574201
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.243087895385826, b_new = -0.9816006356641771, c_new = 5.162459965294099
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5466.972638843457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3113806532956094, b_new = -1.539275989873845, c_new = 4.929194268076017
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5370.643586432025
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1072531744029446, b_new = -0.5476446107349042, c_new = 4.565290483397725
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3999.159755675997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0296669278457045, b_new = -0.5748039406641691, c_new = 5.438430773259133
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3353.9960643418895
Acceptance probability: 1.6301955613243831e-149
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2001162898433337, b_new = -1.2685365450734092, c_new = 4.273585843032412
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3981.5200442791715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0619148909280365, b_new = -0.7804699463807223, c_new = 5.271494269357996
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3370.3048009395143
Acceptance probability: 1.3472413229252045e-156
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0982554670065525, b_new = -0.8537716851258753, c_new = 4.957827232406386
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3550.715146286361
Acceptance probability: 6.001059499633554e-235
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1884082212711853, b_new = -0.7602674996061856, c_new = 5.324349240448539
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12472.81281548028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4573785640277737, b_new = -0.82774505734443, c_new = 5.333544512176874
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10099.60365873211
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0765800423840175, b_new = -0.47146666428443895, c_new = 5.479488005149899
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3944.869832890778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.602090145986981, b_new = -0.04442734369317969, c_new = 5.094077170129663
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6013.2900074910785
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3908482057038967, b_new = -1.2042598142443346, c_new = 6.023014986174344
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11298.757809270392
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.67023856589539, b_new = -1.3795352919336068, c_new = 4.49898881732477
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8335.505053920218
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2896292045714963, b_new = -1.1945370781157012, c_new = 5.598543018005094
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6019.716533766528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8050340657832713, b_new = -1.1223436546710739, c_new = 4.830447044310476
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4825.215312717184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.72691329472678, b_new = -1.2835593183472798, c_new = 5.003857250014977
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6691.126793526342
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.123061829998276, b_new = -1.256945687036829, c_new = 4.933663685951939
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3337.8374370250585
Acceptance probability: 1.697627434948102e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208917138795443, b_new = -0.6703298627322383, c_new = 4.918968084986571
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5486.619016637646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.05164722945404, b_new = -0.8998589213493849, c_new = 4.211895466609191
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13720.909952746057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6079753317231738, b_new = -0.6953238223546451, c_new = 5.095783886625924
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -15023.434581444231
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9325647745477652, b_new = -0.43924428020225836, c_new = 5.674786304690581
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13476.180622563621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.684905659083761, b_new = -0.9334950185390688, c_new = 5.722384538344258
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6373.464972019068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.909659755801239, b_new = -1.097741582573974, c_new = 4.894584561255446
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3446.892385553553
Acceptance probability: 7.377003932567171e-190
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.686007137589167, b_new = -0.9383549139601268, c_new = 6.506088502136471
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6105.714140996166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9828363188680997, b_new = -0.9897707039312085, c_new = 5.383197286891409
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3016.319372094448
Acceptance probability: 0.007300688466634564
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.465235409578799, b_new = -0.9229626769286535, c_new = 5.754707238478368
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10111.219266334589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.099576957557236, b_new = -0.9067379888470657, c_new = 4.161482574266595
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3395.297201107123
Acceptance probability: 1.8853149563774752e-167
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1609887291571415, b_new = -0.8158256355064444, c_new = 4.79412996648152
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4319.887173889048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.955609023834478, b_new = -0.6170699316824919, c_new = 5.2778703187837515
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3025.628681918144
Acceptance probability: 6.612747347179729e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9453082980709593, b_new = -1.3499901714578109, c_new = 4.707191061829016
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3446.043801445122
Acceptance probability: 1.7235163620374393e-189
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.460061370422189, b_new = -1.1267547299191265, c_new = 5.84752610871792
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9632.613126149787
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2540951057249727, b_new = -1.2017302264100076, c_new = 5.1777139701517205
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12639.393559096496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.014581535013612, b_new = -1.3189054052792317, c_new = 5.606308671674284
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13985.824988913471
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4125434497260403, b_new = -0.7246974634844512, c_new = 4.905780358926789
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9471.490648681705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3477904157680785, b_new = -0.855153069151841, c_new = 4.605562752039693
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7825.428700305632
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6951084708096205, b_new = -1.2950336058036358, c_new = 5.198762233663039
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7317.194911116892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.134226505383436, b_new = -0.6628271839923252, c_new = 4.5511914554386355
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4157.640798795365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.608659581719203, b_new = -1.6138138783027287, c_new = 4.951265829445602
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9821.234312683055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3756631903330043, b_new = -0.8351757245267535, c_new = 4.925627791179957
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11162.057812744371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.420110113585555, b_new = -1.1635241242642342, c_new = 5.115376807363274
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8622.515404640895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4509:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2384130292525493, b_new = -1.4133768306301748, c_new = 4.552037789996474
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4314.009919856918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4510:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6153396943567944, b_new = -0.7102556532703252, c_new = 4.267108050746689
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11620.247398016994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4511:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.029413082038489, b_new = -1.2600369576116375, c_new = 4.646196568457053
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3020.5336089963375
Acceptance probability: 0.00010793044925533452
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4512:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.316552357660523, b_new = -1.678854788617538, c_new = 5.800258310162346
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12671.757618586764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4513:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8856630813380573, b_new = -0.9537683123076937, c_new = 4.736581273543204
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3521.977673897803
Acceptance probability: 1.8144859719288278e-222
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4514:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0767528168397495, b_new = -0.18938417647484318, c_new = 5.3668631734071255
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -15027.177398094409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4515:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4987849241845526, b_new = -1.6963926782309453, c_new = 4.749593488617609
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11454.734377369474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4516:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.239534981110006, b_new = 0.6487962038123622, c_new = 5.5713270128474885
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10233.507267204062
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4517:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4904984079945067, b_new = -1.1089739327585788, c_new = 5.147991698622684
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9861.855086227275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4518:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.150752619792861, b_new = -0.8710790526224658, c_new = 4.650389580332761
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4052.035030240741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4519:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8406346287669753, b_new = -1.4978563426128615, c_new = 5.20860920730874
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14891.427917924902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4520:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6232496681238793, b_new = -0.5091249313975228, c_new = 5.0900661498004744
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12220.81480398532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4521:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.060766845003178, b_new = -0.915929215439041, c_new = 4.165247145510181
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14036.668121937619
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4522:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.98828872081684, b_new = -1.5104439141705686, c_new = 4.908542057826196
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3259.026292608506
Acceptance probability: 2.8647552086868705e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4523:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.008237791924933, b_new = -1.3281212300929854, c_new = 5.126023919128501
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14133.209399651869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4524:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1983943780303963, b_new = -1.1097434135260702, c_new = 4.56678442680051
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4277.5673796830315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4525:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.558986931064302, b_new = -1.1659952969847134, c_new = 5.2445354900605645
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9454.586711275015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4526:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0046846920284205, b_new = -0.7271398807789818, c_new = 5.106109342954886
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3082.5293908222584
Acceptance probability: 1.284452464952103e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4527:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.797143412302898, b_new = -1.965003741900484, c_new = 4.595505092873897
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7270.79347562142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4528:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.052614382230751, b_new = -1.3838722626393931, c_new = 4.800651853493111
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14072.443057242619
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4529:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.446921878229052, b_new = -1.4494477484366581, c_new = 5.184656874285876
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11413.384381361067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4530:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.840411809782667, b_new = -0.8594744923564414, c_new = 4.427036076405939
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3932.052614698485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4531:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7882482171764034, b_new = -1.0952212888385686, c_new = 5.087159181017164
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4979.192166813562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4532:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4259483750048854, b_new = -1.1968419064805909, c_new = 4.730914050620928
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11333.681294295533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4533:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.973276595106741, b_new = -1.2160275495528148, c_new = 5.618902474719825
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3086.6224817387333
Acceptance probability: 2.1434395384744548e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4534:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.096391733167393, b_new = -1.8637021157774667, c_new = 4.412047032021198
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3077.4234975278146
Acceptance probability: 2.119235983703549e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4535:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.571660184522766, b_new = -1.587802879551738, c_new = 5.288549262428655
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10167.485956804283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4536:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.259420620939545, b_new = -0.7159498742564537, c_new = 4.753187125957326
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12055.874099089877
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4537:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.495438073463184, b_new = -0.5699248599305429, c_new = 6.219675516823081
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11311.427938369347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4538:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1691082031980424, b_new = -1.3165834898871336, c_new = 4.357987463292147
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3591.6517137476767
Acceptance probability: 9.993153909459723e-253
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4539:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.907731510472426, b_new = -1.0903042255597448, c_new = 5.099396648385162
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13343.737006944257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4540:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7604001836624694, b_new = -1.119382342984315, c_new = 5.146567002101576
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5529.033861854161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4541:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.748160373496405, b_new = -0.7961669384720228, c_new = 5.938287872438976
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4797.323694506666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4542:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.528169447377286, b_new = -1.1065965277328185, c_new = 5.562025966414882
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9659.378432267162
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4543:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0506526001744496, b_new = -2.1536868344788753, c_new = 4.561364395328091
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3487.589588989672
Acceptance probability: 1.5606629981152767e-207
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4544:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0386476265362985, b_new = -1.034481152175002, c_new = 4.8620476843983225
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13765.45397856875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4545:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831725504009445, b_new = -1.2521479305262955, c_new = 5.486807322258006
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4480.5817850210915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4546:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2351046351990846, b_new = -0.8219933613086565, c_new = 5.107922284865723
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5690.331477568065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4547:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.970657138884817, b_new = -1.6764109977370945, c_new = 5.158791836575822
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14593.245316005161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4548:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4932006845113652, b_new = -1.3280941108120763, c_new = 5.538978910277727
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9573.810661273134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4549:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.71085446311767, b_new = -1.3661734576610702, c_new = 5.668112529300067
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7003.089213022134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4550:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.738516704052036, b_new = -1.4345329665457855, c_new = 4.967938852835001
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6874.8101924567645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4551:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.213540640480577, b_new = -1.7762948504959999, c_new = 5.488743325279664
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3646.937649344937
Acceptance probability: 9.75721375829753e-277
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4552:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5343104704688173, b_new = -1.429853860297614, c_new = 5.049495589463881
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9768.033667310307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4553:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9488335272682418, b_new = -0.7540526905084118, c_new = 5.165913381334234
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13826.436728572988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4554:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.589305085215588, b_new = -0.6779216798051291, c_new = 4.663882613455777
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7988.3477291938425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7978735891445865, b_new = -1.8449654900638943, c_new = 5.129034552893624
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6682.58430541085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9963710030901636, b_new = -1.4048380443846449, c_new = 4.940035632758091
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3139.259611856839
Acceptance probability: 2.958666974654073e-56
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1964062896396146, b_new = -1.1103631930308386, c_new = 4.591692991159733
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4253.939298301435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221214323167125, b_new = -0.9083180877948035, c_new = 4.804919822971528
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5116.435170924312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9428297028610086, b_new = -1.293140311198384, c_new = 5.122606141277784
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3349.389221722686
Acceptance probability: 1.6329242356550976e-147
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.479229571642245, b_new = -1.2475344199067098, c_new = 5.785501224391036
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9629.215140712275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.181780393247052, b_new = -0.6435296261061367, c_new = 5.552338693126677
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5246.7291630087175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6678508372084977, b_new = -1.0503494778794775, c_new = 5.017451646138684
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7285.917208592824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.805613080090501, b_new = -0.4240274389202484, c_new = 4.826833766775264
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3652.1855159300567
Acceptance probability: 5.131050863822278e-279
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.078367875087186, b_new = -1.4959201150431536, c_new = 6.120150269316762
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3061.9806924716704
Acceptance probability: 1.0787090950658025e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7143195853215167, b_new = -1.9778816016832064, c_new = 4.733008999543752
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9009.72350149595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322375905008477, b_new = -0.4541879392924776, c_new = 5.437726002462237
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8750.362535225078
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.704614676363138, b_new = -1.001821779534894, c_new = 5.506372813249855
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6223.149834294782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7351321601917835, b_new = -0.11005281249678467, c_new = 4.224683131518958
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4139.837212662176
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.642484537678371, b_new = -0.5981842504542533, c_new = 3.943564104439096
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7001.039587460131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1295691165781303, b_new = -1.112700723608318, c_new = 5.775930839795126
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3675.327651690021
Acceptance probability: 4.567772439674999e-289
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0890438704491774, b_new = -0.6497539167221038, c_new = 5.548338391157409
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3834.708576289254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130066818145528, b_new = -1.6835449252859702, c_new = 4.349219107822842
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3093.073520087456
Acceptance probability: 3.384237863821157e-36
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6458409407042205, b_new = -2.0522072475732456, c_new = 5.132286511974091
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10194.916583143131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9118838341330857, b_new = -0.9662026314071278, c_new = 4.516287884043991
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13361.582839979623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4270724981955483, b_new = -1.438210253534643, c_new = 5.432892561707209
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8172.139554166486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.639013996780957, b_new = -1.6502733013754227, c_new = 5.0488851035143165
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10572.141618843638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9165394336847084, b_new = -0.5613796016534607, c_new = 5.414465441382394
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14034.919812175198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.134549994691529, b_new = -1.098610107936022, c_new = 5.161486543623333
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14394.109698138003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.068172516821799, b_new = -1.403490923365561, c_new = 6.199639874225568
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3070.6807798324535
Acceptance probability: 1.7968193158134807e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.447056383647094, b_new = -1.6564877491167769, c_new = 5.920738054519158
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11534.229986848572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9104384492716795, b_new = -1.058503125923894, c_new = 4.366224182904398
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13214.772842268492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.850346295837954, b_new = -0.7142474413668098, c_new = 5.4920301142760986
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3469.850368288241
Acceptance probability: 7.89504841648744e-200
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2533391033566685, b_new = -1.837326153452191, c_new = 5.631742824594848
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13326.202743239182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7914230958603663, b_new = -2.179313405045977, c_new = 5.098262554643882
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7815.3877772542655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.185695616550912, b_new = -0.688116564006656, c_new = 5.497537127358768
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5195.546349395417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.055885844915055, b_new = -0.7459188880941661, c_new = 5.873412523267499
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3447.9751465623262
Acceptance probability: 2.498290195801915e-190
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2546691567862944, b_new = -1.6726503835816058, c_new = 4.703912901391632
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4136.254051901801
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6192517893235663, b_new = -0.0024059489620421592, c_new = 4.912223218211113
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5644.871341540367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3062261097961034, b_new = -1.917251347501074, c_new = 4.204882106300426
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4348.4293422952605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.854284161603758, b_new = -1.2771966048367207, c_new = 5.197432977018165
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4266.555254903384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.986209852716565, b_new = 0.40066135560865135, c_new = 5.695412520437823
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -15295.246197607335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.674649940950882, b_new = -1.0138995020194146, c_new = 4.689440460908586
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7172.551255473063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.617966521675607, b_new = -1.0932582425319481, c_new = 4.7656093256662375
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8473.261534252237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5422850043027205, b_new = -1.701118385760614, c_new = 5.129186047842396
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9358.342449317748
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9995055110940907, b_new = -0.8056520543650418, c_new = 5.13887609871455
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13650.386280973953
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.601570284839385, b_new = -0.2264681786825835, c_new = 5.739568117245161
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12655.456542416794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7558040558115358, b_new = -2.1610127227769804, c_new = 4.878759510866869
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8626.424024295377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6647213681716697, b_new = -0.9150421729892408, c_new = 4.203650370482202
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7297.284015067071
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.330550416812831, b_new = -1.1358659008299399, c_new = 5.727498901992955
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11820.666406920724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2372602816880325, b_new = -1.1501741780238794, c_new = 5.485227186496424
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5064.635810172146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.039409409657748, b_new = -1.3549830014908113, c_new = 5.170059150364107
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3013.7227555902673
Acceptance probability: 0.09796253977349051
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.503539628373523, b_new = -0.9982424972488171, c_new = 5.522122809609634
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10373.796354822516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4874797744784027, b_new = -0.6233472036925886, c_new = 4.8073815564387266
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9469.072990729155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2635606485776933, b_new = -1.0454479204928004, c_new = 5.140478953446432
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5707.060972952719
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9587265635066995, b_new = -1.1727003567871765, c_new = 4.394207362418691
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3231.2590916699237
Acceptance probability: 3.282688420846062e-96
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.164490037362535, b_new = -1.4509422145705315, c_new = 3.6160656143370815
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3346.7878332591094
Acceptance probability: 2.2015811080098934e-146
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3438781388151484, b_new = -0.034845822784536296, c_new = 5.702263225800422
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10306.033005636333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.213203110215138, b_new = -0.16756534886213825, c_new = 5.054509391185988
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11558.928049382881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6972223480983737, b_new = -1.0412411541235018, c_new = 5.169506757208259
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6597.696627214872
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.960250401868114, b_new = -2.1949889498977173, c_new = 5.951036717155195
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4237.541564705207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.392426424180307, b_new = -0.5239865984365853, c_new = 4.7417711006188465
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9557.08841529137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9476934327591033, b_new = -0.5499469773150016, c_new = 5.246952527077135
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3028.175288594125
Acceptance probability: 5.1808939546469885e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5060353005018228, b_new = -0.6983713977857899, c_new = 3.8067073356994943
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9711.752636138926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.518793231483836, b_new = -0.8525572121953051, c_new = 4.926840894506508
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10631.81942967246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8570619119282217, b_new = -1.936097526273846, c_new = 4.2737389535350445
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6009.858072976557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.417108768775967, b_new = -0.5585296782227904, c_new = 5.505818546504377
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10130.27755640262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0848753325888323, b_new = -1.0153766936534414, c_new = 5.674491203481525
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3370.987226785184
Acceptance probability: 6.808816282394027e-157
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5062484958828355, b_new = -0.9805566274517826, c_new = 5.017041236640242
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10276.00587861753
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981762928965267, b_new = -0.466698016359702, c_new = 5.644522523478288
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3180.6015439305747
Acceptance probability: 3.2849072615524188e-74
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5443422386601924, b_new = -0.6277137699332979, c_new = 5.7628897618739465
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11555.425786836155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.570052813572046, b_new = -1.4211773382130164, c_new = 5.112609046512482
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9897.127738071153
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2535634572563974, b_new = -1.073012508345631, c_new = 5.625165576894747
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12352.578110273187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4054064953298617, b_new = -1.2815650563126693, c_new = 5.033811389265379
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11585.431942347988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.05605004512659, b_new = -0.9554747910715568, c_new = 5.5493611192194825
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3216.113300833764
Acceptance probability: 1.241546664406919e-89
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4767089947966285, b_new = -0.28362628426901604, c_new = 5.026172251053732
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11228.546096237878
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.84613296587189, b_new = -0.7914963950423093, c_new = 5.335518905471426
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3614.7943505110256
Acceptance probability: 8.891665844721318e-263
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.110165768176574, b_new = -1.549036108461991, c_new = 5.806765047029118
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3134.5832758963543
Acceptance probability: 3.1768959222576826e-54
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0811798114590925, b_new = -2.0358092442049363, c_new = 5.186202792877293
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3127.5919311589587
Acceptance probability: 3.453865551123153e-51
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.200766305357763, b_new = -1.8013937594932288, c_new = 4.982217418287142
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13751.526853374415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.892511707434685, b_new = -2.009138797360294, c_new = 4.7619066280168125
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5311.654584477294
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8936177474924363, b_new = -1.2239366759988313, c_new = 5.831485037747379
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13297.961329090313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120452232082521, b_new = -0.561749079555121, c_new = 5.1167146793785125
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4281.044234148627
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.805006584064125, b_new = -0.7558775352642813, c_new = 4.352694579300347
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4242.207055163713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8469745091782444, b_new = -0.40497115412310725, c_new = 4.67091535442802
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3305.69041508811
Acceptance probability: 1.5528039315804332e-128
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0225431199826165, b_new = -0.9139157067594091, c_new = 4.915101944449439
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13704.776205808641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.794372899966547, b_new = -0.7711240810399705, c_new = 5.685306163205133
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4121.164794065334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5686601531685658, b_new = -1.9843420768859068, c_new = 5.824312011021277
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10830.011083418256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7640472643226177, b_new = -0.8433731285639106, c_new = 4.273282685230399
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5092.274044620418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.885315994834582, b_new = -0.29408974709633806, c_new = 5.096161127719376
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14086.08470829745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8840858765287996, b_new = -0.6259640804227109, c_new = 5.165471834612159
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13748.298007513416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6166726724828364, b_new = -1.2894890311067355, c_new = 4.992443201591802
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8904.422681790968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0192024459122346, b_new = -0.6236638834356294, c_new = 5.90058522915573
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3301.8307592395345
Acceptance probability: 7.367902311486815e-127
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9906178970412443, b_new = -0.31513714654306324, c_new = 5.155545841850403
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3286.109351730399
Acceptance probability: 4.955236511639532e-120
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6886693122590435, b_new = -1.0659223534127187, c_new = 5.569749225392604
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6695.124551679194
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1955661315632233, b_new = -0.6401068120083249, c_new = 5.0826025838635545
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12331.425311435672
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9862785133813015, b_new = -0.7791132813639152, c_new = 5.1556865220525845
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3026.4256793322775
Acceptance probability: 2.9802339029271593e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.313695864312942, b_new = -0.2311429942779244, c_new = 6.0371248856070245
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10459.203985812688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.3735128986642104, b_new = -0.6247333857280746, c_new = 4.627686953720404
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -15425.278029882202
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.268480211540946, b_new = -0.45768877919181306, c_new = 5.07085458904238
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11516.126700769155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0899387732626686, b_new = -1.046920086713337, c_new = 4.597168191446276
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3253.630271359768
Acceptance probability: 6.317565746514654e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0143097305255573, b_new = -1.2034130297954306, c_new = 4.522783174834847
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3031.9590464968865
Acceptance probability: 1.1779843615670698e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6012479064023513, b_new = -1.2803878851113497, c_new = 5.73011162595036
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11007.87907045435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3538350542687, b_new = -1.5817503809720834, c_new = 4.71987612976392
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12578.461569938096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.373512448805254, b_new = 0.21289056549866925, c_new = 4.543509664234878
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10822.130934678822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5472461511786006, b_new = -1.0867984980679029, c_new = 5.003466553148747
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9538.124948960125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4135163974568457, b_new = -0.7019284156005052, c_new = 5.161079843437852
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9631.608832844868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.44137486567268, b_new = -0.8470277994258825, c_new = 4.697552226138377
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9566.174676151048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3636617392912314, b_new = -0.6408287849717, c_new = 4.917750367007198
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8839.880812213776
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.189953227725606, b_new = -1.389112524972014, c_new = 5.386219259188219
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3888.365530111529
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.73230163031755, b_new = -0.4873336912538312, c_new = 4.60611889316597
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4779.520899670581
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2311520954961543, b_new = -0.37076618329141375, c_new = 5.1141729733491195
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6860.905309490427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.547421254118168, b_new = -1.1105690955843384, c_new = 4.512520695382176
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10361.952926367718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8701727010458837, b_new = -0.32194372511199754, c_new = 4.633425364687696
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3130.408267851637
Acceptance probability: 2.0662646364817636e-52
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7811989423492696, b_new = -0.42829077631938806, c_new = 5.17097154424642
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3866.1117949452987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3282865932813674, b_new = -0.8737634097110616, c_new = 5.45959088489178
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11516.696764172859
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0386648802566363, b_new = -1.2325661855920793, c_new = 5.496446858800673
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3024.0155021248274
Acceptance probability: 3.318768906309158e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6677883441909636, b_new = 0.0804694979392282, c_new = 4.277004141438393
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13109.59309822584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.434731767540704, b_new = -0.4659950229648814, c_new = 5.896467715432449
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10701.376121604575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0095145222660693, b_new = -1.3988404921771689, c_new = 6.03570941360023
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3033.489773406126
Acceptance probability: 2.548902803619249e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8884846666958865, b_new = -1.4799495114245806, c_new = 5.104601102476565
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4170.571054337586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4252631847343427, b_new = -0.0034077242386245654, c_new = 4.0944062879736185
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10868.581353119931
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.35340938664549, b_new = -1.467022302922867, c_new = 4.561385407566583
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12464.272532031111
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4673:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.514926117100724, b_new = -1.569973079204133, c_new = 5.461777236210672
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9348.5672620419
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4674:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.024790098353306, b_new = -1.2359643318611535, c_new = 4.752157960082652
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13697.453310058474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4675:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.119139656134596, b_new = -0.883798312857469, c_new = 4.737567045785065
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14433.280542077358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4676:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5243865841202773, b_new = -1.3494571724196427, c_new = 5.479295207517204
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10234.106992752628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4677:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.443420725573691, b_new = -1.5004355802129323, c_new = 6.113514077925174
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11246.048113961351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4678:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.603237581530535, b_new = -1.024462915310167, c_new = 3.7588883317494393
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10876.379115653372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4679:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.313529675294578, b_new = -1.5791256368294637, c_new = 4.700323900422982
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5252.1436049357735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4680:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226237352996747, b_new = -0.620991701263655, c_new = 4.937362028602581
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5974.372061142869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4681:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0677679676512195, b_new = -1.3240947555672278, c_new = 5.656646933143399
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3070.056942980485
Acceptance probability: 3.3529981208031014e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4682:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6391453671257845, b_new = -1.169465759774742, c_new = 4.414806056953097
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8411.03461900865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4683:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.224305724095293, b_new = -0.09636671296051569, c_new = 5.652900003801362
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7761.698163647311
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4684:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.871250616349233, b_new = -0.4776351601851466, c_new = 4.138219909637319
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3258.1844463985412
Acceptance probability: 6.6480868030633334e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4685:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.470601485865453, b_new = -1.0494886079238306, c_new = 5.085523641586835
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10445.195020387986
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4686:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6063757590767977, b_new = -1.1566469888315516, c_new = 4.9773888399689605
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8761.09416608889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4687:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4100425081810766, b_new = -0.4276970599129478, c_new = 4.964345599853794
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10118.095385697196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4688:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.188524944093357, b_new = -0.8846790793033292, c_new = 4.970314136519187
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4654.833827544291
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4689:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.433584695398411, b_new = -2.0915262420038063, c_new = 4.846890864568152
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12673.651083627441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4690:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7316453662043783, b_new = -0.9937431156681107, c_new = 4.5217924295669
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5998.354564750554
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4691:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5554855443576896, b_new = -1.400454812016561, c_new = 5.370203605062556
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10188.631331465747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4692:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.874047732252081, b_new = -0.411285626882657, c_new = 3.5347507874840676
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3253.787915293998
Acceptance probability: 5.396173185761787e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4693:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5871058965900513, b_new = -1.3845486146463049, c_new = 5.291117911928363
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10549.397131569767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4694:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.821224115571145, b_new = -0.994901111842224, c_new = 5.305549720662483
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4210.42796509618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4695:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4139310321682235, b_new = -0.8730511469783347, c_new = 4.7437194753772625
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10881.467836040865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4696:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.591989403680338, b_new = -1.055843336648886, c_new = 5.006387391576207
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8753.395372678337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4697:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2172735887306523, b_new = 0.10062353373159749, c_new = 4.587651779513034
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11256.147593646643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4698:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3392334375948396, b_new = -1.1056344462544208, c_new = 4.8778347795241075
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11947.682545754284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4699:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.141926809053456, b_new = -0.40533207369023216, c_new = 4.442150111374451
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4736.387776963758
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4700:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221083398223053, b_new = -1.7779109284955268, c_new = 5.261375207563237
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3687.4323040125482
Acceptance probability: 2.527672192965641e-294
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4701:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.523295476105405, b_new = -1.2097544535154392, c_new = 5.12652617514413
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10080.882322232821
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4702:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2212423728768624, b_new = -0.5489590969955689, c_new = 5.002309827649521
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6087.953001532239
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4703:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2028607974329524, b_new = -1.2470197672404317, c_new = 5.362435539890285
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12980.389179267848
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4704:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4192271690524905, b_new = -1.0398474950883136, c_new = 4.246087504390458
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8598.994070580124
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4705:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.574773533087632, b_new = -0.14893433800174782, c_new = 5.830038549160795
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6561.3532447798425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4706:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8235114260239556, b_new = -0.9926715306079935, c_new = 5.228037810686813
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4192.497588615795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4707:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0482918787281754, b_new = -0.9565919301648542, c_new = 5.331538213688008
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3153.9612944218043
Acceptance probability: 1.2196535140095507e-62
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4708:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.333792667750398, b_new = -1.794557767005705, c_new = 5.185768386128757
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12879.812338791813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4709:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0296662596871604, b_new = -0.3780604396448246, c_new = 5.4850811038100975
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3576.4525210272404
Acceptance probability: 3.986833548485077e-246
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4710:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6644190089285753, b_new = -1.0110071783536543, c_new = 5.485617589777828
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11930.473062715602
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4711:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8953033805011725, b_new = -1.9915262310447557, c_new = 5.225401844216474
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5061.970741203735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4712:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2957016538703074, b_new = -1.6739791346497266, c_new = 5.574447489832463
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12868.436241537587
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4713:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5730173590792704, b_new = -1.1452282723973781, c_new = 5.117384172922865
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10761.198893024244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4714:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.766872555591802, b_new = -0.7304726572130755, c_new = 4.994764424359268
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4605.300385731219
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4715:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.699150746965487, b_new = -1.9569748362563923, c_new = 4.309460570108504
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10479.702660732608
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4716:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.619393323054063, b_new = -1.5303127508789829, c_new = 5.828805759645225
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10799.967757809894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4717:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3028269641196752, b_new = -0.6808431306513045, c_new = 3.9756086123220333
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11877.043988793881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4718:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9369654355927926, b_new = -1.615559778055626, c_new = 4.3135856465142215
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -14858.726421098834
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4719:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3555129949003666, b_new = -1.4398576011983524, c_new = 5.984673349027188
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6904.016530424941
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4720:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.27861796769483, b_new = -0.6030802801882174, c_new = 5.354955987769068
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7346.452428612616
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4721:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.514091117177513, b_new = -0.905368540490535, c_new = 5.180804277652052
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9562.129508136793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4722:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.824616329402811, b_new = -0.3442721652922185, c_new = 5.221673879857461
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3358.932841832214
Acceptance probability: 1.1701040536027459e-151
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4723:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.169317441109927, b_new = -1.606985400275793, c_new = 5.008547104206551
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3376.1900973585116
Acceptance probability: 3.745360586871645e-159
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4724:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.294607202674511, b_new = -0.9388377743672965, c_new = 4.677697208462441
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6481.651902047726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4725:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3535287476073554, b_new = -1.0760133153588705, c_new = 4.408633716992553
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7265.4399207732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4726:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.942412266117133, b_new = -0.9821409925407332, c_new = 5.089132939183765
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3127.363632744248
Acceptance probability: 4.339644655379143e-51
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4727:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7688881168276502, b_new = -1.5009471786077313, c_new = 4.097746075432463
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6756.283521618506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4728:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2371707151616733, b_new = -0.2529799621294966, c_new = 4.506750258700879
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11634.069351741526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4729:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.453010665335047, b_new = -1.1820114589932191, c_new = 5.039792721062996
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9113.59047061233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4730:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3721881332396393, b_new = -1.580864925908534, c_new = 5.2755376864509556
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6615.926372270973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4731:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5469327612211607, b_new = -1.190996461825045, c_new = 5.303746475758076
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -10453.46506261329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4732:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.597617597339762, b_new = -0.32832171108314234, c_new = 5.1036820825769365
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6790.159877262496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4733:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.527694756213063, b_new = -1.092727906950407, c_new = 5.814157750898078
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -9553.24472188372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4734:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.979767760132451, b_new = -0.5876117223162229, c_new = 5.378703509020707
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3083.176297234201
Acceptance probability: 6.726205805040833e-32
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4735:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.260349910872919, b_new = -0.8952319217638778, c_new = 5.779173714717797
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6274.957105775583
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4736:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.852580876054094, b_new = -0.8881401874962059, c_new = 5.512866038700085
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13374.335240751718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4737:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.665287379650355, b_new = -0.8526655500226419, c_new = 4.388767101148297
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -7045.372975047129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4738:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7830469175041443, b_new = -1.5621492975025475, c_new = 4.49616817022766
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11813.87651393791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4739:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8879114010893385, b_new = -0.6345406918660907, c_new = 5.666201787782481
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3152.4656020089274
Acceptance probability: 5.442612727578624e-62
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4740:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2859180184160723, b_new = -0.8039654744974238, c_new = 4.783720288774919
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6705.867080041189
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4741:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2599272566501947, b_new = -1.274596047343127, c_new = 5.213681625519211
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -5110.3486902602535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4742:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4034132210209407, b_new = 0.18809767895133578, c_new = 5.348577741940243
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -8824.605111347353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4743:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0861917807037638, b_new = -0.7575729656059279, c_new = 4.546619992592931
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3488.854044376948
Acceptance probability: 4.407203826811013e-208
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4744:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.687135025385153, b_new = -0.8374124796699767, c_new = 5.194315644854974
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12272.733550641497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4745:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.759940572966378, b_new = -0.8265433286582952, c_new = 5.407865529637234
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4801.863715841089
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4746:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9673761619205066, b_new = -0.8765399982300413, c_new = 5.318040997220777
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13828.769667395967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4747:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9372323799283042, b_new = -0.7623565104905843, c_new = 4.831561290685818
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13961.873046932344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4748:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.291258679134848, b_new = -1.683076603778823, c_new = 5.322765666674347
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4807.569037759487
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4749:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.307806541560156, b_new = -1.1533464796033002, c_new = 3.8713422265491584
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12564.568393211568
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4750:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7419807502956925, b_new = -0.5503588070689022, c_new = 5.417722605823837
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -13093.182376380588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4751:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.251040657194397, b_new = -0.4329535850353786, c_new = 4.484806328458849
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -6871.923535712801
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4752:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.138046166795719, b_new = -0.4320362245039949, c_new = 5.699472973952505
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4995.657247725423
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4753:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8200932138210595, b_new = -1.1765164047481935, c_new = 5.297454175309618
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -12768.383769704338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4754:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.353822113013145, b_new = -1.0907471165314908, c_new = 4.812585192047762
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -11818.362009206328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4755:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.814602926964743, b_new = -0.8299616581253428, c_new = 4.861426328606462
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -4121.187178131171
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4756:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.885684061137792, b_new = -0.9642765156483974, c_new = 4.463426846581386
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3577.7820155693043
Acceptance probability: 1.0549599212841074e-246
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4757:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.903060682815168, b_new = -0.9271448874207566, c_new = 4.6834012253336486
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3358.4958152533836
Acceptance probability: 1.8114348361471426e-151
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4758:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0118031968246743, b_new = -1.1216062486207634, c_new = 5.021292288724583
Current likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Proposed likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Acceptance probability: 0.707607819374044
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4759:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.240577486534774, b_new = -1.9531448387194703, c_new = 4.246144805176461
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3551.080301551172
Acceptance probability: 5.886408434819767e-235
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4760:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.371992262999102, b_new = -1.8385660443658076, c_new = 4.768468921311383
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5787.860950256738
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4761:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1279033611963687, b_new = -1.5331475325791148, c_new = 4.995390500732695
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3171.933800093359
Acceptance probability: 2.6982600843854493e-70
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4762:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5748233856896316, b_new = -0.7228504536162803, c_new = 5.21699611876953
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8165.364849014311
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4763:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3832288503218146, b_new = -1.328968391630711, c_new = 4.948842474031196
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11892.194727174716
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4764:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9893839219098413, b_new = -1.5497129476812581, c_new = 5.187856349949128
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14401.760060662204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4765:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0194034782960997, b_new = -0.8993941389809401, c_new = 5.690320541359279
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3094.617913625282
Acceptance probability: 1.0208141124198182e-36
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4766:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.002136363238009, b_new = -1.0423193325345455, c_new = 5.368773548272695
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3012.2880407747707
Acceptance probability: 0.5812408646712798
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4767:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.764506763906067, b_new = -1.0553887768124632, c_new = 5.630895956607459
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5151.706153909703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4768:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4794939635469055, b_new = -1.8016766274917337, c_new = 5.683840652004907
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8324.26883690551
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4769:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.915201457894298, b_new = -0.5889352634743195, c_new = 4.48209283270031
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3085.6072506528944
Acceptance probability: 8.360415708697962e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4770:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8055983173556935, b_new = -1.341786904101669, c_new = 5.112663867133146
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12416.76434325045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4771:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2286703042638214, b_new = -1.6260201490061716, c_new = 4.998299143310333
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13386.253190709791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4772:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1123763942112572, b_new = -1.4185993496932947, c_new = 5.1502862713474125
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3172.5807223096826
Acceptance probability: 1.4129573733582034e-70
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4773:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.342266586885791, b_new = -0.597768807019816, c_new = 4.6630350834048535
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8439.954714336629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4774:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.344877128810649, b_new = -1.423725159257901, c_new = 4.918344906016475
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6334.485305936321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4775:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.199422658169846, b_new = -1.0541177582933974, c_new = 5.013569660481579
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4502.787038713554
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4776:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.957570510691115, b_new = -1.7125464595952815, c_new = 5.726052466157345
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14546.312071046468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4777:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.590521177601156, b_new = -1.4499034856709536, c_new = 4.995949775586148
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9705.99327480956
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4778:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0600489833579876, b_new = -0.8128791267202531, c_new = 5.3112453685472625
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3331.367671282106
Acceptance probability: 1.5482223161475522e-139
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4779:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4661249797613842, b_new = -1.2861529472079762, c_new = 4.903845894490463
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9039.463123370715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4780:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5578756844607207, b_new = -1.612683152011062, c_new = 5.381828356062782
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10369.309182530698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4781:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1829645601371075, b_new = -1.2424016202323396, c_new = 5.8481739927778245
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4128.217004181156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4782:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7475370106850292, b_new = -1.3829826634270106, c_new = 4.78097505206606
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15194.427024392287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4783:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9564117523187994, b_new = -1.358120919352469, c_new = 4.650846927460059
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3375.026583469252
Acceptance probability: 1.6943716424445028e-158
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4784:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.388630807477276, b_new = -1.7199855818707048, c_new = 5.777522693959419
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12198.721834108319
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4785:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6959108880061056, b_new = -0.6659029210698568, c_new = 4.55543718060819
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5870.283781595038
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4786:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6706710997894296, b_new = -0.5948361321289826, c_new = 5.373114182328747
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5923.460156798456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4787:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6580076487070965, b_new = -1.4170093826858152, c_new = 5.259964016521976
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11192.889094701268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4788:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.60890456996826, b_new = -1.9297804793268098, c_new = 5.097749501547028
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10458.39438534328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4789:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.992551159993134, b_new = -1.7500126531943376, c_new = 4.442715292392447
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14744.186117497413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4790:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.370516453650801, b_new = -1.487783993695225, c_new = 4.510065903676729
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6560.3734781506455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4791:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.525142549742048, b_new = -0.9325502810622756, c_new = 4.914152124838814
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9554.612485736601
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4792:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.887462954202835, b_new = -0.48650330349267, c_new = 4.824370921939176
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3126.3980680568
Acceptance probability: 1.610649201996258e-50
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4793:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.626940683687688, b_new = -0.8030386401803002, c_new = 4.930272558377344
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11768.642095368057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4794:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9223758654558987, b_new = -0.8644841276803223, c_new = 5.262699900517894
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3140.9856753910844
Acceptance probability: 7.441895928255713e-57
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4795:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6377928542918045, b_new = -1.4598713048096308, c_new = 5.588387316854883
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11029.144171336895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4796:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8469727912120897, b_new = -1.1962701055959961, c_new = 5.2516957836361104
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4213.701582528388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4797:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1549051258205583, b_new = -1.6115688137086706, c_new = 4.83921278734713
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3259.101278502298
Acceptance probability: 3.756028979848576e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4798:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2290010467295827, b_new = -1.762498733085381, c_new = 5.011361535489468
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3752.0716665999535
Acceptance probability: 3e-322
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4799:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5980227575974206, b_new = 0.08241217842114468, c_new = 4.6060425600614465
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12729.414090219216
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4800:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4933868793860055, b_new = -1.663305080901075, c_new = 5.64286547513017
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8873.649283481962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4801:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0068959057309272, b_new = -1.1108356231917669, c_new = 5.684752469279096
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3013.8925036034298
Acceptance probability: 0.11682795837799978
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4802:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.721791153802129, b_new = -1.2123163318594103, c_new = 4.786811849530937
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6687.619042598164
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4803:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5782456028730767, b_new = -1.4037042011137364, c_new = 4.12648310065122
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10104.053174384524
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4804:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2048994918647713, b_new = -1.2182562306109535, c_new = 5.810708363697959
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4477.083417818991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4805:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1427696548956314, b_new = -1.47277191605438, c_new = 5.102012069024515
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3310.2370700489546
Acceptance probability: 2.326680971143927e-130
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4806:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8497464888364514, b_new = -1.201506073551069, c_new = 5.11575493639832
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4216.2009933107765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4807:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.393263719684905, b_new = -1.498732491940906, c_new = 4.8278228132402
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7111.70662830314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4808:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1847545557739068, b_new = 0.2597371497569336, c_new = 6.027472878030175
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8126.849132375458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4809:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.607757081553669, b_new = -0.8278999230470623, c_new = 4.406615126467569
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8120.251887337266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4810:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0820024516505864, b_new = -0.9203230005274383, c_new = 4.616813931866298
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3306.0896499608716
Acceptance probability: 1.4721040121499234e-128
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4811:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4617934335676717, b_new = -1.3291115289289548, c_new = 4.677823926092721
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8793.254879474096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4812:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3103037323435127, b_new = -1.9656494376788831, c_new = 5.398594209464365
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4578.149831205104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4813:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.280216078407948, b_new = -1.2954071679930426, c_new = 4.694162333980779
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5280.520993602743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4814:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.582653784784566, b_new = -0.7284314722980507, c_new = 5.1293087699195405
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11552.982086351203
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4815:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4056063134341157, b_new = -0.8502647727128975, c_new = 5.278180687594815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9198.663321558026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4816:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5700149937446755, b_new = -1.8404343470267155, c_new = 4.562388484538884
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9287.815278172633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4817:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4837178938898234, b_new = -1.9067828766769055, c_new = 4.595276516128438
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12030.465969462555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4818:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2319441240883524, b_new = -0.4754953633183425, c_new = 4.773346802767943
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6439.6719293847145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4819:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1633809403108915, b_new = -0.25830412060673036, c_new = 4.540342839734922
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5493.349563293039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4820:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.344654052753372, b_new = -1.7251937185159187, c_new = 4.607706437587097
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14515.307074696693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4821:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.453036669262692, b_new = -0.4934596136919025, c_new = 4.7588132803604015
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10480.863546359438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4822:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5542489362184195, b_new = -0.3299694018619944, c_new = 5.040302582390249
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11903.294834955868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4823:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2395995729171543, b_new = -0.8533021648837561, c_new = 5.540516827698374
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5855.448004324445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4824:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.559521975407648, b_new = -1.5889086377741322, c_new = 4.915843353656343
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10463.538995705898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4825:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1743927844009225, b_new = -1.203845877515597, c_new = 5.685419690923073
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4042.8457585037204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4826:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7654149654849878, b_new = -0.4368926248445405, c_new = 5.537353842091319
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4003.8555578570395
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4827:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.602075366602155, b_new = -0.5132475407655348, c_new = 5.081772659706246
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7175.9402188183685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4828:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.625485474829384, b_new = -1.567526330286795, c_new = 5.1790564257319955
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10608.24041138127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4829:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7703390389386793, b_new = -1.114522227410249, c_new = 4.901994290753758
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5406.8693119049
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4830:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8959083902215284, b_new = -0.24383177234962872, c_new = 4.748906226623226
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3039.485283648802
Acceptance probability: 8.968992007338934e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4831:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.513354322187558, b_new = -1.6668623790987245, c_new = 5.058028018065161
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8985.139415161284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4832:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.97938153252268, b_new = -1.2434189928368378, c_new = 5.6113267593934255
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3077.854392588331
Acceptance probability: 1.9464862894863684e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4833:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.333614123180201, b_new = -0.44945130486395957, c_new = 4.9700096910982605
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8793.354079907409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4834:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6135295200297204, b_new = -0.7669398015179016, c_new = 5.675388196339492
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7390.192823201234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4835:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8665935318198748, b_new = -0.7128734495929496, c_new = 4.56509877623992
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13411.67289663871
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4836:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9862682862211725, b_new = -1.3678015805270736, c_new = 5.167728365809905
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3143.104038497508
Acceptance probability: 8.947262611305289e-58
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4837:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4719552290698332, b_new = -1.970584010231539, c_new = 5.625291175091455
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7745.486563909837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4838:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083682081227887, b_new = -1.1831417813224003, c_new = 5.41790342199365
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3195.469308005732
Acceptance probability: 1.6208491355425002e-80
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4839:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.044997080561133, b_new = -1.081372186303655, c_new = 5.322294374691243
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3076.349567850245
Acceptance probability: 8.765736852642839e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4840:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.952882380320802, b_new = -0.9791812187656419, c_new = 4.28165838099041
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3142.824174783674
Acceptance probability: 1.1836776600996101e-57
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4841:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.700038664882633, b_new = -1.2770060164593984, c_new = 5.224286898483653
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7155.199050954388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4842:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.956739210014994, b_new = -2.7345187501565893, c_new = 4.662443299655513
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5964.776651760601
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4843:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7832857698751945, b_new = -1.5456940079374095, c_new = 4.4426386167812035
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6431.84550685702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4844:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7740149192497365, b_new = -1.1816487664333768, c_new = 4.812586876495334
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5528.854978450719
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4845:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9612862620691394, b_new = -2.2846719966737545, c_new = 4.142760272062796
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15395.145491822892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4846:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0662199506530037, b_new = -1.2706376133545885, c_new = 5.129515649453585
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3060.4894781186526
Acceptance probability: 6.7723264102585405e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4847:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.707327429647638, b_new = -1.5949510941918206, c_new = 5.814140135040551
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7646.586829062144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4848:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6592748197566674, b_new = -1.7219210804267717, c_new = 4.797028474170475
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10589.413606466624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4406034574008113, b_new = -1.7080018157406731, c_new = 5.252044714766148
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7673.678287242183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.409509490880021, b_new = -1.10710721934495, c_new = 6.393323269878411
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10836.382292544296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.415300583663964, b_new = -1.8697616116286053, c_new = 4.7017048038342315
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6560.1832047001135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.871234714019818, b_new = -2.248636534165854, c_new = 4.847972337528096
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6347.103926729305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3912991734933935, b_new = -0.7801625144232296, c_new = 4.694471787985537
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8904.808797640995
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.622871529908601, b_new = -0.06378892994292351, c_new = 4.065607389999109
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5981.526596276952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.789827680426281, b_new = -2.051071069484851, c_new = 5.049153314671148
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11335.246457229925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7062085090262262, b_new = -1.109424501245642, c_new = 5.598802712214464
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6437.922461695742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9783037884045065, b_new = -1.3286851716723709, c_new = 4.650924225022239
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13349.127764848467
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.212480700352123, b_new = -0.8501187775476902, c_new = 5.528380094718471
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5320.125802885382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7263502475150867, b_new = -1.1407495029836283, c_new = 5.431027349939101
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12210.366717047431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1286478184732065, b_new = -1.6345539032484908, c_new = 4.4042494206200145
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3104.2473659455763
Acceptance probability: 6.713185671359147e-41
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5022248973495516, b_new = -0.9692094042782667, c_new = 5.281286466856466
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10334.460262690982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4940381271217724, b_new = -1.624439246293377, c_new = 5.932849413701378
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10980.522612975641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4777130243218815, b_new = -1.142637614467245, c_new = 4.602512794482004
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9431.167964698336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.909285986663077, b_new = -0.9174676780638934, c_new = 4.53171839668714
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14289.901181886413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4671882542338555, b_new = -0.9767694894140275, c_new = 5.164578066604756
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10320.689324506924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9295059061673068, b_new = -0.6656795718259438, c_new = 5.816075269911829
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3041.2029320875504
Acceptance probability: 1.6098240015995164e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9470839330828484, b_new = -1.4111462396869352, c_new = 4.5959739660269125
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14574.574517768033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.062499049202169, b_new = -1.4296785880597056, c_new = 6.046601854669096
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3040.0452077051523
Acceptance probability: 5.123558615146473e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8355981007821223, b_new = -1.022743859001818, c_new = 5.49908843691671
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4023.8091958993314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1910471491003602, b_new = -1.6888048368675963, c_new = 4.645573041843792
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3431.9674805607797
Acceptance probability: 3.1614860719988235e-183
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.630618570503457, b_new = 0.034826829749139865, c_new = 4.956218415948267
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5340.416030973063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3222853061618207, b_new = -1.7181940269162217, c_new = 4.3941226416635715
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5021.85488300782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6782331839360434, b_new = -0.5622519254854126, c_new = 4.478017699152112
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5987.8749993764495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.955724494913912, b_new = -1.0368109294152101, c_new = 4.105171354278787
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13417.129941457822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.495315775838158, b_new = -1.7193373154438092, c_new = 5.389043066997962
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11318.976611589114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.507005966518705, b_new = -1.4321712276621543, c_new = 4.9714292078230065
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10785.84798272939
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1009337167892883, b_new = -0.5511433139677969, c_new = 5.313857634656312
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4082.397412943131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.054271328547334, b_new = -1.0362838714575302, c_new = 4.564686420162821
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13764.875150104303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981407112555944, b_new = -0.6248868208395806, c_new = 5.799440309404337
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3103.708625175777
Acceptance probability: 1.1505375637061616e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.583018871795662, b_new = -0.7868590112419442, c_new = 4.834144431034071
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8313.255828425217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6091016375814395, b_new = -0.9855588269592547, c_new = 4.8643178432029535
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11308.257387137393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5945416747844163, b_new = -1.3485096548525441, c_new = 3.7588510448147794
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9882.206875395583
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.664179355549822, b_new = -1.0860155040625585, c_new = 5.330917878172639
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7338.391496390218
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.060043152279797, b_new = -1.8474977527187448, c_new = 5.095574461631107
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3113.8073264386694
Acceptance probability: 4.732499421846427e-45
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2972227606167883, b_new = -0.3601610511715828, c_new = 4.865494455716916
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11163.802843588066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5837178618410537, b_new = -1.131660356612416, c_new = 4.759251313423801
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9166.816090525184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.776785704566339, b_new = -0.7163160213937937, c_new = 4.60668929071361
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4522.5206465934425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2170309621798543, b_new = -1.3637013984209836, c_new = 4.740613367888598
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4141.314285306608
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0719774609150767, b_new = -0.7588521176017843, c_new = 5.331447856647737
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3482.971595977692
Acceptance probability: 2.234011441041721e-205
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1234797211283762, b_new = -1.000650956621721, c_new = 5.00427581354955
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3622.865544344762
Acceptance probability: 3.925686056897224e-266
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.085756788812821, b_new = -0.43422445352282746, c_new = 5.952684254132137
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4243.215726516423
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.932854112484165, b_new = -1.822519818952977, c_new = 5.490097909486103
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4072.2805475882355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7829841315448736, b_new = -0.3131661477066655, c_new = 5.463618445674904
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3655.8306800901223
Acceptance probability: 1.893821383992346e-280
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8866007727946354, b_new = -1.7072829860807706, c_new = 5.502988555734537
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14844.446030446645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8272770900128474, b_new = -0.7352598093902231, c_new = 4.574485706417816
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3874.407705804535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.536489491290169, b_new = -1.9986633350129046, c_new = 4.169015247294482
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8347.83652059322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.145929340108494, b_new = -2.003357815660573, c_new = 4.950100836994192
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3067.2307276006486
Acceptance probability: 7.999271380340465e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.186690960714003, b_new = -0.8037426074787984, c_new = 5.245235518409987
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4872.900222853699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.425511506547523, b_new = -0.5291897951620027, c_new = 4.805469401864792
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10061.736254613787
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.589389189954264, b_new = -1.1428511251723807, c_new = 4.9092810908772915
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9044.183251774188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.095859376662707, b_new = -0.9501533956215584, c_new = 4.616627533904418
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3379.8224612238528
Acceptance probability: 1.400185028449431e-160
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.853823931047446, b_new = -1.8495940830059519, c_new = 5.840884911686237
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5284.767976278876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1866089915516476, b_new = -1.645913502944052, c_new = 4.732741484426702
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13716.241312774553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.560135942782203, b_new = -1.2333616764476367, c_new = 4.605566690300518
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10313.899030563949
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5307757169595444, b_new = -1.3163032689291145, c_new = 4.33410445631706
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10482.571636124378
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.814903427712051, b_new = -1.0310695973249413, c_new = 5.5466282826991815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4307.759314881427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6833207068850147, b_new = -0.4832672371189257, c_new = 4.935016920430652
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12655.273361758842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1193381716685806, b_new = -1.5659147602636327, c_new = 5.2126367794023905
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3128.4986987974908
Acceptance probability: 1.9710998394083345e-51
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1810281740515043, b_new = -1.2270804680836522, c_new = 5.418500668740945
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4032.9177341870786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.487308132371021, b_new = -1.857994354345784, c_new = 5.152129809956659
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8144.768700013325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3942374037765415, b_new = -1.0465683339810545, c_new = 4.527442783584344
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11459.065098758152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6597243852887447, b_new = -0.9685083064240906, c_new = 4.847072383398563
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7296.952344883901
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4760947107007976, b_new = -0.3021335027711377, c_new = 5.594240917676322
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8708.093968226505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0681079330745282, b_new = -0.5057215480304122, c_new = 5.345124722906184
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3767.5803801774737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1147750033639436, b_new = -1.0451529989896668, c_new = 5.285851432605574
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13281.052513084356
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.821053884122462, b_new = -1.120317082087115, c_new = 5.278034748313926
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4445.155033688772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9922081230531, b_new = 0.036467847882297955, c_new = 5.507343683111365
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3758.968459406648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3910129674215166, b_new = -0.7833095006479757, c_new = 5.493748147453768
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9194.071133777596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1847749623678805, b_new = -0.6835290426771083, c_new = 5.924510065730687
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5332.618780897562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.384320018398724, b_new = -2.1362880032337475, c_new = 5.222551739376819
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12983.848770456907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4880720493738724, b_new = -0.6623088894594362, c_new = 6.065508909045874
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11009.635610535586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1421369373948216, b_new = -1.5057280118072942, c_new = 4.341869636397246
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13892.242523656969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7415572434764495, b_new = -0.917506065862466, c_new = 5.098452401820145
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12526.865977892388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.088514353098053, b_new = -1.3270611503185015, c_new = 4.634934047287258
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3089.3062350226555
Acceptance probability: 2.0690899543180683e-34
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.743455563738091, b_new = -1.2748618826891536, c_new = 4.828444170494466
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6385.195674782625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.993091317825396, b_new = -1.8995455136533177, c_new = 4.2254155527691655
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3769.5586970307995
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8966568087906066, b_new = -1.5261071427856852, c_new = 4.675566604639104
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4245.836695357628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6947674245278646, b_new = -1.412598958355745, c_new = 4.47677066210352
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7938.7818323422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7444108700429597, b_new = -1.1701429577655538, c_new = 4.824855536782824
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6088.120576584093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.298762514084024, b_new = -0.3272446241862571, c_new = 4.028825574148121
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8039.459937606927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.891321556455698, b_new = -0.607924072404436, c_new = 5.158042727398839
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3151.3678756594177
Acceptance probability: 2.3054266319188134e-61
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8360474840707726, b_new = -0.6670041763669666, c_new = 5.140654708411832
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3594.8705382923586
Acceptance probability: 5.649268478821656e-254
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.044253371008317, b_new = -1.1774271193814263, c_new = 4.541413812226594
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3025.024268052826
Acceptance probability: 1.7103418127060132e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6092969869895404, b_new = -0.723817301352186, c_new = 5.254267185288984
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7511.0226280147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.520823797847354, b_new = -1.9230447591988358, c_new = 4.87834986572383
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8479.749584738234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3737758448861213, b_new = -1.0529788358166516, c_new = 4.9946837068852
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11521.523395884542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7290181088577836, b_new = -2.2153394230897305, c_new = 5.28960065569877
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10620.951049798474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8306655741724174, b_new = -1.7583734704939125, c_new = 4.690862407301726
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5916.642889533831
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3234869517227175, b_new = -1.4098700325635822, c_new = 5.113337351829359
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5991.925253018956
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3503062122203238, b_new = -1.2032060789301675, c_new = 5.0158810159974845
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11961.829163865275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.13265840426136, b_new = -0.48782859559886615, c_new = 5.188876934764338
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4627.93098349285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.823476246938962, b_new = -0.7971295540833172, c_new = 5.6785123992309146
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3805.2245939729532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.857651514334375, b_new = -0.7166177572287299, c_new = 5.496714800869473
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13595.71872319357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.46978595493891, b_new = -1.589325689952751, c_new = 4.672976990588621
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11592.183491367474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.657307390376821, b_new = -0.6282807104849435, c_new = 4.535229570390263
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12156.767079831558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.351987811642134, b_new = -0.850845885367614, c_new = 4.983618577820839
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8072.093630350597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.618596959310184, b_new = -1.6924234683274917, c_new = 4.242953698684279
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10121.766129036434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8737861410615197, b_new = -1.4401666955121035, c_new = 4.495136608419206
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4466.2021442644245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.474998913320158, b_new = -1.331115448131885, c_new = 5.355083159029568
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9232.843880969473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.509784884028471, b_new = -1.8243305699010302, c_new = 4.90864546441552
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11516.427180465273
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6173765671124096, b_new = -1.316419388771612, c_new = 4.404312499071377
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10721.296432492898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.279337354625235, b_new = -1.1095653497255216, c_new = 5.000134627695064
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5817.04287521619
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6907318975944448, b_new = -1.1589975133315553, c_new = 4.7704312048615565
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15195.821376613461
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.877559011776, b_new = -0.10897347357265641, c_new = 5.297155514935838
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3058.5543481658437
Acceptance probability: 4.6897980550352756e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9331571897987696, b_new = -1.1951249310569292, c_new = 5.213660703355964
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3318.4522538780657
Acceptance probability: 6.29401586320539e-134
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.048153547293941, b_new = -1.3251053012758884, c_new = 5.306616582886352
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3018.5782040886825
Acceptance probability: 0.001077886227076603
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6022518343147567, b_new = -1.7157231490963727, c_new = 4.503801630106496
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9907.324022516877
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3055002813534506, b_new = -1.5769135812369763, c_new = 5.489210154732801
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5341.030835471837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.138342852242158, b_new = -1.5800754256131628, c_new = 5.496013557431217
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3236.5743530795444
Acceptance probability: 2.2805959029126915e-98
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3861631655930333, b_new = -1.5954603043899742, c_new = 4.623149579555543
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6641.7585489913545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.05973569463944, b_new = -0.30753888464706214, c_new = 4.7396705487966
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14721.2908875693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.916664218938826, b_new = -0.6521406148835669, c_new = 4.855315774980651
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3087.357643371193
Acceptance probability: 1.4522519686601794e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.118361631716016, b_new = -1.420616555926827, c_new = 5.03906282786487
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13740.12030254964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.551151168995503, b_new = -0.5358551665081226, c_new = 5.08498526991815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8178.950187844286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231040696352411, b_new = -0.40354528384480637, c_new = 5.216610827613758
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6804.668505121208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8711607935362644, b_new = -0.741186790060504, c_new = 4.585391728212957
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3440.5375818655452
Acceptance probability: 5.997131431854086e-187
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.16823487562313, b_new = -0.886768786284168, c_new = 4.402028555323182
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4205.330022964852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.118578475816862, b_new = -0.8382204690347305, c_new = 4.683738412390513
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3727.2892474782348
Acceptance probability: 1.7509652000643e-311
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.440028827819143, b_new = -1.914291654677004, c_new = 4.267119882918189
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14619.597081407599
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.12514834274774, b_new = -0.877807132329578, c_new = 4.84644042957428
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3774.224930205726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.118857786576693, b_new = -1.1618321944289522, c_new = 5.582653989934491
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3482.6845346116306
Acceptance probability: 2.9768336081739603e-205
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9617885274347904, b_new = -1.5853144262716419, c_new = 5.590863847437644
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13204.470733124446
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4867689228473515, b_new = -2.499185738800944, c_new = 4.9940122703464
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6517.056251770939
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1257438376440354, b_new = -1.9768334017142832, c_new = 6.289011350613783
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3046.067656002622
Acceptance probability: 1.241811409974448e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.442136429959877, b_new = -1.8282269137384437, c_new = 4.745843764871827
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7218.900238702525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.92171254915397, b_new = -0.2810263979554213, c_new = 5.568530763150811
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3069.6512842778075
Acceptance probability: 7.109122908296416e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.898371734393742, b_new = -0.43715515146792105, c_new = 4.369332743214372
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3087.8493413219276
Acceptance probability: 8.881785225819006e-34
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5899438352248483, b_new = -1.1682410750071628, c_new = 4.7653673271953885
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9149.271060723404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3982217311877796, b_new = -1.3773040576588413, c_new = 5.0837162143872066
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11793.309058708357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.25934069569597, b_new = -0.9901962433481399, c_new = 5.203850810108936
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5784.975023164052
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9552894632526696, b_new = -0.6982963904359154, c_new = 4.256767947251538
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3028.467382903831
Acceptance probability: 5.467101447033123e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9680064825952788, b_new = -2.0835392020368033, c_new = 5.355689795810515
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4087.775347479819
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0268626478218796, b_new = -1.290794168052273, c_new = 4.520958744711067
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3032.545288860759
Acceptance probability: 9.262859525649417e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.006111853696564, b_new = -1.638307291258127, c_new = 4.407024054385891
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3320.5753835297483
Acceptance probability: 7.531202776416783e-135
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6948619922637063, b_new = -0.784572116119239, c_new = 6.043270846613332
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5703.120416819415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.032419949091974, b_new = -1.0162266239465134, c_new = 5.260643788324446
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3060.280123236954
Acceptance probability: 8.349482365514497e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7420294308893935, b_new = -1.158874080086546, c_new = 5.048854767928806
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6027.308788231335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7693501177216318, b_new = -1.7085783531753829, c_new = 5.058339893083728
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6944.861699286034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.318524936206672, b_new = -0.5128256961790285, c_new = 4.78654792981559
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11229.936573456996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.22950653010014, b_new = -0.625555429680694, c_new = 4.199147854600755
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5767.738484410596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.237363965687946, b_new = -0.5215648915106221, c_new = 5.8687072719589
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6872.865897941279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.283030193715196, b_new = -0.9499850299616981, c_new = 5.186505977908584
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6390.210289931094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.927794982780234, b_new = -1.487620593954726, c_new = 4.373135944261232
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3857.8263514846562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3224454941959665, b_new = -0.7051961262423297, c_new = 5.121232449409482
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7914.568463710224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.078563537816929, b_new = -2.233042958775588, c_new = 5.785283434305587
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3199.247356408307
Acceptance probability: 3.7064403924059126e-82
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8604507447940155, b_new = -1.0445692775603508, c_new = 5.149426895531655
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3825.12035781242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.437080555661302, b_new = -0.8532057712344734, c_new = 5.5682052593246
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9795.996194725503
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9205219492358916, b_new = -1.3458328586653459, c_new = 4.878508482380062
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3638.7369375930803
Acceptance probability: 5.0240859161604965e-273
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 4999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1051267126508093, b_new = -1.4255201490945044, c_new = 5.495700943382427
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3158.216334453732
Acceptance probability: 2.4462646629416464e-64
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.75077293064955, b_new = -1.3761129486979118, c_new = 5.254706166401047
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6345.272486730778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.241913999417873, b_new = -1.4881424746383534, c_new = 4.59901180699255
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4244.946168245109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1061048169097067, b_new = -1.0807993821956565, c_new = 5.1292412603055055
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3397.7871740838473
Acceptance probability: 2.2090714636014587e-168
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5052405322230027, b_new = -2.0312141792222014, c_new = 4.403691634624338
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7810.606400174614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.402756822488708, b_new = -1.6478696935774, c_new = 4.6494395870832435
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6854.611047858003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4958578918142624, b_new = -0.9076060238961754, c_new = 5.975218437211092
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10607.038766911208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8927687237552338, b_new = -0.9549057106323928, c_new = 5.005881081287239
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3423.513421940296
Acceptance probability: 1.4840286366753071e-179
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5647845748991838, b_new = -1.4287270321763608, c_new = 5.358894207050194
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10242.30165686017
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8526473521548987, b_new = -0.9074570623963321, c_new = 5.059859914875334
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13233.916232572097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.842044930434358, b_new = -1.8473923082125165, c_new = 5.499516144423031
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5621.846227861286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.571928845187645, b_new = -1.6318710846190347, c_new = 4.503295303928389
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10539.970854181429
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.65551394776668, b_new = -0.9339845684617439, c_new = 6.0373413266801474
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6861.484195355529
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4366609113211917, b_new = 0.15788146519609358, c_new = 4.862181792523941
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11542.778908916835
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2848314281034443, b_new = -0.8535666397668003, c_new = 5.076832858035482
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6655.6936556745495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2407754245729476, b_new = -1.5549846590770473, c_new = 4.857009301651506
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4171.084483332348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.309399932771815, b_new = -1.9768684654603823, c_new = 5.425892789640325
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4549.5082492201045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.877469312781949, b_new = -0.707802618447543, c_new = 4.672611384981306
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3348.1686918361875
Acceptance probability: 7.82064920621796e-147
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.485055145448995, b_new = -1.15075128671393, c_new = 4.305167407551546
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9423.567107631818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.069003063729254, b_new = -0.8350852380390772, c_new = 4.470165603161837
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13497.071416318637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8287317082348584, b_new = -0.2403877640130999, c_new = 5.122516709732151
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13865.836262787048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.599100752593093, b_new = -1.233306849088825, c_new = 4.678358075674994
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9186.325474639401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.962000325453215, b_new = -0.6409822756911608, c_new = 4.686686062739707
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3015.131761423666
Acceptance probability: 0.03383326841990082
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2921535154211528, b_new = -1.531104077250614, c_new = 5.125334654785707
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12829.226421903653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.382700952115436, b_new = -1.5764546707926113, c_new = 4.774574712501856
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12331.290118698293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5193990168600617, b_new = -1.3602092137280093, c_new = 4.8353164094391605
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9641.122556730297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3860739775437776, b_new = -0.2698068841225183, c_new = 5.597577008545664
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9838.599557641026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9827706007294463, b_new = -1.3553477803487268, c_new = 5.816860585059519
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14107.749583780098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5436441186703775, b_new = -1.4093117081306104, c_new = 4.785815629054897
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10346.176518675291
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.171461123714548, b_new = -0.842160643744104, c_new = 5.407338728428121
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4587.6543150395355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6549908185342774, b_new = -0.8086869382676047, c_new = 4.532427465028691
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11879.967165703441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9286999162850194, b_new = -1.9639746017962927, c_new = 4.396615473026887
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4698.737982957872
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9098850080920653, b_new = -1.2234791374086857, c_new = 5.0004113972569675
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3569.8206820512205
Acceptance probability: 4.2756933749372956e-243
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4792578886544314, b_new = -0.326752900234369, c_new = 4.901261659716555
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8933.60353926095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8990092310355116, b_new = -0.5313879646284129, c_new = 5.3892358839458865
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3081.045128353434
Acceptance probability: 8.00815394119045e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2608409238837366, b_new = -1.522465920025752, c_new = 4.5424247213212725
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4446.472283753588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.368798848723819, b_new = -1.1888462205475294, c_new = 5.341408650408572
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11681.179329968427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.514106900296283, b_new = -0.6331121181335833, c_new = 4.828756207907244
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10941.766763745229
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0393930851444555, b_new = -1.4034682712196607, c_new = 4.7567092107347095
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3029.455617108778
Acceptance probability: 2.03503775397942e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.944432442328785, b_new = -0.6416988439520613, c_new = 5.399795596607175
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3024.735600677086
Acceptance probability: 2.2827037981462332e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.513008829247677, b_new = -0.8338480756331444, c_new = 3.741352914938499
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9926.336392593443
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7813167448817175, b_new = -1.1020071618398382, c_new = 4.327154955848363
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12358.089292989222
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.390545543763447, b_new = -1.2509026703218304, c_new = 5.078729750516202
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11661.075226466692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3009851605746987, b_new = -0.5346591035526487, c_new = 5.457007470604465
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8082.13603714329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4377934870544395, b_new = -1.8270582828395026, c_new = 4.974105539613754
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12194.582372236642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8727170179763153, b_new = -0.3756319505180362, c_new = 5.673669745436589
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14087.589368286643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6301242950741095, b_new = -1.9209035317938503, c_new = 4.782566565237989
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9944.416353615958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5994656196121624, b_new = -0.7793588207615698, c_new = 5.062509197262744
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7909.0710023978545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3992478693390025, b_new = -0.950350110632127, c_new = 4.3846698104443185
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11289.601221421353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8874454472592443, b_new = -0.8295599634341435, c_new = 4.454759592710022
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3415.219465168624
Acceptance probability: 5.935563294660927e-176
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1780014487583395, b_new = -0.7164870662150353, c_new = 5.652490446857241
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5040.5766273390545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2744050620391127, b_new = -1.0288701811715328, c_new = 4.936946737327495
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5902.894687722562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2495989496237474, b_new = -1.7979100514859963, c_new = 4.2273484111592134
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3814.269254439494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.295903942614561, b_new = -0.742869064007067, c_new = 5.359848264988015
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7326.096006775456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1765354638369763, b_new = -0.15781744996650604, c_new = 4.630060873061501
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6061.11301990808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3337367666674935, b_new = -1.5331989734194966, c_new = 4.651705355466611
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5737.26055429647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.30419145331245, b_new = -1.2707740609310492, c_new = 3.5959519168734273
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5469.771401778506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3616019770585144, b_new = -1.047821859381361, c_new = 4.960319662476374
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7720.63795001307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.364724210969266, b_new = -0.8742584950489876, c_new = 4.0220927529781765
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7900.904981884123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.579218012883431, b_new = -0.935666594602395, c_new = 4.942986018920774
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8705.053136276618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.873556422572429, b_new = -0.6639818652551148, c_new = 4.816212343535607
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3321.631005104853
Acceptance probability: 2.620678320492097e-135
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2325478606633244, b_new = -0.054839636200002984, c_new = 4.595184328563511
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7611.141206197752
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.454296767369123, b_new = -1.360939501324156, c_new = 4.867593336865256
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8656.880490752337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5276283673884126, b_new = -0.6567354528037317, c_new = 5.849856720900169
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11368.959355591112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.457535331470982, b_new = -1.1116398989238627, c_new = 5.2213799820973685
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10673.665137479424
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.505572584142893, b_new = -0.9921016112214938, c_new = 5.09455961663116
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10270.60891267464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.286676059707618, b_new = -0.308313077716736, c_new = 5.576072974407043
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8483.465467132159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.759526616249693, b_new = -0.849953555775612, c_new = 6.56691643514788
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13146.07483909537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.813454920587482, b_new = -1.2335270658282367, c_new = 5.485756906508859
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4733.197665664085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5175070738030567, b_new = -1.77418593752793, c_new = 4.2424853772444
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11571.901792901348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1209030387568575, b_new = -1.6651311782257046, c_new = 5.039482036536756
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3086.1005456030985
Acceptance probability: 5.104962988682418e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1265395750869747, b_new = -0.5096020068139377, c_new = 5.9977259275817225
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4723.560075098468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2805283685262516, b_new = -1.5634994194253975, c_new = 4.78545295420202
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4734.363926763701
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2554816768523995, b_new = -0.5640206868582764, c_new = 4.927161146920443
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6770.421987657074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7231770545002165, b_new = -1.490032703656469, c_new = 4.166560456667271
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7689.731303356104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.794476098449261, b_new = -0.89205514597216, c_new = 4.53916180539634
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4606.4939509822625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.169423931269405, b_new = -1.5515905988554324, c_new = 5.473998690819088
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3486.8705575288086
Acceptance probability: 4.526764549506202e-207
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2634273777566767, b_new = -0.49064835333202483, c_new = 4.007650030951982
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6796.199623832386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.587331949359412, b_new = -2.108949521660012, c_new = 4.79625201019182
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9065.53601323211
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8261671152071184, b_new = -0.9137245614763194, c_new = 5.98440164388369
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3883.9952274472193
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.693605015612229, b_new = -2.3441145780496706, c_new = 5.131925874062969
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10151.24913621221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3667580143426004, b_new = -1.919568136504291, c_new = 4.823795635310259
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5508.425453301079
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7560573828400328, b_new = -1.3471696800958965, c_new = 5.029178473483773
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12040.093238000436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2065161505009803, b_new = -1.182283946818585, c_new = 5.4489813098197395
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12854.2794233585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9102295899981407, b_new = -1.3805374955236176, c_new = 4.382610885447825
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3898.8207202426715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9671626336935217, b_new = -1.323854696083991, c_new = 5.529763776807631
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3177.414943011194
Acceptance probability: 1.1237085494992323e-72
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5752935193635316, b_new = -1.2524904146299582, c_new = 3.750345728566362
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10203.092604157682
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.166992980900228, b_new = -1.3543929473733467, c_new = 5.569158857881119
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3712.450307781971
Acceptance probability: 4.872447205216278e-305
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4739475387867427, b_new = -0.567581696951519, c_new = 5.68344334545764
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9260.01045393963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.523292082884811, b_new = -0.9796913933661777, c_new = 6.775915271925234
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11055.512513032556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.387413852801572, b_new = -1.104830538454257, c_new = 6.32512572987004
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8627.981289282341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1701443347528135, b_new = -0.8125277571173103, c_new = 4.985834161103629
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4511.865707894021
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.043740507305901, b_new = -1.1044079484676175, c_new = 5.3633266683935785
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3065.6463413256424
Acceptance probability: 3.900682906692354e-24
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2750431003495972, b_new = -1.2511158525970174, c_new = 5.353811912042967
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5492.965357268108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.222301011648924, b_new = -1.5175733629471109, c_new = 4.713876136924535
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3963.6058358424793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3098092857215162, b_new = -2.3661259694514927, c_new = 5.674454117388521
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3964.4136654222807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6334999969997153, b_new = -1.4323043746743425, c_new = 4.309767366863417
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9235.072056760991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.584531321286607, b_new = -0.5141157066637918, c_new = 5.219892207148349
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11933.747729196024
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.681063002464598, b_new = -1.2851506646001583, c_new = 4.809967920712235
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11472.438949734973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4193910894761674, b_new = -0.5956577110490687, c_new = 4.778965034030875
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9820.978601202767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0576554240398055, b_new = -1.101510041965881, c_new = 5.285053013294524
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3110.508836972819
Acceptance probability: 1.2811687686246365e-43
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.417771891423015, b_new = -1.60922060098593, c_new = 5.741645055713786
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7654.626399817232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.859244733567606, b_new = -0.37630169954773984, c_new = 5.420692971939483
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3164.4390139827738
Acceptance probability: 4.853198556191542e-67
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4482221877901305, b_new = -2.073307053192475, c_new = 4.753400772505188
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6725.196267454039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.804943442602003, b_new = -1.4793837686104203, c_new = 5.072708046760415
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12225.659607401563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.985223106775422, b_new = -0.11882084164947448, c_new = 4.443599851638338
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3330.3441767626464
Acceptance probability: 4.308552062937454e-139
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7162259613574995, b_new = -1.476577447682612, c_new = 5.142264190349374
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11577.41569378256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.694604902033366, b_new = -0.9783890539612082, c_new = 5.129028350574322
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6500.063590883274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9018014718043634, b_new = -0.18522552397401804, c_new = 5.340802501835294
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13442.098581014212
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7031483577383755, b_new = -0.4710712359628123, c_new = 5.279145046600402
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5059.314871172271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.674894141339236, b_new = -0.8225650016057182, c_new = 4.932761587575709
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6566.011049249278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.319966670778591, b_new = -0.989947530108992, c_new = 4.81851408647636
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6939.939946246023
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.57425250776378, b_new = -0.6558906652817478, c_new = 5.324379303154491
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7974.361818026464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5286961027215966, b_new = -0.537165206403313, c_new = 5.523222055083946
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8416.945489490365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4156804345432077, b_new = -1.4930979708480014, c_new = 5.727360699442843
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7915.9557117219
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7740831285344527, b_new = -1.392699828104262, c_new = 4.993820253895614
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15072.37306667486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5319682840219704, b_new = -1.107069809859196, c_new = 5.004928989898746
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10341.487962908031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0675438285524588, b_new = -0.7523548113717322, c_new = 4.9560182318989
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3397.833787148433
Acceptance probability: 2.108462924955454e-168
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4237892799605287, b_new = -1.1656178051791712, c_new = 4.938768741206473
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11234.77271736128
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3160857524498484, b_new = -0.6840611284678394, c_new = 4.7853397618139315
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7702.359536517413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.499766790777798, b_new = -0.16118022774611063, c_new = 5.0399833767108975
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11678.263012149726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6265124773826987, b_new = -1.7723118527869635, c_new = 4.802515157520895
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9970.874600678728
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.878216925409039, b_new = -2.153812165356836, c_new = 5.032960528241119
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5862.635830559779
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.751517191043622, b_new = -0.9268918337173762, c_new = 4.505199308135236
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5444.250732767699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4403189008853547, b_new = -1.8171326250433064, c_new = 4.746587609704733
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7211.193658157841
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.974094367988383, b_new = -1.7044709215692104, c_new = 4.592306816895039
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12898.256593490238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3077897146232638, b_new = -0.700536441088917, c_new = 5.308856202147121
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7688.164894339827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.149534493134566, b_new = -1.1026417130425135, c_new = 5.996172487057244
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3959.307049670205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5822423412870603, b_new = -1.6731182720188553, c_new = 5.01975287619415
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10300.9194604072
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.598573818645834, b_new = -2.461498096125762, c_new = 5.221367090453372
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14876.41918271747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1941287147665873, b_new = -0.5854907078088559, c_new = 4.797867510215983
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5368.573824308784
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8040721038738674, b_new = -1.5121850542411064, c_new = 5.14045473687113
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5651.031349383443
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.780705052062146, b_new = -1.2248202995711335, c_new = 5.05973173605546
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12384.500372004495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0544024372462273, b_new = -1.3849764523052368, c_new = 5.179700387287838
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13973.941015344739
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.234901548309389, b_new = 0.03823157082634454, c_new = 5.126458052446294
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8177.5634120788745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831813957113991, b_new = -1.037147556962097, c_new = 5.10417586913078
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4182.501937107115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.502745927918236, b_new = -1.1898453190465794, c_new = 4.495575316094185
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10525.001710641713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.685957821796665, b_new = -1.9622990107841085, c_new = 4.895246756852903
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10495.283409114572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9611366306553197, b_new = -0.9752716949608059, c_new = 5.724643643587178
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3039.0257452455157
Acceptance probability: 1.4200990266865668e-12
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9183588058022734, b_new = -1.0715119602922323, c_new = 4.552642435380813
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3398.3151615175757
Acceptance probability: 1.3028899573757847e-168
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8360972312024293, b_new = -1.1493027670569176, c_new = 4.9230679410322375
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4364.352908488169
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.168857178946451, b_new = -0.56491121131178, c_new = 5.467069519283969
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5165.931604038781
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0009583708265795, b_new = -0.7885605013093199, c_new = 5.2720412196237
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3057.462424584637
Acceptance probability: 1.397560212680677e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6090450906553095, b_new = -1.003219890680486, c_new = 5.916061243508217
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11593.789288723134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9301933887343807, b_new = -1.0776726753273145, c_new = 5.043470832089119
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3259.2792198911
Acceptance probability: 3.143764251477523e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.252126899984713, b_new = -0.2546846694881748, c_new = 5.05746558202795
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7654.824013657814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0991825944849984, b_new = -1.0715268849760233, c_new = 4.3823977055338865
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13623.155302199171
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3693095706201124, b_new = -0.6988508675132039, c_new = 5.071576140962017
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10949.73958800377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8329209929756778, b_new = -1.3008439294167848, c_new = 5.179335058232752
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14759.454525935003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.698804787295051, b_new = -1.8906819703868867, c_new = 5.06397996476296
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8931.068877562644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0017587878310827, b_new = -1.4291914020229917, c_new = 5.816863174121371
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3070.1227749301897
Acceptance probability: 4.436599583835898e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8533694261648743, b_new = -1.826024755531384, c_new = 4.230601219860872
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11913.02787223451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3936191346094486, b_new = -1.1368790038370216, c_new = 4.7311892753980365
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8045.600737978255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8123563994824607, b_new = -2.856329314977214, c_new = 4.87094954486674
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9490.027050651517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3120758212834684, b_new = -0.8285263211226543, c_new = 4.75145033300493
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7193.715943825868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.815464108697724, b_new = -1.1520989941320376, c_new = 5.619687298802288
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4504.890896406387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8073916564255335, b_new = -0.7599391792610813, c_new = 4.25202953409486
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4239.836119426822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0923861878744363, b_new = -0.19794910892667528, c_new = 4.554272913804862
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4405.604876611265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.199878446552215, b_new = -0.24312994373595642, c_new = 5.494659879256555
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6685.393285617492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.017806368406843, b_new = -0.8370383116047617, c_new = 5.52430652693916
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13504.09642572894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.622671029048068, b_new = -0.5533705952662343, c_new = 5.654363462755748
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6677.822050004772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.562185348276424, b_new = -1.8292461608111728, c_new = 5.5320793179790515
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10701.907689557227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5729794573136826, b_new = -0.8730403280466625, c_new = 5.064547253791354
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8617.023497261907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.174658006553216, b_new = -0.6141135505790217, c_new = 5.962818739439841
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5323.4587632689245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7169411476258443, b_new = -0.9365479426559716, c_new = 4.460686879341974
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12157.391612633737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0833048219856547, b_new = -0.4712451372539489, c_new = 4.987998584892001
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3916.9746951962306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.845568170312468, b_new = -1.1646612490804455, c_new = 4.306214602211119
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4412.508611870404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.591655244085338, b_new = -0.7220160991954723, c_new = 4.771863961664284
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8016.182277402142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4107241657085194, b_new = -0.6367764507632441, c_new = 4.854784206047063
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10449.562271129464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.733648859743484, b_new = -0.9554417602335474, c_new = 4.513581200892357
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5862.51912075528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.068066304657005, b_new = -0.9649816707434244, c_new = 5.779901232440306
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3310.7480462164253
Acceptance probability: 1.3957984382008123e-130
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4160900707150734, b_new = -1.626185630601611, c_new = 4.520445497940453
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7137.78228489327
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2742033413766167, b_new = -0.8766416360086432, c_new = 5.43156966451364
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6495.376382731276
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1275929576068364, b_new = -1.3295244993492403, c_new = 4.19559069763775
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13810.491330580942
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.813330716471361, b_new = -0.24833943870866937, c_new = 5.634367301524948
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3326.9882071588536
Acceptance probability: 1.23540804609136e-137
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.616003212448462, b_new = -1.6322062191061106, c_new = 6.319017461626164
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10740.267992229526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2531411330002693, b_new = -0.40605399890662286, c_new = 5.674025876859605
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7491.518667987624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1483572410639, b_new = -0.9594991391353439, c_new = 4.612827301897956
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3878.653849267504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3129435683515864, b_new = -0.9306734318801402, c_new = 5.063700662886758
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11850.287231628556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7393645358673835, b_new = -1.1778556621616347, c_new = 4.452148708087187
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11994.436128437928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.811257529761024, b_new = -0.92170646854389, c_new = 4.960845521280998
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12940.804108022414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3681513189482573, b_new = -0.934447285015394, c_new = 4.7024880398063615
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8064.985897050347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9952357541218397, b_new = -1.0390229136958193, c_new = 5.520412247643647
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3012.9858842278813
Acceptance probability: 0.28925879937889587
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.643990663577652, b_new = -1.281796580097476, c_new = 5.709231885833088
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8112.763902833737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.985383039260781, b_new = -0.6469559909490772, c_new = 5.16008497528044
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3061.4666209187153
Acceptance probability: 2.549001880224086e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4763677887027096, b_new = -1.4243131374869202, c_new = 5.906041032511576
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9237.122637525825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6890068217338987, b_new = -1.3566481605744007, c_new = 4.768085391456358
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11422.618506123827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0994147883392325, b_new = -0.892747388451529, c_new = 5.149608855718068
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3546.3055244283314
Acceptance probability: 6.974446537894482e-233
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4481012403416935, b_new = -1.676007922776145, c_new = 5.805084893211643
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11592.625036464866
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.797395147109231, b_new = -1.12223638019662, c_new = 5.092789419179238
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4878.537273558243
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8037252695122556, b_new = -0.29881380030120364, c_new = 4.56299414709097
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3563.397669466625
Acceptance probability: 2.633209877695711e-240
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.550219252650722, b_new = -1.6326803384172455, c_new = 4.7115692714151765
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10745.34879083566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2324775996452337, b_new = -1.2837280479793696, c_new = 4.147855592155287
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4368.447292019546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9997250758681782, b_new = -1.0206309683761998, c_new = 5.639972742112448
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13750.695700287266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.416195657718049, b_new = -0.8648003282762426, c_new = 3.8274639236003516
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8822.07036198875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.297736628603706, b_new = 0.17009042803646346, c_new = 5.053791590245157
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10223.2301363513
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.71349909966003, b_new = -0.593995924600132, c_new = 4.954312974003593
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5237.02004022045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2760033181937533, b_new = -1.1469201590973568, c_new = 4.876246933414446
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5612.919807604527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.775442875156395, b_new = -0.934868906017816, c_new = 6.254249562347161
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4555.386505550849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.353939644930782, b_new = -1.0536967764545224, c_new = 5.2936006160184625
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7673.172033715996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5287440477292757, b_new = -1.3045944224431105, c_new = 5.604364732167755
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10044.913718312431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4280369979453433, b_new = -1.0270005127003285, c_new = 4.953899838008356
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10937.46331665252
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4207140884229164, b_new = -0.19183063012555213, c_new = 5.0959163610069504
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9408.348045008071
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5962951006254515, b_new = -1.1461928260381116, c_new = 4.8359066846749705
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10914.948610725578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0335281111102845, b_new = -0.35518410615677165, c_new = 4.869567044841625
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3530.7629388500745
Acceptance probability: 3.922553726171043e-226
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8934476195170546, b_new = -2.0694090718719944, c_new = 5.330598172621841
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5243.233301973475
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.447429252657332, b_new = -0.8166497088681997, c_new = 5.180100138881544
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9887.848533985969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.447187414319843, b_new = -1.8100065576011344, c_new = 5.486171316233892
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7623.7371460751
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.702661319581943, b_new = -1.4235195739307955, c_new = 5.273422029140612
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11578.235968661884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.688751674921118, b_new = -1.8329114043172499, c_new = 4.710760077160521
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9113.270456046326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8448172390151547, b_new = -2.171725688804723, c_new = 5.711121169302334
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6353.47482075371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.561661430097089, b_new = -1.631158932160631, c_new = 4.76529362389138
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10577.129687162382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.824269401825773, b_new = -0.8772231615548987, c_new = 4.556539657269293
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4138.600103438188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.052070701068471, b_new = -1.4312638827917925, c_new = 4.7031488253696905
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3024.371442511475
Acceptance probability: 3.285499786460967e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.213181688749528, b_new = -0.8418894670706227, c_new = 5.34011702840045
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5291.146502993465
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7582883566342407, b_new = -1.3749019539183895, c_new = 4.700766321109736
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11933.293222243788
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.600084366253137, b_new = -1.6623278116509725, c_new = 4.841376655297816
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10073.76630979431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9512121608220356, b_new = -1.2488439223466998, c_new = 4.784061420943221
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3293.7415150434163
Acceptance probability: 3.393636738956599e-123
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6393301494127632, b_new = -0.3065553193203038, c_new = 5.1414168072422886
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5907.771096676058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.818676615147952, b_new = -1.6959618450164524, c_new = 4.015710074592351
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11782.264353334216
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.512493451940746, b_new = -0.25921287078730737, c_new = 4.765040595705945
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8301.022166794022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.693675060942236, b_new = -0.3606560858200182, c_new = 4.271444887361845
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12706.621952609037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0801092152438976, b_new = -2.187219278706638, c_new = 4.3997771366461125
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3337.3875271536263
Acceptance probability: 3.762210890544541e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4752456365248054, b_new = -1.68776293327383, c_new = 5.9059101375750345
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11307.901533234919
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.614688502928754, b_new = -0.7944656949406106, c_new = 4.38198682129448
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7910.59703715452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.050027568514822, b_new = -1.0731472009101046, c_new = 4.377997373466488
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13870.506469723516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.800360241796654, b_new = -0.563440550897891, c_new = 5.55095878460584
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13469.996309874175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8783683063547145, b_new = -0.5769702849605638, c_new = 4.6263134188583335
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3240.979566969566
Acceptance probability: 2.785404389999629e-100
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.705584783693789, b_new = -0.018712246788398446, c_new = 5.248140986471876
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4187.582622157975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7916331944347403, b_new = -1.6335137420367882, c_new = 4.7195507517305
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11838.592902291022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1570931101304955, b_new = -1.8155844388638713, c_new = 5.139673845174204
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3165.5345867466085
Acceptance probability: 1.6226574717018477e-67
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.376814970401824, b_new = -1.533334430036843, c_new = 4.6588307181302735
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6622.584667992709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.895114428056686, b_new = -2.1194886899055607, c_new = 5.095390335378141
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5415.6882798037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.904078930834609, b_new = -1.1912187195029762, c_new = 5.74536152870005
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3473.6817322396473
Acceptance probability: 2.418922487773564e-201
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.647412402513413, b_new = -1.6069918305550768, c_new = 5.086179901711943
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9123.74638001337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.624417247229768, b_new = -0.24201674396208417, c_new = 3.937587038186977
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6439.25725470054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1426923229888923, b_new = -1.2046033677658106, c_new = 4.481565512548832
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3490.5877333332705
Acceptance probability: 1.100117228360709e-208
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4282887362275933, b_new = -1.2450925290304358, c_new = 5.186129268344498
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8593.26329063775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.982708306111873, b_new = -1.6303070905248063, c_new = 5.324937097208199
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3348.191453734329
Acceptance probability: 7.644647055978649e-147
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.61261778276936, b_new = -1.2553413967684413, c_new = 5.169437602458827
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8823.616316279154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.350142409347794, b_new = -1.0009740018650408, c_new = 5.593456277676801
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7859.590042314907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4884917315470028, b_new = -0.9648422087675043, c_new = 4.948195725087698
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10060.526909965814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2821629763626015, b_new = -1.272622281466614, c_new = 5.36575223236242
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5584.1409242068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1857630728891175, b_new = -0.21272264526258555, c_new = 5.727977271662123
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6552.1647875342
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.132054592604474, b_new = -1.155952950620735, c_new = 5.951296146534518
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13145.68789977249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3626936136123344, b_new = -1.4528291795840205, c_new = 5.627016944568204
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12056.112957241668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.862632078225713, b_new = -1.5187917607820571, c_new = 5.170109505191837
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4607.800504138455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1889242109492177, b_new = -0.6803453248750343, c_new = 5.614169237858617
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5312.9729396923485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.482518856576464, b_new = -0.7409042221725222, c_new = 4.980427043092889
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9720.195857903931
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7632024782909608, b_new = -0.431856402683228, c_new = 5.2557311148665065
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4076.353897139097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.245944391217498, b_new = -1.4894629278748321, c_new = 5.2409935136057575
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4445.15071393293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.969093021303978, b_new = -2.0173376728450814, c_new = 4.850626303400914
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12570.735744217647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1852100161567427, b_new = -2.099548280287576, c_new = 4.740968297463326
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3144.1648601697616
Acceptance probability: 3.097285119146869e-58
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.824381006133025, b_new = -1.2484002736551352, c_new = 4.941017780565949
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4736.472296027308
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.004722213064805, b_new = -0.6491805217196875, c_new = 4.4115043719721525
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3074.2527767336906
Acceptance probability: 7.135316480557187e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981833643589504, b_new = -0.8507683749926301, c_new = 5.532989858268793
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3021.4864875931908
Acceptance probability: 5.8819515767503204e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.550278370554733, b_new = -1.2935726132164107, c_new = 4.560701599806309
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10096.068432653869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9685482869062363, b_new = -0.9537058871001082, c_new = 5.007493499887929
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3037.4995977569206
Acceptance probability: 6.53305121252751e-12
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.464502066258772, b_new = -1.254450278656902, c_new = 5.675712761796403
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10713.30316589292
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.741021149617795, b_new = -0.4292273486163838, c_new = 4.765719545903642
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4488.6967842781
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.028941843364909, b_new = -0.8741654080981001, c_new = 3.9988141949382667
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13857.842301325341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.825829918076703, b_new = -1.8685542197455751, c_new = 5.087728655813279
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6163.657342452161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2564095720028057, b_new = -0.6771598686968526, c_new = 5.165051762376289
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6562.437796125916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.416036521926972, b_new = -2.0014952407112645, c_new = 5.355381019638479
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6456.098138184537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3827300815883437, b_new = -0.8481710486697793, c_new = 4.625102099116239
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8548.928552862688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0074837767500386, b_new = -1.365264878259845, c_new = 6.032685868980081
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3029.963280603426
Acceptance probability: 1.2248897946496141e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.59978099313121, b_new = -0.588556264141605, c_new = 5.167937621302849
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11933.89108777314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4060687690466316, b_new = -1.1881031026214388, c_new = 5.076676813848511
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11409.411417884356
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.515173771303191, b_new = -1.2831067795492241, c_new = 5.200047912499262
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9856.194089086455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1663492547648877, b_new = -0.6399286417306662, c_new = 4.827770620286445
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4758.056588707658
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2197242005797757, b_new = -0.7549324647175697, c_new = 4.420460302131034
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5326.421591032138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.884329801317259, b_new = -2.3469012502691697, c_new = 6.126585000783922
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5838.392450684392
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7094408355422526, b_new = -0.3368891773484928, c_new = 5.609540747639334
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13213.530341354377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.660436311489952, b_new = -1.4875055919536757, c_new = 5.153980749875997
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8550.544549452696
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1013128172299633, b_new = -0.7173589781732583, c_new = 5.032117348344691
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3770.5230620762213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.594331139813615, b_new = -0.9063298226401426, c_new = 4.7167961906810785
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11253.782606450677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2498026268624502, b_new = -0.6157075134162382, c_new = 4.552003131443225
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6353.958749603367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9091069258323228, b_new = -0.9055364896599363, c_new = 4.314073208242869
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3341.5337701319763
Acceptance probability: 5.953230390719708e-144
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3279211183274557, b_new = -0.4736987032281036, c_new = 5.429715286985307
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8803.866736982322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6712588419626777, b_new = -1.3983759110240894, c_new = 6.00663784653574
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7774.554311396997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2238128785131144, b_new = -0.7581751516623771, c_new = 5.465202761076164
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12187.001007547598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3822630467131476, b_new = -1.1396566959475964, c_new = 4.852710927160953
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11626.612578130897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.151332515113749, b_new = -1.1380673182092413, c_new = 4.866110257152047
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3709.7703395449344
Acceptance probability: 7.1062839865098006e-304
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.877347193363155, b_new = -1.6359382617294278, c_new = 5.301839347329257
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12566.394913666596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1235368814565, b_new = -1.2285884406757384, c_new = 4.63090807150194
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3333.4418938143413
Acceptance probability: 1.9454045313165385e-140
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.771826674795179, b_new = -0.5901776319496609, c_new = 4.627751592609704
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4357.606772783709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2099973320666004, b_new = -1.5338845749079395, c_new = 6.025419395438023
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4043.8441350619432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5792241470299313, b_new = -1.730552887132977, c_new = 4.7943759526216265
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9685.980557215105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3661017542232363, b_new = -1.3490277306540388, c_new = 5.041682072013232
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7023.183774589717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4162936322861435, b_new = -1.3454346217775466, c_new = 4.067603662055798
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7711.831777930805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3270172249327135, b_new = -0.15134169359171845, c_new = 5.273506262959913
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9575.939435757653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.030853397701851, b_new = -2.040378080141808, c_new = 4.938148622723678
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3456.151089523305
Acceptance probability: 9.933066612696194e-194
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5866778332878044, b_new = -1.0777288549637218, c_new = 4.6204833519642445
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9040.99481423116
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8536161101837645, b_new = -1.6882431796547754, c_new = 5.126819522190273
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5141.868520491583
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2195323784843684, b_new = -1.3183208491793126, c_new = 4.377318123320066
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4175.107186675341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9877118709776243, b_new = -0.9798458474626659, c_new = 5.152944657621067
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3013.722479057505
Acceptance probability: 0.13848014491678418
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.78140852847792, b_new = -0.4529506809868613, c_new = 5.386701955141635
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3861.4266212218295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4068553483115185, b_new = -1.130227780731088, c_new = 5.531162554650547
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8618.963172451256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6015925226739354, b_new = -1.249779482874815, c_new = 5.449445693538748
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10977.6463687402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.548786137421361, b_new = -1.3965500571169804, c_new = 4.694844801142505
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9906.634006809993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.353126566194559, b_new = -1.4549708122583938, c_new = 5.155825979822122
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12273.333586410088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1369500311410596, b_new = -0.8054745143667228, c_new = 5.314373612187519
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4128.029488146112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.217314759395084, b_new = -1.0293062433690872, c_new = 5.564020483064052
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5004.935712293018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.273402044899919, b_new = -2.250501496775579, c_new = 4.553068891575266
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13996.322300633816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.161916505442396, b_new = -1.1160397784178668, c_new = 4.2835085984022125
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3755.1257919596787
Acceptance probability: 1.5e-323
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.17648733166596, b_new = -1.919980293689851, c_new = 5.1434699396898615
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3203.390538865948
Acceptance probability: 5.882957910470455e-84
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.488568958211134, b_new = -0.8220259522049616, c_new = 4.6405013889444815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9917.67064513873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6226444038483656, b_new = -1.5781499943705268, c_new = 4.104093312200117
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10260.023358042057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8618521786552136, b_new = -0.34087582110989734, c_new = 5.732606503019282
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3128.3982399971346
Acceptance probability: 2.1794019001610886e-51
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.955028362366289, b_new = -0.9973811044158996, c_new = 5.193994984235622
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3080.062327742399
Acceptance probability: 2.139721720213209e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4311260425209036, b_new = -0.6104229400126723, c_new = 4.44695956586361
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9843.330586171875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7705079510922395, b_new = -0.7072625957357466, c_new = 4.414761152230343
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4653.559377631909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4071623941665417, b_new = -1.3587884577646416, c_new = 4.112634958155949
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7511.157088237411
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7652969296713568, b_new = -0.8845835668234568, c_new = 4.332792564822215
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14829.965048644615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.082952923830791, b_new = -1.8254087856179861, c_new = 3.977426607082683
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3129.4133933652083
Acceptance probability: 7.896994202330065e-52
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.492273061863212, b_new = -1.056805044897921, c_new = 4.935206870191621
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9921.361065259007
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.63527849021784, b_new = -1.3494175468428597, c_new = 6.0072444761416826
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11308.51579004259
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.877872220141883, b_new = -0.9476656616549403, c_new = 4.751976274774019
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3584.998715753057
Acceptance probability: 1.0946373687548483e-249
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2516150983839527, b_new = -1.4963413918067188, c_new = 5.4717789241890085
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4576.506326292616
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2695672491836207, b_new = -1.4669446698064847, c_new = 4.281916880396732
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13132.628561769357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.938959377356547, b_new = -1.1866036313718817, c_new = 4.191657438222585
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3405.488981564523
Acceptance probability: 9.985211678824473e-172
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.330917136257329, b_new = -1.4694719461763917, c_new = 5.157527139880939
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12462.840584721296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.866795120332369, b_new = -1.2293286879325167, c_new = 5.508877606089478
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3952.47671767028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4975262814649315, b_new = -1.4441078608113882, c_new = 5.201686410444837
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10842.984926546338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.982239151987529, b_new = -0.1278461730721041, c_new = 5.720080611770637
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3498.892639928664
Acceptance probability: 2.7205947702738246e-212
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4446999848445357, b_new = -1.6094135628041304, c_new = 4.704379908017352
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7812.817721414594
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.776145830755755, b_new = -1.480351002512489, c_new = 4.3087920135045295
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11824.856282298242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6526756656476245, b_new = -1.730530656990616, c_new = 5.099437160995591
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9336.745790107783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7054037331102054, b_new = -0.30748983882294123, c_new = 4.905342501893229
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4780.941617309118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2735653741016533, b_new = -1.0651840878465133, c_new = 5.358565852503079
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5938.8909114512735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.016293770599321, b_new = -1.187064855194909, c_new = 4.175822850180632
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3040.443360990186
Acceptance probability: 3.440772308969592e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9074324410649175, b_new = -0.6603257785470892, c_new = 4.2818281048675635
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13613.125764724973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.936592459772904, b_new = -1.1676188861545755, c_new = 4.927579317141834
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3304.943595898363
Acceptance probability: 4.630879193827953e-128
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7754220920136743, b_new = -1.2196051293262868, c_new = 4.99317867630499
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12337.582086349088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6245835178672388, b_new = -0.06232993512874718, c_new = 4.17327816425035
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5910.076102221028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7523249413042192, b_new = -1.6689461845072358, c_new = 4.453576407025476
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7454.038573780234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.593129919298159, b_new = -0.7977999635456403, c_new = 5.353497015168457
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7968.808231963612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.636927841633025, b_new = -0.3897580148158206, c_new = 5.31285068721014
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6101.964540886014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6078831480658744, b_new = -1.23175971282046, c_new = 4.875759127082446
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10900.649061691942
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7563538312928957, b_new = -1.3479943645508685, c_new = 5.161721027773758
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6188.199550505269
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.51236417014236, b_new = -1.6997052142127838, c_new = 5.321204942239582
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8984.369504240418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3079439884490727, b_new = -0.8293196586566726, c_new = 4.895291777424065
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7157.821584290727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5893837269456204, b_new = -0.772536310294178, c_new = 4.743966581456383
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8195.152851438193
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9926631197027653, b_new = -2.485717147665409, c_new = 4.805070280149251
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4648.8720065801335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6062623393950037, b_new = -1.8034122472032286, c_new = 4.954482419762414
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9926.19371585503
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5725692592112352, b_new = -1.250919167939209, c_new = 5.190753160860701
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10595.393004033334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4783707951546887, b_new = -1.1977373001449834, c_new = 4.532520216999596
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9299.612885854283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.866987705696039, b_new = -1.755886272204074, c_new = 4.354140507062799
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12121.52402838767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.442888316973478, b_new = -1.184713264421371, c_new = 5.597188688136462
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10854.372214184988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094603817727156, b_new = -1.1575146741867965, c_new = 5.425752433374236
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3281.193701637687
Acceptance probability: 9.552377453135575e-118
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9821661262287105, b_new = -1.1993562607607635, c_new = 4.90063732103638
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3091.6377022959396
Acceptance probability: 2.0101848735342708e-35
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4952240473048573, b_new = -1.419775377803585, c_new = 5.062091427887921
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10870.501961928914
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8633224257423286, b_new = -1.3268885329493412, c_new = 5.598096196242976
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12932.701455895922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1992329206019163, b_new = -1.0434102153126839, c_new = 5.174292236629473
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12799.09123796072
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9098778635213067, b_new = -1.7230717324049751, c_new = 3.262647499563208
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12191.715685627469
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2787557813864603, b_new = -0.5970147687249147, c_new = 4.776009234862173
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7131.460741798471
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.597923283682495, b_new = -1.295078714428266, c_new = 5.692552194163461
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8977.983752062237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.342007407950899, b_new = -0.9204039588776014, c_new = 5.407930764283693
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7838.92617404233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7552181321390146, b_new = -0.7632918034429006, c_new = 4.67005268840002
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4952.93140018582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.628308630267654, b_new = -1.2694978901842269, c_new = 5.197502648786601
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11131.710961698482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8047671323382195, b_new = -0.9413059385944151, c_new = 5.093492308015465
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12910.687671034253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8403239340384707, b_new = -1.7292056310623023, c_new = 5.13175674849029
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12163.911783370291
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7054486299066927, b_new = -1.571669638292305, c_new = 5.553982950416431
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7723.63770573847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.08388009975458, b_new = -1.5952410686560625, c_new = 5.065316616330674
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13685.209563530028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.303568560258322, b_new = -1.3277222286395207, c_new = 4.963574787555436
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5742.892945830995
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.899182801658288, b_new = -0.5225017126624226, c_new = 5.231426092141815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3082.0898036119734
Acceptance probability: 2.8173169805312166e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.457077488114041, b_new = -1.677131399584878, c_new = 5.0387437222292775
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7994.0803943897945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0304408421770668, b_new = -0.9108439950802512, c_new = 4.962158544697416
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3079.289219713239
Acceptance probability: 4.6356842387780935e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.469853921101223, b_new = -1.0168896095136202, c_new = 4.98297601217927
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9712.246006322006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.322640114604176, b_new = -1.3721504315043314, c_new = 5.348988622803912
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12333.456361350523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.482261096173355, b_new = -0.9936500181223489, c_new = 4.9608718162417595
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10234.194429036881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.717668234466733, b_new = -0.42579880511580626, c_new = 4.9181308818888345
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12957.56139938183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4623688317069896, b_new = -0.7305020781943244, c_new = 5.998415340826689
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9640.643601417207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0070820843410413, b_new = -1.5403577225562946, c_new = 4.706650056939545
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3198.0563166287916
Acceptance probability: 1.219604516755742e-81
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3883637426902733, b_new = -0.5972964193437996, c_new = 4.950223280639143
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9395.486803277317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5229962236325916, b_new = -1.5845459193959013, c_new = 5.19278083873313
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9346.491146827393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9763049369951022, b_new = -1.014727107809125, c_new = 5.118425701788942
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3033.384924897329
Acceptance probability: 4.000329643037599e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.403569664663882, b_new = -0.5016385037938235, c_new = 4.073698121621949
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9543.465841595127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.935934051524081, b_new = -0.7134915966774793, c_new = 5.771969395778177
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13708.848883900962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0388653373987395, b_new = -1.8356238874744477, c_new = 5.402418225735575
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13296.712909389476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.074011789477626, b_new = -0.25518545216465427, c_new = 5.087966667932151
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4178.256200122792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.666357857631867, b_new = -0.8147588710310545, c_new = 5.20322988372335
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6623.857560034294
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8046842846443867, b_new = -2.3594330370242016, c_new = 5.318981977584051
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11089.914140626279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8048721065619673, b_new = -1.3969077950172855, c_new = 4.9319569140135675
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5420.984813978683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7316463820043055, b_new = -0.9969292502079489, c_new = 5.199980385637502
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12380.100174518928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1035556629005026, b_new = -1.10756953163316, c_new = 4.963049451583404
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13492.869574940098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5374279211275845, b_new = -0.8834002753963293, c_new = 4.619974907331645
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10686.649367739246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6287392537780505, b_new = -1.4998172453991163, c_new = 5.732454032958685
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10916.950022131121
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6428089683920915, b_new = -1.233209464845961, c_new = 4.820720392439423
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11216.196900123778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4711626178273507, b_new = -1.1864022142660804, c_new = 5.438580107899238
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9522.93962835299
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.440238651167873, b_new = -1.2967653001799648, c_new = 3.9938232202185633
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11605.01844050685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.934265523638148, b_new = -1.301963265402384, c_new = 5.134139835016827
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3422.629901171508
Acceptance probability: 3.590463167869722e-179
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3877569891630865, b_new = -1.3979011349784503, c_new = 4.518673121786535
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7155.217775029023
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.243309353337212, b_new = -0.3486622337894437, c_new = 5.459271465923349
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11463.526436208173
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.933865088761064, b_new = -0.9693812593144493, c_new = 5.172152816744855
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3152.9990228785646
Acceptance probability: 4.5118335497167084e-62
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9557858357630407, b_new = -0.5178611322503284, c_new = 4.570661648982926
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3020.5865710153776
Acceptance probability: 0.00014466059557189043
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0744466849966, b_new = -1.7370278174994171, c_new = 5.143208266647143
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14242.657468884967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8317284165907086, b_new = -1.5252781156675113, c_new = 4.717128389989868
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5295.6535477054495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5296172281792138, b_new = -0.2800262157879275, c_new = 4.180963271936794
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8259.05980744902
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0940327904960165, b_new = -2.107892106263572, c_new = 4.203567764333225
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3226.3713665362957
Acceptance probability: 6.153881008125304e-94
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.044333424137371, b_new = -1.8261764892535437, c_new = 5.158120258610332
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13278.110855117786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8883914331586513, b_new = -1.7293772542307813, c_new = 5.034718048348012
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14961.450303236623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.004266164249658, b_new = -1.953416394824678, c_new = 5.616250289725864
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3467.1730875604426
Acceptance probability: 1.6228949948393865e-198
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1624209265198675, b_new = -1.1795114658471249, c_new = 4.830345064445137
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3767.9879864109826
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3195638798582507, b_new = -1.3075313811578746, c_new = 5.061639696270393
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6159.736533715065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8011352721833844, b_new = -1.1458655325562126, c_new = 4.420765212717315
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14906.68069239281
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1206449307043487, b_new = -1.6987575454205404, c_new = 5.304126251374592
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3082.3389426299836
Acceptance probability: 2.1960185893428377e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9587193921016057, b_new = -1.2421440823348993, c_new = 4.582456914283565
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3264.0139565747727
Acceptance probability: 2.7617219785267154e-110
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.399328205735399, b_new = -1.1144346523233537, c_new = 5.185734353349834
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8386.144320577738
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4770319290062703, b_new = -0.8947267697011391, c_new = 5.165437644288919
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10037.988767250707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8664218119995213, b_new = -1.736217066040001, c_new = 4.58085928734263
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5202.073465295323
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3724027708907203, b_new = -1.215568763000757, c_new = 5.1457526275475685
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7557.563276378868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5743230900030376, b_new = -2.1662217149348244, c_new = 4.886721621729038
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8791.819922003688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8776652244059404, b_new = -1.327182241346667, c_new = 5.141518213254567
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4048.6248777757355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7293677138877026, b_new = -1.2529424465444738, c_new = 4.943209445727507
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11945.947490331255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9010314540980193, b_new = -0.1372369948319091, c_new = 4.938449228502175
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3046.0454396272853
Acceptance probability: 1.2697086992572398e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7091518871622664, b_new = -1.2183646679710702, c_new = 4.712328772119428
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15198.291411828814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4518715034876437, b_new = -1.5384354353496854, c_new = 4.622758747531981
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8097.139268588746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3173844946509283, b_new = -1.3404393834166874, c_new = 4.777290146481254
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5931.299726009088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6934103518655657, b_new = -1.2515822538153176, c_new = 4.619482038860948
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7460.804054013404
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.311499082804649, b_new = -1.2209625239764257, c_new = 4.734365981572583
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6104.571963555862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2912912989667893, b_new = -0.5678366298807885, c_new = 4.813995655205644
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11557.347985987746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.080952374613032, b_new = -1.0905169505239887, c_new = 4.897086071423609
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3197.054611008422
Acceptance probability: 3.32088814254443e-81
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.097573783562302, b_new = -0.6849419551354056, c_new = 5.686679811068665
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12862.956161408016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.363008121086274, b_new = -1.7860501235894417, c_new = 5.937892264049274
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12446.58675402535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4316819541802044, b_new = -0.8424986318376663, c_new = 4.789704971809037
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9461.065102724591
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2944610955507034, b_new = -1.6377960317671751, c_new = 4.651931302136253
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4780.975581947498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.018316276736329, b_new = -1.6575727539648288, c_new = 5.513259980305012
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3140.227182259076
Acceptance probability: 1.5888868623147642e-56
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.140039205347067, b_new = -0.8822785418328825, c_new = 5.571183762823468
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4099.425757442736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.99645902549183, b_new = -1.0745866134675377, c_new = 4.770623855429509
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3023.316059460474
Acceptance probability: 9.439488868090687e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.308219158700874, b_new = -1.9445562301218686, c_new = 5.263196474420952
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4553.837795352663
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.843842336628837, b_new = -1.106032774454316, c_new = 5.6816204261059475
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4012.729580156303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4450992129189464, b_new = -1.381883148147295, c_new = 4.80969180398068
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11435.20700510907
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1126909016060686, b_new = -1.8302817322812892, c_new = 4.957003552984843
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14214.3050216532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2505452977548526, b_new = -1.5346124463372484, c_new = 5.045249966435891
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13126.505242120118
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.743530611245977, b_new = -1.256873305754753, c_new = 6.193305676911442
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12389.196861130264
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8540095478382694, b_new = -2.0927103508133262, c_new = 5.901404052218316
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5871.397670178487
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.635952961950448, b_new = -0.8449302530652831, c_new = 5.043918396972175
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7375.874708316741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9737016184296756, b_new = -1.200633101902386, c_new = 4.9777792378954056
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3119.2736024527435
Acceptance probability: 2.00040098676976e-47
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.559734367424894, b_new = -1.6496941966283334, c_new = 4.074207022922576
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9378.551574753723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0778366368944567, b_new = -1.470637911434852, c_new = 5.167854817873679
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3035.7611822278914
Acceptance probability: 3.716210740200206e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9056402647514634, b_new = -1.391165337605604, c_new = 4.7353885801858056
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3892.4970107377612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.075073143727189, b_new = -0.6540706903634044, c_new = 4.945429870286688
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3569.6866297626416
Acceptance probability: 4.889052738841989e-243
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5374631650867405, b_new = -0.9606693564727914, c_new = 5.347746562866683
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10775.865452969287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.447953718478016, b_new = -1.1650038789620893, c_new = 5.1182605570415065
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10915.227478539258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9729886832597114, b_new = -1.303586577461569, c_new = 5.078013004178516
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3175.144437011117
Acceptance probability: 1.0882330515979505e-71
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5790816007807758, b_new = -1.7973534723209754, c_new = 5.228982811258064
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9687.662841144296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1866946201943955, b_new = -0.48792353969772695, c_new = 5.848034626568238
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5842.767231509578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4614727163546544, b_new = -1.6672805069805157, c_new = 5.221328993944996
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11631.648329600077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7765397849388096, b_new = -1.088571405880505, c_new = 4.942988294288202
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5217.102003357236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.164056541769733, b_new = -1.1033184856851412, c_new = 5.231866498237414
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3974.708108487758
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0649138606237045, b_new = -1.2544034457767745, c_new = 4.456215349372491
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3043.7241020941806
Acceptance probability: 1.2937434867310856e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7359180761837654, b_new = -1.7420596398415982, c_new = 4.204286088765288
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8128.351340072387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9779150035187985, b_new = -0.498944075292575, c_new = 5.043461288375759
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14283.391785707741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5943819426795955, b_new = -1.933770820659305, c_new = 5.125858124946733
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9591.982495312068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0104271468668196, b_new = -1.8157066925438183, c_new = 5.272951841407216
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3331.6333628279554
Acceptance probability: 1.1869842349185186e-139
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.109867052762553, b_new = -0.5049719217851527, c_new = 4.849218371556182
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14756.983785239068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3229308595581224, b_new = -2.0257680163895007, c_new = 5.247435438270513
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13237.980417674089
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4363658134989428, b_new = -1.8544177881908108, c_new = 5.001250393927078
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7122.951823957614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4091648484274306, b_new = -1.2994503744318853, c_new = 4.730358312275004
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7926.112145668836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7952817723784547, b_new = -0.8605347090453126, c_new = 4.423596880958838
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4562.653907426638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.032518308259175, b_new = -1.2283954860383364, c_new = 4.6362727221342634
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3016.7648348414696
Acceptance probability: 0.0066085956532374425
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.119315387524899, b_new = -1.5766135391826264, c_new = 5.119909320908874
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3118.581759909486
Acceptance probability: 3.995585781403548e-47
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.435179161826519, b_new = -1.993882406846574, c_new = 5.205606034045988
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12403.932281888441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.07025533504407, b_new = -1.561308147943446, c_new = 4.4292225522634725
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14262.429661664492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.048809014426704, b_new = -1.3513611940844623, c_new = 4.717777555119619
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13686.417921108085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.945760045437673, b_new = -0.7643114372716671, c_new = 4.492313602511746
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3056.748558600096
Acceptance probability: 2.85363607142765e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9472089225349016, b_new = -0.7429331945662514, c_new = 5.14967316750127
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13926.910980672244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7549196417490736, b_new = -1.0506996606740036, c_new = 5.177558352631745
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5458.297936452906
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6172631176779935, b_new = -1.647110475228129, c_new = 4.393309568411548
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10165.115507304536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.146730301734842, b_new = -1.698276498995317, c_new = 5.228576584811723
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3185.2911091806536
Acceptance probability: 4.2665631607582014e-76
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4159228066728025, b_new = -0.7859752497448782, c_new = 4.946241587307156
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10635.8468982881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3974435236351277, b_new = -1.2103776201592464, c_new = 4.90877451339624
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11582.33666901058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.793685606999272, b_new = -1.8710678926223028, c_new = 5.616699639660391
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6652.714889904064
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.754581224743876, b_new = -0.8062579976102916, c_new = 4.495560255251516
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5110.116233946375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8317742852045495, b_new = -0.8394008587443669, c_new = 5.710184024713851
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13364.657122020015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6954634356675764, b_new = -1.3571459866087874, c_new = 5.321583402846525
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11629.321429788346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.665403579173879, b_new = -1.3208193856345012, c_new = 5.317468457117986
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11424.607961167208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7538944969793444, b_new = -1.2419283431445538, c_new = 5.456778907571077
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14917.541611667315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9468827327161224, b_new = -0.8855284195114673, c_new = 4.579842255832113
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3095.92854172562
Acceptance probability: 2.7526317417027743e-37
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9263437540488244, b_new = -0.12874289570354536, c_new = 4.250185427129516
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3049.969929732818
Acceptance probability: 2.5079547590530347e-17
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.672180794782182, b_new = -0.45106002274405477, c_new = 5.328699156097431
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5565.140836262581
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6413673662305106, b_new = -1.0751984825402459, c_new = 4.9217119409568335
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7921.4570418971625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1657076896251004, b_new = -0.9755329496597444, c_new = 5.931311464898778
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4381.4289712199225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9034419523103139, b_new = -1.4879454118899336, c_new = 5.956234600152816
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14500.284853286757
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.199774496685521, b_new = -0.6455736442186297, c_new = 5.977741492447569
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15193.638729253365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.945942047505044, b_new = -1.93394081984609, c_new = 5.064803528924302
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4194.374490948363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6801148441928477, b_new = -1.0822621380629756, c_new = 4.5525936802282505
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7298.270473836497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7736543680279397, b_new = -0.977592256017677, c_new = 5.092829850465272
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4975.086473624358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.853025737173182, b_new = -0.7759398868590981, c_new = 5.179805469686594
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3553.883786665578
Acceptance probability: 3.5670753019910683e-236
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8739117976626294, b_new = -0.9943203227941455, c_new = 5.383227273734051
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3579.112639392899
Acceptance probability: 3.94058548491601e-247
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.309751583217413, b_new = -1.8545578138107768, c_new = 5.39919765460122
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4785.936929129213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.027637088158105, b_new = -1.7076004426500326, c_new = 4.850122689337959
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3193.329357078239
Acceptance probability: 1.377563011208435e-79
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6052584476082146, b_new = -1.6034455404845904, c_new = 4.947584596217263
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10265.61495780039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.239586977632374, b_new = -1.1887432202396386, c_new = 3.9214762955052236
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4600.730596897959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.302777809335503, b_new = -1.4984663606878015, c_new = 5.013264072767544
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5328.341711980573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.384006934678546, b_new = -0.744292647728006, c_new = 4.168677346261964
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8668.277617442334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1174119677749905, b_new = -1.5490725388751767, c_new = 5.107992490844673
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3123.055687781448
Acceptance probability: 4.5559428933921785e-49
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3295405570072445, b_new = -0.7442232465895524, c_new = 6.182731272501622
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8396.800044283542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.835060107303458, b_new = -0.18927784165391692, c_new = 4.983004525722117
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3204.312836369105
Acceptance probability: 2.339090499216177e-84
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1524959343462227, b_new = -0.6572134326469878, c_new = 4.1944526452994735
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4340.809957110507
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.380622719482408, b_new = -1.1169289285149935, c_new = 5.3542824546180965
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8075.836556870896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4588820320792992, b_new = -0.8387204652637714, c_new = 5.176489510308766
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10152.473155910411
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5126350341596204, b_new = -1.5511675044520572, c_new = 5.012849625788823
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10935.21998320732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5119819170033564, b_new = -1.610335806564195, c_new = 4.335459482820634
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8855.856817539428
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.413331074453618, b_new = -0.7215580898462481, c_new = 5.624712357945633
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9754.480915324726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863060982177695, b_new = -0.9611539489700127, c_new = 5.551236794533466
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3619.1896759945903
Acceptance probability: 1.5499757593964935e-264
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4512227928283323, b_new = -1.1780838146981738, c_new = 4.256267479571675
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8824.242868215379
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8755960248279573, b_new = -0.14479570401421915, c_new = 5.229972638995285
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3059.2068202773944
Acceptance probability: 2.4422442993108546e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.828246083962719, b_new = -0.48644613264157543, c_new = 4.633223290435338
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3536.0209932464704
Acceptance probability: 2.041854966590565e-228
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5509:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7523133753636344, b_new = -1.9661895916672658, c_new = 4.4021383064469575
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8344.427336198352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5510:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7898721821607193, b_new = -1.4932814112549408, c_new = 5.2291240731577
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5856.467175208448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5511:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3217250812540624, b_new = -0.381995372953873, c_new = 4.5739891919018625
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8581.459154979131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5512:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2342592371002463, b_new = -1.3057941152143007, c_new = 5.715240668155848
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4744.068465880009
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5513:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4797191494029835, b_new = -1.2568065915766349, c_new = 5.9769298556777235
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9683.233009625195
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5514:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.674250823678449, b_new = -1.035405020421169, c_new = 4.960517061715229
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7135.774532089889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5515:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.288876506108854, b_new = -1.1057681712677467, c_new = 6.106829688058014
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6437.198873814892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5516:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.308370912089523, b_new = -2.433575863914328, c_new = 5.425901728179196
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3819.0594960743433
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5517:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2850942974156077, b_new = -1.6565379486526193, c_new = 4.560762706847464
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4572.983103883753
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5518:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5965846760961098, b_new = -1.4612343465222972, c_new = 4.895471384327783
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10401.944392899784
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5519:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.405578216343528, b_new = -0.7330953815312934, c_new = 5.0268521976477425
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9384.299648830198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5520:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.518054621855026, b_new = -1.9247158583380681, c_new = 4.952547773087201
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11596.4043310549
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5521:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7504705799979843, b_new = -1.2021150843962023, c_new = 6.2811208960194165
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12537.413039117446
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5522:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.513199990192126, b_new = -0.8968915706133952, c_new = 5.016057377778744
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9612.251900476567
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5523:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.261813034603661, b_new = -0.6081937184712055, c_new = 5.2879874841332715
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15261.335892124678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5524:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8708074184187655, b_new = -1.0658107102275576, c_new = 4.75407803742764
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3813.4957657898185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5525:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4698647166555547, b_new = -1.6877706534952217, c_new = 4.765622673483268
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11732.632674762854
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5526:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4506416420298733, b_new = -1.5228249573233275, c_new = 4.705010915620206
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8141.365835038873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5527:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.759178603080045, b_new = -1.6794308422523632, c_new = 5.643365829834689
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11769.510479636898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5528:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.24352267833326, b_new = -2.1750909596446997, c_new = 5.650263085234286
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3507.120059105823
Acceptance probability: 7.270112142194623e-216
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5529:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.651195389776562, b_new = -1.6499994622180698, c_new = 4.9961009513992645
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10680.802425260028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5530:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.423814585213016, b_new = -0.42997678073068357, c_new = 4.796083888471746
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10244.265634571278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5531:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3757895709409658, b_new = -1.1051561171309705, c_new = 4.449130105480581
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11755.332862768939
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5532:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2507867572738487, b_new = -1.6997592435146718, c_new = 5.178754280957219
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4134.90485341149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5533:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.994820023952784, b_new = -1.9885465928018349, c_new = 5.51403817935118
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3611.2699715720332
Acceptance probability: 4.263917912058191e-261
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5534:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.605853420353263, b_new = -0.9338566080394471, c_new = 4.561785924238852
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11272.652050232473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5535:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.199014906217771, b_new = -0.9746543001654414, c_new = 5.391126042608195
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14792.939018657376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5536:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.779702160610525, b_new = -1.6683201230707216, c_new = 5.633987374914235
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6384.767466498897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5537:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.852892428150634, b_new = -0.6029639505938339, c_new = 4.597017876222216
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3449.6474102353022
Acceptance probability: 6.63124959584119e-191
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5538:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.839038042860273, b_new = -1.5522703188558578, c_new = 4.720200771154121
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5223.291918485479
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5539:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3444045084912233, b_new = -1.1524420499990689, c_new = 5.065276592335241
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11919.832361042714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5540:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.325754384328373, b_new = -1.153918725990084, c_new = 5.077852134045355
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6710.381639102915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5541:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7921320614908396, b_new = -1.3120697554163563, c_new = 5.579357984685362
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12486.618769145629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5542:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7828449689451604, b_new = -1.336887218036773, c_new = 4.768580128800688
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5759.46468034821
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5543:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.030994775884269, b_new = -0.678276919011352, c_new = 4.471232584849684
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3169.8726625069567
Acceptance probability: 2.1194564101626633e-69
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5544:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1184880762881573, b_new = -0.4599822731382808, c_new = 4.664051816524794
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4324.707548020981
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5545:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1032601622204443, b_new = -0.595541273805443, c_new = 4.128180319002974
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3792.560463607345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5546:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.371388061340625, b_new = -1.4443156385225804, c_new = 4.793543636130139
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12218.779989562077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5547:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1796276745319294, b_new = -1.8103783857358893, c_new = 4.848892413627441
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3271.2507717601266
Acceptance probability: 1.987334878455578e-113
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5548:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.252458280847123, b_new = -0.7011774336849397, c_new = 5.734176704993726
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6633.113057079723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5549:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.070354177316515, b_new = -0.29534620075243334, c_new = 4.91894366524996
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14811.496885045402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5550:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4838369848062, b_new = -1.3032329725310317, c_new = 5.107977508331254
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9344.508117588122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5551:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8324063206742986, b_new = -0.6628787970968135, c_new = 4.502341604468001
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14363.944470557806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5552:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4378313855242113, b_new = -0.6390724215165178, c_new = 5.411375200614293
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9955.252746356786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5553:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1047250903563093, b_new = -1.2277415871959727, c_new = 5.263057933013224
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3272.435249838207
Acceptance probability: 6.0793725946647186e-114
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5554:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.776802751158143, b_new = -0.7771409087950892, c_new = 4.502442053530329
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4668.878429503504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9137386995544006, b_new = -0.6706354494187353, c_new = 6.108825805733099
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14083.395735502669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6130740810025963, b_new = -0.49443239204331524, c_new = 5.315968970540168
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6832.123542458453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1074647637934816, b_new = -0.3827690604805286, c_new = 5.029016909387482
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4403.192870203729
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9493264504838566, b_new = -1.3428704121361106, c_new = 5.225635160990834
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3334.955577750603
Acceptance probability: 4.281789790055968e-141
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8925820741944808, b_new = -1.4424458500901547, c_new = 4.833372897317867
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4116.279053741686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4837818985294633, b_new = -0.4095565812194384, c_new = 4.843410948351469
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11018.966176902906
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.136175691240515, b_new = -0.5377727333955474, c_new = 4.8894814205308705
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14831.50343317863
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.092545678282105, b_new = -0.24281234662862228, c_new = 4.6126148430199665
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4338.638134743466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8228173010538122, b_new = -1.0112012556005399, c_new = 4.231284973670998
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4482.012047277852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9548443068992234, b_new = -1.1368598249422917, c_new = 4.656292173186045
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3198.8331351763427
Acceptance probability: 5.60855541751437e-82
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.464088432176555, b_new = -0.8846801355842739, c_new = 4.220844913325741
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10494.162051719144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5736011260734943, b_new = -0.7948209988408574, c_new = 5.449516614439924
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11459.151888895227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4123240504926793, b_new = -1.2759301674884571, c_new = 5.320010489262323
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8266.540483000608
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1378748289502916, b_new = -1.205914776572344, c_new = 3.996843594430693
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13671.195984422091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8946091287404787, b_new = -0.25920339731155706, c_new = 5.27254816886711
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13563.408378194286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.398928781296816, b_new = -0.6293417600497219, c_new = 5.286290815644726
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9616.430162122468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3143036650907236, b_new = -0.6125166603828587, c_new = 5.0163695967936
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7961.282610559816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.381033160332414, b_new = -1.0275372143084522, c_new = 5.263664154556841
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8288.985776514048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4489846692325905, b_new = -0.703186188663995, c_new = 5.415639199626413
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10230.71639173987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7416334575390655, b_new = -0.49675241564816286, c_new = 5.116575279648371
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4521.4687772130055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2695671235881814, b_new = -1.6573864441954813, c_new = 4.579599581962848
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4342.9385644722015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3946547477264666, b_new = -0.6683894295375421, c_new = 4.793166598068374
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9271.754298638663
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.783308207555626, b_new = -0.9408749441902253, c_new = 5.164279249029112
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4715.7718706456035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0779520418628388, b_new = -1.1345588762733643, c_new = 4.9554919110989255
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3158.363217860211
Acceptance probability: 2.1120917925472898e-64
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9054980796366612, b_new = -0.5108975090820196, c_new = 4.930741687734311
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13835.387889511667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3878549523171837, b_new = -1.6071472486728637, c_new = 4.9705662363537435
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6765.077441127825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0506519452902205, b_new = -1.228967200089492, c_new = 5.440744310740847
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3045.848828040729
Acceptance probability: 1.5455797613930787e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1832440932570183, b_new = -0.8233834872556283, c_new = 5.537510988463014
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4858.577037794852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226389100698286, b_new = -0.7674580813009835, c_new = 4.822788184948599
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5556.065455653298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7054395518552687, b_new = 0.06987064913849816, c_new = 5.5471416373718
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4006.390206013566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.902039357895802, b_new = -0.7709194784503066, c_new = 5.020408878038726
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13646.599308936253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.062415234684498, b_new = -1.650851920270591, c_new = 4.954810952481887
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3043.026036989791
Acceptance probability: 2.6002433791129723e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4320010062978628, b_new = -1.5534998587607958, c_new = 5.94793022963805
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8160.973280555442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4505538646072407, b_new = -0.7340218296553898, c_new = 4.976581138759664
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10035.558583893464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8673235555631633, b_new = -1.6512065317900286, c_new = 5.012483242250384
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4854.380000257177
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1054064751063466, b_new = -1.5571949356437493, c_new = 4.690762256510057
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3066.724587192912
Acceptance probability: 1.3269801209814931e-24
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3143815810196426, b_new = -1.1305180542711113, c_new = 4.843447150679937
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6444.976882619376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.076924327159687, b_new = -1.8158844833551275, c_new = 4.808141854295289
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14388.959146803825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1624794297557637, b_new = -1.2221399615050625, c_new = 5.230903525020503
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3781.55195707675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.686188113491758, b_new = 0.5165838904796489, c_new = 4.497630284637
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3793.6431393038556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1429920729590926, b_new = -1.442770535315039, c_new = 5.193657501942228
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13599.128643716685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.228766854619561, b_new = -0.7119754895613282, c_new = 5.208430323767276
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5883.297381494491
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3590576369376937, b_new = -1.3670641192759778, c_new = 5.141516361380803
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6862.865263804274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8062798346611886, b_new = -1.4315389606844378, c_new = 5.201392399610243
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5388.249012811344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9945756355408613, b_new = -0.9924474168064018, c_new = 5.122493536911602
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13865.990322542457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.911671414227309, b_new = -1.4687842856232707, c_new = 4.409994970788811
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4013.9397087602492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2753930163915097, b_new = -1.0391603034206756, c_new = 5.873315121383554
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6238.895303964912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.382263312068455, b_new = -0.9626864452975793, c_new = 3.8598401186844518
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7959.033645246411
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4825108156371023, b_new = -0.7842928936472535, c_new = 4.911504237872842
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10328.504491452837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0307874938408657, b_new = -1.1920691927411566, c_new = 4.955213966132072
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3013.9686082695193
Acceptance probability: 0.10826671275746837
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8220614507840707, b_new = -1.1911329522123209, c_new = 5.1338212313068485
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4604.180872473743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0885062767607674, b_new = -1.1998529849154986, c_new = 5.2494752279098975
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3195.194927995211
Acceptance probability: 2.1325750222453992e-80
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950851935826297, b_new = -1.5348530796571636, c_new = 5.028481455784948
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3554.4235624263642
Acceptance probability: 2.079173078188387e-236
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1268389055333805, b_new = -1.7134033368544725, c_new = 5.504635060487293
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3105.8149712243885
Acceptance probability: 1.3999945226762147e-41
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.694962179694366, b_new = -0.6339749626676681, c_new = 4.618130708525412
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5788.859834787503
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7243239052104826, b_new = -1.1921631453813595, c_new = 4.363461392927459
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6742.512998297357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6287274312552937, b_new = -0.47311099735217466, c_new = 5.617816106193053
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12469.882598007984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.578902269007186, b_new = -0.8240517397233196, c_new = 5.023814496077288
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8409.296587116924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.300453811448641, b_new = -1.096850906468091, c_new = 5.367963585145781
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6430.882896324307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8003486163376805, b_new = -1.460052732246725, c_new = 4.831722161373398
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5701.514222805836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.744167295330621, b_new = -1.2092646305816763, c_new = 5.80930051565127
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5851.221646136749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3921650578062974, b_new = -0.9134535100985295, c_new = 5.124607435389633
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11066.10401941375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7392654148307938, b_new = -0.7820688173608978, c_new = 4.501102441526289
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5332.8934077170825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5976936239040658, b_new = -1.5872811298789147, c_new = 4.459162213005399
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10106.85249846656
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.319142414969324, b_new = -1.1910029826850757, c_new = 5.664128734391683
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6686.840935465648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7331067579839017, b_new = -1.6770929476245648, c_new = 6.127582967592891
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11697.457954806965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.133110104483552, b_new = -1.0309760731027307, c_new = 4.97538293892542
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3677.0491044347095
Acceptance probability: 1.1542354496586435e-289
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3211784908435695, b_new = -1.2462424783084944, c_new = 4.548846197427878
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6177.1310423227715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4222227857617766, b_new = -0.8114401295077186, c_new = 4.558829390261165
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9301.834666113635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.053485741797372, b_new = -1.224731836390732, c_new = 4.199558901648463
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13717.155842511138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.62300253503222, b_new = -1.3730471369531614, c_new = 4.62664950553485
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10747.54000878134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.520194878129842, b_new = -0.8482619622429799, c_new = 5.299444730916344
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9315.189244065612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1595113419526295, b_new = -0.8636842881399204, c_new = 5.14107380618393
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4296.599027795192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.21793585190569, b_new = -0.3483273546717096, c_new = 5.307929093498567
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11710.670547045262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0228126866980998, b_new = -0.9652025294726035, c_new = 4.698347751842344
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13808.817129848303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.614899471708224, b_new = -0.9390616267629674, c_new = 5.313882537254099
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7931.745629034913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4527309857983335, b_new = -1.1761497430965673, c_new = 4.901619304156593
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9074.417607095198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0705410667342363, b_new = -0.8155900361320523, c_new = 5.031362086799005
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3368.956414751222
Acceptance probability: 7.332455784071525e-156
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1122369599171846, b_new = -0.9636177081116069, c_new = 6.3144733886115105
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3799.75399404379
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.321330883509142, b_new = -1.4216927382733147, c_new = 5.918631334095604
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12253.87550000499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.701768710411055, b_new = -0.4530297694805403, c_new = 5.293039143182862
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5041.082028629382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.45995713388926, b_new = -1.1351807010777573, c_new = 6.261778065533133
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10360.071542427193
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.108056932038756, b_new = -1.2466790732717528, c_new = 4.661044306458457
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3222.6151751881903
Acceptance probability: 2.6329479266728907e-92
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.306700832470192, b_new = -0.8704908534495583, c_new = 5.202395110359193
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7135.086820528482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8537457738744068, b_new = -2.008488911283762, c_new = 6.129341084921737
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12152.773074533578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.411299102542182, b_new = -0.583185667800861, c_new = 5.938136820617261
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10152.299928362394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4998146275101005, b_new = -1.574039380101864, c_new = 5.129771871204184
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9002.81665633287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8677658671495587, b_new = -1.6042940594472035, c_new = 5.6809015613581195
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12640.826542317991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2399271524576956, b_new = -0.8513404840558811, c_new = 5.111124016108272
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5714.021961136355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.941925993062469, b_new = -2.116086279430043, c_new = 5.9111128104483415
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4363.498274506497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2176028957692497, b_new = -1.5657417222311771, c_new = 4.976558875610568
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3884.291429443064
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2669406849175324, b_new = -0.8409064250805475, c_new = 5.204346129972157
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12049.480197387013
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5581451452238744, b_new = -2.0517251007987647, c_new = 4.669266950561328
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11493.953941299776
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9033244325225875, b_new = -1.471738730501713, c_new = 5.098007582122172
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3966.211489417469
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.360336884404429, b_new = -0.8448514412102762, c_new = 5.082788132226689
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8297.467425172816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0970189602585037, b_new = -0.6661129859683196, c_new = 5.313356769529584
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3852.59978244334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4165654719034233, b_new = -1.2423403211887616, c_new = 5.540650333986603
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11253.007806950252
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8021309272467967, b_new = -0.9892537306748796, c_new = 5.245725691596398
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4492.627470288364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.433360979420863, b_new = -1.6034272434486012, c_new = 4.293495153137417
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7465.357797240011
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0025811145436907, b_new = -1.565482053947699, c_new = 4.390765410193926
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3281.932233799321
Acceptance probability: 4.564266900705885e-118
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2474329510011906, b_new = -1.7070839334507368, c_new = 4.755798063201896
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3999.808784192762
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5578891490998603, b_new = -0.8342091641497327, c_new = 4.691674114553925
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8913.652792358927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2525843295012447, b_new = -0.8989611221245366, c_new = 4.833663723228265
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12339.224526070142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.487003552449936, b_new = -0.9607214697897182, c_new = 5.5740963318119805
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9908.248437027392
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.401908263379191, b_new = -0.8918902315553616, c_new = 5.072167873506995
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8956.36544815994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5895550318867215, b_new = -0.7334810371662885, c_new = 4.793018763591805
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8076.15989413006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.620517466212312, b_new = -0.9809778210670432, c_new = 5.545071530954725
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11619.768332752565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9853319937742535, b_new = -2.036506315702856, c_new = 4.999287856415474
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3884.2336246500554
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.781545129711497, b_new = -1.1216243585920624, c_new = 4.130256272924721
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12285.406439959836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6465631854133167, b_new = -0.3191885668662586, c_new = 4.8084448674650515
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5902.69994289617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1642691319328566, b_new = -0.8331820585968497, c_new = 5.858840214451628
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4618.612635476276
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.445605940220655, b_new = -1.70562757908563, c_new = 3.6922979016263513
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12347.571960936793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0128996584490384, b_new = -0.8478968311991948, c_new = 5.079606552877199
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3057.702534212799
Acceptance probability: 1.0992392866244645e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4447672890091496, b_new = -1.3121045356171375, c_new = 5.211148878996862
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8730.340605824262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.070336355135832, b_new = -0.9199913303094396, c_new = 5.197835802735618
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3293.45679100335
Acceptance probability: 4.511484112045646e-123
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.529659261097401, b_new = -0.24437444486269566, c_new = 4.540677315774085
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8047.827818421786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.686402922352727, b_new = -0.8219151911744333, c_new = 5.718154376551064
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6062.24922504098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.340042320338771, b_new = -0.9453563581990523, c_new = 5.371374872867713
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7712.148408837909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5673:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9587864506881374, b_new = -1.3383787927919526, c_new = 5.331471218969297
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3255.121081497984
Acceptance probability: 2.0105113551383436e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5674:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5902271895530102, b_new = -1.6984142146929497, c_new = 4.882423912353769
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10296.280993545008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5675:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1436683357757076, b_new = -0.7961388239343452, c_new = 6.128019348852902
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4448.70619960692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5676:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3557311904593554, b_new = -1.4708856480055021, c_new = 4.830690445598912
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6407.090542999147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5677:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4453562577442463, b_new = -0.1365518308711332, c_new = 5.079087168191199
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11174.421519315138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5678:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7592592978443125, b_new = -0.3819896834494756, c_new = 5.022848625242937
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13304.002852368412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5679:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9737480070100943, b_new = -1.7607843100688552, c_new = 4.877699526746806
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3644.5506554050294
Acceptance probability: 1.5003462340988212e-275
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5680:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.764627403699126, b_new = -1.2578105967630264, c_new = 4.723567939109222
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5940.082916710862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5681:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.483333428756908, b_new = -0.8068730118835954, c_new = 4.6872552235537395
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10221.420840108876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5682:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9255084761828476, b_new = -0.6067401772589085, c_new = 5.049176940183305
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3043.7042542655836
Acceptance probability: 1.3196780062801124e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5683:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7658436814533816, b_new = 0.19577608437493788, c_new = 5.404705032794538
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14112.619937650561
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5684:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1717650023498924, b_new = -1.4623050242414735, c_new = 4.9845747170408785
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14172.118071322617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5685:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9636348447724714, b_new = -1.482657410546517, c_new = 4.861501702919433
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3413.4352623633304
Acceptance probability: 3.5345275687508985e-175
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5686:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2168519677752703, b_new = -2.084261231537537, c_new = 5.193967744036769
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3337.309340076874
Acceptance probability: 4.0681724297652055e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5687:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0003112951619206, b_new = -1.2182707427640853, c_new = 5.508192421249728
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3024.701168751505
Acceptance probability: 2.3626704887475764e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5688:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.021560876960674, b_new = -0.9122648402418787, c_new = 5.4885137037992076
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3081.9738199614803
Acceptance probability: 3.163783612902416e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5689:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.223691704437693, b_new = -0.6308355451927139, c_new = 5.081491117148724
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5947.101870745622
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5690:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.07311129158038, b_new = -1.9440469489297962, c_new = 4.475910024906311
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14606.10831222175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5691:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2614318588757603, b_new = -0.6203134675343297, c_new = 4.136410039877568
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12078.366982624202
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5692:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.268274456890538, b_new = -0.5827234309139376, c_new = 5.412087290116003
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11609.942178416477
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5693:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.840973503342487, b_new = -1.2999238011229746, c_new = 4.534722502221389
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4688.772905239095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5694:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.395938615424747, b_new = -0.5542427999586945, c_new = 4.846266283730541
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9580.905458483565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5695:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7888524504502463, b_new = -0.37636632941638837, c_new = 5.247928947883843
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3702.1450507645523
Acceptance probability: 1.4563420833486196e-300
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5696:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9199399662805714, b_new = -0.6865134124551857, c_new = 4.920644212142054
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3086.7778433927483
Acceptance probability: 2.593259067567197e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5697:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.457112904118198, b_new = -1.7886534653751727, c_new = 5.10885263648098
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11914.637581467745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5698:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.165251824718089, b_new = -0.4665248392309217, c_new = 5.11909497050087
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5217.02225082786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5699:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.869635190609631, b_new = -1.7991560418007244, c_new = 5.460766449366665
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5003.135778127913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5700:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.986141671321993, b_new = -1.1164451280661087, c_new = 5.25428041601103
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3034.275971890764
Acceptance probability: 1.641039323656379e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5701:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9708634696787675, b_new = -0.6459990809179339, c_new = 4.856980918803458
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3022.7825920377054
Acceptance probability: 1.609275637465764e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5702:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1018932537371335, b_new = -1.1714210218911596, c_new = 4.529319307214384
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3228.460645874642
Acceptance probability: 7.617046496394497e-95
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5703:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.645845352362276, b_new = -0.6576757779153986, c_new = 4.567789892593614
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6858.6243852039825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5704:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9925443784006713, b_new = -0.5865269959632452, c_new = 4.403329727428067
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14110.913473373414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5705:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.261157783260562, b_new = -0.963183123523548, c_new = 4.683634578730513
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5712.778412078687
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5706:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.744804915190252, b_new = -1.5616100744672783, c_new = 4.81410763828233
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7158.898390503362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5707:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2017591918986477, b_new = -1.2737029467923189, c_new = 5.303837305310495
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13035.635358917862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5708:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8837794300583135, b_new = -1.8356312991406347, c_new = 5.127021303845511
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4942.824588849568
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5709:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4273044189274, b_new = -0.5933191314451441, c_new = 5.578258400805552
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10224.69037026976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5710:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6847002686554005, b_new = -1.6798160405377889, c_new = 4.3299199711566745
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8939.071265254555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5711:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.663529639958494, b_new = -1.4401043162876728, c_new = 4.994170641141864
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8429.468795796693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5712:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8142940743750597, b_new = -0.6555783243611195, c_new = 5.043646711743841
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3824.0914204219202
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5713:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.634698811412536, b_new = -0.9009122825776984, c_new = 5.136114824128914
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7513.6395276562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5714:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.724496301437199, b_new = -1.052148575300712, c_new = 5.28702505211632
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6025.015102134894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5715:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.465156021374957, b_new = -0.9730258796232254, c_new = 5.169054562265549
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9801.953734702007
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5716:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5627311685870047, b_new = -1.8411786466263973, c_new = 5.155088541514235
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10852.015333623282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5717:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7102363620230854, b_new = -1.4775747907815673, c_new = 5.0278445618704
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7572.857367969855
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5718:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.884874333372195, b_new = -0.7199036759353421, c_new = 5.194117366273666
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3254.0181371829995
Acceptance probability: 6.057719506775102e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5719:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7912363924036243, b_new = -1.2363966820989294, c_new = 5.162140971627863
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12467.810052944082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5720:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.258933666667439, b_new = -0.8343313536084342, c_new = 5.391537869645433
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12050.483798078141
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5721:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.865984420294739, b_new = -1.8950466688463057, c_new = 4.850494195064895
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5503.727782945123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5722:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.274568763433787, b_new = -1.6778177768917066, c_new = 5.690616688881108
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4641.158303335417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5723:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981567595599041, b_new = -2.237804827338188, c_new = 4.291243630489985
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4472.542073496538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5724:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.325335168231733, b_new = -0.9363606183260854, c_new = 4.127459160205504
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6945.39002929406
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5725:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.845276823936134, b_new = -2.0600601505994587, c_new = 4.570606045004545
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6489.988014888351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5726:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.087684708119955, b_new = -1.3387963976870587, c_new = 5.20748787013963
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3108.734107749768
Acceptance probability: 7.557209322801139e-43
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5727:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.561721049732632, b_new = -1.3764108016039733, c_new = 4.108673254946506
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9927.73136260956
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5728:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3020836627155195, b_new = -1.1620542929537132, c_new = 4.583768191583694
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6010.1286744520185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5729:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.253353134915586, b_new = -1.424523314377601, c_new = 5.527372775773071
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12838.063470897756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5730:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7146762300429854, b_new = -0.9576199192251611, c_new = 4.06529649969761
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6420.9238445709725
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5731:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.279405324348974, b_new = -0.9379925019634135, c_new = 5.189239523919704
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12094.700497289032
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5732:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4854126562422425, b_new = -1.3347265707747278, c_new = 4.77226843617974
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10920.736442718842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5733:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5496289821522917, b_new = -1.2685869987105591, c_new = 4.266170395273865
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10027.08534120998
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5734:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.255726976291445, b_new = -0.997821112314066, c_new = 5.625744648188565
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5840.244900089431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5735:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9912303326308187, b_new = -0.8992906201572959, c_new = 5.003179749852818
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3012.6904836950425
Acceptance probability: 0.3886667605566255
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5736:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8898083633110216, b_new = -1.287490660286627, c_new = 4.879377090068216
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12957.102101060407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5737:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8809833353733225, b_new = -1.3311675868599395, c_new = 5.295061026086547
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3979.5171484363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5738:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8839176847835253, b_new = -0.8189984609294002, c_new = 6.035604783037863
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3261.3024095064925
Acceptance probability: 4.1570943876689355e-109
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5739:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.885279059044247, b_new = -1.3375689581259524, c_new = 5.0127083938197154
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3997.0727151636333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5740:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8712265842258966, b_new = -1.3028714392526617, c_new = 4.889109823165089
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4150.896947047935
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5741:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2873754494692373, b_new = -1.2104188512259813, c_new = 5.47153391012737
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5885.211265166857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5742:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.002014785509374, b_new = -0.775589773531985, c_new = 6.029184930194223
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3120.83666311956
Acceptance probability: 4.1907180016381894e-48
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5743:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9935378889310056, b_new = -1.8396207121232253, c_new = 4.900541979725566
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3551.529194343174
Acceptance probability: 3.757497759230142e-235
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5744:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.963639565224928, b_new = -0.8301193678262381, c_new = 4.639793722499782
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3029.9203436059356
Acceptance probability: 1.2786283143201951e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5745:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.873610929244323, b_new = -1.8776533973410063, c_new = 4.281218419656239
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5518.632726990891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5746:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8561660655858283, b_new = -0.9473049978896235, c_new = 5.027202559310448
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3760.3226596668947
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5747:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0327882814079152, b_new = -1.2898088676736477, c_new = 6.161268005979084
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13748.119893638617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5748:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.07571195431832, b_new = -0.8108763463025102, c_new = 5.185488565413206
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3435.9338418796824
Acceptance probability: 5.988560464289458e-185
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5749:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8374084809272047, b_new = -0.9910819366551634, c_new = 5.429803670915514
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3965.99941351632
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5750:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.160822341556223, b_new = -0.5598509248994862, c_new = 5.282715453708406
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4974.293784799333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5751:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8496933549125587, b_new = -1.6945403818477873, c_new = 4.696367555986231
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5373.937284539154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5752:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7186129027021826, b_new = -0.45324342394748884, c_new = 5.378039837064206
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4736.686017453456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5753:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.451588348611045, b_new = -1.0466986247679473, c_new = 4.841268023009387
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9328.560659990791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5754:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0198691524803527, b_new = -1.0463804617616193, c_new = 4.7578902095987505
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3016.2155722598663
Acceptance probability: 0.011445924811483632
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5755:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.852366800834717, b_new = -0.9903351138259232, c_new = 4.937769383794165
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3881.378582654677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5756:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6842605518831686, b_new = -2.242786770670257, c_new = 5.748135429078777
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10254.745606825125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5757:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.906999438064983, b_new = -0.3563074359184911, c_new = 4.453623958883617
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3040.3665663647334
Acceptance probability: 3.7154157387874007e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5758:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.558423468184091, b_new = -0.6602588856450914, c_new = 4.461947143733098
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8573.137147668991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5759:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.272190500706869, b_new = -1.1921046211280488, c_new = 5.2236319282819395
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12488.604475996908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5760:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.249931014356403, b_new = -1.0598464696178416, c_new = 5.298401557475322
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5453.304183197481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5761:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.21650935185925, b_new = -1.4350176901202953, c_new = 5.428606799277681
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4162.43145256949
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5762:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2902084981072193, b_new = -1.361593391392185, c_new = 5.212215934684219
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5474.1279442497735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5763:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6093542912240832, b_new = -0.5140845066885972, c_new = 5.477245145223235
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12217.441468700596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5764:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.603759472452623, b_new = -1.0705820650348, c_new = 4.832957578084272
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8647.79491849632
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5765:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.259043257400251, b_new = -1.3380071425694473, c_new = 4.63111545768112
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4796.4701976463675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5766:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.072541644320559, b_new = -1.710403981602377, c_new = 5.679217673266095
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3018.832297208163
Acceptance probability: 0.0008360296556102375
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5767:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5180032248594584, b_new = -1.9263950199278348, c_new = 5.07052945424737
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11559.728297865076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5768:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4140456017952245, b_new = -0.7192890546231707, c_new = 4.697782098909755
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10613.740163795494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5769:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.757570766588636, b_new = -0.6778062012903465, c_new = 3.854320279120712
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4966.978161078161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5770:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.287321038063966, b_new = -1.4599251624546228, c_new = 4.798639505168587
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5070.086901922644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5771:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8399049768547995, b_new = -0.6838735435143088, c_new = 5.001410670515903
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3598.106024679886
Acceptance probability: 2.2224824002292636e-255
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5772:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.651963575773536, b_new = -1.395251564429783, c_new = 4.1667759977909995
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8864.927629737125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5773:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.197141915281908, b_new = -1.517389375548735, c_new = 4.3863398236802915
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3634.471541901602
Acceptance probability: 3.5768017516266553e-271
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5774:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.88961919419267, b_new = -2.1091791677320164, c_new = 4.723966141061917
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11924.69615498132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5775:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539693273101183, b_new = -0.831439833801195, c_new = 4.429972933972607
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9289.8205753468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5776:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4743933743370143, b_new = -1.5944227092377061, c_new = 4.919743659553862
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11471.66969688284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5777:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.870532540536212, b_new = -0.6985726546846436, c_new = 4.675758293442865
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3391.6207367201882
Acceptance probability: 1.0525905958650039e-165
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5778:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.178448646841586, b_new = -1.2392855954679944, c_new = 5.541392360102795
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4006.8475438209043
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5779:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.966393069516838, b_new = -0.87812085902974, c_new = 5.549265827133025
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3020.59972810854
Acceptance probability: 0.0001427697489384693
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5780:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.867868753540989, b_new = -0.9552953409976359, c_new = 4.837628767549848
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3679.807539049912
Acceptance probability: 7.316804926444288e-291
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5781:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836048997953993, b_new = -0.7373220283223805, c_new = 5.364882203481962
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3645.07296876989
Acceptance probability: 8.899255595978652e-276
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5782:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1252373403602833, b_new = -0.5396041348280152, c_new = 5.264645561294297
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4431.027398282558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5783:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230921290106968, b_new = -1.4376104699207455, c_new = 4.8963100773253645
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4240.646054437213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5784:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3272485928052586, b_new = -1.0650634834205834, c_new = 5.108842779737699
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6998.787390373334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5785:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.566154564166568, b_new = -1.0778364795714201, c_new = 5.455065502422125
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9072.888037558445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5786:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.21706538847055, b_new = -1.8499852755053927, c_new = 4.126020840277555
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3442.3390822712345
Acceptance probability: 9.898328925789158e-188
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5787:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8415363348190916, b_new = -1.5436265551049555, c_new = 5.2240708072046065
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4997.3116959486215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5788:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2818489472046015, b_new = -0.5025737179155604, c_new = 4.33907595326092
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7296.068166058423
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5789:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3486961621724483, b_new = -1.2359993777406943, c_new = 5.1134499399116455
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11996.378366494126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5790:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.678787194541131, b_new = -1.0752653532303753, c_new = 5.892242863587114
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6807.622708054541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5791:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.721378425166815, b_new = -0.2320317690970477, c_new = 4.839291795201366
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13207.349998330112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5792:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2961853066140714, b_new = 0.2984459201632774, c_new = 5.73030712065089
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10366.84364557631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5793:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7129117426389797, b_new = -1.082675028692141, c_new = 4.944943673165106
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6464.429409885719
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5794:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.387758087227607, b_new = -1.613159092320044, c_new = 5.309044877706381
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6866.271161558951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5795:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.172686347270863, b_new = -1.0922307672846239, c_new = 4.928189399172046
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4037.8387377821764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5796:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3616115085609937, b_new = -1.6294233898141992, c_new = 4.976686663758989
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6167.4991389539155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5797:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9315687521797105, b_new = -1.432383328711396, c_new = 5.053681838128629
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3607.9158601687377
Acceptance probability: 1.2203401759106282e-259
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5798:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6176464276086593, b_new = -0.6726461565014161, c_new = 5.023147742943224
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7298.708747198256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5799:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.164414731569982, b_new = -1.7523109266352193, c_new = 5.699278363442252
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3289.4898376956444
Acceptance probability: 2.3831169948046585e-121
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5800:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.155320949954684, b_new = -1.6935163907682154, c_new = 5.459890936440823
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13993.575971826172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5801:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4109263132795573, b_new = -1.9272019066782502, c_new = 4.657997104777392
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12664.52806203609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5802:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9993927424964277, b_new = -0.5637795522536442, c_new = 4.697653491163192
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3113.11115864134
Acceptance probability: 9.493632201352972e-45
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5803:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5591980788021065, b_new = -0.7189322751112104, c_new = 5.061732489091452
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11327.233736157988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5804:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.224349527721082, b_new = -1.1999179760632293, c_new = 4.707989530927515
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4531.478132011541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5805:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.430198323806558, b_new = -0.9309859465215125, c_new = 5.3197711452487155
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9425.680475006808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5806:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9829415705864966, b_new = -0.7884836996560078, c_new = 4.857190687629321
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3015.0569113815754
Acceptance probability: 0.036462875495854315
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5807:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2656725657070504, b_new = -1.0733127892558099, c_new = 5.098178292578995
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5664.546735006746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5808:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.790974957389392, b_new = 0.0916575062712146, c_new = 5.399544673141691
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3254.6430271794184
Acceptance probability: 3.2428202989898775e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5809:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1507723422557814, b_new = -1.7864341343617274, c_new = 4.862580348341413
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3139.5469372349357
Acceptance probability: 3.1370369521776563e-56
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5810:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.105279581482796, b_new = -0.9732423713133728, c_new = 5.067037891062502
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14370.807162483261
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5811:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.260117450233082, b_new = -1.1868898206258556, c_new = 6.005236144398296
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5576.809444695767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5812:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0113086012107466, b_new = -1.4195257930096319, c_new = 5.372411634877499
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14150.300740905028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5813:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.292823541266218, b_new = -0.3409839527956984, c_new = 5.347812556648821
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11038.436234549143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5814:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4365331484588895, b_new = -0.4139160333795965, c_new = 4.202991094757569
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9921.323035659447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5815:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.030752188324678, b_new = -0.9721239570774747, c_new = 5.635609481854332
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3096.3945437032676
Acceptance probability: 1.7272930522383044e-37
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5816:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4385986760217726, b_new = -1.3809660164621165, c_new = 4.1172034718482315
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11726.507859758305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5817:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.078823757593013, b_new = -1.0481439919306235, c_new = 5.054041860932737
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3229.32338088939
Acceptance probability: 3.2144416776589756e-95
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5818:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.754327553212446, b_new = -1.3576258778829566, c_new = 4.366989568299011
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6559.13885228176
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5819:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.246550087495497, b_new = -1.3389692388673224, c_new = 5.264516874618067
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4755.27865440982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5820:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.736196027079848, b_new = -1.465668653390599, c_new = 4.826039657233405
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7068.248144423969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5821:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.740610131098823, b_new = -0.48991237752388195, c_new = 5.137202247186131
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4519.47302841619
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5822:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8468337369393533, b_new = -0.7715433423863005, c_new = 5.336506080654314
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3584.462440986599
Acceptance probability: 1.8714207556825836e-249
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5823:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.860527324082665, b_new = -0.42450261315134763, c_new = 5.748106586659274
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3167.7195639458932
Acceptance probability: 1.8251699638484725e-68
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5824:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1617995912075827, b_new = -1.0509396979599959, c_new = 5.016832378859568
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3983.644566979708
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5825:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0065600971561306, b_new = -0.7708225878323105, c_new = 5.338566491773754
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3084.951533252978
Acceptance probability: 1.6106542432221324e-32
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5826:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.652658172290438, b_new = -2.204124662798155, c_new = 4.296352145969472
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9579.715374283398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5827:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.654067588400709, b_new = -0.910744548270813, c_new = 3.9256906357975367
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11557.058800505678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5828:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3704294640729873, b_new = -1.127233913278589, c_new = 4.841824860273069
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7642.027886978982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5829:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.895368535357791, b_new = -0.7519807335916193, c_new = 4.5860424605929815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3272.060496757548
Acceptance probability: 8.843251092161778e-114
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5830:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7000200993780563, b_new = -1.0711929738586596, c_new = 5.002510710886438
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11990.425697332936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5831:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1312653402666744, b_new = -1.2437567384031036, c_new = 5.133641741245121
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3438.023700439063
Acceptance probability: 7.408126650901391e-186
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5832:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9542533990165323, b_new = -0.6961868554524776, c_new = 4.582593642329887
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3022.0906318380094
Acceptance probability: 3.214733182608235e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5833:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8662623128336753, b_new = -0.8204974481594841, c_new = 5.374926211860715
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3458.2378377074374
Acceptance probability: 1.232594218791093e-194
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5834:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3457974449492176, b_new = -0.8529474868613182, c_new = 4.2020142294387055
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7635.41204345281
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5835:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8986731788843323, b_new = -0.25489614355155665, c_new = 4.850892906401294
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3038.0158476216125
Acceptance probability: 3.898626182532814e-12
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5836:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0426020474346887, b_new = -0.8060139115557353, c_new = 4.817079376545278
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3176.110784722544
Acceptance probability: 4.1404012726430007e-72
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5837:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.403814683495528, b_new = -0.30035228203410735, c_new = 4.695973652526597
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9952.554896036028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5838:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4180843689634877, b_new = -0.6999531494067464, c_new = 4.727206878203222
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10521.998954174991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5839:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.019597624150207, b_new = -1.0507046012893133, c_new = 4.701511527475968
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13910.432578273754
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5840:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.828873228296504, b_new = -1.5137337507747368, c_new = 4.430331202525709
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5419.700407085225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5841:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.751728712250285, b_new = -0.9321854534657538, c_new = 5.090485988053107
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5266.782326154285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5842:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0549023421035284, b_new = -1.2909370641593656, c_new = 4.949205381045265
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3027.009333669688
Acceptance probability: 2.349523912349273e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5843:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3554729736346323, b_new = -1.924981160797711, c_new = 6.043425256033816
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5649.202188632447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5844:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.650284764097831, b_new = -1.1966276823374984, c_new = 4.974215876881567
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8047.829755702018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5845:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4487383536486536, b_new = -1.3183486420469797, c_new = 5.515654868586553
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11057.100378486557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5846:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0055155178305055, b_new = -0.6443782956936821, c_new = 4.602057925347192
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3089.9526739256626
Acceptance probability: 1.0840130828636612e-34
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5847:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.900354679990938, b_new = -0.9155641968007616, c_new = 4.885424053131224
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3342.7804573362273
Acceptance probability: 1.7112888341223387e-144
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5848:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9788828053617975, b_new = -1.367629859276193, c_new = 5.00079018274551
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14319.451061540418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.615601141683428, b_new = -0.935716501567693, c_new = 4.78698374869505
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11423.796767962602
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.560191591952949, b_new = -1.6585459659433535, c_new = 4.617001193458653
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9527.15855657315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9634661572507333, b_new = -1.3896076543024685, c_new = 5.264239641544846
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3274.493517486807
Acceptance probability: 7.7618363045122965e-115
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.421751551792134, b_new = -1.2195429613576447, c_new = 4.884801077893333
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11366.690290141274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3563060766436963, b_new = -1.0018990510790442, c_new = 5.04351580033556
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7768.679255341492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.340917002227226, b_new = -0.631463775180369, c_new = 4.775913061405203
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11211.126925033894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8336599718718665, b_new = -1.1221133361400133, c_new = 4.5443249537794275
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12728.237892445595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7670014123561764, b_new = -1.1190706080604138, c_new = 4.637073656409437
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12317.499625733511
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0533126393140155, b_new = -1.2767419821588244, c_new = 4.467419527978893
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3024.91761927542
Acceptance probability: 1.9028295561184504e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9634321725662254, b_new = -1.0336270864605157, c_new = 4.578710901825792
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3104.383662098513
Acceptance probability: 5.857819586391732e-41
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.784813614090416, b_new = -1.0985015551253963, c_new = 5.797233268803569
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4844.392281843892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3979230618481937, b_new = -1.2766516895036162, c_new = 4.905759395609709
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7826.6827903326775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4756921320846197, b_new = -0.748839192706326, c_new = 5.319972795564799
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9716.06998463618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2362714341300873, b_new = -0.7449293591487943, c_new = 5.587961992380272
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6095.422766195335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6441165168752665, b_new = -1.2217139437142648, c_new = 4.424869259731233
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8450.047239614058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0114795542052604, b_new = -0.48745753499294864, c_new = 4.422424757221709
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3191.5265505088273
Acceptance probability: 8.357192735995051e-79
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.568419778317261, b_new = 0.39037523862972834, c_new = 5.724769182821973
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13283.385570201543
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.109973061982599, b_new = -1.1087252320282017, c_new = 5.133327410005789
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13417.32079111821
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3491985586140713, b_new = -1.7059892687557157, c_new = 4.319641113184117
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5524.397514355262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2291394955883472, b_new = -1.5974996858076356, c_new = 5.9344582219491535
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4172.840761945079
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.249333326269135, b_new = -1.8135056026401495, c_new = 4.85037956945818
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3885.9845738554204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3778757509589292, b_new = -1.18098573052156, c_new = 4.5549137018383155
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7543.568485853054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.97816734681089, b_new = -0.8936240495217687, c_new = 4.476109056353609
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3024.51270883657
Acceptance probability: 2.8526616115746907e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.456082920281651, b_new = -0.4704416024961293, c_new = 4.588024915143441
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10506.257870580615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6653141361132957, b_new = -1.222179112538777, c_new = 4.645032659372096
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11385.256741005664
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.517370788860312, b_new = -1.1029751431041304, c_new = 5.8072523314056195
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9718.243031835427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5152155242690073, b_new = -1.110528303239747, c_new = 4.925824046560361
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10057.268519981384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.429942233856064, b_new = -1.6002893968539522, c_new = 4.863103460425866
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11934.285421902918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2846976546410707, b_new = -0.8067797807448497, c_new = 6.165187258442881
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11598.129995364407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4421639266747803, b_new = -2.035130289774069, c_new = 5.377301375693761
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6904.712392300573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.638733582328519, b_new = -0.7265640950127763, c_new = 4.86664548832565
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7074.695101535566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.71755867062688, b_new = -0.5792655057029664, c_new = 5.657107941532624
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4938.192102135581
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9736654100802546, b_new = -0.49683955626724396, c_new = 5.105131386126746
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3084.4110256737213
Acceptance probability: 2.765296985204413e-32
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9342694478558746, b_new = -1.2746588502694742, c_new = 5.25344516864683
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3378.909008609971
Acceptance probability: 3.490541929953419e-160
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8048040481050944, b_new = -2.440406601055752, c_new = 4.506071894743413
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8573.593942181755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1845442612797097, b_new = -1.4125917082012789, c_new = 5.6394645267096974
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3839.406382103987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.830261325170655, b_new = -1.1035261439656912, c_new = 5.017555818526712
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4342.173133049138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7914290390925975, b_new = -1.51748115446118, c_new = 5.598048872254127
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12218.414623374216
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.670903979829354, b_new = -0.9989461209434879, c_new = 4.573507481259291
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11744.078052492032
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6723010690526547, b_new = -1.0530025872956132, c_new = 5.40449832515191
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7057.564206053536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.3675312684005965, b_new = -1.7860795053881398, c_new = 4.876907056585321
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14598.318114669553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.021218453067164, b_new = -0.9998986771592003, c_new = 5.841497022032149
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3067.6080169816437
Acceptance probability: 5.485241264963481e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0536483024970162, b_new = -1.709526079993774, c_new = 4.883288433660648
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3087.105012884103
Acceptance probability: 1.8696400403994927e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5596519632160235, b_new = -1.3174682991181559, c_new = 5.4889187495278655
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10426.11863772674
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.486674218445607, b_new = -1.581367907586827, c_new = 5.864253068650872
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11005.884133836298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8916271759357666, b_new = -1.7668419221076872, c_new = 3.995249570673849
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5019.2831462655595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.816527599249226, b_new = -1.4182827941935887, c_new = 6.073186094329378
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4906.123177287855
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.576203440172354, b_new = -1.1191464587632602, c_new = 4.748421234954197
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9262.543470599165
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.942276554690331, b_new = -0.6805061940645563, c_new = 5.450311042258088
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3027.4339569331723
Acceptance probability: 1.5366265376286736e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2597650912241094, b_new = -0.366081975917917, c_new = 4.405387743741826
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7227.104981875183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3733194121226044, b_new = -0.7978279885141373, c_new = 5.093385445199338
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11071.175307280457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3840515013838965, b_new = -0.7482009079488834, c_new = 3.5655521504705194
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8440.385361944662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9426334725907417, b_new = -0.9480834830192472, c_new = 4.820412715246421
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14117.961242098962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.431822931036612, b_new = -0.7342597965511664, c_new = 4.420170501258202
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9575.465661508177
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8124207578907248, b_new = -0.8171987709756539, c_new = 5.34140856321139
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13177.33911023139
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.606875085808619, b_new = -2.0300649401998987, c_new = 5.609491316894661
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10511.530473132578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.101731190037777, b_new = -1.3748235092709595, c_new = 5.721234158497458
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3191.301482914945
Acceptance probability: 1.0466609761756997e-78
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.867266249932963, b_new = -0.43125013200627516, c_new = 4.628717560701112
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3204.888841421076
Acceptance probability: 1.3148954099355803e-84
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2400652639893663, b_new = -0.6106282637075926, c_new = 4.518262188452031
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6143.940727651059
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.289858460831751, b_new = -0.21256579712047863, c_new = 5.393152553911299
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8747.478917594444
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8470236057165765, b_new = -0.5372719484965611, c_new = 4.576192084600649
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13505.961742885618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8385997980534277, b_new = -0.19014114172541374, c_new = 5.182196208427227
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3177.231100856731
Acceptance probability: 1.350502269465865e-72
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0932671135668084, b_new = -1.437514300858361, c_new = 5.26001630637791
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3088.7186558713734
Acceptance probability: 3.7235891421324767e-34
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1158461448484935, b_new = -1.413833176923674, c_new = 4.655601783391647
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3159.8760978736373
Acceptance probability: 4.652403216507703e-65
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2460273942897095, b_new = -1.3797842407367187, c_new = 5.389092778222116
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12865.673347403868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9775760924536274, b_new = -1.5974991621806551, c_new = 4.672902398002881
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13056.920275302364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.988170100322984, b_new = -1.3151071794865894, c_new = 5.349404098688559
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3093.9358361156583
Acceptance probability: 2.01915270005633e-36
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0464580295904273, b_new = -1.72399314682661, c_new = 5.439902207759705
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3075.3609896537682
Acceptance probability: 2.3557135752802243e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.487066693992759, b_new = -0.061564496587626305, c_new = 6.105573452779858
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12074.815080179285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.508014719779116, b_new = -0.9135842333705426, c_new = 4.805187511043335
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10356.67515214685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8460860129621586, b_new = -1.7646909313452859, c_new = 4.721704871038953
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5609.872878653353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0553635393598646, b_new = -0.993708204022184, c_new = 5.345414741089678
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13524.007266050758
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7148842537393314, b_new = -0.5820697930826795, c_new = 5.776092304143808
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4958.631919946727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1753477453678514, b_new = -0.8906917224073326, c_new = 4.794124532852718
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4392.638015741388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2217896677920965, b_new = -1.029016865141547, c_new = 5.40455683069807
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5036.3272231280625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.842367931626628, b_new = -1.6587948386028302, c_new = 5.615102681360571
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5121.525734629574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4899624927211876, b_new = -1.1788965075968845, c_new = 4.854640762570737
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10537.972874876476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.32702707999164, b_new = -1.086376649042446, c_new = 5.225027862717453
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11919.510046218722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7434790830192437, b_new = -1.048184543575468, c_new = 4.478245830945889
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5914.558279084144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6264856781288195, b_new = -0.6447816595172953, c_new = 5.1875061646605625
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6993.39029729764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.932769527046136, b_new = -1.4877112373524324, c_new = 5.048636103940729
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3667.5761281601062
Acceptance probability: 1.5009137346317012e-285
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.619908970817926, b_new = -1.6468996135239808, c_new = 6.300106114790424
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9227.93260398955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6369300106363913, b_new = 0.20315923500748645, c_new = 5.979821082206664
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13563.49902671192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4712829966192245, b_new = -1.165494279339913, c_new = 5.586437259202472
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9621.560902276984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.644680484909943, b_new = -1.807932645743622, c_new = 4.833096687679502
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9762.085367478921
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.263310873578159, b_new = -1.6895623984070602, c_new = 4.962474531875411
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14324.079284684636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322602062993587, b_new = -1.5247196838623331, c_new = 4.449389609194615
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5476.417064936357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7822934986974315, b_new = -1.824704180849893, c_new = 5.073139928245625
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6988.19039520684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3281357769348228, b_new = -1.9455008275629595, c_new = 5.30858986815697
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4884.718717984227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3638188017539217, b_new = -0.7645844300421557, c_new = 5.379757845342648
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8699.498922179693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7814090161476135, b_new = -1.5205070472501343, c_new = 4.5298733667767594
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6367.792645140482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.69613447234869, b_new = -0.813800584584567, c_new = 4.775548617369507
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12256.17823207486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.70833647536267, b_new = -1.3822285461313013, c_new = 4.929439601122714
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11591.534393432132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.072350771442711, b_new = -1.0045115215698932, c_new = 4.7769449936597175
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3197.8616295506095
Acceptance probability: 1.481735028613652e-81
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.39975775505783, b_new = -0.43948505228722234, c_new = 4.801142078877605
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9884.04975478032
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6282579119484444, b_new = -1.2849407660323786, c_new = 4.033541021584426
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10777.765703691273
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.236807226010352, b_new = -0.7202326906054365, c_new = 4.677751627294385
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5838.577909341924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4223449618765254, b_new = -0.9199606213535335, c_new = 4.904080827229212
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9174.731299372497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0434638843322377, b_new = -2.263759774710434, c_new = 5.100871591311719
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3577.784144104849
Acceptance probability: 1.487712205702049e-246
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2095235792244474, b_new = -0.2239805139158536, c_new = 4.350640748896101
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6492.1101364735805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0184281560746404, b_new = -1.900819938469296, c_new = 5.667113173396818
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3301.395955973055
Acceptance probability: 1.608362338187845e-126
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6169604676131932, b_new = -0.9001662148710731, c_new = 5.801055771639496
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7618.406134195795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4541940133795723, b_new = -1.2411596041335944, c_new = 4.451688003976443
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8793.758496265944
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4453895975437385, b_new = -0.4728768501661328, c_new = 4.417697259841512
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9854.101304927879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.629133768680819, b_new = -1.485746138057899, c_new = 4.860071605015914
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10690.01106435896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.371281724150743, b_new = -1.1364785900758065, c_new = 4.724224115784522
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11761.77605849804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1411052674472413, b_new = -1.3525529887655616, c_new = 4.991494170417733
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3392.3153082727176
Acceptance probability: 5.255461912923744e-166
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0925653503554114, b_new = -1.5232093797109365, c_new = 5.152804762430335
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3054.081142275817
Acceptance probability: 4.110009035572762e-19
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.424809471715151, b_new = -0.7293613626854207, c_new = 5.174331405709366
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9746.558717469377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.665932829987658, b_new = 0.20968796004979917, c_new = 5.020410738465878
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13472.675787568081
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.962016799503084, b_new = -0.7244756555502301, c_new = 4.990683283114312
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3015.84015940726
Acceptance probability: 0.016660599285227277
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2761393599183792, b_new = -1.4654521234731788, c_new = 5.050536407164348
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12871.005851276299
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4215548264710036, b_new = -0.8642746948014, c_new = 5.235576477880261
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9411.806751325172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.658063193837393, b_new = -1.0796002925038621, c_new = 4.7212004489229
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15243.483603603472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3836231108237187, b_new = -0.3381611749706559, c_new = 5.460593898932865
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10114.95446615257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7179434245382246, b_new = -0.0708960061221191, c_new = 4.888032540388275
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13401.635219927002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8350952183672007, b_new = -1.0862718307426973, c_new = 5.448361344537148
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4144.095094900519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.409187063337828, b_new = -0.6750685543819575, c_new = 5.7785044660368685
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9854.540875333838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.464956136094871, b_new = -0.09900096132690095, c_new = 4.981031396893663
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8635.894021807957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.024976350250928, b_new = -1.9861090372587054, c_new = 4.166074035897352
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3584.703024188778
Acceptance probability: 1.4712534177460608e-249
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.567189267396953, b_new = -0.8598380587986549, c_new = 4.471847986925456
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15715.585094335704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031889235201415, b_new = -2.083145306783239, c_new = 5.041872732358083
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3477.071646500014
Acceptance probability: 8.154566798140475e-203
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5854551037369875, b_new = -0.104395715309471, c_new = 5.5993517448242995
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6321.193241660703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0625151515783253, b_new = -0.8811273027160691, c_new = 5.502181673662457
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3311.5506122581864
Acceptance probability: 6.255653781661641e-131
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8553159950643776, b_new = -1.331881129626217, c_new = 5.996910825628377
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4162.871180322626
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.792330833237661, b_new = -1.5034356070928245, c_new = 5.367578599430068
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5783.836683908948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.267438961540101, b_new = -0.6128396783278255, c_new = 4.574974775215484
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15128.765897967498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2370526274789118, b_new = -0.6561816496805286, c_new = 4.42431382698872
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5922.993400467136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.731490109094344, b_new = -0.41808707550816526, c_new = 4.631685752748804
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4648.153685775102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.451209582209748, b_new = -1.1722601939106938, c_new = 4.713454600667538
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8993.564283480042
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.09825938800633, b_new = -1.335628005442083, c_new = 5.331706399748397
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3165.7812903686827
Acceptance probability: 1.2678995045538123e-67
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8435084760681675, b_new = -1.130354456578703, c_new = 4.037630048935994
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4450.230926180389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9789232563478945, b_new = -0.6592497961478017, c_new = 4.35212095517435
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3018.3306091715503
Acceptance probability: 0.001380708596767362
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.785815148934642, b_new = -1.7940683203574703, c_new = 5.8770495661146365
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11878.783062474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.642715738415788, b_new = -1.5730128143882447, c_new = 5.598409601382176
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15475.900140744314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2420557093352684, b_new = -1.6083192731766114, c_new = 5.071581318389568
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4144.865852340479
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.384510752326856, b_new = -1.0546876317727238, c_new = 5.254256558390493
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8281.609553574373
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4502951328854303, b_new = -1.7597895662429348, c_new = 4.625104868497089
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12086.215551204266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.791579791785593, b_new = -1.1226788567299022, c_new = 5.209553066840001
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4945.423491528094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.477979380113454, b_new = -0.7778608510186504, c_new = 4.573906768380023
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10173.75171238737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374213584083299, b_new = -1.4360925254444272, c_new = 5.810577878890184
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7245.096156985905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7057096272342256, b_new = -1.1943794895270825, c_new = 5.320296408542489
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6775.582085683845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2762372465823586, b_new = -1.174399468981362, c_new = 4.484331076911368
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12642.734455017346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8337365405397987, b_new = -1.0751985956351724, c_new = 5.032542024296766
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4238.245929472487
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.663480794917694, b_new = -2.0767775409066163, c_new = 4.753369648445445
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10135.447755484789
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1930295550137333, b_new = -1.7719521897426642, c_new = 4.917325458734982
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3399.4462132231665
Acceptance probability: 4.204343799034845e-169
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6544183341581684, b_new = -2.1435924307076943, c_new = 5.301712439236353
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9976.415287096257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6879206119322525, b_new = -1.2120189285984342, c_new = 4.846900861966674
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7376.2816617260005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.086993161318446, b_new = -1.5857682673866353, c_new = 4.648612482393061
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3034.110764351773
Acceptance probability: 1.9358322048302903e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.539414713579224, b_new = -1.3300457484521544, c_new = 4.749708501849983
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9933.131092295233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 5999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.799548476716006, b_new = -0.9173464477162185, c_new = 4.878425423344702
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4488.032675793227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1835224528566384, b_new = -0.5594537729347334, c_new = 5.737469258869843
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12141.986632214153
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6362293225569964, b_new = -1.540225132273632, c_new = 4.073971560421134
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9552.400835279748
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.696748177962803, b_new = -0.5658114280217796, c_new = 4.5475866394020175
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5611.067412878594
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231373413004099, b_new = -0.35817963675470643, c_new = 5.189512874999194
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6934.09066822509
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.410456279757343, b_new = -1.16810864004016, c_new = 5.737220396982569
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8667.593439936534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4519775125130363, b_new = -1.0500254321039375, c_new = 4.755420760149315
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9297.57492002952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.238353420415947, b_new = -1.4580754627508374, c_new = 5.2374505082711
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4388.5919259958555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.601818261275623, b_new = -1.0873858684602744, c_new = 4.753378326836968
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11042.616164554158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.060700401534236, b_new = -1.3718989755243962, c_new = 5.461189353075353
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3031.3452460358194
Acceptance probability: 3.075509372086244e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9485833538139574, b_new = -0.6700250975790514, c_new = 5.060646812835689
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3020.9731930079092
Acceptance probability: 9.827486385179365e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0173337735108268, b_new = -1.7476112318221855, c_new = 5.031483075723659
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14509.59186685233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3262515460790083, b_new = -0.262855010434381, c_new = 5.05347736373391
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10658.777116504873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3567210318542156, b_new = -0.7923948102403646, c_new = 4.823845289215072
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11308.732636763987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.572993809894667, b_new = -0.6817696879389432, c_new = 4.777095980752669
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8254.703267036643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0439282980374323, b_new = -1.2528256088923322, c_new = 4.798894484790965
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3018.4288763280683
Acceptance probability: 0.0012514835490106857
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.185947647311751, b_new = -0.4908319039434923, c_new = 4.882554585042957
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5471.5343151688285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.149904382487179, b_new = -0.12316139748223942, c_new = 5.274917911431887
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5839.156121104792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1474160664867132, b_new = -1.9912927695828615, c_new = 5.94941256367489
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13977.025778092164
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2867494051052857, b_new = -0.18556974111976066, c_new = 5.278613264040515
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8710.597783628271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8409826813255212, b_new = -1.4287576388918724, c_new = 4.750399698880204
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4898.432234079008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1057241531733197, b_new = -0.8229736758166284, c_new = 4.611363093838743
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13246.90673125313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.510147974874616, b_new = -0.9923140139380308, c_new = 4.8522526184340276
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9907.397262465112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.57188426530332, b_new = -0.4400491703154441, c_new = 5.6905033714875275
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7365.939988680777
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.643271420766376, b_new = -0.6071558398335551, c_new = 5.166551121120003
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12257.334413379107
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.136569238522545, b_new = -1.305797033963395, c_new = 5.4243138512228715
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14270.948862231347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6966010282515853, b_new = -1.6903262004986166, c_new = 5.487966941769061
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11184.261463561768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9447740999903247, b_new = -1.9853758709398088, c_new = 5.528295828817443
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4183.759153060377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.187781824388055, b_new = -0.6960449143324405, c_new = 5.455897143253339
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12360.887801516237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.538501854587242, b_new = -1.437392967675297, c_new = 4.151657842153256
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9532.667992852768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.968554641932721, b_new = -1.7277005508339192, c_new = 5.725348247228475
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3504.4068273348616
Acceptance probability: 1.0961820752006856e-214
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.776499554401477, b_new = -1.4053321585853635, c_new = 5.082954812584694
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15941.206098360828
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2733385330365516, b_new = -0.42598890713494, c_new = 5.1198591071362305
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11412.281786361884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.636939072194332, b_new = -1.7389909164176012, c_new = 5.0252164710085685
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10396.396925202673
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5791729608247196, b_new = -0.8857910145751255, c_new = 5.231873510768826
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11296.358169325818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1291684310599956, b_new = -0.9287220896097873, c_new = 5.399291238020247
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3854.1814486643034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5168603375380316, b_new = -1.1976440154519696, c_new = 5.845632408793012
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9904.683118067836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.982376499788605, b_new = -0.6588975090363991, c_new = 4.27971996804567
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3020.5835585520576
Acceptance probability: 0.00014509703736227415
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.28163580208468, b_new = -1.2531334277113928, c_new = 4.348558934791584
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12750.243963019144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.01247939053225, b_new = -1.2217237285371034, c_new = 5.353451051276219
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3014.499584976811
Acceptance probability: 0.06366411359950255
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.032646984853038, b_new = -1.864313938224078, c_new = 4.845453662765816
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13104.350423925065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8307076876530286, b_new = -1.3469232979378496, c_new = 5.914377732329813
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4570.204759377824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7429913248077153, b_new = 0.0431923005420054, c_new = 5.165273626573869
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3680.548554462944
Acceptance probability: 3.4874064910825736e-291
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8294626145501893, b_new = -1.4852621161908757, c_new = 4.923702149166635
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5174.985438584875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.354092514916398, b_new = -1.1142048609803972, c_new = 4.5914709983458675
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7241.0094180272645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.205296191429997, b_new = -0.49381643646084683, c_new = 4.390591694584364
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5679.238893476895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7237879964355627, b_new = -0.6751189836465982, c_new = 4.283807653665791
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5441.000501675428
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4028382183673487, b_new = -0.75579654371689, c_new = 4.699094135782459
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9165.255534853832
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8931970524534312, b_new = -0.36169669526743686, c_new = 5.452212371552102
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13630.236666384519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.106626206285554, b_new = -0.9459345782356468, c_new = 4.374768318005665
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3439.4190752669606
Acceptance probability: 1.8352904746739646e-186
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.387477835325461, b_new = -1.9065415708513553, c_new = 4.807202882150249
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5942.068100481873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.242609155443651, b_new = -1.1449501013394379, c_new = 4.461126193715966
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4875.64013232534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0067578876585395, b_new = -1.320314116867206, c_new = 5.153138570275602
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3050.597330681968
Acceptance probability: 1.3391922514780757e-17
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.479234917614547, b_new = -0.7931219540302672, c_new = 5.038526738432132
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9849.49263278368
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.537922502202291, b_new = -1.4777362016577136, c_new = 5.481253213744676
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10318.154395395673
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5677107958047816, b_new = 0.1509068458972993, c_new = 5.416466419668177
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12846.308646563082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3509031926662805, b_new = -1.640564843655643, c_new = 4.224964616748114
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12830.424346274096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2726959912467986, b_new = -1.1397503426793048, c_new = 5.123919560199946
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5646.848185279832
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.877242216249108, b_new = -0.38664623520511754, c_new = 4.991996141026973
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3114.3189702274603
Acceptance probability: 2.837177423916237e-45
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1816904088473197, b_new = -1.0865244333120723, c_new = 4.751303308154477
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4127.480633243691
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6057881430605816, b_new = -0.5560881250456229, c_new = 5.12256298504775
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7197.947830123692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5876299188479357, b_new = -1.0415670100586114, c_new = 5.102638335034282
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11081.972407994363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.406861189745915, b_new = -0.8328592211585271, c_new = 4.439446608226582
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8954.515474544969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.746798196143133, b_new = -0.17220965598970817, c_new = 4.349979805038053
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4060.4412395664563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.971266806177304, b_new = -2.2255671319961294, c_new = 5.428425631020374
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4275.454797258919
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.868990060352246, b_new = -0.8426471759874543, c_new = 4.894787885805719
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14297.352386496197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8462499201137117, b_new = -1.7689091147380505, c_new = 5.247897062038534
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15088.142786115968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9385268838485765, b_new = -0.25403621011696953, c_new = 4.9331749163484355
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3073.192923172558
Acceptance probability: 2.0592154776097912e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0414863858429784, b_new = -0.9776429352764413, c_new = 4.4208346769450735
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3062.2270352109754
Acceptance probability: 1.1915888334599244e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.793103232253255, b_new = -0.5194857927876717, c_new = 4.5414701247770815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13211.723016083966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2930746962483726, b_new = -0.47752759656466237, c_new = 5.151261878722282
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7947.060460833483
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1769016018461644, b_new = -1.0542440271240676, c_new = 4.426736117031243
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4049.2809348810133
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.264393361187779, b_new = -0.43201715019801645, c_new = 4.795208757846136
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15297.60012870697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2127249238259012, b_new = -1.4353766643369983, c_new = 4.602233217214954
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3947.910801262657
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3897190658366467, b_new = -1.0946160915141294, c_new = 5.282473158482392
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8288.847233268027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3050882473747687, b_new = -2.075708901509039, c_new = 5.996228601791312
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4434.453467815194
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.116703861407413, b_new = -1.6133490149989562, c_new = 4.5748199027400505
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3078.9857870607666
Acceptance probability: 6.279035996322078e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.270400865844797, b_new = -2.0589368604566665, c_new = 5.043759564505719
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13653.35910676891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.666984196943587, b_new = -0.9011609348480374, c_new = 5.560642022728508
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6710.249953786501
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2776804590706634, b_new = -0.8125699243613975, c_new = 4.602629984099881
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12094.290128086655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3372713704440713, b_new = -0.9785930928412142, c_new = 4.752678509380353
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7317.415777004959
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.989432395800943, b_new = -1.4745984366611333, c_new = 5.199709238311993
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3193.116284416393
Acceptance probability: 1.7046991882802666e-79
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.684911967268736, b_new = -1.2191799984551257, c_new = 5.1646497890303085
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7334.964466082332
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0272462813317578, b_new = -1.0591842404572651, c_new = 5.3422206024319125
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3037.9317089105625
Acceptance probability: 4.240846693783183e-12
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2334267111001878, b_new = -0.8997944140378457, c_new = 5.365275430599044
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12333.703253780746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.172799523596356, b_new = -1.2881705353548596, c_new = 4.8231577052578185
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13353.920770273759
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1403165301734037, b_new = -0.9351503737890892, c_new = 5.935494643170126
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4100.057532104544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8782661997935968, b_new = -0.5397755122127601, c_new = 5.419390538386299
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3160.607432758913
Acceptance probability: 2.239044072809712e-65
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.540362232777712, b_new = -0.5144783651065161, c_new = 5.141961480547684
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11509.81468909069
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3844405646235045, b_new = -1.0791121314195788, c_new = 4.865294160797296
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8066.527110016912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7014987733419, b_new = -0.1904334313380669, c_new = 5.647912723232101
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13363.111699229925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4370036613177732, b_new = -1.2253414118913233, c_new = 5.767354417235325
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10938.69534766926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.051181844797018, b_new = -0.873827584930623, c_new = 4.683207323582946
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3164.735616713241
Acceptance probability: 3.6075730221886866e-67
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.405811033263108, b_new = -1.1281251238515129, c_new = 5.19009751450485
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8475.566113482468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4117525666742705, b_new = -1.2596244849676939, c_new = 4.6093171834782405
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11621.525852985182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7766810496121495, b_new = -1.5184176576275625, c_new = 4.765686704939667
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6370.692055464981
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.153470514742705, b_new = -1.7744952187424947, c_new = 4.857809828656251
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13993.139384535325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.061985325245662, b_new = -1.5234870177483313, c_new = 4.742736483760609
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3028.2935754621512
Acceptance probability: 6.504901812376216e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097329243926356, b_new = -0.5668154792417441, c_new = 4.521803916318768
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3841.533367288146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6462358086401006, b_new = -1.1463837073455396, c_new = 5.152091700842377
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7925.790716146481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8053012441600553, b_new = -1.0640850503358388, c_new = 4.712636640805158
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12661.974878712479
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.257061752879674, b_new = -1.747952771989929, c_new = 6.024238050354459
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4324.542934053144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.213836498713633, b_new = -1.2367572862466687, c_new = 5.152222266653081
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4410.698845324021
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.994396659297425, b_new = -1.6170199998239154, c_new = 3.9854748070311397
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3451.5898696580653
Acceptance probability: 9.505959642094168e-192
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2508100797356088, b_new = -1.9762103612153372, c_new = 5.6510428009546105
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3812.8738001098964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3999211545233163, b_new = -0.7013706588972967, c_new = 6.110026485443602
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10308.922485149315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.522082421250957, b_new = -1.778312316112279, c_new = 4.634382134598227
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8742.574248399485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230325039097021, b_new = -2.2188870497065536, c_new = 5.635433889282033
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3362.0429597752254
Acceptance probability: 7.37436789009985e-153
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.597438820154661, b_new = -1.2104234625600907, c_new = 4.887065498717064
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10834.222950672494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.420091715324162, b_new = -1.760224586352693, c_new = 5.178980432665172
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7098.765591221812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.433597454569541, b_new = -1.6620612280194176, c_new = 5.544420002215887
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11787.795691314803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9144713466397363, b_new = -0.25643678592621233, c_new = 5.164662030946254
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3045.392098611703
Acceptance probability: 2.440318391420966e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.172793506202001, b_new = -1.1360180247769958, c_new = 4.21229822063133
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3837.2500658806885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5851554910369066, b_new = -1.8733769703057794, c_new = 5.258206798830989
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10596.298456257691
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7807705613947746, b_new = -1.2909824630915487, c_new = 4.676791195543462
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5716.295411971427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1184076920294617, b_new = -2.068598497616093, c_new = 5.54106959994662
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3039.9831844572454
Acceptance probability: 5.451400169692897e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.229648347156068, b_new = -0.6672040387660247, c_new = 5.478348320408699
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12017.61971905538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.977667969114639, b_new = -1.131332144294268, c_new = 5.553077083260153
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3046.586619701762
Acceptance probability: 7.390478791842351e-16
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3254941502345474, b_new = -1.2223943531996353, c_new = 4.807736360212212
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12253.11835707287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.604963505421114, b_new = -0.0028582089430859714, c_new = 4.836474986467047
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5938.244648204301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.98313351384685, b_new = -1.1368953263578498, c_new = 5.275962977595828
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3045.374039743801
Acceptance probability: 2.484788106705969e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6477991853972265, b_new = -0.7131653006771808, c_new = 3.8833578734775074
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11782.187783590962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3182823673154314, b_new = -2.185493123966752, c_new = 5.206706614966256
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4266.228013534865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.862102694699394, b_new = -1.3917468394242833, c_new = 4.629856600164549
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4512.837806107134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4685709627236485, b_new = -1.025312725823748, c_new = 4.942971450451553
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10470.197046131423
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1521306490804575, b_new = -0.7650896227304531, c_new = 5.272955514797065
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4404.763611739573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5073306261508383, b_new = -1.6968210680915907, c_new = 4.428598260041138
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11473.582774555987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3232410523664564, b_new = -0.7811264575718937, c_new = 5.050728484532058
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7687.542425148278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7869061723537967, b_new = -1.2993154349696547, c_new = 5.202403158241098
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5437.761619213674
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3889131076912906, b_new = -1.2464180638450955, c_new = 4.927047159215797
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7732.653522260687
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2988790467264875, b_new = -0.12893430976501208, c_new = 4.651541494116199
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8852.230361192538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.681871526738556, b_new = -0.1810012785588877, c_new = 4.852773212375953
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4929.550044893598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2895410105761003, b_new = -0.6275254126973452, c_new = 4.978914816964798
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7363.274187474301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.489485844073856, b_new = -2.1909231606257134, c_new = 5.681198767277857
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12096.328505446705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5297747238934276, b_new = -1.5160201953140129, c_new = 4.59014198626168
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10807.79706313313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.591510390949107, b_new = -1.1598484174382058, c_new = 5.475881964082251
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8841.288596335778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6935389839977635, b_new = -1.389989561407509, c_new = 5.417808243079139
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7524.393664753833
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.102313491232313, b_new = -0.8854348433604454, c_new = 5.119483419033261
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3577.2952114699106
Acceptance probability: 2.425826139601248e-246
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7822154312135026, b_new = -2.1916332284684117, c_new = 5.497249263835859
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7880.314159139047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.814635344567682, b_new = -0.939750886018642, c_new = 4.438070624525786
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14681.608796959748
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.478331604630716, b_new = -1.2065965363072544, c_new = 4.496873416534794
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9268.176019420562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0087458929048134, b_new = -1.0168314994940664, c_new = 4.979069737012828
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3012.8840238713556
Acceptance probability: 0.3202756859516785
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6753410082359483, b_new = -0.8278860518245812, c_new = 5.003021224721365
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6545.677921160399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2467563591358535, b_new = -1.5211032331376662, c_new = 5.061867292392159
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13128.719169978624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.13626647716628, b_new = -0.6765733791678994, c_new = 4.846473429700528
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4231.047746099661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7473963928737515, b_new = -0.8800813792966874, c_new = 5.476182329075866
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5112.937574091204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2571820208129476, b_new = -0.7263277710751119, c_new = 5.020431324398499
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6384.985068629272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.30872976814216, b_new = -0.8402043279740876, c_new = 4.147927952731346
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6860.8206381748805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.228042418023452, b_new = -1.0922961189965479, c_new = 4.62888867653544
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4785.422076441842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2840581749551494, b_new = -1.4595756799613975, c_new = 5.177293007619971
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12775.182833568244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.533464211795821, b_new = -1.1325088578053515, c_new = 5.035481939159744
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15571.435027620242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.569346541275668, b_new = -0.4164618849531093, c_new = 4.939289543055572
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11869.221107013764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7922892157380073, b_new = -1.6434094843937959, c_new = 5.344807742902431
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6160.910924024932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3101868021259033, b_new = -1.2133708762827227, c_new = 4.926061111821796
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6163.807636055566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9199517935317827, b_new = -1.2380363355648303, c_new = 4.551884796663327
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3568.039017313128
Acceptance probability: 2.539649113770816e-242
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5269122301019893, b_new = -1.328677330124812, c_new = 4.857637737097446
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9810.14804427044
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.553750682609009, b_new = -0.8880289324063503, c_new = 5.222738574574499
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11036.139557586748
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.105749210883103, b_new = -0.989500228547372, c_new = 4.72461666577947
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3433.3092738210835
Acceptance probability: 8.263382651648457e-184
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1089588587876547, b_new = -0.6678563202742287, c_new = 4.259729692234737
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13136.205621750727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9898308607810713, b_new = -0.6393230508649173, c_new = 6.445807183673001
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14543.300090822904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.419316813175179, b_new = -0.699787747074085, c_new = 4.242309368627576
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10664.752708563927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.690599103763802, b_new = -0.7267971782880485, c_new = 5.280762262973574
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12474.370193443097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5309571255842274, b_new = -0.2970955175536224, c_new = 5.736178419094352
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11966.764332628149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950026261625724, b_new = -1.0376234647507894, c_new = 4.690967725828459
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3155.3673930564582
Acceptance probability: 4.224574467725625e-63
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0673518387467946, b_new = -0.7625879813941926, c_new = 4.448355449078543
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3322.425344502599
Acceptance probability: 1.184231199763245e-135
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.439577236225842, b_new = -1.1162718078602956, c_new = 5.217867696496535
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9110.440831533564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.936895158691638, b_new = -0.45197993988796925, c_new = 3.8904824770074242
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13876.818365215091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.65328345036865, b_new = -0.5105134667191498, c_new = 4.992337854676967
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12419.264935608222
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6783641982208284, b_new = -1.2855790327575387, c_new = 5.06282314770581
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7689.785863132194
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4635458919079474, b_new = -1.9370185924230703, c_new = 5.093035990289845
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12104.970760743588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.82350649400675, b_new = -1.3956611199400069, c_new = 4.137259289173083
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5335.248147447658
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.285768152433264, b_new = -0.7303820489487778, c_new = 3.9975692501873596
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6612.587084402078
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0076353041870956, b_new = -1.2788907431331424, c_new = 5.0326283880597815
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3041.564085619025
Acceptance probability: 1.1218412691759832e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9198603299578707, b_new = -2.2648917039733876, c_new = 5.534648967980771
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5154.569253036298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4210383656247543, b_new = -0.8614068392962082, c_new = 5.31866052334995
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10598.504039581112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1499927915630193, b_new = -1.1302800934561223, c_new = 4.5092149684190455
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3648.1002536447263
Acceptance probability: 4.311422303530057e-277
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.917385562281174, b_new = -1.1601374431609008, c_new = 4.570426346801086
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3497.67968472177
Acceptance probability: 9.15047443570159e-212
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5909754491077406, b_new = -0.2222909220150454, c_new = 5.484062699684004
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12503.720893994087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6006487004498453, b_new = -1.5677653811451246, c_new = 4.853820734996214
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9872.71299009816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9830254793028583, b_new = -1.475549716882819, c_new = 5.417694497973761
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3206.64623535706
Acceptance probability: 2.2681131702182158e-85
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.873166745976144, b_new = -1.6192363136028987, c_new = 4.961863435324646
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4704.244409089175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.898095020389479, b_new = -0.832090128141383, c_new = 5.045378120959752
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3270.2229616468235
Acceptance probability: 5.554478822598733e-113
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6157641658380335, b_new = -1.2401764640980422, c_new = 6.268173765423105
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8327.521029593621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2364836631216924, b_new = -0.9813027956214679, c_new = 5.2670587844568795
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5374.664907997209
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.29528184292195, b_new = -2.035030380027592, c_new = 5.3906487920667905
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4232.898835905256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9718170494352893, b_new = -0.7349338470601403, c_new = 4.405208440942733
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3013.959689423852
Acceptance probability: 0.10923664577138369
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.799454420138725, b_new = -0.5544014115785919, c_new = 5.224930119236125
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3821.757949217952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.140554976282526, b_new = -0.7688631286894607, c_new = 4.024797735783439
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3956.4850462904014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.034069028107353, b_new = 0.31358700329140654, c_new = 4.459913579789578
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4501.931468258329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.52400438209399, b_new = -1.4052306721499637, c_new = 5.366170635196563
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9782.470814698288
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.105124090337573, b_new = -0.9338933693005886, c_new = 5.966957554239324
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3694.7254780172348
Acceptance probability: 2.4296454415239812e-297
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7640206351829586, b_new = -0.47976074772784005, c_new = 5.8399360398382285
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13437.483048746155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9383788586456108, b_new = -0.37768889131609085, c_new = 5.1188162811103695
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3045.431640615302
Acceptance probability: 2.3457062176713507e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9026306302910485, b_new = -0.8559953333307343, c_new = 4.734277714987212
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3292.727785178875
Acceptance probability: 9.352390651439318e-123
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9632712436177306, b_new = -1.724665257386134, c_new = 4.413245273329359
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3799.203525716699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5870091769399846, b_new = -1.492648455152829, c_new = 5.791421763467403
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10511.024910232263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8872123471953657, b_new = -1.8144016961467826, c_new = 4.775182865020359
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4947.745217904225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6881287829131653, b_new = -1.155403182354452, c_new = 4.612386424451688
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7308.520521516589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.157463758172595, b_new = -0.3697641479065319, c_new = 5.414291106745834
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5404.806541333093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9283487968527475, b_new = -1.5329066068925785, c_new = 4.560811968239927
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14759.489527960413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.272723281747015, b_new = -0.955593954380087, c_new = 5.221438025182104
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12161.419425532133
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8561359515305655, b_new = -1.0653390877332953, c_new = 5.238176391626558
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13112.37568152037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.132464647548829, b_new = -0.3770245539755831, c_new = 5.089872495062904
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4829.70149455363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8381508033259997, b_new = -0.7792647757636546, c_new = 4.266036510467787
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3872.078767882398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2397997416976754, b_new = -0.28080227883795394, c_new = 4.973714946048633
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11524.327310703064
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3493533971808427, b_new = -0.9665912022866384, c_new = 5.13463874656196
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7756.189463470024
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6922890665615915, b_new = -0.6465128429881224, c_new = 5.643006948774509
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12697.89654727764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.074879830905907, b_new = -0.07939857618232171, c_new = 5.254300821214519
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4569.2847997350245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.849159797163496, b_new = -1.0692093522928992, c_new = 5.559804928325861
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3915.016228168578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1539714661454457, b_new = -0.6102807834040977, c_new = 5.050671566820922
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4679.921720676209
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.168000637197183, b_new = -1.6341092734121185, c_new = 4.157055611942289
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3274.2961362023348
Acceptance probability: 9.455534465997173e-115
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3038076143596906, b_new = -1.3913525085101974, c_new = 4.667271213988425
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5496.131873650103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.98146470953181, b_new = -0.300470158563408, c_new = 5.190529069534721
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3247.250435176455
Acceptance probability: 5.266047798274777e-103
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.016423898964767, b_new = -1.598477572298598, c_new = 4.006712527608809
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3276.8422557128397
Acceptance probability: 7.411744304630843e-116
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.41422508865025, b_new = -1.213573605556942, c_new = 5.309638102469092
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11298.93750454922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2267353400233003, b_new = -1.529112082252786, c_new = 5.734237763296019
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13082.866270362249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7033945310290597, b_new = -1.8726988785699454, c_new = 4.999923965305786
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15653.061419671492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.874492967721776, b_new = -2.1478447927098805, c_new = 5.269353663125798
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11901.736016400486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6530612857550597, b_new = -1.238429005021338, c_new = 4.931815467043334
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11332.159078528275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.402930997077582, b_new = -1.8328478565507271, c_new = 5.034581295853831
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6512.575748350599
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.110087839253541, b_new = -1.1684306631711867, c_new = 5.639111155090318
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3410.7394582627203
Acceptance probability: 5.237261012395984e-174
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1160629300281, b_new = -1.6773505435690284, c_new = 4.589041251754139
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3063.249713471462
Acceptance probability: 4.2853164641767374e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3705988326271026, b_new = -0.22887880228179402, c_new = 4.328279891410566
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9744.687065246868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8742385503843428, b_new = -1.2224419890362215, c_new = 4.593440912459091
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14676.889732730446
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2302620963320487, b_new = -1.2792945647288205, c_new = 4.886598777157088
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12975.314559909686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.28600013450381, b_new = -2.0041290227150337, c_new = 5.134603266076992
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13470.839828515149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.826855039394134, b_new = -1.6163985024467178, c_new = 4.478657518934287
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12053.352912167526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.898218576484021, b_new = -1.1578565981797861, c_new = 4.635305245384363
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3665.9626633546027
Acceptance probability: 7.534849697040879e-285
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6636465515632914, b_new = -1.8375023699620097, c_new = 3.589130376614124
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10033.168026073694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2503866544175986, b_new = -1.1258210086639713, c_new = 4.723067495409075
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5127.7346265080705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.538899929641377, b_new = -0.6887320668093224, c_new = 4.577939617421283
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11027.073036280004
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.680957000815507, b_new = -0.39604789529419837, c_new = 5.92293055197951
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13038.43067101661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4861201168619127, b_new = -0.7095868129538246, c_new = 5.180788753441178
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10603.594433770519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6059553603654084, b_new = -2.243134292427392, c_new = 5.454926737005405
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9248.419228199491
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3732633369960885, b_new = -1.2125174767449347, c_new = 4.610581947425767
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7383.375052412617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9708394864937024, b_new = -1.5432569785498302, c_new = 5.9886170541457915
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3272.0202479157515
Acceptance probability: 9.206441678080965e-114
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1803672417067004, b_new = 0.02247632916292641, c_new = 5.075944646570524
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6852.583329864287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6813759705996003, b_new = -1.6352593929768537, c_new = 5.7350281203859765
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8310.46661353163
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.775534907963438, b_new = -0.9633649856751499, c_new = 5.238702049420945
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12733.271226006033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.346833008260714, b_new = -1.2702811914058025, c_new = 5.183513441114519
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6881.765698277217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.043633701998907, b_new = -1.0583423356106596, c_new = 5.727766810886795
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14184.740358403325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.373419739523433, b_new = -1.2474762083802828, c_new = 4.997496153555207
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11835.644352062125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0405763004968582, b_new = -1.2876835803262372, c_new = 5.429230851875204
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3016.915351206678
Acceptance probability: 0.005685134627928221
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.810023058522955, b_new = -2.358995853692937, c_new = 4.207756800592043
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10865.734274264962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7176840353904983, b_new = -1.755230424911808, c_new = 4.843817572428326
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15558.36291860381
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.636609245442321, b_new = -1.7558107856999206, c_new = 4.568473894242133
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9869.155296800931
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.615651506945687, b_new = -0.9532764486907664, c_new = 4.913861776777394
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8101.901234426422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5660970224525173, b_new = -1.6938991886780268, c_new = 4.426980511913252
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9479.82340797683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5879971270319295, b_new = -0.647552115596411, c_new = 4.646844061458407
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -7942.438541406205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8348935585603354, b_new = -0.5933592985605896, c_new = 5.4840116226595965
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3479.6577937021366
Acceptance probability: 6.1411744632127844e-204
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7874867637058562, b_new = -0.9019134071834687, c_new = 5.347460407789862
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4525.789155354057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.517923690464073, b_new = -1.0158355952068832, c_new = 5.340475055383248
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9685.806460610394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9539126382033563, b_new = -1.1586761322925823, c_new = 4.350302603461035
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3254.26529058877
Acceptance probability: 4.731205366863248e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8679502690619647, b_new = -0.9069894946566444, c_new = 5.0177249248115645
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3589.321283032809
Acceptance probability: 1.4521221592355324e-251
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.687947672613384, b_new = -0.3728385287185825, c_new = 5.070395794686432
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5172.884587296791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.296980213477168, b_new = -1.8206787605306092, c_new = 4.847090921011802
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14313.764975660008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0951080115293292, b_new = -1.3693579775810791, c_new = 5.196719330578129
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13761.395891777298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.485833799308582, b_new = -1.3115942773604714, c_new = 5.525039600241744
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9497.463712694973
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.444344204416414, b_new = -1.1332429582705958, c_new = 5.132415137985265
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9118.414116717442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1328210476455403, b_new = -0.15371997566761786, c_new = 5.381930643890857
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5456.925607116536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1703892097392856, b_new = -1.7386720894399272, c_new = 5.160280401813201
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3289.6840639602783
Acceptance probability: 1.962429071034532e-121
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.253897529603504, b_new = -1.5568258998390134, c_new = 5.956073909945809
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4619.524829410475
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3986489052746256, b_new = -0.37271663573969516, c_new = 4.4911407661473
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -9904.515976476168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625108048698471, b_new = -1.2175313389658688, c_new = 5.644816491311241
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8326.540981874869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0825871541685785, b_new = -0.696741368331993, c_new = 5.494133131358662
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13011.945122695866
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7003853164765208, b_new = -1.2783512542075761, c_new = 4.486122258909404
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15320.518900012463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1057535984243443, b_new = -0.6033572230851694, c_new = 4.8898714136536725
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3962.5562405399214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.841765237875045, b_new = -0.6340098633898889, c_new = 6.274604196728094
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -13810.186067276045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8862711136811579, b_new = -1.3656414595812532, c_new = 5.663396015451036
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -14520.65121624987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.185054959219349, b_new = -0.6721920682183304, c_new = 4.23442165198966
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4835.885021953803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.365062613928907, b_new = -1.3808950141227327, c_new = 4.007456222168515
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6556.063065530247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.076599969433524, b_new = -0.46053367194654193, c_new = 4.719706031653787
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12962.892310796109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2069243885405108, b_new = -0.8351080373346181, c_new = 5.134635076643954
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12493.657980096086
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.835575222274237, b_new = -1.1505056433141039, c_new = 5.440280664173234
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4249.236533535628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.204110441782172, b_new = -1.5278551607146373, c_new = 5.104869189634013
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3804.466656716143
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1353826297555334, b_new = -1.246765228394167, c_new = 4.805716519916546
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3426.847794496877
Acceptance probability: 5.288623853525297e-181
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.396139050382607, b_new = -2.1395436342233696, c_new = 5.357646613477045
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -5716.557441686683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.180994680886701, b_new = -0.8134424923762381, c_new = 5.032597987526078
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4695.565099382413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6054900639300396, b_new = -0.35839412190121045, c_new = 5.086709799076558
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6716.6974532094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.982251568452364, b_new = -1.8388357286779629, c_new = 5.619129771392892
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3527.7191765363896
Acceptance probability: 8.231103786586568e-225
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3860713270529397, b_new = -0.23592288469770661, c_new = 4.656810901522595
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -10081.947644361182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8888951462754062, b_new = -0.31169345143781413, c_new = 4.506799546372935
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3068.4881707840054
Acceptance probability: 2.274834441340679e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.455348867490503, b_new = -1.2190734299221413, c_new = 4.265436677056279
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8801.077112073635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.4255794673659, b_new = -0.7922190164019653, c_new = 4.455159907600449
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -15413.654847265198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9145181470242516, b_new = -1.4700364315936487, c_new = 4.985946272048941
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3853.842490515317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3797708411574066, b_new = -1.0107740286628843, c_new = 5.464710471674135
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11252.797745189653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3772128655149527, b_new = -1.1023550791769443, c_new = 5.614625549611773
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -8148.314985544113
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4813251000948036, b_new = -1.6559906939199656, c_new = 4.688453821149697
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -11586.576918647694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0638028943398217, b_new = -1.7357654985782363, c_new = 5.38192066909165
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3042.0678601502204
Acceptance probability: 6.778676575656078e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1844567994418203, b_new = -0.07586603371280298, c_new = 4.520815255492565
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -6424.529417368996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8145917468995236, b_new = -1.1806337647240803, c_new = 4.8126456128342365
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -4793.507063028199
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.813810546627993, b_new = -1.5697653083840706, c_new = 4.733764129892211
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -12085.160243116086
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0118031968246743, b = -1.1216062486207634, c = 5.021292288724583
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.990226980701012, b_new = -0.8589730007328548, c_new = 4.829267929268023
Current likelihood: -3011.745450735872
Proposed likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Acceptance probability: 0.2604720746157779
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6292:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.975508066046764, b_new = -0.967723661905909, c_new = 4.214796368521247
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3060.867665947972
Acceptance probability: 1.781278497461365e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6293:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9500878747793586, b_new = -1.111964509352971, c_new = 4.422028100586913
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3232.566937333445
Acceptance probability: 4.815991545787401e-96
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6294:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.457497758177742, b_new = -0.692407475127502, c_new = 5.78149675996418
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9695.881183932159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6295:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1843353925657985, b_new = -0.3732328972814026, c_new = 4.926572558908351
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -15132.260687549364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6296:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.191805689661918, b_new = -1.9474686700856556, c_new = 4.74564462708054
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13757.809662837642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6297:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9890365646267596, b_new = -1.9396579547447779, c_new = 4.077057480699373
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3907.8501169076053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6298:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.694750649658983, b_new = -1.4876805318869692, c_new = 4.825354064126281
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11292.412608149978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6299:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9713247842605712, b_new = -1.8597943621079125, c_new = 4.628008850311842
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3861.069789191744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6300:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6526930651209066, b_new = -0.6444906629840472, c_new = 5.167677173350408
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12276.619682357901
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6301:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.787932846651655, b_new = -0.4605622526004959, c_new = 4.838174547041758
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3891.481052472131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6302:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.519114558587535, b_new = -1.1897583734035306, c_new = 4.963541220155683
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10015.0708770766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6303:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6447281935124733, b_new = -0.7601608736631179, c_new = 4.208040893809498
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7287.588123352576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6304:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7293452929669084, b_new = -0.2971216908884172, c_new = 4.679336959134436
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4442.170238321867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6305:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7274451221958103, b_new = -1.0345009322650542, c_new = 4.9242809987698495
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6046.315204062383
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6306:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9783024049097766, b_new = -0.4145790620640791, c_new = 4.457254577449229
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3091.95157984384
Acceptance probability: 5.638447544376045e-35
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6307:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8288558798071084, b_new = 0.6257062440022366, c_new = 3.95658799522386
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3088.8270570308578
Acceptance probability: 1.282692515724863e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6308:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0977468504425993, b_new = -0.9405639111386955, c_new = 5.425536517345595
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13222.196137852996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6309:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2829880773146605, b_new = -0.7480890863697933, c_new = 4.172109058309899
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12083.167266945415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6310:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.885331254966987, b_new = -1.1874442133703145, c_new = 5.766446998473563
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3640.8688677943524
Acceptance probability: 2.2877594936959527e-273
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6311:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5991765397578313, b_new = -1.110817025973226, c_new = 4.725262411865916
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10969.948149117881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6312:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.247295432365027, b_new = 0.4221554171913934, c_new = 4.689080107698389
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9375.76494818022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6313:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3029363324959844, b_new = -0.7924308893005977, c_new = 5.095360459183058
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7231.996183107394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6314:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2765444137609787, b_new = -1.3377330461130326, c_new = 3.9611715543835833
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13009.858243469958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6315:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.32979663187509, b_new = -1.213583285358296, c_new = 4.672756389041217
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6488.0811996818875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6316:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4948358038136607, b_new = -0.35222905713850305, c_new = 4.787922808886223
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8790.16785413936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6317:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.952518576106031, b_new = -0.39035459857283444, c_new = 4.659579944422708
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3044.376191326238
Acceptance probability: 2.5875470299631316e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6318:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3676545088303496, b_new = -1.4952142418573775, c_new = 5.334388315534306
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -16140.332951842505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6319:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.48971507261038, b_new = -0.740486789610438, c_new = 4.791292595826491
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10460.844637012884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6320:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5636783700100523, b_new = -0.10874091880515857, c_new = 5.594864131996529
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6748.294396796604
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6321:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9978397814018414, b_new = -1.3737189876230391, c_new = 5.8295518156589425
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3060.55507045751
Acceptance probability: 2.4349515376738325e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6322:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8471352520788633, b_new = -0.5527376412184493, c_new = 4.5284278735971855
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3455.6450393652744
Acceptance probability: 6.325530731140461e-193
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6323:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.61738789224665, b_new = -1.309918905265457, c_new = 4.833905609922145
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9003.420942625158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6324:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8438187961537276, b_new = -1.5265025787843656, c_new = 4.514533369824705
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5143.7475014240845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6325:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.817641302602473, b_new = 0.21644605251460558, c_new = 4.17704420382351
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3127.334365293328
Acceptance probability: 2.4244379272656646e-50
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6326:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1133860248007332, b_new = -0.7019687689754535, c_new = 5.1948897247660595
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3967.801753487044
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6327:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.118939826625728, b_new = -1.3430099784559308, c_new = 4.444823486622093
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3203.5362788540688
Acceptance probability: 1.952272781826577e-83
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6328:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801981109594203, b_new = -1.3401416897485108, c_new = 4.474084836286407
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5493.587632449549
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6329:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8858352011567776, b_new = -0.0430871648935125, c_new = 4.946042150322218
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3051.9021831135938
Acceptance probability: 1.3944134011687398e-17
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6330:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.712982998749415, b_new = -0.8856543653572677, c_new = 5.208184287610371
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5861.66726433697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6331:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2138171542496314, b_new = -0.9101966353581731, c_new = 5.100560709901658
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5068.8714347994355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6332:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1673842369273015, b_new = -0.5017901287592575, c_new = 3.968067965580625
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12641.184515837213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6333:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9588504465540792, b_new = -1.2348034572932969, c_new = 4.8119335902854505
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14320.248377526166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6334:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7684465582817475, b_new = -1.0932345309592397, c_new = 4.977120658837028
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12449.423970114796
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6335:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1013628842297187, b_new = -2.071197301675753, c_new = 4.86767741470245
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3108.2121020699196
Acceptance probability: 4.889950566859372e-42
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6336:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6874166072594936, b_new = -0.38713875312869334, c_new = 4.565867923030483
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5361.334626353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6337:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3362862175526278, b_new = -0.03105463274164899, c_new = 5.0947062607176905
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9956.930274094688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6338:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.698794836670107, b_new = -1.214006004595459, c_new = 4.774792284558935
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7182.691750134874
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6339:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.401989417931637, b_new = -1.1065162809683413, c_new = 4.908122569431572
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11364.300088433167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6340:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4727749831526338, b_new = -0.5509366469227102, c_new = 4.627052713615387
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10565.238608569825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6341:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5913618442696227, b_new = -1.3907313901997025, c_new = 4.29303402425527
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10293.7708634156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6342:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.774979883062163, b_new = -0.6038667678840561, c_new = 3.949207754301858
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4504.700579719909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6343:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.173220403557214, b_new = -0.23592072629971061, c_new = 4.726252554012114
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5815.448083411036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6344:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5715300430677543, b_new = -0.5203491411798511, c_new = 5.560413518875551
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7612.197670168327
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6345:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6008304590143148, b_new = -0.7475611305110246, c_new = 5.66693194429255
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7588.560557216495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6346:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6778338532705015, b_new = -0.47968675152184626, c_new = 5.571864776124702
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5453.852775996582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6347:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.781050698464303, b_new = -0.7761944815348507, c_new = 5.2060094892726765
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12997.39135190584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6348:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8914264012464597, b_new = 0.056090355154370664, c_new = 5.296493864795378
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3104.953379039078
Acceptance probability: 1.2721839118606598e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6349:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3254111590883135, b_new = -0.14457691543605933, c_new = 4.716736248493109
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10563.229027438087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6350:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.328935741055745, b_new = -1.1389260077900585, c_new = 5.314687947746192
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11956.313192568245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6351:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5254405449938675, b_new = -1.1233324433542156, c_new = 4.762900089607852
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10157.594800982884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6352:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1033305941708633, b_new = -2.5180766683195968, c_new = 5.502334957218327
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3321.933981192634
Acceptance probability: 7.43141823562527e-135
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6353:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7749128064217916, b_new = -0.17541352016890344, c_new = 4.698102000835485
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3681.133660132701
Acceptance probability: 7.458186492516864e-291
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6354:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3201651137416213, b_new = -0.35739833781967945, c_new = 4.792702833863901
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10957.262182546416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6355:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5195873500250556, b_new = -1.0009208910187402, c_new = 4.7973956124178825
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10328.00762621709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6356:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0647302410993373, b_new = -1.0264698519725013, c_new = 5.169894043726563
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3177.1692414765976
Acceptance probability: 5.515683487880624e-72
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6357:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.740465653424588, b_new = -0.8877607125375222, c_new = 5.704292046190054
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5188.716431049226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6358:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7222413046909084, b_new = -0.4027884400542072, c_new = 5.102644773229709
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4648.006192552244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6359:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.160090684643833, b_new = -0.42987628488869467, c_new = 4.303780197562772
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4952.152633938522
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6360:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9397617215285474, b_new = -0.6695383587164635, c_new = 4.281349429182876
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3051.7094599652237
Acceptance probability: 1.690791858045385e-17
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6361:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3883244991195074, b_new = -1.2367875930063044, c_new = 4.209135586496961
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11929.636659480997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6362:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8379759227145853, b_new = -0.9061845657327832, c_new = 5.014436925873353
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3913.0394431280793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6363:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5680644246174267, b_new = -1.0201840866673382, c_new = 4.546196497053875
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10752.859149930515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6364:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.981375220608778, b_new = -0.7320767638939792, c_new = 5.562173391189272
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3046.6946046943985
Acceptance probability: 2.5469130547831883e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6365:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.664979679960123, b_new = -0.4135394846173178, c_new = 5.202425281447887
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5651.663481457559
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6366:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4535497759597393, b_new = -1.077215366772334, c_new = 5.529498683542451
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9531.407766238695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6367:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.503291078171582, b_new = -1.0961575628689721, c_new = 5.186402947030356
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10095.394552366519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6368:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.462379084958935, b_new = -0.6041928500603446, c_new = 5.048374023091854
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9689.778960152435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6369:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.383354880180375, b_new = -1.329613572057033, c_new = 4.713530141425698
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7315.894804820261
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6370:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0263684317402966, b_new = -0.6837170301946827, c_new = 4.383325338473145
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3137.722306822184
Acceptance probability: 7.467674591886986e-55
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6371:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6794782292285735, b_new = -0.8699402811342227, c_new = 4.924450136704065
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6599.46762755864
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6372:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.012104786865992, b_new = -0.6330409415485256, c_new = 5.601807393623222
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3214.327094088088
Acceptance probability: 4.0192867196571887e-88
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6373:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8119912036866954, b_new = -1.2097592289667496, c_new = 4.274663907275924
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5065.0418125207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6374:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.650279359392021, b_new = -1.1053266577264655, c_new = 4.48593038469293
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7995.491617619116
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6375:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5445326201487495, b_new = -0.33733765351793965, c_new = 4.845982911998061
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11745.428865283757
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6376:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3272563059261624, b_new = -0.44221609425567876, c_new = 5.027618672283944
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8711.241432130588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6377:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9960294187438317, b_new = -0.157584550227425, c_new = 4.398720229910737
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14534.078050017346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6378:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.524344988372047, b_new = -0.7815525559180603, c_new = 5.28531578008434
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9114.96227917047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6379:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9415924287135056, b_new = -0.3262708059473084, c_new = 5.103847880407974
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14309.914837559574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6380:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.048174432471523, b_new = -1.7680301120281987, c_new = 5.3238320063384155
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3097.552266182426
Acceptance probability: 2.0835905197318773e-37
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6381:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8700817391566638, b_new = -0.5758704900383338, c_new = 3.9489356798883595
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3371.7250929645134
Acceptance probability: 1.7663087219353451e-156
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6382:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0607193152982246, b_new = -0.9732295998589355, c_new = 4.379486880220332
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13712.301429849693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6383:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.065932100976245, b_new = -1.3905385908494368, c_new = 4.433694634802305
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3028.942235845714
Acceptance probability: 1.3054791835322548e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6384:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.587420275905745, b_new = -0.6222053248288687, c_new = 4.79503068129518
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11663.912077707713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6385:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.175080576696568, b_new = -1.0767993586058124, c_new = 4.043107955037233
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3918.8879532570154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6386:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.493110994138767, b_new = -1.7689937103626496, c_new = 5.449156855356513
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11412.33624812496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6387:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.808397889878696, b_new = -1.3805680203541768, c_new = 5.282778150833055
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5202.058449976279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6388:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0305705259146047, b_new = -1.0306924375915512, c_new = 4.392398083263484
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13914.657406078131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6389:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2440880231805163, b_new = -0.558518489004733, c_new = 4.809189409646824
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6487.161631996978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6390:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.770544494406913, b_new = -0.5343799498900565, c_new = 5.212301012260506
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4151.361549851188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6391:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.627994297024599, b_new = -1.2715340607109502, c_new = 4.7042144239910355
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10983.675215285755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6392:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1809169447621946, b_new = -0.8445239931327135, c_new = 4.788045775421723
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14707.746857731416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6393:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3694201201246514, b_new = -0.8766362670723622, c_new = 5.77688254966281
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8667.962949348903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6394:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.233891379985334, b_new = -0.24304210396581727, c_new = 5.265476695072656
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7365.684710517076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6395:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9397141428435307, b_new = -0.13753400182625586, c_new = 3.815205329311726
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3054.6960170081375
Acceptance probability: 8.531883255045184e-19
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6396:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.798295577764941, b_new = -0.6667623815807517, c_new = 4.7215616805920915
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4100.117432275056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6397:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.451312206440393, b_new = -0.9020866320431233, c_new = 4.468232564308066
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9515.47662508712
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6398:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.709252862755342, b_new = -1.3184325832908028, c_new = 4.378170571672336
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7411.143797306079
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6399:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.531922409119984, b_new = -1.1469613889838266, c_new = 4.473622776531728
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10102.36467251296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6400:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.562823802829167, b_new = -0.8080529865086878, c_new = 4.8249697650076895
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11142.043883863362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6401:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.771035658604918, b_new = -1.2183835740320341, c_new = 4.817567925267827
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5676.912177337517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6402:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2945090546311495, b_new = -0.46562365769419295, c_new = 4.931229299268886
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7920.821063041188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6403:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.36117655154075, b_new = -0.6361818736402854, c_new = 5.193031551175554
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8913.518525387706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6404:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4774456118055275, b_new = -1.3033772688282963, c_new = 4.362225946548142
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11092.689593832318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6405:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.321041273588742, b_new = -0.02256768717334512, c_new = 5.179964957063802
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9759.353617926972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6406:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2824581827055135, b_new = -1.041617043685457, c_new = 4.8683229800426435
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6014.022654509919
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6407:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.169472190155605, b_new = -0.26417400063074237, c_new = 4.794762351322174
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5689.344046890314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6408:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9091745735925296, b_new = -1.348254325968926, c_new = 5.359031462296104
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13120.40303653136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6409:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.378030147993598, b_new = 0.47291623169309494, c_new = 5.80110700345462
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11827.230138297371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6410:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.260713042406648, b_new = -0.6810089144949659, c_new = 4.533468167890334
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6403.753552014956
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6411:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8706408620704456, b_new = -0.9555390491663692, c_new = 4.707775148472277
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14431.952114208885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6412:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4979647594187586, b_new = -1.3678690021501216, c_new = 5.358713814182389
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10638.7619654263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6413:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7956512447352333, b_new = -1.460120416888782, c_new = 4.772362588562128
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5817.584501281291
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6414:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.378856651241805, b_new = -1.1472189855528898, c_new = 4.48156065239046
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7627.482141167669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6415:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9496726230408084, b_new = -0.29947285667665524, c_new = 4.450593322585182
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3055.715434531956
Acceptance probability: 3.078346473308963e-19
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6416:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1502912434461514, b_new = -0.6121694341816716, c_new = 3.727441555321757
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4281.0114026670235
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6417:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7244390754904497, b_new = -0.7572133957389073, c_new = 4.799152791442167
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5459.010461384123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6418:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8406446969254344, b_new = -0.7733375112302716, c_new = 5.094196059285362
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3685.562886506065
Acceptance probability: 8.892925737995003e-293
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6419:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889145596040771, b_new = -0.7779618703226532, c_new = 3.3301002807107887
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3518.5678636841576
Acceptance probability: 2.9789388101214444e-220
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6420:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545177970047441, b_new = -0.9315627107630126, c_new = 4.601790026138466
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9369.093392166793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6421:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9051352750878023, b_new = 0.020892989212741964, c_new = 4.066275118222806
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3046.1011678799323
Acceptance probability: 4.6104196053839376e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6422:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7633962031386146, b_new = -0.40165935916966594, c_new = 4.196603149711614
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4246.209857236927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6423:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.342326004863444, b_new = -1.6260106016883378, c_new = 4.926522956947636
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5766.892586905965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6424:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8486573234245967, b_new = -0.11890570571094994, c_new = 4.550337494011528
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13960.15054256765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6425:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266110116743804, b_new = -1.3959778498796007, c_new = 4.880622052616359
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4861.234132799873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6426:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.70764734702482, b_new = -1.5735828091906672, c_new = 4.123988002849684
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8274.11377318589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6427:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9970184737108605, b_new = -0.1407530977946604, c_new = 4.965514086842083
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3476.3837709454438
Acceptance probability: 6.2284543115548675e-202
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6428:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7938790704028689, b_new = -0.2917360476817742, c_new = 4.9048617614582435
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14097.761667643945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6429:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.408484467884421, b_new = -0.7630088598982107, c_new = 4.040096512933956
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10970.174503528131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6430:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2219312990195172, b_new = -0.12422525527388983, c_new = 5.360508488077138
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11342.412615162382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6431:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2793043235034034, b_new = -1.0314967350470232, c_new = 4.821032683067333
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12329.351670659784
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6432:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.027493252756316, b_new = -1.6835362454088743, c_new = 3.9809906978605447
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3284.872382123327
Acceptance probability: 9.262317631699973e-119
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6433:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3374583654112637, b_new = -1.173255105794239, c_new = 4.795272482044783
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6803.296893317292
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6434:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5042741613336545, b_new = -0.4654036504976507, c_new = 5.0293571525111105
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8813.087386478415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6435:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7625757035124217, b_new = -0.06274230804554515, c_new = 6.202848874002376
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3503.8896030762135
Acceptance probability: 7.05909730671034e-214
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6436:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6519942293182255, b_new = -0.944066698183105, c_new = 4.834912960868739
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7393.358184940765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6437:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.810315283879511, b_new = -2.0551430712102037, c_new = 4.799539554136569
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7154.678040402463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6438:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.622970445246718, b_new = -1.7454329822870287, c_new = 5.160560527901072
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9827.041981850438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6439:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.157952172822737, b_new = -1.4402249840417412, c_new = 4.847597836439407
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3424.922445551403
Acceptance probability: 1.3923548537695445e-179
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6440:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.522137640095888, b_new = 0.22059269582964436, c_new = 3.7435458832234154
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7337.2032248179175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6441:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.574018111873401, b_new = -0.4562372340380242, c_new = 4.689754326090359
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7708.651200731274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6442:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.953527540624389, b_new = 0.26035590727640023, c_new = 4.981192083269454
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14888.419612745016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6443:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.330998190607873, b_new = -0.24702413375378984, c_new = 6.2886380668996305
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9819.693678013384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6444:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3186773553757147, b_new = -0.6976916604193502, c_new = 5.0460059803475
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11447.42472420766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6445:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0019630150248915, b_new = -0.35343256765994224, c_new = 4.268236339148249
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3219.8668195447553
Acceptance probability: 1.5786170568577177e-90
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6446:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5866812533168, b_new = -1.4250587442865745, c_new = 5.266774093751391
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9609.174013265274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6447:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.481000297156185, b_new = -1.5557949602520929, c_new = 5.491906893391061
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11142.92178684071
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6448:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4415187074463915, b_new = -0.6960172375532323, c_new = 5.6680421947122
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10234.166617489109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6449:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3069597458381854, b_new = -1.415838047801663, c_new = 4.901953233097371
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5571.875737328467
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6450:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9463605253891387, b_new = -0.2165842413804312, c_new = 4.811098313112523
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3102.8935305672658
Acceptance probability: 9.980004199099598e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6451:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1680135392861972, b_new = -0.6723987695351266, c_new = 6.047372763504999
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5091.158763168136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6452:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1987818220069477, b_new = 0.022475506041538362, c_new = 5.138929924053885
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7306.51800400882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6453:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.920239914990724, b_new = -0.9486959157680175, c_new = 5.113969937907363
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3215.899798002274
Acceptance probability: 8.339352977908752e-89
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6454:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.062585469305318, b_new = -0.5892627127507781, c_new = 4.264941746553682
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3429.2216456583105
Acceptance probability: 1.8907366824290653e-181
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6455:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.027917125478703, b_new = -0.6870734039189784, c_new = 4.83145483494031
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3180.543548846256
Acceptance probability: 1.888670799353364e-73
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6456:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9103309171540936, b_new = -0.10363812879146661, c_new = 5.601831427861883
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3111.217510819457
Acceptance probability: 2.4214306371369962e-43
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6457:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4330794270296945, b_new = -0.29199905588377295, c_new = 3.9572436651299356
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9805.685089722157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6458:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7827178674830035, b_new = -1.5337269107810116, c_new = 5.607692871456816
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5972.547180209158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6459:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.490609488034898, b_new = -0.35279037253584355, c_new = 5.016757966478722
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11248.969130602482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6460:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.845523731128944, b_new = -0.7107608463958714, c_new = 4.461619895933453
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3661.45677660043
Acceptance probability: 2.6193599197047657e-282
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6461:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.288707004662769, b_new = -0.5936219134649396, c_new = 4.937050896057367
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7425.61935772506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6462:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8103704214581398, b_new = -1.1053223344701, c_new = 4.104527963512796
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12490.750995076534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6463:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7226120311979622, b_new = -1.2784973354591964, c_new = 4.827719854870585
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11827.146989087776
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6464:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.229858015060238, b_new = -0.5299981595792786, c_new = 5.337778985826255
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6461.060109837541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6465:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.600463059119781, b_new = 0.304323398334971, c_new = 4.416818483649939
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5441.770349732153
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6466:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3009037240650403, b_new = 0.5538644439757235, c_new = 4.844248463874844
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10683.554902547974
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6467:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4595381504077016, b_new = -1.1007939622051375, c_new = 5.292258427229578
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10606.974217653755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6468:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879785288961409, b_new = -0.5048166307547252, c_new = 4.129065495275805
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3227.6446187301644
Acceptance probability: 6.613350241438955e-94
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6469:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0332934777053437, b_new = -0.3481001017764852, c_new = 5.288996114155121
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3611.695572533996
Acceptance probability: 1.0695756735393596e-260
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6470:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8810489153061716, b_new = -1.2863434699898453, c_new = 4.935243883007591
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14630.853608658235
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6471:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4558451209682737, b_new = -0.9009668085745876, c_new = 4.207946786052721
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9497.576873077707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6472:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.415135287440836, b_new = -1.0042650094332932, c_new = 5.6085800956879055
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9111.245554058236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6473:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7343845820111987, b_new = -0.553359414559802, c_new = 5.279676950794364
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4703.767191735927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6474:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0019961980026992, b_new = -0.5486436943122464, c_new = 5.0460686680303395
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3162.6487622765358
Acceptance probability: 1.116254770245769e-65
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6475:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.719465362356167, b_new = -0.20484062612195908, c_new = 4.258100960938236
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4520.953206071831
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6476:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304049516865701, b_new = -0.34111146052265706, c_new = 5.390425797651499
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8674.223314860836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6477:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.0765636900384825, b_new = -0.4021164396508959, c_new = 4.5600560182284635
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14660.168630028895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6478:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7487197258777654, b_new = -1.5439610382982587, c_new = 4.093523328922666
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7323.254786392741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6479:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4575349929212056, b_new = -0.4127928705527477, c_new = 4.585603586758476
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10633.388883965792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6480:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0003621257927864, b_new = -0.855191369039527, c_new = 6.150030780082661
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3086.9057147716144
Acceptance probability: 8.760943948033607e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6481:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0737981425004017, b_new = -1.0906173508889052, c_new = 4.022565024533334
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3108.585525023629
Acceptance probability: 3.366114933799621e-42
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6482:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.984277166987843, b_new = -0.5994248926190514, c_new = 4.684654093551513
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3050.0907415290817
Acceptance probability: 8.532781650502699e-17
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6483:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2416802631267494, b_new = -0.4707715595565838, c_new = 5.1540978369549695
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6822.568795164298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6484:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3329792890751007, b_new = -0.20800725088108807, c_new = 4.817244711567739
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9354.28873272759
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6485:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.371581587096386, b_new = -0.34784335647773756, c_new = 5.307804198730076
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10234.509949299518
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6486:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8859156365883982, b_new = -1.7515374027869495, c_new = 5.683134118983198
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4565.836223966235
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6487:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7085472952662886, b_new = -1.554010982087545, c_new = 4.649615185924842
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7977.487027748309
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6488:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.934205526151502, b_new = -1.091772733835466, c_new = 4.224847674562167
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3344.0634105624745
Acceptance probability: 1.821304836330943e-144
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6489:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.280952147994659, b_new = -1.4461871327320455, c_new = 4.983963962929351
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12832.182253428526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6490:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8600771027935585, b_new = -2.094567772315162, c_new = 4.9815434240232666
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6100.714562047104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6491:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.164089002204931, b_new = 0.13105895971661297, c_new = 5.068049986653946
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6799.967884389443
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6492:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1731466708276024, b_new = -1.2561757897702552, c_new = 4.614391526502656
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13369.351539005333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6493:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.501551392967648, b_new = -1.4600508608557354, c_new = 3.713124722275428
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8825.660815861109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6494:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.301316498452194, b_new = -0.025661572194124682, c_new = 3.9744766229077504
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10835.006102035984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6495:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2886934643970713, b_new = -0.8703626430763495, c_new = 4.57907511765884
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6505.374640854892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6496:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.079461177515931, b_new = -2.025611525232826, c_new = 4.920237363464155
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3154.1857402545184
Acceptance probability: 5.286972996387921e-62
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6497:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0685081274943298, b_new = -1.126519963483875, c_new = 4.7738005086282085
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13738.912733456184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6498:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.116627436231913, b_new = -1.1081410069310909, c_new = 5.094319115820244
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3450.9169583838802
Acceptance probability: 7.15280606645116e-191
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6499:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9533297485137293, b_new = -0.22154033464355893, c_new = 4.715174146984676
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3117.0852092018263
Acceptance probability: 6.851142553376165e-46
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6500:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3777711295154704, b_new = -0.32751718047221134, c_new = 4.43652442760975
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10392.138668086349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6501:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9285611685099506, b_new = -1.415976832657463, c_new = 4.996529279223207
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3626.915776833038
Acceptance probability: 2.625190211523226e-267
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6502:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1120240671176838, b_new = -0.3915009030805219, c_new = 5.762585872696563
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4665.21373679605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6503:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9967197162487156, b_new = -0.4134620617200784, c_new = 4.546509835481416
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3177.280205383687
Acceptance probability: 4.936377045131393e-72
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6504:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3155868603526804, b_new = -1.878536884978102, c_new = 4.918062261250787
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4714.627474532523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6505:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0948431969881347, b_new = -0.8827108135679199, c_new = 5.308264019101103
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13201.50473584969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6506:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8600532121149986, b_new = -0.9437525476800797, c_new = 4.373896999520091
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3836.0165023318236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6507:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.82479542364742, b_new = -0.9443083369904085, c_new = 4.444265042771183
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4273.973589499407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6508:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.563489415060012, b_new = -0.7333380342162608, c_new = 4.471099034049345
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11166.893600148866
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6509:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9070587545495776, b_new = -0.7635551403832148, c_new = 4.849707981373317
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3186.9614458464303
Acceptance probability: 3.082471097504407e-76
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6510:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924058790726465, b_new = -0.757115281883611, c_new = 5.193413807901408
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3088.1165832667907
Acceptance probability: 2.610221700875885e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6511:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2860567296110417, b_new = -1.2731019089531814, c_new = 4.3187304740734085
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5330.339396760932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6512:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0640508723808666, b_new = -1.4024525655785343, c_new = 5.061941367397471
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3024.731538223456
Acceptance probability: 8.79939257106959e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6513:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2446434572178395, b_new = -1.3371560035286967, c_new = 4.771775513879571
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12988.284342209441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6514:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.952650142806991, b_new = -1.003116669667866, c_new = 5.480174756908278
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3076.2799696368065
Acceptance probability: 3.607890763699134e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6515:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1655921374134603, b_new = -0.4071045365117453, c_new = 5.137871308538309
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12221.863723660614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6516:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.868171874020167, b_new = -0.7137860320882994, c_new = 4.860099136203426
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3401.6943531510724
Acceptance probability: 1.704442237014979e-169
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6517:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.819948704814636, b_new = -1.249937648953197, c_new = 4.98282509050797
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12593.996839764966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6518:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.214407014331086, b_new = -1.7993878812051218, c_new = 5.15598919192785
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3581.6681800416345
Acceptance probability: 1.174741691577902e-247
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6519:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6271396839388745, b_new = -1.3358634086899444, c_new = 4.525247756085247
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10820.832241367822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6520:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9571297016727174, b_new = -0.9818159210924154, c_new = 4.184083096623314
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3133.993252286387
Acceptance probability: 3.1095188414952066e-53
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6521:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.361896595149384, b_new = -1.1613616335389405, c_new = 4.8993655188176986
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7391.928605544105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6522:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2228241843504426, b_new = -1.2918099930021634, c_new = 5.305283942943702
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4481.063906274275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6523:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.949508973405246, b_new = -0.9714248570321914, c_new = 5.280309005476459
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3083.6090049012832
Acceptance probability: 2.3675208199641226e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6524:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.175440265296826, b_new = -0.8508399493935679, c_new = 4.689259814664634
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4442.768876102849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6525:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3768169584535963, b_new = -0.828711331690262, c_new = 5.056057488645072
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8652.026998917105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6526:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3862999631339905, b_new = -1.1309549072535716, c_new = 4.329133049295074
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11737.948787841848
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6527:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5872264377215264, b_new = -0.9150372332932842, c_new = 5.470959910475234
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8323.510686876129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6528:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3444571909067573, b_new = -1.7555971097454015, c_new = 4.456571067225012
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12965.687243854298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6529:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0623268049403114, b_new = -0.38847000803126663, c_new = 4.1851458793097205
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3646.7207185577577
Acceptance probability: 6.576334131259057e-276
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6530:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.124273918812325, b_new = -0.5937053449524039, c_new = 5.326765352166148
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14839.155859090484
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6531:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8192309964281863, b_new = -0.5258594708698091, c_new = 5.076345573377725
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3602.0592939032817
Acceptance probability: 1.6375484269053667e-256
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6532:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.952591225139535, b_new = -1.3083624728295273, c_new = 5.1592302641320344
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3290.0446843417094
Acceptance probability: 5.253120437841397e-121
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6533:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3902105600448955, b_new = -0.004277623313990397, c_new = 4.908824129455848
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10722.156518511712
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6534:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.101923876956604, b_new = 0.11681457148226804, c_new = 3.783921254342217
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -15017.318412025994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6535:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.475216634961369, b_new = -0.9268201816054158, c_new = 4.645109752766794
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9861.33298448826
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6536:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.568826960383257, b_new = -0.3063825756030508, c_new = 4.693230865049796
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11961.239622788387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6537:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4493557713373866, b_new = -1.7895261130101505, c_new = 4.301864466776064
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12248.890434411094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6538:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5212311992790566, b_new = -1.0755499484874367, c_new = 4.275958726689171
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10131.626285967119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6539:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2109845527935, b_new = -1.1527733071451507, c_new = 5.475860980679063
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4611.806415717877
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6540:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.191327713470472, b_new = -1.0031563121690334, c_new = 4.6067454322414125
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4375.852343713819
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6541:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2609029413126778, b_new = -0.8922786418889163, c_new = 4.504964042420923
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5829.017897401312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6542:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.677166318566173, b_new = -0.40105249412212784, c_new = 4.38281296550395
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5644.4204300887595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6543:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.896939225257133, b_new = -0.7686580758267552, c_new = 5.478091177397497
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3195.1172948776775
Acceptance probability: 8.848278500888543e-80
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6544:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.652218543889958, b_new = -0.8583107830381475, c_new = 5.5413084012842955
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12072.534577719653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6545:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8534462357792107, b_new = 0.33186301920682004, c_new = 4.0484816393511265
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3056.2882666612013
Acceptance probability: 1.7359598086385558e-19
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6546:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.439643573138613, b_new = -1.4279288522294364, c_new = 4.475919397063535
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -15015.967599514861
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6547:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5710219801071506, b_new = -1.070839493639005, c_new = 4.0556727366832845
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10554.924279962997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6548:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0094554391595882, b_new = -0.9800837786992993, c_new = 5.333556898680825
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3024.975868243004
Acceptance probability: 6.89194041804566e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6549:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7211520717150017, b_new = -0.8837461750371065, c_new = 5.535579696131569
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14721.149078452445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6550:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1016273393403795, b_new = -1.4451072866222523, c_new = 5.057396506777066
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3105.9081136924515
Acceptance probability: 4.896817375485143e-41
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6551:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4351796454076706, b_new = -1.3755754349017555, c_new = 4.472292230980227
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8138.987534762983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6552:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5584521016120183, b_new = -0.957298166090802, c_new = 4.160257175418691
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10646.077405354881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6553:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9775252295665888, b_new = -0.5489523749030248, c_new = 5.658324146785042
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13374.091819252673
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6554:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0289630365356905, b_new = -1.4493672094895338, c_new = 4.492308195219754
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3078.646907159359
Acceptance probability: 3.383027085246178e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6555:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3445092219523027, b_new = -1.2566571545554175, c_new = 5.066870664170683
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6826.368224540574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6556:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.001460346500102, b_new = -1.082210634967291, c_new = 5.038844958183824
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13809.188529616285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6557:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.913337767943101, b_new = -0.4611604022407432, c_new = 4.889387954065602
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3041.1908459925703
Acceptance probability: 6.255559415994923e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6558:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.551447795471505, b_new = -0.3726506857120449, c_new = 5.069881980002894
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11819.975175447411
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6559:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5470635040855236, b_new = -1.6359899804268805, c_new = 5.194853221938301
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10620.466731158578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6560:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2952465601788536, b_new = -1.3382951884294014, c_new = 4.519904354776083
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5412.294624979436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6561:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.05128800671311, b_new = -1.5787022874442775, c_new = 4.792643976443649
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13486.734219485443
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6562:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.754374749693495, b_new = -0.5614615861373995, c_new = 4.240605743733216
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4667.709883803446
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6563:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5760312268356538, b_new = -0.8746399232070158, c_new = 5.202028064735314
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11275.33698570688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6564:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3185269065924157, b_new = -1.042279630614903, c_new = 5.346305417195147
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6965.1734201752815
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6565:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5967867679559675, b_new = -2.074736116436632, c_new = 5.545841911732028
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10758.950001550727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6566:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0271287657897004, b_new = -0.0010234297595818065, c_new = 5.449566340512212
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4092.4090216629274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6567:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.641690706218204, b_new = -0.7434654944210847, c_new = 4.309160650083428
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11804.737703873163
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6568:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.810327396307466, b_new = -1.026136956316425, c_new = 4.5276141761155575
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4625.6016112082225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6569:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6223557057608624, b_new = -0.6774005778954917, c_new = 4.165701197501296
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11701.27209993976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6570:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8867153356750435, b_new = -0.7536081865989446, c_new = 5.499018753411237
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3240.970925228545
Acceptance probability: 1.0786490046325437e-99
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6571:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2660391490009246, b_new = -1.776107944414541, c_new = 4.306317667594313
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4051.0450667144996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6572:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.850971128669699, b_new = -0.7891162071628114, c_new = 5.073238945396975
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3604.5707209256902
Acceptance probability: 1.3289090365545342e-257
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6573:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.899774057156276, b_new = -0.5028590941460183, c_new = 5.146741585668584
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13950.394006205854
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6574:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1669648004448825, b_new = -1.1915539470987344, c_new = 4.006744229008119
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3669.146531931169
Acceptance probability: 1.1983312101373417e-285
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6575:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6334216130498573, b_new = -1.3440868170251192, c_new = 4.313704397452275
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9011.156945669503
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6576:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.241830892499124, b_new = -0.16207880280734877, c_new = 5.120791760977224
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -15497.204219665047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6577:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9167079681331747, b_new = -1.084668368878799, c_new = 4.975576806424247
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3366.7512191132155
Acceptance probability: 2.5538335071938617e-154
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6578:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6894133200199712, b_new = -0.9368718523857265, c_new = 4.681644880500847
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -15045.47123076389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6579:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.026127539562327, b_new = -0.7261567963884447, c_new = 5.498349466313416
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3211.343720729157
Acceptance probability: 7.939836792154002e-87
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6580:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8720585036909485, b_new = -1.3607869955727452, c_new = 4.848815777946046
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4250.499119799063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6581:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.961856355451015, b_new = -0.9974703921622833, c_new = 3.8553428833678063
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3152.055747603269
Acceptance probability: 4.4488846661639105e-61
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6582:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3111301389937577, b_new = -0.4267908991111818, c_new = 4.499046643168504
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8209.154935347915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6583:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7646264780502405, b_new = -1.1835932636452182, c_new = 4.42624536051944
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12162.927910988748
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6584:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.297292402483551, b_new = -1.2931460780985247, c_new = 5.260702013993114
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14837.07149092048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6585:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6827030437411152, b_new = 0.020435100700044395, c_new = 4.1762103222725955
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13101.051957604335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6586:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863688629397135, b_new = -0.6149561060326943, c_new = 4.6672281317545385
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3366.888980126472
Acceptance probability: 2.225172750302998e-154
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6587:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9967046420191195, b_new = -1.4357713034731936, c_new = 4.960020371692876
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3154.524863761432
Acceptance probability: 3.7664102623011357e-62
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6588:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.899249055259917, b_new = -0.9563309122471624, c_new = 4.055765421000192
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3510.985236969607
Acceptance probability: 5.849981908528618e-217
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6589:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.214199853834887, b_new = -0.7568029119540787, c_new = 5.196970686907573
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12324.427926455224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6590:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8269389689903632, b_new = -1.0619447046825505, c_new = 5.396569348617513
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4225.983315951074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6591:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6576052194075546, b_new = -1.3334918142058876, c_new = 5.0723607380060995
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11265.932429578466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6592:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.213000673951181, b_new = -1.4402194740387713, c_new = 4.448714584823479
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3916.923729222582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6593:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.522787142845665, b_new = -1.2021246852149483, c_new = 4.761729886589091
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9973.717668463729
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6594:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4349079654124353, b_new = -1.3909048990997217, c_new = 4.113690651640457
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11780.741891595455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6595:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.58320524962181, b_new = 0.12481414422365855, c_new = 4.972455016073624
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12788.896375013184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6596:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.57812227327038, b_new = -1.9320729730703632, c_new = 5.079577852086415
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10871.25187325637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6597:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.696871060288482, b_new = -0.6370692328636509, c_new = 4.7710116107741944
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12499.022283633132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6598:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7570184144767937, b_new = -1.464505305285448, c_new = 5.558190540766151
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6339.666968129977
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6599:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.184356320666706, b_new = -1.9100549401217526, c_new = 5.350610484444495
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3268.081892193141
Acceptance probability: 1.8144157004803908e-111
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6600:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2083079048101744, b_new = -0.7141087947323905, c_new = 4.552514021874543
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12481.87872038081
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6601:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3095855044064737, b_new = -0.8920675108127039, c_new = 5.40169430401047
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7216.053961467349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6602:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5306341180341105, b_new = -0.5594851785503081, c_new = 5.304991350298416
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11390.887159705755
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6603:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.41817264379633, b_new = -0.9455342804073491, c_new = 5.76906952814356
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9363.534388072983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6604:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6607153397749963, b_new = -0.2274173363054437, c_new = 4.877927784834437
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5398.204474853927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6605:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7000276970706243, b_new = -0.0705403238065978, c_new = 5.321378079687458
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4333.834471725168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6606:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.934497956005597, b_new = -1.703941858645535, c_new = 5.029159490324972
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3965.0818600605053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6607:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5365413142059237, b_new = -1.0393758687069212, c_new = 5.162300333102335
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10566.596609876367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6608:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.717233935866384, b_new = -0.5668607193689184, c_new = 3.873984857608154
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5440.279366580515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6609:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6188384230246933, b_new = -1.7507277903291385, c_new = 5.069683561322962
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9934.966080600894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6610:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.435720411976064, b_new = -0.7006162039602568, c_new = 3.5416434137528165
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9411.557058569842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6611:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9516413035487026, b_new = -2.196094095286654, c_new = 4.966541776711955
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4642.707125687669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6612:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3846466639628776, b_new = -1.0011928885368673, c_new = 5.256281117835873
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11251.515693471274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6613:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.679522811670079, b_new = -0.13768447618826696, c_new = 4.330913594759677
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12918.566770706042
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6614:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.08837992870457, b_new = -1.866349525462594, c_new = 5.707740219896967
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3026.1685856297736
Acceptance probability: 2.0909850835343454e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6615:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.967928879936165, b_new = -0.9035728720111743, c_new = 5.4000507094227785
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3021.7795101319807
Acceptance probability: 0.0001684620976222353
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6616:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4457519071858544, b_new = 0.008833545539649212, c_new = 4.463327191137758
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11238.973388031849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6617:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.855914011358178, b_new = -0.8791808336884087, c_new = 4.076697790319276
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3850.011066376671
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6618:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2734071216177707, b_new = -1.491897402267806, c_new = 5.1807183372323795
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12887.485151006886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6619:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.006194800945444, b_new = -1.5099075722496709, c_new = 4.998846704542073
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13380.87129473106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6620:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4017519160224134, b_new = -0.915622790821012, c_new = 4.237225589909612
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11250.715978263359
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6621:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.852014261303571, b_new = -0.6958685776900984, c_new = 5.001962118061217
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3499.7609238042487
Acceptance probability: 4.383406970059474e-212
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6622:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6135089451411897, b_new = -0.8563405598921658, c_new = 4.092063001364457
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11330.951508264121
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6623:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5938164089156834, b_new = -1.3898859787844824, c_new = 4.924190593524595
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9546.569544127751
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6624:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.622250116290976, b_new = -0.6809931776656417, c_new = 4.124285247665808
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11683.433859667279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6625:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.595152291387167, b_new = -1.204830071096501, c_new = 4.933961799476483
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10834.13090700637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6626:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.006589469252976, b_new = -1.57920545895272, c_new = 4.956681308453103
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13299.116036671432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6627:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5594455086486727, b_new = -0.6563392951801937, c_new = 4.838605266556344
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11364.959161295084
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6628:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5641200932012844, b_new = -1.0256443209955768, c_new = 4.561465839451238
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10706.71901248844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6629:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.483385371710746, b_new = -0.9331258421782314, c_new = 5.023500995407448
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10079.669523996856
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6630:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1676988767619667, b_new = -0.5829437414509484, c_new = 4.576645488751747
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4829.67192811106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6631:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.568432416730175, b_new = -0.505830836774046, c_new = 3.963412822007501
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8199.438522043638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6632:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.324297146420447, b_new = -0.807503776000532, c_new = 4.966895676431093
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7602.01628983576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6633:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.475931055598055, b_new = -0.4934373194143568, c_new = 5.018413286841395
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10836.498364114083
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6634:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3766804872476412, b_new = -0.6783710541662012, c_new = 5.371970889500653
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9157.59339802905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6635:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1433423445295063, b_new = -1.0875057626279465, c_new = 5.68375140347842
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13066.342462388555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6636:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.975612585401865, b_new = -0.6923911729470016, c_new = 5.224467972852432
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3031.83737311041
Acceptance probability: 7.2181817435469404e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6637:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8892301004496526, b_new = -1.77742154933991, c_new = 4.575724567459509
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4894.477104746478
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6638:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.479409910888557, b_new = -1.551668484949834, c_new = 5.045407406159105
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11299.879122007742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6639:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.493425850320431, b_new = -0.5126444265647613, c_new = 4.27307850260087
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10758.160975263103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6640:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2528458101941866, b_new = -0.760213531199713, c_new = 4.44822044705444
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12253.442824959975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6641:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7879060368846575, b_new = -1.4916151680705416, c_new = 4.939423567783055
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12055.598921386456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6642:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6322531828946665, b_new = -1.6292628333879158, c_new = 4.306481998151709
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9740.817820105847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6643:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8748212779138083, b_new = -1.2691280406712309, c_new = 4.790618862054096
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4069.5507405764065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6644:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8371491166600817, b_new = 0.20427839362652922, c_new = 4.933661999070269
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3080.473755016297
Acceptance probability: 5.4439675936718126e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6645:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.262197008384967, b_new = -0.5473606239674114, c_new = 5.270063937759007
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7107.253001891477
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6646:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8397891339781447, b_new = -0.612767394612796, c_new = 5.073244056670984
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13507.606683896329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6647:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.773149076127911, b_new = -0.1310860557474104, c_new = 3.2104916556764174
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13218.317631346563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6648:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.732020551258413, b_new = -0.3729070646613669, c_new = 4.5149365547789335
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4581.901216918754
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6649:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.944345102630371, b_new = -0.3959687719866185, c_new = 4.546169537548561
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3027.3662922307894
Acceptance probability: 6.31238627594662e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6650:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5291163603887004, b_new = -0.5350406698727396, c_new = 4.277743141125184
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8834.89386386391
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6651:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8410526238218576, b_new = -0.6926085252699123, c_new = 5.346404477937706
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3547.8119444517397
Acceptance probability: 5.936338768796277e-233
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6652:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.075573867868102, b_new = -0.6043815949183402, c_new = 4.751674930173281
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3602.531840718327
Acceptance probability: 1.0208682051101373e-256
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6653:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8423010931197528, b_new = -0.3292285593518185, c_new = 4.646873839485407
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3279.9303328941537
Acceptance probability: 1.2972520917765388e-116
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6654:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.223185049245669, b_new = -0.9199656619624185, c_new = 5.221861914536523
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5255.252604612218
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6655:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5208984652412054, b_new = -0.8307126693760257, c_new = 4.7102673889770434
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9467.697092043465
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6656:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5573434666813393, b_new = -1.5985297426081333, c_new = 4.686017288763591
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9626.666561626262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6657:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1658875608130135, b_new = -0.40693713322279207, c_new = 5.130717582376972
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5376.456369618429
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6658:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.185488059817734, b_new = -1.061243845053974, c_new = 3.6942489484364502
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4006.229645298659
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6659:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7137582119349433, b_new = -1.5343676034245433, c_new = 5.002075779738152
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7668.130184354443
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6660:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9604610016731077, b_new = -0.49541256670321293, c_new = 4.6950604721755225
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13623.306582860085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6661:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.915482370239014, b_new = -0.9870178684186173, c_new = 5.207144866520213
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3264.0949212095584
Acceptance probability: 9.778140943150242e-110
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6662:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6904489781609415, b_new = -0.5627633571060584, c_new = 4.92458333580739
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12595.637570154691
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6663:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.827094861081915, b_new = -0.8173100325084609, c_new = 4.031590325676164
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12928.26630353948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6664:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7152573371109523, b_new = -0.12731974558884018, c_new = 4.210647187164752
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13129.958045434618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6665:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9424163444053235, b_new = -1.5196572786760714, c_new = 5.569488785369733
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3524.73906808443
Acceptance probability: 6.222165590438271e-223
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6666:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3628601156703075, b_new = -0.591848562421754, c_new = 4.157353360505079
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8660.22834689431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6667:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.412314049356354, b_new = -2.114395030180406, c_new = 4.005095036291033
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5700.382839781361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6668:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.581540912274631, b_new = -1.7125226421358475, c_new = 4.0599618823969505
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10748.724950865644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6669:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6030036294914396, b_new = -1.0872195091950958, c_new = 5.32956125294102
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8517.51146813752
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6670:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3730051449665233, b_new = -0.582075376124586, c_new = 4.64419157933895
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9054.72143185196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6671:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8251041171690328, b_new = -0.8177138305806402, c_new = 4.3313779134971835
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4079.6552810212806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6672:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2914936029127233, b_new = -0.39053305936852584, c_new = 4.669787939378683
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7963.805373402124
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6673:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1626128996759397, b_new = -1.4534701905145806, c_new = 4.989540518726085
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3467.4790278833507
Acceptance probability: 4.588397745371273e-198
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6674:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0160444916251534, b_new = 0.815215711550935, c_new = 5.351355110941895
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5655.727014305728
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6675:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9064384642640895, b_new = -0.1754106931190451, c_new = 5.470630391071259
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3069.498521587595
Acceptance probability: 3.1797929856945787e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6676:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.822563593785315, b_new = -0.7860844290871954, c_new = 5.024806550961472
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3917.945799685091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6677:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.803281898951613, b_new = -0.09511841776271779, c_new = 4.714619619185473
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3353.1864449391355
Acceptance probability: 1.9874634601793478e-148
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6678:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1041708947178805, b_new = -0.64666894137814, c_new = 4.326645549377978
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3767.7988844826914
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6679:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.187978631676915, b_new = -0.5420608107109899, c_new = 4.30868391665142
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12461.838453438422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6680:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.204697005910603, b_new = -1.361789480051985, c_new = 4.6238661433172314
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13308.526395820812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6681:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6813571719500784, b_new = -0.3260438685855942, c_new = 4.81452452952341
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5260.768321877651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6682:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.965815741260504, b_new = -0.5310275350634593, c_new = 5.1855688132255375
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3055.767709760541
Acceptance probability: 2.921558962051372e-19
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6683:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.502289919035617, b_new = -1.0873506511255973, c_new = 4.730694551012955
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9925.633391694497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6684:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3242009134799755, b_new = -2.019575452151591, c_new = 4.838923417742075
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13338.45323353166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6685:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.362853853437546, b_new = -2.0046441851713555, c_new = 4.654202438590094
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13119.579072682991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6686:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0789881300618216, b_new = 0.09548357449760703, c_new = 5.311377805197165
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12132.794699824777
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6687:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.293232623409144, b_new = -1.1208047816147269, c_new = 5.223182258191726
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6157.739051942951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6688:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3896339226114853, b_new = -0.763976383312391, c_new = 4.666306425206597
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8904.950652943447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6689:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5603798899311334, b_new = 0.5185680530008644, c_new = 4.588232687805841
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13060.47230706867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6690:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6252741894491214, b_new = -1.027795064778409, c_new = 4.535917385583579
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11296.016821412226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6691:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.715820473023189, b_new = -0.3308308138381696, c_new = 4.215061306618482
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4837.6279099810135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6692:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.613222147718955, b_new = 0.04092333818256755, c_new = 4.77116768324443
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5699.3261584355405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6693:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.849235516152827, b_new = -1.831148329867059, c_new = 5.08133966267912
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5587.21914747385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6694:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.535828840777258, b_new = -0.943338741385891, c_new = 3.729102650667354
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9846.958007574816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6695:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8655702900446505, b_new = -0.9925098702081792, c_new = 5.617533963605658
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3622.150705368387
Acceptance probability: 3.0803851368921734e-265
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6696:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.092364568659357, b_new = -0.45731638384939577, c_new = 4.461365300559917
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3935.1395801276076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6697:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8090550647994483, b_new = -0.9955168914971276, c_new = 4.37373408290244
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4626.856195445372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6698:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2584454081200294, b_new = -1.5344201320664363, c_new = 5.389944397436025
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4589.298979871504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6699:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6772409011488985, b_new = -1.172721453621735, c_new = 4.334951565066898
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7692.8545469762075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6700:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.931403009697835, b_new = -0.6666903395858732, c_new = 4.864828401014354
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3049.682511222305
Acceptance probability: 1.283461370888424e-16
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6701:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4184637047362956, b_new = -0.5272043186045787, c_new = 4.733119897569623
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9940.688798202786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6702:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0418983350726485, b_new = -1.2669440840404824, c_new = 5.510361067318027
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13833.518249864512
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6703:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6799741336197553, b_new = -0.9475707729959766, c_new = 5.408869383371507
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6619.799019751015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6704:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1168620908937923, b_new = -1.5678039464531417, c_new = 4.469618155363566
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3090.6697215868203
Acceptance probability: 2.031718392117648e-34
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6705:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.449783728950375, b_new = -0.08510611468542706, c_new = 4.863373858266775
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11244.490507975435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6706:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5396291294546756, b_new = -0.5989408643790008, c_new = 4.607502507417882
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8693.536763984934
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6707:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3223579714965177, b_new = -1.6362944625473992, c_new = 5.06040051077857
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5391.622079690531
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6708:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.711367451146158, b_new = -0.14466388952974052, c_new = 4.482265559437723
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4479.327299685011
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6709:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.526816807607678, b_new = -1.1623894099324357, c_new = 4.731884328528961
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10090.741616961366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6710:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7634980128829123, b_new = -0.8679407994658457, c_new = 4.6416945808903005
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5045.159045372268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6711:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.491106768997327, b_new = -1.5775294186805393, c_new = 5.27537104895913
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11142.687893847431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6712:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3091597551362515, b_new = -1.0674734272863762, c_new = 5.002186385239806
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6562.656618819585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6713:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5847556315829197, b_new = 0.09281077460626475, c_new = 4.791246284279744
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6111.523874145676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6714:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.664050645156307, b_new = -0.8383802851545484, c_new = 5.116535631195793
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6763.647459866407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6715:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.966138184952795, b_new = -0.2586798561286586, c_new = 4.693516128735599
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3145.71189856282
Acceptance probability: 2.531335905857682e-58
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6716:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3892552871923636, b_new = -0.9572972167914517, c_new = 4.756151330096398
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8439.653165018695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6717:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.857680808010311, b_new = -0.5851653102524805, c_new = 4.477707366436625
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3408.488257822127
Acceptance probability: 1.9099719029018573e-172
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6718:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8184785004002646, b_new = -0.7649350950632597, c_new = 5.1022162267101
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3920.97765166817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6719:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0162008594060867, b_new = -0.7885642583375065, c_new = 4.56973014945274
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3063.0865984152574
Acceptance probability: 1.9366970861183862e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6720:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.711816642472933, b_new = -0.03404626418786816, c_new = 4.975810882227506
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4179.952815153418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6721:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5603742067355184, b_new = 0.03507232115484271, c_new = 4.29686275976028
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12287.79770683856
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6722:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.942324097971462, b_new = -1.4105507056843414, c_new = 3.9165104968366253
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3687.456031927484
Acceptance probability: 1.33925123555368e-293
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6723:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9192667913423813, b_new = -0.2925962351731195, c_new = 4.72280253541716
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3029.1173541038984
Acceptance probability: 1.0957640753518178e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6724:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9391556622183406, b_new = -0.9546179115670429, c_new = 4.152122048559597
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3208.46699374312
Acceptance probability: 1.4098023537970045e-85
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6725:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.638416158959986, b_new = -0.37060845279182436, c_new = 5.225671393110774
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6053.848029166403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6726:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.764580315746527, b_new = -1.1408445450849554, c_new = 5.663272154184904
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5336.318467552551
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6727:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2405268971620482, b_new = -1.813655253931422, c_new = 4.448622657345176
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13693.666018557324
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6728:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.803062798874691, b_new = -0.692179047673817, c_new = 4.762070366365042
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4070.1634042409564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6729:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.159892314647944, b_new = -0.25941279604754275, c_new = 4.257469315247501
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5328.349544529656
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6730:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.622402732959936, b_new = -0.8842590064860762, c_new = 4.377975798405755
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7997.588725149588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6731:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2723605653063936, b_new = -0.6567840589630036, c_new = 5.4144446308907925
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7075.406662909609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6732:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5858779437440886, b_new = -0.3857798708237964, c_new = 4.802004656043874
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7265.906292596812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6733:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.66912949560623, b_new = -0.03513852606541057, c_new = 5.463530045797867
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4702.13520905527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6734:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2262833102163593, b_new = -0.39115306979570535, c_new = 5.006696448831949
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11785.22752903737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6735:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.906160474673312, b_new = -2.036598513291312, c_new = 4.839695520377851
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5100.435034108932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6736:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4252340464692534, b_new = -0.4274789441703083, c_new = 4.940850479486007
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9853.7365755396
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6737:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.056506980322682, b_new = -0.10597766300908984, c_new = 4.352189102253783
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4025.9265106697603
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6738:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1219281805008148, b_new = -0.95729200518494, c_new = 4.696338636276548
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3611.047673399443
Acceptance probability: 2.0445161041098328e-260
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6739:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.858536991082914, b_new = -0.001358026584454719, c_new = 5.546799105358155
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3079.4314267169266
Acceptance probability: 1.543806837421695e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6740:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4577395989992925, b_new = -0.5519051301508728, c_new = 4.874051668890932
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10463.10919298687
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6741:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.251318960235226, b_new = -0.7055853421383639, c_new = 4.91383129930255
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6274.16235687749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6742:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.362909607311069, b_new = -0.8807789967313435, c_new = 4.871248205489697
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11380.355856938157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6743:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1877597903656385, b_new = 0.03578839153590807, c_new = 5.154770821015734
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7098.397257042237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6744:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9483156277699814, b_new = -0.7537246208288794, c_new = 4.967255865017695
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3032.6985466515566
Acceptance probability: 3.050878384175686e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6745:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7613678056705755, b_new = -1.0414269966596084, c_new = 5.201686190211489
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12528.051119945449
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6746:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8387734835530676, b_new = -1.1348759704044387, c_new = 4.813649548423865
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4326.204252627026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6747:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.057701786243862, b_new = -1.2315129426707725, c_new = 4.878022406507893
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13875.19029323306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6748:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1565506176398745, b_new = -0.7863857072824066, c_new = 5.010102649737833
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4362.809484694296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6749:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1149279836178994, b_new = -0.7535607038030204, c_new = 5.3983091538662835
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3950.2479702812957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6750:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.509200274310171, b_new = -0.779976290820639, c_new = 5.327131734451011
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9319.12585322244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6751:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5900070779905326, b_new = -0.26182838879527137, c_new = 5.251458068395323
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6724.719883837497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6752:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9223079115861443, b_new = -1.2500490589487963, c_new = 4.452116849998707
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3577.725212541652
Acceptance probability: 6.058308849902877e-246
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6753:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2309426255703286, b_new = -1.4968600899298168, c_new = 4.567332754582348
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4076.7578416863103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6754:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.447113561920276, b_new = -0.9538133950826784, c_new = 5.031403869813716
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10560.425784500014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6755:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2879864012708206, b_new = -0.3566376378128949, c_new = 4.690717374487222
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7994.307167939924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6756:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.632936557796169, b_new = -0.3417196370864406, c_new = 5.809782298569276
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12744.076792667756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6757:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.374982292308777, b_new = -1.7554520718236044, c_new = 3.78056364967947
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12954.905394462236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6758:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5225242898496134, b_new = -0.4593808283083206, c_new = 5.019248151066258
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11390.216717198418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6759:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1307056519767493, b_new = -0.6015807367188013, c_new = 5.382688152464395
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4425.657276263308
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6760:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9094981075010047, b_new = -0.6296403707341006, c_new = 4.167006445620895
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3148.9607092190427
Acceptance probability: 9.826734869136376e-60
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6761:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.335459463744919, b_new = -0.19705355227720056, c_new = 5.017776908019821
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10456.651072889434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6762:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3406554886910835, b_new = -1.6417857076360143, c_new = 4.273783606103306
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5497.094415926809
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6763:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2817719372294993, b_new = -1.1283171719712233, c_new = 4.6643522487931905
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5705.714898186654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6764:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0675566149756506, b_new = -1.365389718429662, c_new = 4.914508737586069
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13957.953014496536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6765:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3009696655764915, b_new = -0.7827927966898307, c_new = 5.343957352330697
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7316.2874146331105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6766:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7057282987123834, b_new = -0.9553155208370899, c_new = 5.311118620949937
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6148.379620273676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6767:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.927922813644482, b_new = -0.5067468794762853, c_new = 4.222261860660299
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3037.4743233696327
Acceptance probability: 2.5723580614807643e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6768:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1045832977912298, b_new = -0.38761811783579414, c_new = 5.110707783208507
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4373.324322117688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6769:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3007738214439684, b_new = -1.435130437346322, c_new = 5.404446481845696
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5563.57111100035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6770:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7804397819490014, b_new = 0.24497452465012814, c_new = 4.499469659640622
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3270.8205863521025
Acceptance probability: 1.1731054012930204e-112
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6771:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.059099283764982, b_new = -0.6376640610846358, c_new = 4.962046352114566
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3449.3978758062485
Acceptance probability: 3.2674250270355664e-190
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6772:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.23962657639317, b_new = -0.9415596924053055, c_new = 5.080611376127437
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5470.76144366104
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6773:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.103777379237002, b_new = -1.1605918289058226, c_new = 5.319095498585568
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14247.292955140156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6774:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1091047062156028, b_new = -0.6106525418371499, c_new = 5.951123368916665
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4247.667993216575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6775:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4698432326807622, b_new = -0.9801837636634061, c_new = 5.449084996159158
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9948.415394082138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6776:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.84118051061188, b_new = -1.0522914183047691, c_new = 4.870015530750844
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4134.488401017798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6777:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136619767054888, b_new = -1.16207836726712, c_new = 4.864437743018776
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3535.177565126429
Acceptance probability: 1.8220483619158194e-227
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6778:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.253091000568038, b_new = -1.0788894777857916, c_new = 5.908675969433865
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5676.470196553447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6779:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9784348729763623, b_new = -1.3491891707637087, c_new = 4.540721321188144
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3234.3934351635635
Acceptance probability: 7.752607322051556e-97
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6780:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5990647552219333, b_new = -0.6912573025389669, c_new = 4.358732866843112
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7951.778836544872
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6781:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6363428215987064, b_new = -0.43617181392409876, c_new = 4.833170120186623
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12351.871082394597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6782:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5231359452941238, b_new = -0.5302399999273659, c_new = 4.40224704862341
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8876.24958001142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6783:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6939199428295577, b_new = -0.5534319245610255, c_new = 5.1862084014629515
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12705.001089165182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6784:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.201447584021296, b_new = -0.7293974142124553, c_new = 5.082232564348943
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5254.928454532848
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6785:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.155298219964469, b_new = -0.7520657173869323, c_new = 5.939797768358081
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4664.977395035693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6786:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.658610047343953, b_new = -1.3728377372498897, c_new = 4.841692468011628
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11149.39888277061
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6787:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305578099897004, b_new = -0.6601514515423452, c_new = 5.290913774384924
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7749.000885230485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6788:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7551095549470697, b_new = -0.21312736051317827, c_new = 4.660654060822427
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3959.10966730243
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6789:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5158773542421855, b_new = -1.1288981252892487, c_new = 5.342749179335964
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9944.927858207224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6790:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2566262589861026, b_new = -0.9466215456571039, c_new = 5.605817372544747
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5988.182153110794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6791:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.41750650463292, b_new = -0.6770673346393126, c_new = 4.87415304146719
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9645.675304572806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6792:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0365406345143633, b_new = -0.599579886337754, c_new = 4.857180463002703
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3302.166282137711
Acceptance probability: 2.85807962101629e-126
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6793:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9389349372702926, b_new = -1.1749556435229258, c_new = 5.518825878907571
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3231.868150204586
Acceptance probability: 9.686460458587932e-96
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6794:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9214990303581203, b_new = -0.9228741475636573, c_new = 5.006541428357164
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14138.775249590157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6795:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.508987268594308, b_new = -0.711939984455235, c_new = 4.834210176176921
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10747.473130026827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6796:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5056951586435114, b_new = -0.9669039612546513, c_new = 4.503991326289753
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10033.802752664942
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6797:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5507007030158424, b_new = -0.9441627227139177, c_new = 4.014608413674274
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9526.774834417112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6798:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6643198252095746, b_new = -0.38263826393992245, c_new = 4.508539359773857
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14720.347866586852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6799:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.190995856352757, b_new = -0.537058049799668, c_new = 4.556027839903959
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14946.075199326773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6800:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7794773671070603, b_new = -1.0146495603573755, c_new = 4.448352492966728
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5148.869011959611
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6801:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3827768692095868, b_new = -0.7709288532959367, c_new = 5.169734094328898
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10903.298171791064
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6802:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6024200931518884, b_new = -0.782352321556158, c_new = 4.864507382914655
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7933.294263467702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6803:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9941302189836119, b_new = -1.371216085703389, c_new = 5.406509993793368
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14168.249736704303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6804:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7321958160340456, b_new = -0.8742825079526436, c_new = 5.774371451317416
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5288.774529598493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6805:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8195325910709985, b_new = -1.9548355409112839, c_new = 5.277052613312685
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6463.495347784331
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6806:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8009925538346219, b_new = -0.6578386779676628, c_new = 5.51472348254172
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14259.573131330115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6807:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8849514254741226, b_new = -1.3090387258894052, c_new = 5.1837371793020335
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3920.103676763669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6808:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097290912119268, b_new = -1.753951916200965, c_new = 4.170697116977894
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3063.841027417295
Acceptance probability: 9.107880976933116e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6809:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.436699364591493, b_new = -1.390718165615823, c_new = 5.114560557162183
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8357.424081503295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6810:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.637497417554563, b_new = -1.3510075777938644, c_new = 4.699007252221548
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8801.922563539349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6811:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.420308031826656, b_new = -0.9856210655415681, c_new = 4.401532896378248
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8804.767182195721
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6812:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.490272931140277, b_new = -0.33984152436623205, c_new = 4.389980422063889
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11067.91693308846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6813:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.135032550319618, b_new = -0.6005120590390904, c_new = 4.687337951870514
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12783.041319695114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6814:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8555758496445676, b_new = -1.034719627002805, c_new = 4.402639445595936
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4022.9564447953007
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6815:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7893237145574337, b_new = -0.8885565237823729, c_new = 4.053073190602804
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4819.967814495112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6816:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3567696190627734, b_new = -0.45426999693358877, c_new = 4.708682204527409
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9111.335039087393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6817:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5706433873290875, b_new = -0.3822151219227982, c_new = 4.387663871463671
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11769.467079538248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6818:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.257551419703811, b_new = -0.8597108255476142, c_new = 5.616314158746929
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6249.981814519467
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6819:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.67649868412186, b_new = -0.24313479040515862, c_new = 5.629708938049152
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4949.906301014569
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6820:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.236322922549485, b_new = -0.8335240330609901, c_new = 4.113089221518744
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14766.59965392698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6821:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8748853711633546, b_new = -1.0703650431730036, c_new = 4.05787544516444
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3916.7171310143685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6822:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.204642310593323, b_new = -1.5270365196755746, c_new = 4.951007466789446
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3785.5871719401785
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6823:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.940283309416014, b_new = -0.9843267874913492, c_new = 5.3712264710730855
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3118.9772222374477
Acceptance probability: 1.0329330727755338e-46
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6824:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0223551394726758, b_new = -0.4197722186449384, c_new = 4.5345167843688765
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3324.74699804592
Acceptance probability: 4.460607465789073e-136
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6825:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.583769119111902, b_new = -0.7004810184700337, c_new = 5.065918068908254
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11588.58101495751
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6826:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1364377192967363, b_new = -0.48866563766597076, c_new = 4.132081774355763
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -4401.119737983672
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6827:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.855993191915186, b_new = -0.6057006441919814, c_new = 5.143391361067621
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13620.499609406977
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6828:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4126292560940854, b_new = -1.229049580001032, c_new = 4.771146327096802
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11510.032439427498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6829:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3544129776286327, b_new = -0.1760371136451473, c_new = 4.748546271670841
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -9768.825932789527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6830:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.665872722773816, b_new = -1.5578453530814662, c_new = 5.43156872740495
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -11093.43583927737
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6831:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.087553950334426, b_new = -0.5053281930320361, c_new = 4.7606862797004075
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3867.379943389076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6832:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498881303977758, b_new = -0.6925971107905774, c_new = 5.705870351152023
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -10953.037304939156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6833:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6033496933520175, b_new = -0.44245690028458873, c_new = 5.276540246441335
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14808.099487770365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6834:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230961120426736, b_new = -0.3724995873304142, c_new = 4.888120533626372
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -6759.096761344428
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6835:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.163348672623351, b_new = -0.46790070388894034, c_new = 4.635161328952731
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -12446.293564723026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6836:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6614234758982196, b_new = -1.1997153812686383, c_new = 4.836672165668296
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7888.8955838384745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6837:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8992436445575236, b_new = -0.17993154283793333, c_new = 5.101391007237073
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3045.498463136897
Acceptance probability: 8.423484818745723e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6838:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.296784912945397, b_new = -0.3327769187845444, c_new = 4.377572201267581
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8122.806043845208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6839:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3769222116474955, b_new = -1.363012513875312, c_new = 4.866689951563575
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -7148.225898180637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6840:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3997823780873264, b_new = -1.017503090095497, c_new = 4.117221344964382
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8250.189517456223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6841:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8676720389760617, b_new = -0.9057710906734794, c_new = 5.083309482308749
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -13328.031654808068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6842:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9206135248474183, b_new = -0.3100417008672247, c_new = 4.905655920055004
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3032.5561420267995
Acceptance probability: 3.5177942818540932e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6843:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2648166079748604, b_new = -1.2433208223806114, c_new = 4.764586162542928
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -5136.795669190419
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6844:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9133553633253237, b_new = -0.6885648582021686, c_new = 4.916685229921191
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3111.909912887292
Acceptance probability: 1.2116177741321606e-43
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6845:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3090793027667775, b_new = -0.5066530463553054, c_new = 5.18278424546125
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -8220.847927354167
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6846:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.03144737300555, b_new = -1.0639414882586893, c_new = 5.450214905582458
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -14059.49531453774
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6847:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7766062635723565, b_new = -0.5205342403413633, c_new = 5.777028508461396
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3947.187385022233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6848:
Current coefficients: a = 2.990226980701012, b = -0.8589730007328548, c = 4.829267929268023
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.017041336119447, b_new = -1.2238869573148046, c_new = 5.782875408468496
Current likelihood: -3013.0907103585787
Proposed likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Acceptance probability: 1.960316192997892
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.549740828345912, b_new = -0.3927488729736581, c_new = 6.778591645855356
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -16385.729216049356
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.743600225090015, b_new = -0.9588557590246569, c_new = 5.554721338558002
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5337.410238379552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9958954556570996, b_new = -0.5056021485312664, c_new = 5.620521367137978
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3222.5433979463423
Acceptance probability: 5.540225392504347e-92
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3504313237564856, b_new = -0.8237084021458005, c_new = 5.742306444893705
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8420.510352273182
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.565930926975744, b_new = -0.8059737335988825, c_new = 5.600166553904164
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8388.437726944214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.605637723354068, b_new = -2.050531283654447, c_new = 5.10780473427884
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10754.013751267388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3050515347286016, b_new = -1.7350883031604225, c_new = 5.551822727990629
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4995.638261479149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.784632615489026, b_new = -1.6786789786871492, c_new = 6.341554341878849
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6052.218544308315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7893439568434455, b_new = -0.34293479843737296, c_new = 5.582582177114539
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3612.4837440906476
Acceptance probability: 2.480771886204272e-261
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9863980415034048, b_new = -1.7472416220643305, c_new = 5.373363177222092
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -14548.486064964689
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.770569667078166, b_new = -1.7640175731125367, c_new = 6.078168153189815
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -15146.0514698828
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2248276055049336, b_new = -0.5310565084494888, c_new = 5.757974170105629
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11794.198028304883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1429708895983683, b_new = -0.7104735121133412, c_new = 5.879437575889069
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4536.862577387471
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.790060110783755, b_new = -0.6312537901305545, c_new = 5.692626682426652
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3959.529261443454
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.306473812405151, b_new = -0.7242320549362711, c_new = 6.2382116515943205
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7983.294370585874
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.226617951986766, b_new = -0.978156602445655, c_new = 5.8443622473678065
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5384.919899473409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9644921271331754, b_new = -2.2846376616913826, c_new = 5.442005986414231
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -15079.139836355544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9543498665731787, b_new = -1.1983227629657862, c_new = 5.830123126335474
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3140.8583392772316
Acceptance probability: 1.6553798611139298e-56
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.114231100027649, b_new = -1.1111591774731289, c_new = 6.068718992312833
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -14511.266146464473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1267800008397915, b_new = -1.77172647775364, c_new = 5.358100805809336
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3078.500685011976
Acceptance probability: 1.9974817460937207e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5904469987921233, b_new = -0.7533049950856711, c_new = 6.33489723319365
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7571.527530226753
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.043505286832216, b_new = -0.8724334844478503, c_new = 5.464032995758004
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3197.5179046873586
Acceptance probability: 4.092239685521654e-81
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7378764431565807, b_new = -1.1467357504737734, c_new = 5.709350859903544
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5853.008971339983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.468396307362833, b_new = 0.15549880234655133, c_new = 5.612944107829095
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7831.615166096146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9736206528580142, b_new = -1.4618871543132959, c_new = 5.477080166033717
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13377.856505585843
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1677816823835974, b_new = -1.1864677029859485, c_new = 5.4601910032110945
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3939.5420376521106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7817956481193264, b_new = -1.3475836523658182, c_new = 5.950965219934884
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5410.012628940709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.248319065528845, b_new = -0.9509756120491148, c_new = 6.2824775720822545
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -15170.969234960787
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1927470243349583, b_new = -1.9191751333327196, c_new = 4.696768818871809
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3266.6073938585187
Acceptance probability: 4.04368352106451e-111
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8074354235721835, b_new = -2.1938136924574456, c_new = 5.57359694164795
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7297.214380666142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.078166867672511, b_new = -1.2738769261343694, c_new = 6.478617499974312
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3208.2788345857734
Acceptance probability: 8.68057687835474e-86
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3446327625933137, b_new = -1.0420471311498567, c_new = 5.648192456184127
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7648.827845608947
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.07904711491315, b_new = -1.8285714476118886, c_new = 5.952931611574302
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3021.7265545305345
Acceptance probability: 9.060963942593553e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4234302253701494, b_new = -1.1009065599092236, c_new = 5.9390229352665616
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10811.909264711227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.422731884331801, b_new = -0.8751125288580694, c_new = 5.670055021810867
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9564.813495412303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.267041929379741, b_new = -0.7182022718739138, c_new = 5.815669924320952
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6943.224977886901
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5827325186674503, b_new = -0.9358252975999354, c_new = 5.875361226448079
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11446.160238476321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9041554989563427, b_new = -1.3198807872048448, c_new = 5.288136131198175
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3698.780533496419
Acceptance probability: 8.248355805569398e-299
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.116155268324726, b_new = -0.5963712150092556, c_new = 5.5571622376796395
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -14860.214007108525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6028432889277635, b_new = -1.0742073378638748, c_new = 5.705699752123074
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11357.791009243629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.461047852868744, b_new = -0.9559809407574886, c_new = 6.222975730622676
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10150.897083537748
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6206708902438893, b_new = -1.27772699598032, c_new = 5.145320872104846
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8746.207031524225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2354191911943175, b_new = -2.1140160953070253, c_new = 5.664803540595029
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3500.468536976532
Acceptance probability: 1.101978624563679e-212
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.986592997385814, b_new = -1.765097081524066, c_new = 5.968036100801494
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3361.625541767226
Acceptance probability: 2.192400239121697e-152
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.397986329931712, b_new = -0.37605778631999653, c_new = 6.000527031304383
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10441.748909344225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.037928339326816, b_new = -0.5197068707009722, c_new = 6.580266079358648
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3689.4010142451516
Acceptance probability: 9.768791500605591e-295
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831351160348999, b_new = -1.0673800731478869, c_new = 4.985037632156475
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4269.327303724673
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.465506374660224, b_new = -0.9402560295579901, c_new = 5.669123913065953
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10109.111596011551
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6098988953709195, b_new = -0.7151862681381007, c_new = 6.635215710695038
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12274.898305818266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6924299420691566, b_new = -1.9470480300810025, c_new = 6.346602993838024
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8684.646874993563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6789492795248644, b_new = -1.6425138064873332, c_new = 5.675382858491697
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8400.388831464266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3904605135812633, b_new = -1.6598311134450006, c_new = 5.189603029071321
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12268.226391879027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.026431144263672, b_new = -1.1158688546991382, c_new = 4.850806784815759
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3015.874472782988
Acceptance probability: 0.03152834780275683
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6072902872584964, b_new = -1.0463603737381937, c_new = 5.957755861076138
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8111.776739136253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.788630673956191, b_new = -0.5630150795303683, c_new = 5.41816251452545
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3926.373084447249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.060219907973166, b_new = -1.6628606980150962, c_new = 4.682127457446899
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3066.1869262977134
Acceptance probability: 4.4491831144160366e-24
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.635480299403824, b_new = -0.9300979641424145, c_new = 5.591695472910992
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11842.062018554327
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3451233870532118, b_new = -1.9385717669705795, c_new = 6.110503535884571
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5435.269202436937
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.864625438011518, b_new = -0.43466419179719495, c_new = 5.764893479711137
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3154.1748168910003
Acceptance probability: 2.726621917180337e-62
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0892990343190267, b_new = -1.4506830193918703, c_new = 6.507304683741081
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3151.377810791846
Acceptance probability: 4.470429353187693e-61
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8402932584722125, b_new = -0.8752233231182754, c_new = 6.849096058250322
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13681.805558012607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.603144502831351, b_new = -0.56510094709682, c_new = 6.130755086014487
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6932.5488505682515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.488600366677044, b_new = -0.6998162331717255, c_new = 5.849535274818307
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9274.474676774984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.913052401915101, b_new = -1.6955043137995005, c_new = 4.70725882145866
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12572.512340338988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.590346653743899, b_new = -1.1223643887407753, c_new = 5.1300410850101
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8897.258516905893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.119846918832476, b_new = -1.2282495351749472, c_new = 6.049336476410289
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3489.495472497759
Acceptance probability: 6.422653951675697e-208
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8106920872393437, b_new = -0.5310001407813387, c_new = 4.81328194873922
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13372.068079726614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9052752999377311, b_new = -0.6804555321100662, c_new = 6.162888527385949
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13728.324203367152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6856889425203225, b_new = -2.2100219606699816, c_new = 6.662149422405538
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9354.881361066447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7417581100928943, b_new = -1.3878987057751566, c_new = 5.647417830063905
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6420.8801762191915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498778538194504, b_new = -1.2080616444511965, c_new = 6.152270359087521
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10109.973009974408
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.294577794734515, b_new = -1.4188122283769817, c_new = 5.1173481961610445
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12665.564543682105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4163892932528293, b_new = -1.1322205607734368, c_new = 6.223522336186292
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9052.582369111029
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8928350645894945, b_new = -0.2652834903133592, c_new = 6.053748618153677
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3072.232420861519
Acceptance probability: 1.0537931007121189e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2490219721828413, b_new = -1.600446216104313, c_new = 5.532881043761879
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13086.456466093248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.410869185803413, b_new = -2.07996788845808, c_new = 7.021378897719579
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6728.704177792501
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.16843065510197, b_new = -1.0259995481876645, c_new = 4.818751153223779
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4066.2862106971934
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.145956821097821, b_new = -1.5535935721731833, c_new = 5.51319870821723
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3307.372581601647
Acceptance probability: 7.992470971469675e-129
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.40126760466361, b_new = -0.8821100286888182, c_new = 5.788395597820866
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9240.576148182037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.036742980724819, b_new = -1.6670878647288996, c_new = 5.083471947345905
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3107.303215527572
Acceptance probability: 6.190172498334069e-42
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3568886270686815, b_new = -1.4327704567677164, c_new = 5.845902208421406
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12010.930506213326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2823135148028495, b_new = -0.5956273955576359, c_new = 5.70796838358876
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7599.068827632338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.596280872405563, b_new = -1.6221472539124433, c_new = 5.288928022302963
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10233.020165962302
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.109299876035903, b_new = -0.9202814036003983, c_new = 5.430007560584184
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3655.7539001245495
Acceptance probability: 4.0049475694953685e-280
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.300242936835078, b_new = -1.654988544599569, c_new = 5.942751401064253
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5200.762107680157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.734000462069142, b_new = -1.3765829900011604, c_new = 6.576472048056732
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12263.255965558617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8376890531087677, b_new = -1.3648310664517262, c_new = 5.688614994903291
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4554.466335810677
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6181054911742025, b_new = -1.1062374141183526, c_new = 6.205093947306807
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7973.955515186843
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0379963147696736, b_new = -0.7295178341470989, c_new = 6.6088264886302275
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3442.807599058945
Acceptance probability: 1.213389770844227e-187
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.664971340494171, b_new = -1.0251282997679207, c_new = 6.322052970594709
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6808.212885309539
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3549782659399976, b_new = -1.5912285951828595, c_new = 5.622715421499848
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6351.267878917131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.618233632252716, b_new = -1.5155942714186508, c_new = 5.876872576655446
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9098.269405261479
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.538693757155615, b_new = -1.2651174743130476, c_new = 5.5384345716877785
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9853.056850468885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1312336339221654, b_new = -0.17361207243878973, c_new = 5.232768225836506
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5324.563167777982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1077549672627085, b_new = -1.2671569175136523, c_new = 5.726526733211009
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13458.178694373742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1907175276203787, b_new = -2.4460520606502523, c_new = 5.592835552082052
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -14330.419662544868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5196491261920557, b_new = -0.07015788268412493, c_new = 5.9283895974484375
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12293.413172557126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5801550461702463, b_new = -0.9802593669922453, c_new = 5.7363241840485975
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8511.729757422214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.119055944605699, b_new = -1.8308262250149476, c_new = 5.6721886358518345
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -14011.31297678853
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.660420247284459, b_new = -0.731965086092861, c_new = 5.419457103895921
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6455.478781176854
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.401385410708003, b_new = -0.5145052294591179, c_new = 5.442893280882776
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9975.378400361576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094497455355686, b_new = -1.0415586184707941, c_new = 5.928863353075267
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3458.100975219863
Acceptance probability: 2.768034208860036e-194
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9036613338219124, b_new = -1.1602054425920412, c_new = 6.186581428655081
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13520.257501301376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.724835036578601, b_new = -1.4398397024596454, c_new = 6.1005479792839825
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6748.87811117437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4959576919981035, b_new = -1.0645161417529034, c_new = 4.714313578161478
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9882.764857602233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.405782788133437, b_new = -0.9081686921386023, c_new = 5.705798975656637
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9222.384567281666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.19937670194486, b_new = -1.7079401516695776, c_new = 4.831854908838971
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13692.444226426713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9441010033439827, b_new = -1.054169233402282, c_new = 6.352650598711797
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13886.940221084122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3037632360536113, b_new = -1.0989214586659033, c_new = 6.304075213514581
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6861.501463743127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7459394094640643, b_new = -1.467096323957803, c_new = 5.868275590451133
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6464.867995718793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6595291013937294, b_new = -0.6692766372062717, c_new = 5.7319397517280475
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12456.077985661555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9054913877767867, b_new = -1.1346180195449362, c_new = 6.111295920686445
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3362.1058497046506
Acceptance probability: 1.3562031661421527e-152
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.685034141307144, b_new = -1.6579342253385696, c_new = 6.120371313143013
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8149.4383789007225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831471212128265, b_new = -0.574161086194714, c_new = 6.082971201274972
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3424.659813832777
Acceptance probability: 9.235986977693077e-180
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0657097483584046, b_new = -1.2998171215919714, c_new = 6.218575619874991
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3109.7854967909843
Acceptance probability: 5.17203787076048e-43
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.588104349920097, b_new = -1.4509097870855667, c_new = 5.559103036502691
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10525.371566117756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6671740912310065, b_new = -1.275639131020337, c_new = 5.471774630067115
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7731.514467008682
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.759615828945508, b_new = -1.6319110264602676, c_new = 6.087040115937541
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6541.312968282822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7533984679466594, b_new = -1.5405576534007, c_new = 6.166042512901156
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6397.32103327093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.387500971011703, b_new = -1.0790535824277212, c_new = 6.061749575901282
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11113.0976492223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2322440997629758, b_new = -0.9319644219673522, c_new = 6.067843800087672
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5689.727499893952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5445949093264932, b_new = -1.1009580354159665, c_new = 5.674854798744245
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9376.434495900041
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.718808954691334, b_new = -1.4959721943711677, c_new = 5.571176817484192
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11688.53933076329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4065511386987675, b_new = -1.0945234374319694, c_new = 5.803185896867326
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8808.970726620077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2568692175354377, b_new = -1.4925897231412517, c_new = 5.728887541321746
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4736.2501944625255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3235583946690643, b_new = -1.5784742957144695, c_new = 5.273185309447045
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -12634.061268647813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.151158309411585, b_new = -1.7924053935937148, c_new = 5.427302852813863
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3166.2290418208067
Acceptance probability: 1.5868707340204904e-67
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4430948436444595, b_new = -0.6154627073416005, c_new = 5.917400510111066
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10511.618921572695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3185177962442367, b_new = -0.932768777696815, c_new = 6.330945494913383
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7677.627762339585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4597090014598253, b_new = -1.45604153863611, c_new = 6.219384536060203
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10963.334137861722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.306909059965166, b_new = 0.07094968638473143, c_new = 6.047878825282676
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10020.325170567445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1269143490286684, b_new = -1.2552030414749642, c_new = 5.935471542828961
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3503.8286281978017
Acceptance probability: 3.8274021311718944e-214
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9724697123143446, b_new = -1.758163924181999, c_new = 5.569182674874679
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3529.839760776438
Acceptance probability: 1.933805305472813e-225
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6255692014882945, b_new = -0.6528690225352121, c_new = 6.653195315067942
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6546.755784297137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.707001156745035, b_new = -0.30154108482882613, c_new = 6.105738651083589
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13387.497707713263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6768290489619284, b_new = -1.1497516929315161, c_new = 5.1804252506079225
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -7307.531376512972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.609668933972192, b_new = -1.2435907224862832, c_new = 6.401271056755315
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11359.783842419336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.602385735004991, b_new = -2.3326654357886323, c_new = 5.554534167307902
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11208.929898929457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2417988115557645, b_new = -1.1597612212606137, c_new = 5.19316909304627
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5036.653766320967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6589354885484338, b_new = -0.2907528296040669, c_new = 6.444913146775811
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5147.772971244598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.341649281491175, b_new = -1.351549454173085, c_new = 4.780373256770043
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6409.052592676289
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2255550137252085, b_new = -1.6037271646099662, c_new = 6.080909186342334
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4146.548367882924
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7132898029582346, b_new = -1.8450777404064742, c_new = 5.450421622307634
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8361.5248186557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836332142120798, b_new = -1.2510103858006867, c_new = 6.021404273494872
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4281.81086454284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4311045505573468, b_new = -0.6366542336029517, c_new = 5.532897533032647
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9995.725857583522
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6200366589187234, b_new = -1.999989373041175, c_new = 5.272040241111725
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10392.903752089389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5804445023737226, b_new = -0.8715866088607089, c_new = 5.8102092297629415
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11509.69968560933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3667657111852678, b_new = -1.5743613374834038, c_new = 5.4653117398676665
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -16165.68339716499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.279836632320065, b_new = -1.5948944364755024, c_new = 5.290474820052158
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -4789.399705516729
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.035343782063187, b_new = -0.6121820544551148, c_new = 5.666423045912295
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3392.8729666215086
Acceptance probability: 5.892989304430065e-166
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 6999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9091980499044023, b_new = -1.4467825603331885, c_new = 6.007499361414673
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3686.603574549641
Acceptance probability: 1.6023355329538276e-293
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.340090951515912, b_new = -0.8271514579708947, c_new = 5.42315319801049
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8066.740982841451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9714557125906995, b_new = -0.8722695674972634, c_new = 6.028169905394263
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3027.0614675769402
Acceptance probability: 4.3676829426017863e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.536299511057564, b_new = -0.7113709957855965, c_new = 6.218494342669807
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -11482.458641669558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7140069100737847, b_new = -1.852012075004726, c_new = 5.332029613589883
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -8415.158016089561
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2076033571799747, b_new = -0.9306396419377778, c_new = 6.488482196052912
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -5358.414312598816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.527075391408062, b_new = -1.6329614540190838, c_new = 5.342726903643174
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10809.039492824548
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5259801397490995, b_new = -1.811659060556138, c_new = 6.135910277441507
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -9219.300052595958
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.698864272182618, b_new = -1.1482787915862416, c_new = 5.563447800502229
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -6705.132153180584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4254438807547785, b_new = -0.6789006952201516, c_new = 5.762579808030578
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -10073.317971289614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2661072848822523, b_new = -1.7427315442519051, c_new = 5.846683659345694
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -13073.429223397876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1905334446835156, b_new = -1.8659127981566643, c_new = 5.123792730958482
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3322.145923382426
Acceptance probability: 3.066904501324149e-135
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.017041336119447, b = -1.2238869573148046, c = 5.782875408468496
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0288915199382336, b_new = -1.3026425788711045, c_new = 5.425313879282378
Current likelihood: -3012.4176045753893
Proposed likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Acceptance probability: 2.48759008950502
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1684202551083573, b_new = -2.017500023266221, c_new = 5.6771630973683385
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3143.145324243491
Acceptance probability: 6.759178231459065e-58
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1658041862353232, b_new = -0.5291279842177765, c_new = 4.746095932346409
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4964.949645353263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8051710133047556, b_new = -0.92879137842123, c_new = 5.906193074110844
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13148.007755884688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3853931836791618, b_new = -1.3149544488388094, c_new = 5.860516172029755
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7832.06180354647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.866740890373633, b_new = -0.7831779143881372, c_new = 5.083667532545939
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3453.7001483857325
Acceptance probability: 9.07083871536705e-193
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8796337698825085, b_new = -0.28879940729657894, c_new = 5.442799682360981
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3070.2430216483963
Acceptance probability: 3.0971456787677907e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4275015487751763, b_new = -1.7431861329851162, c_new = 5.233533761296584
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7313.0845814427885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.292651761591609, b_new = -1.0749844156028685, c_new = 5.073934900371717
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6214.633187822735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7571986295278539, b_new = -1.4379912974745699, c_new = 4.303496871081673
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15313.300048989993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.274659529288153, b_new = -1.8236879251954194, c_new = 5.457354093010107
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4315.835399853978
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.628419438467445, b_new = -1.4125490388269175, c_new = 6.074051752511763
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8597.63248826546
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7078810871297936, b_new = -0.796783311742064, c_new = 3.7731845072217367
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6242.321665519258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0691775327720316, b_new = -1.2373663694007453, c_new = 4.717736199806914
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13866.296758613222
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.448832306695355, b_new = -1.0933824506879175, c_new = 5.915564806833274
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10519.803896856904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1600592135684624, b_new = -2.092668936880045, c_new = 6.287921216452721
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3106.5530009337754
Acceptance probability: 5.2691188165281366e-42
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1650803369197265, b_new = -1.3538075297609615, c_new = 5.815570242802427
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3736.7721490604204
Acceptance probability: 1.04963806e-315
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.354551029112115, b_new = -1.6631404871275226, c_new = 5.846820831645324
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6231.972957011289
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8246094591643307, b_new = -1.9334058629194701, c_new = 5.650178651400705
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6150.802367901837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2737228235231774, b_new = -1.4203500632535575, c_new = 4.10053142879658
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4738.797701563199
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3309739956785673, b_new = -0.4145788755911327, c_new = 5.662570842709406
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9120.546270132772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.400878287266081, b_new = -1.9624466310644966, c_new = 5.854237890012573
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6414.702166124298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3855461062686625, b_new = -1.6549380057665128, c_new = 5.45656459824118
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6762.384617791618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.617383967515774, b_new = -1.6465840826399674, c_new = 5.2919862695998265
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10422.392678386988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3268619773510393, b_new = -0.17587028170117947, c_new = 5.513819259588692
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10370.371013502598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.409432717162518, b_new = -2.083796681743035, c_new = 5.176365777203713
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6059.713551923148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.623355193349113, b_new = -1.3174138993926445, c_new = 5.053845499138612
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10964.641836398996
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1058743300413796, b_new = -1.780843741566136, c_new = 5.811328152163748
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3037.9995073548016
Acceptance probability: 3.1199092979689232e-12
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7452915801496967, b_new = -1.0621190676070187, c_new = 5.363223682553057
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12433.648007554479
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.932264112431444, b_new = -1.3240609667463679, c_new = 4.360758418501687
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3590.241243548045
Acceptance probability: 4.556205070072872e-252
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.446025513754898, b_new = -1.5026600046759486, c_new = 5.261126692823709
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8302.425299032075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1201101990628093, b_new = -1.7098682679986645, c_new = 5.187626569346904
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3073.769126160919
Acceptance probability: 9.111584373596064e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2125175793940106, b_new = -0.6541763355287611, c_new = 5.1277224512284985
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5671.0813316531585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.502829014427416, b_new = -0.840887989196903, c_new = 4.471841586632268
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9823.351075079312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.463183927563188, b_new = -1.1749658791446738, c_new = 4.733772891589426
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10887.919520678519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5306174563509227, b_new = -2.5936805856038836, c_new = 5.144686903154503
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7174.568186228635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8469922385381614, b_new = -1.4184625517851273, c_new = 6.030142085109974
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12831.622242818183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9289372007250054, b_new = -1.147766095455149, c_new = 4.475738205533629
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3402.7273499896883
Acceptance probability: 1.2440920520542988e-170
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.104406977854676, b_new = -2.186391911354189, c_new = 5.341893973878228
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3111.347786398806
Acceptance probability: 4.359022617967521e-44
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.101974899536858, b_new = -1.7009730182783698, c_new = 5.408538335143598
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3039.4488428994164
Acceptance probability: 7.323244581558707e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6691272263976744, b_new = -1.0484719709430106, c_new = 6.322139702604708
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6784.501008982238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.711391494548589, b_new = -1.8155469139242029, c_new = 5.24593814175133
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8402.535532245687
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3901475771212572, b_new = -0.7241525376783211, c_new = 4.8017922435950275
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10855.871815039487
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.326735987980189, b_new = -0.7149143945680722, c_new = 5.169505025291007
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15342.838273182871
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9379989432092692, b_new = -1.7298397661223446, c_new = 5.71514997946437
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3816.7068900229015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1747565171320073, b_new = -0.36070795693935476, c_new = 4.636441273290168
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5492.93340678435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3837592066057605, b_new = -1.0155442235127807, c_new = 5.590222716566007
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8501.83527228363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6173043224009724, b_new = -1.707576224694883, c_new = 5.136464919663331
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9835.150433182209
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.011158315111797, b_new = -1.5787166137521675, c_new = 4.321634471297294
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3250.11259027328
Acceptance probability: 2.3691934178692728e-104
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.949254366532802, b_new = -1.603808762927708, c_new = 5.49050832028748
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3573.7918836224962
Acceptance probability: 6.345553492060333e-245
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.616817359839792, b_new = -1.633281379370973, c_new = 5.250904141250534
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10427.131314221286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6337739050109716, b_new = -1.10530768014044, c_new = 6.118915693453341
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7704.884927503452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.962833140127905, b_new = -1.863608843723545, c_new = 5.0192998941109925
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3877.0851666985645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.933673067675363, b_new = -0.3795778599999967, c_new = 5.489527570361543
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3056.8546890949137
Acceptance probability: 2.0204149964008805e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6796926032972395, b_new = -0.7815189396857104, c_new = 5.402955628326789
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6199.289117623248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.339699940102669, b_new = -1.1589933809427055, c_new = 5.3795978885733
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7109.406826592075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7291466780650255, b_new = -1.0887474192111186, c_new = 5.672209577862067
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5893.874223517341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4949312472441427, b_new = -1.0504040832770503, c_new = 6.166365395822348
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9794.390794879027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9695050870588877, b_new = -0.5536932888415868, c_new = 5.8217956933552095
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13381.773531849027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.414595519959204, b_new = -1.2392935842098418, c_new = 4.850213259371882
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8230.527551720945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8886182805408236, b_new = -1.0823751153008652, c_new = 5.532504767988358
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3521.332227746413
Acceptance probability: 3.8495377161890206e-222
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6745899690998103, b_new = -0.9767580089836674, c_new = 5.309735039956699
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12011.78522641162
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7664614102890637, b_new = -0.8532064126538585, c_new = 5.483475264772284
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4728.980865132204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5216787540425045, b_new = -0.9769047224767492, c_new = 5.30099387810847
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10556.187268255615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8566932506147018, b_new = -1.0093033584842894, c_new = 5.055777613275085
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14453.701463758734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4933134614918613, b_new = -1.711166165434682, c_new = 6.5329632258865455
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9075.141326429646
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304429638674029, b_new = -0.5468710704944896, c_new = 5.329945377453958
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8067.566517974525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8399169686382884, b_new = -1.0517002678120417, c_new = 5.287214725997266
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4058.4846329105644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.085781622854801, b_new = -0.9390308439553932, c_new = 5.252403216340081
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14365.915180525275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1657738578961707, b_new = -1.0212895254638064, c_new = 5.132830247509895
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12992.412631755002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8548339121426056, b_new = -2.1738313435186942, c_new = 4.99813818865496
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6429.440657394366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4934518068407776, b_new = -1.7141698253489677, c_new = 5.6371100126357145
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8756.042284579124
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.599150478497037, b_new = -1.3163857733017232, c_new = 4.857140455093672
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9316.303858390811
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6652320934167872, b_new = -1.5608230234489724, c_new = 4.619865929490965
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8868.446360952661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.145999636973074, b_new = -2.0123751804650363, c_new = 5.530734331764528
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3067.5261407503604
Acceptance probability: 4.686925124171479e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.070229960402384, b_new = -1.218028678050223, c_new = 5.66760145372685
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14130.332689107567
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7686351249498435, b_new = -1.0649234472619882, c_new = 5.577284209203537
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5114.649670202908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5228873293154708, b_new = -1.4936057161933607, c_new = 5.645767990356246
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10483.919473920723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4982462473315348, b_new = -1.52446410745435, c_new = 4.860234820859089
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11103.064064622087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.479208365786839, b_new = -1.0387875275740721, c_new = 4.189721067294999
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10622.135591216022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6321775162367542, b_new = -1.6305097916173532, c_new = 5.566593157207051
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10684.330418945548
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7369468098001204, b_new = -1.4664176834482054, c_new = 5.859448861750472
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11955.903323361295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4520227662442693, b_new = -0.5952156548402476, c_new = 6.577222877296336
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9339.915137661888
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.781301302281518, b_new = -1.0353738509701038, c_new = 5.203791348493011
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4935.818287927584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8821667305035443, b_new = -1.8274856579714827, c_new = 6.1791627878635165
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14813.737555980864
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6692727068039805, b_new = -1.493093273979649, c_new = 5.123278371177085
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11138.934045521633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.997711650631883, b_new = -1.3478312924429288, c_new = 4.940926858894002
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3102.9833924447084
Acceptance probability: 1.870678958089524e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3893694735274815, b_new = -0.8954247471314023, c_new = 5.156289456329151
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8753.151516392283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7313537784054116, b_new = -1.6057961221000314, c_new = 6.268516478774869
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11827.18633872942
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8797103663112624, b_new = -1.0530942742248979, c_new = 5.751699587564355
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3538.4604823448026
Acceptance probability: 1.4018518603510234e-229
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0697446986405024, b_new = -1.9249618465296927, c_new = 5.149521376184251
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3114.245649485083
Acceptance probability: 2.403605420795775e-45
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5210856598091413, b_new = -2.026421748262263, c_new = 4.2013410379679765
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12008.361747090705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.428069759624016, b_new = -1.5510271049424178, c_new = 5.799643473436686
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8035.436687236272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.323770118626149, b_new = -1.5852784648934528, c_new = 5.210439709783537
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5587.429000945711
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208223845129512, b_new = -1.2710047183676079, c_new = 6.366190082596323
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4575.308031289738
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.164115302160735, b_new = -1.6819392789224836, c_new = 4.618334787117377
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13902.621110406548
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.133927304233186, b_new = -1.0628596413320675, c_new = 5.9265020774319135
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3820.044511614176
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.571145920545039, b_new = -0.9240753656181183, c_new = 5.252330009548689
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11160.268267981633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8169262163048527, b_new = -2.009788487520275, c_new = 5.056485903312671
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11608.299613926129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6221357026114296, b_new = -1.0838297387908844, c_new = 6.358959580714583
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7788.242583778752
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2891117683694486, b_new = -0.9189253266611193, c_new = 5.5689243868051825
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6757.140116272109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7408798665359333, b_new = -1.4922919973319628, c_new = 5.804214822546568
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11934.541387086896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.378327926721332, b_new = -1.041656400286044, c_new = 4.993518483072435
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15217.245958804571
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.689685038383792, b_new = -0.8054640557391066, c_new = 4.999548492235545
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12281.64101622614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2701787119884145, b_new = -1.7338958433316871, c_new = 6.136423955334909
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12959.728670519857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9483726482105217, b_new = -0.9379943798805939, c_new = 5.234022998603906
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3076.3932490065854
Acceptance probability: 6.60620169999073e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.341552414371053, b_new = -0.8703869281970362, c_new = 5.5912665879632275
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8044.484201704314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3203463186857975, b_new = -1.3817106679798434, c_new = 5.532510698488079
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6146.246867288472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8820172984182357, b_new = -1.2900445782168175, c_new = 5.226086529130591
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3917.8200641099374
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2312421787025625, b_new = -1.2101683914731851, c_new = 4.515051549942065
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12983.056379331134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.572220587546592, b_new = -1.2166737548837376, c_new = 4.989435795518807
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10590.635302324523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.144944420389832, b_new = -0.0946408506785461, c_new = 5.326434362267543
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15313.70253682787
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.255737508600206, b_new = -1.3139627479165135, c_new = 6.265648856961114
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5270.0085441054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.274690812951725, b_new = -1.3662469110530644, c_new = 5.15270831545209
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5153.043284040741
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9115461358631687, b_new = -1.5027360676494752, c_new = 5.623704927101687
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13019.377977629689
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.084620354121268, b_new = -1.019699604835349, c_new = 4.040396460222933
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13728.950857780132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.692291626236919, b_new = -1.492816899127218, c_new = 6.222006676500131
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11657.238609280119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.522102708970168, b_new = -1.7728737780265817, c_new = 6.130488028093054
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10872.497667752312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2461722255643335, b_new = -1.8350411709336727, c_new = 6.129476821734828
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4052.410200540914
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.307626460928431, b_new = -1.8967247962000147, c_new = 5.860801700953454
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4785.076882346857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8516093528151343, b_new = -1.2085456789161546, c_new = 5.740730062097011
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14495.41209700653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7120161583977103, b_new = -0.8590843243672244, c_new = 5.564476531066305
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5699.503643547299
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.353096373235425, b_new = -1.275253271150855, c_new = 5.477071125381857
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11912.377635093633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9705736821851065, b_new = -1.8005452958932868, c_new = 4.9518522533081395
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3715.1933914674214
Acceptance probability: 2.4693060453478366e-306
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2787263877574557, b_new = -2.12272744396313, c_new = 5.377077259124787
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3887.30792901761
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1663315074713703, b_new = -1.584216596741547, c_new = 5.311307935101588
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3407.8667094529046
Acceptance probability: 7.292174626217724e-173
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.767338130173498, b_new = -0.5450607441436811, c_new = 5.691973030211586
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4116.195620502314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7270151310541872, b_new = -1.0782912131564755, c_new = 5.7272416821080965
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5891.841296190993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9548804375361577, b_new = -0.8714970088427518, c_new = 5.22068760763911
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3039.442626443653
Acceptance probability: 7.368911002124536e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1431049427252646, b_new = -0.881339032259127, c_new = 5.3596472051802095
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4092.4043936230764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1270531386776477, b_new = -1.2928957778174817, c_new = 5.144175478584942
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3358.727192216084
Acceptance probability: 1.599109633234103e-151
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7096468879902362, b_new = -0.8070530944446707, c_new = 5.944204112312326
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5504.2045614127765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.819328463769966, b_new = -2.015217058790512, c_new = 5.192465719927379
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11653.509658598714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.52515261673808, b_new = -1.4561325262951839, c_new = 5.022080295682884
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15329.399312750767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.729299295767402, b_new = -1.3148422744441, c_new = 5.128952753143601
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11909.245061540612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0105877516291346, b_new = -2.020678564138274, c_new = 4.973857037630598
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3603.090818826202
Acceptance probability: 1.1970261137974875e-257
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.041628034002664, b_new = -1.8451601104572453, c_new = 5.703993542426446
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3131.69676125724
Acceptance probability: 6.337845223391548e-53
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.010352764310297, b_new = -1.4987331487222326, c_new = 5.065353853799457
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3122.185196462633
Acceptance probability: 8.565677787319403e-49
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.27904467992452, b_new = -1.315402453722931, c_new = 5.714436521290407
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5532.22802055371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3423810126591067, b_new = -1.3534509568709898, c_new = 5.079983472031749
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6525.206162890544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0256598702191275, b_new = -1.0329639967984265, c_new = 5.830262931379817
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3066.806322829225
Acceptance probability: 9.627221557735387e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9792477965644726, b_new = -2.152387121724597, c_new = 5.24167300174372
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4087.3506310737134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4408814685880773, b_new = -1.787768764524984, c_new = 5.323656554982805
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7498.186083194346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6171850939086947, b_new = -1.0339522329963975, c_new = 5.235938587259893
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11414.729696206436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8220846514613847, b_new = -0.555606015993204, c_new = 5.8825023101584994
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3504.969920198917
Acceptance probability: 4.914376868186722e-215
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.796959259625803, b_new = -1.4590288885777412, c_new = 5.172442302628433
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12222.303622600573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.3992039706362505, b_new = -1.519711682456933, c_new = 5.863265314795927
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15103.207904220633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.928637489225303, b_new = -1.055024949501717, c_new = 5.223002233676288
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3233.2143375973774
Acceptance probability: 5.169141353092529e-97
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1775070522061566, b_new = -1.1353862593562016, c_new = 5.922319937390066
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12856.860104057736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9802436935208387, b_new = -0.4038560533059459, c_new = 5.019117911451395
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3150.3017736502243
Acceptance probability: 5.270931971055027e-61
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3692696412950793, b_new = -1.6334309024808578, c_new = 4.9328961687724275
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6300.245409511007
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.741382585383084, b_new = -1.766335932007541, c_new = 5.979902263065459
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7342.4235786820955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4407024274228037, b_new = -2.2557426426907394, c_new = 5.469148194865613
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12669.496640311558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6788963566753177, b_new = -1.208984895373612, c_new = 4.9543818757633815
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7512.59152568536
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7418036329751727, b_new = -1.002203448065208, c_new = 5.636966068488425
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5447.445754953029
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5908496207105287, b_new = -1.4077414377843027, c_new = 4.674224020713836
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10367.969771431082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801557354066256, b_new = -1.0774438437877065, c_new = 5.4836707177921555
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4611.544529315882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3783714828332183, b_new = -1.1101974078001173, c_new = 5.084705761532604
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11544.176650987172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.85748065214631, b_new = -2.1862442106145994, c_new = 5.184995753688677
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6330.871963873953
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.858552232233644, b_new = -0.5410474040969125, c_new = 5.371692223556119
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3271.2336279454717
Acceptance probability: 1.5916603743416712e-113
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.240980580926969, b_new = -1.9924085745835822, c_new = 5.435051098890412
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3655.400983872042
Acceptance probability: 2.291329771777314e-280
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0546644573095185, b_new = -0.6714778065605305, c_new = 4.769599011424102
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3353.647999313607
Acceptance probability: 2.568879243103518e-149
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.328001843208374, b_new = -1.7570614365840675, c_new = 4.938979147697162
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5185.899985701484
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.51790442628423, b_new = -2.480585211244971, c_new = 4.912822472497572
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7133.368280497698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8023228701851535, b_new = -1.1214838864438819, c_new = 4.661396599093706
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4918.9975483712615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7226178036765654, b_new = -0.5852093590719204, c_new = 5.273083831786031
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4966.160326704963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8921807240784254, b_new = -0.41416505798961356, c_new = 5.345461006692268
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3068.62137916558
Acceptance probability: 1.5675883073713818e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.849286236836133, b_new = -1.045492304066262, c_new = 5.242412004531707
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3940.221978565241
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0586412210019036, b_new = -1.140178966528485, c_new = 4.586936482079712
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3062.294535680979
Acceptance probability: 8.768902245440637e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2691228913344865, b_new = -2.3453314289431746, c_new = 5.409791855322645
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3532.0642439148346
Acceptance probability: 8.405299198625116e-227
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.911307368659529, b_new = -0.9876267141986563, c_new = 5.423981698957733
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3269.489532040784
Acceptance probability: 9.10545456455546e-113
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.251132412152375, b_new = -0.8780782670087737, c_new = 6.891518286790462
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6568.662310198447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9676677453181504, b_new = -1.8754752235319616, c_new = 5.5573840544308215
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3728.3556909882946
Acceptance probability: 4.745269347574e-312
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.268467039709209, b_new = -1.1818014777746713, c_new = 5.550287640477604
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5600.196056152844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.829049186615138, b_new = -1.589122197971632, c_new = 5.762908843254676
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12427.79075867439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.347114149072347, b_new = -0.6771397468595969, c_new = 5.327440846982137
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8586.803011958564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.465811899753184, b_new = -0.6858236447392497, c_new = 5.141441379065758
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10389.916450808038
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.766463568993849, b_new = -1.916422930271507, c_new = 4.734290329566923
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7746.759329112601
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.542382103916858, b_new = -1.7886022397576165, c_new = 5.157423855136602
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9189.311729484842
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.471192252110111, b_new = -1.0715489970403143, c_new = 5.094859693781743
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10477.419687475645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3051679268294363, b_new = -1.8625856440912822, c_new = 4.921050268577914
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13233.541796260743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031546928122617, b_new = -0.684124938920775, c_new = 6.059514202453307
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3353.1697256923762
Acceptance probability: 4.144339108639726e-149
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5962407121950712, b_new = -0.8742340730867537, c_new = 5.367707737830556
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8096.757958201649
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8581133134709784, b_new = -1.918721210468306, c_new = 5.889016577458845
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12236.031708875933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5995637622620107, b_new = -1.7224670247777063, c_new = 5.980797295542701
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9821.844857273469
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.75531644302412, b_new = -0.6073670215897614, c_new = 6.601770799487826
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4204.513096822409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4708487097524667, b_new = -1.5052995761195798, c_new = 6.621581136034103
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10804.605902675552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6373230098722313, b_new = -0.7946357467424157, c_new = 5.917022128705218
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6909.239473543969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9117869646472747, b_new = -1.7803019873220456, c_new = 5.1321487728239905
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4378.242603593897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1765203336717827, b_new = -1.915743820621909, c_new = 4.97206385881028
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3196.6086907380495
Acceptance probability: 4.0836531331414114e-81
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.436158989686481, b_new = -1.1636066135415095, c_new = 5.099375596729819
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8898.855721160233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.68430009078371, b_new = -1.207590918875486, c_new = 5.481876636280596
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7195.866833230101
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.442328396432057, b_new = -0.7295494451933796, c_new = 4.448022905976338
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9749.230426549273
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.939734042114747, b_new = -2.203061448570749, c_new = 6.4207909301275405
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4426.665631736731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1361211921390133, b_new = -1.0611945365691176, c_new = 5.674213114104223
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3796.7354671537355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6286012347568675, b_new = -1.2236240629713395, c_new = 5.7222573271635895
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8248.709101011633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3426217868681634, b_new = -0.7373559294880281, c_new = 5.590016469487589
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8438.107430115053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.590698999405638, b_new = -1.1850991619411777, c_new = 4.833146144224862
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9151.68492579629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7363979598280939, b_new = -1.485099807050108, c_new = 5.9477314046965475
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15062.370171751418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6120768335860225, b_new = -1.7448025729187457, c_new = 5.006600542559292
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10044.260464324652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1303355200208367, b_new = -0.9683218754635368, c_new = 5.919380760506263
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3917.569753715034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.240737312210969, b_new = -0.39767939708461475, c_new = 4.718114215613413
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6836.768434296172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9039756436596402, b_new = -2.1324801593983462, c_new = 5.269108246940644
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5220.668654798969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8532589630371508, b_new = -1.604992815727384, c_new = 5.549152310607992
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12512.348194826363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.719317008509104, b_new = -1.4181730719843018, c_new = 5.807549878036788
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11871.499768959473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2548030738046925, b_new = -1.017104900289946, c_new = 4.931699341878605
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5532.921214912094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.029150165200768, b_new = -1.7934213007884703, c_new = 5.235593963651039
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13252.292792288263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6242582232867067, b_new = -1.7792082424699687, c_new = 5.226482544267463
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10250.110085126516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5839517352049155, b_new = -1.5594889122284532, c_new = 5.518549618093711
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9854.736151702908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.10117895918841, b_new = -1.2695864982221765, c_new = 5.32870091279382
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3225.222987663438
Acceptance probability: 1.5276279213418832e-93
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2709233577510917, b_new = -1.257616341504588, c_new = 5.960864004637519
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5598.743634463808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.517569307582279, b_new = -1.4917503952583429, c_new = 5.282922132754414
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10668.300530040204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7278935494506324, b_new = -1.2386917761915548, c_new = 5.39065590941386
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6405.444061210137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.273797381791355, b_new = -1.5535978316834338, c_new = 6.07104944362152
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4991.4217512151245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3893197191497446, b_new = -1.7341416748000666, c_new = 5.089319172149137
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12417.787628774702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9801779857117547, b_new = -1.439032404238291, c_new = 5.583355539340571
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3180.8916719549143
Acceptance probability: 2.734408373768255e-74
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625688031479353, b_new = -1.1873747777247927, c_new = 5.05824612173178
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8459.4569614114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.427448122571493, b_new = -0.9958190754603846, c_new = 6.208549247004438
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9560.287009594798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1131306219022985, b_new = -1.7029822946885105, c_new = 5.6918841840925385
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3072.094592057493
Acceptance probability: 4.862222424863231e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8660357540921506, b_new = -1.1825029093511341, c_new = 5.251392769106863
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3942.6040660627655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.285351161032688, b_new = -1.9522524886173431, c_new = 5.064141024910931
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4168.079217427003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6571418988726467, b_new = -1.383991827199991, c_new = 5.737019711537607
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11374.268636892317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.289115206758088, b_new = -1.812783081771876, c_new = 4.826542210190132
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4407.863134330506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6432442865628816, b_new = -1.1096481204134416, c_new = 5.756454569397999
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11682.710973545147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208433065365537, b_new = -1.6187155533482203, c_new = 5.862772033909491
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3863.0359695918596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.350114716961484, b_new = -0.9171522718093761, c_new = 5.126240076146925
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11483.500883853427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8133691864360246, b_new = -1.8926188428514967, c_new = 5.570613156234694
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6307.927077385661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.79240036038589, b_new = -0.2099674401988374, c_new = 5.266088704898884
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3484.0960899942033
Acceptance probability: 5.712914602347582e-206
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.98430585622152, b_new = -2.2263772658664345, c_new = 5.197936947546702
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15016.717204224045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.896785985666214, b_new = -1.0645018680472358, c_new = 5.625186932428733
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3420.2083814599428
Acceptance probability: 3.1837357202571503e-178
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.997862017901103, b_new = -0.7506578159757394, c_new = 4.549624302566359
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14007.913200481922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.588931432951666, b_new = -1.9092875151711088, c_new = 5.0825696035858705
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9556.30404425584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.586386242189806, b_new = -1.471107313163626, c_new = 5.279141652842995
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10386.698719423352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.214916308785674, b_new = -1.7867688558893702, c_new = 4.69764481687163
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3542.7005201214624
Acceptance probability: 2.019654645596855e-231
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8452079181360064, b_new = -0.7355141623330567, c_new = 6.374570564815773
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13982.583996266972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.223327366489457, b_new = -1.193383136147381, c_new = 4.904077911008053
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4577.365179503107
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6133422596073057, b_new = -1.3597061421676502, c_new = 5.397056518648645
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10896.136973507462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.289547292640445, b_new = -1.3914872258871616, c_new = 4.892032284951949
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5291.833774142125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7505587429106777, b_new = -1.6898348486324537, c_new = 5.656016448752854
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7059.43226853208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.37316917029759, b_new = -0.9164798518498978, c_new = 5.294793325792275
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11211.802083103477
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5164783373158808, b_new = -1.0813409496968234, c_new = 5.394798321029889
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9822.361011979505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8843201477350706, b_new = -1.747576639624645, c_new = 6.188210312286767
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4448.769692406628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8733696013521826, b_new = -2.3827207247852593, c_new = 5.269197050685935
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11589.767677937321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.116904643254702, b_new = -1.5603926015086405, c_new = 6.159864549200688
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14116.739973604033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.093727465124676, b_new = -2.145045798595628, c_new = 5.728971633400503
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14412.829121100242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.425428136137419, b_new = -1.2980407349072773, c_new = 5.07706604152408
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8367.966524628455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.019930171628225, b_new = -2.1100557548632892, c_new = 5.782755180815616
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12983.51917134268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3766968576011207, b_new = -1.7611992808791648, c_new = 7.014222046263706
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6868.455675850855
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.867484225376978, b_new = -1.6454569641170307, c_new = 6.340585961139139
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4470.612387761363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.903722236192086, b_new = -0.7268154819840487, c_new = 5.516031683946603
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3136.931182010915
Acceptance probability: 3.378015047266499e-55
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5869012620670153, b_new = -1.3551933707936608, c_new = 5.498363824701615
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10660.64909453701
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5964066215127577, b_new = -0.9336784536381808, c_new = 5.401736429506183
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8229.201540274236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0971592106978947, b_new = -0.30359856344710057, c_new = 5.184256473296233
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12533.5227293071
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.260373061109786, b_new = -1.8609335697545575, c_new = 4.849562930993966
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13525.992548833005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.44087840991474, b_new = -1.9228868224661566, c_new = 5.528970876335597
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7219.831378588968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3791033218821003, b_new = -1.8099834149090748, c_new = 5.237243675229694
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12561.98659099402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.497838255115748, b_new = -1.7872194783631505, c_new = 5.233288633833199
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8523.123221004758
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4661701762276853, b_new = -2.0971863465815708, c_new = 4.921840806902376
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12394.498918637697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5842854190238214, b_new = -0.5325304885149414, c_new = 5.01497977070526
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11841.4715984127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6949876417909553, b_new = -0.9085792879643722, c_new = 5.210897495583783
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6280.909787050588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5230836271004327, b_new = -1.455185786911183, c_new = 5.653417674858539
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9763.27325084771
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.395769320567868, b_new = -0.9983861724968239, c_new = 4.768230881216273
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11286.122872681715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8276352419929416, b_new = -0.9386168297483124, c_new = 4.943127724588792
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13016.62295830516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.806164789324828, b_new = -1.6961273860970572, c_new = 6.00195977125532
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5777.354803941221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1800239959524936, b_new = -1.5494723374390638, c_new = 5.064963056922556
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3528.2356577898017
Acceptance probability: 3.866223933635014e-225
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2720481029627746, b_new = -1.4475140017880095, c_new = 4.886158505400704
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4855.749046383168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4829778209839755, b_new = -2.2492410263820224, c_new = 6.119832568478626
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12111.48848346493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.210519526201263, b_new = -1.2948962469966818, c_new = 6.018747291436853
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4470.214624816149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.947318903367884, b_new = -1.6035652880192877, c_new = 5.344220825265771
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3617.4061554520013
Acceptance probability: 7.2615932997581165e-264
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.706328250716341, b_new = -1.5347813092188733, c_new = 5.829463894943746
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7496.366013806886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.469641587876852, b_new = -1.8794058719271178, c_new = 5.9263213670109485
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8037.418383910174
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7090590142589925, b_new = -0.920975685192152, c_new = 6.679670186835324
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5564.276372983239
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.544177452208793, b_new = -1.854703135936992, c_new = 5.516790659745195
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9191.822546191179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8842088802799792, b_new = -1.2968493569834183, c_new = 5.487827260913652
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13067.136421939045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.037151796431006, b_new = -0.6019468844385647, c_new = 6.190744009617339
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14709.329257441324
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1011574843425382, b_new = -0.789072464946474, c_new = 6.0480466620329105
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3873.85933763888
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.673993395655272, b_new = -1.890776023655137, c_new = 5.626694668391792
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9160.08989455986
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3510385808473657, b_new = -1.9943433038456164, c_new = 5.704942742501854
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5294.7730112496165
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7472287542202998, b_new = -1.3910902251212227, c_new = 5.480056308298123
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12035.156762543731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.756063382948596, b_new = -1.1833197369090076, c_new = 5.483767052858334
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12380.984035050093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7985579665867113, b_new = -0.7292300003951889, c_new = 5.144024482938274
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4108.912902188452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231054512556233, b_new = -0.9478092433671138, c_new = 5.927082935063895
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5575.145695571223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.744895381003029, b_new = -1.562624172819992, c_new = 5.056452150983454
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7061.789784265401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.009737984439437, b_new = -1.50413492685229, c_new = 4.953936898698909
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14333.382814457125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9907409077468925, b_new = 0.013580497829420501, c_new = 5.496113989350365
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3709.7838948566177
Acceptance probability: 5.5193692236420205e-304
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9007930019601607, b_new = -1.5682846508503223, c_new = 5.914528779627012
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3974.0007818366485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6661613513575437, b_new = -1.4954246413013517, c_new = 4.308438107202364
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10883.32822761155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.146356635033762, b_new = -0.7798643690249389, c_new = 5.569904464115978
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12706.86434895588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5993300383782834, b_new = -1.3040718654308647, c_new = 5.072768687780301
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10750.697139208029
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9835668043713217, b_new = -1.1019209719640601, c_new = 5.395326881506464
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13959.177219984147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4646607380348446, b_new = -1.8161258708576282, c_new = 5.020323384961925
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7784.150983289208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.469639677658751, b_new = -1.9767525084558892, c_new = 4.996847462899055
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7469.593985169831
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.521935358097891, b_new = -1.6737099330134715, c_new = 5.478303787706246
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10902.972842312438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.361867388682714, b_new = -2.1356289266359356, c_new = 5.257560886111177
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5055.649439538791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1653058574149284, b_new = -1.3770092065242665, c_new = 4.930587104744294
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13472.094058720057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2362386492676016, b_new = -0.573219770210026, c_new = 4.989738872873951
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6342.626071287068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.125043610636732, b_new = -1.743819572403906, c_new = 5.370310638334574
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3082.795847313658
Acceptance probability: 1.0948098971252878e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6662677718762096, b_new = -1.0295773136269606, c_new = 4.993096724278418
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7271.769640868593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.522139322693042, b_new = -1.2741998768719005, c_new = 5.520188414230645
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10097.86400802752
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6179856076985564, b_new = -1.3338353450769385, c_new = 5.414337132915958
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10990.618757709797
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.054282711831861, b_new = -1.0947371655214169, c_new = 5.24128703108809
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14080.81097315846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0678884745575674, b_new = -2.021859589781858, c_new = 4.944017759155812
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3200.4472656163784
Acceptance probability: 8.78975880165124e-83
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2695993412805837, b_new = -1.6246677324759506, c_new = 5.475263867242698
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13002.215142831617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.358781615571754, b_new = -1.3799020882426052, c_new = 5.226567058933177
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6853.508320776618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.202626848379901, b_new = -1.5762802427387104, c_new = 6.023685367873417
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3887.4577757614957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6536273011734344, b_new = -1.5906416567686967, c_new = 5.689024633771402
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8736.065215025059
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6565815307762244, b_new = -1.5937268368748512, c_new = 5.326391590740305
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8831.039451285207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.894716352278511, b_new = -1.098902963676859, c_new = 5.759933399746057
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3454.8051932383487
Acceptance probability: 3.0042257431853463e-193
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2493816377969034, b_new = -0.933135718767943, c_new = 4.781464977553044
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5584.525348783271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8102022359739305, b_new = -1.5019200653046467, c_new = 6.070919328788578
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12494.987440766574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3785473577547616, b_new = -1.8462707881407407, c_new = 5.293806513024734
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12601.112571913014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8932602622221193, b_new = -1.9583279486223777, c_new = 6.421133289328632
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4664.180309623707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7988061402174007, b_new = -2.0743391178366957, c_new = 4.972688229793569
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7394.206720409695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2986521019607733, b_new = -1.5727878484948314, c_new = 4.341639162991647
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13063.768145747728
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.283640507541798, b_new = -0.6992050258352763, c_new = 4.766112391838229
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6943.953723258792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8921589231569347, b_new = -1.8686202085321968, c_new = 5.231051049642381
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4839.81747382342
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.582944915748222, b_new = -0.7832440839556933, c_new = 4.890726840759386
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11396.341516374125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0146234190871013, b_new = -1.6177811391901749, c_new = 5.123936993611334
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3168.8325603313115
Acceptance probability: 4.721380588470734e-69
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7082426904419457, b_new = -0.675505845255218, c_new = 5.419820284577481
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12706.333954786807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6769781615207693, b_new = -0.7825327222349137, c_new = 5.065135358533968
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12237.062084203913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.217295663318546, b_new = -0.8517673381597146, c_new = 4.514591205117408
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5086.594763904869
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.351606980401286, b_new = -1.6417395386863132, c_new = 5.407914329176955
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6074.716408062409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3273112370382987, b_new = -1.0263103130983806, c_new = 4.93518238602179
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7041.3902562956355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7426715483545965, b_new = -0.8995566132195609, c_new = 5.328384863458702
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5286.27597692965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.14087165299392, b_new = -1.4264469057267004, c_new = 4.915316832401917
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3316.814707039307
Acceptance probability: 2.5482338159697945e-133
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3337669324312698, b_new = -1.842922155866924, c_new = 5.733240842877059
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12790.428485961387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.786410320608612, b_new = -1.579478176525747, c_new = 6.35341733233162
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5757.660048853775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6820235143400244, b_new = -0.22322121397930106, c_new = 5.417928745451702
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4869.570513593413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8433082443685307, b_new = -1.0904034750745608, c_new = 5.1563660858903555
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4105.526129082312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3438642382334693, b_new = -1.071200080901523, c_new = 5.191622581943255
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11762.59637057194
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5439729632733465, b_new = -1.575144663841185, c_new = 4.96088363346902
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9581.155570193665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.682736570391775, b_new = -1.1452852848394286, c_new = 5.1281937042121095
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11781.280008712205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.51648696722853, b_new = -0.7622022091398928, c_new = 4.840986125576521
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15390.899306205163
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8083135932643097, b_new = -1.8846219864540743, c_new = 4.916240131959224
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6654.104370635781
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.506485207831642, b_new = -0.9618839020913398, c_new = 5.43764113418263
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9698.057038275121
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.259771310685563, b_new = -1.1539467594200132, c_new = 5.481310907892
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14871.70350209817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.189833281684485, b_new = -0.1406176645513877, c_new = 5.678598806652283
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6840.073221578172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.571201273771985, b_new = -1.2698157596399509, c_new = 5.548769246695397
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10656.97560597697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7410837512345725, b_new = -1.2538101772771255, c_new = 4.73529047245777
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11978.139842773306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.398830809889561, b_new = -1.6332724934038008, c_new = 4.5681039156144845
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12349.49297627266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2436625749034396, b_new = -0.7361589904271488, c_new = 5.667071377521028
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6311.534729922161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5272708438765674, b_new = -0.8698140572155391, c_new = 5.20744968553847
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10782.714846113511
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3942894016382366, b_new = -2.051781389916634, c_new = 5.845299251644119
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6049.283499832364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.797300234602301, b_new = -2.017909838441095, c_new = 5.203666926239856
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7162.923471081116
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0805052561635464, b_new = -1.0158819003851884, c_new = 5.217938560768407
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3282.4838341855448
Acceptance probability: 2.069893086398764e-118
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2654274763073587, b_new = -2.2243232161424578, c_new = 5.5690775158854215
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3645.7354895165527
Acceptance probability: 3.6120891573868356e-276
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7937319583685087, b_new = -1.6849111891949882, c_new = 5.173858081628489
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6307.835245515361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5020335890565755, b_new = -0.4606523650505938, c_new = 6.507109565922456
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11672.354186058348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.666124612632445, b_new = -1.5935751867517234, c_new = 6.9360808969810925
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8043.217667171011
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5007275315322812, b_new = -0.5263498699059361, c_new = 5.620669307754837
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8807.394213173144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.306744570593237, b_new = -1.0814543632063502, c_new = 5.591907677125007
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6694.838130769314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2869022515269184, b_new = -1.6874016083411465, c_new = 5.554614141128704
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12949.045299432793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6897123128755887, b_new = -0.6252962970871094, c_new = 6.145500875463053
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12854.285815825382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.695135150412512, b_new = -0.9237048727695175, c_new = 5.510514348390704
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6213.498546953569
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.485206912719845, b_new = -1.696735256384567, c_new = 6.088366139840566
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8817.287611854714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6042466563935918, b_new = -0.8404466505855512, c_new = 5.163968858096125
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7936.89417431871
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.381974747544747, b_new = -1.2365812904584021, c_new = 6.433400834575808
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11317.38881054382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3375807418911827, b_new = -1.091457418888667, c_new = 5.1915938912645885
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7179.1311846031695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7030902325381154, b_new = -1.9265659010124643, c_new = 5.223677883542528
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10806.564994560806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.39894170849143, b_new = -1.3899007400451606, c_new = 4.770737558838933
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7496.836522875021
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.766510248444634, b_new = -0.8071580952776329, c_new = 5.851769879386652
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4547.348556740126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.611804319741955, b_new = -1.7566698529147176, c_new = 5.3676288422915865
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10192.875406030074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.49832639191031, b_new = -1.3366696766980821, c_new = 5.553519558779518
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10509.403577959343
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4383905662627403, b_new = -2.2251544649463453, c_new = 6.184136664951583
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6617.739950242119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3943872496165355, b_new = -1.0792018926498468, c_new = 6.265428793100056
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8804.773044544136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5583444763828838, b_new = -1.8549806018925583, c_new = 5.129312055331671
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9270.15515890921
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7315822973497617, b_new = -0.6367651531583722, c_new = 5.743554465240132
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13005.564023694968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9427908210127365, b_new = -1.8072289448242858, c_new = 5.202960416927657
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3987.9758401407457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.955316013435968, b_new = -1.406521968152696, c_new = 5.068756049585952
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3371.6621410778494
Acceptance probability: 3.8574590569773235e-157
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8878265680788484, b_new = -0.5240541345237563, c_new = 4.717219450519424
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3150.2512972974696
Acceptance probability: 5.543818616524437e-61
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3110362525527997, b_new = -1.1453893048021881, c_new = 4.640668534733006
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6261.833499232098
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4099120422326705, b_new = -1.4238723030374336, c_new = 4.878956274030032
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7668.8562232189315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5612770979521184, b_new = -1.309402523062937, c_new = 6.089615541228422
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9442.647232916357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.573834109877252, b_new = -1.3150719152207284, c_new = 5.893208840599484
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9335.856118722782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9702682669634526, b_new = -1.3831572546487436, c_new = 4.809616793725912
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14411.525756091723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.401677129864806, b_new = -1.3972628497728303, c_new = 5.416508734299941
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7771.97501181146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8452446503457822, b_new = -0.9189555313382141, c_new = 5.622915575429833
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3738.117064376099
Acceptance probability: 2.7349555e-316
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6433133991277873, b_new = -0.023645552531062375, c_new = 5.59354462503573
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13187.902552283002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2481345498010437, b_new = -0.9235497074311574, c_new = 4.925091836628376
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5631.856529656623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9207338647402232, b_new = -0.9158212511558579, c_new = 5.179567397595888
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3185.4259428022397
Acceptance probability: 2.9353140064297186e-76
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.839533730430013, b_new = -1.7056094818902, c_new = 5.278270170577492
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5394.482073382366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2429385638682557, b_new = -1.4460483580030035, c_new = 5.5365583089737775
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12930.041137117525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1408710016945736, b_new = -1.5798309893184088, c_new = 5.782917189368302
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3280.0674578329035
Acceptance probability: 2.3193528817920405e-117
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8625468376120595, b_new = -2.340291206193201, c_new = 6.197232011937792
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15287.7868161736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3819294362331815, b_new = -1.4183386056549534, c_new = 4.518102116367153
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6980.716603882468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8810134482132432, b_new = -0.5218227397498615, c_new = 6.249232423779702
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3115.218463821717
Acceptance probability: 9.086053223946455e-46
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.911423845675248, b_new = -1.716805812965607, c_new = 5.491076090656435
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4176.543603906179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6330880423216283, b_new = -1.5599559829021399, c_new = 5.372639527645627
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9143.844380007162
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4372648353389925, b_new = -1.0961221665015808, c_new = 5.42561925546878
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9194.515980762879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.419691005956481, b_new = -1.5176805364773207, c_new = 4.9874909281460225
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7658.088138809078
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2684886112079097, b_new = -1.277927687138421, c_new = 4.916785736124308
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5170.129521795982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5194072430340873, b_new = -0.7258682296245228, c_new = 5.070728362567129
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9139.961499333707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2443629388424933, b_new = -1.5872762703410925, c_new = 4.998220858795786
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4195.658266530358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9320909189884037, b_new = -0.8072354475477994, c_new = 4.994497312915377
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13751.114211490865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.408729796610131, b_new = -2.639178915182026, c_new = 5.223389226989243
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13494.385825167767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5382493570903417, b_new = -1.4122347596334421, c_new = 6.529578773353168
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9832.832822216442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.35156687670763, b_new = -1.0400255671506615, c_new = 5.647111173462405
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7801.780020570141
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6123591325221014, b_new = -2.107545801559424, c_new = 5.943737578255395
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10481.358579945565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3802787496013846, b_new = -1.3648609703013987, c_new = 4.5126524110359
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7086.012057493688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.169314165513344, b_new = -1.6874247724827138, c_new = 5.548005670885477
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3362.553877720863
Acceptance probability: 3.4831312591545653e-153
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5509355622314267, b_new = -1.2061413142718875, c_new = 5.490144077896436
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9573.959664678629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3053621235937425, b_new = -1.0762655594846717, c_new = 5.873945065473258
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11899.348939158488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.830624122054338, b_new = -0.8739448388074103, c_new = 5.580754676627383
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3846.9863292938694
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.654527092979749, b_new = -1.6876621392890612, c_new = 4.3044810072917885
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9516.771584046837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6249266024090394, b_new = -1.3006544751799989, c_new = 4.965873802265115
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8796.552293949837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1370687693711856, b_new = -0.9728424701960122, c_new = 5.621385005160119
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3927.5762912765845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6369884585464725, b_new = -0.8181250246506284, c_new = 5.4023493304009
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7155.548775466963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8905586706082826, b_new = -0.6511268303643315, c_new = 4.655176760316871
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3219.434785343099
Acceptance probability: 4.986569949154789e-91
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7878218137825812, b_new = -1.2896617538760695, c_new = 4.724008915837461
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15003.152601851152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.745020981369321, b_new = -1.9488173264119943, c_new = 5.839114833730295
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7835.436667721822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094187384892397, b_new = -0.3834477143117706, c_new = 5.678757537113219
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4383.1421229107145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.912448761755022, b_new = -1.8555948239431246, c_new = 5.517816039705996
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4408.356740352496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.135247121193537, b_new = -0.907158826284225, c_new = 4.9701445580661
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3870.931015075836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.492287186543165, b_new = -0.788907156986628, c_new = 5.4206271803903485
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9542.56487966081
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9174796397548506, b_new = -1.314493894861331, c_new = 4.5336193454030544
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3692.8344443442948
Acceptance probability: 1.2674833889733296e-296
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7268070887526425, b_new = -1.7629580558831683, c_new = 4.981737536481202
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8047.560685609969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0819511673978153, b_new = -1.2737080735622757, c_new = 5.763401837786569
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3158.5889667006427
Acceptance probability: 1.3267991932972833e-64
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9526309050010124, b_new = -1.5451282180150192, c_new = 5.043026996801799
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3547.789590205238
Acceptance probability: 1.2448644288318499e-233
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.2806311435921485, b_new = -0.7826141662027081, c_new = 4.682998201572245
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -15062.627599853604
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266095900690513, b_new = -1.6403457414326983, c_new = 5.966023618398437
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4651.380306594321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5931530966273386, b_new = -0.8749292655089072, c_new = 5.696808910413702
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11587.029778102498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.720900301527489, b_new = -1.0407856155607176, c_new = 5.923911116352523
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12444.955791759816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.461336930973499, b_new = -1.3526507559474545, c_new = 6.003122498327081
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9196.892588830733
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.779099976189498, b_new = -2.004280734774622, c_new = 5.073579345028492
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7581.063503751703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0516738329344757, b_new = -1.6202772971348927, c_new = 4.669065202919397
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3072.0944052352124
Acceptance probability: 4.863130881203404e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.580797448672258, b_new = -1.225963911874098, c_new = 5.365034977444809
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9212.702319370987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0701098328678262, b_new = -0.867435676591656, c_new = 5.127522474006803
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3329.6746518502496
Acceptance probability: 6.625767704152748e-139
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863040080903512, b_new = -0.9102318308118813, c_new = 5.695333801814561
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3539.6593676361285
Acceptance probability: 4.227005917911457e-230
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2394807436991746, b_new = -1.672677789689426, c_new = 5.174742630746444
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4029.750187281964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.671008869128869, b_new = -0.5137201239644319, c_new = 5.213425628735057
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12605.86935679771
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2390279073126007, b_new = -1.7972078742143371, c_new = 4.867637170350137
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3794.005091659846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.671658018539217, b_new = -0.9541641615790475, c_new = 5.6032207463354915
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12105.265185737067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.055831791888872, b_new = -1.8124550721728685, c_new = 4.400519673137829
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3179.106459745015
Acceptance probability: 1.6299383836434787e-73
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.652110493123702, b_new = -0.787060789607516, c_new = 5.393150012048157
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6774.339103338322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6310550797335552, b_new = -1.6962799062500036, c_new = 5.07722029280152
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10421.053937425952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3391702638555243, b_new = -1.160441466953901, c_new = 5.398246475587435
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11879.10780708984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5206210118188324, b_new = -1.2979175178818014, c_new = 6.864770406684903
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9730.349512011015
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3596517601554337, b_new = -1.4197424527526399, c_new = 5.641002232012329
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6917.2931318408555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4151777288182736, b_new = -1.1359452298105557, c_new = 5.389743126598884
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -8704.053155517106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.996925756994147, b_new = -1.810179796499812, c_new = 5.278787123618672
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3426.143753512969
Acceptance probability: 8.418557439164149e-181
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5821186451184492, b_new = -2.014413893234061, c_new = 5.075677544694815
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10989.99189141402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.595717310779176, b_new = -1.6744227772272362, c_new = 5.715347020265289
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9866.499153095083
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6426834563248507, b_new = -1.6879782591149124, c_new = 4.7013511387065
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10450.34289196641
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.376919853694726, b_new = -1.836493074727799, c_new = 5.448698573539677
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6109.538032809638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539504418919329, b_new = -1.8374669319784203, c_new = 5.432998486897957
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11027.549235711473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.921163728399683, b_new = -1.5823605723721001, c_new = 6.4015301465742365
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3671.7983691659265
Acceptance probability: 1.7329803855650765e-287
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1357857528821333, b_new = -1.0967256892433976, c_new = 6.078962049488096
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13023.784773669558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.35470440632947, b_new = -1.656123428200271, c_new = 5.321407938678555
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6072.320544898061
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924790577797612, b_new = -0.42119268128795884, c_new = 4.971633377397725
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3027.1364061189797
Acceptance probability: 1.6290217822649825e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.64946373278514, b_new = -1.5658029812890386, c_new = 4.996424363675638
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10800.49520535222
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.444237542613861, b_new = -1.6869703579699638, c_new = 5.151218170193758
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7763.187039400358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0011959169507385, b_new = -0.6207298799434167, c_new = 5.203512265477527
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13435.415669909555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.310599441310658, b_new = -1.5990241058704475, c_new = 6.1866612156140635
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12501.71866593375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.870768073657504, b_new = -1.3209822610868882, c_new = 5.367551537272842
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4077.716416556094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6787879367526988, b_new = -1.5593786983278393, c_new = 6.299731651183838
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7942.18147133797
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.717824427207368, b_new = -0.6335368801887193, c_new = 5.289056512644773
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12790.544339239957
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8780923258903726, b_new = -0.8053522622064972, c_new = 5.219173330391246
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3368.2352714913336
Acceptance probability: 1.18733119097296e-155
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2817536602888895, b_new = -1.550521064695202, c_new = 5.023030256290329
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12952.346500639092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6533557000985057, b_new = -0.8555036603132227, c_new = 5.0901794304796635
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7036.208793397347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0299456583224944, b_new = -2.0684349207691826, c_new = 5.577679770830783
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3390.3165196166283
Acceptance probability: 3.053568468837113e-165
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0352040553746056, b_new = -1.455844027129397, c_new = 5.881616219696806
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3013.85933335309
Acceptance probability: 0.09507937746653575
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.728854213699599, b_new = -0.5085238048314012, c_new = 4.8139991181753565
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4824.435667880591
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.715183749519625, b_new = -1.683356949344049, c_new = 5.771354048241356
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11437.296994508326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.179860261605523, b_new = -1.3018355505925991, c_new = 4.263572503489504
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14194.91290036251
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.099734561631266, b_new = -0.6984528731974826, c_new = 5.485359326893962
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3872.1035939708345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1372876064971216, b_new = -1.9340751306502888, c_new = 4.742335840293417
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3063.7937548506766
Acceptance probability: 1.9581349366680306e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3329064184923354, b_new = -1.8083828962614983, c_new = 5.011163324238077
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5181.335182055287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.175813932697975, b_new = -1.938396731674218, c_new = 6.104158299407545
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3258.8831712662254
Acceptance probability: 3.677778664831361e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2967187304249235, b_new = -0.6203885146856906, c_new = 5.588938581046167
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -11371.569411294602
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.792553161810857, b_new = -1.984703175716364, c_new = 5.421208416491735
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7080.499015174058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.080552427637966, b_new = -1.6964206749827873, c_new = 5.687287716361444
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3018.390646722737
Acceptance probability: 0.0010236746232107922
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0439380498423936, b_new = -1.4317581243551099, c_new = 6.1131597604264165
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3015.5633741472557
Acceptance probability: 0.01729939103914084
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.122295116151605, b_new = -0.7356119172970027, c_new = 5.748132300336295
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -12758.446383682749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8223622833814406, b_new = -2.1939125120114547, c_new = 4.831346188370825
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7283.191525774885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.47346916805545, b_new = -1.1667726301478525, c_new = 6.065223715498625
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9818.600543493563
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0315437213685104, b_new = -1.0769002762457296, c_new = 5.689622655940243
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3058.7171822865485
Acceptance probability: 3.137401267492839e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.588151411942092, b_new = -1.208200040306197, c_new = 5.478465898186117
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10920.188537787306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5745719779249208, b_new = -1.0674023682769584, c_new = 4.860080918014127
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9127.139712344166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.104211023188654, b_new = -2.1477541368822624, c_new = 6.059117803615065
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14295.832013587158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2393248872780833, b_new = -1.977713634220835, c_new = 5.668932792708879
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3690.386217473455
Acceptance probability: 1.4662016261475376e-295
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.707738263515781, b_new = -0.40669893879529284, c_new = 5.921574664544168
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4691.062807836775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2825587904000173, b_new = -0.988528342215476, c_new = 5.271958795440499
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -6306.040198685372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.962481324523481, b_new = -1.0735380350231818, c_new = 5.658619811339841
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3064.429266437688
Acceptance probability: 1.0371544633566741e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2828719355656566, b_new = -2.275202703787591, c_new = 5.077308667700376
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -13830.025219695606
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3958976095373163, b_new = -2.1554609507110163, c_new = 5.637326861917408
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5758.9407340131565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8558481574453554, b_new = -1.7687626242376715, c_new = 4.981722649541647
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5339.951844808111
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4809251013584186, b_new = -1.1366663300686601, c_new = 6.110255271763828
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -10157.081872526463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7847110742836234, b_new = -1.9230697602302216, c_new = 5.327738814393278
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7113.576506194667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9078973846898366, b_new = -1.4481090592810157, c_new = 5.477842681038701
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14553.31345721028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7218774609473373, b_new = -2.169703861815286, c_new = 5.070861452423682
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -9243.700585867435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2695607137654434, b_new = -2.437665409176543, c_new = 5.8074356482917056
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3488.5317404052657
Acceptance probability: 6.768294308140658e-208
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9708909695576358, b_new = -0.9811286968890129, c_new = 5.359538429044266
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3029.8719150502266
Acceptance probability: 1.0565996376769128e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.34990766594496, b_new = -2.15626222852666, c_new = 5.971588635191578
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -4993.029835658839
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.123939912996168, b_new = -1.380629549591121, c_new = 5.285430162028547
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -14116.461115974409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.257090675391774, b_new = -1.274890091135471, c_new = 5.630108687306142
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -5184.381746119849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3368330694674992, b_new = -1.177204437231238, c_new = 5.6179515261539885
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -7089.288594183899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9500661815511826, b_new = -0.7542334268554239, c_new = 5.497972888897624
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3025.6590495390224
Acceptance probability: 7.13731232948411e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0288915199382336, b = -1.3026425788711045, c = 5.425313879282378
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9859417796493353, b_new = -0.8958877378537993, c_new = 4.965477660781268
Current likelihood: -3011.506290169108
Proposed likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Acceptance probability: 0.5642082844038468
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7509:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.057394603518002, b_new = -0.9112695613969515, c_new = 5.532728324944966
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3256.2617416400317
Acceptance probability: 8.966409134869069e-107
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7510:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.394291813493339, b_new = -0.7708166021171475, c_new = 4.00615293032745
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11148.423059998806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7511:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3958298264292064, b_new = -1.5566251006931417, c_new = 5.75746624561557
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11895.056506435496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7512:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4749874993283876, b_new = -0.5817362526238548, c_new = 5.242797641924171
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10735.238326151177
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7513:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.416338753644696, b_new = -0.9190731286400832, c_new = 3.9842439548242132
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8749.257155529596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7514:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.035954448369953, b_new = -0.35685278161758305, c_new = 4.811531534471528
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3540.888369138049
Acceptance probability: 2.192021586206913e-230
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7515:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8810742391162116, b_new = -1.2052097815116856, c_new = 4.98097608962229
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3852.3061045681197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7516:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.903609038807612, b_new = -1.5811847518588524, c_new = 4.959272278735812
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4176.318713182366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7517:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5359403531039146, b_new = -1.1728508216807734, c_new = 5.219068315319497
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10333.339217092329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7518:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1932956335916933, b_new = -0.07156677557955815, c_new = 4.854764983983494
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6774.7941196977545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7519:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6759218008462144, b_new = -1.0691542575677404, c_new = 5.608268878929245
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6951.899704577754
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7520:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4802969515260265, b_new = -1.4473759265906723, c_new = 4.118070554386921
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8642.31647468801
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7521:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4027245318869728, b_new = -0.5829570294978806, c_new = 5.838312223593889
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10142.79459734662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7522:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6469659490134654, b_new = -1.170185690132282, c_new = 5.212631908438393
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7951.175856643111
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7523:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3233103336336693, b_new = -0.17811772876569476, c_new = 4.9089928787256945
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9293.489193205196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7524:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.117248640242666, b_new = -0.5637169805534694, c_new = 6.161029789268869
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12485.043432521188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7525:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.169215289534997, b_new = -1.3403708319420697, c_new = 5.0799269661542645
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13368.608894831577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7526:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.343699361032119, b_new = -0.22646121015040577, c_new = 4.84123063706339
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9504.548695824813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7527:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9990122960996963, b_new = -0.873914547995994, c_new = 4.328230340129363
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3014.0962811611716
Acceptance probability: 0.13296634937466495
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7528:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4355691957995385, b_new = -1.159240300318542, c_new = 4.456925044784882
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8671.636304515387
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7529:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5468902214410667, b_new = -2.3123040894907407, c_new = 4.81749075034839
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12042.888702626675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7530:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4402929948700987, b_new = -0.5198411190553697, c_new = 5.271838094013347
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9738.72464006586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7531:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2271603214851505, b_new = -0.40648040364669363, c_new = 4.795133526356616
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6538.625826913221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7532:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.594168335765192, b_new = -0.8287626906924614, c_new = 4.6284270358697714
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11350.529006523344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7533:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.219567274585921, b_new = -1.3627880899562341, c_new = 5.673915208769228
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4390.511647728612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7534:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6359647316453776, b_new = -0.6763096282965223, c_new = 5.653469003251775
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14810.58034850431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7535:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7254663134977886, b_new = -0.8828419997662181, c_new = 4.507080014977587
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12302.775437850876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7536:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8992177466864706, b_new = -1.3979933097811466, c_new = 5.4562255826852875
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3829.461344273952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7537:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.730368078775649, b_new = -0.44373096637273896, c_new = 4.333891821848077
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4795.621776676493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7538:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.736832592664858, b_new = -1.4137026052831416, c_new = 5.172143048580438
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6773.465123933335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7539:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2990590604363943, b_new = -1.5036178881563913, c_new = 5.223641732779574
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5309.802032407333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7540:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.935060706207132, b_new = -0.40312875525255143, c_new = 4.303863465366088
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14012.661366683184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7541:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7360623787124734, b_new = -0.7849867275416803, c_new = 5.08539059342556
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5218.951234538154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7542:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0936772311178977, b_new = -1.4792990180239596, c_new = 5.124839893817411
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3069.160994709308
Acceptance probability: 1.6197220844534365e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7543:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.285789521728842, b_new = -1.757619507008684, c_new = 4.568727729518827
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13321.73629407727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7544:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5745566120159356, b_new = -0.8790229699971124, c_new = 5.181182987739191
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11247.40397141704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7545:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7176117660948886, b_new = -0.11876517485953142, c_new = 5.522694816336401
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4134.6516269183685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7546:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6547049064852244, b_new = -1.2946418074978023, c_new = 5.263530179951633
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8109.087654035647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7547:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8636272450156257, b_new = -0.911256202744127, c_new = 5.219391492907705
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3604.798677499528
Acceptance probability: 3.8454801018909345e-258
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7548:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.466810893099564, b_new = -0.6520975630090611, c_new = 4.902143276489642
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9774.500134162328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7549:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9968087940459083, b_new = -1.5776043556398507, c_new = 5.379265990392267
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3207.6428164406734
Acceptance probability: 1.1682868324654028e-85
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7550:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.978618376782769, b_new = -0.7984827431177818, c_new = 5.486748725324992
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3024.8162055877992
Acceptance probability: 2.9385813660527825e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7551:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.418052613188854, b_new = -0.15272926101154727, c_new = 5.262686387184711
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9316.786661343915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7552:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1353154603707734, b_new = -1.6020944170566234, c_new = 5.503914690006958
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13734.780951999102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7553:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4491658529525453, b_new = 0.2673583568359621, c_new = 4.2907278516426794
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11672.623159423445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7554:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8592537788133805, b_new = -1.52941603345498, c_new = 5.072215506553499
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14884.338295003372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7555:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.810839139000312, b_new = -1.5715492137354503, c_new = 5.212871861522578
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5641.7199928970485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7556:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0315991255691217, b_new = -1.5808221181884607, c_new = 5.048464959038274
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3086.750388124128
Acceptance probability: 3.719323923795527e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7557:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.953403426838026, b_new = -0.8590133340929829, c_new = 4.7355068098760755
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3056.3857443358975
Acceptance probability: 5.723494183695006e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7558:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.033153405016803, b_new = -1.1296023182126118, c_new = 4.93306102915276
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13872.118817921297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7559:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.843019766916733, b_new = -0.7831692894074225, c_new = 4.782980595586585
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13253.46906613464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7560:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.21816102999408, b_new = -1.3493265155420104, c_new = 4.0602921317192715
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4046.164116887103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7561:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.884521818268554, b_new = -1.3872331948739636, c_new = 4.571075018451548
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4193.498291114147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7562:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.43394324910859, b_new = -1.233910930006036, c_new = 5.5857461688637455
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11043.593422676317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7563:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4111445048226785, b_new = 0.007739617722707148, c_new = 4.58167630127931
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9301.579555663773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7564:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0488956141970363, b_new = -0.9403383295138583, c_new = 6.02818213015415
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3239.861010760218
Acceptance probability: 1.1895028091375837e-99
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7565:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4075399279532066, b_new = -1.4681667352089183, c_new = 4.806589556933936
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7477.856289534639
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7566:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7113433505927107, b_new = -0.5656226385461185, c_new = 5.328888950381197
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5105.519643850081
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7567:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2517660447359162, b_new = -1.1893497038742225, c_new = 4.435375775052598
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4931.473365423166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7568:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950088177094164, b_new = -0.49793037144557734, c_new = 4.5402232668796225
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3018.8037377936016
Acceptance probability: 0.001200381534357806
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7569:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5127416742952624, b_new = 0.3493102884726227, c_new = 4.542611218315807
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6941.144304821213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7570:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8939765828486665, b_new = -1.1967731375485022, c_new = 5.481231366685559
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3612.34407454932
Acceptance probability: 2.032479930917494e-261
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7571:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7511724665948263, b_new = 0.43137442321590336, c_new = 4.83388750674888
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14146.229972349665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7572:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9477749731846252, b_new = -1.1701879769875694, c_new = 3.821551123734225
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3377.544918597668
Acceptance probability: 1.9054784931831628e-159
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7573:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.802380487605222, b_new = -1.004482885926968, c_new = 4.316645478471964
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4769.797327447386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7574:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3635565184086724, b_new = -1.1840632557927802, c_new = 4.049283707378194
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7055.194458949219
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7575:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5095336079148582, b_new = -0.36606708923014675, c_new = 4.159687693330145
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11151.139346638553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7576:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.118313479967574, b_new = -0.7876145284801448, c_new = 3.685514939854146
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13377.525602143489
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7577:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1793249568528634, b_new = -1.0219867055521945, c_new = 3.965968607869211
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4039.964236061714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7578:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7062327742469714, b_new = -0.5634824970869348, c_new = 4.370494390196161
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5480.837981848008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7579:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5989987781964623, b_new = -1.0247945551340578, c_new = 4.808537411413992
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8627.62371344648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7580:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.788894631664037, b_new = -0.6066524132470495, c_new = 5.1556672807446855
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4037.582424097825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7581:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.524143862315674, b_new = -0.32224980679333737, c_new = 4.829819201282139
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8228.296901440935
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7582:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.852029587385737, b_new = -0.18495187044582984, c_new = 5.318779712818927
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14099.407449809114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7583:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3764684144225683, b_new = -0.8371486011814959, c_new = 4.829797449511958
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11186.723089146566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7584:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5116899797747783, b_new = -1.1583614858289684, c_new = 5.050104268281596
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10157.998029907503
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7585:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1618588597041075, b_new = -0.8233322232715815, c_new = 5.453167786637441
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4487.712892337095
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7586:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6510789891921602, b_new = -0.5510850230868676, c_new = 4.613346375357637
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6458.460643308448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7587:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.210102319235977, b_new = -1.7098332115932422, c_new = 4.33832060273361
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13769.524105790933
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7588:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2897738489805133, b_new = -0.5880279157990924, c_new = 4.885960416130734
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7444.4700581817215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7589:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4124313804338477, b_new = -0.9468804737799007, c_new = 4.533288241122166
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11098.014533705184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7590:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5252291808173022, b_new = -0.9557460274657846, c_new = 4.3437788502569825
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15609.293898753296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7591:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6308404330692676, b_new = -1.2543687407240993, c_new = 4.694078750670252
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11035.510851407016
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7592:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8312192270549046, b_new = -1.1478781034571965, c_new = 4.812202444211589
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12749.062681618558
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7593:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.389107295360533, b_new = -0.7862324100258427, c_new = 4.984376252391174
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8959.360431672803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7594:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9861347561426337, b_new = -0.4488607068255209, c_new = 4.521035577873311
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14244.150822016254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7595:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.958651266726545, b_new = -0.734094961541865, c_new = 5.391182969245044
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3020.077840934833
Acceptance probability: 0.0003357247370742471
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7596:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.681858281161467, b_new = -0.7555697785878024, c_new = 5.508694110257896
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14754.027018545103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7597:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.020393023174597, b_new = -0.6630623370491807, c_new = 5.91490416739395
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3277.4655653110135
Acceptance probability: 5.545170908800469e-116
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7598:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7189506659517932, b_new = 0.5491625724047258, c_new = 3.623337339350709
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3550.0802643706857
Acceptance probability: 2.2328289213303618e-234
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7599:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.832408264107738, b_new = -0.5747406283931771, c_new = 4.611915141198312
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3601.025609347824
Acceptance probability: 1.6732978252322053e-256
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7600:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.025782511763091, b_new = -0.8521259756012002, c_new = 5.25303631844743
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3108.9893990188466
Acceptance probability: 8.169289544841864e-43
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7601:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9693903887020197, b_new = -0.5371203901833048, c_new = 4.764577971644115
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3040.585488154106
Acceptance probability: 4.1650989006637293e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7602:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5580196521639467, b_new = -0.8085164073209192, c_new = 4.822769284569971
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8803.668414386031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7603:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6760835359525195, b_new = -0.922451699683979, c_new = 6.1020003408730865
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6395.3862705911215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7604:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2652885185019684, b_new = -0.9142731178940114, c_new = 5.3967067013426195
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6183.598453384157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7605:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.813655344919051, b_new = -0.4370478983440113, c_new = 5.3934516381808475
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3514.403158281048
Acceptance probability: 6.969887268502764e-219
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7606:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889759751171677, b_new = -1.7616308513815349, c_new = 5.920642457961108
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4462.573833420232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7607:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2351903259071464, b_new = -0.3111833003804728, c_new = 4.4649256112062
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6861.107475565288
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7608:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.665341821806738, b_new = -0.6968406977273731, c_new = 4.464726434666762
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12102.439264349134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7609:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.285449162414606, b_new = -0.8257747721115921, c_new = 5.904818032279124
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7078.436024045643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7610:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1484513261793357, b_new = -1.1102075016096031, c_new = 5.341461811554535
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13149.799173941661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7611:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.92916318351508, b_new = -0.907642584200158, c_new = 5.7803963634287445
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3105.355785085669
Acceptance probability: 3.092023383459824e-41
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7612:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.58216874531413, b_new = -0.8537818115965862, c_new = 5.779874767151326
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11545.452061976315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7613:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2511134555480767, b_new = -1.618892518337435, c_new = 5.017459253586774
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13236.51338543251
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7614:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2218480851042606, b_new = -0.2711470405136348, c_new = 5.398728191475903
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7063.707922308227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7615:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.864076232893775, b_new = -1.3491959706788863, c_new = 5.19869197042349
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12806.955300283971
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7616:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5862651601136237, b_new = -1.1784908197872137, c_new = 4.977732455547034
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10800.395754613968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7617:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1967793196842775, b_new = -1.2736040793400174, c_new = 5.167873621869505
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4109.1527842962405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7618:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5881585915980834, b_new = -1.7457156604072601, c_new = 5.831686999899671
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10079.884731597425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7619:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.099175613022348, b_new = -1.1030866869891855, c_new = 4.419493058928233
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3252.1396803368307
Acceptance probability: 5.531042935711695e-105
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7620:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.639311280378158, b_new = -1.5400930096581789, c_new = 4.362295984438214
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9383.9481354013
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7621:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0897468487287165, b_new = -0.6747793985726998, c_new = 5.295304289473539
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12993.46049392402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7622:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4391597393658886, b_new = -0.30916926111776055, c_new = 4.458106122857877
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9597.395913890292
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7623:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8066940995660015, b_new = 0.10638564471674772, c_new = 4.80309086582
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3195.2127730115576
Acceptance probability: 2.923134192207051e-80
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7624:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.251408564107914, b_new = -1.507265981623505, c_new = 5.0239555554543625
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4443.123182833286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7625:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2710210400925894, b_new = -0.22682609300219525, c_new = 4.620407379006402
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11266.796447996647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7626:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9860586858283775, b_new = -0.3284743715186065, c_new = 5.7565585866976
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3328.046491093444
Acceptance probability: 5.982710378980324e-138
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7627:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2382173802986416, b_new = -0.9928731170156131, c_new = 6.128713103516789
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12223.642584887577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7628:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3384843690286434, b_new = -0.8951771736547927, c_new = 4.693644570034112
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7552.374420459645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7629:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.170476558401994, b_new = -1.4760733178209795, c_new = 4.871376851003969
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3496.7420592366507
Acceptance probability: 3.2609460454517916e-211
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7630:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.808066223994832, b_new = -1.109607324536092, c_new = 5.071523301098076
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4681.218217437385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7631:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6594889077925696, b_new = -1.051436003366104, c_new = 4.9303088239365485
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7492.430821015254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7632:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.287836560449923, b_new = -1.0641145027605703, c_new = 5.374027088006112
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6251.035861746746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7633:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.24019313087808, b_new = -0.3015261729545623, c_new = 5.296964135375298
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15427.99083839731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7634:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2787256813794556, b_new = -1.1635000348878815, c_new = 4.787632211699598
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12524.56187538772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7635:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5062444070369, b_new = -1.7581358871089283, c_new = 5.132886476061951
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11357.136375888469
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7636:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.021624302774844, b_new = -0.9999059093209969, c_new = 5.216097167654725
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14023.746427526654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7637:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.808690295518786, b_new = -1.0530010135168693, c_new = 5.103279496939381
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4550.381238400807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7638:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.180551118694227, b_new = -1.4196640207519269, c_new = 4.229178302711049
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3566.4736685232324
Acceptance probability: 1.695471468241906e-241
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7639:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.133948488757865, b_new = -1.205976107855015, c_new = 5.298172084207297
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3525.044776465822
Acceptance probability: 1.6658262357383494e-223
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7640:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.41761618834326, b_new = -1.5375630769891835, c_new = 5.18668460693096
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11843.357531624817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7641:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.812272094970119, b_new = -1.2560862227209395, c_new = 5.083467000574759
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4915.010291824865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7642:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4744923529795217, b_new = -1.4937747825842744, c_new = 4.290794757127409
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11501.404588177284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7643:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5186499437344554, b_new = -1.1838806232979895, c_new = 5.162773389035876
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10084.379857371077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7644:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.009682122645985, b_new = -1.251452330675341, c_new = 4.655030345207018
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3047.0436144478613
Acceptance probability: 6.529752275650344e-16
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7645:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3105662250071135, b_new = -0.6478687591022116, c_new = 5.167455712749209
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7841.774352562534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7646:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.829586032504082, b_new = -1.143920712114171, c_new = 5.7999464859457115
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13002.674230823577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7647:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3796739691897444, b_new = -1.3101578258245468, c_new = 4.4724437991861405
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7204.579329158897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7648:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.697779452093508, b_new = -0.6774415988635725, c_new = 5.208931521483843
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5649.0963419947975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7649:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.746615966759642, b_new = -1.473781169197946, c_new = 5.248421902593869
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11853.325506869553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7650:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.795527566113877, b_new = -1.1110707207404118, c_new = 5.035150232245241
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4903.109671515582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7651:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1681259758950255, b_new = -1.034903669308425, c_new = 4.857377281829345
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4056.139224922297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7652:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3568860623002936, b_new = -0.6539962870498162, c_new = 4.332928698164028
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8449.520515702892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7653:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9709779957617632, b_new = -1.7484499819270158, c_new = 5.272857337599372
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12992.494636929036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7654:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.123739030198238, b_new = -0.745210792796046, c_new = 4.850163302553418
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3953.5912331443906
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7655:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.111034582420044, b_new = -0.5173185728977356, c_new = 5.338410720175818
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4285.058858696792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7656:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.802620971854982, b_new = -0.09667365666853078, c_new = 4.9632229595928266
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13861.116086547272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7657:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3934604567520803, b_new = -1.7079306340838687, c_new = 5.6870461043219755
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12167.878018736155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7658:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4442952710931336, b_new = -1.5164758156006202, c_new = 4.257883001923082
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11856.227200521807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7659:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.66517353118659, b_new = -0.6225495397641759, c_new = 5.695142346250635
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5996.566043024077
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7660:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3621019634633447, b_new = -0.7396594106251353, c_new = 4.689824030019056
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8461.465124778753
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7661:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3408599156287284, b_new = -1.7105054337603467, c_new = 5.680043068031485
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12576.41586868318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7662:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4798645534813413, b_new = -0.6873145713974258, c_new = 4.6094782336596625
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10384.87370772206
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7663:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3924591545221596, b_new = -0.9869373392742992, c_new = 5.108791692505344
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8557.122757467445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7664:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1659234452958955, b_new = -0.6146490253394635, c_new = 5.643215312179421
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12357.56840395026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7665:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.071880336754207, b_new = -0.9522254399358836, c_new = 4.759307714957377
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14182.480929700283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7666:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.438674738939206, b_new = -0.9223967646566491, c_new = 5.183981609706139
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9528.35471379846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7667:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.899249787824254, b_new = -1.369970565522418, c_new = 4.838620915098092
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3914.1338727785114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7668:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.873854558742676, b_new = -1.6101291760181695, c_new = 5.320876598718846
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4572.268569437234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7669:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.755642209789347, b_new = -0.6698471725989389, c_new = 5.251877551065334
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12982.385454583578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7670:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.167236148966779, b_new = -1.6270117764731915, c_new = 5.339704366930854
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13639.74093949792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7671:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8758932600990494, b_new = -0.9621081028757106, c_new = 4.684808036543965
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3633.208155767202
Acceptance probability: 1.765513013516593e-270
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7672:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.969777246987072, b_new = -1.4798234143980404, c_new = 4.738586023117545
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3381.2569845124935
Acceptance probability: 4.654513647717345e-161
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7673:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7649350481689514, b_new = -0.5722503694880666, c_new = 5.344380889716637
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4263.674522934875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7674:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7707975597739685, b_new = -0.7482975982566417, c_new = 5.387657430806098
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4481.83687586761
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7675:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.994060803216818, b_new = -0.16803137645270527, c_new = 5.783407209990178
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3565.014231399507
Acceptance probability: 7.296523327750609e-241
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7676:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.282693661795607, b_new = -1.3473980706507998, c_new = 5.185102443059967
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12633.70067406023
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7677:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.396680733410301, b_new = -1.2455559763662907, c_new = 4.20606605448618
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7629.204057758336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7678:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.919191149965803, b_new = -0.6845110443990141, c_new = 4.698985109116267
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3100.0886557122285
Acceptance probability: 5.99415531747643e-39
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7679:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5095986350237474, b_new = -1.157186486106043, c_new = 5.172967825241105
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10141.102090623468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7680:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2713949558956683, b_new = -0.4321456138699704, c_new = 5.461057743899055
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7732.953778463992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7681:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.190785855920513, b_new = -1.2660069172818975, c_new = 3.9869391075534204
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13449.197106054773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7682:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.295872208074648, b_new = -1.9447790557773827, c_new = 4.527748209583562
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13508.369364250997
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7683:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.790593316007768, b_new = -0.9276953810843764, c_new = 4.67402107392201
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4703.662969728483
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7684:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5629500802214142, b_new = -0.8181628595840282, c_new = 5.06331349726255
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8657.467388306643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7685:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7129722666670912, b_new = -0.7158148999312806, c_new = 5.20669453281803
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5451.164676930326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7686:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.447775595247425, b_new = -1.5816674028751105, c_new = 4.699189930177043
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7939.4301728544815
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7687:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.669162796109563, b_new = -1.2883104225119826, c_new = 5.664551695223126
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7652.192320401726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7688:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.90907578446171, b_new = 0.2222322195905435, c_new = 4.328049146695923
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3157.2924629949794
Acceptance probability: 8.59864749456127e-64
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7689:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.286629023017467, b_new = -0.5052244006685052, c_new = 4.627074265871138
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7508.911579191181
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7690:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.218082505106307, b_new = -0.6269849839098957, c_new = 4.868162647377326
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12210.78278473909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7691:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.466713737606905, b_new = -0.858081850873905, c_new = 4.669532430570766
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9895.021922247048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7692:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7622013895103144, b_new = -0.9289315587297092, c_new = 4.960471729892969
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5108.596679297274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7693:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6599024467416643, b_new = -1.2297180405156967, c_new = 4.928643862998448
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7963.959672044749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7694:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.511976667543163, b_new = -0.8154001702579958, c_new = 5.173226500085973
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10701.114549487955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7695:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.705962680144201, b_new = -0.7955775826373737, c_new = 4.022181121913727
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15023.129392157254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7696:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.09218645024641, b_new = -0.705744647786338, c_new = 5.530517575348719
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3785.115231216505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7697:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0469394601443915, b_new = -0.8272860273813534, c_new = 5.145832193675584
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3216.2957896938233
Acceptance probability: 2.039909713573478e-89
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7698:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6267231075820483, b_new = -1.427370811793513, c_new = 5.090870910863668
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10828.256686916213
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7699:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4191633599774773, b_new = -0.6699543926130052, c_new = 4.475560923066834
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9545.76729431277
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7700:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.513525486274449, b_new = -1.3690955717660245, c_new = 5.273185724280829
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10479.950688357832
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7701:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7469960442444474, b_new = -0.9692291277826501, c_new = 5.469275542609634
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5324.230714024001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7702:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3763263718194194, b_new = -0.3367204540602632, c_new = 5.013644482728545
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9839.059393042706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7703:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9183237907301596, b_new = -0.10100274970788525, c_new = 4.196287018411637
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3041.7795105103396
Acceptance probability: 1.2620251148596926e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7704:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9596816339641143, b_new = -0.6747289307754833, c_new = 5.661644557184439
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13586.34394065715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7705:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8460885256092237, b_new = -0.9003617377124811, c_new = 4.863708755512746
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3838.3168468087742
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7706:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5032787681448974, b_new = -0.2610837615544852, c_new = 5.880756280546271
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11817.111459867287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7707:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4869565218794225, b_new = -0.71263095144974, c_new = 4.759838867370657
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10470.569576756609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7708:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7273834018806307, b_new = -0.7432070293362095, c_new = 4.551039678045264
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12511.368516768141
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7709:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7368390836031438, b_new = -1.5492541715962689, c_new = 4.863995190835379
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11566.935159224879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7710:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5154803111029786, b_new = -1.6393534794227227, c_new = 5.096187244506462
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11042.747346823271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7711:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.10940648218453, b_new = -0.5888392160088953, c_new = 4.948420810579829
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4044.677208024941
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7712:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.833654624540201, b_new = -0.7584777659620607, c_new = 5.103556894168053
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3738.6313955027576
Acceptance probability: 2.89827534e-316
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7713:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.923604788819563, b_new = -1.4722998785508161, c_new = 4.76954895077521
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14675.59543670897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7714:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.569705573444674, b_new = -0.8367122309889392, c_new = 4.328159743131073
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11014.652664268826
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7715:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1475728315206046, b_new = -1.3058811912604336, c_new = 4.402193310820322
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13625.590096652317
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7716:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.036078825444274, b_new = -1.0130322306307369, c_new = 4.636279369907382
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3045.073117150656
Acceptance probability: 4.684603172673737e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7717:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.229372084825763, b_new = -0.5906598239824988, c_new = 5.109601144836128
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6189.650304559676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7718:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.925362913935367, b_new = -1.0773608141796598, c_new = 5.471111606915102
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3245.6762963010583
Acceptance probability: 3.546655868028921e-102
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7719:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.811569474464689, b_new = -1.8082656913300834, c_new = 4.468943007794222
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11692.204581265452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7720:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.971298904326104, b_new = -0.7473975848072034, c_new = 5.587484759245566
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3029.334295848221
Acceptance probability: 3.2059448820302804e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7721:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7625503919174834, b_new = -0.2564847118564323, c_new = 5.300426098139114
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13551.72064046972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7722:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.028637460931529, b_new = -0.5273574115013114, c_new = 4.346043600220248
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3252.544342648028
Acceptance probability: 3.690323348468895e-105
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7723:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.78652645553243, b_new = -0.9189185418614985, c_new = 6.077906518124573
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4399.3286658049665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7724:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1736470285423843, b_new = -1.0013056729205982, c_new = 5.302119383692352
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4289.927281567598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7725:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.65306066897031, b_new = -0.7742888134065947, c_new = 5.048658576456868
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6843.958683800322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7726:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2925309117902413, b_new = -1.6317643407089588, c_new = 5.3470847767392895
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4942.631025034678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7727:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.969272801856688, b_new = -0.2712481774282295, c_new = 5.286766317992755
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3213.858653542935
Acceptance probability: 2.333703770842435e-88
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7728:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4810283036125136, b_new = -0.7003575173607719, c_new = 5.216888435601253
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9580.839356600034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7729:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0039389676259276, b_new = -0.852454837272749, c_new = 5.238707389934065
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3042.3824541241675
Acceptance probability: 6.905782774903929e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7730:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.747903102974838, b_new = -1.3150064992722772, c_new = 4.699262645566527
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11936.47968079576
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7731:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0227419148967014, b_new = -0.4213081642857002, c_new = 5.01606375677862
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13152.467925665407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7732:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2196380650144443, b_new = -0.9760012053355916, c_new = 4.625304517732985
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12727.284040295419
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7733:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6838318292140266, b_new = -0.9096049106545295, c_new = 4.6600669577652205
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15046.110039981062
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7734:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1580395695848247, b_new = -1.0643465062559674, c_new = 4.976273823195442
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3908.965594406757
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7735:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094124075201241, b_new = -1.0474670289773562, c_new = 5.624796874819189
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3403.8471881490796
Acceptance probability: 7.195707869857941e-171
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7736:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.784156083388436, b_new = -0.42386198923930357, c_new = 5.316862071338254
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3802.4943892687897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7737:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7948003273538613, b_new = -1.483461524005858, c_new = 5.711018012189016
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5566.911372215244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7738:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9435518465698003, b_new = -0.3612135025894677, c_new = 5.484637063151833
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3082.712686545963
Acceptance probability: 2.1087034986781047e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7739:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1380058337212264, b_new = -0.49261493348245944, c_new = 6.512303527803207
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5127.096680260354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7740:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7839617327855337, b_new = -1.7953196064927155, c_new = 4.623525812931887
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7053.739333374702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7741:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4658660987233274, b_new = -1.2709767081930976, c_new = 4.284851628856024
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8861.231589708654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7742:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231695427310164, b_new = -1.4306740729998104, c_new = 4.935746188949561
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4272.100774957179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7743:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.480518981252075, b_new = -0.7402804732870744, c_new = 4.237722528080315
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9994.080077046156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7744:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5089339574739187, b_new = -0.7062558126952998, c_new = 4.421716636956159
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10628.23379082942
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7745:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.242706692022418, b_new = -0.8109555198453315, c_new = 4.637358002235518
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5710.653606864451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7746:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4180442017137844, b_new = -0.5412130406626401, c_new = 4.777031243956969
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10209.402372073786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7747:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.978977953866832, b_new = -0.8845351952950639, c_new = 5.489810939989673
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3016.3753226333893
Acceptance probability: 0.013613400136060114
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7748:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4083522220727933, b_new = -1.31868069482977, c_new = 4.688327783728298
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11727.226018377969
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7749:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.939937109456782, b_new = -1.167921674693922, c_new = 4.943315055418664
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3280.914174227715
Acceptance probability: 1.762800290474496e-117
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7750:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6769499664081726, b_new = -1.3850452016550876, c_new = 4.637204362519025
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11239.340789727717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7751:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1174633373685463, b_new = -0.7428618753671001, c_new = 4.922502253978291
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3896.3968729056305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7752:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1825498954883082, b_new = -1.7426396603092695, c_new = 5.64869588078455
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3425.2829382467403
Acceptance probability: 3.5289502897004075e-180
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7753:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9567037732590915, b_new = -1.6992878110352212, c_new = 5.334055125730986
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12981.624594318528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7754:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3949057303847012, b_new = -1.6669528124650705, c_new = 5.274278427592253
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6859.972422609065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7755:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6303210773196164, b_new = -1.1691183004318457, c_new = 4.455631007407773
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8560.264373692824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7756:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.730317042113269, b_new = -1.3064537887828052, c_new = 5.220510127139475
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11953.602442409989
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7757:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2865257716956817, b_new = -0.7231631754540325, c_new = 4.974965426486131
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7021.439176577524
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7758:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.588019826576685, b_new = -0.26729537680774007, c_new = 6.072943834034546
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12595.350243939829
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7759:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2732071126477287, b_new = -0.5636224455813872, c_new = 5.082419902138873
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7228.591665265042
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7760:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.147648116194757, b_new = -1.5811624742747405, c_new = 5.211572814510788
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3267.4696680300744
Acceptance probability: 1.2164043566919033e-111
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7761:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.411131621023147, b_new = -0.33106222624746573, c_new = 5.662776360312219
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15917.78400637184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7762:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.542946935234134, b_new = -0.008872852455282354, c_new = 5.197754507562421
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7024.293209006455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7763:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.987853227503155, b_new = -1.5836465206449208, c_new = 5.358735397871663
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3267.6836056405105
Acceptance probability: 9.821233652469116e-112
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7764:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.640119489844738, b_new = -0.5412695635427988, c_new = 5.370412232092759
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12386.215977724429
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7765:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5243541855342144, b_new = -0.606733456526836, c_new = 5.569454242647746
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8631.321310885452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7766:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.064816154280645, b_new = -1.4599048230009493, c_new = 4.668422143415617
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3024.7151630899334
Acceptance probability: 3.251022083749994e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7767:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.979619014759576, b_new = -1.6697068862785454, c_new = 4.452517702007474
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14717.902366850152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7768:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.506251086174572, b_new = -1.2947852278510599, c_new = 5.603250116779647
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10313.612801870813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7769:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2410332939642057, b_new = -1.027049866940101, c_new = 5.08013636145198
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5291.834085989011
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7770:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7209781802845643, b_new = -1.1079427739245096, c_new = 4.613937046323222
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11994.583487363956
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7771:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1805079751997516, b_new = -1.34723739646218, c_new = 3.809576543782165
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3593.543802451566
Acceptance probability: 2.9708498067475214e-253
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7772:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5140862908408215, b_new = -1.7656172584346956, c_new = 5.034021656014406
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11318.383723561134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7773:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.583026869562502, b_new = 0.00574429700816792, c_new = 4.83951613549276
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6338.3487758685515
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7774:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.500149450372137, b_new = -0.7401758414788217, c_new = 4.719748108075439
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10560.477654476903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7775:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.874544304910185, b_new = -0.8835563988603531, c_new = 4.768960701821404
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3538.538648008127
Acceptance probability: 2.297818635808152e-229
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7776:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0830901870706646, b_new = -1.2536659108277628, c_new = 5.4262623028845
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13642.012641949283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7777:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4564481300097096, b_new = -0.663879397895266, c_new = 5.851263212464408
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10560.281361222455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7778:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7825154028988317, b_new = -1.020327048844046, c_new = 4.215742713179701
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12441.448048368211
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7779:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6127277209044717, b_new = -0.9760535285714158, c_new = 5.068225259156741
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8157.338641583407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7780:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.707546212066047, b_new = -1.0479798382728536, c_new = 5.316146424361022
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6349.6000221305085
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7781:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.539677604799693, b_new = -0.8960634464353247, c_new = 5.167444014283686
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9175.19956654925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7782:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.656589844958449, b_new = -1.2546849278163414, c_new = 5.034328240148191
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11367.581746412507
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7783:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2379244448074527, b_new = -1.4237216479206418, c_new = 4.292745318727918
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13274.622657310734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7784:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.218026727686378, b_new = -0.1530328307594263, c_new = 5.433191060014679
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11398.31255775985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7785:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2360586777529585, b_new = -0.909250579468661, c_new = 5.019441018094947
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5460.370916282153
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7786:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831111390535377, b_new = -0.6893617701762581, c_new = 5.0753315984708705
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3681.110517391414
Acceptance probability: 2.7742117034981106e-291
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7787:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.302998728258299, b_new = -1.4545747895723504, c_new = 4.667317722592496
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5331.42551990733
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7788:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7571204857851974, b_new = -1.6337351038197294, c_new = 5.260341571729164
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6917.055732392875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7789:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.711592971999358, b_new = -1.4456518357970687, c_new = 4.520946061065067
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11417.034298923845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7790:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.355043613410932, b_new = -0.7581118007288882, c_new = 5.603945404166343
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11036.829915501507
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7791:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.383139290659136, b_new = -1.7566302192734442, c_new = 5.767148227884257
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12299.483529948617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7792:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5325166284989145, b_new = -1.2179388757492364, c_new = 5.831431948291364
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9741.075112256454
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7793:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4241834539111333, b_new = -0.5426955042443946, c_new = 5.159104677039626
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10018.107633193053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7794:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4830418441522024, b_new = -1.3956088942043738, c_new = 4.623752434541835
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8968.032598658056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7795:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.082456617247426, b_new = -0.9540532583057313, c_new = 5.114690209582978
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3337.722835416303
Acceptance probability: 3.754179508802331e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7796:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8556680149139932, b_new = -0.853927565026426, c_new = 4.47939547678972
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3738.973296298057
Acceptance probability: 2.05898894e-316
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7797:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0195152713705014, b_new = -0.99597618547698, c_new = 4.249657750996714
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3018.5107433205812
Acceptance probability: 0.0016090338803751863
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7798:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.397610121487761, b_new = -1.41921460512634, c_new = 5.921441038490992
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7822.946292365108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7799:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7701185833127706, b_new = -0.7685631033940572, c_new = 4.6128114285038775
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4729.835733824257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7800:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0295642383826986, b_new = -0.7005687018915641, c_new = 4.943540723772425
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3190.671854883149
Acceptance probability: 2.7412234533542953e-78
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7801:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5864828089871907, b_new = -1.0346871633155794, c_new = 4.919999618228311
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11027.41161604385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7802:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6422587714723265, b_new = 0.15630529249230207, c_new = 5.384679278681952
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4784.890960052318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7803:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.839513497986772, b_new = -0.7414358672715207, c_new = 3.4377762651023724
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12947.93296824822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7804:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.672452346868179, b_new = -1.1586693206933973, c_new = 4.557745671624042
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11517.840250056153
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7805:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6429916186408313, b_new = -1.56260232131382, c_new = 5.388007857440967
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8972.252055798135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7806:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.628411953545286, b_new = -0.10253948644452193, c_new = 4.910883872138077
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5704.452176706962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7807:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.358066421150308, b_new = -1.460651964112421, c_new = 5.013837671405586
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6546.450481953214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7808:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.228433094634527, b_new = -1.9335893802993736, c_new = 5.198876829950885
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13697.16126599152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7809:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1959708873967143, b_new = -1.5480923938252702, c_new = 5.266731266853615
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3715.934168432865
Acceptance probability: 2.086508280168744e-306
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7810:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.232677302329351, b_new = -0.5693788429659591, c_new = 5.5679431836599065
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11836.143185947582
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7811:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5574248107312547, b_new = -0.8308397319701359, c_new = 6.085045566746534
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11443.728854480574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7812:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9034356563102763, b_new = -1.0038880142657143, c_new = 5.142290384051673
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3369.878258811743
Acceptance probability: 4.069978274607495e-156
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7813:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.959704766480182, b_new = -0.9064450231309404, c_new = 5.003280989571244
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13783.276502211407
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7814:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.704769444913036, b_new = -1.1300521778731045, c_new = 5.443579591496948
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6577.69708056126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7815:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.454061050229721, b_new = -0.7296547663635298, c_new = 4.124505426333927
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10346.906817911735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7816:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3834027798809663, b_new = -0.9330196892563148, c_new = 4.770917478108947
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11297.984666460989
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7817:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.197112422792449, b_new = -1.2417422994988216, c_new = 4.755464847688165
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14419.153764014645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7818:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.207415477404473, b_new = -0.7394868955471956, c_new = 5.469361049278794
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5473.202699905734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7819:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4125999366147397, b_new = -0.9543461913836878, c_new = 3.951584480474723
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11299.396088348114
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7820:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.157340420155237, b_new = -0.5886411924852379, c_new = 5.570495313029577
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12400.220202806478
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7821:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4373544210162184, b_new = -1.001926717120563, c_new = 4.449177982694072
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10952.836776357031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7822:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.093259554423028, b_new = 0.246869151539306, c_new = 5.3001219713916985
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5676.776741915233
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7823:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2814738048442336, b_new = -0.7973184743541363, c_new = 5.484166308460684
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6901.153228257648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7824:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2514966867644617, b_new = -0.7851587138845526, c_new = 5.063973623010341
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6115.458055936318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7825:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.236588355607772, b_new = 0.3363807790391078, c_new = 4.6314073602618615
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8884.571227213457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7826:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.016804026082924, b_new = -0.7607218560265643, c_new = 4.75121180170413
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3085.9109284474534
Acceptance probability: 8.610665312552529e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7827:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8923200821417616, b_new = -0.4843178484847681, c_new = 4.915948341571749
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3102.316528825311
Acceptance probability: 6.459144383376629e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7828:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4127398236014996, b_new = -1.0831780982481056, c_new = 5.916830428985892
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10902.728210375351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7829:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7405029890964756, b_new = -1.0871688041927394, c_new = 4.980784441593007
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5897.713695846764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7830:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1213218020806215, b_new = -0.5275541029441815, c_new = 4.35206447879275
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4168.684187567605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7831:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.532964666979564, b_new = -0.5149132048916438, c_new = 5.041438995539716
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8456.900321389207
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7832:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.046370248310889, b_new = -1.3543917295874102, c_new = 4.046013150719542
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3042.159836825642
Acceptance probability: 8.627686929430195e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7833:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1890234692924273, b_new = -0.46996783051937563, c_new = 5.505450010779133
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5809.717420365621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7834:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6510132398454407, b_new = -1.2364287723443377, c_new = 4.544230753203791
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11208.588497970726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7835:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3280398348607934, b_new = -1.1555332476526063, c_new = 5.474911892080134
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6904.8841331599615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7836:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0309090399741176, b_new = -1.4903220190992106, c_new = 4.779364633653791
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3069.78021269073
Acceptance probability: 8.72002141087046e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7837:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.045380226315267, b_new = -0.1407546850108068, c_new = 4.912889519961487
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3960.4968419062293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7838:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8306277224070637, b_new = -0.49570749078265186, c_new = 4.946830504854205
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13558.538261774804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7839:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9125652131030875, b_new = -0.9716428482652837, c_new = 4.26464509699995
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13298.813600395968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7840:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.084179598528815, b_new = -0.5845854731285794, c_new = 4.095128524197573
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14424.428893953238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7841:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8980996396230374, b_new = -1.5547314045229585, c_new = 4.636865559443157
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4287.39915454376
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7842:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8526502621878933, b_new = -0.4987540792025755, c_new = 5.244551208687481
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3288.126067221893
Acceptance probability: 1.3005222357013547e-120
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7843:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4720591325376864, b_new = -0.9421431414043445, c_new = 4.924333372669252
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9879.584111567205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7844:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5751081624942005, b_new = -1.3882997413835976, c_new = 4.708084436712739
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10237.534429344596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7845:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0427613507164417, b_new = -1.4473173992042647, c_new = 4.492773401373245
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3046.4071815260922
Acceptance probability: 1.233945593538394e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7846:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305935403031862, b_new = -1.0914821566709085, c_new = 4.887548002323185
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6386.165520409149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7847:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.726873316929189, b_new = -1.07575949072167, c_new = 4.95727956438325
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12174.009168683575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7848:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3721795152542353, b_new = -0.3121782447145991, c_new = 4.257528765055461
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9550.03604758246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7849:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.19764283881355, b_new = -1.515289780228529, c_new = 4.1608615235560915
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3612.1607562428135
Acceptance probability: 2.4414081776211574e-261
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7850:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6010004031652625, b_new = -1.4348088178375775, c_new = 4.756617443684485
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9601.45243641808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7851:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7776756758231023, b_new = -0.2631728420744903, c_new = 4.86559774316333
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3735.7159501471133
Acceptance probability: 5.34935564e-315
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7852:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.666928605538321, b_new = -1.4509731881179322, c_new = 5.012782681184226
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8385.279989754245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7853:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8624035542223605, b_new = -1.4798614906930225, c_new = 5.058987863792559
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12601.54215379279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7854:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7577825802330995, b_new = -1.2317312630326136, c_new = 5.304483839412364
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5806.764361072954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7855:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8832808382156707, b_new = -0.2141352973031988, c_new = 4.462892688862565
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3058.277211361563
Acceptance probability: 8.633910727979573e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7856:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3763037697469436, b_new = -1.5354853091116676, c_new = 4.528437750661102
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6562.257060579361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7857:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.171877116823021, b_new = -0.5571895048000882, c_new = 5.510558286747378
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5254.442989457798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7858:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.927790178004994, b_new = -1.3812844135119569, c_new = 4.94945824233743
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3599.3306503324866
Acceptance probability: 9.113487327540938e-256
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7859:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.720734589320589, b_new = -0.8222659894435931, c_new = 4.763576863271107
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5699.5646233141415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7860:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.262286334934256, b_new = -0.9441032247706125, c_new = 5.021863744412781
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5902.5566768272665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7861:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3301088092440967, b_new = 0.2366788790060479, c_new = 4.672629719251521
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9850.727774752342
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7862:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6322857960742687, b_new = -0.24410331260243945, c_new = 5.185980758315956
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12691.581426126926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7863:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801154534335034, b_new = -0.5612706143722366, c_new = 6.50851787392275
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3628.783072775634
Acceptance probability: 1.4745518497499156e-268
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7864:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9138397064334285, b_new = -1.0543975309199702, c_new = 4.276276374868339
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3458.143897173625
Acceptance probability: 1.8893499599876993e-194
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7865:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5560267719348775, b_new = -0.3340875127728583, c_new = 4.615850095352979
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7765.915140498786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7866:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0091688992964194, b_new = -1.7017252841317918, c_new = 4.31072273215275
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3373.419463245187
Acceptance probability: 1.1794147266363058e-157
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7867:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.086524883706892, b_new = -0.6205777771630345, c_new = 4.478893469260253
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3643.7699751213645
Acceptance probability: 4.570156357317082e-275
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7868:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.613029432409448, b_new = -0.6659979491112761, c_new = 5.144231912548323
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7329.237156202971
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7869:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7661156447511814, b_new = -0.004722675544333588, c_new = 5.118599239135776
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13815.33870537007
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7870:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2116333751576938, b_new = -0.4661332311513456, c_new = 5.5026890877166
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6304.556704495051
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7871:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3317531514481598, b_new = -0.7914596168655739, c_new = 4.8332576301387995
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7753.762308793836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7872:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.556776362983098, b_new = -1.4791548419718683, c_new = 5.488380820970533
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10093.762748990886
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7873:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.764243803441669, b_new = -1.6714407678073477, c_new = 4.816894316662075
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11601.921641336392
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7874:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5901249485124183, b_new = -0.713420851081255, c_new = 4.927126164512616
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7966.5690291770825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7875:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3139556315316616, b_new = -0.871646107833879, c_new = 4.67943239795774
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7085.97743687575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7876:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.861870985244886, b_new = -1.0696349116888244, c_new = 5.072468802094415
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3859.589217080092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7877:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1793720600050346, b_new = 0.5206176916568064, c_new = 5.430269085178216
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8541.978977589179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7878:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3712069648957712, b_new = -0.9301130745855761, c_new = 4.2933127143801375
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15979.282903141602
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7879:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.657034355470763, b_new = -1.0315201976745512, c_new = 5.4224358685074
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7304.53040695113
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7880:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0340338456701765, b_new = -1.4412012652413717, c_new = 4.945511075343271
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3037.9268953858846
Acceptance probability: 5.946172267901272e-12
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7881:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8431823612731186, b_new = -0.5639419589162336, c_new = 4.909954717928649
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3450.6678849042505
Acceptance probability: 3.33505717713861e-191
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7882:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9901955865187224, b_new = -1.4169120862269367, c_new = 4.909656386889662
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3178.9710648392975
Acceptance probability: 3.307752366713137e-73
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7883:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4084144830863, b_new = -0.8925019685654658, c_new = 4.638801244424688
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11010.165519569091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7884:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8866003200460835, b_new = -0.613070439078363, c_new = 4.693699939227034
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3212.4165215321773
Acceptance probability: 9.87087613987076e-88
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7885:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.612132543568029, b_new = -0.8763761975695501, c_new = 4.334284881075399
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15306.818857499338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7886:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9343817804041443, b_new = -1.2564972155763707, c_new = 4.264736680339875
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14560.893280385386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7887:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3768820649185454, b_new = -0.11171936627519563, c_new = 4.183076308775379
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10083.363113812273
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7888:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.025025555752716, b_new = -0.9993819511744771, c_new = 5.477297542408581
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3057.323932761779
Acceptance probability: 2.2398100524986348e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7889:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6624583405031284, b_new = -0.8771714425020074, c_new = 4.36616359136814
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7178.469438672361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7890:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.148973993768304, b_new = -1.3876211572498602, c_new = 4.595214653363076
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14062.178145374754
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7891:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8181355865862217, b_new = -1.521042823942144, c_new = 5.018391925863924
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5440.778516786526
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7892:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.772060501134605, b_new = -0.7501846411050828, c_new = 4.665912486317946
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12828.965943798336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7893:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7865082857730363, b_new = -1.0168395355432698, c_new = 4.229732096305552
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5096.197005770692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7894:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6702658233198244, b_new = -0.7591778407639193, c_new = 4.645203566475229
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12102.19391316231
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7895:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3994661974820284, b_new = -1.5498194227013666, c_new = 5.27695062899691
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7265.757245686206
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7896:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.265452243990216, b_new = -1.7366331556509849, c_new = 5.553988576413375
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4357.840689191562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7897:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6997423223746293, b_new = -1.6005554930429868, c_new = 5.028754954789469
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8132.507299390651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7898:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.137315903244217, b_new = -0.6615297544651633, c_new = 5.044867269608681
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4322.022027142819
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7899:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1509500781219155, b_new = 0.07452380127530156, c_new = 4.2332028767102114
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6000.911956284306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7900:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2788719358850864, b_new = -0.9509183596976868, c_new = 4.896062442690087
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6190.641664387232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7901:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.922067115136328, b_new = -0.4704353280723684, c_new = 5.177797944347099
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3031.2717655741762
Acceptance probability: 4.618741331692864e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7902:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3795964490470514, b_new = -1.0404378957390579, c_new = 4.981186742338126
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11449.824032063454
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7903:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.678451681208742, b_new = -0.7415462634108376, c_new = 5.198242833596664
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6191.97378557736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7904:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.3672786899401075, b_new = -1.4189365157298528, c_new = 4.010836041661722
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -16348.727704096125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7905:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6049589613466857, b_new = -0.5288987270217117, c_new = 5.350036855978442
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7066.685800398309
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7906:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.74395022940044, b_new = -0.5167733674302872, c_new = 4.989988268696799
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4553.821268442843
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7907:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0272093996929983, b_new = -0.7273695449467124, c_new = 4.94195653842203
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3160.9383904537463
Acceptance probability: 2.2440057657050473e-65
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7908:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1666856311255502, b_new = 0.38781520387888646, c_new = 4.82922467342563
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7545.430501759364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7909:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4710031852403658, b_new = -0.549483682800018, c_new = 5.408138805209651
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10805.105591419297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7910:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.990484581271969, b_new = -1.0317840393927877, c_new = 5.01368228131962
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3018.1506796966673
Acceptance probability: 0.00230642232871348
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7911:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4853134639115426, b_new = -1.1947996321015486, c_new = 4.101572552874337
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9269.11124216053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7912:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2986268189151784, b_new = -1.0311652425262705, c_new = 4.8659491024443975
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6385.380943745967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7913:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9270367534986423, b_new = -0.45263772099560046, c_new = 5.012218805689267
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14095.50291939982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7914:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.098368456191384, b_new = -0.33404434750938283, c_new = 5.395524493711461
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12511.146216711413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7915:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0561995576314382, b_new = -0.7414065871435424, c_new = 4.605007048271681
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3282.431920185426
Acceptance probability: 3.864153935934656e-118
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7916:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.393301786123664, b_new = -0.45581094068367317, c_new = 5.901527667507743
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10159.893890107864
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7917:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8120450403487545, b_new = -1.3456203304950949, c_new = 4.920191540053408
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5169.5657144335555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7918:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.416094917981353, b_new = -1.3113297193016111, c_new = 5.223638797721469
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8211.370987866661
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7919:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.460243349883382, b_new = -1.3296733346631684, c_new = 4.848000080026354
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8824.450016133713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7920:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.44229891705896, b_new = -0.9953154174931247, c_new = 4.590742934880532
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9212.42439318809
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7921:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.886561406336534, b_new = -1.84865912351485, c_new = 6.068587584999727
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4645.3761400055955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7922:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.007648522586066, b_new = -0.10878966579595595, c_new = 5.365047831241503
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14849.186381474654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7923:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.176640113323263, b_new = -1.0259395843185037, c_new = 5.67351141672828
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4381.276655617887
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7924:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.302669791341205, b_new = -1.4598746792640438, c_new = 5.422551846962173
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12579.204246864505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7925:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4947148126131933, b_new = -0.4093712585465704, c_new = 5.656213276319785
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8634.545831930278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7926:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8137573820198374, b_new = -0.7486059821100917, c_new = 5.6038189062477555
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3861.7633597393187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7927:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.395358721536938, b_new = -0.9389045760295814, c_new = 4.392185508325056
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8467.1241848073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7928:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6669403217658627, b_new = -0.8695457622383614, c_new = 5.335550667511516
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12113.333591871047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7929:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4589818316964074, b_new = -0.511267506403049, c_new = 5.4139815331664485
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9433.83989145396
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7930:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8571424202064801, b_new = -0.2112924489455854, c_new = 4.857164255718842
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13776.098570052465
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7931:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5113624757986828, b_new = -0.9726692435515626, c_new = 4.944514194994697
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9819.222530395893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7932:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.174950322982961, b_new = -0.5958285514671808, c_new = 4.33597223500173
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4856.078898424343
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7933:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8084851327437277, b_new = -0.2609747064029063, c_new = 4.386442656676722
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3503.483907693241
Acceptance probability: 3.849426490367842e-214
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7934:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.058662754259325, b_new = -1.8373563301670028, c_new = 4.034779096315194
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14671.37178851003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7935:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.35271926252603, b_new = -1.255907502565149, c_new = 5.037089938616217
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12015.415616059367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7936:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.259130909094252, b_new = -0.5464377878753166, c_new = 5.179015510445597
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7003.990667832724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7937:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.577062406350243, b_new = -1.4477318944240063, c_new = 5.775499044226519
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10476.196561317132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7938:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.518592781502001, b_new = -1.7462078084389137, c_new = 4.98507274973594
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11248.360465336591
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7939:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1520127430103972, b_new = -0.7885469621451611, c_new = 4.828451630594999
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4249.069038866159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7940:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.056516169465749, b_new = -0.6640856721815765, c_new = 5.1200179161556205
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14473.162742243532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7941:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7348704597845637, b_new = -1.2704996613020225, c_new = 5.3383824836006735
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6364.005665307896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7942:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.420772384670043, b_new = -0.9749578412962917, c_new = 4.8755306449329225
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9007.867326850417
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7943:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.159964735360641, b_new = -0.8954536922755458, c_new = 4.677215995209236
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14564.471218006154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7944:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.771325584051162, b_new = -0.9852283724737683, c_new = 5.5665267797356695
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4897.784815226623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7945:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.238388178318508, b_new = -0.44053757159943946, c_new = 5.3734419626792125
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11660.393475783101
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7946:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2506528933975387, b_new = -0.1491257518033703, c_new = 4.95492024922344
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7892.467541509799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7947:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.599607133241426, b_new = -0.4730136335752333, c_new = 4.780974554112757
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7227.336865709585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7948:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4446507158973168, b_new = -1.3099222495167604, c_new = 5.131409771916109
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8705.070859313237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7949:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4454231819658547, b_new = -0.9135273155921034, c_new = 4.681711896882854
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9475.12775982749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7950:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.322020876017601, b_new = -0.8263573123028821, c_new = 4.30147638925295
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15077.422944328768
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7951:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9428306954074173, b_new = -1.131435547230498, c_new = 5.402239337173692
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3190.015362152038
Acceptance probability: 5.285129211125193e-78
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7952:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.034150995438155, b_new = 0.447708108710672, c_new = 4.479905858848392
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4788.39329300481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7953:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9879971239806205, b_new = -0.5905450348338925, c_new = 5.412590175968959
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3112.0193243538006
Acceptance probability: 3.9473390912086843e-44
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7954:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2130814709566744, b_new = -1.4062967830609763, c_new = 4.289237545360509
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3939.12562008462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7955:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.728236045257223, b_new = -0.9618869615443028, c_new = 5.417401917995394
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5681.2164342550195
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7956:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.792311894851479, b_new = -1.7268601223900193, c_new = 5.4340581310573715
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6353.163690979196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7957:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.032729663041209, b_new = -0.6186414658815531, c_new = 5.219311785462471
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14442.242142574623
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7958:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0221269814414935, b_new = -1.5979516315575073, c_new = 5.1650107134705605
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3120.2050365993814
Acceptance probability: 1.099752041434564e-47
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7959:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4563852674513824, b_new = -1.3661478557548143, c_new = 5.510740041156014
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11061.653814151712
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7960:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6386765896884836, b_new = 0.03560730472327134, c_new = 4.957792198675332
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5194.518112369986
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7961:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5068265555634204, b_new = -0.9038514406659295, c_new = 4.031623857795847
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10119.031630405067
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7962:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.850306416756541, b_new = -0.3191370662925874, c_new = 4.9740040225009325
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13861.606696874162
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7963:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.699221724074452, b_new = -1.4462108346002833, c_new = 4.847125601486726
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7788.456003229431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7964:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.380270096094794, b_new = -1.4287528875482696, c_new = 5.1850726900320305
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7157.7728791960835
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7965:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.946913761021391, b_new = -1.6558680358632651, c_new = 4.508055352384573
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3860.5339791086553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7966:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5282699257836097, b_new = -1.3434545509634161, c_new = 5.369598809820702
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9961.576308821552
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7967:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9057390294415923, b_new = -1.1202602071593766, c_new = 4.616019337993417
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3549.560526803913
Acceptance probability: 3.754694496823911e-234
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7968:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4653548075103493, b_new = -1.1319837544436187, c_new = 4.64852976040244
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10810.315276584053
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7969:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9612777499991467, b_new = -1.033184069112005, c_new = 4.970319391890073
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3086.2703099116434
Acceptance probability: 6.011174317204467e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7970:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6072606284703603, b_new = -0.3026170165895904, c_new = 5.295806112425626
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6474.52305811577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7971:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.992678217443505, b_new = -0.03077304464588637, c_new = 5.160184363260739
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3603.1534909105094
Acceptance probability: 1.992718835252132e-257
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7972:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.126101846497897, b_new = -0.7697844749112421, c_new = 5.078590205181835
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12943.593708229286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7973:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.258173605745093, b_new = -0.5320826113565557, c_new = 5.577621080214303
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7189.767973156775
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7974:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2169030990583827, b_new = -1.613214697638658, c_new = 6.384126569638372
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13077.645636967221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7975:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.949983305196552, b_new = -1.5276433076562932, c_new = 5.555996257567081
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13195.482362669161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7976:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7207172954550374, b_new = -0.9978250374992038, c_new = 5.084648730036467
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6032.304260628961
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7977:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.259116306232123, b_new = -2.0715682431577824, c_new = 5.27680250460744
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3722.5866578562204
Acceptance probability: 2.69327478427647e-309
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7978:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304276964785901, b_new = -0.8285880091082785, c_new = 5.530967980393491
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7333.422398405068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7979:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.920965022786337, b_new = -0.8371229632189603, c_new = 5.1209577846791925
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13695.573836545416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7980:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7735852322812136, b_new = -1.1768574798669293, c_new = 5.142735915216826
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5416.37159318804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7981:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2408399613695904, b_new = -1.098551704097326, c_new = 4.305582158915948
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4901.28153061877
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7982:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7367528384214372, b_new = -1.535209697842669, c_new = 4.71478581274617
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11546.94241189311
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7983:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.525020532697094, b_new = -0.5588011752838197, c_new = 4.921248033984401
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8730.698269863631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7984:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7438823667959809, b_new = -0.629873154924347, c_new = 4.515797032851169
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14651.11242831734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7985:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8998425775222296, b_new = -1.2601181910735617, c_new = 5.353813087286606
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3654.0943695015626
Acceptance probability: 1.5000424533692895e-279
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7986:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9806131500754613, b_new = -0.9095812160319675, c_new = 5.6719288638767145
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3018.397463738582
Acceptance probability: 0.0018020294582409971
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7987:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0540061138422367, b_new = -1.8052234774549116, c_new = 5.09414422918685
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14403.703135355312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7988:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2226671329993275, b_new = -1.6138011537723411, c_new = 5.644489455213234
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13234.644725743987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7989:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.583651099175615, b_new = -0.7663102981922134, c_new = 4.544091994735214
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11327.765327741628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7990:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.68258637986566, b_new = -0.9895610798015517, c_new = 5.134586538034622
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12007.04353413224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7991:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.080356870265496, b_new = -0.2640433321856882, c_new = 4.417981420977957
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4085.613508957368
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7992:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.876533269643749, b_new = -1.534609377089586, c_new = 5.0895697197517995
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4445.706122802794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7993:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9548707594293093, b_new = -0.6623148564516824, c_new = 4.322672473062269
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13848.667919260659
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7994:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2653607716507445, b_new = -0.003838352462082084, c_new = 4.3518467209074
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8385.627803528023
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7995:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5413448255386806, b_new = -0.13506450706607553, c_new = 4.437561349526765
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11912.9065969624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7996:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0828360657244684, b_new = -0.7971878285124001, c_new = 5.593799979960746
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3580.0814889370236
Acceptance probability: 2.0868400805452868e-247
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7997:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7343379733754998, b_new = -0.6725528102943812, c_new = 6.128126352063815
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13086.798635571822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7998:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.354877537005632, b_new = -0.06716701816324244, c_new = 5.171437359640842
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10191.404329482875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 7999:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.516066519254225, b_new = -1.3203192899987952, c_new = 3.4965243820085083
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10978.617765208426
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8000:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3098314910359834, b_new = -0.6234755608426568, c_new = 5.464782171010338
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8019.698902923721
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8001:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.710805159200056, b_new = -1.7925680724864197, c_new = 4.698852280013585
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8580.25539960279
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8002:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.472804320282489, b_new = -0.9990406939471552, c_new = 4.555157926025114
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15414.527884230949
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8003:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.122829742144136, b_new = -0.23377757585037873, c_new = 5.856268035113326
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5238.610858997369
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8004:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.284479722621222, b_new = -0.4537833535734114, c_new = 4.521219143304554
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11526.254896873612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8005:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.340367384621537, b_new = -0.785808528253541, c_new = 5.211694920908179
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8102.549292209456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8006:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.2559970605369095, b_new = -0.6345903313075746, c_new = 4.114305278099031
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14985.825101192037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8007:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1772199887453874, b_new = -0.6726395816556726, c_new = 5.89664625254915
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5208.188204985257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8008:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8857539331007467, b_new = -0.3379453973690145, c_new = 5.238152989116544
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3067.8489852151843
Acceptance probability: 6.015046474583509e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8009:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5694542641793015, b_new = -1.41968667445372, c_new = 4.498115821613145
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10054.311556899092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8010:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.740823528823711, b_new = -0.9439347275534147, c_new = 5.249541126424265
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5449.016903154074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8011:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1224125833411964, b_new = -0.8321563391031791, c_new = 4.26556407948949
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3703.7338746704245
Acceptance probability: 4.1489707314401336e-301
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8012:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.095946822822383, b_new = -0.8376410866347845, c_new = 5.696663720975225
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14603.340697143394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8013:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.167273251768504, b_new = -0.6833545771822334, c_new = 4.300228509986127
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4540.85022334666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8014:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6998293863783065, b_new = -1.1259248885580981, c_new = 4.765339248953377
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11846.673169951198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8015:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2814269606364546, b_new = -0.8379794740444824, c_new = 5.3077711608295
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6714.546412364569
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8016:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2009919391517005, b_new = -1.189700991876252, c_new = 4.416407542453784
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4144.931457201587
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8017:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6398361637489667, b_new = -0.8118948036014324, c_new = 5.595722047717452
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12057.045213424937
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8018:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5920806835750687, b_new = -1.2654024322860233, c_new = 6.146639258575605
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8843.244985695916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8019:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1839421537063473, b_new = -0.6536174071234422, c_new = 4.816035030439704
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5027.617655303986
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8020:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.696935636664764, b_new = -1.0743847748460427, c_new = 5.204311267853647
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6679.226768895032
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8021:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.948323211832197, b_new = -0.9236395235219509, c_new = 5.51600651213725
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3060.321553833778
Acceptance probability: 1.1177917477837446e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8022:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4489465370102623, b_new = -1.1088538634574905, c_new = 5.055435153312569
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10820.960212629101
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8023:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4243684223630018, b_new = -1.0050837366859648, c_new = 5.370850948167611
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10805.909329530943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8024:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.854200037901653, b_new = -1.0427529368232185, c_new = 5.45441652309767
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3837.1728646059405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8025:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3264051115559536, b_new = -0.8984543688875325, c_new = 4.524175640951963
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7220.072525569664
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8026:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1345237780939255, b_new = -1.2619126762256605, c_new = 5.780275891659909
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13295.24645201675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8027:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.583002167270615, b_new = -0.1937097988062172, c_new = 5.713955099707883
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12553.922551932126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8028:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0429196909059804, b_new = -0.9908582631825439, c_new = 5.644624248131369
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3135.8937539827593
Acceptance probability: 1.6895513242832222e-54
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8029:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.977200517796129, b_new = -1.1108186465402519, c_new = 5.1449239880849
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3057.766488407018
Acceptance probability: 1.4388373894319477e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8030:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5469330042448415, b_new = -0.7712152355119584, c_new = 4.775647352539915
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11028.755085168319
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8031:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1137356824313893, b_new = -1.42489483459745, c_new = 4.7481331872577845
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3149.557069056201
Acceptance probability: 1.9672930068895763e-60
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8032:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4239181104595873, b_new = -0.7730708177338593, c_new = 4.302549853592835
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10728.813428104719
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8033:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.622713881546396, b_new = -0.6598713823882808, c_new = 5.638253062261519
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12156.714724832838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8034:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.182612315554749, b_new = -0.23984255295804913, c_new = 5.665199492484874
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6375.187690583473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8035:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5090867773547925, b_new = -0.7437732010444142, c_new = 4.586055849083361
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10613.291959841914
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8036:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9562985310232484, b_new = -0.7609163691190755, c_new = 5.501053880850745
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3021.89550251504
Acceptance probability: 5.4523402278119744e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8037:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889814549993118, b_new = -0.6931887119586385, c_new = 5.1270516977280485
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3212.0416364059092
Acceptance probability: 1.436039031189099e-87
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8038:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9462439518099584, b_new = -0.6419763994518399, c_new = 3.7398123317169647
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3052.7801943752474
Acceptance probability: 2.1063556304638483e-18
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8039:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.676950880414219, b_new = -0.4026802002341556, c_new = 4.516690466489381
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14692.514825134145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8040:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5422034346657263, b_new = 0.09803130519524206, c_new = 5.011248193751565
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6841.319845904918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8041:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.793333743599993, b_new = -0.34349863794854574, c_new = 4.451498198797079
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3738.1445407115143
Acceptance probability: 4.71604557e-316
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8042:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6227437168373235, b_new = -1.1435705977976252, c_new = 4.9070271842622155
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8459.594234054392
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8043:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9308003030401277, b_new = -0.22278457455141976, c_new = 4.20385385898899
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3032.8423181735566
Acceptance probability: 9.60376032751219e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8044:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.051167393209742, b_new = -1.0485473774591203, c_new = 4.8092258696268635
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3082.556661847406
Acceptance probability: 2.4647687792834146e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8045:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3679462409513152, b_new = 0.050415242703713226, c_new = 5.130011825619566
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9605.393415636116
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8046:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.827904031829941, b_new = -0.9719799861914401, c_new = 4.3711903021472285
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4297.330629934169
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8047:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.984051310969638, b_new = -0.4545850948265664, c_new = 5.831703753418293
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3222.05168477555
Acceptance probability: 6.454423734823941e-92
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8048:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3751629299704726, b_new = -0.3460527891414783, c_new = 4.3402710216157425
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9548.985051406196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8049:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2332869035995393, b_new = -0.6441370913887512, c_new = 4.79244737086069
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6008.45234887444
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8050:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.534096743909014, b_new = -0.4323497244353467, c_new = 4.726159691021237
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11457.053012133045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8051:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3790323992888096, b_new = -0.47747847423653794, c_new = 4.379873935792439
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9315.542023542106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8052:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.658425308932496, b_new = -0.7918201501004326, c_new = 5.2635854444386965
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14907.798040253156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8053:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.737572465198236, b_new = -1.443850352596471, c_new = 4.9088341585297774
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11733.928783950667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8054:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7292232220443635, b_new = -0.03866498220243486, c_new = 4.896277523792748
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13510.815848453058
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8055:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4780266034791074, b_new = -1.2842983491421076, c_new = 4.9387619607008455
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10854.523843672965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8056:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.316748862440389, b_new = -0.7806068853730312, c_new = 5.20729721644681
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7611.893140390366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8057:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6907236087181245, b_new = -0.9549745918892347, c_new = 4.728113539134922
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6664.812718060351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8058:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8978521785164095, b_new = -0.9535159306406048, c_new = 5.112629409963114
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3368.6312892243673
Acceptance probability: 1.41626362797006e-155
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8059:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1907430105798666, b_new = -0.6337123104143458, c_new = 4.7586664612076115
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5178.114507822447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8060:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.724755556900191, b_new = -0.20087977513693678, c_new = 4.743255063496853
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4324.7386674452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8061:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5868935108641695, b_new = -1.573680427686372, c_new = 4.726404883351094
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10130.545375879949
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8062:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6001117418344046, b_new = -0.7416934849809655, c_new = 4.546056582867368
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7991.0529775354225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8063:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6766543594742487, b_new = -0.8990008564282908, c_new = 5.388703923534773
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6567.897714834553
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8064:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0987080429416443, b_new = -0.6886460694019424, c_new = 5.381115732246898
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3852.8273093161774
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8065:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4101052541133186, b_new = -1.089685161784427, c_new = 4.54720602232334
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8416.399913992707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8066:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.996211250594284, b_new = -1.4037561368269933, c_new = 5.375356122286088
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3104.787181029757
Acceptance probability: 5.459896039421696e-41
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8067:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.995639607899884, b_new = -2.0630159481157797, c_new = 4.672459014850124
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12635.204491915076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8068:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2048786770966315, b_new = -0.561262755083572, c_new = 5.411204814141652
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5860.680315754082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8069:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6689170014888957, b_new = -1.1495107116645045, c_new = 4.869256830599671
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11587.501385975022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8070:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.482537745623845, b_new = -1.06516491636996, c_new = 4.646728015896196
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10476.72521941795
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8071:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.107584411486322, b_new = -1.2885342653240826, c_new = 4.614015563993939
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13758.736623902487
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8072:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.235710936459185, b_new = -0.7599853466767408, c_new = 4.854742069824583
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5774.370904689267
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8073:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4789444330892336, b_new = -1.4267689800499823, c_new = 3.869563794828416
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8586.72928300565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8074:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4577417633164567, b_new = -0.5884971398085206, c_new = 4.253433190131833
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10185.023173093932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8075:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9493819380013586, b_new = -0.7303523311530602, c_new = 4.781771883875707
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3030.493887300392
Acceptance probability: 1.0054300995744886e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8076:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6599994030859326, b_new = -0.7365919878266638, c_new = 4.869521519297521
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14941.077603347192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8077:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.92206473930763, b_new = -1.153851313424677, c_new = 4.790095658741059
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3418.326888256435
Acceptance probability: 3.703562409010854e-177
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8078:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7155507667330634, b_new = -0.3690766867085239, c_new = 4.87856836340635
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14456.554445958964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8079:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.457722258356147, b_new = -0.611210522231316, c_new = 5.269903045496321
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10479.91388544366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8080:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.204114233070772, b_new = -0.7562132584342383, c_new = 5.759106765331322
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15071.142058333555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8081:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1445990881455876, b_new = -0.26265937491487734, c_new = 5.637063890743019
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5503.258158322298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8082:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7040840112712345, b_new = -1.6795035747916391, c_new = 5.410792351881362
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8106.753600212294
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8083:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.2040543415758735, b_new = -1.5052816378527596, c_new = 6.204495619356846
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14533.61694173589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8084:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9504264357378986, b_new = -1.7909261325888832, c_new = 4.39771490089815
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14944.657477552631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8085:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.99199668360245, b_new = -0.27364305676302625, c_new = 4.834121767622376
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13199.247638311968
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8086:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.681061051977373, b_new = -1.3144654712914883, c_new = 6.342836078080841
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7230.410995361573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8087:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.115817981205633, b_new = 0.18139530139435278, c_new = 5.2965510358492445
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11770.164213209111
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8088:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8524086657540737, b_new = -1.2278428888090147, c_new = 5.509803286681067
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4134.710930636923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8089:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.864109795135487, b_new = -1.1136598648863358, c_new = 4.644062164525657
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3987.883993223357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8090:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0868714182440984, b_new = -0.7839037636637055, c_new = 5.051856032161769
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3542.531768770621
Acceptance probability: 4.2376534192384795e-231
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8091:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4798080278855794, b_new = -0.6854123944585473, c_new = 5.376776475742442
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9515.517669443743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8092:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1457295895972326, b_new = -0.585526844413113, c_new = 4.965689097654014
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4574.466919600457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8093:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6876595660549576, b_new = -0.5136971312197531, c_new = 5.670404189888461
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5321.502815069918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8094:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4007551151900968, b_new = -0.5460153784636432, c_new = 3.5907190871296977
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10806.23492181609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8095:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1320997866698614, b_new = -1.4756034458782614, c_new = 4.088606002873201
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3173.7669230772044
Acceptance probability: 6.020922528702219e-71
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8096:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7099985053731896, b_new = 0.2887224878799268, c_new = 5.238091008331546
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3721.0021799127126
Acceptance probability: 1.3134413738765522e-308
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8097:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.788177329289471, b_new = -0.7402765791633024, c_new = 4.818917932884712
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4344.30652064093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8098:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6425374310278666, b_new = -1.205773689161629, c_new = 4.658406722471756
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11210.79661617028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8099:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.03305620370069, b_new = -1.132567466031277, c_new = 5.387891058274052
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3032.457280530702
Acceptance probability: 1.4114355011612675e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8100:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6802371140780443, b_new = -0.8864869257446992, c_new = 4.609160765740549
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6743.480515494389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8101:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5903186724432445, b_new = -0.9143477026154224, c_new = 4.661381770739296
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8562.67836295348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8102:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.453904221129126, b_new = -1.055447387913354, c_new = 5.384316027934374
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9533.849038950071
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8103:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.390120965949354, b_new = -1.856969688433632, c_new = 5.156549264443878
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12570.156566239937
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8104:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3327146684867164, b_new = -0.8337119093975899, c_new = 4.611071342919795
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7568.75650712481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8105:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3591064769417303, b_new = -0.8478219454069861, c_new = 4.9448582357757385
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8210.413264003375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8106:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6380190778583907, b_new = -0.3823100382465908, c_new = 5.0754675306850645
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6138.2759317976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8107:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0527328149531447, b_new = -1.3905188676004314, c_new = 4.996377753696961
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3016.9712082376086
Acceptance probability: 0.007501995167899896
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8108:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0978332625981917, b_new = -1.5838453684237677, c_new = 5.4233056841795
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3057.9305214593705
Acceptance probability: 1.2211613921396573e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8109:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.807199573932315, b_new = -0.7809911502868163, c_new = 5.060439819173496
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4096.365185730466
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8110:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3164851568419675, b_new = -0.4649230990088081, c_new = 4.984045086660499
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8411.793080772804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8111:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.140746132916292, b_new = -1.37231321417535, c_new = 5.291299179278235
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13507.812818834034
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8112:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0910488421946956, b_new = -1.3245535808539923, c_new = 5.6264098506489795
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3160.434389957141
Acceptance probability: 3.714570479740543e-65
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8113:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7673929166360614, b_new = -0.7629162352063817, c_new = 4.581163812829624
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12760.544220872405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8114:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.575137507250215, b_new = -0.9666414635100442, c_new = 5.139960618425941
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11094.20393576726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8115:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9665771747330916, b_new = -1.2952122704911886, c_new = 4.952170723011236
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3216.4056176088798
Acceptance probability: 1.8277352529988405e-89
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8116:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.154219120555096, b_new = -1.0291307175547237, c_new = 5.142408557046268
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3949.5115031899873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8117:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.369748327826292, b_new = -0.5199841379975629, c_new = 5.460788075761237
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10516.016375645328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8118:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3950566846102577, b_new = -0.5791345245068962, c_new = 5.07650494619719
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9593.95698263735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8119:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5061257322121535, b_new = -0.5015163009392167, c_new = 4.766396883255371
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8952.452893332224
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8120:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9164220220758192, b_new = -0.5892614317209334, c_new = 5.008426762844622
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3060.953477700835
Acceptance probability: 5.94182491662647e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8121:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.448199325913797, b_new = -0.6657842843967252, c_new = 5.291981572636827
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10254.431114303166
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8122:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0090243891746535, b_new = -1.3514357988869212, c_new = 5.217914702290815
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3052.0035496698806
Acceptance probability: 4.57956479273106e-18
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8123:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3221610501648002, b_new = -0.5162608044242935, c_new = 5.522285875202116
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8608.551730781704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8124:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2306583884660816, b_new = -0.9977602498757281, c_new = 4.6378451741809705
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5035.449778738288
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8125:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8201658824933373, b_new = -1.772270500110598, c_new = 5.52310655095501
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12067.339190314191
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8126:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5482833926975035, b_new = -0.44802636544837154, c_new = 4.790492500658965
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11584.750782028397
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8127:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3527138939265013, b_new = -0.8392747609272342, c_new = 5.072080084300554
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8153.799112177939
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8128:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.951922614804249, b_new = -1.1828565579945565, c_new = 3.9194703111463203
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3345.062091004679
Acceptance probability: 2.4384667134030267e-145
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8129:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7543153606913995, b_new = -1.223331744452126, c_new = 4.649782316542554
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12094.255956014309
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8130:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0625042070908877, b_new = -1.025614282927283, c_new = 5.6844601720989925
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3215.5640528310455
Acceptance probability: 4.240335576878636e-89
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8131:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.310501231051993, b_new = -0.8550180496502954, c_new = 4.499720490738896
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11921.148944643519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8132:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.986264732049542, b_new = -1.0104487062501326, c_new = 4.9592836577774095
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3021.0654942743795
Acceptance probability: 0.0001250405706400069
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8133:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.732353926653879, b_new = -1.0655572993753823, c_new = 5.469981000868325
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5839.375069296204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8134:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.012420730822456, b_new = -1.5267853920266246, c_new = 4.77801024759901
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3155.5276036383425
Acceptance probability: 5.022255755501623e-63
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8135:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7966700320177833, b_new = -0.26557087285526626, c_new = 6.107076257130082
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13945.477682894263
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8136:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.16244828491072, b_new = -1.8417933377716094, c_new = 4.378798907903352
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3147.345347839839
Acceptance probability: 1.7964178756266177e-59
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8137:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.037478562337467, b_new = -0.82538084855647, c_new = 5.968075035004116
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3255.5143868824202
Acceptance probability: 1.8931742944494666e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8138:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2613018913292677, b_new = -1.7986047084488848, c_new = 4.254740085941517
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3951.695456413474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8139:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.143824028606034, b_new = -0.4738278336141499, c_new = 5.1078632522421605
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4817.3378616931
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8140:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9799916832722646, b_new = -1.3043119175809639, c_new = 4.544632974217595
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3192.5258932461857
Acceptance probability: 4.292850937947678e-79
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8141:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7100927393908125, b_new = -1.635634941528319, c_new = 5.035868015183542
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8014.484056726913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8142:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031233673191996, b_new = -1.3861126833620008, c_new = 5.499037182668015
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3014.9362938953836
Acceptance probability: 0.057402241310026414
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8143:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.021505368281766, b_new = -1.867212435511203, c_new = 4.797698972386735
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3371.210903679158
Acceptance probability: 1.0735734897673946e-156
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8144:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2328547867820236, b_new = -1.6409161574617936, c_new = 4.3129127100293445
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3846.342003446393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8145:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.934243403284336, b_new = -1.0793984582040754, c_new = 4.305890904389942
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13306.332685819649
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8146:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9791490492714616, b_new = -0.41838116192394437, c_new = 5.002848974813233
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3135.567791146692
Acceptance probability: 2.3406433820321423e-54
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8147:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4477153332940023, b_new = -1.3783990244256243, c_new = 4.778780260587616
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8468.349577257319
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8148:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.217064895430055, b_new = -1.2660755422025372, c_new = 4.800517845891335
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14482.079787971488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8149:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2830728306778307, b_new = -1.8012537157312418, c_new = 4.112957727119531
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4200.259797582419
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8150:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5904618649756057, b_new = -1.2356811625365192, c_new = 4.915812698001538
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9244.554752266306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8151:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.479280178609739, b_new = -0.9337767557652717, c_new = 4.946455193841488
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10001.474892299346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8152:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.271002512182178, b_new = -0.6852602471961584, c_new = 4.750931121493964
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6699.831340939733
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8153:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.443843527742445, b_new = -0.8301495773585298, c_new = 4.773661104364773
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10449.009572143705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8154:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.209136764552935, b_new = -0.5848727314955985, c_new = 3.807689607758877
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5338.2375957615495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8155:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4831451639613897, b_new = -0.04253005720170999, c_new = 5.05400823828334
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8200.160308955732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8156:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0314081136395714, b_new = -1.090738980691876, c_new = 5.637086676863234
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3050.932538536801
Acceptance probability: 1.3364675951842606e-17
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8157:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6839496122531488, b_new = -0.7996968573019597, c_new = 4.955977283280493
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12234.997339201338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8158:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.677095611895252, b_new = -1.109451856747434, c_new = 4.189760439591398
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7579.683532888468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8159:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.786101224505039, b_new = -0.494443738019681, c_new = 5.883507799398308
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3785.774028639954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8160:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8170793299006536, b_new = -0.7730737908080927, c_new = 4.592855251525024
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4054.2814206845724
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8161:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9045291087603986, b_new = -1.2962072992680334, c_new = 4.980729517695542
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3719.6480091952594
Acceptance probability: 5.087677365122504e-308
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8162:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8971954440754297, b_new = -1.4985085790865962, c_new = 5.117350610306776
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4083.011794962251
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8163:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.278410838466126, b_new = -0.4840863496337391, c_new = 5.120551835672397
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7591.909450822345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8164:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3901636805673987, b_new = -0.7843125190460247, c_new = 4.650607417639557
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8857.862604539714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8165:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5953084387054566, b_new = -0.9344363034684133, c_new = 4.961987584933036
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8411.478209161147
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8166:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9825595152472693, b_new = -0.8593723568566669, c_new = 5.274143648766227
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13752.796016959961
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8167:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.565995138368591, b_new = -1.2950685337226078, c_new = 5.01649842120109
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10392.90198634706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8168:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.573478929072727, b_new = -0.9311064091578979, c_new = 5.00461041706177
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11096.265375665214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8169:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9234176421025815, b_new = -0.7509474620240977, c_new = 5.902517381627228
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13992.687576283963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8170:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1387166282406445, b_new = -0.4238413773730453, c_new = 4.39531535720934
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4632.547819769028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8171:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.944263943044759, b_new = -0.3485800403473902, c_new = 4.126948498578149
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3024.053051283887
Acceptance probability: 6.303350013569568e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8172:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.092472948445238, b_new = -1.2199861953329592, c_new = 5.415854234527315
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -14165.417567116881
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8173:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.061743984435927, b_new = -0.9167345614203911, c_new = 5.365068347374738
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3259.758855105368
Acceptance probability: 2.7154478783071373e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8174:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4841524941572524, b_new = -0.9298886253728779, c_new = 3.5061667007482487
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10585.296417260943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8175:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.203252373870454, b_new = -1.1681568898354786, c_new = 5.561714268339888
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4483.291185399588
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8176:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9852995256454706, b_new = -1.0924552609499576, c_new = 5.133431797408328
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3034.03130534816
Acceptance probability: 2.9246287453401264e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8177:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3819854213245755, b_new = -0.13012195241158409, c_new = 4.7794743650946545
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9872.992642063731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8178:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.716936277182142, b_new = -0.8305529003964051, c_new = 4.60149031673957
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5849.880755879161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8179:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8016827326583686, b_new = -1.4322969925355449, c_new = 6.48937538961915
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5077.255467671976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8180:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1078140709590065, b_new = -1.7081156398137458, c_new = 4.591178189916551
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3047.2555857002594
Acceptance probability: 5.282490931618988e-16
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8181:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.849458778237678, b_new = -0.0898714463849517, c_new = 5.04779751549451
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3102.19269291742
Acceptance probability: 7.310654235953908e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8182:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9549208520553227, b_new = -1.075161005659217, c_new = 4.49221646605373
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3172.9816360143386
Acceptance probability: 1.3204102204972333e-70
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8183:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2700592216233773, b_new = -0.20341600733575838, c_new = 4.664027780619678
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11226.680575126738
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8184:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6905086386217647, b_new = -0.41424877977200675, c_new = 4.735914187138201
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12741.26091632514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8185:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9434243661524944, b_new = -0.2656454628736319, c_new = 4.885587894139241
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3078.18570070963
Acceptance probability: 1.95011618601987e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8186:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6389398601847356, b_new = -0.9997505259765804, c_new = 4.853787184273261
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11551.140962711874
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8187:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.672730521538862, b_new = -0.8463188835403126, c_new = 5.010669144450478
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6644.805568724703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8188:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4102583087064153, b_new = -0.9371435828544769, c_new = 4.891904477345171
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10989.269163189172
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8189:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6497708171090686, b_new = -1.185329731648275, c_new = 3.840044650589168
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11084.603263898967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8190:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7385730326549433, b_new = -0.8787873895491154, c_new = 4.613584383818822
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12427.798135936586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8191:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7996952311287657, b_new = -0.27776191153358354, c_new = 5.3520106956560305
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13745.504330712061
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8192:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.585396311125415, b_new = 0.3127978513817782, c_new = 4.93622940267447
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5553.61367954126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8193:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3640372873869717, b_new = -1.6344807879092431, c_new = 4.720574013356335
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12577.186710501652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8194:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6513076981160983, b_new = -0.39391891787508704, c_new = 4.258367543845088
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -6175.669502209917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8195:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6279825312594705, b_new = -1.0210504974221948, c_new = 5.020305907652961
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8002.03178811874
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8196:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0307906210908304, b_new = -0.3310177743154239, c_new = 4.580897225705881
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13112.312939819889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8197:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1606204727026377, b_new = -0.8464230217234916, c_new = 4.529609859681358
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4198.358017118255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8198:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9599324366104922, b_new = -0.8216843334402262, c_new = 4.781897468120805
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13931.925585067049
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8199:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0990678724006573, b_new = -1.4909315864528758, c_new = 5.040670903618257
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3078.3588846174357
Acceptance probability: 1.6400144381860337e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8200:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8138101567324347, b_new = -0.8965333731309981, c_new = 3.9041058112709806
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4486.119867755868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8201:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6012679720470744, b_new = -0.7150865765053301, c_new = 5.314952206981957
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7621.907399529651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8202:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.061759690855159, b_new = -0.6237063905476312, c_new = 5.280548018835837
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13099.379193904186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8203:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4450188052291213, b_new = -0.37413865637814037, c_new = 5.39565291188307
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10831.644964975749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8204:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.564721631187235, b_new = -1.4265128050687048, c_new = 5.022548492313908
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10015.124752274814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8205:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3667304478803524, b_new = -1.0364850420316485, c_new = 4.3883905271418895
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7641.357448872024
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8206:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.462628883162059, b_new = -0.5417942371600595, c_new = 4.7060466788993836
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9672.52482836309
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8207:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9129580093755663, b_new = -0.7957386690587659, c_new = 4.221075161355049
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3235.5641538879327
Acceptance probability: 8.739099843786185e-98
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8208:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8782639884728214, b_new = -0.5735605350573587, c_new = 5.087624345492179
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3200.9973970438436
Acceptance probability: 8.987076858623053e-83
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8209:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.114147026781898, b_new = -0.6950512403610564, c_new = 4.892931222449148
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3923.229122665967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8210:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6887975044708137, b_new = -0.39307635423615395, c_new = 5.197436033427865
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12886.381508938555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8211:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.734391409692725, b_new = -0.09348464261469236, c_new = 5.36697787801701
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3916.556611902173
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8212:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4124527383761794, b_new = -0.49901687694338215, c_new = 5.108663308259266
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10093.486799805609
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8213:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1946119270766045, b_new = -1.1899586920485032, c_new = 4.907728005365471
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4162.768507456759
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8214:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.622318135343949, b_new = -0.6981468757911149, c_new = 4.8620887921723
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11867.964309215107
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8215:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5768574811005247, b_new = -2.0666278885571607, c_new = 5.96940529041316
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -9360.786157634713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8216:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5037480168934754, b_new = -1.1698811038703845, c_new = 4.64344988478901
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -10421.455025814797
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8217:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.163515936940845, b_new = -0.030146796608369164, c_new = 5.079212489098114
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -15364.838000245358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8218:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.150029285307824, b_new = -0.38318919151346353, c_new = 5.299303127962192
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5193.263023877047
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8219:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.261228968014597, b_new = -0.223148360889862, c_new = 4.656019021855899
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7781.33606428087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8220:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2197389980238755, b_new = -0.6946900593930185, c_new = 5.373642257667591
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5801.4641210149575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8221:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6519024599717267, b_new = -0.886607701078143, c_new = 5.434098305676811
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11997.176726375183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8222:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.729622629707879, b_new = -1.6540523144299795, c_new = 5.184209708067754
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -7595.733088360089
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8223:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5628657760153617, b_new = -0.9486397896747263, c_new = 5.056911195772133
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8968.610562357106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8224:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7990820008938533, b_new = -0.817328977596965, c_new = 5.45490866931351
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4181.2965714566635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8225:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6348405437266877, b_new = -0.7701046753918518, c_new = 5.477702991698125
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12043.6470382863
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8226:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1292170710224236, b_new = -0.9337848561434006, c_new = 5.754233119917338
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -12950.81665584402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8227:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.274652452905041, b_new = 0.08542110667583858, c_new = 4.030514120011634
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -8701.320793561936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8228:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8921897226532516, b_new = -1.1670753820356499, c_new = 4.761809391514304
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3717.6490566110597
Acceptance probability: 3.755377843631525e-307
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8229:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.764863072098093, b_new = -1.1866669045345706, c_new = 4.482086216856443
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -5837.833871807309
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8230:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.574918607141052, b_new = -0.989962646236602, c_new = 5.132139953043281
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -11050.318165720772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8231:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0020297562143172, b_new = -1.2247014596516217, c_new = 4.042726708415419
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3098.2207060298133
Acceptance probability: 3.8812197397136056e-38
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8232:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8648053996572647, b_new = -0.5601214447612557, c_new = 5.067607999252839
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -13697.367110587362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8233:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.664467745388562, b_new = -0.0794889167149907, c_new = 5.665386620723706
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4815.404397523862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8234:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.744427464979463, b_new = -0.3089383413282143, c_new = 5.621800841355427
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -4061.163903799286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8235:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.011600689910316, b_new = -1.513892118455026, c_new = 5.192810506463048
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3114.9333039836683
Acceptance probability: 2.1418012213763338e-45
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8236:
Current coefficients: a = 2.9859417796493353, b = -0.8958877378537993, c = 4.965477660781268
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031980364671048, b_new = -1.3420051241572415, c_new = 5.777313505938329
Current likelihood: -3012.0786219661777
Proposed likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Acceptance probability: 1.437013321367425
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.397148268672641, b_new = -0.7850981518686987, c_new = 5.536124108365531
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10661.167794972756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1799571338415036, b_new = -0.5270542247520629, c_new = 6.150959026182028
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5715.285085070062
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.23755177261369, b_new = -1.6351173150314662, c_new = 5.701892964664512
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4172.817964814925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4556507761598807, b_new = -2.0565375831532533, c_new = 5.550950552513077
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7179.594696268727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.800700122275321, b_new = -1.3052314648961278, c_new = 6.075833969479595
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4934.736917754932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0546811141872623, b_new = -1.5709224666224648, c_new = 5.034468881490371
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14191.591927226442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1557081637296864, b_new = -0.8143491793087768, c_new = 6.762256342416006
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4790.436023493875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2459198838675736, b_new = -2.100119256368555, c_new = 5.487040516452603
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13717.675632400293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.587783787192773, b_new = -1.013847306130409, c_new = 6.103956213213093
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8331.128792531747
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6631263420766413, b_new = -1.919193922496293, c_new = 5.109876957711425
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9622.57388142566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.361601732523405, b_new = -0.7614708945872963, c_new = 5.844970915230925
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10906.230539956894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9813142307458262, b_new = -1.5900909942053447, c_new = 5.161098719471757
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3342.7163789222477
Acceptance probability: 1.77168231875565e-144
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.098087278062897, b_new = -0.9436440783562674, c_new = 6.757682954925001
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3766.9363196403256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.294891409601396, b_new = -1.2359270175462052, c_new = 6.327967203320169
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -15102.034911838537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9260069436897647, b_new = -0.829682351889956, c_new = 5.235264555410031
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3109.9538150479993
Acceptance probability: 2.167119875366233e-43
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9468239431811067, b_new = -0.13931442397178628, c_new = 5.513972340446989
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3221.251423363282
Acceptance probability: 9.998751958260845e-92
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0304094071882526, b_new = -1.3929039999653994, c_new = 5.182955076945401
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3023.9465104571946
Acceptance probability: 4.879560672233767e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0262657436761793, b_new = -1.2462441375710513, c_new = 6.086848558534413
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3022.0719846140673
Acceptance probability: 3.1803649035854616e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5460681544500234, b_new = -2.3391867738371848, c_new = 5.6672369843447985
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11808.10048430087
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.002138942964124, b_new = -0.6533916665897374, c_new = 6.324575056266033
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3231.4155106437993
Acceptance probability: 3.852465652334542e-96
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.937823045263822, b_new = -1.741761933234668, c_new = 5.471245664067656
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3886.655464101316
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2803746657661326, b_new = -1.4741410953704386, c_new = 6.387805159476573
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5393.721522609037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.556534952081473, b_new = -0.7216262800074755, c_new = 6.109413896086736
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8178.640100068804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.335509340616866, b_new = -0.8409524967086759, c_new = 5.275584743067047
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7871.349139884704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.412398272573368, b_new = -1.7592588612295748, c_new = 4.982241005794016
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6876.577252571566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1050436098048575, b_new = -0.9851891000473668, c_new = 5.361230565313262
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3524.193385616518
Acceptance probability: 2.7159592611720303e-223
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.181763467813709, b_new = -2.3299964688340347, c_new = 5.87474004826454
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3085.1351153695377
Acceptance probability: 1.3016890561888514e-32
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.337437636918915, b_new = -2.682777984338596, c_new = 6.440383481330181
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3977.794917249934
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.223170249128172, b_new = -1.896164075004814, c_new = 6.069633390053198
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3687.6300279778516
Acceptance probability: 2.846369866260792e-294
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.186188706500016, b_new = -1.5333467021665048, c_new = 5.108071255826705
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13490.753904858155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.16179875990391, b_new = -1.9925599812116834, c_new = 5.817888362855416
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13817.71295059952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3736869468863064, b_new = -0.9964793364233115, c_new = 5.66404437730759
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8384.189161884331
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.478096501972522, b_new = -1.676948025968842, c_new = 6.134967556623607
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8760.728269292707
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.772708644066161, b_new = -1.9044436020778979, c_new = 4.947183247057863
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11376.286444619438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.354831389424022, b_new = -0.3100647062464317, c_new = 6.435625602346701
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10119.202385245255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.316942607327898, b_new = -1.0009097177090036, c_new = 6.193635132996739
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11604.616000340688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.98910003022468, b_new = -2.2148269971507855, c_new = 5.271051465225187
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4059.308348816692
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.051200352743631, b_new = -2.326483685761506, c_new = 5.4544736739745225
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3519.3524896287045
Acceptance probability: 3.4379350391915655e-221
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8047048576823244, b_new = -1.491789754389596, c_new = 5.65368069376212
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12359.19589616734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0940617791935208, b_new = -1.8539123160260988, c_new = 6.591182430869085
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13932.031391613375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4058755597468164, b_new = -0.8918540943760669, c_new = 5.344506380994201
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10814.323293171252
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.316520015785314, b_new = -1.5905930810356854, c_new = 5.60609618347067
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5557.912399996834
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3067798412025193, b_new = -1.2130881739517723, c_new = 6.39955549084761
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11941.717454754253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.009082918902389, b_new = -0.842134185133319, c_new = 6.277294109930347
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3134.9267449772124
Acceptance probability: 3.0922690237483e-54
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9748944418718204, b_new = -1.5173337360624832, c_new = 5.4133971052241625
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3289.486976500637
Acceptance probability: 2.320713869002134e-121
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1246625268608272, b_new = -1.9437287365338034, c_new = 5.7686184197371055
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3041.700285939489
Acceptance probability: 9.506354324664757e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.363630444291071, b_new = -1.6765374278971727, c_new = 5.631461948012962
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6310.629036067805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.537429357359895, b_new = -2.023344150386247, c_new = 5.427003858579659
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11406.210467482057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3087159991293205, b_new = -2.2675758052139114, c_new = 5.3760322180207245
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4042.8371629243557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.002528041271667, b_new = -2.837960095745599, c_new = 5.90926610165053
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4895.514057269796
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0950826846942805, b_new = -1.6349855622812584, c_new = 5.2246220040662354
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3036.9537469909583
Acceptance probability: 1.0949887845953804e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.19204818166302, b_new = -2.0362250577703342, c_new = 5.724394074085758
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3255.877450257487
Acceptance probability: 9.163331209529346e-107
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9691582246428907, b_new = -0.9581675561112124, c_new = 5.744036824461771
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3024.3920254590303
Acceptance probability: 3.1253309694214844e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.119816079409849, b_new = -1.7802501061469487, c_new = 5.200127246442473
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3055.695773710627
Acceptance probability: 7.940555524511262e-20
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5090990823000885, b_new = -1.4555263495365836, c_new = 6.357239234798733
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10346.282189835612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.220938031452843, b_new = -1.7197843590358133, c_new = 5.304553237560429
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13461.561202696354
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9081184202547186, b_new = -0.898055658219425, c_new = 6.227425446337488
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3167.3204082210514
Acceptance probability: 2.641727849193147e-68
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4947301038351997, b_new = -1.1212126259376431, c_new = 5.018670303036076
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9851.198930811068
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.28767542657022, b_new = -1.9613989973705177, c_new = 5.970007477142884
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13179.178969733293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.530585958587006, b_new = -1.0336575365404093, c_new = 5.975369610360107
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10770.370806096436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9897347317880927, b_new = -1.737783872455326, c_new = 6.479932482458849
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3256.4750168869004
Acceptance probability: 5.041194975652109e-107
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.657126974792873, b_new = -1.4048884752855748, c_new = 5.086614829435721
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11154.60141866229
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.676160984237525, b_new = -1.0671099605217838, c_new = 5.8498877417919815
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12048.421890154557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2162443996199794, b_new = -1.012439459971744, c_new = 6.002099762753227
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5161.564816144416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.541546869233043, b_new = -1.1794483044491915, c_new = 5.896215496888327
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9513.470696602493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6000749761394215, b_new = -0.5263945662686083, c_new = 5.651532454986917
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12176.278466065494
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8317265466001267, b_new = -1.2397522817824411, c_new = 5.332572089634946
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12772.957995822639
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1125214068985976, b_new = -1.3791090977616858, c_new = 5.817022664002625
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3260.6542472256324
Acceptance probability: 7.718214073000292e-109
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1964044039952166, b_new = -1.1671743722749106, c_new = 5.961412246050067
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4485.46392214644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1613961763518525, b_new = -1.7867302768234123, c_new = 6.142734437719355
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13645.098882109853
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6007629874990967, b_new = -1.713976187909957, c_new = 6.102923717384335
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10366.157927026812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6723298993162254, b_new = -1.3050416813003034, c_new = 6.023444924921341
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7498.813138130797
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5904643086788064, b_new = -1.5153883042231435, c_new = 6.517535256532877
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10735.251746636448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1797920486716458, b_new = -1.1289033403705127, c_new = 5.412292632031854
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4177.740611873214
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5380652440314564, b_new = -0.6273565594468135, c_new = 5.7417919642886455
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8395.548674265947
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4842878053354873, b_new = -2.0683473212782717, c_new = 5.9777054305554875
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7858.295772597702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6082447348212923, b_new = -1.3727061990776455, c_new = 5.764024823793043
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10933.123634320425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4656496531540366, b_new = -1.2821173226986107, c_new = 6.089545967625255
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9457.214917511981
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.478779354470541, b_new = -1.5368186809589948, c_new = 5.735441272750635
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11053.570613965678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.787041138393784, b_new = -1.7284200065415027, c_new = 5.832876088074611
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6318.42507819342
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7633865240709317, b_new = -1.9388751865824636, c_new = 4.705440740908102
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7892.175306332794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8589567728204366, b_new = -1.3985536971489712, c_new = 5.97933698574806
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4230.969841343442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5392654825481595, b_new = -1.2523772025709905, c_new = 5.522481605604326
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10320.463892117868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3976691032365736, b_new = 0.044151687036368736, c_new = 6.188648723778213
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11370.252462585482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1622467707670774, b_new = -1.2735476203901472, c_new = 5.647390012974947
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3784.609695232188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9948223851218603, b_new = -1.5694938465448904, c_new = 5.773114851605058
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3174.352392847508
Acceptance probability: 2.333113971913005e-71
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.018261595003954, b_new = -0.8224707295305488, c_new = 5.655089430581787
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13456.41677307199
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8500753503109135, b_new = -1.9934455345269975, c_new = 6.077060553068247
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5630.819851741144
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.864519610193379, b_new = -1.4591537115703097, c_new = 4.803057479328302
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12576.45892347927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1842144353255897, b_new = -1.844537817733206, c_new = 5.804715336852511
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3361.6751398217634
Acceptance probability: 1.0344288122862825e-152
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.30924927068057, b_new = -0.7463368217518943, c_new = 5.784267653664434
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -15397.633251439409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.991813987678114, b_new = -0.963096543541422, c_new = 5.9594612946879
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3027.10323319891
Acceptance probability: 2.076985452775214e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.355384892602081, b_new = -0.4748851970351933, c_new = 5.604142626528224
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9386.581382471297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.130059150595524, b_new = -1.583009174243809, c_new = 5.457452161586674
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3185.2839279255354
Acceptance probability: 4.172829032620139e-76
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.593722206929858, b_new = -1.423754628702074, c_new = 5.786371862297295
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9312.324604181935
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.476353682314496, b_new = -1.4135889475737216, c_new = 6.238250893094221
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10693.705136653556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9367541831770674, b_new = -1.0460606216298005, c_new = 5.442033644915694
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3164.053014866791
Acceptance probability: 6.932645266261025e-67
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.15723372363741, b_new = -0.9620779982684169, c_new = 5.266474106189559
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4122.957887689685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097995241239125, b_new = -1.5017306066051532, c_new = 4.98064135712526
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3069.6610696721473
Acceptance probability: 6.835966293856898e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.435889283952828, b_new = -1.8629538443310039, c_new = 5.2685068301501365
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12175.569340284377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.344741794068633, b_new = -1.0155176892046327, c_new = 5.631158570904194
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7719.150341395683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3916926207728904, b_new = -1.2341855281193743, c_new = 5.567560339147858
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8065.593566987771
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1232323781711773, b_new = -1.1078160948215008, c_new = 5.33370378836976
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3544.7460260320368
Acceptance probability: 3.2212536994742226e-232
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.239039375724319, b_new = -0.46429697567805983, c_new = 5.330912817707518
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11700.502248904932
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8490389065960384, b_new = -1.5112947102931213, c_new = 6.168206021121265
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12765.236420169607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.118730188572456, b_new = -1.3695662168579255, c_new = 5.8005467565583695
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3307.6716467402434
Acceptance probability: 2.938459148607652e-129
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.173374563841215, b_new = -0.697365927408549, c_new = 6.071358730646833
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5137.935868018723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5916667789181265, b_new = -0.9380397855302107, c_new = 5.461233191834776
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8304.077597695014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2036259595808603, b_new = -1.0296278561153338, c_new = 5.995485936207654
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4896.899361607726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4563598565874636, b_new = -1.4024454869575644, c_new = 5.719673451624114
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11060.609031203248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.244041867606225, b_new = -1.3012600034068116, c_new = 5.659851958605345
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4902.906410181917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.422784363681225, b_new = -0.7599865500681229, c_new = 4.922225805525717
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9556.837506806794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.261412316390166, b_new = -1.630205296665383, c_new = 6.045029652161754
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4617.423124177863
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.426178706364519, b_new = -0.836044257674617, c_new = 6.021331081443001
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9837.482850432767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9870359778941435, b_new = -1.3142361442497388, c_new = 5.654853877768605
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3079.3874129871574
Acceptance probability: 4.080399464238942e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3304407929191577, b_new = -1.2477364997059521, c_new = 4.609407238266401
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6388.499996113496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9856805143762517, b_new = -0.7192910973320199, c_new = 5.6920626562167245
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3068.2450767306777
Acceptance probability: 2.816811814179276e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.710931934387113, b_new = -0.8869103574692697, c_new = 5.779424510005771
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5720.014570701564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.794562721449275, b_new = -0.7910033764922021, c_new = 5.270431156260062
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4239.08913840891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1836256413451687, b_new = -0.7165397862374594, c_new = 5.748390648385057
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5173.131649840141
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0100513145423595, b_new = -1.8532307606168361, c_new = 6.2031563248091155
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3251.3669796943686
Acceptance probability: 8.335388775675648e-105
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.727568980462586, b_new = -0.6947824877828829, c_new = 5.378802049267614
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5085.812336007128
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0511920551045275, b_new = -0.986555938428564, c_new = 5.398765478624029
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3155.238275531713
Acceptance probability: 4.667578504926073e-63
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2575120683075265, b_new = -1.3720230432416136, c_new = 5.566359502097249
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4955.77076027684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0507055865962314, b_new = -1.8417716290815855, c_new = 5.849115106064648
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3085.378076332436
Acceptance probability: 1.0209174994393225e-32
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.496475217320191, b_new = -1.604125576204534, c_new = 5.809250856395877
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9113.598375789983
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7300659037439687, b_new = -1.320914528592888, c_new = 6.070990876491792
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6334.5562913286385
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3875648131462777, b_new = -0.7374373312744196, c_new = 6.452508196568326
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10412.349462061036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.474157006063301, b_new = -2.566257840193674, c_new = 4.625199019923022
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6012.595332722792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1269844898017167, b_new = -1.2179874593456803, c_new = 6.0339984461023475
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3563.4240229454035
Acceptance probability: 2.4904276980922497e-240
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7646588492278275, b_new = -1.3720323725022194, c_new = 5.497424305306699
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12194.009454744111
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3265625948743547, b_new = -0.5885745304364679, c_new = 6.690910744444515
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8996.102179635725
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.007123491732493, b_new = -0.9451392197265447, c_new = 6.137441451149343
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13527.138192432416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.385960658427235, b_new = -1.9461842037779662, c_new = 6.1325653025554026
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6245.423541932664
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879486764256616, b_new = -1.585532837130261, c_new = 6.590150238383203
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4133.601331899945
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.319668012722038, b_new = -1.7472781920609242, c_new = 5.6600200664619456
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5263.216150254857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.782076365875732, b_new = -1.58353810324029, c_new = 5.595213411607362
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6121.416836477766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.99112010951466, b_new = -1.1536476504552522, c_new = 6.708884959174453
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3029.0034086546575
Acceptance probability: 3.1059734544654774e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9048350184920073, b_new = -1.5791930706089294, c_new = 6.258630166244163
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3872.6571341234994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3484488848550287, b_new = -0.057311537900281984, c_new = 5.478358201549682
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10235.431403200057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.140206924586569, b_new = -2.198287355738234, c_new = 5.431735857220469
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3051.62620573789
Acceptance probability: 4.647739743988096e-18
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1334401275718906, b_new = -0.4635503619701008, c_new = 4.980200501632876
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4630.623678183696
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0492943675780007, b_new = -0.7676155819579759, c_new = 6.01087421072251
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3394.7078988108415
Acceptance probability: 4.663969026372076e-167
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.903866524611125, b_new = -1.05867134425487, c_new = 5.166544873120098
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3416.585270523107
Acceptance probability: 1.4707330246189907e-176
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3358839964240383, b_new = -1.4264216760241317, c_new = 5.479846429477851
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6336.259396025662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8235491758493523, b_new = -1.0565783591212812, c_new = 4.722763642033061
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4428.415329725413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5392946116123545, b_new = -1.7957790371538218, c_new = 5.3050028822708315
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10993.408843637806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.95726048657786, b_new = -0.688056864253807, c_new = 5.229562331047317
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14048.050329857528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6515098816251483, b_new = -1.1185341512924172, c_new = 6.180803538472418
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11866.88784571046
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.880768652391593, b_new = -1.570760374360947, c_new = 6.044271581364804
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4212.520668414559
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8504679663108794, b_new = -1.6572872097501066, c_new = 6.457142869502551
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12667.641282672126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2973608813540816, b_new = -2.0604378595935655, c_new = 5.9681496853610385
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4341.785244318525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.321523936489905, b_new = -1.7642888526197136, c_new = 6.139080513261628
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5405.947950870203
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1014346560711195, b_new = -1.1055138615003361, c_new = 5.226025609853516
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3350.8841339119394
Acceptance probability: 5.0254496877490736e-148
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6739793187476675, b_new = -1.6112105916020778, c_new = 5.589344939495644
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8446.967933476459
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9068005012985663, b_new = -1.330539660602938, c_new = 5.535415092774282
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13172.306740988133
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.726222277635963, b_new = -1.210173230924491, c_new = 6.383317651068954
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6022.184791137693
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7312508580946355, b_new = -1.031126978752092, c_new = 5.456840849417135
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5779.7545194238555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9120247636092453, b_new = -1.5161266249418015, c_new = 6.716250135084372
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3631.235445603053
Acceptance probability: 8.833794002586799e-270
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8485218787105286, b_new = -0.8073228958894552, c_new = 6.2729964413267245
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3487.2561579493185
Acceptance probability: 2.989216728315606e-207
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.938230066502194, b_new = -1.7968136136997546, c_new = 6.04009395730579
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12935.211276920472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5725835990093846, b_new = -1.44557295813629, c_new = 5.360774414090412
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10302.084124394461
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5081847389454985, b_new = -1.1637634743811587, c_new = 6.1298384843296585
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10312.040264089195
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.447710298217811, b_new = -1.4448865848853476, c_new = 6.487618409805202
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8928.518869329782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5159154728616357, b_new = -1.1595856924999481, c_new = 5.911967589349455
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10342.735211403431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8196957904255084, b_new = -0.9059560896797753, c_new = 5.865479751600692
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13254.159414171714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.335590043585433, b_new = -1.1268126050790561, c_new = 6.295249607881068
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7475.868282591335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5155599819066796, b_new = -1.3161616603511, c_new = 4.916645968110306
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10471.149079345887
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.709809720044082, b_new = -1.280226205764459, c_new = 6.4177442178397435
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6524.070474724014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3651203476676503, b_new = -1.937168058222019, c_new = 5.440173325272956
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12782.51309057363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.488707182856328, b_new = -0.664842306680146, c_new = 6.218163436702673
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11064.023454741073
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.794986644378183, b_new = -2.220516397103454, c_new = 4.885927702776718
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7953.423751149262
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7421583519004793, b_new = -1.3581476668892498, c_new = 5.46922487271618
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6398.1506002094875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.360465053522536, b_new = -2.3099524440002286, c_new = 6.10561992728095
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13122.97048677645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.233524034596622, b_new = -1.1255831206482085, c_new = 5.085254062294132
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4935.108056449804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2080410272608537, b_new = -0.6865903414028215, c_new = 5.6370439575868945
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5678.848529921955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136538295480765, b_new = -1.9986868742922874, c_new = 6.205968488186514
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3063.078940782356
Acceptance probability: 4.936079760309667e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7679937429470884, b_new = -1.00002603292097, c_new = 6.405368111396265
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12959.197581141238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1188040317007832, b_new = -1.0317590916660384, c_new = 5.142738436563439
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3562.461605589967
Acceptance probability: 6.519983318775088e-240
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.324752587859588, b_new = -1.050592940829944, c_new = 5.5624834030076356
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11788.399507557493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3475711011924845, b_new = -2.201103523441014, c_new = 5.447028811599729
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4729.592579086057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5489923663830165, b_new = -1.2833904049777332, c_new = 5.409881811652463
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9793.614804611434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.11624056414956, b_new = -1.0318773710025528, c_new = 5.1355360963688454
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3537.3843397107185
Acceptance probability: 5.071829870952882e-229
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.752819172520723, b_new = -0.8274473102217509, c_new = 5.418597872618477
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4920.697390018154
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0216781973026916, b_new = -1.161994997857423, c_new = 6.330263893944638
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3042.8592767702567
Acceptance probability: 2.9831196654109026e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8253074019397695, b_new = -1.2684840991435533, c_new = 5.407648001585274
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4633.4967727717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6745550578770616, b_new = -1.5896495309383363, c_new = 5.29653069749896
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8494.540746580695
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7932327141045592, b_new = -1.9207413391317538, c_new = 5.219601316970159
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -15381.198008653802
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1215456509712616, b_new = -1.5574113743138307, c_new = 6.0553675161677285
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3206.4925102261727
Acceptance probability: 2.5683862083571065e-85
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.654273975472288, b_new = -1.4496719699974316, c_new = 6.1391581601243
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11363.643931532992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.6298891919322094, b_new = -1.8650677737124144, c_new = 6.243655960299044
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -15591.255832317289
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6520609657394965, b_new = -2.1779837077532456, c_new = 6.5116561175947725
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9871.986959021517
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1002252394972047, b_new = -1.027103438595315, c_new = 5.352226286754019
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3435.298919559683
Acceptance probability: 1.0972341892861609e-184
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3894661354810456, b_new = -0.6859041495504025, c_new = 5.903385680176679
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10459.950281334057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1671073461017265, b_new = -2.0827637457972785, c_new = 5.05929631976027
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3097.6877201140037
Acceptance probability: 4.6023567471436704e-38
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4230854599132092, b_new = -1.3085160457161227, c_new = 5.498633558048876
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8453.44019554941
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3344801383446803, b_new = -0.7353620689334642, c_new = 4.677301754889987
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11470.652548778344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2612748246320624, b_new = -1.4488815112807731, c_new = 5.264861587472105
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4773.587568351865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5717527403645457, b_new = -1.3950635471196051, c_new = 6.34948027036884
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10692.669517521459
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.844123466690455, b_new = -1.4603166431011372, c_new = 5.638352740577352
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12657.180487664056
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.215290807374601, b_new = -1.3984595034870164, c_new = 6.146548919558895
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4379.3340124848955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7916158821119668, b_new = -1.4945032170537134, c_new = 6.399621878168387
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5432.616680420868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2212052947036782, b_new = -1.8230452070963876, c_new = 6.348770452575337
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3811.437843446578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.403596539821313, b_new = -0.9321218566095002, c_new = 5.903259849869897
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10740.04643314145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.161529331452882, b_new = -0.8022279108379012, c_new = 5.979203888219612
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4673.256707330621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.767353953284491, b_new = -0.8725469171980369, c_new = 5.311577767680143
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4799.015811706024
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4947092677377674, b_new = -1.0884611867932543, c_new = 5.699319815796279
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10144.176771207975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.186767061460097, b_new = -2.4408305199615175, c_new = 4.936576802968348
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14506.071778493766
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2883881831226907, b_new = -1.7314288361357741, c_new = 6.18372914654657
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4892.998222822451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7177397813825053, b_new = -1.6774598714559117, c_new = 5.709502412094631
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7699.501620310927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3971826117711177, b_new = -1.719436658866746, c_new = 5.8296369872112965
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6967.290502366434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.683082786923425, b_new = -1.7957709514306448, c_new = 6.069472852122025
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8572.187165631782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6375579023686635, b_new = -0.4908448694652514, c_new = 4.9074406212225075
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12304.959574849972
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.938508597352221, b_new = -1.452814528547211, c_new = 5.688375775044286
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13249.94369376439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6446575347460985, b_new = -0.5901050244109773, c_new = 5.831434813720448
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12486.286450304051
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.81516529672797, b_new = -1.7592435604692283, c_new = 6.222489869878385
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5681.860290383458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.99699324081971, b_new = -1.2983576629539062, c_new = 5.311803346578401
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3060.8144232064224
Acceptance probability: 4.751707030399263e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.178422597516613, b_new = -1.2731582774168675, c_new = 5.514127022579495
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13122.18970502627
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0866623088587026, b_new = -2.2064804258667055, c_new = 5.558934211452563
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3167.8741588365224
Acceptance probability: 1.5184386089392686e-68
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8878402355486044, b_new = -1.0793601259580292, c_new = 5.781696927351618
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3490.3520080626095
Acceptance probability: 1.352218218771384e-208
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.106506020065986, b_new = -0.972116057982598, c_new = 6.149248815577423
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3693.1010661198407
Acceptance probability: 1.1974286849573105e-296
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3997931626493787, b_new = -0.05944535577343357, c_new = 4.556222368457018
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10607.738997870903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8937729579106506, b_new = -1.5832614067257575, c_new = 5.874051911193607
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12879.56070219802
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2564895824570748, b_new = -1.9445339839461824, c_new = 5.685871681669394
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3929.042767270382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.493571882900742, b_new = -1.3959621950323626, c_new = 6.118135011967849
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9633.123260981867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6304646462509043, b_new = -1.6266506213623448, c_new = 6.361489912687737
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10911.99520376455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.931028378694106, b_new = -1.7502605695208047, c_new = 5.487603860202412
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3978.3251465329236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.593262385436801, b_new = -1.146037247760704, c_new = 5.552284903138429
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11099.514157812619
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.162100956714503, b_new = -1.1478409390619146, c_new = 6.268217971870348
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4108.212750839169
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.407751806022504, b_new = -1.6381273843512714, c_new = 5.639339317574851
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11953.48579743638
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.494705613520206, b_new = -1.1847385846843774, c_new = 5.842332789794137
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10164.29608631289
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.571787603680433, b_new = -1.3012041648321793, c_new = 5.658847315686019
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9417.353637538981
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.213128439556651, b_new = -1.30583717563589, c_new = 5.513209213813656
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4360.809071416941
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.830808881671276, b_new = -2.234889966050197, c_new = 5.362579099889807
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6985.59369654161
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.364830839590942, b_new = -1.7177441095151074, c_new = 5.9557319812959255
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6341.573261454678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8426323819261983, b_new = -0.1183997151231897, c_new = 6.52142966271156
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14441.140801692152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097605537184561, b_new = -1.8870944805749514, c_new = 6.042848667072668
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3020.5999601095414
Acceptance probability: 0.00013860186425575165
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.924316102960023, b_new = -1.3844381212931332, c_new = 5.278161359438306
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13145.224914185967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2681360099589902, b_new = -1.9104501668103082, c_new = 7.0566004183831925
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12954.5906136186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0620118106768466, b_new = -1.0612780470604324, c_new = 5.331518204725706
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3155.581118719482
Acceptance probability: 3.3128115111869645e-63
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4344402866857378, b_new = -1.4828660215106744, c_new = 5.510127988679394
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8226.430138637847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.103265238755289, b_new = -2.6149306014632963, c_new = 5.164664907989108
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3472.466563497841
Acceptance probability: 7.917656636560976e-201
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6809660100691266, b_new = -0.9835552865639345, c_new = 5.754059699255639
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6572.049683969091
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.654081516623095, b_new = -0.614527706129837, c_new = 5.751266432451889
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6177.110287528911
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.864315394061283, b_new = -1.1671252055619705, c_new = 6.488026015115484
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13371.621347447533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5263291405675163, b_new = -0.6754120748902002, c_new = 6.325726613152666
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11480.285757663773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5797083272432877, b_new = -2.1741134768275803, c_new = 5.685084010927051
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9095.037069376278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.261571372229807, b_new = -0.7620891738949888, c_new = 6.379345679529751
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11667.38926628195
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1932068368822075, b_new = -1.8777333341354763, c_new = 5.403288945697024
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3357.031249779907
Acceptance probability: 1.0752672744380177e-150
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.049629399073462, b_new = -1.0522689058237344, c_new = 6.1808254527024795
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3179.8214149148944
Acceptance probability: 9.83489775277467e-74
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6395358645169704, b_new = -0.28969990725929673, c_new = 6.005580836508637
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12922.231694242244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5389394912479872, b_new = -0.8590681720641551, c_new = 5.007381700131843
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9159.664537296452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.10678039181679, b_new = -1.5680060661793274, c_new = 5.821116411158117
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13985.990689177244
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9187244934576584, b_new = -1.782640643797191, c_new = 5.749772695876135
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4129.894399045148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.491121182737876, b_new = -1.58436334432387, c_new = 5.089168230360659
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8828.444785303464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2396965031254292, b_new = -1.6384425255861161, c_new = 4.981628024366907
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4048.31307333367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.645888476759862, b_new = -1.6545293796802882, c_new = 5.928375730312559
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8944.785024374505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.555265885581943, b_new = -1.6720282013238212, c_new = 4.9071978877607165
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10691.71669444537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1979281701175455, b_new = -1.748282170252191, c_new = 5.898984577401454
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13469.585182605453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8382974818184437, b_new = -1.596551883331099, c_new = 6.105823404854336
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4907.145062678699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4609616571242414, b_new = -1.8168955934509423, c_new = 5.454770651875385
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11814.966672393792
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.641642985399326, b_new = -1.3243614512048927, c_new = 5.535998527024065
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8332.36411950096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0726279555575045, b_new = -1.6556561298077097, c_new = 5.932445292160388
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3015.9178085421263
Acceptance probability: 0.01496930581655882
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5430083385093867, b_new = -1.8277367848811628, c_new = 5.2755174937608675
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9154.4045970622
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.090236571689973, b_new = -1.188636108284688, c_new = 5.512029731637036
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3238.2800844150247
Acceptance probability: 4.0224649254113095e-99
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6312058373154645, b_new = -1.586960144287858, c_new = 6.159777238290257
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10924.750402885473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4182072208876266, b_new = -1.1290033744708363, c_new = 5.722625177575371
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8901.097044220132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.017621121335761, b_new = -0.5821633868539261, c_new = 5.761789909358905
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3309.0932989847506
Acceptance probability: 7.0909419888698314e-130
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8436041372269973, b_new = -0.5167082967880754, c_new = 6.473527018655428
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3269.945101595029
Acceptance probability: 7.121148382957603e-113
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0007655184988753, b_new = -0.7982025354565783, c_new = 5.754839872704058
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3083.633119324914
Acceptance probability: 5.845421701758703e-32
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.078442113595788, b_new = -0.7467162129351648, c_new = 7.083196849198805
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3911.7100767619595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9135468670920908, b_new = 0.20820619826539621, c_new = 5.291249262690737
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14760.487260913618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8509:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.890660682925795, b_new = -1.947882044166053, c_new = 6.196942277087644
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4747.97975333926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8510:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9115110957513792, b_new = -0.5784577301947132, c_new = 6.343599629883269
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14229.773181824621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8511:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.851050832663332, b_new = -2.3979719415008374, c_new = 5.753673041756676
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6847.166412382705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8512:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1769217252068653, b_new = -1.5283880211923935, c_new = 6.089395636700421
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3680.5096482689005
Acceptance probability: 3.5207318545657156e-291
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8513:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4977448875045676, b_new = -1.2382668779774058, c_new = 5.676156885208361
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10284.856442349523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8514:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6397959385170826, b_new = -1.0717585813736763, c_new = 5.873579714057002
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7589.081811265394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8515:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3210641127501805, b_new = -1.6446687739029051, c_new = 6.202408584302923
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5711.741554470347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8516:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3379565046664963, b_new = -0.7982495459322643, c_new = 5.86414437397579
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8285.124981373752
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8517:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.908436292424514, b_new = -1.6748960087315665, c_new = 6.510021790060837
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3923.489034992668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8518:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.708189420246642, b_new = -1.4823044750351955, c_new = 6.666298889241633
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7003.751523516514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8519:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6889756561756655, b_new = -1.1098145028522, c_new = 5.353879251816288
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11946.485675901351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8520:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.927551452255868, b_new = -1.5405192541348351, c_new = 5.09387550657179
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3786.515974567993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8521:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9576574609753776, b_new = -2.2124638454402623, c_new = 6.051397880442324
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4279.8651074649715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8522:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031270724434342, b_new = -0.5366418672981793, c_new = 5.928748384679334
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3483.1293144934193
Acceptance probability: 1.852775266812997e-205
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8523:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4435646780186873, b_new = -0.29691552220075135, c_new = 5.740426593046525
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11081.200447610527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8524:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.789795772910019, b_new = -1.5765250857939757, c_new = 5.482976552616365
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5984.105618748296
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8525:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.198386389807771, b_new = -0.18461973064081572, c_new = 6.282402870045544
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7172.59839379644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8526:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.737367184629516, b_new = -1.154031851269738, c_new = 7.255719914954288
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5405.49758325297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8527:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0980761037110165, b_new = -1.5680647883306418, c_new = 5.653114750231228
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3072.2653633449654
Acceptance probability: 5.0555631698057035e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8528:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0491493795741405, b_new = -0.4489465218510654, c_new = 5.863765875250238
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3751.3206857078576
Acceptance probability: 6.23e-322
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8529:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.038809314550397, b_new = -0.8978163077787612, c_new = 5.264129308104205
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3139.5056585066714
Acceptance probability: 3.174536983864151e-56
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8530:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.433118598701258, b_new = -1.4527965941306018, c_new = 6.093637860915562
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11275.270590946135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8531:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2880368592687157, b_new = -1.365787341318262, c_new = 5.8714709980725415
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12433.605843927191
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8532:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6754280257602296, b_new = -1.3521475947143151, c_new = 5.6625572357950364
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7697.58703985813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8533:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9977320707837536, b_new = -1.355403965338141, c_new = 5.4499423782257415
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3073.0167012699294
Acceptance probability: 2.3848860126761558e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8534:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4216504998179245, b_new = -1.6908739357010554, c_new = 5.544840214331859
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11942.718405256608
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8535:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8487688755476706, b_new = -1.4033611080488642, c_new = 5.8196294749235875
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4425.355008708648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8536:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8950905964890157, b_new = -1.9431895838497584, c_new = 4.469642272654373
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12105.671323314367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8537:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.552295810655371, b_new = -1.2501192882070058, c_new = 5.6192654469014
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10505.786411325616
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8538:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2818331799063496, b_new = -0.8194455903555449, c_new = 6.130046606794396
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7109.6889394653845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8539:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0426393537384655, b_new = -0.41835972910007957, c_new = 5.421772442046746
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3637.5230854581123
Acceptance probability: 1.6423282917646033e-272
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8540:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8163978425370186, b_new = -1.745969623883536, c_new = 5.7449293967955475
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5788.947340344595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8541:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.281995491156346, b_new = -1.6262264969244036, c_new = 4.871675462400314
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4655.803507048133
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8542:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4282167592384303, b_new = -1.411648823853565, c_new = 6.384678217694554
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8622.298746615405
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8543:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0906480845087834, b_new = -0.960992422724515, c_new = 5.707556090410141
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3478.8771098274847
Acceptance probability: 1.3017625308449276e-203
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8544:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.241660467678342, b_new = -1.2855808102715176, c_new = 4.93793422493314
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4696.895553963055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8545:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1741140594703334, b_new = -1.83639157315806, c_new = 6.732126469400804
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3405.02678538973
Acceptance probability: 1.5392889686140508e-171
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8546:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2884756817322245, b_new = -0.22299192297714754, c_new = 5.861388147505655
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8893.306841262389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8547:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.656770093774105, b_new = -1.6979049370717065, c_new = 6.002277444573151
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10947.46634644308
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8548:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3351565712047773, b_new = -0.9319982707589556, c_new = 5.605369038043673
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7739.853870990544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8549:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3099219524405084, b_new = -0.8663508160449884, c_new = 5.910729940503307
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7504.987701443519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8550:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.229835085923881, b_new = -1.5349787836241306, c_new = 6.327165859341557
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14631.6750995511
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8551:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3539653597496866, b_new = 0.09099452680491016, c_new = 5.479737364002272
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10651.428415494556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8552:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1910561434456444, b_new = -1.5497199212030217, c_new = 5.762058618914199
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13313.110941871884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8553:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0001935338477113, b_new = -2.4925978768174675, c_new = 5.8697185939992185
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -15036.105356531001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8554:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.39539271637409, b_new = -1.5595279288022335, c_new = 5.988794046238437
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7420.862894025002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0320201172729604, b_new = -2.0162223876384044, c_new = 5.604798599947603
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3321.5793623033287
Acceptance probability: 2.679634326101181e-135
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.518883833886804, b_new = -1.2974564522988916, c_new = 6.228735582633705
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10216.256451467743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1577499740707786, b_new = -0.4565218903307935, c_new = 5.3490482659414065
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12285.853385886365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3288844886502025, b_new = -0.9207276962465605, c_new = 5.635877395108471
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7649.16584435764
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.18963253739918, b_new = -0.9290712767904115, c_new = 6.293169864980827
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4969.303144858736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.236158636072538, b_new = -1.7434772876487694, c_new = 5.595706555974661
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3961.3287098025844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.948602600129659, b_new = -0.7909266747022088, c_new = 5.579992862114427
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3030.535261846948
Acceptance probability: 6.71308816847053e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.195381753000943, b_new = -1.3554419483805036, c_new = 5.678894092475744
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4067.4764044464537
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.040482377573697, b_new = -1.2029016147582559, c_new = 5.388892409476663
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3029.8792624948574
Acceptance probability: 1.2936573189723358e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3960981928177865, b_new = -0.2760477927421645, c_new = 5.1006760694304925
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10298.78305497112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.660804823549413, b_new = -0.9285168570812878, c_new = 5.745634579938913
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6841.955187130773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.870773051204776, b_new = -1.631609656219592, c_new = 6.5315932455229335
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4349.075747161938
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.869700686837024, b_new = -1.3799211080223164, c_new = 4.975747577646639
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12748.130098230948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3350505364435263, b_new = -0.7110630278021426, c_new = 6.302892401830914
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8656.078725589141
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.688344638966953, b_new = -0.8719959753790849, c_new = 6.212319730298703
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12524.941463693216
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7933840307252766, b_new = -0.7010472976010995, c_new = 5.6191120957306815
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13279.887101634473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.461009361295603, b_new = -1.217645687789032, c_new = 5.384819029115332
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10778.547239663985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0944350471009856, b_new = -1.065617564238592, c_new = 6.117849660536237
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3461.070007500175
Acceptance probability: 7.047872621837695e-196
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3296081621598037, b_new = -2.536452841873853, c_new = 6.58165458172484
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13469.921023932759
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.392873182145125, b_new = -1.1721601068574556, c_new = 6.095379098820976
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8462.296567626521
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.36841567896695, b_new = -1.859757275797873, c_new = 5.596725034983588
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5926.325894901984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.713404199290256, b_new = -1.2088600488433734, c_new = 4.651215994362795
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6908.135686620178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.383247173281709, b_new = -1.1874205000258284, c_new = 5.619506700359543
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11463.140546772323
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8623672032894625, b_new = -1.0346390534498489, c_new = 5.706792941721169
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3692.946231660115
Acceptance probability: 1.3979556997207257e-296
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.529557030145887, b_new = -1.1484458113474283, c_new = 5.803332535968609
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9646.973581306636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.906621984005507, b_new = -1.672333871804069, c_new = 6.104641667908064
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4025.352895351683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3593752312539955, b_new = -1.901715164906347, c_new = 5.959837615121816
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5757.607163865921
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3944612857423904, b_new = -1.865311160699108, c_new = 5.530519355224427
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6422.92319762013
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0420120478906765, b_new = -2.225384172117696, c_new = 5.866936703752044
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14653.548330477686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9323404157596924, b_new = -0.8957825686908191, c_new = 6.64420424616269
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3071.468453310284
Acceptance probability: 1.1216650088374583e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8949499880444907, b_new = -1.4213049949910057, c_new = 5.714365190489202
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3862.202686654929
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0777114688240133, b_new = -1.8285756617810716, c_new = 5.159359932254944
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3054.185028661539
Acceptance probability: 3.5971547804252966e-19
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6428560507947187, b_new = -1.886668429381745, c_new = 6.869196973646076
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10753.206393565542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.429028901533101, b_new = -1.9425991456674372, c_new = 6.507315643137769
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11984.468346989746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.377800057444062, b_new = -1.1634061978189731, c_new = 6.391532171455908
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8305.47854439827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5251135874497446, b_new = -1.9058959991494504, c_new = 5.688163816072782
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8850.403207004418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.760851148952799, b_new = -0.6512503781149698, c_new = 6.578688672554876
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4204.301351519594
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4524078843525063, b_new = -1.6562358086090625, c_new = 4.60617390253518
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11900.488184209335
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1516045539155524, b_new = -1.3818342060673992, c_new = 5.5791529159822435
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3528.9220579448897
Acceptance probability: 2.4004184291380678e-225
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2991495903041548, b_new = -1.153468053872983, c_new = 6.327951849518165
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11936.324521315455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5469139765842126, b_new = -0.595297105316169, c_new = 5.674691535449832
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8192.791948884274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.49107643672206, b_new = -0.9340234798750413, c_new = 6.032951318067994
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9655.88703166018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2287517677999524, b_new = -1.6973967380395738, c_new = 6.364382345036261
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4097.067590342029
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.266354789122798, b_new = -0.8586222822180908, c_new = 6.187164010541434
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11815.441194858666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.564735520988806, b_new = -1.6166934679213023, c_new = 5.660691611366401
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9984.965885086858
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7186665827620837, b_new = -1.8504449253902537, c_new = 6.032700241148231
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8030.705107577033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7640761633318203, b_new = -1.4281918481374436, c_new = 5.476974494222674
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6126.001107954753
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.212765713808787, b_new = -1.4413972146690268, c_new = 5.844038819586455
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4193.625361999078
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.100956607662225, b_new = -1.9835922576701561, c_new = 5.772528279298082
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3031.4445405040797
Acceptance probability: 2.704130507780892e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.04819430497084, b_new = -1.9544743947562413, c_new = 5.2146569892267784
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3221.493461605619
Acceptance probability: 7.849281812021074e-92
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.43906126780033, b_new = -2.0694874525357383, c_new = 6.167336945537857
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7027.1449842614675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.03054146493663, b_new = -0.7631895330314331, c_new = 5.846732441526966
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14445.302158071807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.113969625800419, b_new = -0.5076375374720382, c_new = 5.253930794779289
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12657.742477347307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8946687896452716, b_new = -0.9831534014243053, c_new = 6.803211392972582
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3255.4719020142556
Acceptance probability: 1.3746139553797613e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.988343197374438, b_new = -1.2630907991763076, c_new = 5.7412327517763355
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3052.930910437978
Acceptance probability: 1.260711601671289e-18
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.814262453922293, b_new = -1.1044095955438118, c_new = 6.033462917716386
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4336.148410749891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3667049642770803, b_new = -2.17298686361512, c_new = 5.908807166239759
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5239.418258931977
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4764335616308766, b_new = -1.2446557431198555, c_new = 5.449670964404959
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10629.111042334624
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.813663193699039, b_new = -1.2459336087612256, c_new = 5.540386230676095
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12703.72691015498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0242155125976664, b_new = -1.0631959078755904, c_new = 5.3264841606880005
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3030.61486448351
Acceptance probability: 6.199424358254136e-09
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1899612238615265, b_new = -1.2619895827839034, c_new = 5.373303147444927
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4082.546512149421
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4364153167272677, b_new = -0.7354013630668563, c_new = 5.776047515356659
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10118.534263978197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2334025778481705, b_new = -1.5700241769892291, c_new = 5.550724287894234
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4192.531645611722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.576315528323114, b_new = -1.348005390721207, c_new = 5.665312182200659
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9450.949260939145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7754790599984065, b_new = -0.6461292147134765, c_new = 5.551690113245714
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4198.3718860491535
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1585945948838936, b_new = -2.020195814985765, c_new = 5.8537394922518775
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3111.3246946436475
Acceptance probability: 5.5019607953596e-44
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6028717713556118, b_new = -2.0269610553423756, c_new = 6.271490616478374
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10323.045382125223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5498715223747466, b_new = -1.7076992718273722, c_new = 5.977632092905243
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10459.51498095094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.14019600097961, b_new = -1.962627401074379, c_new = 5.954416825803866
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3075.7390124024187
Acceptance probability: 1.567411120176812e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0312029941725602, b_new = -2.328919666898436, c_new = 5.580325751043266
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3684.3334127864327
Acceptance probability: 7.691182552734255e-293
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.775674883608304, b_new = -0.22087763739766997, c_new = 5.821175282764785
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13917.11269420999
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1617487016466264, b_new = -1.4409782758679115, c_new = 4.97557232851177
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13553.15170105065
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.139605845261112, b_new = -0.7234996447778006, c_new = 5.311339825411715
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12745.37021657055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3516439627176196, b_new = -1.03836749619528, c_new = 6.013951311473421
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7957.156089156951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8420035887935664, b_new = -1.9291561962536792, c_new = 5.209673801858155
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5941.9940968818355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.756400249760282, b_new = -1.8341019090571078, c_new = 6.28251193643959
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7092.974372107533
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.834085020124998, b_new = -0.8533117607793061, c_new = 5.952501680471608
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3719.6327943021397
Acceptance probability: 3.594731958576642e-308
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.048616473087278, b_new = -1.3900766190599516, c_new = 5.259826730720696
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13770.385073771566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6406041638737694, b_new = -1.0643621749415708, c_new = 5.642089693943759
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11695.607877522392
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374717149233577, b_new = -1.9241421655067024, c_new = 6.373971024220945
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6154.192956116127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8795581384008875, b_new = -1.8218257925570487, c_new = 6.1342255338811515
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4685.259354644798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3687074762734404, b_new = -1.9250496487141882, c_new = 5.271022094190045
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5667.254125369229
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.949515860502878, b_new = -1.7769658524676277, c_new = 6.413056570081008
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3630.3269547951772
Acceptance probability: 2.1912897755560267e-269
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.633514382500409, b_new = -1.8469561593417572, c_new = 5.214627408712657
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9879.56506740925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.44312234312231, b_new = -0.9309406531863509, c_new = 4.711534410359993
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10668.292170515506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.444778800322286, b_new = -0.928917409391925, c_new = 5.466171138703092
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9706.225940763716
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4734924376899907, b_new = -1.4376373660965935, c_new = 6.0396238358061805
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9208.918569798998
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.146797356928463, b_new = -1.613207205713266, c_new = 6.2054381938099406
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3340.125439542903
Acceptance probability: 2.3638315581472513e-143
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4670817107236696, b_new = -1.365462448873087, c_new = 6.0691054190669345
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9282.95103113261
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2167216708618787, b_new = -1.326514835354157, c_new = 6.17216968000647
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4545.432065836667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8197328454852526, b_new = -1.3765897533586398, c_new = 6.180196873333926
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4735.910107354731
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8033338282589884, b_new = -1.621960743640723, c_new = 5.355146474579236
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12101.491694029059
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3671302921348922, b_new = -1.2410757906990635, c_new = 5.578857588416348
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7543.547849292783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6618660941575736, b_new = -1.1228160089119053, c_new = 6.551832485449408
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7043.529887444212
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.346287808978689, b_new = -1.9103621095630996, c_new = 5.760888419779195
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5416.513163934709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3922953643574103, b_new = -1.1914929354307413, c_new = 5.632625996597087
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8217.29804802514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7922333274769495, b_new = -1.4847588246405368, c_new = 5.85783373427475
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5571.477556717343
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.261192589574847, b_new = -0.2367077581122241, c_new = 5.717064072455149
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -15620.481199959117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4037912430619937, b_new = -1.7365844541426252, c_new = 6.380872027424692
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11921.433697899398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.014363315591775, b_new = -1.4820383538792998, c_new = 5.29457738538017
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3082.257397674359
Acceptance probability: 2.3135781234779217e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6052796243127165, b_new = -2.107996328075804, c_new = 5.789013140920132
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9598.274234073595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6396741786051745, b_new = -0.5778222121332182, c_new = 6.37197614105164
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -12628.803178092598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.557496558248103, b_new = -0.5618765118867824, c_new = 5.55302246701531
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7969.296026554719
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.50872969453119, b_new = -1.1771404906399614, c_new = 5.4617585563255755
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10068.849134944701
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.437304751886685, b_new = -1.6868702573273375, c_new = 6.495493486619306
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11504.54318704482
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.349563091380333, b_new = -1.5853886489734454, c_new = 5.924055563221448
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6360.745832962437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.353572263379241, b_new = -1.2428369803527688, c_new = 5.412502824666198
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7186.549869323675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1036044260600013, b_new = -1.0329442184995008, c_new = 4.734562321502674
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13467.052733423476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.480224075342249, b_new = -1.435382302429766, c_new = 5.744650056415327
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10847.438369730851
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.601400310212567, b_new = -1.2650316695801997, c_new = 6.185672917324458
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8670.65820377799
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.566537323398928, b_new = -1.726584404158124, c_new = 5.603096443126431
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10413.108688402406
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.335373751252221, b_new = -0.9699814243805641, c_new = 6.734818316350681
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8109.097802150178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3641551768198825, b_new = -0.6432883824773457, c_new = 5.939668582775551
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9248.035241585054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.358690498463159, b_new = -1.273903707976719, c_new = 6.125703728368213
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7488.598238898481
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0558257679354597, b_new = -0.4778642699336362, c_new = 5.517778451245645
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3710.4790744629977
Acceptance probability: 3.396851238011414e-304
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.65785722501613, b_new = -1.8490417218908526, c_new = 5.484132155731299
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9391.336410560036
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.111252732926392, b_new = -1.4628819598144756, c_new = 5.7486145580056345
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3186.434945069376
Acceptance probability: 1.3199278645441232e-76
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2625106945400044, b_new = -1.3557672542171337, c_new = 5.705091130097556
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5121.50476704475
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8673:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.091351967943006, b_new = -2.2770299857328435, c_new = 5.200382759094639
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3234.7574171138685
Acceptance probability: 1.3625963973688468e-97
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8674:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5423111026238874, b_new = -1.1686717343704651, c_new = 5.980797915738106
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -10656.988321713976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8675:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.110340649688438, b_new = -1.6520324508864968, c_new = 5.5932961712027
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13887.295450691836
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8676:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.999868136810124, b_new = -1.3785276781892137, c_new = 5.047590356635524
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3102.14966488864
Acceptance probability: 5.311073178344354e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8677:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1057212898207687, b_new = -0.9291602574867706, c_new = 5.324551186396572
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3590.931882350318
Acceptance probability: 2.816841362712692e-252
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8678:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2463845027141898, b_new = -1.3550929434400396, c_new = 5.207299672353123
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4704.381179524614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8679:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.13646350043376, b_new = -1.0987106278697083, c_new = 5.272621107901974
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -14426.60590138785
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8680:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.341106343773091, b_new = -1.023191228973305, c_new = 4.99665429186122
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7369.243845138382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8681:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.643772586181686, b_new = -1.322308710154587, c_new = 4.672754657588991
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -8622.044848657488
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8682:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7126743584955646, b_new = -0.3820360958505533, c_new = 5.972975919755927
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -13280.505478495383
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8683:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.889008114693979, b_new = -1.2879440491312226, c_new = 6.126211926515771
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3671.8817853264322
Acceptance probability: 1.9663744210196128e-287
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8684:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5454734918763235, b_new = -1.0241417650882427, c_new = 5.477366734478035
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9263.635915437326
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8685:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2991069197066163, b_new = -1.2506624393815913, c_new = 5.87038018963806
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -6169.6726734487165
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8686:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0234222548714604, b_new = -1.7173430752866208, c_new = 5.824962494920647
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3126.49858834074
Acceptance probability: 1.414422609254859e-50
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8687:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2973259314555, b_new = -0.9871355589257969, c_new = 6.27598001808739
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7028.471257373848
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8688:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.131809404306044, b_new = -1.7192893382720826, c_new = 5.615956506197244
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3128.5120025385745
Acceptance probability: 1.8887066695087698e-51
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8689:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2332374173238576, b_new = -1.2789414521829345, c_new = 5.480201872833258
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -4717.676684743426
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8690:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3995587720176146, b_new = -1.7345901077777273, c_new = 6.495278196039238
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7224.797741553586
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8691:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7458166551474283, b_new = -2.727144405294599, c_new = 6.053714113264412
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9865.140654897123
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8692:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7338996403387417, b_new = -1.8369888885994619, c_new = 6.3452752534821455
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -11529.670565036002
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8693:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.094076505895262, b_new = -1.2352022741425959, c_new = 5.303432619152682
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3206.576584488196
Acceptance probability: 2.361279197804735e-85
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8694:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.874470306152797, b_new = -2.0304086497240963, c_new = 6.025477762172538
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -5270.145922100268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8695:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7052240811868598, b_new = -1.2510126217077373, c_new = 4.8747649107774835
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -7110.277942461349
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8696:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.58587284055707, b_new = -1.2439443717473302, c_new = 5.192689456523305
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -9235.874111206238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8697:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.235934801278815, b_new = -1.872703898330712, c_new = 6.362202031397595
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3914.320999185912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8698:
Current coefficients: a = 3.031980364671048, b = -1.3420051241572415, c = 5.777313505938329
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0227124775793004, b_new = -1.3630097811128985, c_new = 6.314628987552282
Current likelihood: -3011.716055088861
Proposed likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Acceptance probability: 0.036266286937842944
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8699:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.423831823599942, b_new = -1.6565862963801805, c_new = 5.440057120733924
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7540.487272593057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8700:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9959623942081928, b_new = -1.644310169053506, c_new = 6.781820098099906
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3136.5867268920483
Acceptance probability: 1.62126195286506e-53
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8701:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3269557632045896, b_new = -2.490791664677892, c_new = 5.712197653104903
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4001.29679840703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8702:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3491727694628652, b_new = -0.7228126720829948, c_new = 6.539241527171677
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9005.5997390492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8703:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.360553561166011, b_new = -0.9349509622957173, c_new = 6.493276509538737
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8629.154233925601
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8704:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.280999254537187, b_new = -1.0146841885199054, c_new = 7.012267838085111
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6891.727701889605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8705:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8771003119135323, b_new = -1.3610469838568497, c_new = 6.359678365127369
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3861.094595915251
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8706:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5034752771715825, b_new = -1.5560481294384556, c_new = 6.382301147329922
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10598.444675476125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8707:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3714156935219637, b_new = -1.5288127522999873, c_new = 6.1829404388321105
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7073.965738127894
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8708:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8366797710812346, b_new = -1.1107612561885134, c_new = 5.943395690147781
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4058.871478664109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8709:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.391136011655786, b_new = -0.9016274782934741, c_new = 6.719262353889671
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10583.092696795527
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8710:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7250667671744446, b_new = -0.6887480608418975, c_new = 6.555733736729199
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -14349.097878655037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8711:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.199629924847543, b_new = -2.016085507174716, c_new = 5.8562669749113345
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3331.766222615788
Acceptance probability: 2.7827565745530015e-138
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8712:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.627689333849232, b_new = -1.8229222567310186, c_new = 6.518027148835097
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9434.227354889767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8713:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.761503229159507, b_new = -1.1171502805861104, c_new = 6.542532818109492
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5082.845109192849
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8714:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0976459810409795, b_new = -1.4215200704145863, c_new = 5.787018059497193
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3147.2793222754167
Acceptance probability: 3.6822902562660775e-58
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8715:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.709306745706558, b_new = -1.6983373553437457, c_new = 6.541579383078051
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7608.153959829151
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8716:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.672150120518595, b_new = -1.1161180917285534, c_new = 5.872684442013701
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7057.510792283179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8717:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.946210667228441, b_new = -1.8493681080956423, c_new = 6.73762293944458
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3702.4049924554774
Acceptance probability: 3.0067872272288025e-299
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8718:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.705902611088383, b_new = -0.8150553826565399, c_new = 6.177655485618352
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5524.337164225497
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8719:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4058374352233596, b_new = -1.3617193112585417, c_new = 6.2324168387110745
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11350.75659148885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8720:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.322585159611835, b_new = -1.5213926396645903, c_new = 7.112363259071357
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12063.385258873486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8721:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1276612165720308, b_new = -1.328945995236659, c_new = 5.964218293842517
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3434.955271604445
Acceptance probability: 4.2661944744129815e-183
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8722:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1609043382923874, b_new = -1.3871758424768432, c_new = 6.63956468420225
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3803.2506586209183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8723:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5764674525393327, b_new = -0.8092624753427305, c_new = 6.409927900153019
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7936.815976975464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8724:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.762322556710667, b_new = -1.5368722106058426, c_new = 6.21463079969193
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6185.054873984549
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8725:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.070110560178507, b_new = -0.543041502893052, c_new = 6.055775354660939
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3888.3288283474026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8726:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.049087799566332, b_new = -1.0056341698250413, c_new = 6.757177976798408
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -14513.101206435009
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8727:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4446073921886793, b_new = -1.2881376964487266, c_new = 6.4944548482349145
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10744.16728273506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8728:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9967220476632352, b_new = -1.2820871128600209, c_new = 6.217141708802885
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13866.543512099635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8729:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2459104868933366, b_new = -1.7493066765923153, c_new = 5.462899657735291
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4049.1225471354105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8730:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.953250092147912, b_new = -1.6320514850758177, c_new = 6.474625427605079
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3423.3222525599945
Acceptance probability: 4.8105709877961976e-178
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8731:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4137134070141704, b_new = -1.9556396181180684, c_new = 6.567806613043373
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12116.160768104804
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8732:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0435293280709326, b_new = -0.7568457142948769, c_new = 6.456051531526014
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3431.9042310522914
Acceptance probability: 9.017594967738876e-182
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8733:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3604460596764896, b_new = -0.7521860729437672, c_new = 6.656904570165309
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10672.040913997773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8734:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.687693655883141, b_new = -1.4229616529689375, c_new = 5.542324495768016
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7686.000727439372
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8735:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.142529573192143, b_new = -1.3772697049960674, c_new = 6.058778540431364
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3525.13380664939
Acceptance probability: 2.924155695475085e-222
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8736:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.305441989606054, b_new = -1.1130547862227778, c_new = 6.254668749634976
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6838.299772076456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8737:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4023738532205132, b_new = -1.9645118365561234, c_new = 6.388048197994335
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12272.33483656442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8738:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.291240240888674, b_new = -0.46078111925215637, c_new = 6.631672394719477
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8602.904176286585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8739:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2958994394459245, b_new = -1.1970487083790617, c_new = 7.249061806545889
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6793.856579167688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8740:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7442495541184053, b_new = -2.069697753309099, c_new = 6.302946956437912
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8003.521183658479
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8741:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5718746073458907, b_new = -1.0891796532849636, c_new = 6.605524339226879
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8610.851872206502
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8742:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5814201851966865, b_new = -1.6461516792550508, c_new = 5.625643028199438
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10120.241127254982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8743:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6240310531624296, b_new = -1.8837724936701479, c_new = 6.942269177692986
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9479.37274718627
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8744:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.541019333148789, b_new = -1.1581285806492576, c_new = 6.285979676952056
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10761.166862328453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8745:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8139148098988653, b_new = -1.8817680944952129, c_new = 6.21014652240569
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6028.725244604081
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8746:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.305649739254342, b_new = -1.4750261248782215, c_new = 6.358383554861542
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12324.149567572656
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8747:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5666779639272543, b_new = -2.173175163313097, c_new = 7.313165660650018
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10723.948941858955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8748:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2624921850645427, b_new = -2.0935071241561674, c_new = 5.698867471683568
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13562.430078819838
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8749:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.566308694382228, b_new = -0.8380746931195256, c_new = 6.179869898887226
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8260.378754075648
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8750:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8148095873716645, b_new = -1.722767115918786, c_new = 6.141052554455279
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5624.825678714554
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8751:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.503927991475051, b_new = -1.3353477608146807, c_new = 5.89942665071443
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9831.210274726447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8752:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.266664619541824, b_new = -1.4529353879568718, c_new = 5.153015238990996
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4825.196287355992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8753:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7900341897359553, b_new = -1.220185702488834, c_new = 5.859021007786351
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12666.736458879786
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8754:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.217008120384698, b_new = -1.9204614067181782, c_new = 6.139715757872227
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3607.262228658035
Acceptance probability: 6.281740721584316e-258
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8755:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.119088571699406, b_new = -2.1106276967793502, c_new = 5.592072282814464
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3043.8694126569626
Acceptance probability: 2.9955125272862926e-13
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8756:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1168968652813973, b_new = -1.6659314142108848, c_new = 6.64536328053249
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3165.0124807672073
Acceptance probability: 7.323271563324394e-66
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8757:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9426922152260246, b_new = -1.8495594454273911, c_new = 6.771104592246081
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13089.424861788948
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8758:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8366271051992813, b_new = -2.079260534456464, c_new = 5.952363285814846
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6179.446854798884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8759:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.499589772101034, b_new = -1.6256694355920036, c_new = 6.519440886998154
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9361.527835233908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8760:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.652628656425734, b_new = -0.5788329348861332, c_new = 5.528449513546016
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6189.25294531962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8761:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3273228138145914, b_new = -1.7106634024305822, c_new = 7.029819342850657
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5962.086574276035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8762:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1893566461723903, b_new = -0.7876124998970848, c_new = 6.853955997135273
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12121.2091440331
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8763:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.4609207465920029, b_new = -1.5701828342839073, c_new = 6.601985229547869
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -15746.51919174274
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8764:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1404999856882543, b_new = -1.3197029507377949, c_new = 6.207973469435416
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3598.7542672785253
Acceptance probability: 3.1120078679377373e-254
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8765:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8334413106650578, b_new = -1.6381087777334862, c_new = 6.142748865791505
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5072.758514771885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8766:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.514677609772615, b_new = -1.1423119010168503, c_new = 6.45112669922378
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -15789.788622377044
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8767:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6565986767541023, b_new = -1.3833139891448605, c_new = 6.4200183615055115
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7870.781265199463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8768:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3846192606156684, b_new = -1.493203243589633, c_new = 6.303482280196674
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7498.851814580325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8769:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.054883792913865, b_new = -0.63111301497783, c_new = 5.121452285469951
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3445.5359346240234
Acceptance probability: 1.0837199906830531e-187
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8770:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8943750483899855, b_new = -0.945070764115217, c_new = 6.080274915210052
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13685.133612952173
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8771:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7568747365546975, b_new = -1.6455694152129121, c_new = 6.953385606906492
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6324.685411303528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8772:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.776455408413369, b_new = -1.3636893795443212, c_new = 6.548695880452097
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12577.681307264793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8773:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.75044695897652, b_new = -1.5522771698660285, c_new = 5.945807922348105
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6571.260267360802
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8774:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.83417101474997, b_new = -1.86138852660037, c_new = 6.537220864995343
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5458.423932003659
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8775:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6932726935784324, b_new = -1.987494921023158, c_new = 5.516711116522339
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9105.693108558993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8776:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.332333358411259, b_new = -1.8786368774873536, c_new = 6.184804352509971
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12723.410449253122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8777:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8342153404481776, b_new = -0.89570635276363, c_new = 6.526059312414535
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13533.856602083271
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8778:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5131907778745393, b_new = -1.177851970579365, c_new = 6.634794674447439
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9660.819339088735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8779:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7784426727817486, b_new = -1.3610249830523962, c_new = 5.636488196518613
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12343.832849127557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8780:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3179764267404654, b_new = -1.1001633293453998, c_new = 5.945844620574563
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7025.950510110621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8781:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7193489045936348, b_new = -1.1310226194057589, c_new = 6.179260475714835
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6027.846592127858
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8782:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5817693215520903, b_new = -1.0510286827576536, c_new = 5.965827752842709
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8572.735722436328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8783:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6340744471773005, b_new = -1.2175002773828292, c_new = 6.490718316687766
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11655.453700527254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8784:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3024959730728316, b_new = -1.0173674366975471, c_new = 6.758332547059039
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7257.179850505259
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8785:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8136357372216714, b_new = -0.9130457135087373, c_new = 6.270081988155203
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3983.225436331252
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8786:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.287392622616387, b_new = -1.5305917626980095, c_new = 6.78274434077134
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5524.855001486678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8787:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2285602970161036, b_new = -1.931642403138993, c_new = 6.653198758596208
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3799.939866010941
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8788:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8730468618212561, b_new = -1.3119644711803375, c_new = 5.285174646835612
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -14604.388255075668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8789:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.253179292284865, b_new = -1.4268036035825786, c_new = 6.519780384839173
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5044.410098096879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8790:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2721476778845977, b_new = -0.452859896484786, c_new = 5.841491502847552
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7853.161924715278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8791:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.713044095281174, b_new = -0.15255464767657334, c_new = 6.049227335919583
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4153.850518456298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8792:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1242584429722817, b_new = -0.9583259943738491, c_new = 5.814710987473355
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3839.10256831102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8793:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6615694915950563, b_new = -1.796287782046748, c_new = 6.520652026432464
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8798.416999507903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8794:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.331425936759845, b_new = -1.375959047266017, c_new = 5.378152707181712
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12263.787614852514
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8795:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.176118116624247, b_new = -1.2699021755032647, c_new = 6.0042116858575145
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4028.726211822762
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8796:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3527394283279253, b_new = -1.8210071842413, c_new = 5.65294831800038
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5725.239512378133
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8797:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6562606612565096, b_new = -1.5680052868607153, c_new = 6.597064216788609
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11331.215650033238
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8798:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.320169171321429, b_new = -1.488594524447062, c_new = 6.330005726730868
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6146.199532982717
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8799:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7699855970064657, b_new = -1.6454419006824166, c_new = 5.986018453039304
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11993.558605207898
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8800:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0065667323255223, b_new = -2.200173732379854, c_new = 6.21561243070824
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3638.2975137711865
Acceptance probability: 2.0875021815749475e-271
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8801:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.848088009896518, b_new = -2.1563376889595243, c_new = 7.390240731878314
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12258.017518104636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8802:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.710014035592673, b_new = -1.2554369409622257, c_new = 7.046457781348168
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12392.493128432961
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8803:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.567071870332236, b_new = -2.1024444655655428, c_new = 6.055884078915642
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9178.691778884651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8804:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1132412403005376, b_new = -0.7777708009847059, c_new = 7.248845625438188
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4352.7410811336285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8805:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4794737469097656, b_new = -1.5936548054496056, c_new = 6.377228477493534
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9066.797425457149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8806:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0024730739871752, b_new = -1.5335137320846322, c_new = 5.612791546272421
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -14238.474818577477
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8807:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9451220264837463, b_new = -1.067172486140986, c_new = 6.9800813079344035
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3078.2878221575547
Acceptance probability: 3.3786703309545275e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8808:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.518961518071279, b_new = -1.7584608123746035, c_new = 5.760513273554921
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11004.263045122581
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8809:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3790553030477946, b_new = -0.09063182417379445, c_new = 6.734172496631886
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11079.489430911435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8810:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8344735065489655, b_new = -2.2557710472650534, c_new = 6.093391828926086
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6663.671538821013
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8811:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6150764870225625, b_new = -1.7093095102629317, c_new = 5.650352456792055
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9682.702212748745
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8812:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.492240400850151, b_new = -1.4529438419862948, c_new = 6.444206375099496
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9604.993035592855
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8813:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2933202369432673, b_new = -1.699672010919624, c_new = 7.4160992582042
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5441.237281278837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8814:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.144190887874879, b_new = -1.1404903883658966, c_new = 6.009881546850934
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -14587.553595988706
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8815:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.192183371838884, b_new = -1.784251237711732, c_new = 7.006812225690659
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3670.9216996716004
Acceptance probability: 1.4161948961310322e-285
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8816:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2329503234496246, b_new = -0.9414685080448606, c_new = 6.219392078524752
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5734.563183861287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8817:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.805680943470287, b_new = -1.444233878162081, c_new = 5.7968495237797075
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -16098.695466478403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8818:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7623756990138553, b_new = -1.7315635060291552, c_new = 6.361728204264602
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11918.892060633727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8819:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.782583786346, b_new = -0.7599849401196263, c_new = 6.019011053094828
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4194.322775879202
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8820:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5269482454228305, b_new = -1.586084716529487, c_new = 6.2733436715919515
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9754.938520847134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8821:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.761352282538931, b_new = -0.8411348085593261, c_new = 5.9047126248825235
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12980.413332715245
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8822:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.586010927679933, b_new = -2.333031460020751, c_new = 6.60552405920012
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9148.965045010496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8823:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5316119064760345, b_new = -2.1204157390948124, c_new = 5.355524873822617
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11670.97916528529
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8824:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.890997177826014, b_new = -1.1584451181445339, c_new = 5.940593183515443
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3526.671709226046
Acceptance probability: 6.2819993913871616e-223
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8825:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.024519637927342, b_new = -1.151957534932005, c_new = 6.830582565496666
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3084.5067582387833
Acceptance probability: 6.728158203848413e-31
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8826:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7303471467249865, b_new = -1.235283960433449, c_new = 6.5654077973783735
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5943.410502644916
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8827:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7021444431002104, b_new = -1.402904870641591, c_new = 5.481470973941219
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7356.667069216531
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8828:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0322839034441955, b_new = -1.5158743078758679, c_new = 5.600936060111182
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3033.006442457656
Acceptance probability: 1.563864620986087e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8829:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9764013773239753, b_new = -1.5511632549659629, c_new = 6.425105514188687
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3202.7116333358117
Acceptance probability: 3.105783698181013e-82
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8830:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.85515129956031, b_new = -1.275599813672628, c_new = 6.370961699020011
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3997.0978222997373
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8831:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3371399260350056, b_new = -1.5937852601803781, c_new = 6.18475587499585
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12302.195118502783
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8832:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2640745847459574, b_new = -1.7896721021444084, c_new = 7.24277876555145
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12784.889658875178
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8833:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.387290540640267, b_new = -1.8582480271953101, c_new = 6.217928650992126
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12285.000419472823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8834:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.856362664224834, b_new = -1.2274323358821997, c_new = 6.567720810018203
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3874.93985170868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8835:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3075483426247536, b_new = -0.702827162579997, c_new = 6.74297275661268
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8291.349689531247
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8836:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6317395053459203, b_new = -0.8719919504521934, c_new = 5.385892195216867
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7405.634312795351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8837:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.368330090697739, b_new = -2.064069474581241, c_new = 6.244728626125367
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5627.810230855384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8838:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5977014456146095, b_new = -1.5387545770075948, c_new = 6.060803536217024
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9414.400547363879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8839:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9634847373154574, b_new = -0.8885850806624795, c_new = 5.926540085520885
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3025.288828258827
Acceptance probability: 3.5149278500540655e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8840:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5077458302708595, b_new = -0.6894415785007517, c_new = 6.878942050522251
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8658.012682265666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8841:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.726472016404857, b_new = -1.6013461361901884, c_new = 6.551058263091313
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6985.330240650814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8842:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.482272689934472, b_new = -0.7712852995238505, c_new = 5.967403920777591
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10704.590793138024
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8843:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.264385504299493, b_new = -0.9807597301243902, c_new = 6.516755028925728
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11914.99414278732
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8844:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5437626276921783, b_new = -1.1635543934103507, c_new = 6.402517252518281
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9281.222660473413
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8845:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9575557268165813, b_new = -1.2712841733130433, c_new = 6.960929444331626
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3106.0753841734954
Acceptance probability: 2.889089321722107e-40
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8846:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.221343519948817, b_new = -1.2663497900974572, c_new = 6.539740125663578
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4850.489300063282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8847:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.612298547058934, b_new = -1.9360833756906128, c_new = 6.095267954877727
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10095.661523907653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8848:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1887298246209506, b_new = -0.9344620997736577, c_new = 6.81561633737185
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5111.674601141462
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7275101762304934, b_new = -0.941005495593372, c_new = 6.73547088367113
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12861.058349750158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4779323889486147, b_new = -2.3433146332423496, c_new = 6.600403570462937
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7254.850762656259
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3296410291313334, b_new = -1.2471619980523854, c_new = 5.323578991770293
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12107.4972425669
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0107057847972936, b_new = -1.739496764670665, c_new = 6.346999920308997
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3154.73783258384
Acceptance probability: 2.122893212991916e-61
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.685646704657783, b_new = -1.3245954932231276, c_new = 6.797237707356665
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12025.737293786657
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1088520040346093, b_new = -1.774329146312162, c_new = 6.608825570241868
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3076.020353128567
Acceptance probability: 3.2620837388384965e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.236238327218615, b_new = -1.216717719488879, c_new = 6.385631429798128
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5176.358987964734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.853785035659846, b_new = -1.36877058664473, c_new = 5.941584596829161
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12912.65817450889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.358591021941083, b_new = -1.3428995846087703, c_new = 7.221713001322365
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7742.001878497833
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1903980570455954, b_new = -0.9263529195505209, c_new = 6.4400119706352035
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5036.131795184451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.199435278876554, b_new = -1.8779105102424452, c_new = 6.491566528700649
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13460.181727512756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1603940852043246, b_new = -0.8314698899102153, c_new = 7.461339210615222
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5063.758152582519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.735227061184704, b_new = 0.1920102516367168, c_new = 6.135296064284553
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3507.021536903165
Acceptance probability: 2.148123757411544e-214
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5884631463405183, b_new = -1.6159397532038802, c_new = 6.462429429272331
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9583.435261167066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.498425546233614, b_new = -1.2860336687196139, c_new = 7.284072622573938
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10345.394517663892
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6083578471798132, b_new = -1.1498083267086154, c_new = 6.538976560387104
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11544.511164931631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.73511270095685, b_new = -1.1740172750942444, c_new = 6.616698494316766
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5683.375718985879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7040753717155277, b_new = -0.934619420613509, c_new = 6.669639942434953
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5694.10432467841
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.330377252935531, b_new = -1.7916077557026457, c_new = 6.890142883750873
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5764.385848649336
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.890914449744347, b_new = -1.1278860257626375, c_new = 7.470130856174856
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3336.948271496393
Acceptance probability: 1.5629316420369024e-140
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.345666291604344, b_new = -1.7207505159121201, c_new = 5.940489858391644
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12482.846661024934
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7854426694163728, b_new = -1.6160931912202479, c_new = 6.303350331448833
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12234.704309806004
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.892227975460877, b_new = -0.5239696443953196, c_new = 7.178047628987276
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13430.523221810136
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.617853843335196, b_new = -1.011610755075568, c_new = 5.970087511208346
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11676.262348513075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.951798754519871, b_new = -1.0748701476819735, c_new = 6.8213675602988895
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3065.7659604063415
Acceptance probability: 9.26661841619791e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.296163028130917, b_new = -1.2342355549464379, c_new = 6.135101902682285
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6250.438380907151
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9595312357742167, b_new = -1.6589671991977193, c_new = 5.936554214060181
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13194.449395993688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.808167075595196, b_new = -1.697510584282083, c_new = 6.078016212798864
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12226.840942713452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.566542340589048, b_new = -0.8719830351613858, c_new = 6.071093622294851
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -8373.073875165115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6417917206243886, b_new = -0.7549849236153281, c_new = 5.708701786054902
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -6790.041018003937
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3813485442580804, b_new = -1.1774024250518402, c_new = 6.013080274759225
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11349.039896780361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4940113260003107, b_new = -1.2964140184455297, c_new = 6.3996866147572575
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9949.164084186323
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.050437680418813, b_new = -2.129715743454499, c_new = 6.242090989889089
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3223.500249485265
Acceptance probability: 2.909309505812241e-91
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322733810162843, b_new = -1.728987368625386, c_new = 6.601866394156368
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -5668.8871021739815
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.553136646165621, b_new = -1.6230328654603485, c_new = 6.790180145329024
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10195.824257380458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8892414886308164, b_new = -0.8444543031734799, c_new = 6.428464386823809
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3220.679031074726
Acceptance probability: 4.886855684418891e-90
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.032186244155803, b_new = -2.117967296020007, c_new = 6.582232602056277
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13238.888892056704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.661447384059471, b_new = -1.283623595134154, c_new = 5.979902334152246
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7676.234504842519
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2120589732004117, b_new = -1.4420299583683953, c_new = 6.573225295741196
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4359.969067169057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7074753141003742, b_new = -0.33578238059508836, c_new = 6.515284666396833
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13466.983682532298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7274196152628867, b_new = -0.6507617380832537, c_new = 6.744593323140328
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4656.903100947895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7261403393819905, b_new = -1.712327013752673, c_new = 6.31381398593726
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11640.796029892734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8732245227346036, b_new = -1.1705268819214347, c_new = 6.022103376440052
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3702.6027731153004
Acceptance probability: 2.467218696859539e-299
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8574576950828616, b_new = -1.9462198821425356, c_new = 5.61549408494972
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12126.659854013904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.03511935563666, b_new = -2.0702788689681446, c_new = 6.7456212009583805
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -13348.365485382808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.368722646070048, b_new = -1.133008076221495, c_new = 6.3804917777077605
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -11291.64401703608
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.209671639358032, b_new = -2.0968925375566005, c_new = 5.82155915438472
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3332.6583165249713
Acceptance probability: 1.140364674101407e-138
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6818746737232173, b_new = -1.3661627579932378, c_new = 5.9262325060639585
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7504.787991950092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.558666830612604, b_new = -1.355195516559293, c_new = 6.081184828382429
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -9581.155797712461
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6803563267521593, b_new = -1.4077265927342328, c_new = 6.680191808885217
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -7369.250613957264
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8994067381906268, b_new = -1.0984806443062245, c_new = 6.247233388157507
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3360.4920251216327
Acceptance probability: 9.311458263036724e-151
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2334517722291367, b_new = -1.477926953480144, c_new = 6.099977439959674
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4491.110144531454
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.841984843724739, b_new = -0.8323576996253288, c_new = 6.004425613760992
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3606.9841215743295
Acceptance probability: 8.295840219046581e-258
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.902065326607894, b_new = -0.5446533401063404, c_new = 5.83040581110231
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3069.7377959500877
Acceptance probability: 1.745721739388119e-24
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8083585419787647, b_new = -0.9746769727405968, c_new = 6.954422540170989
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -4019.961886187831
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.136129917851125, b_new = -2.09090655270938, c_new = 6.39805968152555
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3045.2690223817067
Acceptance probability: 7.389726411435716e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.390647049097916, b_new = -1.8883000922846218, c_new = 6.500189289542275
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12222.187512694532
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7536377809312684, b_new = -1.2306060414731745, c_new = 6.590231458257922
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12609.249193290103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.32438191409252, b_new = -1.2481202619519585, c_new = 5.815281952506034
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -12011.922429654203
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8439984265797245, b_new = -0.8382374532744721, c_new = 6.076635035557808
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3584.7534982351535
Acceptance probability: 3.745393256914425e-248
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.795672073571877, b_new = -0.23297158272788154, c_new = 7.2983158818098985
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -14306.989278918283
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.406299068198334, b_new = -0.5273985287657119, c_new = 5.784630724659067
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -10146.115320186498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0227124775793004, b = -1.3630097811128985, c = 6.314628987552282
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0116453734669664, b_new = -1.215880844424542, c_new = 5.788712103860098
Current likelihood: -3015.0329217926082
Proposed likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Acceptance probability: 12.194319746473292
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.277277022263882, b_new = -1.9292722926677928, c_new = 6.393868910001506
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4381.12674151726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9331189648623552, b_new = -0.6869280622734653, c_new = 5.663717783265306
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3038.3825084807254
Acceptance probability: 5.932609572617368e-12
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1544990700976734, b_new = -0.31389678035742086, c_new = 5.646018055965428
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5570.566478030074
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6595294359420505, b_new = -1.3379422776524477, c_new = 5.372920681077883
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8087.305855319293
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.231893421058578, b_new = -0.9477075846752099, c_new = 5.326481214765209
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5387.450202202217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.197553396583578, b_new = -1.0348668489943378, c_new = 5.745103996331156
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4709.66289743307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8739530835056533, b_new = -1.4224877646593808, c_new = 6.2349794445089035
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4015.7800704498395
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9339447026554, b_new = -2.5813963364403456, c_new = 6.297657501825882
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5395.483892171891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.456674530908668, b_new = -1.0173703812813542, c_new = 5.594684578631299
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10386.624921272589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.480476821972993, b_new = -0.9475093928033531, c_new = 6.274694224062292
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9745.44292359134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.469213644631497, b_new = -0.573716376083304, c_new = 5.325005612020245
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9449.536886824502
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.330260355898297, b_new = -0.7687470055333261, c_new = 5.422905356987766
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11344.514390756905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6182176564134116, b_new = -1.2741719758339556, c_new = 5.890420497638027
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8503.625600828911
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.462488363860586, b_new = -0.8821565929027064, c_new = 5.8272671425106415
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9985.2793946991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.043909958622164, b_new = -1.6968082520668402, c_new = 6.227792342274304
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13665.402003342151
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0608278664387703, b_new = -1.4914623111221605, c_new = 6.461467220650511
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3037.5253699413497
Acceptance probability: 1.3979650247372154e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.462445147950885, b_new = -0.7940464858517229, c_new = 5.95243281217463
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9777.173497945292
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836813711866046, b_new = -1.0799347633302983, c_new = 5.90946989093575
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4015.498328658126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7037190815926455, b_new = -1.8197148516289516, c_new = 6.689256299910403
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7993.459442080728
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.888387554174175, b_new = -1.516343742000046, c_new = 5.671225993170106
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12875.209027733632
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3041395604234634, b_new = -1.4905443340833566, c_new = 6.038612303797907
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12441.68910986803
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4982620880108977, b_new = -1.2201263704757601, c_new = 5.886204407799243
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10174.726714570033
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5392880675825698, b_new = -0.41342946651057266, c_new = 5.175321811188913
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8064.243446965949
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5492556060883906, b_new = -0.9407440040133942, c_new = 6.408437008061056
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8707.081197736255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2759918417756415, b_new = -1.0115604018969817, c_new = 5.512698965316655
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6191.367921336825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3041524138143608, b_new = -0.6593151090577104, c_new = 4.767753349529846
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11598.32727322982
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.112258934604557, b_new = -1.2389275222465108, c_new = 5.001240494026138
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14136.673121186252
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8613007735259075, b_new = -0.8111505574991824, c_new = 6.2704577345814485
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14006.994174419686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.695771217078273, b_new = -1.3372250379732442, c_new = 5.877286060612523
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7160.36876739744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8703091850047784, b_new = -0.8141827744561965, c_new = 5.2765039582611974
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3430.77171874368
Acceptance probability: 2.294969893393449e-182
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9685533785086617, b_new = -1.5368083105388013, c_new = 5.691710377381512
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3315.9109471219135
Acceptance probability: 1.7545926068884035e-132
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3532650249966443, b_new = -1.4957672428830557, c_new = 6.013276323083419
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12085.537584203643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1006399075708506, b_new = -0.9998400778593225, c_new = 4.557618663828761
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3362.352509272182
Acceptance probability: 1.1881249673212888e-152
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4918694169308893, b_new = -1.2357206587884966, c_new = 5.535295116296325
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10398.49397402767
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7193716549108475, b_new = -1.234387415690126, c_new = 5.06672775212887
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11928.299810223525
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.414417555787381, b_new = -1.463081157226158, c_new = 5.218261495873865
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7780.09147571697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.206136767532548, b_new = -1.449035462144006, c_new = 5.985716657677578
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4123.0710554862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5603871706885664, b_new = -1.4937462212504475, c_new = 5.571092639417701
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10135.871820804328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5563542952947365, b_new = -1.0293653729181713, c_new = 6.199628427299227
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11127.665340846812
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.326739610064343, b_new = -0.9573465710195569, c_new = 5.803482463280226
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7566.514063880912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374399019425911, b_new = -1.5376013520139098, c_new = 5.292599525242076
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6782.7887990744575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.247966648913133, b_new = -0.5733268041038099, c_new = 5.810215558128236
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11657.037540321944
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.490517456255786, b_new = -0.161660755592403, c_new = 5.879684483599165
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8086.069157196876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1819164262386117, b_new = -0.3447337969903982, c_new = 5.951741037124367
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11817.273613253727
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.138918839358305, b_new = -1.393583680136482, c_new = 4.795422640407119
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3318.67560326441
Acceptance probability: 1.1053540021949678e-133
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1929842698278086, b_new = -1.2147903765032897, c_new = 6.101637215401525
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4380.167106265917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.8897924953481438, b_new = -1.7993639142600801, c_new = 5.456673176260787
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14921.237313377722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.469271797947426, b_new = -1.4769522468957987, c_new = 6.772979233115631
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9318.181701102749
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3334165161569125, b_new = -2.0721431374037977, c_new = 5.763783130091791
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13085.500417101084
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.440630127556777, b_new = -1.3460842940574052, c_new = 6.244427081667344
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10966.501782026446
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2745355889710184, b_new = -1.0408689550648407, c_new = 6.215622949084165
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6347.965126847534
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.771887360200305, b_new = -1.6158349547711066, c_new = 6.717801020809332
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6020.218953366179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2185836664549683, b_new = -1.7306338680023754, c_new = 6.885926057023186
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4026.8309560165976
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1242323485291528, b_new = -2.1689247777974816, c_new = 5.063886802537073
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3078.852500075376
Acceptance probability: 1.5752581526555575e-29
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1899368493671703, b_new = -0.910561637601579, c_new = 5.205761347388322
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4689.787158149148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.461798651440171, b_new = -0.8551252014632705, c_new = 6.064196696261214
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9868.722109783985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.448236107431404, b_new = -0.7022082611806876, c_new = 6.219274697614428
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9699.702599207654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6865858956859068, b_new = -0.9767318123001427, c_new = 6.324779304895535
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6248.220495415633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.640206722361006, b_new = -0.5111030586630223, c_new = 6.666508758613712
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5919.927380279315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.336091466515539, b_new = -1.5819119155573933, c_new = 5.194876732997765
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12570.988817688474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6916214517381096, b_new = -2.0916970475977297, c_new = 5.399567504592835
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9452.328858140325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2225059182374123, b_new = -1.1192906364571475, c_new = 5.5137278351465095
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4882.899468694353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.633915775153016, b_new = -0.47523247872627017, c_new = 4.999690721857848
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12325.831536418398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0991841795273154, b_new = -1.4383431330732506, c_new = 5.911122930543595
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3154.54130586003
Acceptance probability: 2.118951624116312e-62
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1810223460215106, b_new = -1.1362286504358738, c_new = 6.193207372014383
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4374.4647337438555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0228352767384425, b_new = -0.529518269590427, c_new = 5.702112107590869
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3386.975056445697
Acceptance probability: 2.4067210385469796e-163
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8305697003124686, b_new = -1.6119574265966992, c_new = 5.841042215819073
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5157.035203890511
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1690901172226145, b_new = -1.0161110024072295, c_new = 6.057154171830967
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4388.2064169186215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.237137123922069, b_new = -1.1374779845904412, c_new = 5.760185854818353
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5176.412525252252
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.101847943303203, b_new = -1.1341550514257428, c_new = 4.836185823088241
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3284.8552282232104
Acceptance probability: 5.388943674320437e-119
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7862632768891658, b_new = -0.4301070439201409, c_new = 6.498706079331501
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3628.2806026833305
Acceptance probability: 3.8349399754246557e-268
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.429564191167617, b_new = -0.7740330999949436, c_new = 6.213795249675735
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10065.099475963843
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.53879334684181, b_new = -1.440808382664971, c_new = 6.294964305773816
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9959.892563412324
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5724535513189597, b_new = -0.8583042592129444, c_new = 5.452093824651292
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8452.433264985895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8031905183681274, b_new = -1.415075724992454, c_new = 6.054026130815289
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5139.030955122817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.451372160201407, b_new = -1.5290308940420012, c_new = 5.8054621758880245
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8531.881697773315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.197174275932635, b_new = -1.154714343349786, c_new = 6.226058974371754
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14820.215963002991
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.219310174824408, b_new = -0.9964347443508232, c_new = 5.958822715324315
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12403.675759380294
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.551747649259857, b_new = -1.6767640982206204, c_new = 5.788417636338641
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9743.850605182897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7587386016664666, b_new = -1.6345680021866358, c_new = 4.799694717364269
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7070.332127815337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.493185771729586, b_new = -0.9395385775179941, c_new = 6.358125212243175
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10644.486304709006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.800416492111185, b_new = -2.0462104088857833, c_new = 5.555204467255584
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7029.730115125516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9849718983571276, b_new = -1.24121467368532, c_new = 5.821864308511779
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3051.7699770220115
Acceptance probability: 9.102109462494024e-18
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.775964416909325, b_new = -0.5130018215852911, c_new = 5.227683993332333
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4043.6012351535246
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7768459938727528, b_new = -0.87107269081069, c_new = 6.3890853365787645
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4387.737151387499
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.583565901990742, b_new = -1.7089993120876492, c_new = 6.020334918036935
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10004.165314999187
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8425519168843305, b_new = -1.7480976012078697, c_new = 5.961136367243154
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5215.679036949412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 8999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.144260848192406, b_new = -0.7901763249377475, c_new = 6.657308488690905
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4622.865270281006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9000:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6354966626216703, b_new = -0.7330357397802421, c_new = 5.817099118411672
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6822.732397398565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9001:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.179487578754729, b_new = -1.0773523273000718, c_new = 4.882065215322856
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4141.6371270574
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9002:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0179718029787654, b_new = -0.8963696827990795, c_new = 5.196939661742597
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3060.2123052869147
Acceptance probability: 1.961938882023514e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9003:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7958290425390184, b_new = -1.3401731607827017, c_new = 5.312886944424064
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12404.935016203865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9004:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3778746601363028, b_new = -1.497808508371759, c_new = 5.936490399587207
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11906.944441808142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9005:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3161315064205104, b_new = -1.1379611933472176, c_new = 6.180741397487823
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11817.593885428401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9006:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7955391352528256, b_new = -0.46239189133821745, c_new = 7.364395575317701
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14065.8661126052
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9007:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.983542241941974, b_new = -1.248123120940571, c_new = 5.735284163860217
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13720.212021102685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9008:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.744236419679762, b_new = -0.9960659158456248, c_new = 5.103777848380588
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12443.529939675918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9009:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2915124569745347, b_new = -1.252942409350439, c_new = 5.46134704319013
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5856.563236211321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9010:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.163180784262208, b_new = -1.4501998404074978, c_new = 5.381419216734338
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14236.218856636035
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9011:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4300526412115726, b_new = -1.552638691647681, c_new = 5.713945955096939
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8037.902204360637
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9012:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.253286859802476, b_new = -2.2425669058378537, c_new = 6.309090533520352
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3608.588134284726
Acceptance probability: 1.3680089267416345e-259
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9013:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.647884833294166, b_new = -1.895507177090542, c_new = 5.534859855780618
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10393.284759382399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9014:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0977739826883934, b_new = -1.4028775735405417, c_new = 4.9515076667506746
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3104.774624981204
Acceptance probability: 8.699933442945602e-41
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9015:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8832413174881975, b_new = -1.4834520145323025, c_new = 5.741866850558112
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4099.203286156232
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9016:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0515475351904358, b_new = -1.3101111617708465, c_new = 5.912172350427769
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3043.7980823074686
Acceptance probability: 2.6381041608381656e-14
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9017:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.78866291782501, b_new = -0.9155231209467494, c_new = 5.6741358864352565
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12997.184670408791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9018:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5933481427319127, b_new = -1.3271170815557916, c_new = 6.152945750482209
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8964.933403920251
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9019:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1860212415487807, b_new = -1.7987682490907388, c_new = 6.137183113404579
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13531.308324311896
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9020:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6017884477263467, b_new = -1.1058844936968066, c_new = 5.593102829384884
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8488.972061032415
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9021:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.059868068918169, b_new = -0.9416959889217718, c_new = 6.4478975353622525
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3367.4021835534704
Acceptance probability: 7.617569872388714e-155
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9022:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5880676855684133, b_new = -1.3678363249748675, c_new = 5.353942631240799
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10607.517622121344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9023:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2130020614994415, b_new = -0.9678530116237716, c_new = 5.601106172751512
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5077.991516629726
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9024:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.65853071541797, b_new = -0.8890414506324222, c_new = 5.900725728395859
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6732.003777125865
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9025:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2214785509195005, b_new = -1.1768283486891695, c_new = 6.1423278500597265
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4927.248447812093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9026:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.478202719385486, b_new = -0.8912025445800704, c_new = 6.273140326835259
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9665.21226853393
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9027:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6489491522786834, b_new = -1.1317872315330604, c_new = 6.218268767218683
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7440.746211981128
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9028:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1574855056167843, b_new = -1.1804791391919092, c_new = 5.9507047819262775
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3926.0121039557557
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9029:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9895840419177557, b_new = -1.0957259926126162, c_new = 5.894793396814489
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3017.806297798903
Acceptance probability: 0.005121303640475879
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9030:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.572329248614164, b_new = -0.7693312805076089, c_new = 6.333164393460294
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7940.602809313562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9031:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.174764309483124, b_new = -0.4099349392100877, c_new = 5.559446956614417
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12053.526662519951
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9032:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0924261435225353, b_new = -1.024904617098871, c_new = 5.477216031357663
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13333.35307288654
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9033:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.884404363296214, b_new = -1.2511343800647696, c_new = 5.543566620238482
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3772.183538915355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9034:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.790298620315886, b_new = -0.07556529872147344, c_new = 5.059905562161195
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3399.3404420930638
Acceptance probability: 1.0261409072083034e-168
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9035:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3579070377271454, b_new = -1.3039350679744952, c_new = 6.033398987454928
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11754.699086056082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9036:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.601025334344867, b_new = -1.1610827405609345, c_new = 6.338517371826102
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11393.762408887042
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9037:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.838496967876607, b_new = -1.224839963289831, c_new = 5.864954567250625
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4240.886611421026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9038:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6769573968947267, b_new = -2.1001783169140644, c_new = 5.424080000486627
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9712.533476654718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9039:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.71239393668716, b_new = -0.9276673324321267, c_new = 6.398696270886036
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5599.32774387149
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9040:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.459521933904719, b_new = -0.8761018434714505, c_new = 6.144512580383209
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10270.013353873912
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9041:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.085941396366023, b_new = -1.0679618496911045, c_new = 5.980557473994781
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3370.551300412098
Acceptance probability: 3.2671748094234136e-156
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9042:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.614346701572363, b_new = -0.35516563024336856, c_new = 5.032165909559116
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12357.179773480857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9043:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.495802893045225, b_new = -1.3505902661513314, c_new = 6.101730624178433
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9755.990826383208
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9044:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1362402469450563, b_new = -1.7763752497629564, c_new = 4.458533662067238
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3087.155385942787
Acceptance probability: 3.9035003250902314e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9045:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8005999555021655, b_new = -1.7465211238627538, c_new = 5.240429290435012
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6305.296879700272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9046:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.149658914507987, b_new = -1.3348524535230348, c_new = 5.454275754791578
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13375.911512266963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9047:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.918589549097471, b_new = -0.7952225792672251, c_new = 6.649825743008908
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3081.254221580987
Acceptance probability: 1.42658396769622e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9048:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2839516816507683, b_new = -1.022253077115418, c_new = 5.925860013824551
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6492.787437516457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9049:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9917021803679393, b_new = -0.7765845719175908, c_new = 5.95294724954784
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3080.0154933117014
Acceptance probability: 4.923457472258026e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9050:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.986527227860086, b_new = -0.7122829350262659, c_new = 4.646218075532596
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3024.574951990021
Acceptance probability: 5.88560837021552e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9051:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.807864230370937, b_new = -1.5933299452469534, c_new = 5.664118126665885
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12251.626421467281
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9052:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0847299967514195, b_new = -0.629375229159333, c_new = 6.603248005759633
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4058.746369547152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9053:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2836284775452, b_new = -1.288555173119735, c_new = 5.3610233771753055
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5572.10324925432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9054:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.85949861618817, b_new = -0.9855398045498918, c_new = 6.229220433890513
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13489.722768241847
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9055:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.557628183175912, b_new = -0.9039810489428233, c_new = 5.641422361447789
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11179.584132650936
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9056:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.95425700512142, b_new = -1.425941749577694, c_new = 5.7651176653163265
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3308.922910203497
Acceptance probability: 1.9012628752834874e-129
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9057:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.352092067503008, b_new = -1.1092171834547502, c_new = 5.3586179250598525
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11700.30809087798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9058:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.153581520555418, b_new = -1.2368059833636222, c_new = 6.41150773605246
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3891.985203279352
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9059:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5628414351080533, b_new = -1.4795308330922525, c_new = 6.26006489207274
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9725.374493285704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9060:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5015214134661035, b_new = -2.172153277168966, c_new = 5.193792643976394
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12112.165727575102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9061:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5528559555312453, b_new = -1.9923764583503467, c_new = 5.25234334257491
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8947.373008986384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9062:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.704990020622516, b_new = -1.539278375756185, c_new = 5.944954166389186
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11615.092254638703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9063:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.007697581646618, b_new = -1.819981221829492, c_new = 5.68927592914936
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3299.077556593572
Acceptance probability: 3.587772636829761e-125
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9064:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7593198613093723, b_new = -1.31655113938452, c_new = 5.3564966986258495
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5974.867474175664
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9065:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0574897726254626, b_new = -1.4511065140721284, c_new = 5.866342936119344
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3021.6789056582274
Acceptance probability: 0.00010654382933921087
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9066:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3304969085309133, b_new = -1.8278309887923787, c_new = 6.483563917368477
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5537.766651954001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9067:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4993293850140987, b_new = -2.2749382837500436, c_new = 6.015094544471068
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7641.566521797578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9068:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374510222102169, b_new = -1.264450839408635, c_new = 5.491152423332367
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7600.254510441897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9069:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.606566597205407, b_new = -1.5377231159025855, c_new = 4.959632527699211
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9676.465504137184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9070:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.512142314142336, b_new = -0.9529030692799263, c_new = 5.315065375796884
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9643.146464530573
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9071:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.029766134417108, b_new = -0.6641767761923826, c_new = 5.921007586030744
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3339.25568819781
Acceptance probability: 1.2755105772400194e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9072:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.426533652704186, b_new = -0.9810130098027919, c_new = 5.973088378703661
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9491.834207847984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9073:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0685374881878107, b_new = -1.2269617381760773, c_new = 6.016621000676422
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3145.2264891668606
Acceptance probability: 2.352309874304385e-58
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9074:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0206638088210926, b_new = -2.022056614710892, c_new = 5.691188776086996
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3396.856846373897
Acceptance probability: 1.2297559068213033e-167
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9075:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2383473806074803, b_new = -1.1007016505879132, c_new = 5.770800495161258
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5288.392345091585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9076:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.354601703724634, b_new = -0.13309687786318936, c_new = 5.529022199614642
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10173.176387097366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9077:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.271459737702475, b_new = -2.3789053061928787, c_new = 6.293278392039041
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3625.8739633297537
Acceptance probability: 4.255482039976105e-267
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9078:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.683936477476277, b_new = -0.8473738758599009, c_new = 5.894996045898775
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6117.125494049604
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9079:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.575804338761343, b_new = -1.7494675663440327, c_new = 5.898967579439295
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9944.166822469791
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9080:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4987958695840065, b_new = -1.729860828626495, c_new = 5.117989137105565
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8632.651953175158
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9081:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3546496665267536, b_new = -0.8996609515096055, c_new = 6.356252428293847
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11057.81550798798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9082:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.790944427038559, b_new = -1.7730973309287723, c_new = 5.631833343073144
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6433.5172071938705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9083:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208466090330704, b_new = -1.1022595983098853, c_new = 5.623411485919869
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4714.582271354341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9084:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.291837783452474, b_new = -1.1689059037120204, c_new = 5.941046705918187
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12118.002325221714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9085:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8131698006159356, b_new = -1.1924600247287225, c_new = 5.50034006794141
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12757.440760300935
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9086:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6591195891787938, b_new = -1.2427106212214616, c_new = 6.527153627560443
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11846.358758453278
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9087:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7514907953119152, b_new = -1.0988838655246163, c_new = 5.730409670321472
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14753.183006308102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9088:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.105659662947218, b_new = -1.7864122030283838, c_new = 5.875601140449868
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3037.7559533517287
Acceptance probability: 1.1100823647501189e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9089:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.450675511957801, b_new = -1.3456480126745343, c_new = 6.1204664044725
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9081.312251650474
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9090:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.560634226219057, b_new = -1.3166081400383662, c_new = 5.354705236145848
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10397.211286535134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9091:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.679528793066329, b_new = -0.8108901901853356, c_new = 5.634479614180801
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12377.798760701384
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9092:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.971698476703189, b_new = -1.4513462545631333, c_new = 5.871927881052081
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3208.651377382342
Acceptance probability: 6.705259101328096e-86
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9093:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.06605681321645, b_new = -0.7900618767194139, c_new = 6.9822054363818635
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3692.4412569825818
Acceptance probability: 5.237697993030361e-296
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9094:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.718895859692399, b_new = -1.6132383447418248, c_new = 5.295717028678315
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7662.142059249793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9095:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.177412940251874, b_new = -1.9925323910675639, c_new = 5.293987023930083
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13770.440596371338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9096:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2527615678177706, b_new = -0.7883801671309564, c_new = 6.121069583573383
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6546.109333510853
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9097:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8510786691731433, b_new = -0.6513931702247183, c_new = 5.754974362278716
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3375.7179568965275
Acceptance probability: 1.8634681352381084e-158
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9098:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0904447444107506, b_new = -0.9758649033868003, c_new = 5.758295266242796
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3468.730161186423
Acceptance probability: 7.5099128654231795e-199
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9099:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.063466210585508, b_new = -0.6401864462002342, c_new = 4.9596723435797285
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14486.029891305636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9100:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0805360563408346, b_new = -1.062754797325556, c_new = 5.507792882702075
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3276.861585694004
Acceptance probability: 1.5962410862292191e-115
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9101:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4983822755391705, b_new = -1.951952479693372, c_new = 5.732415833493076
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11589.219494741072
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9102:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2444825321671664, b_new = -2.0165689403924834, c_new = 6.22405267965361
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13436.74145852471
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9103:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.374464684826154, b_new = -1.3064237979647584, c_new = 5.712091678136256
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7569.463683796386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9104:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2485407473782804, b_new = -1.461850391821176, c_new = 5.9462733899840385
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12805.798074928509
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9105:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8509131720309036, b_new = -1.5202301534543778, c_new = 6.438312167862376
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4460.395455060776
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9106:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.657185241966957, b_new = -2.2305670972121305, c_new = 5.46481551196058
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10304.887532004313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9107:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.718574239225597, b_new = -1.1246871867992339, c_new = 5.9155657683088245
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12310.401519518684
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9108:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6502818700010247, b_new = 0.13845611018894677, c_new = 5.123385273214069
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4749.809565727986
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9109:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.215371851212122, b_new = -1.2300513114632146, c_new = 6.011938230804356
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4673.549535709106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9110:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1557503914819796, b_new = -0.5799214044355051, c_new = 6.605366978960633
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5276.75015422303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9111:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.469626118592657, b_new = -0.6655622576597087, c_new = 5.65055055103155
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9525.36414509242
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9112:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.261707255089466, b_new = -1.694468819949145, c_new = 6.378650330690221
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4583.49237239006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9113:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1023341702227616, b_new = -1.4204856489350803, c_new = 6.196477850420138
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3208.4203990758188
Acceptance probability: 8.44749937409161e-86
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9114:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7796388795923446, b_new = -0.8548364059166065, c_new = 6.009522797612898
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4401.012581077504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9115:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3903862305614, b_new = -0.5707233226033703, c_new = 5.58513519555067
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9730.523700496364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9116:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1476628813769336, b_new = -1.0349983496491009, c_new = 6.327178413626409
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4122.300929501844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9117:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.855864174824933, b_new = -0.71978437305005, c_new = 6.429382735998461
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3338.1357702743844
Acceptance probability: 3.908933108992155e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9118:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4739697522278536, b_new = -0.6723887564250766, c_new = 6.039553124150864
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10821.078216744105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9119:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.471700177011587, b_new = -0.8075880633957906, c_new = 5.147828183989732
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10224.325204028248
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9120:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.550892849304895, b_new = -1.5236371847053296, c_new = 5.961361706526468
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10087.486523741914
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9121:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8614590536890643, b_new = -0.9602362010090234, c_new = 6.018030854227885
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3566.0948560678503
Acceptance probability: 3.896594192232221e-241
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9122:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1180106361079853, b_new = -1.4200335966293087, c_new = 5.951268803797104
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13516.849693052018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9123:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.388745121775123, b_new = -1.441465816047811, c_new = 6.1656778209288365
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7674.089160245151
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9124:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.701402957355676, b_new = -0.5947370565420672, c_new = 6.047781137862217
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5148.54173601866
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9125:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4729621112376585, b_new = -0.5051153037042223, c_new = 5.9412872347070325
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9067.579635303506
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9126:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.847280848248293, b_new = -0.7265594490642056, c_new = 5.740198604994867
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3478.308267555194
Acceptance probability: 5.198956157219557e-203
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9127:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3896012130788957, b_new = -0.39214189573415725, c_new = 5.861521646779558
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9943.066766003132
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9128:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.845594956819451, b_new = -0.3691295144650315, c_new = 4.793755454563107
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13738.71946396097
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9129:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.734020124438115, b_new = -0.937216188302761, c_new = 5.640110634237146
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5440.609349140272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9130:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0795354856541626, b_new = -0.964764635435603, c_new = 5.519950574564496
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3358.6097720830153
Acceptance probability: 5.015476856467078e-151
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9131:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6649128854094783, b_new = -1.2844487742663353, c_new = 5.584146284670443
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7757.606404354952
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9132:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1363611644718103, b_new = -1.51751393901637, c_new = 6.07805806542183
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3335.059030236642
Acceptance probability: 8.477532420940091e-141
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9133:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120567332643394, b_new = -1.747895132922587, c_new = 5.932474733893379
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3089.710228269865
Acceptance probability: 3.033194746292655e-34
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9134:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.26486784259606, b_new = -1.4492997126398195, c_new = 5.014155646027739
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4765.892810526917
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9135:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5100878250448213, b_new = -1.2154762039169056, c_new = 5.016912449672111
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10304.580472867192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9136:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.234411225068922, b_new = -1.1046659321434895, c_new = 5.464921438080659
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12569.334678464911
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9137:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7674417823821416, b_new = -0.565744043716427, c_new = 6.452821061172462
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4010.69101569544
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9138:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.765904637995496, b_new = -1.1211554826154095, c_new = 4.939386860834862
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5495.396843956243
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9139:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.573434384010385, b_new = -1.0737275218200988, c_new = 5.552565693699023
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8911.419743646673
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9140:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0124240670957363, b_new = -1.396882682752071, c_new = 6.510167863162433
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3022.517099729679
Acceptance probability: 4.6079233038916144e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9141:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.470598842740089, b_new = -0.8723869402676308, c_new = 6.691745403921265
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10617.600796518702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9142:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.817444059635409, b_new = -2.362866495161475, c_new = 6.33323928010213
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7251.8586111076
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9143:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9201577613066756, b_new = -0.3280864292726424, c_new = 5.106270528505661
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3036.3299501317247
Acceptance probability: 4.62019741663015e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9144:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8798050524132552, b_new = -1.237859125722005, c_new = 6.115055531250733
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3705.239586136794
Acceptance probability: 1.4484273740736643e-301
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9145:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1999345137153123, b_new = -1.002188601013091, c_new = 6.530484373017667
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5062.124318667397
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9146:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.744262559426442, b_new = -0.8303876380331732, c_new = 6.14603893507473
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4878.882111032528
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9147:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0218128266583517, b_new = -0.4318071950360499, c_new = 6.175734355363802
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3567.997229847892
Acceptance probability: 5.814263952135676e-242
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9148:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.245976665571059, b_new = -1.8271601173263499, c_new = 5.657433114055018
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3968.6456348695447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9149:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5628370386599624, b_new = -0.5350776995140332, c_new = 5.764895832475595
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7738.494761017521
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9150:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120515799896188, b_new = -1.5183591412417465, c_new = 5.976140227416324
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3220.543558080999
Acceptance probability: 4.588884312261978e-91
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9151:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4198962974109666, b_new = -1.7645729942839599, c_new = 6.599880340287769
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11759.871118524816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9152:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5290187130019137, b_new = -0.05052847086155743, c_new = 5.118703445840366
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7406.36477348844
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9153:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1514972832695682, b_new = -0.8465041101573769, c_new = 5.09014949500643
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12877.948217174897
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9154:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4388955304485407, b_new = -1.4549067672201237, c_new = 6.8512930015505304
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10992.24325096422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9155:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1735310131706074, b_new = -0.5270892162045027, c_new = 6.875734555530439
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11894.343984915486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9156:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.031290713298917, b_new = -0.5104318810516844, c_new = 6.0221414122222106
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3529.8478252968757
Acceptance probability: 2.1506544058217203e-225
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9157:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.867432462739547, b_new = -1.6717296010460898, c_new = 5.571291057820041
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4731.03512411571
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9158:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.292630402291547, b_new = -0.9094382199903781, c_new = 4.869955178512929
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6591.288278312205
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9159:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2145485080652394, b_new = -1.1520774999269956, c_new = 6.0437127531074015
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12611.606058443325
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9160:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0166841137454, b_new = -1.004333123573852, c_new = 5.1539810742978345
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3025.6124234397766
Acceptance probability: 2.085562623032781e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9161:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7910258987170113, b_new = -0.7949297697746451, c_new = 5.574984323222647
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13136.64114833228
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9162:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5848248813033963, b_new = -1.4564505401494128, c_new = 5.531951857262712
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9611.616381986301
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9163:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4589534766961876, b_new = -1.0159062629222018, c_new = 6.784108681490407
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10198.64526416333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9164:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.650526518873913, b_new = -1.7560464994864522, c_new = 5.158542272211667
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9413.217618664157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9165:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.478970727044409, b_new = -0.7116432379625879, c_new = 5.2953484249827465
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9605.916860573816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9166:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.477161514376666, b_new = -1.1656909984367019, c_new = 5.546588698897193
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9692.494358301718
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9167:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.214730475095359, b_new = -1.3748869810711004, c_new = 5.007099453681363
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13159.867820589796
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9168:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.310369499114207, b_new = -0.807337082112731, c_new = 5.8680025050531635
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7668.16134887174
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9169:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.494684033728274, b_new = -1.2684162391670957, c_new = 5.719274769635749
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10367.240092248798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9170:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3994297858575777, b_new = 0.008179834930160723, c_new = 6.077488126829342
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11279.99039304837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9171:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.846210875536578, b_new = -1.58789816745098, c_new = 6.394861451579466
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4677.377812874353
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9172:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.426846137431846, b_new = -0.595584496729284, c_new = 5.646737672889047
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9935.605386950852
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9173:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2909278700439764, b_new = -1.2417413578248397, c_new = 6.044780116266137
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6084.015212632773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9174:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.314430742773459, b_new = -0.8651747500780322, c_new = 5.42629781579552
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7408.454706540333
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9175:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3067180903142157, b_new = -1.4835473380984059, c_new = 5.575731721690776
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5617.839137839947
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9176:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8356599191057623, b_new = -1.6818235200856064, c_new = 5.433664785620722
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5358.158619780019
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9177:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1575731544799472, b_new = -0.2920382377528198, c_new = 6.748718383061332
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6124.677006755223
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9178:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8401176374490182, b_new = -0.827294730491435, c_new = 5.883470842340296
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13473.545886954298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9179:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4283206860884983, b_new = -1.5662122867175643, c_new = 5.90319305979228
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11570.046587546834
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9180:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2537228568259318, b_new = -0.9910635589990751, c_new = 5.641519189458824
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5822.120065852427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9181:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0282503492570236, b_new = -1.474114146965391, c_new = 5.417768720636625
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3036.9342336112736
Acceptance probability: 2.5247800638405066e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9182:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2435175417889512, b_new = -1.5270394622945402, c_new = 5.792795560994663
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4473.162836703122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9183:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8552757234553217, b_new = -0.953674589584427, c_new = 6.063978590724144
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3611.0679456350636
Acceptance probability: 1.145830941875045e-260
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9184:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0770370706506465, b_new = -1.2383906738551071, c_new = 4.700194821778498
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3087.8540726562887
Acceptance probability: 1.940968269123481e-33
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9185:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8536453241727466, b_new = -0.8737166110905645, c_new = 4.934648401630965
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13247.284476518875
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9186:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8351903566233654, b_new = -1.2596328956984981, c_new = 5.751111410434574
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4377.142350257434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9187:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.322959580843137, b_new = -0.990142828912967, c_new = 6.363365408884987
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7622.104200231183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9188:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8252786545464574, b_new = -1.7041937342522149, c_new = 6.40176883028233
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12424.141811486079
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9189:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5227086714647595, b_new = -0.6850857780514998, c_new = 5.873093801188253
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8732.962921997198
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9190:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.250447757319361, b_new = -0.9775254615837119, c_new = 5.943102512560327
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12163.074852989985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9191:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3717720189881604, b_new = -1.0841985416770201, c_new = 6.039139673113974
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11281.789612279545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9192:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3512100264635056, b_new = -1.0934673018256351, c_new = 5.832972609967881
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11546.222757524642
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9193:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.599875572052276, b_new = -2.252536053821486, c_new = 6.037145061228268
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10907.023360013562
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9194:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7528657868642594, b_new = -0.5595152519286978, c_new = 5.232228875307998
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4440.588198267826
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9195:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8676470194104478, b_new = -1.590867000840726, c_new = 5.372260318949455
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12577.652365665966
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9196:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4121059858133536, b_new = 0.007493399225422692, c_new = 5.898808013385558
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11359.032072576272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9197:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5863543073339366, b_new = -0.809106807250205, c_new = 5.871257638782861
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11684.594967882329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9198:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0614401514318392, b_new = -1.1561060120579247, c_new = 5.8950437702261835
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13535.100346049006
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9199:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.918649313899295, b_new = -1.678024979076167, c_new = 6.288840488862007
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3850.394646918776
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9200:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.558638471975733, b_new = -2.0286067342711096, c_new = 5.295496880416912
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11221.427182258212
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9201:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.73583289628689, b_new = -1.52307529535391, c_new = 6.69832991535773
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12105.351299626305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9202:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2343846135346412, b_new = -0.6527215490265317, c_new = 6.142748364219529
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11789.478609925183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9203:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.193039393028913, b_new = -1.6553418257624686, c_new = 4.61339357600071
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3476.7940000695153
Acceptance probability: 2.36349217180317e-202
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9204:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.555122532346419, b_new = -1.2993981859531616, c_new = 5.286885246736682
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9784.55932150012
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9205:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3773075775813535, b_new = -0.5937556180729541, c_new = 6.43115220614024
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10280.707556749305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9206:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8239209788492508, b_new = -0.6836702672992909, c_new = 5.624475732488117
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3663.320804814498
Acceptance probability: 2.322694761297203e-283
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9207:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1697958438797613, b_new = -0.8002973334503095, c_new = 5.617638057335775
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12570.936816453665
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9208:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.817900127061572, b_new = -0.9020613085317826, c_new = 5.594970467740875
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13174.616690279441
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9209:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8096933642287256, b_new = -0.8193805153166162, c_new = 5.860792164115758
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3966.6900497420424
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9210:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.932756473687268, b_new = -1.0872466325822856, c_new = 5.910409690495763
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3174.519820688579
Acceptance probability: 4.462336277162039e-71
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9211:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8643163060336745, b_new = -1.8938950593015773, c_new = 5.064448451344138
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5457.085946698954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9212:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2266206324740407, b_new = -2.3084118333934764, c_new = 4.719066731818826
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3228.4692007489703
Acceptance probability: 1.65822795684639e-94
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9213:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9019707437289983, b_new = -0.09935937361930836, c_new = 6.424888235406037
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3167.8597279814417
Acceptance probability: 3.4834036843282925e-68
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9214:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7706528606629646, b_new = -1.1790339874407845, c_new = 5.298631329273799
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12438.150321664629
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9215:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2020211021235108, b_new = -0.9758916484798937, c_new = 5.341128591943657
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4791.8167842203375
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9216:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1881818957310584, b_new = -1.409614669078603, c_new = 4.990452338859034
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3768.1734461879914
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9217:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8242906367404164, b_new = -1.0620998685698384, c_new = 5.94487371141531
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13110.833218199334
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9218:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6433617236424123, b_new = -1.1261016727757054, c_new = 4.7283278979530055
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11361.032582508
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9219:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.153322114628596, b_new = -2.360770524548312, c_new = 6.3290353926710345
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14230.49335127362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9220:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4238959839430962, b_new = -1.8556357386801259, c_new = 5.398239445757802
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12226.480238550332
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9221:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.87718973460567, b_new = -1.4702135011113848, c_new = 6.01354197962025
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4097.372615557798
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9222:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.268676963187194, b_new = -0.7830564608493019, c_new = 6.006873522955858
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11737.368333949884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9223:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5164380119469323, b_new = -1.2311833346657797, c_new = 6.321347364892349
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10347.415747627541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9224:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.157441965990367, b_new = -1.1854253346713157, c_new = 5.849819289540428
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14560.90137657438
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9225:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1330138783178705, b_new = -1.1383362586671883, c_new = 5.901439020133117
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3700.363106036156
Acceptance probability: 1.899875414880568e-299
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9226:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.613526904006887, b_new = -0.9772837107337732, c_new = 5.110775845570377
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11434.05566651712
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9227:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.073353637564381, b_new = -0.5861325467350991, c_new = 4.982742948967477
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13063.246201452655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9228:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.49858056034552, b_new = -1.5556223556883524, c_new = 6.108238133801075
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9356.696962101509
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9229:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230764751721415, b_new = -1.5130595043451267, c_new = 6.223450879053419
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4415.44277323612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9230:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.908359500437441, b_new = -0.8482880162338999, c_new = 4.563207004468526
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3267.7945291855144
Acceptance probability: 1.3831557732756312e-111
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9231:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.443421072901775, b_new = -0.8696430089739062, c_new = 4.525599734423942
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9488.035771078185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9232:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0585231819455094, b_new = -2.1337846794949504, c_new = 5.744896089473943
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14536.86768022105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9233:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8286339930806776, b_new = -1.1632102760433995, c_new = 6.624777411260351
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4111.935800720086
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9234:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.060633295695176, b_new = -0.9857441883589173, c_new = 5.8560262543637185
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3254.2969648482954
Acceptance probability: 1.0064421216989774e-105
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9235:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.513696423237763, b_new = -1.675478749645053, c_new = 5.447955799915329
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9099.498978897027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9236:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6205191408432036, b_new = -1.6772897273394316, c_new = 6.273874927598485
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10696.117077802322
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9237:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.69865291007822, b_new = -1.2001029321293584, c_new = 5.8183430223362755
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6755.085788009714
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9238:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.076244707683334, b_new = -1.313234256541691, c_new = 6.255389980881196
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3150.460771618719
Acceptance probability: 1.2539336182027943e-60
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9239:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0171844794632516, b_new = -0.7960848942015868, c_new = 6.5806206642418275
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3237.817261289806
Acceptance probability: 1.444884470928474e-98
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9240:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.90857120180124, b_new = -1.103815055156876, c_new = 5.815461035857004
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3344.2760377230697
Acceptance probability: 8.421199738907592e-145
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9241:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6486735097038023, b_new = -0.800009523573745, c_new = 5.6468458158150865
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6788.787045216861
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9242:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.311441478091868, b_new = -0.7812420328131893, c_new = 6.463657030137457
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8022.6414289479835
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9243:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.045739296590186, b_new = -0.09199557933429636, c_new = 5.821590735261883
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4277.959008867388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9244:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924980576957108, b_new = -0.704171850077941, c_new = 5.050341032762303
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3071.70725011614
Acceptance probability: 1.997534850466732e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9245:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.236829322375536, b_new = -1.137626229359717, c_new = 6.501045534444975
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12328.042162212072
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9246:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.905686180511291, b_new = -2.013537640941418, c_new = 6.096024154802237
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12484.574299538397
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9247:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1412075235497876, b_new = -1.8652281482579571, c_new = 6.020369127162605
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3120.255137592423
Acceptance probability: 1.645942752926822e-47
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9248:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801264071402887, b_new = -0.7735685382510049, c_new = 5.803689221826472
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4013.0816663099113
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9249:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.679241232399242, b_new = -1.2024377296679665, c_new = 6.147892731151804
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7041.839942080833
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9250:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.731114463837383, b_new = -1.2592797524846617, c_new = 6.1327370926671865
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6132.013629277605
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9251:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3144817075848723, b_new = -1.356365371807851, c_new = 5.406703444653981
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6045.487245869728
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9252:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.992762885622849, b_new = -0.6353299313720783, c_new = 5.021118356023342
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14208.818776990556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9253:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0925672098625223, b_new = -1.2785270690134976, c_new = 6.6151827230744
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3309.5345869590437
Acceptance probability: 1.031322109959524e-129
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9254:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4203188515332226, b_new = -1.020452814650568, c_new = 6.875893494660601
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9644.436799415465
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9255:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.208591863054922, b_new = -1.7243900979106712, c_new = 4.865475568294238
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3572.530435028395
Acceptance probability: 6.248111174514446e-244
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9256:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6866024287246772, b_new = -1.315033012488457, c_new = 6.113800279116016
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7202.188026804057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9257:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1699664129699796, b_new = -1.4410287338755525, c_new = 5.7679046817579644
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3665.5200936754045
Acceptance probability: 2.5754500067443478e-284
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9258:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.056958989765673, b_new = -1.762282003615772, c_new = 6.04367032229516
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3033.41892898448
Acceptance probability: 8.489868312466133e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9259:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.244570597563978, b_new = -0.5516908129085565, c_new = 6.095453538023254
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15424.853064815825
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9260:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2690624853540378, b_new = -1.508706163128189, c_new = 5.909881079609902
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4959.500908796358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9261:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6477404735899936, b_new = -0.9245403030683919, c_new = 5.689005619917493
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11981.56540891688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9262:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.683724634533481, b_new = -1.4687171469453026, c_new = 5.615197730018725
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11444.54343016596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9263:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1183303044134454, b_new = -0.45359659995290513, c_new = 5.302497310943466
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12552.669078831696
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9264:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2767049098055363, b_new = -0.45123260882312377, c_new = 5.816399709365658
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7948.858282723943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9265:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.320166825642396, b_new = -2.4673291242826227, c_new = 6.070140555608016
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4013.107972724596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9266:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.331959340618116, b_new = -0.5476187263575841, c_new = 5.325191186398219
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10999.226962640168
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9267:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2809852438585674, b_new = -0.4534283367041617, c_new = 5.982772523293534
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8110.483505815092
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9268:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.515574160724057, b_new = -1.5688716772163656, c_new = 6.44345811320424
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9691.413467439808
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9269:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0905641441880345, b_new = -0.3453761958913474, c_new = 6.411857842376848
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4618.076736604908
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9270:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2963392574508026, b_new = -0.9660852593952126, c_new = 6.119529552701517
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11746.145409679313
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9271:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.028566019279199, b_new = -0.4810814673565226, c_new = 5.254071678929809
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3411.7964310119464
Acceptance probability: 3.9961312790457804e-174
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9272:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9508336275255167, b_new = -1.0324718331835858, c_new = 6.040691020241171
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3071.1055304304928
Acceptance probability: 3.6460104091230346e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9273:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1767615024288585, b_new = -0.6401293551686185, c_new = 5.681076753779849
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5204.704731490419
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9274:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.388120591832695, b_new = -2.5993986635466175, c_new = 5.9991245233400905
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4744.230106921212
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9275:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5528818568140554, b_new = -1.2589652666324564, c_new = 5.990505066435313
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10614.249404893268
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9276:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.964694732972281, b_new = -1.559650428234584, c_new = 6.364562951124782
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13444.088858377256
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9277:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.700796047772508, b_new = -1.7038661351564492, c_new = 5.53324844267118
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8190.974220050431
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9278:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8853859636988832, b_new = -1.2371273889024692, c_new = 6.331211079863569
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3614.197784309754
Acceptance probability: 5.0101286756495325e-262
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9279:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7962329417828653, b_new = -1.2119879865322614, c_new = 5.853467711512479
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4874.433433370708
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9280:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.018667193231089, b_new = -1.6779410465262785, c_new = 6.628938530090069
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13660.17048878131
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9281:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.882771007847615, b_new = -0.8727510681907937, c_new = 5.722603262429349
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3338.9405027502444
Acceptance probability: 1.748104396334235e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9282:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.078178383607278, b_new = -1.3366280282534462, c_new = 6.760423164727346
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13441.659524549943
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9283:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5512127480853053, b_new = -1.279753469393956, c_new = 6.34022078941148
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15370.658080726891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9284:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.248585477673635, b_new = -2.2912047532639894, c_new = 5.385521059603472
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13946.377854152259
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9285:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5359086762151617, b_new = -1.6428695346767772, c_new = 5.701085534227652
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10598.712008301964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9286:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304480721740186, b_new = -0.6745795270176622, c_new = 6.636927684877487
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8260.75820695272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9287:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.19581661978988, b_new = -1.3300333013104795, c_new = 6.035684345647163
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4196.811227651984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9288:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0097162075582347, b_new = -0.5793629798715891, c_new = 4.955393267515883
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3171.590065198105
Acceptance probability: 8.354855403555127e-70
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9289:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.17636933460576, b_new = -2.0492943849514234, c_new = 6.3640922077851325
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3208.0695736463204
Acceptance probability: 1.199747120916015e-85
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9290:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.81890429009197, b_new = -0.9170080627204311, c_new = 5.439687274761925
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4083.2112955145185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9291:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.467700686145236, b_new = -1.426827140039635, c_new = 5.983301774939931
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9120.747886634133
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9292:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8831336252165776, b_new = -1.6418884344660423, c_new = 5.338601582955697
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4486.288297654398
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9293:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.874718689428814, b_new = -1.133303033242683, c_new = 6.102673982806561
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3628.3819585814394
Acceptance probability: 3.4652954113477056e-268
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9294:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.083464404472482, b_new = -0.8603907368183558, c_new = 5.936972199290978
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13087.404493064103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9295:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.844617903631542, b_new = -1.015110410146516, c_new = 6.423389951923496
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3742.3314261816795
Acceptance probability: 1.127497e-317
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9296:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6164364738826187, b_new = -0.6841103195332665, c_new = 6.2944459027479365
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12269.035104812318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9297:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.635506530653486, b_new = -1.6056875294793536, c_new = 6.025913072168284
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8968.305562016434
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9298:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7928201991927746, b_new = -1.5215330262354625, c_new = 6.251691617933165
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12399.11395683344
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9299:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7532577772456244, b_new = -0.9811618980891619, c_new = 6.215133362916211
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5023.152745602678
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9300:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5058048675332616, b_new = -1.4756754834586716, c_new = 6.266020531313844
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9689.237674331634
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9301:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4161476954497902, b_new = -0.9917971515204056, c_new = 5.498080292431308
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10832.787335763713
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9302:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1014484380776595, b_new = -0.6447027464220545, c_new = 4.940288923905879
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3858.580204319005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9303:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0476871721883096, b_new = -0.9640672133582863, c_new = 6.06592413964133
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13362.40648664039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9304:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5201285526123485, b_new = -1.5865614120441984, c_new = 6.4872690161901945
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9732.994453511297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9305:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.242488240759349, b_new = -1.8077730153189626, c_new = 5.081118115380653
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3852.8289745329253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9306:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5771559522798815, b_new = -1.4678823304662136, c_new = 5.395416950214544
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10324.428635460456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9307:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2136967567100596, b_new = -1.7556445272239336, c_new = 5.781573718095921
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3720.3828478611895
Acceptance probability: 3.839385488740488e-308
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9308:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2596929139735558, b_new = -1.6516963947947172, c_new = 5.72265873008202
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4467.351708816351
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9309:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4869292284546027, b_new = -2.295714725194104, c_new = 5.007856359917108
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12503.77085365928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9310:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.250986179328032, b_new = -0.6151308610678267, c_new = 5.9807918840031125
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6952.681426193145
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9311:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.113306713377786, b_new = -1.2796300681949806, c_new = 5.103132221355489
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3270.2295852385378
Acceptance probability: 1.2115453828696254e-112
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9312:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8586417593852396, b_new = -0.8252455815382763, c_new = 6.123294298557403
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3437.4444195836822
Acceptance probability: 2.903085578847496e-185
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9313:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5665470073957235, b_new = -1.2984525632860073, c_new = 5.268071794724853
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9625.765857472954
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9314:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.738612742078293, b_new = -0.9948329478821607, c_new = 6.310194874506728
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5289.085111087529
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9315:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.095860290735044, b_new = -0.985796599855503, c_new = 5.8359858239291595
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3517.2838501131973
Acceptance probability: 6.15227473681408e-220
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9316:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.519864789184541, b_new = 0.5552222303051941, c_new = 5.523205915104474
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13109.082487041183
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9317:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8020127498441973, b_new = -0.2822232573121284, c_new = 5.704514983240748
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3429.502142295738
Acceptance probability: 8.168588869982679e-182
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9318:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3528424397845247, b_new = -1.679205962795923, c_new = 5.167148306660953
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5924.198253905596
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9319:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4139458627052344, b_new = -1.7067248464141438, c_new = 6.632478575873112
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7654.013970014343
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9320:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9010315201855814, b_new = -1.6898304571069347, c_new = 5.893742963214995
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12799.867054650793
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9321:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.391582939135284, b_new = -1.1276483261895849, c_new = 6.714301655149628
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10964.529601968608
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9322:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4629094039077786, b_new = -1.9181880446864383, c_new = 5.872426946800495
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11833.088172106674
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9323:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.73406974861524, b_new = -1.2603417787259306, c_new = 5.713680934124987
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6219.339069888122
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9324:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.349961580583497, b_new = -1.924400668268087, c_new = 5.913238524780445
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5500.978098876683
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9325:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1586336786374147, b_new = -1.2533002553796784, c_new = 5.928106383564552
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3826.726094618253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9326:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8193974405360533, b_new = -1.3877222540962606, c_new = 5.328577105624465
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12506.2776375106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9327:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.199162008673487, b_new = -0.8302243032165253, c_new = 5.5724709287415335
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12425.98278400422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9328:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.929687707709131, b_new = -1.3405785030317594, c_new = 6.018975398624653
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3380.3531051142036
Acceptance probability: 1.8084340565591033e-160
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9329:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8046115601603607, b_new = -1.713690900658563, c_new = 4.992227495017784
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11896.530015514307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9330:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.304546024233665, b_new = -0.8597254969492536, c_new = 5.186359237387817
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7112.195134908814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9331:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2831302066939103, b_new = -1.8788819338713452, c_new = 5.812375825349785
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4421.9217803715965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9332:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9940218427560545, b_new = -0.756131037365003, c_new = 6.470936263667084
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13325.057558240904
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9333:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.007308269821102, b_new = -1.441219138710696, c_new = 5.268643112191593
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13522.614907570345
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9334:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1997030348019626, b_new = -1.095618613262787, c_new = 5.939135602041519
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4674.4510674308
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9335:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1724573350680654, b_new = -0.9017851350512313, c_new = 5.1622973517667194
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4421.364296713681
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9336:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.947243054769435, b_new = -1.163327806513349, c_new = 5.978419461320778
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3144.2061646818042
Acceptance probability: 6.525530520279726e-58
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9337:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.978756049837094, b_new = -1.0429330744936987, c_new = 6.052708749713568
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3022.8225044948895
Acceptance probability: 3.3952334241648684e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9338:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.969483802965286, b_new = -0.9575776604351911, c_new = 6.207090987814843
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3027.209571709306
Acceptance probability: 4.222703173834654e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9339:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.166994341374009, b_new = -1.3638420882583033, c_new = 5.892202698982289
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3758.023413495378
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9340:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4902856642331015, b_new = -1.3183065571385613, c_new = 5.42594308403401
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10613.006140051371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9341:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9468011366526112, b_new = -1.328281908873835, c_new = 5.159031254698886
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3348.3531434027427
Acceptance probability: 1.4279383892891867e-146
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9342:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2223693370652087, b_new = -0.6042619762305849, c_new = 4.899227874677225
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5923.5463128898255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9343:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6754256509093772, b_new = -1.1006427999299748, c_new = 5.818340070063444
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11984.269461670174
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9344:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.18864135830175, b_new = -1.4205367394903072, c_new = 6.232505017738908
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3997.263066840297
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9345:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0566561044679386, b_new = -1.6319098938330128, c_new = 6.314400748434936
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3013.4600432268517
Acceptance probability: 0.39530736279632905
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9346:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.414139263896815, b_new = -1.1331506244138625, c_new = 6.08582088033388
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8957.287738782485
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9347:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.051340515454753, b_new = -1.4799772178271002, c_new = 6.450122314861986
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13786.95211291769
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9348:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5911402423766523, b_new = -1.4520795063626084, c_new = 5.95017115235562
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9358.64878386186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9349:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.551112559942262, b_new = -1.2743040395531489, c_new = 5.367013773664908
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9759.54610172427
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9350:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.205022131288558, b_new = -0.6582501702335813, c_new = 5.7052398451803095
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5716.007580838583
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9351:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2905382770239897, b_new = -1.0771164360779382, c_new = 6.931942144474563
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11738.547235970032
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9352:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.103075058137199, b_new = -0.4072441823788162, c_new = 6.046028074829755
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4576.000766870735
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9353:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9563342238985912, b_new = -2.044195333976342, c_new = 6.676258429590936
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3875.2110098532135
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9354:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.896662984179781, b_new = -1.329303490269897, c_new = 5.595748519641707
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3735.681498944437
Acceptance probability: 8.712483587e-315
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9355:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2635218268645394, b_new = -1.1580611817010114, c_new = 5.25739572593419
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12494.829260708837
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9356:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.887500263290267, b_new = -1.230637140347819, c_new = 5.516059992224316
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13172.74105265103
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9357:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.770801897485044, b_new = -0.43364999320446707, c_new = 4.985690222266734
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4033.7367883358565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9358:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.863013515378181, b_new = -1.0191974662255856, c_new = 6.659942640149931
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3534.1609416128226
Acceptance probability: 2.880102951820831e-227
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9359:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.948723309389155, b_new = -0.1697420548212305, c_new = 5.042077760062726
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14480.193991340744
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9360:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.761741774550442, b_new = -1.7064896830860394, c_new = 5.4297784778785525
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6954.805563260012
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9361:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.720009256711291, b_new = -0.4439063531538546, c_new = 6.443113293195533
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4459.101937553551
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9362:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.385349374515835, b_new = -0.2809481892046678, c_new = 5.743675701864044
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9825.24970274818
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9363:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4942114540336724, b_new = -1.191094786878346, c_new = 5.766946235586958
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9951.783533753134
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9364:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.541733601127589, b_new = -1.5620655994912256, c_new = 5.178339153053357
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10544.40012129038
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9365:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0006705718822717, b_new = -1.9421306844322972, c_new = 5.492836663962707
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14641.04053609486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9366:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2143257852240725, b_new = -1.6782698478426679, c_new = 6.177836887101082
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13223.449437749463
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9367:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.889600813893458, b_new = -1.8133069070935997, c_new = 6.074860409442781
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12623.496378950107
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9368:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8373423171702212, b_new = -1.4855277888786496, c_new = 5.750258829284532
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4788.137451218341
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9369:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7404291289441898, b_new = -0.1634135762478517, c_new = 5.889817092232777
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13699.96288666579
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9370:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7506439751745058, b_new = -0.7462810978786683, c_new = 5.852396790050867
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13018.67752732386
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9371:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.685123239912521, b_new = -1.8056438584727785, c_new = 5.745674636074974
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8686.99237128593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9372:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.990337160152058, b_new = -0.7103329605080057, c_new = 5.467265630112985
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3069.639357268077
Acceptance probability: 1.579678903285625e-25
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9373:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.101496367111849, b_new = -1.3759475509843906, c_new = 5.7866450652624035
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3195.216972714025
Acceptance probability: 4.5803997196104036e-80
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9374:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.957334432876409, b_new = -1.917495619668217, c_new = 6.398415600881271
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3736.350935637458
Acceptance probability: 4.460764657e-315
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9375:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.139116985686459, b_new = -1.2740604351799556, c_new = 5.381270675483286
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3507.6589388648554
Acceptance probability: 9.31282763810142e-216
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9376:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.60624010149756, b_new = -1.7215978093240625, c_new = 5.949381446877187
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10366.545938650652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9377:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3272281352188147, b_new = -0.91016862250943, c_new = 5.51431977138149
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7593.954316383659
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9378:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.269352794559861, b_new = -0.6528243043069342, c_new = 6.277363723443343
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7383.158736825099
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9379:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.394495159485698, b_new = -1.6892019942602747, c_new = 5.776537084376658
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12104.650636771868
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9380:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.806346334800345, b_new = -0.5318823556827146, c_new = 5.84379962746669
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3628.357999914431
Acceptance probability: 3.5493218313537216e-268
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9381:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.203763707406663, b_new = 0.013972130071961741, c_new = 6.03079551107387
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7799.777120864236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9382:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.514217408995476, b_new = -0.9514202880552309, c_new = 5.5855435452606415
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10609.589202549974
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9383:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.769850116512244, b_new = -1.4323109687330344, c_new = 5.270563691341092
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6092.355097830814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9384:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9028187578640776, b_new = -0.9020331291069779, c_new = 5.030192984693204
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3297.151766155822
Acceptance probability: 2.4614163081259642e-124
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9385:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.001039890673891, b_new = -1.2253655261373504, c_new = 4.774401002889043
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3052.7279831474643
Acceptance probability: 3.492088810701175e-18
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9386:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2995374075586934, b_new = -1.1865218602704564, c_new = 5.236063783883548
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12278.246715558142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9387:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.010149300981423, b_new = -0.46563912282299036, c_new = 5.734649479250683
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14618.731773907108
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9388:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.84135359749639, b_new = -0.6776544750899657, c_new = 5.104947046587715
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3562.0051037405756
Acceptance probability: 2.3272446841716358e-239
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9389:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2739348216095, b_new = -1.8238240101868555, c_new = 5.001653334964016
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4209.638299193681
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9390:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.977746922499689, b_new = -0.8740996020145103, c_new = 5.041326883074123
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3013.890419493418
Acceptance probability: 0.2570542955742364
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9391:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4245970737071296, b_new = -0.6278143584887718, c_new = 5.3024850816879665
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10128.971156968595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9392:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9375534678169677, b_new = -1.5184961369567858, c_new = 5.24959609103422
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14556.317641069127
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9393:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1987993912077615, b_new = -0.2382945971109678, c_new = 5.9539445344494375
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6872.38427143192
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9394:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5351953173973616, b_new = -1.4744382911599503, c_new = 5.593026705257546
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10308.43452011362
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9395:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0468089172867825, b_new = -0.5401287087810828, c_new = 5.85057991096629
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3603.855093927541
Acceptance probability: 1.5546128067821718e-257
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9396:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7384521987410864, b_new = -0.9892187299335378, c_new = 5.30946039505491
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5584.133683986041
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9397:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2721675139400856, b_new = -1.0478736086741436, c_new = 6.5693660758866335
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11934.428163983008
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9398:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0433190997515362, b_new = -1.5140482003710256, c_new = 6.553171553603432
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3016.419242045114
Acceptance probability: 0.02050081779343329
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9399:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.005091839160445, b_new = -0.8474902729021999, c_new = 5.967615261543513
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3091.2547917378033
Acceptance probability: 6.472989521956995e-35
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9400:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.5121724137013395, b_new = -1.0665846708660567, c_new = 5.697520187343386
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15684.996442172109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9401:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6163821865918058, b_new = -0.8153263836585529, c_new = 5.7734762657056695
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11909.534396577994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9402:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.047160542413199, b_new = -1.749773184797919, c_new = 5.5880043959214465
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3074.2875136350017
Acceptance probability: 1.5132133251526259e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9403:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.693294192443781, b_new = 0.030525224275908425, c_new = 5.772845121146497
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4180.281799776949
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9404:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6048743714333322, b_new = -1.8550654098380361, c_new = 5.753642781233509
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10052.657062051607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9405:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.050004789951118, b_new = -1.1343540683640996, c_new = 6.091836673835005
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14225.795147099987
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9406:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.540531473950827, b_new = -1.3294465085981757, c_new = 5.66516213448742
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10236.132661003492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9407:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1086492355985653, b_new = -0.7688264909220383, c_new = 5.722889494885707
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3921.769332056093
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9408:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0368886588025226, b_new = -0.7873334057702542, c_new = 6.230567677590235
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13192.516381237001
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9409:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.860022342126981, b_new = -1.1205182163967686, c_new = 5.137558129505781
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3944.625707866227
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9410:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4191521590380076, b_new = -0.744923766112384, c_new = 6.257699380518336
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10121.915166411698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9411:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.939180078505648, b_new = -0.22184653374096475, c_new = 5.778897952456309
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14571.204068154017
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9412:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.43305171114049, b_new = -0.9050727938627144, c_new = 5.813933423002077
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10386.826976476686
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9413:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4244285213359933, b_new = -0.9495489092528676, c_new = 4.892815871063578
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9135.490211830416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9414:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7217221021330027, b_new = -1.4583072600355191, c_new = 5.198673068757744
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11664.334402530778
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9415:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.200365972120479, b_new = -1.191347724506434, c_new = 4.922274121933509
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4243.052641116883
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9416:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.380597149216719, b_new = -0.5734794653338867, c_new = 5.96628005470949
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9713.710579769993
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9417:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2251576520278404, b_new = -0.6190147006303902, c_new = 5.288423573915284
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6088.206414423219
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9418:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3122471104511026, b_new = -1.4146401923488359, c_new = 5.812579008743509
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5988.755351362652
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9419:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.633521218717906, b_new = -0.19411535918206613, c_new = 6.091051217595836
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5484.096091804318
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9420:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2181176296684875, b_new = -1.3976425739455447, c_new = 5.934561366085605
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4369.339480247163
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9421:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.341795774794626, b_new = -1.0389722110239006, c_new = 5.557549446122458
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7560.315649701994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9422:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9248095737434436, b_new = -0.7914572629097555, c_new = 5.9610346481404575
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3072.4769073977386
Acceptance probability: 9.252017695157425e-27
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9423:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.606498225733512, b_new = -0.6542654243151675, c_new = 5.978941417917695
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7139.010499003152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9424:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2635660368686756, b_new = -2.0559817921404893, c_new = 6.249446052755705
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3956.0106019647346
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9425:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3003501276521563, b_new = -0.8210795257474008, c_new = 5.787119298607585
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7373.787888361394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9426:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.705845823380007, b_new = -0.9713164344899676, c_new = 5.337380719636404
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12266.087865645066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9427:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.61680622643013, b_new = -2.2431669418249385, c_new = 5.678696807273178
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10802.116187673179
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9428:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.79998179904088, b_new = -0.6126527669843275, c_new = 6.523421530288863
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3696.9232644364015
Acceptance probability: 5.924195040613406e-298
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9429:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.902932049134587, b_new = -0.6901771033136354, c_new = 5.460636105801838
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3125.579943836642
Acceptance probability: 8.0145797913134145e-50
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9430:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3820820491603976, b_new = -0.9222220121656288, c_new = 5.670048398762604
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8747.228426061523
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9431:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1240966698515966, b_new = -1.171271388926183, c_new = 5.770050563860287
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3548.226237385906
Acceptance probability: 2.243508254111395e-233
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9432:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0677054013920237, b_new = -1.260387075470196, c_new = 5.363565384604161
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3079.619741034804
Acceptance probability: 7.313802372051172e-30
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9433:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4765869541299472, b_new = -0.3883685352449133, c_new = 5.69196572169575
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8852.017047332507
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9434:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3972177221161766, b_new = -1.6702045897047995, c_new = 5.862685918006982
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7111.901224797282
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9435:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.103020474380202, b_new = -0.08751617408397405, c_new = 5.0095056901563355
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4940.241503091286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9436:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8084249621940245, b_new = -1.8281173238781698, c_new = 5.459020396483554
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6278.856254865705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9437:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0205274517798397, b_new = -0.3640095814450981, c_new = 5.30909390894944
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3481.2792745158486
Acceptance probability: 2.6645521608298813e-204
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9438:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.474790405857476, b_new = -1.6490998789345066, c_new = 5.487119597341411
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11378.732343234857
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9439:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.573722797474535, b_new = -0.7203771499019741, c_new = 5.363420853920342
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8127.540849243516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9440:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8176883022575905, b_new = -1.5205218580643711, c_new = 6.9762759016500215
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4855.7434156939125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9441:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8980792263451516, b_new = -0.709758982497535, c_new = 6.114100697539813
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13968.566743133806
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9442:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.621056699452076, b_new = -2.402881553333952, c_new = 5.4201458229765365
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11171.627653033196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9443:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5677176148719156, b_new = -1.3125377443189894, c_new = 5.840816561644778
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9439.780589184644
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9444:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.353740039839876, b_new = -1.8002444803807254, c_new = 5.192137973004564
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5650.032963802555
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9445:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1717737308486957, b_new = -0.9431026659579631, c_new = 5.835770988455259
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12679.748601935873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9446:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1451944686075537, b_new = -0.22249134304442975, c_new = 6.772205447840927
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11731.185106215704
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9447:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.500776614491123, b_new = -0.8547963701227932, c_new = 5.139838055912944
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10488.887259555882
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9448:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2543614709475213, b_new = -1.1747094007121603, c_new = 6.088422265036785
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5522.183232549631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9449:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.049060264613076, b_new = -0.8756293879916808, c_new = 5.865628396334327
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14419.103261598195
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9450:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2474502625319124, b_new = -1.5425766108963106, c_new = 6.388819692698626
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12799.596776817425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9451:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7002894095158445, b_new = -1.2367130003230025, c_new = 5.210821250779379
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7045.111153502759
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9452:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.063518636333989, b_new = -0.950027507808381, c_new = 5.259674891966634
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3233.00228947326
Acceptance probability: 1.7821687080773643e-96
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9453:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4943107463278125, b_new = -0.5524112518723531, c_new = 5.315880029829392
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11029.23984155234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9454:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2187365839352804, b_new = -1.0926810406205953, c_new = 4.63800610854701
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12879.6970032157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9455:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2415568842807585, b_new = -1.1562189934187648, c_new = 5.545989381139396
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5146.978635373126
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9456:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.214667734613467, b_new = -1.0575422258163194, c_new = 5.859973018373981
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14881.284107042788
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9457:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.232122509197573, b_new = -1.5899666170012738, c_new = 5.848653473747953
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4207.305429612498
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9458:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4148684906975344, b_new = -1.153802748634715, c_new = 5.826521622453123
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11030.618932972022
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9459:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0884000210628986, b_new = -1.3530275569481707, c_new = 5.665019511375022
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3134.5771333331395
Acceptance probability: 9.918614382747026e-54
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9460:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4470090348686067, b_new = -0.9758874528994722, c_new = 4.962198725078925
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10625.60252497442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9461:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.102917503846413, b_new = -0.737567082455036, c_new = 6.104774376329303
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3987.995490273409
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9462:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.625487963755556, b_new = -1.2699508003016153, c_new = 6.315488607858535
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8207.62516452105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9463:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.579988863489039, b_new = -0.9627935801160061, c_new = 6.107237831434718
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8343.875647006542
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9464:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0830307169426203, b_new = -0.4131122643252547, c_new = 5.421563912991055
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12694.333881995202
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9465:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8655863888306854, b_new = -2.404500489743244, c_new = 5.80132784215646
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6524.566311065096
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9466:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6626630716829824, b_new = -1.2668559225612492, c_new = 5.094459084078312
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7943.857559796569
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9467:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.449528000892159, b_new = -1.7967576507129968, c_new = 5.433828061421617
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7685.31902194258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9468:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.797269221052323, b_new = -1.912283451543746, c_new = 5.528241860521076
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11711.121313754751
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9469:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7995865130658286, b_new = -1.498788012798674, c_new = 6.304328067653609
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5321.960394112606
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9470:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0533632220595157, b_new = -1.1813813578297074, c_new = 6.404319291199905
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3138.6716699694553
Acceptance probability: 1.652784909471417e-55
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9471:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.288768710008811, b_new = -1.1260336928013897, c_new = 6.101315173938168
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6376.2125415286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9472:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9100117115038295, b_new = -0.9137508178712495, c_new = 5.540040070721978
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3213.083595445161
Acceptance probability: 7.971273622922069e-88
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9473:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1675577213151334, b_new = -1.4311759146028775, c_new = 5.468938445261307
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13383.231865083075
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9474:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.854564178864541, b_new = -1.8073753456650907, c_new = 5.281529725895048
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12199.196303923702
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9475:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.834692298856172, b_new = -1.4746767975892083, c_new = 5.581924880737673
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4857.726142091414
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9476:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9877015129740205, b_new = -1.1756524216603597, c_new = 5.883788389634139
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3028.8933007053956
Acceptance probability: 7.84072717833663e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9477:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5527852615007154, b_new = -1.6181929437410232, c_new = 6.273436619858383
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10029.543622687772
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9478:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8684050077747667, b_new = -0.4071416644896222, c_new = 4.480146767810545
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13735.01797537394
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9479:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.537585104550367, b_new = -0.6993736486401004, c_new = 5.715232794423723
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11352.186002745215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9480:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.189327821100242, b_new = -0.8490837668376131, c_new = 5.474941906575197
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4888.073949131358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9481:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7994791476972365, b_new = -1.6686004625341133, c_new = 5.958881151954536
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5856.793312113314
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9482:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1157319887006407, b_new = -1.0716799924091334, c_new = 5.684307545246535
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3574.042526047004
Acceptance probability: 1.3773869467975811e-244
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9483:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.759373466164882, b_new = -0.8190329547731601, c_new = 6.068624095779372
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4629.5444792223425
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9484:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3116855918322674, b_new = -0.8904495043958555, c_new = 5.663778769321242
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7372.479873452106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9485:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.135690506074084, b_new = -1.8504881933324095, c_new = 5.654029209202882
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13958.481600764026
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9486:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.337212052980412, b_new = -0.9486322303934291, c_new = 5.9709112518655
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11407.720313853782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9487:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.254231958084893, b_new = -0.653576833698082, c_new = 5.630953781742714
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15277.081211855813
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9488:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.147531852008159, b_new = -0.9560034343951105, c_new = 5.86621695237622
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4143.944404215391
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9489:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8065694429005346, b_new = -0.8137411880821809, c_new = 5.609882959205541
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4044.8532851416
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9490:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5574954199687334, b_new = -0.4999899656561132, c_new = 6.410229671598461
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7542.674293851625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9491:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0662981611215128, b_new = -1.186581125915814, c_new = 5.711599682910805
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3133.0312245775904
Acceptance probability: 4.654045749310894e-53
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9492:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.79685869374861, b_new = -0.9744766903664716, c_new = 5.54619098585917
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4470.920099153275
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9493:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2413894869631252, b_new = -1.0932728777519973, c_new = 5.092506605717235
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5148.704544623567
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9494:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3548437988772934, b_new = -0.6057571950184488, c_new = 6.489890884579454
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9402.680839846105
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9495:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8217668797322593, b_new = -1.9796756309051011, c_new = 4.984394819098131
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6603.453631284689
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9496:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9077055540909975, b_new = -1.8157301935594883, c_new = 5.936064535213194
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12699.036082100125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9497:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7725945028204797, b_new = -1.7479968419033132, c_new = 5.814559571920596
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6686.47527216663
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9498:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.285415877432469, b_new = -1.1305778797091215, c_new = 5.717012214196429
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6145.59837537578
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9499:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8140584670084134, b_new = -0.8409680908483446, c_new = 5.053242210478873
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4105.009183223598
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9500:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.685131390504304, b_new = -2.3976878501121908, c_new = 5.272241626717939
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9875.414220793267
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9501:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7552192182667175, b_new = -2.244835651430151, c_new = 5.365527572920249
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8666.328309742814
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9502:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.660022971003812, b_new = -0.46694578991187174, c_new = 5.5309921963099615
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5772.667179939064
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9503:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6262270533364784, b_new = -1.6482357044246947, c_new = 6.174298415896262
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9173.336563318631
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9504:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.082694494222355, b_new = -2.263303637469753, c_new = 5.796948352356233
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3198.4660814426848
Acceptance probability: 1.777597322532767e-81
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9505:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.519627888109578, b_new = -0.7660095856018164, c_new = 6.147653289530728
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8869.26308862597
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9506:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2032415446695137, b_new = -1.2686997182872874, c_new = 5.2911784837244475
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4232.820953979303
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9507:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879489019811813, b_new = -1.148182460059921, c_new = 5.81265087580946
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3643.5632404237585
Acceptance probability: 8.842871846878241e-275
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9508:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6650897094367885, b_new = -1.417057942774435, c_new = 5.692254744540366
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11381.206283155003
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9509:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.083317650378327, b_new = -2.0504904535671944, c_new = 5.092443791691126
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3136.3770928882586
Acceptance probability: 1.639602242343083e-54
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9510:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8917182846185825, b_new = -1.1200328822504289, c_new = 6.125382691104616
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3455.316839716421
Acceptance probability: 5.023037223105756e-193
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9511:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6221601750599213, b_new = 0.045345129173610665, c_new = 4.990835958967852
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5461.040507105254
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9512:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.671340449465125, b_new = -1.8159721436210479, c_new = 4.838852156677593
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10569.377312523977
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9513:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1221404489919835, b_new = -1.0181420077549532, c_new = 6.18472273691407
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3804.7117166939715
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9514:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.291631554676079, b_new = -1.6001585138830128, c_new = 5.460446384484492
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5026.599482599102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9515:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0945394940063826, b_new = -1.0932432744133367, c_new = 5.717271768839155
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13339.438099035382
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9516:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2429779149167257, b_new = -2.3771935138480123, c_new = 5.461844077019591
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3314.3794236387967
Acceptance probability: 8.115373130549127e-132
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9517:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1693542337095506, b_new = -1.2919786936417461, c_new = 6.361030733828429
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12985.354808449647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9518:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3880834047542945, b_new = -0.7768967891220209, c_new = 6.794978140305524
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9672.33435560889
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9519:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.424864767644025, b_new = -0.8906846787447358, c_new = 6.182809339028544
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9753.474394575489
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9520:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.244922446906455, b_new = -1.0499987407430482, c_new = 6.0002624941232074
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5618.194601768109
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9521:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1853911612031296, b_new = -0.7416416863777116, c_new = 5.426452481214371
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5043.5163809808255
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9522:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.595954203198373, b_new = -1.488037317340967, c_new = 5.182351212510005
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10432.898911355041
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9523:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.332928038380162, b_new = -0.4978264894787485, c_new = 5.743657853918839
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8967.10286304478
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9524:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.682822264606303, b_new = -1.0246679750933507, c_new = 5.859468302558366
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6604.38536509911
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9525:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5466717231506544, b_new = -1.5252078478629545, c_new = 5.277002291978767
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9813.016235197856
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9526:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3293699481164185, b_new = -0.3627583403672646, c_new = 5.249696421844526
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9058.276885009655
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9527:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.229258827991414, b_new = -1.3881253386123553, c_new = 6.38333801793721
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4679.9940550476185
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9528:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6105830961157914, b_new = -1.4406495783397684, c_new = 5.53528344662001
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9171.967412916922
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9529:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5092268734277634, b_new = -1.4877036826456664, c_new = 5.507922990641703
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10685.27292986762
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9530:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.619334050225271, b_new = -0.43832090157266645, c_new = 5.6131783286365255
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6470.466255045627
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9531:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.20128643896322, b_new = -1.6342075988470417, c_new = 5.94719153341447
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3775.742195731148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9532:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0851757807589038, b_new = -0.414511318243623, c_new = 5.968780293934377
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4275.325067282659
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9533:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.301757134036117, b_new = -1.228607658409446, c_new = 5.968417972025227
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6323.293760352452
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9534:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0961218335449607, b_new = -0.8270965719128118, c_new = 6.26829931010433
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3807.9913198843396
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9535:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2103232968588498, b_new = -1.024455275083149, c_new = 4.904454025963391
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4706.570388407628
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9536:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.836657079035661, b_new = -0.8799044876110853, c_new = 5.689426244596528
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3768.6652486251824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9537:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9453103546736332, b_new = -1.3736770752754621, c_new = 6.83969345118806
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3223.032030764637
Acceptance probability: 3.8104577819298946e-92
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9538:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.153286930892169, b_new = -1.8883139946508416, c_new = 5.2396418641926426
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3120.7134766630934
Acceptance probability: 1.0407839751899274e-47
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9539:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0623938969542817, b_new = -1.1984253086522951, c_new = 6.28155994717477
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3157.989002028319
Acceptance probability: 6.74226193402015e-64
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9540:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9946972599080635, b_new = -0.9505099313292015, c_new = 5.600103729929479
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3020.574421950236
Acceptance probability: 0.0003215136987297664
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9541:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.967898288921364, b_new = -0.420006435140191, c_new = 5.551292951268078
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3139.351291865497
Acceptance probability: 8.376455771035634e-56
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9542:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.794147566179592, b_new = -1.1156037399426466, c_new = 5.197725754177341
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4889.55682111473
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9543:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9343732163232064, b_new = -1.5831236511566713, c_new = 5.507479363250122
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13029.74495144815
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9544:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2829850522445265, b_new = -1.4198962226331862, c_new = 6.194396933915861
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5512.2260121933305
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9545:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.809270788481992, b_new = -2.4307588651355228, c_new = 5.184152978394297
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10993.300989991163
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9546:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6367450995591346, b_new = -1.2827678733918881, c_new = 6.680047469930572
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7900.903830213612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9547:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8777076138115203, b_new = -2.0690188848530284, c_new = 5.568103318593477
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5457.683414585448
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9548:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9240364161874854, b_new = -1.1209962182329496, c_new = 6.109881818282577
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13652.005626480037
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9549:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2140013075968303, b_new = -1.0762557850544838, c_new = 6.0937712296051245
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5004.734348608501
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9550:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.122152315657405, b_new = -1.5591705838599546, c_new = 6.136942874393517
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3216.4267558872752
Acceptance probability: 2.815863412506745e-89
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9551:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9155184419275275, b_new = -1.385903554976504, c_new = 6.165240811848402
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14323.394538053688
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9552:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6794674303942063, b_new = -1.2646947405729163, c_new = 5.551606626570985
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7422.449616208782
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9553:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0376010625935743, b_new = -0.22024416099001476, c_new = 5.525460687507936
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12717.283964096756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9554:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.211070303727409, b_new = -1.6584371855171987, c_new = 6.645757688568077
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13101.077085351402
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9555:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7634665475480302, b_new = -0.6166624212846353, c_new = 5.7599988076535125
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14311.299990163538
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9556:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2840367268272326, b_new = -1.9623513665208137, c_new = 6.006856451106021
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13193.057333334913
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9557:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7318387684841117, b_new = -0.857142703030255, c_new = 5.469057465005346
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12640.962019601926
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9558:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7078802537038444, b_new = -0.6347423262194744, c_new = 6.102450159017737
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5105.627788764511
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9559:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6454715498190553, b_new = -1.2757708534971997, c_new = 5.623620235348009
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8100.898382137082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9560:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6651823684117013, b_new = -1.4341610500758588, c_new = 5.4881920314461965
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8187.447750270234
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9561:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.974458913761659, b_new = -1.0981008925987767, c_new = 6.063663232783093
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3033.9744185470845
Acceptance probability: 4.871412454163347e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9562:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6851679779102233, b_new = -1.0636093025869238, c_new = 5.430852739241949
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6811.4162824539635
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9563:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.113848099138431, b_new = -0.39005411213773455, c_new = 6.498425003060179
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4932.527971698705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9564:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.414593988599855, b_new = -2.2513860723184083, c_new = 5.300359152896323
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5793.2872680833625
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9565:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9117097619757204, b_new = -2.3596621511664524, c_new = 5.931136285545818
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5399.1607405021905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9566:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.112175407599581, b_new = -0.9107696467698804, c_new = 5.559448111822933
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3722.1021047432164
Acceptance probability: 6.88015056247822e-309
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9567:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.490014153222749, b_new = -0.17472748342563627, c_new = 5.686177752465058
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11771.924454967511
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9568:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3279237966174136, b_new = -1.577354378135137, c_new = 4.972404372215432
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12687.218650358285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9569:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0842062524152536, b_new = -0.9085316896107428, c_new = 5.629536664661803
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3469.2605925540583
Acceptance probability: 4.41846564021636e-199
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9570:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.763276466012143, b_new = -2.1538337518813933, c_new = 5.490736677853799
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8181.0355013965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9571:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.760159468802784, b_new = -0.9181766203245065, c_new = 6.381286166379245
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4734.492513129328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9572:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.404642403338771, b_new = -1.005454908453337, c_new = 5.568137374250753
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8909.384004941418
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9573:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.250117833398073, b_new = -1.9360350666188677, c_new = 5.334625872741482
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3807.2689195587
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9574:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8609351721415006, b_new = -0.7158406085493911, c_new = 6.0354787881186205
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3332.888257122901
Acceptance probability: 7.43060617437145e-140
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9575:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8418263231844176, b_new = -1.3893949133540948, c_new = 6.0748671769086116
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4440.444823610389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9576:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.280368524250856, b_new = -1.0678002543994356, c_new = 5.303087356778543
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6055.5299756175955
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9577:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0532320490528484, b_new = -1.3521779947257264, c_new = 5.83985864695681
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3033.4261724777584
Acceptance probability: 8.428594195647167e-10
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9578:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.120218372278818, b_new = -1.0208173980084922, c_new = 6.521324198247377
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3850.396536188432
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9579:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.981196999142273, b_new = -0.8555256593594945, c_new = 5.550487121748755
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13691.808974504787
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9580:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.988787899235335, b_new = -1.0145314396602765, c_new = 6.3260603233289725
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3029.61409572931
Acceptance probability: 3.81345864610911e-08
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9581:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4286259339651135, b_new = -1.3421834048466579, c_new = 5.721084911224093
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8553.979588743225
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9582:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.935103504161515, b_new = -0.5981650690242192, c_new = 5.196337732413057
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3027.5243158423655
Acceptance probability: 3.0824703969825614e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9583:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.047767263900218, b_new = -1.4456318692198058, c_new = 6.185304261809782
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13829.335270149419
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9584:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.62043898921703, b_new = -0.4604775600326473, c_new = 5.370880715160472
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12351.665974950027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9585:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.265153724966968, b_new = -0.49249111100132326, c_new = 5.350950479444699
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11519.516933587025
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9586:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9518961437664335, b_new = -1.0173425188318193, c_new = 5.695677429600037
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3074.8362572301185
Acceptance probability: 8.741457323248497e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9587:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2278894397940303, b_new = -1.2700999122683014, c_new = 5.101319634248543
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4549.725892606031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9588:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0366994447475077, b_new = -1.9242493900760844, c_new = 6.00617370983756
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3175.3854540318316
Acceptance probability: 1.87768402266649e-71
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9589:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.407722971324308, b_new = -1.6833646273909864, c_new = 6.043220487304895
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7362.400623014464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9590:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8083255824147444, b_new = -0.9433341515603136, c_new = 5.279250909391086
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4308.243177339962
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9591:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.154106458612439, b_new = -1.7708729119761006, c_new = 6.66705656482036
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3309.1270367211155
Acceptance probability: 1.550212190967e-129
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9592:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2874045237510856, b_new = -1.7835402275380188, c_new = 4.935427325498741
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4458.7338742375505
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9593:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.464743318119716, b_new = -0.8138590357636687, c_new = 5.90822778832059
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9799.97166414228
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9594:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5459407337832682, b_new = -0.8010900965877623, c_new = 5.743947181320111
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8664.566629566194
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9595:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1219665192567367, b_new = -1.6631550092168976, c_new = 5.9297162613763925
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3134.268680181049
Acceptance probability: 1.35023856476445e-53
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9596:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4706306306919075, b_new = -1.4531665244289964, c_new = 4.347073542894742
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11449.662756816651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9597:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7619354283934565, b_new = -1.4330507260660865, c_new = 5.7151850532217665
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6097.651094510703
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9598:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.651344285246046, b_new = -0.5630656379312973, c_new = 5.673693206236477
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6129.05663400284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9599:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.163568691867741, b_new = -1.3350138471524546, c_new = 6.396867272994409
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3859.5456093519633
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9600:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7728509070867773, b_new = -1.7870928878382817, c_new = 7.006085921471904
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12103.7445841258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9601:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0498370306865534, b_new = -1.761330518665267, c_new = 4.786555222990719
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3133.827543762862
Acceptance probability: 2.09890904983822e-53
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9602:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2102926747220035, b_new = -0.9915801436580312, c_new = 5.405132879291581
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4917.742942604048
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9603:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0059521561746325, b_new = -1.7489082991905551, c_new = 5.834510088092372
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3234.6451754326336
Acceptance probability: 3.447089085754762e-97
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9604:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7940243093105654, b_new = -0.7485919213856977, c_new = 5.432336787871251
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4140.82336683551
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9605:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1311422981104324, b_new = -1.4148947062823796, c_new = 5.952888255668622
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13442.31199986551
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9606:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1046282532213665, b_new = -1.1179102728290133, c_new = 5.902477953415688
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3456.9347766690694
Acceptance probability: 9.96105426225364e-194
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9607:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.784175695655089, b_new = -1.503009709082251, c_new = 5.1253676800216255
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6036.330907833848
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9608:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.124305178700042, b_new = -1.163063761038261, c_new = 6.0773473337634805
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3612.173421976335
Acceptance probability: 3.7933094313280006e-261
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9609:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7519929177595905, b_new = -1.0707974372336284, c_new = 5.711796412905198
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12564.022371103512
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9610:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.74427852529091, b_new = -0.7022262821218261, c_new = 5.3422399290034885
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12891.760936481243
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9611:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.317341291403022, b_new = -1.6050825849056412, c_new = 5.569882170121958
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5527.06407468412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9612:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.989133042699822, b_new = -1.5293273245044514, c_new = 5.758590733097645
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3178.4123253037396
Acceptance probability: 9.10057891624325e-73
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9613:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.626530535956664, b_new = -1.5429699943359592, c_new = 5.491046172486774
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9168.690606321014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9614:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2523817960284185, b_new = -1.4661742880249977, c_new = 5.057939441240435
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4543.337732407876
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9615:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2304543452730905, b_new = -1.122232234345532, c_new = 6.149870077942704
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12440.86852994013
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9616:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2662183238975553, b_new = -1.0744052750783657, c_new = 5.649968965380811
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12256.735456468723
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9617:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.430302008738096, b_new = -1.19156474064043, c_new = 6.152823447567938
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10832.807448663112
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9618:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9217564321912737, b_new = -0.693366912410291, c_new = 5.653540650165381
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3060.358532991727
Acceptance probability: 1.6950385856885043e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9619:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0498839887223164, b_new = 0.0757371012751673, c_new = 4.876498619636137
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4390.505298234285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9620:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9516118252082695, b_new = -0.6421268069026553, c_new = 6.0315406200295385
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3047.0446140557065
Acceptance probability: 1.0264578379640964e-15
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9621:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.893679745126655, b_new = -1.4453636975609603, c_new = 6.277540482071701
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13152.56263079709
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9622:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.831786506677192, b_new = -0.5585190971252844, c_new = 5.611545954614715
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3456.4933632475145
Acceptance probability: 1.5488477140580033e-193
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9623:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7870326822662146, b_new = -1.337883567463978, c_new = 5.308447501286824
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5494.024875743364
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9624:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2701296200907826, b_new = -1.7763169088707231, c_new = 5.921338093393598
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13070.305470940355
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9625:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.703230719833036, b_new = -0.5445322788975766, c_new = 5.01604491070557
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5294.653398635295
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9626:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5373670785643854, b_new = -1.2922968491772033, c_new = 5.816861299201215
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10317.38179216217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9627:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.580204115642754, b_new = -1.2699634587342221, c_new = 6.94689364491121
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8776.034331697436
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9628:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7974692759904154, b_new = -1.2278495718860598, c_new = 5.912151770129208
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4870.766893285357
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9629:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.418328887473861, b_new = -1.0281156247605077, c_new = 6.321792428010612
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10623.08472676379
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9630:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6556799394370616, b_new = -1.0675388346876022, c_new = 6.05190664010978
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7198.853248773361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9631:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.171915099968194, b_new = -1.2066709750211062, c_new = 6.202602533013906
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4123.5875352503845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9632:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.105955965086429, b_new = -2.039546491377526, c_new = 6.411944940203863
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3021.584242828717
Acceptance probability: 0.00011712236852736837
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9633:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.847102964980917, b_new = -0.520787463960875, c_new = 5.339776738816087
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3334.135600729188
Acceptance probability: 2.1345670384528486e-140
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9634:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.242748438452404, b_new = -0.6495221116225974, c_new = 5.8862757089703415
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6627.190147248439
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9635:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.839182957857308, b_new = -1.3101363001587158, c_new = 5.789134004413361
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4402.018030107444
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9636:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1653363940287513, b_new = -1.0005644676721959, c_new = 5.118036509513695
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4132.915251180259
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9637:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.924720666703623, b_new = -0.41248953731969373, c_new = 4.991464069068881
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3027.6824524931653
Acceptance probability: 2.6316070406091416e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9638:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.137040538546636, b_new = -1.603870646734306, c_new = 6.385928499134101
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13513.427697056119
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9639:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.535058413778085, b_new = -1.1903370679392264, c_new = 5.9708881572927375
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10531.477537084615
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9640:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3888883526708664, b_new = -0.7199671389775619, c_new = 5.74833156739699
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10572.752408666927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9641:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6209725454997757, b_new = -0.7477445405136567, c_new = 5.414857539525503
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7286.99596385099
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9642:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.588050355621703, b_new = -0.9165090371846498, c_new = 5.51808704639072
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8295.626284411437
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9643:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.209073803770459, b_new = -0.4981900401832511, c_new = 5.489429506601492
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6152.631635737568
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9644:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8955672496161777, b_new = -1.3634528076174557, c_new = 6.746588432406066
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13388.15027783541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9645:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6881834079030673, b_new = -1.7081467445724368, c_new = 5.872320077646082
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11189.301402822928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9646:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.844968531101538, b_new = -1.435358308606705, c_new = 6.237077136551877
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4439.695001369286
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9647:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2446032269639797, b_new = -0.7251825850704378, c_new = 5.959086721921992
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6480.078351092565
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9648:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7372770434974796, b_new = -1.4927213834685098, c_new = 5.273196224036981
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6943.634298940082
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9649:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.879689969014824, b_new = -0.7715942291728666, c_new = 6.337629006465103
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3233.3893602151297
Acceptance probability: 1.2101692866462214e-96
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9650:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.033005522770568, b_new = -1.2296137360611576, c_new = 5.518675293635435
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3017.9370046010918
Acceptance probability: 0.004493815965347516
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9651:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.938412906108204, b_new = -2.5277195568653363, c_new = 5.410388983944131
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5493.178728438967
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9652:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.26772273228811, b_new = -1.3752813935624524, c_new = 5.173699789262857
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5014.457197237253
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9653:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6546389408500604, b_new = -1.4225943008226603, c_new = 5.784373113913993
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8246.715664824063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9654:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2345763901350506, b_new = -0.7035896232667146, c_new = 5.262721319649965
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6049.108275360426
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9655:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8237180044510053, b_new = -1.1699516768035418, c_new = 5.564428612713732
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4427.089636922667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9656:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5958350647291177, b_new = -1.673727677511624, c_new = 5.222667617257147
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10116.353709418363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9657:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.154959526220516, b_new = -2.0419702267835707, c_new = 5.093665697016263
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13580.722739539468
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9658:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.821628484910573, b_new = -1.045601226276148, c_new = 6.249770439006727
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13198.804192629366
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9659:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.682015704623537, b_new = -0.8627867322884786, c_new = 5.416979918218755
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12261.699635958736
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9660:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.219234386532389, b_new = -0.8071967321652358, c_new = 5.92473398440027
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5697.315823069084
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9661:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8954057771672934, b_new = -1.7453894594738601, c_new = 5.6354000670035855
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4421.159059082177
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9662:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8988217315174896, b_new = -0.9523031829785445, c_new = 5.782043847965555
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13623.23475060388
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9663:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4921240205048636, b_new = -1.2025524656238575, c_new = 6.425702710860255
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10128.128533410403
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9664:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.941133253233623, b_new = -2.0118842047551384, c_new = 5.670387434692356
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4245.240283002773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9665:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.377642204017671, b_new = -1.8822229545609905, c_new = 5.607093915780663
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6060.679037441329
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9666:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5198461038480775, b_new = -1.4599452264407997, c_new = 5.776175218297587
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9750.451860638675
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9667:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3733398319201378, b_new = -0.7869252059790225, c_new = 5.088293029744851
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8707.746803949556
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9668:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8881037234003726, b_new = -1.2675544889466124, c_new = 6.091208117082015
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3661.0279854547653
Acceptance probability: 2.3001223413202403e-282
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9669:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5222848708590395, b_new = -1.440738909278167, c_new = 5.77168196465698
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9820.828441958152
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9670:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7142136484812247, b_new = -1.926791145483087, c_new = 4.922061247929914
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10829.138439133496
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9671:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.815921669762579, b_new = -0.9948518066725771, c_new = 5.305803639668696
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12970.346538324668
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9672:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.263156115379875, b_new = -1.2136842743356644, c_new = 6.114276029455373
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12342.723116097226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9673:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.014965280801543, b_new = -1.1860391466000881, c_new = 5.914121553116858
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13782.91448148459
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9674:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6129320238112883, b_new = -0.7395789235405636, c_new = 6.183931525761972
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7159.166296504756
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9675:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7914353011164907, b_new = -0.7802474686819967, c_new = 4.834363689390524
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4365.311383714617
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9676:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.142981249780695, b_new = -0.6222110532579254, c_new = 5.978304772030837
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4748.435830699985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9677:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.556901232535303, b_new = -1.3169398022490884, c_new = 5.402467963217133
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10368.874475031516
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9678:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4653928061406867, b_new = -1.7825073786420598, c_new = 5.606403075454862
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8086.348120205348
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9679:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.716661224300343, b_new = -0.5956193421160758, c_new = 5.694809430237114
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4977.782432421909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9680:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0017532360425223, b_new = -1.0116063318343915, c_new = 5.671133599978742
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3020.3683972329227
Acceptance probability: 0.0003950707524093795
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9681:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2722381412777706, b_new = -1.5199119507157683, c_new = 5.298311504436164
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4818.954640301038
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9682:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9920037814143496, b_new = -0.9509203782308945, c_new = 6.387977688887097
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3049.2211660271096
Acceptance probability: 1.164331385966244e-16
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9683:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.77081210576185, b_new = -1.2367947001327608, c_new = 6.230953683334972
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5270.986466612358
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9684:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3372947735674314, b_new = -0.4160122944385931, c_new = 6.371321978112828
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9530.433373593667
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9685:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5614473558891357, b_new = -1.5150641990324554, c_new = 5.108783238858182
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10215.983015238593
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9686:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2223707414257152, b_new = -0.37276746694064966, c_new = 6.368688050629732
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7192.579912954028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9687:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5458392307470374, b_new = -0.6382725386550941, c_new = 6.179485311003909
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8145.014465854371
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9688:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3014200364866175, b_new = -1.0929351438612918, c_new = 5.825968598384014
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6637.475194113884
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9689:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.788509382968744, b_new = -0.511024266517592, c_new = 5.783113161677974
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3796.02431331055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9690:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0668804247805093, b_new = -1.2555811170278048, c_new = 6.034774229383602
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3123.289903897765
Acceptance probability: 7.91466369447062e-49
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9691:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9195825894072884, b_new = -1.6173409423807286, c_new = 6.522459423655898
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3713.5125497333934
Acceptance probability: 3.6982331317416685e-305
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9692:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.191658979082455, b_new = -0.8664973089621055, c_new = 6.202475254438892
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5118.84651396039
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9693:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4427171592427412, b_new = -1.3462207522106786, c_new = 5.852897385385241
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11065.175435191151
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9694:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1389453826955354, b_new = -1.3611041595547235, c_new = 5.463272565156292
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3425.6001881806583
Acceptance probability: 4.0433764671370415e-180
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9695:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.939245513651521, b_new = -1.7533959600610918, c_new = 5.0678865640685204
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3976.58511982621
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9696:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6822964847809203, b_new = -0.7080013961690956, c_new = 6.486402705930185
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5631.424098558444
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9697:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.950386025181485, b_new = -1.8054223111624133, c_new = 5.694019523274275
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3790.7305493542217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9698:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1914160608272697, b_new = -1.0006525969996451, c_new = 5.416216906919709
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4588.664595432306
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9699:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.385741286168016, b_new = -1.3772967309430701, c_new = 6.028821630684055
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7734.237392688363
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9700:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3330495281896813, b_new = -0.9113332662529006, c_new = 6.168476440251286
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7986.882229372504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9701:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2816433370488047, b_new = -0.7317798487960824, c_new = 6.182553684531031
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7384.938237092823
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9702:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5689479240798274, b_new = -0.5978371861047087, c_new = 5.611032540652758
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7830.800162158748
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9703:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7345184418405015, b_new = -0.39444961085659247, c_new = 5.074836097107381
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4450.6188153306975
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9704:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.476073150473545, b_new = -1.3264859601367163, c_new = 5.7081633913302605
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9382.251018903451
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9705:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9960755482096806, b_new = -1.337342818982993, c_new = 4.257751640278393
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3164.443525641345
Acceptance probability: 1.0608198367804312e-66
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9706:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3600781930623818, b_new = -1.139653289321907, c_new = 6.634462552805117
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11311.829085278101
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9707:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8944288923595267, b_new = -2.407807097706383, c_new = 5.493950837610002
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6034.50074634716
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9708:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0511775266628693, b_new = -0.9546688911452779, c_new = 6.326804078967171
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3279.3651912115497
Acceptance probability: 1.3055587624593912e-116
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9709:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4827058505080757, b_new = -0.16570999685432453, c_new = 5.572084439212252
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8316.983052548007
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9710:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.433609479688038, b_new = -1.1716237880000078, c_new = 5.0624474197796845
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11102.192737127389
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9711:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.109116683520003, b_new = -1.6069174452797803, c_new = 4.233797283263477
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13607.452844998676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9712:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5555697979358194, b_new = -1.0386311443067544, c_new = 5.834679169094835
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10985.878148217953
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9713:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8848270923985617, b_new = -1.573517758166583, c_new = 5.255704802661728
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4352.545404018399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9714:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7250150236645254, b_new = -0.17190274974887831, c_new = 6.6455504463565145
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3943.224312567988
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9715:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4875017952715552, b_new = -0.6972125225173412, c_new = 5.521095169150122
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10755.340351241895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9716:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.659653880546739, b_new = -1.7415520449036213, c_new = 5.8009740620486765
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10845.417643162284
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9717:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.179548207980091, b_new = -2.105706708418561, c_new = 7.152607902050203
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3259.9341259077073
Acceptance probability: 3.58592220009922e-108
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9718:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6604235136359544, b_new = -2.1989498271301384, c_new = 5.749445085965957
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10077.8574904928
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9719:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4125797958460846, b_new = -0.790394811137616, c_new = 5.76063378110798
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10429.350004669377
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9720:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.821010980364689, b_new = -1.2109400456034325, c_new = 5.6256078081639185
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12817.957736432862
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9721:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6840447398479266, b_new = -1.8067101054619075, c_new = 5.79583400067253
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8690.332006104964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9722:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0185259438157, b_new = -1.3717193967024608, c_new = 5.4941209135518285
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3027.2084817433397
Acceptance probability: 4.227308285832344e-07
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9723:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.139675485721608, b_new = -2.0067497534131054, c_new = 5.998986801342115
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3062.9847469958136
Acceptance probability: 1.226392084009893e-22
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9724:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.741872586650893, b_new = -1.1273353188916133, c_new = 6.4294543873134655
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5499.3042495208265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9725:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5140050491165313, b_new = -1.079484050878076, c_new = 6.186583048995622
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10565.293326061817
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9726:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.63599246273231, b_new = -1.1156514502399613, c_new = 7.0037843812703695
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7381.848857853226
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9727:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.9524920118860971, b_new = -0.8127476730241309, c_new = 6.559619553865386
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13559.705579873807
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9728:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.319381580812796, b_new = -2.2845712323551215, c_new = 5.7219247416615575
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13454.82768549752
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9729:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8197217455654098, b_new = -1.3401459546361323, c_new = 5.021383640870817
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12489.289037915541
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9730:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3513320309286345, b_new = -1.8380622533230677, c_new = 5.7033807239759415
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12669.625987500502
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9731:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2847808615831964, b_new = -0.5115237853503242, c_new = 5.851998694264427
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7964.742699182453
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9732:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.491453480420362, b_new = -0.9759184310098751, c_new = 4.940978583983931
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10074.458715067998
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9733:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3152528918983397, b_new = -0.824551077746141, c_new = 5.829535286389206
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7709.129809379028
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9734:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.614243752333396, b_new = -1.4050034361941108, c_new = 5.612785250798526
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8996.438624142645
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9735:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.80601908040357, b_new = -1.6724137570122275, c_new = 5.530568685942334
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5885.499028973722
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9736:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.562365918037664, b_new = -0.9853815826047454, c_new = 5.8068562438884435
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8798.737632330765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9737:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.83970510887943, b_new = -1.682717995404741, c_new = 7.104666300014248
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4790.165246239464
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9738:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.326384780072596, b_new = -1.0748373721032947, c_new = 6.264686228373231
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7411.434619927148
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9739:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.680217508433949, b_new = -0.3614718990636251, c_new = 5.83812644452625
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5078.383291489155
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9740:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7135213334013084, b_new = -2.0763298768310543, c_new = 6.034907456873313
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8749.928537777258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9741:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2192350654329442, b_new = -2.2897026326186074, c_new = 6.777899573882495
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3336.664270854209
Acceptance probability: 1.702637980878269e-141
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9742:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8503385845847844, b_new = -1.1108743594383266, c_new = 5.6301942970237375
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3949.542024613129
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9743:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.4942556043685205, b_new = -0.7765147542710531, c_new = 5.605851566583831
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15812.508525076895
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9744:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.803560840911487, b_new = -1.3123804986704009, c_new = 5.895595769484342
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4951.654426958159
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9745:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9324527545472012, b_new = -1.9444700718754422, c_new = 5.518432944573948
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4283.831921876181
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9746:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4124924328790045, b_new = -0.9349430247755814, c_new = 5.8721774438988605
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9333.82845730063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9747:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4808754645448667, b_new = -0.7706179331226952, c_new = 5.601282166813019
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9601.146965956066
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9748:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.199280146558334, b_new = -2.0644067669530166, c_new = 6.284598757742818
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14016.811155578587
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9749:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5850138059606897, b_new = -0.656143759643687, c_new = 6.267077181873959
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7457.895778001442
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9750:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.246415105652083, b_new = -0.7902237754053063, c_new = 5.627125857716257
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15148.622403884734
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9751:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4738107303096815, b_new = -1.0578381709751974, c_new = 5.778565658825443
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10198.055989790102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9752:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5961456490391512, b_new = -1.558895046421685, c_new = 5.006205537610668
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9862.625313421146
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9753:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.411078995714322, b_new = -1.249186994777698, c_new = 6.409666681778028
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8731.9712887671
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9754:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.235078948455709, b_new = -0.8819786820725435, c_new = 5.33010138389214
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12307.559182791589
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9755:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.967711202944635, b_new = -1.8096753829490373, c_new = 5.199472978174802
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3708.1969416453653
Acceptance probability: 7.525468559004206e-303
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9756:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0622149762400657, b_new = -1.3512322002465125, c_new = 5.728687405615724
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3048.819118715612
Acceptance probability: 1.7405380962484462e-16
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9757:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5709901155997943, b_new = -1.2579638014863161, c_new = 5.778457695866362
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10746.832936709307
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9758:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3776003030350386, b_new = -0.4426338107397795, c_new = 5.724430379517802
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9882.667294002258
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9759:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5536992665642373, b_new = -1.1838893308250977, c_new = 5.421748593392993
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10578.824109987816
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9760:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.973393025568752, b_new = -1.1632105743311894, c_new = 5.15888521265595
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3089.6822032318523
Acceptance probability: 3.119402489758977e-34
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9761:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.9447229494827116, b_new = -1.4925090674168275, c_new = 5.835739179997641
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13276.504273336312
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9762:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.263176612783644, b_new = -1.0331511086145677, c_new = 6.309181244346504
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6158.6954700731285
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9763:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.941884449549175, b_new = -1.6015228221454298, c_new = 5.810087785235429
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3587.8031734882434
Acceptance probability: 1.4550660635744925e-250
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9764:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7938295523158807, b_new = -1.693565668962609, c_new = 6.053434757630017
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6003.81940515117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9765:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.828880822519981, b_new = -0.8015212904657291, c_new = 6.308030167719396
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3657.9893019125775
Acceptance probability: 4.8021357294564616e-281
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9766:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.419794294774802, b_new = -0.9056812145384932, c_new = 5.978112302859829
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10490.237002364964
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9767:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.638970779200183, b_new = -0.8572918445608326, c_new = 5.569157246478742
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7158.214656527761
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9768:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.837252343278847, b_new = 0.15980741140231514, c_new = 6.347648104978415
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14661.686276859422
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9769:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.470296901120235, b_new = -1.1212648012917183, c_new = 5.691900055754072
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9739.64925985241
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9770:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4310684652954913, b_new = -1.8859115179387618, c_new = 5.821926033316055
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12083.232388893055
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9771:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2082184905498794, b_new = -2.116325818193655, c_new = 6.158974214227964
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3339.391105753396
Acceptance probability: 1.1139686459048552e-142
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9772:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.596009002790226, b_new = -0.6530540708916595, c_new = 4.945815753847963
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11736.175294064753
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9773:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0026464511401754, b_new = -1.7580934268211181, c_new = 5.63257595450805
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3285.951566936694
Acceptance probability: 1.8004032605349538e-119
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9774:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.078868741988578, b_new = -0.8959292402460051, c_new = 6.605619546833781
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14700.636635216102
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9775:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3560209169257136, b_new = -1.6398435784456524, c_new = 4.905106605486569
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6002.832493320231
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9776:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.210870965267877, b_new = -1.241601663672404, c_new = 5.140389425627545
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4355.0299894047685
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9777:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0130641178380144, b_new = -1.1248324948267514, c_new = 6.049502806028555
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3026.004195471096
Acceptance probability: 1.4095445396908237e-06
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9778:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.184440245069173, b_new = -1.2590715624798163, c_new = 6.439493746593028
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4261.912847717054
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9779:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6863415417314256, b_new = -1.708943964025746, c_new = 5.73109707838109
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11130.964367652401
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9780:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.629277635376323, b_new = -1.1550044205702146, c_new = 5.701594019481289
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8068.879500453891
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9781:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.77635943752466, b_new = -1.3358668605510091, c_new = 5.305493681029281
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5699.04821201845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9782:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4228666557526033, b_new = -2.0493686374154456, c_new = 5.191785686117499
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12588.754062074564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9783:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7136110917173952, b_new = -1.1226174743356079, c_new = 5.994668519444405
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6183.748557393699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9784:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.081892285173692, b_new = -1.2370741017096891, c_new = 6.5466148461947
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13366.522730461918
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9785:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.875510976770589, b_new = -1.4343033422417353, c_new = 5.960368760010901
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12971.621388794272
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9786:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.545102377655234, b_new = -1.5955338744592422, c_new = 5.108991256273994
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10593.64287502698
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9787:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.027241090564377, b_new = -0.8562540219717708, c_new = 5.8438055673835
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14339.92883557018
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9788:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3064637403091917, b_new = -0.7769504543909622, c_new = 4.965620922599771
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11701.287049728115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9789:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1972696740192275, b_new = -0.6563955074696688, c_new = 4.23621547408157
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5084.292429406337
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9790:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4828307677458565, b_new = -1.5753384292291364, c_new = 5.988544657071555
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10997.615411648618
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9791:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0243090061731297, b_new = -0.6491548874206133, c_new = 5.086385869567901
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3213.151287945812
Acceptance probability: 7.449536245348063e-88
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9792:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.718463314354673, b_new = -1.7620954176719708, c_new = 5.397755196559933
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11244.230274298647
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9793:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9326394554510387, b_new = -1.2206720789957564, c_new = 5.925168216904538
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3266.171952393782
Acceptance probability: 7.00724400909423e-111
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9794:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6022290856202837, b_new = -1.213225431478905, c_new = 6.191288424081985
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11272.738402305196
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9795:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1846149332723086, b_new = -1.0708798902310674, c_new = 5.422544970859945
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4351.6515593771965
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9796:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.097251457525779, b_new = -2.2630068048002228, c_new = 5.626359117679872
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3150.816463412728
Acceptance probability: 8.786169204161356e-61
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9797:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.550564176008397, b_new = -0.9864476096452506, c_new = 5.521433415056041
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10925.317820078495
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9798:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4576614632730585, b_new = -1.668711420146609, c_new = 4.786274185076661
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7938.700509522699
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9799:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.230383204584422, b_new = -0.8506537001864599, c_new = 6.308851486912426
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12045.391027753885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9800:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.100689181415493, b_new = -2.1806150008089533, c_new = 6.7543225241082965
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3035.975693376923
Acceptance probability: 6.584340575951469e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9801:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.793518448684042, b_new = -0.523342039477749, c_new = 5.495779095383031
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3801.846803046915
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9802:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.29595942028185, b_new = -1.4392636441053417, c_new = 6.375338556032734
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5786.454754387662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9803:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.824853809246249, b_new = -2.262388592167495, c_new = 5.6096782732250805
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11464.673836623142
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9804:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3238642077425005, b_new = -1.445075892461316, c_new = 5.124640546886551
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5912.799811629577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9805:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2515353009047865, b_new = -1.9766346104831842, c_new = 6.035070867781651
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3887.293517093577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9806:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.896123695303127, b_new = -1.7519257710480376, c_new = 5.74522418496603
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12655.531854576566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9807:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6889992729766603, b_new = -1.2603270791018761, c_new = 5.530796027215273
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7222.6900833553045
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9808:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3443337960267177, b_new = -1.5935234308008188, c_new = 5.748351817964935
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12369.238695221564
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9809:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.112965651949055, b_new = -1.617828440949711, c_new = 5.954586229462971
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3120.8473828213887
Acceptance probability: 9.103447483942807e-48
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9810:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.275893076970855, b_new = -1.6042394385981924, c_new = 4.9898365548256365
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4630.2588441077005
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9811:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.351336428329277, b_new = -0.987685895081857, c_new = 5.466424086202736
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7870.940802034125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9812:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6496927121734672, b_new = -2.131324960357428, c_new = 5.865984620710445
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10039.8247284657
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9813:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3520716092156015, b_new = -1.9484548097422199, c_new = 5.593481199752457
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5387.057051061611
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9814:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0633597755524313, b_new = -1.237694620436318, c_new = 5.559379232415374
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3085.476924470711
Acceptance probability: 2.0912250632951007e-32
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9815:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6133387196449984, b_new = -0.896199795438223, c_new = 6.295507123248035
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7506.3648743438125
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9816:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4620573721227896, b_new = -1.3275424186918048, c_new = 5.521073562232028
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10925.594514748846
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9817:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7691506533954358, b_new = -1.6015486007778836, c_new = 6.415197632864444
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6143.345800105697
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9818:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.539991942338086, b_new = -0.954313037452288, c_new = 5.800032469718824
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10958.452907550367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9819:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.892349383139219, b_new = -1.5823184814993305, c_new = 5.698705249915764
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4154.0139740903705
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9820:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.428494074517995, b_new = -0.9081310709390371, c_new = 5.242040169177206
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9423.177848122821
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9821:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.50825557666506, b_new = -1.470672652522137, c_new = 5.867075441315446
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9598.0207814188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9822:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1639509255576916, b_new = -1.7286879287357637, c_new = 5.1174712715418975
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3253.2440730969774
Acceptance probability: 2.8843893426811423e-105
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9823:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.442196824398328, b_new = -0.8165136825556969, c_new = 4.952676546326121
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10384.713830553186
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9824:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4458144276884135, b_new = -0.9739414169782517, c_new = 6.100993133844936
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9851.132846735545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9825:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.674839321795474, b_new = -1.179461921733734, c_new = 5.907446487579696
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11889.002695967265
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9826:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5870433702151208, b_new = -1.5803452448302542, c_new = 5.771617760710929
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9766.279107488486
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9827:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.327567789319582, b_new = -2.1422142900539836, c_new = 5.9738169569017785
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4650.874341504383
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9828:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.268006477686328, b_new = -0.3107238326914826, c_new = 6.48483017895729
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8476.84133283069
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9829:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3549396390473993, b_new = -1.852356632535043, c_new = 5.922881986918065
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12601.722146693584
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9830:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.74784872086462, b_new = -1.7142461396701136, c_new = 6.110336181553116
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11758.410479484612
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9831:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4459674908126887, b_new = -1.4649584768032673, c_new = 6.54157791270673
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8869.15182886963
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9832:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7327011036220767, b_new = -1.6102250742005584, c_new = 5.826635721773279
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11707.062084334408
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9833:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.475402862269171, b_new = -1.2535912570107037, c_new = 5.86566299816725
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10523.886235014763
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9834:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6045321361356444, b_new = -1.760144413811337, c_new = 5.604164552670941
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9967.3367267124
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9835:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.636317393692861, b_new = -1.323396451555586, c_new = 5.515905087202091
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8436.834340328765
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9836:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.160650047062539, b_new = -1.577027101200601, c_new = 5.987458764706689
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3455.273143513421
Acceptance probability: 5.24739088231248e-193
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9837:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.886127685145479, b_new = -0.9221104357533826, c_new = 5.908367578852026
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13622.788812212899
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9838:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9478328162611196, b_new = -1.4100688238825447, c_new = 5.622143222998699
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3357.9552160045814
Acceptance probability: 9.651222404430723e-151
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9839:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7923945376701353, b_new = -0.783885785422421, c_new = 6.265452517692104
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4055.662521946445
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9840:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.690833556170368, b_new = -1.5754278491717115, c_new = 5.085183059551386
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11196.471850681057
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9841:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.190653255393231, b_new = -0.7132256175581911, c_new = 5.561561944002916
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12336.320538521184
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9842:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4401579220531, b_new = -0.8169989559418145, c_new = 5.759374340195212
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9989.10390932827
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9843:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.353292671666136, b_new = -1.98548946580777, c_new = 5.364191743429889
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5258.41351721676
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9844:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.611025186268747, b_new = -1.2200551172799676, c_new = 5.183432424678765
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15390.250684118204
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9845:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.875164801703983, b_new = -1.3015441215678096, c_new = 5.060269257716412
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4057.219841968794
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9846:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.825997581245754, b_new = -1.1644092766514997, c_new = 5.898149719411727
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4304.462167041829
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9847:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3637158870073445, b_new = -1.0095867213794434, c_new = 6.465609291812321
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8475.034573384566
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9848:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.065682929760706, b_new = -1.4794697109774708, c_new = 6.700332896457316
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13662.948742842824
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9849:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.603084236386328, b_new = -1.1701347011847725, c_new = 6.010447909394756
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8473.538156280636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9850:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.230355524937584, b_new = -0.9573785890587017, c_new = 6.3682031502565914
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5694.852255720476
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9851:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.736041242124827, b_new = -1.3733783976827865, c_new = 5.299948600905177
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11925.753276601554
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9852:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.275379396973787, b_new = -1.4726085222986582, c_new = 5.284621426826152
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4968.723309395399
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9853:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9675458991759314, b_new = -1.4749052908494618, c_new = 5.834190544927485
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3254.5828867507153
Acceptance probability: 7.561613932157516e-106
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9854:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9504272690529367, b_new = -0.6110437573719955, c_new = 5.238537677732191
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3022.916669365432
Acceptance probability: 3.090112949202164e-05
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9855:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.358442212960403, b_new = -0.6058807923838423, c_new = 5.840105673297888
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10676.49543782903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9856:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4447225400793453, b_new = -1.399347573548165, c_new = 6.495861413587907
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8991.30876160937
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9857:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1681694704029058, b_new = -0.9552632043901066, c_new = 5.039376136273985
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4231.455174277662
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9858:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1329534614096666, b_new = -1.0744291707087559, c_new = 5.5790818422470085
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13138.07611809858
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9859:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.01089192991434, b_new = -1.7476533533352592, c_new = 6.0648121807328055
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13405.393075441872
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9860:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1812708692641696, b_new = -2.4985749039165746, c_new = 6.644108472540421
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3060.206814729724
Acceptance probability: 1.972740646376119e-21
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9861:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3369637510618086, b_new = -1.8897903764984874, c_new = 5.320594373365249
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12947.100996295829
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9862:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0451989764886775, b_new = -1.6727169979520644, c_new = 5.5215345100860995
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14214.703842556188
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9863:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.188320189255928, b_new = -1.1580152927315686, c_new = 5.96015405741146
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4380.803800622595
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9864:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.928671960408486, b_new = 0.02586582314587038, c_new = 5.740550484789204
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14759.12339858893
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9865:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6362395554031757, b_new = -0.7492137084279082, c_new = 5.59622175854925
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6924.792606153493
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9866:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1194359833257193, b_new = -1.535550175151497, c_new = 5.802631845823997
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3187.196825176879
Acceptance probability: 1.3931863118800226e-76
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9867:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9209611544827143, b_new = -0.7548296287590026, c_new = 6.1260856493023725
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3070.167072294707
Acceptance probability: 9.319338660271625e-26
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9868:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.840421806855439, b_new = -1.210958705278703, c_new = 5.7152824815652465
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4223.746329779374
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9869:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1571357332297034, b_new = -1.358632097889514, c_new = 5.980568935836944
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3676.2585843906554
Acceptance probability: 5.587092510255923e-289
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9870:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.680835300307786, b_new = -0.37611158287655455, c_new = 5.757152404274348
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5119.635965598927
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9871:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.671134946484943, b_new = -2.693957904052999, c_new = 4.744851218224489
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11404.565737065031
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9872:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.530261508490571, b_new = -1.7335822247485018, c_new = 5.479903904184201
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10919.613509548455
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9873:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0780652673141637, b_new = -1.832812316793821, c_new = 5.510359199881904
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3037.6068406126833
Acceptance probability: 1.2885878825419387e-11
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9874:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.608788842555837, b_new = -0.24821293976433656, c_new = 6.350379466728617
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12865.049649295739
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9875:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.674774259173853, b_new = -1.5828917742800581, c_new = 5.17079977827554
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8522.581197671845
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9876:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.607558731124432, b_new = -1.890554513565788, c_new = 5.553350050328027
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10225.926288519651
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9877:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.811682955986386, b_new = -0.8736336164154559, c_new = 5.749961023288114
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4045.4141992638115
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9878:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9113725628797655, b_new = -1.925476225224516, c_new = 5.554258758805805
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4551.471228387577
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9879:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.33190393979463, b_new = -1.4367090225140682, c_new = 5.458202050930001
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6217.330694862457
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9880:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5098363305989966, b_new = -1.4485844220817659, c_new = 5.562237673397941
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9564.380474917412
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9881:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9546381722242243, b_new = -1.7938732578056564, c_new = 6.019401808179191
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3668.1708317430484
Acceptance probability: 1.8182441889646067e-285
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9882:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1209642517212095, b_new = -0.5172745457543958, c_new = 6.094631400775006
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4646.72614365636
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9883:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.377977292690067, b_new = -0.7505260616935715, c_new = 5.087423935395903
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8887.867521896027
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9884:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.219988016883702, b_new = -0.3858451285621731, c_new = 5.604290916056658
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6767.596163994822
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9885:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.106128156845198, b_new = -0.6712598375970441, c_new = 5.7641066014206075
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12776.54278595019
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9886:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.6367570697702862, b_new = -1.5871389520195107, c_new = 5.540589577816643
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10795.565223293885
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9887:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.201219074264845, b_new = -0.9441074558926965, c_new = 5.582957265114047
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4917.799383220359
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9888:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.039180573816919, b_new = -1.2810571954293466, c_new = 5.658331035129166
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3020.4603605844572
Acceptance probability: 0.0003603592740796527
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9889:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.192333686103402, b_new = -0.6590596440322705, c_new = 5.768700100871696
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5483.874093965365
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9890:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.654417126319348, b_new = -1.8256147459423868, c_new = 5.921723865662374
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10689.519542910197
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9891:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7080106587765376, b_new = -0.9841852181840756, c_new = 6.470956514410039
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12587.571763625267
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9892:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.7926149105393079, b_new = -0.6616188332116937, c_new = 6.170825889994926
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14160.321582066746
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9893:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0853834292840205, b_new = -1.4621148021378636, c_new = 5.174146387537359
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3053.7808619264943
Acceptance probability: 1.2185008494881126e-18
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9894:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.722177460363418, b_new = -1.3777528166353554, c_new = 5.339057630068396
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6921.358053391879
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9895:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.929221978915975, b_new = -1.4396175723561235, c_new = 6.07186756492941
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3477.604882958066
Acceptance probability: 1.0504906813411645e-202
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9896:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1643518423673926, b_new = -1.3908729717667505, c_new = 5.643185019900992
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3650.7937019539613
Acceptance probability: 6.403888872942133e-278
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9897:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.551549529098519, b_new = -2.050508081357745, c_new = 6.464035869380935
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10946.835042401903
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9898:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.758636909756385, b_new = -1.3019592376106301, c_new = 6.125633885947886
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5691.317983081467
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9899:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.5040901889433886, b_new = -0.9748431157264446, c_new = 5.840457637812683
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10531.120553872805
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9900:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1955035953877196, b_new = -2.623549148837527, c_new = 5.482789515983971
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14512.002567328
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9901:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8743855656399737, b_new = -0.8766510806092696, c_new = 5.195628401040809
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3470.9174040541575
Acceptance probability: 8.428055562219105e-200
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9902:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.390770075510066, b_new = -1.7389511686100094, c_new = 5.177229817898632
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6553.212084997094
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9903:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.11541590814605, b_new = -1.4758004920334886, c_new = 6.006215129245131
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3224.5335179936706
Acceptance probability: 8.489645110947534e-93
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9904:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9932801432663583, b_new = -2.2604630480487042, c_new = 6.070844420265053
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3895.5971181125406
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9905:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4547798114087063, b_new = -0.9171475358071537, c_new = 4.960827910617434
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10422.920073623947
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9906:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.202107658874601, b_new = -0.9903704720181291, c_new = 6.803685102697339
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5220.243816782773
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9907:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2168546042253214, b_new = -0.18720354585594867, c_new = 6.301977157460811
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7604.4747748836435
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9908:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.681566586785446, b_new = -1.110651456048835, c_new = 6.168005513163775
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12120.903926401472
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9909:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0524879625431183, b_new = -0.5824064310128811, c_new = 6.20796132718002
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3674.3748414018714
Acceptance probability: 3.67523444157869e-288
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9910:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.692367744082021, b_new = -0.9187705347624783, c_new = 4.090240452009847
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6774.163222367666
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9911:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3326756656979906, b_new = -1.7656086885484386, c_new = 5.695936726767255
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5478.204719442548
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9912:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.591263804715617, b_new = -1.0439684618624567, c_new = 6.007323948975008
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11390.292256532175
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9913:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3130316519523704, b_new = -1.5343010007669957, c_new = 5.439364059248085
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5573.315627629117
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9914:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.081527666160393, b_new = -0.585074919309184, c_new = 5.510732633440282
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3836.6023182701315
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9915:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 1.5283903871325284, b_new = -0.9144916932701439, c_new = 5.612956427002042
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -15313.516550800456
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9916:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1697648187562173, b_new = -1.2515374874903442, c_new = 5.84145670229446
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13064.451645839905
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9917:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0291757432830173, b_new = -1.5842872900581773, c_new = 5.538706658626859
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3064.0158938109494
Acceptance probability: 4.373286875262383e-23
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9918:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.59845877920335, b_new = -0.6527333531414196, c_new = 6.461092032158236
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12221.032930797215
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9919:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.848674464863281, b_new = -0.804907657484337, c_new = 5.453726531273585
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13434.08341379985
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9920:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6870259223242488, b_new = -1.7205063963548632, c_new = 6.026920894568385
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8313.507515816042
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9921:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.031242447210593, b_new = -1.865176154983095, c_new = 4.9141669250205595
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13111.663756111024
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9922:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.983485219602897, b_new = -1.6011511188238403, c_new = 5.734674528395635
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3266.2838856133676
Acceptance probability: 6.265204646225835e-111
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9923:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9168284231217236, b_new = -1.8367645990204515, c_new = 5.622601620130727
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4282.354177361643
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9924:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.690452284594473, b_new = -1.4402467890390747, c_new = 5.458256620097105
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11501.414190150821
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9925:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2525958016630248, b_new = -1.7270431711612162, c_new = 5.080524025371377
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4095.714375648356
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9926:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9245384011941282, b_new = -0.49889766347581377, c_new = 5.997145379310013
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3049.5903050457496
Acceptance probability: 8.049363975000869e-17
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9927:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.966278389877353, b_new = -1.8440912050285916, c_new = 5.5968394713615295
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3692.690633582798
Acceptance probability: 4.081667015839825e-296
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9928:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8810977028935207, b_new = -0.0949052398365815, c_new = 5.695163369327686
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3075.2098557720637
Acceptance probability: 6.016335635776939e-28
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9929:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.47903397731932, b_new = -2.095709222304639, c_new = 4.817243883348885
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7295.693444321368
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9930:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5910681170276804, b_new = -1.1109520991718538, c_new = 5.810858605495312
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8610.952630595308
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9931:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3333703560265397, b_new = -1.059643420475385, c_new = 5.945710205748212
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11619.984429743607
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9932:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.301507305149375, b_new = -0.9533250923630648, c_new = 5.433125819656481
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6878.298465974925
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9933:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.276116895924136, b_new = -1.2711845217639506, c_new = 5.487729720156315
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5508.645058774406
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9934:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2552982287892425, b_new = -0.8993212657787071, c_new = 5.940781449542541
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6216.134206330545
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9935:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5093406810874823, b_new = -0.8275307662035298, c_new = 6.578623630349499
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9017.148318728361
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9936:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2183855968056885, b_new = -1.1645636391589054, c_new = 5.277062481724016
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4653.432681772867
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9937:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9943480647156937, b_new = -1.5992564719056257, c_new = 5.886430957462943
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3186.26528186838
Acceptance probability: 3.536497190311023e-76
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9938:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7859834347534287, b_new = -1.6101834423127255, c_new = 5.8095722686299185
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6033.557087092423
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9939:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.183813871497182, b_new = -2.1254401014336537, c_new = 6.580257485371949
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3217.243812132991
Acceptance probability: 1.243851590951838e-89
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9940:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.016889504321097, b_new = -1.5336860950569593, c_new = 6.041714161618785
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3054.391733677673
Acceptance probability: 6.614965836855109e-19
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9941:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.320499377143939, b_new = -0.45013332270852646, c_new = 6.34057634256148
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9108.787688024999
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9942:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7853540835656645, b_new = -1.7573194433131925, c_new = 4.9703348197476105
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6770.546690386811
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9943:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7985040397929777, b_new = -1.462422400798357, c_new = 5.6347551232507245
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5468.818268014585
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9944:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6029671736828774, b_new = -0.8083642573806509, c_new = 5.316745551493465
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7824.774735162751
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9945:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.101156390605958, b_new = -0.24094918146339428, c_new = 4.725518691515325
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12545.809978193653
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9946:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4680212377660724, b_new = -1.0386595577906683, c_new = 6.0484353255270635
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10147.42398455944
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9947:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.485870313904739, b_new = -1.4142060927859048, c_new = 5.972368873215799
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9429.027600733873
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9948:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.68901497702044, b_new = -0.4626144325643706, c_new = 6.007253192808939
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5094.767302555321
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9949:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.096607093174853, b_new = -1.5681200138269582, c_new = 6.273575403979527
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3101.309814249883
Acceptance probability: 2.7814042351455108e-39
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9950:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6861233476530737, b_new = -1.0567283085668289, c_new = 6.318852279004144
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6462.694558566004
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9951:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1310282312305557, b_new = -1.4460293089553684, c_new = 5.969375521987844
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3347.6262425554028
Acceptance probability: 2.953918415965131e-146
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9952:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.73157982093338, b_new = -1.6535579213573923, c_new = 5.983626740983778
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7235.066555180249
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9953:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.1057889577238225, b_new = -1.269954902981862, c_new = 6.16995577096058
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14351.443406183458
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9954:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1777617054499516, b_new = -0.7743302984972715, c_new = 4.916091340144658
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4690.915517184221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9955:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.54976872046463, b_new = -1.5468249469453599, c_new = 6.81464861473688
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9860.204768097266
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9956:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7985002271610147, b_new = -1.645575941005605, c_new = 5.768749657023355
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5884.041615772992
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9957:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.1203501413725236, b_new = -2.253267657724693, c_new = 6.283918357240337
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14276.994724084492
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9958:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2653528681525774, b_new = -0.02632247955846867, c_new = 5.621485461404894
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8872.978394843447
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9959:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.5551563561121236, b_new = -1.452335257890685, c_new = 6.279315816422174
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9768.425631257
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9960:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.799530135753084, b_new = -2.0755063995789342, c_new = 5.485761710088246
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7163.235983120083
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9961:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 4.104023034842072, b_new = -1.5580782015786196, c_new = 5.956237621350062
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14015.028122334206
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9962:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.066252256668957, b_new = -0.29927937467420673, c_new = 5.068276622226889
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3998.551658580851
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9963:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.7673205153848994, b_new = -0.8560214101742547, c_new = 7.165340680135216
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13363.606378673157
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9964:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.653583399063823, b_new = -0.45992919052304215, c_new = 6.8492639447178725
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -13041.832996823221
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9965:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9177985034572043, b_new = -0.8683404212419257, c_new = 5.52189749709162
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3147.2192813430593
Acceptance probability: 3.206534270696747e-59
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9966:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.801594645817769, b_new = -0.9395319625258274, c_new = 5.458361704334751
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4357.177174642138
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9967:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6841199995354414, b_new = -1.155488175722534, c_new = 5.859262767331764
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6921.628755055743
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9968:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.866746082563195, b_new = -2.3008007700579745, c_new = 5.687732550384393
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -6251.316931416513
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9969:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.9297154989301495, b_new = -1.8130855590924366, c_new = 6.52823066612976
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3873.2666018572504
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9970:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0521081955347906, b_new = -1.9135708888741556, c_new = 5.274288828661136
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3167.118972901889
Acceptance probability: 7.306504403021945e-68
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9971:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.2959703266178724, b_new = -1.538925076220427, c_new = 5.151783290602981
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12806.392050287572
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9972:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.468702387380617, b_new = -0.7013297475513935, c_new = 6.241261768476472
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9426.656495374367
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9973:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.6372141709170775, b_new = -0.8168268200094295, c_new = 4.960341236298763
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7307.628998162923
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9974:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.7693081960821098, b_new = -1.928332428566212, c_new = 5.418967993321842
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7428.550668121984
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9975:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.8216595095328323, b_new = -1.1247129158976445, c_new = 6.38690102799864
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4190.4865286217
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9976:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.506639320302594, b_new = -0.9853891761653153, c_new = 6.2025625911704125
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9496.855005483338
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9977:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.4972034049379714, b_new = -1.7098524227209635, c_new = 6.274783121332539
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9048.741866298316
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9978:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.591152155566941, b_new = -1.5530722534223391, c_new = 5.4047393829453085
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9777.645319559575
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9979:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4283241730987855, b_new = -1.7059191768732842, c_new = 5.853219817684469
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11812.635378264014
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9980:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.3706692434932406, b_new = -1.000271096706506, c_new = 5.7002357439924625
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11254.385689091298
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9981:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.1122518748306267, b_new = -1.162251411596116, c_new = 4.946558058407543
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3345.1822240279494
Acceptance probability: 3.4026889953657484e-145
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9982:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.419513548560545, b_new = -1.4725076917893456, c_new = 5.519474265306965
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -7968.254194443909
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9983:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.3832474997747246, b_new = -1.0995523235517108, c_new = 5.951961332439492
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -8410.621095130287
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9984:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.40000604746275, b_new = -0.6874802551829852, c_new = 6.034200945478929
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9780.558495446201
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9985:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.0162394146735005, b_new = -2.004452173843136, c_new = 5.729767463419621
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -14584.566443564228
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9986:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.850956844578891, b_new = -1.9297231150839311, c_new = 5.975566550507223
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5488.82918406237
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9987:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.184969294134077, b_new = -1.211901493281772, c_new = 6.601855968837646
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4398.748019648267
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9988:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.200158332521645, b_new = -1.0576820127792927, c_new = 5.862982746747504
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -4738.888716946594
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9989:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4282239661259544, b_new = -1.9659916118191831, c_new = 6.043344106580553
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12164.734052301614
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9990:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.437674338555972, b_new = -0.7653461770969303, c_new = 5.9344921657886305
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10035.322964342236
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9991:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.573297814684985, b_new = -1.5067395169808349, c_new = 6.20009928248696
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -9655.968277489994
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9992:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.2139808658573683, b_new = -0.8837103490481002, c_new = 5.7593811738880225
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -5344.58689401088
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9993:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.780609764025323, b_new = -1.909065626122235, c_new = 5.3267959691892806
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11532.046696464156
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9994:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.51630249648315, b_new = -1.7598083702491663, c_new = 5.727427453088774
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -11048.298246214063
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9995:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.4445502196659303, b_new = -2.3141449487060033, c_new = 5.148067091655849
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12822.875300425347
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9996:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 2.396285877678059, b_new = -0.7741663051713581, c_new = 5.498718103812287
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -10662.585078895137
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9997:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.0321352733255384, b_new = -0.7307791131181962, c_new = 6.54462239933784
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3386.312957515907
Acceptance probability: 4.6662893586740956e-163
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9998:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.8036304604982667, b_new = -1.584900937057299, c_new = 6.590245122618921
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -12483.635226234106
Acceptance probability: 0.0
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Iteration 9999:
Current coefficients: a = 3.0116453734669664, b = -1.215880844424542, c = 5.788712103860098
Proposed coefficients: a_new = 3.140674887520296, b_new = -1.1761697006988874, c_new = 5.590286205346623
Current likelihood: -3012.531951543843
Proposed likelihood: -3673.938309210482
Acceptance probability: 5.686808051756761e-288
Max likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
Best coefficients so far: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Best coefficients: a = 3.0009450885040345, b = -1.000447229849184, c = 5.038477395045641
Maximum likelihood: -3011.3995854696714
from FoKL import FoKLRoutines
The function to look at is Gibbs which is a Bayesian sampling technique called Gibbs Sampling. Our version uses Ordinary Least Squared to propose new points. Look at the function and write down all your questions. You’ll be using JAX library to speed it up.
import numpy as np